[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0xf903c4cd098184e67a06a04f9b8fdb36e7bbe028":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":26,"history":27,"resolved":30,"resolvedSummary":630,"specialization":633,"meta":663},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0xf903c4cd098184e67a06a04f9b8fdb36e7bbe028",2024,602,0.5631229235880398,0.4299997128382533,0.19567428410019372,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-24T01:41:23.758Z",24.096213677740838,3.3509933774834435,"2026-09-24T02:00:23.000Z",0,"trades",0.36683320184468493,0.1962897217433557,6237.541707074486,14505.920633999984,13.614574081768966,0.064891846921797,[],[],[28],{"recorded_date":29,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-24",[31,41,48,56,63,71,78,86,92,99,107,114,120,126,129,134,141,146,154,160,167,174,181,188,195,201,208,215,221,226,232,239,246,253,256,262,268,273,276,283,290,297,303,306,311,318,325,332,337,343,349,356,362,367,373,378,383,390,397,402,409,413,420,424,429,436,442,447,453,460,465,473,478,483,489,496,503,509,514,519,526,531,536,540,547,554,561,564,570,577,580,585,591,594,599,606,611,618,621,627],{"condition_id":32,"outcome":33,"usdc":34,"entry_price":35,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":37,"captured_at":13,"question":38,"event_slug":39,"category":40},"0x00cca2903b267d7e253a52a064ad183e797eaa37cd9bf0761d12799223fab375","Yes",1.641666,0.07801983209491652,"backfill","2025-10-28T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Crypto\" or \"Bitcoin\" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?","what-will-trump-say-during-korea-ceos-luncheon-on-october-28",null,{"condition_id":42,"outcome":33,"usdc":43,"entry_price":44,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":45,"captured_at":13,"question":46,"event_slug":47,"category":40},"0x014d853c42e5a59aee3dfce695701511fd88b40fd416539e8937b5bcc1261213",5.2,0.13,"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","GPT ads by December 31?","openai-implements-ads-on-llm-by-december-31",{"condition_id":49,"outcome":33,"usdc":50,"entry_price":51,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":52,"captured_at":13,"question":53,"event_slug":54,"category":55},"0x02dd920f9cda05466bb57d5584e49ccbadb523d8927e49a48641fcad07eb3296",360.4214860000001,0.39776982043364906,"2026-09-02T03:59:00Z","Will Rodri join Real Madrid?","where-will-rodri-transfer-20260612230519201","Sports",{"condition_id":57,"outcome":33,"usdc":58,"entry_price":59,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":60,"captured_at":13,"question":61,"event_slug":62,"category":40},"0x032bea9bdb1cc6b3456b5f6b4589d600eda00fea105e9f028acd169fbd1aaf74",116,0.58,"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?","nato-downs-another-russian-drone-byptptpt-20260726214930818",{"condition_id":64,"outcome":65,"usdc":66,"entry_price":67,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":68,"captured_at":13,"question":69,"event_slug":70,"category":40},"0x03b491cf94a73059f63c01bf1861990bf6ee4c0e8454445183ec45b3ea6a918f","No",0.052631,0.05,"2025-11-05T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Tariff\" 7+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?","what-will-trump-say-at-the-america-business-forum-on-november-5",{"condition_id":72,"outcome":33,"usdc":73,"entry_price":74,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":75,"captured_at":13,"question":76,"event_slug":77,"category":40},"0x05cae7d874c02579e1518f23e5cce9040a62a1b57ab415d512f4a85cbf3a7a5c",227.121801,0.4148535790663562,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","Will MrBeast say \"Sponsor\" or \"Sponsored\" during his next video?","what-will-mrbeast-say-during-his-next-youtube-video-389",{"condition_id":79,"outcome":33,"usdc":80,"entry_price":81,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":82,"captured_at":13,"question":83,"event_slug":84,"category":85},"0x07bb575fb67b917d73b667ef6a6191b3ecedb13a339d92f853b666a03e51bada",0.09995899999999999,0.001,"2026-03-24T00:00:00Z","Will Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?","next-prime-minister-of-denmark-after-parliamentary-election","Politics",{"condition_id":87,"outcome":65,"usdc":88,"entry_price":89,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":45,"captured_at":13,"question":90,"event_slug":91,"category":40},"0x07c43910ed821497f49e84f942c16fd81c7daa789c0a51821d93443b7d8384ab",70.6939,0.5749808865392437,"20+ trapped Hamas fighters allowed to leave in 2025?","20-or-more-trapped-hamas-fighters-allowed-to-leave-in-2025",{"condition_id":93,"outcome":65,"usdc":94,"entry_price":95,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":96,"captured_at":13,"question":97,"event_slug":98,"category":40},"0x091be9d8428ad137a91a08bd832fca1f78b227b568dc2730aae74fffb64d8b94",422.14858999999996,0.6397409310869512,"","Will GamerLegion make a roster change before August?","will-gamerlegion-make-a-roster-change-before-august-20260610173103189",{"condition_id":100,"outcome":65,"usdc":101,"entry_price":102,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":103,"captured_at":13,"question":104,"event_slug":105,"category":106},"0x0a632e4dc9cce43da54a282cb46784ee9a13b0e0825c831f4d122531143e8ace",91.503956,0.6647484880640169,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Ebola case in the US by June 30?","ebola-case-in-the-us-by-june-30","Science",{"condition_id":108,"outcome":33,"usdc":109,"entry_price":110,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":103,"captured_at":13,"question":111,"event_slug":112,"category":113},"0x0a650c635145e570bfcebccf7cd63f1074d49a13d2e7a384717afeea90cf5d74",0.02,0.004,"Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-june","Tech",{"condition_id":115,"outcome":33,"usdc":116,"entry_price":117,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":103,"captured_at":13,"question":118,"event_slug":119,"category":40},"0x0ac3d32c765a92cffb8c9907e0591e7a000a8b8631c4fe67cbd9ae31a53c502b",11.299705999999999,0.19251809226656993,"Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?","paramount-acquires-warner-bros-discovery-by-june-30",{"condition_id":121,"outcome":65,"usdc":122,"entry_price":123,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":103,"captured_at":13,"question":124,"event_slug":125,"category":40},"0x0b13b1ef4cc7dc9d3b71f6643fe28ceacaad63949844f8b883ad33dc554aa8cb",12.660799,0.14131780877537614,"SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?","spacex-and-xai-merger-offcially-announced-by-june-30",{"condition_id":121,"outcome":33,"usdc":127,"entry_price":128,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":103,"captured_at":13,"question":124,"event_slug":125,"category":40},15.299806,0.4831588276148916,{"condition_id":130,"outcome":65,"usdc":12,"entry_price":109,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":131,"captured_at":13,"question":132,"event_slug":133,"category":40},"0x0d7d1c663212754d013b90c4d2c1732d3070cf1d3308f2bec241a09a79f28326","2025-10-29T21:00:00Z","Will Microsoft say \"CapEx\" during earnings call?","earnings-mentions-microsoft-2025-10-29",{"condition_id":135,"outcome":65,"usdc":136,"entry_price":137,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":138,"captured_at":13,"question":139,"event_slug":140,"category":40},"0x0ee0c9e7a70f10e74a795095fac94458b833727c13412306eff13406e7015ef4",0.17647,0.150000085,"2025-11-12T00:00:00Z","Will Keir Starmer say \"Police\" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?","what-will-keir-starmer-say-at-the-next-prime-ministers-questions-event",{"condition_id":142,"outcome":65,"usdc":143,"entry_price":144,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":37,"captured_at":13,"question":145,"event_slug":39,"category":40},"0x0fe13664a8316f6a73b27f9fac31bbfc7ba52c8dddb863e0bdda90874f57566a",1.494252,0.1300000017,"Will Trump say \"AI\" or \"Artificial Intelligence\" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?",{"condition_id":147,"outcome":148,"usdc":149,"entry_price":150,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":151,"captured_at":13,"question":152,"event_slug":153,"category":40},"0x12f3aeb9fc4aba9cb6fbfef651b7ba767f5b19dfc137043c04e41715b1bd904f","Weili",6.499999,0.4399999702,"2025-11-16T04:59:59.999Z","UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)","ufc-val-zha-2025-11-15",{"condition_id":155,"outcome":65,"usdc":156,"entry_price":109,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":157,"captured_at":13,"question":158,"event_slug":159,"category":40},"0x137ef3675b88a3807cdbf756bd0131ca999232f60a20561a99945bbbb0b49f36",0.9989709999999999,"2025-10-30T21:00:00Z","Will Apple say \"Apple Intelligence\" during earnings call?","earnings-mentions-apple-2025-10-30",{"condition_id":161,"outcome":65,"usdc":162,"entry_price":163,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":164,"captured_at":13,"question":165,"event_slug":166,"category":40},"0x1512828f4c735012fde09e2424f033bd2cd128a1a84e7aa7769440b66a1dd7c5",3.75,0.75,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? ","us-x-iran-nuclear-talks-resume-by-march-31",{"condition_id":168,"outcome":65,"usdc":169,"entry_price":170,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":171,"captured_at":13,"question":172,"event_slug":173,"category":40},"0x178e3c05f1d4fb343492ea06f3792aed100050ddb5ebf9199b017552e6ac48bf",0.061855,0.0300000049,"2025-11-02T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"MAGA\" or \"Make America Great Again\" this week? (October 27 - November 2)","what-will-trump-say-this-week-october-27-november-2",{"condition_id":175,"outcome":176,"usdc":177,"entry_price":178,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":151,"captured_at":13,"question":179,"event_slug":180,"category":40},"0x17ae42221b19cae85bc2cf66c9fdf2f5c19e759f2cf0e1c2ef496b55c1525e7d","Hill",35.889998999999996,0.1729883715800272,"UFC 322: Hill vs. Kline (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)","ufc-ang-fat-2025-11-15",{"condition_id":182,"outcome":33,"usdc":183,"entry_price":184,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":185,"captured_at":13,"question":186,"event_slug":187,"category":40},"0x1c50978776fabdddefeab74abe6c47ebf3a5c80f9edab0ab819dee3551aedb50",1.7,0.17,"2025-10-26T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"North Korea\" during Malaysia events on October 26?","what-will-trump-say-during-malaysia-events-on-october-26",{"condition_id":189,"outcome":65,"usdc":190,"entry_price":191,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":192,"captured_at":13,"question":193,"event_slug":194,"category":40},"0x1f60b2e8a2b094f50a36afe9a6d4c4b4bdcaa4ce84642cbb3cfbd81068cf3074",0.020202,0.01,"2025-11-04T22:00:00Z","Will Google say \"Gemini\" during earnings call?","earnings-mentions-google-2025-11-04",{"condition_id":196,"outcome":65,"usdc":197,"entry_price":109,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":13,"question":199,"event_slug":200,"category":40},"0x211d224a3bb13815dd660f2d85df6724097809340f11389e71409ef7176ba974",0.30612100000000003,"2025-11-04T00:00:00Z","Will Uber say \"Delivery\" during earnings call?","earnings-mentions-uber-2025-10-30",{"condition_id":202,"outcome":33,"usdc":203,"entry_price":204,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":205,"captured_at":13,"question":206,"event_slug":207,"category":40},"0x2232160c7b9a9607a506b46872f1f3501a3dccdf8384c7572a1617956a86797a",4.998,0.3,"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?","french-forces-seize-another-oil-tanker-by-feb-28",{"condition_id":209,"outcome":33,"usdc":210,"entry_price":211,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":212,"captured_at":13,"question":213,"event_slug":214,"category":40},"0x26716fc2f1cfcafe4f7c1ba9b748c56c3bd943170f6ef0648bca34e4b89adf2d",0.358441,0.2300000193,"2025-10-20T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"AI\" or \"Artificial Intelligence\" during Australia PM events on October 20?","what-will-trump-say-during-australia-pm-events-on-october-20",{"condition_id":216,"outcome":65,"usdc":217,"entry_price":218,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":82,"captured_at":13,"question":219,"event_slug":220,"category":85},"0x27d165270bb58e95511ce45edbe17120368c536c29a17b380da8e67d6e17e725",80.47781,0.4975231758725169,"Will Venstre be part of the next Government of Denmark?","which-parties-will-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-denmark",{"condition_id":222,"outcome":65,"usdc":223,"entry_price":109,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":131,"captured_at":13,"question":224,"event_slug":225,"category":40},"0x291cc399b59723e72c454efad180f2f56e68343a715894402b96e454f16a5cba",0.081632,"Will Meta say \"Advertising\" during earnings call?","earnings-mentions-meta-2025-10-29",{"condition_id":227,"outcome":65,"usdc":228,"entry_price":229,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":205,"captured_at":13,"question":230,"event_slug":231,"category":40},"0x291f0f6023efa933d36cc80fd55f9d176309a92b61b9567fd4f044a8b21873fb",9.999999,0.6099999994,"Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","israel-strikes-iran-by-february-28-2026",{"condition_id":233,"outcome":65,"usdc":234,"entry_price":235,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":103,"captured_at":13,"question":236,"event_slug":237,"category":238},"0x2b01d141fa93c1588d21bc7f49fa9f23bb75957ae33f2425b74c0e43999f0730",2.030303,0.6700002178,"Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?","zendaya-confirmed-pregnant-by-june-30","Culture",{"condition_id":240,"outcome":65,"usdc":241,"entry_price":242,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":243,"captured_at":13,"question":244,"event_slug":245,"category":40},"0x2ce784aa6c23995414e42a0f38d6185f76cecc66814c3ff5fcfdaadd81a4b2d5",6.669669000000001,0.05018183353054695,"2025-10-22T00:00:00Z","Will anyone say \"New York\" or \"New Yorker\" 45+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?","what-will-be-said-at-2nd-nyc-mayoral-debate",{"condition_id":247,"outcome":65,"usdc":248,"entry_price":249,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":250,"captured_at":13,"question":251,"event_slug":252,"category":40},"0x30f9b2d780b38e5da16ccd2fa57d9a2e028421e61c0c496585a36d7b5067f43b",30.78788,0.11383676436746003,"2026-07-12T23:59:00Z","Will anyone say \"Bastard\" during House of the Dragon E4 S3?","what-will-be-said-during-the-fourth-episode-of-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-20260707144111453",{"condition_id":247,"outcome":33,"usdc":254,"entry_price":255,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":250,"captured_at":13,"question":251,"event_slug":252,"category":40},48.41112,0.7780645161290322,{"condition_id":257,"outcome":65,"usdc":258,"entry_price":259,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":260,"captured_at":13,"question":76,"event_slug":261,"category":40},"0x3278bf273d4180c22a421cca34a9e29508345cca830a297329a5a6501d19e7a5",563.7640950000001,0.5372844118745943,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","what-will-mrbeast-say-during-his-next-youtube-video-185",{"condition_id":263,"outcome":65,"usdc":264,"entry_price":265,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":52,"captured_at":13,"question":266,"event_slug":267,"category":55},"0x32ca7de3bd329e1cbfcb9017037c4c530d1b28eb6206306c4f6d9bb381fd214a",111.24685,0.22961717983752408,"Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?","where-will-julian-alvarez-transfer-20260612230221012",{"condition_id":269,"outcome":65,"usdc":270,"entry_price":271,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":164,"captured_at":13,"question":272,"event_slug":47,"category":40},"0x331ef908bdfd259bb5e6b018c9beb9323224b54c1a53aeeea6d2363de19426f6",3.2,0.64,"GPT ads by March 31?",{"condition_id":269,"outcome":33,"usdc":274,"entry_price":275,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":164,"captured_at":13,"question":272,"event_slug":47,"category":40},8.999998,0.16999997336666667,{"condition_id":277,"outcome":65,"usdc":278,"entry_price":279,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":280,"captured_at":13,"question":281,"event_slug":282,"category":40},"0x33845095e4776df331b1951e25bb7f3db12dedb39091207fc3393fa5c144a1ce",40.264976,0.3230212310441518,"2026-04-10T00:00:00Z","Will MrBeast say \"Prize\" during his next video?","what-will-mrbeast-say-during-his-next-youtube-video-391",{"condition_id":284,"outcome":33,"usdc":285,"entry_price":286,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":287,"captured_at":13,"question":288,"event_slug":289,"category":40},"0x33d06f9d898e845f23ff1331cc16042eb2630086986eba81f1d0f200469e711c",1.0526659999999999,0.005647016538723572,"2025-12-19T00:00:00Z","Will Anderson Silva vs. Tyron Woodley have no official winner?","boxing-anderson-silva-vs-tyron-woodley",{"condition_id":291,"outcome":65,"usdc":292,"entry_price":293,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":103,"captured_at":13,"question":294,"event_slug":295,"category":296},"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187",100.999998,0.4115813634986438,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june","Geopolitics",{"condition_id":298,"outcome":65,"usdc":299,"entry_price":300,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":52,"captured_at":13,"question":301,"event_slug":302,"category":55},"0x36437464e23a82a07787cf5e4ab6b30daaf60b0e62c8362b60f4ebc298268d6c",17.52454,0.3470449898,"Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?","where-will-enzo-fernandez-transfer-20260612231640461",{"condition_id":298,"outcome":33,"usdc":304,"entry_price":305,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":52,"captured_at":13,"question":301,"event_slug":302,"category":55},3.67791,0.120526856,{"condition_id":307,"outcome":65,"usdc":308,"entry_price":309,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":68,"captured_at":13,"question":310,"event_slug":70,"category":40},"0x39cb917bd8d757008b9ab7b70817775c4ad221ea0e5f28871bbfb8e19a723b01",3.6,0.36,"Will Trump say \"Crypto\" or \"Bitcoin\" during the America Business Forum on November 5?",{"condition_id":312,"outcome":65,"usdc":313,"entry_price":314,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":315,"captured_at":13,"question":316,"event_slug":317,"category":40},"0x3b3605d566bb020631701ee7c7fae875721e33458a35efc575b45c404dea57a3",4.8,0.48,"2025-11-21T00:00:00Z","Will Trump disparage Zohran Mamdani on Friday?","will-trump-disparage-mamdani-on-friday",{"condition_id":319,"outcome":65,"usdc":320,"entry_price":321,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":322,"captured_at":13,"question":323,"event_slug":324,"category":40},"0x3ce535fdebed9d7eebc7f92322a93ab99792e92cf17f9fff3be02f4597e4d6ea",1.111111,0.1,"2025-12-07T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"MAGA\" or \"Make America Great Again\" this week? (December 1 - 7)","what-will-trump-say-this-week-december-1-7",{"condition_id":326,"outcome":65,"usdc":327,"entry_price":328,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":329,"captured_at":13,"question":330,"event_slug":331,"category":40},"0x3ee9c99707277cf71d1f258c6eab35abfb506bef42bd87ca91a8ff95ef9f229a",1.00823,0.007372096254103814,"2025-11-30T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Thanksgiving\" in November?","what-will-trump-say-in-november",{"condition_id":333,"outcome":65,"usdc":334,"entry_price":335,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":68,"captured_at":13,"question":336,"event_slug":70,"category":40},"0x3f9fd882d65548fd3a081dd5b643663828b2aca330ca3ea9d665d727488ed8e9",0.45,0.09,"Will Trump say \"AI\" or \"Artificial Intelligence\" during the America Business Forum on November 5?",{"condition_id":338,"outcome":65,"usdc":228,"entry_price":339,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":340,"captured_at":13,"question":341,"event_slug":342,"category":40},"0x405d8bce742fa300a306df3bede02ef29a5d45f8e788a8a4c056e17badf5a56a",0.2099999861,"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","Maduro out by December 31, 2026?","maduro-out-in-2025",{"condition_id":344,"outcome":33,"usdc":345,"entry_price":346,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":103,"captured_at":13,"question":347,"event_slug":348,"category":238},"0x437f095880aa1008305ec7260c6dda3539d33b16fa8624e0575f6a641005aac1",41.07,0.09355353075170844,"MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?","mh370-underwater-wreckage-found-by-june-30-2026",{"condition_id":350,"outcome":65,"usdc":351,"entry_price":352,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":353,"captured_at":13,"question":354,"event_slug":355,"category":40},"0x4495596ef99ce27149438102ea678eaba0c46053ce37abda7140680cc84b13ad",51.174989,0.5299999986,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?","confirmed-case-of-hantavirus-in-us-by-may-15",{"condition_id":357,"outcome":33,"usdc":358,"entry_price":309,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":359,"captured_at":13,"question":360,"event_slug":361,"category":40},"0x44bcd5d7205c9e65aa11da84df9fd31c56bbd7359e80c93a71e7082c1d51d1a3",10.7964,"2026-08-15T23:59:00Z","Will the announcers say \"Guillotine\" during Makhachev vs Machado Garry?","what-will-announcers-say-during-makhachev-vspt-machado-garry-at-ufc-330",{"condition_id":363,"outcome":65,"usdc":364,"entry_price":365,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":280,"captured_at":13,"question":366,"event_slug":282,"category":40},"0x44e659a5cb70cce633b919f36044742d80be150fd63118cd3d1346023db7ffe7",10.60473,0.03194965652611171,"Will MrBeast say \"Thousand\" or \"Million\" 5+ times during his next video?",{"condition_id":368,"outcome":33,"usdc":369,"entry_price":370,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":371,"captured_at":13,"question":372,"event_slug":40,"category":40},"0x46a07c472095461b5e3182324878b93e90336a434e32c6de21bac2b6491e6a60",43.62741,0.3295663750546976,"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","Another RFK Jr animal rescue by June 30?",{"condition_id":374,"outcome":65,"usdc":375,"entry_price":376,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":243,"captured_at":13,"question":377,"event_slug":245,"category":40},"0x488bd2aef34f16238e1329c5091832c91dee945ab87eec1bf37af9f119679913",7.61412,0.02588894931711186,"Will anyone say \"Defund\" or \"Defunding\" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?",{"condition_id":379,"outcome":65,"usdc":380,"entry_price":109,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":157,"captured_at":13,"question":381,"event_slug":382,"category":40},"0x49aa9f5c4d12c447c32c69f95e1761c1eae83bf9c79a88d7be1db04c6fcc6570",0.408162,"Will Reddit say \"Traffic\" during earnings call?","earnings-mentions-reddit-2025-10-30",{"condition_id":384,"outcome":65,"usdc":385,"entry_price":386,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":387,"captured_at":13,"question":388,"event_slug":389,"category":85},"0x4a050a1ba7e17d01f69af71e99e0e353ee984e575581030a1f806347972d2d08",304.220268,0.6483102866,"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?","will-mara-corina-machado-enter-venezuela-by-january-31",{"condition_id":391,"outcome":392,"usdc":393,"entry_price":394,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":151,"captured_at":13,"question":395,"event_slug":396,"category":40},"0x4a271d739253e1ae6eb146cab3bc8eb3baea6c1a4544c846489f07480a0f7349","Morales",1.999999,0.4399999296,"UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)","ufc-sea4-mic14-2025-11-15",{"condition_id":398,"outcome":33,"usdc":399,"entry_price":400,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":322,"captured_at":13,"question":401,"event_slug":324,"category":40},"0x4a9384e02957fdbc584b45f792fe875fcd6a7996d4ab91a6c62b8552ef1a045f",11.85,0.474,"Will Trump say \"Sleepy Joe\" this week? (December 1 - 7)",{"condition_id":403,"outcome":65,"usdc":404,"entry_price":405,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":406,"captured_at":13,"question":407,"event_slug":408,"category":40},"0x4afad9e6828bc0d2a605ce96a010cdccfdde59ebc692bb2468436af8beed9a8e",17.8,0.89,"2026-07-26T23:59:00Z","Will anyone say \"Marriage\" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?","what-will-be-said-during-the-sixth-episode-of-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-20260721174502939",{"condition_id":410,"outcome":65,"usdc":411,"entry_price":191,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":131,"captured_at":13,"question":412,"event_slug":133,"category":40},"0x4d18b2f5a4070d164a3862dfb87cae588180ba75d04f167e27d4ed12a1b2a3a3",0.010101,"Will Microsoft say \"M365 \u002F Microsoft 365\" during earnings call?",{"condition_id":414,"outcome":65,"usdc":415,"entry_price":416,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":417,"captured_at":13,"question":418,"event_slug":419,"category":40},"0x4d5199e9040e97ffeb28fcf8e7ccbdf0f626cc2f7395eec1cc7cf9f4861e0078",112.25599800000002,0.3197853115168201,"2026-03-28T00:00:00Z","Will MrBeast say \"Subscribe\" during his next video?","what-will-mrbeast-say-during-his-next-youtube-video-484",{"condition_id":421,"outcome":65,"usdc":422,"entry_price":191,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":192,"captured_at":13,"question":423,"event_slug":194,"category":40},"0x4d58b5426705280bdaaa1cbd9a44841be254b3b1b6d1d987da52b40a1031a6cc",0.121212,"Will Google say \"AI \u002F Artificial Intelligence\" during earnings call?",{"condition_id":425,"outcome":65,"usdc":426,"entry_price":427,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":131,"captured_at":13,"question":428,"event_slug":133,"category":40},"0x4fd08074aefc0c3d425bf9a1677a8f51a995df89d5a397e4db03078876da5423",1.384227,0.010478937858677002,"Will Microsoft say \"AI \u002F Artificial Intelligence\" during earnings call?",{"condition_id":430,"outcome":65,"usdc":431,"entry_price":432,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":433,"captured_at":13,"question":434,"event_slug":435,"category":40},"0x502ce28ca011a3b56c2a8fa419ce23a0faabcaf1a9ea706b2bccf2f300f67967",7.999999,0.479999988,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?","enhanced-aca-premium-tax-credits-extended-by-january-31",{"condition_id":437,"outcome":65,"usdc":438,"entry_price":439,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":260,"captured_at":13,"question":440,"event_slug":441,"category":296},"0x518a5b030b205706b8ffe6bbad9bd3de59548348e5c0471827f5de21e513333c",99.999999,0.288381314,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may",{"condition_id":443,"outcome":33,"usdc":444,"entry_price":445,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":82,"captured_at":13,"question":446,"event_slug":84,"category":85},"0x5216e4e5eca3fad9349a5f85b04bd32d001f0fbba60cb090c45d0c9c4ec2dd21",16.345499,0.03706676793681586,"Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?",{"condition_id":448,"outcome":65,"usdc":449,"entry_price":450,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":45,"captured_at":13,"question":451,"event_slug":452,"category":40},"0x521c8ade9d59c45f946774716cf55aab0b6b95ef0766387f8ff21effb7f9b592",8.316205,0.5429677969141381,"Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31?","will-russia-enter-pokrovskoe-by-december-31",{"condition_id":454,"outcome":65,"usdc":455,"entry_price":456,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":457,"captured_at":13,"question":458,"event_slug":459,"category":40},"0x563a5399a16b76ce4f8b0f0edd894e8d4d21299991bf81fa64b71ade3df41b11",15.672,0.36152249134948095,"2026-02-22T00:00:00Z","Winter Games 2026: Athlete to be stripped of medal?","winter-games-2026-athlete-to-be-stripped-of-medal",{"condition_id":461,"outcome":65,"usdc":462,"entry_price":463,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":52,"captured_at":13,"question":464,"event_slug":54,"category":55},"0x598d0c3d015afb9092434b82913046b272c41e11479b3d64ed4447f3699045c1",83.45607000000001,0.589979261728563,"Will Rodri join Barcelona?",{"condition_id":466,"outcome":467,"usdc":468,"entry_price":469,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":470,"captured_at":13,"question":471,"event_slug":472,"category":40},"0x5cad2687620ba567dd420c6a961151a953eb6387f4afdd2a52f34ea22483fcaa","Demoor",28.339259000000006,0.12597712898831717,"2025-12-20T00:00:00Z","Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor","boxing-andrew-tate-vs-chase-demoor",{"condition_id":474,"outcome":65,"usdc":475,"entry_price":109,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":131,"captured_at":13,"question":476,"event_slug":477,"category":40},"0x5ddccc007a93df19d616351070a2736f6a0b5440fe9c191e0f4cd2b92ba537a6",0.426558,"Will Starbucks say \"Holiday\" during earnings call?","earnings-mentions-starbucks-2025-10-29",{"condition_id":479,"outcome":65,"usdc":480,"entry_price":481,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":68,"captured_at":13,"question":482,"event_slug":70,"category":40},"0x64322ceb0636382ea9c6c8d0a4099954acb925910dbe332d810b6d5c4d4d1787",0.351351,0.26,"Will Trump say \"China\" 5+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?",{"condition_id":484,"outcome":65,"usdc":485,"entry_price":486,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":205,"captured_at":13,"question":487,"event_slug":488,"category":40},"0x64e6ff484043de24fc4a173b4e787fe302034d4064a906d1fa3ff8254e72b71f",0.999999,0.0699999363,"US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by",{"condition_id":490,"outcome":65,"usdc":491,"entry_price":492,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":493,"captured_at":13,"question":494,"event_slug":495,"category":40},"0x65d500642a7208ac7e041c493eba18d5e7db3d632b02aed77a31ea6108eb82b7",12.29118,0.605,"2026-05-24T00:00:00Z","Will \"Hantavirus\" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?","what-will-be-said-on-the-first-joe-rogan-experience-episode-of-the-week-may-18",{"condition_id":497,"outcome":33,"usdc":498,"entry_price":499,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":500,"captured_at":13,"question":501,"event_slug":502,"category":85},"0x664b1941e457e7446ca3c54398cc548e92a4a220ab3904a44432221a6b2b7a62",460.01632600000005,0.5823530832068878,"2026-08-30T00:00:00Z","Haiti elections delayed again?","haiti-elections-delayed-again",{"condition_id":504,"outcome":33,"usdc":505,"entry_price":506,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":52,"captured_at":13,"question":507,"event_slug":508,"category":55},"0x68565fa44534ad060a59c4fa5b8868ca653df4056769b9ff6a2f86b44ae9ee69",0.26497,0.0053315375,"Will Jack Grealish join Napoli?","where-will-jack-grealish-transfer-20260612224322458",{"condition_id":510,"outcome":33,"usdc":511,"entry_price":512,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":406,"captured_at":13,"question":513,"event_slug":408,"category":40},"0x68a6a092e37d4b71f632ef831b4b08918fb3e05c4148b16b6b3a7e76fb8fabf3",251.9886,0.7862940584,"Will anyone say \"Queen\" 10+ times during House of the Dragon E6 S3?",{"condition_id":515,"outcome":65,"usdc":516,"entry_price":517,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":260,"captured_at":13,"question":518,"event_slug":261,"category":40},"0x6a26d2f9394e0a9b01c9d9d04d9b4d53ac2b9e440904067547d21330b7c2ec73",225.04463599999997,0.4867513210192387,"Will MrBeast say \"Feastable\" or \"Feastables\" during his next video?",{"condition_id":520,"outcome":33,"usdc":521,"entry_price":522,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":523,"captured_at":13,"question":524,"event_slug":525,"category":85},"0x6a7aed00fae37de19e0b789a6b50a7475ff1afa898c50b9da11ca733a23199fa",16.8,0.42,"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?","trump-x-greenland-deal-signed-by-december-31",{"condition_id":527,"outcome":65,"usdc":528,"entry_price":529,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":75,"captured_at":13,"question":530,"event_slug":77,"category":40},"0x6ab2aebca36b9699d5af7eacc97cdeea4115c86d590ba59e752d052d62bf4560",54.235713000000004,0.300000001659423,"Will MrBeast say \"Thank You\" during his next video?",{"condition_id":532,"outcome":65,"usdc":533,"entry_price":534,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":212,"captured_at":13,"question":535,"event_slug":214,"category":40},"0x6cca94ece4825e52c9ed4ac773840dbc84aaa4e0eb0991df33d7a902c51a852d",0.8,0.16,"Will Trump say \"Mineral\" or \"Earth\" 2+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?",{"condition_id":537,"outcome":33,"usdc":431,"entry_price":538,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":75,"captured_at":13,"question":539,"event_slug":77,"category":40},"0x6def18ba18c86c0e084420c1fc6826bc76c430b6fd259405834954d902942d41",0.3237873132,"Will MrBeast say \"Influencer\" during his next video?",{"condition_id":541,"outcome":33,"usdc":542,"entry_price":543,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":544,"captured_at":13,"question":545,"event_slug":546,"category":40},"0x6e0c2302d4f0dd857d7176f4ed1f360dfe8afa695dda58b28109ca8a6430af70",30.9474,0.2104987855,"2027-03-31T23:59:00Z","Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?","how-much-will-the-iphone-18-pro-cost-20260623232158676",{"condition_id":548,"outcome":65,"usdc":549,"entry_price":550,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":551,"captured_at":13,"question":552,"event_slug":553,"category":40},"0x70a292ec4072c8e2b8ee0549c1731224dfe3666095abfb97fff6e94dcbbc46cb",134.57289,0.61,"2026-07-20T03:59:00Z","Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?","will-messi-and-ronaldo-shake-hands-during-world-cup-20260609221211643",{"condition_id":555,"outcome":65,"usdc":556,"entry_price":557,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":558,"captured_at":13,"question":559,"event_slug":560,"category":85},"0x71ee9c148f0e2b386ba959aca5954c5e6c428695bf1a5fca0af9194f40487758",6.245469,0.023342990675454894,"2026-07-08T00:00:00Z","Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?","will-trump-attend-nato-summit-279",{"condition_id":555,"outcome":33,"usdc":562,"entry_price":563,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":558,"captured_at":13,"question":559,"event_slug":560,"category":85},676.4823989999999,0.6638992346430161,{"condition_id":565,"outcome":33,"usdc":566,"entry_price":567,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":287,"captured_at":13,"question":568,"event_slug":569,"category":40},"0x74da675b5e1363b2215f24f29a13c067ff00220e2ac884a0fac7a94a51aa016e",4.175514,0.09000000192846333,"Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?","will-jake-paul-win-his-boxing-match-against-anthony-joshua",{"condition_id":571,"outcome":65,"usdc":572,"entry_price":573,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":574,"captured_at":13,"question":575,"event_slug":576,"category":40},"0x78fad93c8b41a222b40dbc440d492a97b52df0e0577ae9a3dfcec99705ca147a",4.999998,0.6699998727,"2026-01-30T00:00:00Z","Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?","internet-access-restored-in-iran-by-friday-263",{"condition_id":578,"outcome":65,"usdc":411,"entry_price":191,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":131,"captured_at":13,"question":579,"event_slug":133,"category":40},"0x7f8f80713e88292b9f92089ae2516908146288450ffe02388d081cd09dec4966","Will Microsoft say \"Copilot\" during earnings call?",{"condition_id":581,"outcome":65,"usdc":582,"entry_price":583,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":75,"captured_at":13,"question":584,"event_slug":77,"category":40},"0x8453f70e09466a49ca6b2bbab5ae1f1fb9fe63d2db06da4a26a679834babfb82",164.811966,0.4761054051946384,"Will MrBeast say \"Feastable\" during his next video?",{"condition_id":586,"outcome":65,"usdc":587,"entry_price":588,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":52,"captured_at":13,"question":589,"event_slug":590,"category":55},"0x85eceebec2c523c536c484d67baef1512e7dd74393426642595a123146e09713",6.015000000000001,0.401,"Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?","where-will-aurelien-tchouameni-transfer-20260612233725155",{"condition_id":586,"outcome":33,"usdc":592,"entry_price":593,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":52,"captured_at":13,"question":589,"event_slug":590,"category":55},354.61959,0.5465685732926544,{"condition_id":595,"outcome":65,"usdc":596,"entry_price":271,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":205,"captured_at":13,"question":597,"event_slug":598,"category":40},"0x8757d76a127a7140b979125c61fa5b462a1ed88caf7a9536042f0a6f951b2ef6",6.4,"Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?","will-netanyahu-be-pardoned-by-february-28",{"condition_id":600,"outcome":33,"usdc":601,"entry_price":602,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":603,"captured_at":13,"question":604,"event_slug":605,"category":40},"0x88eeaecf0ac071f797b9c59fc8b4bdfea96e609b41312eae2c36f46e9bae2b17",22.765216,0.7700000412558811,"2026-07-19T23:59:00Z","Will anyone say \"King\" 10+ times during House of the Dragon E5 S3?","what-will-be-said-during-the-fifth-episode-of-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-20260714143303776",{"condition_id":607,"outcome":33,"usdc":608,"entry_price":609,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":103,"captured_at":13,"question":610,"event_slug":112,"category":113},"0x8aed35d66a2094c1221c040489e5507065f7c38381d8874e436a0ce9ff029315",0.51,0.051,"Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?",{"condition_id":612,"outcome":33,"usdc":613,"entry_price":614,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":615,"captured_at":13,"question":616,"event_slug":617,"category":40},"0x8b90c1e019c4e8a90a4e516b4c2bf098478027605f97d96d1a137f2ad0126bc8",0.063829,0.0600000376,"2026-02-13T00:00:00Z","Will Bernie Sanders say \"Percent\" 15+ times during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?","what-will-bernie-sanders-say-in-north-carolina-on-february-13",{"condition_id":619,"outcome":65,"usdc":411,"entry_price":191,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":131,"captured_at":13,"question":620,"event_slug":133,"category":40},"0x8c8e43b8df78035d27dc2f980ec65c146562766af4d413dfa6ea87da3af83851","Will Microsoft say \"Teams\" during earnings call?",{"condition_id":622,"outcome":65,"usdc":623,"entry_price":624,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":103,"captured_at":13,"question":625,"event_slug":626,"category":40},"0x9049d96597900ba0f3013604dc7adc3dd6e7e4764c5a0c16318605c40ac1ee96",104.081638,0.3701530952230612,"Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?","israeli-forces-cross-the-litani-river-by-june-30",{"condition_id":622,"outcome":33,"usdc":628,"entry_price":629,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":103,"captured_at":13,"question":625,"event_slug":626,"category":40},160.302696,0.3003082335963891,{"total":631,"wins":632},173,75,[634,640,645,650,654,658,661],{"category":635,"n":636,"wins":637,"hitRate":638,"roi":639},"Other",127,52,0.4094488188976378,0.5067876339940813,{"category":85,"n":641,"wins":642,"hitRate":643,"roi":644},21,13,0.6190476190476191,0.37069517369560784,{"category":55,"n":646,"wins":647,"hitRate":648,"roi":649},11,3,0.2727272727272727,0.43457927998986495,{"category":238,"n":651,"wins":647,"hitRate":652,"roi":653},6,0.5,0.2671160676803915,{"category":113,"n":655,"wins":12,"hitRate":656,"roi":657},5,0.2,-0.9944812604605755,{"category":296,"n":659,"wins":659,"hitRate":12,"roi":660},2,1.946060123612433,{"category":106,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":662},0.5043283556948799,{"generatedAt":664},"2026-09-24T06:43:04.637Z"]