[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x879752bca887bc247ba883a52bc45e9c6be6bbbe":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":802,"history":803,"resolved":806,"resolvedSummary":1421,"specialization":1423,"meta":1445},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x879752bca887bc247ba883a52bc45e9c6be6bbbe",4071,659,0.6904400606980273,0.2894845615774167,0.18323595974287962,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-23T04:35:28.626Z",200.21326921699537,6.0670640834575265,"2026-09-19T05:11:13.000Z",0,"trades",0.5317274979978734,0.15871256270015172,38194.75065397245,131940.54441399995,13.544481331943931,0.04122137404580153,[26,39,48,59,67,76,85,93,102,110,117,125,135,144,152,161,168,177,184,193,201,209,217,225,234,242,250,257,264,269,278,286,294,301,309,317,325,333,340,349,357,364,371,378,386,394,401,409,415,422,431,440,449,457,465,472,480,486,494,501,509,518,526,534,542,550,556,564,572,578,585,592,600,607,615,622,629,636,643,650,658,665,674,682,690,697,705,714,721,728,734,740,748,757,765,771,778,783,787,794],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"48727431314333088243693016929623363710488980152833544156961659445129455301311","0x5c79dfde05559b79a9cb9f7c4187e4d49632dd042572ae676952f812732591cc","No",19289.57,0.5635,"2026-09-23T15:56:10.952Z","2026-09-23T07:17:35.534Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.205\", \"0.795\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":44,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":47,"category":38},"94230171906841915106704029803563020420374657103436346471561700926244621209762","0xa2e43598547f2e90e3eee195812c8814202b9b66f6c540d7e15a265cbe93f68f",2687.09,0.736,"Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?","republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections","2027-01-05T04:59:00Z","[\"0.295\", \"0.705\"]",{"token_id":49,"condition_id":50,"outcome":51,"size":52,"avg_price":53,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":54,"event_slug":55,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":57,"category":58},"23556429317429021692175226714041757812438092709195093999386854296551945919152","0xe67f4d31f0eba1b009b49d7a7739b2a5f53a2d7d979a0902b465a510492c33bb","Yes",1970,0.7228,"Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?","where-will-2026-rank-among-the-hottest-years-on-record","2027-03-02T04:59:00Z","[\"0.75\", \"0.25\"]","Culture",{"token_id":60,"condition_id":61,"outcome":29,"size":62,"avg_price":63,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":64,"event_slug":65,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":66,"category":38},"71334664885801955807825330010928919481514110131639634508060790735437273378545","0x612126703db7fb7eaa44906b2c7de42300a6cb6e0615c1e360e96e328b6433e5",3018.9,0.4647,"Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?","which-bills-will-become-law-in-2026","[\"0.15\", \"0.85\"]",{"token_id":68,"condition_id":69,"outcome":29,"size":70,"avg_price":71,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":72,"event_slug":73,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":74,"outcome_prices":75,"category":38},"48860666039818673107141791086090632565267919036905273668325991140836915975346","0xcf26973ee6873733bf53be81dd88622b36b663e6d594e74b9860958f2072139d",1498.78,0.9105,"Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?","how-many-house-seats-will-the-democrats-win-in-texas","2026-11-03T00:00:00Z","[\"0.0265\", \"0.9735\"]",{"token_id":77,"condition_id":78,"outcome":29,"size":79,"avg_price":80,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":81,"event_slug":82,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":83,"outcome_prices":84,"category":38},"78244091100777799604242355358928625704688015584811609078302921182675493691652","0xd3159f52eb20e8445be1db0e4b09b9214e0d34938a9d205ed4736f7d315fdc72",1171.86,0.7799,"Will Ohio (Special) have the closest Senate race in 2026?","closest-senate-race-20260626184244519","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.1085\", \"0.8915\"]",{"token_id":86,"condition_id":87,"outcome":29,"size":88,"avg_price":89,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":90,"event_slug":91,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":92,"category":38},"30455770425041126193569940063234142577691408508440512817158696601142733755169","0x953b1439569eef0a0e639566acd35d32ebadee8ab70dbb2f8e00bb936a277aa2",999.99,0.778,"US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?","us-national-bitcoin-reserve-before-2027","[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]",{"token_id":94,"condition_id":95,"outcome":51,"size":96,"avg_price":97,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":98,"event_slug":99,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":100,"category":101},"34819265358532535745389081655110465366205614488485370986851183512281332080312","0x117f9132e15eeff2621be398fa57092cf446a2f02cbd7ee8e3714226705c4d3b",1243,0.5892,"Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?","openai-announces-another-millennium-prize-solution-by","[\"0.39\", \"0.61\"]","Tech",{"token_id":103,"condition_id":104,"outcome":29,"size":105,"avg_price":106,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":107,"event_slug":108,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":109,"category":38},"61089537853579134972835081704941258638250904757651148428688179512165773691797","0xc7f45de4466d94cca028a3d82d5d0167e45bff211d5f94c443ae6b6891131d4d",807,0.9002,"Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?","trump-tries-to-fire-warsh-in-2026-20260724155002773","[\"0.013\", \"0.987\"]",{"token_id":111,"condition_id":112,"outcome":29,"size":113,"avg_price":114,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":115,"event_slug":82,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":83,"outcome_prices":116,"category":38},"109067375239297713977502109465557779770345922416484204972643753246338268683433","0x8c8b44a8d19dde93ade0e5f9a77e882a2c1b0f97cff567424ca4dcfcccf5e655",787.93,0.8399,"Will Maine have the closest Senate race in 2026?","[\"0.09\", \"0.91\"]",{"token_id":118,"condition_id":119,"outcome":29,"size":120,"avg_price":121,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":122,"event_slug":123,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":124,"category":38},"35575944116956982188959537860451847709356412707937191275113536563489728185182","0xef1904f76f205933ad8038a36348561388df264ce167465e91057a14627a418e",671,0.8231,"Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?","nigel-farage-out-as-reform-uk-leader-in-2026-20260622233131512","[\"0.115\", \"0.885\"]",{"token_id":126,"condition_id":127,"outcome":29,"size":128,"avg_price":129,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":130,"event_slug":131,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":132,"outcome_prices":133,"category":134},"66717623115126869367839678918667820278193168406625864843720194806657593097079","0xb4e5045af392d810191d0c52abc57514ad9bfa44970ebf1447b0eb8e743fb24e",725.22,0.7491,"Will Michigan Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?","ncaa-football-team-to-make-college-football-playoffs-20260803190433067","","[\"0.225\", \"0.775\"]",null,{"token_id":136,"condition_id":137,"outcome":51,"size":138,"avg_price":139,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":140,"event_slug":141,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":142,"outcome_prices":143,"category":38},"1912123006659202393239555952183008613139794898030657820154477280141921306103","0x8f38b53c21eb19bc2f5765442d027063c72ef28a1e38e04931c289e7b4385ba0",1834.6,0.2903,"Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?","who-will-trump-pick-as-the-next-press-secretary-20260812210729848","2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.157\", \"0.843\"]",{"token_id":145,"condition_id":146,"outcome":29,"size":147,"avg_price":148,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":149,"event_slug":150,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":83,"outcome_prices":151,"category":38},"55992506260961591303223238746567070593220053987024155939423662274780970159054","0xd01a6f8d85d09a149317bf3d6059e489f1f7c48f9e6499cebb455ecee59d75be",598,0.8856,"Will Kansas have the closest Governor's race in 2026?","closest-governors-race-20260629182258067","[\"0.05\", \"0.95\"]",{"token_id":153,"condition_id":154,"outcome":29,"size":155,"avg_price":156,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":157,"event_slug":158,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":160,"category":38},"33452715171383345770210907823055986277646559632542476227706185618294995722018","0xf83d984df52349f3b30fc061e888582d411c16bcf8c9710e3d2d3e1c5b075afe",577,0.7917,"Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat?","mn-08-house-election-winner","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.135\", \"0.865\"]",{"token_id":162,"condition_id":163,"outcome":29,"size":164,"avg_price":165,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":166,"event_slug":82,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":83,"outcome_prices":167,"category":38},"22888579829811990516583947089633609827904143733685010102442348975716294815584","0x6a1c23211343a120e817d691968f68754519586f5a1f920fcdbb1357b23d096b",550.44,0.8271,"Will Michigan have the closest Senate race in 2026?","[\"0.0545\", \"0.9455\"]",{"token_id":169,"condition_id":170,"outcome":29,"size":171,"avg_price":172,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":173,"event_slug":174,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":175,"outcome_prices":176,"category":38},"110520676613925959579139500530173530568459548038467437434271818483410549817281","0x4b76de592a261167f57d3d8a0d99e485bfa58f7dc79175197d926f10ae1fc03c",612.14,0.7316,"Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?","lima-mayoral-election-winner-20260724153924694","2026-10-05T03:59:00Z","[\"0.081\", \"0.919\"]",{"token_id":178,"condition_id":179,"outcome":51,"size":155,"avg_price":180,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":181,"event_slug":182,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":74,"outcome_prices":183,"category":38},"58414915443056575600546845688231939406497093430617962204950899073959516863962","0x4f63b7dddfb9bec2d5185e732dd3eb8463d825bdf5efadf87eec600e96e08ab5",0.75,"Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?","mn-01-house-election-winner","[\"0.76\", \"0.24\"]",{"token_id":185,"condition_id":186,"outcome":29,"size":187,"avg_price":188,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":189,"event_slug":190,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":191,"outcome_prices":192,"category":38},"111344475342969784116702975577723982549674037196345086059563486202499238579830","0xa08a5ce99e14ce0b22767af6f16c08a2ab012249444c20887193a9a3e98e11fc",500,0.79,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-september-30-20260702154339440","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0065\", \"0.9935\"]",{"token_id":194,"condition_id":195,"outcome":29,"size":196,"avg_price":197,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":198,"event_slug":199,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":200,"category":38},"17882717340608127748663801845299313394652119464795634688550606307633476223171","0xa2739ba4bc05fe9791b3a3e437104254625ed5a8e9b43f96aef4255e1757e618",468,0.818,"Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?","where-will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-678","[\"0.68\", \"0.32\"]",{"token_id":202,"condition_id":203,"outcome":51,"size":204,"avg_price":205,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":206,"event_slug":207,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":208,"category":38},"30262233103742413016273744865726694634847925546317079132006147490239167102562","0x5d52fd8e215a7ac609d4af5da9dcf752e9e6b4fc2b47482c246d51c8aa8e9280",436,0.8299,"Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?","ny-02-house-election-winner","[\"0.86\", \"0.14\"]",{"token_id":210,"condition_id":211,"outcome":51,"size":212,"avg_price":213,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":214,"event_slug":215,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":216,"category":38},"9506369488275436657454741912611540208508218792771601014444664102873977298471","0x194fbdfdb828a52b840314e5c1da3029531407a089ba54dadb55761540546bfc",3025.36,0.1146,"US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?","us-government-removes-public-access-to-a-major-chinese-ai-model-in-2026-20260703203328223","[\"0.155\", \"0.845\"]",{"token_id":218,"condition_id":219,"outcome":51,"size":220,"avg_price":221,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":222,"event_slug":223,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":224,"category":38},"32376770168399281276148201544753915180489548641306262531582590554657167702442","0x5a35c8d26f024d73b504530a3f33945741ff1152473c7393250f19d73d518a17",2286.03,0.1504,"US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?","us-saudi-nuclear-deal-enters-into-force-in-2026-20260722230956508","[\"0.08\", \"0.92\"]",{"token_id":226,"condition_id":227,"outcome":29,"size":228,"avg_price":229,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":230,"event_slug":231,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":232,"outcome_prices":233,"category":38},"100549247914812128196500235388613590436025015265102557736583001867801482544487","0xe00cb03a0aefe8f4a06338da171a8df62edd2056622843931f4d5af4199afffe",500.55,0.6343,"Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?","nigerian-presidential-election-winner-20260602162945585","2027-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.24\", \"0.76\"]",{"token_id":235,"condition_id":236,"outcome":51,"size":237,"avg_price":238,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":239,"event_slug":240,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":241,"category":38},"32844269442852262534802316938044703795066196528094796332245347991652881696933","0x3961473d4a336d8eded9cf3cca299ca72bd68c57a435d82b7c5289f276b7d0c9",384,0.8199,"Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?","oh-10-house-election-winner","[\"0.825\", \"0.175\"]",{"token_id":243,"condition_id":244,"outcome":29,"size":245,"avg_price":246,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":247,"event_slug":248,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":191,"outcome_prices":249,"category":38},"108308183073891946533642360856234559374146268200961511650206295005007824881339","0xbc0079f0872035a9eccf8920c3ceb807750685c25a5f5dcd8a8a235a34cd7bb0",378.77,0.7911,"Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?","will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by","[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]",{"token_id":251,"condition_id":252,"outcome":29,"size":253,"avg_price":254,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":255,"event_slug":82,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":83,"outcome_prices":256,"category":38},"14741982900552189971404415662263588500761319219726140406687674437138625134540","0xf73b72a436b097906e6b08113cdeefe98b883e2862cc6e3b3d95eaa9c2b8667e",339.76,0.8652,"Will Georgia have the closest Senate race in 2026?","[\"0.017\", \"0.983\"]",{"token_id":258,"condition_id":259,"outcome":29,"size":260,"avg_price":261,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":262,"event_slug":82,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":83,"outcome_prices":263,"category":38},"102567753077183351976575429650139221591639757023684543095146376287222573729227","0x818fe251e34eaa34aaddc142caa98ae5e5bb7ab2e18a97598c6c04819723f023",336.15,0.8715,"Will Minnesota have the closest Senate race in 2026?","[\"0.01\", \"0.99\"]",{"token_id":265,"condition_id":266,"outcome":29,"size":267,"avg_price":205,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":268,"event_slug":207,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":160,"category":38},"92361184289973212325206711679080207496630197819525382432050979669212310974558","0x266327863c1681bc8e3db27d2b1d0806032120e2029712cc38bbba9b5bca870b",341.78,"Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat?",{"token_id":270,"condition_id":271,"outcome":29,"size":272,"avg_price":273,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":274,"event_slug":275,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":276,"outcome_prices":277,"category":38},"57514998268904080879164103526619824154351143472743454222714177979324727006035","0x2e0dfa54cabf126a876d11530463ca033b6b4d3a7ad6164c908c4bd89802204a",1234.04,0.2212,"Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?","cape-verde-presidential-election-winner-2026","2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.81\", \"0.19\"]",{"token_id":279,"condition_id":280,"outcome":51,"size":281,"avg_price":282,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":283,"event_slug":284,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":285,"category":38},"62664988686544541004962241557013553766520681768858444478309305931894695537107","0x1a975c8210f5aa11c76d645a4dd746764799310898445689b17fb500a8925c80",1995.99,0.1361,"Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?","who-will-be-arrested-before-2027","[\"0.0805\", \"0.9195\"]",{"token_id":287,"condition_id":288,"outcome":51,"size":289,"avg_price":290,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":291,"event_slug":292,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":276,"outcome_prices":293,"category":38},"7593969562324822692501363565205182443860928099163461045185140593084672689930","0x3a00d0d616d344c8cb25209a1df1ff01aa99bcbd7cecf13926959357c8b95223",334,0.7466,"Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?","2027-french-presidential-election-who-will-be-on-the-ballot","[\"0.755\", \"0.245\"]",{"token_id":295,"condition_id":296,"outcome":29,"size":297,"avg_price":298,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":299,"event_slug":300,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":175,"outcome_prices":249,"category":38},"115185678488470447867915312736434195109954523227516283415121972843153558531966","0x9dd4229c1346ba75c83a20b8176a02bae4f16a1dfd37f8b5a413d1ea69d8e03c",279.99,0.8866,"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?","brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory",{"token_id":302,"condition_id":303,"outcome":29,"size":304,"avg_price":305,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":306,"event_slug":292,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":307,"outcome_prices":308,"category":38},"58047956305213616440461789843816202089066813862427755491320530178474604597749","0xc991e4977f8b504529e93ffb308feb1e0127f447e5da47b4f5cc312a696dcee2",335.2,0.7386,"Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?","2027-04-18T23:59:00Z","[\"0.0715\", \"0.9285\"]",{"token_id":310,"condition_id":311,"outcome":51,"size":312,"avg_price":313,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":314,"event_slug":315,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":316,"category":101},"74696841273305790671697690262842613773461087174283674071929573450497841114090","0x7f2eb362637d5067ac88c4ee7281772b23b6fea99cea1efa019bbc6d0c1e4e6e",855.86,0.2703,"Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?","highest-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-20260723190142922","[\"0.365\", \"0.635\"]",{"token_id":318,"condition_id":319,"outcome":29,"size":320,"avg_price":321,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":322,"event_slug":323,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":324,"category":38},"50625563411315286281382076301650330638885219724646222499625038236764011299650","0x1857c666b9935631f78d5d5a8d2cddaa9e08c8c44f3210a04f682a5fcf738941",248,0.872,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 50%-55%?","il-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.03\", \"0.97\"]",{"token_id":326,"condition_id":327,"outcome":51,"size":328,"avg_price":329,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":330,"event_slug":331,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":276,"outcome_prices":332,"category":38},"105906952212752458949406647405047101709715174000931902708269849316336177600935","0x109940d5d51a60f3706e2149b21124a0c1630c4950ddbf7521470700013783f1",438.72,0.4711,"Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?","next-secretary-general-of-the-united-nations","[\"0.056\", \"0.944\"]",{"token_id":334,"condition_id":335,"outcome":29,"size":336,"avg_price":337,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":338,"event_slug":323,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":339,"category":38},"105749718589527602192499747200840968922511320144531622393276519624060852085046","0xd50ca1dfcefd654bac43b695f2d1e48e08820ed37ca46af5e80cb93100b1b338",261,0.7846,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 55% or more?","[\"0.0045\", \"0.9955\"]",{"token_id":341,"condition_id":342,"outcome":29,"size":343,"avg_price":344,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":345,"event_slug":346,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":347,"outcome_prices":348,"category":38},"65695907756850653050682099296769734898533045654262837886911919065792017431302","0x28922a5eb28d0909bafc625779bf01c08eb1673c60b0183d678bb3417b191cf2",370,0.4654,"Will Florida's \"Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes\" referendum pass in November 2026?","will-floridas-save-our-homes-from-excessive-property-taxes-referendum-pass-in-november-2026-20260708194332212","2027-04-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.37\", \"0.63\"]",{"token_id":350,"condition_id":351,"outcome":29,"size":352,"avg_price":353,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":354,"event_slug":355,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":347,"outcome_prices":356,"category":38},"4105743562478988496888571607838833630287595146029439565728582351970449061173","0x26e1677bbb4f26eaabdd62b1c905b8d4c1205a0b8686ba0eebfb510a9f4ca2ba",427,0.3899,"Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?","idaho-passes-ballot-measure-legalizing-abortion-20260729165257291","[\"0.57\", \"0.43\"]",{"token_id":358,"condition_id":359,"outcome":51,"size":237,"avg_price":360,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":361,"event_slug":362,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":363,"category":38},"16719412997978242839966243019673219333732814563842305517820712270028523555970","0x64e9ae1a808b08d281c18368dd1068e6e8b0b8d9aeff46bae291377ae1e07d5f",0.4163,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 21% or more?","new-jersey-senate-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.605\", \"0.395\"]",{"token_id":365,"condition_id":366,"outcome":51,"size":367,"avg_price":238,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":368,"event_slug":369,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":370,"category":38},"95705980522682633277376846361113336199940485063572400683361002354333832728615","0xca3ee95ca3d6d0e6416aa412c1a01f6c64010476dbb13fb1c90204628ff9e4e1",192,"Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?","mn-06-house-election-winner","[\"0.905\", \"0.095\"]",{"token_id":372,"condition_id":373,"outcome":51,"size":374,"avg_price":375,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":376,"event_slug":292,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":276,"outcome_prices":377,"category":38},"107522054548411774619306634308113991946472753213652905906071779736176841571061","0x888a5a06d9d4d27167bc1a68ff0e42041ea6dd8ea23cf68634347fcbdade2896",328,0.4742,"Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?","[\"0.245\", \"0.755\"]",{"token_id":379,"condition_id":380,"outcome":51,"size":381,"avg_price":382,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":383,"event_slug":384,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":276,"outcome_prices":385,"category":38},"74154196162231813790740402249048544062630062154816336721939531983545197952281","0xf7a4d4535904c5c1a8078057f5e6aa96ccd8cac35ce40bdeafb3a35814eb6d22",758.95,0.1973,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more?","rhode-island-senate-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.405\", \"0.595\"]",{"token_id":387,"condition_id":388,"outcome":29,"size":389,"avg_price":390,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":391,"event_slug":392,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":393,"category":38},"80415208708998183542674740104322812567309992154776858539091918154012377306126","0x746a069517ae0cae4dfff1fd75c45e6c23d1a8fc4b4d74c3bcf1348df8ef7942",168,0.8614,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by 18% or more?","arizona-governor-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.045\", \"0.955\"]",{"token_id":395,"condition_id":396,"outcome":51,"size":397,"avg_price":398,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":399,"event_slug":231,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":400,"outcome_prices":200,"category":38},"53436724862844247057827668411672140355766194940747468720197412431149544886943","0xdb66349b5658e7ce54667294bb61ca2f98d68f8afde5c711284d7e9c5a5e5787",255,0.5667,"Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?","2027-01-16T17:00:00Z",{"token_id":402,"condition_id":403,"outcome":29,"size":404,"avg_price":405,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":406,"event_slug":407,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":408,"category":38},"3413519127535001052916661090245482216488485084154812276111220288208573662220","0x0f0c23171f3fcc1459098f9eede312c85757d43f221636c8f983d25e6682d32e",162,0.8127,"Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?","todd-blanche-disbarred-or-suspended-in-ny-in-2026-20260713190235888","[\"0.0325\", \"0.9675\"]",{"token_id":410,"condition_id":411,"outcome":29,"size":412,"avg_price":238,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":413,"event_slug":414,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":116,"category":38},"100297102684186474096013141571162038897263041512689308259733683064283726629177","0x4a49bfaa67b36ea9718ce7ed609dfbedb0eb86ec712985317656ee9a11ac9513",158,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 55% or more?","md-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026",{"token_id":416,"condition_id":417,"outcome":29,"size":412,"avg_price":418,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":419,"event_slug":420,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":421,"category":38},"94094289854847030578468251876138848246024510816644017363189037118828660555825","0xf4d1d6a1ebd912e209b86f64ff519538b9678fa606a0abe2073ca04ebfd59650",0.8099,"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-08 House election by 35% or more?","tx-08-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.0485\", \"0.9515\"]",{"token_id":423,"condition_id":424,"outcome":29,"size":425,"avg_price":426,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":427,"event_slug":428,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":429,"outcome_prices":430,"category":38},"11933726652614760463259282992388358775087870081795366198656548984238478917043","0x6f9f4e951deefb1537f9cd35a3bd4e47b902872a7b903bded3b63a35686efa24",163.89,0.7779,"Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?","will-the-missouri-abortion-sex-change-for-minors-ban-pass","2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.22\", \"0.78\"]",{"token_id":432,"condition_id":433,"outcome":29,"size":434,"avg_price":435,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":436,"event_slug":437,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":438,"outcome_prices":439,"category":38},"72579858794220896410851258821686402300133184656265183495758511761248180996159","0x58aabfd6df070afb0bc0a66a25e0076c3666d1d1d62a8efc31bb70fa0c118467",154,0.8,"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be 1,400,000 or more?","oklahoma-senate-election-turnout","2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","[\"0.0475\", \"0.9525\"]",{"token_id":441,"condition_id":442,"outcome":29,"size":443,"avg_price":444,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":445,"event_slug":446,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":447,"outcome_prices":448,"category":38},"66664231847416356091440659885607753784140104656278724938060919823393730466732","0x741d99d33224258ad4536be7adbfdea7cacdaec616ce88e13755bfafde9c6d19",391,0.3148,"Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?","new-zealand-legislative-election-winner","2026-11-08T04:59:00Z","[\"0.555\", \"0.445\"]",{"token_id":450,"condition_id":451,"outcome":29,"size":452,"avg_price":453,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":454,"event_slug":455,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":456,"category":38},"19148126064688322091913395966414758131196064510667948947564524815165576290957","0x083d327d28955136bd82954c34276409f1ce42091f6886ab46506b5baa19885c",349.03,0.3508,"Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?","which-states-will-use-new-congressional-maps-in-the-midterms","[\"0.049\", \"0.951\"]",{"token_id":458,"condition_id":459,"outcome":29,"size":460,"avg_price":461,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":462,"event_slug":463,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":464,"category":38},"29510285644497717648376447129277460868142040496712855948886642100754557818706","0x6655cdb088b8cbaf6d4d3b8ac04fe4cf8b5ebe4a9f5e3778c4b13f4a7f1693cc",215.19,0.5171,"RFK Jr. Out by December 31?","rfk-jr-out-by-december-31-524","[\"0.175\", \"0.825\"]",{"token_id":466,"condition_id":467,"outcome":51,"size":468,"avg_price":469,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":470,"event_slug":315,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":471,"category":101},"55795084853445616077755346538926626863060191589109939190963474140245109665587","0x8ec7a062dfcb27ff89b560c3bf323d9842ee97f147d91b0223d1139e5bcd6843",732.01,0.1471,"Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?","[\"0.2\", \"0.8\"]",{"token_id":473,"condition_id":474,"outcome":51,"size":475,"avg_price":476,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":477,"event_slug":478,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":479,"outcome_prices":224,"category":38},"27574293309104117988785722816384166732256180683715968874076479908449482000352","0x7dae88f6807b879a1fc30959ea007208f4fc871425626d2cceb2ca15277863e7",230.97,0.4567,"Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?","how-many-senators-will-vote-for-the-clarity-act-20260729193533306","2027-01-02T04:59:00Z",{"token_id":481,"condition_id":482,"outcome":29,"size":483,"avg_price":205,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":484,"event_slug":485,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":74,"outcome_prices":464,"category":38},"28593545792901687876095567069118351558100674001488995571081606035983340859553","0xc21ac08bdb96bf9c25ed1e7bdae4f2408e0dc51446fc0bae584a45954558409d",114.99,"Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?","how-many-republican-governors-after-the-2026-midterm-elections",{"token_id":487,"condition_id":488,"outcome":51,"size":489,"avg_price":490,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":491,"event_slug":492,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":493,"category":38},"57878968955604079939945958839044421805552346502876916662120667207606560003231","0x1a7cdea3793ecc245cc5dbfaebf71b223f0680dc7adf0fdd7e1cb31bac28e384",125.42,0.7409,"Will Republicans win the Michigan Governor election and Democrats win the Michigan Senate election?","michigan-senate-and-governor-combo-20260810212316503","[\"0.0195\", \"0.9805\"]",{"token_id":495,"condition_id":496,"outcome":51,"size":343,"avg_price":497,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":498,"event_slug":499,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":500,"category":38},"35765669644725790037677759655772405684219904960271541320012433083399162406110","0xe1d1e2bdaf781bf7efcf6ce28a9fd1849e95b3a572590b669909dcecadd3e3a4",0.25,"Will Republicans sweep the Iowa Senate and Governor elections?","iowa-senate-and-governor-combo-20260810203009113","[\"0.095\", \"0.905\"]",{"token_id":502,"condition_id":503,"outcome":51,"size":504,"avg_price":505,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":506,"event_slug":507,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":508,"category":38},"47255416712691492206624097309786026164360882849351751349159994324988394359624","0xee68f3c6823eb7d98f4d79e0aae90cb876e84c517709b44f8240480cdda26290",434,0.2117,"Will there be 5 or fewer UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?","how-many-uk-parliamentary-by-elections-in-2026-20260708164636512","[\"0.0095\", \"0.9905\"]",{"token_id":510,"condition_id":511,"outcome":51,"size":512,"avg_price":513,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":514,"event_slug":515,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":516,"outcome_prices":517,"category":38},"58945936829392654397399777214757608864525173988558750256164021442231118224154","0x9ed0ecc8b8589e67967d44c4420944a41b6a6806419019a1581d514174eee9b1",279,0.3126,"Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","2026-10-27T23:59:00Z","[\"0.1\", \"0.9\"]",{"token_id":519,"condition_id":520,"outcome":29,"size":521,"avg_price":522,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":523,"event_slug":524,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":525,"outcome_prices":143,"category":58},"72771708472018674172242930517759017173206819641396515014641850821696087024529","0x37a7dc4672b22366796a49a9964377f4dfe5bfb6c4e3d1bedc61bf9ddf6a671e",100,0.87,"Will \"Fatherland\" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?","oscars-2026-best-picture-nominations-167","2027-01-21T00:00:00Z",{"token_id":527,"condition_id":528,"outcome":51,"size":529,"avg_price":530,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":531,"event_slug":532,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":533,"category":38},"38809577306292889871699315747625158397261688035418130935275716974975365319085","0x8dcfaba48b64919f64ab8d728182b78957305eb9baecd2533ff9839440c85581",179.23,0.4782,"Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?","us-lifts-caatsa-sanctions-on-turkey-byptptpt-20260708213004784","[\"0.375\", \"0.625\"]",{"token_id":535,"condition_id":536,"outcome":51,"size":537,"avg_price":538,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":539,"event_slug":540,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":541,"category":38},"71889525072844084890831375637614216556411085792443780405986919164712913807700","0x6c9c230e685a1938d771e0878085dba6e8f183ef0f2e9619caa2d3b40df51643",836.8,0.0977,"Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?","will-trump-talk-to-mojtaba-khamenei-by-march-31","[\"0.031\", \"0.969\"]",{"token_id":543,"condition_id":544,"outcome":51,"size":545,"avg_price":546,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":547,"event_slug":548,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":549,"category":38},"42823903605444970468713808135895928413298520492939341132580787530931582013949","0x2f0b77381a7c68b1d94f83ce8193aa92ca00234313872c6fb28e3a0b0a44a494",633.04,0.1219,"Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?","who-will-be-the-next-to-leave-the-trump-cabinet-474","[\"0.073\", \"0.927\"]",{"token_id":551,"condition_id":552,"outcome":51,"size":512,"avg_price":553,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":554,"event_slug":555,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":276,"outcome_prices":377,"category":58},"81675558127507458434471381337076047694296419921274648357445486235979697017267","0x84aa4a9a0f2c7dec7d593430685778a0f67f81ce5bde624a842b917b33f4316d",0.2699,"Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?","oscars-2027-best-actor-winner-20260727174302919",{"token_id":557,"condition_id":558,"outcome":29,"size":559,"avg_price":560,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":561,"event_slug":562,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":347,"outcome_prices":563,"category":38},"109602427882496388108840441488214942702959155363101283650128568938449390402861","0x73bb904baf450bf751331ffc082017ddf82bfd98ea94ccf39c342f34681d87a1",128.28,0.5632,"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,125,000 and 1,200,000?","nevada-governor-election-turnout","[\"0.435\", \"0.565\"]",{"token_id":565,"condition_id":566,"outcome":51,"size":567,"avg_price":568,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":569,"event_slug":570,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":479,"outcome_prices":571,"category":38},"101528035793629473103144631499053950162836236566277025198630346025079128779821","0x36f84d4dd99246203bf7790e5775185acd079e98388a0a61b5d3c1b8c7c0be32",228.7,0.2945,"Will Jerry Moran vote \"Yea\" on the Clarity Act?","which-senators-will-vote-for-the-clarity-act-20260729190926658","[\"0.0245\", \"0.9755\"]",{"token_id":573,"condition_id":574,"outcome":29,"size":483,"avg_price":575,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":576,"event_slug":485,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":577,"category":38},"84474541463688263390636808867362554170340027759209917312638749991530268304413","0x495cde47690b9a5844c69bc2ea507c994c10a29557aa7453979ec0df7847bf2e",0.5786,"Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?","[\"0.23\", \"0.77\"]",{"token_id":579,"condition_id":580,"outcome":51,"size":581,"avg_price":582,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":583,"event_slug":584,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":276,"outcome_prices":377,"category":38},"66030926969861234959061622854916038235908984394411272748833201858679389196842","0xe77b34eac7f4da018d919b06f4068cbda9c95247db49dd9d7030721381de74d8",187,0.3391,"Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?","next-senate-majority-leader-485",{"token_id":586,"condition_id":587,"outcome":51,"size":434,"avg_price":588,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":589,"event_slug":590,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":591,"outcome_prices":563,"category":58},"2488884336766979426469708896746161682501398412938127410528514050303378022504","0xdb2eb52c914c483cca2e5ce963494b8782fa7f2e9d180624965d41978d81de63",0.4095,"Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?","oscars-2027-best-original-score-winner-1754500000000","2027-03-14T23:59:00Z",{"token_id":593,"condition_id":594,"outcome":51,"size":595,"avg_price":596,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":597,"event_slug":598,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":347,"outcome_prices":599,"category":38},"60045336444355703847569175048897158919345082467486806865132583390820720079567","0xf60b3ee3fcf62780cbb5e29ec2ac55161cc720c72887fb1cc3e4735a6047d6fc",264,0.2243,"Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?","alaska-senate-and-governor-combo-20260810210432707","[\"0.125\", \"0.875\"]",{"token_id":601,"condition_id":602,"outcome":51,"size":603,"avg_price":604,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":605,"event_slug":606,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":591,"outcome_prices":133,"category":58},"23882458444449369307109719392254503920984468279457741938687400499329597777062","0xc26da860e7334897361df051d82b58290411f6fcd2d0f44ab6453c4fa6c19505",294,0.1957,"Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?","oscars-2027-best-adapted-screenplay-winner-1754500000000",{"token_id":608,"condition_id":609,"outcome":51,"size":610,"avg_price":611,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":612,"event_slug":613,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":614,"category":58},"43831588866788919644297390598525951242284289265909226593918261415714547058819","0x02669fc2a99383d7b3cd667db3143c0aa34e20347e78d7f992f4e669f71821b4",173,0.3289,"Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?","kylie-jenner-and-timothe-chalamet-engaged-in-2026","[\"0.12\", \"0.88\"]",{"token_id":616,"condition_id":617,"outcome":51,"size":521,"avg_price":618,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":619,"event_slug":620,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":621,"category":38},"58199720710299853890561431207407462985075458766612922964054758657487509750362","0x6ed9458b312e732d307cbaf992e153acea62ad98ebc9b5190c52416489bed72c",0.56,"Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?","me-02-house-election-winner-20260720160226434","[\"0.595\", \"0.405\"]",{"token_id":623,"condition_id":624,"outcome":51,"size":625,"avg_price":626,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":627,"event_slug":628,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":541,"category":38},"14378788384875304058425778937159605127770839272199212220351919699013609985937","0x142af19fca91e001f47f7fc325b73d0ced53188de3334352311ff3b3432762f7",165.68,0.3236,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 30% or more?","in-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026",{"token_id":630,"condition_id":631,"outcome":29,"size":632,"avg_price":633,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":634,"event_slug":455,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":635,"category":38},"57964478393137359138743366754896251840714354276870784186151010593268057987008","0x66a685c506a9a6917f29d11dee79cb02447b7119f3ea19a7c983f45f88f8fc63",56.93,0.9049,"Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?","[\"0.0365\", \"0.9635\"]",{"token_id":637,"condition_id":638,"outcome":51,"size":639,"avg_price":640,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":641,"event_slug":570,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":479,"outcome_prices":642,"category":38},"77865246822724189357152280986502654414436872808606293095673804906860445414367","0xad092af284139699dccec4f340d5165d590e73cdaba082737b4321c013538f56",189.44,0.2691,"Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote \"Yea\" on the Clarity Act?","[\"0.07\", \"0.93\"]",{"token_id":644,"condition_id":645,"outcome":51,"size":646,"avg_price":647,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":648,"event_slug":570,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":479,"outcome_prices":649,"category":38},"38106612242779662640715274984133967934058250549573815943483066165665534265662","0x4ebbd8db1e4162d166db8cd3e03f8def410b286132b0d27d9ea499228cf95d36",308,0.1599,"Will Ruben Gallego vote \"Yea\" on the Clarity Act?","[\"0.0825\", \"0.9175\"]",{"token_id":651,"condition_id":652,"outcome":29,"size":653,"avg_price":654,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":655,"event_slug":656,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":657,"category":38},"45471041569001421989648235550735110887737570355776866168505165346480652778613","0xd93366079fab7bcb8a03705969822056b76226a48fd5bb7b1475a5b186cf6f07",1188.99,0.0389,"Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?","will-the-2026-midterm-elections-happen-as-scheduled","[\"0.9815\", \"0.0185\"]",{"token_id":659,"condition_id":660,"outcome":29,"size":661,"avg_price":180,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":662,"event_slug":663,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":664,"category":38},"93249141261336007953955209675528273574075310613514656270554151368681133324301","0xf7dff9b321fd7d0a41669da5fa768efcdceb743787a0560d6fa93592fdb1dec7",60,"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 30% or more?","fl-21-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.0275\", \"0.9725\"]",{"token_id":666,"condition_id":667,"outcome":29,"size":668,"avg_price":669,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":670,"event_slug":671,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":672,"outcome_prices":673,"category":38},"58664598873244873448459670150721910066392179271304305085142917039848480238019","0x44826354dcecc61a648252ee0a3b3ed2a2e31292c824c43120c9534b76792fe1",283,0.14,"No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?","reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-october-20260729164521631","2026-10-28T00:00:00Z","[\"0.49\", \"0.51\"]",{"token_id":675,"condition_id":676,"outcome":29,"size":677,"avg_price":678,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":679,"event_slug":680,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":525,"outcome_prices":681,"category":58},"102693698703353926284994648573047663979852692443979213524750241884184454394263","0x04df76f03ea41f367690fe91855f8b9ed0fa0616fdfdb4c6b8391c321907fddf",77,0.4972,"Will Pedro Pascal be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?","oscars-2026-best-actor-nominations-892","[\"0.5035\", \"0.4965\"]",{"token_id":683,"condition_id":684,"outcome":51,"size":685,"avg_price":686,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":687,"event_slug":688,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":689,"category":38},"75901333943660809025405015493333905860533037447151549203344621350262473302213","0x797b22d1fede92ae24ad2a35a9f8755eeffbacd16351bb821b638f7910cf4b68",228,0.1589,"Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 House seat?","ca-14-house-election-winner-individual-20260710020305940","[\"0.2325\", \"0.7675\"]",{"token_id":691,"condition_id":692,"outcome":51,"size":693,"avg_price":694,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":695,"event_slug":696,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":591,"outcome_prices":377,"category":58},"21097180489806243301878685528369212508904037094311662744122236925140821034756","0xcac6d755b3954532bda5541baee22a22fb393feff9ccd79ca26997245c883567",314,0.1147,"Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?","oscars-2027-best-cinematography-winner-1754500000000",{"token_id":698,"condition_id":699,"outcome":29,"size":700,"avg_price":701,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":702,"event_slug":703,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":276,"outcome_prices":704,"category":38},"29182486981704744274166792273611694948974217881519182164225104470235574847048","0x2c8ffe6ead169e9dcf59b4432e95ef0ed35317da27cd4d8bd17042593249eed7",40,0.89,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 12%-15%?","ia-03-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.032\", \"0.968\"]",{"token_id":706,"condition_id":707,"outcome":51,"size":708,"avg_price":709,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":710,"event_slug":711,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":712,"outcome_prices":713,"category":38},"109856098174983029722649567789098297237073018943808237804563416414463140161494","0x8ee27c276a1bee094293751285d8a6697674b023196cb21fdd14bf3ca12f6ec0",149,0.236,"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election-first-round-2nd-place","2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","[\"0.283\", \"0.717\"]",{"token_id":715,"condition_id":716,"outcome":29,"size":717,"avg_price":718,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":719,"event_slug":720,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":430,"category":38},"12115733337563754975088044086242586031442342302978027433008204256813198541416","0xafb9b578ba4d31e4a1dafbe4cabbe7322f70eb2e4ffd192b0c2c21ebd65068ed",47.86,0.7099,"Will Democrats win exactly 47 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?","how-many-house-seats-will-the-democrats-win-in-california",{"token_id":722,"condition_id":723,"outcome":51,"size":724,"avg_price":725,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":726,"event_slug":727,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":232,"outcome_prices":614,"category":38},"99808051311201916120761831886381790660200721487698255839374582775394121221964","0x77ef1096f8ffae269a9e9dcd6611743e9112e4f3a2b4baea05722ea9fc84f40c",304.3,0.1099,"Will the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?","nigerian-senate-election-winner",{"token_id":729,"condition_id":730,"outcome":29,"size":700,"avg_price":731,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":732,"event_slug":703,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":733,"category":38},"64109773783983935236761003766165734682102833396226860260260486976459763137481","0xab6d74d6916d5f2ad22fb7340e63998e31eeee6661f14b23635794e188164dac",0.83,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 18% or more?","[\"0.006\", \"0.994\"]",{"token_id":735,"condition_id":736,"outcome":51,"size":367,"avg_price":737,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":738,"event_slug":739,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":642,"category":38},"81999424059026868707894360178920326060250823925527488554303510307070213590953","0x2b23c92cb20b728bb52e34d431dd982ceb907a4ab255f7412776e8163ca89fe5",0.168,"U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with \"Argentina\" before 2027?","which-countries-will-trump-make-new-trade-deals-with-before-2027-921",{"token_id":741,"condition_id":742,"outcome":51,"size":743,"avg_price":744,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":745,"event_slug":746,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":276,"outcome_prices":747,"category":58},"15874631339616021791631571417728704333610245713651342758007106448518733992087","0xc5dc2fa1c0ee5d82534acc026b5a076b80648073b1bef1ea61793b54a48aa9c8",153,0.16,"Will Dune: Part Three win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?","oscars-2027-best-makeup-and-hairstyling-winner-1754500000000","[\"0.215\", \"0.785\"]",{"token_id":749,"condition_id":750,"outcome":51,"size":751,"avg_price":752,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":753,"event_slug":754,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":755,"outcome_prices":756,"category":38},"65605367058878559301637243726634950490412574104227831338798013303495243850873","0x26bad7d9d8983ef70b40ae95f43d872c932577485c1d595be14c3640de3d7ba5",186.66,0.1299,"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election?","vermont-lieutenant-governor-election-winner-2026","2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","[\"0.16\", \"0.84\"]",{"token_id":758,"condition_id":759,"outcome":51,"size":760,"avg_price":761,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":762,"event_slug":763,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":764,"category":38},"106232823903635943280821506586198795989522466614979810064167797068946172888247","0xf81220e2a7e890b545bd2730a82ee88f3a460b4821930289d2e034d29a0f0a75",125.5,0.1409,"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 6% or more?","mi-10-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.165\", \"0.835\"]",{"token_id":766,"condition_id":767,"outcome":51,"size":768,"avg_price":769,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":770,"event_slug":455,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":332,"category":38},"58729998116075306338652358901142876681359481776195353917802138401410400251876","0x4a4ed8429dd530b4196d1b5827e2666e768d88e373b2d1f9ff80888299fbc85e",357,0.0457,"Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?",{"token_id":772,"condition_id":773,"outcome":29,"size":774,"avg_price":718,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":775,"event_slug":776,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":777,"category":38},"44098216505130135675885713115164597336620839287271070206200261989562348872644","0x840fe2606472a13ee62e3009a360af8be2576cd1d9dbcda8749e89eed5d02a98",16.37,"Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?","will-trump-visit-greenland-by-march-31","[\"0.11\", \"0.89\"]",{"token_id":779,"condition_id":780,"outcome":51,"size":781,"avg_price":752,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":782,"event_slug":284,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":124,"category":38},"74091869724089710488270648353789145218457851880773279383999098316230780589734","0x44cd8b15befa5d0ce8e20dcefc25b91bf44907d6f83d148c7b600336d990085b",71.83,"Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?",{"token_id":784,"condition_id":342,"outcome":51,"size":785,"avg_price":786,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":345,"event_slug":346,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":347,"outcome_prices":348,"category":38},"110918087411574130845804549704542324957142373403364814866616353636163907182787",30.2,0.2322,{"token_id":788,"condition_id":789,"outcome":51,"size":790,"avg_price":791,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":792,"event_slug":793,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":66,"category":38},"20701869663547109679435825076013479151001817842849243818306449384447637463042","0x3c4fcfac1fab52188ae1675bd6fb06321aef0588edfe434406774e80827ca059",61.39,0.0699,"Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?","how-many-house-seats-will-the-democrats-win-in-virginia",{"token_id":795,"condition_id":796,"outcome":51,"size":797,"avg_price":798,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":799,"event_slug":800,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":801,"outcome_prices":339,"category":38},"2190237807361807965197171247156630678570512418415066511586861760897344294105","0x05f9c881d75407340f15315ad96d470c1e4f69b8f2b6903b7593bd1e22e38c6b",802,0.0039,"Will Concepción Sánchez González win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?","tlaxcala-governor-election-winner-20260803170329","2027-06-06T23:59:00Z",[],[804],{"recorded_date":805,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-23",[807,814,821,824,829,836,843,846,853,860,867,874,881,888,895,902,910,917,923,929,936,942,949,952,959,966,972,979,985,992,999,1004,1010,1013,1020,1027,1033,1040,1047,1054,1059,1064,1071,1077,1084,1090,1095,1101,1108,1112,1117,1123,1126,1131,1137,1142,1150,1156,1163,1169,1175,1180,1187,1194,1200,1207,1214,1221,1227,1234,1240,1246,1253,1259,1266,1273,1278,1284,1290,1297,1304,1311,1316,1322,1327,1334,1339,1345,1351,1357,1363,1370,1376,1381,1387,1393,1398,1401,1408,1414],{"condition_id":808,"outcome":29,"usdc":809,"entry_price":810,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":191,"captured_at":13,"question":812,"event_slug":813,"category":134},"0x081e50b57af881c57f1a98f8507557e0488e61adebe47d1be45d8c2d2831bc2a",91.40998,0.24241092897103825,"backfill","Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?","next-uk-by-election-called-by-20260724183901572",{"condition_id":815,"outcome":29,"usdc":816,"entry_price":817,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":818,"captured_at":13,"question":819,"event_slug":820,"category":134},"0x084f6697c5406db79ea3bc2f45e92c4c554d09806272f6c2ea90742503c178af",241.44,0.24,"2026-03-03T00:00:00Z","Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?","texas-senate-election-matchup-877",{"condition_id":815,"outcome":51,"usdc":822,"entry_price":823,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":818,"captured_at":13,"question":819,"event_slug":820,"category":134},446.53029999999995,0.5299999999999999,{"condition_id":825,"outcome":51,"usdc":826,"entry_price":827,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":818,"captured_at":13,"question":828,"event_slug":820,"category":134},"0x0a9abb96b3667c4e3db9b24241fe39f48e936f0473ccbbc0948000e474ae4cfd",125.36999999999999,0.08270279895946328,"Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?",{"condition_id":830,"outcome":51,"usdc":831,"entry_price":832,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":833,"captured_at":13,"question":834,"event_slug":835,"category":134},"0x0d896c47968d9e437057fc62f874f4d527abd43e91c2e5950cfead58d9c23ff6",28.7,0.1,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?","hungary-parliamentary-election-popular-vote-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":837,"outcome":29,"usdc":838,"entry_price":839,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":840,"captured_at":13,"question":841,"event_slug":842,"category":134},"0x0e717ea58b9537776fd06fc0a3c1112688e8b4ba35996f3893826a82d4f09e69",39.3629,0.12627253113626558,"2026-07-30T23:59:00Z","Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by at least 15%?","greater-manchester-mayoral-election-margin-of-victory-20260703224447578",{"condition_id":837,"outcome":51,"usdc":844,"entry_price":845,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":840,"captured_at":13,"question":841,"event_slug":842,"category":134},107.57762,0.69,{"condition_id":847,"outcome":51,"usdc":848,"entry_price":849,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":850,"captured_at":13,"question":851,"event_slug":852,"category":38},"0x105b2ca798a000f8f618239bb63cd71b1bc77550409e0c4cd19ef76daad5943f",8.68,0.28,"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?","mi-11-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":854,"outcome":29,"usdc":855,"entry_price":856,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":857,"captured_at":13,"question":858,"event_slug":859,"category":134},"0x124f07d29e0fbef1f36535f4f1ee289759ec8bca4a708c4934a557ff556cd05c",218.30856,0.25061465721583925,"2026-08-13T16:00:00Z","Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?","clacton-by-election-2nd-place-20260707214539733",{"condition_id":861,"outcome":29,"usdc":862,"entry_price":863,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":864,"captured_at":13,"question":865,"event_slug":866,"category":38},"0x151f00b091b2e346656190b49c06644920fdba4f1280f7976e7f5f6bdfec7bb3",35.12,0.7634782609,"2026-06-16T00:00:00Z","Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?","virginia-republican-senate-primary-winner",{"condition_id":868,"outcome":29,"usdc":869,"entry_price":870,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":871,"captured_at":13,"question":872,"event_slug":873,"category":38},"0x18d3a6528371e1ea16cd50f955f0f45ea61c4c90a705a4f33d10eb02e9382f40",22.28,0.7682758621,"2026-09-15T00:00:00Z","Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?","ma-06-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":875,"outcome":29,"usdc":876,"entry_price":877,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":878,"captured_at":13,"question":879,"event_slug":880,"category":38},"0x1d5dc6fabe350f9ac5e5bdfd7090e772afcf8724e3a778923590e0d7d472c921",21,0.525,"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","Will Calvin Lee advance from the CA-34 primary election?","ca-34-primary-winners",{"condition_id":882,"outcome":29,"usdc":883,"entry_price":884,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":885,"captured_at":13,"question":886,"event_slug":887,"category":134},"0x261d9eab6278dd6f0c68b08a95fcc5f3354a60e1af0ee99309a7b2f373cbc841",39.3,0.15,"2026-07-05T23:59:00Z","Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-june-29-20260626161457728",{"condition_id":889,"outcome":51,"usdc":890,"entry_price":891,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":892,"captured_at":13,"question":893,"event_slug":894,"category":134},"0x2a25fe1fd9931f272c2c63011f740eda697329f88939869c41794e51fef47789",25.0204,0.71,"2026-07-20T23:59:00Z","Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?","will-trump-meet-with-netanyahu-byptptpt-20260714195149520",{"condition_id":896,"outcome":51,"usdc":897,"entry_price":898,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":899,"captured_at":13,"question":900,"event_slug":901,"category":134},"0x31be58a5780abf7897b399ebede662425fa469b0331bf5dc347d734bdbe9b303",11.92172,0.037255375,"2026-04-30","Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?","tulsi-gabbard-out-by-march-31",{"condition_id":903,"outcome":29,"usdc":904,"entry_price":905,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":906,"captured_at":13,"question":907,"event_slug":908,"category":909},"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187",20037.577799999995,0.5099636339757488,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june","Geopolitics",{"condition_id":911,"outcome":29,"usdc":912,"entry_price":913,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":914,"captured_at":13,"question":915,"event_slug":916,"category":38},"0x34b5e429032dae4f4175d01e7123e90cac80d9e5b9ff4838e47d1e91985c093d",628.21544,0.2145155457478964,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?","fisa-section-702-reauthorized-before-it-expires-419",{"condition_id":918,"outcome":29,"usdc":919,"entry_price":522,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":920,"captured_at":13,"question":921,"event_slug":922,"category":134},"0x38e8e72368ee8a3c30059e40bc60ac5013fb02370aeaf12cefe542dd70de2258",217.5,"2026-04-21","Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 9-12%?","virginia-redistricting-referendum-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":924,"outcome":29,"usdc":925,"entry_price":926,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":878,"captured_at":13,"question":927,"event_slug":928,"category":38},"0x3a53dd1a95b1e781a703160214e162eb095ee89794c874502a29cbddb6c6fc11",754.5138,0.8610517306430279,"Will Ralph Nwobi advance from the CA-07 primary election?","ca-07-primary-winners",{"condition_id":930,"outcome":51,"usdc":931,"entry_price":932,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":933,"captured_at":13,"question":934,"event_slug":935,"category":38},"0x3ad92107dbab2fdf45b0ed92dc5a7f721210759a648ae53fe363e26e3f62d29f",10.8,0.54,"2026-06-23T00:00:00Z","Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?","ny-10-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":937,"outcome":29,"usdc":938,"entry_price":939,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":132,"captured_at":13,"question":940,"event_slug":941,"category":38},"0x3c169e95aea67be5fac1529b3ad8e891fe97ec54d1f272fab43b02cce948f6c2",552.95198,0.84,"Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","makerfield-by-election-winner",{"condition_id":943,"outcome":29,"usdc":944,"entry_price":945,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":946,"captured_at":13,"question":947,"event_slug":948,"category":134},"0x45f12004aa0a366f6dfe1308b2c03ffa630033bca26fd87aa542da80f3992f1e",49.970600000000005,0.722536148043291,"2026-05-12T00:00:00Z","Will Tom Willis be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?","west-virginia-republican-senate-primary-winner",{"condition_id":943,"outcome":51,"usdc":950,"entry_price":951,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":946,"captured_at":13,"question":947,"event_slug":948,"category":134},49.33,0.7149275362,{"condition_id":953,"outcome":29,"usdc":954,"entry_price":955,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":956,"captured_at":13,"question":957,"event_slug":958,"category":909},"0x46666ceb4c63814f38a8c83784ae10e1c2e1ef52e2db648372bd86dea521cf64",1728.5436,0.82,"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15",{"condition_id":960,"outcome":29,"usdc":961,"entry_price":962,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":963,"captured_at":13,"question":964,"event_slug":965,"category":909},"0x518a5b030b205706b8ffe6bbad9bd3de59548348e5c0471827f5de21e513333c",11000.584799999997,0.48163955399141495,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may",{"condition_id":967,"outcome":29,"usdc":968,"entry_price":969,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":970,"captured_at":13,"question":971,"event_slug":922,"category":134},"0x52b31ec547ca949398ffd5bfdaa3a3b6b41389718b092fca8e6827c1dddd2b22",639.5191,0.7981119195,"2026-04-21T00:00:00Z","Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?",{"condition_id":973,"outcome":51,"usdc":974,"entry_price":975,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":976,"captured_at":13,"question":977,"event_slug":978,"category":134},"0x55a469ea12fc89bf6b12c38fc764e35c05b4b520485adf4c8716d6369b38ad8a",35,0.07000000000000002,"2025-11-15T00:00:00Z","Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?","will-the-government-shutdown-end-november-12-15",{"condition_id":980,"outcome":29,"usdc":981,"entry_price":982,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":906,"captured_at":13,"question":983,"event_slug":984,"category":38},"0x584c9773bd54965e7c1b4c7ca6dd6ec7a7ee47632f41f877be179aeb3c9006be",65.45,0.85,"Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?","who-will-enter-iran-by-june-30",{"condition_id":986,"outcome":29,"usdc":987,"entry_price":988,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":989,"captured_at":13,"question":990,"event_slug":991,"category":134},"0x5c34d9826992a9c141776ad3c467bfd85432b1f92b76e134f7790a173208e374",290.51098,0.20483908222839856,"2026-05-10T00:00:00Z","Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-may-4",{"condition_id":993,"outcome":51,"usdc":994,"entry_price":995,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":996,"captured_at":13,"question":997,"event_slug":998,"category":134},"0x5c7525eb66abc9240ef9afcb663fce06a0e523773fcabc73b728b5574ad6a092",306.44565,0.2606176584927934,"2026-08-27T23:59:00Z","Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?","how-long-will-the-gta-6-extended-look-be-20260807064756488",{"condition_id":1000,"outcome":51,"usdc":1001,"entry_price":1002,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":946,"captured_at":13,"question":1003,"event_slug":948,"category":134},"0x5ed6999ab4f78c560c819c4ce2e4c6c88d8e1dc2dd0f96dae9de06af8daf86e6",83.75,0.67,"Will Shelley Moore Capito be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?",{"condition_id":1005,"outcome":29,"usdc":1006,"entry_price":1007,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":963,"captured_at":13,"question":1008,"event_slug":1009,"category":38},"0x60b924763517867984f72010aaa88f0f868af28d5507db6d6d16ff38e4e4d69b",1264.3207,0.5673390292386142,"Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?","swalwell-mills-gonzalez-and-cherfilus-mccormick-all-out-by-may-31",{"condition_id":1005,"outcome":51,"usdc":1011,"entry_price":1012,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":963,"captured_at":13,"question":1008,"event_slug":1009,"category":38},258.5419,0.6646321337,{"condition_id":1014,"outcome":29,"usdc":1015,"entry_price":1016,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1017,"captured_at":13,"question":1018,"event_slug":1019,"category":134},"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8",7411.1900000000005,0.8619667364503374,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-august-31-20260702154212320",{"condition_id":1021,"outcome":29,"usdc":1022,"entry_price":1023,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1024,"captured_at":13,"question":1025,"event_slug":1026,"category":38},"0x6415588e3e9bef8cae256e5cc0be3d0d7bd9d9621d42e7acd97157e7fbf844c8",44.67,0.8590384615,"2026-08-18T00:00:00Z","Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?","republican-nominee-for-florida-governor",{"condition_id":1028,"outcome":51,"usdc":1029,"entry_price":1030,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":132,"captured_at":13,"question":1031,"event_slug":1032,"category":38},"0x645207afaa613a667bf1a7f1d4feff15fbe74a54642e897a8b07b6d9ee3ac07a",559.03803,0.8483376686851467,"Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?","how-many-republican-senate-incumbents-will-not-win-their-primary",{"condition_id":1034,"outcome":51,"usdc":1035,"entry_price":1036,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1037,"captured_at":13,"question":1038,"event_slug":1039,"category":38},"0x6c9bd12ca2dded7eb4c688a3200e94f143cc95984eb1952ab71f7ec31e07cf8c",204.23379,0.7880155642023347,"2026-09-20T00:00:00Z","Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?","mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-election-winner",{"condition_id":1041,"outcome":29,"usdc":1042,"entry_price":1043,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1044,"captured_at":13,"question":1045,"event_slug":1046,"category":134},"0x6e610816c441b2d252bda50aa01d4d2c98cf0e6efc97177143b0d9082f15ed11",273.92331,0.749879027616688,"2026-05-26T00:00:00Z","Will Gregor Heise be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?","tx-30-republican-primary-winner",{"condition_id":1048,"outcome":29,"usdc":1049,"entry_price":1050,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1051,"captured_at":13,"question":1052,"event_slug":1053,"category":38},"0x6f2580e9ed1a2d48bc76cce406b9554c5f6d2c767b516d53b14c5f39ba1afee8",127.2163,0.70374675,"2026-08-06T00:00:00Z","Will Justin Pearson be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?","tn-09-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":1055,"outcome":29,"usdc":1056,"entry_price":1057,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1037,"captured_at":13,"question":1058,"event_slug":1039,"category":38},"0x7742a04b33fb5a5b15474a7c70f3c073922c1f471bddc66ceb01c1ffd1841829",109.0936,0.7,"Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?",{"condition_id":1060,"outcome":51,"usdc":1061,"entry_price":1062,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":132,"captured_at":13,"question":1063,"event_slug":941,"category":38},"0x77954e0830eafc9539916c591f717fb0635f6483bc9949524cb46483cd9b9d39",1699.20576,0.8400000000000001,"Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?",{"condition_id":1065,"outcome":51,"usdc":1066,"entry_price":1067,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1068,"captured_at":13,"question":1069,"event_slug":1070,"category":38},"0x79859c9e6645873e1568344b0b8ee54cc9eb02b90701cc5ba19c9a547ff313ce",1673.71686,0.4177109317682048,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Kash Patel out by June 30?","kash-patel-out-by",{"condition_id":1072,"outcome":29,"usdc":1073,"entry_price":1074,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":850,"captured_at":13,"question":1075,"event_slug":1076,"category":38},"0x7fcf21912df2c1f851f2c4db16266209fcc8d2b6dddaf1f63daa92eb5595fa8c",35.72,0.8118181818181818,"Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?","az-01-republican-primary-winner",{"condition_id":1078,"outcome":29,"usdc":1079,"entry_price":1080,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1081,"captured_at":13,"question":1082,"event_slug":1083,"category":38},"0x846fbc1744f9543d339e1a4ceebdc881338e2bc4ad119e5ce9dcfbdd90255760",691.13343,0.8776601245352253,"2026-06-22T03:59:00Z","Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?","colombia-presidential-election-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260604201910879",{"condition_id":1085,"outcome":51,"usdc":1086,"entry_price":1087,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":864,"captured_at":13,"question":1088,"event_slug":1089,"category":38},"0x84a6824d41a823829b98f3f9c5155437f34182fbed5ed505c09312bc423ce79d",131.39,0.7299444444255556,"Will Elaine Luria be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?","va-02-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":1091,"outcome":51,"usdc":1092,"entry_price":669,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":850,"captured_at":13,"question":1093,"event_slug":1094,"category":134},"0x84d96abb0e78995e3e7bb3cc3ff66133f0dd5b94523606afba76f4cc65377702",5.79119,"Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?","michigan-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260706180330731",{"condition_id":1096,"outcome":51,"usdc":1097,"entry_price":1098,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":933,"captured_at":13,"question":1099,"event_slug":1100,"category":38},"0x89c32a0f93d0fb5b46225e4ac76f3e00a8614f55e6aa365e0152d5ee92722a81",71,0.4671052632,"Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?","ut-01-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":1102,"outcome":51,"usdc":1103,"entry_price":1104,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1105,"captured_at":13,"question":1106,"event_slug":1107,"category":134},"0x8cbdce3051fb67c33858b5a2e35a67f74c68e5f7c5f405232c13ddd538c02745",106.56,0.24000000000000002,"2026-03-15T00:00:00Z","Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?","will-one-battle-after-another-win-best-cinematography-at-the-98th-academy-awards",{"condition_id":1109,"outcome":29,"usdc":1110,"entry_price":731,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":933,"captured_at":13,"question":1111,"event_slug":935,"category":38},"0x8f3976d4104b6b3b4a716ef834d04e42411a4bec8dea79c58e5f5fa5241cf2b3",36.52,"Will Yuh-Line Niou be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?",{"condition_id":1113,"outcome":51,"usdc":1114,"entry_price":1115,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1051,"captured_at":13,"question":1116,"event_slug":1053,"category":38},"0x90b3a63203c32bc263c308ed8aabd6114db4cd1c9817e8a9bc9245074dd00157",334.53,0.6458108108,"Will Steve Cohen be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?",{"condition_id":1118,"outcome":29,"usdc":1119,"entry_price":1120,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":914,"captured_at":13,"question":1121,"event_slug":1122,"category":134},"0x924a2942747dd75703321a7c8d809c68f6a514c3b0f2a2e64274e02310634669",14365.627754000057,0.7573749844654002,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-april-30",{"condition_id":1118,"outcome":51,"usdc":1124,"entry_price":1125,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":914,"captured_at":13,"question":1121,"event_slug":1122,"category":134},209.7745,0.348792877,{"condition_id":1127,"outcome":51,"usdc":1128,"entry_price":849,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":132,"captured_at":13,"question":1129,"event_slug":1130,"category":38},"0x93b0c61b22b921a81856e69363b5fbd5f1f01ea307a57c17f5109aa321e56199",108.64,"Will Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor Secretary","who-will-trump-announce-as-next-secretary-of-labor",{"condition_id":1132,"outcome":51,"usdc":1133,"entry_price":1134,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":833,"captured_at":13,"question":1135,"event_slug":1136,"category":134},"0x955ae81e512c67b768fd65d070d0bae4218b73f313feccca6d01cdc10260c6b1",1770.1177200000002,0.3680208489712526,"Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?","peru-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":1138,"outcome":29,"usdc":1139,"entry_price":1140,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":970,"captured_at":13,"question":1141,"event_slug":922,"category":134},"0x9bfedc44fb8372ad163bc49646062b9f9f22e8578a7da42dc8b813f77c4f54d8",49.9639,0.6169144339,"Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?",{"condition_id":1143,"outcome":51,"usdc":1144,"entry_price":1145,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1146,"captured_at":13,"question":1147,"event_slug":1148,"category":1149},"0x9d44f292e83fe48588a77de42ae66e935d2b57cf36cf395dc1603caf6a51263b",34.32468,0.5125757576,"2026-07-20T00:00:00Z","Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?","world-cup-furthest-advancing-uefa-nation","Sports",{"condition_id":1151,"outcome":29,"usdc":1152,"entry_price":1153,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":142,"captured_at":13,"question":1154,"event_slug":1155,"category":134},"0xa2435331e93fc07363940be332ecc54042da8d8d4c7dc96a785c6769e1ad5d8f",47.628690000000006,0.06908866453629033,"Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU\u002FCSU)?","next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993",{"condition_id":1157,"outcome":29,"usdc":1158,"entry_price":1159,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1160,"captured_at":13,"question":1161,"event_slug":1162,"category":134},"0xa43fe374bb805491e352ca0bc76c0a8da9aef3ae222caf90409649ed78737b14",58.47813,0.6456179775,"2026-08-03T00:00:00Z","Will \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?","spider-man-brand-new-day-rotten-tomatoes-score-20260630144021976",{"condition_id":1164,"outcome":29,"usdc":1165,"entry_price":1166,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":946,"captured_at":13,"question":1167,"event_slug":1168,"category":134},"0xa6f46ee9c2ff6977b5a578d8850f95b2f1644dc4874f475022a25bc3a491ca79",168.7112,0.7292781187943805,"Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?","west-virginia-democratic-senate-primary-winner",{"condition_id":1170,"outcome":29,"usdc":1171,"entry_price":1172,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":906,"captured_at":13,"question":1173,"event_slug":1174,"category":38},"0xa70fc3695a65833b91b45df6db6015096f3e1471b70352ca411b4209010e7633",14523.270341999996,0.6904520546288727,"US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1176,"outcome":29,"usdc":1177,"entry_price":1178,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":906,"captured_at":13,"question":1179,"event_slug":984,"category":38},"0xaa2d85a0f668d96c7d7efc1c9ca736119b6d230a439daea9998be032e4ce007d",79.0683,0.7253972477,"Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?",{"condition_id":1181,"outcome":51,"usdc":1182,"entry_price":1183,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1184,"captured_at":13,"question":1185,"event_slug":1186,"category":134},"0xaa980c83777851bf22a3bd4eeee864d11ce7783096a22ce4af56ff9bf2e1d2cd",82.07731000000001,0.11850094567892959,"2026-04-26","Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-this-week-apr-20-26",{"condition_id":1188,"outcome":29,"usdc":1189,"entry_price":1190,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1191,"captured_at":13,"question":1192,"event_slug":1193,"category":38},"0xaed01b568d9160d7f2adda0222a0f6a738d2565a07a930aeab25f1e0e1a0ab0b",30.09723,0.66,"2026-06-09T00:00:00Z","Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by less than 5%?","south-carolina-governor-republican-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":1195,"outcome":51,"usdc":1196,"entry_price":1197,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1198,"captured_at":13,"question":1199,"event_slug":1070,"category":38},"0xaf89088494ed29e5694bdf8cb6d945340234729e1e4aba3ffba6fd1df4097d50",2622.618560000001,0.3494670295319265,"2026-06-01T03:59:00Z","Kash Patel out by May 31?",{"condition_id":1201,"outcome":51,"usdc":1202,"entry_price":1203,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1204,"captured_at":13,"question":1205,"event_slug":1206,"category":38},"0xb20ab327dc64a405ec80a0775c5947b594581abc61d814316abc355064e16e5a",37.73,0.49,"2026-05-19T00:00:00Z","Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?","georgia-governor-republican-primary-winner",{"condition_id":1208,"outcome":51,"usdc":1209,"entry_price":1210,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1211,"captured_at":13,"question":1212,"event_slug":1213,"category":909},"0xb60c044bba6f7958768691345df1e102448a5b7ef16e4a08879bb10483fb4567",491.90790000000004,0.4315928054420698,"2026-07-19T00:00:00Z","Will Neymar play in the World Cup?","will-neymar-play-in-the-world-cup",{"condition_id":1215,"outcome":51,"usdc":1216,"entry_price":1217,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1218,"captured_at":13,"question":1219,"event_slug":1220,"category":38},"0xb611b3a7173f69e412b55561ed265d849e36693c248ff620d0e981c5b3f2e325",113.51053999999999,0.08793676886408329,"2026-05-31T16:00:00Z","Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-winner",{"condition_id":1222,"outcome":29,"usdc":1223,"entry_price":1224,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":191,"captured_at":13,"question":1225,"event_slug":1226,"category":134},"0xb762e467ae24e1f0b4f1de851183c74e25f8af433bb57b824d3d521aa425f8c7",503.8916700000001,0.08551552324921097,"Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?","trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-byptptpt-20260810145949434",{"condition_id":1228,"outcome":29,"usdc":1229,"entry_price":1230,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1231,"captured_at":13,"question":1232,"event_slug":1233,"category":38},"0xb8e6d129a06d0ccb21d7b32eb529ea455eddba3cf29bfa097112202cbdf5bf21",10255.981415999995,0.6040039436851091,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31",{"condition_id":1235,"outcome":51,"usdc":1236,"entry_price":1237,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":850,"captured_at":13,"question":1238,"event_slug":1239,"category":38},"0xbd6602e1152e6557a87e6d0bad683a21a2d5fa9132872543170ed6c5d1c53ed0",24.55,0.5987804878,"Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?","az-05-republican-primary-winner",{"condition_id":1241,"outcome":29,"usdc":1242,"entry_price":1243,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":963,"captured_at":13,"question":1244,"event_slug":1245,"category":909},"0xbeab83146920be8f52b52fdbcb3464b24dc553f7b47eb4249243385b0faad271",15501.795979999999,0.8356907493792972,"US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-may-31-974",{"condition_id":1247,"outcome":51,"usdc":1248,"entry_price":1249,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1250,"captured_at":13,"question":1251,"event_slug":1252,"category":38},"0xbee2cd40473495f713c69b9dfbce9fc2837fa4011568222c83c83bb773e35053",3669.518442,0.43828819438140887,"2026-06-30T12:00:00Z","Starmer out by June 30, 2026?","starmer-out-in-2025",{"condition_id":1254,"outcome":29,"usdc":1255,"entry_price":1256,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":963,"captured_at":13,"question":1257,"event_slug":1258,"category":134},"0xbf572a43d8592e5b729369e27e823bd60b2d725e1ea0c499875856161ba42474",52.368,0.28139709833422893,"Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?","sheila-cherfilus-mccormick-out-as-us-rep-by-may-31",{"condition_id":1260,"outcome":29,"usdc":1261,"entry_price":1262,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1263,"captured_at":13,"question":1264,"event_slug":1265,"category":134},"0xc0389e3f6ad0e8b502f750f829a55e8e7e7829c316c342781711b8811a71cf2a",117.10615999999999,0.48,"2026-09-06T23:59:00Z","Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?","sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-election-grune-vote-share",{"condition_id":1267,"outcome":51,"usdc":1268,"entry_price":1269,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1270,"captured_at":13,"question":1271,"event_slug":1272,"category":101},"0xc2dd20bc42378191ba1e6068f2afa8b2a6c13881a42ee03e211441f0a2f3aeac",14.49197,0.6790840057,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?","will-spacex-acquire-cursor",{"condition_id":1274,"outcome":29,"usdc":1275,"entry_price":1276,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":989,"captured_at":13,"question":1277,"event_slug":991,"category":134},"0xc39494e85e29ec132d51be64a4baa2dfcd06acc6320b1419f8cdccb84c5ab8d0",241.4275,0.7967904290287128,"Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?",{"condition_id":1279,"outcome":29,"usdc":1280,"entry_price":1281,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1024,"captured_at":13,"question":1282,"event_slug":1283,"category":38},"0xc532180a9a9af81e373fc2e16991c339ec8feddc606b90a458e53eaf2f9e71c9",27.52,0.86,"Will Daniella Levine Cava be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?","democratic-nominee-for-florida-governor",{"condition_id":1285,"outcome":29,"usdc":1286,"entry_price":1287,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1068,"captured_at":13,"question":1288,"event_slug":1289,"category":38},"0xc8f7591181f4059ffbdcc4c85b1e9e76f029bef0eb6cc46a80bd5617b947de74",861.4994,0.7446683781738888,"Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?","will-netanyahu-be-pardoned-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1291,"outcome":29,"usdc":1292,"entry_price":1293,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1294,"captured_at":13,"question":1295,"event_slug":1296,"category":38},"0xcacd424332319971356c757c025b45a4eb5643b919fb3bd2f84051afea599b13",803.4974,0.59,"2026-07-15T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-15",{"condition_id":1298,"outcome":29,"usdc":1299,"entry_price":1300,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1301,"captured_at":13,"question":1302,"event_slug":1303,"category":134},"0xcc2652557ae662b6cd110ca8c9ca5f16a741122b32ba5662791639480da48018",2162.27346,0.6471391412745308,"2026-08-31T03:59:00Z","Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?","will-max-miller-drop-out-of-the-oh-07-race-by-august-9-20260728155313321",{"condition_id":1305,"outcome":51,"usdc":1306,"entry_price":1307,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1308,"captured_at":13,"question":1309,"event_slug":1310,"category":134},"0xcfb89749f76024b8b3f9a108a5320b8186aaf82d1e7d3e5ef2be962d42edb2e7",3.1164,0.03,"2026-09-13T00:00:00Z","Will Green Party (MP) win at least 9% of all valid votes?","sweden-parliamentary-election-mp-vote-share-20260812172636450",{"condition_id":1312,"outcome":51,"usdc":1313,"entry_price":1314,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1024,"captured_at":13,"question":1315,"event_slug":1026,"category":38},"0xd4a3de1964b1f3fa1edeca40dbc3ef6663a56fda84e804066c23096b615904f9",24.31,0.5788095238,"Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?",{"condition_id":1317,"outcome":51,"usdc":1318,"entry_price":1319,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":963,"captured_at":13,"question":1320,"event_slug":1321,"category":38},"0xd7e6f6627e8b73a8fa3a29949f6dc81f683f5ce102ae6b03347b862d09617f0f",65.1988,0.08105875627374494,"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?","pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-may-31",{"condition_id":1323,"outcome":29,"usdc":1324,"entry_price":1325,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1204,"captured_at":13,"question":1326,"event_slug":1206,"category":38},"0xda66c20ca25d623bd0fa83ae36af6cb3cf523977643f4a3fa23bb55c71f853a9",487.4604,0.6770283333213889,"Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?",{"condition_id":1328,"outcome":51,"usdc":1329,"entry_price":1330,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1331,"captured_at":13,"question":1332,"event_slug":1333,"category":38},"0xdc4e1bb03320cc501eb5c1f0cf7815c871433fba1607d0792ca5fe4ee576c82a",55.56477,0.0694644216626215,"2026-07-20T03:59:00Z","Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?","how-many-world-cup-matches-will-trump-attend-20260610185739769",{"condition_id":1335,"outcome":51,"usdc":1336,"entry_price":1337,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1331,"captured_at":13,"question":1338,"event_slug":1333,"category":38},"0xddb6d1e7ac2aabd376465caf7a02f980e64036e6c76df02af94b5e178aada6f7",163.50218,0.1721782112934097,"Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?",{"condition_id":1340,"outcome":29,"usdc":1341,"entry_price":1342,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":963,"captured_at":13,"question":1343,"event_slug":1344,"category":38},"0xe02be708711f71fe7a0b84b877bbbe578a26939ee1ff19f4d7872a4e5ef19087",371.31766,0.36131642142067566,"Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?","cory-mills-out-as-us-rep-by-may-31",{"condition_id":1346,"outcome":51,"usdc":1347,"entry_price":1348,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1270,"captured_at":13,"question":1349,"event_slug":1350,"category":58},"0xe3e3ea3640ba60e6a1b3717134025df41af327d15f51bdcd97fae99a4b56465b",356.24440000000004,0.2310274967516213,"Will MrBeast get married by December 31?","will-mrbeast-get-married-by-december-31",{"condition_id":1352,"outcome":51,"usdc":1353,"entry_price":1354,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":833,"captured_at":13,"question":1355,"event_slug":1356,"category":134},"0xe8f8bc52bb22ad4c03e8bfc045a5dad8081df2ed58d8e8411b29b82d1797bccf",28.0225,0.11,"Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","peru-presidential-election-first-round-2nd-place",{"condition_id":1358,"outcome":51,"usdc":1359,"entry_price":1360,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":850,"captured_at":13,"question":1361,"event_slug":1362,"category":38},"0xe97fd68138299f654dfe7d46c56e86c30b03bd558d121e6380d204dfc016b6a7",5.34045,0.0367308571,"Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?","wa-03-primary-winners",{"condition_id":1364,"outcome":29,"usdc":1365,"entry_price":1366,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1367,"captured_at":13,"question":1368,"event_slug":1369,"category":134},"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9",26.7,0.267,"2025-11-04T00:00:00Z","Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","will-zohran-mamdani-win-the-2025-nyc-mayoral-election",{"condition_id":1371,"outcome":29,"usdc":1372,"entry_price":1373,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1231,"captured_at":13,"question":1374,"event_slug":1375,"category":38},"0xf461f2ca1c982950ac5af660f9c6cd52e08c135f546bc659fa2851aa1c0b6db0",2.43023,0.0246208421,"U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?","us-issues-passport-with-trumps-face-on-it-by-july-31",{"condition_id":1377,"outcome":29,"usdc":1378,"entry_price":1379,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1191,"captured_at":13,"question":1380,"event_slug":134,"category":38},"0xf5f4002652cf59c3a450e4a19c2a645010e08dbab355e00535eaf0649b4f1e4a",459.30006,0.8201798561,"Will Alan Wilson win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by less than 5%?",{"condition_id":1382,"outcome":29,"usdc":1383,"entry_price":1384,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1270,"captured_at":13,"question":1385,"event_slug":1386,"category":38},"0xf72aa26303e883d64bfbb2db08e1b4717d21a0aeca14c65201bad101ea0f1829",225.86283,0.21065591532134104,"Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?","which-states-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026",{"condition_id":1388,"outcome":51,"usdc":1389,"entry_price":1390,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":191,"captured_at":13,"question":1391,"event_slug":1392,"category":101},"0xf82f84686ee2a25f5690430461413c4dc5a39dcea922a7c5f47d9d29418fbdb6",74.65,0.6491304348,"Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?","gpt-6-released-by",{"condition_id":1394,"outcome":29,"usdc":1395,"entry_price":1396,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":818,"captured_at":13,"question":1397,"event_slug":820,"category":134},"0xfc0f7a00d40430d2a2a514fd26bf54f567191ea513ff57aa6be3e00bf19e5346",4163.3802,0.7039110072537568,"Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?",{"condition_id":1394,"outcome":51,"usdc":1399,"entry_price":1400,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":818,"captured_at":13,"question":1397,"event_slug":820,"category":134},100.75,0.20230923692771083,{"condition_id":1402,"outcome":29,"usdc":1403,"entry_price":1404,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1405,"captured_at":13,"question":1406,"event_slug":1407,"category":38},"0xfce5fb1312e1383038cbe594477429d920d6dfe4d1885da678ca511ed81ea6f1",44.7015,0.144,"2026-05-25T00:00:00Z","Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?","texas-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":1409,"outcome":51,"usdc":1410,"entry_price":1411,"won":17,"source":811,"end_date_iso":878,"captured_at":13,"question":1412,"event_slug":1413,"category":38},"0xff7f825058ce2569c08ecf6847fca743b5e885bea614b2811f065bcab27ea6db",39.65378,0.06654605274034293,"Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?","who-will-advance-from-the-california-governor-primary",{"condition_id":1415,"outcome":29,"usdc":1416,"entry_price":1417,"won":12,"source":811,"end_date_iso":1418,"captured_at":13,"question":1419,"event_slug":1420,"category":134},"0xffe381a80c1e36f9e0b03a542aa8fe56e74a67d2566a4e29396d4427aa4244c9",3263.09,0.8544357161560618,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-may-15",{"total":521,"wins":1422},56,[1424,1429,1435,1438,1441,1443],{"category":38,"n":1425,"wins":1426,"hitRate":1427,"roi":1428},49,31,0.6326530612244898,-0.1047769422014624,{"category":1430,"n":1431,"wins":1432,"hitRate":1433,"roi":1434},"Other",42,17,0.40476190476190477,0.1662274707391766,{"category":909,"n":1436,"wins":1436,"hitRate":12,"roi":1437},5,0.7212621850867513,{"category":101,"n":1439,"wins":1439,"hitRate":12,"roi":1440},2,0.5294755912507962,{"category":1149,"n":12,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":1442},-1,{"category":58,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":1444},3.3284890935519442,{"generatedAt":1446},"2026-09-23T23:07:08.296Z"]