[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x562bc8068347268d9a69b8dd464d00eed0f9dc09":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":335,"history":336,"resolved":351,"resolvedSummary":970,"specialization":973,"meta":1004},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x562bc8068347268d9a69b8dd464d00eed0f9dc09",8407,998,0.6613226452905812,0.11330965058886187,0.1875410673502428,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-20T08:12:33.351Z",82.28303331863735,1.6170417387959224,"2026-10-18T05:30:38.000Z",0,"trades",0.5925485889187367,0.06877405637184374,9304.814831217025,82118.46725200007,5.633106578593646,0.0886339937434828,[26,39,48,58,66,75,85,95,104,112,121,130,138,146,153,162,170,179,187,191,199,208,219,226,233,242,251,259,265,273,277,285,292,300,303,312,319,328],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"95330850088652964045342754396500611430491328230261187321150789382210939939481","0x484d3e1f00df54f5084984da97d330cfc1a898f952d7fe87278944b459864ba9","No",3452.35,0.7205,"2026-11-07T05:24:04.183Z","2026-09-20T12:09:04.864Z","Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?","mls-cup-winner-2026","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.17\", \"0.83\"]","Sports",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":44,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":47,"category":38},"92129242446744018601646264021811718961975731729533482546212596731884920341534","0xe8b5ce20df4a8fb78301bd0f1b0587adbc10771a9b5ea6e6d1261408efcca520",3205.06,0.7437,"Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?","mlb-nl-manager-of-the-year","2026-12-19T00:00:00Z","[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]",{"token_id":49,"condition_id":50,"outcome":29,"size":51,"avg_price":52,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":53,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":55,"outcome_prices":56,"category":57},"38427187039087275831933800466434320467406541286363861727350171951133298863067","0x376f0a5ce8279b4bf840018217487848634b686a9669c8c2d79eca67410b1aeb",2560.81,0.5172,"Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?","where-will-2026-rank-among-the-hottest-years-on-record","2027-03-02T04:59:00Z","[\"0.09\", \"0.91\"]","Culture",{"token_id":59,"condition_id":60,"outcome":29,"size":61,"avg_price":62,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":63,"event_slug":64,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":65,"category":38},"8252756809211186381943680338187607648746974685509547761398981254751489760551","0x5ead3427438ac002ff56c51aa6d338acfcf689ddbda928fe9be649edc1e02f35",1117.29,0.8046,"Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?","mlb-2026-nl-mvp","[\"0.9875\", \"0.0125\"]",{"token_id":67,"condition_id":68,"outcome":29,"size":69,"avg_price":70,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":71,"event_slug":72,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":73,"outcome_prices":74,"category":38},"50147062483585317603354345204880237466725997055003213335305816036870090985850","0xf36a179eb7954a4ad3b6250c29dc274868aab44ddcbaa1e37b9bc3bcc9b69db9",728.16,0.8232,"Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?","mlb-2026-nl-cy-young-winner","2026-11-12T00:00:00Z","[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]",{"token_id":76,"condition_id":77,"outcome":29,"size":78,"avg_price":79,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":80,"question":81,"event_slug":82,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":83,"outcome_prices":84,"category":38},"100040459161457857945545926450918554608244290757710456441003183549222366879367","0xa0c78ad41f39cd8afcbb10b125efb291229db64ecf8b7dfb2ce9c9feed96bbf5",589.4,0.9197,"2026-11-06T22:51:00.638Z","Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?","wnba-2026-champion-464","2026-11-15T04:59:00Z","[\"1\", \"0\"]",{"token_id":86,"condition_id":87,"outcome":88,"size":89,"avg_price":90,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":91,"event_slug":92,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":93,"outcome_prices":94,"category":57},"62579805889335213695146477642120558659516316300833801262610721119520215144363","0xffda1c03516975d418d8f87b201ddfafac0c9c3995494bdcb02106cfc7da0847","Yes",842.41,0.5923,"Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?","which-artists-will-release-a-new-song-in-2026","2027-01-02T07:59:00Z","[\"0.295\", \"0.705\"]",{"token_id":96,"condition_id":97,"outcome":29,"size":98,"avg_price":99,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":100,"event_slug":101,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":102,"outcome_prices":103,"category":57},"94297885496428433994612881192883747282447345164360333822514231082582602051560","0xa087422678cebf674c69d2c86a13b89d153951f067f753e0c2044eb991c0652f",480.82,0.8395,"Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?","top-spotify-artist-2026","2027-02-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.0235\", \"0.9765\"]",{"token_id":105,"condition_id":106,"outcome":29,"size":107,"avg_price":108,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":109,"event_slug":110,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":73,"outcome_prices":111,"category":38},"80072220742853778023574651733377327261246514267264529256755064030675020477372","0xff1e63f197af4d9a2d6d30947ebd71c277a28fa9dfaa7dbbdcc0cf3d3b2f186a",957.35,0.3933,"Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?","mlb-2026-al-cy-young-winner","[\"0.9965\", \"0.0035\"]",{"token_id":113,"condition_id":114,"outcome":29,"size":115,"avg_price":116,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":117,"event_slug":118,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":119,"outcome_prices":120,"category":57},"41099109298176936544078761337346055596246959548090145184698066189072639116641","0xc7f3ff0f51ced2c723bc200de4c4187114251bef04360cabd3e1966992f87792",717.05,0.3677,"Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?","oscars-2026-best-actor-nominations-892","2027-01-21T00:00:00Z","[\"0.455\", \"0.545\"]",{"token_id":122,"condition_id":123,"outcome":88,"size":124,"avg_price":125,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":80,"question":126,"event_slug":127,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":128,"outcome_prices":129,"category":38},"93899316926271869920456375862370520960408256763360958310639371758093650988742","0x73057b771600660ac6e659c5b831587fd3bdd378e63f359731aa3e1538577fb0",663.36,0.2507,"Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?","will-lebron-james-retire-before-next-nba-season","2026-10-22T03:59:00Z","[\"0\", \"1\"]",{"token_id":131,"condition_id":132,"outcome":29,"size":133,"avg_price":134,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":80,"question":135,"event_slug":136,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":137,"outcome_prices":84,"category":38},"57520402764714032701152091698531154935574080954582774395654458078727078499164","0x3db74f14fa0c4d8acb19ff4ffa18d523597a8e553ec565d494290a908d99395a",174.4,0.9,"Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?","mlb-world-series-champion-2026","2026-10-31T23:55:00Z",{"token_id":139,"condition_id":140,"outcome":29,"size":141,"avg_price":142,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":143,"event_slug":118,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":144,"outcome_prices":145,"category":57},"49659860633131959014860962373062973665378479799136694189250995471146305190955","0x1ce8895e6ecb0a41099a5bdad22cede0c3c1fff8f0a427c9cbd334934c424aad",649.02,0.2363,"Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?","2027-03-15T03:59:00Z","[\"0.52\", \"0.48\"]",{"token_id":147,"condition_id":148,"outcome":88,"size":149,"avg_price":150,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":151,"event_slug":101,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":102,"outcome_prices":152,"category":57},"84559926953146780213236573115780107039976526543427713229500373094335659185505","0x938e6a0a011f9534ffd2d86c65dde3aeb7c66ad06cee29ead70b832179c3b6de",172.8089,0.6299,"Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?","[\"0.961\", \"0.039\"]",{"token_id":154,"condition_id":155,"outcome":88,"size":156,"avg_price":157,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":158,"event_slug":159,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":160,"category":161},"36062429679865523787623068309302905887961488865948110723876152708058004555549","0xacff734fd12b552ebab5edb2220cf23c19bda7728b3673a44b0c515a2c60c3d5",212.06,0.5074,"Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?","how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2026","[\"0.725\", \"0.275\"]","Tech",{"token_id":163,"condition_id":164,"outcome":29,"size":165,"avg_price":166,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":167,"event_slug":168,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":169,"category":57},"27615626978770877266675284824007872139148984486566353923393874661280719225189","0x5683743c137e4ebbe8b69e99919aeaf67e4adb3606cfdf7c717b2324927d28a7",105,0.9668,"Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?","elder-scrolls-vi-released-by-december-31","[\"0.0315\", \"0.9685\"]",{"token_id":171,"condition_id":172,"outcome":29,"size":173,"avg_price":174,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":175,"event_slug":176,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":177,"category":178},"67998278660129672852538774459383085042667707670653830519656550808883766593424","0xd29d33516240ad8d483df35e1e960553ad50ef5a5b8b20a51630c9b976d41069",111.44,0.9002,"US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?","us-grants-license-for-new-nuclear-reactor-in-2026","[\"0.035\", \"0.965\"]","Politics",{"token_id":180,"condition_id":181,"outcome":29,"size":182,"avg_price":183,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":184,"event_slug":185,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":186,"outcome_prices":84,"category":178},"58507084608782512565480280053882807505189448738098588563704773804344223603355","0x694595d0a008f10e4701285d071e4b08407495f6f8a6bd8cbdd7de522fa9b463",115.56,0.8499,"Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?","los-angeles-mayoral-election-117","2026-06-03T03:59:00Z",{"token_id":188,"condition_id":148,"outcome":29,"size":189,"avg_price":190,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":151,"event_slug":101,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":102,"outcome_prices":152,"category":57},"24797805539254249433781044462430878338801384554813443486130356027573519184087",376.37,0.2605,{"token_id":192,"condition_id":193,"outcome":29,"size":194,"avg_price":195,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":196,"event_slug":197,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":119,"outcome_prices":198,"category":57},"93648957944979746303147245572825509475635406375366717140982840719170289292081","0x3ec7aa18ca38d799649c37550c296a04853eb6c90c1881ffea29f13c516affde",240.19,0.2842,"Will \"Digger\" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?","oscars-2026-best-picture-nominations-167","[\"0.24\", \"0.76\"]",{"token_id":200,"condition_id":201,"outcome":29,"size":202,"avg_price":203,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":204,"event_slug":205,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":206,"outcome_prices":207,"category":38},"22732872144917072939211563879031463195896346803688598136342105030837517179107","0x81f0581f13aa4e7b7d913df45f66752c92be4067a0a852c5f9dad60cc92d30a2",224.1,0.3,"Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?","pro-baseball-2026-al-mvp","2026-11-13T00:00:00Z","[\"0.987\", \"0.013\"]",{"token_id":209,"condition_id":210,"outcome":88,"size":211,"avg_price":212,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":213,"question":214,"event_slug":215,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":216,"outcome_prices":217,"category":218},"14597999625646800425090742252712136025122651250715824085910383122592230680333","0x1d61bc2829aa04e1cb2dd5897f6128ea2e85608068147f88a6d280eef6d63d04",62,0.932,"2026-11-01T02:11:46.214Z","Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?","melbournes-wettest-month-of-2026","2027-01-09T04:59:00Z","[\"0.904\", \"0.096\"]","Science",{"token_id":220,"condition_id":221,"outcome":29,"size":222,"avg_price":223,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":224,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":225,"category":38},"74797027299739424792084129924307212548104069994784118022992619847762050043689","0xfe4b85dd13c506a337ab3720646ea46b71f4d9727f7842d76f9735b83b82cdfc",60.77,0.8199,"Will Don Kelly win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?","[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",{"token_id":227,"condition_id":228,"outcome":88,"size":229,"avg_price":230,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":231,"event_slug":159,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":232,"category":161},"20798336680914357427325280321488804035719515174673839031828260459847558923163","0x1fc6ebc7c289f983c41bbbabcb8f89c40dd6e1775c3fef1d4db27345900918c2",133.44,0.3714,"Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?","[\"0.22\", \"0.78\"]",{"token_id":234,"condition_id":235,"outcome":29,"size":236,"avg_price":237,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":238,"event_slug":239,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":240,"outcome_prices":241,"category":57},"15987716794970179857502197906473370227636821294586009747424226288902923511160","0x409d7e08b28d9b828fd71478c470055da1be83e55435edc569427cd9e300e161",233.5,0.2099,"Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?","which-film-will-get-the-most-oscar-nominations-at-the-99th-academy-awards","2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.855\", \"0.145\"]",{"token_id":243,"condition_id":244,"outcome":29,"size":245,"avg_price":246,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":247,"event_slug":248,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":249,"outcome_prices":250,"category":57},"56009543907542333985176922288862600188468681608442266447238539580994115386299","0x33af2eb0a55b053264f88a29977837e500c9a4aabdd1da9fcf1ce1428d6aa903",54.34,0.8626,"Will Jack Harlow have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?","which-artists-will-have-a-billboard-1-song-this-year","2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","[\"0.037\", \"0.963\"]",{"token_id":252,"condition_id":253,"outcome":29,"size":254,"avg_price":255,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":256,"event_slug":257,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":258,"category":38},"43883012295926903397564857039461811920713378737403324832689945996708424073567","0x29663a900121eee8d9a969a3edb7f8649d5e58f16af2684f01dd877f5ab5fc2d",137.2,0.3099,"Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?","mlb-al-rookie-of-the-year","[\"0.985\", \"0.015\"]",{"token_id":260,"condition_id":261,"outcome":29,"size":262,"avg_price":263,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":264,"event_slug":205,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":225,"category":38},"105226831181717984741938688358192408206987654770888999741086840406718775580417","0x43990f2943e63fff7fa48826d1abef25b69b9e5e2d6da59309c459c76ce22da9",46.62,0.7999,"Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?",{"token_id":266,"condition_id":267,"outcome":88,"size":268,"avg_price":269,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":270,"event_slug":271,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":272,"outcome_prices":37,"category":57},"7709922190019220413121728513396849098896141494007797142407598757251853724200","0xc8c446c03bd41ec8cca5f8a5a43a76e900f503f7a9d0fec499e17cb3950dc33d",60.7,0.5599,"Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by December 31?","will-lana-del-rey-release-a-new-album-byptptpt-20260717173624432","2027-01-01T07:59:00Z",{"token_id":274,"condition_id":97,"outcome":88,"size":275,"avg_price":276,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":100,"event_slug":101,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":102,"outcome_prices":103,"category":57},"12369294935701377203300019700047987848793450009787501327274207549237196997903",119.28,0.2594,{"token_id":278,"condition_id":279,"outcome":88,"size":280,"avg_price":281,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":282,"event_slug":283,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":93,"outcome_prices":284,"category":57},"36059578813532330542563536537442057270140188776628011512570728768051482293732","0x6947d1e419f570b92a6aa509cbb2eaf137fa9a0a1618b669b87a0bb354af3bd4",32.1,0.8297,"Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?","which-artists-will-release-new-albums-in-2026","[\"0.145\", \"0.855\"]",{"token_id":286,"condition_id":287,"outcome":29,"size":288,"avg_price":289,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":290,"event_slug":197,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":119,"outcome_prices":291,"category":57},"98113304007769879604764014948532637474156285546210558209107293573752123816690","0xb8b34af4118d16f512f6940b1166aec47a219cf2156b4055ce7a4fa06e06720d",117.15,0.213,"Will \"Project Hail Mary\" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?","[\"0.745\", \"0.255\"]",{"token_id":293,"condition_id":294,"outcome":29,"size":295,"avg_price":296,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":297,"event_slug":298,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":299,"category":57},"57061215527407439734013010875636543225709705559792987859834527432100352150297","0x42133d49db1b92415e718af33f00d83fc0812bfad990496ec92ce6b93b259cb6",26,0.7989,"Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?","next-james-bond-actor-398","[\"0.003\", \"0.997\"]",{"token_id":301,"condition_id":279,"outcome":29,"size":268,"avg_price":302,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":282,"event_slug":283,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":93,"outcome_prices":284,"category":57},"35554784502907497536820215150073298030242918411428754471653937309602437166460",0.2982,{"token_id":304,"condition_id":305,"outcome":88,"size":306,"avg_price":307,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":308,"event_slug":309,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":310,"outcome_prices":311,"category":161},"50225109718318658540280412494737610120319244416631769238081662045604870609068","0x652293940a98a7ec9b1d2b23fb9e8399728d1a461dce61523fa2fcce8d844e21",90,0.16,"GTA 6 launch postponed again?","gta-6-launch-postponed-again","2026-11-20T04:59:00Z","[\"0.014\", \"0.986\"]",{"token_id":313,"condition_id":314,"outcome":29,"size":315,"avg_price":316,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":317,"event_slug":248,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":249,"outcome_prices":318,"category":57},"99225947830027805269678949671232093614013076884837058476236697516994055381577","0xf9ab3829eb85b2846f8e4f8d02e3fd035381309c3b5d7a1a04e41e9cba74fd82",10,0.849,"Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?","[\"0.177\", \"0.823\"]",{"token_id":320,"condition_id":321,"outcome":88,"size":322,"avg_price":134,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":80,"question":323,"event_slug":324,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":325,"outcome_prices":326,"category":327},"76417910921870474717760689387242766387387428935946077335183499485138910601528","0xdf11c9f6624831317b7e7a5a71c16cdc46afccfe7b83f1036c344f38505e607e",9,"No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?","reserve-bank-of-australia-decision-in-december-2026","2026-12-08T23:59:00Z","[\"0.955\", \"0.045\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":329,"condition_id":330,"outcome":29,"size":331,"avg_price":332,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":333,"event_slug":283,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":93,"outcome_prices":334,"category":57},"99454279001328554196416885476166477869861423072785045253820226845030445887953","0x986578c2655979e0a8414ce04793c6e8226c7a368c25d1379cd300259cba1c09",5,0.88,"Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026?","[\"0.215\", \"0.785\"]",[],[337,343,349],{"recorded_date":338,"roi":339,"win_rate":340,"brier_score":341,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":342,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-20",0.38952130628001846,0.7897727272727273,0.15630597052031314,176,{"recorded_date":344,"roi":345,"win_rate":346,"brier_score":347,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":348,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-29",0.11578835546349989,0.6545086119554204,0.1956065888866711,987,{"recorded_date":350,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-20",[352,357,364,367,373,375,382,384,390,395,397,407,414,421,428,431,438,445,450,456,463,469,476,483,490,493,499,507,513,521,528,535,540,547,554,561,568,575,582,589,596,604,611,617,623,629,631,638,645,651,656,662,668,675,681,684,690,697,704,711,717,723,729,736,743,750,757,763,768,774,780,787,793,798,805,811,818,824,830,836,841,848,854,862,869,876,883,889,896,903,909,912,918,924,931,938,943,951,957,963],{"condition_id":181,"outcome":29,"usdc":353,"entry_price":183,"won":17,"source":354,"end_date_iso":355,"captured_at":356,"question":184,"event_slug":185,"category":178},98.214444,"live","2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","2026-09-20T13:05:42.754Z",{"condition_id":358,"outcome":29,"usdc":359,"entry_price":360,"won":17,"source":354,"end_date_iso":361,"captured_at":356,"question":362,"event_slug":363,"category":38},"0xcd2640464754b9a894ffec98ac11554fdd507ea89ca01237eabb3a6de4a606e6",30.653358000000004,0.5097,"2026-12-06T00:00:00Z","Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?","2026-f1-drivers-champion",{"condition_id":358,"outcome":88,"usdc":365,"entry_price":366,"won":12,"source":354,"end_date_iso":361,"captured_at":356,"question":362,"event_slug":363,"category":38},32.094,0.5349,{"condition_id":368,"outcome":29,"usdc":369,"entry_price":370,"won":12,"source":354,"end_date_iso":371,"captured_at":356,"question":372,"event_slug":82,"category":38},"0x4c9590ea909dcc59d896ac0742053dbb5727dc0bdd66380304b153022f512edb",384.35045,0.8585,"2026-10-31T00:00:00Z","Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?",{"condition_id":77,"outcome":29,"usdc":374,"entry_price":79,"won":17,"source":354,"end_date_iso":371,"captured_at":356,"question":81,"event_slug":82,"category":38},542.0711799999999,{"condition_id":376,"outcome":29,"usdc":377,"entry_price":378,"won":12,"source":354,"end_date_iso":379,"captured_at":356,"question":380,"event_slug":381,"category":161},"0xbd555a03c34060fd835bd5d46c4a99391f28fb6ef5b11b53049e8efc94be4b8d",34.667818000000004,0.9454,"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","Will Luma AI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-text-to-video-ai-end-of-october",{"condition_id":132,"outcome":29,"usdc":383,"entry_price":134,"won":17,"source":354,"end_date_iso":137,"captured_at":356,"question":135,"event_slug":136,"category":38},156.96,{"condition_id":385,"outcome":29,"usdc":386,"entry_price":387,"won":12,"source":354,"end_date_iso":371,"captured_at":356,"question":388,"event_slug":389,"category":38},"0xa34edb6c898232378a9cc08744842df2cd89d278ba45b012bed3ac10c7241c4d",117.26032699999999,0.6943,"Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?","ballon-dor-winner-2026",{"condition_id":391,"outcome":29,"usdc":392,"entry_price":393,"won":12,"source":354,"end_date_iso":371,"captured_at":356,"question":394,"event_slug":389,"category":38},"0x87091dc5932f015d80c40e71e47cb043c3f8b6098484eb5bc3943cf35ee9afc1",88.8879,0.87,"Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?",{"condition_id":123,"outcome":88,"usdc":396,"entry_price":125,"won":17,"source":354,"end_date_iso":128,"captured_at":356,"question":126,"event_slug":127,"category":38},166.304352,{"condition_id":398,"outcome":29,"usdc":399,"entry_price":400,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":402,"captured_at":403,"question":404,"event_slug":405,"category":406},"0x002685d7ef1498766a260493fe95f062989f1ca45395b29483c23055086a8402",75.07043,0.29615895380379775,"backfill","2026-06-08T00:00:00Z","2026-09-29T13:20:25.425Z","Will Tim Cook say \"AI\" or \"Artificial Intelligence\" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th?","what-will-tim-cook-say-at-apple-wwdc-2026-on-june-8th",null,{"condition_id":408,"outcome":29,"usdc":409,"entry_price":410,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":411,"captured_at":403,"question":412,"event_slug":413,"category":38},"0x0092c9ccb9e89ad262bcc89a544430676c59b9bdeb8649e0baa665941115c2f2",1150.69405,0.7865647484396593,"","Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-nation-to-reach-quarterfinals",{"condition_id":415,"outcome":88,"usdc":416,"entry_price":417,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":418,"captured_at":403,"question":419,"event_slug":420,"category":406},"0x01525cfed291b461a16123c86a4576f54a2487bba450fa6e9089d6a43cd3007a",19.18408,0.71,"2026-05-06T00:00:00Z","Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be between $300M and $400M at market close on IPO day?","rare-earths-americas-ipo-closing-market-cap",{"condition_id":422,"outcome":29,"usdc":423,"entry_price":424,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":425,"captured_at":403,"question":426,"event_slug":427,"category":406},"0x022a73d97a18dcb7a08d18e2e28f50f202c8cc81046890753282630749f304c1",3.5928,0.03431190908533091,"2026-03-04T00:00:00Z","Will \"iPad\" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?","what-will-be-said-during-the-nyc-apple-event",{"condition_id":422,"outcome":88,"usdc":429,"entry_price":430,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":425,"captured_at":403,"question":426,"event_slug":427,"category":406},93.24,0.84,{"condition_id":432,"outcome":29,"usdc":433,"entry_price":434,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":435,"captured_at":403,"question":436,"event_slug":437,"category":38},"0x033ae2687355690b330f8cced2eda1c42256383dd9a3b666846b426662944393",137.79103,0.7694377284,"2026-07-19T19:00:00Z","Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?","world-cup-belgium-stage-of-elimination",{"condition_id":439,"outcome":29,"usdc":440,"entry_price":441,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":442,"captured_at":403,"question":443,"event_slug":444,"category":38},"0x04b07eb732d888c94096b4fc46dc747b745e06749c21ed2e633ca7e1a6586647",435.43644,0.783172109188328,"2026-06-06T00:00:00Z","Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?","2026-womens-french-open-winner",{"condition_id":446,"outcome":29,"usdc":447,"entry_price":448,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":411,"captured_at":403,"question":449,"event_slug":413,"category":38},"0x04fb8f9cca46cad94b3b5314533aa593fb396d40b7c45be8888de918c9cac367",356.34922,0.68,"Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":451,"outcome":29,"usdc":452,"entry_price":453,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":402,"captured_at":403,"question":454,"event_slug":455,"category":406},"0x067be15796f2c3c4b2095aec2256ec887086b3da63ff2866b8ceb060a55d9be5",60.70116,0.6655555555555556,"Will John Ternus say \"AI\" or \"Artificial Intelligence\" 20+ times during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th?","what-will-john-ternus-say-at-apple-wwdc-2026-on-june-8th",{"condition_id":457,"outcome":29,"usdc":458,"entry_price":459,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":460,"captured_at":403,"question":461,"event_slug":462,"category":406},"0x07baddbeaa7f66706b84f167f835f3cc90782445ff36b2ea736c1c097f6ff537",423.018,0.31031250000000005,"2026-03-15T00:00:00Z","Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?","oscars-2026-best-supporting-actor-winner",{"condition_id":464,"outcome":29,"usdc":465,"entry_price":466,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":460,"captured_at":403,"question":467,"event_slug":468,"category":406},"0x086c5cafecb5a4cf4e3a4f75c502e0887d704f62d27ec4523caa693ba158fdfb",1038.5016300000002,0.7822987796666667,"Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?","oscars-2026-best-supporting-actress-winner",{"condition_id":470,"outcome":29,"usdc":471,"entry_price":472,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":473,"captured_at":403,"question":474,"event_slug":475,"category":406},"0x0a2bee6b7fde7ee88998a85a7651436bb22c7743f337c09fe955996795d2e1bf",1.42931,0.007,"2026-05-12T00:00:00Z","Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?","eurovision-2026-first-semi-final",{"condition_id":477,"outcome":29,"usdc":478,"entry_price":479,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":480,"captured_at":403,"question":481,"event_slug":482,"category":38},"0x0ad867208540846e9cc09dc722daff9dfba753afc985e145c81edbb82fb500e5",45.49653,0.79,"2026-07-20T00:00:00Z","Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?","world-cup-nation-to-reach-final",{"condition_id":484,"outcome":29,"usdc":485,"entry_price":486,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":487,"captured_at":403,"question":488,"event_slug":489,"category":178},"0x0ae43ea8d8bccdc0687a83910a3cf9a6eb05c1ae74b81c236f490b38e1496b0b",23.2187,0.8586351803644477,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?","trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691",{"condition_id":484,"outcome":88,"usdc":491,"entry_price":492,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":487,"captured_at":403,"question":488,"event_slug":489,"category":178},11.713750000000001,0.6169518716577541,{"condition_id":494,"outcome":29,"usdc":495,"entry_price":417,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":496,"captured_at":403,"question":497,"event_slug":498,"category":406},"0x0af8c5532f93a1eca46c53e64dab382aef0f4df0b7efcefc0d4667c0ca949d5d",349.888,"2026-03-21T20:30:00Z","Will Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?","mls-phi-chi-2026-03-21",{"condition_id":500,"outcome":501,"usdc":502,"entry_price":503,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":504,"captured_at":403,"question":505,"event_slug":506,"category":406},"0x0d6ba96a8a192a70c78e3b2aa721e487c6c4a0a3607327fa27b3ca29e04a4a52","Over",0.61692,0.06,"2026-06-04T00:30:00Z","Knicks vs. Spurs: O\u002FU 222.5","nba-nyk-sas-2026-06-03",{"condition_id":508,"outcome":29,"usdc":509,"entry_price":510,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":460,"captured_at":403,"question":511,"event_slug":512,"category":406},"0x0fc618b3b527c7c37260b755a843d8bb54aa872d7ca376094ae719984e0b2675",34.8336,0.82,"Will Come See Me in the Good Light win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?","oscars-2026-best-documentary-feature-film-winner",{"condition_id":514,"outcome":29,"usdc":515,"entry_price":516,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":517,"captured_at":518,"question":519,"event_slug":520,"category":38},"0x0ff22cf1f7f86a8f6a1f46ebff9afc02d2f2f8be82ed1655a079fd2f8b8d450e",142.95053,0.6256943862308824,"2026-10-31T03:59:00Z","2026-09-20T08:46:43.486Z","Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?","nba-lebron-james-next-team",{"condition_id":522,"outcome":88,"usdc":523,"entry_price":524,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":525,"captured_at":403,"question":526,"event_slug":527,"category":406},"0x1081498f18c528f543e0342046f5a0a638168b9a3cb9197d4529addb1e76f8e1",33.3563,0.34939038440414794,"2026-04-30","Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?","will-drake-release-iceman-by",{"condition_id":529,"outcome":88,"usdc":530,"entry_price":531,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":532,"captured_at":403,"question":533,"event_slug":534,"category":406},"0x1227564e7ae629400b526b03c86a52e83776d9efe000590a28a8062353a7ca45",1502.3924000000002,0.8207641711524578,"2026-04-27","FDA approves Sanofi's Dupixent?","fda-approves-sanofis-dupixent",{"condition_id":536,"outcome":29,"usdc":537,"entry_price":538,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":480,"captured_at":518,"question":539,"event_slug":482,"category":38},"0x125c399641397f7b7cc111f3729999e32154a916deb1161527af031decde1f77",2019.1624900000002,0.5668621844164347,"Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?",{"condition_id":541,"outcome":88,"usdc":542,"entry_price":543,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":544,"captured_at":403,"question":545,"event_slug":546,"category":406},"0x1367a607587b34b65eb4c0cca9facdd158e579c5a90c15b7413c47e10ec9b4df",40.7517,0.8950516143,"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?","precipitation-in-seattle-in-february",{"condition_id":548,"outcome":29,"usdc":549,"entry_price":550,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":551,"captured_at":403,"question":552,"event_slug":553,"category":161},"0x13ca9f55fed9ce4094d90fe1ab5f63c0d371d1589dfffe247a3c1c13d6fb0477",118.11882999999999,0.8615244591125779,"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?","spacex-ipo-by",{"condition_id":555,"outcome":29,"usdc":556,"entry_price":557,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":558,"captured_at":403,"question":559,"event_slug":560,"category":406},"0x1480b819d03d4b6388d70e848b0384adf38c38d955cb783cdbcf6d4a436dee14",376.2553,0.3622437131744136,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?","next-prime-minister-of-hungary",{"condition_id":562,"outcome":29,"usdc":563,"entry_price":564,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":565,"captured_at":518,"question":566,"event_slug":567,"category":38},"0x15ff2abf58c8da317ae5017c524d1a63c0b187d242a43133b3c1865123652931",789.34036,0.5221949108766093,"2026-07-13T00:00:00Z","Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-nation-to-reach-semifinals",{"condition_id":569,"outcome":29,"usdc":570,"entry_price":571,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":572,"captured_at":403,"question":573,"event_slug":574,"category":406},"0x16be0f42841ac19d6ca75c696dab3d020cac40c4d3edde6dc8ffd5aee862f2f0",2.9601,0.039,"2026-05-07T00:00:00Z","Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?","2026-united-kingdom-local-elections-party-winner",{"condition_id":576,"outcome":29,"usdc":577,"entry_price":578,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":579,"captured_at":403,"question":580,"event_slug":581,"category":406},"0x16cdc3865c7cf41e184f4d55317cad26c31dcb5edb13130e3be455b9f509c25e",17.15533,0.7150021017,"2026-05-24T04:00:00Z","Will Jordan Spieth finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?","2026-the-cj-cup-byron-nelson-top20",{"condition_id":583,"outcome":29,"usdc":584,"entry_price":585,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":586,"captured_at":403,"question":587,"event_slug":588,"category":406},"0x17583eea72358d7a1a07e42505900db66eb7f8006c9ae7ddb8831f7d64a4962e",192.26097,0.509864463538798,"2026-06-10T00:00:00Z","FDA approves Camurus' Oclaiz?","fda-approves-camurus-oclaiz-06-10-2026",{"condition_id":590,"outcome":88,"usdc":591,"entry_price":592,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":593,"captured_at":403,"question":594,"event_slug":595,"category":406},"0x19304977d87e5b37f5c40719a3e935c136acd5705b1398afdb4179b0dbdda19b",178.41,0.8681751824951338,"2026-03-20T00:00:00Z","Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?","bts-arirang-first-week-album-sales",{"condition_id":597,"outcome":598,"usdc":599,"entry_price":600,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":601,"captured_at":403,"question":602,"event_slug":603,"category":406},"0x19da64a3f1b53b26b99bee3bb130d763e92e9f5f78436cb914b40f476665842d","Spurs",177.1152,0.48,"2026-02-24T00:00:00Z","Spurs vs. Pistons","nba-sas-det-2026-02-23",{"condition_id":605,"outcome":29,"usdc":606,"entry_price":607,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":608,"captured_at":403,"question":609,"event_slug":610,"category":406},"0x1a65d4eb8ac985309e78b48906291fffbf137cee590d8d75365f77a0549e9ab9",357.8153,0.6919921482169102,"2026-01-31","Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?","spacex-starship-flight-test-12",{"condition_id":612,"outcome":88,"usdc":613,"entry_price":332,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":614,"captured_at":403,"question":615,"event_slug":616,"category":406},"0x1a9ff0817a3687c71fccd9685c1190b8a378d0aa50c02ffecb59eced4ff730e7",8.83168,"2026-07-20T03:59:00Z","Will Spain record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-team-with-the-most-clean-sheets-20260612153557923",{"condition_id":618,"outcome":88,"usdc":619,"entry_price":620,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":601,"captured_at":403,"question":621,"event_slug":622,"category":406},"0x1b229b087ce4a8063eb8b183ebff486e7eabe6dad3033320dff2e0c5963c94d5",639.2056,0.6919831552350687,"Will George Santos attend the 2026 State of the Union address?","who-will-attend-the-state-of-the-union-address",{"condition_id":624,"outcome":29,"usdc":625,"entry_price":203,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":626,"captured_at":403,"question":627,"event_slug":628,"category":406},"0x1c42c44f365a865523c1c6c1d9c9b70ad3724f18aef85600b733e607c85ccf73",21.735,"2026-05-04T00:00:00Z","Will Olivia Rodrigo attend the Met Gala?","who-will-attend-the-met-gala",{"condition_id":624,"outcome":88,"usdc":630,"entry_price":510,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":626,"captured_at":403,"question":627,"event_slug":628,"category":406},4.1369,{"condition_id":632,"outcome":29,"usdc":633,"entry_price":634,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":635,"captured_at":403,"question":636,"event_slug":637,"category":57},"0x1dc0ba41c11e0088509a2b3d38bcbc83c7ca5fc581f02102df161ae0cb1ed4ae",314.28224,0.6974364172917933,"2026-06-19T00:00:00Z","Will \"you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love\" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?","olivia-rodrigo-you-seem-pretty-sad-for-a-girl-so-in-love-first-week-album-sales",{"condition_id":639,"outcome":29,"usdc":640,"entry_price":641,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":642,"captured_at":518,"question":643,"event_slug":644,"category":406},"0x1f70ac970e82a32625a95e1d4debb641468f5687146bdc2a2a8a865c30c24356",71.80694,0.12,"2026-08-03T03:59:00Z","Will Kylian Mbappe score 7+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-kylian-mbappe-goals-20260611144016735",{"condition_id":646,"outcome":29,"usdc":647,"entry_price":648,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":487,"captured_at":518,"question":649,"event_slug":650,"category":57},"0x20e78e189bd0d2826aa19c265f6f2e1f07a30ec47cfbf13419579fc0f3b79084",161.8664,0.8734678251510833,"Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?","which-artists-will-have-1-hits-in-the-us-in-june",{"condition_id":652,"outcome":29,"usdc":653,"entry_price":654,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":411,"captured_at":403,"question":655,"event_slug":413,"category":38},"0x2169e499a337606050ae62e37b027115200088545c9af4c3743f4c4adc67349f",274.76157,0.53,"Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":657,"outcome":88,"usdc":658,"entry_price":332,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":659,"captured_at":403,"question":660,"event_slug":661,"category":57},"0x2222e3a4ab1672854bfad1f224be1ea89a225321ef50909c9e2265625826d0a2",7.3304,"2027-03-31T00:00:00Z","Will \"Project Hail Mary\" make it into the IMDb Top 250?","which-2026-movies-will-make-it-into-the-imdb-top-250",{"condition_id":663,"outcome":88,"usdc":664,"entry_price":600,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":665,"captured_at":403,"question":666,"event_slug":667,"category":38},"0x22e7b5e35423e76842dd3a5e1a21d13793811080d5e7b2896d0c001bd5e97d54",42.79656,"2026-07-01T00:00:00Z","Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?","2026-nba-champion",{"condition_id":669,"outcome":29,"usdc":670,"entry_price":671,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":672,"captured_at":518,"question":673,"event_slug":674,"category":57},"0x255ee93d5de3df028b1d615ca7e38bf5c17178bc33a5bcafdc7a0335af35988f",47.082010000000004,0.1548628949324995,"2026-07-04T03:59:00Z","Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?","will-taylor-swift-get-married-in-manhattan-20260605211638230",{"condition_id":676,"outcome":29,"usdc":677,"entry_price":678,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":679,"captured_at":403,"question":680,"event_slug":610,"category":406},"0x277bc3c96450e77949fe41ea8d360044f4106833d6c89211cfa5c8ccfd8d0951",274.14952999999997,0.36183060075282314,"2026-05-21T00:00:00Z","Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?",{"condition_id":676,"outcome":88,"usdc":682,"entry_price":683,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":679,"captured_at":403,"question":680,"event_slug":610,"category":406},147.58048000000002,0.6176478585995921,{"condition_id":685,"outcome":29,"usdc":686,"entry_price":687,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":626,"captured_at":403,"question":688,"event_slug":689,"category":406},"0x27fb593622e66feff3cc066727586ef850ef09ad1f6af3b46f9388691249bf82",11.96359,0.8748491538,"Will Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?","will-zendaya-wear-a-wedding-or-engagement-ring-at-the-met-gala",{"condition_id":691,"outcome":29,"usdc":692,"entry_price":693,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":694,"captured_at":518,"question":695,"event_slug":696,"category":38},"0x2a50f81dd2bec3dfdd205b80e1257fbca85bde4f73ff1eb109d97d454a3dc426",4.60669,0.012,"2026-07-19T00:00:00Z","Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?","who-will-perform-at-world-cup-halftime-show",{"condition_id":698,"outcome":88,"usdc":699,"entry_price":700,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":701,"captured_at":403,"question":702,"event_slug":703,"category":406},"0x2c0fdc5ddaf82202a40c8f51361da2e7ffa44c153b6c1cb5c1052271a234a36d",4.74168,0.23,"2026-07-10T23:59:00Z","Will Delta Air Lines say \"World Cup\" during earnings call?","what-will-delta-air-lines-say-during-their-next-earnings-call-20260709172400987",{"condition_id":705,"outcome":598,"usdc":706,"entry_price":707,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":708,"captured_at":403,"question":709,"event_slug":710,"category":406},"0x2c7bcc99128aeaf987509c45678352000c355851c74cc91e4c59c66bdd934c9b",163.154,0.58,"2026-03-06T01:00:00Z","Pistons vs. Spurs","nba-det-sas-2026-03-05",{"condition_id":712,"outcome":29,"usdc":713,"entry_price":714,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":240,"captured_at":403,"question":715,"event_slug":716,"category":161},"0x2c9195043cf23814124eac7ef5f4cf46e17d1bea69a122880cb9d36bd7337e06",2072.82015,0.8655256750343245,"Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?","spacex-starship-flight-test-14",{"condition_id":718,"outcome":29,"usdc":719,"entry_price":720,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":435,"captured_at":403,"question":721,"event_slug":722,"category":38},"0x2c93fccd198ec7832c0486de3f594247a1a3339a4a9ca0c3b72c341c678205ad",172.69173,0.6861426164979506,"Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?","world-cup-netherlands-stage-of-elimination",{"condition_id":724,"outcome":29,"usdc":725,"entry_price":726,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":614,"captured_at":518,"question":727,"event_slug":728,"category":38},"0x2d1492e3986f791935633c953118998ac0b3e3738bdff60120fa119c6edc4385",1411.19726,0.6186044295014363,"Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-golden-ball-winner-20260603194031758",{"condition_id":730,"outcome":88,"usdc":731,"entry_price":732,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":733,"captured_at":403,"question":734,"event_slug":735,"category":38},"0x2d93d3f277602a22f90c8ddcfd775945542d6b4a99449db03489de13609f3290",554.6915,0.5009234562653414,"2026-06-28T00:00:00Z","Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-team-to-advance-to-knockout-stages",{"condition_id":737,"outcome":29,"usdc":738,"entry_price":739,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":740,"captured_at":403,"question":741,"event_slug":742,"category":406},"0x2dd963e037878e2cafe2670129b0e742238d9522ac77cc797fea42742f7045cd",128.58474,0.3999774169171053,"2026-06-30","Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?","nba-2025-26-most-improved-player",{"condition_id":744,"outcome":88,"usdc":745,"entry_price":746,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":747,"captured_at":518,"question":748,"event_slug":749,"category":406},"0x31cfb3d3cd1b221692ab7a8cad4cab70287e84f3d72d7f4aaf7d87b957f7b534",9.90994,0.899,"2026-07-05T23:59:00Z","World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?","world-cup-folarin-balogun-to-play-vspt-belgium-20260702164610264",{"condition_id":751,"outcome":29,"usdc":752,"entry_price":753,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":754,"captured_at":403,"question":755,"event_slug":756,"category":57},"0x31ff4152662e8e50faff8ad80ff5561054753b27a5a4801aa95d3b08ccd2494e",127.86974,0.5029197369437485,"2026-07-30T00:00:00Z","Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?","who-will-win-the-2026-fields-medal",{"condition_id":758,"outcome":29,"usdc":759,"entry_price":760,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":761,"captured_at":403,"question":762,"event_slug":610,"category":406},"0x322e86092d4f835a6259c68e15f09bcc1fc5d721917fff4e9804218cb6a83629",19.74688,0.8997255261,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?",{"condition_id":764,"outcome":29,"usdc":765,"entry_price":766,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":480,"captured_at":518,"question":767,"event_slug":482,"category":38},"0x328583376667b725cc6848dc9b61b205579b1314ecdb4334ea245aec270d2c66",630.553,0.63,"Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?",{"condition_id":769,"outcome":29,"usdc":770,"entry_price":771,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":642,"captured_at":518,"question":772,"event_slug":773,"category":406},"0x32fab73fe0b7a2514b7f308e8f46be8675109c639ac5f6c8881a3ce90950083a",139.92975,0.2863315507937506,"Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-lionel-messi-goals-20260611144827122",{"condition_id":775,"outcome":29,"usdc":776,"entry_price":777,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":487,"captured_at":403,"question":778,"event_slug":779,"category":161},"0x3451395641e4770fa0019554b1dc2fd9784f1fba8e92bfea7cbc552981a488be",26.8435,0.8584425967,"Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?","which-cities-will-waymo-launch-in-by-june-30",{"condition_id":781,"outcome":88,"usdc":782,"entry_price":783,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":784,"captured_at":403,"question":785,"event_slug":786,"category":38},"0x354f68b41feb9047adfb51a3e78dad6cdc105bf1ca012406a5447c784649a0a6",15.44386,0.78,"2026-07-04T00:00:00Z","Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-nation-to-reach-round-of-16",{"condition_id":788,"outcome":88,"usdc":789,"entry_price":790,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":791,"captured_at":403,"question":792,"event_slug":527,"category":406},"0x38219338712a8356b39fe2adcb159eb9c3b59a2423965261f208e16c63f67c0b",5.9185,0.89,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":794,"outcome":29,"usdc":795,"entry_price":796,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":565,"captured_at":403,"question":797,"event_slug":567,"category":38},"0x3910cb53f972d00c049ad674c1b183b375bd56786eb4c085ea217f84defdd1ca",169.15329,0.5955365540829415,"Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":799,"outcome":29,"usdc":800,"entry_price":801,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":802,"captured_at":403,"question":803,"event_slug":804,"category":406},"0x3d21868b367437f767b990e047bf9905a59eeb49b930f7537e4c4999bc29281f",18.514,0.6954921112,"2026-02-23T04:59:00Z","Will Mac Forehand (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?","winter-games-2026-ski-big-air-mens",{"condition_id":806,"outcome":29,"usdc":807,"entry_price":332,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":808,"captured_at":403,"question":809,"event_slug":810,"category":406},"0x404076fc9fc580c6766d9f434a847fbb750197d0da8340e36b845cf05494610a",141.85726,"2026-05-16T00:00:00Z","Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?","eurovision-2026-top-10",{"condition_id":812,"outcome":29,"usdc":813,"entry_price":814,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":815,"captured_at":403,"question":816,"event_slug":817,"category":38},"0x421bf4d42c7309fa60e9a97228043d7d9b4944f23eddaaa34cc7edce425fd7a4",183.32567,0.74,"2026-06-24T00:00:00Z","Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?","2026-nba-draft-2nd-overall-pick",{"condition_id":819,"outcome":29,"usdc":820,"entry_price":821,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":642,"captured_at":403,"question":822,"event_slug":823,"category":406},"0x426c59aaa55de56e2af6a9f9faeba1ecf0cdf361e3a86aaa2b39bdacc2512379",53.98649,0.25941341056995876,"Will Erling Haaland score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-erling-haaland-goals-20260611150914296",{"condition_id":825,"outcome":29,"usdc":826,"entry_price":827,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":808,"captured_at":403,"question":828,"event_slug":829,"category":406},"0x42b15a130a3faf475c6c23a8e451b6a03c742b7934c5b1c66c503c85b1b5c267",59.356,0.76,"Will Arsenal win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?","will-arsenal-win-the-2025-2026-fa-cup-188",{"condition_id":831,"outcome":88,"usdc":832,"entry_price":430,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":833,"captured_at":403,"question":834,"event_slug":835,"category":406},"0x43c65b8e05b1c04b83a3022e37c250f10334b4b0cb7a8f1594e2c4990d09de15",173.2416,"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?","serie-a-league-winner",{"condition_id":837,"outcome":29,"usdc":838,"entry_price":839,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":487,"captured_at":403,"question":840,"event_slug":779,"category":161},"0x43cbb41ed2b42c94ab66eb827032151f5ec52ffa32a9bf4e4456f42c7e022739",59.0476,0.8453486041517537,"Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?",{"condition_id":842,"outcome":29,"usdc":843,"entry_price":844,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":845,"captured_at":403,"question":846,"event_slug":847,"category":406},"0x43fc298278d86d695c8eea3fda1cf1118412e5339f1c8dfa1152808024c58c9b",46.72425,0.758979712,"2026-05-10T00:00:00Z","Will Marco Penge finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic?","2026-oneflight-myrtle-beach-classic-top20",{"condition_id":849,"outcome":29,"usdc":850,"entry_price":851,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":487,"captured_at":403,"question":852,"event_slug":853,"category":38},"0x4402736dd4b854aa8bc3140185bb9f090f18b292b94cc4f06147b7f31d710f9f",104.25,0.25,"Will Lindy Ruff win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?","nhl-2025-26-jack-adams-award",{"condition_id":855,"outcome":856,"usdc":857,"entry_price":858,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":859,"captured_at":403,"question":860,"event_slug":861,"category":406},"0x462edb8bb2014b15642f581b3b43fab2e9f37af8db367c0c399c43ff80352df1","Gabriella Fernandes",69.91,0.5,"2026-03-29T00:00:00Z","UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)","ufc-cas1-gab5-2026-03-28",{"condition_id":863,"outcome":88,"usdc":864,"entry_price":865,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":866,"captured_at":403,"question":867,"event_slug":868,"category":406},"0x46f5e45eeceee5858819542b423ed2df8084ecc6216d97701e377c2e3dc4bc9f",9.925,0.794,"2026-05-02","Will \"Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley\" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 2?","billboard-hot-100-1-song-week-of-may-2",{"condition_id":870,"outcome":29,"usdc":871,"entry_price":872,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":873,"captured_at":403,"question":874,"event_slug":875,"category":406},"0x4ac32c5a79012d5b409781fd2e7c6e6d6ca11891298b99c5a93d22e0444f2172",2515.1612999999998,0.7667730527758756,"2026-02-16T00:00:00Z","Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?","2026-nba-all-star-game-mvp-161",{"condition_id":877,"outcome":29,"usdc":878,"entry_price":879,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":880,"captured_at":403,"question":881,"event_slug":882,"category":38},"0x4ae4a0aecfc6479374c5a9a355f0f0cba2c0680dff010b48a2c8b380423efd05",140.30878,0.31,"2026-06-27T00:00:00Z","Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-group-i-winner",{"condition_id":884,"outcome":88,"usdc":885,"entry_price":886,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":626,"captured_at":403,"question":887,"event_slug":888,"category":406},"0x4ccddacc4840a0a88382c1eb90257f46a0637a86873c05e6b8607345a8152efb",2.6624,0.52,"Will A$AP Rocky be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?","who-will-be-on-the-vogue-best-dressed-list",{"condition_id":890,"outcome":29,"usdc":891,"entry_price":892,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":893,"captured_at":403,"question":894,"event_slug":895,"category":406},"0x4e1189ede414514511b396f81d8a10cc08334553e6d4109a481de8bbf06e5a11",155.2046,0.28127476033013654,"2026-03-01T00:00:00Z","Will Erin Doherty win Best Actress in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?","the-actor-awards-winner-best-actress-tv-movie-or-limited-series",{"condition_id":897,"outcome":88,"usdc":898,"entry_price":899,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":900,"captured_at":403,"question":901,"event_slug":902,"category":406},"0x4ebc8ff7103c8ea0f61c2b66d05afe9fbe29498c787771c14845c103ddec2244",40.733,0.31032302303419934,"2026-04-13T00:00:00Z","Will \"House Tour\" get between 14 and 15 million views in the first week?","of-views-of-sabrina-carpenters-house-tour-video-on-week-1",{"condition_id":904,"outcome":29,"usdc":905,"entry_price":906,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":480,"captured_at":403,"question":907,"event_slug":908,"category":38},"0x4f3421fb2daf5cca7430ed8d8132463963081572d75434393a1808fdb8829fe8",1154.67706,0.8970000000000001,"Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-winner",{"condition_id":910,"outcome":88,"usdc":885,"entry_price":886,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":626,"captured_at":403,"question":911,"event_slug":888,"category":406},"0x4ff966a29e83ed4ec6ce68f8175826dbcc0fd5d14840cd22ad6a064dfce2ad56","Will Bad Bunny be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?",{"condition_id":913,"outcome":29,"usdc":914,"entry_price":915,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":544,"captured_at":403,"question":916,"event_slug":917,"category":406},"0x504dfb9a0dc9d0f0a9ed2a298f1fcefe495f97c2d1332679da8e45a4fd09ddb5",1.002,0.003,"Will Adolescence win Best Producer of a TV Limited or Anthology Series at the 37th PGA Awards?","pga-awards-best-producer-winner-tv-limited-or-anthology-series",{"condition_id":919,"outcome":88,"usdc":920,"entry_price":921,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":487,"captured_at":403,"question":922,"event_slug":923,"category":161},"0x5074bb49c52a2d552bc45f044419f2168ade7cc5072762a47b257d076ca820bf",76.64705000000001,0.13224319824894754,"Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?","will-another-ai-generated-song-reach-number-1-on-any-billboard-chart-by-june-30",{"condition_id":925,"outcome":29,"usdc":926,"entry_price":927,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":928,"captured_at":403,"question":929,"event_slug":930,"category":406},"0x5208b74812a07f10e65d56dd32cf52b2b8a7a8cd812fa096e9aaac507ad04a0b",51.09496,0.192288725,"2026-02-22T00:00:00Z","Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?","2026-the-genesis-invitational-winner",{"condition_id":932,"outcome":88,"usdc":933,"entry_price":934,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":935,"captured_at":403,"question":936,"event_slug":937,"category":406},"0x55e11a17f478ce2322f0c6b7037a950089ab8572ac0882d8f162c67f42528b9a",199.9968,0.83,"2026-04-19T00:00:00Z","Will Justin Bieber feature Billie Eilish during his Coachella performances?","who-will-justin-bieber-feature-at-coachella",{"condition_id":939,"outcome":29,"usdc":940,"entry_price":941,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":411,"captured_at":403,"question":942,"event_slug":413,"category":38},"0x564c3ecfa3ea67af4523ac69ffc0403289dc622adde4f43006953940968546e6",115.43171,0.7100794241747332,"Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":944,"outcome":945,"usdc":946,"entry_price":947,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":948,"captured_at":403,"question":949,"event_slug":950,"category":406},"0x56947b146740d145037901ed76611ac388418f4573b6abc623e45e7238c26fde","Raptors",246.512,0.62,"2026-03-23T00:00:00Z","Raptors vs. Suns","nba-tor-phx-2026-03-22",{"condition_id":952,"outcome":29,"usdc":953,"entry_price":954,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":635,"captured_at":403,"question":955,"event_slug":956,"category":38},"0x58e514036d7a8ffcbde14a5c189d4282f837585656885d4856cec0a41349fe27",44.24813,0.2367166466,"Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?","nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals",{"condition_id":958,"outcome":88,"usdc":959,"entry_price":332,"won":12,"source":401,"end_date_iso":960,"captured_at":403,"question":961,"event_slug":962,"category":406},"0x5a497b6ef756ae62782d32300eb2b73a064ba25fe91133c06aa7a67ef76d9340",79.40331,"2026-07-07T00:00:00Z","FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?","fda-approves-daiichi-sankyo-astrazeneca-enhertu-07-07-2026",{"condition_id":964,"outcome":29,"usdc":965,"entry_price":966,"won":17,"source":401,"end_date_iso":967,"captured_at":403,"question":968,"event_slug":969,"category":38},"0x5afeea2584165f0bab7843452d49ff7b36f72808847feb75fab830e70943c5d7",42.91603,0.8136652687820053,"2026-06-17T00:00:00Z","Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?","nba-playoffs-finals-mvp",{"total":971,"wins":972},313,183,[974,980,985,990,994,999,1002],{"category":975,"n":976,"wins":977,"hitRate":978,"roi":979},"Other",171,103,0.6023391812865497,0.07026145028516546,{"category":38,"n":981,"wins":982,"hitRate":983,"roi":984},101,55,0.5445544554455446,0.13467164846907426,{"category":57,"n":986,"wins":987,"hitRate":988,"roi":989},21,13,0.6190476190476191,-0.03632995848971021,{"category":161,"n":991,"wins":322,"hitRate":992,"roi":993},11,0.8181818181818182,0.2674694643976623,{"category":178,"n":995,"wins":996,"hitRate":997,"roi":998},6,2,0.3333333333333333,-0.8932444360843246,{"category":1000,"n":996,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":1001},"Economy",-1,{"category":327,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":1003},0.26582278481012644,{"generatedAt":1005},"2026-11-07T15:54:18.541Z"]