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the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?","republican-senate-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections-927","","[\"0.425\", \"0.575\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":44,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":48,"category":38},"6302359956133594764084277082169634158291609371270652093164054687145970756151","0x998bc71817b2d76921d1999ce0f3431cfd5945583667a371280ca2b430b0c06e","Yes",85,0.3788,"2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House","balance-of-power-2026-midterms","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.265\", 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after the 2026 midterm elections?",[],[91],{"recorded_date":92,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":14},"2026-10-03",[94,103,109,115,120,125,132,141,148,156,163,171,178,185,192,198,206,213,220,225,230,237,244,252,260,267,272,280,287,292,300,307,314,321,328,335,341,348,356,362,367,375,382,388,395,399,405,411,418,425,431,438],{"condition_id":95,"outcome":42,"usdc":96,"entry_price":97,"won":12,"source":98,"end_date_iso":99,"captured_at":100,"question":101,"event_slug":102,"category":38},"0x52691134b24fe91f1fa04866c853e08acf86b4e3e0c98c3ce17fa59e1681190e",2.8446852000000002,0.0303,"live","2026-10-31T22:59:00Z","2026-10-03T23:12:56.091Z","Will Union Centriste hold fewer than 53 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?","union-centriste-seat-count-after-french-senate-election",{"condition_id":104,"outcome":42,"usdc":105,"entry_price":53,"won":12,"source":98,"end_date_iso":106,"captured_at":100,"question":107,"event_slug":108,"category":38},"0x061000e7810a04965eabbac368420430318dcb3bd0d6632acc68873693492de6",1.99904562,"2026-09-28T03:59:00Z","Will SER hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?","ser-seat-count-after-french-senate-election",{"condition_id":110,"outcome":42,"usdc":111,"entry_price":112,"won":14,"source":98,"end_date_iso":106,"captured_at":100,"question":113,"event_slug":114,"category":38},"0x42379d009d594ff506646fb53b6805d1fcdd13bd75ad1b69593367c20001ce88",5.999719440000001,0.3068,"Will Les Républicains hold 121-124 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?","les-republicains-seat-count-after-french-senate-election",{"condition_id":116,"outcome":42,"usdc":117,"entry_price":118,"won":12,"source":98,"end_date_iso":106,"captured_at":100,"question":119,"event_slug":114,"category":38},"0x88d46c2204b7c826c6ae09f1fde526c65b2337af2981742ec1aaa4e95df3daa4",1.19779634,0.0599,"Will Les Républicains hold 117-120 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?",{"condition_id":121,"outcome":42,"usdc":122,"entry_price":123,"won":12,"source":98,"end_date_iso":99,"captured_at":100,"question":124,"event_slug":108,"category":38},"0x8353a274ba2192fc0a08f0cb2ce2e11e4a6b727d7691036a49b4faa4212bfc24",1.99930744,0.0221,"Will SER hold fewer than 56 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?",{"condition_id":126,"outcome":42,"usdc":127,"entry_price":128,"won":14,"source":98,"end_date_iso":129,"captured_at":100,"question":130,"event_slug":131,"category":38},"0xbf381ec795bf1da8088e678bd75fa2b1208c2417cf8c09dfa92f889229b87849",48.4972158,0.8602,"2026-12-31T22:59:00Z","National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?","national-rally-forms-a-french-senate-group-in-2026-20260706175436248",{"condition_id":133,"outcome":42,"usdc":134,"entry_price":135,"won":14,"source":136,"end_date_iso":137,"captured_at":13,"question":138,"event_slug":139,"category":140},"0x051e0ea5b3c394114eacf8ce5e944ca63cbb6ccdef1d086cadc5dd129a3804e6",10.108,0.64,"backfill","2026-06-21T04:00:00Z","Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?","fifwc-tun-jpn-2026-06-21","Sports",{"condition_id":142,"outcome":42,"usdc":143,"entry_price":144,"won":12,"source":136,"end_date_iso":145,"captured_at":13,"question":146,"event_slug":147,"category":140},"0x057885f5f49261eb41504e24899a88e53cb364ddf95e3c0df5608200feaddff8",10.233989,0.219999985,"2026-06-26T19:00:00Z","Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?","fifwc-nor-fra-2026-06-26",{"condition_id":149,"outcome":42,"usdc":150,"entry_price":151,"won":12,"source":136,"end_date_iso":152,"captured_at":13,"question":153,"event_slug":154,"category":155},"0x12e830951bd827e17b0ed6cb241db15d51142b0c4dc8ec11f5164557670d2626",3.108709,0.0939999734,"2027-06-30T23:59:00Z","Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?","clacton-by-election-2nd-place-20260707214539733",null,{"condition_id":157,"outcome":42,"usdc":158,"entry_price":159,"won":12,"source":136,"end_date_iso":160,"captured_at":13,"question":161,"event_slug":162,"category":140},"0x13769b3c9e8daf0052d90385dcebb80bf28a570a8193bd5576ac73aa82909111",3.086639,0.0372611348,"2026-08-20T00:00:00Z","Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-nation-of-top-goalscorer",{"condition_id":164,"outcome":165,"usdc":166,"entry_price":167,"won":14,"source":136,"end_date_iso":168,"captured_at":13,"question":169,"event_slug":170,"category":155},"0x13fecacb200dd86453edb37a3e1ffc4cc56f1f066155147a6079ba5ae77bc70d","France",5.118989,0.5239999904,"2026-07-18T21:00:00Z","Spread: England (-3.5)","fifwc-fra-eng-2026-07-18-more-markets",{"condition_id":172,"outcome":42,"usdc":173,"entry_price":174,"won":12,"source":136,"end_date_iso":175,"captured_at":13,"question":176,"event_slug":177,"category":140},"0x1595b4818eeb1ea1e0bec5de6f057218e557feee9b405a0e930d290384fa1d16",17.10725,0.064,"2026-07-20T00:00:00Z","Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-winner",{"condition_id":179,"outcome":42,"usdc":180,"entry_price":181,"won":14,"source":136,"end_date_iso":182,"captured_at":13,"question":183,"event_slug":184,"category":155},"0x1c5998f9544f9d0cb8f38a7c027cc535567653dba131fd73925d27a1923e2083",10.103998,0.7399999349,"2026-07-30T23:59:00Z","Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?","greater-manchester-mayoral-election-winner-20260619154130299",{"condition_id":186,"outcome":42,"usdc":187,"entry_price":188,"won":14,"source":136,"end_date_iso":189,"captured_at":13,"question":190,"event_slug":191,"category":140},"0x232342e2a9200b203703a816f9d99d1c6a872333567af16f43d67a255e1a6aa8",10.098989,0.6699999839,"2026-06-20T20:00:00Z","Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?","fifwc-ger-civ-2026-06-20",{"condition_id":193,"outcome":29,"usdc":194,"entry_price":195,"won":14,"source":136,"end_date_iso":106,"captured_at":13,"question":196,"event_slug":197,"category":38},"0x33fbc6c4b523f4c70b9a7e8c2bc7735cf602a7adba406bf27d081cfecb012980",25.143827,0.7952849291917039,"Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?","national-rally-group-seat-count-after-french-senate-election",{"condition_id":199,"outcome":200,"usdc":201,"entry_price":202,"won":12,"source":136,"end_date_iso":203,"captured_at":13,"question":204,"event_slug":205,"category":155},"0x3c995fa852613961df5b34fc1b2d14eb6850145f5d28d349d1622f4ed8cd84ca","Portugal",9.164689,0.3899999749,"2026-07-06T19:00:00Z","Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance","fifwc-prt-esp-2026-07-06-more-markets",{"condition_id":207,"outcome":42,"usdc":208,"entry_price":209,"won":14,"source":136,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":211,"event_slug":212,"category":38},"0x568fb7c62edc46f5ed55af3dbc1c9d7a142a239719d1e7e90caab8fbdb65919d",73.78104900000001,0.8517401015391184,"2027-06-01T03:59:00Z","Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?","will-grard-larcher-be-reelected-as-president-of-the-french-senate",{"condition_id":214,"outcome":42,"usdc":215,"entry_price":216,"won":12,"source":136,"end_date_iso":217,"captured_at":13,"question":218,"event_slug":219,"category":155},"0x57386fa65bb2d5264e28c20dc9ee89240d5f30f7615c6010ff6eb22a3c50e1e3",8.271989,0.11842104053930064,"2026-08-13T00:00:00Z","Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?","clacton-by-election-count-binface-vote-20260708142507718",{"condition_id":221,"outcome":42,"usdc":222,"entry_price":223,"won":14,"source":136,"end_date_iso":106,"captured_at":13,"question":224,"event_slug":197,"category":38},"0x57eb21322d9d6f89f4e4cf56bae03deae1f32db3790e73d323a461c399520e94",14.94,0.1785590360261693,"Will the National Rally group hold 13 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election?",{"condition_id":226,"outcome":42,"usdc":227,"entry_price":228,"won":12,"source":136,"end_date_iso":106,"captured_at":13,"question":229,"event_slug":197,"category":38},"0x5a9f722b6ad9652de0298d0e740a4d6859140802d642c9af7981df2d2e7847d1",0.9,0.15,"Will the National Rally group hold 11 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?",{"condition_id":231,"outcome":42,"usdc":232,"entry_price":233,"won":14,"source":136,"end_date_iso":234,"captured_at":13,"question":235,"event_slug":236,"category":140},"0x5bdcf0fd010eba1a55a0f3de9be6612fc72038279a734e994ce2e34664a3cfe4",11.105588,0.6799999852,"2026-06-22T17:00:00Z","Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?","fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22",{"condition_id":238,"outcome":42,"usdc":239,"entry_price":240,"won":14,"source":136,"end_date_iso":241,"captured_at":13,"question":242,"event_slug":243,"category":38},"0x6c9bd12ca2dded7eb4c688a3200e94f143cc95984eb1952ab71f7ec31e07cf8c",20.95668,0.69,"2026-09-20T00:00:00Z","Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?","mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-election-winner",{"condition_id":245,"outcome":246,"usdc":247,"entry_price":248,"won":14,"source":136,"end_date_iso":249,"captured_at":13,"question":250,"event_slug":251,"category":155},"0x776956c5185fb6e9115e4a52fb0a8386172cae91d6812b447795fb171f478a69","Argentina",14.440097,0.338633906512866,"2026-07-15T19:00:00Z","England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance","fifwc-eng-arg-2026-07-15-more-markets",{"condition_id":253,"outcome":254,"usdc":255,"entry_price":256,"won":12,"source":136,"end_date_iso":257,"captured_at":13,"question":258,"event_slug":259,"category":155},"0x7e6a99d23ee6beff337091fc92ecac6f2d8810aa899eb70b7488b72d5abbb052","Belgium",2.073489,0.2649999311,"2026-07-10T19:00:00Z","Spain vs. Belgium: Team to 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election?",{"condition_id":273,"outcome":274,"usdc":275,"entry_price":276,"won":12,"source":136,"end_date_iso":277,"captured_at":13,"question":278,"event_slug":279,"category":155},"0x83d646ac5646bf847f2dc0ce9c18c4d8909bbb7b050b31075afb9b67d3802b33","United States",8.110389,0.5399999986,"2026-07-07T00:00:00Z","United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance","fifwc-usa-bel-2026-07-06-more-markets",{"condition_id":281,"outcome":42,"usdc":282,"entry_price":283,"won":14,"source":136,"end_date_iso":284,"captured_at":13,"question":285,"event_slug":286,"category":140},"0x8ca66a3012273cbadf1339f2b3c53cbeaf977d61a2f3f97495fd056afc0691f8",10.041984,0.86,"2026-06-25T20:00:00Z","Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?","fifwc-kor-civ-2026-06-25",{"condition_id":288,"outcome":42,"usdc":289,"entry_price":290,"won":14,"source":136,"end_date_iso":160,"captured_at":13,"question":291,"event_slug":162,"category":140},"0x919c3aa6286d165c579ccaa3c17ffafd47d851d692f47d46192c3a71c85e22c3",6.191989,0.359999976,"Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":293,"outcome":294,"usdc":295,"entry_price":296,"won":12,"source":136,"end_date_iso":297,"captured_at":13,"question":298,"event_slug":299,"category":155},"0x92ea3b6a5f5f43ad592ddef5aa169892e0bce349da751eac9086717e178f7a7e","Japan",11.03652,0.27,"2026-06-29T17:00:00Z","Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance","fifwc-bra-jpn-2026-06-29-more-markets",{"condition_id":301,"outcome":42,"usdc":302,"entry_price":303,"won":14,"source":136,"end_date_iso":304,"captured_at":13,"question":305,"event_slug":306,"category":155},"0x95a7c8f39ccda84bf59b54c474f2a006cbc4167737630365f416670466b37ab9",5.021787,0.8909999859,"2026-08-13T16:00:00Z","Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?","clacton-by-election-winner-20260707143521303",{"condition_id":308,"outcome":42,"usdc":309,"entry_price":310,"won":12,"source":136,"end_date_iso":311,"captured_at":13,"question":312,"event_slug":313,"category":155},"0x95f726bbb693b945f94473908298b2389989550b08a7bfd90f97ce7ba62cb719",2.042488,0.5749998994,"2026-07-12T01:00:00Z","Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?","fifwc-arg-che-2026-07-11",{"condition_id":315,"outcome":42,"usdc":316,"entry_price":317,"won":14,"source":136,"end_date_iso":318,"captured_at":13,"question":319,"event_slug":320,"category":140},"0x9ad73ff7534b1051e2dad167a0b1617ae20f64f20770ae8bf89a59a7a7290669",3.020687,0.77,"2026-06-27T00:00:00Z","Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-group-f-winner",{"condition_id":322,"outcome":42,"usdc":323,"entry_price":324,"won":14,"source":136,"end_date_iso":325,"captured_at":13,"question":326,"event_slug":327,"category":140},"0xa3150402afe114c762bcd2e5581dc4d0fe93560718640d8d490e0497350de5ad",20.137986,0.7699999935,"2026-06-25T23:00:00Z","Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?","fifwc-tun-nld-2026-06-25",{"condition_id":329,"outcome":42,"usdc":330,"entry_price":331,"won":14,"source":136,"end_date_iso":332,"captured_at":13,"question":333,"event_slug":334,"category":38},"0xa3d50cf0138c0faad988d80e35036aab97ae6d5627f539ce3ce531b555acc209",27.075989,0.2898437435913086,"2026-09-13T00:00:00Z","Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?","sweden-parliamentary-election-2nd-place",{"condition_id":336,"outcome":42,"usdc":337,"entry_price":338,"won":14,"source":136,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":13,"question":339,"event_slug":340,"category":155},"0xa7b5b123f9fd38f83fbe19773a5d04e38208b370ca66be27b9688155e7b5c60a",3.008998,0.89999976,"Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?","fifwc-arg-egy-2026-07-07",{"condition_id":342,"outcome":42,"usdc":343,"entry_price":344,"won":12,"source":136,"end_date_iso":345,"captured_at":13,"question":346,"event_slug":347,"category":140},"0xa90ce8b69a218dced329076162df3b79f99596d1dc71d93bd30a64a2c8b6ba3e",10.038984,0.8699999983,"2026-06-21T00:00:00Z","Will Ecuador win on 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votes?","sweden-parliamentary-election-m-vote-share-20260812172636430",{"condition_id":389,"outcome":42,"usdc":390,"entry_price":391,"won":14,"source":136,"end_date_iso":392,"captured_at":13,"question":393,"event_slug":394,"category":140},"0xde92d563a6d742a4750c8c83a9c490ee5b02bd5d972a1765ab41c0f9095ef6c0",10.122989,0.5899999947,"2026-06-20T17:00:00Z","Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?","fifwc-nld-swe-2026-06-20",{"condition_id":396,"outcome":42,"usdc":397,"entry_price":283,"won":14,"source":136,"end_date_iso":332,"captured_at":13,"question":398,"event_slug":387,"category":155},"0xdf4a741cdcd3c26e34d80c33cddab6968db8411e1b97bf255e50dd42e54bdd41",5.027987,"Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?",{"condition_id":400,"outcome":42,"usdc":401,"entry_price":402,"won":12,"source":136,"end_date_iso":325,"captured_at":13,"question":403,"event_slug":404,"category":140},"0xe1bd581c13be7103749ca1a64d21230ed6693a162fc057d81e3d1e9237fc81f8",15.242989,0.4599999926,"Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?","fifwc-jpn-swe-2026-06-25",{"condition_id":406,"outcome":42,"usdc":407,"entry_price":408,"won":12,"source":136,"end_date_iso":241,"captured_at":13,"question":409,"event_slug":410,"category":38},"0xe56ea36629f22db9d86fffb7a326a1d64750d3da6037ef69dd7d3ff301ff880b",28.040939,0.15426717905907913,"Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?","berlin-state-election-winner",{"condition_id":412,"outcome":413,"usdc":414,"entry_price":415,"won":12,"source":136,"end_date_iso":372,"captured_at":13,"question":416,"event_slug":417,"category":155},"0xea61e65c2632e1d906fb153197156d5b473f53eade0dba3e16a7e4f656d5c671","Over",10.143989,0.5199999813,"Spain vs. Austria: O\u002FU 10.5 Total Corners","fifwc-esp-aut-2026-07-02-total-corners",{"condition_id":419,"outcome":42,"usdc":420,"entry_price":421,"won":12,"source":136,"end_date_iso":422,"captured_at":13,"question":423,"event_slug":424,"category":140},"0xebb200cb08bbe89c2523a345947d083a992e27cc479cf1b5568407751e026d2c",10.095989,0.6799999946,"2026-06-21T19:00:00Z","Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?","fifwc-bel-irn-2026-06-21",{"condition_id":426,"outcome":29,"usdc":427,"entry_price":428,"won":14,"source":136,"end_date_iso":318,"captured_at":13,"question":429,"event_slug":430,"category":140},"0xec3db24e9dd340f3e1aa8f68d730c666845c8e85f90f2a49df03290b18c66f74",40.72,0.4,"Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World 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