[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x24fbc286881b0c0e76bc7558c47c3fa5f71d973e":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":260,"history":261,"resolved":264,"resolvedSummary":554,"specialization":557,"meta":575},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x24fbc286881b0c0e76bc7558c47c3fa5f71d973e",1256,501,0.7844311377245509,0.22446568697569005,0.18610508248311936,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-25T19:41:58.714Z",151.91218865668642,2.0323624595469254,"2026-09-25T18:55:24.000Z",0,"trades",0.5233749873714572,0.2610561503530939,17083.63596718868,76108.0065169999,21.23881506962837,0.017130620985010708,[26,39,48,59,68,77,84,92,102,110,118,127,136,143,150,157,166,174,182,189,197,205,212,220,227,235,242,250],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"10592971839058012204379818734015951513876214421642216097933518020153836601713","0x66f5b8203ee1c36b993af623fd7f9ef7271dd87b3aebf6df508048ad4b563432","No",3250.7,0.9599,"2026-09-25T22:30:11.400Z","2026-09-25T20:53:21.599Z","Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?","openai-ipo-by","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.0325\", \"0.9675\"]","Tech",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":44,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":46,"category":47},"95212449865986159112377413335252801281670333750637442556685159781445406848396","0xa4ddc18895cc7b14810283ef8f113939abffd3969c6a0e37f1897110c67e6f73",2941.02,0.9699,"Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?","hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026","[\"0.0255\", \"0.9745\"]","Science",{"token_id":49,"condition_id":50,"outcome":51,"size":52,"avg_price":53,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":54,"event_slug":55,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":57,"category":58},"75709176002095002750849246474632950002002754664889687639694766976351879509078","0x1559fd02f1e6dc9ac3b3ed7fb41aa53e10df2a32d3ebbcab516efcaec6117d9e","Yes",4069.81,0.6083,"Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?","will-cmi-declare-a-millennium-prize-problem-solved-by-20260723160122979","2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.39\", \"0.61\"]","Culture",{"token_id":60,"condition_id":61,"outcome":29,"size":62,"avg_price":63,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":64,"event_slug":65,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":66,"category":67},"41322607865742074300265155339497262263149745189020953796823127345289944760602","0x0734eb61d07f694bde1da2619cfb75d2a052b8f173180fb050894c30d73de98c",2633.0818,0.8173,"US military draft authorized in 2026?","us-military-draft-authorized-in-2026","[\"0.044\", \"0.956\"]","Politics",{"token_id":69,"condition_id":70,"outcome":29,"size":71,"avg_price":72,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":73,"event_slug":74,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":75,"outcome_prices":76,"category":38},"44825112363851172847030972963897959231819034701442317803808120944832501987949","0xd56c7fef87fef04dea3cc6f1e4085b92c649fb55949fe8a607e03dc58d6e17a3",2939.95,0.6914,"Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?","which-millennium-prize-problem-will-ai-solve-next","2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.205\", \"0.795\"]",{"token_id":78,"condition_id":79,"outcome":29,"size":80,"avg_price":81,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":82,"event_slug":83,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":67},"96214953624495509683027302209340859673097705517450500531670409012928242777230","0xaa5cdb6830cbfa2ca711b7cf93bd42cf4f8e062d44ea188c0b8ec1fb2924c083",1517.7786,0.8962,"Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?","will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026",{"token_id":85,"condition_id":86,"outcome":51,"size":87,"avg_price":88,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":89,"event_slug":90,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":91,"outcome_prices":66,"category":38},"64212255472604180559122022021927000909748611025332694849360483180562685648523","0x825aa4592b3efdae16abb105be20cddfb02f643dd836d2f3121d1ba7e4700059",6200.93,0.2169,"Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?","openai-announces-another-millennium-prize-solution-by","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z",{"token_id":93,"condition_id":94,"outcome":29,"size":95,"avg_price":96,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":97,"event_slug":98,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":99,"outcome_prices":100,"category":101},"82375146384363771416495833500123012127064801663481766031560266455321182238613","0x270d3ef640f23a0908f7a3d477faf063baea28c8e2fd11d36f33b4f8c2ab4176",1574.33,0.8399,"Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?","zcashs-orchard-pool-confirmed-exploited-20260605210804589","2027-06-05T03:59:00Z","[\"0.05\", \"0.95\"]","Crypto",{"token_id":103,"condition_id":104,"outcome":29,"size":105,"avg_price":106,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":107,"event_slug":108,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":109,"category":67},"7279676563630030702573332806474804902619547794902031805109069955920606549656","0x1d5e81db35e1eb40ad4647e2871f06af7b7127ba0e2180b9f18dc6b5e2f5b8e8",1527.28,0.7936,"US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?","us-government-removes-public-access-to-another-anthropic-ai-model-in-2026-20260703203121674","[\"0.085\", \"0.915\"]",{"token_id":111,"condition_id":112,"outcome":29,"size":113,"avg_price":114,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":115,"event_slug":116,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":117,"category":67},"72095897215599895681149701722606364539867186803340437295210002622844727571825","0x115374e9cb26f7c375f35cdfec08167024dbfc5a20f339806d81236ed25ab781",2000,0.53,"Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?","miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30","[\"0.15\", \"0.85\"]",{"token_id":119,"condition_id":120,"outcome":29,"size":121,"avg_price":122,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":123,"event_slug":124,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":125,"outcome_prices":126,"category":38},"41886169336446730286230557115865993654471827706045159148202873892259569572026","0x59a3326e6eea1961622c3b0dd3f08239c0842ce10859355f7a05210be75b8d17",1139.7,0.9294,"Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?","will-apple-release-a-foldable-iphone-before-2027","2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]",{"token_id":128,"condition_id":129,"outcome":29,"size":130,"avg_price":131,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":132,"event_slug":133,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":134,"outcome_prices":135,"category":101},"89935193776001764234914810530894985625350942201527563326613427606200761992090","0xbb379a14cd03f68c35c279ddbd928a6326f4fd2e21827f8cdaaf59715d6df50e",1187.95,0.6899,"Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027","2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","[\"0.67\", \"0.33\"]",{"token_id":137,"condition_id":138,"outcome":51,"size":139,"avg_price":140,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":141,"event_slug":55,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":75,"outcome_prices":142,"category":58},"13434683105110406557450572647987803375932624503690314665359956597968387516554","0xc1c7b5a6803c6df65d9443a780997845be9709bedb35b6ca829a57f9f55d34fc",3380.68,0.2373,"Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?","[\"0.135\", \"0.865\"]",{"token_id":144,"condition_id":145,"outcome":51,"size":146,"avg_price":147,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":148,"event_slug":90,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":149,"category":38},"34819265358532535745389081655110465366205614488485370986851183512281332080312","0x117f9132e15eeff2621be398fa57092cf446a2f02cbd7ee8e3714226705c4d3b",1067.9,0.4372,"Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.345\", \"0.655\"]",{"token_id":151,"condition_id":152,"outcome":51,"size":153,"avg_price":154,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":155,"event_slug":55,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":156,"category":58},"45565240149392050142546950784985477240716466215486323573506793454356200062569","0x24d28f36ea7fb7c729b108e3992b4df869a0112e6f2aa546d43f80a0a9136e40",4100.96,0.097,"Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.0405\", \"0.9595\"]",{"token_id":158,"condition_id":159,"outcome":51,"size":160,"avg_price":161,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":162,"event_slug":163,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":75,"outcome_prices":164,"category":165},"71392867367012117755497384863753412581683382787016264023600391181248446236898","0x7da384acfbd230df8409d0abad32ff3f3eaa1dda08ce48fca8ea1d894c09c765",559.6,0.6691,"KOSPI all-time high before 2028?","kospi-all-time-high-before-2028","[\"0.535\", \"0.465\"]","Business",{"token_id":167,"condition_id":168,"outcome":29,"size":169,"avg_price":170,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":171,"event_slug":172,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":173,"category":58},"113990264620247366670754574609194980202098881985620959344027746099696488630743","0x6a551a64bbd37b95b715761eae575eee0f76f9418527968106add4c588bfe032",353.01,0.9499,"Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026?","taylor-travis-divorce-in-2026-20260706221307677","[\"0.0245\", \"0.9755\"]",{"token_id":175,"condition_id":176,"outcome":51,"size":177,"avg_price":178,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":179,"event_slug":180,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":134,"outcome_prices":181,"category":101},"17350845049680552970672840026358740260045435349204108344377109382227760010802","0xd72f8ae72767e80d4021a1f447e492fcbb23533e6b5b6645b22bec3d893a2aee",919.19,0.3003,"Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?","will-revolut-launch-a-usd-stablecoin-in-2026","[\"0.31\", \"0.69\"]",{"token_id":183,"condition_id":184,"outcome":29,"size":185,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":186,"event_slug":187,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":188,"category":58},"113986903103009001311335305605408144839362814262414502510481345335472858942303","0xab66fa97c7e66705d564df9c91c5ee8e1692996bb8eb8d9b6555a2703762febb",247.15,"Will Sneako be deported in 2026?","will-sneako-be-deported-in-2026-20260807154140938","[\"0.04\", \"0.96\"]",{"token_id":190,"condition_id":191,"outcome":51,"size":192,"avg_price":193,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":194,"event_slug":195,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":196,"category":38},"55016587865309903852389968289633294208829964926943380554880112548796654808601","0x66827dbcfea1b78556b234313f9b8dea19ef6ecaf45b82541dd90d624b3d122e",544.87,0.3471,"Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?","anthropic-announces-a-millennium-prize-solution-byptptpt","[\"0.25\", \"0.75\"]",{"token_id":198,"condition_id":199,"outcome":29,"size":200,"avg_price":201,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":202,"event_slug":203,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":204,"category":38},"60953331900594527342588678000792388561050488042651109447945133897657984403462","0xd86535990b7809016cd53b7359b8e5d1e0f9001760e2e029b78570c3354b2473",267.4237,0.6957,"Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?","will-tesla-sell-a-cybercab-for-30k-or-less-in-2026","[\"0.14\", \"0.86\"]",{"token_id":206,"condition_id":207,"outcome":51,"size":208,"avg_price":209,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":210,"event_slug":195,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":91,"outcome_prices":211,"category":38},"108836403792721051643220335397082354189219054437459692083981276104826552844989","0x5ed59b0394b8e49aca0b3140e5e2d599e78da375afdbf8f4e5d65f613159c23b",576.34,0.1877,"Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?","[\"0.0135\", \"0.9865\"]",{"token_id":213,"condition_id":214,"outcome":29,"size":215,"avg_price":216,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":217,"event_slug":218,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":219,"category":67},"15567817820406817298250195860553052985319644889388055203376988123769415771153","0xb32b82cadfb62a4cda93c450cec648a9d2b9de3575243a75757d7e587d60b5c8",110.4,0.809,"US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?","us-government-bans-an-open-source-ai-model-in-2026-20260703221501747","[\"0.07\", \"0.93\"]",{"token_id":221,"condition_id":222,"outcome":51,"size":223,"avg_price":224,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":225,"event_slug":226,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":75,"outcome_prices":142,"category":38},"96130683199752266674876402636429615866386400471609005119548613222479830750388","0x85062d958a050cb8cf7faacdd3a79d1e1ee3cd247abe43e69f8f897c6627cad2",506.01,0.1699,"Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?","will-cmi-declare-the-navier-stokes-problem-solved-by",{"token_id":228,"condition_id":229,"outcome":29,"size":230,"avg_price":231,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":232,"event_slug":233,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":234,"category":38},"26615354544378591694965726741213830197651534400889931749095877249002057483435","0x39037b0f4d68925a61cbc5b720f0825325d03a6d07cce28e12bd63187f1b3539",231.39,0.3182,"Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?","how-many-more-millennium-prize-problems-will-ai-solve-in-2026","[\"0.625\", \"0.375\"]",{"token_id":236,"condition_id":237,"outcome":51,"size":238,"avg_price":239,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":240,"event_slug":74,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":75,"outcome_prices":241,"category":38},"45002854920632205842375008701834494919687123999359447430484085567728548529599","0x37480d7442a4e2cad30726a1df4daf53ddc659a51c074c32862d18e26476d035",74.01,0.3177,"Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?","[\"0.195\", \"0.805\"]",{"token_id":243,"condition_id":244,"outcome":29,"size":245,"avg_price":246,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":247,"event_slug":248,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":249,"category":67},"83195428453042237820270396006282569377404750304472162542878919681646953862986","0x1a70d9809b82744d407912da5924af79986299d2625ae0219f2c29efc0faa1e4",25,0.92,"Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?","kim-jong-un-visits-the-us-in-2026","[\"0.0275\", \"0.9725\"]",{"token_id":251,"condition_id":252,"outcome":51,"size":253,"avg_price":254,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":255,"event_slug":256,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":257,"outcome_prices":258,"category":259},"35722338205853802518085116814984659124732900520664344115044744032497983004870","0xfbc623fb186ea1a331a5d8d0dbb5064865a86feca44361dea42bdfaf09e445df",98.5,0.1899,"Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?","spx-close-dec-2026","2026-12-31T21:00:00Z","[\"0.385\", \"0.615\"]","Other",[],[262],{"recorded_date":263,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-25",[265,274,281,284,290,297,303,306,312,318,325,331,338,344,350,356,362,369,376,379,386,393,398,404,411,417,423,429,435,442,447,454,460,465,471,474,481,487,494,500,506,513,519,524,530,535,541,547],{"condition_id":266,"outcome":29,"usdc":267,"entry_price":268,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":270,"captured_at":13,"question":271,"event_slug":272,"category":273},"0x06b19e82f8583f700a3df4ed02abdedf32b4c8cd9bd6cf2502230ef199010c32",3478.0373900000004,0.7417273935518689,"backfill","2026-06-30T17:00:00Z","Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?","claude-fable-5-restored-for-us-customers-by-20260613193753196",null,{"condition_id":275,"outcome":29,"usdc":276,"entry_price":277,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":278,"captured_at":13,"question":279,"event_slug":280,"category":67},"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089",1433.592,0.4467354722907786,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":275,"outcome":51,"usdc":282,"entry_price":283,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":278,"captured_at":13,"question":279,"event_slug":280,"category":67},780.476,0.30908716486475785,{"condition_id":285,"outcome":29,"usdc":286,"entry_price":287,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":288,"captured_at":13,"question":289,"event_slug":116,"category":67},"0x119db6dda44f109bcdc2ec5e1d9cb8c21fa1a7e66489f59b1190fdfb25c0d515",3796.672895,0.7976519615418082,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?",{"condition_id":291,"outcome":51,"usdc":292,"entry_price":293,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":294,"captured_at":13,"question":295,"event_slug":296,"category":38},"0x165b21b66bc7d20b64f90a01ad0fa1890e183e7499f74a3216de82cb2a8e9f62",2836.52503,0.1456759615408482,"2026-07-06T00:00:00Z","GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?","gpt-5pt6-released-by",{"condition_id":298,"outcome":29,"usdc":299,"entry_price":300,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":13,"question":302,"event_slug":272,"category":67},"0x178b29c0bb3a1c482f37f42e2420a1aa686b960ef0004e9ed07d7f46581779c9",4450.2265099999995,0.6969829614688029,"2026-07-01T17:00:00Z","Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?",{"condition_id":298,"outcome":51,"usdc":304,"entry_price":305,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":13,"question":302,"event_slug":272,"category":67},1312.446387,0.8362941834848071,{"condition_id":307,"outcome":51,"usdc":308,"entry_price":309,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":310,"captured_at":13,"question":311,"event_slug":272,"category":67},"0x1bc721516922d9319293bbb2eeb8b11b3e20495c3aab31964ea8984879bcdfee",36.30874,0.0749703231339186,"2026-06-15T17:00:00Z","Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?",{"condition_id":313,"outcome":51,"usdc":314,"entry_price":315,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":316,"captured_at":13,"question":317,"event_slug":280,"category":67},"0x1db02ba50e2312a62b4104de691cc7a76065d8d0da40decf93eb1b914a3217b7",300,0.06,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":319,"outcome":29,"usdc":320,"entry_price":321,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":322,"captured_at":13,"question":323,"event_slug":324,"category":67},"0x2f6a547524c1d290f8a2bbff80be2b0e8ca1b3b716dd3a0e74bf8ddb3e3fd6b7",668.6329,0.7058674056,"2026-06-01T03:59:00Z","Iran leadership change by May 31?","iran-leadership-change-by",{"condition_id":326,"outcome":51,"usdc":327,"entry_price":328,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":278,"captured_at":13,"question":329,"event_slug":330,"category":58},"0x30b8e5f4f3670e9be29c36be3826cbdf86e24b4e71ad7c752bf1f3a072d6da03",5443.187029999999,0.8367690672257451,"Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?","who-will-die-in-euphoria-season-3",{"condition_id":332,"outcome":29,"usdc":333,"entry_price":334,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":335,"captured_at":13,"question":336,"event_slug":337,"category":273},"0x33202ea27cf7fbf8d387c6ef1e0eb956dc999ffb96385b6fe67b84ea4a364952",96.02472,0.22,"2026-07-19T23:59:00Z","Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?","will-anthropic-extend-claude-fable-5-paid-plan-access-again-by-july-19-20260712201937544",{"condition_id":339,"outcome":29,"usdc":340,"entry_price":341,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":342,"captured_at":13,"question":343,"event_slug":324,"category":67},"0x352559d5f5bdcad9f6dabdf84af660639ca144aef053166c923033d2345d884a",944.8412,0.8880420316553254,"2026-03-14T03:59:00Z","Iran leadership change by March 13?",{"condition_id":345,"outcome":51,"usdc":346,"entry_price":347,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":348,"captured_at":13,"question":349,"event_slug":272,"category":67},"0x3dea03c0c0ef48cbe175108be3c7ee0cc4d095558b5167327bc5f780fcccc0ff",864.4956999999999,0.20445214874703155,"2026-06-19T17:00:00Z","Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?",{"condition_id":351,"outcome":29,"usdc":352,"entry_price":353,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":354,"captured_at":13,"question":355,"event_slug":280,"category":67},"0x421bc1929df1429cf2cb94f80c1ce6a3ed0d1f0b7a2749b9890075f94eb549e9",2065.5044,0.42947951061688555,"2026-05-26T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?",{"condition_id":357,"outcome":29,"usdc":358,"entry_price":359,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":288,"captured_at":13,"question":360,"event_slug":361,"category":67},"0x48874462b88af831a4d90479286c6c1d4cd683a6b119d926f85ac66549385b21",40.2864,0.56,"Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?","miguel-daz-canel-out-as-president-of-cuba-by-june-30",{"condition_id":363,"outcome":29,"usdc":364,"entry_price":365,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":366,"captured_at":13,"question":367,"event_slug":368,"category":273},"0x4ccff8c606ad71080c7611d28f1593a528a8ca6c11c1fb63bfa24a7eb2ad30d7",90.229877,0.21470021056630256,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by",{"condition_id":370,"outcome":29,"usdc":371,"entry_price":372,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":373,"captured_at":13,"question":374,"event_slug":375,"category":273},"0x50361a31c2b1ce6e3f094e5455a978e47e296e4956a6863135d4f693c5a711ed",1690.92937,0.7429688249069492,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?","gpt-5pt6-released-onptptpt-20260623051439980",{"condition_id":370,"outcome":51,"usdc":377,"entry_price":378,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":373,"captured_at":13,"question":374,"event_slug":375,"category":273},2216.7193,0.5713516202441238,{"condition_id":380,"outcome":51,"usdc":381,"entry_price":382,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":383,"captured_at":13,"question":384,"event_slug":385,"category":67},"0x52683ca49ff7de707d89b6c992e58f93dd155e0bcb092a4c3a17f08e6bed07b5",314.96389999999997,0.3511224944573354,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?","kristi-noem-divorce-by-august-31",{"condition_id":387,"outcome":51,"usdc":388,"entry_price":389,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":390,"captured_at":13,"question":391,"event_slug":392,"category":38},"0x586555817c3d83541254d75bbf52089c209d836d395e604a52bee72518f0e898",83.35054,0.036,"","Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?","spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap",{"condition_id":394,"outcome":51,"usdc":395,"entry_price":396,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":278,"captured_at":13,"question":397,"event_slug":280,"category":67},"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7",1421.218057,0.1505962663881677,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":399,"outcome":51,"usdc":400,"entry_price":401,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":402,"captured_at":13,"question":403,"event_slug":296,"category":38},"0x6152d3deb5290571224899af4ada10e404c0cdacf1cd461935c5f6e658ed5863",669.554986,0.10067155999774491,"2026-07-03T00:00:00Z","GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?",{"condition_id":405,"outcome":29,"usdc":406,"entry_price":407,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":408,"captured_at":13,"question":409,"event_slug":410,"category":273},"0x6e0c2302d4f0dd857d7176f4ed1f360dfe8afa695dda58b28109ca8a6430af70",3.1303,0.59,"2027-03-31T23:59:00Z","Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?","how-much-will-the-iphone-18-pro-cost-20260623232158676",{"condition_id":412,"outcome":29,"usdc":413,"entry_price":414,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":415,"captured_at":13,"question":416,"event_slug":272,"category":273},"0x7b68c04fa47def97bdec5e75444bdb8b0b0ab559a117832bdf23ce84445cc881",290.9032,0.1993634538,"2026-07-17T17:00:00Z","Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?",{"condition_id":418,"outcome":51,"usdc":419,"entry_price":420,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":421,"captured_at":13,"question":422,"event_slug":272,"category":67},"0x807c5d57223f2ae55825f04b59f205e6776e9e5eda0fb85f3244990c8c3ced1c",6.03294,0.0308597237,"2026-06-16T17:00:00Z","Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?",{"condition_id":424,"outcome":51,"usdc":425,"entry_price":426,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":427,"captured_at":13,"question":428,"event_slug":296,"category":38},"0x845c5db17e6b85070cae3e26cde93893f885f6b6adb2fb0c7d90d34821431f2f",1599.11059,0.7377922096086156,"2026-07-07T00:00:00Z","GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":430,"outcome":29,"usdc":431,"entry_price":432,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":278,"captured_at":13,"question":433,"event_slug":434,"category":58},"0x8be79c60bf17a0b5f8c07f10e8be5aff34eff05c17be2d4f6d17540cc67bc985",1202.82969,0.34845313359192714,"Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?","will-bryan-johnson-have-sex-again-by-may-31",{"condition_id":436,"outcome":29,"usdc":437,"entry_price":438,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":439,"captured_at":13,"question":440,"event_slug":441,"category":273},"0x8cc6aa69d3f7ce4d302ddff3981207a6c898783991cc5e6887c9d161907c03f3",2840.2190069999997,0.8097092510221703,"2026-04-15T00:00:00Z","Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?","will-trump-praise-allah-again-by-april-15",{"condition_id":443,"outcome":51,"usdc":444,"entry_price":445,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":373,"captured_at":13,"question":446,"event_slug":375,"category":273},"0x8ce53b95757fafff769752d9a881d4971bdfcf678bcb2088da982a0bf131d3dc",3013.6040470000003,0.886629990977535,"Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?",{"condition_id":448,"outcome":51,"usdc":449,"entry_price":450,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":451,"captured_at":13,"question":452,"event_slug":453,"category":273},"0x9fdbd8e33ba9c5ff52b9caa343a277cd95e2d9661f1bd664b4e6b86b8b558490",9372.168885000005,0.7042920421469366,"2026-02-15T00:00:00Z","Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?","will-mrbeasts-million-dollar-puzzle-be-solved-by-february-15",{"condition_id":455,"outcome":29,"usdc":456,"entry_price":457,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":335,"captured_at":13,"question":458,"event_slug":459,"category":273},"0xac246fd6a0853f418532c97c57fc66178652fe0eeb657c64c293cb4160745420",1350.251166,0.5953618484068298,"Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026?","anthropic-removes-paid-plan-access-for-fable-5-byptptpt-20260713185755110",{"condition_id":461,"outcome":29,"usdc":462,"entry_price":463,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":288,"captured_at":13,"question":464,"event_slug":324,"category":67},"0xb196a122933da9aff6cb8b0f3764d0dc5db1859f46c0481c711521eee8524291",3.25,0.65,"Iran leadership change by June 30?",{"condition_id":466,"outcome":29,"usdc":467,"entry_price":468,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":469,"captured_at":13,"question":470,"event_slug":324,"category":67},"0xb412664463bbfe21be44b1963291205ab332afd4f7f6e0d027aec1ba7a9e6793",1358.684043,0.6520746279154536,"2026-05-01T03:59:00Z","Iran leadership change by April 30?",{"condition_id":466,"outcome":51,"usdc":472,"entry_price":473,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":469,"captured_at":13,"question":470,"event_slug":324,"category":67},109.39125,0.034969950290107576,{"condition_id":475,"outcome":51,"usdc":476,"entry_price":477,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":478,"captured_at":13,"question":479,"event_slug":480,"category":273},"0xbab6a6855f2c3bbf4f48c66a566a5dcaf1380030ab0712e68a4f94ce47424f78",427.908,0.07653788366602274,"2026-04-05T00:00:00Z","Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?","any-of-the-stolen-kitkats-recovered-by-april-5",{"condition_id":482,"outcome":29,"usdc":483,"entry_price":484,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":485,"captured_at":13,"question":486,"event_slug":280,"category":67},"0xbbc6689d0f6d57ea42168836712237c7308b3e0118c8914d31b6126d0f3254c5",3973.7574000000004,0.6115523975733399,"2026-04-22","US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?",{"condition_id":488,"outcome":29,"usdc":489,"entry_price":490,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":491,"captured_at":13,"question":492,"event_slug":493,"category":101},"0xc7f2cf2cf37e512a316ea83212c9e09567915a251ff7cc1eee1d6fc7f9f619f3",130.02138,0.10059353265585659,"2026-06-04T00:00:00Z","Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?","bitcoin-above-62k-on-june-4-2026",{"condition_id":495,"outcome":29,"usdc":496,"entry_price":497,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":498,"captured_at":13,"question":499,"event_slug":324,"category":67},"0xcc07920770fdaadcdc4dff75056e88140d0988c9cb1dbfb4a78eda51b2868027",2955,0.6566666666666666,"2026-04-01T03:59:00Z","Iran leadership change by March 31?",{"condition_id":501,"outcome":29,"usdc":502,"entry_price":503,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":390,"captured_at":13,"question":504,"event_slug":505,"category":273},"0xcc7226e019e769b68c6798f5df11a6ba474d9e60b864e2faecfb8024e23d53e6",425,0.85,"Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?","will-iran-claim-responsibility-for-oslo-embassy-attack",{"condition_id":507,"outcome":29,"usdc":508,"entry_price":509,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":510,"captured_at":13,"question":511,"event_slug":512,"category":273},"0xd08544f6162283dc8d0a82f16362aab837a8537379df9bbe604960eec9cd4618",1675.315733,0.8866481318707296,"2026-04-30","US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-april-30",{"condition_id":514,"outcome":51,"usdc":515,"entry_price":516,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":288,"captured_at":13,"question":517,"event_slug":518,"category":67},"0xd271c2ad91fcb0e971021de385ae6c2e898cb4ac0b36ad4d5971d50eebc5c1b3",1400.9071810000034,0.2127880887216697,"Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?","us-government-rescinds-claude-fable-5-foreigner-ban-by-20260613202427937",{"condition_id":520,"outcome":29,"usdc":521,"entry_price":522,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":439,"captured_at":13,"question":440,"event_slug":523,"category":273},"0xd835216e3360b3fe9eb6218b05f7d2c2052a8d2c4193a17e49639892a0b38560",1395.9086109999998,0.7904586834577034,"will-trump-praise-allah-again-by-april-15-423",{"condition_id":525,"outcome":51,"usdc":526,"entry_price":527,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":528,"captured_at":13,"question":529,"event_slug":272,"category":67},"0xe1bcc06698c334b73add34fa23d3a946bdb604118dc8ee326b40a53f367d5c26",1657.5336,0.2094221174121385,"2026-06-22T17:00:00Z","Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?",{"condition_id":531,"outcome":29,"usdc":532,"entry_price":533,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":278,"captured_at":13,"question":534,"event_slug":330,"category":58},"0xe29494b99ca89d6f65017a30bd5507af551533f30c2715205c37fd1be7d3dee0",133.52286,0.15849301853890205,"Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?",{"condition_id":536,"outcome":29,"usdc":537,"entry_price":538,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":510,"captured_at":13,"question":539,"event_slug":540,"category":273},"0xf8c728188acbf83a516cb43dd3e456e77c7fac0a56d4bc41c9bb6138cdbee093",4518.258089,0.878354927902519,"Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?","will-iran-sabotage-undersea-internet-cables-by-april-30",{"condition_id":542,"outcome":29,"usdc":543,"entry_price":544,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":510,"captured_at":13,"question":545,"event_slug":546,"category":273},"0xfb599e417a45ccc07516cbbf83a958971724fb31d411206a8ff756179b51c120",1219.075213,0.8684382951444695,"Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?","israeli-forces-enter-beirut-by",{"condition_id":548,"outcome":29,"usdc":549,"entry_price":550,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":551,"captured_at":13,"question":552,"event_slug":553,"category":273},"0xfedc7e3d3da61ab7972d2b886429e29bac071f3f95792faacf113914aeb26408",12,0.6,"2026-05-01","Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?","who-will-the-finding-satoshi-documentary-identify-as-satoshi",{"total":555,"wins":556},48,28,[558,563,567,570,574],{"category":67,"n":559,"wins":560,"hitRate":561,"roi":562},22,14,0.6363636363636364,0.5533104158215173,{"category":259,"n":564,"wins":549,"hitRate":565,"roi":566},18,0.6666666666666666,0.07480270923934673,{"category":38,"n":568,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":569},4,-1,{"category":58,"n":571,"wins":572,"hitRate":565,"roi":573},3,2,0.4686716334001001,{"category":101,"n":12,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":569},{"generatedAt":576},"2026-09-25T22:33:27.323Z"]