[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0xe9cf569053d7e696fb9b6074fb3de399e50a69fd":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":50,"history":51,"resolved":54,"resolvedSummary":284,"specialization":287,"meta":301},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":14,"avg_position_size_usdc":15,"churn_ratio":16,"last_trade_at":17,"wash_suspect":12,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":12},"0xe9cf569053d7e696fb9b6074fb3de399e50a69fd",583,387,0.3333333333333333,0.04747948439683711,0.15734493033400682,0.0020000000000000018,0,"2026-10-20T07:37:58.895Z",1,188.8189641136952,1.4759493670886077,"2026-10-20T03:59:00.000Z","trades",0.26843244860852694,0.06490088472480621,3469.4654723992335,73072.93911200004,4.457970102860565,0.020833333333333332,[26,39],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"12288525947764397960021713424576849007970406950510265136663237558531782770669","0x75743159df076ee110ede9e386bf9cad91df081c8bd04f3f05e5d7c141a51f33","Yes",3999.992,0.2099,"2026-10-31T18:59:49.022Z","2026-10-22T13:31:34.558Z","Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?","next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642","2026-10-25T23:59:00Z","[\"0.13\", \"0.87\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":48,"category":49},"9875273331604434310973374077817381730908757452538191940842519381772366848","0x55a5a4b50b7947482e95af8f638fa0b8d9a46740c5cd04c6799443e83565176a",1000,0.332,"2026-10-27T10:41:00.776Z","Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?","largest-company-end-of-december-2026","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.375\", \"0.625\"]","Economy",[],[52],{"recorded_date":53,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":14},"2026-10-20",[55,64,74,77,84,91,97,104,111,118,125,130,137,144,151,158,164,170,177,184,191,197,205,212,219,225,232,238,243,250,256,262,267,272,278],{"condition_id":56,"outcome":29,"usdc":57,"entry_price":58,"won":14,"source":59,"end_date_iso":60,"captured_at":61,"question":62,"event_slug":63,"category":38},"0xdf8e2dc5860027decbe6164555c3c1c9645c3bd33e16b9dc57ca87125047d4a8",1080,0.18,"live","2026-10-05T03:59:00Z","2026-10-23T11:45:31.226Z","Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election",{"condition_id":65,"outcome":66,"usdc":67,"entry_price":68,"won":14,"source":69,"end_date_iso":70,"captured_at":13,"question":71,"event_slug":72,"category":73},"0x0371dedb29bacce1949cda36d36a319ff69aa1796527bc2ccf3786ae0ec57221","No",4996.732800000001,0.5153109047144652,"backfill","2025-07-01T16:00:00Z","Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?","bitcoin-price-on-july-1",null,{"condition_id":65,"outcome":29,"usdc":75,"entry_price":76,"won":12,"source":69,"end_date_iso":70,"captured_at":13,"question":71,"event_slug":72,"category":73},2100,0.42,{"condition_id":78,"outcome":29,"usdc":79,"entry_price":80,"won":14,"source":69,"end_date_iso":81,"captured_at":13,"question":82,"event_slug":83,"category":73},"0x0b16eb7741855ca3d4383fabb8b760c897c2165d603916497f484b87ba9826dc",1243.5974999999999,0.45,"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?","largest-company-end-of-2025",{"condition_id":85,"outcome":66,"usdc":86,"entry_price":87,"won":14,"source":69,"end_date_iso":88,"captured_at":13,"question":89,"event_slug":90,"category":73},"0x1b2b69401b202d313f8909800ca7e5b1c631de6782d0b74e7cc827e1873abfb0",5795.339999,0.8796707856,"2025-06-30T12:00:00Z","Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?","khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-june-30",{"condition_id":92,"outcome":29,"usdc":93,"entry_price":94,"won":14,"source":69,"end_date_iso":81,"captured_at":13,"question":95,"event_slug":96,"category":73},"0x24e4d8b6fd60c9867d9accbdd88ba2ac7212aeb03dfc9d6b10bab06896049ff2",2955.939992,0.7961990925,"Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?","next-prime-minister-of-romania",{"condition_id":98,"outcome":29,"usdc":99,"entry_price":100,"won":14,"source":69,"end_date_iso":101,"captured_at":13,"question":102,"event_slug":103,"category":73},"0x26aec6c2101b4f1f21786408cee684b54eeb97f145ed03a722eaf2bfd5659bc0",2047.400199,0.49714383283427177,"2025-06-30T00:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-june",{"condition_id":105,"outcome":66,"usdc":106,"entry_price":107,"won":14,"source":69,"end_date_iso":108,"captured_at":13,"question":109,"event_slug":110,"category":73},"0x2be84d9a43d2d17eacffa36b6aa4a5ec43016498b2cf6b128e4db51876bb95a4",4606.1851,0.8619987424231933,"2025-07-01T00:00:00Z","Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?","earthquake-7pt0-or-above-in-june",{"condition_id":112,"outcome":29,"usdc":113,"entry_price":114,"won":12,"source":69,"end_date_iso":115,"captured_at":13,"question":116,"event_slug":117,"category":73},"0x2c341685372c76f5496b3a482169eec5b818a2c6b1c3f0d6cd29a19acbce33fe",549.83061,0.0358292105664987,"2026-07-06T04:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 29-July 5?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-june-29-july-5-2026",{"condition_id":119,"outcome":66,"usdc":120,"entry_price":121,"won":14,"source":69,"end_date_iso":122,"captured_at":13,"question":123,"event_slug":124,"category":73},"0x37cfc35bf4044322532f2c1967a215a2af46fd08d07ce2c67b0bcbad10b0a803",2495.5572,0.8299306954746286,"2025-07-01T04:00:00Z","Will XRP dip to $1.9 in June?","what-price-will-xrp-hit-in-june",{"condition_id":126,"outcome":29,"usdc":127,"entry_price":128,"won":12,"source":69,"end_date_iso":70,"captured_at":13,"question":129,"event_slug":72,"category":73},"0x411e11e12fe113d074f7729922ba61b1b7ce2f7950fd69b2a313e9f5b9a38c13",119.99972299999999,0.012000000004408488,"Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on July 1?",{"condition_id":131,"outcome":29,"usdc":132,"entry_price":133,"won":14,"source":69,"end_date_iso":134,"captured_at":13,"question":135,"event_slug":136,"category":38},"0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64",999.999999,0.74,"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?","which-party-will-gain-most-seats-in-russian-parliamentary-election",{"condition_id":138,"outcome":29,"usdc":139,"entry_price":140,"won":12,"source":69,"end_date_iso":141,"captured_at":13,"question":142,"event_slug":143,"category":73},"0x52c66859e13db536ae6ea5ae3672279a380bddbc8ee841cdf3dd9ef65a38bde9",1531.997759,0.3404446836228594,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","Nothing Ever Happens: January","nothing-ever-happens-january-581",{"condition_id":145,"outcome":29,"usdc":146,"entry_price":147,"won":12,"source":69,"end_date_iso":148,"captured_at":13,"question":149,"event_slug":150,"category":73},"0x5f88a260d61f6ab1cc05e8e34019121d5d65c516f33f5eac22755c3a29e20311",2700,0.09,"2026-05-01","Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-april-2026",{"condition_id":152,"outcome":29,"usdc":153,"entry_price":154,"won":14,"source":69,"end_date_iso":155,"captured_at":13,"question":156,"event_slug":157,"category":73},"0x6220c4164a293367cd40eba018dd6e67c78e4d48e74158845cc9361230bcb34d",2869.1829539999994,0.6040827340710342,"2025-06-24T12:00:00Z","Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?","who-will-win-dem-nomination-for-nyc-mayor",{"condition_id":159,"outcome":29,"usdc":160,"entry_price":161,"won":12,"source":69,"end_date_iso":122,"captured_at":13,"question":162,"event_slug":163,"category":73},"0x6e3bc5be13993bf29840e955ea13ed3072f222c8ab023129f68d606dde4ce6b1",1501.806,0.6,"Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?","what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-june",{"condition_id":165,"outcome":29,"usdc":166,"entry_price":167,"won":12,"source":69,"end_date_iso":81,"captured_at":13,"question":168,"event_slug":169,"category":73},"0x850c1624dc9d8ca9850195df05293ff85273e6b92e89a9551cd0a57c2f72aceb",1897.5537,0.36,"Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?","time-2025-person-of-the-year",{"condition_id":171,"outcome":29,"usdc":172,"entry_price":173,"won":12,"source":69,"end_date_iso":174,"captured_at":13,"question":175,"event_slug":176,"category":73},"0x929411eddaf4454dbcfdb0eb01bd484c3b152183ffc6d4d271ed9ec10195ef27",2236.1217,0.2878554647724508,"2025-10-10T00:00:00Z","Will  Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?","nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025",{"condition_id":178,"outcome":66,"usdc":179,"entry_price":180,"won":12,"source":69,"end_date_iso":181,"captured_at":13,"question":182,"event_slug":183,"category":73},"0xa6404f98b82f8dc3647926686b6be11a4cf412746bd4e7fa94da83592b7f3c50",1420,0.04733333333333333,"2025-08-01T04:00:00Z","Will XRP reach $2.3 in July?","what-price-will-xrp-hit-in-july",{"condition_id":185,"outcome":29,"usdc":186,"entry_price":187,"won":12,"source":69,"end_date_iso":188,"captured_at":13,"question":189,"event_slug":190,"category":73},"0xaa4803f1ebb163af02026e4689b4bb498900ab7c4dbe230c332cf12f218e959a",1370,0.137,"2025-12-07T00:00:00Z","Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?","romania-bucharest-mayoral-election",{"condition_id":192,"outcome":29,"usdc":193,"entry_price":194,"won":14,"source":69,"end_date_iso":81,"captured_at":13,"question":195,"event_slug":196,"category":73},"0xaf51603d78545c838490bafe178ee9ff4c23d0c2161f15e0e530d3735229ad3f",997.825,0.34652717485674595,"Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?","romania-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":198,"outcome":29,"usdc":199,"entry_price":200,"won":14,"source":69,"end_date_iso":201,"captured_at":13,"question":202,"event_slug":203,"category":204},"0xb5d7dbb1113e351dc03f9737ddbbb91960eb2860dbb3eba26351be207a208749",561.916355,0.5600000002012075,"2026-10-05T18:45:00Z","Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05?","unl-rom-swe-2026-10-05","Sports",{"condition_id":206,"outcome":29,"usdc":207,"entry_price":208,"won":12,"source":69,"end_date_iso":209,"captured_at":13,"question":210,"event_slug":211,"category":38},"0xb8d9de792eaa47a1a7cd48e1eaf4feb9605b3bbadfef751db98b85e96b334a17",89.999948,0.03,"2026-09-27T00:00:00Z","Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?","switzerlands-september-referendum-what-will-pass-20260713144919276",{"condition_id":213,"outcome":29,"usdc":214,"entry_price":215,"won":14,"source":69,"end_date_iso":216,"captured_at":13,"question":217,"event_slug":218,"category":73},"0xbe6525eb1b615ba8a490abc915d76cdffabb2aad4f71e26aaee5f57c3b096a71",899.7245429999999,0.17552059182810575,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?","will-mojtaba-khamenei-be-the-next-supreme-leader-of-iran-573",{"condition_id":220,"outcome":29,"usdc":221,"entry_price":161,"won":12,"source":69,"end_date_iso":222,"captured_at":13,"question":223,"event_slug":224,"category":73},"0xd009ac14bccdd12925a2d9f8d910411556e4ed153337abb18a97b97fabcf7db0",2799.999999,"2025-05-18T12:00:00Z","Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?","poland-presidential-election",{"condition_id":226,"outcome":66,"usdc":227,"entry_price":228,"won":12,"source":69,"end_date_iso":229,"captured_at":13,"question":230,"event_slug":231,"category":73},"0xd4bbf7f6707c67beb736135ad32a41f6db41f8ae52d3ac4919650de9eeb94ed8",5717.238248,0.17847472397061773,"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?","khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-february-28",{"condition_id":233,"outcome":66,"usdc":234,"entry_price":235,"won":12,"source":69,"end_date_iso":181,"captured_at":13,"question":236,"event_slug":237,"category":73},"0xdd68a761da0fea6eb0ca3135dc1cfc1d5fbfa14f0a0d5ce0439972b903a5a6a9",2325,0.5166666666666667,"Will Bitcoin reach $115K in July?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-july",{"condition_id":239,"outcome":29,"usdc":240,"entry_price":241,"won":14,"source":69,"end_date_iso":70,"captured_at":13,"question":242,"event_slug":72,"category":73},"0xdec80349218f98d030cd5c63f1a436319bc868a93f4928eff4d7e05bed67cc2b",2092.5293,0.20925293,"Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on July 1?",{"condition_id":244,"outcome":29,"usdc":245,"entry_price":246,"won":12,"source":69,"end_date_iso":247,"captured_at":13,"question":248,"event_slug":249,"category":73},"0xe05bfd5efc54b5e3cd2ea7cd3e83298839620bfe9fa5986ff4c531cc008e55e2",239.849779,0.01199249049866678,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?","military-action-against-iran-ends-on-127",{"condition_id":251,"outcome":66,"usdc":252,"entry_price":253,"won":14,"source":69,"end_date_iso":81,"captured_at":13,"question":254,"event_slug":255,"category":73},"0xe84b1fdc087f4153ebf15cfc07f065dd5a66f3caf370b4547ea8e02100be95be",6257.958106000001,0.5087804616234302,"Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-2025",{"condition_id":257,"outcome":29,"usdc":258,"entry_price":259,"won":12,"source":69,"end_date_iso":81,"captured_at":13,"question":260,"event_slug":261,"category":73},"0xeae2edae4d49434c915134a9c279eb417b4f48a4eb3d369971c1baa8d17b8edc",282.33092,0.0188220613,"Will no leader be out in 2025?","first-leader-out-of-power-in-2025",{"condition_id":263,"outcome":29,"usdc":264,"entry_price":265,"won":12,"source":69,"end_date_iso":115,"captured_at":13,"question":266,"event_slug":117,"category":73},"0xed01a9ae438194f6b17d2ac1446bd356630b25314f465fb1e0db1b98a759e6dd",2.37355,0.018,"Will Bitcoin dip to $48,000 June 29-July 5?",{"condition_id":268,"outcome":66,"usdc":269,"entry_price":270,"won":14,"source":69,"end_date_iso":188,"captured_at":13,"question":271,"event_slug":190,"category":73},"0xef5880e94212f24f17d45b756c9aa42bc7d39c3feda659fc22417adae5e22d00",3212.6727,0.83,"Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?",{"condition_id":273,"outcome":29,"usdc":274,"entry_price":275,"won":12,"source":69,"end_date_iso":88,"captured_at":13,"question":276,"event_slug":277,"category":73},"0xff935388701627d66677db4f893df4c5a6b0245c5a372884bd7ae857baf60e61",78.999999,0.2098040521,"Will Trump remove Harvard's Intl Student ban before July?","will-trump-admin-remove-harvards-intl-student-ban-before-july",{"condition_id":279,"outcome":29,"usdc":280,"entry_price":281,"won":12,"source":69,"end_date_iso":282,"captured_at":13,"question":283,"event_slug":255,"category":73},"0xffcbecbfa6983b3cdd5e91d078088beb5738d0c746bcedceb62f7bfed0470af5",4077.275429999999,0.5073358306576161,"2026-01-01T05:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?",{"total":285,"wins":286},35,16,[288,294,299],{"category":289,"n":290,"wins":291,"hitRate":292,"roi":293},"Other",31,13,0.41935483870967744,0.038285453240614414,{"category":38,"n":295,"wins":296,"hitRate":297,"roi":298},3,2,0.6666666666666666,2.387719598870571,{"category":204,"n":14,"wins":14,"hitRate":14,"roi":300},0.7857142850726799,{"generatedAt":302},"2026-11-04T09:30:24.460Z"]