[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x88224edef932367b1605dd8bfc3725382afeb769":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":129,"history":130,"resolved":133,"resolvedSummary":565,"specialization":568,"meta":585},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x88224edef932367b1605dd8bfc3725382afeb769",213,127,0.4330708661417323,0.37580797995969023,0.12621853890057866,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-04T07:37:16.745Z",37.88979444094485,1.6771653543307086,"2026-09-29T20:56:15.000Z",0,"trades",0.31893502559291353,0.11413584054881895,1808.3894629623019,4812.003893999996,5.819529860628244,0.10317460317460317,[26,39,50,59,69,76,83,90,97,104,111,116,123],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"65687570482580264157408284185372605615450136597373158301557436200265545057819","0x87335e877a46e289636d66bda62f4e950dd2e3b63ade63ed8481b34c06349b1a","No",1546.0234,0.4164,"2026-10-25T12:12:00.632Z","2026-10-04T09:37:11.214Z","Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?","next-ministerprasident-of-sachsen-anhalt-20260806155819619","2026-09-07T03:59:00Z","[\"0.755\", \"0.245\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":44,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":45,"question":46,"event_slug":47,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":48,"outcome_prices":49,"category":38},"22762011100645495480461642120347882106146149968198538473211431401837340957477","0x0acbe1e5050eff25014d0d6941f58db1187daeb99f9435179adeca0258b8d924","Yes",394.0804,0.513,"2026-10-06T18:14:12.329Z","Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?","switzerlands-november-referendum-what-will-pass-20260713145059520","2026-11-29T00:00:00Z","[\"0.4\", \"0.6\"]",{"token_id":51,"condition_id":52,"outcome":42,"size":53,"avg_price":54,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":45,"question":55,"event_slug":56,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":57,"outcome_prices":58,"category":38},"51939490109676186832507970701169130490548061087912630009168726706475001411420","0x86bfb53af7250a40928975c551d12c185b762fa4ce0b40c6a64a50c946d72587",308.3333,0.3599,"Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?","which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.345\", \"0.655\"]",{"token_id":60,"condition_id":61,"outcome":42,"size":62,"avg_price":63,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":64,"event_slug":65,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":66,"outcome_prices":67,"category":68},"81143229469963573855078465101077700973718156690198435778028767625311344952083","0x261c26c492bc9452493b3e1c792f26b2e90ed7c1cd6f49f0cb7330b40145bde0",625,0.08,"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?","kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.085\", \"0.915\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":70,"condition_id":71,"outcome":42,"size":72,"avg_price":73,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":74,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":75,"category":38},"56716527048384748439412680129097131141260592770992696762462471572263105790344","0xadc89bc065d1a6bd618695bbe484cc5c319bdcd00626cbe001d5aceadc002091",575.7471,0.0868,"Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?","[\"0.022\", \"0.978\"]",{"token_id":77,"condition_id":78,"outcome":42,"size":79,"avg_price":80,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":81,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":82,"category":38},"74992885723500969082099636683734690315873034944073788160350685586140474641412","0xd4a0412f91ddb4bb4062bf563c360cb2645adce35c1395a6d5bf439afe9cd6ac",523.4968,0.0382,"Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?","[\"0.018\", \"0.982\"]",{"token_id":84,"condition_id":85,"outcome":42,"size":86,"avg_price":87,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":88,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":89,"category":38},"96530402323422283691988893157008499016895435376518966803021227338899506634844","0x9c9387a57d57052eb42b84983a6fe0cf7cbd09a26b06857654805508d027e17e",1013.0486,0.0175,"Will Franziska Weidinger be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?","[\"0.001\", \"0.999\"]",{"token_id":91,"condition_id":92,"outcome":42,"size":93,"avg_price":94,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":95,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":96,"category":38},"111588350111463709393039482850745808366675544014158049508899086166971067329035","0x4b3f68f89e0ea2e0899668c1a6a52c4d7deddaa56e9650447e8025a6717aad8e",750,0.02,"Will André Schröder be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?","[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",{"token_id":98,"condition_id":99,"outcome":42,"size":100,"avg_price":101,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":102,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":103,"category":38},"20626950709341027056667113029261080384466598855655814993644643196236036984110","0xd22e8b8cc8fe699e958dee16554c3889f7d22f7c24a82f31618620f814840ffc",209.082,0.0129,"Will Claudia Wittig be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?","[\"0.01\", \"0.99\"]",{"token_id":105,"condition_id":106,"outcome":42,"size":107,"avg_price":108,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":109,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":110,"category":38},"96287292280816156254238189870657468724875675947472973776347140484947732739188","0xe774e73bb94565c5997a82e7c873d2ad7474b13ebb89f8a94d5c8f62962e4aff",1000,0.0019,"Will Thomas Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?","[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]",{"token_id":112,"condition_id":113,"outcome":42,"size":114,"avg_price":94,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":115,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":96,"category":38},"10523234052825086087110923072192608395220295336429609567652992597752164873964","0xb2fc7f50fbd1042b9c07437140d20358472b96e74dbeaa1b979f4d326d0e8aa4",50,"Will Tamara Zieschang be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?",{"token_id":117,"condition_id":118,"outcome":42,"size":119,"avg_price":120,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":121,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":122,"category":38},"54578145740991627106776358224370605288925176372880063456056568320620965462817","0x3afc9dd478897e89e37d059dbcecc9fef19f08b5e8574492b54a4a374c152663",83.3333,0.0119,"Will Armin Willingmann be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?","[\"0.0035\", \"0.9965\"]",{"token_id":124,"condition_id":125,"outcome":42,"size":126,"avg_price":108,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":127,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":128,"category":38},"78722425691369813786208751473034567635962330701467921573367112741912614670924","0x11ae3564eaabc3db9b0bc544aa2b17e780f168f8946c18b6ce314d7c61501f51",500,"Will Eva von Angern be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?","[\"0.0055\", \"0.9945\"]",[],[131],{"recorded_date":132,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-04",[134,144,151,159,166,169,174,181,188,194,201,208,215,221,227,232,235,240,242,249,255,262,265,270,276,282,289,294,301,308,313,320,327,332,339,344,351,359,365,370,377,384,389,396,401,404,411,418,424,430,433,440,447,453,460,467,473,476,478,484,491,499,504,509,514,517,520,525,529,531,536,544,551,554,559],{"condition_id":135,"outcome":136,"usdc":137,"entry_price":138,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":140,"captured_at":13,"question":141,"event_slug":142,"category":143},"0x0891e4792a016a079765dd25029639cd731f7dc0bde3d65d6002b2b19dae2777","Switzerland",8.195259,0.2524999819,"backfill","2026-07-12T01:00:00Z","Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance","fifwc-arg-che-2026-07-11-more-markets",null,{"condition_id":145,"outcome":42,"usdc":146,"entry_price":147,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":148,"captured_at":13,"question":149,"event_slug":150,"category":143},"0x0aba7573898f63a6cb9c0e9015d8dffeaf026eb545311ab879198b5386c06901",9.999999,0.1016626377,"2026-03-13T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 13?","highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-march-13-2026",{"condition_id":152,"outcome":42,"usdc":153,"entry_price":154,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":155,"captured_at":13,"question":156,"event_slug":157,"category":158},"0x0c4cd2055d6ea89354ffddc55d6dbcef9355748112ea952fc925f3db6a5c457f",82.37673400000001,0.27385232160966866,"2026-07-20T00:00:00Z","Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-winner","Sports",{"condition_id":160,"outcome":42,"usdc":161,"entry_price":162,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":163,"captured_at":13,"question":164,"event_slug":165,"category":143},"0x0e987e9475018409854fe479e7afa3c86ef9eb6745e58a056c5c4548ea77c97f",2.999999,0.4399999707,"2025-05-17T12:00:00Z","Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?","eurovision-winner-2025",{"condition_id":125,"outcome":42,"usdc":167,"entry_price":168,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":127,"event_slug":35,"category":38},1.03992,0.002,{"condition_id":170,"outcome":42,"usdc":171,"entry_price":172,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":155,"captured_at":13,"question":173,"event_slug":157,"category":158},"0x1595b4818eeb1ea1e0bec5de6f057218e557feee9b405a0e930d290384fa1d16",10.286189,0.0459999957,"Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":175,"outcome":42,"usdc":176,"entry_price":177,"won":12,"source":139,"end_date_iso":178,"captured_at":13,"question":179,"event_slug":180,"category":143},"0x1aa6f420c53cc8fb3594433ba1688bc88c11be8eb3b067f46883853f47326210",17.3332,0.5099999898,"2026-09-20T23:59:00Z","Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?","mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-election-grune-vote-share",{"condition_id":182,"outcome":42,"usdc":183,"entry_price":184,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":185,"captured_at":13,"question":186,"event_slug":187,"category":68},"0x20cb32a3ff2b1932b99fe3343034d4dafe67cfce196eab2d771047f3d6e33be5",18.9,0.030779689517738677,"2026-07-16T03:59:00Z","Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?","mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by",{"condition_id":189,"outcome":42,"usdc":190,"entry_price":191,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":192,"captured_at":13,"question":193,"event_slug":187,"category":68},"0x253676d94edd8f3e92060410bec8bca9117890d117d06664d31867db0e396c56",3.699999,0.0599999854,"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?",{"condition_id":195,"outcome":196,"usdc":197,"entry_price":198,"won":12,"source":139,"end_date_iso":178,"captured_at":13,"question":199,"event_slug":200,"category":143},"0x271712a538494ac29d86aa17da5e873d8ec493fc309abc0594c83976351e601c","Under",5.17302,0.1348747576,"Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over\u002FUnder 5%?","mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-election-cdu-over-under-5-percent",{"condition_id":202,"outcome":42,"usdc":203,"entry_price":204,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":205,"captured_at":13,"question":206,"event_slug":207,"category":38},"0x274cec202608757e62a0cf64ec63a3a814a6cc23a1bff1819b437362c5c16732",4.999999,0.1619999756,"","Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?","which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-june-30",{"condition_id":209,"outcome":42,"usdc":210,"entry_price":211,"won":12,"source":139,"end_date_iso":212,"captured_at":13,"question":213,"event_slug":214,"category":143},"0x2c37e07b722442c2381fac76f8564d580660aa028066e08bad1b32bd11813e9d",1.036989,0.2599998648,"2026-07-10T19:00:00Z","Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?","fifwc-esp-bel-2026-07-10",{"condition_id":216,"outcome":42,"usdc":217,"entry_price":218,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":148,"captured_at":13,"question":219,"event_slug":220,"category":143},"0x31528e841b10e92c3b8f1980e2cb5a2ce729df1d8f2f9284533842706fe29978",10,0.16,"Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on March 13?","highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-march-13-2026",{"condition_id":222,"outcome":42,"usdc":203,"entry_price":223,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":224,"captured_at":13,"question":225,"event_slug":226,"category":38},"0x325d2f917428a0d39ac7563770ec519208666b8c926091de1a1934d8570b64cd",0.1399999787,"2026-07-18T03:59:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?","next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-byptptpt-20260623022722982",{"condition_id":228,"outcome":42,"usdc":229,"entry_price":230,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":155,"captured_at":13,"question":231,"event_slug":157,"category":158},"0x3a26ca6425e2d98f14935670bc22cdb0744defc6f6d83c65f8c413a921c5c70c",5.148639,0.0089999982,"Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":118,"outcome":42,"usdc":233,"entry_price":234,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":121,"event_slug":35,"category":38},1.03952,0.0119999999,{"condition_id":236,"outcome":42,"usdc":237,"entry_price":238,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":163,"captured_at":13,"question":239,"event_slug":165,"category":143},"0x499a8d119a710062e6d56a3db97e33331a3cad02f9de6cf762d861f61e79f2e2",0.999999,0.0189999817,"Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?",{"condition_id":92,"outcome":42,"usdc":241,"entry_price":94,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":95,"event_slug":35,"category":38},15.588,{"condition_id":243,"outcome":42,"usdc":244,"entry_price":245,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":246,"captured_at":13,"question":247,"event_slug":248,"category":38},"0x4d1f770b1b4af4fd7e9cbd1f6eb24419b56d826af14537102aa5444202270505",1.03851,0.0370000014,"2026-06-09T00:00:00Z","Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?","south-carolina-governor-republican-primary-winner-784",{"condition_id":250,"outcome":42,"usdc":251,"entry_price":168,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":252,"captured_at":13,"question":253,"event_slug":254,"category":38},"0x4e4a7df876b0c04f0b8b29b9073eddfbaf5c787192da825ae7ca1031bc8cfd15",1.0499,"2026-06-17T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-june-825",{"condition_id":256,"outcome":29,"usdc":257,"entry_price":258,"won":12,"source":139,"end_date_iso":259,"captured_at":13,"question":260,"event_slug":261,"category":38},"0x5187c6fefe08cf4513e08dd31a514b698aaebc18c259b9a98c8170cca2b7d6e8",2313.907298,0.6371338565092031,"2026-09-06T00:00:00Z","Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?","will-afd-win-an-absolute-majority-of-seats-in-sachsen-anhalt",{"condition_id":256,"outcome":42,"usdc":263,"entry_price":264,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":259,"captured_at":13,"question":260,"event_slug":261,"category":38},92.136289,0.40645161101378585,{"condition_id":266,"outcome":42,"usdc":267,"entry_price":268,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":163,"captured_at":13,"question":269,"event_slug":165,"category":143},"0x5b38be7d23ad6179dbbc460e4f753760594c3fb64478f2d441776cbcd794db8a",1.5,0.0128456806,"Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?",{"condition_id":271,"outcome":42,"usdc":272,"entry_price":273,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":66,"captured_at":13,"question":274,"event_slug":275,"category":38},"0x5c881188a151876e13d8bf67c36c03e34ce851bd5fbc2163288e9e45b93ef46c",8.2976,0.0699999996,"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026","friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027",{"condition_id":277,"outcome":42,"usdc":12,"entry_price":278,"won":12,"source":139,"end_date_iso":279,"captured_at":13,"question":280,"event_slug":281,"category":143},"0x5ce0d897bd66142c43a38204a67ad85bc3e0643382258411a5aa58ca3e825082",0.2,"2025-05-18T12:00:00Z","Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?","poland-presidential-election",{"condition_id":283,"outcome":42,"usdc":284,"entry_price":285,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":286,"captured_at":13,"question":287,"event_slug":288,"category":143},"0x5fc28bfcb6f16080415695b53f1f60820f403a94ce16696eea2f0085d823bc92",3.2,0.32,"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?","romania-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":290,"outcome":42,"usdc":12,"entry_price":291,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":185,"captured_at":13,"question":292,"event_slug":293,"category":38},"0x6169a5cf74516d65914ddf6b254c65d68dd2bfaab725c056d5db2ad65b9482c2",0.032,"Israel closes its airspace by July 15?","israel-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":295,"outcome":29,"usdc":296,"entry_price":297,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":298,"captured_at":13,"question":299,"event_slug":300,"category":143},"0x6389dc74e27218b50657af632dbca4c5005d241c760bd979944bcd0d68493380",2.618239,0.0539999799,"2026-07-20T03:59:00Z","President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?","president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044",{"condition_id":302,"outcome":42,"usdc":303,"entry_price":304,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":305,"captured_at":13,"question":306,"event_slug":307,"category":158},"0x665a7f135acb1d2938cf74f94c1747cb3d530b6f99210b3affe5d91d35e6968a",1.029359,0.0209999797,"2026-06-21T00:00:00Z","Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?","iem-cologne-major-2026-winner",{"condition_id":309,"outcome":42,"usdc":146,"entry_price":310,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":148,"captured_at":13,"question":311,"event_slug":312,"category":143},"0x6835f93703534ae1885dc1543b44f994a9e2cb4d19e50e9eeba4dec1b9a9a237",0.2366466998,"Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 13?","highest-temperature-in-london-on-march-13-2026",{"condition_id":314,"outcome":29,"usdc":315,"entry_price":316,"won":12,"source":139,"end_date_iso":317,"captured_at":13,"question":318,"event_slug":319,"category":143},"0x6cb1af5972ff42f06b6bc62e85a0e28b8c60e489a57f496230697a46a4b6c3f3",3.042476,0.7166354969623342,"2026-07-19T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 19?","highest-temperature-in-qingdao-on-july-19-2026",{"condition_id":321,"outcome":136,"usdc":322,"entry_price":323,"won":12,"source":139,"end_date_iso":324,"captured_at":13,"question":325,"event_slug":326,"category":143},"0x6d621f9a6690d234786025521c650f3f65738e0f877ff776c8f50275a2b3aee7",11.199038999999999,0.39676299797526277,"2026-07-07T20:00:00Z","Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance","fifwc-che-col-2026-07-07-more-markets",{"condition_id":328,"outcome":42,"usdc":146,"entry_price":329,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":148,"captured_at":13,"question":330,"event_slug":331,"category":143},"0x6d6d7ab53749d1101306888041cfd77a19a0fbe9e171d774737af9620c08c949",0.389999986,"Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on March 13?","highest-temperature-in-munich-on-march-13-2026",{"condition_id":333,"outcome":29,"usdc":334,"entry_price":335,"won":12,"source":139,"end_date_iso":336,"captured_at":13,"question":337,"event_slug":338,"category":143},"0x7017b198e9fe1cb35717f94aa70a1761abbb5a644f49f4837fb50cfa3359c312",1.020489,0.5899998466,"2026-07-26T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 26?","highest-temperature-in-paris-on-july-26-2026",{"condition_id":340,"outcome":42,"usdc":341,"entry_price":342,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":192,"captured_at":13,"question":343,"event_slug":65,"category":68},"0x7162118722a6abe965c964e8c694ff0f232221d9bb2263bd92e5902633381893",1.499999,0.0352059657,"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?",{"condition_id":345,"outcome":42,"usdc":346,"entry_price":347,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":348,"captured_at":13,"question":349,"event_slug":350,"category":38},"0x7742a04b33fb5a5b15474a7c70f3c073922c1f471bddc66ceb01c1ffd1841829",56.078,0.5099999965,"2026-09-20T00:00:00Z","Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?","mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-election-winner",{"condition_id":352,"outcome":353,"usdc":354,"entry_price":355,"won":12,"source":139,"end_date_iso":356,"captured_at":13,"question":357,"event_slug":358,"category":143},"0x776956c5185fb6e9115e4a52fb0a8386172cae91d6812b447795fb171f478a69","Argentina",15.401239,0.4649999909,"2026-07-15T19:00:00Z","England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance","fifwc-eng-arg-2026-07-15-more-markets",{"condition_id":360,"outcome":42,"usdc":361,"entry_price":362,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":363,"captured_at":13,"question":364,"event_slug":226,"category":38},"0x79c850d5dd022d89aaf4f92105657d7a2e0518d4e4d4cf6cdce44d385fe029a7",1.4,0.014,"2026-07-11T03:59:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?",{"condition_id":366,"outcome":42,"usdc":367,"entry_price":368,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":155,"captured_at":13,"question":369,"event_slug":157,"category":158},"0x7b52405ad0e0d31bfe970940b67d77f24ecedeab8a2361c11148c02a006e325c",5.142939,0.0469999914,"Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":371,"outcome":372,"usdc":373,"entry_price":374,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":212,"captured_at":13,"question":375,"event_slug":376,"category":143},"0x7e6a99d23ee6beff337091fc92ecac6f2d8810aa899eb70b7488b72d5abbb052","Belgium",10.371239,0.2574999839,"Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance","fifwc-esp-bel-2026-07-10-more-markets",{"condition_id":378,"outcome":353,"usdc":379,"entry_price":380,"won":12,"source":139,"end_date_iso":381,"captured_at":13,"question":382,"event_slug":383,"category":143},"0x7f481c96a3bf0d8292a2515e3dd0e709e5bdd240189b81fc98f8003480b4eb14",21.263378000000003,0.5059973461726,"2026-07-07T16:00:00Z","Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance","fifwc-arg-egy-2026-07-07-more-markets",{"condition_id":385,"outcome":29,"usdc":203,"entry_price":386,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":205,"captured_at":13,"question":387,"event_slug":388,"category":143},"0x80059ff4e694f878c0498f6f3a067ee7ca62dc2fc46251a4287b58355ce47bc5",0.599999976,"US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by",{"condition_id":390,"outcome":29,"usdc":391,"entry_price":392,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":393,"captured_at":13,"question":394,"event_slug":395,"category":143},"0x813ca6fb4807a13a624741848f29f4c0a8e63af9e04e0577ccb45414bc6accf8",1.032489,0.3499998775,"2026-07-24T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 24?","highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-july-24-2026",{"condition_id":397,"outcome":29,"usdc":398,"entry_price":168,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":205,"captured_at":13,"question":399,"event_slug":400,"category":158},"0x86f5b0f1934bb39421651ad2ba0f04494700ba9e95663a5c141a8674c4978c15",1.02994,"Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?","will-ronaldo-cry-at-the-world-cup-20260604013616610",{"condition_id":397,"outcome":42,"usdc":402,"entry_price":403,"won":12,"source":139,"end_date_iso":205,"captured_at":13,"question":399,"event_slug":400,"category":158},1.0288,0.04,{"condition_id":405,"outcome":42,"usdc":406,"entry_price":407,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":408,"captured_at":13,"question":409,"event_slug":410,"category":143},"0x872c8e9a4e4808a2ab714c267bd8a93f63cb739c853d7e4de2b42009e73f9b3f",27.799999000000003,0.0263243240702647,"2025-06-18T12:00:00Z","Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?","fed-decision-in-june",{"condition_id":412,"outcome":29,"usdc":413,"entry_price":414,"won":12,"source":139,"end_date_iso":415,"captured_at":13,"question":416,"event_slug":417,"category":38},"0x88e08e1db2095d39e18ef77068b8dc8074069ccac3feac7fba88482f4f822935",1743.6766850000004,0.6368915529851441,"2026-06-14T00:00:00Z","Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?","switzerlands-june-referendum-what-will-pass",{"condition_id":419,"outcome":29,"usdc":420,"entry_price":421,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":178,"captured_at":13,"question":422,"event_slug":423,"category":143},"0x8bc22e1e8b7d4775645263f3fc0d3bdf37f1ae230ac3efdcf472ec04a9bc3a73",20.65406,0.182424809,"Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?","mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-election-cdu-vote-share",{"condition_id":425,"outcome":29,"usdc":426,"entry_price":427,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":317,"captured_at":13,"question":428,"event_slug":429,"category":143},"0x971fa43c5ed5e3d6e8bedf5ac4b08727308eb3ca974eef62414f8e1d359b468a",1.015489,0.6899999586,"Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 19?","highest-temperature-in-moscow-on-july-19-2026",{"condition_id":85,"outcome":42,"usdc":431,"entry_price":432,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":88,"event_slug":35,"category":38},18.70617,0.01757538228403552,{"condition_id":434,"outcome":42,"usdc":435,"entry_price":436,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":437,"captured_at":13,"question":438,"event_slug":439,"category":158},"0x9f6c180ed79bccf08b3d58d23c6af3a87afd4d0b176e770c6951a573dcaee814",1.534369,0.2359998873,"2026-07-12T00:00:00Z","Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?","2026-mens-wimbledon-winner",{"condition_id":441,"outcome":42,"usdc":442,"entry_price":443,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":444,"captured_at":13,"question":445,"event_slug":446,"category":38},"0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a",6.786,0.1199999993,"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-september-762",{"condition_id":448,"outcome":42,"usdc":449,"entry_price":450,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":246,"captured_at":13,"question":451,"event_slug":452,"category":38},"0xa46577023b4faca2ecab0c1ff6142880d71872c281685d4adc2069f03a9a68f1",1.039389,0.0149999854,"Will Angus King III win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?","maine-governor-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":454,"outcome":455,"usdc":456,"entry_price":457,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":66,"captured_at":13,"question":458,"event_slug":459,"category":143},"0xa87ea355138b39bd6b7a20496c279cc6e2bbb9380a0877e6ccd0f8dec054e75d","SPD",10.296,0.2599999964,"Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to AfD or SPD?","mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-election-more-votes-to-afd-or-spd",{"condition_id":461,"outcome":42,"usdc":462,"entry_price":463,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":464,"captured_at":13,"question":465,"event_slug":466,"category":158},"0xa8a9f70412968d63c6feb8f2304ac62f5f1bac2866792d2281241e3217b1d0df",1.047089,0.0579999464,"2026-07-19T00:00:00Z","Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?","who-will-perform-at-world-cup-halftime-show",{"condition_id":468,"outcome":29,"usdc":469,"entry_price":470,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":205,"captured_at":13,"question":471,"event_slug":472,"category":143},"0xac9c6628a5398bb2a06f566854270a9fbc7f2badec4329d3b5fdc1407291c35b",20,0.001,"Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?","will-trump-release-epstein-files-by",{"condition_id":71,"outcome":42,"usdc":474,"entry_price":475,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":74,"event_slug":35,"category":38},51.82631,0.0868436813,{"condition_id":113,"outcome":42,"usdc":477,"entry_price":94,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":115,"event_slug":35,"category":38},1.0392,{"condition_id":479,"outcome":29,"usdc":480,"entry_price":481,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":336,"captured_at":13,"question":482,"event_slug":483,"category":143},"0xb713a9bfe993984297f2902215e228d13a989b0c283c21e534fa75e5c8527a03",1.021989,0.5599998432,"Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 26?","highest-temperature-in-atlanta-on-july-26-2026",{"condition_id":485,"outcome":42,"usdc":486,"entry_price":487,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":488,"captured_at":13,"question":489,"event_slug":490,"category":38},"0xb8d9de792eaa47a1a7cd48e1eaf4feb9605b3bbadfef751db98b85e96b334a17",31.2,0.13,"2026-09-27T00:00:00Z","Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?","switzerlands-september-referendum-what-will-pass-20260713144919276",{"condition_id":492,"outcome":493,"usdc":494,"entry_price":495,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":496,"captured_at":13,"question":497,"event_slug":498,"category":143},"0xbf19d17cc89d133123d96662c8fb9c2e08a380a32e806233bb8e0ccaaf7a2fdd","Austria",8.213968000000001,0.09451774606712286,"2026-07-02T19:00:00Z","Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance","fifwc-esp-aut-2026-07-02-more-markets",{"condition_id":500,"outcome":29,"usdc":12,"entry_price":470,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":501,"captured_at":13,"question":502,"event_slug":503,"category":38},"0xc88e812beb27442554b9231273f6cdda7c96022afc1a5b2a841f03c17dbceaaf","2026-06-08T00:00:00Z","Iran closes its airspace by June 8?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":505,"outcome":29,"usdc":506,"entry_price":507,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":464,"captured_at":13,"question":508,"event_slug":466,"category":158},"0xc94fe145203a04f7ad45615e75b5e0725a6cf68c3d297977af46d07d9db204d6",1.770799,0.16699993,"Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?",{"condition_id":510,"outcome":42,"usdc":511,"entry_price":512,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":155,"captured_at":13,"question":513,"event_slug":157,"category":158},"0xcdb1f0400949238a63d3e88243d2ada08cd9c2a71985ced9f0cfd5e66354cf90",5.146389,0.0239999952,"Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":99,"outcome":42,"usdc":515,"entry_price":516,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":102,"event_slug":35,"category":38},2.8066,0.0129135937,{"condition_id":78,"outcome":42,"usdc":518,"entry_price":519,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":81,"event_slug":35,"category":38},20.76943,0.038204627,{"condition_id":521,"outcome":42,"usdc":146,"entry_price":522,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":148,"captured_at":13,"question":523,"event_slug":524,"category":143},"0xdfb4d6e4a29379703895ea9d812bc6c30f7bab3fb94be1d975b22d6f9851baf8",0.1578400702,"Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on March 13?","highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-march-13-2026",{"condition_id":526,"outcome":42,"usdc":267,"entry_price":527,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":163,"captured_at":13,"question":528,"event_slug":165,"category":143},"0xe1f3dde136fcfd141336058cbd495e8cab5696cf07af790a772caae036cbfff5",0.0045207957,"Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?",{"condition_id":106,"outcome":42,"usdc":530,"entry_price":168,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":109,"event_slug":35,"category":38},2.07984,{"condition_id":532,"outcome":29,"usdc":12,"entry_price":470,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":533,"captured_at":13,"question":534,"event_slug":535,"category":143},"0xeb9f5707eabf3c272097196b137d841fda958ec64aecff36283cc448a7e3e40b","2026-07-09T23:59:00Z","Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?","iran-military-action-against-a-gulf-state-onptptpt-20260708212328295",{"condition_id":537,"outcome":538,"usdc":539,"entry_price":540,"won":12,"source":139,"end_date_iso":541,"captured_at":13,"question":542,"event_slug":543,"category":143},"0xecba7b1db1c698ab73b3572abfcde327a02b5112676144e049edcc1e1e0f5b0b","Spain",15.421869,0.4374999872,"2026-07-14T19:00:00Z","France vs. Spain: Team to Advance","fifwc-fra-esp-2026-07-14-more-markets",{"condition_id":545,"outcome":29,"usdc":546,"entry_price":547,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":548,"captured_at":13,"question":549,"event_slug":550,"category":38},"0xf47e8cc490e9fd5f0ac8bd36aa4bc3b1abf12025dd145baac6cd95ee58e2d286",10.39757,0.0060716749,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?","aleksandar-vui-out-as-serbian-president-by",{"condition_id":552,"outcome":42,"usdc":12,"entry_price":168,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":163,"captured_at":13,"question":553,"event_slug":165,"category":143},"0xf83684a358cf8635d5d632610b33d5352d25d14e7517affb6cdbaad6ee768fbb","Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?",{"condition_id":555,"outcome":42,"usdc":556,"entry_price":557,"won":17,"source":139,"end_date_iso":163,"captured_at":13,"question":558,"event_slug":165,"category":143},"0xf931e094c21b844b916c65258bc9b24311f13f91507fe8efda9923217fc79523",3.149999,0.0312904423,"Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?",{"condition_id":560,"outcome":29,"usdc":203,"entry_price":561,"won":12,"source":139,"end_date_iso":562,"captured_at":13,"question":563,"event_slug":564,"category":143},"0xfa59099fbda1e0f0058ed3cbd57e939fe90ab6d9b57d53bd488bcadf75c191d4",0.3099999622,"2026-04-30","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?","trump-announces-end-of-military-operations-against-iran-by",{"total":566,"wins":567},75,14,[569,575,579,582],{"category":570,"n":571,"wins":572,"hitRate":573,"roi":574},"Other",36,11,0.3055555555555556,-0.13074480881469783,{"category":38,"n":576,"wins":577,"hitRate":63,"roi":578},25,2,0.44963091491174517,{"category":158,"n":572,"wins":12,"hitRate":580,"roi":581},0.09090909090909091,-0.7773955112099104,{"category":68,"n":583,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":584},3,-1,{"generatedAt":586},"2026-10-26T14:02:46.151Z"]