[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0xd9e7c4534905e459ec75e9f5d828c58a12924cde":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":365,"history":366,"resolved":382,"resolvedSummary":969,"specialization":972,"meta":994},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0xd9e7c4534905e459ec75e9f5d828c58a12924cde",1334,469,0.7590618336886994,0.1962975421188824,0.14961986191260507,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-12T08:12:31.684Z",109.14460595948817,1.5368663594470047,"2026-10-12T09:18:49.000Z",0,"market-winners",0.6491491608616204,0.10991267282707884,10048.239588243901,51188.82019499996,8.626649279311227,0.03862660944206009,[26,39,49,57,65,75,83,93,102,112,120,128,136,144,151,159,167,175,185,193,201,208,217,224,232,241,249,256,264,273,281,289,297,304,313,321,329,336,345,354,363],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"6761884778816083542753350539779617201084594664234729655783875952381923983097","0x58d5cc2bf06a3289b127049239aee051f3b941f219efebbca02d3f50f0eb2a64","Yes",5199.9935,0.8289,"2026-11-02T00:40:10.184Z","2026-09-17T14:59:23.805Z","Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?","next-prime-minister-of-sweden","2026-09-14T03:59:00Z","[\"0.69\", \"0.31\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":44,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":48,"category":38},"106181075047366745139197108801635573283215248045056329679360376976893016488727","0xbb4d51e6364066d92eb6f9b8413dd7193de70966736044463b205834805a1f3b","No",4000,0.9075,"Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.045\", \"0.955\"]",{"token_id":50,"condition_id":51,"outcome":42,"size":52,"avg_price":53,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":54,"event_slug":55,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":56,"category":38},"104895545296438735617666172336621441242754294947987367085791779928220778311973","0x890fc3ba40458db0b67560691aa1597344c2a0560d18e80f586a4b35f510b4ce",3968.6293,0.913,"Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?","will-the-us-acquire-any-part-of-greenland-in-2026","[\"0.0255\", \"0.9745\"]",{"token_id":58,"condition_id":59,"outcome":42,"size":60,"avg_price":61,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":62,"event_slug":63,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":64,"category":38},"1910830010387565971650098373488592514702818137344973088263643820608151819241","0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846",3400,0.7054,"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","[\"0.175\", \"0.825\"]",{"token_id":66,"condition_id":67,"outcome":42,"size":68,"avg_price":69,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":70,"question":71,"event_slug":72,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":73,"outcome_prices":74,"category":38},"9846414914422486942750462555692240718767368950832862364324602361738794436048","0x94521176f57d2ce81dde01e0b7699ca4279423042d37ed53908f0c8bfefe7e14",3000,0.6257,"2026-10-04T09:37:11.214Z","Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?","texas-senate-election-winner","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.265\", \"0.735\"]",{"token_id":76,"condition_id":77,"outcome":42,"size":78,"avg_price":79,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":80,"event_slug":81,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":48,"category":82},"55646219597856189899881677374172135376492662817148728033424581863530537477107","0x32e869cb0f7316273417ec79aa94c8a139f8c390ebff8a24150a18753d257f8e",1763,0.9178,"Will GameStop acquire eBay?","will-gamestop-acquire-ebay","Other",{"token_id":84,"condition_id":85,"outcome":42,"size":86,"avg_price":87,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":88,"event_slug":89,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":90,"outcome_prices":91,"category":92},"23087349975908951689849809689657583268158750956541808535385269508170739441669","0xf9b6b5c3c6e07afe4aad6ed9ce4fa7545f9c2baa9f1dc632cd81a085c99acfe4",1500,0.9066,"Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027","2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","[\"0.0395\", \"0.9605\"]","Crypto",{"token_id":94,"condition_id":95,"outcome":42,"size":96,"avg_price":97,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":98,"event_slug":99,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":100,"category":101},"97107770187587683506815626974888163324622836988014033022064807674186740440043","0x2f224fca80a6a6b3a2a200406473fc8b33da6bcf5af83dc3fe9021a541c0519d",1200,0.93,"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?","will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-june-30","[\"0.029\", \"0.971\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":103,"condition_id":104,"outcome":42,"size":105,"avg_price":106,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":107,"question":108,"event_slug":109,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":110,"outcome_prices":111,"category":38},"54533569528927082430133047556849600511985191158927477533124630301934489498530","0x7586a96520578acaaaa4ea84a2582f197f84255da1f3392a7aa300386c187b37",1400,0.7128,"2026-09-22T15:32:38.019Z","Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","[\"0.345\", \"0.655\"]",{"token_id":113,"condition_id":114,"outcome":42,"size":115,"avg_price":116,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":117,"event_slug":118,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":119,"category":38},"57216272564529548464686463691236811991956032201293786790337952253964682584376","0xd595eb9b81885ff018738300c79047e3ec89e87294424f57a29a7fa9162bf116",1045,0.952,"Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?","will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027","[\"0.0235\", \"0.9765\"]",{"token_id":121,"condition_id":122,"outcome":42,"size":123,"avg_price":124,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":70,"question":125,"event_slug":126,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":127,"category":38},"33460385394344753109351907923235209397225125746318923726067817676780036931403","0xd8659b58a90d0d69fb1170f25b2b896871a1328115fd11c6f4cfe2b01a2a8ba0",1100,0.8463,"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?","bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by","[\"0.14\", \"0.86\"]",{"token_id":129,"condition_id":130,"outcome":42,"size":131,"avg_price":132,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":133,"event_slug":134,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":135,"category":38},"55700355708904384083703166586336715161181922434420134395993267551335701841219","0x2dad4655ee64f1cc5546e5807055eea9d5d355a914e88386ad92b2b04a1a28e3",1103.64,0.8065,"Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?","will-trump-flip-the-bird-again-in-2026","[\"0.1\", \"0.9\"]",{"token_id":137,"condition_id":138,"outcome":42,"size":139,"avg_price":140,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":141,"event_slug":142,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":143,"category":38},"76326875711147697076353707331532227929486722415800396469798548611383212234361","0xf2bf04609e7458df56c9bb4b1e051286dea11da1c944bbc1dafbcc6b76904e52",999.9895,0.7609,"NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?","nato-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025","[\"0.125\", \"0.875\"]",{"token_id":145,"condition_id":146,"outcome":42,"size":147,"avg_price":148,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":149,"event_slug":150,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":119,"category":38},"17095902971709157441219887002231819699119343581253499592038634568134421624411","0xe723e5e63c14e387c03cb37b11d79fa88f46a302503175b56cd9f68ecbc00a20",750,0.956,"Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?","will-the-us-invade-greenland-in-2026",{"token_id":152,"condition_id":153,"outcome":42,"size":154,"avg_price":155,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":156,"event_slug":157,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":158,"category":38},"12933385462445051219548039807631278921517469211617755773732773415883384410827","0x58998da8fa20593cf07618032acd580344a79279a8bcc3ed128b668d793c3d6f",700,0.88,"US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?","us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by","[\"0.0335\", \"0.9665\"]",{"token_id":160,"condition_id":161,"outcome":42,"size":162,"avg_price":163,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":164,"event_slug":165,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":166,"category":38},"60499458684380641857666641513383149627633695110197406276308452075860198022694","0x377e7fe65cf198a7fc4fdae3f2136b74729279267858daaf96718b23bc2a5607",750.0066,0.7349,"Iran leadership change by December 31?","iran-leadership-change-by","[\"0.135\", \"0.865\"]",{"token_id":168,"condition_id":169,"outcome":29,"size":170,"avg_price":171,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":172,"event_slug":173,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":73,"outcome_prices":174,"category":38},"83247781037352156539108067944461291821683755894607244160607042790356561625563","0xd5d9fc47718bd553592d126b1fa5e87183d27f3936975b0c04cc0f2dec1f1bb4",600,0.87,"Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?","which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026","[\"0.945\", \"0.055\"]",{"token_id":176,"condition_id":177,"outcome":29,"size":178,"avg_price":179,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":180,"question":181,"event_slug":182,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":183,"category":184},"12403602920039269077597917340921667997547115084613238528792639013246536343316","0xd4e77ba6f29fc093509d24f508631abd445ecf506bbdc9c4c80e60256a318527",500,0.9629,"2026-10-03T08:33:19.388Z","Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?","how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","[\"0.972\", \"0.028\"]","Economy",{"token_id":186,"condition_id":187,"outcome":29,"size":170,"avg_price":188,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":189,"question":190,"event_slug":191,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":73,"outcome_prices":192,"category":38},"72139607190315861034411702195742538105117960260100800877125381826122747504258","0x19d2ff72e389d190c183e6b114817301d29eba651d67d75a38ee201a05188fd9",0.74,"2026-10-09T22:43:36.607Z","Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?","alaska-senate-election-winner","[\"0.735\", \"0.265\"]",{"token_id":194,"condition_id":195,"outcome":42,"size":196,"avg_price":197,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":198,"event_slug":199,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":200,"category":38},"100292172522149577922637436103132246456042318074117879550513151144706945321275","0x176e84015b1cc54d470836ef1d8a60753e17fa232d9b55e9aa8dde580d03f436",450.0084,0.8233,"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?","friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027","[\"0.036\", \"0.964\"]",{"token_id":202,"condition_id":203,"outcome":42,"size":178,"avg_price":204,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":205,"question":206,"event_slug":191,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":73,"outcome_prices":207,"category":38},"64264976954058187238724333554507208255303776435657387002861226761784169752307","0x741bb46008b72234857c5118c8365ab3c2f69dbf28b30b59de04f173b8a778de",0.73,"2026-10-10T16:19:39.237Z","Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?","[\"0.275\", \"0.725\"]",{"token_id":209,"condition_id":210,"outcome":29,"size":211,"avg_price":212,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":213,"event_slug":214,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":215,"outcome_prices":216,"category":38},"111988618077786263362718284278451225707405623288593888751575373086664059387290","0x25fb28382075f418a944a781a9f8840e2f541152eea0d9798d1cabfa1466adbb",493.1708,0.7376,"Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","iran-leader-end-of-2026","2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","[\"0.852\", \"0.148\"]",{"token_id":218,"condition_id":219,"outcome":42,"size":220,"avg_price":221,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":222,"event_slug":223,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":166,"category":101},"33676235249742435565729532483122262800369378774892710387888607855248244773045","0x79b7408f02df2eba4034ca4c06ddf17b8dbeacc5adbe8595969e7573912c4e3b",499.9913,0.71,"US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?","us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-20260621201254412",{"token_id":225,"condition_id":226,"outcome":29,"size":227,"avg_price":155,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":228,"question":229,"event_slug":230,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":73,"outcome_prices":231,"category":38},"5210147086444382339849101722545511095151948730486562412029285471203011774407","0x44b642636473fb07f0c2319a1d25729a36134969076ffdbb8979cbfdda612b14",400,"2026-10-12T22:36:57.626Z","Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?","minnesota-senate-election-winner","[\"0.935\", \"0.065\"]",{"token_id":233,"condition_id":234,"outcome":29,"size":178,"avg_price":235,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":236,"question":237,"event_slug":238,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":239,"outcome_prices":240,"category":38},"100205215067722297517595068937257697192973299370955287626157382353628199508318","0xbf7a9da08326512f76129d4accf9f7d852dbf1cb7dd2c512479ff40c872f5659",0.69,"2026-10-28T19:47:26.048Z","Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?","taipei-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857100","2026-11-29T04:59:00Z","[\"0.675\", \"0.325\"]",{"token_id":242,"condition_id":243,"outcome":42,"size":178,"avg_price":244,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":245,"event_slug":246,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":247,"outcome_prices":248,"category":38},"21826735481216108293779753600846510014290875703486929222291367558516215723615","0xc57bc9d0d9890815aa31d498d57af5d2d6e8d5245fd5ab104dfd7aed8c7b7081",0.62,"Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?","who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026","2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.865\", \"0.135\"]",{"token_id":250,"condition_id":251,"outcome":42,"size":252,"avg_price":253,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":254,"event_slug":255,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":48,"category":38},"46036307473347147486878725188057240439237346445231099615680388314304154599904","0x80ebf0a88a44bf737d4047b3accd7108285c69b84257e5c684bdc4c715c81139",350,0.86,"Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?","will-the-us-invade-cuba-in-2026",{"token_id":257,"condition_id":258,"outcome":42,"size":259,"avg_price":260,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":261,"event_slug":262,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":263,"category":38},"109661757968686077522974792938650999760140615540736938967881958072068279154168","0x5ca748e7d1e070a392c9aa3e4d62ad3c00c3a9fce0a1ea721ca7c8ed388b5e42",399.9867,0.752,"Weed rescheduled by December 31?","weed-rescheduled-by-march-31","[\"0.103\", \"0.897\"]",{"token_id":265,"condition_id":266,"outcome":29,"size":178,"avg_price":267,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":268,"question":269,"event_slug":270,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":271,"outcome_prices":272,"category":101},"34732988886981510167874389845708832808627284379840131351229635795767825787404","0x1c4c6a698f0591ddf0c96e1beb56f8c75112ef849331bf3b0388f14830a7421d",0.5179,"2026-09-24T21:30:43.308Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963","2026-12-31T20:29:00Z","[\"0.355\", \"0.645\"]",{"token_id":274,"condition_id":275,"outcome":29,"size":276,"avg_price":277,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":228,"question":278,"event_slug":279,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":73,"outcome_prices":280,"category":38},"84368524152268016512433556151474175385160499638069024812438264090070245734708","0x1c017cbb38a9d0ab233ebb265b25c78290317e6a2470657ca18a73a112397b55",300,0.85,"Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?","south-carolina-senate-election-winner","[\"0.695\", \"0.305\"]",{"token_id":282,"condition_id":283,"outcome":29,"size":276,"avg_price":284,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":285,"event_slug":286,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":287,"outcome_prices":288,"category":38},"86831555216352607458811867018842097191310281105831909967661155990095395482445","0xa090ae1a88ca96bcae7523a65a96425ed53616709be75cb69a0df144f718931e",0.8,"Nothing Ever Happens: 2026","nothing-ever-happens-2026","2026-12-31T16:59:00Z","[\"0.815\", \"0.185\"]",{"token_id":290,"condition_id":291,"outcome":42,"size":292,"avg_price":293,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":294,"event_slug":295,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":166,"category":296},"2392024474485383853371198538465368332930461456064210702822681099701432105154","0xc05095d83a028e5b92280325c0b739aad1ffbd9b9fba0f61fb0c119eea339200",250,0.8674,"Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?","rihanna-confirmed-pregnant-in-2026","Culture",{"token_id":298,"condition_id":299,"outcome":42,"size":300,"avg_price":235,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":301,"event_slug":302,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":303,"category":101},"55782999195478978645683058282751482473275270795090145277907596121415418369349","0x3de0f3d7d7efb40cde68e814d40a0b232832083653c8e78260eb999baa967de0",299.9961,"US strike on Cuba by December 31?","us-strike-on-cuba-by","[\"0.085\", \"0.915\"]",{"token_id":305,"condition_id":306,"outcome":42,"size":307,"avg_price":308,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":309,"question":310,"event_slug":311,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":73,"outcome_prices":312,"category":38},"25869296386911654049715489068824757745174681288397238521780118949553760488529","0xc5eae79d1ffe716572353962eb926b1e3964c500a4880a7a94f58408218ee76b",200,0.9338,"2026-10-06T18:14:12.329Z","2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House","balance-of-power-2026-midterms","[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]",{"token_id":314,"condition_id":315,"outcome":29,"size":307,"avg_price":316,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":317,"question":318,"event_slug":319,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":73,"outcome_prices":320,"category":38},"92576281548134350814800877416860562553699794074017301653635964206220838638047","0x71e9f5312aac62bdc9b87fa8d171fa929eca6243d815298c4c7d61303f7d53dd",0.72,"2026-10-13T03:44:58.760Z","Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?","nebraska-senate-election-winner","[\"0.715\", \"0.285\"]",{"token_id":322,"condition_id":323,"outcome":29,"size":307,"avg_price":324,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":325,"question":326,"event_slug":327,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":328,"category":38},"38667196958602416137463628517439560119304765709104570192447644733106171420112","0xa01d48a973e40770719dab42faf1aeae5da4376d9eca46e77265c7551d1be0f7",0.52,"2026-09-20T15:41:01.732Z","Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?","venezuela-leader-end-of-2026","[\"0.105\", \"0.895\"]",{"token_id":330,"condition_id":331,"outcome":29,"size":332,"avg_price":333,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":334,"event_slug":335,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":127,"category":38},"99878393523957043401217108863095556720659532630565063651671026144852955005052","0x5c19f205507ce03ff5f3be08a8090a5969ea6870cc07b902a4ca2e61dfe48fdd",199.9993,0.39,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-agreement-by",{"token_id":337,"condition_id":338,"outcome":29,"size":339,"avg_price":340,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":341,"event_slug":342,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":343,"outcome_prices":344,"category":296},"86261995198423554846159207630169711576406383301850806321204748970912946735509","0x3848fcbe7e8c243a97a8007b9deac0918189a0d95f61b03d35974730fb619106",50,0.47,"Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?","bachelorette-season-22-winner","2026-11-30T00:00:00Z","[\"0.0035\", \"0.9965\"]",{"token_id":346,"condition_id":347,"outcome":42,"size":348,"avg_price":349,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":350,"event_slug":351,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":352,"category":353},"9287176329658086254229244038643916434031076655796160064021171776320847465234","0xa5d68aa8f5d453f355130e0330508fac0cdbbf97dd0b929464d002df036ac5de",7.2,0.8609,"Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?","will-any-ai-model-reach-coding-arena-score-by-december-31","[\"0.094\", \"0.906\"]","Tech",{"token_id":355,"condition_id":356,"outcome":29,"size":357,"avg_price":358,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":359,"event_slug":360,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":361,"outcome_prices":362,"category":38},"11171618905857319805355893398009978356002287408842633593535559412449299952250","0x2053d8515f1b8cbeea4ccdb56e60e89c2617e43a8660d95166b8e71d27865277",10,0.5,"Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?","presidential-election-winner-2028","2028-11-08T04:59:00Z","[\"0.0985\", \"0.9015\"]",{"token_id":364,"condition_id":356,"outcome":42,"size":357,"avg_price":358,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":359,"event_slug":360,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":361,"outcome_prices":362,"category":38},"65892530750232246342273648992064742042382898919201083513241874070914353628268",[],[367,374,380],{"recorded_date":368,"roi":369,"win_rate":370,"brier_score":371,"p_value":372,"resolved_trades":373,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-17",0.20167122205632518,0.7643097643097643,0.16534889277220663,0.0038000000000000256,297,{"recorded_date":375,"roi":376,"win_rate":377,"brier_score":378,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":379,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-25",0.19562820653948268,0.7564655172413793,0.1509140414590771,464,{"recorded_date":381,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-12",[383,390,398,406,413,420,426,433,439,447,455,463,473,482,488,495,500,506,509,515,522,528,534,540,546,552,555,562,567,573,579,585,591,598,603,610,616,623,628,635,641,644,651,657,663,669,674,680,686,692,697,702,708,711,718,725,730,735,741,748,754,760,765,772,778,784,790,795,801,804,810,815,820,825,828,834,839,845,850,858,863,869,875,882,887,890,895,900,907,912,916,921,926,931,937,943,948,955,961,966],{"condition_id":384,"outcome":29,"usdc":385,"entry_price":171,"won":12,"source":386,"end_date_iso":387,"captured_at":388,"question":389,"event_slug":270,"category":101},"0xc3d5708780de5528998aeb53ca90e7ade64804f9f2386392a681435d5c42b44d",359.1273,"live","2026-10-31T20:29:00Z","2026-09-22T19:41:34.373Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?",{"condition_id":391,"outcome":42,"usdc":392,"entry_price":393,"won":12,"source":386,"end_date_iso":394,"captured_at":395,"question":396,"event_slug":397,"category":101},"0xb818eb1084fdbc85161dda72c93e1e2da6eb3cc675aa815becb69f45f30683c9",285,0.57,"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","2026-09-17T14:59:25.152Z","Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?","iran-charges-hormuz-fees-byptptpt-20260625175035466",{"condition_id":399,"outcome":42,"usdc":400,"entry_price":401,"won":12,"source":386,"end_date_iso":394,"captured_at":402,"question":403,"event_slug":404,"category":405},"0x8062cf78d93f9202f4c0a1018d141f4af35d486a368f07e65265f27d48b4e040",151.382,0.983,"2026-10-04T07:22:16.744Z","Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?","anthropic-ipo-by","Business",{"condition_id":407,"outcome":42,"usdc":408,"entry_price":409,"won":12,"source":386,"end_date_iso":110,"captured_at":410,"question":411,"event_slug":412,"category":38},"0xc855714184ac46005a7897c68f274147f0abf1fde791421541edb065fa65a1e4",471.9,0.9438,"2026-10-29T13:54:54.054Z","Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","israel-election-likud-of-seats",{"condition_id":414,"outcome":29,"usdc":415,"entry_price":97,"won":12,"source":386,"end_date_iso":416,"captured_at":417,"question":418,"event_slug":419,"category":38},"0xff019ccfa1337dc7d12968183949ff5877a8b66ab19903e42331a7b94f97cfd7",79.714206,"2026-10-29T03:59:00Z","2026-10-26T09:30:39.565Z","US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?","us-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt",{"condition_id":421,"outcome":29,"usdc":252,"entry_price":422,"won":17,"source":386,"end_date_iso":110,"captured_at":423,"question":424,"event_slug":425,"category":38},"0xd05da9807740aa0f5bc9e9232daabe87a21e5012c19e283abf414f1c1651118b",0.7,"2026-10-25T07:06:18.635Z","Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","israeli-legislative-election-winner",{"condition_id":427,"outcome":29,"usdc":428,"entry_price":429,"won":17,"source":386,"end_date_iso":416,"captured_at":430,"question":431,"event_slug":432,"category":38},"0x12aa13b3da17ceae1b0a59b5d5b77121e91bb79b4bb0b52bf6543ed3f8d0953b",108.57000000000001,0.66,"2026-09-25T10:50:05.177Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537",{"condition_id":434,"outcome":29,"usdc":435,"entry_price":436,"won":12,"source":386,"end_date_iso":437,"captured_at":417,"question":438,"event_slug":419,"category":38},"0x8cd2457d67e7c9260161f6307ec7c4dde35217b94dbe7959c0ef9d0a63f7344d",99.4,0.994,"2026-10-25T03:59:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?",{"condition_id":440,"outcome":29,"usdc":441,"entry_price":442,"won":12,"source":386,"end_date_iso":443,"captured_at":444,"question":445,"event_slug":446,"category":38},"0x1295040186326703b63b9c7d719f8c5bb88ee6fa9672e3924f90ef74ee7b0459",108,0.54,"2026-10-27T03:59:00Z","2026-10-22T08:28:15.758Z","Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?","toronto-mayoral-election-winner-545",{"condition_id":448,"outcome":29,"usdc":449,"entry_price":450,"won":17,"source":386,"end_date_iso":451,"captured_at":452,"question":453,"event_slug":454,"category":38},"0x8a48f51af37371585fcfcc7c1fbee17f46124ab60ddca0b3d4863a82f7350cff",185,0.37,"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","2026-10-07T20:59:24.097Z","Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?","fall-elections-three-way-brazil-israel-us-senate-combo",{"condition_id":456,"outcome":29,"usdc":457,"entry_price":458,"won":17,"source":386,"end_date_iso":459,"captured_at":460,"question":461,"event_slug":462,"category":38},"0x1a01bf78f56a507fcb666d564d8c8b91b0750679163ed6e96746102c9b7d285d",283.5,0.567,"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","2026-09-24T22:14:54.618Z","Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election",{"condition_id":464,"outcome":29,"usdc":465,"entry_price":466,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":468,"captured_at":469,"question":470,"event_slug":471,"category":472},"0x0189df05ed7bf84d799213b01a79571e305c03b2ac5359cfbb3a323448ba20fa",9.26514,0.018,"backfill","2026-07-20T00:00:00Z","2026-09-17T14:54:54.763Z","Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-winner","Sports",{"condition_id":474,"outcome":42,"usdc":475,"entry_price":476,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":477,"captured_at":478,"question":479,"event_slug":480,"category":481},"0x02f0c60b4f9551c97fe67bc6f02df357de52ca969f0e9159e06a5aca69cd2bf6",194.018731,0.7977763227116268,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","2026-09-25T19:41:58.738Z"," Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?","iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-march-31",null,{"condition_id":483,"outcome":29,"usdc":484,"entry_price":244,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":485,"captured_at":469,"question":486,"event_slug":487,"category":481},"0x069189619c7ae96da2abd767071f659190af6cadf9ef1c0b875f99268b5b4ebe",31.3534,"2026-05-05T19:00:00Z","Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?","ucl-ars-atm1-2026-05-05",{"condition_id":489,"outcome":42,"usdc":490,"entry_price":491,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":492,"captured_at":469,"question":493,"event_slug":494,"category":101},"0x0c38dd9305e3205557885183f0730270779e7e426b0ec3e7743f23963b6d6e4a",163.45577,0.6868066420628316,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?","will-france-uk-or-germany-strike-iran-by-june-30-259",{"condition_id":496,"outcome":29,"usdc":497,"entry_price":498,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":468,"captured_at":469,"question":499,"event_slug":471,"category":472},"0x0c4cd2055d6ea89354ffddc55d6dbcef9355748112ea952fc925f3db6a5c457f",96.28984,0.188,"Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":501,"outcome":42,"usdc":502,"entry_price":221,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":503,"captured_at":469,"question":504,"event_slug":505,"category":38},"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089",71,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":501,"outcome":29,"usdc":507,"entry_price":508,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":503,"captured_at":469,"question":504,"event_slug":505,"category":38},112,0.28,{"condition_id":510,"outcome":29,"usdc":511,"entry_price":277,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":478,"question":513,"event_slug":514,"category":481},"0x0fbf49865537a7085a15a6286d4ac40447b3a8f957a2a7633770b7f6be1c83be",212.5,"2026-03-24T00:00:00Z","Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?","denmark-parliamentary-election-winner",{"condition_id":516,"outcome":42,"usdc":517,"entry_price":518,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":519,"captured_at":469,"question":520,"event_slug":521,"category":481},"0x136f4e242faeb42f66fa6baf4c192fbfa0b5788ed47a2bf1a3d3a2051b87715a",375,0.75,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?","us-announces-blockade-on-iran-byptptpt-20260622191049039",{"condition_id":523,"outcome":29,"usdc":524,"entry_price":525,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":478,"question":526,"event_slug":527,"category":481},"0x17a419d9fb33090bec9da9bd6a5c47ac48877b51458b85c42d4e244494e53b09",12.75,0.26898734177215194,"Will Venstre win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?","denmark-parliamentary-election-3rd-place",{"condition_id":529,"outcome":42,"usdc":530,"entry_price":531,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":469,"question":532,"event_slug":533,"category":38},"0x1ace6d9e95a123a07e30939e68b7f6eaf4dda3387814f0fa2f329e3102759c95",8153.49398,0.7847269964,"Will the Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands) be part of the next Government of Denmark?","which-parties-will-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-denmark",{"condition_id":535,"outcome":29,"usdc":536,"entry_price":537,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":478,"question":538,"event_slug":539,"category":481},"0x1f90f59ed029c573e4dec7d1e2c3a8a6a8ee8f68aa50ccfe63ae88b6e942b9e2",42.0678,0.6826971762,"Will Venstre win 15-19 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?","of-seats-won-by-venstre-in-denmark-parliamentary-election",{"condition_id":541,"outcome":29,"usdc":542,"entry_price":543,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":544,"captured_at":469,"question":545,"event_slug":505,"category":38},"0x20af55ab35186377b81219db6cb8615240cba42cea41731091be9484a5f5b122",22,0.55,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":547,"outcome":42,"usdc":548,"entry_price":549,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":477,"captured_at":478,"question":550,"event_slug":551,"category":481},"0x24026080b17f4e88729eab0ac2929ee37c13bfbb4a159179ec63deb4a242d9c9",2252.90244,0.7193266963808477,"France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?","will-france-uk-or-germany-strike-iran-by-march-31-929",{"condition_id":547,"outcome":29,"usdc":553,"entry_price":554,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":477,"captured_at":478,"question":550,"event_slug":551,"category":481},130.90885,0.269,{"condition_id":556,"outcome":29,"usdc":557,"entry_price":558,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":559,"captured_at":478,"question":560,"event_slug":561,"category":481},"0x2487c254a5f7150cd84b4da2ceae323989dcceb79d15fcb91471dd1efb7cc294",58,0.58,"2026-02-24T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Greenland\" during the State of the Union address?","what-places-will-trump-mention-during-the-state-of-the-union-address",{"condition_id":563,"outcome":42,"usdc":564,"entry_price":565,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":469,"question":566,"event_slug":533,"category":38},"0x27d165270bb58e95511ce45edbe17120368c536c29a17b380da8e67d6e17e725",455.9268,0.5952357825475795,"Will Venstre be part of the next Government of Denmark?",{"condition_id":568,"outcome":42,"usdc":569,"entry_price":570,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":477,"captured_at":469,"question":571,"event_slug":572,"category":481},"0x2b1435f47a09615867ade05d314485b7603924199ba0982cf28678b88717b520",926.5,0.8056521739130434,"US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-march-31",{"condition_id":574,"outcome":29,"usdc":575,"entry_price":358,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":576,"captured_at":478,"question":577,"event_slug":578,"category":481},"0x2cbfefb1c7f083b083bbc123b164c05fc13a9baf298063e9570fceb0ff1742a7",91.095,"2026-03-31T23:55:00Z","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?","trump-announces-end-of-military-operations-against-iran-by",{"condition_id":580,"outcome":42,"usdc":581,"entry_price":582,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":477,"captured_at":469,"question":583,"event_slug":584,"category":481},"0x307a56c2575036f0e7dc5eb6ca4a291050a7ebcab5b0822ac48939eae0d4f8f5",769.195444,0.82709681739762,"US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?","us-forcibly-removes-khamenei-from-power-by-march-31",{"condition_id":586,"outcome":29,"usdc":587,"entry_price":588,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":478,"question":589,"event_slug":590,"category":481},"0x3295f2c43edab04909fcfcb8e6368f0cf8caa120ebfe92794751273494dbe7d2",483.43919999999997,0.8718470694293056,"Will Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?","denmark-parliamentary-election-2nd-place",{"condition_id":592,"outcome":29,"usdc":593,"entry_price":594,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":595,"captured_at":469,"question":596,"event_slug":597,"category":481},"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20",100,0.1,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by-february-28-2026-227-967-547-688-589-491-592-418-452-924-384-915-464-672-196-157-993-596-269-535-381-391-471-256-988-997-296-225-762-973-292-827-345-182-558-215-794-879-189-761",{"condition_id":599,"outcome":29,"usdc":600,"entry_price":558,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":492,"captured_at":469,"question":601,"event_slug":602,"category":101},"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187",87,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june",{"condition_id":604,"outcome":42,"usdc":605,"entry_price":606,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":607,"captured_at":469,"question":608,"event_slug":609,"category":101},"0x3953c85ab5e965cb5b3b4deaa2a5294daa6b1165ff83b586804c04a7abf51a13",236.99510800000002,0.790000006835379,"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","Iran full airspace closure by July 31?","iran-full-airspace-closure-byptptpt-20260625195253028",{"condition_id":611,"outcome":42,"usdc":612,"entry_price":613,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":492,"captured_at":478,"question":614,"event_slug":615,"category":481},"0x4b02efe53e631ada84681303fd66d79ad615f3d2b6a28b4633d43d935f89af58",460,0.46,"US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by",{"condition_id":617,"outcome":42,"usdc":618,"entry_price":619,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":620,"captured_at":469,"question":621,"event_slug":622,"category":481},"0x4c5701bcde0b8fb7d7f48c8e9d20245a6caa58c61a77f981fad98f2bfa0b1bc7",96.48132,0.897,"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-april-7",{"condition_id":624,"outcome":29,"usdc":625,"entry_price":626,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":468,"captured_at":469,"question":627,"event_slug":471,"category":472},"0x4f3421fb2daf5cca7430ed8d8132463963081572d75434393a1808fdb8829fe8",34.43697,0.067,"Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":629,"outcome":29,"usdc":630,"entry_price":631,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":632,"captured_at":469,"question":633,"event_slug":634,"category":481},"0x518df6d694ad4658fe6c284850c029c6f00c9b3609cf05f7757d1fecba1641f8",394.49744499999997,0.6069229342875773,"2026-08-20T23:59:00Z","US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?","us-iran-60-day-negotiation-period-extended-20260624044855448",{"condition_id":636,"outcome":42,"usdc":637,"entry_price":333,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":638,"captured_at":469,"question":639,"event_slug":640,"category":481},"0x561cd8d035bac38ed04e23d7882a126da38d7ead9d6679f722ad62c0c9d54ad2",39,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?","will-iran-close-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-march-31",{"condition_id":636,"outcome":29,"usdc":642,"entry_price":643,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":638,"captured_at":469,"question":639,"event_slug":640,"category":481},472.6601790000001,0.4248267751215571,{"condition_id":645,"outcome":42,"usdc":646,"entry_price":647,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":648,"captured_at":478,"question":649,"event_slug":650,"category":481},"0x59838c7eb50bcdab9fbf25a578d82034215bce951132dd11d16cbbda20dc5041",38.7,0.8600000000000001,"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in February?","who-will-trump-talk-to-in-februrary",{"condition_id":652,"outcome":42,"usdc":653,"entry_price":654,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":519,"captured_at":469,"question":655,"event_slug":656,"category":481},"0x5a9395dae6c7643ea06e7a555580a5526e81073aea9c9306363529c5b76a8f8b",395,0.7900000000000001,"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?","us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-byptptpt-2-week-pause-20260715194822042",{"condition_id":658,"outcome":42,"usdc":659,"entry_price":660,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":492,"captured_at":469,"question":661,"event_slug":662,"category":101},"0x5efa976ebe94080bbda7e45605333ff8f30156cc91604d66c41eb52fd3e25f3e",694.79151,0.8685002437530468,"Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":664,"outcome":42,"usdc":665,"entry_price":666,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":607,"captured_at":469,"question":667,"event_slug":668,"category":481},"0x5fe50c3617f3a7385aaaa076897b60ca9312dfe67252b0581a688af31b7961ca",379.99239900000003,0.7600000025600505,"Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?","us-announces-withdrawal-from-mou-negotiations-byptptpt-20260622192051747",{"condition_id":670,"outcome":29,"usdc":671,"entry_price":672,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":503,"captured_at":469,"question":673,"event_slug":505,"category":38},"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7",153,0.3825,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":675,"outcome":42,"usdc":676,"entry_price":677,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":477,"captured_at":478,"question":678,"event_slug":679,"category":481},"0x61ce3773237a948584e422de72265f937034af418a8b703e3a860ea62e59ff36",1343.4974839999998,0.8396875276381038,"Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-march-31",{"condition_id":681,"outcome":42,"usdc":682,"entry_price":683,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":519,"captured_at":469,"question":684,"event_slug":685,"category":481},"0x636f780f794635820e8cafe81924ef2dd67622fc01b6b2e5e64e9cc99593a005",588,0.84,"Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?","iran-announces-withdrawal-from-mou-negotiations-byptptpt-20260622191732319",{"condition_id":687,"outcome":42,"usdc":688,"entry_price":689,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":477,"captured_at":478,"question":690,"event_slug":691,"category":481},"0x63da0fb91e8d6e54170067cd5052d65157661c351fcc25e4d620db9986fa57cd",426.988827,0.854000003167676,"Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?","will-trump-declare-war-on-iran-by",{"condition_id":693,"outcome":29,"usdc":694,"entry_price":155,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":695,"captured_at":469,"question":696,"event_slug":270,"category":101},"0x68818a54ca4c49406bb28ada26ecf9ce732dba21505454ce874e7066da6d788c",528,"2026-08-09T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?",{"condition_id":698,"outcome":29,"usdc":699,"entry_price":700,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":478,"question":701,"event_slug":590,"category":481},"0x69f8e4dd1ce271adb39d705b3167329b6c10666bc55e0e0fa8ffd637bb7e4727",12.215,0.349,"Will Venstre win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?",{"condition_id":703,"outcome":42,"usdc":704,"entry_price":705,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":706,"captured_at":469,"question":707,"event_slug":609,"category":101},"0x6c486242e79252cc0bb57163a3b8d95e3b9538ea6a1de2e91848beeb5c6ad986",519.99146,0.8666668777812963,"2026-07-16T03:59:00Z","Iran full airspace closure by July 15?",{"condition_id":709,"outcome":29,"usdc":524,"entry_price":277,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":469,"question":710,"event_slug":533,"category":38},"0x6cdbe8c61ad37616aa158b364deaccf7246872a035cf07e14133f77f5ba0db58","Will the Social Democrats be part of the next Government of Denmark?",{"condition_id":712,"outcome":42,"usdc":713,"entry_price":714,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":715,"captured_at":469,"question":716,"event_slug":717,"category":481},"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246",439.994728,0.40000025273309975,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","US forces enter Iran by April 30?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-april-30-899",{"condition_id":719,"outcome":42,"usdc":720,"entry_price":721,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":722,"captured_at":478,"question":723,"event_slug":724,"category":481},"0x7059202b56c33677ea2df71422506923685c3c5b60c931c8f5bff7460b8b48b4",9.5,0.38,"2026-04-01T22:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Regime Change\" during Address to the Nation?","what-will-trump-say-during-address-to-the-nation-on-april-1",{"condition_id":726,"outcome":29,"usdc":727,"entry_price":728,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":468,"captured_at":469,"question":729,"event_slug":471,"category":472},"0x7976b8dbacf9077eb1453a62bcefd6ab2df199acd28aad276ff0d920d6992892",109.89807,0.13425,"Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":731,"outcome":42,"usdc":732,"entry_price":733,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":492,"captured_at":478,"question":734,"event_slug":615,"category":481},"0x797d586ad45522306490b0cc9b2f21bdf957f3843476fae99f3bcc2cec83b74b",535,0.3566666666666667,"US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":736,"outcome":42,"usdc":737,"entry_price":738,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":638,"captured_at":469,"question":739,"event_slug":740,"category":101},"0x7e045734da5d2a0743da450cc5cff8e2c1e1298a9731f7fbadd7c13823c5c79c",1185,0.79,"China x Philippines military clash before 2027?","china-x-philippines-military-clash-before-2027",{"condition_id":742,"outcome":29,"usdc":743,"entry_price":744,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":745,"captured_at":478,"question":746,"event_slug":747,"category":481},"0x80059ff4e694f878c0498f6f3a067ee7ca62dc2fc46251a4287b58355ce47bc5",328,0.29818181818181816,"","US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by",{"condition_id":749,"outcome":29,"usdc":750,"entry_price":751,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":478,"question":752,"event_slug":753,"category":481},"0x82235d0e34b8b96e761871385bf61eab785d93fcc50907583cecdb1da91586b1",371.17900000000003,0.49162781456754967,"Will the Social Democrats win \u003C35 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?","of-seats-won-by-social-democrats-in-denmark-parliamentary-election",{"condition_id":755,"outcome":29,"usdc":756,"entry_price":757,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":478,"question":758,"event_slug":759,"category":481},"0x82e6b476983620c65dcccb1db566906cc2d18609562e7e8d4b299fa23e2ecc72",5.438461,0.35,"Will turnout in the 2026 Danish general elections be between 85% and 90%?","turnout-in-2026-denmark-parliamentary-election",{"condition_id":761,"outcome":42,"usdc":762,"entry_price":763,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":722,"captured_at":478,"question":764,"event_slug":724,"category":481},"0x84fe3bcc7d11b846fcd41b634a99c9c54a532ed63fe8a764a30365f5c3dc2160",73.8,0.82,"Will Trump say \"Mission Accomplished\" during Address to the Nation?",{"condition_id":766,"outcome":29,"usdc":767,"entry_price":768,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":769,"captured_at":469,"question":770,"event_slug":771,"category":38},"0x876506d8b2bd7a0d3fa4fe18c024eee6e1dd81ee24c26795dadd6cfe4a7b5d0d",1440.1475,0.7977777777777778,"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-september-762",{"condition_id":773,"outcome":42,"usdc":774,"entry_price":775,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":492,"captured_at":469,"question":776,"event_slug":777,"category":38},"0x8b08f0f9f302e2c4f54e4eb238b2954df5fd33218cc713ff83808d47687e5ba2",196.716,0.78,"Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?","who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-june-30",{"condition_id":779,"outcome":42,"usdc":780,"entry_price":781,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":477,"captured_at":469,"question":782,"event_slug":783,"category":481},"0x8beb0692e15cdfd2905e4bf5ec618bb94a66900e59ce81f9de8e378d84dd4742",151,0.755,"Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?","will-the-kharg-island-oil-terminal-be-hit-by-march-31",{"condition_id":785,"outcome":42,"usdc":786,"entry_price":787,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":492,"captured_at":469,"question":788,"event_slug":789,"category":38},"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f",1228.9464540000001,0.612942264872966,"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-june-30",{"condition_id":791,"outcome":29,"usdc":792,"entry_price":793,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":478,"question":794,"event_slug":753,"category":481},"0x93ad176648db81450d68a74aa352e55d04aeab5cd50cc897345740b94ae5ed5c",403.0775,0.5342100380380436,"Will the Social Democrats win 35-39 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?",{"condition_id":796,"outcome":42,"usdc":797,"entry_price":798,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":469,"question":799,"event_slug":800,"category":38},"0xa12d0d8087385dad23189b3d96649c2062a1a6a16b97b9a796a89d20ea7f6aba",107.79323,0.8823834197030102,"Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?","next-prime-minister-of-denmark-after-parliamentary-election",{"condition_id":796,"outcome":29,"usdc":802,"entry_price":803,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":469,"question":799,"event_slug":800,"category":38},20.8,0.16,{"condition_id":805,"outcome":42,"usdc":806,"entry_price":807,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":808,"captured_at":469,"question":809,"event_slug":223,"category":101},"0xa1b3158fedfddaf2a0d8b364f6a57ee68146fb6ad458222aa8e02bcf0abbb099",308,0.77,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":811,"outcome":42,"usdc":812,"entry_price":813,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":469,"question":814,"event_slug":533,"category":38},"0xa2539f6e44144380065c172c8ac22d629fd0201d9577677147542d8707305c16",75.2977,0.7972828982529035,"Will Conservative People’s Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?",{"condition_id":816,"outcome":29,"usdc":817,"entry_price":818,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":478,"question":819,"event_slug":514,"category":481},"0xa330ab859dcce80f535e1e91f6458fc9190adb278be8c08ca7d059a7c8dd1d4b",11.714747,0.017860531922978966,"Will Green Left win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?",{"condition_id":821,"outcome":42,"usdc":822,"entry_price":823,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":769,"captured_at":469,"question":824,"event_slug":771,"category":38},"0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a",302,0.5033333333333333,"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":821,"outcome":29,"usdc":826,"entry_price":827,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":769,"captured_at":469,"question":824,"event_slug":771,"category":38},1040.6882,0.6866667111114075,{"condition_id":829,"outcome":29,"usdc":830,"entry_price":244,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":831,"captured_at":469,"question":832,"event_slug":833,"category":38},"0xa3d50cf0138c0faad988d80e35036aab97ae6d5627f539ce3ce531b555acc209",186,"2026-09-13T00:00:00Z","Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?","sweden-parliamentary-election-2nd-place",{"condition_id":835,"outcome":29,"usdc":836,"entry_price":837,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":519,"captured_at":469,"question":838,"event_slug":270,"category":101},"0xa6480903e54c68f2ee79cacb7861dfcc9b473e8b07d6dcaf2c9923034a5fb56f",445,0.89,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?",{"condition_id":840,"outcome":29,"usdc":841,"entry_price":842,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":492,"captured_at":469,"question":843,"event_slug":844,"category":38},"0xa70fc3695a65833b91b45df6db6015096f3e1471b70352ca411b4209010e7633",234.995832,0.47000000086793997,"US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30",{"condition_id":846,"outcome":29,"usdc":847,"entry_price":848,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":469,"question":849,"event_slug":800,"category":38},"0xa8e8cdf6ed1a4132ce687c5cd5d0eec65f439e0c83ae7bad3463a0906aba7aa8",5170.009448,0.7633232273118915,"Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?",{"condition_id":851,"outcome":852,"usdc":853,"entry_price":854,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":855,"captured_at":469,"question":856,"event_slug":857,"category":481},"0xad9e90bf3ccd05f9c3d4a25f49109d5f860225c26faec54b52edec93c4ba4e62","Brazil",274.60433,0.68,"2026-07-05T20:00:00Z","Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance","fifwc-bra-nor-2026-07-05-more-markets",{"condition_id":859,"outcome":42,"usdc":860,"entry_price":837,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":861,"captured_at":469,"question":862,"event_slug":165,"category":38},"0xb196a122933da9aff6cb8b0f3764d0dc5db1859f46c0481c711521eee8524291",356,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Iran leadership change by June 30?",{"condition_id":864,"outcome":29,"usdc":865,"entry_price":866,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":478,"question":867,"event_slug":868,"category":481},"0xb1c55630b184a96a1a980381f1ed5860f3b64a721cead87eea8a751dc25bdd61",11.544,0.1725560538116592,"Will Green Left win \u003C20 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?","of-seats-won-by-green-left-in-denmark-parliamentary-election",{"condition_id":870,"outcome":42,"usdc":871,"entry_price":872,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":468,"captured_at":469,"question":873,"event_slug":874,"category":472},"0xb4431b4a10c926381c72d581ba9bec629f430feea5e72fbaff3a9e2ac87a3001",88.4,0.884,"Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-golden-boot-winner",{"condition_id":876,"outcome":42,"usdc":877,"entry_price":878,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":879,"captured_at":469,"question":880,"event_slug":881,"category":38},"0xb6cff6ebb83970f5f95b839cd9c104dd60c65015bf7c4cd45d3031fcc6774065",59,0.59,"2026-06-30","US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?","us-x-cuba-economic-deal-by",{"condition_id":883,"outcome":42,"usdc":884,"entry_price":885,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":469,"question":886,"event_slug":533,"category":38},"0xbb7f1e5c1c152b79142bd6069dd49115087fa90189d976394bf5ad3ec1125ad6",3038.6869899999997,0.8723161071912776,"Will Union Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?",{"condition_id":883,"outcome":29,"usdc":888,"entry_price":889,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":469,"question":886,"event_slug":533,"category":38},21.10652,0.13891351849926287,{"condition_id":891,"outcome":42,"usdc":892,"entry_price":893,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":477,"captured_at":478,"question":894,"event_slug":691,"category":481},"0xbd65eb29fb2788d836d05125f78f525bd16c875042d6a5f5daebd63fdf0c66a4",78.99134699999999,0.7900000145377054,"Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":896,"outcome":29,"usdc":897,"entry_price":284,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":695,"captured_at":469,"question":898,"event_slug":899,"category":481},"0xbf6d232fa9083d64e8352a808d2a931f2567216a1ea733adc13104cf2bf70d55",240,"Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?","tour-de-france-2026-winner-20260702201214011",{"condition_id":901,"outcome":42,"usdc":902,"entry_price":903,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":904,"captured_at":478,"question":905,"event_slug":906,"category":38},"0xbfe12fe58a5aadd010d319ca422158cd5f5036b156519955ea649d77327fa95d",507,0.845,"2026-04-01T03:59:00Z","Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?","will-mara-corina-machado-enter-venezuela-by-january-31",{"condition_id":908,"outcome":42,"usdc":909,"entry_price":253,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":607,"captured_at":469,"question":910,"event_slug":911,"category":38},"0xc11f41372087c4d934ae7adb869ff08272b2bcb3e242d4e628330353c130e480",516,"Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?","iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by",{"condition_id":913,"outcome":29,"usdc":914,"entry_price":244,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":478,"question":915,"event_slug":759,"category":481},"0xc54459e2f195f986d34e39d01cbc749611df14b2cd535a3d1fa1a3b9eaeb1686",31,"Will turnout in the 2026 Danish general elections be between 80% and 85%?",{"condition_id":917,"outcome":29,"usdc":918,"entry_price":919,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":469,"question":920,"event_slug":533,"category":38},"0xc580316aebca4d2aa5ff9bd0f876a148d8ee665c0cbbefe3a29f01438dae9094",578.04412,0.8499012799408271,"Will Danish Social Liberal Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?",{"condition_id":922,"outcome":29,"usdc":923,"entry_price":924,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":468,"captured_at":469,"question":925,"event_slug":874,"category":472},"0xd2a8caba5559bc21e14f6b2aa504cb14a1782751658b71409e25b82e432c0a97",36.9,0.369,"Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":927,"outcome":29,"usdc":928,"entry_price":929,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":478,"question":930,"event_slug":590,"category":481},"0xd2adc16507e200a822d0b871ac96a6c9bbf410d9866cd6fa6a69d82f2113f782",38.48499,0.13978783916312518,"Will Liberal Alliance win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?",{"condition_id":932,"outcome":29,"usdc":933,"entry_price":934,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":648,"captured_at":469,"question":935,"event_slug":936,"category":481},"0xd4bbf7f6707c67beb736135ad32a41f6db41f8ae52d3ac4919650de9eeb94ed8",612,0.612,"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?","khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-february-28",{"condition_id":938,"outcome":29,"usdc":939,"entry_price":940,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":941,"captured_at":469,"question":942,"event_slug":505,"category":38},"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423",982.8895070000001,0.5781771533761234,"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":944,"outcome":29,"usdc":945,"entry_price":946,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":469,"question":947,"event_slug":533,"category":38},"0xded7e84b9452327b6382d9c8ffa6251c85771d216657a9834f38dc8acc1fd0b9",160,0.41935314775703736,"Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?",{"condition_id":949,"outcome":42,"usdc":950,"entry_price":951,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":952,"captured_at":469,"question":953,"event_slug":954,"category":481},"0xe051d1d70197f7e493c9c2421b8352f5c1be856c5ceea5014a461e8a7581b5c2",103.945,0.8662083333333334,"2026-04-30","US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?","us-announces-military-coordination-with-kurds-in-iran-by-march-31",{"condition_id":956,"outcome":42,"usdc":957,"entry_price":958,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":638,"captured_at":478,"question":959,"event_slug":960,"category":481},"0xe4b9a52d2bb336ff9d84799b70e72e8e5f4507df881af60f3f4daeb9f541a80e",854,0.35583333333333333,"US forces enter Iran by December 31?","us-forces-enter-iran-by",{"condition_id":962,"outcome":42,"usdc":963,"entry_price":964,"won":12,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":469,"question":965,"event_slug":533,"category":38},"0xe533ada3955be36575bb29933c422da68dc715a6bba3aa853fe20f89ac6b9063",267.334,0.8765049180327869,"Will Inuit Ataqatigiit be part of the next Government of Denmark?",{"condition_id":962,"outcome":29,"usdc":967,"entry_price":968,"won":17,"source":467,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":469,"question":965,"event_slug":533,"category":38},0.3,0.06,{"total":970,"wins":971},121,83,[973,977,982,987,992],{"category":82,"n":974,"wins":914,"hitRate":975,"roi":976},52,0.5961538461538461,0.054006593096173276,{"category":38,"n":978,"wins":979,"hitRate":980,"roi":981},48,37,0.7708333333333334,0.2319904954749417,{"category":101,"n":983,"wins":984,"hitRate":985,"roi":986},13,11,0.8461538461538461,-0.053439362398227226,{"category":472,"n":988,"wins":989,"hitRate":990,"roi":991},7,3,0.42857142857142855,1.3956526490564454,{"category":405,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":993},0.01729399796541209,{"generatedAt":995},"2026-11-02T06:52:58.034Z"]