[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x2c3928af89565c352afe8e2a1b25deed77a056dc":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":370,"history":371,"resolved":380,"resolvedSummary":971,"specialization":974,"meta":1002},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":14,"avg_position_size_usdc":15,"churn_ratio":16,"last_trade_at":17,"wash_suspect":12,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":12},"0x2c3928af89565c352afe8e2a1b25deed77a056dc",9158,4281,0.4968465311843027,0.3266599535268116,0.22028487083342432,0.0020000000000000018,0,"2026-10-03T08:10:27.791Z",1,350.097767742115,1.789720539378542,"2026-10-03T07:31:08.000Z","trades",0.3424025672886722,0.15444396389563111,489587.66283379396,1498768.5437039945,15.444396389563112,0.05290611028315946,[26,39,48,56,64,74,83,93,101,110,118,125,135,143,152,159,169,177,185,192,199,208,218,225,234,243,251,259,266,274,281,289,297,304,311,318,325,333,341,348,355,363],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"1910830010387565971650098373488592514702818137344973088263643820608151819241","0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846","No",10000.0126,0.8227,"2026-10-06T18:14:12.329Z","2026-10-03T23:13:38.192Z","Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.155\", \"0.845\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":44,"event_slug":45,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":47,"category":38},"77737603049704371401985143030203551130624520784925815473217168646825527075459","0xcee04ba47d02f6c64642369b34193c355f64de1b9ae425c71ea4efef1989d271",8888,0.7737,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.215\", \"0.785\"]",{"token_id":49,"condition_id":50,"outcome":51,"size":52,"avg_price":53,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":54,"event_slug":45,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":55,"category":38},"86011229287950365043519117852041614651767455889324682112682327985496937935368","0x46ca741da4abd7ffa993f59ac65bfe83de43ae027accac71d263a493e44064e7","Yes",10059.93,0.5778,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.4965\", \"0.5035\"]",{"token_id":57,"condition_id":58,"outcome":29,"size":59,"avg_price":60,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":61,"event_slug":45,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":62,"outcome_prices":63,"category":38},"31187265469632759819393766291567751905226119108990371376517456149152650382781","0x1674c7a654ad25b68e9df7ac71e3711ecc5c86bde2063ceb8be586ea9c44f028",5555,0.89,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?","2026-10-16T03:59:00Z","[\"0.135\", \"0.865\"]",{"token_id":65,"condition_id":66,"outcome":51,"size":67,"avg_price":68,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":69,"event_slug":70,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":71,"outcome_prices":72,"category":73},"111088620532234518037120406087772586039940496346205331791940213760503764823657","0x23858cc44dce48e23f754240a0a71595f38f5c66d9a0eaf612eb5a737ad1e66d",7669.0187,0.6026,"Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-end-of-october","2026-10-31T16:00:00Z","[\"0.6645\", \"0.3355\"]","Tech",{"token_id":75,"condition_id":76,"outcome":51,"size":77,"avg_price":78,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":79,"event_slug":80,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":81,"outcome_prices":82,"category":73},"52894055023364356366230272605972876834190408527634232232326573198322288583579","0x80ae98ffc8aba2c15dbdc9efa0ed2188929daa6300720765f6337d60632f8e15",5520.25,0.6629,"Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?","openai-announces-another-millennium-prize-solution-by","2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.66\", \"0.34\"]",{"token_id":84,"condition_id":85,"outcome":29,"size":86,"avg_price":87,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":88,"event_slug":89,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":90,"outcome_prices":91,"category":92},"48718143209624693256819602231099408338723531923132662349159259974089875524537","0xba0808fbb35d07e14ecf98e22ca74bc4b5613947f614029432337298af267e4d",3071.99,0.8999,"Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?","time-person-of-the-year-2026","2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","[\"0.07\", \"0.93\"]","Culture",{"token_id":94,"condition_id":95,"outcome":51,"size":96,"avg_price":97,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":98,"event_slug":99,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":81,"outcome_prices":100,"category":73},"103901833510333850628452807665364495186543557571268684900239309642246038903774","0x3a0303adb9831302d2ebb6a0f77bfea947157ddffbf09fdebdf3ae50311e5b6e",3381.68,0.7316,"Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?","ai-lab-announces-another-millennium-prize-solution-by","[\"0.7\", \"0.3\"]",{"token_id":102,"condition_id":103,"outcome":29,"size":104,"avg_price":105,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":106,"event_slug":107,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":108,"outcome_prices":109,"category":73},"99818740453868605020809754256120658820458919138190445639745996976377388138758","0x368aba6d5ab556399e2907fd9d84a09ea429fcc1b5549010d07f6b79dc3934e7",1009.95,0.9071,"Will Catherine O'Hara be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?","1-searched-passing-on-google-in-the-us-2026-20260730202611087","2027-04-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0035\", \"0.9965\"]",{"token_id":111,"condition_id":112,"outcome":51,"size":113,"avg_price":114,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":115,"question":116,"event_slug":70,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":71,"outcome_prices":117,"category":73},"17398972530137600675762712744895375915722542439211248541948693649429200536957","0x8091d617a6b1a70847d357f59b7d1d303b7599d376ba92729705e233b3716940",3234.0258,0.2699,"2026-10-06T03:27:33.142Z","Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?","[\"0.305\", \"0.695\"]",{"token_id":119,"condition_id":120,"outcome":51,"size":121,"avg_price":122,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":123,"event_slug":80,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":124,"category":73},"34819265358532535745389081655110465366205614488485370986851183512281332080312","0x117f9132e15eeff2621be398fa57092cf446a2f02cbd7ee8e3714226705c4d3b",2292.75,0.3483,"Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.265\", \"0.735\"]",{"token_id":126,"condition_id":127,"outcome":29,"size":128,"avg_price":129,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":130,"event_slug":131,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":132,"outcome_prices":133,"category":134},"106743852420032062896126022912491525920553506512937594131305353231116232234117","0x4a5969c9ea3edaca58bce54c2d2bda9208802ce4672dd71bdab22a46b66753c3",906.82,0.81,"Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?","predictfun-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","[\"0.495\", \"0.505\"]","Crypto",{"token_id":136,"condition_id":137,"outcome":51,"size":138,"avg_price":139,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":140,"event_slug":141,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":81,"outcome_prices":142,"category":73},"111436677536349466198317159638261738605135481721043169950421795114917164855183","0x76876411a19595cd5881170954806cc1c51ec66528e0739231f2aaabeceadb36",4755.35,0.1183,"Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?","anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-higher-strikes","[\"0.1355\", \"0.8645\"]",{"token_id":144,"condition_id":145,"outcome":51,"size":146,"avg_price":147,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":148,"event_slug":149,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":150,"outcome_prices":151,"category":73},"35761751916294233968960983132073919395882149621754610498913351081198116257321","0xdc7c8ada1b8d28300cdc783578e8754d2570a3da067965be15bba638cb94f83a",1151.78,0.487,"Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?","will-anthropics-valuation-hit-by-december-31","2027-01-05T04:59:00Z","[\"0.455\", \"0.545\"]",{"token_id":153,"condition_id":154,"outcome":29,"size":155,"avg_price":156,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":157,"event_slug":149,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":150,"outcome_prices":158,"category":73},"54898791251605553895628131592977014558000913108870632767537486958885842838513","0x6231089f4ea288201b55d3000b19ef8e56ce5edc50a2806067c8b2e4c6d43dc2",597.53,0.9332,"Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?","[\"0.043\", \"0.957\"]",{"token_id":160,"condition_id":161,"outcome":51,"size":162,"avg_price":163,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":164,"event_slug":165,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":166,"outcome_prices":167,"category":168},"93607174427076648497970085679890464224074212453553954883931612093962256690262","0x5ba72dca702ddf6ac8ce0b992b521dd3b080109e39a5f022827ffda3ac8a60f6",644.49,0.8633,"Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?","anthropic-ipo-by","2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.67\", \"0.33\"]","Business",{"token_id":170,"condition_id":171,"outcome":51,"size":172,"avg_price":173,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":174,"event_slug":175,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":176,"category":38},"44330303251518041570433466737679109932061477358497939773558457869950245007155","0x15f442103bfad36b0dcc569d9698b4d020d12a2c935b9ac9050bb190a9238ec6",6506.39,0.0758,"Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?","which-country-will-join-abraham-accords-before-2027","[\"0.045\", \"0.955\"]",{"token_id":178,"condition_id":179,"outcome":51,"size":180,"avg_price":181,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":182,"event_slug":183,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":81,"outcome_prices":184,"category":73},"2476725205019729631424404750329035688450353560388947855064478812097488396326","0x3a7661a4b181d38f3067775c136988b8b16b1df4ca36a7e52b62572495ba6f15",790.15,0.5486,"Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?","which-millennium-prize-problem-will-ai-solve-next","[\"0.235\", \"0.765\"]",{"token_id":186,"condition_id":187,"outcome":29,"size":188,"avg_price":189,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":190,"event_slug":89,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":90,"outcome_prices":191,"category":92},"53391694501701903402193426226407123831418161452850630232271922772235303076714","0x5ddf1776820e1f001635f0a48c280bffdd5eb9b526313418aba590f2924ab5e6",529.26,0.8,"Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?","[\"0.17\", \"0.83\"]",{"token_id":193,"condition_id":194,"outcome":29,"size":195,"avg_price":196,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":197,"event_slug":89,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":90,"outcome_prices":198,"category":92},"114169068717289116554861249264824916099637224786297311464587351996474994462411","0x9c08dd09883c33419b3dc35ee73720c0f69c33246c1c8370f9572279707a40d5",506.9475,0.68,"Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?","[\"0.28\", \"0.72\"]",{"token_id":200,"condition_id":201,"outcome":29,"size":202,"avg_price":203,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":204,"event_slug":205,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":206,"outcome_prices":207,"category":73},"16660851706323202290594762581892441561911053826214568542760655517312880159583","0x454a84498fa38164b2bea23373c5e6a1d8a1f476187f0fa6a33b9f0ceb246206",450,0.76,"Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?","anthropic-announces-bankruptcy-by","2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.185\", \"0.815\"]",{"token_id":209,"condition_id":210,"outcome":51,"size":211,"avg_price":212,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":213,"event_slug":214,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":215,"outcome_prices":216,"category":217},"36595575197199846398267481972385180643951985822505187477756829088194676076340","0xc3d5708780de5528998aeb53ca90e7ade64804f9f2386392a681435d5c42b44d",354.1044,0.82,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963","2026-10-31T20:29:00Z","[\"0.825\", \"0.175\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":219,"condition_id":220,"outcome":29,"size":221,"avg_price":222,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":223,"event_slug":131,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":132,"outcome_prices":224,"category":134},"96486880374061956275087799183117793589275559212182469204796083162703380733999","0xa94cb7859bc740f711ff5770705b60db07c606d785eda205c7623b854ad943bd",343,0.7702,"Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?","[\"0.625\", \"0.375\"]",{"token_id":226,"condition_id":227,"outcome":29,"size":228,"avg_price":229,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":230,"event_slug":231,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":232,"outcome_prices":233,"category":38},"51947156511897363246930308148723848189395294302449690254709519803140044037930","0xaef0d4a34b0cc1cf915dbf965777e4da89d15c4ab8b0fa8a5fc127360a251b63",1066.99,0.2382,"Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)","next-us-iran-senior-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt","2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.205\", \"0.795\"]",{"token_id":235,"condition_id":236,"outcome":29,"size":237,"avg_price":238,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":239,"event_slug":240,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":241,"outcome_prices":242,"category":73},"11437377155780640327179252603633147839486733188761884162311296784682934781025","0x766e5cfb88eeff37acfbb4719708956ab06492dddcf1c9a27a3e75ddcaf6a4bf",324.11,0.7328,"Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?","gpt-astra-6pt1-released-byptptpt","2026-10-09T23:59:00Z","[\"0.0135\", \"0.9865\"]",{"token_id":244,"condition_id":245,"outcome":51,"size":246,"avg_price":247,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":248,"event_slug":249,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":166,"outcome_prices":250,"category":73},"108202657143379989556949513081207982193974441873853037570634477621727617301219","0x20d50462d91b116f520dc67e93d12ce15291be4faf644d1ed63b141f6ec1503a",550.97,0.3627,"SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?","ssi-public-model-released-by-20260810094604188","[\"0.545\", \"0.455\"]",{"token_id":252,"condition_id":253,"outcome":51,"size":254,"avg_price":255,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":256,"event_slug":257,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":81,"outcome_prices":258,"category":73},"86276916944635180042824129677439836152298300348924031085669716253753376538746","0x576d58c84be2c473035c34bceb334f7bc2632d54e9f7c7af9a947cca3d6e2f0b",4540.92,0.0399,"Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?","in-which-month-will-anthropic-ipo","[\"0.013\", \"0.987\"]",{"token_id":260,"condition_id":261,"outcome":51,"size":262,"avg_price":263,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":264,"event_slug":249,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":265,"category":73},"90337751174784961751601021669592482213101933364964181379417476836696987960316","0x23b1409629d8a0880eb4c65f3db62dbd027a8020f4ee2b07f881534541ee251d",307.91,0.4435,"SSI public model released by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.615\", \"0.385\"]",{"token_id":267,"condition_id":268,"outcome":29,"size":269,"avg_price":270,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":271,"event_slug":240,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":272,"outcome_prices":273,"category":73},"34170887564374966507177487621948427872407165720080118178486625820382371845945","0xec93536f4f403adaa235452b72da8da9ccbb674e6dbd398639cb9fa2bb6a6704",154.85,0.6019,"Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?","2026-10-16T23:59:00Z","[\"0.1095\", \"0.8905\"]",{"token_id":275,"condition_id":276,"outcome":51,"size":277,"avg_price":278,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":279,"event_slug":165,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":280,"category":168},"35480485928147694422522317298160081194603766865102488154902775756915955129166","0x8062cf78d93f9202f4c0a1018d141f4af35d486a368f07e65265f27d48b4e040",2114.1765,0.0433,"Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?","[\"0.015\", \"0.985\"]",{"token_id":282,"condition_id":283,"outcome":51,"size":284,"avg_price":285,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":286,"event_slug":287,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":288,"category":92},"45565240149392050142546950784985477240716466215486323573506793454356200062569","0x24d28f36ea7fb7c729b108e3992b4df869a0112e6f2aa546d43f80a0a9136e40",573.4062,0.1593,"Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?","will-cmi-declare-a-millennium-prize-problem-solved-by-20260723160122979","[\"0.0255\", \"0.9745\"]",{"token_id":290,"condition_id":291,"outcome":51,"size":292,"avg_price":293,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":294,"event_slug":295,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":296,"category":217},"105021230936912984680931678122814125668784031756100999048923377620987522853502","0x9f49858223675c7f9b354adccf3303956beff106a80e13ba12dd320735bf8181",849.97,0.0966,"Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?","which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-december-31","[\"0.0605\", \"0.9395\"]",{"token_id":298,"condition_id":299,"outcome":51,"size":300,"avg_price":301,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":302,"event_slug":70,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":303,"category":73},"67850294165032849315961593437114430140885475241403319796869289837049761569452","0x1cf218efb6ef7336fd0f60cca5c4b9e7ffcc6263359fa1827b84ef2d96fd982b",5554.9773,0.014,"Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?","[\"0.0065\", \"0.9935\"]",{"token_id":305,"condition_id":306,"outcome":51,"size":307,"avg_price":308,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":309,"event_slug":45,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":166,"outcome_prices":310,"category":38},"6644532381217254800986375202522846648159135474005033660497726168023227540949","0x7a70fc60ee280fa7b4312f5dd128d148d74ae5b3e4a2e8215ccf0030a08ebb04",185.913,0.31,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?","[\"0.375\", \"0.625\"]",{"token_id":312,"condition_id":313,"outcome":51,"size":314,"avg_price":315,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":316,"event_slug":183,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":81,"outcome_prices":317,"category":73},"42350636821320607409137206631220344948522585860907233938867086058208067378263","0xc0b0a2ace09ec1ac4917f9632c3fff25de94573fc2d736cd126a5911bddd7105",2326.18,0.0099,"Will P versus NP be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?","[\"0.019\", \"0.981\"]",{"token_id":319,"condition_id":320,"outcome":51,"size":321,"avg_price":322,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":323,"event_slug":257,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":81,"outcome_prices":324,"category":73},"71227443583147583552513659247095876178941990100814560667777673790322384309817","0x3e9be211621fa956db41851ee40866fcaece1fc584f3cbaf9b4d25633181a659",419.61,0.046,"Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?","[\"0.6685\", \"0.3315\"]",{"token_id":326,"condition_id":327,"outcome":29,"size":328,"avg_price":329,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":330,"event_slug":331,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":332,"category":38},"4920174600328060381478178332126683115937537315909025772685332706706025236975","0xb23e6d6ba72e76bbce9799daf527e3598a939a602ff5e069cf27a0b25bab50a7",20,0.83,"US strike on Mexico by December 31?","us-strike-on-mexico-by","[\"0.0365\", \"0.9635\"]",{"token_id":334,"condition_id":335,"outcome":51,"size":336,"avg_price":337,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":338,"question":339,"event_slug":141,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":81,"outcome_prices":340,"category":73},"53902677158633419509963663796122055298463627296341662559063577118402724284624","0x8344e39c752c8d5984f45e3b8e079bb11c239214600eeb1fef0b51b344e99ba2",977.025,0.011,"2026-10-04T22:36:42.612Z","Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?","[\"0.0445\", \"0.9555\"]",{"token_id":342,"condition_id":343,"outcome":51,"size":344,"avg_price":345,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":346,"event_slug":183,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":81,"outcome_prices":347,"category":73},"86049549412527110401342651601582558086024426696929817872551303258295908746274","0x73a0ebbe09bfe1cdbf0d4deb13f55742d15dd8803845099557aa3afd776804f7",335.49,0.0155,"Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?","[\"0.0265\", \"0.9735\"]",{"token_id":349,"condition_id":350,"outcome":29,"size":351,"avg_price":352,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":353,"event_slug":131,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":132,"outcome_prices":354,"category":134},"61151177946739421291102488850369206756210599921409217545938858262005374248465","0x44af70916025f6ee9183cbdb77bcea14ee54e5534b0820d2df7934d1cadeb167",5,0.63,"Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?","[\"0.755\", \"0.245\"]",{"token_id":356,"condition_id":357,"outcome":51,"size":358,"avg_price":359,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":360,"event_slug":361,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":108,"outcome_prices":362,"category":38},"8075661047254567797432306525558519998052391236898258911573171689963344650999","0x73ea54d2bbd4a4bb22cc78f1ef9b8373c76e57fe2a4bf09784413002885f69f7",356.1325,0.004,"Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?","nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",{"token_id":364,"condition_id":365,"outcome":29,"size":366,"avg_price":367,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":368,"event_slug":107,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":108,"outcome_prices":369,"category":73},"2131168035875197685056759343025790595393626622486534273711071097833038591011","0x44eaa0babc8c6235015f9ce630fdcaf4b618b684a0dfc6ce07cf62a8eb55a464",7.12,-0.5688,"Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?","[\"0.046\", \"0.954\"]",[],[372,378],{"recorded_date":373,"roi":374,"win_rate":375,"brier_score":376,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":377,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-22",-0.18444374086664064,0.2167741935483871,0.09168118105372157,775,{"recorded_date":379,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":14},"2026-10-03",[381,390,395,404,412,420,426,433,440,448,456,463,470,476,482,485,492,499,502,509,516,522,525,532,539,545,551,554,562,569,576,583,590,597,600,607,614,621,624,632,638,644,651,657,662,669,676,683,690,693,699,706,712,719,724,730,733,740,747,752,754,760,765,772,779,785,788,795,802,808,814,819,825,831,834,839,844,851,858,863,870,876,879,885,892,897,902,908,911,918,921,928,935,940,945,948,954,959,962,968],{"condition_id":382,"outcome":51,"usdc":383,"entry_price":384,"won":12,"source":385,"end_date_iso":386,"captured_at":387,"question":388,"event_slug":389,"category":38},"0x7ed08b305a3cca4f5b4e0c295c6b066e424a61358447b35d4f9bf1c2b56fe37c",6.4347270000000005,0.39,"live","","2026-10-03T23:13:38.196Z","Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?","who-will-close-warner-bros-acquisition",{"condition_id":391,"outcome":29,"usdc":392,"entry_price":393,"won":12,"source":385,"end_date_iso":386,"captured_at":387,"question":394,"event_slug":389,"category":38},"0xa71785ae27eeaf2a9f7adf8f4f0d7db11e773fa2602b28c55399d31e91c3f2f0",3.5393009999999996,0.57,"Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?",{"condition_id":396,"outcome":29,"usdc":397,"entry_price":398,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":400,"captured_at":13,"question":401,"event_slug":402,"category":403},"0x00d54533992ae1e1cb9ce99174c88dbfa2dff1ba1e2764f7b44f6cae3833d317",451.5594,0.745,"backfill","2026-05-01T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"China\" at The Villages on May 1?","what-will-trump-say-during-remarks-at-the-villages",null,{"condition_id":405,"outcome":406,"usdc":407,"entry_price":408,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":409,"captured_at":13,"question":410,"event_slug":411,"category":403},"0x0106fd1549eb8e8821fcefabc8677b65cfd6f24f994b1bf5b0dc5cca8b010bb4","Over",640,0.32,"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O\u002FU 144.5","cbb-uconn-mich-2026-04-06-total-144pt5",{"condition_id":413,"outcome":414,"usdc":415,"entry_price":416,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":417,"captured_at":13,"question":418,"event_slug":419,"category":403},"0x027453e0945f50f605da364460fe22acc828d6b7e626830b5fdd40d9ca126e23","Under",50,0.25,"2026-04-13T00:30:00Z","Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O\u002FU 225.5","nba-sac-por-2026-04-12",{"condition_id":421,"outcome":51,"usdc":422,"entry_price":423,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":386,"captured_at":13,"question":424,"event_slug":425,"category":403},"0x02f8dd15d4c674a75fccbd0e00f0cf1256101c45ef41f6d0c5dfde9c36d4141e",4666.2,0.8399999999999999,"Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?","israel-x-hezbollah-ceasefire-extended-by",{"condition_id":427,"outcome":29,"usdc":428,"entry_price":429,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":430,"captured_at":13,"question":431,"event_slug":432,"category":403},"0x03b4dfd7d8931f708f680e96a61e89f208740b75246aae8f29fb47a40c0b6c7d",200,0.2,"2026-04-17T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Charlie\" or \"Kirk\" 5+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?","what-will-trump-say-during-arizona-tpusa-event-on-april-17",{"condition_id":434,"outcome":51,"usdc":435,"entry_price":436,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":437,"captured_at":13,"question":438,"event_slug":439,"category":38},"0x0426ffe343ca645d75c92613a323ead7cf50cf3cc69d41ebcb02343b100af792",174.7574,0.010294538,"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?","will-donald-trump-announce-that-the-united-states-blockade-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-has-been-lifted-by-may-28-2026",{"condition_id":441,"outcome":442,"usdc":443,"entry_price":444,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":445,"captured_at":13,"question":446,"event_slug":447,"category":403},"0x04ce1e17ad80142f84c5d8e962b69bffb590667608ceba7020377fff38f96c80","Warriors",81.2115,0.15,"2026-04-13T00:00:00Z","Spread: Clippers (-5.5)","nba-gsw-lac-2026-04-12-spread-home-5pt5",{"condition_id":449,"outcome":29,"usdc":450,"entry_price":451,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":452,"captured_at":453,"question":454,"event_slug":455,"category":403},"0x04f7a77a4a332be04fd7400542fbbc827fdeedb285e9265750e98310d846ce06",1071.1689000000001,0.8713899541228326,"2026-09-09T23:59:00Z","2026-09-22T00:41:23.310Z","Will Trump say \"Ass\" during RNC Convention (Night 1)?","what-will-trump-say-during-rnc-convention-night-1",{"condition_id":457,"outcome":51,"usdc":458,"entry_price":459,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":460,"captured_at":453,"question":461,"event_slug":462,"category":403},"0x05c166971e8486ae79b16236edd5e17a89bd97ab77f4fb26686715640a716313",109.504843,0.06048497237567998,"2026-06-29T23:59:00Z","Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?","iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260625225210236",{"condition_id":464,"outcome":29,"usdc":465,"entry_price":466,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":467,"captured_at":453,"question":468,"event_slug":469,"category":217},"0x0619980a29b1022ba9cbdcb7da731be0be8799ecf9ff2eb5c1ee9137235b0770",763.5019800000001,0.2654643371231877,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?","iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829",{"condition_id":471,"outcome":414,"usdc":472,"entry_price":473,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":417,"captured_at":13,"question":474,"event_slug":475,"category":403},"0x0634ca0d1cbb37b0b18bd1dc96b4c0920fbe442c75aa1cb4396abe9a21c236a3",25.492,0.6325558313,"Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O\u002FU 230.5","nba-mem-hou-2026-04-12",{"condition_id":477,"outcome":29,"usdc":478,"entry_price":129,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":479,"captured_at":453,"question":480,"event_slug":481,"category":403},"0x06b19e82f8583f700a3df4ed02abdedf32b4c8cd9bd6cf2502230ef199010c32",201.528,"2026-06-30T17:00:00Z","Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?","claude-fable-5-restored-for-us-customers-by-20260613193753196",{"condition_id":477,"outcome":51,"usdc":483,"entry_price":484,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":479,"captured_at":453,"question":480,"event_slug":481,"category":403},1.553706,0.09,{"condition_id":486,"outcome":51,"usdc":487,"entry_price":488,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":489,"captured_at":13,"question":490,"event_slug":491,"category":38},"0x084a4aac9da433824013ad192196193d7d1bd8293c0fedc9eb7e687909fd1d0f",44.39986,0.08000000000000002,"2026-04-24","US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":493,"outcome":29,"usdc":494,"entry_price":495,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":496,"captured_at":13,"question":497,"event_slug":498,"category":38},"0x098afead2c41677b0f09ae9d0013ca520eacdb3f0d7c8985c6581de7a0e9ac37",5374.367200000001,0.8396058152646253,"2026-05-21T00:00:00Z","Iran closes its airspace by May 21?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":493,"outcome":51,"usdc":500,"entry_price":501,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":496,"captured_at":13,"question":497,"event_slug":498,"category":38},3240.973370000001,0.11091266674628074,{"condition_id":503,"outcome":29,"usdc":504,"entry_price":505,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":506,"captured_at":13,"question":507,"event_slug":508,"category":403},"0x0b35eb5df8e17d42cba0909d8bb78e635cb0d014e6fba6322c173cfea6337cd9",259.72073,0.35425646732153143,"2026-03-22T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Hormuz\" this week? (March 22)","what-will-trump-say-this-week-march-22",{"condition_id":510,"outcome":51,"usdc":511,"entry_price":512,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":513,"captured_at":13,"question":514,"event_slug":515,"category":73},"0x0bd1b836a2494f80aaee62927cf01e5f6fceb19114e96fc517c6440aea4576e4",480.01595400000014,0.23639942896023625,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-june",{"condition_id":517,"outcome":29,"usdc":518,"entry_price":519,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":520,"captured_at":13,"question":521,"event_slug":491,"category":38},"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089",33594.841368,0.7270489273488208,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":517,"outcome":51,"usdc":523,"entry_price":524,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":520,"captured_at":13,"question":521,"event_slug":491,"category":38},39437.348869999994,0.16495964350528797,{"condition_id":526,"outcome":29,"usdc":527,"entry_price":528,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":529,"captured_at":13,"question":530,"event_slug":531,"category":403},"0x0e86930b87a67ec47668db97562b62863e177ed9e8fc9bc6a475e08d155b1cb6",13.32,0.06,"2026-06-10T00:00:00Z","Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?","will-a-claude-mythos-model-be-released-by-june-10-2026-989",{"condition_id":533,"outcome":51,"usdc":534,"entry_price":535,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":536,"captured_at":13,"question":537,"event_slug":538,"category":403},"0x0edbccf55cc65311d4913c0aed5f5ec56dc68c54dc26f9a26a6e49b6e60e166d",107.316344,0.2700000005061143,"2026-04-16T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Favored Nation\" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?","what-will-trump-say-during-no-tax-on-tips-roundtable",{"condition_id":540,"outcome":29,"usdc":541,"entry_price":542,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":513,"captured_at":13,"question":543,"event_slug":544,"category":38},"0x0f3062f421a43ab9af2f3dc9c3eef48e2aab38a4c9858aca7651947642c4c964",1861.4324,0.8200793014,"Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?","where-will-the-next-us-iran-diplomatic-meeting-happen-455",{"condition_id":546,"outcome":29,"usdc":547,"entry_price":548,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":549,"captured_at":453,"question":550,"event_slug":469,"category":217},"0x0fc2ddb048f5aa3a5f05f07c480591d7a41c546387588a6345627144171f9670",490.9005,0.23,"2026-07-16T03:59:00Z","Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?",{"condition_id":546,"outcome":51,"usdc":552,"entry_price":553,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":549,"captured_at":13,"question":550,"event_slug":469,"category":217},4381.399,0.8938875979,{"condition_id":555,"outcome":556,"usdc":557,"entry_price":558,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":559,"captured_at":453,"question":560,"event_slug":561,"category":403},"0x11892972368e8691e53c5f1506ab9f374f54fb662e0a2ce2f1849e2e44679072","Patriots",11.8436,0.58,"2026-09-10T00:20:00Z","Patriots vs. Seahawks","nfl-ne-sea-2026-09-10",{"condition_id":563,"outcome":29,"usdc":564,"entry_price":565,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":566,"captured_at":13,"question":567,"event_slug":568,"category":403},"0x11edf31defedff8e6f499eb9419a4a99ad326d3447a1be08f7b4bc5c2c4017b3",52.45855,0.5063979622131968,"2026-05-05T00:00:00Z","Will JD Vance say \"Abortion\" in Des Moines?","what-will-jd-vance-say-during-remarks-in-des-moines",{"condition_id":570,"outcome":29,"usdc":571,"entry_price":572,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":573,"captured_at":453,"question":574,"event_slug":575,"category":38},"0x12aa595f4883b1a856dcf8155b87e89a8d098b5ad8a7781c75804fd13d166718",2303.8995,0.85,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Israel closes its airspace by August 31?","israel-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":577,"outcome":51,"usdc":578,"entry_price":579,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":580,"captured_at":453,"question":581,"event_slug":582,"category":403},"0x137cf69002f2f24c6cbc7572321db1f6fd995f53d2457fda7e52f7fd82446794",103.4024,0.004097445619168072,"2026-08-31T20:29:00Z","US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?","us-ceasefire-against-iran-continues-throughptptpt",{"condition_id":584,"outcome":29,"usdc":585,"entry_price":586,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":587,"captured_at":13,"question":588,"event_slug":589,"category":403},"0x145f05020d49be5bbf9c6b9f143aa1ccec85c5898b195387b1aa0b358e2259ab",1129.09938,0.5499161093,"2026-05-07T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"World Cup\" during events with Brazilian president?","what-will-trump-say-during-bilateral-events-with-brazilian-president",{"condition_id":591,"outcome":406,"usdc":592,"entry_price":593,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":594,"captured_at":453,"question":595,"event_slug":596,"category":403},"0x14a46e242e6a048544f23d46af36a896f96ce73cc94f5cb04b0fe148f8556887",1999.985331,0.40000000019994075,"2026-07-02T19:00:00Z","Spain vs. Austria: Austria O\u002FU 0.5","fifwc-esp-aut-2026-07-02-more-markets",{"condition_id":591,"outcome":414,"usdc":598,"entry_price":599,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":594,"captured_at":453,"question":595,"event_slug":596,"category":403},6149.9781330000005,0.6149999826046925,{"condition_id":601,"outcome":51,"usdc":602,"entry_price":603,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":604,"captured_at":13,"question":605,"event_slug":606,"category":403},"0x1507c50c86fb307e4f1acd9d740b2be66d98773f90d161e94907d8ef2c5699b3",1923.4805050000007,0.05781491520697992,"2026-04-21","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?","trump-announces-end-of-military-operations-against-iran-by",{"condition_id":608,"outcome":29,"usdc":609,"entry_price":610,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":611,"captured_at":13,"question":612,"event_slug":613,"category":403},"0x1585f4f956250a877a0a0b91f38af452268fbb6f1931024d38592c0ae9d68347",69.310842,0.17000000056654627,"2026-04-15T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Blockade\" during Fox interview on Wednesday?","what-will-trump-say-during-fox-business-interview-on-april-15",{"condition_id":615,"outcome":406,"usdc":616,"entry_price":617,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":618,"captured_at":13,"question":619,"event_slug":620,"category":403},"0x159dc30fbb820ffdcd7a74fe67b317aebeeb0826c742ed3f4e2b4c049f6047a5",9.70099,0.14,"2026-05-19T00:00:00Z","Spurs vs. Thunder: O\u002FU 210.5","nba-sas-okc-2026-05-18-total-210pt5",{"condition_id":615,"outcome":414,"usdc":622,"entry_price":623,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":618,"captured_at":13,"question":619,"event_slug":620,"category":403},2324.23341,0.6685796581906707,{"condition_id":625,"outcome":626,"usdc":627,"entry_price":628,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":629,"captured_at":13,"question":630,"event_slug":631,"category":403},"0x15e73b7fc66777ee136f7b8c3741bd36c733c641ec9a0df59fb422514b638a86","Hawks",111,0.37,"2026-04-08T23:00:00Z","Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)","nba-atl-cle-2026-04-08",{"condition_id":633,"outcome":29,"usdc":634,"entry_price":635,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":520,"captured_at":13,"question":636,"event_slug":637,"category":403},"0x16f738b495ff8c0a841fd11a113a2adb6873f2bed3398761b2bf88e42d6ea31f",11.21544,0.74,"Will MrBeast say \"Movie\" during his next video?","what-will-mrbeast-say-during-his-next-youtube-video-185",{"condition_id":639,"outcome":29,"usdc":640,"entry_price":641,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":642,"captured_at":453,"question":643,"event_slug":481,"category":38},"0x178b29c0bb3a1c482f37f42e2420a1aa686b960ef0004e9ed07d7f46581779c9",3488.7029629999997,0.5625091982876951,"2026-07-01T17:00:00Z","Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?",{"condition_id":645,"outcome":29,"usdc":646,"entry_price":647,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":648,"captured_at":13,"question":649,"event_slug":650,"category":38},"0x179b82cf1113ca3121fbc217cb386c2b8201421ab7530800452c261b34977d87",106.52876,0.4588001056,"2026-09-24T23:59:00Z","Will Trump say \"China\" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?","what-will-trump-say-during-his-remarks-at-xi-jinpings-state-arrival",{"condition_id":652,"outcome":51,"usdc":653,"entry_price":654,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":467,"captured_at":453,"question":655,"event_slug":656,"category":217},"0x17c1591393e9bfcaa68c89086af37ffc1b44db673c56c8bebe07480759c6038a",28.88,0.010832708177044261,"US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?","us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-20260621201254412",{"condition_id":658,"outcome":29,"usdc":659,"entry_price":660,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":430,"captured_at":13,"question":661,"event_slug":432,"category":403},"0x19bab4b31f723dc80c6e85216765d7865ee304a59cded2544194098e3dbe1513",153.59,0.6079160895,"Will Trump say \"Moon\" or \"Astronaut\" during TPUSA events on April 17?",{"condition_id":663,"outcome":51,"usdc":664,"entry_price":665,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":666,"captured_at":13,"question":667,"event_slug":668,"category":403},"0x1a441ec0b47718954c379432ecd9fc384f9ed77d4aa83da3bb5734201c741979",90.47623899999999,0.045237371705431,"2026-03-15T00:00:00Z","Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?","will-wagner-moura-win-best-actor-at-the-98th-academy-awards",{"condition_id":670,"outcome":29,"usdc":671,"entry_price":672,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":673,"captured_at":13,"question":674,"event_slug":675,"category":38},"0x1b355fc636f44508f1467c4b5b05a15cd4b5d2f3f5eef307379cb35132b2caee",196.78481,0.4965120589,"2026-09-22T23:59:00Z","Will Trump say \"Pledge\" or \"Pledged\" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?","what-will-trump-say-during-the-united-nations-general-assembly",{"condition_id":677,"outcome":414,"usdc":678,"entry_price":679,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":680,"captured_at":13,"question":681,"event_slug":682,"category":403},"0x1ba7ca3d073c9d57667d98834aa091f8d7672ecb37b56fd9f458cdebf78d037c",350.7465,0.24482699650293516,"2026-04-08T00:00:00Z","Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O\u002FU 235.5","nba-atl-cle-2026-04-08-total-235pt5",{"condition_id":684,"outcome":29,"usdc":685,"entry_price":686,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":687,"captured_at":13,"question":688,"event_slug":689,"category":403},"0x1d2787cb8aed975d092b2799ed6f4083e9445f7420cdc09e9d47e7d54356c6cd",402.7905,0.2673400104,"2026-04-21T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-extended-by",{"condition_id":684,"outcome":51,"usdc":691,"entry_price":692,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":687,"captured_at":13,"question":688,"event_slug":689,"category":403},3049.081176,0.7237665351441023,{"condition_id":694,"outcome":51,"usdc":695,"entry_price":696,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":697,"captured_at":13,"question":698,"event_slug":491,"category":38},"0x1db02ba50e2312a62b4104de691cc7a76065d8d0da40decf93eb1b914a3217b7",3440.0176579999998,0.03469221808081514,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":700,"outcome":29,"usdc":701,"entry_price":702,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":703,"captured_at":13,"question":704,"event_slug":705,"category":403},"0x1ddbc70a653c07eb43962dd903f79959ab796be6123461c8762ecba45c097e37",20.7596,0.6143711157,"2026-04-01T22:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Congress\" during Address to the Nation?","what-will-trump-say-during-address-to-the-nation-on-april-1",{"condition_id":707,"outcome":414,"usdc":708,"entry_price":709,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":417,"captured_at":13,"question":710,"event_slug":711,"category":403},"0x1ee5f549b46f8ce684e9c97a1037bd05289bb00fa6c1af67b83fcef09c0ccb5e",50.3151,0.11,"Bulls vs. Mavericks: O\u002FU 249.5","nba-chi-dal-2026-04-12",{"condition_id":713,"outcome":51,"usdc":714,"entry_price":715,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":716,"captured_at":13,"question":717,"event_slug":718,"category":403},"0x1fbba9b7dfaef216fd19b3e0505b73f450349620aa2da0353c3ac7bdaf4ed1c1",126.521,0.4293213436941635,"2026-03-25T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Too Big to Rig\" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?","what-will-trump-say-during-nrcc-dinner-on-march-25",{"condition_id":720,"outcome":29,"usdc":721,"entry_price":722,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":703,"captured_at":13,"question":723,"event_slug":705,"category":403},"0x2010c3c04e78d655317922635679c4dfbd5b7238c2b26382281a6a8ac96a6a03",2455.6044460000007,0.6921956114930522,"Will Trump say \"Kharg\" or \"Island\" during Address to the Nation?",{"condition_id":725,"outcome":29,"usdc":726,"entry_price":727,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":728,"captured_at":13,"question":729,"event_slug":491,"category":38},"0x20af55ab35186377b81219db6cb8615240cba42cea41731091be9484a5f5b122",10766.620100000002,0.6181009502863226,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":725,"outcome":51,"usdc":731,"entry_price":732,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":728,"captured_at":13,"question":729,"event_slug":491,"category":38},419.412484,0.31368968798407126,{"condition_id":734,"outcome":735,"usdc":736,"entry_price":737,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":417,"captured_at":13,"question":738,"event_slug":739,"category":403},"0x20fafc08ccd52e96daf26ebad5c987348ace53ecbc46202dfd202ac53010e6bf","Nuggets",420.096,0.6,"Spread: Spurs (-9.5)","nba-den-sas-2026-04-12",{"condition_id":741,"outcome":29,"usdc":742,"entry_price":743,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":744,"captured_at":13,"question":745,"event_slug":746,"category":403},"0x210410f6974d894bb8716ad2141eba159a17658cfd89bb5e23352616b34e890e",1024.5302,0.7456714484483344,"2026-03-29T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Crypto\" or \"Bitcoin\" this week? (March 29)","what-will-trump-say-this-week-march-29",{"condition_id":748,"outcome":29,"usdc":749,"entry_price":750,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":520,"captured_at":13,"question":751,"event_slug":498,"category":38},"0x2135ffcb43ba9103bb6acf7116d2d5aa98bef6d9eb3dc9c85ea00cb79513f3ec",8310.844921,0.8197298790809683,"Iran closes its airspace by May 8?",{"condition_id":748,"outcome":51,"usdc":753,"entry_price":416,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":520,"captured_at":13,"question":751,"event_slug":498,"category":38},833.25,{"condition_id":755,"outcome":414,"usdc":756,"entry_price":757,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":445,"captured_at":13,"question":758,"event_slug":759,"category":403},"0x2183736ea822e444500ed9992a3c5ddaa4381f6dc2c670e507ddec56e2d9f2de",56.1096,0.12,"Suns vs. Thunder: O\u002FU 212.5","nba-phx-okc-2026-04-12-total-212pt5",{"condition_id":761,"outcome":51,"usdc":762,"entry_price":763,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":673,"captured_at":13,"question":764,"event_slug":675,"category":38},"0x21dc31403cdda65d58fc00e88ab8c45a04d2cc0c25e5ba44d88b4245f47b3e52",261.43672,0.4281751629,"Will Trump say \"Bully\" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?",{"condition_id":766,"outcome":29,"usdc":767,"entry_price":768,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":769,"captured_at":13,"question":770,"event_slug":771,"category":403},"0x226640ce58fac6e983d10821cbadaf346b078b2feca86873eb3bbf8e75f6f017",12.317142,0.7200000281,"2026-03-18T00:00:00Z","Will Powell say \"Recession\" during March press conference?","what-will-powell-say-during-march-press-conference",{"condition_id":773,"outcome":406,"usdc":774,"entry_price":775,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":776,"captured_at":13,"question":777,"event_slug":778,"category":403},"0x24182c2cff793b7675503170b5208b7013f39e461f5136afdf1be19e7d98323c",538.21379,0.24996204932599617,"2026-05-20T00:00:00Z","Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O\u002FU 217.5","nba-cle-nyk-2026-05-19",{"condition_id":780,"outcome":29,"usdc":781,"entry_price":782,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":783,"captured_at":13,"question":784,"event_slug":165,"category":168},"0x2450ec499544c566d0de8bbd7739fb68b598c6ad380f0c1ddf3b731d42ec6b19",780,0.78,"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":780,"outcome":51,"usdc":786,"entry_price":787,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":783,"captured_at":13,"question":784,"event_slug":165,"category":168},539.34808,0.14906400096107708,{"condition_id":789,"outcome":790,"usdc":791,"entry_price":792,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":629,"captured_at":13,"question":793,"event_slug":794,"category":403},"0x24cb9f12306b8cd40dcd37dc093f95519d09ddbbfc3d516c9afbbf70f5c67f79","Magic",365,0.73,"Timberwolves vs. Magic: 1H Moneyline","nba-min-orl-2026-04-08",{"condition_id":796,"outcome":51,"usdc":797,"entry_price":798,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":799,"captured_at":13,"question":800,"event_slug":801,"category":38},"0x24f7f6fc640684f1ffdbef06fb6888bc6cb478f9aa1f21abd405d29076c1cf4c",68.75904,0.42,"2026-09-28T18:05:00Z","Will Trump say \"Fake News\" during his announcement?","what-will-trump-say-during-his-announcement-september-28",{"condition_id":803,"outcome":51,"usdc":804,"entry_price":792,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":805,"captured_at":13,"question":806,"event_slug":807,"category":403},"0x24fb7c2d95c93a68018e6c4a90d88043bb67d32fd1454924cef8ebdd550228f3",558.3551,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?","will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-lebanon-by-march-31",{"condition_id":809,"outcome":29,"usdc":810,"entry_price":811,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":697,"captured_at":13,"question":812,"event_slug":813,"category":403},"0x258b4cb261f282d9079d7c3f927d5631d14d2d8d6756855c373db429f5884f0f",1716.968726,0.8910159286765502,"Will Trump say \"Crypto\" or \"Bitcoin\" during events with Xi Jinping?","what-will-trump-say-during-bilateral-events-with-xi-jinping",{"condition_id":815,"outcome":29,"usdc":816,"entry_price":817,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":703,"captured_at":13,"question":818,"event_slug":705,"category":403},"0x25f7f252885abdb0547048d1182a7f12f4328f77262dd2a6ad6eeacb898ba784",595.697683,0.6100000041795977,"Will Trump say \"Peace Through Strength\" during Address to the Nation?",{"condition_id":820,"outcome":29,"usdc":821,"entry_price":60,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":822,"captured_at":453,"question":823,"event_slug":824,"category":403},"0x261a223d19c9dca63e5819e2e768dbc1b7d442a7a0054220f1eced143c29a9c7",197.58,"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?","who-will-attend-cristiano-ronaldos-wedding-20260803185630253",{"condition_id":826,"outcome":29,"usdc":827,"entry_price":828,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":513,"captured_at":13,"question":829,"event_slug":830,"category":38},"0x27182c8b13f2a6284754660cbb3c6350a04f7aa4afe04d24dad481947014d90d",1251.8633,0.43,"US announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by June 7?","us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by",{"condition_id":826,"outcome":51,"usdc":832,"entry_price":833,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":513,"captured_at":13,"question":829,"event_slug":830,"category":38},1147.2426,0.2070196022861532,{"condition_id":835,"outcome":29,"usdc":836,"entry_price":837,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":611,"captured_at":13,"question":838,"event_slug":613,"category":403},"0x27840d803eaabaf2fb6083feaaff1cb2d4705a7f57f17d829b0ff0a51193d4ef",188.19,0.5086491162,"Will Trump say \"Midterm\" during Fox interview on Wednesday?",{"condition_id":840,"outcome":29,"usdc":841,"entry_price":842,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":769,"captured_at":13,"question":843,"event_slug":771,"category":403},"0x27db30029405d16290c78a22fbbed93b2ee2d20d80223625ba1f05fa94f79af8",1225.7749000000001,0.48413625447462877,"Will Powell say \"War\" during March press conference?",{"condition_id":845,"outcome":51,"usdc":846,"entry_price":847,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":848,"captured_at":13,"question":849,"event_slug":850,"category":403},"0x282d73e73e6f2e191de3faba8fc0ecee837fb43ffc86f5ff62550f47aa030965",33.29871000000001,0.10000000000000002,"2026-03-23T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"AI\" or \"Artificial Intelligence\" during Memphis Roundtable?","what-will-trump-say-during-memphis-roundtable",{"condition_id":852,"outcome":414,"usdc":853,"entry_price":854,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":855,"captured_at":453,"question":856,"event_slug":857,"category":403},"0x28d5ea213f99e6abd5b1c207a4b7c89958fd4146d1e2572b69cc3923caedff52",622.9,0.5,"2026-08-29T02:00:00Z","Washington Mystics vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O\u002FU 167.5","wnba-wsh-la-2026-08-28",{"condition_id":859,"outcome":29,"usdc":860,"entry_price":861,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":513,"captured_at":13,"question":862,"event_slug":544,"category":38},"0x291ff8aa0b7439389820e49584499d6dc65cf617dde1a47c4b84d05f42c85639",838.8050000000001,0.151,"Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?",{"condition_id":864,"outcome":865,"usdc":866,"entry_price":867,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":386,"captured_at":13,"question":868,"event_slug":869,"category":403},"0x29e0a14554f32866b085b887968a2503008525f2dbe8b694e293edb6f58b3ea6","Up",173.88049999999998,0.61,"SpaceX IPO: Open Up\u002FDown on Second Day","spacex-ipo-open-updown-on-second-day-20260608180600456",{"condition_id":871,"outcome":29,"usdc":872,"entry_price":873,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":874,"captured_at":13,"question":875,"event_slug":606,"category":403},"0x2cbfefb1c7f083b083bbc123b164c05fc13a9baf298063e9570fceb0ff1742a7",4999.2335649999995,0.8333471712357787,"2026-03-31T23:55:00Z","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?",{"condition_id":871,"outcome":51,"usdc":877,"entry_price":878,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":874,"captured_at":13,"question":875,"event_slug":606,"category":403},1257.216461,0.1664529214442138,{"condition_id":880,"outcome":51,"usdc":881,"entry_price":882,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":883,"captured_at":453,"question":884,"event_slug":214,"category":217},"0x2e47cff93eb647a0487879f781ec583f8849eeb397ff0ad5cb38f77ec916c8a7",2812.7047000000002,0.7198239023157502,"2026-08-03T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?",{"condition_id":886,"outcome":51,"usdc":887,"entry_price":888,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":889,"captured_at":453,"question":890,"event_slug":891,"category":38},"0x2e4b58fc18dbffd74d5275d89fb076943f21992763c45dcadd81391b83bde13c",566.6610000000001,0.008499999999999999,"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-september-762",{"condition_id":893,"outcome":29,"usdc":894,"entry_price":408,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":895,"captured_at":453,"question":896,"event_slug":214,"category":217},"0x2f738e4c227b83c08c490dc6618164d31315a6740b9a5a98c392fc3160810957",881.7472,"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?",{"condition_id":898,"outcome":51,"usdc":899,"entry_price":900,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":783,"captured_at":13,"question":901,"event_slug":45,"category":38},"0x30174f3f46398e37c96a07b45916e01eab9a8a854ecb624ac73a91a8490fd074",912.40063,0.04931130309320456,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":903,"outcome":29,"usdc":904,"entry_price":905,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":805,"captured_at":13,"question":906,"event_slug":907,"category":403},"0x306d10d4a4d51b41910dbc779ca00908bd917c131541c5c42bbbc736258d2d56",112607.4752769999,0.758082321385371,"US forces enter Iran by March 31?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-march-31-222-191-243-517-878-439-519",{"condition_id":903,"outcome":51,"usdc":909,"entry_price":910,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":805,"captured_at":13,"question":906,"event_slug":907,"category":403},14062.947207,0.15879815629961172,{"condition_id":912,"outcome":29,"usdc":913,"entry_price":914,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":915,"captured_at":453,"question":916,"event_slug":917,"category":38},"0x3088733a3d7f03d026035f6dd7df44a82c59eeb95545dda3889b65baa9a36e82",744.699,0.5590833333333334,"2026-06-21T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",{"condition_id":912,"outcome":51,"usdc":919,"entry_price":920,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":915,"captured_at":453,"question":916,"event_slug":917,"category":38},264.5,0.20000000000000004,{"condition_id":922,"outcome":51,"usdc":923,"entry_price":924,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":925,"captured_at":13,"question":926,"event_slug":927,"category":403},"0x30a892ea01a40602dd58029243f165a97ce22dbfeabf427f86d705ae650fad4b",102.212,0.03066666666666667,"2026-03-01T00:00:00Z","US forces enter Iran by March 14?","us-forces-enter-iran-by",{"condition_id":929,"outcome":51,"usdc":930,"entry_price":931,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":932,"captured_at":13,"question":933,"event_slug":934,"category":38},"0x339727bd072a1756e1ff56b4512702e28ed0e30818fc28e0c9e39fafea56a578",17.98119,0.081,"2026-06-13T03:59:00Z","Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?","trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-over-byptptpt-20260607232555290",{"condition_id":936,"outcome":29,"usdc":937,"entry_price":938,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":744,"captured_at":13,"question":939,"event_slug":746,"category":403},"0x3419454a975946abef124537dd82ae253d2c68fe2388e648258c2c48831cf733",666.25604,0.6134107075441145,"Will Trump say \"Khamenei\" this week? (March 29)",{"condition_id":941,"outcome":29,"usdc":942,"entry_price":943,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":697,"captured_at":13,"question":944,"event_slug":917,"category":38},"0x35c73eb41a0ee54b49358c523a2d3335e9df5ee21bba9e526813a6fbaa0f70b6",1272.8196,0.36,"US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":941,"outcome":51,"usdc":946,"entry_price":947,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":697,"captured_at":13,"question":944,"event_slug":917,"category":38},548.034,0.07049575508093645,{"condition_id":949,"outcome":51,"usdc":950,"entry_price":951,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":952,"captured_at":13,"question":953,"event_slug":491,"category":38},"0x366f89649caea042c96ee741b185461ec7faa408a2664ec44469a0061924b537",19304.903193000002,0.09399690953202397,"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":955,"outcome":29,"usdc":956,"entry_price":957,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":648,"captured_at":13,"question":958,"event_slug":650,"category":38},"0x3729565378b66a3e7e63c48f09329a6be21746b6f71465f86b0a03151724b91b",168.77996000000002,0.8703197929880984,"Will Trump say \"Trump\" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?",{"condition_id":955,"outcome":51,"usdc":960,"entry_price":961,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":648,"captured_at":13,"question":958,"event_slug":650,"category":38},26.62791,0.1182071786,{"condition_id":963,"outcome":29,"usdc":964,"entry_price":965,"won":14,"source":399,"end_date_iso":386,"captured_at":13,"question":966,"event_slug":967,"category":403},"0x3c6bcb7da14ea576e5af25547dbd96f2bb24ac34e748e76aecff2ee9195dd1ac",13157.097642999997,0.8417279207396283,"US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by",{"condition_id":963,"outcome":51,"usdc":969,"entry_price":970,"won":12,"source":399,"end_date_iso":386,"captured_at":13,"question":966,"event_slug":967,"category":403},3643.619296000001,0.1425910929795066,{"total":972,"wins":973},430,193,[975,981,986,991,996,999],{"category":976,"n":977,"wins":978,"hitRate":979,"roi":980},"Other",258,119,0.46124031007751937,0.16889621395653492,{"category":38,"n":982,"wins":983,"hitRate":984,"roi":985},120,56,0.4666666666666667,0.4936589420049113,{"category":217,"n":987,"wins":988,"hitRate":989,"roi":990},27,10,0.37037037037037035,0.05495604670337458,{"category":73,"n":992,"wins":993,"hitRate":994,"roi":995},18,6,0.3333333333333333,-0.1682414952808314,{"category":997,"n":351,"wins":14,"hitRate":429,"roi":998},"Sports",-0.8324240265713457,{"category":168,"n":1000,"wins":14,"hitRate":854,"roi":1001},2,-0.24204990695101486,{"generatedAt":1003},"2026-10-07T01:10:20.149Z"]