[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x3bf2b9b5801d3171314aa9a3d685de9fff4370a4":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":812,"history":813,"resolved":867,"resolvedSummary":1471,"specialization":1474,"meta":1493},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x3bf2b9b5801d3171314aa9a3d685de9fff4370a4",2558,993,0.48338368580060426,0.10422396143331855,0.1539215606420983,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-09T08:12:01.451Z",17.85661383081572,1.8026779422128258,"2026-10-09T09:30:55.000Z",0,"market-winners",0.40372623012940645,0.07965745567119849,1848.0594220139722,17731.61753400001,5.640773912065182,0.04248704663212435,[26,39,48,57,64,72,80,89,97,106,117,125,133,142,150,158,166,174,181,189,197,205,213,221,229,237,245,251,259,267,275,284,292,299,307,314,322,330,337,345,353,361,369,377,385,393,401,408,416,424,432,442,450,456,464,471,479,487,495,503,510,517,525,532,538,546,554,565,574,582,590,598,604,611,618,628,635,642,650,657,664,671,678,686,694,701,709,717,724,731,738,745,752,759,766,773,781,789,796,804],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"38335347831207001766898168168488553778666208957873379059683655772267886119577","0x162bdbbdfa7f90a84fac2200cbc863a73b2eda92861db27adb5f8597edb4b7f8","No",1296.61,0.8093,"2026-11-01T18:11:47.957Z","2026-10-23T14:11:32.688Z","Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be 5,100,000 or more?","ohio-senate-election-turnout","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.141\", \"0.859\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":47,"category":38},"88408632340818462350400272207428178198764031444872433355085736565401190594143","0x669c8af4bf41cf25899ad46aa3a1473bfdd41c2f84bb7714a860ba8d2430f92b",1040.9888,0.9281,"2026-10-26T17:34:16.608Z","Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election?","ny-04-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.072\", \"0.928\"]",{"token_id":49,"condition_id":50,"outcome":29,"size":51,"avg_price":52,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":53,"question":54,"event_slug":55,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":56,"category":38},"53816689059013661407101104388964250553900309723525127726042398691591218638478","0x42c220e05c485450c98c846263016400a44308aa05622a8c2fb138653bc7017a",778.7,0.7548,"2026-10-28T08:19:44.992Z","Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 45%-50%?","wyoming-governor-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.076\", \"0.924\"]",{"token_id":58,"condition_id":59,"outcome":29,"size":60,"avg_price":61,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":62,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":63,"category":38},"36212142918995826896935616400405049543716672562330606078248123186967422626015","0x646f65ff00ed351d17b77edc2d7ece1e08a6002e272760dce0a02aa5f8c138ae",541.68,0.8921,"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be less than 3,900,000?","[\"0.0555\", \"0.9445\"]",{"token_id":65,"condition_id":66,"outcome":29,"size":67,"avg_price":68,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":53,"question":69,"event_slug":70,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":71,"category":38},"44152655129977541403500042537198726497084199658079329096839297934044721400943","0x4a570ddad45274facb5cbfcc6a51d193806830744f38a323ed1e21064ad23652",445.97,0.9027,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 18% or more?","va-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.0225\", \"0.9775\"]",{"token_id":73,"condition_id":74,"outcome":29,"size":75,"avg_price":76,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":53,"question":77,"event_slug":78,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":79,"category":38},"11419432481120340335127122145752197884127842070759745563592640162247790902335","0xc9071ed23f5e1d2fe7ce56a7288c54716be364579c8b2b0b1c867b2b95e23e6a",375,0.877,"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 30% or more?","mo-03-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.027\", \"0.973\"]",{"token_id":81,"condition_id":82,"outcome":29,"size":83,"avg_price":84,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":85,"question":86,"event_slug":87,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":88,"category":38},"94395170313520677160916072121781460386158294807628525720018124454866782974881","0x6a3279c8bcbe7fb3aaa979f573d26e2ed71816107dd4d8bbaea2a60c448bb0cc",351.79,0.8552,"2026-10-31T18:59:49.022Z","Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be 11,200,000 or more?","texas-senate-election-turnout","[\"0.1125\", \"0.8875\"]",{"token_id":90,"condition_id":91,"outcome":29,"size":92,"avg_price":93,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":94,"event_slug":95,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":96,"category":38},"56768317477588839131834919698773657139892376138927755724615528784204745295383","0x9c5e1af6e23cb1a383c961be1174477801c4f88a9955206af4a01f48c82708d9",327.47,0.9041,"Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be less than 3,600,000?","georgia-senate-election-turnout-first-round","[\"0.0405\", \"0.9595\"]",{"token_id":98,"condition_id":99,"outcome":29,"size":100,"avg_price":101,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":102,"question":103,"event_slug":104,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":105,"category":38},"19905648837455297072074483321333884475730562168010054345565786228402742772625","0xdf2c80d4709aa9fb92f6828a40533e30e594856fbe7f7f287b58f8128d4849aa",393.14,0.7277,"2026-10-22T13:31:34.558Z","Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-13 House election by 30%-35%?","il-13-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.185\", \"0.815\"]",{"token_id":107,"condition_id":108,"outcome":109,"size":110,"avg_price":111,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":112,"question":113,"event_slug":114,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":115,"outcome_prices":116,"category":38},"61739059723378834449840109934045252302791535422930838093523877308955890707762","0x3b5a8f61120f2fb2a808f117b950d7c37ad3ee0953464ba69927c31d24cde918","Yes",764.223,0.3478,"2026-09-16T20:02:05.767Z","Will no listed leader be out before 2027?","next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.62\", \"0.38\"]",{"token_id":118,"condition_id":119,"outcome":29,"size":120,"avg_price":121,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":122,"question":123,"event_slug":55,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":124,"category":38},"49101173875139424566118687355663426254954876968427275484683840890961442211759","0x0554b7697673d683170d87ed00e3a7f9c2421cdeae02f10b542dfff04d636480",276.14,0.8902,"2026-10-28T19:47:26.048Z","Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 50% or more?","[\"0.079\", \"0.921\"]",{"token_id":126,"condition_id":127,"outcome":29,"size":128,"avg_price":129,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":85,"question":130,"event_slug":131,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":132,"category":38},"114831250336532343558340577201021047733844429083277974323775965747684810218496","0xdabd12839f42e3288e018bf394c0ea3ff65a75b6050e6a128244a7404a75b287",260,0.9034,"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 15%-18%?","kansas-governor-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.06\", \"0.94\"]",{"token_id":134,"condition_id":135,"outcome":29,"size":136,"avg_price":137,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":138,"question":139,"event_slug":140,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":141,"category":38},"104024444727618103608529693546823797230558627298550029582406432346508008371501","0x49ea15fd4b099db031f4f2cf9eddd31f595c39b516fc6e8d99d90a1ce6b74caa",262,0.8949,"2026-10-29T16:37:22.396Z","Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 50% or more?","wyoming-senate-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.041\", \"0.959\"]",{"token_id":143,"condition_id":144,"outcome":29,"size":145,"avg_price":146,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":138,"question":147,"event_slug":148,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":149,"category":38},"26788439789019933529209936537153488762742492025476068283393349500517727149056","0xbcc9a620127a8021af652bfab7cbf916694b2e1687559a5fc0f674a4794be0e2",267.9891,0.873,"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be less than 900,000?","oklahoma-senate-election-turnout","[\"0.085\", \"0.915\"]",{"token_id":151,"condition_id":152,"outcome":29,"size":153,"avg_price":154,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":138,"question":155,"event_slug":156,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":157,"category":38},"76077423110810468059136703986428568101219172562271667673157199278736791315933","0xaf44d9c981fb7d830f358d651159cbe5c71cebcf853a1f518ac69915349b8403",240.02,0.8977,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 3% or more?","mn-08-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.094\", \"0.906\"]",{"token_id":159,"condition_id":160,"outcome":29,"size":161,"avg_price":162,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":122,"question":163,"event_slug":164,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":165,"category":38},"78795127482709867010023645281956352728617319755892597024386361278257943053709","0x29839c39fa053105e5ca631809b71e7591b5b8f53c2cb91dcc8d9395322a40a2",247.38,0.8474,"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 3%-6%?","az-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.078\", \"0.922\"]",{"token_id":167,"condition_id":168,"outcome":29,"size":169,"avg_price":170,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":53,"question":171,"event_slug":172,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":173,"category":38},"78612211286506944285922670691960510510144793482529791245581790918288603937742","0x2175f301d08607802fbfab94e30471288c6373f68f9ceafdb5d103006c1a9ac9",217.19,0.9314,"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 21% or more?","tx-32-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.07\", \"0.93\"]",{"token_id":175,"condition_id":176,"outcome":29,"size":177,"avg_price":178,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":53,"question":179,"event_slug":180,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":96,"category":38},"86411724636484217426262990707423807748162043600213967545842593200588239722948","0xaad07055d80c1335b0018af849afeb2229af657f5cc86daf9e524c4f5e6f2049",228.99,0.8674,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 5%-10%?","illinois-senate-margin-of-victory-2026",{"token_id":182,"condition_id":183,"outcome":109,"size":184,"avg_price":185,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":186,"event_slug":187,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":188,"category":38},"48575655245476347821154118117401480190008709979587511848606007824155974986339","0x83f0d95ee4a2ab83420cc4d4df7e98fa1b0f57cfaa73976e79cd67cce6b98c8f",1041.91,0.1898,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%?","maine-senate-election-margin-of-victory-first-round-20260804181547915","[\"0.24\", \"0.76\"]",{"token_id":190,"condition_id":191,"outcome":109,"size":192,"avg_price":193,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":53,"question":194,"event_slug":195,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":196,"category":38},"70829057679754459072503020366640272927835268607320356207060255482832615395257","0xd9a5967cf01b6f997e89636b16c523b53c523f4b5160ac2cc7218e133982243e",1385.2043,0.1411,"Will the Republican Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%?","maine-senate-election-margin-of-victory-final-round","[\"0.125\", \"0.875\"]",{"token_id":198,"condition_id":199,"outcome":29,"size":200,"avg_price":201,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":202,"event_slug":203,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":204,"category":38},"38883297648978005036060979856171759443102542928118245559034761567225305489443","0x6a421a077c9c46cbba0057d78af2b3fe071259ee53c44b2bee9f69e7aca04e92",220,0.8627,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-01 House election by 18%-21%?","oh-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.105\", \"0.895\"]",{"token_id":206,"condition_id":207,"outcome":109,"size":208,"avg_price":209,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":210,"event_slug":211,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":212,"category":38},"104281867899258781347523583527360778842338705194686408429959966976019754134016","0xc50130218777f8ce913f0f399a0756862cbb2ae94127231ac667d48adcbe9ad7",878.93,0.2092,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 20%-25%?","il-11-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.26\", \"0.74\"]",{"token_id":214,"condition_id":215,"outcome":29,"size":216,"avg_price":217,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":53,"question":218,"event_slug":219,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":220,"category":38},"104191700721559949091405791005728263390572166246328935208489202310235858246942","0x022d0b534d00033fd129882070b0481cf76c14b3a94b52e3b49217ddb2418695",192.56,0.8807,"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 50% or more?","oh-02-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.032\", \"0.968\"]",{"token_id":222,"condition_id":223,"outcome":29,"size":224,"avg_price":225,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":226,"event_slug":227,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":228,"category":38},"115777007471415042672551300275470741320980313865132079456918048493287766326303","0x7e33a34c1905ea56df5e909d240adf3f1df85cd95200075173d72296a9bb4073",175,0.95,"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be less than 1,000,000?","connecticut-governor-election-turnout","[\"0.0145\", \"0.9855\"]",{"token_id":230,"condition_id":231,"outcome":29,"size":232,"avg_price":233,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":234,"event_slug":235,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":236,"category":38},"12375098203054569129953802828998886011488413757403933770262048536764574414803","0xf6a4a3546c3b5993fc1536d32c87be61fec55776b3c5e0dddf0f3b59505cbde7",185.5,0.8889,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 12% or more?","wi-03-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.0905\", \"0.9095\"]",{"token_id":238,"condition_id":239,"outcome":109,"size":240,"avg_price":241,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":53,"question":242,"event_slug":243,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":244,"category":38},"92035409480537867622125696604964874554118063875219893160271398454647955000584","0x10d6d8ba7af9f80521fdab09cf46a09a5468b3c3bde35633247c139b239d48ce",840.2533,0.1759,"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?","alabama-governor-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.295\", \"0.705\"]",{"token_id":246,"condition_id":247,"outcome":29,"size":248,"avg_price":249,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":122,"question":250,"event_slug":187,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":228,"category":38},"48376609180078236887124482587383392321405842405844012658320009748817031723032","0xa1a2d0fad28cafa1a827fef1500f89b68ccfcf0c1092ce105a3c9c2c767c860a",148.0084,0.9288,"Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 12% or more?",{"token_id":252,"condition_id":253,"outcome":29,"size":254,"avg_price":255,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":53,"question":256,"event_slug":257,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":258,"category":38},"64868448345506902125823299017929512676739298222781730974900419559838856997362","0x5c15902007cb5dde47971cb60e6d1739f6639ed9eb93699b1101aa0fdbd650a1",150.23,0.875,"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,275,000 and 1,350,000?","nevada-governor-election-turnout","[\"0.096\", \"0.904\"]",{"token_id":260,"condition_id":261,"outcome":109,"size":262,"avg_price":263,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":122,"question":264,"event_slug":265,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":266,"category":38},"110394179258919008374988498115199156452959593279549370850814496678799473517172","0xfe39de20c4abf473bbb02000c465520b56d67f7934e986b15f31c5f975039d8d",776.2,0.1684,"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?","south-dakota-governor-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.18\", 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total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,200,000 and 1,250,000?","iowa-senate-election-turnout","[\"0.0615\", \"0.9385\"]",{"token_id":285,"condition_id":286,"outcome":29,"size":287,"avg_price":288,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":289,"event_slug":290,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":291,"category":38},"47433703794012479116729716448933330403946854237559208129066205066371749513560","0x7244cf5d501880e54eb560134ef1eac73f5288c47b2cf65c264ebcbc5d46b938",139.23,0.8347,"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000?","kentucky-senate-election-turnout","[\"0.0505\", 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there be fewer than 20 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?","avgpt-of-ships-transiting-bab-el-mandeb-strait-end-of-october","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.002\", \"0.998\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":566,"condition_id":567,"outcome":29,"size":568,"avg_price":569,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":570,"question":571,"event_slug":572,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":115,"outcome_prices":573,"category":38},"21527446005162722668702146847806837944786417986794925592709069062391666573103","0x67f3f8d0a0ecdfc008c99650284a4674388a8c3029b0eb7ca0abd65dde8d996f",99.9964,0.41,"2026-09-21T13:00:58.590Z","Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?","venezuela-leader-end-of-2026","[\"0.8415\", 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election by 15%-20%?","tx-04-house-margin-of-victory-2026",{"token_id":672,"condition_id":673,"outcome":109,"size":674,"avg_price":675,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":623,"question":676,"event_slug":677,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":641,"outcome_prices":244,"category":38},"95061518882030674387294415650193141971601773782396876302607454729434509424674","0x6c10b4f4c60b2c9001702166ad126450c05c9dfc51a938c042b9c965d922a2fe",99.99,0.3379,"Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election?","nuevo-leon-congress-election-winner",{"token_id":679,"condition_id":680,"outcome":109,"size":681,"avg_price":682,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":683,"question":684,"event_slug":430,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":685,"category":38},"99242625447649657796599821648900242221414135758827273610909586067022876795446","0x6bde639a9608c741387cd8e50c5ff18e98583d27af14de7ceed4fd811c544dae",261.47,0.1247,"2026-10-25T12:12:00.632Z","Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 6%-9%?","[\"0.195\", 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candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 3%-6%?","ne-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.156\", \"0.844\"]",{"token_id":782,"condition_id":783,"outcome":109,"size":784,"avg_price":785,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":122,"question":786,"event_slug":787,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":788,"category":38},"40167072308153859134218306336253543567727879965741896153835243375830165798169","0xa448f2a803875c93ed66ddad0290e9475e0b8d7be36cb752f4d8c557e8fbbc15",129.97,0.1732,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?","connecticut-governor-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.325\", 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2026 NY-06 House election by 25%-30%?","ny-06-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.41\", \"0.59\"]",{"token_id":805,"condition_id":806,"outcome":109,"size":807,"avg_price":808,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":374,"question":809,"event_slug":810,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":811,"category":38},"92098171695706520882255797529531007712331056391758025223893178158087375641608","0x0331919086a350a5a9ac5322e5ada5024b96f1d5ddefccc8669c45b4784a4c77",109.21,0.1961,"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?","oregon-senate-election-turnout","[\"0.475\", 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fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-october-19",{"condition_id":878,"outcome":109,"usdc":879,"entry_price":880,"won":12,"source":872,"end_date_iso":873,"captured_at":874,"question":881,"event_slug":876,"category":564},"0x663ddbc3febc05ac9aa6cac3af3a6f1ed2462a4827264ddb2b3c7d3f59d24077",30.976000000000003,0.2816,"Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?",{"condition_id":883,"outcome":29,"usdc":884,"entry_price":885,"won":12,"source":872,"end_date_iso":873,"captured_at":874,"question":886,"event_slug":876,"category":564},"0xb84c274b236779427b4dba3c8695b8156ea4babcfa4491fc3ee389c6b484cdac",108,0.9,"Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?",{"condition_id":888,"outcome":109,"usdc":889,"entry_price":890,"won":17,"source":872,"end_date_iso":873,"captured_at":874,"question":891,"event_slug":876,"category":564},"0x75affa2563896c6d2482e92d6851e5e0663cb0248d50d43f0ebeef0f0e9d5132",31.488000000000003,0.2624,"Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?",{"condition_id":893,"outcome":29,"usdc":894,"entry_price":558,"won":12,"source":872,"end_date_iso":562,"captured_at":895,"question":896,"event_slug":897,"category":38},"0x16248fb1d6b56e9b851f45fadb1e501c0a82c51a60c9808c6f51f052d3684820",13.1376,"2026-10-16T14:49:39.892Z","US imports Russian diesel by October 31?","us-imports-russian-diesel-by-october-31",{"condition_id":899,"outcome":29,"usdc":900,"entry_price":901,"won":12,"source":872,"end_date_iso":562,"captured_at":902,"question":903,"event_slug":904,"category":38},"0xcee04ba47d02f6c64642369b34193c355f64de1b9ae425c71ea4efef1989d271",169.5,0.678,"2026-09-24T15:01:07.228Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080",{"condition_id":906,"outcome":109,"usdc":907,"entry_price":908,"won":17,"source":872,"end_date_iso":909,"captured_at":910,"question":911,"event_slug":912,"category":38},"0x11557afeaff1e24a0745e9ae7d3b718937d9a0c9c210d79fbfc3522e5994ff77",27.98871246,0.1866,"2026-10-20T03:59:00Z","2026-10-12T22:38:16.081Z","Will \"Remain\" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?","alberta-independence-referendum-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":914,"outcome":109,"usdc":915,"entry_price":916,"won":12,"source":872,"end_date_iso":909,"captured_at":910,"question":917,"event_slug":912,"category":38},"0x1976c8f59abd1819cf56d9fb7d5c90fd3fc2cfc2044056266e6aae72df8d5334",41.726037999999996,0.5443,"Will \"Remain\" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?",{"condition_id":919,"outcome":109,"usdc":920,"entry_price":921,"won":17,"source":872,"end_date_iso":922,"captured_at":923,"question":924,"event_slug":925,"category":38},"0xa9e24f23e61265a798a2e484c0ead96255e6cd94034dfc0ab58343aa907cc390",0.23778,0.009,"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","2026-09-23T14:40:57.694Z","Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next  Bulgarian presidential election?","bulgaria-presidential-election",{"condition_id":927,"outcome":109,"usdc":928,"entry_price":929,"won":12,"source":872,"end_date_iso":930,"captured_at":931,"question":932,"event_slug":933,"category":38},"0x18cb1bd7f287afcf3728808eacad17750b27330612ca81ab75da095257816632",357.68,0.8942,"2026-10-25T23:59:00Z","2026-10-20T11:28:14.970Z","Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?","bulgaria-presidential-election-first-round-3rd-place",{"condition_id":935,"outcome":109,"usdc":936,"entry_price":937,"won":12,"source":872,"end_date_iso":938,"captured_at":939,"question":940,"event_slug":941,"category":38},"0xdf8e2dc5860027decbe6164555c3c1c9645c3bd33e16b9dc57ca87125047d4a8",57.99999999999999,0.58,"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","2026-09-16T20:21:49.955Z","Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election",{"condition_id":943,"outcome":109,"usdc":944,"entry_price":945,"won":12,"source":872,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":946,"question":947,"event_slug":948,"category":38},"0x4ba8ec5d2c8cc2377cbf28c96546b648752db8871b6325fc7a6822eac7ad306e",529.55655786,0.8826,"2026-10-14T03:16:23.476Z","Will there be no Hormuz agreement?","who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement",{"condition_id":950,"outcome":109,"usdc":951,"entry_price":952,"won":12,"source":872,"end_date_iso":953,"captured_at":954,"question":955,"event_slug":956,"category":564},"0xbd35657f5ce1d3b9b2dbea70d09abbee67e7efa6508d1830da43b2e912dfbec7",158.255093,0.9761,"2026-10-19T03:59:00Z","2026-10-21T01:25:04.113Z","Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-october-12-20261006t135036615z",{"condition_id":958,"outcome":109,"usdc":12,"entry_price":959,"won":17,"source":872,"end_date_iso":960,"captured_at":961,"question":962,"event_slug":963,"category":38},"0x62c5bc7742aba8792394eb23d24b4de0bcc7c16427977fe9a41dea0caa2396f3",0.01,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","2026-06-20T17:09:01.145Z","Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?","next-prime-minister-of-romania-732",{"condition_id":965,"outcome":109,"usdc":966,"entry_price":967,"won":17,"source":872,"end_date_iso":953,"captured_at":931,"question":968,"event_slug":969,"category":564},"0xab740db12cafd5434e4f5e08312d7927fc46b988d149495e33ffdb3608e2dce3",17.5,0.35,"Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?","how-many-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-strait-week-of-october-12-20261006t134953677z",{"condition_id":971,"outcome":109,"usdc":972,"entry_price":973,"won":12,"source":872,"end_date_iso":953,"captured_at":874,"question":974,"event_slug":969,"category":564},"0xc3f0b47231b149f564840ae702749014a9f1a63c39d20375d505eba509f10039",25.3308,0.38,"Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?",{"condition_id":976,"outcome":29,"usdc":977,"entry_price":296,"won":12,"source":872,"end_date_iso":953,"captured_at":874,"question":978,"event_slug":969,"category":564},"0x2fb096eb03f5ce8c367d54bf51553173140fa0e509e62f8d62189d401eb3c736",47.92878,"Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?",{"condition_id":980,"outcome":109,"usdc":981,"entry_price":982,"won":12,"source":872,"end_date_iso":983,"captured_at":895,"question":984,"event_slug":985,"category":38},"0x9841f98ef43863279f2a7affd3b2d258c3b86b526f5f8ba23ec3677128beb268",495.4922702,0.991,"2026-10-17T03:59:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?","us-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt",{"condition_id":987,"outcome":109,"usdc":988,"entry_price":989,"won":17,"source":872,"end_date_iso":990,"captured_at":991,"question":992,"event_slug":993,"category":38},"0xc1be2a2db8bb89c936f002c75c7ddf6654d09ae0314b3fa9f72d77926b7ea5cf",30.299999999999997,0.06,"2026-10-16T03:59:00Z","2026-10-03T00:32:10.901Z","US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?","us-iran-hormuz-agreement-byptptpt-20260803235957575",{"condition_id":995,"outcome":29,"usdc":996,"entry_price":997,"won":12,"source":872,"end_date_iso":990,"captured_at":998,"question":999,"event_slug":904,"category":38},"0x1674c7a654ad25b68e9df7ac71e3711ecc5c86bde2063ceb8be586ea9c44f028",81.992702,0.82,"2026-09-28T12:56:29.434Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":1001,"outcome":29,"usdc":1002,"entry_price":1003,"won":12,"source":872,"end_date_iso":1004,"captured_at":910,"question":1005,"event_slug":1006,"category":564},"0xbb359aa140d4ff22a852dfe0eea384c7bb4ff3dd4d2a78574769c97dfb09f168",76.51,0.7651,"2026-10-12T03:59:00Z","Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?","how-many-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-strait-week-of-october-5",{"condition_id":1008,"outcome":109,"usdc":870,"entry_price":871,"won":17,"source":872,"end_date_iso":1004,"captured_at":1009,"question":1010,"event_slug":1011,"category":564},"0x49a3b16f86b9e162a8f62df7cd88f24bc96146a502a5af168f70f90644651ac2","2026-10-08T02:19:25.258Z","Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-october-5",{"condition_id":1013,"outcome":109,"usdc":1014,"entry_price":1015,"won":17,"source":872,"end_date_iso":1004,"captured_at":910,"question":1016,"event_slug":1006,"category":564},"0xe953ea4f4c456df5301113d87eb1c2fa13b0529d6c64ff39f5358d83a2ecf9c9",42.29025731,0.3533,"Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?",{"condition_id":1018,"outcome":109,"usdc":1019,"entry_price":1020,"won":17,"source":872,"end_date_iso":1004,"captured_at":1021,"question":1022,"event_slug":1011,"category":564},"0x0d4c9a6648ece3bfcab607d62a42a752fb65c469661c2e4544d20fa5e3400af1",16.48737809,0.1649,"2026-10-11T15:50:25.942Z","Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?",{"condition_id":1024,"outcome":109,"usdc":1025,"entry_price":1026,"won":12,"source":872,"end_date_iso":1004,"captured_at":1009,"question":1027,"event_slug":1011,"category":564},"0xfd0c1f3dbad1df5f0e9d71206394c08f238e21ce4f1afd7e03d6300c85e42f5b",6.714900000000001,0.27,"Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?",{"condition_id":1029,"outcome":109,"usdc":1030,"entry_price":1031,"won":17,"source":872,"end_date_iso":1004,"captured_at":1032,"question":1033,"event_slug":1011,"category":564},"0xa0549ccf2aa3336f3b687c438458306ed44955c3bbb35cac48b7e000d2608c96",0.5900000000000001,0.1,"2026-10-07T11:59:18.581Z","Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?",{"condition_id":1035,"outcome":109,"usdc":1036,"entry_price":1037,"won":12,"source":872,"end_date_iso":1038,"captured_at":1039,"question":1040,"event_slug":1041,"category":564},"0xc4d7a337d3673d470ea5179fdf43cc92ba43a6ecbbc4e09381f62c2276e15a59",38.199999999999996,0.955,"2026-10-10T03:59:00Z","2026-10-09T09:19:32.091Z","Israel military action against Lebanon on October 9?","israel-military-action-against-lebanon-on-october-2026",{"condition_id":1043,"outcome":109,"usdc":1044,"entry_price":1045,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1047,"captured_at":1048,"question":1049,"event_slug":1050,"category":1051},"0x00373f48342212cfc74833f43e61eed5efd678b37ec212622fc68c551249e963",1.04,0.026,"backfill","2026-04-14T00:00:00Z","2026-06-20T16:37:26.477Z","Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?","trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-broken-by",null,{"condition_id":1053,"outcome":109,"usdc":1054,"entry_price":1055,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1056,"captured_at":1048,"question":1057,"event_slug":1058,"category":1051},"0x0a8db80928b9b675433e5489a7e20b0a839d3bd05a46caec5ab6e67a09a6ada5",3.55359,0.051501304347826085,"2026-05-03T00:00:00Z","Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-apr-27",{"condition_id":1060,"outcome":109,"usdc":1061,"entry_price":1062,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1063,"captured_at":1048,"question":1064,"event_slug":1065,"category":1051},"0x0baa8bbb7b974a19e8b91205be112e064df134c7e4ae90476ca50c247c82daf1",9.731770000000001,0.06159348100740506,"2026-04-26","Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-this-week-apr-20-26",{"condition_id":1067,"outcome":109,"usdc":1068,"entry_price":1069,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":960,"captured_at":1048,"question":1070,"event_slug":1071,"category":38},"0x0c2924a04e0159dfdcd2996534d45bdbeade41cdf5cc084b532ec35563e83941",15,0.15,"Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?","colombia-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":1073,"outcome":29,"usdc":1074,"entry_price":1075,"won":12,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":960,"captured_at":1048,"question":1076,"event_slug":1077,"category":38},"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089",7.1,0.71,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":1079,"outcome":109,"usdc":1080,"entry_price":1081,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1082,"captured_at":1048,"question":1083,"event_slug":1084,"category":38},"0x0f3062f421a43ab9af2f3dc9c3eef48e2aab38a4c9858aca7651947642c4c964",26.66,0.8886666666666667,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?","where-will-the-next-us-iran-diplomatic-meeting-happen-455",{"condition_id":1086,"outcome":109,"usdc":1087,"entry_price":1088,"won":12,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1089,"captured_at":1090,"question":1091,"event_slug":1092,"category":1051},"0x124f07d29e0fbef1f36535f4f1ee289759ec8bca4a708c4934a557ff556cd05c",69.9032,0.695,"2026-08-13T16:00:00Z","2026-09-24T19:41:33.498Z","Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?","clacton-by-election-2nd-place-20260707214539733",{"condition_id":1094,"outcome":109,"usdc":1095,"entry_price":1096,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":960,"captured_at":1048,"question":1097,"event_slug":1071,"category":38},"0x13eff396ae562ffdc52f4d6897551191e64fa718890f1f26afd051e8b8554dd3",34.39075,0.22870468569878621,"Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?",{"condition_id":1099,"outcome":109,"usdc":1100,"entry_price":1101,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1102,"captured_at":1048,"question":1103,"event_slug":1104,"category":564},"0x15a27b4ab344a2f7c9f6589d56c2533c9c6f615c7411bfe661fd7777b230e6e7",122.5,0.6124999999999999,"2026-06-14T00:00:00Z","Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-june-8",{"condition_id":1106,"outcome":29,"usdc":1107,"entry_price":1108,"won":12,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1056,"captured_at":1048,"question":1109,"event_slug":1058,"category":1051},"0x186733e78213058e9e5bcb47085f6fffdf491f72a8e233cbc6f2fa107090f4b0",20.89558,0.17730657615613069,"Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?",{"condition_id":1111,"outcome":29,"usdc":1112,"entry_price":1113,"won":12,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1114,"captured_at":1090,"question":1115,"event_slug":1116,"category":1051},"0x19966af675c9fd1a4db02b3cf7da257cfe505c0ff67332131471e9e03849c520",24.999999,0.3899999911,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-this-week-apr-6-12",{"condition_id":1111,"outcome":109,"usdc":1118,"entry_price":1119,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1114,"captured_at":1090,"question":1115,"event_slug":1116,"category":1051},57.26,0.6433707865168539,{"condition_id":1121,"outcome":109,"usdc":1068,"entry_price":1069,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1122,"captured_at":1090,"question":1123,"event_slug":1124,"category":1051},"0x1a1b42c8b539ff4bfed50921f7b7dd8df659f68adbce3b4b89a7da6cb8e8883b","2026-07-12T23:59:00Z","Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-july-6-20260703173313706",{"condition_id":1126,"outcome":109,"usdc":1127,"entry_price":1128,"won":12,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1102,"captured_at":1129,"question":1130,"event_slug":1104,"category":564},"0x22c0216228ef4f9585786ab787855f533d098d6fab779e5d6cc2d57dc7feb47d",59.400000000000006,0.22415094339622643,"2026-09-16T18:28:10.719Z","Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?",{"condition_id":1132,"outcome":109,"usdc":1133,"entry_price":1134,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1135,"captured_at":1129,"question":1136,"event_slug":1137,"category":564},"0x23591cceaef52994b5cc694e439eb68e205ed068b2d3902b94b223c312cce8e2",43.1362,0.15183990988771162,"2026-06-01T00:00:00Z","Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-may-25",{"condition_id":1139,"outcome":109,"usdc":1140,"entry_price":1141,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1082,"captured_at":1048,"question":1142,"event_slug":1143,"category":38},"0x269b4de59b444c57f166f690b1ce8c388bf26167c6a68f7613ab5b05e86375a8",10.5,0.21,"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?","pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1145,"outcome":29,"usdc":1146,"entry_price":1147,"won":12,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1148,"captured_at":1129,"question":1149,"event_slug":1150,"category":38},"0x27a7a60a3605b0cc0f41f0f243e6be5f2a6144b0adf59fad803fbc1ca6eeb928",158.43444100000005,0.8568501505195277,"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?","iran-x-oman-strait-of-hormuz-agreement-by-june-15",{"condition_id":1152,"outcome":109,"usdc":1153,"entry_price":1154,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1155,"captured_at":1048,"question":1156,"event_slug":1157,"category":38},"0x2cd24d17f5680dc6e7b7d67c712a223ae85550745597e81bd2d2b8d073443951",214.66430100000005,0.2990219080772864,"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","peru-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":1159,"outcome":29,"usdc":1160,"entry_price":1161,"won":12,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1162,"captured_at":1048,"question":1163,"event_slug":1164,"category":1051},"0x2d859e9b62672ab0e90238495c1799f37759f8a2e96b67e240ddbf679428e7c8",9.999998,0.8399999664,"2026-04-15","Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?","will-another-country-conduct-military-action-against-iran-by",{"condition_id":1166,"outcome":109,"usdc":1167,"entry_price":1168,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1169,"captured_at":1090,"question":1170,"event_slug":1171,"category":38},"0x2e4b58fc18dbffd74d5275d89fb076943f21992763c45dcadd81391b83bde13c",1.06539,0.007,"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-september-762",{"condition_id":1173,"outcome":109,"usdc":1174,"entry_price":1175,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1063,"captured_at":1048,"question":1176,"event_slug":1065,"category":1051},"0x2f77d82d8dd3272e1d8b62bc4dbe5068e923a7d7270b77b5f7389275d642f1e2",8.09,0.15862745098039216,"Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?",{"condition_id":1178,"outcome":109,"usdc":1179,"entry_price":1180,"won":12,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1114,"captured_at":1090,"question":1181,"event_slug":1116,"category":1051},"0x30a5bc9701d7a29237f05fd6a76678d139413124a12092b7d1c334926f7a5425",16.179999000000002,0.22228734377268466,"Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?",{"condition_id":1183,"outcome":109,"usdc":1184,"entry_price":1185,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1063,"captured_at":1048,"question":1186,"event_slug":1065,"category":1051},"0x322276af6e480c4ae02f6970303d13e14c67f4e2e1d8c580c5f6d9787b76875d",10.18,0.14542857142857143,"Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?",{"condition_id":1188,"outcome":29,"usdc":1189,"entry_price":1190,"won":12,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1191,"captured_at":1048,"question":1192,"event_slug":1193,"category":1051},"0x33403f2501afbeafa3372043080e5360d714a9323b264cb76c3aaafc335304a5",6.82032,0.165,"2026-04-23T00:00:00Z","Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?","tamil-nadu-legislative-assembly-election-winner",{"condition_id":1195,"outcome":29,"usdc":1196,"entry_price":1197,"won":12,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1198,"captured_at":1129,"question":1199,"event_slug":1200,"category":38},"0x35c73eb41a0ee54b49358c523a2d3335e9df5ee21bba9e526813a6fbaa0f70b6",28.48,0.712,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",{"condition_id":1195,"outcome":109,"usdc":1202,"entry_price":1203,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1198,"captured_at":1129,"question":1199,"event_slug":1200,"category":38},18.78887,0.02556308842176871,{"condition_id":1205,"outcome":109,"usdc":1206,"entry_price":1207,"won":12,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1208,"captured_at":1048,"question":1209,"event_slug":1210,"category":1051},"0x3941412b11ae9b812dec52db55e99b1465a7f4a3b95e364d58ce7c943bf95018",8.507000000000001,0.10633749999625,"2026-04-19T00:00:00Z","Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-this-week-apr-13-19",{"condition_id":1212,"outcome":109,"usdc":1213,"entry_price":1214,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1135,"captured_at":1048,"question":1215,"event_slug":1216,"category":564},"0x3bfc778b50ff65a11ac83908f802eb5268f51b56ab281d6528c50f460245b1ad",17.37925,0.054829321386882034,"Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?","will-75-99-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-may-25-june-1",{"condition_id":1218,"outcome":29,"usdc":1219,"entry_price":1220,"won":12,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1221,"captured_at":1048,"question":1222,"event_slug":1200,"category":1051},"0x3c41f17860ead2faeb7b055dd768ebd7f11c0996756828ddb09acebf8b5fef22",19.599999,0.423181810067149,"2026-04-18T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?",{"condition_id":1224,"outcome":109,"usdc":1225,"entry_price":989,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1226,"captured_at":1129,"question":1227,"event_slug":1228,"category":38},"0x403a2992ce3adb0df0af7054074191b5dffe20fbd3bdcd4b993224529f6d4e4b",3.1128,"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?","romanian-parliament-dissolved-by-july-31",{"condition_id":1230,"outcome":29,"usdc":1231,"entry_price":1232,"won":12,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1233,"captured_at":1090,"question":1234,"event_slug":904,"category":38},"0x420c29cfe95850eb2351fdef6ae4ff063b2a574aa947d0fe82e7433fd58946f2",328.7,0.82175,"2026-09-08T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":1236,"outcome":109,"usdc":1237,"entry_price":1238,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1239,"captured_at":1090,"question":1240,"event_slug":1241,"category":1051},"0x448067cbd40d6a20f39b6ca24737bfe711059b251f8f7f1663ac8734cc6b9972",43,0.26875,"2026-05-24T00:00:00Z","Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-may-18",{"condition_id":1243,"outcome":29,"usdc":1244,"entry_price":1245,"won":12,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1114,"captured_at":1090,"question":1246,"event_slug":1247,"category":1051},"0x462d6690e064dbd7ee3722658470b9ee1955db208486c7029ecf7871d9e46bf0",9.999999,0.6699999839,"Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?","will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-april-8-12",{"condition_id":1249,"outcome":29,"usdc":1250,"entry_price":1251,"won":12,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1252,"captured_at":1090,"question":1253,"event_slug":904,"category":38},"0x47ec761ae98d7c28b20c0222f1507e3af0f198a904f86b4a264b2e987f0b80c7",26.4306,0.899,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":1255,"outcome":29,"usdc":1256,"entry_price":1257,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1082,"captured_at":1129,"question":1258,"event_slug":1259,"category":38},"0x4d0c4865bdecc5f7971dbab47bb6c069d93909dec75bdff52fb766ae6094a6d6",240.288113,0.5089745517103678,"Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?","trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by",{"condition_id":1261,"outcome":109,"usdc":1262,"entry_price":1263,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1114,"captured_at":1090,"question":1264,"event_slug":1116,"category":1051},"0x4f3be223a7fb240b7ceb9afc13f440792d3b2cb18a64cb192c58e7cfacf44108",2.84316,0.05800000000000001,"Will 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?",{"condition_id":1266,"outcome":109,"usdc":1267,"entry_price":1268,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1269,"captured_at":1048,"question":1270,"event_slug":1271,"category":1051},"0x5038693d6ec7c9b33dc7146a19b7d0a077b3a2105265cf16f63ffccfe84ec364",4.9993300000000005,0.05000000000000001,"2026-05-17T00:00:00Z","Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-may-11",{"condition_id":1273,"outcome":109,"usdc":1274,"entry_price":1275,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1089,"captured_at":1090,"question":1276,"event_slug":1277,"category":1051},"0x513bf1706e9cbf61b7cc56f12803b1b72a522bae3c5157e7b356abdf36e2e72d",4.13778,0.08200000000000002,"Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?","clacton-by-election-winner-20260707143521303",{"condition_id":1279,"outcome":109,"usdc":1280,"entry_price":1281,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1208,"captured_at":1048,"question":1282,"event_slug":1210,"category":1051},"0x51541509c19e697e64533bbd641537324dbe7dbfcda7db5bf151b40eb73e53e7",10.268,0.07550000000000001,"Will 70-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?",{"condition_id":1284,"outcome":29,"usdc":1285,"entry_price":1286,"won":12,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":960,"captured_at":1048,"question":1287,"event_slug":1288,"category":564},"0x518a5b030b205706b8ffe6bbad9bd3de59548348e5c0471827f5de21e513333c",456.485338,0.6850119355390224,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may",{"condition_id":1290,"outcome":109,"usdc":1291,"entry_price":1292,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1208,"captured_at":1048,"question":1293,"event_slug":1210,"category":1051},"0x5b3c07d09683fd47732a09b2b62a67eff071e3372fb5ce9edc1109a6ef58e121",8.28,0.16235294114705884,"Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?",{"condition_id":1295,"outcome":109,"usdc":1296,"entry_price":1297,"won":12,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1298,"captured_at":1048,"question":1299,"event_slug":1300,"category":1051},"0x5c34d9826992a9c141776ad3c467bfd85432b1f92b76e134f7790a173208e374",97.55672,0.821737870628302,"2026-05-10T00:00:00Z","Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-may-4",{"condition_id":1302,"outcome":29,"usdc":1303,"entry_price":1304,"won":12,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1252,"captured_at":1090,"question":1305,"event_slug":1306,"category":1051},"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8",380.395605,0.845333515302882,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-august-31-20260702154212320",{"condition_id":1308,"outcome":109,"usdc":1309,"entry_price":1310,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1311,"captured_at":1048,"question":1312,"event_slug":1313,"category":564},"0x69691c4e7c23e6965eee45302f64f4907006b64334b01b1c76472140c8a7c74a",33.180899999999994,0.11048147038257915,"2026-06-30T16:00:00Z","Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?","avg-of-ships-transiting-strait-of-hormuz-end-of-june",{"condition_id":1315,"outcome":109,"usdc":1316,"entry_price":1317,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1102,"captured_at":1048,"question":1318,"event_slug":1104,"category":564},"0x796ec273bb9aa7b6d1ce1f30981971e2802cc7be24c6f5aea602cf082a3d8751",2,0.02,"Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?",{"condition_id":1320,"outcome":109,"usdc":1321,"entry_price":1322,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1114,"captured_at":1090,"question":1323,"event_slug":1116,"category":1051},"0x81cc8a629b1f633542f1015514305fbefdbf578e578992efe17190edc49aea6c",9.86,0.493,"Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?",{"condition_id":1325,"outcome":109,"usdc":1326,"entry_price":1327,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1328,"captured_at":1129,"question":1329,"event_slug":1330,"category":38},"0x8c3334704624545380abd862f7199c52a918084cc7037c614d4d543d10d2c9a4",3.95749,0.003957489994415,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?","next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-orban",{"condition_id":1332,"outcome":109,"usdc":1333,"entry_price":1334,"won":12,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1135,"captured_at":1129,"question":1335,"event_slug":1137,"category":564},"0x8c34ce3b0d7a422032459d3d047219a82a788a522a043666fd7cf60136602a96",125.7343,0.62908040226147,"Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 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than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?",{"condition_id":1350,"outcome":29,"usdc":1351,"entry_price":1352,"won":12,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1353,"captured_at":1048,"question":1354,"event_slug":1355,"category":1051},"0x924a2942747dd75703321a7c8d809c68f6a514c3b0f2a2e64274e02310634669",17.649999,0.4821371060438958,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-april-30",{"condition_id":1357,"outcome":109,"usdc":1358,"entry_price":1359,"won":17,"source":1046,"end_date_iso":1298,"captured_at":1048,"question":1360,"event_slug":1300,"category":1051},"0x94e8b7f0d8d4448b96bf123583fb9b1c359c2d8a45fe062e3604c32e92231994",1.0925,0.038,"Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 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