[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x3140ee1406dbbfa33f372cc9a8d70dd10c3876d9":3},{"stats":4,"positions":24,"signals":282,"history":283,"resolved":286,"resolvedSummary":539,"specialization":542,"meta":554},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":17,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x3140ee1406dbbfa33f372cc9a8d70dd10c3876d9",301,221,0.5203619909502263,0.5423218873874475,0.15044463361595742,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-29T00:29:22.732Z",33.87518205882352,1.3201754385964912,"2026-10-28T21:45:59.000Z",0,"trades",0.39774686675610865,0.12261512419411758,4060.0468400113396,7486.415234999998,7.917528156505319,[25,38,46,54,65,75,83,91,97,103,110,117,123,130,138,145,153,159,165,173,179,185,192,199,204,210,216,223,229,233,238,244,248,254,259,264,269,274],{"token_id":26,"condition_id":27,"outcome":28,"size":29,"avg_price":30,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":33,"event_slug":34,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"93122438536925935188880566476461688212958683487744885859121531683628531023751","0xae515ea2b1b95486007cff8aa4afbd5f677e2760dd8752c1068d9cc55afb6d58","No",732.5591,0.9299,"2026-11-07T23:21:40.130Z","2026-10-29T16:37:22.396Z","Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?","alexandre-de-moraes-out-as-brazil-supreme-court-justice","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.056\", \"0.944\"]","Politics",{"token_id":39,"condition_id":40,"outcome":28,"size":41,"avg_price":42,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":43,"event_slug":44,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":45,"category":37},"22517455455502039987120538383631867503713840834150369952607956534664008959352","0xd791829a13a854f0dbae5206b54cd851e35a66be3e7ab07745f7ad3290e1432c",362.71,0.8637,"Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?","who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026","[\"0.0225\", \"0.9775\"]",{"token_id":47,"condition_id":48,"outcome":28,"size":49,"avg_price":50,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":51,"event_slug":52,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":53,"category":37},"49869418041248619018553819482729299524581238538490996057109470282113708956054","0xcdeccd802e7a68c301931daa551181d7d7bb1b1df92b02e7e4c5c42e728aa026",349.96,0.8072,"Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?","any-brazil-stf-justice-removed-by-impeachment-before-2027","[\"0.0695\", \"0.9305\"]",{"token_id":55,"condition_id":56,"outcome":57,"size":58,"avg_price":59,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":61,"event_slug":62,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":63,"outcome_prices":64,"category":37},"104771001336312319342823854102347036894544194594537767229702979517658702629767","0x45c61766c485ac1318af0e579557c5cdbca24067d4d50ad064bdcf7a50d587bf","Yes",774.1451,0.279,"2026-11-06T22:48:50.875Z","Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?","brazil-presidential-election-second-round-specific-margin-of-victory","2026-10-26T03:59:00Z","[\"0\", \"1\"]",{"token_id":66,"condition_id":67,"outcome":28,"size":68,"avg_price":69,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":70,"event_slug":71,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":72,"outcome_prices":73,"category":74},"56952738136471163048424475987368176322385037707351349105004833387117719007954","0x143e01264b7658f59060d5b46e858ff02ad16251329504c9cac9be33ab85d0ef",200,0.7893,"Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?","who-will-trump-meet-with-in-september","2025-09-30T00:00:00Z","[\"1\", \"0\"]",null,{"token_id":76,"condition_id":77,"outcome":28,"size":78,"avg_price":79,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":80,"event_slug":81,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":82,"outcome_prices":73,"category":74},"110265513121982389039205917753923748338867052090025810984911529898163613707426","0x7b81da60298dacc418a54d3a8931db966439cb6a77cc54cac8d9b80313ba3450",212.625,0.6434,"Will Brazilian president Lula announce re-election run by December 31?","will-brazilian-president-lula-announce-re-election-run-by-december-31","2025-12-31T04:00:00Z",{"token_id":84,"condition_id":85,"outcome":57,"size":86,"avg_price":87,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":88,"event_slug":89,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":90,"outcome_prices":64,"category":37},"46016408901619903295207375832539898750164493226855442884509133805980187874445","0xd7391798f941b8fe16773f96397ef3f91a2fc36939bdd50a78776dbf93ddd280",869.5009,0.147,"Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?","which-candidates-will-advance-to-brazils-presidential-runoff","2026-10-05T03:59:00Z",{"token_id":92,"condition_id":93,"outcome":57,"size":94,"avg_price":95,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":96,"event_slug":62,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":63,"outcome_prices":64,"category":37},"52419093713756364404418894096833482113747608593315958573492628162170645047670","0x3303653d1923c98cdd74f53b04c29c79bf4ca45c1243f3cd6245e4cc9b609bd4",772.4338,0.1294,"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?",{"token_id":98,"condition_id":99,"outcome":57,"size":100,"avg_price":101,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":102,"event_slug":62,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":63,"outcome_prices":64,"category":37},"18806246778310495045185424339092382707851402968824267032499274347612552370205","0x20d60ad6559e9df5f8d2903f8f14bdf6447709eb01c17a9d1159d10a9f9a1b2f",517.0869,0.178,"Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?",{"token_id":104,"condition_id":105,"outcome":57,"size":106,"avg_price":107,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":108,"event_slug":109,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":90,"outcome_prices":64,"category":37},"29464249359795764732112771440808805030560641430581197204785405866716242261762","0x087469b4129c64c688397028059dfd366796adbd426e0079ee4cfdd2e4a07b61",560.2893,0.1146,"Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?","will-any-presidential-candidate-win-outright-in-the-first-round-of-the-brazil-election",{"token_id":111,"condition_id":112,"outcome":57,"size":113,"avg_price":114,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":115,"event_slug":116,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":90,"outcome_prices":64,"category":37},"72535696429445050612666657960056103058476328640415986990291437131287448661718","0xcba20965509d04b5f3ae2c51a221747317aff9387c197ca6d5919e85e5a20ee9",100,0.58,"Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election-first-round-3rd-place",{"token_id":118,"condition_id":119,"outcome":28,"size":120,"avg_price":121,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":122,"event_slug":89,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":90,"outcome_prices":73,"category":37},"47244730167179925912209184370316974343576450762994674891509957643355522766257","0x023a8c2fd2a78c29c9748a44205e2cbe624d86c11ee41b81d4067ddbbf2a135f",223.3042,0.2341,"Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?",{"token_id":124,"condition_id":125,"outcome":28,"size":126,"avg_price":127,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":128,"event_slug":129,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":72,"outcome_prices":73,"category":74},"40329292011887887972610067709499782866423025172934685477308043722107381773123","0x3f313b1d6346188efa13987d678a431269ed3620e955ab49a1176c8fdcfc2b1d",53.55,0.6557,"Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?","who-will-trump-talk-to-in-september",{"token_id":131,"condition_id":132,"outcome":57,"size":133,"avg_price":134,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":135,"event_slug":136,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":137,"outcome_prices":64,"category":74},"55521932285795162785021453883006752950146484427600962329699824656682037578903","0x2e4cbe59f45ed80d8824820176d434eb7aa3dbb2d6cf56e23d676ef7dcf45163",175,0.1774,"Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?","chile-presidential-election","2025-11-16T12:00:00Z",{"token_id":139,"condition_id":140,"outcome":28,"size":141,"avg_price":142,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":143,"event_slug":44,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":144,"outcome_prices":73,"category":37},"51776347961717699728858608774755556703657833188148383599464787417685092544741","0xd58137f27be545738823871ba165e09f01228e780641c071be646654deaced81",93.2467,0.23,"Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2026?","2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",{"token_id":146,"condition_id":147,"outcome":57,"size":148,"avg_price":149,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":150,"event_slug":151,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":152,"outcome_prices":64,"category":74},"86337476411225396782940416611040694123774553224828196996839974817619931765236","0xaf2193cd6b091db90642fb9b9fd7f3c4a1c280373357081ec68c9841e864b207",50,0.42,"Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?","bolivia-presidential-election","2025-10-19T00:00:00Z",{"token_id":154,"condition_id":155,"outcome":57,"size":68,"avg_price":156,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":157,"event_slug":158,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":90,"outcome_prices":64,"category":37},"115435841117777821382450471028123720198937568117993255300359037312730920895858","0x16c7e164f9dedf5b7d890ba0b02b904983541ec7acf7dd9faf094cef53bdd776",0.1013,"Will Marcelo Aro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?","minas-gerais-senate-election-2nd-place",{"token_id":160,"condition_id":161,"outcome":57,"size":162,"avg_price":163,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":164,"event_slug":136,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":137,"outcome_prices":64,"category":74},"25275258976601860306151056759609321158827361858594627600120521769056579627932","0xbc12b9cfb9b3694dee7221b78ea7c1723ebfbee683efeabc0e047f3e547b4170",70,0.1988,"Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?",{"token_id":166,"condition_id":167,"outcome":57,"size":168,"avg_price":169,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":170,"event_slug":171,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":172,"outcome_prices":64,"category":74},"74540655102192772829556287877001926126872941565744538532447222310356633730464","0xaa08c6e1cb85d5b334057af7c7f3107ea6049a5d9c490e7e3a967d5a8543c38f",298,0.0399,"Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?","will-any-candidate-win-outright-in-1st-round-of-bolivia-election","2025-08-17T00:00:00Z",{"token_id":174,"condition_id":175,"outcome":57,"size":176,"avg_price":177,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":178,"event_slug":116,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":90,"outcome_prices":64,"category":37},"90180475101756729089570182362261460642819230033481570755127033507477996050412","0x7452216a57a3bef85439820c7bb421fa38e5a5ecff8c43658de515c1df70151e",219.3,0.0414,"Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",{"token_id":180,"condition_id":181,"outcome":57,"size":148,"avg_price":182,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":183,"event_slug":184,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":172,"outcome_prices":64,"category":74},"33823340817175149376012574265940489211522977679256507571271999628165971002016","0x5007776ee89221bf7796853c0661038ff77724b9cdf1376ac98d6844e4f2f993",0.15,"Will Quiroga win by 3-7%?","bolivia-presidential-election-margin-of-victory",{"token_id":186,"condition_id":187,"outcome":57,"size":188,"avg_price":189,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":190,"event_slug":191,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":90,"outcome_prices":64,"category":37},"3101078406847468115030063556561929542651666254071227177664487854919342104851","0xba33dcba77d293a8ca82005c90c5a46df0f15a58dc8e24869709c703b0693940",57.4,0.0846,"Will Carlos Viana win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?","minas-gerais-senate-election-1st-place",{"token_id":193,"condition_id":194,"outcome":57,"size":113,"avg_price":195,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":196,"event_slug":197,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":198,"outcome_prices":64,"category":74},"70216508118819580886497331384656085719909906053267333416572188698358908118147","0xfdc8b631bbb243f2e09c5b3bef58e46f90feaf66331ceb2ce57709c8148ff9a9",0.034,"Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 US Open?","2025-us-open-winner-m","2025-09-07T12:00:00Z",{"token_id":200,"condition_id":201,"outcome":57,"size":113,"avg_price":202,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":203,"event_slug":197,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":198,"outcome_prices":64,"category":74},"25577672190736675505547675574432855419573738109461903294449482267537522095787","0xb525045d526bacd617998521fff514a28ffec9254a49d706d52efaf298abbb5d",0.0289,"Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 US Open?",{"token_id":205,"condition_id":206,"outcome":57,"size":207,"avg_price":208,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":209,"event_slug":197,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":198,"outcome_prices":64,"category":74},"37135377771500833381526582899492124774282014592341484250819875777472641744691","0x24ded9a27bc389c9d74543b7a54028d2b00ec784f8373643744d4f11ca750650",399.77,0.0059,"Will Holger Rune win the 2025 US Open?",{"token_id":211,"condition_id":212,"outcome":57,"size":213,"avg_price":214,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":215,"event_slug":191,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":90,"outcome_prices":64,"category":37},"22558107910111059876934011163710456871036485033908994949205828759489212127934","0xb80e0949652e619b9dbad2e0bd5265f90234e43f1ee4e314de5f771c2b681bce",38.4,0.0452,"Will Marco Antônio Superman win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?",{"token_id":217,"condition_id":218,"outcome":57,"size":113,"avg_price":219,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":220,"event_slug":221,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":222,"outcome_prices":64,"category":74},"92075990532597595876849332693463720459980080276864656348751001389254697941159","0xa5e111b294397c0aeef89e377ba5594a5edde4fea765120d0585384c33485fe8",0.015,"Will Trump talk to Jair Bolsonaro in November?","who-will-trump-talk-to-in-november","2025-11-30T00:00:00Z",{"token_id":224,"condition_id":225,"outcome":57,"size":226,"avg_price":227,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":228,"event_slug":197,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":198,"outcome_prices":64,"category":74},"68953006765963762059599341810912575379988078768971299797434410742201286309877","0x45a3a5f608d6d4a66600dd7fe142b8359325f6c4b2a5f8bd6159814017c41a8b",400,0.003,"Will Casper Ruud win the 2025 US Open?",{"token_id":230,"condition_id":231,"outcome":57,"size":226,"avg_price":227,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":232,"event_slug":197,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":198,"outcome_prices":64,"category":74},"85351085152043679480148485544612617326423600014744740401045093982608350349154","0xad8358131b433a0c9aa6be80abfb0137d19c42e8f0168b47d75394ee355283e8","Will Tommy Paul win the 2025 US Open?",{"token_id":234,"condition_id":235,"outcome":57,"size":236,"avg_price":182,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":237,"event_slug":184,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":172,"outcome_prices":64,"category":74},"45444486606966626387583277898069225246222742742865534230890344230508964491686","0x66093d0a5b4eb4a1a6e03170b2acb04003e2b335fc30a7687144208b4919519e",7.6588,"Will Quiroga win by 0-3%?",{"token_id":239,"condition_id":240,"outcome":57,"size":241,"avg_price":242,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":243,"event_slug":197,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":198,"outcome_prices":64,"category":74},"105104283473155899617613451795077052904374678592511045507139498053380583597852","0x5a3690eb66e903f091df6655cb7eebd33effe5eed63dd0b3a9286c57e9e4169a",150,0.007,"Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 US Open?",{"token_id":245,"condition_id":246,"outcome":57,"size":241,"avg_price":242,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":247,"event_slug":197,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":198,"outcome_prices":64,"category":74},"1783397703534890103068023985311696725834478605290038758674897308803886223310","0x96548f297a8892d8028f8284c9b678893e63c726f2f23caed6486a8acfbe9c37","Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2025 US Open?",{"token_id":249,"condition_id":250,"outcome":57,"size":251,"avg_price":252,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":253,"event_slug":197,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":198,"outcome_prices":64,"category":74},"30733033617281715032973755285857725407458357023473507995988381747361769566869","0x034ca818c0c263d3dba330cc01d70afb1488931ce0bb4a841c7ab427f9ced82d",500,0.002,"Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2025 US Open?",{"token_id":255,"condition_id":256,"outcome":57,"size":68,"avg_price":257,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":258,"event_slug":197,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":198,"outcome_prices":64,"category":74},"52301276482570990934481863488891479223280648709256390045709263849506860628891","0x91580028ac8bcd20094c5dd5b4cfc4eb066e8f1546bd56a1811121bf70b87eda",0.005,"Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 US Open?",{"token_id":260,"condition_id":261,"outcome":57,"size":262,"avg_price":242,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":263,"event_slug":197,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":198,"outcome_prices":64,"category":74},"107863361055535347684012041972166365489316855814538853212498592397164527682626","0x57c110ca7f7982da72e45bf1842f9b4deb6b7ff2f23d2bb589eebf616a3e1836",74.12,"Will Karen Khachanov win the 2025 US Open?",{"token_id":265,"condition_id":266,"outcome":57,"size":267,"avg_price":252,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":268,"event_slug":197,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":198,"outcome_prices":64,"category":74},"43184482165807099909841745040644277702243233092011401049327358416165752092780","0xc658e1257f4adae79aa786e925b3728f4e8e1d255081a2e13572c2ad69cf2318",250,"Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open?",{"token_id":270,"condition_id":271,"outcome":57,"size":272,"avg_price":242,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":273,"event_slug":197,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":198,"outcome_prices":64,"category":74},"20278877060251536786744349625796159533039560294178558898726679123095646039621","0x6720c648f78a76ad8cdd20b5e36503f45cf27c9fb5985835f64ee006fcb29a40",56.33,"Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 US Open?",{"token_id":275,"condition_id":276,"outcome":28,"size":277,"avg_price":278,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":60,"question":279,"event_slug":280,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":281,"outcome_prices":73,"category":74},"43164469276463613795830530987786574836583326262717696639556377975717358505578","0xccb7248a7bae3a5f5dfdc38a766b00c32b9c2ac644076d5429dd3f6fe4d304c1",0.9947,0.1249,"New US sanctions on Brazilian Supreme Court Justices by September 30?","new-us-sanctions-on-brazilian-supreme-court-justices-by-september-30","2025-10-31T00:00:00Z",[],[284],{"recorded_date":285,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-29",[287,291,292,295,302,305,308,314,317,323,326,329,332,334,339,342,349,355,360,362,365,370,375,377,379,381,383,385,391,394,399,402,407,414,420,421,427,430,437,444,445,452,454,457,461,467,468,470,477,484,486,489,492,498,501,502,504,507,510,516,520,523,526,531,537],{"condition_id":119,"outcome":28,"usdc":288,"entry_price":289,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":90,"captured_at":13,"question":122,"event_slug":89,"category":37},52.292783,0.2341772619618131,"backfill",{"condition_id":250,"outcome":57,"usdc":12,"entry_price":252,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":13,"question":253,"event_slug":197,"category":74},{"condition_id":105,"outcome":57,"usdc":293,"entry_price":294,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":90,"captured_at":13,"question":108,"event_slug":109,"category":37},64.23471799999999,0.11464562497585513,{"condition_id":296,"outcome":28,"usdc":297,"entry_price":298,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":299,"captured_at":13,"question":300,"event_slug":301,"category":74},"0x0cb432564c38fc8dc084fe862e66c4e086f2907739576d96f0c915a9fa449b3d",148.69000000000003,0.8125136612021859,"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?","brazilian-supreme-court-minister-alexandre-de-moraes-be-impeached-2025",{"condition_id":67,"outcome":28,"usdc":303,"entry_price":304,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":72,"captured_at":13,"question":70,"event_slug":71,"category":74},157.8706,0.7893529999863701,{"condition_id":155,"outcome":57,"usdc":306,"entry_price":307,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":90,"captured_at":13,"question":157,"event_slug":158,"category":37},20.95486,0.10130799999000001,{"condition_id":309,"outcome":28,"usdc":310,"entry_price":311,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":63,"captured_at":13,"question":312,"event_slug":313,"category":37},"0x1a01bf78f56a507fcb666d564d8c8b91b0750679163ed6e96746102c9b7d285d",201,0.6715910259993927,"Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election",{"condition_id":309,"outcome":57,"usdc":315,"entry_price":316,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":63,"captured_at":13,"question":312,"event_slug":313,"category":37},123.2989,0.09750415102026003,{"condition_id":318,"outcome":57,"usdc":319,"entry_price":320,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":222,"captured_at":13,"question":321,"event_slug":322,"category":74},"0x1fc2a8443ee2edace495659774b89963222351505a2b9bab7d4856b8638e5dab",19.04,0.14,"Jair Bolsonaro in jail by November 30?","jair-bolsonaro-in-jail-by-november-30",{"condition_id":99,"outcome":57,"usdc":324,"entry_price":325,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":63,"captured_at":13,"question":102,"event_slug":62,"category":37},191.7793,0.20889013221248884,{"condition_id":206,"outcome":57,"usdc":327,"entry_price":328,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":13,"question":209,"event_slug":197,"category":74},2.38676,0.0059703329,{"condition_id":132,"outcome":57,"usdc":330,"entry_price":331,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":137,"captured_at":13,"question":135,"event_slug":136,"category":74},31.0535,0.1774485714117143,{"condition_id":93,"outcome":57,"usdc":113,"entry_price":333,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":63,"captured_at":13,"question":96,"event_slug":62,"category":37},0.1294609284,{"condition_id":335,"outcome":28,"usdc":336,"entry_price":337,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":90,"captured_at":13,"question":338,"event_slug":116,"category":37},"0x3dbbbe0f8e69b1aee0092e1eca397b24c954c00ecc54995035a8683201ad26aa",47.63438,0.7029266836,"Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",{"condition_id":125,"outcome":28,"usdc":340,"entry_price":341,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":72,"captured_at":13,"question":128,"event_slug":129,"category":74},35.1158,0.6557572362,{"condition_id":343,"outcome":57,"usdc":344,"entry_price":345,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":346,"captured_at":13,"question":347,"event_slug":348,"category":74},"0x4048fed324ac27f378ce44da1b12f0d338c8340ef82962989f38eea05409baab",76,0.76,"","Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?","will-trump-release-epstein-files-by",{"condition_id":350,"outcome":57,"usdc":351,"entry_price":352,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":299,"captured_at":13,"question":353,"event_slug":354,"category":74},"0x427bc4b40c09b3dcbc973747f0e4b079bed91b3e5a0aed5c36edd0f7591485f4",30,0.6,"Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?","brazil-unemployment-below-6pt3-for-q4-2025",{"condition_id":356,"outcome":28,"usdc":357,"entry_price":358,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":90,"captured_at":13,"question":359,"event_slug":89,"category":37},"0x42c969b601530ece32eef646b8cbd91ac66e68bdad1fd2ba426f69a2ee2c7548",258.3474,0.7752825376165562,"Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?",{"condition_id":225,"outcome":57,"usdc":361,"entry_price":227,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":13,"question":228,"event_slug":197,"category":74},1.2,{"condition_id":56,"outcome":57,"usdc":363,"entry_price":364,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":63,"captured_at":13,"question":61,"event_slug":62,"category":37},216,0.27901743832870596,{"condition_id":366,"outcome":57,"usdc":367,"entry_price":368,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":90,"captured_at":13,"question":369,"event_slug":158,"category":37},"0x4d0d4f03147ffa2434cbab9fccb6617f03f44802793607eea15bf4744c402f43",3.86392,0.1162616822,"Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?",{"condition_id":371,"outcome":28,"usdc":372,"entry_price":373,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":222,"captured_at":13,"question":374,"event_slug":221,"category":74},"0x4e743734be0633642a693d084eb16170b145ea3e851c283f6c2cddb1e400861a",60.908,0.5746037735849057,"Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in November?",{"condition_id":181,"outcome":57,"usdc":376,"entry_price":182,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":172,"captured_at":13,"question":183,"event_slug":184,"category":74},7.5,{"condition_id":261,"outcome":57,"usdc":378,"entry_price":242,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":13,"question":263,"event_slug":197,"category":74},0.51884,{"condition_id":240,"outcome":57,"usdc":380,"entry_price":242,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":13,"question":243,"event_slug":197,"category":74},1.05,{"condition_id":235,"outcome":57,"usdc":382,"entry_price":182,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":172,"captured_at":13,"question":237,"event_slug":184,"category":74},1.148823,{"condition_id":271,"outcome":57,"usdc":384,"entry_price":242,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":13,"question":273,"event_slug":197,"category":74},0.39431,{"condition_id":386,"outcome":57,"usdc":387,"entry_price":388,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":172,"captured_at":13,"question":389,"event_slug":390,"category":74},"0x69d4c886d88c224bed895bcd78cede2b4de8e57c0afe5b0e0c47eec16613edd5",15.5,0.31,"Will Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?","bolivia-presidential-election-1st-round-winner",{"condition_id":175,"outcome":57,"usdc":392,"entry_price":393,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":90,"captured_at":13,"question":178,"event_slug":116,"category":37},9.43676,0.0414423165,{"condition_id":395,"outcome":28,"usdc":396,"entry_price":397,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":90,"captured_at":13,"question":398,"event_slug":89,"category":37},"0x7b22caeed454d3c7dbd07b83d8255c74e1482c4f958b4ba4dd0c27b864cd47a2",56.809000000000005,0.2034341987590689,"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?",{"condition_id":77,"outcome":28,"usdc":400,"entry_price":401,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":82,"captured_at":13,"question":80,"event_slug":81,"category":74},136.82139999999998,0.643486890059024,{"condition_id":403,"outcome":28,"usdc":404,"entry_price":405,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":90,"captured_at":13,"question":406,"event_slug":313,"category":37},"0x81a537b379a35e4e17c286d3b37394e94bd74c1779bbe9a13670eb991b201a3a",528.144042,0.6605704983816176,"Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",{"condition_id":408,"outcome":28,"usdc":409,"entry_price":410,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":411,"captured_at":13,"question":412,"event_slug":413,"category":74},"0x8d9db66e746cc580be2d395de4997afb319cc651bde79ff670d5c8f75c94fce3",137.51064,0.7784796195866169,"2025-12-31T23:00:00Z","Will BRICS add a new member by December 31?","will-brics-add-a-new-member-by-december-31",{"condition_id":415,"outcome":28,"usdc":416,"entry_price":417,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":299,"captured_at":13,"question":418,"event_slug":419,"category":74},"0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791",64.35,0.6435,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025",{"condition_id":256,"outcome":57,"usdc":12,"entry_price":257,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":13,"question":258,"event_slug":197,"category":74},{"condition_id":422,"outcome":28,"usdc":423,"entry_price":424,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":222,"captured_at":13,"question":425,"event_slug":426,"category":74},"0x9212a79001e12288eb93d975f691265eea95e4d192f0a874e04b02d7dd587698",47.3922,0.2488040739185216,"Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil by November 30?","which-countries-will-the-us-agree-to-tariff-agreements-with-by-november-30",{"condition_id":422,"outcome":57,"usdc":428,"entry_price":429,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":222,"captured_at":13,"question":425,"event_slug":426,"category":74},3.5,0.7,{"condition_id":431,"outcome":57,"usdc":432,"entry_price":433,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":434,"captured_at":13,"question":435,"event_slug":436,"category":74},"0x95e9999a49f50fcc34d2d4a41646a654ebe1055b207731bce44283ce090f71fd",715.9264330000001,0.8287208692096567,"2026-02-28T12:00:00Z","Bolsonaro guilty?","bolsonaro-guilty",{"condition_id":438,"outcome":28,"usdc":439,"entry_price":440,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":441,"captured_at":13,"question":442,"event_slug":443,"category":37},"0x962e5b226a77266ab429029ee04665e8fcfeb10b91af593786ceab871d2e945f",160,0.8,"2027-04-01T03:59:00Z","Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?","nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139",{"condition_id":246,"outcome":57,"usdc":380,"entry_price":242,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":13,"question":247,"event_slug":197,"category":74},{"condition_id":446,"outcome":28,"usdc":447,"entry_price":448,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":449,"captured_at":13,"question":450,"event_slug":451,"category":74},"0xa1feeb2bb297314356299bacc411a5d1174d4e4df4ba8d408529f377f590f779",194.687869,0.781499955077086,"2025-08-31T00:00:00Z","Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in August?","which-countries-will-the-us-agree-to-tariff-agreements-with-in-august",{"condition_id":218,"outcome":57,"usdc":453,"entry_price":219,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":222,"captured_at":13,"question":220,"event_slug":221,"category":74},1.5,{"condition_id":167,"outcome":57,"usdc":455,"entry_price":456,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":172,"captured_at":13,"question":170,"event_slug":171,"category":74},14.31,0.039972067,{"condition_id":458,"outcome":57,"usdc":113,"entry_price":459,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":63,"captured_at":13,"question":460,"event_slug":62,"category":37},"0xaa1c1f03175c143615d4f0da301082b2d6004b0365ec5e19474b43412d246142",0.2205595551,"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?",{"condition_id":462,"outcome":28,"usdc":463,"entry_price":464,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":299,"captured_at":13,"question":465,"event_slug":466,"category":74},"0xab6faa3e66abacc484bbb4bd31ae5e2a56d6f6252b5023631f1bd9e5299fa2f8",271.18100000000004,0.8608920634761904,"Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?","nobel-peace-prize-2025",{"condition_id":231,"outcome":57,"usdc":361,"entry_price":227,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":13,"question":232,"event_slug":197,"category":74},{"condition_id":147,"outcome":57,"usdc":469,"entry_price":149,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":152,"captured_at":13,"question":150,"event_slug":151,"category":74},21,{"condition_id":471,"outcome":57,"usdc":472,"entry_price":473,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":474,"captured_at":13,"question":475,"event_slug":476,"category":74},"0xb3c0b03e60dc3a228017b4dc1d094a045ae84df6df29682c831133307564c167",136,0.68,"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?","jair-bolsonaro-in-jail-by-december-31",{"condition_id":478,"outcome":57,"usdc":479,"entry_price":480,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":481,"captured_at":13,"question":482,"event_slug":483,"category":74},"0xb51f2db5996c86c3fdbac6d67d0fdead997d959ce0d86bad5203d16ee746da17",284.25,0.6359060402684564,"2025-10-26T12:00:00Z","Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?","which-party-wins-most-seats-in-argentina-deputies-election",{"condition_id":201,"outcome":57,"usdc":485,"entry_price":202,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":13,"question":203,"event_slug":197,"category":74},2.89,{"condition_id":212,"outcome":57,"usdc":487,"entry_price":488,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":90,"captured_at":13,"question":215,"event_slug":191,"category":37},1.80437,0.0452604167,{"condition_id":187,"outcome":57,"usdc":490,"entry_price":491,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":90,"captured_at":13,"question":190,"event_slug":191,"category":37},5.01886,0.08466202091184669,{"condition_id":493,"outcome":57,"usdc":494,"entry_price":149,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":495,"captured_at":13,"question":496,"event_slug":497,"category":74},"0xba8a448cc9d7f859ffa5280014cab3f2973a11211cdac77925cdb7e93440abed",52.7646,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","Jair Bolsonaro in jail by January 31?","jair-bolsonaro-in-jail-by-january-31",{"condition_id":161,"outcome":57,"usdc":499,"entry_price":500,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":137,"captured_at":13,"question":164,"event_slug":136,"category":74},13.92,0.1988571429,{"condition_id":266,"outcome":57,"usdc":12,"entry_price":252,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":13,"question":268,"event_slug":197,"category":74},{"condition_id":112,"outcome":57,"usdc":503,"entry_price":114,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":90,"captured_at":13,"question":115,"event_slug":116,"category":37},58.9744,{"condition_id":276,"outcome":28,"usdc":505,"entry_price":506,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":281,"captured_at":13,"question":279,"event_slug":280,"category":74},24.999312,0.12499986812027371,{"condition_id":276,"outcome":57,"usdc":508,"entry_price":509,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":281,"captured_at":13,"question":279,"event_slug":280,"category":74},33.9052,0.28,{"condition_id":511,"outcome":57,"usdc":512,"entry_price":513,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":481,"captured_at":13,"question":514,"event_slug":515,"category":74},"0xd4ae3ea41585388982a6d4cb9b60f4314d92f24ffc88067c9442b72dcc2f2575",437.19246000000004,0.21557813609744578,"Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?","which-party-holds-the-most-seats-after-argentina-deputies-election",{"condition_id":140,"outcome":28,"usdc":517,"entry_price":518,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":519,"captured_at":13,"question":143,"event_slug":44,"category":37},21.446752,0.23000000199415,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",{"condition_id":85,"outcome":28,"usdc":521,"entry_price":522,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":90,"captured_at":13,"question":88,"event_slug":89,"category":37},24.942857,0.3714893658976909,{"condition_id":85,"outcome":57,"usdc":524,"entry_price":525,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":90,"captured_at":13,"question":88,"event_slug":89,"category":37},190.25551000000002,0.14707558810835117,{"condition_id":527,"outcome":57,"usdc":528,"entry_price":529,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":63,"captured_at":13,"question":530,"event_slug":313,"category":37},"0xdf8e2dc5860027decbe6164555c3c1c9645c3bd33e16b9dc57ca87125047d4a8",1785.048676,0.44788537749618484,"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",{"condition_id":532,"outcome":28,"usdc":533,"entry_price":534,"won":12,"source":290,"end_date_iso":474,"captured_at":13,"question":535,"event_slug":536,"category":74},"0xeec8878a64e41f43b81c4402f6b93f07899a85aff3be0683565aedbd23f99d6b",74,0.74,"Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?","ukraine-officially-agrees-to-a-us-backed-ceasefire-framework-in-2025",{"condition_id":194,"outcome":57,"usdc":538,"entry_price":195,"won":17,"source":290,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":13,"question":196,"event_slug":197,"category":74},3.4,{"total":540,"wins":541},65,26,[543,549],{"category":544,"n":545,"wins":546,"hitRate":547,"roi":548},"Other",42,17,0.40476190476190477,0.6251658468340296,{"category":37,"n":550,"wins":551,"hitRate":552,"roi":553},23,9,0.391304347826087,0.4780053269263769,{"generatedAt":555},"2026-11-09T10:04:06.619Z"]