[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x0d93b6645d7c7730dea3e8912d1ef1618ead8cbe":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":585,"history":586,"resolved":589,"resolvedSummary":1171,"specialization":1173,"meta":1183},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x0d93b6645d7c7730dea3e8912d1ef1618ead8cbe",2676,508,0.6043307086614174,0.10836380097318515,0.08463283376271079,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-22T00:41:23.310Z",23.158534096456687,2.8498402555910545,"2026-09-21T19:48:21.000Z",0,"trades",0.5179765246427163,0.08635418401870076,1274.8497640668506,11764.535320999998,5.858572518602783,0.23228346456692914,[26,39,49,60,67,75,84,93,102,111,120,129,137,145,154,163,170,178,187,195,202,209,218,226,234,241,249,257,265,273,279,287,294,303,310,318,326,334,341,347,355,361,369,376,384,390,397,403,411,418,424,431,437,445,451,459,466,473,481,488,494,500,507,514,521,528,535,543,549,555,561,567,572,579],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"39496732299989167056386165526395587214780012081986272407751256962423542841708","0x485662cfac30967d8103557e16a77cfaca40096182d4cc470f07b5ef01f1ff0e","Yes",3910.9577,0.8691,"2026-09-23T11:56:09.327Z","2026-09-22T03:54:01.805Z","Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?","osnabruck-mayoral-election-winner-20260723172818472","2026-09-13T23:59:00Z","[\"0.946\", \"0.054\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":44,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":48,"category":38},"15608643409971761503638981418366748681664167967140328613245148153377110556924","0xd0590fb2d44c3b5deb053fde7072206ee9041441e3ee0e5fb022a41caf79b407","No",1517.7936,0.7383,"Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?","bulgaria-presidential-election","2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.295\", \"0.705\"]",{"token_id":50,"condition_id":51,"outcome":52,"size":53,"avg_price":54,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":55,"event_slug":56,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":57,"outcome_prices":58,"category":59},"104012351919518798563860778105035473965742341381327258036244711477321822695590","0x271712a538494ac29d86aa17da5e873d8ec493fc309abc0594c83976351e601c","Over",1281.99,0.8078,"Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over\u002FUnder 5%?","mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-election-cdu-over-under-5-percent","2026-09-20T23:59:00Z","[\"0.003\", \"0.997\"]",null,{"token_id":61,"condition_id":62,"outcome":29,"size":63,"avg_price":64,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":65,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":66,"category":38},"50441114645457108268892324313719484550984676393068151334263975251311332365159","0x5512bfa9294bf914063ed120969908dee5cdf6e14293f28ca405d3ce4edcf485",1304.99,0.7121,"Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?","[\"0.705\", \"0.295\"]",{"token_id":68,"condition_id":69,"outcome":42,"size":70,"avg_price":71,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":72,"event_slug":73,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":57,"outcome_prices":74,"category":59},"60703286010531029231291031202160607888051792627996128701056116961197610216518","0x1111612fb5c07018c7870a2d05052dc760449b9e0839c3a7c3ced525a531a393",541,0.8816,"Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have fewer than 143 seats after the 2026 election?","berlin-2026-election-how-large-will-the-abgeordnetenhaus-be","[\"0.002\", \"0.998\"]",{"token_id":76,"condition_id":77,"outcome":29,"size":78,"avg_price":79,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":80,"event_slug":81,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":82,"outcome_prices":83,"category":38},"67640446119720527248337382793354772102092185009855566546817734884398630043294","0x78c152252e0e76622eec781e2722e60b2a519b5b0ef0d35d9ae433df8a4412e2",466.99,0.9782,"Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí?","brazil-presidential-election-first-round-1st-place-in-piaui","2026-10-04T23:59:00Z","[\"0.979\", \"0.021\"]",{"token_id":85,"condition_id":86,"outcome":29,"size":87,"avg_price":88,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":89,"event_slug":90,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":91,"outcome_prices":92,"category":38},"29200949394502780913880486570939138496095883622405067843837528318135001695624","0xc124cd60dc05ac508421c7e3c1abc48c08e743f299ed044039283411daf2d027",326.99,0.8447,"Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?","bratislava-region-governor-election-winner","2026-10-25T03:59:00Z","[\"0.9575\", \"0.0425\"]",{"token_id":94,"condition_id":95,"outcome":29,"size":96,"avg_price":97,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":98,"event_slug":99,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":100,"outcome_prices":101,"category":38},"60977129292396881848833910361112107174416489010090570432106122538120602786646","0xa5d79e71e66c9fe122f8b8b3ca6ab7a0e3048bd8508f130746944e92ed79ddf3",322.02,0.8178,"Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?","california-governor-election-2026","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.9505\", \"0.0495\"]",{"token_id":103,"condition_id":104,"outcome":29,"size":105,"avg_price":106,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":107,"event_slug":108,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":109,"outcome_prices":110,"category":38},"113036572395843970447593101017818963449633996776632310882541416364942207828991","0x9639a6a92c4b2a434ee674c104c7f4660340663b91e418e2be1ee4377971aa32",500,0.5053,"Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?","next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642","2028-06-30T23:59:00Z","[\"0.587\", \"0.413\"]",{"token_id":112,"condition_id":113,"outcome":29,"size":114,"avg_price":115,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":116,"event_slug":117,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":118,"outcome_prices":119,"category":38},"49599826409180835015191814374219351167055502724957761876481371119305350255421","0xebd06bd0802721431a5d346cc28e3265da91d39e98374725c7496ba56021f890",183,0.9594,"Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?","brazil-presidential-election-first-round-1st-place-in-maranhao","2026-10-05T03:59:00Z","[\"0.978\", \"0.022\"]",{"token_id":121,"condition_id":122,"outcome":29,"size":123,"avg_price":124,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":125,"event_slug":126,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":127,"outcome_prices":128,"category":38},"109369153342099208001036219895671171936852984891125102245300258791062718893412","0xc5714247001eb365fb4913ac483a42698965310faecc6c2278cfe3fe799b7ea8",182,0.8545,"Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?","bratislava-mayoral-election-winner-2026","2027-04-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.865\", \"0.135\"]",{"token_id":130,"condition_id":131,"outcome":29,"size":132,"avg_price":133,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":134,"event_slug":135,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":136,"category":59},"40522080263647669781406034116695196482411262073791022776684686279353831263915","0x56d9ef10a415ed77afe58da9a3708eda590f1f219c6c4ccdea02dca091716a66",188.99,0.8098,"Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election?","hannover-region-presidential-election-winner-20260722233938481","[\"0.94\", \"0.06\"]",{"token_id":138,"condition_id":139,"outcome":29,"size":140,"avg_price":141,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":142,"event_slug":143,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":91,"outcome_prices":144,"category":38},"28408080321867474794802725507486691317060370871761643959805978863001065058206","0xba72f5e5d4db7decb9501aecb7bfcb80e4e69f12fcd7b96bd5f3a40ba298cbc6",255,0.5901,"Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?","poprad-mayoral-election-winner-2026","[\"0.78\", \"0.22\"]",{"token_id":146,"condition_id":147,"outcome":42,"size":148,"avg_price":149,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":150,"event_slug":151,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":152,"outcome_prices":153,"category":38},"62883590791278980660584364792136788537288776479063774671049966815249400154259","0x7d1cc102572a444d63434870de17a9752794d4575f16d24a85f03d7d6753d290",164,0.9,"Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?","israel-election-joint-list-of-seats","2026-11-30T23:59:00Z","[\"0.0255\", \"0.9745\"]",{"token_id":155,"condition_id":156,"outcome":42,"size":157,"avg_price":158,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":159,"event_slug":160,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":161,"outcome_prices":162,"category":38},"47068273530939584253303619360574217173005800099422741680899359628559633174132","0xb6ef1e0ff23f7e55a79748ce0ccb7aa0553063dd558a9cd03fb3758ad2a306cf",155.99,0.8971,"Will Petr Vokřál be the next Mayor of Brno?","next-mayor-of-brno-2026","2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.019\", \"0.981\"]",{"token_id":164,"condition_id":165,"outcome":42,"size":166,"avg_price":167,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":168,"event_slug":160,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":161,"outcome_prices":169,"category":38},"38049562599943516865013892341889773221778482683946763974774173040883630498748","0x0071e8224b363fa1a6d61cbcc8e5c90ac08f6e3653c5fbde47a05f5c05bbc9d8",166,0.8182,"Will Adam Zemek be the next Mayor of Brno?","[\"0.0245\", \"0.9755\"]",{"token_id":171,"condition_id":172,"outcome":29,"size":173,"avg_price":174,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":175,"event_slug":176,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":118,"outcome_prices":177,"category":38},"69962097518394209184637765323011779428368579611326153936073469138613338410971","0x6d2abef8309246b1c02ba2434e612238f991b8b49ae660b5579e3194ffaa76e2",100,0.971,"Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?","brazil-presidential-election-first-round-1st-place-in-pernambuco","[\"0.9745\", \"0.0255\"]",{"token_id":179,"condition_id":180,"outcome":29,"size":181,"avg_price":182,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":183,"event_slug":184,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":185,"outcome_prices":186,"category":38},"19501535991928974724172919046119067241867542333414886478208585483086729667409","0x7eea4d1d58caca019e2b7860c357b821bf617f53c72bf850a29ece131b22d7eb",171,0.5658,"Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?","next-mayor-of-usti-nad-labem-2026","2027-06-30T23:59:00Z","[\"0.4\", \"0.6\"]",{"token_id":188,"condition_id":189,"outcome":42,"size":190,"avg_price":191,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":192,"event_slug":193,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":91,"outcome_prices":194,"category":38},"42453153175860140543926799807304181100021238994104631576188465440224390572466","0xc16be8b64ae2b96b894518864665b89bf6723f34eb4e7eb58edc205af684fa78",103,0.9172,"Will Miroslav Sabol win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?","kosice-mayoral-election-winner-2026","[\"0.0105\", \"0.9895\"]",{"token_id":196,"condition_id":197,"outcome":42,"size":198,"avg_price":199,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":200,"event_slug":201,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":74,"category":59},"18942554439563104324837341615696298302944054446072119876225125996162203029371","0x60b18f5a995448137e003c298f8906ef5913fb67dbda7e4d86e845eb941fcd3f",97,0.9659,"Will Florian Dinger win the next Göttingen mayoral election?","gottingen-mayoral-election-winner",{"token_id":203,"condition_id":204,"outcome":29,"size":205,"avg_price":206,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":207,"event_slug":201,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":208,"category":59},"10578309733203389410513872431238866946445177725047061342305439707606840409887","0xb2158ae1aeea916b947528dcf77e010e84ee66159f38c4b2da1f0caa8bb8bcf6",110,0.8418,"Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?","[\"0.9635\", \"0.0365\"]",{"token_id":210,"condition_id":211,"outcome":29,"size":212,"avg_price":213,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":214,"event_slug":215,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":216,"outcome_prices":217,"category":38},"595692777873736963445116441287747368342900932750558047967637644834380157077","0x60baa48f4a62dd886f1fdf63ddaef9555ac2432d59b0a380e0c6431ea3e086df",105.03,0.8704,"Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?","hannover-mayoral-election-winner-20260723155039214","2027-05-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.9485\", \"0.0515\"]",{"token_id":219,"condition_id":220,"outcome":42,"size":173,"avg_price":221,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":222,"event_slug":223,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":224,"outcome_prices":225,"category":38},"55385090412357506858180094091190226888739511793077334948945042724712197207866","0xd52d46a066f94d4cc9f7e22e9b02af42b88a2788fd35dad1312c5a762abd177b",0.88,"Will UTJ win 11 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?","israel-election-utj-of-seats","2026-10-27T23:59:00Z","[\"0.0525\", \"0.9475\"]",{"token_id":227,"condition_id":228,"outcome":42,"size":229,"avg_price":230,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":231,"event_slug":232,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":57,"outcome_prices":233,"category":59},"47396619579618575372991513013479411919584633067526220239905217046143438564094","0x2df4a16c84f992f8406eff2e8485ba4ec066e1f28826eeb39854c7f9f2af773c",76.99,0.8578,"Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?","mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-elections-afd-of-seats-20260805192827457","[\"0.993\", \"0.007\"]",{"token_id":235,"condition_id":236,"outcome":29,"size":173,"avg_price":237,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":238,"event_slug":239,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":91,"outcome_prices":240,"category":38},"46830256472703927232932372482360380940654746573029506183011110132777246339075","0xd09a2aff50657b4d1b168db690a6c434638adbbd38df20c899642925e964f9ea",0.65,"Will Ján Nosko win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?","banska-bystrica-mayoral-election-winner-2026","[\"0.535\", \"0.465\"]",{"token_id":242,"condition_id":243,"outcome":29,"size":244,"avg_price":245,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":246,"event_slug":247,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":91,"outcome_prices":248,"category":38},"89111895226102265232475769556440519140782742820869586363250095970102731492670","0x44a37f045798af9957ec651fdacf1625e3f0338e1a8cbe757b3063df01b7dc22",90,0.6688,"Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?","zilina-region-governor-election-winner","[\"0.595\", \"0.405\"]",{"token_id":250,"condition_id":251,"outcome":42,"size":252,"avg_price":253,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":254,"event_slug":255,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":161,"outcome_prices":256,"category":38},"35304198244550514117635017067688864222084136186027777781071245763486265436691","0x4c3133c0860458e580c7b82bd832428f23f85d06d200c98377c5af3470fa728b",61,0.9599,"Will Július Liška be the next Mayor of Plzeň?","next-mayor-of-plzen-2026","[\"0.0165\", \"0.9835\"]",{"token_id":258,"condition_id":259,"outcome":42,"size":260,"avg_price":261,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":262,"event_slug":263,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":127,"outcome_prices":264,"category":38},"21557480871987974836193145802474392695587222529777465932926274570355125633255","0xb5e28c756257e204dd7636868d8b11d8fb5fb8eece2292e51d7eaeeac454a886",141,0.393,"Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?","kosice-region-governor-election-winner","[\"0.65\", \"0.35\"]",{"token_id":266,"condition_id":267,"outcome":42,"size":268,"avg_price":269,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":270,"event_slug":271,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":161,"outcome_prices":272,"category":38},"102420490116915099841508878219519261538441058133348473063190624620050021040741","0xfaa7a14934fd69af47d3b2b0a37bb68899880c408bf24d4084d623c4751c279c",53,0.9699,"Will Klára Sovová be the next Mayor of Prague?","next-mayor-of-prague-2026","[\"0.02\", \"0.98\"]",{"token_id":274,"condition_id":275,"outcome":29,"size":181,"avg_price":276,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":277,"event_slug":184,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":185,"outcome_prices":278,"category":38},"95268497967578798066491223309959499759498825476921423351290492714450150359176","0x5e155d6250a2b5cb3ac95d3f65e55d061ba0aa8785ffb7e307f2b6efbe59a39e",0.2908,"Will Tomáš Hrubý be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?","[\"0.585\", \"0.415\"]",{"token_id":280,"condition_id":281,"outcome":29,"size":282,"avg_price":283,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":284,"event_slug":285,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":161,"outcome_prices":286,"category":38},"110993458105548915576747857300510482123364753061976175452611321466880608378735","0xe79c5619e3949f351296a2ec213d2cefff1014934bf5c9045f9fe20ccc460192",106,0.4431,"Will Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava?","next-mayor-of-ostrava-2026","[\"0.63\", \"0.37\"]",{"token_id":288,"condition_id":289,"outcome":42,"size":290,"avg_price":291,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":292,"event_slug":215,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":293,"category":38},"70968338656655905644583813609361777300708325848954220006230728145709060467143","0x6be0c361242c1ce3bbf2e106c486367354f7463e76c17d7d610a4f1268a768cc",50,0.8733,"Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election?","[\"0.046\", \"0.954\"]",{"token_id":295,"condition_id":296,"outcome":29,"size":297,"avg_price":298,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":299,"event_slug":300,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":301,"outcome_prices":302,"category":38},"17194458695858946571102314472315311221881344683413456799389344616367111223535","0x37229c64ba62315c1799c497917c5e0404217d8c19490f58d3b3de3f89951844",40,0.989,"Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia?","brazil-presidential-election-first-round-1st-place-in-bahia","2026-10-04T06:00:00Z","[\"0.983\", \"0.017\"]",{"token_id":304,"condition_id":305,"outcome":29,"size":306,"avg_price":307,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":308,"event_slug":143,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":91,"outcome_prices":309,"category":38},"50956165574871670723495561949951353154147288731845598069457726990481634083968","0x141376e8a1023d55268afd9c61b085c97322a81e897df063d9f381560f345cf3",254.99,0.1551,"Will Mikuláš Bobák win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?","[\"0.149\", \"0.851\"]",{"token_id":311,"condition_id":312,"outcome":42,"size":313,"avg_price":314,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":315,"event_slug":316,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":152,"outcome_prices":317,"category":38},"55598817230087890256966738880352306766967861733896849863451969516056480126421","0xd7788f99870e1139c4afdb8c761259adb7c7790f1ce620089f7ac68b86e2f09b",45,0.8568,"Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?","israel-election-raam-of-seats","[\"0.0445\", \"0.9555\"]",{"token_id":319,"condition_id":320,"outcome":42,"size":321,"avg_price":322,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":323,"event_slug":324,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":224,"outcome_prices":325,"category":38},"37419912285428580581478501495754493918255819848797386626472010880903831845605","0x750d3dd01ba15d1aa6ca9e8f204e6fab6805636f1233a061fecf858f145821b7",42,0.9149,"Will United Torah Judaism win 8% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?","israel-election-united-torah-judaism-vote-share","[\"0.039\", \"0.961\"]",{"token_id":327,"condition_id":328,"outcome":29,"size":297,"avg_price":329,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":330,"event_slug":331,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":332,"outcome_prices":333,"category":38},"19357084558690380774010767370450285767726783987467464436145012623270688013324","0xb2b47fbab6c75daa48f21405e32636ded07fa7ce7e92d1f51019cc1b1445732f",0.96,"Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?","russia-election-united-russia-er-vote-share","2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.9975\", \"0.0025\"]",{"token_id":335,"condition_id":336,"outcome":42,"size":321,"avg_price":337,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":338,"event_slug":339,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":57,"outcome_prices":340,"category":59},"18259409924356139356488551476257871032316715803578207499326286935732769863661","0xa3b3c6fe68370298d1ae8e6e9f505428726789c88a461c048da5df1e4959c976",0.8976,"Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?","which-parties-will-win-at-least-one-seat-in-the-next-russian-state-duma-election","[\"0.001\", \"0.999\"]",{"token_id":342,"condition_id":343,"outcome":29,"size":140,"avg_price":344,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":345,"event_slug":143,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":91,"outcome_prices":346,"category":38},"45005435527225083851168388232849516283577500994674819966767632735190027357783","0x4aa0c08ebc184e0b53957299452d15a647419c539d88f2501299232c5e625a88",0.1386,"Will Jozef Králik win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]",{"token_id":348,"condition_id":349,"outcome":42,"size":350,"avg_price":351,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":352,"event_slug":353,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":100,"outcome_prices":354,"category":38},"51377229138837187606644856385480289586040877065035121999750984779214135097210","0x304fdc6ae57e282f5febcfc3ec151c7ec42c8f453a509b125fba0e77f178c991",55,0.6295,"New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?","new-virginia-congressional-map-used-in-the-midterms","[\"0.027\", \"0.973\"]",{"token_id":356,"condition_id":357,"outcome":42,"size":358,"avg_price":359,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":360,"event_slug":331,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":332,"outcome_prices":58,"category":38},"89146004627653761735583702276493246957325003764366518991211226855460090166650","0xbd5bf6431527b3cf57856fca2f8d37efe7535d7ae7b07fb21e0497fb1b26b8f4",31.97,0.9359,"Will United Russia (ER) win 60% or more of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?",{"token_id":362,"condition_id":363,"outcome":29,"size":364,"avg_price":365,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":366,"event_slug":367,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":368,"category":59},"48499900291877730868291224348225110425244586164939179702861832013904386316416","0x443a6176414e8a19dce72b5986ca159668abbcfdc46044f3a953fbe55dd4d6d3",28,0.9589,"Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?","braunschweig-mayoral-election-winner-20260723164513786","[\"0.963\", \"0.037\"]",{"token_id":370,"condition_id":371,"outcome":42,"size":372,"avg_price":373,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":374,"event_slug":375,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":100,"outcome_prices":346,"category":38},"109090022960169506693280284802447236443468818742086703354686360167548384699439","0x1bf5eb603d6bd74a11ba051d2cd8d7fff85100d0af19d6e9d91b29cef01f2c91",30,0.89,"Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?","louisiana-senate-election-winner",{"token_id":377,"condition_id":378,"outcome":29,"size":379,"avg_price":380,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":381,"event_slug":193,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":382,"outcome_prices":383,"category":38},"24702538423111332671225249044018798109891833433361686176841065343425986332710","0x88013b2ce142ba0e07b295a90b91e1537404bb81f6e16da2eb51e77a9e0ecaa1",58,0.4399,"Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?","2026-10-24T23:59:00Z","[\"0.485\", \"0.515\"]",{"token_id":385,"condition_id":386,"outcome":29,"size":173,"avg_price":387,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":388,"event_slug":239,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":91,"outcome_prices":389,"category":38},"85113565620407086275236152387844323358513792657959779883028365898621477507736","0xea2e16bce4442849b21f037b5e593bb95743386dd5cbf955656e0e7bc2fd3869",0.2533,"Will Diana Javorčíková win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?","[\"0.385\", \"0.615\"]",{"token_id":391,"condition_id":392,"outcome":42,"size":393,"avg_price":373,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":394,"event_slug":395,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":224,"outcome_prices":396,"category":38},"23642595342924533922938341596290274427193333349192577488233820397881541134520","0xa4ccea3d082f4096aad42fb4d69dff7a1b695cf017af7b39a0df3ad3ac3beeae",20,"Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?","israel-election-united-arab-list-raam-vote-share","[\"0.09\", \"0.91\"]",{"token_id":398,"condition_id":399,"outcome":29,"size":379,"avg_price":400,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":401,"event_slug":193,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":382,"outcome_prices":402,"category":38},"73361486252612190763653860655712686603835879258667894163436272673222683255982","0xa8069a25ffaaa22ad74c19cb54c83261a017725cd102e09305472429893ee8ab",0.3,"Will Jaroslav Polaček win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?","[\"0.42\", \"0.58\"]",{"token_id":404,"condition_id":405,"outcome":42,"size":406,"avg_price":407,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":408,"event_slug":409,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":161,"outcome_prices":410,"category":38},"35202785175624473743133325350336939697145393245733500300951742752216521350176","0x8a42bb4cb9b9f157b539611f6a8c122388f652570cfc3c07d538e7df2bb78894",20.99,0.7799,"Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?","next-prime-minister-of-sweden","[\"0.092\", \"0.908\"]",{"token_id":412,"condition_id":413,"outcome":29,"size":414,"avg_price":415,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":416,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":216,"outcome_prices":417,"category":38},"50955050472741862711205877498303514327167948413788318123625123469199607416142","0x57e94bb308d76efe1adb25a55d60e9aa38990278776cccfe5b4b4fa1b4081b10",320.7513,0.0481,"Will Volker Bajus win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?","[\"0.048\", \"0.952\"]",{"token_id":419,"condition_id":420,"outcome":29,"size":297,"avg_price":421,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":422,"event_slug":160,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":161,"outcome_prices":423,"category":38},"33938170993953048195520706288941623024462642358716470113258881083809529209984","0x747bfdc1e9b67c6ecaf1c8c5849bdcf1163f6c3c6d37d6de967ef4a87581ce1f",0.375,"Will Kamila Zlatušková be the next Mayor of Brno?","[\"0.38\", \"0.62\"]",{"token_id":425,"condition_id":426,"outcome":42,"size":427,"avg_price":428,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":429,"event_slug":73,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":57,"outcome_prices":430,"category":59},"67839272005840401967832412100764863379288725789582184388016740715885521870882","0xd558abc90fa8a855d2a60624cdf7b2a8aab3552204b257fe9c5754739d40f7aa",21,0.6876,"Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have 163 or more seats after the 2026 election?","[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",{"token_id":432,"condition_id":433,"outcome":29,"size":297,"avg_price":434,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":435,"event_slug":160,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":161,"outcome_prices":436,"category":38},"115192157539040883036180290092183713852430584953891258134122093057044195798432","0x6bfadcd50d1c4fda14485199c8d7dc715977e043374f22c7aa16a759f3f0431b",0.27,"Will Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno?","[\"0.235\", \"0.765\"]",{"token_id":438,"condition_id":439,"outcome":42,"size":440,"avg_price":441,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":442,"event_slug":443,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":57,"outcome_prices":444,"category":59},"64550536444868897463949602476733695909526988651865925146986803967243947706306","0xd4b88e34048c17e46c9eb01412cd1b924f7d7592593b52de5ee91566bbad2c7d",9.99,0.9879,"Will SPD win 30-33 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?","mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-elections-spd-of-seats-20260805193137880","[\"0.006\", \"0.994\"]",{"token_id":446,"condition_id":447,"outcome":29,"size":244,"avg_price":448,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":449,"event_slug":247,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":91,"outcome_prices":450,"category":38},"74052190810155072249570493067332565934145394128176214389245562507236911030679","0x3d05725ec56f4d5fb2f76650189436947605793f5a85a4bcad2a5f76c421f347",0.1077,"Will Igor Choma win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?","[\"0.195\", \"0.805\"]",{"token_id":452,"condition_id":453,"outcome":42,"size":440,"avg_price":454,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":455,"event_slug":456,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":457,"outcome_prices":458,"category":38},"27269723445891365956615633577982237391836227956552390727032452700940879851272","0xab5578566715f72cbe05c9faec9090d59799c5493848f46fd758bb68025508b3",0.941,"Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?","russia-parliamentary-election-turnout","2026-09-20T00:00:00Z","[\"0.0065\", \"0.9935\"]",{"token_id":460,"condition_id":461,"outcome":42,"size":462,"avg_price":149,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":463,"event_slug":464,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":465,"outcome_prices":354,"category":38},"90529745081718221746728346441198266158601868711612214765678310085677677947888","0x7cd35276bf0f0838c942cb61aaa52ebec39877984387dea5408712821024c96c",10,"Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD?","which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government","2027-08-01T03:59:00Z",{"token_id":467,"condition_id":468,"outcome":42,"size":469,"avg_price":470,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":471,"event_slug":90,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":91,"outcome_prices":472,"category":38},"96972708618644161860000470158603041582479455405119863107356411620028068802616","0xeb21752dce5076e84d389821c883e995b5364a90db18614dd760f4d189377758",9,0.9299,"Will Rastislav Gajarský win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?","[\"0.0305\", \"0.9695\"]",{"token_id":474,"condition_id":475,"outcome":29,"size":476,"avg_price":477,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":478,"event_slug":479,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":480,"category":59},"23717775624084618434261210884014799954025131753285848342643091646918598926729","0x2f211e6a9adb0c55dae1445d69042cf7097cb18b7d9e46312ba908c0ea5458ed",8.3,0.9789,"Will Frank Klingebiel win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?","salzgitter-mayoral-election-winner-20260723163216446","[\"0.9855\", \"0.0145\"]",{"token_id":482,"condition_id":483,"outcome":29,"size":290,"avg_price":484,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":485,"event_slug":486,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":91,"outcome_prices":487,"category":38},"8844759260125250907569903181417234285437414362411128574475837143510170672452","0x377097632019b3df240d23108f9793643e447a63e170f72e29223ea656a49d00",0.14,"Will Rastislav Johanes win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?","zilina-mayoral-election-winner-2026","[\"0.24\", \"0.76\"]",{"token_id":489,"condition_id":490,"outcome":42,"size":462,"avg_price":491,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":492,"event_slug":285,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":161,"outcome_prices":493,"category":38},"114847325407604004342498690505007119974492372760621942103063921850510353323086","0x8f8f622bcb9721aeba2be0aa3b0ccbf90e0dd691eb07b0461e45048d8d10810d",0.66,"Will Jan Dohnal be the next Mayor of Ostrava?","[\"0.32\", \"0.68\"]",{"token_id":495,"condition_id":496,"outcome":29,"size":372,"avg_price":497,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":498,"event_slug":73,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":57,"outcome_prices":499,"category":59},"39910246382715876806351046194953033268015624434309618209660475164710048578315","0x7989873aeb336d445685d8bc85e8b7a8ec65a5ca948ee94393f5eee012f487d9",0.2156,"Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 158 and 162 seats after the 2026 election?","[\"0.9755\", \"0.0245\"]",{"token_id":501,"condition_id":502,"outcome":42,"size":503,"avg_price":504,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":505,"event_slug":99,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":100,"outcome_prices":506,"category":38},"63644763464034691367428527733393916036342796100129702980469514153898496549749","0x119b6b3b744ac3239c7a71100165d254234eaecea401abde5a3d303bef21d19e",5,0.931,"Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?","[\"0.047\", \"0.953\"]",{"token_id":508,"condition_id":509,"outcome":42,"size":510,"avg_price":511,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":512,"event_slug":160,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":161,"outcome_prices":513,"category":38},"4718027898304049765673315368165800197340577598769139400236932486317618276227","0xb5ead4e199d8e2bd95d04a58c5b453062764f08cbc90071e3e3d0b265a444da5",4.65,0.9066,"Will Klára Liptáková be the next Mayor of Brno?","[\"0.007\", \"0.993\"]",{"token_id":515,"condition_id":516,"outcome":42,"size":503,"avg_price":517,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":518,"event_slug":519,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":185,"outcome_prices":520,"category":38},"57448815400919760246441724802775227653628902529719216094403614437375275541518","0xc354c9329dc57521ce8ea6095a3f56ec21045d1a1d017e0aab36e2364e0abbe0",0.8375,"Will Tomáš Paleček be the next Mayor of Liberec?","next-mayor-of-liberec-2026","[\"0.0085\", \"0.9915\"]",{"token_id":522,"condition_id":523,"outcome":42,"size":503,"avg_price":524,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":525,"event_slug":526,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":527,"outcome_prices":354,"category":38},"98607291656145724840946714271852256895489792837874100580112470045554450350724","0xd4a0412f91ddb4bb4062bf563c360cb2645adce35c1395a6d5bf439afe9cd6ac",0.82,"Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?","next-ministerprasident-of-sachsen-anhalt-20260806155819619","2027-06-01T03:59:00Z",{"token_id":529,"condition_id":530,"outcome":29,"size":531,"avg_price":237,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":532,"event_slug":533,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":57,"outcome_prices":534,"category":59},"20660317718090185509835071695935163660536445158842942630459849758924000444090","0xb97248e0ed9c96c5c9a91baad817225c0ef376961e8f110315b7fad46255d6b6",6,"Will CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?","berlin-state-elections-cdu-of-seats-20260805192827457","[\"0.9705\", \"0.0295\"]",{"token_id":536,"condition_id":537,"outcome":29,"size":538,"avg_price":539,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":540,"event_slug":108,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":541,"outcome_prices":542,"category":38},"5151265296565814427746825136141633923409270243594894245095042890397535680434","0xd1e9754fbd677ad1c152d878558642bb9be207702c429408c52dc410dd9f09f0",379.95,0.0084,"Will Stefan Krkobabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?","2028-07-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.011\", \"0.989\"]",{"token_id":544,"condition_id":545,"outcome":29,"size":379,"avg_price":546,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":547,"event_slug":193,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":382,"outcome_prices":548,"category":38},"42671356622837817032852526881782500614727633356868953017287033766955719890967","0x0cb28941fd15bb77273d5cb55d5d5e891ad5a5919227d15b4d4f825f6572c11f",0.05,"Will Lenka Kovačevičová win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?","[\"0.0905\", \"0.9095\"]",{"token_id":550,"condition_id":551,"outcome":29,"size":379,"avg_price":552,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":553,"event_slug":193,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":382,"outcome_prices":554,"category":38},"84707359857231079983268445991463245191712600903916898597126116119778678051118","0x799f14a9345259146e805305b1615abbed2db8958a75d5fa67d67f49053276be",0.0433,"Will Martin Mudrák win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?","[\"0.0435\", \"0.9565\"]",{"token_id":556,"condition_id":557,"outcome":29,"size":558,"avg_price":559,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":560,"event_slug":108,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":109,"outcome_prices":444,"category":38},"97862100923847410261276517924478801437317965486502946180587282847324247308035","0x6678c47120967c0a480eee4e169a0174df305f4f0ddf771baf0cc84c48310213",506,0.004,"Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?",{"token_id":562,"condition_id":563,"outcome":29,"size":564,"avg_price":565,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":566,"event_slug":184,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":185,"outcome_prices":472,"category":38},"97465280199588044778428835901536688501094459725909066638117259392500609391686","0x600b61b99de9bbbc94b21f644dcd1cceac5b6173529a290e3de94b9493731645",137.35,0.0145,"Will Yveta Tomková be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?",{"token_id":568,"condition_id":569,"outcome":29,"size":372,"avg_price":570,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":571,"event_slug":73,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":57,"outcome_prices":430,"category":59},"47631999665831930820735364972745391082053746819471656493230452217130863548477","0xeec7ed2889d44d51cbbd0a3ddb49f2d5cf4a0ab5e7660800b132c9b723511fcc",0.038,"Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 153 and 157 seats after the 2026 election?",{"token_id":573,"condition_id":574,"outcome":29,"size":575,"avg_price":576,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":577,"event_slug":126,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":127,"outcome_prices":578,"category":38},"1533684256136693934641111322090849320072006418175796235483264784314572046502","0xf860b1cd065c3c9f7eb174e5b017789d372e533150bb8602be8c8da9b0129d5f",12.98,0.0579,"Will Martin Winkler win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?","[\"0.066\", \"0.934\"]",{"token_id":580,"condition_id":581,"outcome":29,"size":290,"avg_price":582,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":583,"event_slug":486,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":91,"outcome_prices":584,"category":38},"83183816177352549197617217695909465735525078059472322901732784168133585359462","0xfcddfa4e98c4dbf07312a39fc8a67f1e18b619d9d0ea8c6bb8acfc5eb095ed8d",0.0125,"Will Peter Cibulka win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?","[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]",[],[587],{"recorded_date":588,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-22",[590,598,606,612,619,626,633,640,647,654,661,668,675,681,686,693,700,707,714,719,726,733,739,745,750,755,761,767,773,780,786,792,797,803,809,815,820,823,829,836,841,848,855,858,864,869,875,881,886,892,898,904,909,915,920,926,931,937,942,949,956,960,965,970,977,981,987,991,996,1002,1007,1012,1017,1023,1028,1033,1036,1041,1047,1052,1056,1061,1064,1070,1076,1083,1086,1092,1098,1103,1108,1113,1118,1125,1130,1136,1143,1151,1158,1165],{"condition_id":591,"outcome":29,"usdc":592,"entry_price":593,"won":12,"source":594,"end_date_iso":57,"captured_at":595,"question":596,"event_slug":597,"category":59},"0x2f502414cb8360b14dae76c7872d9b63022c2d07f721620a6557c673e61aadc6",45.256069,0.9631,"live","2026-09-22T04:13:58.945Z","Will Linke win 40 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?","berlin-state-elections-linke-of-seats-20260805192827457",{"condition_id":599,"outcome":29,"usdc":600,"entry_price":601,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":603,"captured_at":13,"question":604,"event_slug":605,"category":38},"0x01c46a3d84ce0c38bd3b8d06504f175a05b30903fa776b42b157093a9ffd85cb",0.0229,0.0014686667,"backfill","2026-05-19T00:00:00Z","Will Austin Sidwell be the Republican nominee for AL-01?","al-01-republican-primary-winner",{"condition_id":607,"outcome":29,"usdc":608,"entry_price":221,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":609,"captured_at":13,"question":610,"event_slug":611,"category":59},"0x02230382929c06eecab424465c7dbaa9b16e5d963270dba27cc0cd6183561e82",17.6,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?","hungary-election-tisza-wins-a-constitutional-majority",{"condition_id":613,"outcome":29,"usdc":614,"entry_price":615,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":616,"captured_at":13,"question":617,"event_slug":618,"category":59},"0x0437f06a0b6a6d461042738182a8120ca0fa1edf534447df4cc7bac9833f838f",202.79,0.8778787878787878,"2026-04-19T00:00:00Z","Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?","bulgaria-parliamentary-election-winner",{"condition_id":620,"outcome":42,"usdc":621,"entry_price":622,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":623,"captured_at":13,"question":624,"event_slug":625,"category":59},"0x04c680e3c41e74660596f778df453da17e9954680635034eb2ff71629a8604bb",42.23772,0.650875,"","Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by more than 20%?","co-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260630151427163",{"condition_id":627,"outcome":29,"usdc":628,"entry_price":629,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":630,"captured_at":13,"question":631,"event_slug":632,"category":59},"0x0a9abb96b3667c4e3db9b24241fe39f48e936f0473ccbbc0948000e474ae4cfd",4.34,0.31,"2026-03-03T00:00:00Z","Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?","texas-senate-election-matchup-877",{"condition_id":634,"outcome":42,"usdc":635,"entry_price":636,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":637,"captured_at":13,"question":638,"event_slug":639,"category":38},"0x0fb006e0c06caa4db12f7e30ec8c2483d658f83eb57b2ee8eb478e39beca3dfd",69.2802,0.8612500000000001,"2026-06-21T14:00:00Z","Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","colombia-presidential-election",{"condition_id":641,"outcome":42,"usdc":642,"entry_price":643,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":644,"captured_at":13,"question":645,"event_slug":646,"category":59},"0x124f07d29e0fbef1f36535f4f1ee289759ec8bca4a708c4934a557ff556cd05c",22.7832,0.11,"2026-08-13T16:00:00Z","Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?","clacton-by-election-2nd-place-20260707214539733",{"condition_id":648,"outcome":42,"usdc":649,"entry_price":650,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":651,"captured_at":13,"question":652,"event_slug":653,"category":38},"0x1363972ea578b21b2332ae9d51b96c4cde32a8f4babc8a45a4dac5d5a56407a8",50.54738,0.899,"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by more than 10%?","california-governor-primary-election-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":655,"outcome":42,"usdc":656,"entry_price":657,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":658,"captured_at":13,"question":659,"event_slug":660,"category":38},"0x13868b2e3652b3d226fa431be9aef48f1fe4ab34d6aad850eedaa337d15faf81",18.8,0.6266666666666667,"2026-03-22T00:00:00Z","Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?","which-parties-will-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-slovenia",{"condition_id":662,"outcome":42,"usdc":663,"entry_price":664,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":665,"captured_at":13,"question":666,"event_slug":667,"category":59},"0x138bdd0638468b273efba80b0f343749c5935f5e87345a03ff7e6a02e19ba641",87,0.87,"2026-05-07T06:00:00Z","Will the Green Party win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?","2026-united-kingdom-local-elections-green-wins-seats",{"condition_id":669,"outcome":29,"usdc":670,"entry_price":671,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":672,"captured_at":13,"question":673,"event_slug":674,"category":59},"0x16133a1b222a2242efb71061180451e3bcf6e3c92d5fcf027ac841cc17c18a2f",36.10764,0.8763414634146341,"2026-05-07T00:00:00Z","Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?","2026-united-kingdom-local-elections-2nd-place",{"condition_id":676,"outcome":42,"usdc":677,"entry_price":678,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":665,"captured_at":13,"question":679,"event_slug":680,"category":59},"0x1850cecba43b574e13e5e235c471562d18f5a97621f8b0a14a0ac4e55458aa4b",3.18706,0.84,"Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?","2026-united-kingdom-local-elections-liberal-democrats-wins-seats",{"condition_id":682,"outcome":29,"usdc":683,"entry_price":684,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":651,"captured_at":13,"question":685,"event_slug":653,"category":38},"0x19e380168311212f0cfc1b158f5007cf0dc00e61619386e7d6b39ffae73d779c",4.59628,0.12,"Will Steve Hilton win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election?",{"condition_id":687,"outcome":29,"usdc":688,"entry_price":689,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":690,"captured_at":13,"question":691,"event_slug":692,"category":38},"0x19e84fccf0c3ec2b32b572e6bfd8fa7f916244ddf22e8379cba90a9c4a74e6e3",29.12646,0.6696734124214935,"2026-05-26T00:00:00Z","Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?","turnout-in-texas-senate-republican-primary-runoff",{"condition_id":694,"outcome":29,"usdc":695,"entry_price":696,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":697,"captured_at":13,"question":698,"event_slug":699,"category":59},"0x1a716766423ff8a4e3f45b3cd69fad6c05d33452e29eb15d3a990661463ade08",7.37884,0.73,"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?","south-carolina-senate-special-republican-primary-first-round-winner-20260721172033648",{"condition_id":701,"outcome":29,"usdc":702,"entry_price":703,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":13,"question":705,"event_slug":706,"category":38},"0x1a81cdb21cbee0811e170bde83cf3902d75aa398404e29e15f455f59f0f89a85",7.4,0.49333333333333335,"2026-05-17T00:00:00Z","Will VOX (VOX) win 13-15 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?","andalusia-regional-election-vox-of-seats",{"condition_id":708,"outcome":29,"usdc":709,"entry_price":710,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":711,"captured_at":13,"question":712,"event_slug":713,"category":59},"0x1b33d6010bc4f06aaa6f67a86ef7b5211e4d7d14522d25dd20a7648936421f6e",87.65048999999999,0.872042,"2026-09-13T00:00:00Z","Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?","sweden-parliamentary-election-sd-vote-share-20260812172636420",{"condition_id":715,"outcome":29,"usdc":716,"entry_price":717,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":616,"captured_at":13,"question":718,"event_slug":618,"category":59},"0x1e60f017a026ba7543ca005e275185413eda672cbe1f0c6de40186f679ec0121",10.341800000000001,0.0847688524647541,"Will GERB-SDS (GERB–SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?",{"condition_id":720,"outcome":29,"usdc":721,"entry_price":722,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":723,"captured_at":13,"question":724,"event_slug":725,"category":38},"0x24853c19d734365752c0080d4c571619d025f51bb87f6a5b0571c1af28d070fc",0.3639,0.006999999999999999,"2026-08-18T00:00:00Z","Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?","who-will-advance-from-the-alaska-governor-primary",{"condition_id":727,"outcome":29,"usdc":728,"entry_price":729,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":730,"captured_at":13,"question":731,"event_slug":732,"category":59},"0x26a6c7e4a905dfc13f23c44a8e41d0b96ad60569ef49869c46c237dfd8f3c003",95.62223,0.8667272727272729,"2026-08-25T23:59:00Z","Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?","south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-winner-20260712135206676",{"condition_id":734,"outcome":29,"usdc":735,"entry_price":736,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":616,"captured_at":13,"question":737,"event_slug":738,"category":59},"0x26eb9949eebf6ba37e8c3c97fd2b2dd4a88be9312bc02c82a765c29596a5a180",269.35854,0.85515393044668,"Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?","bulgarian-parliamentary-election-3rd-place",{"condition_id":740,"outcome":29,"usdc":741,"entry_price":742,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":609,"captured_at":13,"question":743,"event_slug":744,"category":59},"0x281b216205d45a69ad0abe777df68a68547888e0f6222d44cb0dbad76224f449",112,0.4307692307692308,"Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by \u003C9%?","hungary-election-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-higher-strikes-for-tisza",{"condition_id":746,"outcome":29,"usdc":747,"entry_price":748,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":616,"captured_at":13,"question":749,"event_slug":738,"category":59},"0x2bd1dc604591ae16469831ec3019e8ccf52ffb133ea3281dad5b28cac626b546",0.825,0.0117857143,"Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?",{"condition_id":751,"outcome":29,"usdc":752,"entry_price":753,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":651,"captured_at":13,"question":754,"event_slug":653,"category":38},"0x2e6b7e449679d42a9e7de019bf678cf417b392fb07148a928e656712f7e98c5d",71.10210000000001,0.8900000000000001,"Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?",{"condition_id":756,"outcome":29,"usdc":757,"entry_price":758,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":57,"captured_at":13,"question":759,"event_slug":760,"category":59},"0x2ed5ca74bbf7aa15f2e96411cff9bd947de89ece14463367638462ae1a55e00f",26.43562,0.014403495471832579,"Will SPD win between 25% and 28% of all valid second votes?","mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-election-spd-vote-share",{"condition_id":762,"outcome":42,"usdc":763,"entry_price":764,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":651,"captured_at":13,"question":765,"event_slug":766,"category":38},"0x2f9c88e3dcbd016a7fe314a78e6f2532f59742663a6b4247053a7cf265cf68a1",2.63785,0.4512587413,"Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?","california-governor-primary-election-san-diego-county-winner",{"condition_id":768,"outcome":29,"usdc":769,"entry_price":770,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":623,"captured_at":13,"question":771,"event_slug":772,"category":38},"0x33813ca7d304cff113cd67c7f75059b776f17d9d14150713e1c99899b6d4b77b",1.49083,0.0095601333,"Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?","peru-election-2nd-round-margin-of-victory-0pt1-brackets-20260609021541549",{"condition_id":774,"outcome":42,"usdc":775,"entry_price":776,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":777,"captured_at":13,"question":778,"event_slug":779,"category":38},"0x3518984519645efc0e0cae643d55d2785ae43156843e2f4a0ec15e1e338b818f",34.59264,0.86,"2026-06-17T03:59:00Z","Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?","georgia-governor-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260611155243082",{"condition_id":781,"outcome":29,"usdc":782,"entry_price":783,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":651,"captured_at":13,"question":784,"event_slug":785,"category":38},"0x37cddfae30b1504a955a70d555381ee2b4aae5c09e1bcf43b654d79957c196af",0.29941,0.009,"Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?","california-governor-primary-election-first-place",{"condition_id":787,"outcome":29,"usdc":788,"entry_price":789,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":185,"captured_at":13,"question":790,"event_slug":791,"category":59},"0x37eb55675e56c5afeb79224da9972c67dc4597fd749bb93db6f4e9f167258d04",57.22579999999999,0.222,"Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?","clacton-by-election-count-binface-vote-20260708142507718",{"condition_id":793,"outcome":29,"usdc":794,"entry_price":795,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":623,"captured_at":13,"question":796,"event_slug":625,"category":59},"0x3da7d980d23c6f6b12ed4f0bcbea97612f8ea01c28bff629ca821248c9767c81",44.457339999999995,0.08584343000858301,"Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by 15–20%?",{"condition_id":798,"outcome":42,"usdc":799,"entry_price":800,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":658,"captured_at":13,"question":801,"event_slug":802,"category":38},"0x409836e4b9af0e8f7d1c2cc5f071d9ecb85efe706091323c4294c6859cc09ba0",48,0.75,"Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?","next-prime-minister-of-slovenia",{"condition_id":804,"outcome":29,"usdc":805,"entry_price":806,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":609,"captured_at":13,"question":807,"event_slug":808,"category":59},"0x40ba14f564299cf961b9ed3775f5fed4a64dc3e25b9a4e2b5994844960aa0fec",110.87799999999999,0.8529076923076921,"Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?","turnout-in-2026-hungary-parliamentary-election",{"condition_id":810,"outcome":29,"usdc":811,"entry_price":812,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":651,"captured_at":13,"question":813,"event_slug":814,"category":38},"0x460418ad9f25bef4d5f1852a521e8ad6a94c8f40dd2f233831c1697364907351",10.68616,0.892,"Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?","california-governor-primary-election-santa-clara-county-winner-733",{"condition_id":816,"outcome":42,"usdc":817,"entry_price":818,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":609,"captured_at":13,"question":819,"event_slug":808,"category":59},"0x46b9703e797f1364a2e581a1fc5566e0b9f57df966b523225e7c306b8b5466d8",35.449999999999996,0.8862499999999999,"Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?",{"condition_id":816,"outcome":29,"usdc":821,"entry_price":822,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":609,"captured_at":13,"question":819,"event_slug":808,"category":59},49.256,0.6841111111111111,{"condition_id":824,"outcome":29,"usdc":825,"entry_price":826,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":623,"captured_at":13,"question":827,"event_slug":828,"category":38},"0x4784665f5baa12fa9ee97d49eb39c0f8dae4e0478c991fff7f632bc4e8dc8ff2",0.72241,0.0139,"Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?","makerfield-by-election-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":830,"outcome":29,"usdc":831,"entry_price":832,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":833,"captured_at":13,"question":834,"event_slug":835,"category":59},"0x4ab05667c7aae7ccd023255c413d5684227f53d3fd80e193eb437b17a9782dd0",0.83745,0.0088518681,"2026-09-06T23:59:00Z","Will BSW win at least 7% of all valid second votes?","sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-election-bsw-vote-share",{"condition_id":837,"outcome":42,"usdc":838,"entry_price":839,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":57,"captured_at":13,"question":840,"event_slug":443,"category":59},"0x4dbbcceb989af9863fc793d757aa99daa896c74e48b48f925f3f787534e23761",212.85108,0.8827390833,"Will SPD win 18-21 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?",{"condition_id":842,"outcome":29,"usdc":843,"entry_price":844,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":845,"captured_at":13,"question":846,"event_slug":847,"category":38},"0x51531de8c91851327a5c941d89c5b6210f507536e55f64d337995bf14dc204c0",7.32152,0.0968068493041096,"2026-05-16T00:00:00Z","Will Nick Albares be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?","louisiana-democratic-senate-primary-winner",{"condition_id":849,"outcome":42,"usdc":850,"entry_price":851,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":852,"captured_at":13,"question":853,"event_slug":854,"category":38},"0x5187c6fefe08cf4513e08dd31a514b698aaebc18c259b9a98c8170cca2b7d6e8",31.86544,0.79,"2026-09-06T00:00:00Z","Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?","will-afd-win-an-absolute-majority-of-seats-in-sachsen-anhalt",{"condition_id":849,"outcome":29,"usdc":856,"entry_price":857,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":852,"captured_at":13,"question":853,"event_slug":854,"category":38},11.6,0.008,{"condition_id":859,"outcome":29,"usdc":860,"entry_price":861,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":623,"captured_at":13,"question":862,"event_slug":863,"category":59},"0x52ccba62419d8b8175e3b9ae40d4b233bddeb27060a5c1f722710dfc9c837b2f",32.27868,0.8686486486486487,"Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by less than 1%?","colorado-governor-republican-primary-margin-of-victory-20260701135055324",{"condition_id":865,"outcome":29,"usdc":866,"entry_price":373,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":651,"captured_at":13,"question":867,"event_slug":868,"category":38},"0x53214771041446bc2dac71f0c06dde947f5c438421c0dbb499aad85d891a4464",4.46958,"Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Orange County?","california-governor-primary-election-orange-county-winner",{"condition_id":870,"outcome":29,"usdc":871,"entry_price":872,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":609,"captured_at":13,"question":873,"event_slug":874,"category":59},"0x5462ac83b5eb0b7d8aeb8d4ce99c05a49cc92dd24a667d60eb911ff96cccfc8a",8.5,0.85,"Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?","hungary-election-tisza-of-popular-vote",{"condition_id":876,"outcome":29,"usdc":877,"entry_price":878,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":723,"captured_at":13,"question":879,"event_slug":880,"category":38},"0x54c2b2d889a1f1d86e2ebe557a6b3da3e35c77c476c96d1a90498632f00db20e",13.043660000000001,0.8666666666666667,"Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?","ca-14-special-election-winner",{"condition_id":882,"outcome":29,"usdc":883,"entry_price":884,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":185,"captured_at":13,"question":885,"event_slug":791,"category":59},"0x55255d9794581a22229319c2dbb8b9bebcdfdaf9a743a971477fc855f60b7e51",718.9427300000002,0.24826332004676635,"Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?",{"condition_id":887,"outcome":42,"usdc":888,"entry_price":889,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":616,"captured_at":13,"question":890,"event_slug":891,"category":59},"0x553f60afce26fcbf70246cf0ee0abc2c65f98475ff44280658ec096e9ab55673",247.921017,0.7998058052908986,"Will GERB-SDS win fewer than 50 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?","of-seats-won-by-gerb-sds-in-bulgarian-parliamentary-election",{"condition_id":893,"outcome":29,"usdc":894,"entry_price":895,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":896,"captured_at":13,"question":897,"event_slug":791,"category":59},"0x57386fa65bb2d5264e28c20dc9ee89240d5f30f7615c6010ff6eb22a3c50e1e3",47.274,0.30666666666666664,"2026-08-13T00:00:00Z","Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?",{"condition_id":899,"outcome":29,"usdc":900,"entry_price":901,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":651,"captured_at":13,"question":902,"event_slug":903,"category":38},"0x583a505658647660175c2e0aa70b4a460d8c34a6b3f46251ce5f9f46e9886c50",10.25,0.6833333333333333,"Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?","who-will-advance-from-the-california-governor-primary",{"condition_id":905,"outcome":29,"usdc":906,"entry_price":684,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":603,"captured_at":13,"question":907,"event_slug":908,"category":38},"0x58b3694d040e4daee5afcb3123e369664f4e472906f53586c3e70bbca8ef9042",0.62112,"Will Dakarai Larriett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?","alabama-democratic-senate-primary-winner",{"condition_id":910,"outcome":29,"usdc":911,"entry_price":912,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":913,"captured_at":13,"question":914,"event_slug":59,"category":59},"0x5b675fe20d5b1a03fb03cf1a130054abff1eec563a9318ec80dc677b165ed49d",533.81594,0.8532154341,"2026-06-19T00:00:00Z","Will Lara Bird win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?",{"condition_id":916,"outcome":29,"usdc":917,"entry_price":918,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":609,"captured_at":13,"question":919,"event_slug":744,"category":59},"0x5e53afc07eb93e3a6ee2ef294d77573995d138caeee79621870c9eedb5424888",1.8400269999999999,0.0013731268101314375,"Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9-12%?",{"condition_id":921,"outcome":42,"usdc":922,"entry_price":923,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":845,"captured_at":13,"question":924,"event_slug":925,"category":38},"0x5ebe9ecaaf198820b277ed929a31f57c7993f5855baf54dcd00e4d9fcd89e22e",38.132529999999996,0.8441104689931095,"Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?","louisiana-republican-senate-primary-winner-889",{"condition_id":927,"outcome":29,"usdc":928,"entry_price":629,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":616,"captured_at":13,"question":929,"event_slug":930,"category":59},"0x63b06814bed2a8893b864a6504ec7f2abcfdad7b4bd5a7a06c4d873df5400e61",6.2,"Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 15-20%?","bulgaria-parliamentary-election-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":932,"outcome":29,"usdc":933,"entry_price":934,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":457,"captured_at":13,"question":935,"event_slug":936,"category":59},"0x65d253ecb0f57e64ec97208427c0f071608c701c3528a5088369cbb75d134341",17.11128,0.12637862595038168,"Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?","mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-election-2nd-place-20260806103311321",{"condition_id":938,"outcome":29,"usdc":939,"entry_price":940,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":623,"captured_at":13,"question":941,"event_slug":772,"category":38},"0x673014b56298da65997bb9310fce2a14117ffb0301a766cebdb87d20b7c6a748",1.45703,0.0093433333,"Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?",{"condition_id":943,"outcome":29,"usdc":944,"entry_price":945,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":946,"captured_at":13,"question":947,"event_slug":948,"category":59},"0x68500f0202942a26ac544f4b4e7c96a95bf67f37f0b2bf0ee1dffb9110d16fa4",14.9118,0.29,"2026-06-23T23:59:00Z","Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?","ny-10-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260618235336322",{"condition_id":950,"outcome":29,"usdc":951,"entry_price":952,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":953,"captured_at":13,"question":954,"event_slug":955,"category":59},"0x698cef36f10044e78eef732f325a559d87329d64ae2d9acebe7630fa58ce3f57",0.72794,0.002,"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 15–20%?","az-01-republican-primary-margin-of-victory-20260708152700439",{"condition_id":957,"outcome":29,"usdc":958,"entry_price":872,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":665,"captured_at":13,"question":959,"event_slug":680,"category":59},"0x6a8999b02c33ea0ff070fdd32bf01ae0b2848b85347d8363f0d2115c9338f908",4.25,"Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?",{"condition_id":961,"outcome":29,"usdc":962,"entry_price":963,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":609,"captured_at":13,"question":964,"event_slug":744,"category":59},"0x6b903a669b462e4f46ad7da467d286b94db2d3cfaf66e1df2d52b4be8534700a",12.875910000000001,0.08819116438356163,"Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?",{"condition_id":966,"outcome":29,"usdc":967,"entry_price":968,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":690,"captured_at":13,"question":969,"event_slug":692,"category":38},"0x6c9bb16c033c26dbad8d598874e8913209500b8299d14f9441d51453d4a4f0ee",2.54322,0.057022335970218704,"Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?",{"condition_id":971,"outcome":42,"usdc":972,"entry_price":973,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":974,"captured_at":13,"question":975,"event_slug":976,"category":38},"0x6f78fd69fd6dafb695a8f4074dac11971b1da612bd150aa0c837efbd86417292",23.64224,0.7866666666666667,"2026-06-16T00:00:00Z","Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?","oklahoma-governor-republican-primary-winner",{"condition_id":978,"outcome":42,"usdc":979,"entry_price":664,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":730,"captured_at":13,"question":980,"event_slug":732,"category":59},"0x70831611831c0792bfb971d613ec2db2e06d59a234967b45f8302b3671b515cd",43.55528,"Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?",{"condition_id":982,"outcome":42,"usdc":983,"entry_price":984,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":57,"captured_at":13,"question":985,"event_slug":986,"category":59},"0x7166c469e872045af1f6621c33fb8109a69a3e2c16624db87aeb9a033dd1417e",41.04196,0.832,"Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?","berlin-state-elections-afd-of-seats-20260805192827457",{"condition_id":988,"outcome":29,"usdc":989,"entry_price":952,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":623,"captured_at":13,"question":990,"event_slug":772,"category":38},"0x75ec08ae77ac9f26647389960ab77deec49a51167c47403b521647fca8251f4d",0.31197,"Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?",{"condition_id":992,"outcome":42,"usdc":993,"entry_price":994,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":723,"captured_at":13,"question":995,"event_slug":725,"category":38},"0x77396e9b7a44481197718658079006c7b1eff3e9e763007d6b4755fcbaf7c4df",903.52255,0.89992,"Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?",{"condition_id":997,"outcome":29,"usdc":998,"entry_price":999,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":603,"captured_at":13,"question":1000,"event_slug":1001,"category":38},"0x79d5f2d519b21ebcb57ea1f926b5f37beecb2b8c41a3d44f06e206240f4e31dc",228.98590000000002,0.7843103448275862,"Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?","georgia-governor-republican-primary-winner",{"condition_id":1003,"outcome":29,"usdc":1004,"entry_price":1005,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":623,"captured_at":13,"question":1006,"event_slug":772,"category":38},"0x7af50ffcbc67e0216ef20419b21c12862a5409a9ec1addeb29b5a1c9b15c4719",0.87601,0.0056166667,"Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?",{"condition_id":1008,"outcome":42,"usdc":1009,"entry_price":1010,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":57,"captured_at":13,"question":1011,"event_slug":232,"category":59},"0x82242178219bd94ad18de2d5287c6a1f883fff7bd333cf04fc309124a2a175d6",142.17583,0.8788198758,"Will AfD win 36 or more seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?",{"condition_id":1013,"outcome":42,"usdc":1014,"entry_price":1015,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":623,"captured_at":13,"question":1016,"event_slug":863,"category":59},"0x837806a55e32763f963d2f52905eb010f5cac35e0d23c9e3d9e36e86d937d6c4",69.65761,0.5818906064,"Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by 1–2%?",{"condition_id":1018,"outcome":42,"usdc":1019,"entry_price":1020,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":665,"captured_at":13,"question":1021,"event_slug":1022,"category":59},"0x847e9fb7f4a6a7efc1f36957fd62c3878d062450f5febe162bdfc880361a4f7d",0.18457,0.00355,"Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?","will-green-party-win-a-mayorship-in-the-2026-united-kingdom-local-elections",{"condition_id":1024,"outcome":42,"usdc":1025,"entry_price":1026,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":658,"captured_at":13,"question":1027,"event_slug":660,"category":38},"0x883071589ea4b08809b303dd974bff410f5bf0a2002941678001ca7996c23513",15.45,0.2809090909090909,"Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?",{"condition_id":1029,"outcome":42,"usdc":1030,"entry_price":1031,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":658,"captured_at":13,"question":1032,"event_slug":660,"category":38},"0x8a1b19d55089b910bb4cf90d8ef6b77a1f43d4f62282788af35c0245dfdfb823",2.4,0.24,"Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?",{"condition_id":1029,"outcome":29,"usdc":1034,"entry_price":1035,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":658,"captured_at":13,"question":1032,"event_slug":660,"category":38},4.8377,0.5605677868,{"condition_id":1037,"outcome":29,"usdc":1038,"entry_price":1039,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":896,"captured_at":13,"question":1040,"event_slug":791,"category":59},"0x8bac2275c9adc63db392b57aaa48d626dc5d697f5aa1dac099f00b1fc40efb53",338.1217,0.08658957813783498,"Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?",{"condition_id":1042,"outcome":42,"usdc":1043,"entry_price":1044,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":690,"captured_at":13,"question":1045,"event_slug":1046,"category":38},"0x8c836cfb1a632aa7962304451302b0e307286dd61e5fc409e95d4696b097b6a2",151.68912,0.7599878781615234,"Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 30% or more?","texas-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-larger-brackets",{"condition_id":1048,"outcome":42,"usdc":1049,"entry_price":1050,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":946,"captured_at":13,"question":1051,"event_slug":948,"category":59},"0x8cf41cbf2c1653d51efdf81561faa0775283042493e67f9a9afe4495b933cb1b",40.96,0.4,"Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by 20–30%?",{"condition_id":1053,"outcome":29,"usdc":1054,"entry_price":952,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":609,"captured_at":13,"question":1055,"event_slug":808,"category":59},"0x8d172daa7b6ea792c45b00c43c1fbe97a4526c1db3f89f1eb8251261f9e9498f",0.5,"Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?",{"condition_id":1057,"outcome":42,"usdc":1058,"entry_price":1059,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":711,"captured_at":13,"question":1060,"event_slug":713,"category":59},"0x8d8d5999f58c14294dbf62c6dd06eb9ca1b7b3311d1e4c83522db5aaad01982a",208.43311,0.6861633333,"Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?",{"condition_id":1057,"outcome":29,"usdc":1062,"entry_price":1063,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":711,"captured_at":13,"question":1060,"event_slug":713,"category":59},184.60481,0.34,{"condition_id":1065,"outcome":29,"usdc":1066,"entry_price":1067,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":57,"captured_at":13,"question":1068,"event_slug":1069,"category":59},"0x919667fb21260d734d2704d017216aa03a7cd0ae5a2c946c4925c809e9b9788e",19.86111,0.192396,"Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?","mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-election-linke-vote-share",{"condition_id":1071,"outcome":42,"usdc":1072,"entry_price":1073,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":616,"captured_at":13,"question":1074,"event_slug":1075,"category":59},"0x92b0cd8f8750acb5718192327ddcb7d9caf56b519f2aecb3b24ef3dbc976253d",67.2,0.8400000000000001,"Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?","bulgarian-parliamentary-election-2nd-place",{"condition_id":1077,"outcome":42,"usdc":1078,"entry_price":1079,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":1080,"captured_at":13,"question":1081,"event_slug":1082,"category":59},"0x95a203b70b7f63e5356ada1ae3bcd414a7243ecb8433bef66d6dcbb7102bc807",70.2,0.8258823529411765,"2026-08-14T03:59:00Z","Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?","zambia-presidential-election-winner-20260604205247322",{"condition_id":1077,"outcome":29,"usdc":1084,"entry_price":1085,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":1080,"captured_at":13,"question":1081,"event_slug":1082,"category":59},3,0.15,{"condition_id":1087,"outcome":29,"usdc":1088,"entry_price":1089,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":833,"captured_at":13,"question":1090,"event_slug":1091,"category":59},"0x95f41e6f6c8bc899fda186967cdc6359f5eca12dc9fe48372cd95383a38f995c",44.72356,0.19,"Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?","sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-elections-afd-of-seats-20260722230807017",{"condition_id":1093,"outcome":29,"usdc":1094,"entry_price":1095,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":711,"captured_at":13,"question":1096,"event_slug":1097,"category":59},"0x9808730a8bbfe89e17269ca089880b3d5e6797ff795509ced55eb42f332a1cbf",133.25798999999998,0.1468183371289294,"Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes?","sweden-parliamentary-election-s-vote-share-20260812172636410",{"condition_id":1099,"outcome":29,"usdc":1100,"entry_price":491,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":690,"captured_at":13,"question":1101,"event_slug":1102,"category":59},"0x99a0fdc1bb6308873bf87eb75a47e21c8340fe20fb6b033444c1d21392da10a9",9.24,"Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?","texas-republican-senate-primary-winner",{"condition_id":1104,"outcome":42,"usdc":1105,"entry_price":1106,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":651,"captured_at":13,"question":1107,"event_slug":903,"category":38},"0x9af5f84576108c73b2f5bc58290659dc329d42bc3355ee713a41678e1a0c69f7",49.45396,0.8191666666666666,"Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?",{"condition_id":1109,"outcome":29,"usdc":1110,"entry_price":1111,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":845,"captured_at":13,"question":1112,"event_slug":925,"category":38},"0x9c4c7199fbf5ff25547c254ed3dddb63e93840f566c2bf5bc1680cc4dfa41b6b",121.8934,0.8707137882386556,"Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?",{"condition_id":1114,"outcome":29,"usdc":1115,"entry_price":1116,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":603,"captured_at":13,"question":1117,"event_slug":605,"category":38},"0x9e43dcfb24c8c0f5f0914c45791dcfef6a9a5b2cdeae1be33205f596c5c29562",630.66243,0.8298973251411018,"Will Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01?",{"condition_id":1119,"outcome":42,"usdc":1120,"entry_price":1121,"won":17,"source":602,"end_date_iso":1122,"captured_at":13,"question":1123,"event_slug":1124,"category":59},"0xa2435331e93fc07363940be332ecc54042da8d8d4c7dc96a785c6769e1ad5d8f",114.07399000000002,0.024849789075971504,"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU\u002FCSU)?","next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993",{"condition_id":1126,"outcome":42,"usdc":1127,"entry_price":1128,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":603,"captured_at":13,"question":1129,"event_slug":908,"category":38},"0xa4eed684bdfa42fef3fa9e11bf11666c1eea4cbfb11ab7951ec49891341619c9",107.26969999999999,0.6851780768705094,"Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?",{"condition_id":1131,"outcome":29,"usdc":1132,"entry_price":1133,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":651,"captured_at":13,"question":1134,"event_slug":1135,"category":38},"0xa68b0a77955777a56aea54b2888d8e93e806e4ff51fec19800625cf46ce90e37",104.84870000000001,0.8015384615384616,"Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?","parties-advancing-from-the-california-governor-primary",{"condition_id":1137,"outcome":29,"usdc":1138,"entry_price":1139,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":1140,"captured_at":13,"question":1141,"event_slug":1142,"category":38},"0xa7b2cabe6466638637347bf3fac755dc0fa5ed6f31f4e59fef37496eb95dbb10",40.40860000000001,0.8019999999999999,"2026-06-22T03:59:00Z","Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?","colombia-presidential-election-runoff-most-votes-from-bogota-20260604201820508",{"condition_id":1144,"outcome":1145,"usdc":1146,"entry_price":1147,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":1148,"captured_at":13,"question":1149,"event_slug":1150,"category":59},"0xa87ea355138b39bd6b7a20496c279cc6e2bbb9380a0877e6ccd0f8dec054e75d","AfD",62.35752000000001,0.7725,"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to AfD or SPD?","mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-election-more-votes-to-afd-or-spd",{"condition_id":1152,"outcome":29,"usdc":1153,"entry_price":1154,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":1155,"captured_at":13,"question":1156,"event_slug":1157,"category":59},"0xa8edfe55964eeff0d37f538b3ea25dabf77246ef939a34372c5e94f87723f144",169.57217,0.8385074626865673,"2026-07-16T03:59:00Z","Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?","peru-presidential-election-runoff-jne-certifies-results-by-20260608233659002",{"condition_id":1159,"outcome":42,"usdc":1160,"entry_price":1161,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":1162,"captured_at":13,"question":1163,"event_slug":1164,"category":38},"0xaa3a8627dc299d22ac9f3d87f49b0eca4fd0f5d7b61a6c1bf8539f21cd0693f5",20.94469,0.8497959183673469,"2026-06-18T17:00:00Z","Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?","makerfield-by-election-restore-britain-receives-10-20260609002937160",{"condition_id":1166,"outcome":42,"usdc":1167,"entry_price":1168,"won":12,"source":602,"end_date_iso":185,"captured_at":13,"question":1169,"event_slug":1170,"category":59},"0xae341ea8a55bc9391a0deaca1897ac1db0bdeb074ea022f988d53dcb5d09bad9",98.07692,0.4804,"Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?","clacton-by-election-nigel-farage-vote-20260708151424120",{"total":1172,"wins":663},146,[1174,1179],{"category":1175,"n":1176,"wins":313,"hitRate":1177,"roi":1178},"Other",80,0.5625,0.07897755613920801,{"category":38,"n":1180,"wins":321,"hitRate":1181,"roi":1182},66,0.6363636363636364,0.17351811676908713,{"generatedAt":1184},"2026-09-23T13:15:20.406Z"]