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x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963","2026-10-31T20:29:00Z","[\"0.795\", \"0.205\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":44,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":45,"question":46,"event_slug":47,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":48,"outcome_prices":49,"category":38},"38853432405644060238726733115910047800788669755366746572763519605642391279152","0xe5b506bf5d662bbc0f0e5775eeb763fdb747c7782bd4520dba08274debddeaa8","No",99.5753,0.8144,"2026-09-26T15:25:54.151Z","0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?","0-ships-transit-hormuz-on-any-date-byptpt-20260626172559966","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.1515\", 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30?","iran-full-airspace-closure-byptptpt-20260625195253028",{"condition_id":100,"outcome":42,"usdc":101,"entry_price":102,"won":12,"source":94,"end_date_iso":48,"captured_at":96,"question":103,"event_slug":104,"category":67},"0x30174f3f46398e37c96a07b45916e01eab9a8a854ecb624ac73a91a8490fd074",1404.1735030399998,0.9328,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080",{"condition_id":106,"outcome":42,"usdc":107,"entry_price":108,"won":12,"source":94,"end_date_iso":48,"captured_at":96,"question":109,"event_slug":110,"category":67},"0x2a25f3fd54fd0b18fee936f7f6b701e119c86f08f6d2a621b995193851014fb3",56.99891832,0.7912,"Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?","saudi-oil-pipeline-east-west-restarts-byptptpt",{"condition_id":112,"outcome":29,"usdc":113,"entry_price":114,"won":12,"source":94,"end_date_iso":115,"captured_at":96,"question":116,"event_slug":117,"category":67},"0x690fafd3b7bb8b4919ccf0f219b0014b65334411a1076162e76353e76d7f9bec",0.9998004300000001,0.7599,"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?","us-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt",{"condition_id":119,"outcome":42,"usdc":120,"entry_price":121,"won":12,"source":122,"end_date_iso":123,"captured_at":13,"question":124,"event_slug":125,"category":67},"0x098afead2c41677b0f09ae9d0013ca520eacdb3f0d7c8985c6581de7a0e9ac37",21.999997,0.8495402596457082,"backfill","2026-05-21T00:00:00Z","Iran closes its airspace by May 21?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":127,"outcome":42,"usdc":128,"entry_price":129,"won":12,"source":122,"end_date_iso":130,"captured_at":13,"question":131,"event_slug":132,"category":133},"0x11395254d664f77f4a463fe28a3feb6dda06b1a396f63def47787bd650a00ce6",166.329994,0.8642608120960779,"2026-06-30T23:59:00Z","Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?","iran-announces-withdrawal-from-mou-negotiations-byptptpt-20260622191732319",null,{"condition_id":135,"outcome":29,"usdc":136,"entry_price":137,"won":17,"source":122,"end_date_iso":138,"captured_at":13,"question":139,"event_slug":140,"category":67},"0x1723b7ee4118dee6ae6be8802cb7b6e239c37d199997b20a8191e32553a5bd68",7.499999,0.28225804357440354,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?","iran-agrees-to-unrestricted-shipping-through-hormuz-by-june-30",{"condition_id":142,"outcome":42,"usdc":143,"entry_price":144,"won":12,"source":122,"end_date_iso":138,"captured_at":13,"question":145,"event_slug":146,"category":67},"0x189c38e8bf3733572f401f8d578099f7233baef3d5fcb438b4eeb0b73bacc787",30.999997,0.7125610339986221,"Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?","where-will-the-next-us-iran-diplomatic-meeting-happen-455",{"condition_id":148,"outcome":29,"usdc":149,"entry_price":150,"won":17,"source":122,"end_date_iso":138,"captured_at":13,"question":151,"event_slug":152,"category":67},"0x1be62d973dc8fb45de714eb2113118b6ac3e47694f8b0801c0c41d992d0b7c9f",0.999999,0.0749999325,"Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?","what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-june-30",{"condition_id":154,"outcome":42,"usdc":155,"entry_price":156,"won":12,"source":122,"end_date_iso":157,"captured_at":13,"question":158,"event_slug":125,"category":67},"0x2135ffcb43ba9103bb6acf7116d2d5aa98bef6d9eb3dc9c85ea00cb79513f3ec",85.199991,0.8480555527269815,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","Iran closes its airspace by May 8?",{"condition_id":160,"outcome":42,"usdc":161,"entry_price":162,"won":12,"source":122,"end_date_iso":163,"captured_at":13,"question":164,"event_slug":165,"category":38},"0x23667427b34ca1c7144d50540beba9e7ffb608443a84252c194bb8b40919a0cb",0.999995,0.859999914,"2026-06-15T03:59:00Z","US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?","us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-20260621201254412",{"condition_id":167,"outcome":42,"usdc":168,"entry_price":169,"won":17,"source":122,"end_date_iso":170,"captured_at":13,"question":171,"event_slug":35,"category":38},"0x2e47cff93eb647a0487879f781ec583f8849eeb397ff0ad5cb38f77ec916c8a7",24.999999,0.0429999984,"2026-08-03T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?",{"condition_id":173,"outcome":42,"usdc":174,"entry_price":175,"won":12,"source":122,"end_date_iso":176,"captured_at":13,"question":177,"event_slug":178,"category":67},"0x2f6a547524c1d290f8a2bbff80be2b0e8ca1b3b716dd3a0e74bf8ddb3e3fd6b7",24.999998,0.8699999662,"2026-06-01T03:59:00Z","Iran leadership change by May 31?","iran-leadership-change-by",{"condition_id":180,"outcome":29,"usdc":181,"entry_price":182,"won":17,"source":122,"end_date_iso":183,"captured_at":13,"question":184,"event_slug":185,"category":67},"0x325d2f917428a0d39ac7563770ec519208666b8c926091de1a1934d8570b64cd",10.5,0.21,"2026-07-18T03:59:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?","next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-byptptpt-20260623022722982",{"condition_id":187,"outcome":29,"usdc":168,"entry_price":188,"won":12,"source":122,"end_date_iso":189,"captured_at":13,"question":190,"event_slug":35,"category":38},"0x33c491023cecc6a42a70608427c2be37dfbe789ae1b08d8791f2450a3f9696f2",0.6899999925,"2026-07-26T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?",{"condition_id":192,"outcome":29,"usdc":193,"entry_price":194,"won":12,"source":122,"end_date_iso":195,"captured_at":13,"question":196,"event_slug":35,"category":38},"0x35737d4e921a4cb088704e21751c78e282a6a2ae3559fbc2455275b0340d1e7f",20.999997,0.8199999820761904,"2026-07-22T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?",{"condition_id":198,"outcome":42,"usdc":199,"entry_price":200,"won":17,"source":122,"end_date_iso":201,"captured_at":13,"question":202,"event_slug":203,"category":38},"0x38545bccf76fa0230056c9c6230455f55621237209f1801acfaa02b12d5e16dd",1.5,0.1,"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?","will-israel-and-lebanon-hold-a-diplomatic-meeting-by-june-7-2026",{"condition_id":205,"outcome":29,"usdc":206,"entry_price":207,"won":12,"source":122,"end_date_iso":208,"captured_at":13,"question":209,"event_slug":210,"category":133},"0x393fb0be5ca5832188657b34ad914c8f24a3ea6dfca233d1b996aba14399b48f",9.999997,0.8799999965,"","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?","iran-ceasefire-continues-through",{"condition_id":212,"outcome":42,"usdc":213,"entry_price":214,"won":12,"source":122,"end_date_iso":215,"captured_at":13,"question":216,"event_slug":98,"category":38},"0x3953c85ab5e965cb5b3b4deaa2a5294daa6b1165ff83b586804c04a7abf51a13",20.1,0.67,"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","Iran full airspace closure by July 31?",{"condition_id":218,"outcome":42,"usdc":219,"entry_price":220,"won":12,"source":122,"end_date_iso":221,"captured_at":13,"question":222,"event_slug":223,"category":67},"0x3a9ef67522be6f0e4dcb97ac56e064efe6b14e54713ee2050418d311883c31ba",50.23,0.7449515922,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?","trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by",{"condition_id":225,"outcome":42,"usdc":226,"entry_price":227,"won":12,"source":122,"end_date_iso":228,"captured_at":13,"question":229,"event_slug":230,"category":67},"0x3ed92a5a51371e8ba5882ae743ccf90460c8860fdd862a9389e249d0a2b9f055",89.1,0.8909999999999999,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?","masoud-pezeshkian-out-by",{"condition_id":232,"outcome":42,"usdc":233,"entry_price":234,"won":12,"source":122,"end_date_iso":235,"captured_at":13,"question":236,"event_slug":104,"category":67},"0x420c29cfe95850eb2351fdef6ae4ff063b2a574aa947d0fe82e7433fd58946f2",115.99999700000001,0.8699999992310347,"2026-09-08T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":238,"outcome":42,"usdc":239,"entry_price":240,"won":12,"source":122,"end_date_iso":241,"captured_at":13,"question":242,"event_slug":125,"category":67},"0x4ba348328e4d4ddee9e6734c9a369b2e8138611651f9f6dc8f59dea51df6c734",50.999995000000006,0.5078615128017334,"2026-05-24T00:00:00Z","Iran closes its airspace by May 24?",{"condition_id":244,"outcome":42,"usdc":245,"entry_price":246,"won":12,"source":122,"end_date_iso":247,"captured_at":13,"question":248,"event_slug":249,"category":133},"0x4f8bddad85712e2b46756f71c753380a1417bec8049e4a45742e5182c3a5c015",99.999995,0.8499999996,"2026-04-21T00:00:00Z","Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?","israel-military-action-against-iran-by-167",{"condition_id":251,"outcome":42,"usdc":252,"entry_price":253,"won":12,"source":122,"end_date_iso":254,"captured_at":13,"question":255,"event_slug":256,"category":133},"0x518df6d694ad4658fe6c284850c029c6f00c9b3609cf05f7757d1fecba1641f8",80.731998,0.798004727178801,"2026-08-20T23:59:00Z","US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?","us-iran-60-day-negotiation-period-extended-20260624044855448",{"condition_id":251,"outcome":29,"usdc":258,"entry_price":259,"won":17,"source":122,"end_date_iso":254,"captured_at":13,"question":255,"event_slug":256,"category":133},289.499999,0.6429931248704631,{"condition_id":261,"outcome":42,"usdc":262,"entry_price":263,"won":12,"source":122,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":13,"question":265,"event_slug":185,"category":67},"0x545e1bf6ec42e0e8a776a3c3e11ed225f8d3dfcc74f98656e142f99a2b718383",359.999983,0.8649941689489832,"2026-07-04T03:59:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?",{"condition_id":267,"outcome":42,"usdc":268,"entry_price":269,"won":12,"source":122,"end_date_iso":215,"captured_at":13,"question":270,"event_slug":271,"category":67},"0x555443f34b29be9207c40aaef440de7964ed8fa706a95c076f4fc965ac1820bc",6.399997,0.8136434079,"Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?","who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373",{"condition_id":273,"outcome":29,"usdc":274,"entry_price":275,"won":17,"source":122,"end_date_iso":276,"captured_at":13,"question":277,"event_slug":278,"category":133},"0x57975267480691701ba473fc776713769bb32ddebc84a155afcacb041d2e30de",0.095,0.019,"2026-05-10T00:00:00Z","Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 4?","next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-on",{"condition_id":280,"outcome":42,"usdc":281,"entry_price":282,"won":12,"source":122,"end_date_iso":221,"captured_at":13,"question":283,"event_slug":284,"category":133},"0x5bb0e552d6f091014a59af8bbe5b7e86ba2d0a4dcfcb509f0e66a48184e96519",189.47661900000003,0.8352829744729411,"Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 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31?","us-announces-halt-in-iran-offensive-operations-byptptpt-20260718015003096",{"condition_id":299,"outcome":42,"usdc":300,"entry_price":301,"won":12,"source":122,"end_date_iso":138,"captured_at":13,"question":302,"event_slug":303,"category":38},"0x5efa976ebe94080bbda7e45605333ff8f30156cc91604d66c41eb52fd3e25f3e",498.94998100000004,0.8793848428379967,"Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":305,"outcome":42,"usdc":306,"entry_price":307,"won":12,"source":122,"end_date_iso":308,"captured_at":13,"question":309,"event_slug":310,"category":133},"0x5f55fb4898ca3fae3f87c99eb5530baed89334cc413e650766526cb7c494c04c",35,0.7,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 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