[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x830f0e2d7d2fe12e2d9842622ad42807b9d6cda7":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":26,"history":27,"resolved":30,"resolvedSummary":304,"specialization":307,"meta":323},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x830f0e2d7d2fe12e2d9842622ad42807b9d6cda7",276,40,0.9,0.5900743708537647,0.1561739261224157,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-10T01:37:42.194Z",190.6235833749999,1.6046511627906976,"2026-10-07T14:27:56.000Z",0,"trades",0.6591251563499999,0.24087484364999995,4499.283641195729,7624.943334999996,14.083088473439476,0.05555555555555555,[],[],[28],{"recorded_date":29,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-10",[31,41,50,57,64,71,78,85,92,99,107,114,121,129,136,141,148,155,162,168,176,182,189,196,203,209,216,222,228,234,241,247,255,262,269,276,283,291,297],{"condition_id":32,"outcome":33,"usdc":34,"entry_price":35,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":37,"captured_at":13,"question":38,"event_slug":39,"category":40},"0x04b6d6630d49e6513355ff045c96439c929335cb0d18da7792dea6c2fc717ead","Yes",101.019989,0.66,"backfill","2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","Will France win on 2026-06-16?","fifwc-fra-sen-2026-06-16","Sports",{"condition_id":42,"outcome":43,"usdc":44,"entry_price":45,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":46,"captured_at":13,"question":47,"event_slug":48,"category":49},"0x0840dcf24244ae85eb5a9813e10a9bf53030dbaea87d32c54f5536a8864f81e9","No",175.21167,0.3494481054,"2026-07-30T13:00:00Z","Will FTI Consulting (FCN) beat quarterly earnings?","fcn-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-07-30-2026-2pt09",null,{"condition_id":51,"outcome":43,"usdc":52,"entry_price":53,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":54,"captured_at":13,"question":55,"event_slug":56,"category":49},"0x0d0b55e0794550c8e23b51232d585d8d211f75dac39b12ae22f4345b0171f201",199.979995,0.8990873351,"2026-04-21","Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?","ibkr-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-04-21-2026-0pt60",{"condition_id":58,"outcome":33,"usdc":59,"entry_price":60,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":61,"captured_at":13,"question":62,"event_slug":63,"category":49},"0x10667ea9b7d008c1d04777ca10c1534669b3ea6d9578090cdfc64d91a190378b",91.55849,0.8661904762,"2026-07-24T13:00:00Z","Will Lamb Weston (LW) beat quarterly earnings?","lw-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-07-24-2026-0pt63",{"condition_id":65,"outcome":33,"usdc":66,"entry_price":67,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":68,"captured_at":13,"question":69,"event_slug":70,"category":49},"0x122d632a2082532cd2c94c3bcebd715f0d5d18da09780b38edbd7d018e417a99",99.8692,0.8800886525,"2026-05-27T21:00:00Z","Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?","hpq-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-05-27-2026-0pt71",{"condition_id":72,"outcome":33,"usdc":73,"entry_price":74,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":75,"captured_at":13,"question":76,"event_slug":77,"category":40},"0x2a7a6ab8f4984f1ae82eacd7fb408832a50e63162ac6b98fff1fe094b8e9d3b5",100.869988,0.709999998,"2026-06-17T01:00:00Z","Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?","fifwc-arg-alg-2026-06-16",{"condition_id":79,"outcome":33,"usdc":80,"entry_price":81,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":82,"captured_at":13,"question":83,"event_slug":84,"category":49},"0x3e1b67bac7dae3291574c02e8111f39db5f23c130fcdb4e7a7ecc3a360e997e1",1.76,0.88,"2026-04-08T13:00:00Z","Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?","dal-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-04-08-2026-0pt63",{"condition_id":86,"outcome":33,"usdc":87,"entry_price":88,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":89,"captured_at":13,"question":90,"event_slug":91,"category":49},"0x3fb7a3601d37752fe0653070d3c35d12cd8d0d457659698930e6ae245a23943a",191.4492,0.3366731733,"2026-07-23T13:00:00Z","Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?","bx-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-07-23-2026-1pt33",{"condition_id":93,"outcome":33,"usdc":94,"entry_price":95,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":96,"captured_at":13,"question":97,"event_slug":98,"category":49},"0x4090952496871e17fc6a3602cee1ebf8c9ff3b5afd7d63e2538ef896e750aca7",208.250039,0.1729131001,"2026-05-04T21:00:00Z","Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?","psky-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-05-04-2026-0pt06",{"condition_id":100,"outcome":101,"usdc":102,"entry_price":103,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":104,"captured_at":13,"question":105,"event_slug":106,"category":49},"0x44d12f3174382fe2fa1ea6a9dd81b773782abef51077d878b54750ddd3eb4d08","Up",50.582259,0.7088658133,"","SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up\u002FDown on First Day?","spacex-ipo-closing-share-price-updown-on-first-day-20260607181533420",{"condition_id":108,"outcome":43,"usdc":109,"entry_price":110,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":111,"captured_at":13,"question":112,"event_slug":113,"category":49},"0x460926eee9af048f4f4e51295ca80b4d21421a6e0e71396ab591862532b43622",188.15488,0.454385373,"2026-06-10T13:00:00Z","Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings?","chwy-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-06-10-2026-0pt43",{"condition_id":115,"outcome":33,"usdc":116,"entry_price":117,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":118,"captured_at":13,"question":119,"event_slug":120,"category":49},"0x4be61fd97343c46ae57b583c6779a392b17ebff171c3fdfeccc20ea666c0fa68",227.03076,0.6486353461,"2026-07-29T21:00:00Z","Will Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?","cmg-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-07-29-2026-0pt32",{"condition_id":122,"outcome":123,"usdc":124,"entry_price":125,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":126,"captured_at":13,"question":127,"event_slug":128,"category":40},"0x4bea3fe369ce0992ae033cfd4e3797d8247cd904e4bcc63b79148442bc70b99c","Team WE",34.323988,0.6580645114001039,"2026-06-13T14:30:00Z","LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner","lol-we-blg-2026-06-13",{"condition_id":130,"outcome":43,"usdc":131,"entry_price":132,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":133,"captured_at":13,"question":134,"event_slug":135,"category":49},"0x552b302f3887af3e0ecd39c0256b7f96653ce20bf5e567e8ed0bb8775415f32d",299.969998,0.3274397975,"2026-04-16T13:00:00Z","Will Bank of New York Mellon (BK) beat quarterly earnings?","bk-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-04-16-2026-1pt93",{"condition_id":137,"outcome":43,"usdc":131,"entry_price":138,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":133,"captured_at":13,"question":139,"event_slug":140,"category":49},"0x59cd436c3562896caaabc57608c90d8761814235e18b366d0c865f6c7cabc1bb",0.2016973867,"Will PepsiCo Inc (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?","pep-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-04-16-2026-1pt54",{"condition_id":142,"outcome":33,"usdc":143,"entry_price":144,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":145,"captured_at":13,"question":146,"event_slug":147,"category":49},"0x65946bff5b8ff40ac5177f3421857189e361e23c15192211e08815731287104d",199.97992,0.8754231783,"2026-04-22","Will AT&T (T) beat quarterly earnings?","t-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-04-22-2026-0pt55",{"condition_id":149,"outcome":33,"usdc":150,"entry_price":151,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":152,"captured_at":13,"question":153,"event_slug":154,"category":49},"0x6667c028e51d1768db06ff11ff5275d7bf9e42a3aad558541e022246539a52ca",511.05558,0.3541258941,"2026-08-03T21:00:00Z","Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings?","clx-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-08-03-2026-1pt65",{"condition_id":156,"outcome":33,"usdc":157,"entry_price":158,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":159,"captured_at":13,"question":160,"event_slug":161,"category":49},"0x8d6c96de998be8667bffc00eb152238d6b1fcc38059b43c6ce59434c08238440",128.59572,0.8549507802,"2026-07-17T13:00:00Z","Will Truist (TFC) beat quarterly earnings?","tfc-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-07-17-2026-1pt08",{"condition_id":163,"outcome":43,"usdc":164,"entry_price":165,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":166,"captured_at":13,"question":90,"event_slug":167,"category":49},"0x8df67128e0f9188b2f6604dada0a377a05996ef3f3a2bcbf5e0470ec15e47014",299.969999,0.8496864066,"2026-04-23","bx-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-23-2026-1pt34",{"condition_id":169,"outcome":33,"usdc":170,"entry_price":171,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":172,"captured_at":13,"question":173,"event_slug":174,"category":175},"0x9c4c7199fbf5ff25547c254ed3dddb63e93840f566c2bf5bc1680cc4dfa41b6b",20.183268,0.7709033153,"2026-05-16T00:00:00Z","Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?","louisiana-republican-senate-primary-winner-889","Politics",{"condition_id":177,"outcome":33,"usdc":178,"entry_price":179,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":89,"captured_at":13,"question":180,"event_slug":181,"category":49},"0x9eefd642d3d4a0a3ad3482a26333f47d1263bc06b745b1f5847115c80d65fd86",162.01505,0.6626501414,"Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?","hog-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-07-23-2026-0pt62",{"condition_id":183,"outcome":33,"usdc":184,"entry_price":185,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":186,"captured_at":13,"question":187,"event_slug":188,"category":49},"0xa12716116eb129272d80f3b85a565f3ed7efe845bb29f46546187a90b986a7b9",104.82525,0.8316,"2026-07-30T21:00:00Z","Will Roblox (RBLX) beat quarterly earnings?","rblx-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-07-30-2026-neg0pt33",{"condition_id":190,"outcome":43,"usdc":191,"entry_price":192,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":193,"captured_at":13,"question":194,"event_slug":195,"category":49},"0xa4c9006d38dc5375b4e1add9080378295ccb856cf9308b7cfa633e12f331397c",407.169559,0.6394859108,"2026-06-09T13:00:00Z","Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings?","unfi-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-06-09-2026-0pt77",{"condition_id":197,"outcome":43,"usdc":198,"entry_price":199,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":200,"captured_at":13,"question":201,"event_slug":202,"category":49},"0xa5b4f3c8c4194e45ec24694ce18a91acbf4bd43d18ac846bdab7619a191b6cc6",1017.013343,0.6576980826,"2026-08-03T13:00:00Z","Will Tyson Foods (TSN) beat quarterly earnings?","tsn-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-08-03-2026-1",{"condition_id":204,"outcome":33,"usdc":205,"entry_price":206,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":145,"captured_at":13,"question":207,"event_slug":208,"category":49},"0xa6e7592ba207b357c885eb110fd170ccc79dc82f80b366f7a903aff76d140d59",199.979998,0.4997234666,"Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?","tsla-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-04-22-2026-0pt39",{"condition_id":210,"outcome":43,"usdc":211,"entry_price":212,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":213,"captured_at":13,"question":214,"event_slug":215,"category":49},"0xa9397ae270be6e9dec1cdd1d89b3e122b2a60647271261cda138bced069f7d9d",172.3173,0.6559924876,"2026-07-27T13:00:00Z","Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?","nvts-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-07-27-2026-neg0pt04",{"condition_id":217,"outcome":33,"usdc":218,"entry_price":219,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":186,"captured_at":13,"question":220,"event_slug":221,"category":49},"0xa99739deef61f908379c067815f2b9d5ba8aab1af77b2a65b216fa12d7e1f751",44.99658,0.8770680526,"Will Rivian Automotive (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?","rivn-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-07-30-2026-neg0pt78",{"condition_id":223,"outcome":33,"usdc":224,"entry_price":225,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":193,"captured_at":13,"question":226,"event_slug":227,"category":49},"0xbd9960f9dbca394a2a8131f0f1a1fcbf2d8fd349b65b4e6b8be9aaf63ea62837",133.6354,0.8478883774,"Will Designer Brands (DBI) beat quarterly earnings?","dbi-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-06-09-2026-0pt03",{"condition_id":229,"outcome":43,"usdc":230,"entry_price":231,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":152,"captured_at":13,"question":232,"event_slug":233,"category":49},"0xc6f3245a41b61a6f1ccfdd5ea5f6c64e190b445cf9ec25f47af8dc55f7329e63",181.57007,0.3846069869,"Will Williams Companies (WMB) beat quarterly earnings?","wmb-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-08-03-2026-0pt5",{"condition_id":235,"outcome":33,"usdc":236,"entry_price":237,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":238,"captured_at":13,"question":239,"event_slug":240,"category":40},"0xcaaa1338d38b5c614196c9a926dd84babc3984442f2ec9b937a16284a199ec3a",100.719988,0.7599999985,"2026-06-17T17:00:00Z","Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?","fifwc-prt-cdr-2026-06-17",{"condition_id":242,"outcome":33,"usdc":243,"entry_price":244,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":68,"captured_at":13,"question":245,"event_slug":246,"category":49},"0xcde399d8da0d2d5502fcc74b265cd8656f767363a9b1d25bf3308540d93cad7e",246.89874,0.8918158048,"Will Marvell Tech (MRVL) beat quarterly earnings?","mrvl-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-05-27-2026-0pt79",{"condition_id":248,"outcome":249,"usdc":250,"entry_price":251,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":252,"captured_at":13,"question":253,"event_slug":254,"category":40},"0xd729f95152d0315b59be64a787241d8c6b3f4c065013063c66044f5075e10661","Gen.G",20.257989,0.5699999926,"2026-06-14T12:00:00Z","LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner","lol-t1-gen-2026-06-14",{"condition_id":256,"outcome":33,"usdc":257,"entry_price":258,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":259,"captured_at":13,"question":260,"event_slug":261,"category":49},"0xd87e865222d7bc614a54b0eb7489ad4e76447062b66f353b243a6e5e93ecbc80",290.03885,0.8931248839,"2026-05-28T13:00:00Z","Will Dollar Tree (DLTR) beat quarterly earnings?","dltr-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-05-28-2026-1pt55",{"condition_id":263,"outcome":33,"usdc":264,"entry_price":265,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":266,"captured_at":13,"question":267,"event_slug":268,"category":49},"0xdbd09aa041b9260b4c1767d16073d16ffcbdc70ce1a68dd48ab318d2efcb1a4e",177.49478,0.8637180932,"2026-05-05T13:00:00Z","Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?","kkr-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-05-05-2026-1pt26",{"condition_id":270,"outcome":43,"usdc":271,"entry_price":272,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":273,"captured_at":13,"question":274,"event_slug":275,"category":49},"0xe4ed3e6a20ddf07309e59c5033ba5e93098f517dd0fe08cc256d3355b7a9829e",123.39556,0.3666707541,"2026-08-04T13:00:00Z","Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?","apo-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-08-04-2026-2pt16",{"condition_id":277,"outcome":33,"usdc":278,"entry_price":279,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":280,"captured_at":13,"question":281,"event_slug":282,"category":175},"0xed2d966b1da6b0d0eeb649fbefc93dd0efe9b01ea91d737d9e4ef244d89f7065",201.019988,0.898,"2026-10-06T16:00:00Z","Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?","elon-musk-of-tweets-september-29-october-6-2026",{"condition_id":284,"outcome":43,"usdc":285,"entry_price":286,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":287,"captured_at":13,"question":288,"event_slug":289,"category":290},"0xef997d9370cf8fce79196384c1366885afdfbfba42744d51d8b9ae576cb1fe88",200.879989,0.89,"2026-10-09T03:59:00Z","Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?","next-fable-model-5pt2-released-byptptpt","Tech",{"condition_id":292,"outcome":33,"usdc":293,"entry_price":294,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":46,"captured_at":13,"question":295,"event_slug":296,"category":49},"0xf12f1d26c9f7c02c36e0986be4e32f5adc2b30642f0f1f4dda2b5a51bf3e20dd",206.95036,0.6544490912,"Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?","yum-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-07-30-2026-1pt56",{"condition_id":298,"outcome":33,"usdc":299,"entry_price":300,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":13,"question":302,"event_slug":303,"category":49},"0xfeb24dfa2bda5e212b2a955d3a8fb398ba2669b3505853f962b2f1e3f784a247",203.9796,0.6,"2026-05-07T21:00:00Z","Will Draftkings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?","dkng-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-05-07-2026-0pt19",{"total":305,"wins":306},39,35,[308,314,318,321],{"category":309,"n":310,"wins":311,"hitRate":312,"roi":313},"Other",31,29,0.9354838709677419,0.6690508025806889,{"category":40,"n":315,"wins":316,"hitRate":300,"roi":317},5,3,-0.02772163551407826,{"category":175,"n":319,"wins":319,"hitRate":12,"roi":320},2,0.1303374097302015,{"category":290,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":322},0.12359550561797761,{"generatedAt":324},"2026-10-10T07:20:55.735Z"]