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Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","[\"0.365\", \"0.635\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":44,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":47,"category":38},"57161571923524742438826831882300088590109837158862295301896910708589123238498","0xcdbf64cb434d132ae3eba2c6d4aa8123dde9f90bd8641a5cd31ceddee6d935b8",1270.25,0.8096,"U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?","us-enacts-ai-safety-bill-before-2027","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.045\", 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before October 31, 2026?","friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0175\", \"0.9825\"]",{"token_id":68,"condition_id":69,"outcome":51,"size":70,"avg_price":71,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":72,"event_slug":73,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":74,"outcome_prices":75,"category":76},"34732988886981510167874389845708832808627284379840131351229635795767825787404","0x1c4c6a698f0591ddf0c96e1beb56f8c75112ef849331bf3b0388f14830a7421d",1000.0066,0.63,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963","2026-12-31T20:29:00Z","[\"0.605\", \"0.395\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":78,"condition_id":79,"outcome":51,"size":80,"avg_price":81,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":82,"question":83,"event_slug":84,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":85,"outcome_prices":86,"category":38},"49821065181473419798146957267480015506102711160660718636601116902870701340131","0x6114306f724135bd1db2f5f3169386decf18f618653c196ef0a6c1afd27f4c73",700,0.72,"2026-10-03T21:49:00.472Z","Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election-first-round-2nd-place","2026-10-05T03:59:00Z","[\"0.585\", 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approval rating hit 35% in 2026?","how-low-will-trumps-approval-rating-go-in-2026","2027-01-04T17:00:00Z","[\"0.315\", 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Alabama?","what-will-trump-say-during-his-midterm-rally-in-alabama-october-2",{"condition_id":144,"outcome":29,"usdc":145,"entry_price":146,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":148,"captured_at":13,"question":149,"event_slug":150,"category":151},"0x008d67163df79068c3c6a6545fb681dcf315207ffec4f3b575c9ee58c9e3ee06",52.3566,0.68,"backfill","2025-10-10T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Hell\" 3+ times during announcement today?","what-will-trump-say-during-announcement-today-127",null,{"condition_id":153,"outcome":29,"usdc":154,"entry_price":155,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":156,"captured_at":13,"question":157,"event_slug":158,"category":151},"0x0095cbd1b38dbc40a561f9d5c458086fb7eac150abcfe8c81fc18f2e9575183e",1.75,0.35,"2025-04-30T12:00:00Z","Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before May?","will-microstrategy-hold-550k-btc-before-may",{"condition_id":160,"outcome":51,"usdc":161,"entry_price":162,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":163,"captured_at":13,"question":164,"event_slug":165,"category":151},"0x00c2e8241b398f0212cc3e82f315b6f79f53e0a41a4221cbe6129326cf07fb5d",48,0.48,"2026-03-12T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Epic Fury\" or \"Midnight Hammer\" during Women's History Month event?","what-will-trump-say-during-womens-history-month-event",{"condition_id":167,"outcome":29,"usdc":168,"entry_price":169,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":170,"captured_at":13,"question":171,"event_slug":172,"category":151},"0x00c6078598ae4011a798cd5ee06182118aa7eff8e72dce5d297ae38831ef355a",29.2785,0.4594147183,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","Will Bernie or Mamdani say \"Trump\" 10+ times during NYC rally?","what-will-bernie-sanders-and-zohran-mamdani-say-at-nyc-rally-on-april-12",{"condition_id":174,"outcome":51,"usdc":175,"entry_price":176,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":177,"captured_at":13,"question":178,"event_slug":179,"category":151},"0x01110b073b8e23a6b596491f5e491b021a0fe06fe07e9facd29faeb123426c6a",27.200000000000003,0.34,"2025-09-21T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Transgender\" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?","what-will-trump-say-at-charlie-kirk-memorial-event-on-september-21",{"condition_id":181,"outcome":29,"usdc":182,"entry_price":183,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":184,"captured_at":13,"question":185,"event_slug":186,"category":151},"0x01d5f475cb30704216ae9906d369c0b2991cafec882ab4888a66ff11eb03e569",33.6,0.8400000000000001,"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?","will-trump-remove-jerome-powell",{"condition_id":188,"outcome":29,"usdc":189,"entry_price":190,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":191,"captured_at":13,"question":192,"event_slug":193,"category":151},"0x021f50b28a0f02ce7759a73f5a4f8c1c6924432808255da47e787a36053f0ac2",81.2,0.6766666666666666,"2025-03-17T12:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"China\" during Kennedy Center event today?","what-will-trump-say-at-kennedy-center-event-today",{"condition_id":195,"outcome":29,"usdc":196,"entry_price":197,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":13,"question":199,"event_slug":200,"category":151},"0x0231e8dd9ca10e6fd5eb5a87cad989662779c42b49bd51eeedd3eb2547df0b64",6.72,0.42,"2025-11-02T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Kamala\" during \"60 Minutes\" on November 2?","what-will-trump-say-during-60-minutes-on-november-2",{"condition_id":202,"outcome":29,"usdc":203,"entry_price":204,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":205,"captured_at":13,"question":206,"event_slug":207,"category":151},"0x02596b95d0514a566df9210afe930e97a151fa3fd97ea8cb17f0647794a9381f",74.39675600000001,0.6482995850601401,"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will Leavitt say \"Russia\" or \"Ukraine\" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?","what-will-karoline-leavitt-say-during-next-white-house-press-briefing-355",{"condition_id":209,"outcome":51,"usdc":210,"entry_price":211,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":212,"captured_at":13,"question":213,"event_slug":214,"category":151},"0x0268f39217cd63c9c2435a83aaf94764f4c45d2fc1ca4614ab0ce6fe13556856",80.954133,0.8800000090943184,"2025-07-04T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say “Big Beautiful Bill” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?","what-will-trump-say-during-iowa-state-fairgrounds-speech-on-july-3",{"condition_id":216,"outcome":51,"usdc":217,"entry_price":218,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":219,"captured_at":13,"question":220,"event_slug":221,"category":151},"0x0272c0588811705a04e10cd53855e9fcc21d7da1ba3b57b9716de98702e30cf3",3.122448,0.5100000049,"2025-12-17T00:00:00Z","Will Kamala Harris say \"Democracy\" 2+ times on Jimmy Kimmel Live?","what-will-kamala-harris-say-on-jimmy-kimmel-live-on-december-17",{"condition_id":223,"outcome":51,"usdc":224,"entry_price":225,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":226,"captured_at":13,"question":227,"event_slug":228,"category":151},"0x027eeeaba097b5f3b166eace64668b2e6b327acc7c6b314ae5f03b33b51425e7",151.06,0.8299999999999998,"2025-11-04T00:00:00Z","Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025","new-jersey-governor-election-winner-2025",{"condition_id":230,"outcome":51,"usdc":231,"entry_price":232,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":234,"event_slug":235,"category":151},"0x0342cf906bde37ada401735a6daf0e696b96bb48d408671c4215d4aafa5aae8c",37.324324,0.6900000279331153,"2025-07-23T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"China\" 7+ times during his AI speech on July 23?","what-will-trump-say-during-his-ai-speech-on-july-23",{"condition_id":237,"outcome":29,"usdc":238,"entry_price":239,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":240,"captured_at":13,"question":241,"event_slug":242,"category":151},"0x03c34dcd40472f1494f91138a037e0e097eefdb18171035bd69f71e2f7b59f82",2.333333,0.70000018,"2025-03-12T12:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"NATO\" 3+ times during his presser with Ireland PM?","what-will-trump-say-during-presser-with-ireland-pm-on-friday",{"condition_id":244,"outcome":29,"usdc":245,"entry_price":246,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":247,"captured_at":13,"question":248,"event_slug":249,"category":250},"0x03de82c50244e51820f56b682cd2227ce0d35fac94178275811034294a7d1e8b",103.2,0.86,"2026-01-01T05:00:00Z","Will Base launch a token in 2025?","will-base-launch-a-token-in-2025-341","Crypto",{"condition_id":252,"outcome":29,"usdc":253,"entry_price":254,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":177,"captured_at":13,"question":255,"event_slug":179,"category":151},"0x0452fb42dcfb7cc5dbb42ad2db93381dfcbdd2018766acbd8bd5b664beb5517b",85.395236,0.7900000178458122,"Will Trump say \"Terrible\" or \"Horrible\" 10+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?",{"condition_id":257,"outcome":51,"usdc":258,"entry_price":259,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":260,"captured_at":13,"question":261,"event_slug":262,"category":151},"0x05159993e588a50f42d43357aa18eefa33b4d1a199a7daf4dc83be4cccbdf01a",199.972623,0.6600000037615433,"2026-01-13T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Biden\" or \"Obama\" 9+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?","what-will-trump-say-at-the-detroit-economic-club-on-tuesday",{"condition_id":264,"outcome":29,"usdc":265,"entry_price":266,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":267,"captured_at":13,"question":268,"event_slug":269,"category":38},"0x0549eb8269570dea333fe47ffff241827d93a22caed18f64f9a1eb4c3239c7f8",42,0.21,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?","trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by",{"condition_id":271,"outcome":51,"usdc":272,"entry_price":273,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":274,"captured_at":13,"question":275,"event_slug":276,"category":151},"0x05a2833c061d9c3ec5eb6111a20e9d6ea0f8cc1ced5bee95b367da11d69de6d1",1.199132,0.04,"2026-01-02T00:00:00Z","Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?","1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-january-2",{"condition_id":278,"outcome":51,"usdc":279,"entry_price":53,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":280,"captured_at":13,"question":281,"event_slug":282,"category":151},"0x05a582dcbeeb1a243ff4e2ad8aebf2423d0792779164edcf463d6fc2507e25a6",11.01,"2025-10-17T00:00:00Z","Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 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15?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-before-july-15",{"condition_id":296,"outcome":29,"usdc":297,"entry_price":31,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":298,"captured_at":13,"question":299,"event_slug":300,"category":151},"0x082353628683ed95b8ee66faf6da7d9ed3b645274a8121b9214aca8d3aeee095",3.5,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?","avatar-fire-and-ash-total-domestic-gross-by-january-31",{"condition_id":302,"outcome":29,"usdc":303,"entry_price":304,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":305,"captured_at":13,"question":306,"event_slug":307,"category":151},"0x08297954f76a2040c8a097b082fe155b20279ee7b2c2775e4d6b62218a34c7ff",19.041175,0.1500000007877634,"2025-11-10T00:00:00Z","Will Donald Trump say \"Sanction\" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?","what-will-trump-say-during-syria-president-events-on-november-10",{"condition_id":309,"outcome":29,"usdc":310,"entry_price":311,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":312,"captured_at":13,"question":313,"event_slug":314,"category":151},"0x087554a87faa3162cb4828615910b3bee93794a7b130380cdab36091882ca2f2",99.2097,0.3593382592632837,"2025-11-12T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Thank you\" 10+ times during the private dinner on November 12?","what-will-trump-say-during-the-private-dinner-on-november-12",{"condition_id":316,"outcome":51,"usdc":317,"entry_price":318,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":319,"captured_at":13,"question":320,"event_slug":321,"category":151},"0x088d8822bed1db6b008cb18c4f1965315bc6b373af4cfb946ee3987c0af19646",51.018249,0.6300000125917488,"2025-07-12T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Big Beautiful Bill\" during the Fox News interview on July 12?","what-will-trump-during-his-fox-news-interview-on-july-12",{"condition_id":323,"outcome":51,"usdc":324,"entry_price":325,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":326,"captured_at":13,"question":327,"event_slug":328,"category":76},"0x09148e8a5260a4c40aceb29badc45845fe08330497756bfcc1017c478c28bb65",153.1262719999991,0.17817918975618938,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?","iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-may-31-945",{"condition_id":330,"outcome":29,"usdc":331,"entry_price":332,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":333,"captured_at":13,"question":334,"event_slug":335,"category":151},"0x0932db326a59f0b347d7728e24b4878a2d5eb6ca955cd6a1acb88ba345f31bff",35.135135,0.2600000012,"2026-02-11T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Million\" or \"Billion\" or \"Trillion\" 10+ times during the Champion of Coal event?","what-will-trump-say-during-the-champion-of-coal-event",{"condition_id":337,"outcome":51,"usdc":338,"entry_price":339,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":340,"captured_at":13,"question":341,"event_slug":342,"category":151},"0x09b3e4c716df2579afa0ede1bf00edd84f8cbe1e335785f90336e7a909c52f8e",73.996003,0.5976957471445037,"2025-10-01T00:00:00Z","US government shutdown by October 1?","us-government-shutdown-by-october-1",{"condition_id":344,"outcome":29,"usdc":345,"entry_price":346,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":347,"captured_at":13,"question":348,"event_slug":349,"category":151},"0x0af2a16064fc585039af7ec4fc3c9856488308c3ead260b4a235330fe7719340",17.7,0.59,"2025-01-21T12:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"drill baby drill\" during the announcement?","what-will-trump-say-during-infrastructure-announcement",{"condition_id":351,"outcome":29,"usdc":352,"entry_price":353,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":13,"question":354,"event_slug":200,"category":151},"0x0af970c9359530189b6036f7b015d402afb7c511e4e7890aad9fcf16714486e0",5.2,0.26,"Will Trump say \"Charlie\" or \"Kirk\" during \"60 Minutes\" on November 2?",{"condition_id":356,"outcome":51,"usdc":357,"entry_price":358,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":260,"captured_at":13,"question":359,"event_slug":262,"category":151},"0x0bad0c6b4df98b9012a11aae0145655164122094fc95f1ba4b16bb0d46759990",4,0.2,"Will Trump say \"Hell\" 7+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?",{"condition_id":361,"outcome":29,"usdc":362,"entry_price":363,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":364,"captured_at":13,"question":365,"event_slug":366,"category":151},"0x0c913fc59c885c8e924b0af2c415536eef14042f6a3a25590994048deeaaf838",29.999998,0.3299999886,"2025-05-21T12:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Africa\" 8+ times during events with South African President on May 21?","what-will-trump-say-during-events-with-south-african-president-on-may-21",{"condition_id":368,"outcome":51,"usdc":369,"entry_price":370,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":156,"captured_at":13,"question":371,"event_slug":372,"category":151},"0x0c92f7e9f3873252b6de10d7851c4951161075e985d815688653271e6e916b57",15.376744,0.5700000182,"Will MicroStrategy buy 200+ Bitcoin in next purchase?","will-microstrategy-buy-200-bitcoin-in-next-purchase-3-25",{"condition_id":374,"outcome":51,"usdc":375,"entry_price":98,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":376,"captured_at":13,"question":377,"event_slug":378,"category":151},"0x0cb2e3e4875d912069f00470dabe051c6c804089e202d5d92119ec58b3d9c867",32,"2025-09-03T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"NATO\" during events with Polish president on September 3?","what-will-trump-say-during-events-with-polish-president-on-september-3",{"condition_id":380,"outcome":29,"usdc":381,"entry_price":382,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":383,"captured_at":13,"question":384,"event_slug":385,"category":151},"0x0cb3ae54088059da2b0b7064c7ed4c5f36ec822b205b96f5abfb9d3ea635eb90",0.6188,0.13,"2026-05-03T00:00:00Z","Will Bernie Sanders say \"One Percent\" or \"One Percenter\" 3+ times in Michigan?","what-will-bernie-sanders-say-in-detroit",{"condition_id":387,"outcome":29,"usdc":388,"entry_price":389,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":390,"captured_at":13,"question":391,"event_slug":392,"category":151},"0x0d3f73be9d9c63fd3bfbdf0cfb54ad2651fb6600008f76926e05a0cb77b728cb",31.796278,0.5300000120175765,"2025-03-27T12:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Michigan\" during today's Iftar Dinner?","what-will-trump-say-during-todays-iftar-dinner",{"condition_id":394,"outcome":51,"usdc":395,"entry_price":396,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":184,"captured_at":13,"question":397,"event_slug":398,"category":151},"0x0d960ee751036fdae09a4b318de8aa40f74b71cc89439f9e85cc8fe7de57ca7f",29.999997,0.8359999971,"Circle IPO in 2025?","circle-ipo-in-2025",{"condition_id":400,"outcome":51,"usdc":401,"entry_price":382,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":402,"captured_at":13,"question":403,"event_slug":404,"category":151},"0x0d97b08564988f1353b6f9a68df0b451c00165d94bd5d169a7dabf563ff8d9d2",26,"2025-12-16T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"AI\" or \"Crypto\" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?","what-will-trump-say-during-hanukkah-reception-on-december-16",{"condition_id":406,"outcome":51,"usdc":407,"entry_price":408,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":326,"captured_at":13,"question":409,"event_slug":410,"category":38},"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089",1705.3098750000001,0.38210186457874556,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":412,"outcome":51,"usdc":413,"entry_price":414,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":415,"captured_at":13,"question":416,"event_slug":417,"category":151},"0x0ef1fd72b9d658ca6e85c371217c0e1945fe11a0940b5539fd47baef0b0d7482",51.7,0.55,"2025-09-26T00:00:00Z","Will Netanyahu say \"Israel\" 50+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?","what-will-netanyahu-say-during-address-to-un-general-assembly-on-sept-26",{"condition_id":419,"outcome":29,"usdc":420,"entry_price":421,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":422,"captured_at":13,"question":423,"event_slug":424,"category":151},"0x0f4d9792bdf45a5fa5f717cbe55d78107878854816374b2dd741f46062aba2b0",66.923076,0.8700000098,"2025-06-30T00:00:00Z","Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?","will-iran-close-the-strait-of-hormuz-before-july",{"condition_id":426,"outcome":51,"usdc":427,"entry_price":428,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":292,"captured_at":13,"question":429,"event_slug":430,"category":151},"0x0f99c0dbaf4bd9f90e6ba59bb1738d4210796e848013305e3ad754285f34b227",19.6,0.28,"Will Trump say \"Drill baby drill\" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?","what-will-trump-say-at-the-energy-and-innovation-summit-on-july-15",{"condition_id":432,"outcome":29,"usdc":433,"entry_price":434,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":435,"captured_at":13,"question":436,"event_slug":437,"category":151},"0x0fceea8f0270ebd619326af902c74b3c25d1694751568be1ae4a639f8955dc09",143.23519000000005,0.3204494402119385,"2025-10-09T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Ukraine\" or \"Russia\" 7+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?","what-will-trump-say-during-president-of-finland-events-on-october-9",{"condition_id":439,"outcome":29,"usdc":440,"entry_price":441,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":442,"captured_at":13,"question":443,"event_slug":444,"category":151},"0x107c31ca208b42cd60b3194b3fc4bb7c93540e005fa8471d32454d64e1e6bfa3",133.168779,0.6554685585653518,"2026-01-23T00:00:00Z","Will J.D. Vance say \"America\" or \"American\" 20+ times during the March for Life?","what-will-jd-vance-say-at-the-march-for-life-on-friday",{"condition_id":446,"outcome":51,"usdc":447,"entry_price":448,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":260,"captured_at":13,"question":449,"event_slug":450,"category":151},"0x10c73ea25d6723863cba8d12a6710f564b8388d396e0fd2e7f9bd3c8a16bea38",101.19985100000001,0.11000000005408651,"Will \"Run Away\" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)","what-will-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week-456",{"condition_id":452,"outcome":51,"usdc":453,"entry_price":454,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":455,"captured_at":13,"question":456,"event_slug":457,"category":151},"0x11783d9c0cc8eb5806b1acf3cb6e44b6ad684aac1c3abb3e9468e2e400bbd83f",330,0.66,"2026-07-29T23:59:00Z","Will Warsh say \"Good day\" during July Press Conference?","what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-july-press-conference-20260720204109027",{"condition_id":459,"outcome":29,"usdc":460,"entry_price":461,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":462,"captured_at":13,"question":463,"event_slug":464,"category":151},"0x11ee1b9593922df2662edcc38e9eb8f7428fb8d1b443ac3d0ae971b6cfc92051",50.97,0.8638983050847457,"2025-05-31T12:00:00Z"," Elon Musk out as Senior Advisor to Trump in May?","elon-musk-out-as-senior-advisor-to-trump-in-may",{"condition_id":466,"outcome":51,"usdc":467,"entry_price":468,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":469,"captured_at":13,"question":470,"event_slug":471,"category":151},"0x11f8eb0278ec19e36d307029957d08620d3ae319edf7055b3d890e5bd0c91706",91.14999999999999,0.7175470361331968,"2025-01-20T12:00:00Z","MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?","microstrategy-purchases-more-bitcoin-before-inauguration",{"condition_id":473,"outcome":29,"usdc":474,"entry_price":475,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":476,"captured_at":13,"question":477,"event_slug":478,"category":151},"0x12f04975844964d9a25e3bf747d9bc9350351a0209efa6c69fb2ae8dbc6937c6",8.857142,0.1600000014,"2025-09-17T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Biden\" 3+ times during the Fox News interview on September 18?","what-will-trump-during-the-fox-news-interview-on-september-18",{"condition_id":480,"outcome":29,"usdc":481,"entry_price":482,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":483,"captured_at":13,"question":484,"event_slug":485,"category":151},"0x13a53b7145ed1a9ff15bdd96d9e8815cbd22dfdaba4c9f39731f26ce6d4c234c",32.999877,0.5500000033334589,"2025-09-06T00:00:00Z","Will Zohran Mamdani say \"Homeless\" or \"Homelessness\" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?","what-will-zohran-mamdani-say-during-fighting-oligarchy-town-hall-on-september-6",{"condition_id":487,"outcome":51,"usdc":488,"entry_price":489,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":298,"captured_at":13,"question":490,"event_slug":491,"category":151},"0x140d730148eb86b42399b6a4de36dfa571d7327f060deae4017a0dee669c27cc",222,0.74,"Will Trump say \"Million\" or \"Billion\" or \"Trillion\" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?","will-trump-say-million-or-billion-or-trillion-15-times-during-the-2026-state-of-the-union-address-296",{"condition_id":493,"outcome":51,"usdc":494,"entry_price":346,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":495,"captured_at":13,"question":496,"event_slug":497,"category":151},"0x145de6c692605d48d6edd9b7c92567deeaf308424fac29e3913155f8441f6fb9",29.5,"2025-09-08T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Radical Left\" during Museum of the Bible speech on September 8?","what-will-trump-say-during-museum-of-the-bible-event-on-september-8",{"condition_id":499,"outcome":29,"usdc":500,"entry_price":501,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":502,"captured_at":13,"question":503,"event_slug":504,"category":151},"0x14618aaf6f238e45400b1bb50857617f4b8d5a3a04e8dfa8b17de3db3b26bb27",14.998543999999999,0.1,"2025-06-30T12:00:00Z","Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?","which-trump-picks-will-be-confirmed",{"condition_id":506,"outcome":51,"usdc":507,"entry_price":508,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":298,"captured_at":13,"question":509,"event_slug":510,"category":151},"0x156214d3d62322c191dafef0e6d9233f76bcd98bf49b035a644954795c49e5c8",306.425088,0.7076906506750142,"Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?","will-venezuela-give-the-us-oil-by-january-31",{"condition_id":512,"outcome":29,"usdc":513,"entry_price":514,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":515,"captured_at":13,"question":516,"event_slug":517,"category":151},"0x1663edea3eba0d1ae8f064276dd426cb0497a19bb5188dae48a2f8fa8ea34da8",31.2,0.041600000000000005,"2025-03-31T12:00:00Z","Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?","ukraine-agrees-to-give-trump-rare-earth-metals-before-april",{"condition_id":519,"outcome":29,"usdc":520,"entry_price":521,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":280,"captured_at":13,"question":522,"event_slug":523,"category":151},"0x16a9aafe85304e51c1d46687661328b2ae61b11a5860ed978af8125ffbf15c51",9.6,0.32,"Will Trump say \"NATO\" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?","what-will-trump-say-during-zelenskyy-events-on-october-17",{"condition_id":525,"outcome":51,"usdc":526,"entry_price":527,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":528,"captured_at":13,"question":529,"event_slug":530,"category":151},"0x16c2c8c94f0f33b2bf5285dfbf632be7992408fd3220b5a26f77ab23378d6653",7.723015,0.37000000912547487,"2025-10-22T00:00:00Z","Will anyone say \"President\" or \"Trump\" 25+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?","what-will-be-said-at-2nd-nyc-mayoral-debate",{"condition_id":532,"outcome":51,"usdc":533,"entry_price":534,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":535,"captured_at":13,"question":536,"event_slug":537,"category":151},"0x172574573d901cb4f5fc140cdd857a1155011fed398497ea03efce3e3b53891a",30.298713000000006,0.3000000000000001,"2025-09-11T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Biden\" during 9-11 memorial event?","what-will-trump-say-during-9-11-memorial-event-at-the-pentagon-229",{"condition_id":539,"outcome":51,"usdc":540,"entry_price":541,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":156,"captured_at":13,"question":542,"event_slug":543,"category":151},"0x173a4ef5398c3ed0797064e57b2f514e549b8eed36d3514cf762e99521a6c5bb",3.825,0.765,"Trump trade deal in April?","trump-trade-deal-in-april",{"condition_id":545,"outcome":51,"usdc":546,"entry_price":547,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":298,"captured_at":13,"question":548,"event_slug":549,"category":151},"0x174203306155ca382bc5203acaa8435d0cdaf7b42485264b2114e8480aa80cec",99.99999500000001,0.7300000134049617,"Will Trump say \"Border\" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?","what-will-trump-say-during-the-state-of-the-union-address",{"condition_id":551,"outcome":29,"usdc":552,"entry_price":553,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":13,"question":554,"event_slug":555,"category":151},"0x178e3c05f1d4fb343492ea06f3792aed100050ddb5ebf9199b017552e6ac48bf",10.064172,0.23000000297841391,"Will Trump say \"MAGA\" or \"Make America Great Again\" this week? (October 27 - November 2)","what-will-trump-say-this-week-october-27-november-2",{"condition_id":557,"outcome":29,"usdc":558,"entry_price":559,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":191,"captured_at":13,"question":560,"event_slug":193,"category":151},"0x17ea84418fd5a82d437d5d8e21ebc8aabeeba426b67ec3d821a3c4c8c6d6fd42",19.999998,0.7899999739,"Will Trump say \"Art\" 5+ times during Kennedy Center event today?",{"condition_id":562,"outcome":29,"usdc":563,"entry_price":564,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":565,"captured_at":13,"question":566,"event_slug":567,"category":151},"0x195a17a6792af995e1b8524a7f9366e507f49404cf1ecc68539672468a512f52",1.380952,0.5800001764,"2026-02-17T00:00:00Z","Will JD Vance say \"Radical Left\" during the fundraiser?","what-will-jd-vance-say-in-manhattan-on-february-17",{"condition_id":562,"outcome":51,"usdc":569,"entry_price":570,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":565,"captured_at":13,"question":566,"event_slug":567,"category":151},246.89,0.38396578538102644,{"condition_id":572,"outcome":29,"usdc":573,"entry_price":574,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":575,"captured_at":13,"question":576,"event_slug":577,"category":151},"0x19bab4b31f723dc80c6e85216765d7865ee304a59cded2544194098e3dbe1513",137.997106,0.6900000027500564,"2026-04-17T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Moon\" or \"Astronaut\" during TPUSA events on April 17?","what-will-trump-say-during-arizona-tpusa-event-on-april-17",{"condition_id":579,"outcome":51,"usdc":580,"entry_price":581,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":582,"captured_at":13,"question":583,"event_slug":584,"category":151},"0x19e8f46e754b1f235585c29a76000d0f227517a9dcb44f56877f10bb32c7203c",4.35,0.87,"","Grok 4.20 released by January 15?","grok-4pt20-released-by",{"condition_id":586,"outcome":29,"usdc":587,"entry_price":588,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":184,"captured_at":13,"question":589,"event_slug":590,"category":151},"0x1a05d87b40023e148287b5b8075fc33c1496e486fda81265494554115814c4a2",27.771,0.024996399639963997,"Trudeau out in 2025?","trudeau-out-in-2025",{"condition_id":592,"outcome":51,"usdc":593,"entry_price":594,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":595,"captured_at":13,"question":596,"event_slug":597,"category":151},"0x1a105717681794c3df3d7688de813cf543c4b658e11fbba1685510623e56e2f5",8.813082,0.4900000172,"2025-12-09T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Job\" 20+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?","what-will-trump-say-during-pennsylvania-events-on-december-9",{"condition_id":599,"outcome":29,"usdc":600,"entry_price":601,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":602,"captured_at":13,"question":603,"event_slug":604,"category":151},"0x1a716766423ff8a4e3f45b3cd69fad6c05d33452e29eb15d3a990661463ade08",1521.54547,0.3752374968585072,"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?","south-carolina-senate-special-republican-primary-first-round-winner-20260721172033648",{"condition_id":606,"outcome":29,"usdc":607,"entry_price":608,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":502,"captured_at":13,"question":609,"event_slug":610,"category":151},"0x1b2b69401b202d313f8909800ca7e5b1c631de6782d0b74e7cc827e1873abfb0",258.552998,0.8230655271902005,"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 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6?",{"condition_id":677,"outcome":29,"usdc":678,"entry_price":521,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":240,"captured_at":13,"question":679,"event_slug":242,"category":151},"0x2026ecb6e632aa2bb05d118b4473b673c4d24151e4f688a0abef6c5482a046ce",51.2,"Will Trump say \"Saint Patrick\" during his presser with Ireland PM?",{"condition_id":681,"outcome":51,"usdc":682,"entry_price":683,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":684,"captured_at":13,"question":685,"event_slug":686,"category":687},"0x20923dc0347ba0d72fef151d71911780b54eb15efc8499692f494e1e36a279ce",2.05,0.41,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?","which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-june-30","Tech",{"condition_id":689,"outcome":29,"usdc":690,"entry_price":691,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":170,"captured_at":13,"question":692,"event_slug":172,"category":151},"0x2093d7eaf6f8fafab63ed282a9c08eb8e7a18550a1f2288064fc2e806b1281b7",32.00578,0.31692028914880677,"Will Bernie or Mamdani say \"Iran\" during 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1?","what-will-bernie-sanders-say-during-fighting-oligarchy-speech-on-september-1",{"condition_id":725,"outcome":51,"usdc":726,"entry_price":727,"won":12,"source":147,"end_date_iso":728,"captured_at":13,"question":729,"event_slug":730,"category":151},"0x22c2e86af2a7b6afe539ea5794605f753528688ae56476cb2d5179c95096ca60",25.724685,0.7742036634605096,"2025-10-26T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Thank you\" 8+ times during Malaysia events on October 26?","what-will-trump-say-during-malaysia-events-on-october-26",{"condition_id":732,"outcome":29,"usdc":733,"entry_price":358,"won":17,"source":147,"end_date_iso":298,"captured_at":13,"question":734,"event_slug":549,"category":151},"0x23253673e1547d04f43fb9d120ec53caafd90002156fed794e0fca2e67de7dcb",99.9915,"Will Trump say \"AI\" or \"Artificial Intelligence\" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union 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Easter Dinner on April 16?","what-will-trump-say-during-easter-dinner-on-april-16",{"total":779,"wins":780},621,354,[782,788,792,795,796],{"category":783,"n":784,"wins":785,"hitRate":786,"roi":787},"Other",591,343,0.5803722504230119,0.058294409604385346,{"category":38,"n":401,"wins":789,"hitRate":790,"roi":791},10,0.38461538461538464,0.0271885527621596,{"category":76,"n":793,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":794},2,-1,{"category":687,"n":12,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":794},{"category":250,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":797},0.16279069767441867,{"generatedAt":799},"2026-10-04T01:04:51.107Z"]