[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0xa18166afa109f6013edb74ce02b0798970daece8":3},{"stats":4,"positions":24,"signals":193,"history":194,"resolved":197,"resolvedSummary":334,"specialization":337,"meta":349},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":17,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0xa18166afa109f6013edb74ce02b0798970daece8",215,41,0.8048780487804879,0.2498886890779628,0.13239570240806053,0.0052000000000000934,1,"2026-09-27T01:42:00.469Z",568.0234358536584,2.9054054054054053,"2026-09-26T21:36:35.000Z",0,"trades",0.6240095412000001,0.18086850758048784,5819.64790179227,23288.96086999999,9.166573647630567,[25,38,48,56,65,73,81,90,97,105,113,120,128,137,145,153,161,169,178,186],{"token_id":26,"condition_id":27,"outcome":28,"size":29,"avg_price":30,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":33,"event_slug":34,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"83247781037352156539108067944461291821683755894607244160607042790356561625563","0xd5d9fc47718bd553592d126b1fa5e87183d27f3936975b0c04cc0f2dec1f1bb4","Yes",10531.2216,0.9115,"2026-09-30T23:49:27.877Z","2026-09-27T14:09:28.170Z","Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?","which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.925\", \"0.075\"]","Politics",{"token_id":39,"condition_id":40,"outcome":28,"size":41,"avg_price":42,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":43,"event_slug":44,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":46,"category":47},"82017183730405650384104430290945791070039022570334386685934371052148316112285","0x5d554b8061faaf973115ad48859a04096cd3525873c730964ac7526076315c29",7279.7953,0.5082,"Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?","oscars-2027-best-picture-winner-20260727173620857","2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.465\", \"0.535\"]","Culture",{"token_id":49,"condition_id":50,"outcome":28,"size":51,"avg_price":52,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":53,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":55,"category":37},"71772627544132140586824126381855151743830987860593343955509593715269534710061","0xbfeb6d4cf3eab6071e204219b0647c8224d63a12778df467311b5f2a4b3a5bd4",4867.1647,0.7191,"Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?","michigan-senate-election-winner","[\"0.72\", \"0.28\"]",{"token_id":57,"condition_id":58,"outcome":28,"size":59,"avg_price":60,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":61,"event_slug":62,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":63,"outcome_prices":64,"category":37},"18131974965869813060047290511060211742274666573066200470724290584768041211203","0xb8b5349814450b8bba2ecdda2eeb9f48bd3c795bfb858bedf7a383712b877743",3609.2687,0.6926,"Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?","kansas-senate-election-winner","","[\"0.715\", \"0.285\"]",{"token_id":66,"condition_id":67,"outcome":28,"size":68,"avg_price":69,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":70,"event_slug":71,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":72,"category":47},"76350207604228854349553222832834384108945773505358710701292583536913684983496","0xb40eb5cd3f4161149aa232e4d9aafb14dafb8e3312a69e94513dbb36df83fe91",2683.3431,0.6149,"Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?","oscars-2027-best-director-winner-20260727173335231","[\"0.595\", \"0.405\"]",{"token_id":74,"condition_id":75,"outcome":28,"size":76,"avg_price":77,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":78,"event_slug":79,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":80,"category":37},"15290572385458522370285732869432740297199321382471116558439914335588167718663","0x34918035a590555ba1fb1d6a019d766ab6e557d63e7f3140b63b4550eee7f417",2622.9508,0.6099,"Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?","texas-senate-election-winner","[\"0.625\", \"0.375\"]",{"token_id":82,"condition_id":83,"outcome":28,"size":84,"avg_price":85,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":86,"event_slug":87,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":88,"outcome_prices":89,"category":47},"62397893540133481134576372469712294626598085634043638899086119569453850189433","0x6fb236892abae1316a33b788206918d9fa09a9ce8d213441118e719c8effaf74",1528.066,0.7198,"Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?","oscars-2027-best-international-feature-film-winner-1754500000000","2027-03-14T23:59:00Z","[\"0.785\", \"0.215\"]",{"token_id":91,"condition_id":92,"outcome":28,"size":93,"avg_price":94,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":95,"event_slug":44,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":88,"outcome_prices":96,"category":47},"76951896977240988489336954198625669116666489838524168843025614326492677682884","0x5a1cb62e49c43b40335d5be7af7902d55eca78fafe62b56cea6d780d647e9fda",4544.1189,0.231,"Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?","[\"0.325\", \"0.675\"]",{"token_id":98,"condition_id":99,"outcome":28,"size":100,"avg_price":101,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":102,"event_slug":103,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":104,"category":37},"84368524152268016512433556151474175385160499638069024812438264090070245734708","0x1c017cbb38a9d0ab233ebb265b25c78290317e6a2470657ca18a73a112397b55",1153.2485,0.8671,"Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?","south-carolina-senate-election-winner","[\"0.865\", \"0.135\"]",{"token_id":106,"condition_id":107,"outcome":28,"size":108,"avg_price":109,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":110,"event_slug":111,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":112,"category":37},"92576281548134350814800877416860562553699794074017301653635964206220838638047","0x71e9f5312aac62bdc9b87fa8d171fa929eca6243d815298c4c7d61303f7d53dd",1092.2847,0.6866,"Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?","nebraska-senate-election-winner","[\"0.705\", \"0.295\"]",{"token_id":114,"condition_id":115,"outcome":28,"size":116,"avg_price":77,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":117,"event_slug":118,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":119,"category":37},"107844449523890311740907586041395758413047559802389895859202256336422357556837","0x38a1025bfc56539ed1ff8fdd468283d55cf9002412decd61aa8d6c578c7d01a2",819.6721,"Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?","iowa-senate-election-winner","[\"0.585\", \"0.415\"]",{"token_id":121,"condition_id":122,"outcome":28,"size":123,"avg_price":124,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":125,"event_slug":126,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":127,"category":47},"24267163544996140442239946221196996886272499087453231954021872658376535782532","0x0886c17000a2bf15a759dfef6379dbf907e50ec5dffa462a9bae221578d1a908",735.2652,0.544,"Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?","oscars-2027-best-actress-winner-20260727174350980","[\"0.665\", \"0.335\"]",{"token_id":129,"condition_id":130,"outcome":28,"size":131,"avg_price":132,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":133,"event_slug":134,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":135,"outcome_prices":136,"category":47},"71424792921405564113000668510114751053162800694014015697122350264239202782312","0xb8b34af4118d16f512f6940b1166aec47a219cf2156b4055ce7a4fa06e06720d",376.2883,0.8211,"Will \"Project Hail Mary\" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?","oscars-2026-best-picture-nominations-167","2027-01-21T00:00:00Z","[\"0.805\", \"0.195\"]",{"token_id":138,"condition_id":139,"outcome":28,"size":140,"avg_price":141,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":142,"event_slug":143,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":144,"category":47},"19273761186861905677804854027686091857633757089900140708781837082925364956556","0x6aa5a00374a0a07b7777c1ae9e4fdb2b70b18eea99f40a1d22277e4f3f1420a7",1016.0085,0.2608,"Will Digger win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?","oscars-2027-best-makeup-and-hairstyling-winner-1754500000000","[\"0.205\", \"0.795\"]",{"token_id":146,"condition_id":147,"outcome":28,"size":148,"avg_price":149,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":150,"event_slug":151,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":152,"category":47},"17698939125593908426375927852047815491146834383315840213381788048413791462878","0x409d7e08b28d9b828fd71478c470055da1be83e55435edc569427cd9e300e161",250,0.8,"Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?","which-film-will-get-the-most-oscar-nominations-at-the-99th-academy-awards","[\"0.815\", \"0.185\"]",{"token_id":154,"condition_id":155,"outcome":28,"size":156,"avg_price":157,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":158,"event_slug":159,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":135,"outcome_prices":160,"category":47},"15402042778562711492971346002284628001831440068286312913604740916831366040074","0xa0cc997eac356a4d51a368ac5c01c4a2212b7d30f640a969955957fc8edaf04a",255.9451,0.7814,"Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?","oscars-2026-best-actor-nominations-892","[\"0.91\", \"0.09\"]",{"token_id":162,"condition_id":163,"outcome":164,"size":165,"avg_price":166,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":167,"event_slug":134,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":135,"outcome_prices":168,"category":47},"38635182935351116002659978791675830591325063338089988524431363583008892550206","0x93344464439815d341d0d71f041791c6545cb8a4b25b0d7558ebcb5fc70aa1f7","No",104.6624,0.9554,"Will \"Disclosure Day\" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?","[\"0.059\", \"0.941\"]",{"token_id":170,"condition_id":171,"outcome":28,"size":172,"avg_price":173,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":174,"event_slug":175,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":176,"outcome_prices":177,"category":47},"73298964423610586276100581755159010724332416044849418886293417881401118183940","0x2f5752bc0c6dadfee2f112e8d8e539505172182ca51a667b65c7f0768bf7bcc8",353.6372,0.2827,"Will Man I Need (Olivia Dean) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?","grammys-2027-record-of-the-year-winner-1754500000000","2027-02-07T23:59:00Z","[\"0.375\", \"0.625\"]",{"token_id":179,"condition_id":180,"outcome":164,"size":181,"avg_price":182,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":183,"event_slug":134,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":184,"outcome_prices":185,"category":47},"84521430226730367458214815563427934918130026844274297285631548962852373680303","0x8b0bff62eba47fc856e75a1b6b9693935f6dc700a554a52696efd9e402968a83",113.8266,0.1757,"Will \"Dune: Part Three\" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?","2027-03-15T03:59:00Z","[\"0.825\", \"0.175\"]",{"token_id":187,"condition_id":188,"outcome":28,"size":189,"avg_price":190,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":191,"event_slug":192,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":176,"outcome_prices":168,"category":47},"6024847930091083492823981385833911943369883598028407196423332334207343038431","0xc809f11195a2dd3185b62716b6539c4d1c039fd540d99adb1e7eca5b0aad7773",280.0938,0.0714,"Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?","grammys-2027-album-of-the-year-winner-1754500000000",[],[195],{"recorded_date":196,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-27",[198,206,209,217,224,231,237,242,248,255,263,270,277,283,288,295,302,309,317,323,328],{"condition_id":199,"outcome":164,"usdc":200,"entry_price":201,"won":12,"source":202,"end_date_iso":203,"captured_at":13,"question":204,"event_slug":205,"category":37},"0x00925aafdbb3fbec14b49f343eb430ddb9cc1f827e5934b5513703d13f2851de",2021.659357,0.7292579581,"backfill","2026-08-11T00:00:00Z","Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?","wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":199,"outcome":28,"usdc":207,"entry_price":208,"won":17,"source":202,"end_date_iso":203,"captured_at":13,"question":204,"event_slug":205,"category":37},1726.670137,0.6073189805015107,{"condition_id":210,"outcome":28,"usdc":211,"entry_price":212,"won":17,"source":202,"end_date_iso":213,"captured_at":13,"question":214,"event_slug":215,"category":216},"0x086c5cafecb5a4cf4e3a4f75c502e0887d704f62d27ec4523caa693ba158fdfb",29.999999,0.243122356,"2026-03-15T00:00:00Z","Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?","oscars-2026-best-supporting-actress-winner",null,{"condition_id":218,"outcome":28,"usdc":219,"entry_price":220,"won":12,"source":202,"end_date_iso":221,"captured_at":13,"question":222,"event_slug":223,"category":37},"0x2bde6486e7067f48ee21344d8b5c1af458732536eb4d080932c88c3a7c2d2126",6778.85528,0.6934515649462649,"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","Starmer out by December 31, 2026?","starmer-out-in-2025",{"condition_id":225,"outcome":28,"usdc":226,"entry_price":227,"won":12,"source":202,"end_date_iso":228,"captured_at":13,"question":229,"event_slug":230,"category":216},"0x45f5d2f5e10c008fc445bd702ee09c8bc835fb4c17e406c0be5b9f0e5811cff8",99.999958,0.8544295612,"2026-04-08T12:45:00Z","Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-01 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?","chess-jsinda-fcarua-2026-04-01",{"condition_id":232,"outcome":28,"usdc":233,"entry_price":234,"won":17,"source":202,"end_date_iso":213,"captured_at":13,"question":235,"event_slug":236,"category":216},"0x4ddaff7ab33855ab7ed53f75ae4a331496028177f4bf0557eafe0fb83628332b",19.999999,0.0805557771,"Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?","will-delroy-lindo-win-best-supporting-actor-at-the-98th-academy-awards",{"condition_id":238,"outcome":164,"usdc":239,"entry_price":240,"won":12,"source":202,"end_date_iso":228,"captured_at":13,"question":241,"event_slug":230,"category":216},"0x51dafb1d83ea033d214c6424e225bad1b13b6ff0357b46544da149e024baee79",13,0.7563636363636363,"Will Javokhir Sindarov vs. Fabiano Caruana end in a draw?",{"condition_id":243,"outcome":28,"usdc":244,"entry_price":245,"won":12,"source":202,"end_date_iso":213,"captured_at":13,"question":246,"event_slug":247,"category":216},"0x5dca23cd8ee3dde3965b6875245936b74982319f34a04aacf3f7ab7c74267c83",59.999999,0.6240713195,"Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?","oscars-2026-best-documentary-short-film-winner-513",{"condition_id":249,"outcome":28,"usdc":250,"entry_price":251,"won":12,"source":202,"end_date_iso":252,"captured_at":13,"question":253,"event_slug":254,"category":37},"0x763a7f1e440693b54c56da02d338c2092053567dd865174387d06ee5612fdc9e",463.061208,0.2632935031368115,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?","next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026-122",{"condition_id":256,"outcome":257,"usdc":258,"entry_price":259,"won":12,"source":202,"end_date_iso":260,"captured_at":13,"question":261,"event_slug":262,"category":216},"0x7d3e89d1e7f9caa8a91469563edfe1b169f92d3da374acd0b7e74ce472e9c2ed","Jannik Sinner",5325.529976999999,0.8394275329295987,"2026-05-10T15:00:00Z","Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev","atp-sinner-zverev-2026-05-03",{"condition_id":264,"outcome":28,"usdc":265,"entry_price":266,"won":12,"source":202,"end_date_iso":267,"captured_at":13,"question":268,"event_slug":269,"category":216},"0x84f28a6217d2a3b87b5272465460b06565dfd15be7a781322614b32a052f8ed5",63.439999,0.5396226393,"2026-03-01T00:00:00Z","Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?","the-actor-awards-winner-best-supporting-actor-film",{"condition_id":271,"outcome":28,"usdc":272,"entry_price":273,"won":12,"source":202,"end_date_iso":274,"captured_at":13,"question":275,"event_slug":276,"category":216},"0x8d3a2c2f810f2ae8b7bf9f6353af2f91ef8b1a9ac464db60b923696d0d6897db",9.999999,0.3415238969,"2026-04-16T12:45:00Z","Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-09 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?","chess-jsinda-pr-2026-04-09-r10",{"condition_id":278,"outcome":28,"usdc":279,"entry_price":280,"won":12,"source":202,"end_date_iso":252,"captured_at":13,"question":281,"event_slug":282,"category":47},"0xb0f15a2e601a224e803babc18f2cb93442921dc45930ec0ecef32e48d8cac352",512.691379,0.4923447724,"Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?","eurovision-2027-city",{"condition_id":284,"outcome":28,"usdc":285,"entry_price":286,"won":17,"source":202,"end_date_iso":213,"captured_at":13,"question":287,"event_slug":247,"category":216},"0xb27bd3ebb15ff580464cb67555958a825adf12091c240c1bc9286adf20919b99",7.569999,0.1445435205,"Will The Devil Is Busy win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?",{"condition_id":289,"outcome":164,"usdc":290,"entry_price":291,"won":12,"source":202,"end_date_iso":292,"captured_at":13,"question":293,"event_slug":294,"category":216},"0xc6ddb19f848ac363330d0a690cfe6818d4c51e837161a41d42675eda27767ed0",202.447018,0.5569999974,"2026-05-16T00:00:00Z","Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?","eurovision-winner-2026",{"condition_id":296,"outcome":28,"usdc":297,"entry_price":298,"won":17,"source":202,"end_date_iso":299,"captured_at":13,"question":300,"event_slug":301,"category":216},"0xc94ce7908baf8015f180162f97ac9bab4f80d4020d16a215fad75b91d7e16db1",259.625379,0.2299689169,"2026-09-14T20:00:00Z","Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?","emmys-2026-outstanding-guest-actor-in-a-comedy-series",{"condition_id":303,"outcome":28,"usdc":304,"entry_price":305,"won":12,"source":202,"end_date_iso":306,"captured_at":13,"question":307,"event_slug":308,"category":216},"0xd17ddc0e60adcece69a048bc57a80d77b4036af5cce01d03a0cd7e8036ef3d84",99.99998700000002,0.8733692273139835,"2026-04-15T12:45:00Z","Will Matthias Bluebaum vs. Javokhir Sindarov end in a draw?","chess-mblueb-jsinda-2026-04-08-r9",{"condition_id":310,"outcome":311,"usdc":312,"entry_price":313,"won":12,"source":202,"end_date_iso":314,"captured_at":13,"question":315,"event_slug":316,"category":216},"0xd318d7b6332b24e6c8a85a2b8ec780beebc0eee0a2b70ce8fe073bab2fad8d35","Alexander Zverev",2513.749989,0.89,"2026-09-16T15:30:00Z","US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp","atp-zverev-zandsch-2026-09-09",{"condition_id":318,"outcome":28,"usdc":319,"entry_price":320,"won":12,"source":202,"end_date_iso":299,"captured_at":13,"question":321,"event_slug":322,"category":216},"0xd8715a7b57165670e5798526b03ce03b5db3eba8af1aca0fb49f45795bf1fa74",503.324985,0.867,"Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?","emmys-2026-outstanding-lead-actor-in-a-comedy-series",{"condition_id":324,"outcome":28,"usdc":325,"entry_price":326,"won":12,"source":202,"end_date_iso":203,"captured_at":13,"question":327,"event_slug":205,"category":37},"0xf23716a3fdb338cdc046144994d9b451cc8d7a7a7d1d3296e4252499a2edc1f7",2566.860523,0.7951500514622993,"Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?",{"condition_id":329,"outcome":28,"usdc":330,"entry_price":331,"won":17,"source":202,"end_date_iso":299,"captured_at":13,"question":332,"event_slug":333,"category":216},"0xfe76263a81362de43b4ac8a1956c0e8b41e1754bd4578e6c39ddb67cdd530a49",10.475699,0.0485827979,"Will Jonathan Pryce – “Slow Horses” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?","emmys-2026-outstanding-guest-actor-in-a-drama-series",{"total":335,"wins":336},21,15,[338,343,347],{"category":339,"n":336,"wins":340,"hitRate":341,"roi":342},"Other",10,0.6666666666666666,0.150254655909378,{"category":37,"n":344,"wins":345,"hitRate":149,"roi":346},5,4,0.2933891775997073,{"category":47,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":348},1.0310970199304994,{"generatedAt":350},"2026-10-01T15:25:51.567Z"]