[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x8a4ceea487d437f8ca48fde1533d09b61f6f2c4c":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":245,"history":246,"resolved":249,"resolvedSummary":832,"specialization":835,"meta":863},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x8a4ceea487d437f8ca48fde1533d09b61f6f2c4c",1341,770,0.6792207792207792,0.3998491757731308,0.17732502082079193,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-08T13:37:36.825Z",72.68436859350633,1.6996197718631179,"2026-10-08T11:28:00.000Z",0,"trades",0.5321343431285716,0.14708643609220778,22378.344352752032,55966.96381699987,11.63929168117279,0.01844532279314888,[26,38,46,57,66,75,85,94,103,111,121,128,137,144,153,161,171,179,185,192,202,210,218,225,232,237],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":33,"event_slug":34,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"33460385394344753109351907923235209397225125746318923726067817676780036931403","0xd8659b58a90d0d69fb1170f25b2b896871a1328115fd11c6f4cfe2b01a2a8ba0","No",3933.2325,0.8135,"2026-10-08T14:30:08.160Z","Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?","bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.155\", \"0.845\"]","Politics",{"token_id":39,"condition_id":40,"outcome":29,"size":41,"avg_price":42,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":43,"event_slug":34,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":44,"outcome_prices":45,"category":37},"70030115059657619835298505562942969537246277591722136105311697979834740900724","0x9bb80411fb159d9f3798fe125672a61af141f7dc7d5465c14a5936e4ba878e49",1704.9808,0.8797,"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]",{"token_id":47,"condition_id":48,"outcome":49,"size":50,"avg_price":51,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":52,"event_slug":53,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":55,"category":56},"79773570476744632615747480307256906441402089435470166694872527952303027818942","0x75546dcfa25f2cdd0edb5730ed2dc6f4b03940c2b1cb27eaefba47bfe434345d","Yes",8815.8096,0.1361,"Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?","what-will-gold-gc-hit-by-end-of-december","2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","[\"0.05\", \"0.95\"]","Other",{"token_id":58,"condition_id":59,"outcome":29,"size":60,"avg_price":61,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":62,"event_slug":63,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":64,"outcome_prices":65,"category":37},"8077351031134730167836761678618167504307708651130165095377248922919635337796","0x723822eb2b143cee54c0bd7c1efba322b21f0051984c266df8879c394f1011c0",1428.5714,0.6999,"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-december-20260729232808632","2026-12-09T23:59:00Z","[\"0.225\", \"0.775\"]",{"token_id":67,"condition_id":68,"outcome":29,"size":69,"avg_price":70,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":71,"event_slug":72,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":73,"outcome_prices":74,"category":37},"42038775866198212615491650114881818219665139981763207699110491615333273795415","0xdf9bf27ee5757c55b44b8b9826ddc9ec3a8809aa3278634c45edbb7fc8f1a3e3",1960.7843,0.5099,"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537","2026-10-29T03:59:00Z","[\"0.845\", \"0.155\"]",{"token_id":76,"condition_id":77,"outcome":49,"size":78,"avg_price":79,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":80,"event_slug":81,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":82,"outcome_prices":83,"category":84},"85002355202646770038788297383084634166875614093071220064343011133051368772502","0xc60022fe066abd6f96c375adb09f38d92c4931f09c10b805354581b4e5465e93",3675.8588,0.2555,"Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?","fed-rate-cut-by-629","2027-01-29T04:59:00Z","[\"0.028\", \"0.972\"]","Economy",{"token_id":86,"condition_id":87,"outcome":29,"size":88,"avg_price":89,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":90,"event_slug":91,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":92,"outcome_prices":93,"category":56},"5953195064332015941413000270296267433741342269380517540667536357245282108122","0x1ebc33d23a0035ddff4dec1f88403c167ef2de05d0720db3d9f200496a45c3c6",635.9629,0.7862,"New pandemic before 2028?","new-pandemic-before-2028","2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.15\", \"0.85\"]",{"token_id":95,"condition_id":96,"outcome":29,"size":97,"avg_price":98,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":99,"event_slug":100,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":101,"category":102},"95212449865986159112377413335252801281670333750637442556685159781445406848396","0xa4ddc18895cc7b14810283ef8f113939abffd3969c6a0e37f1897110c67e6f73",552.9767,0.9041,"Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?","hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026","[\"0.018\", \"0.982\"]","Science",{"token_id":104,"condition_id":105,"outcome":29,"size":106,"avg_price":107,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":108,"event_slug":109,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":110,"category":37},"76326875711147697076353707331532227929486722415800396469798548611383212234361","0xf2bf04609e7458df56c9bb4b1e051286dea11da1c944bbc1dafbcc6b76904e52",641.0256,0.7799,"NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?","nato-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025","[\"0.215\", \"0.785\"]",{"token_id":112,"condition_id":113,"outcome":29,"size":114,"avg_price":115,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":116,"event_slug":117,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":118,"outcome_prices":119,"category":120},"20326394798700413571801660749437036272627203479853632032510011746755865615562","0x024b68f77bfc019341ee3db8f57c103334e4b9430bba4746d8c94aafd8b36fee",859.9702,0.5586,"Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027","2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","[\"0.0365\", \"0.9635\"]","Crypto",{"token_id":122,"condition_id":123,"outcome":29,"size":124,"avg_price":125,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":126,"event_slug":117,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":118,"outcome_prices":127,"category":120},"89935193776001764234914810530894985625350942201527563326613427606200761992090","0xbb379a14cd03f68c35c279ddbd928a6326f4fd2e21827f8cdaaf59715d6df50e",560,0.7317,"Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.615\", \"0.385\"]",{"token_id":129,"condition_id":130,"outcome":29,"size":131,"avg_price":132,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":133,"event_slug":134,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":135,"outcome_prices":136,"category":37},"114475889232765203212032217024645308497828327658421967586050553616813506019119","0x3738ad9665480991affe3ba286cd035516e17d1f8b7703e05088ec19c70c21a4",1250,0.32,"US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?","us-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt","2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.77\", \"0.23\"]",{"token_id":138,"condition_id":139,"outcome":49,"size":140,"avg_price":141,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":142,"event_slug":143,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":45,"category":37},"10991849228756847439673778874175365458450913336396982752046655649803657501964","0xbb4d51e6364066d92eb6f9b8413dd7193de70966736044463b205834805a1f3b",2428.5714,0.1194,"Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026",{"token_id":145,"condition_id":146,"outcome":49,"size":147,"avg_price":148,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":149,"event_slug":150,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":151,"outcome_prices":152,"category":37},"38171024903091354977195167437673496224420673639143973968032407064172828043588","0x909659c9436228e2be56d5582ba6188166f2f8bf3c596335512c8f2e380d01ec",2108.8271,0.0991,"Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?","democratic-presidential-nominee-2028","2028-11-08T04:59:00Z","[\"0.071\", \"0.929\"]",{"token_id":154,"condition_id":155,"outcome":29,"size":156,"avg_price":157,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":158,"event_slug":159,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":160,"category":37},"7305630249804085635496399869905769372294302716159034447326228509068694952392","0x747dc809fb79e1b05be09c42d6179459a58de2ef3e40f02484a4e1260f741f75",254.7067,0.8048,"Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?","will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027","[\"0.0285\", \"0.9715\"]",{"token_id":162,"condition_id":163,"outcome":29,"size":164,"avg_price":165,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":166,"event_slug":167,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":168,"outcome_prices":169,"category":170},"46971745644635593648431951289558909095903523553475198327427180993060581348925","0x3c2bc7d80b4bf4bcac9fad6e22b344448e3ba0f5b6a603a5a766858eac8c5662",222.9444,0.897,"Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?","confirmed-pneumonic-plague-case-in-russia-byptptpt","2026-10-16T03:59:00Z","[\"0.06\", \"0.94\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":172,"condition_id":173,"outcome":29,"size":174,"avg_price":175,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":176,"event_slug":134,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":177,"outcome_prices":178,"category":37},"104725734526819886955010495046133546614599790787785890611336154485100418718203","0xc83347e2b7a1d1341cba0fc6d03696c3be31c783b732355a04c8f8621ef4df09",416.875,0.4797,"US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?","2026-11-16T04:59:00Z","[\"0.575\", \"0.425\"]",{"token_id":180,"condition_id":181,"outcome":49,"size":182,"avg_price":183,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":184,"event_slug":53,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":83,"category":56},"6560955416760780987139315342473694721423540017491511872815502412244438128860","0x284e9f6e1308f42c1f4d400b7b3f9614d27a3f11714ccde9fe005b0bf9646c66",2275.45,0.0878,"Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?",{"token_id":186,"condition_id":187,"outcome":29,"size":188,"avg_price":189,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":190,"event_slug":134,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":168,"outcome_prices":191,"category":37},"25776340948847798820228065582042538143882070725961017360268725738210729903840","0x530f6772a065a821ca8c6e05217f4e20e8650a97e31b0e64fabac311e5c9054f",817.1538,0.1223,"US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?","[\"0.925\", \"0.075\"]",{"token_id":193,"condition_id":194,"outcome":49,"size":195,"avg_price":196,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":197,"event_slug":198,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":199,"outcome_prices":200,"category":201},"34645116342944064409326467678914155626386949325571132757704393658949138736927","0xeb85e2b50d4d691325f8e906fff3ab156ad7d2b4086d7b5c19108d601969c628",313.5095,0.1754,"Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?","major-meteor-strike-10kt-in-2026","2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]","Tech",{"token_id":203,"condition_id":204,"outcome":49,"size":205,"avg_price":206,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":207,"event_slug":208,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":199,"outcome_prices":209,"category":201},"100830894412052252126474210679586760999398120653687309086983729387070830149789","0x1c66ddebd71554a554cbdeeab22baf19898a1c6f8bd50302d7b54e47c4c91106",123.9495,0.3227,"5kt meteor strike in 2026?","5kt-meteor-strike-in-2026","[\"0.175\", \"0.825\"]",{"token_id":211,"condition_id":212,"outcome":49,"size":213,"avg_price":214,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":215,"event_slug":216,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":217,"category":84},"63360646175488031611133855389183515534733634266770407912899019617490090363649","0x7afb0968d23370cf4daf85e6a483c45197181ffbc26122465af70ee15e56d286",223.6547,0.1593,"ECB rate cut in 2026?","ecb-rate-cut-in-2026","[\"0.04\", \"0.96\"]",{"token_id":219,"condition_id":220,"outcome":49,"size":221,"avg_price":222,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":223,"event_slug":150,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":151,"outcome_prices":224,"category":37},"54533043819946592547517511176940999955633860128497669742211153063842200957669","0x0f49db97f71c68b1e42a6d16e3de93d85dbf7d4148e3f018eb79e88554be9f75",130.8155,0.2675,"Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?","[\"0.1785\", \"0.8215\"]",{"token_id":226,"condition_id":227,"outcome":49,"size":228,"avg_price":229,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":230,"event_slug":150,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":151,"outcome_prices":231,"category":37},"71169839497420596285841847514123589847893415750912355173877524195175834054354","0xd65891729ce093cc12236856837eba1a0872fc7998fd4294c21346f7db68079c",416.6666,0.0479,"Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?","[\"0.0595\", \"0.9405\"]",{"token_id":233,"condition_id":234,"outcome":49,"size":228,"avg_price":229,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":235,"event_slug":150,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":151,"outcome_prices":236,"category":37},"91031279171981959197361710127213577102576826515163085396576756946418341946256","0x4c325469d9b516ef4e6b8f73a81a12607dec075e3c2fd454f91765aaeafc4760","Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?","[\"0.0505\", \"0.9495\"]",{"token_id":238,"condition_id":239,"outcome":49,"size":240,"avg_price":241,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":242,"event_slug":243,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":244,"category":56},"18853629238701699285898122373156141140734406634227162213365402151106057928573","0x126e7616167c979f0cc0418846e66637690735ebf08b9bb1aed7dcb6381e220e",30.78,0.6299,"Will EUR\u002FUSD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?","will-eurusd-hit-in-2026","[\"0.21\", \"0.79\"]",[],[247],{"recorded_date":248,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-08",[250,257,264,270,278,285,291,296,303,310,316,323,330,337,343,349,356,363,370,376,383,390,396,403,410,416,423,429,435,442,448,454,461,467,472,477,483,489,494,501,507,514,519,526,531,537,543,548,554,561,564,570,577,582,585,592,599,602,609,616,619,624,630,636,642,646,652,657,664,670,676,682,684,691,696,702,707,712,717,723,729,733,738,741,746,752,755,760,766,770,777,784,790,795,799,806,812,817,822,827],{"condition_id":251,"outcome":29,"usdc":252,"entry_price":253,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":255,"captured_at":13,"question":256,"event_slug":81,"category":84},"0x02507350fc2b81c3af36c659a805adbda9b0a81e63a27b29cb273cdd7dbc072e",529.2400909999999,0.8377502227952119,"backfill","2026-06-17T00:00:00Z","Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":258,"outcome":49,"usdc":259,"entry_price":260,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":261,"captured_at":13,"question":262,"event_slug":263,"category":170},"0x0619980a29b1022ba9cbdcb7da731be0be8799ecf9ff2eb5c1ee9137235b0770",238.999999,0.4078748527469038,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?","iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829",{"condition_id":265,"outcome":29,"usdc":266,"entry_price":267,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":118,"captured_at":13,"question":268,"event_slug":269,"category":120},"0x0d4126627c8e8716a54abb34d8e75422065717f34993ecc2813760347eeefb6a",2.83493,0.44,"Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?","what-price-will-ethereum-hit-before-2027",{"condition_id":271,"outcome":29,"usdc":272,"entry_price":273,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":274,"captured_at":13,"question":275,"event_slug":276,"category":277},"0x0d7f4f5bf47ed95111d84361270ec935f54e0d6157dbaf526faebc5286dc8983",249.999996,0.8192822659032665,"2026-04-26","Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 25?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-on-april-25",null,{"condition_id":279,"outcome":29,"usdc":280,"entry_price":281,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":282,"captured_at":13,"question":283,"event_slug":284,"category":37},"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089",499.999993,0.7668573267805993,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":286,"outcome":49,"usdc":287,"entry_price":288,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":289,"captured_at":13,"question":290,"event_slug":263,"category":170},"0x0fc2ddb048f5aa3a5f05f07c480591d7a41c546387588a6345627144171f9670",42.949999999999996,0.42949999999,"2026-07-16T03:59:00Z","Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?",{"condition_id":292,"outcome":29,"usdc":293,"entry_price":294,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":118,"captured_at":13,"question":295,"event_slug":117,"category":120},"0x1239389645c8a73b170b78ef3a83d69b6cf1d2711d412829ea8836660b08fc93",408.00912,0.7178571428571429,"Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":297,"outcome":29,"usdc":298,"entry_price":299,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":300,"captured_at":13,"question":301,"event_slug":302,"category":277},"0x1708d08a38715edbd0ad4e1a72cddd71866dd24875046fdaeb0cc1b519b06540",199.999997,0.07918478624406175,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?","jd-vance-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran-by",{"condition_id":304,"outcome":49,"usdc":305,"entry_price":306,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":307,"captured_at":13,"question":308,"event_slug":309,"category":277},"0x1d2787cb8aed975d092b2799ed6f4083e9445f7420cdc09e9d47e7d54356c6cd",269.999999,0.0042461984423904486,"2026-04-21T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-extended-by",{"condition_id":311,"outcome":29,"usdc":312,"entry_price":313,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":314,"captured_at":13,"question":315,"event_slug":284,"category":37},"0x1db02ba50e2312a62b4104de691cc7a76065d8d0da40decf93eb1b914a3217b7",299.999994,0.8531295868036358,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":317,"outcome":49,"usdc":318,"entry_price":319,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":320,"captured_at":13,"question":321,"event_slug":322,"category":277},"0x1e43a5c82c8c210ea1b229b8140aa85f82595bb67eab4f61e2379ea1fc00ca8a",13.7235,0.21,"2026-09-10T11:59:00Z","Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?","ecb-interest-rates-september-2026-20260616222636097",{"condition_id":324,"outcome":29,"usdc":325,"entry_price":326,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":327,"captured_at":13,"question":328,"event_slug":329,"category":277},"0x1eeb910620bfa52c348ca5b166c33230a0b142bec858d4fa46df18aeecbcecc0",59.999999,0.03785886994227008,"2026-05-23T00:00:00Z","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?","iran-ceasefire-continues-through",{"condition_id":331,"outcome":29,"usdc":332,"entry_price":333,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":334,"captured_at":13,"question":335,"event_slug":336,"category":277},"0x211f2f58d38d8022f3d71a99685ebec3ff12a396118c38e8fb97fdcab53ded1e",71,0.71,"2026-09-01T04:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-august-2026",{"condition_id":338,"outcome":29,"usdc":339,"entry_price":340,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":282,"captured_at":13,"question":341,"event_slug":342,"category":37},"0x2135ffcb43ba9103bb6acf7116d2d5aa98bef6d9eb3dc9c85ea00cb79513f3ec",199.999989,0.8480350852116647,"Iran closes its airspace by May 8?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":344,"outcome":49,"usdc":345,"entry_price":346,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":261,"captured_at":13,"question":347,"event_slug":348,"category":37},"0x26ca74d41edc9e3a6643698fbe8eae446377e4579d2f55f505da4ff6a1cf0f66",105.717704,0.032082436098620395,"Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?","trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-over-byptptpt-20260607232555290",{"condition_id":350,"outcome":29,"usdc":351,"entry_price":352,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":353,"captured_at":13,"question":354,"event_slug":355,"category":37},"0x2de8d7b9d103366e37f3a448db8289c5c571dec5c0b9eeddbc673546d4bd9322",50,0.002,"2026-06-16T03:59:00Z","US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?","us-and-iran-sign-an-agreement-byptptpt-20260611221049850",{"condition_id":357,"outcome":49,"usdc":358,"entry_price":359,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":360,"captured_at":13,"question":361,"event_slug":362,"category":277},"0x306d10d4a4d51b41910dbc779ca00908bd917c131541c5c42bbbc736258d2d56",99.999999,0.066871092,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","US forces enter Iran by March 31?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-march-31-222-191-243-517-878-439-519",{"condition_id":364,"outcome":49,"usdc":365,"entry_price":366,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":367,"captured_at":13,"question":368,"event_slug":369,"category":37},"0x3088733a3d7f03d026035f6dd7df44a82c59eeb95545dda3889b65baa9a36e82",143.03563300000002,0.1810632983274109,"2026-06-21T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",{"condition_id":371,"outcome":29,"usdc":372,"entry_price":373,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":374,"captured_at":13,"question":375,"event_slug":34,"category":37},"0x31327c6fbdc70a44d97f8e8973f536b6a748e01b4c0ca5549ed0910c703b1d7b",277,0.7914285714285715,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?",{"condition_id":377,"outcome":49,"usdc":378,"entry_price":379,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":380,"captured_at":13,"question":381,"event_slug":382,"category":277},"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20",9.999999,0.2099999861,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by-february-28-2026-227-967-547-688-589-491-592-418-452-924-384-915-464-672-196-157-993-596-269-535-381-391-471-256-988-997-296-225-762-973-292-827-345-182-558-215-794-879-189-761",{"condition_id":384,"outcome":29,"usdc":385,"entry_price":386,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":387,"captured_at":13,"question":388,"event_slug":389,"category":170},"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187",5036.135826,0.6928705394121236,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june",{"condition_id":391,"outcome":49,"usdc":392,"entry_price":393,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":394,"captured_at":13,"question":395,"event_slug":284,"category":37},"0x366f89649caea042c96ee741b185461ec7faa408a2664ec44469a0061924b537",249.999999,0.6852672701,"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":397,"outcome":49,"usdc":398,"entry_price":399,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":400,"captured_at":13,"question":401,"event_slug":402,"category":170},"0x3953c85ab5e965cb5b3b4deaa2a5294daa6b1165ff83b586804c04a7abf51a13",389.996099,0.39000000057132406,"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","Iran full airspace closure by July 31?","iran-full-airspace-closure-byptptpt-20260625195253028",{"condition_id":404,"outcome":49,"usdc":405,"entry_price":406,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":407,"captured_at":13,"question":408,"event_slug":409,"category":277},"0x3c6bcb7da14ea576e5af25547dbd96f2bb24ac34e748e76aecff2ee9195dd1ac",199.999999,0.1799999993,"","US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by",{"condition_id":411,"outcome":29,"usdc":412,"entry_price":413,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":300,"captured_at":13,"question":414,"event_slug":415,"category":277},"0x471e2fa06bd8975b77be49a36781bc41286d57bffa84de55173f4eacdbd52b28",289.999997,0.453804213288967,"Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?","will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-end-of-april",{"condition_id":417,"outcome":49,"usdc":418,"entry_price":419,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":420,"captured_at":13,"question":421,"event_slug":422,"category":277},"0x4788c5625061cf39da5265dec7d29103d5c8adf774d49b1ffae9025c4563dc9a",103.399989,0.1499999989,"2026-06-01T03:59:59.999Z","Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?","what-price-will-wti-hit-in-may-2026",{"condition_id":424,"outcome":49,"usdc":425,"entry_price":426,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":374,"captured_at":13,"question":427,"event_slug":428,"category":37},"0x47ec761ae98d7c28b20c0222f1507e3af0f198a904f86b4a264b2e987f0b80c7",107.5,0.43,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080",{"condition_id":430,"outcome":29,"usdc":431,"entry_price":432,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":433,"captured_at":13,"question":434,"event_slug":342,"category":37},"0x4ba348328e4d4ddee9e6734c9a369b2e8138611651f9f6dc8f59dea51df6c734",449.999995,0.6920672114673396,"2026-05-24T00:00:00Z","Iran closes its airspace by May 24?",{"condition_id":436,"outcome":49,"usdc":437,"entry_price":438,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":439,"captured_at":13,"question":440,"event_slug":441,"category":277},"0x4c5701bcde0b8fb7d7f48c8e9d20245a6caa58c61a77f981fad98f2bfa0b1bc7",309.999996,0.04708502196827838,"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-april-7",{"condition_id":443,"outcome":29,"usdc":444,"entry_price":445,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":282,"captured_at":13,"question":446,"event_slug":447,"category":170},"0x518a5b030b205706b8ffe6bbad9bd3de59548348e5c0471827f5de21e513333c",1458.9999820000003,0.47985403157999534,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may",{"condition_id":449,"outcome":49,"usdc":351,"entry_price":450,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":451,"captured_at":13,"question":452,"event_slug":453,"category":277},"0x58180f4a69651f67c23ac92845721b2320cc0c76effeb5e79db5288d8d8e6b28",0.1,"2026-07-24T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?","us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-byptptpt-2-week-pause-20260715194822042",{"condition_id":455,"outcome":29,"usdc":456,"entry_price":457,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":458,"captured_at":13,"question":459,"event_slug":460,"category":120},"0x582b6ceb3a06fea02c6ddcb17c1350c2cde1473bf923eb5520e42548b26e033c",1223.50522,0.7515393712713672,"2026-06-08T04:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-june-1-7-2026",{"condition_id":462,"outcome":49,"usdc":463,"entry_price":464,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":465,"captured_at":13,"question":466,"event_slug":453,"category":277},"0x5a9395dae6c7643ea06e7a555580a5526e81073aea9c9306363529c5b76a8f8b",95,0.19,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?",{"condition_id":468,"outcome":29,"usdc":469,"entry_price":470,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":334,"captured_at":13,"question":471,"event_slug":336,"category":277},"0x5bd7f96d38645c7dabffa94c6f48e741f86655ba0dbd48cd4e7f9bbdde2774cc",317.481939,0.4438551854485223,"Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?",{"condition_id":473,"outcome":49,"usdc":325,"entry_price":474,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":360,"captured_at":13,"question":475,"event_slug":476,"category":277},"0x5cd80b8fd72f37c78260a4f8fa0d5bbaaad3adffcfc2c0705e05ee20b8672908",0.618401064,"Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?","will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-march-2026-437",{"condition_id":478,"outcome":29,"usdc":298,"entry_price":479,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":480,"captured_at":13,"question":481,"event_slug":482,"category":37},"0x5d37825716832a4a54f89450932e89510f26cf4be59aeec3149d2c49e5fdf44d",0.6571149844034606,"2026-04-30","Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?","iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by",{"condition_id":484,"outcome":29,"usdc":485,"entry_price":486,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":374,"captured_at":13,"question":487,"event_slug":488,"category":277},"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8",570,0.8142857142857143,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-august-31-20260702154212320",{"condition_id":490,"outcome":29,"usdc":491,"entry_price":492,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":282,"captured_at":13,"question":493,"event_slug":284,"category":37},"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7",1513.4999990000001,0.6213026239768794,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":495,"outcome":29,"usdc":496,"entry_price":497,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":498,"captured_at":13,"question":499,"event_slug":500,"category":120},"0x614732ba7a1fe13aa24f5ca67f8e42564178a6f769fb296a017fdb71f82533f9",810.869449,0.7301720341270205,"2026-07-01T04:00:00Z","Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?","what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-june-2026",{"condition_id":502,"outcome":29,"usdc":503,"entry_price":504,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":360,"captured_at":13,"question":505,"event_slug":506,"category":277},"0x61ce3773237a948584e422de72265f937034af418a8b703e3a860ea62e59ff36",89.999995,0.6818628265930173,"Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-march-31",{"condition_id":508,"outcome":49,"usdc":509,"entry_price":510,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":511,"captured_at":13,"question":512,"event_slug":513,"category":277},"0x64e2986a47cc4e152b9ab5010f16d17ddc62035ff113c07544c4d05db08ff083",589.997793,0.3933333849860064,"2026-08-15T23:59:00Z","US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?","us-announces-halt-in-iran-offensive-operations-byptptpt-20260718015003096",{"condition_id":515,"outcome":29,"usdc":516,"entry_price":517,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":407,"captured_at":13,"question":518,"event_slug":329,"category":277},"0x656ee3fe28d2f23b12f3e5616161274a1456dc5e355fd97d3ad1d07c7c972f48",18.999999,0.1589003835,"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?",{"condition_id":520,"outcome":29,"usdc":521,"entry_price":522,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":523,"captured_at":13,"question":524,"event_slug":525,"category":277},"0x692a5c57f98a3936f54d5b040bc13b446405c3b3efd9f59b7fa6624c92bd9f79",153.6825,0.5364285714285714,"2026-06-29T16:00:00Z","Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 29?","bitcoin-above-on-june-29-2026",{"condition_id":527,"outcome":29,"usdc":528,"entry_price":529,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":314,"captured_at":13,"question":530,"event_slug":369,"category":37},"0x6fa13f31cceaf10ed3190df6e2aca0a93ab0d6fb46fd279003f17d4cdccee164",49.999999,0.3399999967,"US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":532,"outcome":49,"usdc":533,"entry_price":534,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":480,"captured_at":13,"question":535,"event_slug":536,"category":277},"0x7434b22007745d99095c102119fdb6b975d34869212e9dda4c6c5c48db0683a7",100,0.0675369141,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-april-30-2026",{"condition_id":538,"outcome":49,"usdc":539,"entry_price":540,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":541,"captured_at":13,"question":542,"event_slug":409,"category":277},"0x773abaa5fe55e5cde51a261f444b7921652a4e059ead6b3be9fe56499c2d4609",30,0.06,"2026-04-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?",{"condition_id":544,"outcome":29,"usdc":545,"entry_price":546,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":274,"captured_at":13,"question":547,"event_slug":369,"category":37},"0x7c8241e9d7d1a6e8a42c6af38aeb18479ce087f7e47227399273b12766cb9ab2",99.999995,0.8899999996,"US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?",{"condition_id":549,"outcome":29,"usdc":550,"entry_price":551,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":480,"captured_at":13,"question":552,"event_slug":553,"category":277},"0x807ba575f84169bdb061dd05da3e8eb314a129aa152e31518c2aff9979d5f986",199.999998,0.88,"Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?","what-will-the-us-agree-to",{"condition_id":555,"outcome":29,"usdc":556,"entry_price":557,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":558,"captured_at":13,"question":559,"event_slug":560,"category":84},"0x80b3af88cb991980e8da1ce86b9794a0957f96ec98c29319dd7ba65e9744d82b",1179.5427619999998,0.4465385212778577,"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","Fed rate hike in 2026?","fed-rate-hike-in-2026",{"condition_id":555,"outcome":49,"usdc":562,"entry_price":563,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":558,"captured_at":13,"question":559,"event_slug":560,"category":84},2440.067609,0.3978433797070146,{"condition_id":565,"outcome":29,"usdc":566,"entry_price":567,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":387,"captured_at":13,"question":568,"event_slug":569,"category":277},"0x824df6aa7e270678a5239d697918e918834a52cc6e59ebc25b650b2df649ac82",61.999999,0.6099999977,"US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by",{"condition_id":571,"outcome":29,"usdc":572,"entry_price":573,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":574,"captured_at":13,"question":575,"event_slug":576,"category":277},"0x840689972126161ae8ea74591513f2b3d228f91718516b43abf022d62ea46b8e",710.219975,0.7894231976405334,"2026-09-20T16:00:00Z","Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 20?","bitcoin-above-on-september-20-2026",{"condition_id":578,"outcome":29,"usdc":579,"entry_price":580,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":118,"captured_at":13,"question":581,"event_slug":117,"category":120},"0x84fdc3f917e34acca874f93d978e84ed0c08969903ddf40a5d65274b3a5b4fdf",170.23835,0.45273336066694,"Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":578,"outcome":49,"usdc":583,"entry_price":584,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":118,"captured_at":13,"question":581,"event_slug":117,"category":120},5.65748,0.54,{"condition_id":586,"outcome":49,"usdc":587,"entry_price":588,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":589,"captured_at":13,"question":590,"event_slug":591,"category":56},"0x86c4455035d81c512138b8e38ade7defdb46708d3ee43098cdc8429a7d3b9bd9",175.20915,0.2866666666666666,"2026-06-30T18:30:00Z","Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?","cl-hit-jun-2026",{"condition_id":593,"outcome":29,"usdc":594,"entry_price":595,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":596,"captured_at":13,"question":597,"event_slug":598,"category":37},"0x876506d8b2bd7a0d3fa4fe18c024eee6e1dd81ee24c26795dadd6cfe4a7b5d0d",313.05,0.13,"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-september-762",{"condition_id":593,"outcome":49,"usdc":600,"entry_price":601,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":596,"captured_at":13,"question":597,"event_slug":598,"category":37},928.4058890000001,0.29199724825196566,{"condition_id":603,"outcome":29,"usdc":604,"entry_price":605,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":606,"captured_at":13,"question":607,"event_slug":608,"category":277},"0x87d4c453e155252d84becb7b26c2c686954ee5085dffd1e7062aca1763ef14c4",74.999998,0.22999999563333332,"2026-05-10T00:00:00Z","Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?","next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-on",{"condition_id":610,"outcome":29,"usdc":611,"entry_price":612,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":613,"captured_at":13,"question":614,"event_slug":615,"category":37},"0x8bf1c1536ecb1c08fe13c6b71e8ab1f58bf3461c4cb79f5f1679f869a06aef86",436.466979,0.09141955817777966,"2026-07-29T00:00:00Z","Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-july-181",{"condition_id":610,"outcome":49,"usdc":617,"entry_price":618,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":613,"captured_at":13,"question":614,"event_slug":615,"category":37},539.5419999999999,0.7657142857142857,{"condition_id":620,"outcome":29,"usdc":305,"entry_price":621,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":622,"captured_at":13,"question":623,"event_slug":329,"category":277},"0x92485347d2c139beb425df7bee78b98805d0eab1eb0cc953cf000e9a287eab7e",0.166534642732786,"2026-05-26T00:00:00Z","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?",{"condition_id":625,"outcome":29,"usdc":626,"entry_price":627,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":300,"captured_at":13,"question":628,"event_slug":629,"category":277},"0x924a2942747dd75703321a7c8d809c68f6a514c3b0f2a2e64274e02310634669",1079.999982,0.6415186211053446,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-april-30",{"condition_id":631,"outcome":29,"usdc":632,"entry_price":633,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":634,"captured_at":13,"question":635,"event_slug":34,"category":37},"0x95fc6a4ed7f6856d26aa7f21b9f902d05c9cf76b616fd3463de4d147f7a9126b",6768.250746000002,0.7854628154326286,"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?",{"condition_id":637,"outcome":29,"usdc":638,"entry_price":639,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":640,"captured_at":13,"question":641,"event_slug":34,"category":37},"0x9647b0f18083245933f2d2ca09acbe7ce89ee60ba83ed01e984df4bc7888a214",479.999992,0.8336484588346097,"2026-06-01T03:59:00Z","Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?",{"condition_id":643,"outcome":29,"usdc":358,"entry_price":644,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":54,"captured_at":13,"question":645,"event_slug":284,"category":37},"0x9769f78cbc95a5ed11895e6064bac471d8fd8f930b260cf581b68d3f58630d27",0.1699999986,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":647,"outcome":29,"usdc":648,"entry_price":649,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":360,"captured_at":13,"question":650,"event_slug":651,"category":277},"0x989300533e65daae5c22d4be369cbc8838b5737257e93a75a1e50baf53e5e3de",203.48999200000003,0.10202722145678639,"Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?","military-action-against-iran-ends-by",{"condition_id":653,"outcome":49,"usdc":351,"entry_price":654,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":387,"captured_at":13,"question":655,"event_slug":656,"category":277},"0x98c0aa27e741d5bfeb0a06e68bddd256b857fd27597c76c500250db1483c51aa",0.5,"US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by-march-15-2026-176-537-334-314-311-563-139-841-296-929-674-361-128-125-587-277-713-864-314-272-772-416-338-683-554-682-743-939-378-887-219-419-692-473-532-837-119-848-847-469",{"condition_id":658,"outcome":49,"usdc":659,"entry_price":660,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":661,"captured_at":13,"question":662,"event_slug":663,"category":84},"0x9b319ffe86e0717a1dfdc5019f9f1aeb72bde74e9d75612950c2156ad47b4cde",482.3385559999999,0.051607956150821484,"2026-07-23T00:00:00Z","Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?","ecb-interest-rates-july-2026",{"condition_id":665,"outcome":29,"usdc":666,"entry_price":667,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":387,"captured_at":13,"question":668,"event_slug":669,"category":37},"0x9d3f02264a94bafc676afd7add8b11442e6ec72dabaa69cefef835f0672275c7",271.999181,0.4533333434444751," Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?","iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-june-30",{"condition_id":671,"outcome":29,"usdc":672,"entry_price":673,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":634,"captured_at":13,"question":674,"event_slug":675,"category":37},"0xa08a5ce99e14ce0b22767af6f16c08a2ab012249444c20887193a9a3e98e11fc",1421,0.7478947368421053,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-september-30-20260702154339440",{"condition_id":677,"outcome":29,"usdc":678,"entry_price":679,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":640,"captured_at":13,"question":680,"event_slug":681,"category":170},"0xa1d97efb8a19de58d995edf58b882c4f99ef356c8a564af8daf888a7610edea1",99.999998,0.8899999946,"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?","kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31",{"condition_id":677,"outcome":49,"usdc":358,"entry_price":683,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":640,"captured_at":13,"question":680,"event_slug":681,"category":170},0.0899999992,{"condition_id":685,"outcome":29,"usdc":686,"entry_price":687,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":688,"captured_at":13,"question":689,"event_slug":690,"category":277},"0xa1dff21769905b07b589a1d0e838ac8ba046767f713add3aebd7c2a2184827e5",402.245748,0.6633331291877815,"2026-06-30T16:00:00Z","Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 30?","bitcoin-above-on-june-30-2026",{"condition_id":692,"outcome":29,"usdc":693,"entry_price":694,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":596,"captured_at":13,"question":695,"event_slug":598,"category":37},"0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a",117.534,0.38,"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":697,"outcome":29,"usdc":698,"entry_price":699,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":387,"captured_at":13,"question":700,"event_slug":701,"category":37},"0xa70fc3695a65833b91b45df6db6015096f3e1471b70352ca411b4209010e7633",538.977059,0.5440375576311423,"US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30",{"condition_id":703,"outcome":49,"usdc":405,"entry_price":704,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":282,"captured_at":13,"question":705,"event_slug":706,"category":277},"0xa93b28a6384aefff4e7d5adb2061c444e4a0e95b8ad17755f9cee123c7099b35",0.0809999996,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-may-31-2026",{"condition_id":708,"outcome":49,"usdc":709,"entry_price":710,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":420,"captured_at":13,"question":711,"event_slug":422,"category":56},"0xa96e71186507bf493bd1fb8101418c369c6296a29b49514fdec3f7bfe7197909",91.09865,0.1578775298,"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?",{"condition_id":713,"outcome":29,"usdc":714,"entry_price":715,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":261,"captured_at":13,"question":716,"event_slug":34,"category":37},"0xa976dcc2fac50cf13968adbee89ce1de26df0191b8480b89d418280273197f53",4067.628608999999,0.850560718189255,"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?",{"condition_id":718,"outcome":29,"usdc":678,"entry_price":719,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":720,"captured_at":13,"question":721,"event_slug":722,"category":277},"0xab2df0df3738ecc24fc626e49df39948d86d42019279eeec6958c771b96ffe5f",0.6845238076,"2026-05-03T00:00:00Z","Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-apr-27",{"condition_id":724,"outcome":29,"usdc":725,"entry_price":726,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":558,"captured_at":13,"question":727,"event_slug":728,"category":84},"0xac550c316d635e7f2dc810de6d6afd531e254b3c9c7d56d32d14337e7c3979e4",2369.7722,0.7893272120171954,"Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?","fed-rate-hike-by",{"condition_id":730,"outcome":49,"usdc":528,"entry_price":731,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":300,"captured_at":13,"question":732,"event_slug":553,"category":277},"0xafbb2da36141abeffe30d6fbdca5f9cd7f8113a70a1e243ed03ef5a6004a104e",0.414201181,"Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?",{"condition_id":734,"outcome":49,"usdc":735,"entry_price":736,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":480,"captured_at":13,"question":737,"event_slug":553,"category":277},"0xb1bdbb044eb10d751a7245adb9a9265b60d193cb79107ea3a746f4bd1b2adfba",29.999999,0.2599999945,"Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?",{"condition_id":739,"outcome":29,"usdc":545,"entry_price":546,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":314,"captured_at":13,"question":740,"event_slug":342,"category":37},"0xb24aa72235c46c88613dca167f2e324aeb03e73f556fda680bbbdb815a5c40d0","Iran closes its airspace by May 15?",{"condition_id":742,"outcome":49,"usdc":358,"entry_price":743,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":744,"captured_at":13,"question":745,"event_slug":369,"category":37},"0xb2732e6044eee17f24ecde333dc426373e639aed25b5a3a0f052f2698c247bd5",0.0478564303,"2026-04-25","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?",{"condition_id":747,"outcome":29,"usdc":748,"entry_price":749,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":750,"captured_at":13,"question":751,"event_slug":81,"category":84},"0xb4022c0b2718eca7ad27195f2d48f06527fa000269d188e1d3001ff8bbc16956",194.056218,0.85336709162184,"2026-10-08T03:59:00Z","Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":747,"outcome":49,"usdc":753,"entry_price":754,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":750,"captured_at":13,"question":751,"event_slug":81,"category":84},425.66261000000003,0.11656378520749609,{"condition_id":756,"outcome":49,"usdc":757,"entry_price":758,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":613,"captured_at":13,"question":759,"event_slug":615,"category":37},"0xb5c0abeecb5502e6e8d83155c27819174d8317af3c425c3afc5a8c45257a3793",259.391709,0.05570486342973457,"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":761,"outcome":49,"usdc":762,"entry_price":763,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":764,"captured_at":13,"question":765,"event_slug":369,"category":37},"0xb75c07f4252992808d7ca7d9828169c524b0fef44bf5adf78c327ef88469c986",154.85999900000002,0.1197885948112697,"2026-05-05T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?",{"condition_id":767,"outcome":29,"usdc":358,"entry_price":768,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":282,"captured_at":13,"question":769,"event_slug":342,"category":37},"0xb7dd41c16cd5b59e543ffcdab6a0d876f5ccef5329ea42ef1798d80c9a2b8499",0.748876685,"Iran closes its airspace by May 31?",{"condition_id":771,"outcome":29,"usdc":772,"entry_price":773,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":774,"captured_at":13,"question":775,"event_slug":776,"category":37},"0xb8e6d129a06d0ccb21d7b32eb529ea455eddba3cf29bfa097112202cbdf5bf21",239.99653300000003,0.5333335317066427,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31",{"condition_id":778,"outcome":49,"usdc":779,"entry_price":319,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":780,"captured_at":13,"question":781,"event_slug":782,"category":783},"0xb9caf777115e4f38eb4e2de7fab3e88052b92a78f161f91db232be31a93d1e3e",10.74885,"2026-07-20T00:00:00Z","Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-golden-boot-winner","Sports",{"condition_id":785,"outcome":49,"usdc":786,"entry_price":787,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":788,"captured_at":13,"question":789,"event_slug":513,"category":277},"0xba34d786cd7bfbd719aa77c705f27969aba84d6649dca9adb365aad8c255db7a",399.1228,0.21658733001226407,"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?",{"condition_id":791,"outcome":29,"usdc":792,"entry_price":793,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":589,"captured_at":13,"question":794,"event_slug":591,"category":56},"0xbaf252e7ac957d6636a6916da51892c9f42e59bfbf808bd4d8e16f194694d2b5",115.9608,0.57,"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?",{"condition_id":796,"outcome":29,"usdc":351,"entry_price":450,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":797,"captured_at":13,"question":798,"event_slug":329,"category":277},"0xbdf0bbe0d1fd006aec6deef5482ca94b8ff0ceea73860bda0a337c4ce50d4448","2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?",{"condition_id":800,"outcome":29,"usdc":801,"entry_price":802,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":803,"captured_at":13,"question":804,"event_slug":805,"category":277},"0xbe20fcfd54937c2a48a7b8521ca349e6a2c4373566328ebb950a8c35ab1be3d9",210.01043,0.7,"2026-08-01T04:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-july-2026",{"condition_id":807,"outcome":29,"usdc":808,"entry_price":809,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":282,"captured_at":13,"question":810,"event_slug":811,"category":170},"0xbeab83146920be8f52b52fdbcb3464b24dc553f7b47eb4249243385b0faad271",3422.2620610000004,0.7501493694414547,"US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-may-31-974",{"condition_id":813,"outcome":29,"usdc":814,"entry_price":815,"won":12,"source":254,"end_date_iso":803,"captured_at":13,"question":816,"event_slug":805,"category":277},"0xbfefe500c3fea4d8067f39246e4d9404a6fe0ea3040e1366d4ac02367d751c46",423.94138,0.84,"Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?",{"condition_id":818,"outcome":29,"usdc":819,"entry_price":820,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":118,"captured_at":13,"question":821,"event_slug":117,"category":120},"0xc564e47b7a853f3e52ea7b8e28d69ed99fcb284929364fd0f8024c2bca03ea96",13.97436,0.61,"Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":823,"outcome":29,"usdc":824,"entry_price":825,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":118,"captured_at":13,"question":826,"event_slug":269,"category":120},"0xc68ab4e00ec12073ef04c78e774698258aab6c6a378157c14c940d6a2c52aa72",156.99446999999998,0.5911421465467762,"Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":828,"outcome":29,"usdc":829,"entry_price":830,"won":17,"source":254,"end_date_iso":118,"captured_at":13,"question":831,"event_slug":269,"category":120},"0xc7daed947382b78ad3c5e62d52c95b1cdf258ca86476f96983bbf8b8d57fc458",137.60282999999998,0.5698831694790051,"Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?",{"total":833,"wins":834},112,62,[836,841,846,851,856,861],{"category":56,"n":837,"wins":838,"hitRate":839,"roi":840},51,29,0.5686274509803921,1.0395945840954606,{"category":37,"n":842,"wins":843,"hitRate":844,"roi":845},36,20,0.5555555555555556,0.1158799194090394,{"category":120,"n":847,"wins":848,"hitRate":849,"roi":850},9,3,0.3333333333333333,-0.06167629863659821,{"category":170,"n":852,"wins":853,"hitRate":854,"roi":855},8,6,0.75,0.45230777396103267,{"category":84,"n":857,"wins":858,"hitRate":859,"roi":860},7,4,0.5714285714285714,0.3115162218587746,{"category":783,"n":12,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":862},-1,{"generatedAt":864},"2026-10-09T04:06:39.012Z"]