[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0xfa987202c408b769852eed69df92559a8b1baf7f":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":102,"history":103,"resolved":106,"resolvedSummary":557,"specialization":560,"meta":584},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0xfa987202c408b769852eed69df92559a8b1baf7f",768,228,0.6008771929824561,0.07861402049696539,0.21128888662938008,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-11T07:38:03.147Z",41.3903736710526,2.518032786885246,"2026-10-06T20:11:38.000Z",0,"trades",0.5021156885030701,0.09876150447938586,741.8809199869264,9437.005196999993,5.700636636443444,0.013574660633484163,[26,39,50,59,67,74,84,93],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"31650083965282390269113502048883725495895331661148956202621012482964650485070","0x6522024c060166830e53a48b0db1cab9296601a8539ab005124db5e4bf50a303","Yes",199.9918,0.815,"2026-10-24T08:42:17.533Z","2026-10-11T09:52:58.298Z","Anthropic IPO before 2027?","ipos-before-2027","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.81\", \"0.19\"]","Business",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":44,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":48,"category":49},"7330556727383706468662351173040823924339817877848787483691015397124505109410","0x9345d5142a67f5541264c96515496affee02580f1c572680759eac9fd2a1588a","No",199.9837,0.695,"Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?","billionaire-one-time-wealth-tax-passes-in-california-election-2026","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.245\", \"0.755\"]","Politics",{"token_id":51,"condition_id":52,"outcome":29,"size":53,"avg_price":54,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":55,"event_slug":56,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":57,"outcome_prices":58,"category":38},"93607174427076648497970085679890464224074212453553954883931612093962256690262","0x5ba72dca702ddf6ac8ce0b992b521dd3b080109e39a5f022827ffda3ac8a60f6",100,0.79,"Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?","anthropic-ipo-by","2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.6\", \"0.4\"]",{"token_id":60,"condition_id":61,"outcome":29,"size":53,"avg_price":62,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":63,"event_slug":64,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":65,"category":66},"11876606915924142133615854761923277060697657209957870741155164849437788272266","0x684e5b72d4e407695397a79ed75ef37273c2655ca2548791a4153233d3744696",0.7,"Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?","largest-company-end-of-december-2026","[\"0.635\", \"0.365\"]","Economy",{"token_id":68,"condition_id":69,"outcome":29,"size":70,"avg_price":71,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":72,"event_slug":56,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":73,"category":38},"48566046548914168443252668519852295704538578584318207505303160546351275413281","0xb40b0cd531184a1e436d23ca898e1590418187b116f387158753d1adb9853e47",99.99,0.68,"Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.825\", \"0.175\"]",{"token_id":75,"condition_id":76,"outcome":29,"size":77,"avg_price":78,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":79,"event_slug":80,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":81,"outcome_prices":82,"category":83},"52991629302413705598808801956633891046885257813980917956896723731456517318216","0xa0421ad099542a757d64c9a812536cc52d7a80a3270bca73c81f9a103db520a6",118.61,0.41,"Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?","will-arc-launch-a-token-by","2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.435\", \"0.565\"]","Crypto",{"token_id":85,"condition_id":86,"outcome":29,"size":87,"avg_price":88,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":89,"event_slug":90,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":91,"outcome_prices":92,"category":49},"35198549486569600595408965368290795524428922595732253580266052028158040373233","0x9cb23d04b2ded06147482076688b69b487a8d982c63ebdda2ab3678cf27cf390",200,0.16,"Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?","clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026","2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","[\"0.033\", \"0.967\"]",{"token_id":94,"condition_id":95,"outcome":29,"size":96,"avg_price":97,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":98,"event_slug":99,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":100,"outcome_prices":48,"category":101},"46679229147454396320302055928018430429446055256864335454743380052215121276160","0x77117a504a1760a0166a13ff664ef0e71bc59a7952e2677899eacd54311e9664",50,0.36,"Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?","what-will-anthropics-public-ticker-be","2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","Tech",[],[104],{"recorded_date":105,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-11",[107,116,119,126,129,137,143,150,153,160,167,173,180,183,189,196,204,211,219,223,230,236,241,248,255,262,268,275,281,288,294,298,304,307,314,321,326,332,339,347,352,359,365,372,375,381,385,392,398,403,410,417,423,430,436,443,449,454,460,463,469,476,480,487,494,499,505,511,517,523,528,533,538,545,551],{"condition_id":108,"outcome":42,"usdc":109,"entry_price":110,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":112,"captured_at":13,"question":113,"event_slug":114,"category":115},"0x009cb79c526eff4af80e0e568c648a165a837c0417f4e1de3cde02bfc4a3ab42",171.30749999999998,0.49863920826662783,"backfill","2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?","gemini-3pt5-released-by-june-30",null,{"condition_id":108,"outcome":29,"usdc":117,"entry_price":118,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":112,"captured_at":13,"question":113,"event_slug":114,"category":115},60,0.37499999999999994,{"condition_id":120,"outcome":42,"usdc":121,"entry_price":122,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":123,"captured_at":13,"question":124,"event_slug":125,"category":115},"0x065de237b306764883d76baa3cffde40480e0b92563c110a37b2af49e68ed19e",71,0.71,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?","of-views-of-next-mrbeast-video-on-week-1-465",{"condition_id":120,"outcome":29,"usdc":127,"entry_price":128,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":123,"captured_at":13,"question":124,"event_slug":125,"category":115},36.7,0.2446666666666667,{"condition_id":130,"outcome":131,"usdc":132,"entry_price":133,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":134,"captured_at":13,"question":135,"event_slug":136,"category":115},"0x07b86be2c70046df4023ee204cb867e7468b60a956d33a460fa1f80b56b45d4a","Celtics",440,0.44,"2026-04-09T00:00:00Z","Celtics vs. Knicks","nba-bos-nyk-2026-04-09",{"condition_id":138,"outcome":29,"usdc":139,"entry_price":140,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":123,"captured_at":13,"question":141,"event_slug":142,"category":115},"0x0a812002db53195e6cce8a3a7a22ed1f2aeef5fba6d695a52d0ce3b8ceac9089",47.5,0.475,"North Korea missile test\u002Flaunch by March 31?","north-korea-missile-testlaunch-by-march-31",{"condition_id":144,"outcome":42,"usdc":145,"entry_price":146,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":147,"captured_at":13,"question":148,"event_slug":149,"category":115},"0x0fe6d27fdd8c7aaa58419c1b755af3cad99c70916201aeb7178431c58290c9d8",8.761246,0.20452404476066874,"2026-02-26T14:00:00Z","Will Shake Shack (SHAK) beat quarterly earnings?","shak-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-02-26-2026-0pt35",{"condition_id":144,"outcome":29,"usdc":151,"entry_price":152,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":147,"captured_at":13,"question":148,"event_slug":149,"category":115},122.2645,0.7493993257738277,{"condition_id":154,"outcome":42,"usdc":155,"entry_price":156,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":157,"captured_at":13,"question":158,"event_slug":159,"category":49},"0x178b29c0bb3a1c482f37f42e2420a1aa686b960ef0004e9ed07d7f46581779c9",61.9516,0.61,"2026-07-01T17:00:00Z","Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?","claude-fable-5-restored-for-us-customers-by-20260613193753196",{"condition_id":161,"outcome":42,"usdc":162,"entry_price":163,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":164,"captured_at":13,"question":165,"event_slug":166,"category":115},"0x17a2466c34d9a93dbef8bda91bc56005b4162666901df319bcddb063d6bd8991",310.097853,0.7752493576349531,"2026-02-01T05:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-january-2026",{"condition_id":168,"outcome":42,"usdc":169,"entry_price":170,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":171,"captured_at":13,"question":172,"event_slug":56,"category":38},"0x2450ec499544c566d0de8bbd7739fb68b598c6ad380f0c1ddf3b731d42ec6b19",166,0.83,"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":174,"outcome":42,"usdc":175,"entry_price":176,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":177,"captured_at":13,"question":178,"event_slug":179,"category":115},"0x274ad0c42c610e3364de5cb9db1bccd5964b9403c3e75b13f2c611b6fb434f2b",46.997162,0.47000000330208574,"2026-02-24T00:00:00Z","Will the State of the Union be 120 minutes or longer?","will-the-state-of-the-union-be-over-minutes",{"condition_id":174,"outcome":29,"usdc":181,"entry_price":182,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":177,"captured_at":13,"question":178,"event_slug":179,"category":115},89.996386,0.45000176382714724,{"condition_id":184,"outcome":185,"usdc":186,"entry_price":62,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":134,"captured_at":13,"question":187,"event_slug":188,"category":115},"0x29059fdef7014dded7d53c5cf8585078265ed56e41de310573ee14acd926ddca","Bulls",700,"Bulls vs. Wizards","nba-chi-was-2026-04-09",{"condition_id":190,"outcome":42,"usdc":191,"entry_price":192,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":193,"captured_at":13,"question":194,"event_slug":195,"category":115},"0x2c90972ee5fdd64c9abad8eefd81e3ba90edb25e09309ddaf47fd27e569848bf",39.999994,0.8599999987,"2025-08-01T04:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-july",{"condition_id":197,"outcome":198,"usdc":199,"entry_price":200,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":201,"captured_at":13,"question":202,"event_slug":203,"category":115},"0x31a02244ca7a5075e04a1e2da76c122ec52d4de2148131f79d29b47d57c74cbc","Pacers",36.58,0.62,"2026-04-09T23:30:00Z","Pacers vs. Nets","nba-ind-bkn-2026-04-09",{"condition_id":205,"outcome":29,"usdc":206,"entry_price":207,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":208,"captured_at":13,"question":209,"event_slug":210,"category":115},"0x350b732d1cef0a4da7cc8077fc95a866a746ad29d390745d4a2e1b86ebbaecff",6,0.03,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?","iran-strike-on-qatar-by-january-31",{"condition_id":212,"outcome":29,"usdc":213,"entry_price":214,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":215,"captured_at":13,"question":216,"event_slug":217,"category":218},"0x375409bc5eeeff961e82b479caeccc20f33d15738e5bce1186d628aa3d9dfb1f",12,0.12,"2026-07-20T00:00:00Z","Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-winner","Sports",{"condition_id":220,"outcome":29,"usdc":221,"entry_price":71,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":123,"captured_at":13,"question":222,"event_slug":125,"category":115},"0x3ac8e554c32b2c81a6633a8d42bd198cdf8337cbd47c37e6ef79ab8dd9d75b18",34,"Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?",{"condition_id":224,"outcome":29,"usdc":225,"entry_price":226,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":227,"captured_at":13,"question":228,"event_slug":229,"category":115},"0x3ad961317dd47e978c66cef2c52af7c1179b6380057c974fc7dfe814ce227218",10,0.003,"2025-05-25T12:00:00Z","Will Villarreal CF win La Liga?","la-liga-winner",{"condition_id":231,"outcome":42,"usdc":232,"entry_price":233,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":234,"captured_at":13,"question":235,"event_slug":114,"category":115},"0x3b53425366b55268501a8e1c9650c982e999c5a4dc9ea1b03cc84061a1a70051",175.7663,0.7362216795606954,"2026-06-30","Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?",{"condition_id":237,"outcome":29,"usdc":238,"entry_price":239,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":112,"captured_at":13,"question":240,"event_slug":114,"category":115},"0x4370803e1beb74348ca8c60867808df202458112f43ab79000d477bd1074d519",398.43019999999996,0.3542078475421771,"Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?",{"condition_id":242,"outcome":29,"usdc":243,"entry_price":244,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":245,"captured_at":13,"question":246,"event_slug":247,"category":115},"0x4997c22d314ed5e9f3712e46eb4847441b51fa730d10ad26240afa85f5d902be",117.5,0.7833333333333333,"","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?","iran-ceasefire-continues-through",{"condition_id":249,"outcome":42,"usdc":250,"entry_price":251,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":252,"captured_at":13,"question":253,"event_slug":254,"category":115},"0x4f20debe0c978a8cfffa20cc3019dd3740c945bb577f12c0d4b8c82c4bf0647f",170,0.85,"2026-01-01T05:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-2025",{"condition_id":256,"outcome":29,"usdc":257,"entry_price":258,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":259,"captured_at":13,"question":260,"event_slug":261,"category":49},"0x5187c6fefe08cf4513e08dd31a514b698aaebc18c259b9a98c8170cca2b7d6e8",40,0.4,"2026-09-06T00:00:00Z","Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?","will-afd-win-an-absolute-majority-of-seats-in-sachsen-anhalt",{"condition_id":263,"outcome":42,"usdc":264,"entry_price":265,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":123,"captured_at":13,"question":266,"event_slug":267,"category":115},"0x51b68255809008f82d48f3337c24b601326e75a25ea447d37ad3f084cd349bac",150,0.3,"Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?","tesla-launches-unsupervised-full-self-driving-fsd-by",{"condition_id":269,"outcome":29,"usdc":270,"entry_price":271,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":272,"captured_at":13,"question":273,"event_slug":274,"category":115},"0x5401278f7f9c9df79552148e2b280dea9ea91431a77c2c46686b8bec598970e7",19.999999,0.2199999936,"2024-12-30T12:00:00Z","Ethereum all time high in 2024?","ethereum-all-time-high-in-2024",{"condition_id":276,"outcome":29,"usdc":277,"entry_price":278,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":112,"captured_at":13,"question":279,"event_slug":280,"category":101},"0x562d8e6be61af9176d3ed95c775b56202e5e668d7dd703be7c875926f56efdbd",11,0.22,"Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?","claude-5-released-by",{"condition_id":282,"outcome":29,"usdc":283,"entry_price":284,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":13,"question":286,"event_slug":287,"category":115},"0x63570f0c846b340c8c3c879ef0fbfd9261c59eff94c5ff1ae8d39941b79ceafb",128.959999,0.4856690478,"2025-11-01T04:00:00Z","Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? ","monad-airdrop-by",{"condition_id":289,"outcome":29,"usdc":290,"entry_price":291,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":171,"captured_at":13,"question":292,"event_slug":293,"category":101},"0x6753180082c3024e0727352387066cabf13fd2ebea317ec4394baa8d8a86c1ea",10.2,0.17,"Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?","gemini-4pt0-released-by-june-30-2026",{"condition_id":295,"outcome":42,"usdc":296,"entry_price":62,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":177,"captured_at":13,"question":297,"event_slug":179,"category":115},"0x6888eb38a674605a561d8bd4f35f79f80e3066c905bd55edf73bdf21634a64a7",70,"Will the State of the Union be 130 minutes or longer?",{"condition_id":299,"outcome":42,"usdc":300,"entry_price":301,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":123,"captured_at":13,"question":302,"event_slug":303,"category":115},"0x6e7d813243d0942fe60d91c4f81ba33aaea7b21e37cfc8c51a8d7ccef2463c91",34.799447,0.5800000053175446,"Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?","measles-cases-in-us-by-march-31",{"condition_id":299,"outcome":29,"usdc":305,"entry_price":306,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":123,"captured_at":13,"question":302,"event_slug":303,"category":115},86.70047600000001,0.43526416612756497,{"condition_id":308,"outcome":29,"usdc":309,"entry_price":310,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":311,"captured_at":13,"question":312,"event_slug":313,"category":115},"0x736ec244a4b5584ed2219977370d27d673d333936201c5901c1f929b3ed288bb",6.999999,0.3847074904,"2025-01-31T12:00:00Z","Will Ethereum hit $4,250 by January 31, 2025?","what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-january",{"condition_id":315,"outcome":29,"usdc":316,"entry_price":317,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":318,"captured_at":13,"question":319,"event_slug":320,"category":115},"0x73957b07d24cbda2f18be4d29881ffc04fbc847ac67f7b52d5238d7051c82cc5",29.999999,0.2599999945,"2024-12-13T12:00:00Z","Solana above $240 on December 13?","solana-above-240-on-december-13",{"condition_id":322,"outcome":29,"usdc":323,"entry_price":324,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":215,"captured_at":13,"question":325,"event_slug":217,"category":218},"0x7976b8dbacf9077eb1453a62bcefd6ab2df199acd28aad276ff0d920d6992892",15.8,0.158,"Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":327,"outcome":42,"usdc":328,"entry_price":329,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":330,"captured_at":13,"question":331,"event_slug":159,"category":115},"0x7b68c04fa47def97bdec5e75444bdb8b0b0ab559a117832bdf23ce84445cc881",14.4816,0.14,"2026-07-17T17:00:00Z","Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?",{"condition_id":333,"outcome":334,"usdc":335,"entry_price":265,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":336,"captured_at":13,"question":337,"event_slug":338,"category":115},"0x7c3b994d5a05758d4f0e69b3db51f8ff3589259ebf41c5c6bdd7ccf0cbb7c6ba","Maple Leafs",300,"2026-04-09T22:45:00Z","Maple Leafs vs. Islanders","nhl-tor-nyi-2026-04-09",{"condition_id":340,"outcome":341,"usdc":342,"entry_price":343,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":344,"captured_at":13,"question":345,"event_slug":346,"category":115},"0x81e028a00b7d37564958f6e312ff91ca4c70e024b10e6c27e7b74164a54461b9","Over",520,0.52,"2026-03-27T01:45:00Z","Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O\u002FU 164.5","cbb-ark-arz-2026-03-26",{"condition_id":348,"outcome":42,"usdc":349,"entry_price":200,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":245,"captured_at":13,"question":350,"event_slug":351,"category":218},"0x86f5b0f1934bb39421651ad2ba0f04494700ba9e95663a5c141a8674c4978c15",62,"Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?","will-ronaldo-cry-at-the-world-cup-20260604013616610",{"condition_id":353,"outcome":29,"usdc":354,"entry_price":355,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":356,"captured_at":13,"question":357,"event_slug":358,"category":115},"0x8d56032a70551b17890cf2b31d3ecbfae25e40a6ca48d60165bd0869b67ca74d",39.999998,0.36438355370148245,"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?","what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-2025",{"condition_id":360,"outcome":42,"usdc":361,"entry_price":362,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":363,"captured_at":13,"question":364,"event_slug":159,"category":115},"0x8e6c5f24da6e0a987c4b5cd73d3b341152ada808416a5d9409393676d821fc6d",41.998032,0.2100000016500093,"2026-07-31T17:00:00Z","Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?",{"condition_id":366,"outcome":42,"usdc":367,"entry_price":368,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":369,"captured_at":13,"question":370,"event_slug":371,"category":83},"0x8e7a03cb1970e2ad6533b01892403516b6b3f5b5fa90ed7d104c28b27e40ba00",49.66335,0.241,"2026-07-01T04:00:00Z","MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?","microstrategy-sell-any-bitcoin-in-2025",{"condition_id":366,"outcome":29,"usdc":373,"entry_price":374,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":369,"captured_at":13,"question":370,"event_slug":371,"category":83},216.494857,0.721666708623221,{"condition_id":376,"outcome":29,"usdc":377,"entry_price":378,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":112,"captured_at":13,"question":379,"event_slug":380,"category":115},"0x9479fb558ffbf51d72351bfb52c1462801bfd87267afcf908188a8e7aeb7b445",1.4,0.07,"Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?","where-will-the-next-us-iran-diplomatic-meeting-happen-811",{"condition_id":382,"outcome":42,"usdc":383,"entry_price":329,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":123,"captured_at":13,"question":384,"event_slug":303,"category":115},"0x976617bfd741c1b8f47acf3712081614610d0dcfc05314c3cf5ec0a5f7958074",14,"Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":386,"outcome":42,"usdc":387,"entry_price":388,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":389,"captured_at":13,"question":390,"event_slug":391,"category":115},"0x993abfacc936951426dc636b44fde63be24dc2c59f2b5f878a6a2cd0412f8570",160.56,0.892,"2025-12-01T05:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-november-2025",{"condition_id":393,"outcome":42,"usdc":394,"entry_price":395,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":123,"captured_at":13,"question":396,"event_slug":397,"category":115},"0x9a40c58ffda1c02eec35f58107bd69bd30cb3d367f1755c0512bbde5abeb9d4b",27.799999999999997,0.4633333333333333,"US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?","us-announces-military-coordination-with-kurds-in-iran-by-march-31",{"condition_id":399,"outcome":29,"usdc":400,"entry_price":401,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":215,"captured_at":13,"question":402,"event_slug":217,"category":218},"0x9b6fef249040fd17e9c107955b37ac2c3e923509b6b0ff01cc463a331ddeb894",13.998925,0.1400000006046973,"Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":404,"outcome":29,"usdc":405,"entry_price":406,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":407,"captured_at":13,"question":408,"event_slug":409,"category":115},"0xa38f0aba5b78cfc9894826c431dc6c8b16e1dff8bb1f4ff3b9ab51d35e12cd55",84,0.84,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?","largest-company-end-of-july-20260624192302727",{"condition_id":411,"outcome":42,"usdc":412,"entry_price":413,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":414,"captured_at":13,"question":415,"event_slug":416,"category":115},"0xa5462af7767e134a0250b45638d0211ac52931bc8c2f2e8dc40ae10b66b110e4",176,0.88,"2026-03-01T05:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-february-2026",{"condition_id":418,"outcome":42,"usdc":419,"entry_price":420,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":123,"captured_at":13,"question":421,"event_slug":422,"category":115},"0xa6999a40aa7256e0aa795950bd59cf639b111ccf13ec7050365a84357625e094",129.07999999999998,0.48497144574691914,"US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?","us-announces-military-support-of-iran-oppostion-by-march-31",{"condition_id":424,"outcome":29,"usdc":425,"entry_price":426,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":427,"captured_at":13,"question":428,"event_slug":429,"category":115},"0xa6fd83c72b38ad7204b5a9cd4699d527970fc90506a75b871acc8bedf8b26af0",9.999999,0.3499999842,"2025-03-31T12:00:00Z","Will Ethereum hit $2,600.00 again by March 31?","what-price-will-ethereum-hit-by-march-31",{"condition_id":431,"outcome":29,"usdc":432,"entry_price":433,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":318,"captured_at":13,"question":434,"event_slug":435,"category":115},"0xa8019c363268cbe8864c032b133631c5fd2e0bf437135cdbff7c97903532a154",49.999999,0.5699999967,"Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?","bitcoin-above-100000-on-december-13",{"condition_id":437,"outcome":29,"usdc":438,"entry_price":439,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":440,"captured_at":13,"question":441,"event_slug":442,"category":115},"0xaeea5f917fc5746387b5f9c0a4263dba035dbb3f0ac6ad72bf92183d21e26739",260,0.43333333333333335,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-before-2027",{"condition_id":444,"outcome":42,"usdc":445,"entry_price":446,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":245,"captured_at":13,"question":447,"event_slug":448,"category":115},"0xb2abfc4e48334d87681240cd6a7e63c728e13973fbd68951b45bc86d6c4491e4",215.99810000000002,0.7197297657525572,"MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?","megaeth-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch",{"condition_id":450,"outcome":42,"usdc":451,"entry_price":62,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":208,"captured_at":13,"question":452,"event_slug":453,"category":115},"0xb4c934c828b5e200642a60d9615462bd7792db585a44bc20250483dd9d291df1",23.058,"Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?","what-will-bitcoin-outperform-in-february",{"condition_id":455,"outcome":42,"usdc":456,"entry_price":457,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":245,"captured_at":13,"question":458,"event_slug":459,"category":115},"0xba4493c626ec27930b6c580c956b69580e77c488a84140997180f054230a4553",837.454492,0.7642431402081811,"Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?","lighter-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch",{"condition_id":455,"outcome":29,"usdc":461,"entry_price":462,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":245,"captured_at":13,"question":458,"event_slug":459,"category":115},21,0.21,{"condition_id":464,"outcome":29,"usdc":465,"entry_price":71,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":466,"captured_at":13,"question":467,"event_slug":468,"category":218},"0xbbd4c20c967def5c4372eff6353c453676daa5f947cd09a5e0f794d50c3cc9ff",33.9932,"2026-07-20T03:59:00Z","World Cup: Scoreless Team?","world-cup-scoreless-team-20260607162032311",{"condition_id":470,"outcome":42,"usdc":471,"entry_price":54,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":472,"captured_at":13,"question":473,"event_slug":474,"category":475},"0xbf08ec6654ade883d96f3e25a5330ccf4aae0d8e9efa690c694305e95738e8a1",39.5,"2026-08-16T03:59:00Z","Iran full airspace closure by August 15?","iran-full-airspace-closure-byptptpt-20260625195253028","Geopolitics",{"condition_id":477,"outcome":29,"usdc":258,"entry_price":478,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":112,"captured_at":13,"question":479,"event_slug":380,"category":115},"0xc26f9284e9dcaeac29d8f31fa317c3d06f6d24863e7a5c87f4e98833673e26b0",0.01,"Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?",{"condition_id":481,"outcome":42,"usdc":482,"entry_price":483,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":484,"captured_at":13,"question":485,"event_slug":486,"category":115},"0xc9501eac519c7b631d0425ea093a127f4552ad52b8fdf4e591cea89b31aad981",14.169997,0.7599999957,"2025-04-30T12:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in April?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-april",{"condition_id":488,"outcome":29,"usdc":489,"entry_price":490,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":491,"captured_at":13,"question":492,"event_slug":493,"category":101},"0xcfd48c874ae1760c1ec3c87a8c46c221af6a4f2be3b56618ba261bef4c92e768",60.890958000000005,0.37000000173612446,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?","claude-mythos-released-by",{"condition_id":495,"outcome":29,"usdc":405,"entry_price":406,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":496,"captured_at":13,"question":497,"event_slug":498,"category":101},"0xd2a472c051e1ab231a4feb40322ccdafccff5fe9e4a006381224e10aff0e83ce","2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-july-299",{"condition_id":500,"outcome":42,"usdc":501,"entry_price":502,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":215,"captured_at":13,"question":503,"event_slug":504,"category":218},"0xd2a8caba5559bc21e14f6b2aa504cb14a1782751658b71409e25b82e432c0a97",177.39644299999998,0.591332434054095,"Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-golden-boot-winner",{"condition_id":506,"outcome":29,"usdc":507,"entry_price":508,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":91,"captured_at":13,"question":509,"event_slug":510,"category":115},"0xd393f0a6f8f3ab5bba841985fbe49acde453c9504600baa2bd3fb61e35789b0c",807.752,0.8080024807690385,"Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?","stable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",{"condition_id":512,"outcome":29,"usdc":513,"entry_price":54,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":514,"captured_at":13,"question":515,"event_slug":516,"category":115},"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d",395,"2026-01-28T00:00:00Z","No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-january",{"condition_id":518,"outcome":42,"usdc":519,"entry_price":520,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":521,"captured_at":13,"question":522,"event_slug":459,"category":115},"0xea1f601faf600380da04e1ce3d46fc4c7dfea5e6247550b2b513761cb40f0a9f",140,0.35,"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?",{"condition_id":524,"outcome":29,"usdc":525,"entry_price":526,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":496,"captured_at":13,"question":527,"event_slug":114,"category":115},"0xeb622a490bcf56e4760070ab67e77430dc4a1c9e7b2f0fec6e177c4917fcc6d1",66.022188,0.2749504083277692,"Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?",{"condition_id":529,"outcome":42,"usdc":530,"entry_price":531,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":414,"captured_at":13,"question":532,"event_slug":416,"category":115},"0xee483d462c5ef89bfb5e7662abb62714354a0f6f3a6c6c0df74933607ae9b81b",172.6,0.8630000000000001,"Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?",{"condition_id":534,"outcome":29,"usdc":535,"entry_price":536,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":227,"captured_at":13,"question":537,"event_slug":229,"category":115},"0xee922ba545ca6b4c9a8837b2827634cfc86ac6e0e74b2026c7f1212629a46fa0",20,0.004,"Will another team win La Liga?",{"condition_id":539,"outcome":540,"usdc":425,"entry_price":541,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":542,"captured_at":13,"question":543,"event_slug":544,"category":115},"0xf3b75b3c0b852e38635bc7cc567c523e66d45a06017bfc0038e46e06114074ab","Clippers",0.5899999947,"2025-05-01T12:00:00Z","Nuggets vs. Clippers","nba-den-lac-2025-04-24",{"condition_id":546,"outcome":29,"usdc":547,"entry_price":548,"won":12,"source":111,"end_date_iso":171,"captured_at":13,"question":549,"event_slug":550,"category":101},"0xf82f84686ee2a25f5690430461413c4dc5a39dcea922a7c5f47d9d29418fbdb6",135.9804,0.45,"Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?","gpt-6-released-by",{"condition_id":552,"outcome":29,"usdc":553,"entry_price":554,"won":17,"source":111,"end_date_iso":112,"captured_at":13,"question":555,"event_slug":556,"category":101},"0xfd7c6c1c35e1187be33845fd35f369ce67c73af516c64b2a63584d3b28e2466e",73,0.18250000000000002,"Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-math-ai-model-end-of-june",{"total":558,"wins":559},75,41,[561,567,571,575,578,580,582],{"category":562,"n":563,"wins":564,"hitRate":565,"roi":566},"Other",57,31,0.543859649122807,0.047390166442245536,{"category":101,"n":206,"wins":568,"hitRate":569,"roi":570},4,0.6666666666666666,0.6443506268778398,{"category":218,"n":206,"wins":572,"hitRate":573,"roi":574},3,0.5,0.4276673924331743,{"category":49,"n":576,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":577},2,-1,{"category":83,"n":576,"wins":12,"hitRate":573,"roi":579},0.1271223208984127,{"category":475,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":581},0.26582278481012644,{"category":38,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":583},0.2048192771084338,{"generatedAt":585},"2026-10-26T05:34:48.270Z"]