[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x3564035c81c8b0a0105db16dbf6a15fc1db75cff":3},{"stats":4,"positions":24,"signals":155,"history":163,"resolved":166,"resolvedSummary":534,"specialization":537,"meta":559},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":17,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x3564035c81c8b0a0105db16dbf6a15fc1db75cff",171,73,0.7397260273972602,0.27006349127531193,0.14346592682451753,0.0021999999999999797,1,"2026-10-04T19:37:17.893Z",84.18158741095885,2.310810810810811,"2026-10-02T10:50:17.000Z",0,"trades",0.5830190200767121,0.15670700732054796,1659.609258003002,6145.255880999996,7.600714560009617,[25,38,49,56,65,75,84,92,102,111,119,127,136,146],{"token_id":26,"condition_id":27,"outcome":28,"size":29,"avg_price":30,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":33,"event_slug":34,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"43595531958558267934455886300539818619407063141211246186008687659488782680099","0xe944062b6d02b59c5f6c39cd4d35538918053c0c7e5f8d7fa0ab1d4edb9baa46","Yes",1160.9346,0.6478,"2026-10-25T12:12:00.632Z","2026-10-04T22:11:42.516Z","Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2026","2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","[\"0.535\", \"0.465\"]","Tech",{"token_id":39,"condition_id":40,"outcome":41,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":44,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":47,"category":48},"54533569528927082430133047556849600511985191158927477533124630301934489498530","0x7586a96520578acaaaa4ea84a2582f197f84255da1f3392a7aa300386c187b37","No",1032.4891,0.6165,"Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","[\"0.255\", \"0.745\"]","Politics",{"token_id":50,"condition_id":51,"outcome":28,"size":52,"avg_price":53,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":54,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":55,"category":48},"52487256270918227930942830546248720603566203568229607048093730748840489555808","0xdbe93b5a701f36076a560fa4b9ba59e365a6e8e2ea6a83764640010657277ca4",1270.7122,0.4536,"Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","[\"0.5345\", \"0.4655\"]",{"token_id":57,"condition_id":58,"outcome":28,"size":59,"avg_price":60,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":61,"question":62,"event_slug":63,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":64,"category":48},"80394040796865442561882584674379436781359735389810092558278498070063808191043","0x995fb197e75478e59a7b547092406f4c4be476fe2525fdbd159d7496b296774d",283.2742,0.9219,"2026-10-22T08:23:18.265Z","Will Israel election happen as scheduled?","will-israel-election-happen-as-scheduled-20260720204824362","[\"0.9685\", \"0.0315\"]",{"token_id":66,"condition_id":67,"outcome":28,"size":68,"avg_price":69,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":70,"event_slug":71,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":72,"outcome_prices":73,"category":74},"11876606915924142133615854761923277060697657209957870741155164849437788272266","0x684e5b72d4e407695397a79ed75ef37273c2655ca2548791a4153233d3744696",332.6073,0.7641,"Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?","largest-company-end-of-december-2026","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.635\", \"0.365\"]","Economy",{"token_id":76,"condition_id":77,"outcome":78,"size":79,"avg_price":80,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":61,"question":81,"event_slug":82,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":83,"category":48},"53999837366130407073427520220197757214736033029177662510646369789945608282857","0x50158cfd2b0be6cd30722dbf69514984347bd6a93fb2a0f3bee2370b1c74407d","Opp.",277.7777,0.5399,"Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?","israel-election-which-bloc-wins-more-seats","[\"0.5\", \"0.5\"]",{"token_id":85,"condition_id":86,"outcome":28,"size":87,"avg_price":88,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":61,"question":89,"event_slug":90,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":91,"category":48},"39555062235856299873040913581157428012749073563846274382975600996042752877111","0xab4145397a8aff1944c628f4ed5f25f6371c6125b2531e5b0c87f57e0b873412",297.2926,0.37,"Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","israeli-legislative-election-turnout","[\"0.37\", \"0.63\"]",{"token_id":93,"condition_id":94,"outcome":28,"size":95,"avg_price":96,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":61,"question":97,"event_slug":98,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":99,"outcome_prices":100,"category":101},"12896338380913765828011243971287948980625806294264003655037402556104795896562","0x1061746798dcbc8e5fdd72f6e701cba204145014847aaa60fd7566dd7e6ee102",128.3,0.8091,"Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?","msft-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-28-2026-4pt82","2026-10-28T21:00:00Z","[\"0.825\", \"0.175\"]","Business",{"token_id":103,"condition_id":104,"outcome":28,"size":105,"avg_price":106,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":107,"event_slug":108,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":109,"outcome_prices":110,"category":74},"69735375491031838104241264868597697438957468021437178287310137256738557969442","0x5f6a7b61c0d5c70860e7538932e122a0392cc7f93ab568008770315883cc5de0",166.7666,0.5999,"Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?","2nd-largest-company-end-of-december-2026","2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.51\", \"0.49\"]",{"token_id":112,"condition_id":113,"outcome":41,"size":114,"avg_price":115,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":61,"question":116,"event_slug":117,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":99,"outcome_prices":118,"category":101},"2982373020788710394112236446322865233484302744751824971121925951971389300770","0x464509f76e5958f7d898c9dca7849b0fce5768daee2d6fb2437a1628b911ce68",131.5605,0.7601,"Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?","googl-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-27-2026-3pt10","[\"0.205\", \"0.795\"]",{"token_id":120,"condition_id":121,"outcome":28,"size":122,"avg_price":123,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":61,"question":124,"event_slug":125,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":126,"outcome_prices":73,"category":101},"90815166878920798776466179911934241897500554446075741228714372209770620128600","0xdb0bd84336d779d0d738612dcd43331ba39380d9bf00af79665e22c702a181d8",172.4137,0.5799,"Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?","amzn-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-29-2026-2pt00","2026-10-29T21:00:00Z",{"token_id":128,"condition_id":129,"outcome":41,"size":130,"avg_price":131,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":132,"event_slug":133,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":134,"outcome_prices":135,"category":48},"78325408105620347603124655615791777296871095823520117681667693680225044697965","0x20ef99fa46f434d2622e1b31a11d090867922f9618e22a79cee444d77b7d3207",142.2483,0.6769,"Israeli election results in a hung parliament?","israeli-election-results-in-a-hung-parliament","2026-10-27T23:59:00Z","[\"0.52\", \"0.48\"]",{"token_id":137,"condition_id":138,"outcome":28,"size":139,"avg_price":140,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":141,"event_slug":142,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":143,"outcome_prices":144,"category":145},"96579693508177199966070611400410853026298967531032544674689952043367008918098","0x9627e2834d3334df13c14242f6ea442317d9981d3a5e62d0248d832551ca9345",935.4,0.1,"Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?","nba-2027-champion","2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]","Sports",{"token_id":147,"condition_id":148,"outcome":28,"size":149,"avg_price":150,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":151,"event_slug":152,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":153,"outcome_prices":154,"category":145},"64003760005293798440477975810710541346676078429665210936606061785359470439701","0xbd62ed0e468f97e3b047b53a757db7d6c34f6a14a2b68689dee99a85c5e7f64c",109.375,0.64,"Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?","nba-team-to-make-playoffs-20260708210742372","2027-05-16T03:59:00Z","[\"0.64\", \"0.36\"]",[156],{"id":157,"condition_id":27,"outcome":28,"whale_avg_price":30,"current_ask":158,"edge":159,"status":160,"skip_reason":161,"created_at":162,"question":33,"event_slug":34},660179,0.53,0.11780000000000002,"dry-run",null,"2026-10-04T22:11:42.602Z",[164],{"recorded_date":165,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-04",[167,176,182,190,197,205,212,219,226,233,240,246,253,260,266,273,280,285,291,297,304,311,317,324,331,338,345,352,357,364,369,374,381,387,392,398,406,413,418,424,431,436,441,447,452,457,463,470,477,484,490,495,503,509,515,520,528],{"condition_id":168,"outcome":28,"usdc":169,"entry_price":170,"won":12,"source":171,"end_date_iso":172,"captured_at":173,"question":174,"event_slug":175,"category":101},"0x43036ae071ecf3bc7cbd0b0cbb07ea76a7028c38a599e7f78047467a7a532c1e",100.72717911000001,0.7899,"live","2026-10-21T21:00:00Z","2026-10-14T02:46:23.297Z","Will IBM (IBM) beat quarterly earnings?","ibm-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-21-2026-2pt89",{"condition_id":177,"outcome":28,"usdc":178,"entry_price":179,"won":12,"source":171,"end_date_iso":172,"captured_at":173,"question":180,"event_slug":181,"category":101},"0xdae3a5e132e50c7ab2d7815e6ed51be2b5e66680cc5e45b352152028addc292c",113.64406675000002,0.8425,"Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?","txn-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-21-2026-2pt44",{"condition_id":183,"outcome":28,"usdc":184,"entry_price":185,"won":12,"source":171,"end_date_iso":186,"captured_at":187,"question":188,"event_slug":189,"category":101},"0x46f524cc546eea59d5c42676536ea28f6b2371062ea874f9da4ea3ad8d216740",140.2385319,0.6453,"2026-10-13T13:00:00Z","2026-10-04T22:11:42.832Z","Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?","gs-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-13-2026-16pt41",{"condition_id":191,"outcome":28,"usdc":192,"entry_price":193,"won":17,"source":171,"end_date_iso":194,"captured_at":187,"question":195,"event_slug":196,"category":101},"0xf519ef19cdf6a7b0a216b007e961b7b4a1938b7183fb01e19d8962fbc6356c27",139.96936012,0.6778,"2026-10-09T13:00:00Z","Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?","dal-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-09-2026-2pt05",{"condition_id":198,"outcome":28,"usdc":199,"entry_price":200,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":202,"captured_at":13,"question":203,"event_slug":204,"category":161},"0x015f7ae2151752539bed6d27cab33b108456a3b0c5c7b99c7419a023d0998cbc",109.429997,0.8353735684,"backfill","2026-04-17T00:00:00Z","Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?","top-ai-model-on-april-17-style-control-on",{"condition_id":206,"outcome":28,"usdc":207,"entry_price":208,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":209,"captured_at":13,"question":210,"event_slug":211,"category":161},"0x02e9bd7d63034d022150692e78d860da3347498c58a196709941e602025b4029",133.47999199999998,0.817430545098453,"","Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?","nba-best-record-765",{"condition_id":213,"outcome":28,"usdc":214,"entry_price":215,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":216,"captured_at":13,"question":217,"event_slug":218,"category":161},"0x04e3aa08ff437518658725bf3674b3e5106a554521d705181e750416c6f437e7",135.67999600000002,0.8319330751410045,"2026-03-31T21:00:00Z","Will Nike (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?","nke-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-03-31-2026-0pt29",{"condition_id":220,"outcome":28,"usdc":221,"entry_price":222,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":223,"captured_at":13,"question":224,"event_slug":225,"category":37},"0x0811ed7f71c2466d04f9ba801c0e21c9cfb016385cdff97b5c9984df0fa5801e",469.85760600000003,0.5691451895395973,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?","which-company-has-top-ai-model-end-of-june-style-control-on",{"condition_id":227,"outcome":28,"usdc":228,"entry_price":229,"won":17,"source":201,"end_date_iso":230,"captured_at":13,"question":231,"event_slug":232,"category":145},"0x0c4cd2055d6ea89354ffddc55d6dbcef9355748112ea952fc925f3db6a5c457f",95.030459,0.1819999984,"2026-07-20T00:00:00Z","Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-winner",{"condition_id":234,"outcome":41,"usdc":235,"entry_price":236,"won":17,"source":201,"end_date_iso":237,"captured_at":13,"question":238,"event_slug":239,"category":37},"0x0f3ae5d23882fb840762fd35de11fc31b0fbdc9e41e8666cdfae9d627f93f517",107.969999,0.2865498291,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?","elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027",{"condition_id":241,"outcome":28,"usdc":242,"entry_price":140,"won":17,"source":201,"end_date_iso":243,"captured_at":13,"question":244,"event_slug":245,"category":145},"0x13e1cc703a120883a709d3bb29707097952845d61ca6793ea2b4328bae2a7451",50.48,"2026-07-01T00:00:00Z","Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?","2026-nba-champion",{"condition_id":247,"outcome":28,"usdc":248,"entry_price":249,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":250,"captured_at":13,"question":251,"event_slug":252,"category":161},"0x1480b819d03d4b6388d70e848b0384adf38c38d955cb783cdbcf6d4a436dee14",149.249998,0.7099999959,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?","next-prime-minister-of-hungary",{"condition_id":254,"outcome":28,"usdc":255,"entry_price":256,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":257,"captured_at":13,"question":258,"event_slug":259,"category":161},"0x17949cfab63c3ad0e9af3e65b153b80b12b3385a1864f772f6e079da733120d1",81.139999,0.3021990966,"2026-04-12T21:00:00Z","Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?","which-teams-will-make-the-nba-playoffs-138",{"condition_id":261,"outcome":28,"usdc":262,"entry_price":263,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":250,"captured_at":13,"question":264,"event_slug":265,"category":161},"0x1b6441a7dfbe6a9df36f7427a5516d264d430111002bbaa845e9dd1831a897fe",79.879999,0.8391414553,"Will the Detroit Pistons finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?","nba-eastern-conference-1-seed",{"condition_id":267,"outcome":28,"usdc":268,"entry_price":269,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":270,"captured_at":13,"question":271,"event_slug":272,"category":161},"0x1c60f9adb1d786b6fe78d63fd9f82dbb293fa06241532fb5ba43f8d8411cde1e",126.901919,0.5899999988,"2026-06-13T00:00:00Z","Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?","nba-playoffs-eastern-conference-champion",{"condition_id":274,"outcome":28,"usdc":275,"entry_price":276,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":277,"captured_at":13,"question":278,"event_slug":279,"category":161},"0x22383f53c751234fc9a9ee3a124868977930f4f5fb76c47ba6d00ca7f817641c",202.855104,0.8321585323754696,"2026-09-10T21:00:00Z","Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?","orcl-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-09-08-2026-1pt74",{"condition_id":281,"outcome":28,"usdc":282,"entry_price":283,"won":17,"source":201,"end_date_iso":243,"captured_at":13,"question":284,"event_slug":245,"category":145},"0x22e7b5e35423e76842dd3a5e1a21d13793811080d5e7b2896d0c001bd5e97d54",145.227558,0.561003097465082,"Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?",{"condition_id":286,"outcome":28,"usdc":287,"entry_price":288,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":289,"captured_at":13,"question":278,"event_slug":290,"category":161},"0x25d6fa1f15039d717043a595712090f65c0cefabed3254adc285086a5f953a68",50,0.8,"2026-03-09T21:00:00Z","orcl-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-03-09-2026-1pt71",{"condition_id":292,"outcome":41,"usdc":293,"entry_price":294,"won":17,"source":201,"end_date_iso":250,"captured_at":13,"question":295,"event_slug":296,"category":161},"0x2c9f34a7ca3d42d22d80c8376e15561d7e576887df246d2bcce3a774dfb26a83",133.419999,0.7699999999,"Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?","of-seats-won-by-tisza-in-hungary-parliamentary-election",{"condition_id":298,"outcome":28,"usdc":299,"entry_price":300,"won":17,"source":201,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":13,"question":302,"event_slug":303,"category":161},"0x2dd963e037878e2cafe2670129b0e742238d9522ac77cc797fea42742f7045cd",9.95,0.0630252633,"2026-06-30","Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?","nba-2025-26-most-improved-player",{"condition_id":305,"outcome":28,"usdc":306,"entry_price":307,"won":17,"source":201,"end_date_iso":308,"captured_at":13,"question":309,"event_slug":310,"category":161},"0x306d10d4a4d51b41910dbc779ca00908bd917c131541c5c42bbbc736258d2d56",49.999999,0.3499999975,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","US forces enter Iran by March 31?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-march-31-222-191-243-517-878-439-519",{"condition_id":312,"outcome":28,"usdc":313,"entry_price":314,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":250,"captured_at":13,"question":315,"event_slug":316,"category":161},"0x313787d313815069851d81a35de415dcfd9e223ced2a0ab19fcf9ad367ff0a76",60.109998,0.6751215185,"Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?","nba-2025-26-3pm-leader",{"condition_id":318,"outcome":28,"usdc":319,"entry_price":320,"won":17,"source":201,"end_date_iso":321,"captured_at":13,"question":322,"event_slug":323,"category":161},"0x334054db35f8a617baeab025f4a59f0ec2981309156a06e3de905926215c0c20",14.919999,0.1481795294,"2026-04-30","Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?","which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-april-style-control-on",{"condition_id":325,"outcome":28,"usdc":326,"entry_price":327,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":328,"captured_at":13,"question":329,"event_slug":330,"category":101},"0x4055d3b5a26df2632f0616402b602b20ef60816e7f17d6174dcf272aa45db4c2",71.00152,0.8138471583,"2026-09-24T21:00:00Z","Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings?","cost-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-09-24-2026-6pt69",{"condition_id":332,"outcome":28,"usdc":333,"entry_price":334,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":335,"captured_at":13,"question":336,"event_slug":337,"category":161},"0x4757698868f8ae8f1e09fed17bef612cbcf301dcd57d0590442da9ad29d4bb1c",19.899999,0.1695305894,"2026-05-03T00:00:00Z","Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?","nba-playoffs-team-to-advance-to-conference-semifinals",{"condition_id":339,"outcome":28,"usdc":340,"entry_price":341,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":342,"captured_at":13,"question":343,"event_slug":344,"category":37},"0x5072d0bf27763754b734c63255c4cbbba79d9d09b214accf33ecc79b88b1d108",216.349999,0.7318289526,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-end-of-may",{"condition_id":346,"outcome":28,"usdc":347,"entry_price":348,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":349,"captured_at":13,"question":350,"event_slug":351,"category":161},"0x5c4bcec8f6f5ee103db7aba0177bf8b9673cea3b2dc2f31ebbfa20ae824a3069",72.873469,0.6471244918,"2026-05-07T13:00:00Z","Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?","mcd-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-05-07-2026-2pt75",{"condition_id":353,"outcome":41,"usdc":354,"entry_price":355,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":257,"captured_at":13,"question":356,"event_slug":259,"category":161},"0x5e92824dd4743de2bcce538c4d7dfd103ddb8b8540b2ba2f76c6312856f94683",60.019999,0.42231018,"Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?",{"condition_id":358,"outcome":28,"usdc":359,"entry_price":360,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":361,"captured_at":13,"question":362,"event_slug":363,"category":161},"0x67382cbf5e3258bef4ff022d4ad2e982e29be99d269b4b401545a15602e2f741",101.599979,0.7799999995,"2026-08-19T13:00:00Z","Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings?","tgt-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-08-19-2026-2pt28",{"condition_id":365,"outcome":28,"usdc":366,"entry_price":367,"won":17,"source":201,"end_date_iso":250,"captured_at":13,"question":368,"event_slug":296,"category":161},"0x677004594de72bcf3eccecabb02417321327e346d4f319c0c67f860aa54d98de",64.669999,0.1799999981,"Will Tisza win 100–109 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?",{"condition_id":370,"outcome":28,"usdc":371,"entry_price":372,"won":17,"source":201,"end_date_iso":250,"captured_at":13,"question":373,"event_slug":296,"category":161},"0x67ca01f75ad56b885aedae60d2a28c4569a69cf4e5814c356a95be28fb47678d",19.9,0.079841921,"Will Tisza win 90–99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?",{"condition_id":375,"outcome":28,"usdc":376,"entry_price":377,"won":17,"source":201,"end_date_iso":378,"captured_at":13,"question":379,"event_slug":380,"category":161},"0x68beecc857017df8663fa36c0c86310dec7305aa88fe830c94651391314afc1c",62.009999,0.2539568004,"2026-04-15T23:55:00Z","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?","trump-announces-end-of-military-operations-against-iran-by",{"condition_id":382,"outcome":28,"usdc":383,"entry_price":384,"won":17,"source":201,"end_date_iso":250,"captured_at":13,"question":385,"event_slug":386,"category":161},"0x6e8450d18d06d9a1630f07c182a874a1f341d9b3418b2ad8b249dd6d8c85632a",40.799998,0.3355305513875012,"Will the Atlanta Hawks win more than 47.5 regular season games in 2025–26?","nba-win-totals-over-or-under",{"condition_id":388,"outcome":28,"usdc":389,"entry_price":390,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":230,"captured_at":13,"question":391,"event_slug":232,"category":145},"0x7976b8dbacf9077eb1453a62bcefd6ab2df199acd28aad276ff0d920d6992892",107.657908,0.5819999964835538,"Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":393,"outcome":28,"usdc":394,"entry_price":395,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":223,"captured_at":13,"question":396,"event_slug":397,"category":74},"0x79afea6a94f0b3dffb5e0886fa1dbd740d688029f7aba351dc46911bcb1b1f95",99.499999,0.8099999996,"Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?","largest-company-end-of-june-712",{"condition_id":399,"outcome":400,"usdc":401,"entry_price":402,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":403,"captured_at":13,"question":404,"event_slug":405,"category":161},"0x7da50418b5a7933a588590f1078865048a3443841f84e1cbf27a11cbeebcd9f2","Over 4.5",49.749999,0.7199999983,"2026-05-05","NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Total Games O\u002FU 4.5","nba-playoffs-trail-blazers-vs-spurs-total-games-ou-4pt5",{"condition_id":407,"outcome":28,"usdc":408,"entry_price":409,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":410,"captured_at":13,"question":411,"event_slug":412,"category":101},"0x827fd5dd935334e1eb9b2eae9fcf4473f9c271931e93d1f5274a0439f1192a93",81.559979,0.7099999996,"2026-10-01T13:00:00Z","Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?","acn-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-01-2026-3pt21",{"condition_id":414,"outcome":28,"usdc":415,"entry_price":416,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":335,"captured_at":13,"question":417,"event_slug":337,"category":161},"0x86d810a30ebb77e1634a3a3072fac19155275aba3880d919e2a6011a7e6cde14",109.649998,0.6735616944,"Will Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?",{"condition_id":419,"outcome":28,"usdc":420,"entry_price":421,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":308,"captured_at":13,"question":422,"event_slug":423,"category":161},"0x8ed321b9ad70468de66e0b4f72e49f87156f6cd526168caca07427bcf17bcdb0",99.889999,0.7566364131,"Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?","which-company-has-the-top-ai-model-end-of-march-style-control-on",{"condition_id":425,"outcome":28,"usdc":426,"entry_price":427,"won":17,"source":201,"end_date_iso":428,"captured_at":13,"question":429,"event_slug":430,"category":145},"0x9221e36f7fcc4dc8a2d5a6465db37917a5fb6321bb3a44de5a524001737484ac",71.03011,0.6761363621,"2026-10-09T03:59:00Z","Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?","wnba-assists-per-game-leader",{"condition_id":432,"outcome":28,"usdc":433,"entry_price":434,"won":17,"source":201,"end_date_iso":321,"captured_at":13,"question":435,"event_slug":323,"category":161},"0x9907253cce6930863db30d57cdec5ff693fa209562769f7fccd5855442c7aa46",34.819999,0.2799999961,"Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?",{"condition_id":437,"outcome":28,"usdc":438,"entry_price":439,"won":17,"source":201,"end_date_iso":230,"captured_at":13,"question":440,"event_slug":232,"category":145},"0x9b6fef249040fd17e9c107955b37ac2c3e923509b6b0ff01cc463a331ddeb894",103.629979,0.3739999979,"Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":442,"outcome":28,"usdc":443,"entry_price":444,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":342,"captured_at":13,"question":445,"event_slug":446,"category":37},"0x9cede4a2937c7faf2f631ef56a963c554bca5fc1343460d1fd5898cc57e33bfd",145.603526,0.6155449746574111,"Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?","which-company-has-the-1-ai-model-end-of-may-style-control-on",{"condition_id":448,"outcome":41,"usdc":449,"entry_price":450,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":250,"captured_at":13,"question":451,"event_slug":386,"category":161},"0xa02a14b12d20c355abdfd83353dfeab2d9e74fbbb632d198b35127fa735ac5b5",59.949998,0.5987630584,"Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?",{"condition_id":453,"outcome":28,"usdc":454,"entry_price":455,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":250,"captured_at":13,"question":456,"event_slug":386,"category":161},"0xa239265129652fda4924b6784d7d2523217ee288b9ed448a019deba95c64cce8",180.199995,0.612086810622241,"Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?",{"condition_id":458,"outcome":28,"usdc":459,"entry_price":460,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":223,"captured_at":13,"question":461,"event_slug":462,"category":37},"0xa4d72632ac0ddadcac5247ffc586a193f1bc3bc839cf9ce993c2471e0d599cca",530.809994,0.6240461706561308,"Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-june",{"condition_id":464,"outcome":28,"usdc":465,"entry_price":466,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":467,"captured_at":13,"question":468,"event_slug":469,"category":161},"0xa6ddb7146f48a12dbf73456d654211b01d7493829932c31b7fe85d82120d338f",139.77,0.5157564576,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Iran x Israel\u002FUS conflict ends by April 30?","iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by",{"condition_id":471,"outcome":28,"usdc":472,"entry_price":473,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":474,"captured_at":13,"question":475,"event_slug":476,"category":145},"0xaf13295bb3ad70cbb2939479477adb281b6b65a2362c1a5ea3fc9451644275f4",275.951865,0.7903696127748999,"2026-06-25T00:00:00Z","Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?","2026-nba-draft-1st-overall-pick",{"condition_id":478,"outcome":28,"usdc":479,"entry_price":480,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":481,"captured_at":13,"question":482,"event_slug":483,"category":161},"0xb62b16fe14084501f665e082b26006dcab7db0e7f849cdd50a2f6e39090172fa",99.499998,0.76,"2026-04-18T00:00:00Z","Will Philadelphia 76ers advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament?","nba-playoffs-team-to-advance-in-play-in-tournament",{"condition_id":485,"outcome":28,"usdc":486,"entry_price":487,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":488,"captured_at":13,"question":217,"event_slug":489,"category":101},"0xb9c3d57f65fbf481e5d2c683df3e612b0398f47dc3a4911d7f147e655cd7a584",132.14498,0.7699999992,"2026-10-01T21:00:00Z","nke-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-09-28-2026-0pt45",{"condition_id":491,"outcome":41,"usdc":492,"entry_price":493,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":257,"captured_at":13,"question":494,"event_slug":259,"category":161},"0xcaae05dcafef682bc415aff28d9c9b4552c0feb3fbbb168beb053385e14dfdb8",94.889999,0.5333040515,"Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?",{"condition_id":496,"outcome":497,"usdc":498,"entry_price":499,"won":17,"source":201,"end_date_iso":500,"captured_at":13,"question":501,"event_slug":502,"category":161},"0xccc893327ba4b37052ef268df368e1fd6e71edd5c6b627cb77ebca76ce4604f4","Celtics",117.949994,0.8582723421,"2026-05-04T00:00:00Z","NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics ","nba-playoffs-who-will-win-series-76ers-vs-celtics",{"condition_id":504,"outcome":28,"usdc":505,"entry_price":506,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":223,"captured_at":13,"question":507,"event_slug":508,"category":37},"0xd0e97d28b706d26f47ada6b739674efe7768bf7a407481008474d5a0d4c4c55a",60.119999,0.3683812746,"Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?","which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-june",{"condition_id":510,"outcome":28,"usdc":511,"entry_price":512,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":250,"captured_at":13,"question":513,"event_slug":514,"category":161},"0xeadca300f9565a5836e4e09b22c547a2e4dfa9ef53edf0fdfa9ca5795316c14d",188.259995,0.4418654949757545,"Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?","nba-2025-26-southeast-division-winner",{"condition_id":516,"outcome":28,"usdc":517,"entry_price":518,"won":17,"source":201,"end_date_iso":250,"captured_at":13,"question":519,"event_slug":296,"category":161},"0xed647287b04a0f8f755f22dcba850b998896c43f98c322b7dac92928617f05cd",59.699999,0.1873928204,"Will Tisza win 110–119 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?",{"condition_id":521,"outcome":522,"usdc":523,"entry_price":524,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":525,"captured_at":13,"question":526,"event_slug":527,"category":161},"0xf752c3ec9526de39530718246fcf9a69c4bc883191c8fc994eb4d43990c49030","Thunder",106.059993,0.8699999995,"2026-04-25","Thunder vs. Suns","nba-okc-phx-2026-04-25",{"condition_id":529,"outcome":28,"usdc":530,"entry_price":531,"won":12,"source":201,"end_date_iso":250,"captured_at":13,"question":532,"event_slug":533,"category":161},"0xfcde02af15efe40e336d67f0ef9aa49e9d40c37b92961fb890afc4afdbfe54d6",262.149994,0.701007600492999,"Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?","hungary-parliamentary-election-winner",{"total":535,"wins":536},57,39,[538,544,549,553,557],{"category":539,"n":540,"wins":541,"hitRate":542,"roi":543},"Other",36,25,0.6944444444444444,0.3025217041952114,{"category":145,"n":545,"wins":546,"hitRate":547,"roi":548},7,2,0.2857142857142857,-0.3708868380618849,{"category":101,"n":545,"wins":550,"hitRate":551,"roi":552},6,0.8571428571428571,0.09518626338419722,{"category":37,"n":550,"wins":554,"hitRate":555,"roi":556},5,0.8333333333333334,0.5492913469776798,{"category":74,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":558},0.23456790184423104,{"generatedAt":560},"2026-10-26T06:14:26.842Z"]