[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x30382c307d6dc09f48685367927bb42d8e969368":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":248,"history":249,"resolved":252,"resolvedSummary":586,"specialization":589,"meta":606},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x30382c307d6dc09f48685367927bb42d8e969368",1009,322,0.8757763975155279,0.05272182877475868,0.09469748446269984,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-04T19:37:17.893Z",38.30748864596282,2.252232142857143,"2026-10-03T22:10:29.000Z",0,"trades",0.7187392875816783,0.15703710993385125,650.3243560130754,12335.011344000028,10.707771009281126,0.012698412698412698,[26,39,49,58,67,75,83,93,104,114,122,131,133,141,149,158,166,174,182,191,199,207,215,221,228,236,242],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"93122438536925935188880566476461688212958683487744885859121531683628531023751","0xae515ea2b1b95486007cff8aa4afbd5f677e2760dd8752c1068d9cc55afb6d58","No",5453.5293,0.7589,"2026-10-20T20:33:01.255Z","2026-10-04T22:14:31.798Z","Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?","alexandre-de-moraes-out-as-brazil-supreme-court-justice","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.115\", \"0.885\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":44,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":48,"category":38},"109876868437950584369987384406356259939519193117253465815665152916226511121427","0x1a01bf78f56a507fcb666d564d8c8b91b0750679163ed6e96746102c9b7d285d","Yes",4500.6138,0.3666,"Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election","2026-10-05T03:59:00Z","[\"0.7775\", \"0.2225\"]",{"token_id":50,"condition_id":51,"outcome":29,"size":52,"avg_price":53,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":54,"event_slug":55,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":57,"category":38},"25869296386911654049715489068824757745174681288397238521780118949553760488529","0xc5eae79d1ffe716572353962eb926b1e3964c500a4880a7a94f58408218ee76b",1500,0.9033,"2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House","balance-of-power-2026-midterms","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]",{"token_id":59,"condition_id":60,"outcome":29,"size":61,"avg_price":62,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":63,"event_slug":64,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":65,"outcome_prices":66,"category":38},"54533569528927082430133047556849600511985191158927477533124630301934489498530","0x7586a96520578acaaaa4ea84a2582f197f84255da1f3392a7aa300386c187b37",1704.9785,0.6747,"Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","[\"0.275\", \"0.725\"]",{"token_id":68,"condition_id":69,"outcome":29,"size":70,"avg_price":71,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":72,"event_slug":73,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":74,"category":38},"1910830010387565971650098373488592514702818137344973088263643820608151819241","0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846",1500.0088,0.7068,"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","[\"0.155\", \"0.845\"]",{"token_id":76,"condition_id":77,"outcome":42,"size":78,"avg_price":79,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":80,"event_slug":81,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":82,"category":38},"83247781037352156539108067944461291821683755894607244160607042790356561625563","0xd5d9fc47718bd553592d126b1fa5e87183d27f3936975b0c04cc0f2dec1f1bb4",600,0.8933,"Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?","which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026","[\"0.915\", \"0.085\"]",{"token_id":84,"condition_id":85,"outcome":29,"size":86,"avg_price":87,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":88,"question":89,"event_slug":90,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":91,"category":92},"55811987156233316034004850162265185590623994721542035067805349300388333229197","0xdfd9e88f948c6875027c881dcb50daf56ae577b0e4c4349779e7bd448ddc3a0b",700,0.7102,"2026-10-07T22:47:49.676Z","No one announced as next James Bond?","next-james-bond-actor-398","[\"0.2595\", \"0.7405\"]","Culture",{"token_id":94,"condition_id":95,"outcome":42,"size":96,"avg_price":97,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":98,"question":99,"event_slug":100,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":101,"outcome_prices":102,"category":103},"36595575197199846398267481972385180643951985822505187477756829088194676076340","0xc3d5708780de5528998aeb53ca90e7ade64804f9f2386392a681435d5c42b44d",500,0.8559,"2026-10-17T05:30:51.499Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963","2026-10-31T20:29:00Z","[\"0.875\", \"0.125\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":105,"condition_id":106,"outcome":42,"size":107,"avg_price":108,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":109,"question":110,"event_slug":111,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":112,"outcome_prices":113,"category":38},"111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462682726460921782993748","0xdf9bf27ee5757c55b44b8b9826ddc9ec3a8809aa3278634c45edbb7fc8f1a3e3",400,0.81,"2026-10-05T13:08:36.780Z","Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537","2026-10-29T03:59:00Z","[\"0.865\", \"0.135\"]",{"token_id":115,"condition_id":116,"outcome":29,"size":117,"avg_price":118,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":119,"event_slug":120,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":121,"category":38},"49869418041248619018553819482729299524581238538490996057109470282113708956054","0xcdeccd802e7a68c301931daa551181d7d7bb1b1df92b02e7e4c5c42e728aa026",306.921,0.8364,"Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?","any-brazil-stf-justice-removed-by-impeachment-before-2027","[\"0.0325\", \"0.9675\"]",{"token_id":123,"condition_id":124,"outcome":42,"size":125,"avg_price":126,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":127,"event_slug":128,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":129,"outcome_prices":130,"category":38},"16040015440196279900485035793550429453516625694844857319147506590755961451627","0x7ad403c3508f8e3912940fd1a913f227591145ca0614074208e0b962d5fcc422",505,0.5,"Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?","presidential-election-winner-2028","2028-11-08T04:59:00Z","[\"0.2005\", \"0.7995\"]",{"token_id":132,"condition_id":124,"outcome":29,"size":125,"avg_price":126,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":127,"event_slug":128,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":129,"outcome_prices":130,"category":38},"94476829201604408463453426454480212459887267917122244941405244686637914508323",{"token_id":134,"condition_id":135,"outcome":29,"size":136,"avg_price":137,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":138,"event_slug":139,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":140,"category":38},"72095897215599895681149701722606364539867186803340437295210002622844727571825","0x115374e9cb26f7c375f35cdfec08167024dbfc5a20f339806d81236ed25ab781",400.8703,0.5149,"Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?","miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30","[\"0.07\", \"0.93\"]",{"token_id":142,"condition_id":143,"outcome":29,"size":144,"avg_price":145,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":146,"event_slug":147,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":148,"category":38},"106181075047366745139197108801635573283215248045056329679360376976893016488727","0xbb4d51e6364066d92eb6f9b8413dd7193de70966736044463b205834805a1f3b",299.9828,0.6866,"Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026","[\"0.045\", \"0.955\"]",{"token_id":150,"condition_id":151,"outcome":42,"size":152,"avg_price":153,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":154,"question":155,"event_slug":156,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":157,"category":38},"15290572385458522370285732869432740297199321382471116558439914335588167718663","0x34918035a590555ba1fb1d6a019d766ab6e557d63e7f3140b63b4550eee7f417",300,0.63,"2026-10-12T04:48:32.176Z","Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?","texas-senate-election-winner","[\"0.645\", \"0.355\"]",{"token_id":159,"condition_id":160,"outcome":42,"size":161,"avg_price":162,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":154,"question":163,"event_slug":164,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":165,"category":38},"6756779810577885828704276397389282544084821591107025125954859235939281991675","0x22e986868fae24a9e7b6fff86e063cc90843c85c4a9dd65b2628bbf5663997c7",199.9938,0.94,"Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?","idaho-senate-election-winner","[\"0.9515\", \"0.0485\"]",{"token_id":167,"condition_id":168,"outcome":29,"size":169,"avg_price":170,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":171,"event_slug":172,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":173,"category":38},"72413274791623935706318436448441626129741116452837525058113815959729031743718","0x656235664464bcadcc586acb871051dadb7c7343b7e805a5eccc02815e20d7df",220,0.8036,"Cuban regime falls in 2026?","cuban-regime-falls-in-2026","[\"0.095\", \"0.905\"]",{"token_id":175,"condition_id":176,"outcome":42,"size":177,"avg_price":178,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":179,"event_slug":180,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":181,"category":38},"86011229287950365043519117852041614651767455889324682112682327985496937935368","0x46ca741da4abd7ffa993f59ac65bfe83de43ae027accac71d263a493e44064e7",302.87,0.5515,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080","[\"0.356\", \"0.644\"]",{"token_id":183,"condition_id":184,"outcome":42,"size":185,"avg_price":186,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":187,"question":188,"event_slug":189,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":65,"outcome_prices":190,"category":38},"9025448570994866714151390167666974197623007132973626623412960268955048642964","0xd05da9807740aa0f5bc9e9232daabe87a21e5012c19e283abf414f1c1651118b",200,0.72,"2026-10-20T15:28:00.933Z","Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","israeli-legislative-election-winner","[\"0.715\", \"0.285\"]",{"token_id":192,"condition_id":193,"outcome":29,"size":185,"avg_price":194,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":195,"question":196,"event_slug":197,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":198,"category":38},"89524111316754281233016446935787527194216234343076592935555965327756401377156","0x5554740293afa7aafd5fed10fd2de43a898e2884c1f98bd65185e703f371b9db",0.71,"2026-10-09T05:03:15.815Z","Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?","nebraska-senate-election-winner","[\"0.29\", \"0.71\"]",{"token_id":200,"condition_id":201,"outcome":42,"size":185,"avg_price":202,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":203,"question":204,"event_slug":205,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":206,"category":38},"37090128566507509913630589460372620352013766554886380785463533062224343545231","0x67f3f8d0a0ecdfc008c99650284a4674388a8c3029b0eb7ca0abd65dde8d996f",0.7,"2026-10-14T20:21:53.929Z","Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?","venezuela-leader-end-of-2026","[\"0.7655\", \"0.2345\"]",{"token_id":208,"condition_id":209,"outcome":29,"size":210,"avg_price":211,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":98,"question":212,"event_slug":213,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":214,"category":38},"33460385394344753109351907923235209397225125746318923726067817676780036931403","0xd8659b58a90d0d69fb1170f25b2b896871a1328115fd11c6f4cfe2b01a2a8ba0",100,0.83,"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?","bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by","[\"0.15\", \"0.85\"]",{"token_id":216,"condition_id":217,"outcome":42,"size":218,"avg_price":219,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":220,"event_slug":55,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":157,"category":38},"34722410608062854697106861099776685947172185964394483545370684749662285977831","0x16c63b7cc37f012b9f59ee164ec03877914c701d06d48291ae8d6fc08a088b0d",99.9971,0.65,"2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House",{"token_id":222,"condition_id":223,"outcome":29,"size":210,"avg_price":224,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":225,"question":226,"event_slug":156,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":227,"category":38},"9846414914422486942750462555692240718767368950832862364324602361738794436048","0x94521176f57d2ce81dde01e0b7699ca4279423042d37ed53908f0c8bfefe7e14",0.62,"2026-10-18T06:08:24.931Z","Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?","[\"0.355\", \"0.645\"]",{"token_id":229,"condition_id":230,"outcome":42,"size":152,"avg_price":231,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":232,"event_slug":233,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":234,"outcome_prices":235,"category":38},"35198549486569600595408965368290795524428922595732253580266052028158040373233","0x9cb23d04b2ded06147482076688b69b487a8d982c63ebdda2ab3678cf27cf390",0.1566,"Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?","clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026","2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","[\"0.0505\", \"0.9495\"]",{"token_id":237,"condition_id":238,"outcome":42,"size":210,"avg_price":239,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":240,"event_slug":128,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":129,"outcome_prices":241,"category":38},"11171618905857319805355893398009978356002287408842633593535559412449299952250","0x2053d8515f1b8cbeea4ccdb56e60e89c2617e43a8660d95166b8e71d27865277",0.103,"Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?","[\"0.0855\", \"0.9145\"]",{"token_id":243,"condition_id":244,"outcome":42,"size":210,"avg_price":245,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":246,"event_slug":128,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":129,"outcome_prices":247,"category":38},"1420113190297259908358916251277696183671602680024474979931472444792502392139","0x5969cbb46aca5319b19e19a3c6f63de098950b675bf268f30f4d035508da1957",0.029,"Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?","[\"0.0295\", \"0.9705\"]",[],[250],{"recorded_date":251,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-04",[253,261,268,273,279,284,290,296,302,308,314,319,326,333,341,348,356,363,370,376,383,390,397,404,411,418,424,430,436,443,449,456,463,470,473,478,484,490,495,503,508,514,521,528,534,539,544,550,556,562,569,574,580],{"condition_id":254,"outcome":29,"usdc":255,"entry_price":256,"won":12,"source":257,"end_date_iso":258,"captured_at":259,"question":260,"event_slug":180,"category":38},"0x1674c7a654ad25b68e9df7ac71e3711ecc5c86bde2063ceb8be586ea9c44f028",87,0.87,"live","2026-10-16T03:59:00Z","2026-10-06T12:10:50.878Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":262,"outcome":42,"usdc":263,"entry_price":264,"won":12,"source":257,"end_date_iso":47,"captured_at":265,"question":266,"event_slug":267,"category":38},"0xbb9450c639a6cff45852a72f736ad87bd7937bb6c32a5188951c384044db7a3e",1478.27517552,0.7384,"2026-10-04T22:14:31.821Z","Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?","minas-gerais-governor-election-winner",{"condition_id":269,"outcome":42,"usdc":270,"entry_price":271,"won":17,"source":257,"end_date_iso":47,"captured_at":265,"question":272,"event_slug":267,"category":38},"0xb029fce62207968fdbfcb7683e6555473ae365cc29f62f25d916e996757a4f0a",15.659451539999997,0.0423,"Will Patrus Ananias win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?",{"condition_id":274,"outcome":29,"usdc":275,"entry_price":276,"won":12,"source":257,"end_date_iso":47,"captured_at":265,"question":277,"event_slug":278,"category":38},"0x707ca13ce9038662dcea98e2b87ffceb55c7dbe6c73a864a3ad04c1d6716f5ee",97.996227,0.49,"Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?","bahia-governor-election-winner",{"condition_id":280,"outcome":42,"usdc":281,"entry_price":282,"won":12,"source":257,"end_date_iso":47,"captured_at":265,"question":283,"event_slug":278,"category":38},"0xc7dd27f1b8db1d7d9ea88ed4b56fb4c495c20a9313cf77f17b03904ade03c573",173.964201,0.5799,"Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?",{"condition_id":285,"outcome":42,"usdc":286,"entry_price":287,"won":17,"source":257,"end_date_iso":47,"captured_at":265,"question":288,"event_slug":289,"category":38},"0x927d2b026c8cbd96e5a9cb7a3f2457bc06725d145f4913c1931d8cbf8464aee7",100.91389000000001,0.6391,"Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?","cear-governor-election-winner",{"condition_id":291,"outcome":42,"usdc":292,"entry_price":293,"won":17,"source":257,"end_date_iso":47,"captured_at":265,"question":294,"event_slug":295,"category":38},"0x6114306f724135bd1db2f5f3169386decf18f618653c196ef0a6c1afd27f4c73",3009.382846,0.8587,"Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election-first-round-2nd-place",{"condition_id":297,"outcome":42,"usdc":298,"entry_price":299,"won":12,"source":257,"end_date_iso":47,"captured_at":265,"question":300,"event_slug":301,"category":38},"0xbd30a99e5e7572bcf8cb89def3fcaabbd59afdb343f931de2b261e8f42ad716d",14.6,0.73,"Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?","next-brazil-senate-election-most-seats-won",{"condition_id":303,"outcome":42,"usdc":304,"entry_price":305,"won":17,"source":257,"end_date_iso":47,"captured_at":265,"question":306,"event_slug":307,"category":38},"0xcba20965509d04b5f3ae2c51a221747317aff9387c197ca6d5919e85e5a20ee9",283.43938588,0.4724,"Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election-first-round-3rd-place",{"condition_id":309,"outcome":42,"usdc":310,"entry_price":311,"won":12,"source":257,"end_date_iso":47,"captured_at":265,"question":312,"event_slug":313,"category":38},"0x023a8c2fd2a78c29c9748a44205e2cbe624d86c11ee41b81d4067ddbbf2a135f",690.0283209600001,0.7992,"Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?","which-candidates-will-advance-to-brazils-presidential-runoff",{"condition_id":315,"outcome":42,"usdc":316,"entry_price":317,"won":12,"source":257,"end_date_iso":47,"captured_at":265,"question":318,"event_slug":313,"category":38},"0x7b22caeed454d3c7dbd07b83d8255c74e1482c4f958b4ba4dd0c27b864cd47a2",545.39594403,0.7791,"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?",{"condition_id":320,"outcome":29,"usdc":321,"entry_price":322,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":324,"captured_at":13,"question":325,"event_slug":139,"category":38},"0x119db6dda44f109bcdc2ec5e1d9cb8c21fa1a7e66489f59b1190fdfb25c0d515",208.3,0.8332,"backfill","2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?",{"condition_id":327,"outcome":29,"usdc":328,"entry_price":329,"won":17,"source":323,"end_date_iso":330,"captured_at":13,"question":331,"event_slug":332,"category":38},"0x182390641d3b1b47cc64274b9da290efd04221c586651ba190880713da6347d9",111.5129,0.42889576923846157,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027",{"condition_id":334,"outcome":29,"usdc":335,"entry_price":336,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":337,"captured_at":13,"question":338,"event_slug":339,"category":340},"0x1cf8e8643ce9d9dd39791ed6b8eb8688012c295dfbeabaca7b5bca1d17374eb3",127.5,0.85,"2026-07-01T03:59:59.999Z","Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?","what-price-will-wti-hit-in-june-2026","Other",{"condition_id":342,"outcome":29,"usdc":343,"entry_price":344,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":345,"captured_at":13,"question":346,"event_slug":347,"category":103},"0x20cb32a3ff2b1932b99fe3343034d4dafe67cfce196eab2d771047f3d6e33be5",44.9202,0.78,"2026-07-16T03:59:00Z","Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?","mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by",{"condition_id":349,"outcome":29,"usdc":350,"entry_price":351,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":352,"captured_at":13,"question":353,"event_slug":354,"category":355},"0x24026080b17f4e88729eab0ac2929ee37c13bfbb4a159179ec63deb4a242d9c9",59.999999,0.8969999999,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?","will-france-uk-or-germany-strike-iran-by-march-31-929",null,{"condition_id":357,"outcome":42,"usdc":358,"entry_price":359,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":360,"captured_at":13,"question":361,"event_slug":362,"category":355},"0x257b18205f908aef01ef2d1d50e6fea7d29cf5486fe04031d8b101394476faed",8.4,0.84,"2026-03-18T00:00:00Z","Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?","will-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-march-2026-meeting",{"condition_id":364,"outcome":29,"usdc":365,"entry_price":366,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":367,"captured_at":13,"question":368,"event_slug":369,"category":38},"0x2cd24d17f5680dc6e7b7d67c712a223ae85550745597e81bd2d2b8d073443951",158.43,0.8563783783783784,"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","peru-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":371,"outcome":29,"usdc":372,"entry_price":373,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":352,"captured_at":13,"question":374,"event_slug":375,"category":355},"0x306d10d4a4d51b41910dbc779ca00908bd917c131541c5c42bbbc736258d2d56",103.309999,0.6473733672887594,"US forces enter Iran by March 31?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-march-31-222-191-243-517-878-439-519",{"condition_id":377,"outcome":29,"usdc":378,"entry_price":379,"won":17,"source":323,"end_date_iso":380,"captured_at":13,"question":381,"event_slug":382,"category":355},"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20",90.3,0.8209090909090909,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by-february-28-2026-227-967-547-688-589-491-592-418-452-924-384-915-464-672-196-157-993-596-269-535-381-391-471-256-988-997-296-225-762-973-292-827-345-182-558-215-794-879-189-761",{"condition_id":384,"outcome":42,"usdc":385,"entry_price":386,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":387,"captured_at":13,"question":388,"event_slug":389,"category":38},"0x35fc6fb38021d969a3e0987a7eb51517acfc3b1a3faf3ebfd31afc3874a876d7",3722.3510069999925,0.7745475953453097,"2026-08-15T06:00:00Z","Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?","will-the-workers-party-nominate-lula-for-president-of-brazil-by-august-15",{"condition_id":391,"outcome":29,"usdc":392,"entry_price":393,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":394,"captured_at":13,"question":395,"event_slug":396,"category":38},"0x4a024938674fc15596e49ca20d953ed1af596c1bb1756bf9dfa20e92ebc6049f",334.115275,0.7730485508861024,"2026-10-03T23:59:00Z","Lula participates in debate before first round?","lula-participates-in-debate-before-first-round",{"condition_id":398,"outcome":42,"usdc":399,"entry_price":400,"won":17,"source":323,"end_date_iso":401,"captured_at":13,"question":402,"event_slug":403,"category":355},"0x4b78de44ea49d0eb8d5fee85352294b6f679a47c56944c6ad5c945e9a2ba7211",4.8,0.096,"2026-02-14T00:00:00Z","Government shutdown on Saturday?","another-us-government-shutdown-by-february-14",{"condition_id":405,"outcome":29,"usdc":406,"entry_price":407,"won":17,"source":323,"end_date_iso":408,"captured_at":13,"question":409,"event_slug":410,"category":355},"0x4c5701bcde0b8fb7d7f48c8e9d20245a6caa58c61a77f981fad98f2bfa0b1bc7",13.24,0.662,"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-april-7",{"condition_id":412,"outcome":42,"usdc":413,"entry_price":414,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":415,"captured_at":13,"question":416,"event_slug":417,"category":38},"0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64",955.9958859999999,0.7529932172362165,"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?","which-party-will-gain-most-seats-in-russian-parliamentary-election",{"condition_id":419,"outcome":29,"usdc":420,"entry_price":219,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":421,"captured_at":13,"question":422,"event_slug":423,"category":355},"0x5ec80dc407457301f282a2b44341947afc700dfaa7923d14c8894e04bc63b03f",20.15,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?","next-prime-minister-of-hungary",{"condition_id":425,"outcome":29,"usdc":426,"entry_price":427,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":352,"captured_at":13,"question":428,"event_slug":429,"category":355},"0x61ce3773237a948584e422de72265f937034af418a8b703e3a860ea62e59ff36",762.149999,0.8525367137939275,"Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-march-31",{"condition_id":431,"outcome":42,"usdc":432,"entry_price":433,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":434,"captured_at":13,"question":89,"event_slug":435,"category":92},"0x6a01c1687c781829cc90198cfd3c73f9ce64bca2a8960527868b0ad737e53f89",9.2,0.45999999999999996,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","next-james-bond-actor-635",{"condition_id":437,"outcome":29,"usdc":438,"entry_price":439,"won":17,"source":323,"end_date_iso":440,"captured_at":13,"question":441,"event_slug":442,"category":355},"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246",93,0.31,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","US forces enter Iran by April 30?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-april-30-899",{"condition_id":444,"outcome":29,"usdc":445,"entry_price":446,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":352,"captured_at":13,"question":447,"event_slug":448,"category":355},"0x705479cc3e7cf2907997c62b4245356c48b5133f7d82a47829a2354dd77a7c51",175.2,0.876,"Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?","will-the-us-invade-iran-by-march-31",{"condition_id":450,"outcome":29,"usdc":451,"entry_price":452,"won":17,"source":323,"end_date_iso":453,"captured_at":13,"question":454,"event_slug":455,"category":355},"0x773abaa5fe55e5cde51a261f444b7921652a4e059ead6b3be9fe56499c2d4609",80,0.8,"2026-04-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by",{"condition_id":457,"outcome":29,"usdc":458,"entry_price":459,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":460,"captured_at":13,"question":461,"event_slug":462,"category":355},"0x7b63040ad654500cc30bfde62c864ca1c247621b9bc89cb4416e9f9ee01e7d6e",26.700000000000003,0.8900000000000001,"2026-04-01T04:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-march-2026",{"condition_id":464,"outcome":29,"usdc":465,"entry_price":466,"won":17,"source":323,"end_date_iso":467,"captured_at":13,"question":468,"event_slug":469,"category":38},"0x876506d8b2bd7a0d3fa4fe18c024eee6e1dd81ee24c26795dadd6cfe4a7b5d0d",677.3222000000001,0.664950495049505,"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-september-762",{"condition_id":464,"outcome":42,"usdc":471,"entry_price":472,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":467,"captured_at":13,"question":468,"event_slug":469,"category":38},797,0.797,{"condition_id":474,"outcome":29,"usdc":475,"entry_price":359,"won":17,"source":323,"end_date_iso":453,"captured_at":13,"question":476,"event_slug":477,"category":355},"0x8cc6aa69d3f7ce4d302ddff3981207a6c898783991cc5e6887c9d161907c03f3",42,"Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?","will-trump-praise-allah-again-by-april-15",{"condition_id":479,"outcome":29,"usdc":480,"entry_price":481,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":440,"captured_at":13,"question":482,"event_slug":483,"category":355},"0x924a2942747dd75703321a7c8d809c68f6a514c3b0f2a2e64274e02310634669",88.6,0.7383333333333333,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-april-30",{"condition_id":485,"outcome":29,"usdc":486,"entry_price":487,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":434,"captured_at":13,"question":488,"event_slug":489,"category":38},"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f",970.839998,0.8818246953086968,"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-june-30",{"condition_id":491,"outcome":42,"usdc":492,"entry_price":493,"won":17,"source":323,"end_date_iso":467,"captured_at":13,"question":494,"event_slug":469,"category":38},"0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a",759.0122289999999,0.6308346965701536,"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":496,"outcome":42,"usdc":497,"entry_price":498,"won":17,"source":323,"end_date_iso":499,"captured_at":13,"question":500,"event_slug":501,"category":502},"0xa58e20682b23995b0fd20964962e6388727bf15fb004206cae740462f7d181cf",59.99999999999999,0.5999999999999999,"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?","bank-of-brazil-decision-in-august","Economy",{"condition_id":504,"outcome":29,"usdc":505,"entry_price":506,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":367,"captured_at":13,"question":507,"event_slug":369,"category":38},"0xae6d3d20bc8f742922dc40880cd8a8671c10385a9912fa7cd670fba0643dfe96",437.2,0.8249056603773585,"Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":509,"outcome":29,"usdc":510,"entry_price":511,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":380,"captured_at":13,"question":512,"event_slug":513,"category":355},"0xb02e8bc0b915c7d6fc79363f84ca301edeb3c5cd7a7c30cf9517cb4a49a96e35",17.8,0.89,"US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by",{"condition_id":515,"outcome":29,"usdc":516,"entry_price":517,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":518,"captured_at":13,"question":519,"event_slug":520,"category":355},"0xb957e0c6ec337b15a9d93e1ba19a48b410fc1594f022e3bb734e958a4978cdaf",27.639997,0.8809122516500808,"2026-06-30T12:00:00Z","Starmer out by February 28, 2026?","starmer-out-in-2025",{"condition_id":522,"outcome":42,"usdc":523,"entry_price":524,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":525,"captured_at":13,"question":526,"event_slug":527,"category":355},"0xbca476df14a1b145502e65d5dec848d00f6f77a4ad22af7bbaecf4cb0015c5c0",80.0925,0.885,"2026-09-15T11:59:00Z","Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?","bank-of-brazil-decision-in-september-20260616232552895",{"condition_id":529,"outcome":29,"usdc":530,"entry_price":336,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":531,"captured_at":13,"question":532,"event_slug":533,"category":38},"0xbcacd5a055f5a9ced6f69f122216c073dd6987d08253fc07bbcc168fa5b81d55",85,"2026-06-01T03:59:00Z","US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?","us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by",{"condition_id":535,"outcome":29,"usdc":536,"entry_price":537,"won":17,"source":323,"end_date_iso":518,"captured_at":13,"question":538,"event_slug":520,"category":38},"0xbee2cd40473495f713c69b9dfbce9fc2837fa4011568222c83c83bb773e35053",97.2136,0.7724,"Starmer out by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":540,"outcome":42,"usdc":541,"entry_price":542,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":367,"captured_at":13,"question":543,"event_slug":369,"category":38},"0xc4c3dbcc37a957a817599b0bf9fb5bd6b62b19210b0f527fec57cb75c7ed150a",232.5,0.6642857142857143,"Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":545,"outcome":29,"usdc":546,"entry_price":452,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":547,"captured_at":13,"question":548,"event_slug":549,"category":38},"0xc53e7b31acb5808dc9d06785c5ada0c2dbee9ca46b3eca2ca18fc2745aa716a5",120,"2026-04-30","Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?","will-trump-visit-pakistan-by-april-30",{"condition_id":551,"outcome":42,"usdc":552,"entry_price":194,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":553,"captured_at":13,"question":554,"event_slug":555,"category":38},"0xcfbc2e5fbabb9e8a03bf234367244d4c97eaaf3ac33e2ba001541ee3e0e62416",71,"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","Israel closes its airspace by September 30?","israel-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":557,"outcome":29,"usdc":558,"entry_price":559,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":547,"captured_at":13,"question":560,"event_slug":561,"category":355},"0xd08544f6162283dc8d0a82f16362aab837a8537379df9bbe604960eec9cd4618",499.9979420000001,0.7142856916330708,"US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-april-30",{"condition_id":563,"outcome":29,"usdc":564,"entry_price":565,"won":17,"source":323,"end_date_iso":566,"captured_at":13,"question":567,"event_slug":568,"category":355},"0xd4bbf7f6707c67beb736135ad32a41f6db41f8ae52d3ac4919650de9eeb94ed8",32.1,0.535,"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?","khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-february-28",{"condition_id":570,"outcome":29,"usdc":571,"entry_price":572,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":380,"captured_at":13,"question":573,"event_slug":513,"category":355},"0xe1c67f75aac5b10dc28f1a2fbb79b079fc7f7320abfbd6a950a50c372979569b",82,0.82,"US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?",{"condition_id":575,"outcome":42,"usdc":576,"entry_price":577,"won":17,"source":323,"end_date_iso":394,"captured_at":13,"question":578,"event_slug":579,"category":38},"0xe2fd3eb8e4c4e4919ee5c14be88144e0ec467057f4d338609e17495fc7d1a23d",28.117620000000002,0.1121176847073883,"Renan Santos participates in debate before first round?","renan-santos-participates-in-debate-before-first-round",{"condition_id":581,"outcome":29,"usdc":582,"entry_price":583,"won":12,"source":323,"end_date_iso":352,"captured_at":13,"question":584,"event_slug":585,"category":355},"0xf6e44da63acf52f67bd2d370468c3ef297f064c50f660370151d6c8f08fd586d",19.999993,0.8949999957,"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?","will-crude-oil-cl-hit-by-end-of-march",{"total":587,"wins":588},53,36,[590,595,600,602,604],{"category":38,"n":591,"wins":592,"hitRate":593,"roi":594},28,19,0.6785714285714286,-0.1109032534907803,{"category":340,"n":596,"wins":597,"hitRate":598,"roi":599},22,15,0.6818181818181818,0.06952873798318404,{"category":103,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":601},0.28205128205128194,{"category":502,"n":12,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":603},-1,{"category":92,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":605},1.1739130434782612,{"generatedAt":607},"2026-10-21T14:56:04.174Z"]