[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x2e1c6e971cff5c3259090d3dea7802a15e4edb61":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":189,"history":190,"resolved":193,"resolvedSummary":583,"specialization":586,"meta":608},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x2e1c6e971cff5c3259090d3dea7802a15e4edb61",1481,299,0.2809364548494983,0.2115600783520756,0.04199440183253718,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-05T19:37:24.565Z",18.82979252173913,2.864603481624758,"2026-10-05T06:36:50.000Z",0,"trades",0.22234307534113704,0.05859337950836118,1191.1060819944848,5630.107964,3.662666151205061,0.020066889632107024,[26,39,48,55,64,72,82,88,97,104,113,121,130,137,143,150,159,166,174,182],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"92632790762320653729742591908754037421877591528744851362930047194067431948566","0xb2140927d199c1f224b3485bcd36400481a8382e6746e16c138e067532e90ad6","No",1904.99,0.8966,"2026-10-10T16:19:39.237Z","2026-10-06T03:27:33.142Z","Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?","will-anthropics-valuation-hit-by-december-31","2027-01-05T04:59:00Z","[\"0.061\", \"0.939\"]","Tech",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":44,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":47,"category":38},"8033162936928559253333848688381590375050619493941525685487640680779354413355","0x0a0fb756d8dc5c3cf0a16eebc7d6d39406155a41e13d00bf615fc0fcd9e9c31a","Yes",2038.7569,0.6117,"Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?","will-openais-valuation-hit-by-december-31","[\"0.705\", \"0.295\"]",{"token_id":49,"condition_id":50,"outcome":29,"size":51,"avg_price":52,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":53,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":54,"category":38},"54898791251605553895628131592977014558000913108870632767537486958885842838513","0x6231089f4ea288201b55d3000b19ef8e56ce5edc50a2806067c8b2e4c6d43dc2",1226.7391,0.9348,"Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?","[\"0.0395\", \"0.9605\"]",{"token_id":56,"condition_id":57,"outcome":42,"size":58,"avg_price":59,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":60,"event_slug":61,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":62,"outcome_prices":63,"category":38},"84283017980183760438757417762014863309970298025454782567476876531322828114099","0x15d989602d5b30c5a08645a23bd898b78c3874f1ddd49ddaea2fec9650f2adb2",300,0.86,"Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?","next-gpt-luna-6pt1-released-byptptpt","2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.795\", \"0.205\"]",{"token_id":65,"condition_id":66,"outcome":42,"size":67,"avg_price":68,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":69,"event_slug":70,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":62,"outcome_prices":71,"category":38},"15295872974947616220365073716572113338059476438162256845180689439411495826535","0x6215c9e255e3926222bc9ead74528c619df8d23e84ad93b72a9874b6de85378d",200,0.89,"Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?","gpt-astra-6pt1-released-byptptpt","[\"0.875\", \"0.125\"]",{"token_id":73,"condition_id":74,"outcome":29,"size":75,"avg_price":76,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":77,"event_slug":78,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":79,"outcome_prices":80,"category":81},"112627519718756479115268006333200422767631472568264198377084576486639297105183","0x0b85bcd497a7081e2f13e7c7be34afefa6f445f42871a8f9ea25cfa204274d15",100,0.978,"Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?","kanye-west-arrested-in-russia-by-october-31","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0035\", \"0.9965\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":83,"condition_id":84,"outcome":29,"size":75,"avg_price":85,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":86,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":87,"category":38},"22665381287609286339200365069801986418729554927785172253448434182907956293843","0x192617b6b85adde1ce846a603effd87d76cc5e57c0a544f41388df8d4961fa2f",0.96,"Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?","[\"0.0285\", \"0.9715\"]",{"token_id":89,"condition_id":90,"outcome":29,"size":91,"avg_price":92,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":93,"event_slug":94,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":95,"outcome_prices":96,"category":38},"42892123357052196706582484388663890452090710539859363532693561247987797479859","0x24d3ed409551c985c73476f49480be52f12b0adb239bfb7f7718424beb1a5c64",43.02,0.93,"Will OpenAI raise between $30B and $40B in its IPO?","how-much-will-openai-raise-in-its-ipo","2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.045\", \"0.955\"]",{"token_id":98,"condition_id":99,"outcome":42,"size":100,"avg_price":101,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":102,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":103,"category":38},"5745472930140474878743679408425168732177461303279061542622840647905956420804","0xc71dbe9724f537b220b58e35a0a023ca9f6883117b3723eecf6384c5b2c51d45",103.9157,0.3083,"Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?","[\"0.265\", \"0.735\"]",{"token_id":105,"condition_id":106,"outcome":42,"size":107,"avg_price":108,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":109,"event_slug":110,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":111,"outcome_prices":112,"category":38},"68448621179046862042293371885664190458598817618518296796216984971510852805335","0x356dd951d62105a067f97bd17a13b3034ae4df3ca8868b9f6ee9a33a9d98ce2e",40,0.79,"Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?","will-any-ai-model-reach-math-arena-score-by-december-31","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.385\", \"0.615\"]",{"token_id":114,"condition_id":115,"outcome":29,"size":116,"avg_price":117,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":118,"event_slug":119,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":111,"outcome_prices":120,"category":38},"87776551521086909015404743795861053336332516477385720525496340588765026194632","0xec0012c7d5a63f984424b8d00e60e8b09e43ed12f55c0f10803a7756e06ac2f5",19.98,0.9399,"Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?","which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-december-31","[\"0.031\", \"0.969\"]",{"token_id":122,"condition_id":123,"outcome":42,"size":124,"avg_price":125,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":126,"event_slug":127,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":111,"outcome_prices":128,"category":129},"38700664245259076081051582140716658589102012772221993919842204315525793147008","0xf5e363c509ba54e783129d71356d96a1f290d862c2a7085ea3c661efc0393de6",30.4266,0.46,"Will Burundi have an Ebola case in 2026?","which-countries-will-have-an-ebola-case-in-2026","[\"0.155\", \"0.845\"]","Culture",{"token_id":131,"condition_id":132,"outcome":42,"size":133,"avg_price":134,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":135,"event_slug":119,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":111,"outcome_prices":136,"category":38},"28452285774474698354947125188608287524436611852945650886746220442735810828277","0xd6e6a84dff227314b82e5ebc66f62611ef4f6c25a349c591f16bd699184a1e83",212.1052,0.042,"Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.0295\", \"0.9705\"]",{"token_id":138,"condition_id":139,"outcome":42,"size":75,"avg_price":140,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":141,"event_slug":119,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":111,"outcome_prices":142,"category":38},"47457106165669064081597156359019095935855290192720333475439372705938872824467","0x076729655c5138c73a60e73e2633cddf2b72fa055deb452b3f07bd608df06fa9",0.07,"Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.05\", \"0.95\"]",{"token_id":144,"condition_id":145,"outcome":29,"size":146,"avg_price":147,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":148,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":149,"category":38},"432865226561474110516972229333352608205877399159786664676541254392878387322","0x782472918d01e1f758c3601540be9cb25357e3ea567903dcb0372ec67ff49af1",5.1,0.82,"Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?","[\"0.041\", \"0.959\"]",{"token_id":151,"condition_id":152,"outcome":42,"size":153,"avg_price":154,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":155,"event_slug":156,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":157,"outcome_prices":158,"category":81},"108906803556859044743502662466278470382709440702946995217061749975985123067116","0xaf36880fafb2479c944b4a45b19d48f5709d177ab194d10edd5bb68c40d4910f",255.8994,0.0085,"Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?","third-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-october","2026-10-31T16:00:00Z","[\"0.081\", \"0.919\"]",{"token_id":160,"condition_id":161,"outcome":42,"size":162,"avg_price":163,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":164,"event_slug":119,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":111,"outcome_prices":165,"category":38},"23399449767286685976142234265781976303529005552388309464707059171731868156315","0xd9eaacb65adac13538f933532cb6fe4415dba2d42a9f460457a7ecb10ea63374",14.99,0.0866,"Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]",{"token_id":167,"condition_id":168,"outcome":42,"size":169,"avg_price":170,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":171,"event_slug":172,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":157,"outcome_prices":173,"category":81},"11087086658402682633006643918741407219126981104999158467564839660372221102320","0xb7d5c4c9da39d867b7f76821f0565e6a45e41858953e63b1413e9bf4519355ac",45.76,0.0029,"Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?","best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-october","[\"0.007\", \"0.993\"]",{"token_id":175,"condition_id":176,"outcome":42,"size":177,"avg_price":178,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":179,"event_slug":180,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":157,"outcome_prices":181,"category":81},"90829390051606644773161284924276543924957589973322574412459272100326227994765","0xf070c0e9f1956e27cd640cfaa446e2c0ef741e0b6dd1563a15f17d1e90b8f56f",25.33,0.0039,"Will MiniMax be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?","second-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-october","[\"0.0715\", \"0.9285\"]",{"token_id":183,"condition_id":184,"outcome":42,"size":185,"avg_price":186,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":187,"event_slug":180,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":157,"outcome_prices":188,"category":81},"66006557457677468220389106441788713687468976490065398039105166753592270439517","0xe0214579ae7816edea2cf8f40299e79a6c6c2a869e35fff453cc19eab32c6ac9",17.21,0.0035,"Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?","[\"0.0195\", \"0.9805\"]",[],[191],{"recorded_date":192,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-05",[194,202,209,217,223,229,236,242,248,255,260,266,272,279,285,292,299,304,310,315,320,328,334,339,345,352,358,364,369,374,379,386,391,396,402,408,413,417,422,426,433,438,443,449,455,463,466,473,479,484,489,493,497,504,512,517,522,526,529,534,541,546,553,557,562,567,573,579],{"condition_id":195,"outcome":42,"usdc":196,"entry_price":197,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":199,"captured_at":13,"question":200,"event_slug":201,"category":38},"0x0bd1b836a2494f80aaee62927cf01e5f6fceb19114e96fc517c6440aea4576e4",24,0.12,"backfill","2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-june",{"condition_id":203,"outcome":42,"usdc":204,"entry_price":205,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":206,"captured_at":13,"question":207,"event_slug":208,"category":81},"0x0e788f0af24124801bd93d180ac52779326d11b473ec480e43c837926c6f4663",1.83174,0.09,"2026-09-30T16:00:00Z","Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?","third-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-september-20260722220502453",{"condition_id":210,"outcome":42,"usdc":211,"entry_price":212,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":213,"captured_at":13,"question":214,"event_slug":215,"category":216},"0x102ba0b71d481838608b3a1d967250ee24b4fd2659f570710f488e34a9b17b80",0.47419999999999995,0.008855275443510738,"2026-06-03T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 3?","highest-temperature-in-moscow-on-june-3-2026",null,{"condition_id":218,"outcome":42,"usdc":219,"entry_price":220,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":221,"captured_at":13,"question":222,"event_slug":216,"category":216},"0x1142cbe8c5c2b0070cee2c232cf063b6c58d752d06517bc40374a27897793ede",0.5,0.01,"2026-07-01T00:00:00Z","Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in June?",{"condition_id":224,"outcome":29,"usdc":225,"entry_price":226,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":227,"captured_at":13,"question":228,"event_slug":216,"category":38},"0x13724d46dee0fc8265728974072c068b83923129965c4c8f54c9b0e03b88d271",0.04,0.001,"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":230,"outcome":42,"usdc":231,"entry_price":232,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":234,"event_slug":235,"category":81},"0x1bdbae59b55dc4b9ac18c8d548de7bd015dec031aa1b23906105b1c5ca4af1c3",4.799976,0.016,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?","best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-july",{"condition_id":237,"outcome":29,"usdc":238,"entry_price":239,"won":12,"source":198,"end_date_iso":206,"captured_at":13,"question":240,"event_slug":241,"category":81},"0x2617cadbd861eb62a1c7bedd55c00c7d23efc266e9d9330c5ac76396f4d326bb",17.978199,0.17095251973435163,"Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?","best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-september-20260717140852824",{"condition_id":243,"outcome":42,"usdc":244,"entry_price":226,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":245,"captured_at":13,"question":246,"event_slug":247,"category":216},"0x2c5f9d7953d06393d5f2199ffd00fd2d4754e1edecff1cbac1e0c813f3d27e26",0.05,"2026-07-01T03:59:59.999Z","Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $315 in June?","what-price-will-msft-hit-in-june-2026",{"condition_id":249,"outcome":42,"usdc":250,"entry_price":251,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":252,"captured_at":13,"question":253,"event_slug":254,"category":216},"0x2d51c1d88e223740e0eb82b925e53d532a986704fd364d3cfa1ccd2e22196649",28.062185000000003,0.017181502811434872,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?","best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-august-20260717004241592",{"condition_id":256,"outcome":42,"usdc":257,"entry_price":220,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":199,"captured_at":13,"question":258,"event_slug":259,"category":216},"0x2d65b2e9464274c38036b56a39ffee904e33787fcc7b1ff8a24651ee4cbd7104",0.3554,"Will nocries play an HLTV-recorded match by June 30?","will-nocries-play-an-hltv-recorded-match-by-june-30",{"condition_id":261,"outcome":42,"usdc":262,"entry_price":226,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":263,"captured_at":13,"question":264,"event_slug":265,"category":216},"0x30656d9635360f053ba5658a121d04bceda602c63aa1335ab43ddfb00994d4a8",0.1,"","Will Vivo Keyd Stars qualify to the EWC","cblol-ewc-qualifiers-which-team-will-qualify-20260611155035854",{"condition_id":267,"outcome":42,"usdc":268,"entry_price":197,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":269,"captured_at":13,"question":270,"event_slug":271,"category":216},"0x32a9214a40b89dfb9ed00c1d771adab28434ffe01e9a1ba908559c6fa25e545f",1.2,"2026-06-06T00:00:00Z","Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?","openai-files-ipo-by",{"condition_id":273,"outcome":42,"usdc":274,"entry_price":226,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":275,"captured_at":13,"question":276,"event_slug":277,"category":278},"0x32c4ee69bd0d9b4d4512af6abd49e0de43108d4cb41077cd1142010e2ed567aa",0.02,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by June 30?","us-federally-charges-cuba-leader-miguel-diaz-canel","Politics",{"condition_id":280,"outcome":42,"usdc":281,"entry_price":282,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":245,"captured_at":13,"question":283,"event_slug":284,"category":216},"0x33a0397cd4308731b883629fc7841b42793d14063500b1eb4691a4f37dc1a808",0.3,0.003,"Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 in June?","what-price-will-open-hit-in-june-2026",{"condition_id":286,"outcome":42,"usdc":287,"entry_price":288,"won":12,"source":198,"end_date_iso":289,"captured_at":13,"question":290,"event_slug":291,"category":81},"0x3740cbefcf2c43da9a6605a026cdb3ec4751ac0551cf1274b3702c961835dac8",1.15,0.023,"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?","second-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-september-20260722220234242",{"condition_id":293,"outcome":29,"usdc":294,"entry_price":295,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":296,"captured_at":13,"question":297,"event_slug":298,"category":216},"0x3900e3acc7c1bfcb6490ff6befe532b6c90d35f418bb76631a09e1f681be709f",31.399688,0.15699931527117986,"2026-09-02T23:59:00Z","Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?","next-google-gemini-flash-model-3pt8-released-byptptpt",{"condition_id":300,"outcome":29,"usdc":301,"entry_price":220,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":199,"captured_at":13,"question":302,"event_slug":303,"category":216},"0x40f91cd459d28a98a44f4446f92118dfe065b803f2edc4c28ec2a6483fbfb5f7",20.291683999999997,"Trump weaponization fund blocked by May 31?","trump-weaponization-fund-blocked-by",{"condition_id":305,"outcome":42,"usdc":306,"entry_price":307,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":308,"captured_at":13,"question":309,"event_slug":216,"category":38},"0x428793e55662d4703996e2ffc016a874cf4acbb5dae5e5661597597d05e8b859",3.2,0.032,"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?",{"condition_id":311,"outcome":29,"usdc":312,"entry_price":313,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":199,"captured_at":13,"question":314,"event_slug":303,"category":216},"0x4331960234b2143ec686b58e096f01122f7db1801631ebe25b3a451792958ff4",19,0.38,"Trump weaponization fund blocked by June 30?",{"condition_id":316,"outcome":42,"usdc":317,"entry_price":318,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":319,"event_slug":216,"category":216},"0x475ccfaaa4cb79646d023b622dd586711d6926bd6d19c32727c51a26a80906df",1.24771,0.006,"Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?",{"condition_id":321,"outcome":42,"usdc":322,"entry_price":323,"won":12,"source":198,"end_date_iso":324,"captured_at":13,"question":325,"event_slug":326,"category":327},"0x5222d81548b9829d33d9b0fd67d1f139ec8956c564d2ee86af1368ffd4065185",7.7,0.77,"2026-06-09T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9?","highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-june-9-2026","Science",{"condition_id":329,"outcome":42,"usdc":330,"entry_price":331,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":263,"captured_at":13,"question":332,"event_slug":333,"category":278},"0x52a7606da0832fd1d4f65c24771d531fbfa509379796d6f08ad8dede8f57bee2",1.7,0.017,"Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?","peru-election-2nd-round-margin-of-victory-0pt1-brackets-20260609021541549",{"condition_id":335,"outcome":29,"usdc":336,"entry_price":337,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":252,"captured_at":13,"question":338,"event_slug":254,"category":216},"0x616841e9a65363fcc9a59ddd8adfecc7f3592a18689b95f2f5807dc43174f282",14.364,0.35,"Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?",{"condition_id":340,"outcome":42,"usdc":341,"entry_price":342,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":252,"captured_at":13,"question":343,"event_slug":344,"category":216},"0x61db0216af5d67320aa4b302e3fd6777164b7d296b8d822635df53b440de1439",1.499978,0.003658548365350516,"Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?","second-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-august-20260717141100971",{"condition_id":346,"outcome":29,"usdc":347,"entry_price":348,"won":12,"source":198,"end_date_iso":349,"captured_at":13,"question":350,"event_slug":351,"category":327},"0x64350bc6e83aed2206c406c04c301ba92f1d6e2ebf96d3ca0030b34db14af060",3.25,0.65,"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on June 7?","highest-temperature-in-jeddah-on-june-7-2026-40c",{"condition_id":353,"outcome":42,"usdc":354,"entry_price":355,"won":12,"source":198,"end_date_iso":356,"captured_at":13,"question":357,"event_slug":46,"category":38},"0x6cfe7a9e60cccf76f79b654192e32585c1f4808ac1abbe17291386b5dc3d6242",984.5170889999998,0.7888852305048026,"2027-01-01T12:00:00Z","Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?",{"condition_id":359,"outcome":42,"usdc":360,"entry_price":361,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":245,"captured_at":13,"question":362,"event_slug":363,"category":216},"0x6ef324fe4f1094884c5b26b280c143ef006515885ffc072a3390eca7c4ad0e60",0.25,0.005,"Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $390 in June?","what-price-will-googl-hit-in-june-2026",{"condition_id":365,"outcome":42,"usdc":366,"entry_price":367,"won":12,"source":198,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":368,"event_slug":46,"category":38},"0x6f107a898291e9e227ef0835f74062c7fbf450363da765cec5372b86cf3686c7",2806.5700960000004,0.8040575651738322,"Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?",{"condition_id":370,"outcome":42,"usdc":371,"entry_price":372,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":199,"captured_at":13,"question":373,"event_slug":201,"category":38},"0x734c6c32a62f8a27035a222e45fc388d59eeffe89bb31ab26054bc29bcc3eee7",46.19943500000001,0.027176465538000554,"Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?",{"condition_id":375,"outcome":42,"usdc":376,"entry_price":377,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":289,"captured_at":13,"question":378,"event_slug":291,"category":81},"0x76ed589f3d3cecc80fb6c307d551b1bce9f91618367503096e06139c3245b11c",0.7241310000000001,0.0046497502764958395,"Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?",{"condition_id":380,"outcome":42,"usdc":381,"entry_price":382,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":383,"captured_at":13,"question":384,"event_slug":385,"category":278},"0x789c947a9415600d30d56a4aae88d4111996679b0caed166d0c96242fdce92a2",3.5,0.007,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-may-31",{"condition_id":387,"outcome":42,"usdc":388,"entry_price":389,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":206,"captured_at":13,"question":390,"event_slug":208,"category":81},"0x79d724ccb75ccd65dc4eb472df7e5510289c8983c2426be58670f5ed3cac8ea6",0.02072,0.004,"Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?",{"condition_id":392,"outcome":42,"usdc":219,"entry_price":220,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":393,"captured_at":13,"question":394,"event_slug":395,"category":216},"0x79e9b030ce36ce05dcb2962c4151ea78a247ccca50eccc03c80aa7455653bb3d","2026-08-01T12:00:00Z","Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by June 30?","will-databricks-valuation-hit-by-june-30",{"condition_id":397,"outcome":42,"usdc":398,"entry_price":399,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":245,"captured_at":13,"question":400,"event_slug":401,"category":216},"0x7ff868dee057d1ec3fdf8b35f0aa91b696e8a8ab55512a51e943c45158c4d185",0.0428,0.002,"Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $65 in June?","what-price-will-nflx-hit-in-june-2026",{"condition_id":403,"outcome":42,"usdc":404,"entry_price":226,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":405,"captured_at":13,"question":406,"event_slug":407,"category":216},"0x8781de140a1edcb56013d52b3cd18608b186ad58651dd955fae9dcc17441dba5",0.2,"2026-07-13T00:00:00Z","Will Algeria reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-nation-to-reach-semifinals",{"condition_id":409,"outcome":42,"usdc":410,"entry_price":411,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":252,"captured_at":13,"question":412,"event_slug":344,"category":216},"0x90d22cb15c10b61728ec78d7179547995dcaa42063da9f9b226a996579c2f5af",0.5127100000000001,0.0010000000000000002,"Will MiniMax be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?",{"condition_id":414,"outcome":42,"usdc":415,"entry_price":361,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":289,"captured_at":13,"question":416,"event_slug":291,"category":81},"0x93bb85b84643992ec40cd0b2a76f223e498da5bfb2ab29e73055aff202d92407",0.9998900000000001,"Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?",{"condition_id":418,"outcome":42,"usdc":419,"entry_price":420,"won":12,"source":198,"end_date_iso":356,"captured_at":13,"question":421,"event_slug":35,"category":38},"0x9a615dee0c451b49b0dd68f6ae48d88fa3bdc15669828f725eb309ac5fe56333",266.0676,0.8465221272796837,"Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?",{"condition_id":423,"outcome":42,"usdc":244,"entry_price":226,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":245,"captured_at":13,"question":424,"event_slug":425,"category":216},"0x9b0c6973a455ef7ab9668942cd6d89b15a3eeb6501d5f3e9442ce14358330808","Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $156 in June?","what-price-will-abnb-hit-in-june-2026",{"condition_id":427,"outcome":42,"usdc":428,"entry_price":429,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":430,"captured_at":13,"question":431,"event_slug":432,"category":216},"0x9cb8f302e5ae7b12d76821bc8ea1678e001961a27a39bd7c923faaeef506121e",1.234815,0.049999999999999996,"2026-06-09T00:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 9?","highest-temperature-in-jeddah-on-june-9-2026-36c",{"condition_id":434,"outcome":42,"usdc":435,"entry_price":436,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":221,"captured_at":13,"question":437,"event_slug":216,"category":216},"0x9e5a8cc48823ae32f7c4b90b6b147288011d279530ef24848af974acb91ddc75",0.92379,0.021,"Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in June?",{"condition_id":439,"outcome":42,"usdc":440,"entry_price":441,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":252,"captured_at":13,"question":442,"event_slug":344,"category":216},"0xaa0eac4127d14941d181d0d0047a5737bd86cc24dc51b38a9d047cd0020dc6c9",8.110879999999998,0.023928723153174413,"Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?",{"condition_id":444,"outcome":42,"usdc":445,"entry_price":446,"won":12,"source":198,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":447,"event_slug":448,"category":38},"0xadc76ee95ed51195ce46e91570ef08e6bd7002cb8929bc81de4b64c4f16852e4",1095.641,0.8647521704814524,"GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?","gpt-5pt6-released-by",{"condition_id":450,"outcome":42,"usdc":451,"entry_price":452,"won":12,"source":198,"end_date_iso":79,"captured_at":13,"question":453,"event_slug":454,"category":38},"0xb594727136f07d03eb9fd2142116ded0ac69bf0bacbace1077f3957d3add8a74",0.4814,0.29,"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?","next-claude-sonnet-released-byptptpt-20260701203831153",{"condition_id":456,"outcome":42,"usdc":457,"entry_price":458,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":459,"captured_at":13,"question":460,"event_slug":461,"category":462},"0xbc1acc2e281d91fc91e52529a46a2e1069b0de1ae63a597cc9515a3ab305212d",1.55,0.031,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?","who-will-attend-taylor-swift-and-travis-kelces-wedding","Sports",{"condition_id":464,"outcome":29,"usdc":12,"entry_price":274,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":459,"captured_at":13,"question":465,"event_slug":461,"category":462},"0xbc88a1fd20ced1ccf45506178e78261c11ecb45ec0a5a35198156228fa4e1e39","Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?",{"condition_id":467,"outcome":29,"usdc":468,"entry_price":469,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":470,"captured_at":13,"question":471,"event_slug":472,"category":216},"0xbd68bdf375927f86a243dad7f1d2325101b9505c9dfae7808af74259a3b82dde",5.2,0.052,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?","starmer-officially-leaves-office-by-20260622151447063",{"condition_id":474,"outcome":42,"usdc":475,"entry_price":476,"won":12,"source":198,"end_date_iso":111,"captured_at":13,"question":477,"event_slug":478,"category":38},"0xc553c891e8f201629db93b9bd2fcfbcf22c3cefc99edb852e58ff305d73a02af",55.5768,0.27,"Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?","chatbot-arena-how-high-will-ai-score-by-december-31",{"condition_id":480,"outcome":42,"usdc":481,"entry_price":482,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":206,"captured_at":13,"question":483,"event_slug":208,"category":81},"0xc7083960b059a05511adca49f9a423880588ab2d45bbaf0dd983adbf35195a33",0.6,0.03,"Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?",{"condition_id":485,"outcome":42,"usdc":486,"entry_price":487,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":289,"captured_at":13,"question":488,"event_slug":291,"category":81},"0xcae8c6e60d465bb386711e3d6590d7d556fb52968dd8f8c588a0716317028c9c",1.1479680000000003,0.004189725397451059,"Will MiniMax be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?",{"condition_id":490,"outcome":42,"usdc":491,"entry_price":399,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":252,"captured_at":13,"question":492,"event_slug":254,"category":216},"0xcbc83b187ea80fd836cfc164ca020a9d748982fb6dcacb3b5567f6cff777869d",1.4008200000000002,"Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?",{"condition_id":494,"outcome":42,"usdc":495,"entry_price":282,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":206,"captured_at":13,"question":496,"event_slug":208,"category":81},"0xd1489e6a98e67c406a36f850fcff73d04985722a2d47b0c868582c944286e7be",0.09633,"Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?",{"condition_id":498,"outcome":29,"usdc":499,"entry_price":500,"won":12,"source":198,"end_date_iso":501,"captured_at":13,"question":502,"event_slug":503,"category":327},"0xd4ddecd10726aee7cd45a5ccd44245e69c8ca9d6c6253bb0915a45851a8d7d00",8.51,0.851,"2026-06-05T00:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 5?","highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-june-5-2026-21c",{"condition_id":505,"outcome":42,"usdc":506,"entry_price":507,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":508,"captured_at":13,"question":509,"event_slug":510,"category":511},"0xd7c0939a7b41b105a07a109077023de9e840da09c2f55fc4b45f6aac3323d334",2.3000000000000003,0.007666666666666666,"2026-06-16T20:00:00Z","S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on June 16?","spy-closes-above-on-june-16-2026","Business",{"condition_id":513,"outcome":42,"usdc":514,"entry_price":515,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":289,"captured_at":13,"question":516,"event_slug":291,"category":81},"0xdb3de63a6772d71e3fc3d3d5b191a32c00d34bbd4a43476e6b469d50f38367bf",2.195917,0.009136232937400278,"Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?",{"condition_id":518,"outcome":42,"usdc":519,"entry_price":520,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":289,"captured_at":13,"question":521,"event_slug":291,"category":81},"0xdb78d5be65bcd463ab6647b84c624df2155abd1fefc8b3c97e600f45cbd99c87",1.2321,0.015,"Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?",{"condition_id":523,"outcome":42,"usdc":244,"entry_price":226,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":263,"captured_at":13,"question":524,"event_slug":525,"category":462},"0xe2294293da5393093b89963998282fe0fbd7c055b8a8303b8a86d6bcc2527736","Will Ghana reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-nation-to-reach-quarterfinals",{"condition_id":527,"outcome":42,"usdc":244,"entry_price":226,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":245,"captured_at":13,"question":528,"event_slug":284,"category":216},"0xe61704e2e16df66531b493e4645e33ee9392ed921c3f6ebd3502e53a0305b9fc","Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 in June?",{"condition_id":530,"outcome":42,"usdc":531,"entry_price":532,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":199,"captured_at":13,"question":533,"event_slug":448,"category":38},"0xe69b388ee2691abc5a2b4d66d9212053782c88f30e26f3b791111e562d327224",44,0.29333333333333333,"GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":535,"outcome":42,"usdc":536,"entry_price":537,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":538,"captured_at":13,"question":539,"event_slug":540,"category":38},"0xeb44c5c4c3cfbd4e8be87ae6b9f7ed021e3f26dce06f7b7f1a3e8a8f412eb626",0.95,0.019,"2026-07-01T12:00:00Z","Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?","will-openais-valuation-hit-by-june-30",{"condition_id":542,"outcome":42,"usdc":543,"entry_price":544,"won":12,"source":198,"end_date_iso":111,"captured_at":13,"question":545,"event_slug":478,"category":38},"0xee96762c2087b4be3fb73e66714b374ef302ce4fec2b508c93c42243a3a9c1cb",56.7,0.5670000000000001,"Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?",{"condition_id":547,"outcome":42,"usdc":548,"entry_price":549,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":550,"captured_at":13,"question":551,"event_slug":552,"category":278},"0xeee4eed57180948422c259a91e74d8a6742c65878181ca9ca122975ed11d2b48",5.9,0.059,"2026-07-16T03:59:00Z","Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?","will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by",{"condition_id":554,"outcome":42,"usdc":555,"entry_price":399,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":252,"captured_at":13,"question":556,"event_slug":254,"category":216},"0xf61ed4922c5eb6a2b0ca1032b6bc6cad7b5f6b80257f84163e0096a5eef41e17",0.9999600000000001,"Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?",{"condition_id":558,"outcome":29,"usdc":559,"entry_price":389,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":560,"captured_at":13,"question":561,"event_slug":448,"category":38},"0xfa70d7850dcd6b86d0aec7373f43923a8884aaa4d5e45ac94ef99ecd4c2a84bf",0.4,"2026-07-24T00:00:00Z","GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?",{"condition_id":563,"outcome":29,"usdc":564,"entry_price":565,"won":12,"source":198,"end_date_iso":252,"captured_at":13,"question":566,"event_slug":254,"category":216},"0xfc75b689cb70c00a2f82b17d74909f4feef61f8e40eaf8855478a9cb036829be",16.28,0.8139999999999998,"Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?",{"condition_id":568,"outcome":29,"usdc":569,"entry_price":549,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":570,"captured_at":13,"question":571,"event_slug":572,"category":216},"0xfcc0bb57ee346789b3924da41a290bec8841eb33c4a93c880bda94a185f3c8c9",1.17941,"2026-08-31T17:00:00Z","Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?","claude-fable-5-restored-for-us-customers-by-20260613193753196",{"condition_id":574,"outcome":42,"usdc":575,"entry_price":576,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":199,"captured_at":13,"question":577,"event_slug":578,"category":81},"0xfd98180aa78ffbba17c7fd563223fec106ca05b32319f06df1834fe51f61fa5d",21.227542999999997,0.015691111396462763,"Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? ","will-a-chinese-ai-model-become-1-by-june-30",{"condition_id":580,"outcome":42,"usdc":219,"entry_price":220,"won":17,"source":198,"end_date_iso":245,"captured_at":13,"question":581,"event_slug":582,"category":216},"0xffc8b77e9f7a320b181fc555fc522ab40f56184dd70c73fd08205ea2db2fe26b","Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $170 in June?","what-price-will-ewy-hit-in-june-2026",{"total":584,"wins":585},68,13,[587,592,596,600,603,605,607],{"category":588,"n":589,"wins":12,"hitRate":590,"roi":591},"Other",30,0.03333333333333333,-0.8720245958488746,{"category":38,"n":593,"wins":594,"hitRate":219,"roi":595},14,7,0.2308466079850576,{"category":81,"n":585,"wins":597,"hitRate":598,"roi":599},2,0.15384615384615385,1.8731832859954891,{"category":278,"n":601,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":602},4,-1,{"category":462,"n":604,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":602},3,{"category":327,"n":604,"wins":604,"hitRate":12,"roi":606},0.28468653648509756,{"category":511,"n":12,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":602},{"generatedAt":609},"2026-10-11T02:53:05.098Z"]