[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x72f7210bc212e2c77da05cef3c925353efad4345":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":48,"history":49,"resolved":68,"resolvedSummary":659,"specialization":662,"meta":679},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x72f7210bc212e2c77da05cef3c925353efad4345",1990,716,0.7918994413407822,0.30747966117936,0.16276019132836858,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-26T19:41:58.735Z",42.14101951955309,2.656875834445928,"2026-09-13T08:33:04.000Z",0,"cooccurrence",0.6213574210262578,0.17054202031452534,9277.574584995486,30172.96997600001,12.732759482488401,0.0029806259314456036,[26,39],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"39839649379979262874224474703228993451530996696316314037781119946088999891171","0x0fcfcfc35d71424c0693c717d2e3bc9b8992910835d124d80cd2f01498f1d3dc","No",610.5041,0.6146,"2026-09-13T07:38:41.492Z","2026-08-27T18:06:55.852Z","Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?","pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-december-31","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.19\", \"0.81\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":44,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":46,"category":47},"83204149385279752284819391054474788827727496660660767254052334861340107835088","0xd4aa5c6bd2a179244d98ba714dba4441e4bf5f99f27a657b8d967f8f67cfe041",430.0481,0.7784,"Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?","which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-december-31","[\"0.085\", \"0.915\"]","Geopolitics",[],[50,56,58,60,66],{"recorded_date":51,"roi":52,"win_rate":53,"brier_score":54,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":55,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-08-27",0.08166750580295604,0.7292418772563177,0.143052544750329,277,{"recorded_date":57,"roi":52,"win_rate":53,"brier_score":54,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":55,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-04",{"recorded_date":59,"roi":52,"win_rate":53,"brier_score":54,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":55,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-12",{"recorded_date":61,"roi":62,"win_rate":63,"brier_score":64,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":65,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-19",0.2697876296858891,0.7575107296137339,0.15696499173518247,466,{"recorded_date":67,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-26",[69,78,87,95,102,107,114,122,129,136,143,149,156,164,169,176,181,188,195,200,206,212,218,225,231,237,243,249,255,262,269,277,282,288,294,297,304,310,315,322,329,335,342,348,351,356,362,368,374,381,387,394,400,406,412,415,422,428,434,440,445,451,457,463,468,474,480,485,488,493,499,504,509,514,520,525,531,536,541,547,550,555,561,566,573,578,584,590,595,601,607,610,615,620,626,629,635,641,647,653],{"condition_id":70,"outcome":29,"usdc":71,"entry_price":72,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":74,"captured_at":75,"question":76,"event_slug":77,"category":38},"0x094772b3529f455e881a4483eaf1c24266384f55e97c23f24f638f5726ba9920",68.75202456000001,0.8699,"live","2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","2026-08-27T18:38:26.903Z","Iran leadership change by September 30?","iran-leadership-change-by",{"condition_id":79,"outcome":29,"usdc":80,"entry_price":81,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":83,"captured_at":13,"question":84,"event_slug":85,"category":86},"0x0008c221e7c6144fc68b08c1c02772772dca41f77a25a56f3acd5688ec450d98",18.489996,0.8289999953,"backfill","","Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?","which-countries-will-strike-iran-by-march-31",null,{"condition_id":88,"outcome":29,"usdc":89,"entry_price":90,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":91,"captured_at":92,"question":93,"event_slug":94,"category":47},"0x00cf5f4a419743e3bbaea3d01537c895ecfd8edba5e539967fe662573de44f23",86.409993,0.5221659209431954,"2026-04-15T00:00:00Z","2026-08-27T16:58:26.717Z","Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?","israel-strike-on-yemen-by-593",{"condition_id":96,"outcome":29,"usdc":97,"entry_price":98,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":99,"captured_at":92,"question":100,"event_slug":101,"category":86},"0x02230382929c06eecab424465c7dbaa9b16e5d963270dba27cc0cd6183561e82",223.069994,0.7018885336388102,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?","hungary-election-tisza-wins-a-constitutional-majority",{"condition_id":103,"outcome":29,"usdc":104,"entry_price":105,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":83,"captured_at":13,"question":106,"event_slug":85,"category":86},"0x0942f5ee13a4cdb53b020d60766260a2e0f602af85804392f5c77f80ea9a9b0b",27.459995,0.7598166335132991,"Will France strike Iran by March 31?",{"condition_id":108,"outcome":29,"usdc":109,"entry_price":110,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":111,"captured_at":13,"question":112,"event_slug":113,"category":86},"0x096091ce8191d44656521aa84f5115dcec044f134a8ed24c34ca4b47fdf03f3d",115.789997,0.806612499254663,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?","will-iran-name-a-successor-to-khamenei-by",{"condition_id":115,"outcome":116,"usdc":117,"entry_price":118,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":119,"captured_at":13,"question":120,"event_slug":121,"category":86},"0x096fa9db9667f4d4920a2fc3b80ab0608a7de6ef4771519fd691e881d1b3fe3b","Yes",89.979996,0.8979827213036086,"2026-03-15T00:00:00Z","GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?","gpt-5pt3-released-by-february-28-394",{"condition_id":123,"outcome":29,"usdc":124,"entry_price":125,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":126,"captured_at":92,"question":127,"event_slug":128,"category":86},"0x0d52ce82886ba5ed34d396999b2afbb193d22cf1c5f791b5b4efdf1a094f410c",5.27531,0.3466038108,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?","israel-x-hezbollah-ceasefire-by",{"condition_id":130,"outcome":116,"usdc":131,"entry_price":132,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":133,"captured_at":13,"question":134,"event_slug":135,"category":86},"0x0de3f76fe9b60857833856bec4f30d815cdb0c283361112b46e13b759cd8ef38",335.509995,0.7836355733596199,"2026-04-10T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by",{"condition_id":137,"outcome":29,"usdc":138,"entry_price":139,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":140,"captured_at":13,"question":141,"event_slug":142,"category":86},"0x0e1a1094091ba8905a5d11222796cf94d3d6d055076f0088886bd2386e6f88b8",44.259997,0.8014799710616887,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?","who-will-be-next-supreme-leader-of-iran-515",{"condition_id":144,"outcome":29,"usdc":145,"entry_price":146,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":99,"captured_at":13,"question":147,"event_slug":148,"category":86},"0x0e47ad377273a39833506ca16c597c7eccdee686375b30f1910f3ef3ff734f4e",46.069996,0.7007176432088108,"Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?","hungary-election-tisza-wins-at-least-seats",{"condition_id":150,"outcome":116,"usdc":151,"entry_price":152,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":153,"captured_at":92,"question":154,"event_slug":155,"category":38},"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089",281.98829100000006,0.15186469202299388,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":157,"outcome":29,"usdc":158,"entry_price":159,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":160,"captured_at":161,"question":162,"event_slug":163,"category":47},"0x0fc2ddb048f5aa3a5f05f07c480591d7a41c546387588a6345627144171f9670",269.366978,0.7598811395296715,"2026-07-16T03:59:00Z","2026-09-19T15:42:58.613Z","Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?","iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829",{"condition_id":165,"outcome":29,"usdc":166,"entry_price":167,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":83,"captured_at":13,"question":168,"event_slug":85,"category":86},"0x101d521eea2a04b8bf2c865facd18dcdfd8c7751a759ca622e512bbdb3896610",203.76998999999998,0.8112142289267115,"Will UK strike Iran by March 31?",{"condition_id":170,"outcome":29,"usdc":171,"entry_price":172,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":173,"captured_at":161,"question":174,"event_slug":175,"category":38},"0x119db6dda44f109bcdc2ec5e1d9cb8c21fa1a7e66489f59b1190fdfb25c0d515",25.709997,0.44794880452679403,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?","miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30",{"condition_id":177,"outcome":29,"usdc":178,"entry_price":179,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":111,"captured_at":13,"question":180,"event_slug":113,"category":86},"0x1204e81bd79e5caf0065549828d8c759b94c1914aef018a8535c986064cbe0b7",18.039994,0.4390198329093628,"Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?",{"condition_id":182,"outcome":29,"usdc":183,"entry_price":184,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":185,"captured_at":13,"question":186,"event_slug":187,"category":86},"0x125466a1d45ae996569106ee1d4f804bc3de7bea9b244bc756e5f41e88d6d6d5",54.719998,0.8024034271,"2026-03-31T23:55:00Z","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?","trump-announces-end-of-military-operations-against-iran-by",{"condition_id":189,"outcome":116,"usdc":190,"entry_price":191,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":192,"captured_at":161,"question":193,"event_slug":194,"category":38},"0x12aa595f4883b1a856dcf8155b87e89a8d098b5ad8a7781c75804fd13d166718",76.0126,0.53,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Israel closes its airspace by August 31?","israel-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":196,"outcome":29,"usdc":197,"entry_price":198,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":83,"captured_at":13,"question":199,"event_slug":85,"category":86},"0x149e2cdbf5b3df3142452412c4c9f4e8f39379020ba1bc25c1811a3f43c8ad27",28.999998,0.18682691211543256,"Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?",{"condition_id":201,"outcome":116,"usdc":202,"entry_price":203,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":204,"captured_at":92,"question":205,"event_slug":187,"category":86},"0x1507c50c86fb307e4f1acd9d740b2be66d98773f90d161e94907d8ef2c5699b3",10.32,0.6,"2026-04-21","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?",{"condition_id":207,"outcome":29,"usdc":208,"entry_price":209,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":126,"captured_at":92,"question":210,"event_slug":211,"category":47},"0x15fcf94587789dcd26efd4a31a1dbc8ff80c3c0bbfed1ca7eb90a054fda6efbf",115.75997699999998,0.7412898964060302,"Kurds declare independence from Iran?","kurds-declare-independence-from-iran",{"condition_id":213,"outcome":29,"usdc":214,"entry_price":215,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":111,"captured_at":13,"question":216,"event_slug":217,"category":86},"0x18cc783dc22e861a77278f463f791161b4a5b6d5836b67e61b981e53a0b1f789",42.149999,0.76,"Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?","will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march",{"condition_id":219,"outcome":116,"usdc":220,"entry_price":221,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":222,"captured_at":92,"question":223,"event_slug":224,"category":86},"0x1d2787cb8aed975d092b2799ed6f4083e9445f7420cdc09e9d47e7d54356c6cd",391.009995,0.6223556618775089,"2026-04-21T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-extended-by",{"condition_id":226,"outcome":116,"usdc":227,"entry_price":228,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":229,"captured_at":161,"question":230,"event_slug":155,"category":38},"0x20af55ab35186377b81219db6cb8615240cba42cea41731091be9484a5f5b122",377.21470700000003,0.5445456439128082,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":232,"outcome":29,"usdc":233,"entry_price":234,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":111,"captured_at":13,"question":235,"event_slug":236,"category":86},"0x24026080b17f4e88729eab0ac2929ee37c13bfbb4a159179ec63deb4a242d9c9",230.23998500000002,0.7550884516794716,"France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?","will-france-uk-or-germany-strike-iran-by-march-31-929",{"condition_id":238,"outcome":29,"usdc":239,"entry_price":240,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":111,"captured_at":13,"question":241,"event_slug":242,"category":86},"0x24fb7c2d95c93a68018e6c4a90d88043bb67d32fd1454924cef8ebdd550228f3",35.729997000000004,0.27171910160895363,"Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?","will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-lebanon-by-march-31",{"condition_id":244,"outcome":29,"usdc":245,"entry_price":246,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":126,"captured_at":92,"question":247,"event_slug":248,"category":38},"0x269b4de59b444c57f166f690b1ce8c388bf26167c6a68f7613ab5b05e86375a8",549.9999680000001,0.7533905790183467,"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?","pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-june-30",{"condition_id":250,"outcome":29,"usdc":251,"entry_price":252,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":173,"captured_at":161,"question":253,"event_slug":254,"category":38},"0x26ca74d41edc9e3a6643698fbe8eae446377e4579d2f55f505da4ff6a1cf0f66",308.92851,0.8707008847284794,"Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?","trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-over-byptptpt-20260607232555290",{"condition_id":256,"outcome":116,"usdc":257,"entry_price":258,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":259,"captured_at":161,"question":260,"event_slug":261,"category":38},"0x271e1d96693db79b42a277dc5f64b61a72bc1a0fad85586fd28c7d89b9b96231",221.977777,0.7729616186155829,"2026-09-30T12:00:00Z","Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?","will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by",{"condition_id":263,"outcome":116,"usdc":264,"entry_price":265,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":266,"captured_at":13,"question":267,"event_slug":268,"category":86},"0x27ade12e788507af8c7723933e38c79c97d2f687c9daa7eb6c9e6951786bf247",99.933396,0.8998955308453152,"2026-03-07T00:00:00Z","Will Iran strike Jordan in March?","which-countries-will-iran-strike-in-march",{"condition_id":270,"outcome":271,"usdc":272,"entry_price":273,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":274,"captured_at":13,"question":275,"event_slug":276,"category":86},"0x2b665e7c7398551cadd404c3eb0e0f2ca270b6faad7674b4225f6eb541598e26","Wizards",24.999999,0.5299999936,"2026-02-21T00:00:00Z","Pacers vs. Wizards","nba-ind-was-2026-02-20",{"condition_id":278,"outcome":116,"usdc":279,"entry_price":280,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":185,"captured_at":13,"question":281,"event_slug":187,"category":86},"0x2cbfefb1c7f083b083bbc123b164c05fc13a9baf298063e9570fceb0ff1742a7",6.299999,0.5099999676,"Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?",{"condition_id":283,"outcome":29,"usdc":284,"entry_price":285,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":286,"captured_at":92,"question":287,"event_slug":77,"category":38},"0x2f6a547524c1d290f8a2bbff80be2b0e8ca1b3b716dd3a0e74bf8ddb3e3fd6b7",549.999977,0.8651194722551303,"2026-06-01T03:59:00Z","Iran leadership change by May 31?",{"condition_id":289,"outcome":29,"usdc":290,"entry_price":291,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":111,"captured_at":92,"question":292,"event_slug":293,"category":86},"0x306d10d4a4d51b41910dbc779ca00908bd917c131541c5c42bbbc736258d2d56",61.699999,0.8599999986,"US forces enter Iran by March 31?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-march-31-222-191-243-517-878-439-519",{"condition_id":289,"outcome":116,"usdc":295,"entry_price":296,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":111,"captured_at":92,"question":292,"event_slug":293,"category":86},46.78,0.28932443551340803,{"condition_id":298,"outcome":116,"usdc":299,"entry_price":300,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":161,"question":302,"event_slug":303,"category":47},"0x33c491023cecc6a42a70608427c2be37dfbe789ae1b08d8791f2450a3f9696f2",98.889088,0.6899999992,"2026-07-26T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963",{"condition_id":305,"outcome":29,"usdc":306,"entry_price":307,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":126,"captured_at":161,"question":308,"event_slug":309,"category":47},"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187",538.128,0.74,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june",{"condition_id":311,"outcome":29,"usdc":312,"entry_price":313,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":111,"captured_at":13,"question":314,"event_slug":94,"category":86},"0x35aa9df78e99b9edbc77d1448d4548396073064f923591d8cb8cc9cf5c22e7f0",183.61,0.7444284431,"Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":316,"outcome":29,"usdc":317,"entry_price":318,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":319,"captured_at":161,"question":320,"event_slug":321,"category":47},"0x3953c85ab5e965cb5b3b4deaa2a5294daa6b1165ff83b586804c04a7abf51a13",146.146977,0.6799999943335867,"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","Iran full airspace closure by July 31?","iran-full-airspace-closure-byptptpt-20260625195253028",{"condition_id":323,"outcome":29,"usdc":324,"entry_price":325,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":326,"captured_at":92,"question":327,"event_slug":328,"category":38},"0x3a9ef67522be6f0e4dcb97ac56e064efe6b14e54713ee2050418d311883c31ba",550.0099749999999,0.8068142349965313,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?","trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by",{"condition_id":330,"outcome":29,"usdc":331,"entry_price":332,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":266,"captured_at":13,"question":333,"event_slug":334,"category":86},"0x3c3c46ea0d48ea0e3049ee04bdfe1e4e9071721ec9146d492cd16c657df9ab92",69.999983,0.6320426714981616,"Iran\u002FHezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?","iranhezbollah-strike-on-cyprus-by-march-7",{"condition_id":336,"outcome":116,"usdc":337,"entry_price":338,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":339,"captured_at":92,"question":340,"event_slug":341,"category":86},"0x3e1363efbf76899943f61797d0ffc2de5c47a716e2ec66189f45ab65b28078f9",172.589993,0.5453263863301797,"2026-04-30","Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?","iran-agrees-to-unrestricted-shipping-through-hormuz-in-april",{"condition_id":343,"outcome":29,"usdc":344,"entry_price":345,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":173,"captured_at":92,"question":346,"event_slug":347,"category":38},"0x3ed92a5a51371e8ba5882ae743ccf90460c8860fdd862a9389e249d0a2b9f055",513.89577,0.7652594598631979,"Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?","masoud-pezeshkian-out-by",{"condition_id":343,"outcome":116,"usdc":349,"entry_price":350,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":173,"captured_at":92,"question":346,"event_slug":347,"category":38},9.719999,0.3499999838,{"condition_id":352,"outcome":116,"usdc":353,"entry_price":354,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":126,"captured_at":161,"question":355,"event_slug":94,"category":47},"0x3fe18d2b6303ee3a7e406aab679dbc0b0f7504dc6b477a31c69c6ffb04e9e11c",18.849998,0.2884362984077613,"Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":357,"outcome":29,"usdc":358,"entry_price":359,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":91,"captured_at":92,"question":360,"event_slug":361,"category":86},"0x46f15cb064fb468e39de360f14f5847898ef9b1489d15e9df702b92f1836598d",295.90999,0.8590504088814639,"Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?","trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-by",{"condition_id":363,"outcome":29,"usdc":364,"entry_price":365,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":326,"captured_at":92,"question":366,"event_slug":367,"category":86},"0x471e2fa06bd8975b77be49a36781bc41286d57bffa84de55173f4eacdbd52b28",14.519997,0.6599999836148758,"Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?","will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-end-of-april",{"condition_id":369,"outcome":29,"usdc":370,"entry_price":371,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":192,"captured_at":161,"question":372,"event_slug":373,"category":38},"0x47ec761ae98d7c28b20c0222f1507e3af0f198a904f86b4a264b2e987f0b80c7",386.668356,0.5048185953265222,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080",{"condition_id":375,"outcome":29,"usdc":376,"entry_price":377,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":378,"captured_at":92,"question":379,"event_slug":380,"category":86},"0x4b7cd1050a0c87baebe5e6008260d14b2a9d6d705cf7e7daac1be94ad5253b27",11.399996999999999,0.5131397802683373,"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iraq by February 28?","us-strikes-iraq-by-february-28",{"condition_id":382,"outcome":29,"usdc":383,"entry_price":384,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":111,"captured_at":92,"question":385,"event_slug":386,"category":47},"0x4befb52f7cd2b606c63731ad74e677325ff0ed0f48f1104552a34f0f54619ea3",318.949999,0.8859998749605509,"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?","kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31",{"condition_id":388,"outcome":29,"usdc":389,"entry_price":390,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":391,"captured_at":92,"question":392,"event_slug":393,"category":86},"0x4c5701bcde0b8fb7d7f48c8e9d20245a6caa58c61a77f981fad98f2bfa0b1bc7",169.45,0.8,"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-april-7",{"condition_id":395,"outcome":396,"usdc":272,"entry_price":397,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":274,"captured_at":13,"question":398,"event_slug":399,"category":86},"0x4e512c8c2f03aeb49eab753e6df361411643f9dc0909ec7e776daabc19da4d38","Jazz",0.4499999946,"Jazz vs. Grizzlies","nba-uta-mem-2026-02-20",{"condition_id":401,"outcome":116,"usdc":402,"entry_price":403,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":153,"captured_at":92,"question":404,"event_slug":405,"category":47},"0x518a5b030b205706b8ffe6bbad9bd3de59548348e5c0471827f5de21e513333c",432.26,0.6397910089,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may",{"condition_id":407,"outcome":29,"usdc":408,"entry_price":409,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":140,"captured_at":92,"question":410,"event_slug":411,"category":86},"0x561cd8d035bac38ed04e23d7882a126da38d7ead9d6679f722ad62c0c9d54ad2",102.68999500000001,0.25012388062106533,"Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?","will-iran-close-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-march-31",{"condition_id":407,"outcome":116,"usdc":413,"entry_price":414,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":140,"captured_at":92,"question":410,"event_slug":411,"category":86},262.599999,0.6833209797320794,{"condition_id":416,"outcome":116,"usdc":417,"entry_price":418,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":419,"captured_at":161,"question":420,"event_slug":421,"category":86},"0x58180f4a69651f67c23ac92845721b2320cc0c76effeb5e79db5288d8d8e6b28",208.494245,0.44524503260747317,"2026-07-24T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?","us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-byptptpt-2-week-pause-20260715194822042",{"condition_id":423,"outcome":116,"usdc":424,"entry_price":425,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":173,"captured_at":161,"question":426,"event_slug":427,"category":38},"0x585673fcbde68965ee57520268c290e554071d5082f25bba0527f01dc05c8612",20.7252,0.19,"Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?","israeli-forces-withdraw-from-beyond-the-litani-river-by-20260607234645733",{"condition_id":429,"outcome":116,"usdc":430,"entry_price":431,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":432,"captured_at":161,"question":433,"event_slug":421,"category":86},"0x5a9395dae6c7643ea06e7a555580a5526e81073aea9c9306363529c5b76a8f8b",480.911368,0.23238411363902367,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?",{"condition_id":435,"outcome":29,"usdc":436,"entry_price":437,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":339,"captured_at":92,"question":438,"event_slug":439,"category":38},"0x5d37825716832a4a54f89450932e89510f26cf4be59aeec3149d2c49e5fdf44d",19.779999,0.4297827138,"Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?","iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by",{"condition_id":441,"outcome":29,"usdc":442,"entry_price":390,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":443,"captured_at":161,"question":444,"event_slug":373,"category":38},"0x5dc212b712dcf514432221436140eec9717aea8f9fbead457c858d14ee519b90",14.7662,"2026-08-08T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":446,"outcome":116,"usdc":447,"entry_price":448,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":126,"captured_at":161,"question":449,"event_slug":450,"category":47},"0x5efa976ebe94080bbda7e45605333ff8f30156cc91604d66c41eb52fd3e25f3e",14.725789,0.0897264461,"Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":452,"outcome":29,"usdc":453,"entry_price":454,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":455,"captured_at":161,"question":456,"event_slug":163,"category":47},"0x608b260059adb2315f3a649419ab8f684f0d741db319aae9c08f93fe2a268f31",159.984,0.88,"2026-06-16T03:59:00Z","Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?",{"condition_id":458,"outcome":29,"usdc":459,"entry_price":460,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":192,"captured_at":161,"question":461,"event_slug":462,"category":86},"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8",298.151987,0.83,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-august-31-20260702154212320",{"condition_id":464,"outcome":116,"usdc":465,"entry_price":466,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":153,"captured_at":92,"question":467,"event_slug":155,"category":38},"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7",864.3501219999999,0.48646414648836744,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":469,"outcome":29,"usdc":470,"entry_price":471,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":339,"captured_at":92,"question":472,"event_slug":473,"category":38},"0x61725d7b77199987537c9c40ea8af6d0d825160cef1701dc0c2c06ca1d0df4cb",32.269995,0.6991616104375091,"Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?","will-russia-capture-all-of-stepnohirsk-by",{"condition_id":475,"outcome":116,"usdc":476,"entry_price":477,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":478,"captured_at":161,"question":479,"event_slug":421,"category":86},"0x61c2b9e70f7fdf3441fd1cfa2c8fa93308fefe3f5ecc2db87c393efab3a207a3",731.2298559999999,0.65397710084593,"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?",{"condition_id":481,"outcome":29,"usdc":482,"entry_price":483,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":173,"captured_at":161,"question":484,"event_slug":194,"category":38},"0x676e7cda423f5826bcbb3c141e808ad7c66bc2d055e4d0aca79c26779712062c",760.681327,0.5380926827996511,"Israel closes its airspace by June 30?",{"condition_id":481,"outcome":116,"usdc":486,"entry_price":487,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":173,"captured_at":161,"question":484,"event_slug":194,"category":38},128.271366,0.27000000047953765,{"condition_id":489,"outcome":29,"usdc":490,"entry_price":491,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":111,"captured_at":13,"question":492,"event_slug":85,"category":86},"0x680c54c81634efefe3758d4baec2544fe368a4d6cefe4821774a6e18b4d73ec8",47.539986,0.7341709515105183,"Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?",{"condition_id":494,"outcome":29,"usdc":495,"entry_price":496,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":497,"captured_at":161,"question":498,"event_slug":303,"category":47},"0x6acdc3316f0b43ca4fbc13623fc018e30f2fd20ae7b93bdc07c8193e99b0ac4d",81.698888,0.63946795189972,"2026-08-15T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?",{"condition_id":500,"outcome":29,"usdc":501,"entry_price":502,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":266,"captured_at":13,"question":503,"event_slug":334,"category":86},"0x6b4152aeff9efc4cb5b1b7b73150ab54835719f2768fd4d7a34b92951b84904f",79.839987,0.841350333359157,"Iran\u002FHezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 15?",{"condition_id":505,"outcome":29,"usdc":506,"entry_price":507,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":160,"captured_at":161,"question":508,"event_slug":321,"category":47},"0x6c486242e79252cc0bb57163a3b8d95e3b9538ea6a1de2e91848beeb5c6ad986",61.084787,0.8599999989,"Iran full airspace closure by July 15?",{"condition_id":510,"outcome":29,"usdc":511,"entry_price":512,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":173,"captured_at":92,"question":513,"event_slug":439,"category":38},"0x6cb3ec9e0fb1c258898f648f8b33422f59ba3e8a71aee551449d7cb147bb8ead",32.4,0.45,"Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":515,"outcome":29,"usdc":516,"entry_price":517,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":326,"captured_at":92,"question":518,"event_slug":519,"category":86},"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246",549.989997,0.37159495263885617,"US forces enter Iran by April 30?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-april-30-899",{"condition_id":521,"outcome":29,"usdc":522,"entry_price":523,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":326,"captured_at":92,"question":524,"event_slug":328,"category":38},"0x6d64853f670b85151d2441b2bdea142f2031b573947ab2887e82585546fdc7f4",71.989998,0.8699999909,"Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?",{"condition_id":526,"outcome":29,"usdc":527,"entry_price":528,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":91,"captured_at":13,"question":529,"event_slug":530,"category":86},"0x6e93f62e95393aead73025acc8871c5adaf800b8a50d89df5f85f7f0a6146253",250.419994,0.7852473868442797,"Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?","houthi-military-action-against-israel-by",{"condition_id":532,"outcome":29,"usdc":533,"entry_price":534,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":161,"question":535,"event_slug":163,"category":47},"0x6f4f3632b4fbc10e7ba84009b5e582b7061a0f7d1df82cca29a02fbbdaf97186",98.161888,0.6021564848,"Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?",{"condition_id":537,"outcome":116,"usdc":538,"entry_price":539,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":91,"captured_at":13,"question":540,"event_slug":135,"category":86},"0x773abaa5fe55e5cde51a261f444b7921652a4e059ead6b3be9fe56499c2d4609",340.439991,0.5123081563718364,"US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?",{"condition_id":542,"outcome":29,"usdc":543,"entry_price":544,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":173,"captured_at":161,"question":545,"event_slug":546,"category":38},"0x79859c9e6645873e1568344b0b8ee54cc9eb02b90701cc5ba19c9a547ff313ce",35.269997,0.5214151904351054,"Kash Patel out by June 30?","kash-patel-out-by",{"condition_id":542,"outcome":116,"usdc":548,"entry_price":549,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":173,"captured_at":161,"question":545,"event_slug":546,"category":38},9.529999,0.5099999877,{"condition_id":551,"outcome":29,"usdc":552,"entry_price":553,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":111,"captured_at":13,"question":554,"event_slug":217,"category":86},"0x7c67b6d6caa39a8d54a58efff83dba75182420fa245fd93e98cf0fb54876ea91",123.799958,0.8699999957433956,"Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?",{"condition_id":556,"outcome":116,"usdc":557,"entry_price":558,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":559,"captured_at":161,"question":560,"event_slug":261,"category":38},"0x7e50b661a2bedc670bcf32fc9ece12616f6fc4fba5dbe8526292bf3447374009",238.680501,0.8716360999072132,"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":562,"outcome":116,"usdc":563,"entry_price":564,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":83,"captured_at":13,"question":565,"event_slug":135,"category":86},"0x80059ff4e694f878c0498f6f3a067ee7ca62dc2fc46251a4287b58355ce47bc5",97.25,0.5,"US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?",{"condition_id":567,"outcome":116,"usdc":568,"entry_price":569,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":570,"captured_at":92,"question":571,"event_slug":572,"category":86},"0x8183a221622f2d5d2b46da86c80d55a61f43d35829589e03c1efae9d072638c5",266.91384800000003,0.5677045655758136,"2026-04-07","Iran x Israel\u002FUS conflict ends by April 7?","iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by",{"condition_id":574,"outcome":116,"usdc":575,"entry_price":576,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":126,"captured_at":13,"question":577,"event_slug":135,"category":86},"0x81b06cb917c9a2aabc67a7765bc3c640e88a699bbf451b29915049c0766cde04",142.789998,0.7499999961,"US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?",{"condition_id":579,"outcome":116,"usdc":580,"entry_price":581,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":582,"captured_at":161,"question":583,"event_slug":421,"category":86},"0x833f0bac240ad7d5c947d58a8acac0f77a74cf03dccd8f9b72a28811836a920f",385.203867,0.4929958454065026,"2026-08-14T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?",{"condition_id":585,"outcome":116,"usdc":586,"entry_price":587,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":126,"captured_at":161,"question":588,"event_slug":589,"category":47},"0x86f43746cbd692719483aaeedc657eef89d9ffb91d6ffceacb1edf533e049516",99.69282799999999,0.21323899555550005,"Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":591,"outcome":29,"usdc":592,"entry_price":593,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":319,"captured_at":161,"question":594,"event_slug":373,"category":38},"0x8b0e301fc552e953579c625ce9adb7409d1852d5bf4879efee849decc1c9dc91",755.9344019999999,0.7860122423618249,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":596,"outcome":116,"usdc":597,"entry_price":598,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":111,"captured_at":13,"question":599,"event_slug":600,"category":86},"0x8b542974121a934ca9dd13d11eacaebca7ce465fcc3146df90605aae897605e6",20.699998,0.5257388695,"US strikes Iraq by March 7?","us-strikes-iraq-by",{"condition_id":602,"outcome":29,"usdc":603,"entry_price":604,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":326,"captured_at":13,"question":605,"event_slug":606,"category":86},"0x8bf2d7d344b89a434bba5388eca327bdc5267f0e053f6bc63d75534296605b89",57.589997,0.2665682053640328,"Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?","which-countries-will-send-warships-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-april-30",{"condition_id":602,"outcome":116,"usdc":608,"entry_price":609,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":326,"captured_at":13,"question":605,"event_slug":606,"category":86},65.599996,0.8695996648,{"condition_id":611,"outcome":29,"usdc":612,"entry_price":613,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":339,"captured_at":92,"question":614,"event_slug":347,"category":38},"0x8fb6936ae7f5ee15170825aad109c9939f89bcd9922aa16cb1fb73e034259881",97.169997,0.8514677958,"Masoud Pezeshkian out by April 30?",{"condition_id":616,"outcome":29,"usdc":617,"entry_price":618,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":326,"captured_at":92,"question":619,"event_slug":367,"category":86},"0x90bfaf5467d56bc60c35dbc373aabb15b0cefe5c04df56a7b16abe581750ae20",26.559999,0.7899999976,"Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?",{"condition_id":621,"outcome":29,"usdc":622,"entry_price":623,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":326,"captured_at":92,"question":624,"event_slug":625,"category":86},"0x924a2942747dd75703321a7c8d809c68f6a514c3b0f2a2e64274e02310634669",133.189998,0.7500000000000001,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-april-30",{"condition_id":621,"outcome":116,"usdc":627,"entry_price":628,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":326,"captured_at":92,"question":624,"event_slug":625,"category":86},150.499993,0.28332195242647107,{"condition_id":630,"outcome":29,"usdc":631,"entry_price":632,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":126,"captured_at":92,"question":633,"event_slug":634,"category":38},"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f",45.5,0.65,"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-june-30",{"condition_id":636,"outcome":116,"usdc":637,"entry_price":638,"won":17,"source":82,"end_date_iso":111,"captured_at":13,"question":639,"event_slug":640,"category":86},"0x9a40c58ffda1c02eec35f58107bd69bd30cb3d367f1755c0512bbde5abeb9d4b",108.31999499999999,0.7109341393326998,"US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?","us-announces-military-coordination-with-kurds-in-iran-by-march-31",{"condition_id":642,"outcome":29,"usdc":643,"entry_price":644,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":326,"captured_at":92,"question":645,"event_slug":646,"category":86},"0x9a8757bf4ecee8ba364603c3195d63c37c4d2700b69f8e4c5f751850bc330c9a",87.59999599999999,0.7899999920669407,"Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?","will-another-country-conduct-military-action-against-iran-by",{"condition_id":648,"outcome":29,"usdc":649,"entry_price":650,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":204,"captured_at":92,"question":651,"event_slug":652,"category":86},"0x9dd27666ad05dbe8ac5547e79d634fc306578b60b71f96ab4347f020b46e9413",64.31999400000001,0.4317234907552506,"Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?","israel-military-action-against-iran-by-167",{"condition_id":654,"outcome":29,"usdc":655,"entry_price":656,"won":12,"source":82,"end_date_iso":111,"captured_at":13,"question":657,"event_slug":658,"category":86},"0x9de11706e7f6d31eddc745b50cb521c1536ae59d123419dd87e11421e3f5d208",325.13998699999996,0.6329636568466288,"Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?","houthi-strike-on-israel-by-632",{"total":660,"wins":661},160,115,[663,669,674],{"category":664,"n":665,"wins":666,"hitRate":667,"roi":668},"Other",93,67,0.7204301075268817,0.31074763704678005,{"category":38,"n":670,"wins":671,"hitRate":672,"roi":673},43,34,0.7906976744186046,0.45613765206323986,{"category":47,"n":675,"wins":676,"hitRate":677,"roi":678},24,14,0.5833333333333334,-0.03104109382406419,{"generatedAt":680},"2026-10-12T07:29:32.833Z"]