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x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?","nato-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.024\", \"0.976\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":44,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":45,"question":46,"event_slug":47,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":48,"category":49},"47269584724486146635720045337031423127877600369133041974495637867678771074555","0xe09c250c2d5ba126bb97b417c55185419600555e9679c9b78cc1a9a4b6e8d151","Yes",1826.9293,0.8938,"2026-10-22T08:23:54.864Z","Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?","largest-company-end-of-october-2026","[\"0.7155\", 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take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?","which-companies-will-the-us-take-a-stake-in","[\"0.18\", \"0.82\"]",[],[110],{"recorded_date":111,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-09",[113,122,129,136,143,150,157,165,170,177,184,191,196,203,210,217,224,231,236,241,246,253,258,265,272,279,286,293,298,305,312,318,325,332,339,346,351,357,362,368,375,380,387,395,402,407,414,421,428,434,441,448,455,462,467,474],{"condition_id":114,"outcome":42,"usdc":115,"entry_price":116,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":118,"captured_at":13,"question":119,"event_slug":120,"category":121},"0x04b6d6630d49e6513355ff045c96439c929335cb0d18da7792dea6c2fc717ead",10.098989,0.6699999839,"backfill","2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","Will France win on 2026-06-16?","fifwc-fra-sen-2026-06-16","Sports",{"condition_id":123,"outcome":42,"usdc":124,"entry_price":125,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":126,"captured_at":13,"question":127,"event_slug":128,"category":121},"0x051e0ea5b3c394114eacf8ce5e944ca63cbb6ccdef1d086cadc5dd129a3804e6",10.128989,0.5699999966,"2026-06-21T04:00:00Z","Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?","fifwc-tun-jpn-2026-06-21",{"condition_id":130,"outcome":42,"usdc":131,"entry_price":132,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":133,"captured_at":13,"question":134,"event_slug":135,"category":121},"0x09620e07d807241bb41e5cf07d42dfd3e08943ee39e5c93ae3890e3b6164822e",30.413978,0.5399999888333332,"2026-06-26T19:00:00Z","Will France win on 2026-06-26?","fifwc-nor-fra-2026-06-26",{"condition_id":137,"outcome":42,"usdc":138,"entry_price":139,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":140,"captured_at":13,"question":141,"event_slug":142,"category":68},"0x15fa6bf8e2106d0d39e2fb2dcf7239eb31036a672280838f8d02bc4e0286e3c1",20.439989,0.4499999921,"","Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?","spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap",{"condition_id":144,"outcome":42,"usdc":145,"entry_price":146,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":147,"captured_at":13,"question":148,"event_slug":149,"category":121},"0x1f2bb0bfc3c7b3c9ab678ce9e89cf68bd6daa83385c4834f669cb00c540276f2",10.110988,0.629999988,"2026-06-14T01:00:00Z","Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?","fifwc-hai-sco-2026-06-13",{"condition_id":151,"outcome":42,"usdc":152,"entry_price":153,"won":17,"source":117,"end_date_iso":154,"captured_at":13,"question":155,"event_slug":156,"category":121},"0x2153377bdb8920a0d3227e9a2a68ddb9a001025918b695fe55f66677836e62c6",10.158989,0.4699999915,"2026-06-14T20:00:00Z","Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?","fifwc-nld-jpn-2026-06-14",{"condition_id":158,"outcome":29,"usdc":159,"entry_price":160,"won":17,"source":117,"end_date_iso":161,"captured_at":13,"question":162,"event_slug":163,"category":164},"0x21f9de68c8740eb2d70c4954b09cde27faebfc48f327d3fbc87282b017314f59",5.197489,0.209999974,"2026-06-25T13:00:00Z","Will McCormick (MKC) beat quarterly earnings?","mkc-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-06-24-2026-0pt7",null,{"condition_id":166,"outcome":42,"usdc":145,"entry_price":146,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":167,"captured_at":13,"question":168,"event_slug":169,"category":121},"0x232342e2a9200b203703a816f9d99d1c6a872333567af16f43d67a255e1a6aa8","2026-06-20T20:00:00Z","Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?","fifwc-ger-civ-2026-06-20",{"condition_id":171,"outcome":42,"usdc":172,"entry_price":173,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":174,"captured_at":13,"question":175,"event_slug":176,"category":49},"0x2416ec42d46d41184dcc5a4e72f3522f79591bd3324fefcc35148cde7d91aef5",643.739629,0.8831365128,"2026-05-31T06:00:00Z","Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?","3rd-largest-company-end-of-may",{"condition_id":178,"outcome":42,"usdc":179,"entry_price":180,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":181,"captured_at":13,"question":182,"event_slug":183,"category":121},"0x26c10c27cde58e2d6214d65ab562d8142d34723b3b6ec3f40836d24f6d22dfc9",10.146989,0.5099999786,"2026-06-13T01:00:00Z","Will United States win on 2026-06-12?","fifwc-usa-par-2026-06-12",{"condition_id":185,"outcome":42,"usdc":186,"entry_price":187,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":188,"captured_at":13,"question":189,"event_slug":190,"category":121},"0x2a7a6ab8f4984f1ae82eacd7fb408832a50e63162ac6b98fff1fe094b8e9d3b5",10.089989,0.699999993,"2026-06-17T01:00:00Z","Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?","fifwc-arg-alg-2026-06-16",{"condition_id":192,"outcome":42,"usdc":186,"entry_price":187,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":193,"captured_at":13,"question":194,"event_slug":195,"category":121},"0x2f00e48e914ba6606867a6347e90c48cc1fd4da66cc196a191786637f40848e9","2026-06-18T02:00:00Z","Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?","fifwc-uzb-col-2026-06-17",{"condition_id":197,"outcome":42,"usdc":198,"entry_price":199,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":200,"captured_at":13,"question":201,"event_slug":202,"category":49},"0x2f7fd7124a7ff44d324a49cda1415371c7cc4ee111f60b288a3d6ad194319d15",3.36594,0.8809998059,"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?","largest-company-end-of-september-1785358369147",{"condition_id":204,"outcome":42,"usdc":205,"entry_price":206,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":207,"captured_at":13,"question":208,"event_slug":209,"category":121},"0x2fcf3968f5feff8c544b1be614f1c7aed22f5051949478bc0b39f9e966cab02a",20.071984,0.8799999965,"2026-06-21T16:00:00Z","Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?","fifwc-esp-ksa-2026-06-21",{"condition_id":211,"outcome":42,"usdc":212,"entry_price":213,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":214,"captured_at":13,"question":215,"event_slug":216,"category":164},"0x325e6ab1dd315e6f435183fbf7dff8a7c4be37f9bbf7abcd4459e75110aa9f1d",3935.692586,0.7924239137783056,"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?","largest-company-end-of-august-20260715202138598",{"condition_id":218,"outcome":42,"usdc":219,"entry_price":220,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":221,"captured_at":13,"question":222,"event_slug":223,"category":49},"0x3616e2f2cd616de0614c3c7a0fe1e791c93de320fef017a496b723fcbceefce8",651.399666,0.5744976974160806,"2026-06-30T16:00:00Z","Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?","2nd-largest-company-end-of-june-849",{"condition_id":225,"outcome":42,"usdc":226,"entry_price":227,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":228,"captured_at":13,"question":229,"event_slug":230,"category":121},"0x36f93dcdb75e18f9dd7f4bd4f976dd901562e6f779a86c8ac847f154e37e69d2",5.106489,0.289999964,"2026-06-15T19:00:00Z","Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?","fifwc-bel-egy-2026-06-15",{"condition_id":232,"outcome":42,"usdc":233,"entry_price":234,"won":17,"source":117,"end_date_iso":228,"captured_at":13,"question":235,"event_slug":230,"category":121},"0x3ceb5b631318be5000758200590efe2b308a581d6787c3e7bc050bfd8f627627",10.122989,0.5899999947,"Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?",{"condition_id":237,"outcome":42,"usdc":124,"entry_price":125,"won":17,"source":117,"end_date_iso":238,"captured_at":13,"question":239,"event_slug":240,"category":121},"0x48880e3355f031da13b5ed1142d209396bdec61acf6c0945234ff6e5edab9ebf","2026-06-14T04:00:00Z","Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?","fifwc-aus-tur-2026-06-14",{"condition_id":242,"outcome":42,"usdc":186,"entry_price":187,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":243,"captured_at":13,"question":244,"event_slug":245,"category":121},"0x4cd77d456c83e7d8c569a8fb8f6396c3f40154f657e6d970733e2b1b6a7110ff","2026-06-11T19:00:00Z","Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?","fifwc-mex-rsa-2026-06-11",{"condition_id":247,"outcome":42,"usdc":248,"entry_price":249,"won":17,"source":117,"end_date_iso":250,"captured_at":13,"question":251,"event_slug":252,"category":121},"0x54f853f2fd93a5653ff787af270b783ce8b28996135a1779f07a9fbafd34df19",50.689989,0.5399999985,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?","hockey-2026-iihf-championship-winner",{"condition_id":254,"outcome":42,"usdc":152,"entry_price":153,"won":17,"source":117,"end_date_iso":255,"captured_at":13,"question":256,"event_slug":257,"category":121},"0x597e0e209cef883bb95c6905f07d8066c3ef35652087d3611c43b93f0ed237c2","2026-06-27T23:30:00Z","Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?","fifwc-col-prt-2026-06-27",{"condition_id":259,"outcome":42,"usdc":260,"entry_price":261,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":262,"captured_at":13,"question":263,"event_slug":264,"category":121},"0x5bdcf0fd010eba1a55a0f3de9be6612fc72038279a734e994ce2e34664a3cfe4",121.395227,0.6120305876053878,"2026-06-22T17:00:00Z","Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?","fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22",{"condition_id":266,"outcome":29,"usdc":267,"entry_price":268,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":269,"captured_at":13,"question":270,"event_slug":271,"category":164},"0x5f0f80c1d904c0348409832375a6d36580f9a552295ae3dba2595adfcea84a97",1008.399998,0.7899999995,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?","largest-company-end-of-july-20260624192302727",{"condition_id":273,"outcome":42,"usdc":274,"entry_price":275,"won":17,"source":117,"end_date_iso":276,"captured_at":13,"question":277,"event_slug":278,"category":121},"0x6257ac3bdd0b512bd6470c21d5dc99ed12ef42b5fd9ad6078fad24d351ebda5c",10.240289,0.1989999852,"2026-06-25T20:00:00Z","Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?","fifwc-ecu-ger-2026-06-25",{"condition_id":280,"outcome":42,"usdc":281,"entry_price":282,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":283,"captured_at":13,"question":284,"event_slug":285,"category":38},"0x64d46c7e4cf283ef84da138bc30accd319bf7bd856e8e26797dbe50d4e3a67eb",40.447988,0.7199999971,"2026-06-14T00:00:00Z","Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?","switzerlands-june-referendum-what-will-pass",{"condition_id":287,"outcome":42,"usdc":288,"entry_price":289,"won":17,"source":117,"end_date_iso":290,"captured_at":13,"question":291,"event_slug":292,"category":121},"0x6b864f35765706986a861d22fcc207872062186ddcb5fbc20275e991b20ff6ab",201.259986,0.7899999997,"2026-06-13T19:00:00Z","Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?","fifwc-qat-che-2026-06-13",{"condition_id":294,"outcome":42,"usdc":295,"entry_price":296,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":154,"captured_at":13,"question":297,"event_slug":156,"category":121},"0x6bb8b2483eccb8fcae84cd42fd7d8e5e394689e0a06f95b189a77b4819cf0173",2.048589,0.1899999373,"Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?",{"condition_id":299,"outcome":42,"usdc":300,"entry_price":301,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":302,"captured_at":13,"question":303,"event_slug":304,"category":49},"0x79afea6a94f0b3dffb5e0886fa1dbd740d688029f7aba351dc46911bcb1b1f95",2292.418168,0.8787057922327733,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?","largest-company-end-of-june-712",{"condition_id":306,"outcome":42,"usdc":307,"entry_price":308,"won":17,"source":117,"end_date_iso":309,"captured_at":13,"question":310,"event_slug":311,"category":121},"0x7bed81b0bd1cbe7cae0ad49fcf2d9e068d1ea2da49a36e638712daa55712a184",60.932978,0.4808921890662982,"2026-06-20T03:00:00Z","Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?","fifwc-tur-par-2026-06-19",{"condition_id":313,"outcome":29,"usdc":314,"entry_price":315,"won":17,"source":117,"end_date_iso":302,"captured_at":13,"question":316,"event_slug":317,"category":38},"0x7e5228c4aa228752fb75ec1ffcb315a5f2fef812d746ceb6601cee285366d1a8",9.999999,0.2395868306,"Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?","who-will-attend-the-next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting",{"condition_id":319,"outcome":42,"usdc":320,"entry_price":321,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":322,"captured_at":13,"question":323,"event_slug":324,"category":121},"0x7ebb07134794576c154f06fbaa1cc61a5292d58e280ce98207977771c0326c27",10.131988,0.5599999776,"2026-06-19T19:00:00Z","Will United States win on 2026-06-19?","fifwc-usa-aus-2026-06-19",{"condition_id":326,"outcome":42,"usdc":327,"entry_price":328,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":329,"captured_at":13,"question":330,"event_slug":331,"category":121},"0x7fb8010a0cdc4ac4f7e93fb7a532731fbb81f951dd451f2402648eaa3cf285e1",20.125987,0.7899999968,"2026-06-23T17:00:00Z","Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?","fifwc-prt-uzb-2026-06-23",{"condition_id":333,"outcome":42,"usdc":334,"entry_price":335,"won":17,"source":117,"end_date_iso":336,"captured_at":13,"question":337,"event_slug":338,"category":121},"0x802adc7238db42d431521f625b2a367954d04ebf8836109257dd4a3b961c6108",10.140989,0.5299999899,"2026-06-12T19:00:00Z","Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?","fifwc-can-bih-2026-06-12",{"condition_id":340,"outcome":42,"usdc":341,"entry_price":342,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":343,"captured_at":13,"question":344,"event_slug":345,"category":121},"0x870bb248c96c52dcf35390a66542471c5bba2896942d6bc97ade41a418646ba8",10.116989,0.6099999994,"2026-06-18T19:00:00Z","Will Switzerland win on 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2026-06-13?","fifwc-bra-mar-2026-06-13",{"condition_id":381,"outcome":42,"usdc":382,"entry_price":383,"won":17,"source":117,"end_date_iso":384,"captured_at":13,"question":385,"event_slug":386,"category":121},"0xa90ce8b69a218dced329076162df3b79f99596d1dc71d93bd30a64a2c8b6ba3e",10.053988,0.8199999672,"2026-06-21T00:00:00Z","Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?","fifwc-ecu-kor-2026-06-20",{"condition_id":388,"outcome":29,"usdc":389,"entry_price":390,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":391,"captured_at":13,"question":392,"event_slug":393,"category":394},"0xba8af64c1b08f322ca7f66f3cfdbdfd50c0eae6fc88d2fcf29c30ceb62682421",50.259987,0.8699999988,"2026-06-30T18:30:00Z","Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?","cl-hit-jun-2026","Other",{"condition_id":396,"outcome":42,"usdc":397,"entry_price":398,"won":17,"source":117,"end_date_iso":399,"captured_at":13,"question":400,"event_slug":401,"category":121},"0xbc54d73527785bdc7b443cfdf3b0d59558c5ac2bbffca23425ecfbd161b07317",10.092988,0.6899999869,"2026-06-15T22:00:00Z","Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?","fifwc-ksa-ury-2026-06-15",{"condition_id":403,"outcome":42,"usdc":404,"entry_price":405,"won":17,"source":117,"end_date_iso":118,"captured_at":13,"question":406,"event_slug":120,"category":121},"0xbd175757f12ecc85b7aae7f1f35c8637e350227dd2967abd6e1373e245c51f49",2.049789,0.1699999422,"Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?",{"condition_id":408,"outcome":42,"usdc":409,"entry_price":410,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":411,"captured_at":13,"question":412,"event_slug":413,"category":121},"0xc6f7e4a015ec643eb49c749da19553a2257add76278a252805a12dfa85103269",50.749879,0.5000755014,"2026-06-15T02:00:00Z","Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?","fifwc-swe-tun-2026-06-14",{"condition_id":415,"outcome":42,"usdc":416,"entry_price":417,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":418,"captured_at":13,"question":419,"event_slug":420,"category":121},"0xc90f95af1a5d4e392fe9cc484f1b1a0983687865e7b85910ae89300c2076e4a1",10.074989,0.75,"2026-06-18T22:00:00Z","Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?","fifwc-can-qat-2026-06-18",{"condition_id":422,"outcome":42,"usdc":423,"entry_price":424,"won":17,"source":117,"end_date_iso":425,"captured_at":13,"question":426,"event_slug":427,"category":121},"0xcaaa1338d38b5c614196c9a926dd84babc3984442f2ec9b937a16284a199ec3a",10.068986,0.7699999877,"2026-06-17T17:00:00Z","Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?","fifwc-prt-cdr-2026-06-17",{"condition_id":429,"outcome":29,"usdc":430,"entry_price":431,"won":17,"source":117,"end_date_iso":302,"captured_at":13,"question":432,"event_slug":433,"category":68},"0xd0e97d28b706d26f47ada6b739674efe7768bf7a407481008474d5a0d4c4c55a",10.267749,0.3306190936,"Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?","which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-june",{"condition_id":435,"outcome":42,"usdc":436,"entry_price":437,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":438,"captured_at":13,"question":439,"event_slug":440,"category":121},"0xd14544ac7360f37de17eb6a442694de21a8c5ea01714323be6409b002c4d7d7d",20.197989,0.669999995,"2026-06-24T22:00:00Z","Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?","fifwc-sco-bra-2026-06-24",{"condition_id":442,"outcome":42,"usdc":443,"entry_price":444,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":445,"captured_at":13,"question":446,"event_slug":447,"category":68},"0xd2a472c051e1ab231a4feb40322ccdafccff5fe9e4a006381224e10aff0e83ce",1044.994754,0.8527726089739965,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-july-299",{"condition_id":449,"outcome":42,"usdc":450,"entry_price":451,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":452,"captured_at":13,"question":453,"event_slug":454,"category":121},"0xe1953a0f479de0ff3efabb7dff6116ff6cb9d7fe2d7ee6526c5d68da9cf09767",101.588599,0.4695719443294236,"2026-06-24T19:00:00Z","Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?","fifwc-che-can-2026-06-24",{"condition_id":456,"outcome":42,"usdc":457,"entry_price":458,"won":12,"source":117,"end_date_iso":459,"captured_at":13,"question":460,"event_slug":461,"category":121},"0xe322faca2a534900680db54e3a4349a61427d347b6f906d2eeb01f81ae1b082c",202.202039,0.6329921438,"2026-06-27T00:00:00Z","Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?","fifwc-ury-esp-2026-06-26",{"condition_id":463,"outcome":42,"usdc":464,"entry_price":465,"won":17,"source":117,"end_date_iso":276,"captured_at":13,"question":466,"event_slug":278,"category":121},"0xe690620297dfea974d20df84b4cf90460e46a26ec864353482717b90509a3c0b",40.598467,0.4575778407929259,"Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?",{"condition_id":468,"outcome":42,"usdc":469,"entry_price":470,"won":17,"source":117,"end_date_iso":471,"captured_at":13,"question":472,"event_slug":473,"category":121},"0xebb200cb08bbe89c2523a345947d083a992e27cc479cf1b5568407751e026d2c",10.086989,0.7099999815,"2026-06-21T19:00:00Z","Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?","fifwc-bel-irn-2026-06-21",{"condition_id":475,"outcome":42,"usdc":476,"entry_price":477,"won":17,"source":117,"end_date_iso":478,"captured_at":13,"question":479,"event_slug":480,"category":121},"0xff1ec56e0e47033727e33deab740896fbf1c6bb8a2b0068efdba3d900c7ba7a2",10.077988,0.7399999896,"2026-06-23T20:00:00Z","Will England win on 2026-06-23?","fifwc-eng-gha-2026-06-23",{"total":482,"wins":483},56,35,[485,490,495,497,500],{"category":121,"n":486,"wins":487,"hitRate":488,"roi":489},39,21,0.5384615384615384,-0.05820448815518304,{"category":394,"n":491,"wins":492,"hitRate":493,"roi":494},5,4,0.8,0.29037959457642,{"category":49,"n":491,"wins":491,"hitRate":12,"roi":496},0.3571355253492308,{"category":68,"n":492,"wins":498,"hitRate":417,"roi":499},3,0.17509098226427705,{"category":38,"n":498,"wins":501,"hitRate":502,"roi":503},2,0.6666666666666666,0.3136024455624949,{"generatedAt":505},"2026-10-26T06:15:08.669Z"]