[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x23849120e77d90086290922d597dc24b99dc3e0b":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":139,"history":140,"resolved":143,"resolvedSummary":741,"specialization":744,"meta":758},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x23849120e77d90086290922d597dc24b99dc3e0b",1746,1061,0.3892554194156456,0.28405789022214417,0.13128506932655237,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-12T01:37:39.112Z",36.87690145617337,1.6151711378353377,"2026-10-11T21:44:02.000Z",0,"trades",0.3015618695212057,0.08769354989443914,11114.160489930326,39126.39244499995,6.712182558277822,0.001890359168241966,[26,39,48,56,64,71,80,88,95,102,112,118,126,131],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"82745329512410215497869752977718447298707050003140406962389512550880168102285","0x661991ef5df3c91ae71ffca59d2e4b2fc8a4676402d4a21dfd5d4c179d6519c8","No",872.27,0.734,"2026-10-17T05:30:51.499Z","2026-10-12T04:48:32.176Z","Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?","will-russia-announce-a-new-forced-mobilization-byptptpt","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.105\", \"0.895\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":44,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":47,"category":38},"38422398214032597321750375505779781724937482600069706796329695747341783203052","0x8567295f09b89140143070db5a6ae362aba1d1ce81de2c3ef0da086cc5185877","Yes",819.6612,0.61,"Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?","will-russia-capture-mala-tokmachka-by","[\"0.235\", \"0.765\"]",{"token_id":49,"condition_id":50,"outcome":42,"size":51,"avg_price":52,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":53,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":55,"category":38},"90964147081776696424787963410899595004063234494332912655013296170203503212031","0xfc61377bf1822f97b14f3581729b67d9b95617a9129ac615c4d19e02f98d3514",500,0.21,"Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?","will-russia-capture-dobropillia-byptptpt","[\"0.19\", \"0.81\"]",{"token_id":57,"condition_id":58,"outcome":42,"size":59,"avg_price":60,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":61,"event_slug":62,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":63,"category":38},"13676207362387655746963205713590038128620088110508381127494033198879282220597","0xb7d6db12a48e282585501f57871e6e482b9e2c41c68d1d5019bdbd2902209b69",135.06,0.3832,"Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?","which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-december-31","[\"0.305\", \"0.695\"]",{"token_id":65,"condition_id":66,"outcome":42,"size":67,"avg_price":68,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":69,"event_slug":62,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":70,"category":38},"98023498019555384464392183021079879587265576186277310432693422036242885568374","0xe97ddd7cfb8633ca0cc05f8033e662b92f6186b9763e96d8fa734c6c83009b35",600,0.0844,"Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.0255\", \"0.9745\"]",{"token_id":72,"condition_id":73,"outcome":42,"size":74,"avg_price":75,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":76,"event_slug":77,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":78,"category":79},"9832840359181173217418270735851083111766368574540654941614964275778988692876","0xdf32503b14fe232043d9db63ae787db13ddbc8374f4d1d016fd7d90d68e87147",3206.3831,0.0157,"Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?","next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406","[\"0.0075\", \"0.9925\"]","Politics",{"token_id":81,"condition_id":82,"outcome":42,"size":83,"avg_price":84,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":85,"event_slug":86,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":87,"category":79},"33494367347551331946342435103439941845098826775268607415622273267276026227499","0xf691956d44187f9296718a26b10c03d3b85e3369e2098ab2188f765ef4dc97b7",300,0.15,"Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?","will-russia-capture-lyman-in-2025","[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]",{"token_id":89,"condition_id":90,"outcome":42,"size":91,"avg_price":92,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":93,"event_slug":62,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":94,"category":38},"83473057297942697835674763016131088636295100054055517877167056680303626307739","0x357ee5e692658d4dae5b7fe59bae12cef029f2ebffb5452f4d439a1934d84211",144.2743,0.2008,"Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.09\", \"0.91\"]",{"token_id":96,"condition_id":97,"outcome":42,"size":98,"avg_price":99,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":100,"event_slug":62,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":101,"category":38},"89257206036904390727737522884300904273162487526150385112644369513634089035129","0xd4aa5c6bd2a179244d98ba714dba4441e4bf5f99f27a657b8d967f8f67cfe041",99.9926,0.24,"Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]",{"token_id":103,"condition_id":104,"outcome":42,"size":105,"avg_price":106,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":107,"question":108,"event_slug":109,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":110,"outcome_prices":111,"category":79},"21066467540090098609907924879704517185185921738831690901320709657621226309874","0x16248fb1d6b56e9b851f45fadb1e501c0a82c51a60c9808c6f51f052d3684820",200,0.1,"2026-10-14T20:21:53.929Z","US imports Russian diesel by October 31?","us-imports-russian-diesel-by-october-31","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.027\", \"0.973\"]",{"token_id":113,"condition_id":114,"outcome":42,"size":105,"avg_price":115,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":116,"event_slug":62,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":117,"category":38},"63580088566449693910651546581602663772784049542840835439722242383949390233474","0x465ca3fde976d3f147697893414b341b11a4e624e97e6e9b106c4d02cae4a443",0.0999,"Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.0205\", \"0.9795\"]",{"token_id":119,"condition_id":120,"outcome":42,"size":121,"avg_price":122,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":123,"event_slug":124,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":125,"category":79},"111407906413483830198481741547621131014289190946534570245645667771579973364067","0x3e4e5225054ad5168e0b249164f643453ba97a8947f84d7aacb4c768275d48e9",100,0.11,"Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?","ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025","[\"0.015\", \"0.985\"]",{"token_id":127,"condition_id":128,"outcome":42,"size":121,"avg_price":122,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":129,"event_slug":62,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":130,"category":38},"68871795742643207230351030307476361757471219128575737537405656778104768946215","0x4d3395a91ab99cb40dc56cd4debc360ad167ac51137b862aa4ff1b5c28a22561","Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.0375\", \"0.9625\"]",{"token_id":132,"condition_id":133,"outcome":42,"size":134,"avg_price":135,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":136,"event_slug":137,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":138,"category":79},"17883565812385692919033074431368509269944503170327690253570087813703946722468","0x55ad441bdaa0391bcdb47bdd939d995f3b6b51531904f0207c3b7316ecde5e13",72.1889,0.09,"Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?","nord-stream-pipeline-turned-on-before-2027","[\"0.043\", \"0.957\"]",[],[141],{"recorded_date":142,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-12",[144,153,160,167,174,180,187,194,201,208,214,221,226,233,236,243,249,255,262,268,273,279,285,292,298,304,310,317,324,331,338,343,348,355,360,367,370,377,382,387,394,401,407,413,420,426,433,439,445,450,456,463,470,475,482,489,495,501,508,515,520,527,533,539,546,551,555,561,567,572,579,584,589,593,599,605,611,618,621,625,631,637,644,650,656,661,666,671,677,680,686,689,696,701,707,714,719,726,729,735],{"condition_id":145,"outcome":29,"usdc":146,"entry_price":147,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":149,"captured_at":13,"question":150,"event_slug":151,"category":152},"0x003854530c72441dbaaa00b8383b7578b13dc631de3cda526037fae44f4e5e71",27,0.3,"backfill","2025-02-28T12:00:00Z","Will Tucker say \"nuclear\" 3 or more times during Lavrov interview?","what-will-tucker-saying-during-lavrov-interview",null,{"condition_id":154,"outcome":42,"usdc":155,"entry_price":156,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":157,"captured_at":13,"question":158,"event_slug":159,"category":152},"0x021e618c946d8ff51cf4e690809295b218353b5e635b905c9c27e779e20d0ce9",14.8,0.011384615384615385,"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?","first-leader-out-of-power-in-2025",{"condition_id":161,"outcome":29,"usdc":162,"entry_price":163,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":164,"captured_at":13,"question":165,"event_slug":166,"category":152},"0x037f0d4493a455779744fbb8154f729462cef4f3d6f28fe4f95ddfbc6559f5fc",1274.3641160000002,0.3656552668990826,"2024-10-31T12:00:00Z","Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?","will-ukraine-hold-kursk-through-october-31",{"condition_id":168,"outcome":42,"usdc":169,"entry_price":170,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":171,"captured_at":13,"question":172,"event_slug":173,"category":79},"0x06c901b3983cd58bec34252a72a74d4a2f2a64e6ad359967a864dc424997967a",28.4943,0.57,"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?","will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by",{"condition_id":175,"outcome":42,"usdc":176,"entry_price":177,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":157,"captured_at":13,"question":178,"event_slug":179,"category":152},"0x07555b0e89abe017ddde72e5d04f26f6b26a7f221cca5fcae54ca99dd984774d",65.327817,0.20269716313071595,"Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? ","ukraine-agrees-not-to-join-nato-before-july",{"condition_id":181,"outcome":42,"usdc":182,"entry_price":183,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":184,"captured_at":13,"question":185,"event_slug":186,"category":152},"0x0af44ddef5486a93273814e3093bbd63d81278348229ad675d6f5e8e97d7234d",9.5,0.095,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? ","ukraine-agrees-not-to-join-nato-by-march-31",{"condition_id":188,"outcome":42,"usdc":189,"entry_price":190,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":191,"captured_at":13,"question":192,"event_slug":193,"category":152},"0x0d35112c4b54c098a5a9ca2d9df09eff427419e64bb87ae7b425de7ced2c5174",2.6,0.26,"2025-11-30T00:00:00Z","Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?","will-russia-capture-kupiansk-vuzlovyi-by-november-30",{"condition_id":195,"outcome":29,"usdc":196,"entry_price":197,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":13,"question":199,"event_slug":200,"category":152},"0x0dc20dec14f65344dd405005777cf8c3d5fa4a5d0c9fafa3874fee1dd6acd4e2",621.110772,0.8900000037112535,"2024-08-31T12:00:00Z","Will Ukraine take the Kursk Nuclear Plant by Aug 31?","will-ukraine-take-the-kursk-nuclear-plant-by-aug-31",{"condition_id":202,"outcome":29,"usdc":203,"entry_price":204,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":205,"captured_at":13,"question":206,"event_slug":207,"category":152},"0x0dd237d033a616990688027d241890e7fdc496e5a0f6e0985322def8910aca97",99.24,0.3621897810218978,"2023-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will Sweden join NATO by December 31?","will-sweden-join-nato-by",{"condition_id":209,"outcome":29,"usdc":210,"entry_price":211,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":205,"captured_at":13,"question":212,"event_slug":213,"category":152},"0x0e1e0f0de9aaeb4865423f177dd84b11b8df5384504378ea655d3889332f465d",348.930429,0.6183520309349826,"Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?","did-israeli-intelligence-have-advanced-knowledge-of-the-attack",{"condition_id":215,"outcome":42,"usdc":216,"entry_price":217,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":218,"captured_at":13,"question":219,"event_slug":220,"category":152},"0x0fb3a064027b95de36af33e6b88b9bbd56f9e80707fe828c542daa3bd38f9001",18.95,0.014980237154150196,"2023-10-31T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting?","fed-interest-rates-november-2023",{"condition_id":222,"outcome":29,"usdc":223,"entry_price":224,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":149,"captured_at":13,"question":225,"event_slug":151,"category":152},"0x11d50d56f17a00743cd2079dafc73f37670c3f20ed209f5101c20560456c0192",27.8628,0.84,"Will Tucker say \"clown\" during Lavrov interview?",{"condition_id":227,"outcome":29,"usdc":228,"entry_price":229,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":230,"captured_at":13,"question":231,"event_slug":232,"category":152},"0x135096de7aea3a66f65be697fa6d6162b28828ae15f4802a41f2c3b719792e5c",51.999227,0.2600000012027205,"2025-09-30T00:00:00Z","Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?","will-russia-capture-all-of-pokrovsk-by-september-30",{"condition_id":227,"outcome":42,"usdc":234,"entry_price":235,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":230,"captured_at":13,"question":231,"event_slug":232,"category":152},35,0.35,{"condition_id":237,"outcome":29,"usdc":238,"entry_price":239,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":240,"captured_at":13,"question":241,"event_slug":242,"category":152},"0x156686029bcb82a1b984437d664d7cd679c592630b28ddd3478509d2e5d74481",56,0.28,"2024-03-06T00:00:00Z","Will Biden say \"Navalny\" during his State of the Union address?","what-will-biden-say-during-state-of-the-union",{"condition_id":244,"outcome":42,"usdc":245,"entry_price":246,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":230,"captured_at":13,"question":247,"event_slug":248,"category":152},"0x18f7637335809af5c5fdc9f3158207bc06a63fbb71fe35d8a7e812142f91f701",0.25992,0.024,"Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?","where-will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-393",{"condition_id":250,"outcome":42,"usdc":251,"entry_price":252,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":253,"captured_at":13,"question":76,"event_slug":254,"category":152},"0x1d76a03419421f64288b3a1ae6a618e87449f267b1c29932703736a7eac2ba01",19.499453,0.013000000038035489,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-684",{"condition_id":256,"outcome":42,"usdc":257,"entry_price":258,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":259,"captured_at":13,"question":260,"event_slug":261,"category":79},"0x1e5efe84a9a890e61044d77ea6e182f39b06d5b382c851b926cad54cb4972e68",93.5264,0.22,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?","will-russia-capture-slovainsk-by-2027",{"condition_id":263,"outcome":42,"usdc":264,"entry_price":265,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":157,"captured_at":13,"question":266,"event_slug":267,"category":152},"0x1ecb710da7d97b76c1c99180d8f3d2afe052d09b68eca89b4cf3ce37a7a0a426",15.23054,0.03046108,"US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?","us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukraine",{"condition_id":269,"outcome":29,"usdc":270,"entry_price":271,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":149,"captured_at":13,"question":272,"event_slug":151,"category":152},"0x2059b372f08c027ae5ee2bae940a683541c4488a11bf790323cfaad0eac633cd",17.1756,0.78,"Will Tucker say \"Wagner\" during Lavrov interview?",{"condition_id":274,"outcome":42,"usdc":275,"entry_price":276,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":157,"captured_at":13,"question":277,"event_slug":278,"category":152},"0x21bdabe2791e7a70a02829be6a3dd7452fd4f6cba3b1fa1abed109941d8864d2",79.197937,0.07919864748963798,"Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?","will-ukraine-agree-to-give-up-the-rest-of-donbas",{"condition_id":280,"outcome":42,"usdc":281,"entry_price":282,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":205,"captured_at":13,"question":283,"event_slug":284,"category":152},"0x21ed8848ab47f2b88878be0ffdaa9a874f1c6acc93a07a8fd1f02b2eb89f43a3",28,0.14,"Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict?","will-another-nation-declare-war-in-the-israel-hamas-conflict",{"condition_id":286,"outcome":29,"usdc":287,"entry_price":288,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":289,"captured_at":13,"question":290,"event_slug":291,"category":152},"0x23dcceb0f954892ee923b19b383a5c465becc4c79012491ad88daf9b51de2558",16,0.16,"2025-02-14T12:00:00Z","Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by next Friday?","will-trump-meet-with-volodymyr-zelenskyy-by-next-friday",{"condition_id":293,"outcome":42,"usdc":294,"entry_price":235,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":295,"captured_at":13,"question":296,"event_slug":297,"category":79},"0x25021424b6bd56759b7ca1604157c172f76351158fcfb3ad60dc0fe7246ba233",3.5,"2026-01-01T04:59:00Z","Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?","will-russia-capture-all-of-kupiansk-by",{"condition_id":299,"outcome":42,"usdc":300,"entry_price":301,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":302,"captured_at":13,"question":303,"event_slug":86,"category":79},"0x25e4d8c492f2b24d8f720c9bd7480e541613405d6d13598c51f36f214ec5112a",107.0129,0.21381626006513615,"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":305,"outcome":42,"usdc":306,"entry_price":307,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":308,"captured_at":13,"question":309,"event_slug":173,"category":79},"0x271e1d96693db79b42a277dc5f64b61a72bc1a0fad85586fd28c7d89b9b96231",1897.3949940000002,0.7419010435939424,"2026-09-30T12:00:00Z","Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?",{"condition_id":311,"outcome":29,"usdc":312,"entry_price":313,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":314,"captured_at":13,"question":315,"event_slug":316,"category":79},"0x2bde6486e7067f48ee21344d8b5c1af458732536eb4d080932c88c3a7c2d2126",130.596357,0.3900000033135046,"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","Starmer out by December 31, 2026?","starmer-out-in-2025",{"condition_id":318,"outcome":42,"usdc":319,"entry_price":320,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":321,"captured_at":13,"question":322,"event_slug":323,"category":152},"0x2d606a51f902a4d934a4b810dd77cb28bb8e40268f42354057b5a47f9799efad",28.93644,0.078,"2024-08-19T00:00:00Z","Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?","democratic-nominee-2024",{"condition_id":325,"outcome":42,"usdc":326,"entry_price":327,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":328,"captured_at":13,"question":329,"event_slug":330,"category":152},"0x2dd73a52535ce8c1c43d00019382d0028cc3a22fc8f84d8aeb0c32d1449730ce",0.388888,0.280000144,"2025-02-09T12:00:00Z","Will Antonio Pierce get fired?","which-nfl-coaches-will-get-fired-2024-25",{"condition_id":332,"outcome":42,"usdc":333,"entry_price":334,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":335,"captured_at":13,"question":336,"event_slug":337,"category":38},"0x2e43d977463a0d78a859fdd95d1570287b888ed6c9d4670532d46c22a3a7478f",10.999431,0.11000000030338636,"2025-10-01T03:59:00Z","Will Russia capture Sumy before October?","will-russia-capture-sumy-before-october",{"condition_id":339,"outcome":42,"usdc":340,"entry_price":271,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":13,"question":341,"event_slug":342,"category":152},"0x2fc417b2e4f3be9d8007d48bcab0e9c3015c4e988f0faf3d081f08ffe0317503",32.7366,"Pavel Durov released in August?","pavel-durov-released-in-august",{"condition_id":344,"outcome":42,"usdc":345,"entry_price":135,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":259,"captured_at":13,"question":346,"event_slug":347,"category":38},"0x30779a5b03cff9251d259bc0a94e49d12a18eb501170fff2420da55370ecf297",9,"Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?","which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30",{"condition_id":349,"outcome":42,"usdc":350,"entry_price":351,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":352,"captured_at":13,"question":353,"event_slug":354,"category":152},"0x308f90fa510f7ef7319e8d9948511abdae4d47032ef1421138f20b2ec5e73f03",1.8,0.12,"2024-06-30T00:00:00Z","Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June 30?","ceasefire-between-russia-and-ukraine-by-june",{"condition_id":356,"outcome":29,"usdc":357,"entry_price":358,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":149,"captured_at":13,"question":359,"event_slug":151,"category":152},"0x331700fed650dab82d9ae1bc8086f0bfb1fdb85958e67948d970cf99af7cda7e",158.95819999999998,0.5626241461017414,"Will Tucker say \"Ukraine\" 10 or more times during Lavrov interview?",{"condition_id":361,"outcome":29,"usdc":362,"entry_price":363,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":364,"captured_at":13,"question":365,"event_slug":366,"category":152},"0x33acd15d84b5b0cb3125425fff9abb9f84260ad6cdd658e57230627c83ede60f",2.95,0.59,"2025-04-30T12:00:00Z","Will Russia recapture Sudzha by April 30?","will-russia-recapture-sudzha-by",{"condition_id":361,"outcome":42,"usdc":368,"entry_price":369,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":364,"captured_at":13,"question":365,"event_slug":366,"category":152},518.6081,0.38741706072314985,{"condition_id":371,"outcome":42,"usdc":372,"entry_price":373,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":374,"captured_at":13,"question":375,"event_slug":376,"category":152},"0x34cd5e4204896f31d5f07cdc659d28515a9c7209357da626c70d428b8ff5be48",152.402799,0.1899999992,"2024-02-07T00:00:00Z","Will Vladimir Putin say Lukashenko in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson?","what-will-putin-say-during-his-interview-with-tucker",{"condition_id":378,"outcome":42,"usdc":379,"entry_price":122,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":157,"captured_at":13,"question":380,"event_slug":381,"category":152},"0x35ae72ecea68142496d891d6b74c3ea7069e8ac7b066542298691b43d74da891",77.0682,"Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?","will-putin-meet-with-zelenskyy-in-2025",{"condition_id":383,"outcome":29,"usdc":384,"entry_price":385,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":157,"captured_at":13,"question":386,"event_slug":159,"category":152},"0x35d6cdbd289215d1282caf1481032969d080afb42334ca0735aa6c42571554a4",17.999807999999998,0.036000000048132766,"Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?",{"condition_id":388,"outcome":42,"usdc":389,"entry_price":390,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":391,"captured_at":13,"question":392,"event_slug":393,"category":152},"0x377567785c949645ef3ec315c927c7bca8fdf396b8d22479e28c45ab847f40c8",24.6022,0.09461656795631106,"2025-10-31T00:00:00Z","Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?","zelenskyy-out-as-ukraine-president-by-october-31",{"condition_id":395,"outcome":42,"usdc":396,"entry_price":397,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":398,"captured_at":13,"question":399,"event_slug":400,"category":152},"0x394851952cb613c24a24b9eb695b828617545a40b4c0013ddc16222ea68561f8",128.4005,0.12225475353956601,"2024-12-31T12:00:00Z","Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2024",{"condition_id":402,"outcome":42,"usdc":403,"entry_price":404,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":405,"captured_at":13,"question":406,"event_slug":323,"category":152},"0x3faf3dbf90050968deafdc980118910ebe8d2410a573bc265ba81fc4658c793b",53.3,0.02665,"2024-08-18T12:00:00Z","Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?",{"condition_id":408,"outcome":29,"usdc":409,"entry_price":410,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":398,"captured_at":13,"question":411,"event_slug":412,"category":152},"0x40802562d59f370cc95cd842fde20462fcb627cb275d418fac2e984762f037a2",171.258,0.38061562395821763,"Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?","will-ukraine-hold-kursk-through-2024",{"condition_id":414,"outcome":29,"usdc":415,"entry_price":416,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":417,"captured_at":13,"question":418,"event_slug":419,"category":152},"0x422ca08d0b46118b477f19e06a432fc4e4ba50173c524fa8fee827bf321645d0",58.5,0.39,"2027-06-30T00:00:00Z","Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-june-30-2027",{"condition_id":421,"outcome":42,"usdc":234,"entry_price":422,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":423,"captured_at":13,"question":424,"event_slug":425,"category":152},"0x45dfeb8088ef684004f6da7ab453cb1e7cacb14330b06a4eb7ba556e47201c43",0.07,"2025-06-30T12:00:00Z","Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?","zelenskyy-out-as-ukraine-president-before-july",{"condition_id":427,"outcome":42,"usdc":428,"entry_price":429,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":430,"captured_at":13,"question":431,"event_slug":432,"category":152},"0x46f6e9416701a14027d634794137ce01738c473a8aa84c0849cd0bdb998b61ad",10.438825999999999,0.031293039606990446,"2025-01-31T12:00:00Z","Ukraine agrees to resume Russian natural gas transit in January? ","ukraine-agrees-to-resume-russian-natural-gas-transit-in-january",{"condition_id":434,"outcome":42,"usdc":435,"entry_price":436,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":391,"captured_at":13,"question":437,"event_slug":438,"category":152},"0x47060475422f8a1e485943909a8e437fc3342bd90810e10f9f0a5376362a761d",1519.383694,0.6485304546098972,"Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?","will-russia-capture-pokrovsk-by",{"condition_id":440,"outcome":42,"usdc":441,"entry_price":135,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":442,"captured_at":13,"question":443,"event_slug":444,"category":152},"0x4727f17403578f6dcde55e284c0c62fa2b773bf14f9ea1478426b26f0e5a439d",0.45,"2024-09-30T12:00:00Z","Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine before October?","ceasefire-between-russia-and-ukraine-before-october",{"condition_id":446,"outcome":42,"usdc":182,"entry_price":447,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":157,"captured_at":13,"question":448,"event_slug":449,"category":79},"0x495e6b49e7397bb4e6f8ce69e246ccb33b744678bd9bf88cbecbd3a113b05423",0.019,"Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?","will-russia-invade-a-nato-country-in-2025",{"condition_id":451,"outcome":29,"usdc":452,"entry_price":453,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":391,"captured_at":13,"question":454,"event_slug":455,"category":152},"0x4a937f5db5c57600543afd2f3ca39f5ae53fa15911ee24fa2aae509ac8edc4d9",916.4064550000003,0.8553332250342884,"Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?","will-trump-send-tomahawk-to-ukraine",{"condition_id":457,"outcome":29,"usdc":458,"entry_price":459,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":460,"captured_at":13,"question":461,"event_slug":462,"category":152},"0x4df9b983c037c0baa85f1d10184ef5f2dc000a979eedcd78b69edbfd5bb651c9",10,0.02,"2024-06-27T12:00:00Z","Trump + Biden debate on June 27 as planned?","trump-biden-debate-on-june-27-as-planned",{"condition_id":464,"outcome":29,"usdc":465,"entry_price":466,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":467,"captured_at":13,"question":468,"event_slug":469,"category":152},"0x4fccc0dcb625ea55ff1ca0409bb44fe1952c04bc16cf5255002ceb2cc3791888",2442.9251010000007,0.46654726052028994,"2025-03-31T12:00:00Z","Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?","will-russia-pull-out-of-syria",{"condition_id":471,"outcome":29,"usdc":12,"entry_price":472,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":423,"captured_at":13,"question":473,"event_slug":474,"category":152},"0x5006a73429f0d01997bc6644da8ef479d94708cda37c939c7589c3c8bfe28a5b",0.004,"Russia x Ukraine prisoner swap before July?","russia-x-ukraine-prisoner-swap-before-july",{"condition_id":476,"outcome":29,"usdc":477,"entry_price":478,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":479,"captured_at":13,"question":480,"event_slug":481,"category":152},"0x51645dbb72ac321179c82492d1e0fe5e83a5ba036dd155259b0bc4a203558188",75.962,0.76,"2024-08-02T12:00:00Z","Iran military response by Friday?","iran-military-action-against-israel-by-friday",{"condition_id":483,"outcome":42,"usdc":484,"entry_price":485,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":486,"captured_at":13,"question":487,"event_slug":488,"category":152},"0x526ef35bafa5ab7fd9d8a139d72439a13d13d5f9925eb334ceb3b1aae8dd588c",5.6000000000000005,0.028000000000000004,"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?","eu-agrees-use-of-russian-assets-to-fund-ukraine-by",{"condition_id":490,"outcome":29,"usdc":491,"entry_price":492,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":398,"captured_at":13,"question":493,"event_slug":494,"category":152},"0x53f6b966701a41c8d98d57d9cc4d79a45de340c0f4d6dc67faeda54e8cc4afeb",392.781455,0.22574083413943355,"Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?","azerbaijan-claims-russia-responsible-for-downing-plane",{"condition_id":496,"outcome":29,"usdc":497,"entry_price":498,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":423,"captured_at":13,"question":499,"event_slug":500,"category":152},"0x5412ae25e97078f814157de948459d59c6221b4c4c495fdd57b536543ad36729",57.996961000000006,0.5800000020001045,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-before-july",{"condition_id":502,"outcome":29,"usdc":503,"entry_price":504,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":505,"captured_at":13,"question":506,"event_slug":507,"category":152},"0x55a5a4e039f293dc3366b9462ac33ef3138a62c00640cf638ab2a326bb959bb0",77,0.385,"2025-08-22T00:00:00Z","Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?","successful-ukraine-counter-attack-in-donbass",{"condition_id":509,"outcome":29,"usdc":510,"entry_price":511,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":13,"question":513,"event_slug":514,"category":152},"0x572d2a40bf469740550636564e19469f30b7c9fb6257eeeb2f8949ca0a8624ed",20.04,0.09109090909090908,"2024-03-31T12:00:00Z","Muslim group responsible for Moscow attack?","muslim-group-responsible-for-moscow-terror-attack",{"condition_id":516,"outcome":42,"usdc":517,"entry_price":518,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":295,"captured_at":13,"question":519,"event_slug":124,"category":79},"0x591f785022238c7ea2563553d93c024e451a18ea74d9bbd79a6126c0267c588a",49.333,0.049333000014999996,"Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?",{"condition_id":521,"outcome":42,"usdc":522,"entry_price":523,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":524,"captured_at":13,"question":525,"event_slug":526,"category":152},"0x59bd72d9ab07a7f368a80b7a1a2a01f150f8869085554bad06559f396db7875b",0.6296889999999999,0.030000001898327005,"2025-03-14T12:00:00Z","Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-friday",{"condition_id":528,"outcome":42,"usdc":529,"entry_price":530,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":157,"captured_at":13,"question":531,"event_slug":532,"category":152},"0x5a2c59ffeb6d19ec30d9a1a689b0a2f50381d442f9a159ab9dfd2a2aae0948bb",9.4,0.13428571428571429,"Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?","will-trump-acquire-greenland-in-2025",{"condition_id":534,"outcome":29,"usdc":535,"entry_price":536,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":467,"captured_at":13,"question":537,"event_slug":538,"category":152},"0x5b2691a691ece9066c2b855815e6c8784011833b17d85c65976dc7494b18e002",3136.0505220000005,0.4034637959098327,"Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?","will-russia-abandon-syrian-naval-base-before-april-2025",{"condition_id":540,"outcome":29,"usdc":541,"entry_price":542,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":543,"captured_at":13,"question":544,"event_slug":545,"category":152},"0x5bb02509cac2580d4b13ab17cef450011997faf52882059ca9a9611e374c210a",380.096358,0.3221182448624718,"2025-07-31T00:00:00Z","US military action against Iran before August?","us-military-action-against-iran-before-august",{"condition_id":547,"outcome":42,"usdc":548,"entry_price":549,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":374,"captured_at":13,"question":550,"event_slug":376,"category":152},"0x5c4ddc3dcbeb3d9ae3fa2fa330286fb6d2b66d4815dd604e0e1c889594ed5c53",427.95799999999997,0.6925895356943778,"Will Vladimir Putin say Nazi in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson?",{"condition_id":552,"outcome":42,"usdc":281,"entry_price":239,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":553,"captured_at":13,"question":554,"event_slug":173,"category":152},"0x5fa63a3f820801f6bab4f95a9fc4453c004ab1881b6be2c2cb26c812f7efb997","2025-08-31T12:00:00Z","Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?",{"condition_id":556,"outcome":42,"usdc":557,"entry_price":558,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":149,"captured_at":13,"question":559,"event_slug":560,"category":152},"0x60632b29d98b6c899c62404962576d0ae84bd81d1270e03705164987bf3776e2",33,0.33,"Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by February 28?","will-russia-capture-territory-in-dnipro-oblast-by",{"condition_id":562,"outcome":29,"usdc":563,"entry_price":564,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":423,"captured_at":13,"question":565,"event_slug":566,"category":152},"0x60e45f2a5cccd16fd60eda5f96670f946b2281b7ce59595b621eee05de4eda49",2046.978902,0.6704333717931202,"Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before July?","will-russia-abandon-syrian-naval-base-before-april",{"condition_id":568,"outcome":42,"usdc":569,"entry_price":570,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":157,"captured_at":13,"question":571,"event_slug":159,"category":152},"0x62aabeaae60b94fab9672400f3cf536b44ec085de18dcdb5e4fd273a11e196f1",7.85336,0.00392668,"Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?",{"condition_id":573,"outcome":42,"usdc":574,"entry_price":575,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":576,"captured_at":13,"question":577,"event_slug":578,"category":152},"0x62ba158e174d930828d8fee32968f1c7c0e972bff94661e69c65c135f611f5b7",2240.8323760000003,0.5835653608876099,"2025-10-31T22:00:00Z","Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?","will-russia-capture-kupiansk-by",{"condition_id":580,"outcome":42,"usdc":581,"entry_price":582,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":553,"captured_at":13,"question":583,"event_slug":578,"category":152},"0x640938ae857aa2dfaa5aeb2af07ec853ab0eec5395a5d4ab1c31842f1d3ab271",1967.775277,0.7373963054453454,"Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?",{"condition_id":585,"outcome":29,"usdc":586,"entry_price":587,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":405,"captured_at":13,"question":588,"event_slug":323,"category":152},"0x653483009043f1663360bc35ed8fb542d3f9453916082d20ff025adaa2fe7032",427.1893,0.5585269006994835,"Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?",{"condition_id":590,"outcome":42,"usdc":591,"entry_price":363,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":592,"event_slug":62,"category":38},"0x6557ff312837c0707d82bc2def893572289e012cff21a264593c6551f85d7e50",59,"Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":594,"outcome":29,"usdc":595,"entry_price":596,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":423,"captured_at":13,"question":597,"event_slug":598,"category":152},"0x655e5ca101c466b6293aa15e06173b78b293221803d56e35551f708cd82eb352",4.1,0.41,"Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?","will-zelenskyy-wear-a-suit-before-july",{"condition_id":600,"outcome":42,"usdc":601,"entry_price":602,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":460,"captured_at":13,"question":603,"event_slug":604,"category":152},"0x68005aadd48b8be729a102135eebd1e1b0425c49236bbcec11e25d5162a48165",4.6,0.0046,"Biden takes drug test before Trump debate?","biden-takes-drug-test-before-trump-debate",{"condition_id":606,"outcome":29,"usdc":607,"entry_price":608,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":442,"captured_at":13,"question":609,"event_slug":610,"category":152},"0x687b8358ae0cbc82595c58a9f00ab1f12ab447c63a8940eaa3f522f10685dfcd",21.432921,0.040103812392997956,"Zelensky remains President of Ukraine through September?","will-zelensky-remain-president-of-ukraine-through-september",{"condition_id":612,"outcome":29,"usdc":613,"entry_price":614,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":615,"captured_at":13,"question":616,"event_slug":617,"category":152},"0x6909a2cc9b783e63f8c8e9d187dc9f19b73fe5022d6263605153919028c0829c",211.09120000000001,0.36699386289747726,"2023-11-30T00:00:00Z","Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30?","israel-and-hamas-ceasefire-by-nov-30",{"condition_id":612,"outcome":42,"usdc":619,"entry_price":620,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":615,"captured_at":13,"question":616,"event_slug":617,"category":152},127.1974,0.34,{"condition_id":622,"outcome":42,"usdc":623,"entry_price":258,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":295,"captured_at":13,"question":624,"event_slug":86,"category":79},"0x69b009591dd768c3878e2ff9b28b8661e039409ea2f156ad70aa5224c08702e0",44,"Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?",{"condition_id":626,"outcome":42,"usdc":627,"entry_price":628,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":391,"captured_at":13,"question":629,"event_slug":630,"category":152},"0x69e655152b96e00074ff3d83c2f6e0cf98c965d698641547931dce42ee96c9f0",284.996023,0.5700000009228036,"Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?","will-russia-capture-pokrovsk-train-station-by-september-30",{"condition_id":632,"outcome":29,"usdc":633,"entry_price":634,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":423,"captured_at":13,"question":635,"event_slug":636,"category":152},"0x6a67b9d828d53862160e470329ffea5246f338ecfffdf2cab45211ec578b0347",909.060056,0.5346580059331434,"US military action against Iran before July?","us-military-action-against-iran-before-july",{"condition_id":638,"outcome":29,"usdc":639,"entry_price":640,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":641,"captured_at":13,"question":642,"event_slug":643,"category":152},"0x6a72b7029aefca3b424e23a07b69991f98a234d299b701ecaa302c02f9844c99",38.000479999999996,0.07330056711450175,"2024-03-31T00:00:00Z","Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March?","will-zelensky-remain-president-of-ukraine-through-march",{"condition_id":645,"outcome":42,"usdc":646,"entry_price":647,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":13,"question":648,"event_slug":649,"category":152},"0x6bf8a16a0d31d4a2431ccad2ffa7341415ebdb3a63d7dcb7765c0a5d8ca92655",25.3554,0.04268513994927021,"Ukraine responsible for Moscow attack? ","ukraine-responsible-for-russia-attack",{"condition_id":651,"outcome":29,"usdc":652,"entry_price":653,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":391,"captured_at":13,"question":654,"event_slug":655,"category":152},"0x6c3616476be8d52eb72fe8fc644c61c96a568b34a73aad6c3e7bbccffebe64ee",124.002,0.6,"Nothing Ever Happens: Russian Capture Edition","nothing-ever-happens-russian-capture-edition",{"condition_id":657,"outcome":42,"usdc":658,"entry_price":659,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":149,"captured_at":13,"question":660,"event_slug":151,"category":152},"0x6da759a526345be16f15aca777ff8bd16a9172292dcc803df8f4987281407f5b",92.6,0.6386206897,"Will Tucker say \"Syria\" during Lavrov interview?",{"condition_id":662,"outcome":42,"usdc":663,"entry_price":664,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":230,"captured_at":13,"question":665,"event_slug":248,"category":152},"0x715eb6357edc59dc38d9f7da929e63be58fa4d3b7bd1415d7950a60bd4317827",5.9691839999999985,0.012000000024909165,"Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?",{"condition_id":667,"outcome":42,"usdc":668,"entry_price":669,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":157,"captured_at":13,"question":670,"event_slug":159,"category":152},"0x726f839c363681d34a3fecc8ceaffead59da9b3bfb71a64040f4ad58fa02bb37",4,0.001,"Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?",{"condition_id":672,"outcome":29,"usdc":673,"entry_price":84,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":674,"captured_at":13,"question":675,"event_slug":676,"category":152},"0x74479f2cc85e976625891e85de6b1fc6f7095d810442c173977e806007ee4d06",14.1,"2024-08-29T12:00:00Z","Will Donald Trump say \"border czar\" during Michigan town hall?","what-will-trump-say-during-wisconsin-event",{"condition_id":678,"outcome":42,"usdc":345,"entry_price":135,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":230,"captured_at":13,"question":679,"event_slug":232,"category":152},"0x770e79e7a86b86c1a4d62498c1d0b434d3f885e51e9ae2682cc6aebd7a12de84","Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 21?",{"condition_id":681,"outcome":42,"usdc":682,"entry_price":683,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":157,"captured_at":13,"question":684,"event_slug":685,"category":152},"0x79fe1c0701d145ed4b74e6b7b3658acbc9b016b70e7321afdb777ad14e8c236c",116.954722,0.10939898474079678,"U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? ","will-the-us-recognize-russian-sovereignty-over-crimea-in-2025",{"condition_id":687,"outcome":42,"usdc":668,"entry_price":669,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":157,"captured_at":13,"question":688,"event_slug":159,"category":152},"0x7a3fd81ababb31b0090abdb174f02c551d1a21328f9482415d7ebc2e1c6c4b6c","Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?",{"condition_id":690,"outcome":42,"usdc":691,"entry_price":692,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":693,"captured_at":13,"question":694,"event_slug":695,"category":152},"0x7c39ac9cc39be478f9fc273f78ad5e61cef5869f5b87860cc3f439a9abfa2648",7.999683,0.04000000000000001,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by",{"condition_id":697,"outcome":42,"usdc":698,"entry_price":699,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":314,"captured_at":13,"question":700,"event_slug":173,"category":79},"0x7e50b661a2bedc670bcf32fc9ece12616f6fc4fba5dbe8526292bf3447374009",154,0.7700000000000001,"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":702,"outcome":42,"usdc":703,"entry_price":704,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":184,"captured_at":13,"question":705,"event_slug":706,"category":79},"0x7f3c6b9029a1a4a932509c147a2cc0762e1116b7a4568cde472908b29dd4889d",503.73483999999996,0.7779448356807512,"Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?","will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025",{"condition_id":708,"outcome":29,"usdc":709,"entry_price":710,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":711,"captured_at":13,"question":712,"event_slug":713,"category":152},"0x7f4f3962471f14be7619652ce074f8ed07937f37aeb3427338c183fbfa0ae4f2",0.000009,0.03,"2023-11-10T00:00:00Z","Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10?","will-zelensky-visit-israel-by-nov-10",{"condition_id":715,"outcome":29,"usdc":716,"entry_price":717,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":240,"captured_at":13,"question":718,"event_slug":242,"category":152},"0x819510614ba3ed029a38b079d5e3bfc852bb5fc477730f3138ed59f67118f9da",40,0.13333333333333333,"Will Biden say \"folks\" four or more times during his State of the Union address?",{"condition_id":720,"outcome":29,"usdc":721,"entry_price":722,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":723,"captured_at":13,"question":724,"event_slug":725,"category":152},"0x850bf92195e8d03219e8a292eb3c1935d4dc55ea9e902837f761faf6df25252a",14.325581,0.6416666890624907,"2025-04-29T12:00:00Z","Will Trump save TikTok in first 100 days?","will-trump-save-tiktok-in-first-100-days",{"condition_id":720,"outcome":42,"usdc":727,"entry_price":728,"won":12,"source":148,"end_date_iso":723,"captured_at":13,"question":724,"event_slug":725,"category":152},10.338195,0.390000019201471,{"condition_id":730,"outcome":42,"usdc":731,"entry_price":732,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":295,"captured_at":13,"question":733,"event_slug":734,"category":79},"0x854a31e66264fc7ac7443951377167aaee8e50cb22821c409a34af52f815840c",72.23949999999999,0.19819336607314328,"U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?","us-x-russia-nuclear-deal-by-december-31",{"condition_id":736,"outcome":42,"usdc":737,"entry_price":738,"won":17,"source":148,"end_date_iso":184,"captured_at":13,"question":739,"event_slug":740,"category":152},"0x895aef0f7bcd24e44ef80077534bdf560d29d8577d3681d30ed0952d74cad442",116,0.116,"Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?","zelenskyy-out-as-ukraine-president-by-march-31-2026",{"total":742,"wins":743},191,55,[745,751,755],{"category":746,"n":747,"wins":748,"hitRate":749,"roi":750},"Other",171,51,0.2982456140350877,0.3249335579788349,{"category":79,"n":287,"wins":752,"hitRate":753,"roi":754},3,0.1875,-0.03964855608915957,{"category":38,"n":668,"wins":12,"hitRate":756,"roi":757},0.25,0.19190319657829394,{"generatedAt":759},"2026-10-18T06:14:47.954Z"]