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Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?","will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-june-30","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.033\", \"0.967\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":44,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":48,"category":38},"34386684966925037477701889915132575610574649191623462027976379158560146275115","0xc3d5708780de5528998aeb53ca90e7ade64804f9f2386392a681435d5c42b44d","No",411.15,0.2375,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963","2026-10-31T20:29:00Z","[\"0.865\", 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30?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-november-30-20260810151158765","2026-12-01T04:59:00Z",{"token_id":76,"condition_id":77,"outcome":29,"size":69,"avg_price":70,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":78,"question":79,"event_slug":80,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":81,"outcome_prices":82,"category":57},"107368939116727984361874102692680184862106284263699179165890515354059324318933","0xc90894254e1f804e3087e89288d192b529287b7de6e3f5230c06868f7777661d","2026-10-06T03:27:33.142Z","Israel accuses Iran\u002Fproxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?","israel-accuses-iranproxies-of-plane-stabbing-incident-by-oct-31","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]",[],[85],{"recorded_date":86,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":14},"2026-09-29",[88,97,104,113,120,127,135,142,148,155,160,166,172,178,183,188,194,202,208,215,222,229,236,242,249,254,261,266,272,278,283,289,297,304,309,314,319,326,333,339,344,349,354,360,366,373,379],{"condition_id":89,"outcome":29,"usdc":90,"entry_price":91,"won":12,"source":92,"end_date_iso":93,"captured_at":94,"question":95,"event_slug":96,"category":38},"0xcb290d3573456ac90da3c34319b74b6c8bf958004ce726e8e146936c17bd18e1",2.72415,0.013,"live","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","2026-09-30T07:31:55.913Z","Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?","abu-musa-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260720011758214",{"condition_id":98,"outcome":42,"usdc":99,"entry_price":100,"won":12,"source":92,"end_date_iso":101,"captured_at":94,"question":102,"event_slug":103,"category":57},"0x690fafd3b7bb8b4919ccf0f219b0014b65334411a1076162e76353e76d7f9bec",32.0688,0.1179,"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?","us-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt",{"condition_id":105,"outcome":29,"usdc":106,"entry_price":107,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":109,"captured_at":13,"question":110,"event_slug":111,"category":112},"0x0220e320852050a884e73bfe20447cbabe17ce934107cebc48a829b4a558204f",5.669961000000001,0.0030000000000000005,"backfill","2026-06-01T03:59:59.999Z","Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?","what-price-will-wti-hit-in-may-2026","Other",{"condition_id":114,"outcome":42,"usdc":115,"entry_price":116,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":117,"captured_at":13,"question":118,"event_slug":119,"category":57},"0x067524c76b05c2c106e736f7fbeafc65e18253bca06edd0a9b7f979449826d9e",2.5,0.025,"2026-09-24T03:59:00Z","Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?","trump-x-greenland-deal-signed-by-december-31",{"condition_id":121,"outcome":29,"usdc":122,"entry_price":123,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":124,"captured_at":13,"question":125,"event_slug":126,"category":57},"0x089a0dcb8e611a4c913f3f07221d02ab481e9eb61009cfdce1750491f20fb4a7",1.5149599999999999,0.011320032877531196,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?","will-ukraine-recapture-crimean-territory-by-june-30-2026",{"condition_id":128,"outcome":29,"usdc":129,"entry_price":130,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":131,"captured_at":13,"question":132,"event_slug":133,"category":134},"0x0fa5d80f8f8fec384b629d60a47c8c669ff7e6ea469edb9f91ccfd030b7f56d7",51.84,0.09,"2026-04-30","Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?","what-price-will-wti-hit-in-april-2026",null,{"condition_id":136,"outcome":29,"usdc":137,"entry_price":138,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":139,"captured_at":13,"question":140,"event_slug":141,"category":38},"0x10d4b55e87cd8df815a88de7a8eccdff77418d361285a540fbdc6505bb99a4a2",14.999999,0.1399999922,"2026-04-15T23:55:00Z","Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?","kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31",{"condition_id":143,"outcome":29,"usdc":144,"entry_price":145,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":124,"captured_at":13,"question":146,"event_slug":147,"category":57},"0x17c9dead8bed402d330e2aa5bcfb4d6f7764d3cc60d6508a03be003f4e88e64b",71.02000000000001,0.13324577861163228,"Iran coup attempt by June 30?","iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30",{"condition_id":149,"outcome":29,"usdc":150,"entry_price":151,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":152,"captured_at":13,"question":153,"event_slug":154,"category":134},"0x18c398c97deddabe1f3900e0d4c58472a19c7c33ffcb7d09ea6979cdda3eb0ac",1.87,0.11,"2026-07-10T23:59:00Z","Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?","iran-military-action-against-a-gulf-state-onptptpt-20260708212328295",{"condition_id":156,"outcome":29,"usdc":157,"entry_price":158,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":131,"captured_at":13,"question":159,"event_slug":133,"category":134},"0x39104f7f48f4f379de4162f0cf64c24bf1ccb1f786fd7fafb3fbfb879fffedcc",25,0.16,"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?",{"condition_id":161,"outcome":42,"usdc":162,"entry_price":163,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":164,"captured_at":13,"question":165,"event_slug":46,"category":38},"0x3a3becf905da80c4f5a7d886514120d52febd9635bf13522924888cd9da803f3",10,0.02,"2026-09-30T20:29:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?",{"condition_id":167,"outcome":42,"usdc":168,"entry_price":169,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":170,"captured_at":13,"question":171,"event_slug":103,"category":57},"0x3ebfc39ef533f45e1ea4faa9b72715ff2251de8c86623de65e457aa8df4c8bf3",58.097322999999996,0.029800180837113395,"2026-09-25T23:59:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?",{"condition_id":173,"outcome":29,"usdc":174,"entry_price":175,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":124,"captured_at":13,"question":176,"event_slug":177,"category":57},"0x3ed92a5a51371e8ba5882ae743ccf90460c8860fdd862a9389e249d0a2b9f055",31.81803,0.136,"Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?","masoud-pezeshkian-out-by",{"condition_id":179,"outcome":29,"usdc":180,"entry_price":181,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":109,"captured_at":13,"question":182,"event_slug":111,"category":112},"0x416e3cbe25a60b8210f4e67c056ea2b03f4d511e7b969826d69ef90b753ff214",25.4,0.14941176470588236,"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?",{"condition_id":184,"outcome":29,"usdc":185,"entry_price":186,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":124,"captured_at":13,"question":187,"event_slug":35,"category":38},"0x43272c02b8407ed3f8d5b04fb4cb132d7a59c5df6ecc423afcf66f1c778d1887",40,0.022857142857142857,"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?",{"condition_id":189,"outcome":29,"usdc":190,"entry_price":191,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":192,"captured_at":13,"question":193,"event_slug":141,"category":38},"0x4befb52f7cd2b606c63731ad74e677325ff0ed0f48f1104552a34f0f54619ea3",99.97,0.13,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?",{"condition_id":195,"outcome":29,"usdc":196,"entry_price":197,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":13,"question":199,"event_slug":200,"category":201},"0x53a5d806956b6a80d440f6d53dec7c2472430a4fb31bade0c46c9b5f608db2cd",2.056209,0.062999972,"2026-06-12T19:00:00Z","Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?","fifwc-can-bih-2026-06-12-exact-score","Sports",{"condition_id":203,"outcome":29,"usdc":204,"entry_price":158,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":205,"captured_at":13,"question":206,"event_slug":207,"category":201},"0x5c80663aa954726b12197046932ce0dc6877c3102fe90da230c41a4412967adc",1.0252,"2026-06-15T22:00:00Z","Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 2 Uruguay?","fifwc-ksa-ury-2026-06-15-exact-score",{"condition_id":209,"outcome":29,"usdc":210,"entry_price":211,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":212,"captured_at":13,"question":213,"event_slug":214,"category":112},"0x5f5818ceb3712f771cd0de79809f65965be7734db51f533eccd58953e0efacfc",8.940000000000001,0.005246478873239437,"2026-06-01T00:00:00Z","Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?","will-wti-crude-oil-wti-hit-high-100-in-may",{"condition_id":216,"outcome":42,"usdc":217,"entry_price":218,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":219,"captured_at":13,"question":220,"event_slug":221,"category":57},"0x639d8b6161b0f21aa3bbefc68223b09572d14228e903809b706c84443e8067ff",12.399999999999999,0.41333333333999994,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?","what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-june-30",{"condition_id":223,"outcome":29,"usdc":224,"entry_price":225,"won":14,"source":108,"end_date_iso":226,"captured_at":13,"question":227,"event_slug":228,"category":134},"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246",73.2,0.61,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","US forces enter Iran by April 30?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-april-30-899",{"condition_id":230,"outcome":29,"usdc":231,"entry_price":232,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":234,"event_slug":235,"category":57},"0x70bb7a6224afdb47ea092efa1338efc17031a770ca5ce54b62ce553aea94d87f",0.123595,0.110000089,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?","eric-swalwell-charged-by-may-31",{"condition_id":237,"outcome":29,"usdc":238,"entry_price":239,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":226,"captured_at":13,"question":240,"event_slug":241,"category":134},"0x724d7eaffc5b26082105d7a9aebd6b729fe0e87368b8d7e5ea7a9926b3077ad0",9.999999,0.179999987,"Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?","iran-military-action-against-by-april-30",{"condition_id":243,"outcome":42,"usdc":244,"entry_price":245,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":246,"captured_at":13,"question":247,"event_slug":248,"category":57},"0x72f2c4d410eed84d20a3c3cce7947d5f8b0be1574620680fbdb0bfd738a30021",11.2256,0.055,"2026-09-24T23:59:00Z","Will Netanyahu say \"Zohran\" or \"Mamdani\" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?","what-will-netanyahu-say-during-the-united-nations-general-assembly",{"condition_id":250,"outcome":29,"usdc":14,"entry_price":251,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":252,"event_slug":253,"category":57},"0x789c947a9415600d30d56a4aae88d4111996679b0caed166d0c96242fdce92a2",0.001,"Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-may-31",{"condition_id":255,"outcome":42,"usdc":256,"entry_price":257,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":258,"captured_at":13,"question":259,"event_slug":260,"category":134},"0x8183a221622f2d5d2b46da86c80d55a61f43d35829589e03c1efae9d072638c5",88.329999,0.28534763585304074,"2026-04-07","Iran x Israel\u002FUS conflict ends by April 7?","iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by",{"condition_id":262,"outcome":29,"usdc":263,"entry_price":264,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":109,"captured_at":13,"question":265,"event_slug":111,"category":112},"0x828aaec481308550a867fff3bd1e497ca1ebb5998fcf1fb40aaa4abfeb85db26",10.4,0.08,"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?",{"condition_id":267,"outcome":29,"usdc":268,"entry_price":264,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":269,"captured_at":13,"question":270,"event_slug":271,"category":134},"0x915dd9e35a242624df721871c609d23b74242a766b86bd70496afd23c99e7f98",25.12,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?","us-announces-withdrawal-from-mou-negotiations-byptptpt-20260622192051747",{"condition_id":273,"outcome":29,"usdc":274,"entry_price":275,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":219,"captured_at":13,"question":276,"event_slug":277,"category":57},"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f",16.795905,0.02900866987936728,"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-june-30",{"condition_id":279,"outcome":29,"usdc":280,"entry_price":281,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":226,"captured_at":13,"question":282,"event_slug":241,"category":134},"0x935336fb4ec0967091d388593e4e9a14baf7174d30a0fd5dcf8efe47b9e9fdbf",9.9,0.066,"Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":284,"outcome":29,"usdc":285,"entry_price":286,"won":12,"source":108,"end_date_iso":246,"captured_at":13,"question":287,"event_slug":288,"category":57},"0x946503459f4de3af77752a8b8270f1cd17876dbf7c6f6df26d64440d9c47a780",12,0.12,"Will Trump say \"Oil\" or 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