[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x54dbe14d342f129be293df83a12515065b6c0174":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":336,"history":337,"resolved":347,"resolvedSummary":937,"specialization":940,"meta":968},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x54dbe14d342f129be293df83a12515065b6c0174",9027,4264,0.275797373358349,0.09675991228103248,0.1078514089643342,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-05T08:10:27.797Z",79.73842955300178,1.877495840266223,"2026-10-02T15:53:41.000Z",0,"trades",0.25640552457715843,0.019391848781191358,32898.82142643256,340004.6636139996,1.685744102402823,0.018779342723004695,[26,39,46,57,64,74,81,89,98,105,114,123,130,140,148,157,166,173,182,189,195,202,209,215,222,232,241,249,258,266,274,284,291,298,307,314,321,329],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"21058302503261525125327629133199769148550356389240468585374090790146589703420","0x242e95ad01b8317b1514da563a24b9f7b1187957820301508a86f5ce4a6155df","Yes",945.07,0.409,"2026-10-10T16:19:39.237Z","2026-10-05T13:08:36.780Z","Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?","when-will-the-danube-river-return-to-normal-levels-20260807212534133","2026-11-02T04:59:00Z","[\"0.19\", \"0.81\"]","Science",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":44,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":45,"category":38},"16571768774529771053834180768889530739279226357826426438662459965204508103912","0xa553b580b636c27bc8eeb11064ecb21538dac9cae5fe5b1a117b368d0893db3c",540.2,0.5164,"Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?","[\"0.738\", \"0.262\"]",{"token_id":47,"condition_id":48,"outcome":49,"size":50,"avg_price":51,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":52,"event_slug":53,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":55,"category":56},"4041991527409046423077351461613326687566920117354941158165210821199092333144","0xedd028cf89336792e18d4083f32648bf361c6cfe9729c3e91244f07f9771404e","No",250,0.9213,"Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?","will-epic-games-valuation-hit-by-december-31","2027-01-05T04:59:00Z","[\"0.064\", \"0.936\"]","Other",{"token_id":58,"condition_id":59,"outcome":49,"size":60,"avg_price":61,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":62,"event_slug":53,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":63,"category":56},"10583274140258354908819985785786606483313711451324503548018721478661081656491","0x36d026f8cc5ecbf3fafef7415912506bbc1d9e78290531e8fd238d0e7f1980f8",207.78,0.9099,"Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]",{"token_id":65,"condition_id":66,"outcome":49,"size":67,"avg_price":68,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":69,"event_slug":70,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":71,"outcome_prices":72,"category":73},"41118988104582701741274020017141552366128709659014548640125564372807575415070","0x3134aa55245447cb00d1c6af95a889f86824f4a1d1c941c2b7caa5b809d0f9e4",199.85,0.6635,"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,800,000 and 5,000,000?","michigan-senate-election-turnout","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.34\", \"0.66\"]","Politics",{"token_id":75,"condition_id":76,"outcome":49,"size":77,"avg_price":78,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":79,"event_slug":53,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":80,"category":56},"879143570048919760588954882417726702879658010248330047367356562979669534121","0xef2e2f0c487e99f5c9c7d370f4e37ac72c752d73873acc7d9478269055074b4f",190.9931,0.6273,"Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?","[\"0.135\", \"0.865\"]",{"token_id":82,"condition_id":83,"outcome":29,"size":84,"avg_price":85,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":86,"event_slug":87,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":88,"category":56},"47519233236077332348306103208543419059476844590788896310818213476970148138814","0xafa631fb5b20651b8f17eb149e80278ae678b9837c1c08ee0dae89dfbb15f3eb",583.92,0.1351,"Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?","will-stripes-valuation-hit-by-december-31","[\"0.05\", \"0.95\"]",{"token_id":90,"condition_id":91,"outcome":29,"size":92,"avg_price":93,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":94,"event_slug":95,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":96,"outcome_prices":97,"category":73},"62148730315619798082110552302876708342620909361551602855614720259265971037777","0x9f6dd5beb7c6137020180ddeff447cddd9c85e2d35165e42b2cddd511639791e",182.89,0.4142,"Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?","germany-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026","2026-10-30T06:00:00Z","[\"0.425\", \"0.575\"]",{"token_id":99,"condition_id":100,"outcome":29,"size":101,"avg_price":102,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":103,"event_slug":87,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":104,"category":56},"29962822070814990432473362315053236639911293441535122678223244135656387104374","0xc788aac61ac907d5625261c822e6f1c1353f7ee39e108eaeffb08145cced01c4",235.4,0.3058,"Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31?","[\"0.067\", \"0.933\"]",{"token_id":106,"condition_id":107,"outcome":29,"size":108,"avg_price":109,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":110,"event_slug":111,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":112,"outcome_prices":113,"category":56},"79269678076856501251553869217712304166797178270554278858221092084784684635505","0x2e5100b759d2e6da51f0d457028d8e42b833f4808edd8ff95e3d242aa1ef6102",992.78,0.0621,"Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?","will-revoluts-valuation-hit-by-december-31-20260701011444448","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.094\", \"0.906\"]",{"token_id":115,"condition_id":116,"outcome":49,"size":117,"avg_price":118,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":119,"event_slug":120,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":96,"outcome_prices":121,"category":122},"84186070434376545446543977008159179944073456102093823475332630998369893724825","0x06cc93321d0dcd37067fa2f8b1525b0c688887758b98982ff6fc6d68eb7331ef",69.44,0.6839,"Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?","eurozone-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026","[\"0.297\", \"0.703\"]","Economy",{"token_id":124,"condition_id":125,"outcome":29,"size":126,"avg_price":127,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":128,"event_slug":70,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":71,"outcome_prices":129,"category":73},"22268664559616334152950248130129800169022402412910957542974030563904228630810","0xd788324a006ccd4ceff0042f9c6915a5c9d53d14b8bd32c15084a5f199d5961a",184.76,0.1935,"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,600,000 and 4,800,000?","[\"0.225\", \"0.775\"]",{"token_id":131,"condition_id":132,"outcome":29,"size":133,"avg_price":134,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":135,"event_slug":136,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":137,"outcome_prices":138,"category":139},"1253784411034901624384838438079744067552854611268416006133878658719743556218","0x696576c9b20d20a71e0acd6f84d215f129fa361ed544b0df14f1ae540d84059f",199.9552,0.17,"Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?","2026-f1-drivers-champion","2026-12-06T00:00:00Z","[\"0.0135\", \"0.9865\"]","Sports",{"token_id":141,"condition_id":142,"outcome":49,"size":143,"avg_price":144,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":145,"event_slug":146,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":147,"category":56},"114973484118227793815545241122012985639899573502123700019283561171248113667821","0x8be4e240ce14fb0c952f3d98d748d4a1f93c97116cff5b9dba139d36f5387d7a",44.4,0.7609,"Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?","will-andurils-valuation-hit-by-december-31","[\"0.095\", \"0.905\"]",{"token_id":149,"condition_id":150,"outcome":29,"size":151,"avg_price":152,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":153,"event_slug":154,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":155,"outcome_prices":156,"category":122},"58884144594580042563372198820497497192697631032016162775180171730944301040415","0x21a83ad85d5579df54f4659abf1a4e7722156b0b04204e77ecfa6c3533ceb5e5",206.93,0.156,"Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?","how-high-will-us-unemployment-go-in-2026","2027-02-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.0245\", \"0.9755\"]",{"token_id":158,"condition_id":159,"outcome":49,"size":160,"avg_price":161,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":162,"event_slug":163,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":164,"outcome_prices":165,"category":139},"77786263936218729647188762649762726976155468080228257575351969994227775021183","0xf18229a2300bfa2c77baf1162c2294f93a8003173e63776f5c99e016715b0dae",40,0.76,"Will Hungary win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?","uefa-nations-league-2026-27-group-b2-winner","2026-12-02T04:59:00Z","[\"0.505\", \"0.495\"]",{"token_id":167,"condition_id":168,"outcome":29,"size":169,"avg_price":170,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":171,"event_slug":95,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":96,"outcome_prices":172,"category":73},"51428380888558386954554804007495706447700006849650608685012940717390977530925","0xea85911681fd5c5cff07105cfa05ce5a3e9c26ef72c70333469d54d326f375a0",169.99,0.1682,"Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?","[\"0.435\", \"0.565\"]",{"token_id":174,"condition_id":175,"outcome":49,"size":176,"avg_price":177,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":178,"event_slug":179,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":180,"category":181},"42226658475964306182051587264384217746558207355298213200842671722619529156641","0x1cdf9c66acd6c4ab6fb052627a86950c4dc6773ab6b22e96b38c32cc924689bb",104,0.2687,"Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?","will-krakens-valuation-hit-by-december-31","[\"0.5\", \"0.5\"]","Crypto",{"token_id":183,"condition_id":184,"outcome":49,"size":185,"avg_price":186,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":187,"event_slug":70,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":71,"outcome_prices":188,"category":73},"32600981881036181911706433804051876554488536997347101693421954172530946987716","0x6d46f7e699228cff278eb2c50ade933a9404bea3ef0e139dccdd3e50685cedee",32.13,0.8063,"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,400,000 and 4,600,000?","[\"0.23\", \"0.77\"]",{"token_id":190,"condition_id":191,"outcome":29,"size":192,"avg_price":193,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":194,"event_slug":95,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":96,"outcome_prices":147,"category":73},"59293003763516043146850019052487590233903175038387614953804756749381462454710","0xf4e99334c332f9c0f37834492fdfba79d910748d9ee24f8e356839b8c928cad8",154.85,0.1607,"Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?",{"token_id":196,"condition_id":197,"outcome":29,"size":198,"avg_price":199,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":200,"event_slug":53,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":201,"category":56},"74086077165937602671133072430278123925794182890615970839420658965861171777896","0xa6930fadb08512d5f798c2d474493af6d609ba246d43966cdf11af475b139dd6",57.98,0.2748,"Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by December 31?","[\"0.17\", \"0.83\"]",{"token_id":203,"condition_id":204,"outcome":49,"size":205,"avg_price":206,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":207,"event_slug":53,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":208,"category":56},"65128339646526533055233858942136405694447981536836687297605680463854739922575","0x62652d209f0456b8aa860e47aa173525beec9df67dcc2d227c3c98bb32fb6688",16,0.9,"Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?","[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]",{"token_id":210,"condition_id":211,"outcome":29,"size":212,"avg_price":213,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":214,"event_slug":111,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":112,"outcome_prices":188,"category":56},"8354809443796593328842556483063664947784224994035887301755402201283036613356","0xb388ab10e56366b7d75c7ad6b0d60f12ae75b2bedf00c0c1ee9e7657273ab495",64.54,0.1681,"Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?",{"token_id":216,"condition_id":217,"outcome":29,"size":218,"avg_price":219,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":220,"event_slug":111,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":112,"outcome_prices":221,"category":56},"53986143973987430568045497488654751886168918904824729330975106754815242504641","0x0a7ac525d52622be9194bdc03333fe161c30cfae1ea2444bc1b3aa8fcef8f963",32.25,0.2399,"Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by December 31?","[\"0.047\", \"0.953\"]",{"token_id":223,"condition_id":224,"outcome":49,"size":225,"avg_price":226,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":227,"question":228,"event_slug":229,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":230,"outcome_prices":231,"category":73},"41029742048517428808038371266056636880824099079003692675981833469226359542410","0xfbcc2861e7cdb24eeaca84847552566d4b43ff921c93c544ef88304be8c984b5",10,0.64,"2026-10-07T22:47:49.676Z","Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?","serbia-parliamentary-election-turnout","2026-10-25T23:59:00Z","[\"0.355\", \"0.645\"]",{"token_id":233,"condition_id":234,"outcome":49,"size":235,"avg_price":236,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":237,"event_slug":238,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":239,"outcome_prices":240,"category":73},"20864024476938080516448682935896073450296940411087988126316219988191281881256","0x64a772f00736aecef6a6729012b85464a36df4ea85d1c3bcf3cbbdcb77edd0f7",5,0.994,"Will Khatt Ahmar win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?","lebanon-parliamentary-election-winner","2026-05-11T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",{"token_id":242,"condition_id":243,"outcome":49,"size":235,"avg_price":244,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":245,"event_slug":246,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":247,"outcome_prices":248,"category":181},"44020894143429291435765313920570636537547227867267163638960074550696342100042","0xe326d1abf5fb59b82ecfdff3348e75f90561eace327ba1bdc8d38d045ddbe775",0.971,"Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027","2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","[\"0.0085\", \"0.9915\"]",{"token_id":250,"condition_id":251,"outcome":29,"size":252,"avg_price":253,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":254,"event_slug":255,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":256,"outcome_prices":257,"category":139},"88939584992515608104688568316391325229968978407433925585981826932677421526486","0x0a414278ebacd9f387cbe86ba26148ac81b3288a8ebcacb00fdb0f1506a27d4d",637.26,0.0058,"Will Hungary win the UEFA EURO 2028?","uefa-euro-2028-winner-20260720162754434","","[\"0.004\", \"0.996\"]",{"token_id":259,"condition_id":260,"outcome":29,"size":261,"avg_price":262,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":263,"event_slug":264,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":71,"outcome_prices":265,"category":73},"21920931983169136859588503013642514899063063182431071988397227884923766152683","0x683b5985f2b9efb0beed2bdfd6a733bc22a5350d53a8e6c58dab83d63e1fbb4b",25.11,0.1238,"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 400,000 and 430,000?","hawaii-governor-election-turnout","[\"0.242\", \"0.758\"]",{"token_id":267,"condition_id":268,"outcome":29,"size":269,"avg_price":270,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":271,"event_slug":272,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":112,"outcome_prices":273,"category":122},"40193461750821259928105886381670033711209494984518857437883682340481793796856","0x4d92632a8f30a2c1bd7cfca50093715f6270542c681466483c9f3193be15cda0",15,0.1699,"Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?","will-ground-beef-hit-in-2026","[\"0.175\", \"0.825\"]",{"token_id":275,"condition_id":276,"outcome":29,"size":277,"avg_price":278,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":279,"event_slug":280,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":281,"outcome_prices":282,"category":283},"74417679919851085129574901164944021712392668863610689400583638442888187013059","0xdb7f5d087244f97c68eae7d3251fc1117a57aa508dfdbe2c76ef8ec8fbaeb154",208.83,0.0111,"Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be $2.50T or more?","what-will-anthropics-ipo-valuation-be","2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.04\", \"0.96\"]","Tech",{"token_id":285,"condition_id":286,"outcome":29,"size":287,"avg_price":288,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":289,"event_slug":70,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":71,"outcome_prices":290,"category":73},"1652166904332028402145459932070972255131913594945402503391593208457363245119","0x285e75fbfe042713a54d4afe2e616a13a20dcdb30dbb217f0e2c244b23502dfe",28,0.0659,"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,200,000 and 4,400,000?","[\"0.0525\", \"0.9475\"]",{"token_id":292,"condition_id":293,"outcome":29,"size":294,"avg_price":295,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":296,"event_slug":70,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":71,"outcome_prices":297,"category":73},"73119020821675582805849852738992783632363317596983619780930414994866570123791","0xb856c5a6868af2076ef4ca03c8b7323211d9b681b0bff85eb5f660b7b3185e9e",15.2,0.1099,"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 5,400,000 and 5,600,000?","[\"0.0395\", \"0.9605\"]",{"token_id":299,"condition_id":300,"outcome":29,"size":301,"avg_price":302,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":303,"event_slug":304,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":305,"outcome_prices":306,"category":139},"34543076628542107176412486475172124244577788360498934384949744042665496881025","0x6702ea464d4e4fd3bec6b888ec44cb0aa5f4e2b24c6fe0a28c42f25445dc6e26",25,0.04,"Will Ferencvárosi TC be relegated from the 2026-27 NB I (Hungary)?","nb-i-hungary-teams-relegated-2026-27","2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.1305\", \"0.8695\"]",{"token_id":308,"condition_id":309,"outcome":29,"size":310,"avg_price":311,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":312,"event_slug":70,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":71,"outcome_prices":313,"category":73},"89061180850906880145065051278111407866315066725863959533168217852569097085411","0x1d8a94a9c2305b4c4a5770eb93c1e401eea15a21eb3e61a2dad543ec39448966",25.01,0.0372,"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 5,000,000 and 5,200,000?","[\"0.105\", \"0.895\"]",{"token_id":315,"condition_id":316,"outcome":29,"size":317,"avg_price":318,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":319,"event_slug":120,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":96,"outcome_prices":320,"category":122},"55221675814564500920295259822221319489976622937690553551966430167704403296668","0x7a8741e796b721d5867d28881d891ca22c744f905b4d98a11d0987b7a8a6dc3d",50,0.0169,"Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?","[\"0.103\", \"0.897\"]",{"token_id":322,"condition_id":323,"outcome":29,"size":324,"avg_price":325,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":326,"event_slug":327,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":71,"outcome_prices":328,"category":73},"29143910649116581245922017588441923403206882480371123236935716549429528597259","0xe12c986016db05dcf416e241df81153d080f538aa0efc786ad93b68647c99ddd",2.71,0.0699,"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,600,000 and 2,750,000?","arizona-governor-election-turnout","[\"0.345\", \"0.655\"]",{"token_id":330,"condition_id":331,"outcome":49,"size":332,"avg_price":17,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":333,"event_slug":334,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":335,"outcome_prices":180,"category":283},"78834503702616957223823873105901868212327644129027517962227747354957882818581","0x3e9cfc2fb641cea085698aed16a8b9cfd2ff127e54c93e8f8b2af618701a9141",109.62,"Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?","will-neuralinks-valuation-hit-by-december-31","2027-01-01T13:00:00Z",[],[338,345],{"recorded_date":339,"roi":340,"win_rate":341,"brier_score":342,"p_value":343,"resolved_trades":344,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-23",0.1074771046229773,0.25842696629213485,0.10057001505434106,0.28459999999999996,623,{"recorded_date":346,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-05",[348,355,364,371,378,386,389,396,399,405,412,419,426,433,440,443,448,455,462,469,475,481,487,490,496,503,506,512,518,521,528,535,542,549,554,561,568,575,582,585,592,599,604,610,613,618,623,630,637,644,650,656,662,667,673,680,687,693,700,707,712,717,722,729,736,741,747,753,759,762,769,775,782,785,792,798,805,811,818,824,830,833,839,845,851,856,862,869,876,882,888,895,900,903,910,916,919,924,927,932],{"condition_id":349,"outcome":49,"usdc":350,"entry_price":351,"won":17,"source":352,"end_date_iso":335,"captured_at":353,"question":354,"event_slug":334,"category":283},"0x4c9782e6a1447db0fadcfd2459e9c78005b5fe40f0254d303a6e2bb2d08b3ae4",52.349996,0.3331,"live","2026-10-05T19:18:06.451Z","Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?",{"condition_id":356,"outcome":29,"usdc":357,"entry_price":358,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":360,"captured_at":13,"question":361,"event_slug":362,"category":363},"0x0048608a8b88f997ef31d1d20bbf694c023e9af774373a87a8e2a1ba7ce54024",3.18846,0.0318846,"backfill","2025-10-03T00:00:00Z","Will SPOLU get more than 26% of the vote in the Czech election?","spolu-of-vote-in-czech-election",null,{"condition_id":365,"outcome":29,"usdc":366,"entry_price":367,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":368,"captured_at":13,"question":369,"event_slug":370,"category":363},"0x00b2f3ec7c5092fab8fb54ae2451f888266d3c365742d865e07dcfc4a8c1eac0",1.07242,0.001,"2025-06-30T12:00:00Z","Will 9 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?","how-many-constitutional-court-justices-will-vote-for-yoons-impeachment",{"condition_id":372,"outcome":29,"usdc":373,"entry_price":374,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":375,"captured_at":13,"question":376,"event_slug":377,"category":122},"0x00d4c6a804afb58a85945f5233bbede95817f70f78a6a2ca99e072b451acda06",3.03691,0.025,"2026-10-11T03:59:00Z","Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?","what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-on-september-30-20260630175540363",{"condition_id":379,"outcome":49,"usdc":380,"entry_price":381,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":383,"question":384,"event_slug":385,"category":363},"0x01510d4f36a4055795345072479f71f432533d2c2bf2f3265eaa142d34306914",76.84,0.7684,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","2026-09-23T04:35:28.626Z","Will Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?","will-fidesz-kdnp-win-70-84-seats-in-the-hungarian-national-assembly-in-this-election",{"condition_id":379,"outcome":29,"usdc":387,"entry_price":388,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":383,"question":384,"event_slug":385,"category":363},19.7145,0.15,{"condition_id":390,"outcome":49,"usdc":391,"entry_price":392,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":393,"captured_at":13,"question":394,"event_slug":395,"category":363},"0x01b8a3a88a9ebe4f1bbb35ebfa6a170be07ef5b446c0dd2992c02f883f944ae9",173.44767000000002,0.13130028011566994,"2025-09-16T12:00:00Z","Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?","malawi-presidential-election-981",{"condition_id":390,"outcome":29,"usdc":397,"entry_price":398,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":393,"captured_at":13,"question":394,"event_slug":395,"category":363},151.00885,0.8934377588465565,{"condition_id":400,"outcome":29,"usdc":401,"entry_price":402,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":375,"captured_at":13,"question":403,"event_slug":404,"category":122},"0x024b184254723f13652343b7a78a9c1148a0c625b6a2beb9190198eaf0d7f326",3.87499,0.062,"Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $330,000 and $335,000 on September 30?","what-will-the-median-home-value-in-chicago-metro-be-on-september-30-20260630182405995",{"condition_id":406,"outcome":29,"usdc":407,"entry_price":408,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":409,"captured_at":13,"question":410,"event_slug":411,"category":363},"0x024be9f69c53bd390e9c8c07e91b65051802213706c8b547c924ddc46eb4329b",415.4631,0.32959136560521685,"2025-10-11T00:00:00Z","Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?","seychelles-presidential-election",{"condition_id":413,"outcome":29,"usdc":414,"entry_price":415,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":416,"captured_at":383,"question":417,"event_slug":418,"category":283},"0x024c5ee74cae1007aba2b0975f4a74602d89821290934a7f98a56fad076574c5",3.11553,0.009605776,"2026-08-01T12:00:00Z","Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by June 30?","will-databricks-valuation-hit-by-june-30",{"condition_id":420,"outcome":29,"usdc":421,"entry_price":422,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":423,"captured_at":13,"question":424,"event_slug":425,"category":363},"0x02555b5d8a0c65100b5d66df06a93ec0e05f917444b3bbd7a4709114eb1e3ec7",49.999763,0.05,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","Will Orbán flip Magyar for Next Hungary PM by Jan 31?","will-orbn-flip-magyar-for-next-hungary-pm-by-jan-31",{"condition_id":427,"outcome":29,"usdc":428,"entry_price":429,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":430,"captured_at":13,"question":431,"event_slug":432,"category":363},"0x026dcea519a3b1e8d8722d3e3298d3d8d1ad98658aa17de6b584134e59988fed",47,0.0783333333,"2025-04-28T12:00:00Z","Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?","which-party-wins-most-seats-in-british-columbia",{"condition_id":434,"outcome":49,"usdc":435,"entry_price":436,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":437,"captured_at":13,"question":438,"event_slug":439,"category":363},"0x02a6b90d963006e8b37509f70b50e31a48c0fda466dd8acb00ae2157c8d8da02",2,0.0009999999999999998,"2025-05-03T12:00:00Z","Will the Labor Party win by 40 or more seats?","australia-election-of-seats-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":434,"outcome":29,"usdc":441,"entry_price":442,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":437,"captured_at":13,"question":438,"event_slug":439,"category":363},34.75826,0.029698015205188017,{"condition_id":444,"outcome":29,"usdc":235,"entry_price":367,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":445,"captured_at":13,"question":446,"event_slug":447,"category":363},"0x03a0393804923ef3a9a4a82ead4a6fa53050a72412041d25714486efc34ec1ca","2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","Will Mircea Geoană win the Romanian presidential election?","romania-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":449,"outcome":49,"usdc":450,"entry_price":451,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":452,"captured_at":13,"question":453,"event_slug":454,"category":363},"0x049332e811622215eb02c4d94b0c439d250be5e8cee339759f679fdf9df9e667",60.929995,0.8323235393,"2025-02-12T12:00:00Z","Will egg prices be between $4.50-4.75 for January?","price-of-dozen-eggs-in-january",{"condition_id":456,"outcome":49,"usdc":457,"entry_price":458,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":459,"captured_at":13,"question":460,"event_slug":461,"category":363},"0x04eb90471a345697fb600e83ed6c2204e4df37a990dba0516438c1bc118da3ef",23,0.46,"2025-05-17T12:00:00Z","Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?","eurovision-2025-top-10",{"condition_id":463,"outcome":29,"usdc":464,"entry_price":465,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":466,"captured_at":13,"question":467,"event_slug":468,"category":363},"0x067909f05e7d984c11a70920e3bc1a3557caff03caf535b3e49591078ab5c669",8.18718,0.0272143997,"2025-04-06T12:00:00Z","Will Siumut win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?","greenland-parliamentary-election-winner",{"condition_id":470,"outcome":49,"usdc":471,"entry_price":472,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":459,"captured_at":13,"question":473,"event_slug":474,"category":363},"0x0684e62941f1f498a6835bee5a7d1d847e1351e04742c6a3dac0f295c0d8e1a3",134.0768,0.35145560827282496,"Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?","eurovision-2025-top-5",{"condition_id":476,"outcome":29,"usdc":477,"entry_price":478,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":383,"question":479,"event_slug":480,"category":363},"0x068d4f079da544e312b1a7b86e2c5dd39d3fc6a0f5a21b0ec866d1ff34767839",93.21366,0.002,"Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?","next-prime-minister-of-hungary",{"condition_id":482,"outcome":49,"usdc":483,"entry_price":484,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":383,"question":485,"event_slug":486,"category":363},"0x06cbe9884935977c5b3a0f17fe15c27bddaec24212b462b6bde1aadf64616d3b",315.35775,0.8981224902,"Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?","hungary-parliamentary-election-popular-vote-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":482,"outcome":29,"usdc":488,"entry_price":489,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":383,"question":485,"event_slug":486,"category":363},9.67765,0.03604741684648564,{"condition_id":491,"outcome":29,"usdc":492,"entry_price":493,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":494,"captured_at":383,"question":495,"event_slug":363,"category":363},"0x07035eda9ce99df9e9d8b3be5e2400200e1abdb73794e1ba7ca3f4b0efec68d4",0.05159,0.003,"2026-07-19T00:00:00Z","Will Saudi Arabia be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?",{"condition_id":497,"outcome":49,"usdc":498,"entry_price":499,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":500,"captured_at":13,"question":501,"event_slug":502,"category":363},"0x07e1d6a82e49edcb37c965e0ac07a9045213fd9a5ae0035792b8df1c24024941",21.4831,0.6932268474,"2025-05-04T12:00:00Z","Will Crin Antonescu win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?","romania-presidential-election-1st-round-2nd-place",{"condition_id":497,"outcome":29,"usdc":504,"entry_price":505,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":500,"captured_at":13,"question":501,"event_slug":502,"category":363},171.7838,0.040905969306676074,{"condition_id":507,"outcome":49,"usdc":508,"entry_price":509,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":437,"captured_at":13,"question":510,"event_slug":511,"category":363},"0x08121291cd61eaea56d62dda92b80a1a5aa80d99fdf210343713902561a8939b",564.4339929999999,0.06936018467464904,"Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor majority?","next-government-of-australia",{"condition_id":513,"outcome":49,"usdc":514,"entry_price":515,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":430,"captured_at":13,"question":516,"event_slug":517,"category":363},"0x09c314ec8306ecadfd263d7fdef1425a44791547474a92be675c70ae451277ad",280,0.7,"Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?","will-the-conservative-party-win-a-majority-in-next-canadian-election",{"condition_id":251,"outcome":29,"usdc":519,"entry_price":520,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":256,"captured_at":13,"question":254,"event_slug":255,"category":139},3.94642,0.00589957,{"condition_id":522,"outcome":29,"usdc":523,"entry_price":524,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":525,"captured_at":13,"question":526,"event_slug":527,"category":363},"0x0ac65a2b4fa8f77699790ab9d5419dbe32df13a5230597165a4a3b1c6f2f95ca",32.13158,0.1106002341,"2025-05-07T12:00:00Z","Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 90m and 100m views in first 24 hours?","of-views-of-gta-vi-trailer-2-on-day-1",{"condition_id":529,"outcome":29,"usdc":530,"entry_price":531,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":532,"captured_at":13,"question":533,"event_slug":534,"category":122},"0x0af5998d2ce2b987b0d0ef173806262fdef42a47f92be69905fb3733268096b1",5.34878,0.010606875988162578,"2026-09-30T04:00:00Z","Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,185,000 and $1,201,000 on September 30?","what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-los-angeles-metro-area-be-on-september-30-20260630173100174",{"condition_id":536,"outcome":29,"usdc":537,"entry_price":538,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":539,"captured_at":13,"question":540,"event_slug":541,"category":363},"0x0b15ff57f3289e6caa2d1239ce963949c593119a987e41d05c185a49e97b18ff",31.16,0.41,"2025-10-25T00:00:00Z","Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?","how-fast-will-diplo-run-5k",{"condition_id":543,"outcome":29,"usdc":544,"entry_price":545,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":546,"captured_at":13,"question":547,"event_slug":548,"category":363},"0x0b5812b8c3ac02d3b0d13fef6d6c93a03ad7791f3e2d13519599e67aa71f08ee",2705.2551299999996,0.6732722749865665,"2025-05-18T12:00:00Z","Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?","turnout-in-2025-romanian-presindetial-election",{"condition_id":550,"outcome":29,"usdc":551,"entry_price":493,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":360,"captured_at":13,"question":552,"event_slug":553,"category":363},"0x0b898c6c65bfa2da37c7bb7619b03f70787e05079bc71f320ae1ec9394ba38c5",6,"Will turnout be more than 69% in the Czech election?","turnout-in-2025-czech-parliamentary-election",{"condition_id":555,"outcome":49,"usdc":556,"entry_price":557,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":558,"captured_at":13,"question":559,"event_slug":560,"category":363},"0x0b8eab47b1b1a6043ff2f8041d94f24deb5f653bfa47511577d74ce34e73491b",32.16397,0.0299497826,"2026-01-25T00:00:00Z","Will António José Seguro win the first round?","portuguese-presidential-election-margin-of-victory-first-round",{"condition_id":562,"outcome":49,"usdc":563,"entry_price":564,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":565,"captured_at":13,"question":566,"event_slug":567,"category":363},"0x0baf3814110ca0fadb695964d1b876d5a45e273bc64fb31818f69cc8cb1f342b",30.864,0.16,"2025-01-20T12:00:00Z","Will $Trump FDV be $15b or more on inauguration day?","trump-fdv-at-noon-on-inauguration-day",{"condition_id":569,"outcome":49,"usdc":570,"entry_price":571,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":572,"captured_at":13,"question":573,"event_slug":574,"category":363},"0x0bb0c2f605d342f1d01d3406c4ee5973a073fdc35bde91f663b64a97d56bc50b",143.0958,0.3635471659670435,"2025-09-08T00:00:00Z","Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be between 78 and 81%?","turnout-in-2025-norwegian-parliamentary-election",{"condition_id":576,"outcome":49,"usdc":577,"entry_price":578,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":579,"captured_at":13,"question":580,"event_slug":581,"category":363},"0x0c3b65c7bb09f687af5c85265f49a6aa6fcf8cea3c0406f963eb82a6f58dc41e",1151.7156,0.5193616407223507,"2025-10-19T00:00:00Z","Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?","bolivia-presidential-election-margin-of-victory-945",{"condition_id":576,"outcome":29,"usdc":583,"entry_price":584,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":579,"captured_at":13,"question":580,"event_slug":581,"category":363},3332.8512,0.5938159141922139,{"condition_id":586,"outcome":29,"usdc":587,"entry_price":588,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":589,"captured_at":13,"question":590,"event_slug":591,"category":363},"0x0cd8956162258e0f603f17b6f2b6ac39f5a718fe485f85b3d3feaf9ca14e3e5e",9.38588,0.0327502006,"2025-01-24T12:00:00Z","Will $MELANIA FDV be $13-15b on Friday?","melania-fdv-on-friday",{"condition_id":593,"outcome":29,"usdc":594,"entry_price":595,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":596,"captured_at":13,"question":597,"event_slug":598,"category":363},"0x0d18a0004df16e111aa2cbcd00014abd86a665fcfa18cc4fdf6094e5e113741b",6.517,0.049,"2025-02-01T12:00:00Z","Will $Trump FDV be $5-10b on Feb 1?","trump-fdv-on-february-1",{"condition_id":600,"outcome":29,"usdc":601,"entry_price":602,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":383,"question":603,"event_slug":486,"category":363},"0x0d1ed5cdd7aabd05268b337833c5f78c310abef413be3c32a8d6fcf45ecdbb86",267.2706,0.09851369133973159,"Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?",{"condition_id":605,"outcome":49,"usdc":606,"entry_price":607,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":335,"captured_at":13,"question":608,"event_slug":609,"category":283},"0x0d28984b01986db6824df82fbcebbf3cba7f830923fc28fe8658598e93d10a0f",695.41567,0.7711600478923988,"Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?","will-databricks-valuation-hit-by-december-31",{"condition_id":605,"outcome":29,"usdc":611,"entry_price":612,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":335,"captured_at":13,"question":608,"event_slug":609,"category":283},212.89085,0.19209692867296335,{"condition_id":614,"outcome":29,"usdc":615,"entry_price":616,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":383,"question":617,"event_slug":486,"category":363},"0x0d896c47968d9e437057fc62f874f4d527abd43e91c2e5950cfead58d9c23ff6",3,0.12,"Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?",{"condition_id":619,"outcome":29,"usdc":620,"entry_price":478,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":445,"captured_at":13,"question":621,"event_slug":622,"category":363},"0x0db97c58a92b3c670f4cbd78aaeec37d96a25784d50ad5482ea39a1627f59004",0.11741399999999999,"Will the next Pope be trans?","will-the-next-pope-be-trans",{"condition_id":624,"outcome":29,"usdc":625,"entry_price":626,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":627,"captured_at":13,"question":628,"event_slug":629,"category":363},"0x0dd0257b0ad8f5472831335cca9b369fc5e9df44dc2f9bbdc3822d269e828415",41.6636,0.02019191811556766,"2025-04-07T12:00:00Z","Will 'Minecraft' gross between 48-64m on opening weekend?","minecraft-opening-weekend-box-office",{"condition_id":631,"outcome":49,"usdc":632,"entry_price":633,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":634,"captured_at":13,"question":635,"event_slug":636,"category":363},"0x0e05e0150c23d2c0d616ef70b19e0b6e6590e73c6ea9307f68057ca63f32d10b",413.2233,0.5305420673539871,"2026-01-01T05:00:00Z","Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?","lighter-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch",{"condition_id":638,"outcome":29,"usdc":639,"entry_price":640,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":641,"captured_at":13,"question":642,"event_slug":643,"category":363},"0x0e13edb4717e0e99e672de5c35e4c50dc40ad4a3ea129a30df721f903e23941b",31.47032,0.0193036288,"2026-03-01T05:00:00Z","Will Solana dip to $30 in February?","what-price-will-solana-hit-in-february-2026",{"condition_id":645,"outcome":29,"usdc":646,"entry_price":134,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":647,"captured_at":13,"question":648,"event_slug":649,"category":363},"0x0e3163a3447e628f519c168c01c9e97cabaabefd72e2a7e8b2924e78dd38a829",3.4,"2025-04-18T12:00:00Z","Will the Liberal party lead by 7-8% on April 18?","liberal-vs-conservative-polling-margin-next-friday",{"condition_id":651,"outcome":49,"usdc":652,"entry_price":653,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":572,"captured_at":13,"question":654,"event_slug":655,"category":363},"0x0e49ff4c72a7a708a63c470df73e08841a3e033bd66cd1ccbd056bb6eddb13ec",106.968,0.08,"Will FrP win the second most seats in the Norway election?","which-party-wins-2nd-most-seats-in-norway-election",{"condition_id":657,"outcome":49,"usdc":658,"entry_price":659,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":459,"captured_at":13,"question":660,"event_slug":661,"category":363},"0x0e987e9475018409854fe479e7afa3c86ef9eb6745e58a056c5c4548ea77c97f",36.042227,0.4200000009282214,"Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?","eurovision-winner-2025",{"condition_id":663,"outcome":29,"usdc":302,"entry_price":478,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":664,"captured_at":13,"question":665,"event_slug":666,"category":363},"0x0f94d61a990743f72d1c324b8cf6b039aa84ef03fdf04dfbb4f5ab895cc63c23","2025-04-13T12:00:00Z","Will Luisa González win by 8% or more?","ecuador-presidential-election-margin-of-victory-1",{"condition_id":668,"outcome":49,"usdc":669,"entry_price":670,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":247,"captured_at":13,"question":671,"event_slug":672,"category":181},"0x10056bb14258ba15972fb35e797fb55b13296aa292cfcc66434f5150620856e4",24.14955,0.3994962779,"Will Hyperliquid reach $38 by December 31, 2026?","what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-before-2027",{"condition_id":674,"outcome":29,"usdc":675,"entry_price":676,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":677,"captured_at":13,"question":678,"event_slug":679,"category":363},"0x11008457c0a9dafe4cea44d8758e6673819740264e6fbb2d258a8c66035ba425",1.19849,0.0083904369,"2026-01-18T00:00:00Z","Will António José Seguro win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?","antnio-jos-seguro-vote-share-in-portuguese-presidential-first-round",{"condition_id":681,"outcome":49,"usdc":682,"entry_price":683,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":684,"captured_at":383,"question":685,"event_slug":686,"category":283},"0x1181a2844bb0f2dc46fb735c69491f0c912b22f3e8c8c6777d9fe99ca955e45a",321.07835,0.0673160706464233,"2026-07-01T00:00:00Z","Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?","will-spacexs-valuation-hit-high-1pt6t-by-june-30",{"condition_id":688,"outcome":29,"usdc":689,"entry_price":134,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":690,"captured_at":13,"question":691,"event_slug":692,"category":363},"0x11b59fbee3f0c904b1b35e87e6ff9f88e8d01a1c0777901daef3b784be7d0100",1.7,"2025-09-28T00:00:00Z","Will PAS win by between 8-12% of the vote?","pas-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":694,"outcome":29,"usdc":695,"entry_price":696,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":697,"captured_at":383,"question":698,"event_slug":699,"category":363},"0x11becc931a567c668301bd5317e66211b9ad494b11fa85bb8fa0f4d00902f748",69.92192000000001,0.06704922060397266,"2026-09-13T00:00:00Z","Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?","sweden-parliamentary-election-sd-vote-share-20260812172636420",{"condition_id":701,"outcome":29,"usdc":702,"entry_price":703,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":13,"question":705,"event_slug":706,"category":363},"0x12003344a467b01d6ee9e1e581623c67d7433813a38a8115aa83915065e1ef5d",74.7,0.83,"2025-06-05T12:00:00Z","Will the National Council for the Defense of Democracy – Forces for the Defense of Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Burundian parliamentary election?","burundi-parliamentary-election-winner",{"condition_id":708,"outcome":29,"usdc":709,"entry_price":710,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":452,"captured_at":13,"question":711,"event_slug":454,"category":363},"0x122ba4bb662dbc9a73e61ec15d7d261f80a5437e897f9739467d7b18db3460b0",123.7,0.24254901960784314,"Will egg prices be greater than $5 for January?",{"condition_id":713,"outcome":29,"usdc":714,"entry_price":715,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":579,"captured_at":13,"question":716,"event_slug":581,"category":363},"0x12335d506ec9b1cfaba764484caea32584746a7dda8f9f2d63b661a2d70f4c45",1.1466,0.028,"Will Jorge \"Tuto\" Quiroga win by 15–20%?",{"condition_id":718,"outcome":29,"usdc":719,"entry_price":720,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":383,"question":721,"event_slug":486,"category":363},"0x12b2a643d1162782fb06bd21830af563f73bc5af1c70755c7ed0fe81d67427aa",190.90607,0.061336465925874877,"Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?",{"condition_id":723,"outcome":29,"usdc":724,"entry_price":725,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":726,"captured_at":13,"question":727,"event_slug":728,"category":363},"0x12c486d0a004da8f1749e472ab80f63d27ec7a2bd1c78f0e436f56222ee0ee63",63.4557,0.21,"2025-02-23T12:00:00Z","Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?","afd-of-vote-in-german-election-2-brackets",{"condition_id":730,"outcome":29,"usdc":731,"entry_price":732,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":733,"captured_at":13,"question":734,"event_slug":735,"category":363},"0x14471b8ba9899211f6a66fcab32fc5d05333a739d4a9da01b4280849d795cc24",301.29882,0.0556193318914553,"2025-06-01T12:00:00Z","Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?","poland-presidential-election-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":737,"outcome":49,"usdc":738,"entry_price":739,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":383,"question":740,"event_slug":480,"category":363},"0x1480b819d03d4b6388d70e848b0384adf38c38d955cb783cdbcf6d4a436dee14",12899.076824000002,0.4229641341761903,"Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?",{"condition_id":742,"outcome":49,"usdc":743,"entry_price":744,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":360,"captured_at":13,"question":745,"event_slug":746,"category":363},"0x14a9d4bd87d741b3d0e1737a9c59987c5c76629c3a71e6b3927da44e41c64bd2",503.69280000000003,0.5214804998920208,"Will SPD get between 10% and 13% of the vote in the Czech election?","spd-of-vote-in-czech-election",{"condition_id":748,"outcome":49,"usdc":749,"entry_price":750,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":13,"question":751,"event_slug":752,"category":363},"0x14e084f7ef784233a8f42ce3bc24826b958798bca1dbf009bbe169535cf2a170",69,0.69,"Will Fidesz-KDNP win \u003C70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?","of-seats-won-by-fidesz-kdnp-in-hungary-parliamentary-election",{"condition_id":754,"outcome":49,"usdc":755,"entry_price":756,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":726,"captured_at":13,"question":757,"event_slug":758,"category":363},"0x151b27527458c119bbe1cabc10e760fde868d550f7bb44531d335a7ffd5e4a4e",89.99876900000001,0.18000000040003417,"Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election? ","will-the-left-wins-5-or-more-of-vote-in-german-election",{"condition_id":754,"outcome":29,"usdc":760,"entry_price":761,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":726,"captured_at":13,"question":757,"event_slug":758,"category":363},186.0991,0.652979298245614,{"condition_id":763,"outcome":29,"usdc":764,"entry_price":765,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":766,"captured_at":13,"question":767,"event_slug":768,"category":363},"0x155b02e8682e4016a89028190c836b305ed0a8cd7704bf9005a41c15c47ac08c",57.050000000000004,0.0351076922723077,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?","which-party-wins-3nd-most-seats-in-netherlands-election",{"condition_id":770,"outcome":29,"usdc":771,"entry_price":422,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":772,"captured_at":13,"question":773,"event_slug":774,"category":363},"0x15bf2a1076dee184ef035a851235742bff87e406b7625f6fceb0814fe989aff8",4.9995,"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?","1-searched-person-on-google-this-year",{"condition_id":776,"outcome":49,"usdc":777,"entry_price":778,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":779,"captured_at":13,"question":780,"event_slug":781,"category":363},"0x1663edea3eba0d1ae8f064276dd426cb0497a19bb5188dae48a2f8fa8ea34da8",364.755,0.25,"2025-03-31T12:00:00Z","Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?","ukraine-agrees-to-give-trump-rare-earth-metals-before-april",{"condition_id":776,"outcome":29,"usdc":783,"entry_price":784,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":779,"captured_at":13,"question":780,"event_slug":781,"category":363},32.2,0.1694736842,{"condition_id":786,"outcome":29,"usdc":787,"entry_price":788,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":789,"captured_at":13,"question":790,"event_slug":791,"category":363},"0x16c524478f650f1333750f556e5e15344326ac39eac810480489975e1268eee2",3.2,0.064,"2025-06-02T12:00:00Z","Will Lee Jun-seok win less than 2% of the vote in the South Korea election?","lee-jun-seok-of-vote-in-south-korea-election",{"condition_id":793,"outcome":29,"usdc":794,"entry_price":795,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":437,"captured_at":13,"question":796,"event_slug":797,"category":363},"0x171d88208dd6485ad2536106199779906039160b9f04714f8a47ee95ab9835be",43.83983,0.0195104695592348,"Will the Australian Labor Party win less than 65 seats?","of-seats-labor-win-in-australian-election",{"condition_id":799,"outcome":29,"usdc":800,"entry_price":801,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":802,"captured_at":13,"question":803,"event_slug":804,"category":363},"0x171e6f018ce9960035e555a689dfa6c2ddd00770cbcd4e2e10a8d5fe695f0eae",8.422564000000001,0.007282106084124224,"2026-02-08T00:00:00Z","Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?","portugal-presidential-election-margin-of-victory-second-round",{"condition_id":806,"outcome":29,"usdc":807,"entry_price":808,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":766,"captured_at":13,"question":809,"event_slug":810,"category":363},"0x17414b5654467cc23ac6e5cba7ecf87952ea12ea08a8e09fbfef5f3b218e2bab",3578.84525,0.7402858363429399,"Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?","netherlands-parliamentary-election",{"condition_id":812,"outcome":29,"usdc":813,"entry_price":814,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":815,"captured_at":13,"question":816,"event_slug":817,"category":363},"0x178e0828e81556f971edb8c7ec556e9281640477c65c56f0e6f44a6ba9ff9156",223.26856,0.056509379891888395,"2025-10-20T12:00:00Z","Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%?","canada-election-popular-vote-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":819,"outcome":29,"usdc":820,"entry_price":821,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":532,"captured_at":13,"question":822,"event_slug":823,"category":122},"0x17a8def470ebf26c11f32d43570bcb9aa92c40967202121dd8a17f56545b95c7",105.25727,0.220690977047766,"Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?","what-will-the-median-home-value-in-new-york-city-be-on-september-30-20260630180215064",{"condition_id":825,"outcome":49,"usdc":826,"entry_price":827,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":430,"captured_at":13,"question":828,"event_slug":829,"category":363},"0x183018ea56f62dee7ea851625d254ff986a830d38fbb40aa5142e852520d6a3a",2.65,0.53,"Will the Conservative Party win 13+ seats in Quebec?","will-the-conservative-party-win-13-seats-in-quebec",{"condition_id":825,"outcome":29,"usdc":831,"entry_price":832,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":430,"captured_at":13,"question":828,"event_slug":829,"category":363},147.5353,0.3549678800700647,{"condition_id":834,"outcome":29,"usdc":835,"entry_price":836,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":779,"captured_at":13,"question":837,"event_slug":838,"category":363},"0x189d47cc689f765e1f935496ff970884f50f5c6c6d4923a59730d4fc640f1807",10.86002,0.0180849625,"Will global temperature increase by more than 1.41ºC in March 2025?","march-2025-temperature-increase-c",{"condition_id":840,"outcome":29,"usdc":841,"entry_price":842,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":375,"captured_at":13,"question":843,"event_slug":844,"category":122},"0x18d53d66def6cd338032fd5cbe2016e335c649f84aff155446005bbe303604e3",32.477869999999996,0.5883756196083899,"Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?","what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-dc-metro-area-be-on-september-30-20260630181851462",{"condition_id":846,"outcome":29,"usdc":847,"entry_price":848,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":368,"captured_at":13,"question":849,"event_slug":850,"category":363},"0x19038a08727ccad7b3a17fee2d4e2edd1ab30f8fb193786752ee36f790e20b6a",785.1656989999999,0.5701090208074949,"Georgescu banned from Romania election?","georgescu-banned-from-romania-election",{"condition_id":852,"outcome":29,"usdc":853,"entry_price":854,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":815,"captured_at":13,"question":855,"event_slug":817,"category":363},"0x19b98650dcea03df077a8fc07e9959f3bec875231f3dde1490b8ba42577f515e",15.11804,0.014000000000000002,"Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?",{"condition_id":857,"outcome":29,"usdc":858,"entry_price":859,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":726,"captured_at":13,"question":860,"event_slug":861,"category":363},"0x1abfefcba4018fa013e432fae84277c8add5fc85181c32880331313bd7b3217f",118.342099,0.4299999980226817,"Will the CDU\u002FCSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?","cducsu-of-vote-in-german-election",{"condition_id":863,"outcome":29,"usdc":864,"entry_price":865,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":866,"captured_at":383,"question":867,"event_slug":868,"category":363},"0x1b8b0e8fe363d50f709ca3624f23c51702c6a100e99c43cb55a1995baaddb3ff",1.56696,0.0098495066,"2026-08-01T19:00:00Z","Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?","will-anthropics-valuation-hit-by-july-31-20260629165712644",{"condition_id":870,"outcome":871,"usdc":872,"entry_price":873,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":733,"captured_at":13,"question":874,"event_slug":875,"category":363},"0x1caebdb1f1c18c32dcd9525871449327ccc06d03a20d57958926a4a39fe3add9","Nawrocki",15.72,0.02,"Will Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Opolskie?","polish-presidential-elections-regions",{"condition_id":877,"outcome":29,"usdc":878,"entry_price":879,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":360,"captured_at":13,"question":880,"event_slug":881,"category":363},"0x1cdcee133e8a080c5808a49217cf278d9ad2fb21c68a9c436d38700f4b446208",16.1,0.01,"Will Motoristé get more than 9% of the vote in the Czech election?","auto-of-vote-in-czech-election",{"condition_id":883,"outcome":29,"usdc":884,"entry_price":885,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":726,"captured_at":13,"question":886,"event_slug":887,"category":363},"0x1d42aa7d3e7c9d990038aa022f425896970d28407823ad306414074e419b6f76",1892.5062600000008,0.48595829374690863,"Will the CDU\u002FCSU win by 6-8%?","cducsu-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":889,"outcome":29,"usdc":890,"entry_price":891,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":892,"captured_at":13,"question":893,"event_slug":894,"category":363},"0x1d54eb5eac2cee8f595f3097c65da7d07f8ab5dee63d7c0c6883eb70e1e9af30",70,0.07,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-march-31-2026",{"condition_id":896,"outcome":49,"usdc":897,"entry_price":898,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":437,"captured_at":13,"question":899,"event_slug":439,"category":363},"0x1d9e396a87af3d45b3c8f0d6338dbb7dd40c359efa68aae173504b280009551f",575.4221,0.6693834557,"Will the Labor Party win by 10–19 seats?",{"condition_id":896,"outcome":29,"usdc":901,"entry_price":902,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":437,"captured_at":13,"question":899,"event_slug":439,"category":363},68.55,0.05834042553191489,{"condition_id":904,"outcome":29,"usdc":905,"entry_price":906,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":907,"captured_at":383,"question":908,"event_slug":909,"category":283},"0x1de00a36f75df703e458bde878d1730e59349f74960872f40f4b06ab06f0a5c1",12.84832,0.096124031,"2026-07-01T12:00:00Z","Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?","will-spacexs-valuation-hit-by-june-30",{"condition_id":911,"outcome":49,"usdc":912,"entry_price":913,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":256,"captured_at":13,"question":914,"event_slug":915,"category":363},"0x1e328a920e66dc2f3839eab880c9a27c7bc6d5c1018baffa11c1870cc46936c2",2.2,0.44,"Will the Red Bloc win by 8–11 seats?","red-vs-blue-block-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":911,"outcome":29,"usdc":917,"entry_price":918,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":256,"captured_at":13,"question":914,"event_slug":915,"category":363},12.984,0.1,{"condition_id":920,"outcome":49,"usdc":921,"entry_price":922,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":733,"captured_at":13,"question":923,"event_slug":735,"category":363},"0x1e68b29be798c37448e00f83180358d0edb02393f8d6a68d50d1175798865287",545.35271,0.896209939,"Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?",{"condition_id":920,"outcome":29,"usdc":925,"entry_price":926,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":733,"captured_at":13,"question":923,"event_slug":735,"category":363},239.999836,0.12000000002029206,{"condition_id":928,"outcome":871,"usdc":929,"entry_price":930,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":733,"captured_at":13,"question":931,"event_slug":875,"category":363},"0x1ef44c31ce755b93d9300c003f3fa928e56d0bec1ff8cb257a2c50d2d2b9eedd",116.629976,0.0747890580138868,"Will Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Śląskie?",{"condition_id":933,"outcome":29,"usdc":934,"entry_price":935,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":375,"captured_at":13,"question":936,"event_slug":404,"category":122},"0x1fb8095bb1242f9a1ca66e0715fff98e45e8241ff75107addcbc0cef5acd69da",245.13638999999998,0.4146168263401708,"Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?",{"total":938,"wins":939},737,226,[941,946,951,956,960,964,966],{"category":56,"n":942,"wins":943,"hitRate":944,"roi":945},642,201,0.3130841121495327,0.07195774376103023,{"category":122,"n":947,"wins":948,"hitRate":949,"roi":950},33,13,0.3939393939393939,0.547079125672649,{"category":73,"n":952,"wins":953,"hitRate":954,"roi":955},31,4,0.12903225806451613,-0.17144099206610586,{"category":283,"n":957,"wins":551,"hitRate":958,"roi":959},20,0.3,-0.06533465767719525,{"category":139,"n":961,"wins":12,"hitRate":962,"roi":963},9,0.1111111111111111,5.397902368814541,{"category":38,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":965},0.8464075151022458,{"category":181,"n":12,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":967},-1,{"generatedAt":969},"2026-10-11T07:29:05.729Z"]