[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0xf9658c740e471db66f62ec137157d7b9756dccb0":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":787,"history":788,"resolved":791,"resolvedSummary":1318,"specialization":1321,"meta":1349},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0xf9658c740e471db66f62ec137157d7b9756dccb0",975,409,0.6308068459657702,0.5090833987526948,0.17691483865938926,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-11-02T03:09:08.316Z",14.611377650366721,2.2108843537414966,"2026-10-29T22:33:15.000Z",0,"trades",0.4874601176662592,0.14334672829951106,3042.3096060355124,5976.053458999989,9.022451266875743,0.017114914425427872,[26,39,50,57,65,74,81,89,99,108,116,125,133,142,151,159,167,176,184,189,197,204,213,222,232,239,248,255,262,271,278,286,293,301,308,315,323,330,338,346,353,360,367,374,382,391,398,405,413,420,429,436,442,450,458,466,473,480,486,494,503,510,517,526,534,538,544,551,558,566,574,582,590,598,605,612,616,623,631,640,648,653,660,667,671,680,688,696,704,711,718,725,733,739,746,752,761,768,776,780],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"32557592743018457895165996407399080809815721472147284585801642346547700748216","0xf22aa6eb05da71fcd667190f6b6385944043d01497a2b47b8407bbf2774309ba","No",64.8636,0.4204,"2026-11-02T22:26:15.162Z","2026-11-02T15:38:53.804Z","Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?","eu-emergency-diesel-stocks-end-of-october-2026","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.23\", \"0.77\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":44,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":48,"category":49},"91915632605949622466467161598140164505627522634430005029655921094264897932106","0x216498435fdf85053630537b7decdaf34b8d4468d3dd8da9e7dfa53083e78043","Yes",30.1615,0.7294,"Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 5, 2026?","shipping-successfully-targeted-in-hormuz-on-october-2026","2026-10-06T03:59:00Z","[\"0.64\", \"0.36\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":51,"condition_id":52,"outcome":29,"size":53,"avg_price":54,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":55,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":56,"category":38},"4411076768834672351244017573903113486747019785978693741585297677469270948962","0x55c5e45e48f8d4fefd46e7f4b2bfd7afd76966078c7b057cd2a11f525a1b7fd5",73.4814,0.2699,"Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?","[\"0.545\", \"0.455\"]",{"token_id":58,"condition_id":59,"outcome":42,"size":60,"avg_price":61,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":62,"event_slug":63,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":64,"category":49},"59793862684080943704080109372779583143664464479597116061906090702153324525140","0x69b04bcef8ccaf273cbe001c290b45aea1d99d7d172d1e185b0740bb18d408a9",39.3416,0.4483,"Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?","eritrea-invades-ethiopia-byptptpt","[\"0.049\", \"0.951\"]",{"token_id":66,"condition_id":67,"outcome":29,"size":68,"avg_price":69,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":70,"event_slug":71,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":72,"outcome_prices":73,"category":38},"22355628713987647168895285462519006606754339589987582351901751695469829889668","0x5ff42f044caebeb55148f724bfdd1ba9233534607953f6f2f07dedf1f85b6b86",27.8852,0.6099,"Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of November 2026?","eu-emergency-diesel-stocks-end-of-november-2026","2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.675\", \"0.325\"]",{"token_id":75,"condition_id":76,"outcome":29,"size":77,"avg_price":78,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":79,"event_slug":71,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":72,"outcome_prices":80,"category":38},"68607047727212428056534000998760705822149892678667723454185219210189604427821","0xb27e97efdb792eccf517d535c3baf998249438953931e09dbb7fc75ba6ede922",42.2051,0.3949,"Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of November 2026?","[\"0.725\", \"0.275\"]",{"token_id":82,"condition_id":83,"outcome":42,"size":84,"avg_price":85,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":86,"event_slug":63,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":87,"outcome_prices":88,"category":49},"14814631491325795371992981802651173954317651848807454867402624396996426557418","0x73fee6c2068e758b1362f558502c0dbc86d85a0252f2b136bff85e698f27bbf0",23.9523,0.6132,"Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.135\", \"0.865\"]",{"token_id":90,"condition_id":91,"outcome":29,"size":92,"avg_price":93,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":94,"event_slug":95,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":96,"outcome_prices":97,"category":98},"64172740292631568430927824514370563467849451267431738273328581112453821186477","0xfc98aa62bdcc0568c31fb97c6ef36f17e8675276dc42828194738b2273612328",17.0939,0.819,"Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027?","will-bitmine-announce-holding-eth-before-2027","2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","[\"0.165\", \"0.835\"]","Crypto",{"token_id":100,"condition_id":101,"outcome":42,"size":102,"avg_price":103,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":104,"event_slug":105,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":106,"outcome_prices":97,"category":107},"103713382090906723152950770958253851708707234823860692079296024513620372657209","0x8ef371a5a818ae06b9737733e2b8ed0166caa733892bc0d04eafabeeec4a939c",80,0.15,"Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?","reserve-bank-of-india-decision-in-december-2026","2026-12-04T00:00:00Z","Economy",{"token_id":109,"condition_id":110,"outcome":42,"size":111,"avg_price":112,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":113,"event_slug":114,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":87,"outcome_prices":115,"category":38},"26765194833716294054807992124561088613125373582147747941926106098870013494853","0x182c4ed2f471ae9281f292aa88abac70c0b94c38442261d4a6edf8271e913290",13.9564,0.8598,"US imports Russian diesel by December 31?","us-imports-russian-diesel-by-october-31","[\"0.26\", \"0.74\"]",{"token_id":117,"condition_id":118,"outcome":42,"size":119,"avg_price":120,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":121,"event_slug":122,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":123,"outcome_prices":124,"category":107},"37376796630192845596402759449434849047014533704479834706245458738317367093627","0x49816f01de41d7c16903a08931f2265d0a94572900f5937a17835197fbca3cd8",16.4383,0.7299,"Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?","will-the-30-year-mortgage-rate-hit-in-2026","2027-01-15T04:59:00Z","[\"0.345\", \"0.655\"]",{"token_id":126,"condition_id":127,"outcome":42,"size":128,"avg_price":129,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":130,"event_slug":131,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":72,"outcome_prices":132,"category":49},"39662075703122016595035530612643542329695760903785336568537384074222284155584","0x32dcf8954e6e8da281c96d061f9a1052de896ba3fa486e477cfb5c8d99f7707d",18.1818,0.6599,"Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?","israel-military-action-against-syria-byptptpt-21","[\"0.175\", \"0.825\"]",{"token_id":134,"condition_id":135,"outcome":29,"size":136,"avg_price":137,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":138,"event_slug":139,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":140,"outcome_prices":141,"category":38},"99118570234791779241996869367491929971319324878708199044591297719125788897286","0x2a0ffe9b619ae339b7f10e7a2baa0abd4f12dc79475e9e3c8e25a8b0143e967a",18.4615,0.6499,"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 5%-10%?","south-carolina-senate-margin-of-victory-2026","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",{"token_id":143,"condition_id":144,"outcome":42,"size":145,"avg_price":146,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":147,"event_slug":148,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":149,"outcome_prices":150,"category":38},"81766792188189920546514349357120417564712343484610637292490902490413548626203","0x2b25e0af830c5ddbce8df3e0df66a822aebf8b6c69434a981f37f0fbe835d556",33.1537,0.3616,"Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?","serbia-election-united-serbia-vote-share","2026-10-25T23:59:00Z","[\"0\", \"1\"]",{"token_id":152,"condition_id":153,"outcome":42,"size":154,"avg_price":155,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":156,"event_slug":157,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":140,"outcome_prices":158,"category":38},"30718966535311015751929217398361750334834655110246828806892843311659716192347","0x4de72138204727d2821bff847d8158819ab5b591db1b5b263676126cbb3a0430",41.7826,0.2299,"Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?","south-carolina-senate-election-winner","[\"0.9995\", \"0.0005\"]",{"token_id":160,"condition_id":161,"outcome":42,"size":162,"avg_price":137,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":163,"event_slug":164,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":165,"outcome_prices":166,"category":38},"79430113721395718684612773337151551812963909573196995977928070134773676251232","0x5f0bd8592873f67ee97e763715c8b752fde4907fecf2bb2abbb245e2ed2ab28d",14.6153,"Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?","which-parties-will-be-in-next-berlin-state-government","2026-09-21T03:59:00Z","[\"0.701\", \"0.299\"]",{"token_id":168,"condition_id":169,"outcome":29,"size":170,"avg_price":171,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":172,"event_slug":173,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":87,"outcome_prices":174,"category":175},"109782726646318522651751194939577072399756387622567489964499171534568258073151","0xb234ece72960980f4df5b1b891feda190285e10ed326afa31a07e48649dc7777",9.5744,0.9399,"Will USD\u002FBRL hit 7 (High) in 2026?","will-usdbrl-hit-in-2026","[\"0.084\", \"0.916\"]","Other",{"token_id":177,"condition_id":178,"outcome":42,"size":179,"avg_price":180,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":181,"event_slug":182,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":140,"outcome_prices":183,"category":38},"47975366268282823322598946778919483335780002591367838795894307024076579116518","0x5554740293afa7aafd5fed10fd2de43a898e2884c1f98bd65185e703f371b9db",29.8924,0.301,"Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?","nebraska-senate-election-winner","[\"0.01\", \"0.99\"]",{"token_id":185,"condition_id":186,"outcome":29,"size":187,"avg_price":155,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":188,"event_slug":157,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":140,"outcome_prices":141,"category":38},"106735117676771824247027811445178447955204027242855029915419117736623883137120","0x1c017cbb38a9d0ab233ebb265b25c78290317e6a2470657ca18a73a112397b55",37.1739,"Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?",{"token_id":190,"condition_id":191,"outcome":42,"size":192,"avg_price":193,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":194,"event_slug":195,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":87,"outcome_prices":196,"category":38},"38667196958602416137463628517439560119304765709104570192447644733106171420112","0xa01d48a973e40770719dab42faf1aeae5da4376d9eca46e77265c7551d1be0f7",44.9571,0.1835,"Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?","venezuela-leader-end-of-2026","[\"0.11\", \"0.89\"]",{"token_id":198,"condition_id":199,"outcome":29,"size":102,"avg_price":200,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":201,"event_slug":202,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":140,"outcome_prices":203,"category":38},"93154595056268120397334102801062018916555787278126869430194069115332749753248","0xe655180a65e17b6959aa722821312de23513cba6c6d2e3a55f47f198977316bf",0.1,"Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?","florida-senate-election-winner","[\"1\", \"0\"]",{"token_id":205,"condition_id":206,"outcome":42,"size":207,"avg_price":208,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":209,"event_slug":210,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":211,"outcome_prices":212,"category":107},"80334185598337143415900185670117620503898810148605192115905745046148901303213","0xda546092a75bd4894ddacb2aba229d1bd71f2735107cd0821bbe64225c2d45cb",9.2488,0.8649,"Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?","how-high-will-30-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027","2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","[\"0.17\", \"0.83\"]",{"token_id":214,"condition_id":215,"outcome":29,"size":216,"avg_price":217,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":218,"event_slug":219,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":220,"outcome_prices":221,"category":38},"12453668740581283777785485165349879106492493130636362351429535283777049442065","0x559b8224c2ae858342c0617ba278b46242e51071950f9a9d04bc3147dc374440",11.7647,0.6799,"Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?","will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by","2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.525\", \"0.475\"]",{"token_id":223,"condition_id":224,"outcome":42,"size":225,"avg_price":226,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":227,"event_slug":228,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":229,"outcome_prices":230,"category":231},"32576111729363304802145706544600886829192194285591351111497157476367315621815","0x6c19fb724f2ea7cb3c00d79b396238bbe25ac228e394f5a7e1c7e116eac1ad56",14.8148,0.5399,"Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?","will-lambdas-valuation-hit-by-december-31","2027-01-05T04:59:00Z","[\"0.485\", \"0.515\"]","Tech",{"token_id":233,"condition_id":234,"outcome":29,"size":235,"avg_price":236,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":237,"event_slug":182,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":140,"outcome_prices":238,"category":38},"20545755397554366279105844241414821565747450256261992143596340747510834590543","0x71e9f5312aac62bdc9b87fa8d171fa929eca6243d815298c4c7d61303f7d53dd",27.5862,0.2899,"Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?","[\"0.9885\", \"0.0115\"]",{"token_id":240,"condition_id":241,"outcome":29,"size":242,"avg_price":243,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":244,"event_slug":245,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":246,"outcome_prices":247,"category":38},"28042880819135054236705112210866715426402068267079731308218252509537644025901","0xbf7a9da08326512f76129d4accf9f7d852dbf1cb7dd2c512479ff40c872f5659",20.3863,0.3835,"Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?","taipei-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857100","2026-11-29T04:59:00Z","[\"0.685\", \"0.315\"]",{"token_id":249,"condition_id":250,"outcome":29,"size":251,"avg_price":252,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":253,"event_slug":219,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":87,"outcome_prices":254,"category":38},"70201851876332354439276604090702674974859631903486990974685797729205226013576","0xa222013f2baf3e9eb0613b7dc45d2fd8a3e63177c21bd282d9bb5133d6a44986",8.3563,0.8699,"Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.205\", \"0.795\"]",{"token_id":256,"condition_id":257,"outcome":42,"size":258,"avg_price":259,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":260,"event_slug":245,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":246,"outcome_prices":261,"category":38},"71621185653281721927174401118354054745399424014255544529977515442951477963801","0x910aabbfae28b3569929c31fb5461f4db13f7ddd427bdee1e696d313125838e3",17.8486,0.3776,"Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?","[\"0.3115\", \"0.6885\"]",{"token_id":263,"condition_id":264,"outcome":29,"size":265,"avg_price":266,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":267,"event_slug":268,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":72,"outcome_prices":269,"category":270},"48114644463413538986027518973053449810230973592974041569593084521016132677695","0xaf19d77206495052d91f2bbd0cf91097e8b5385f3a6561af7d847dacc8d20ec8",12.3137,0.5099,"Will the total domestic gross for \"You Can See Everything\" be between $100M and $125M by November 30?","you-can-see-everything-total-domestic-gross-by-november-30","[\"0.07\", \"0.93\"]","Culture",{"token_id":272,"condition_id":273,"outcome":29,"size":274,"avg_price":275,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":276,"event_slug":277,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":149,"outcome_prices":150,"category":38},"68162903095925796821956305651202686794555836346104319947845874666126185505328","0x287fac2828d12b9ab36a145b5514ecbb10287a76fe0063ccc6e8eccde32a9970",7.6934,0.7799,"Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?","serbia-parliamentary-election-turnout",{"token_id":279,"condition_id":280,"outcome":42,"size":281,"avg_price":282,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":283,"event_slug":284,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":285,"outcome_prices":203,"category":38},"39555062235856299873040913581157428012749073563846274382975600996042752877111","0xab4145397a8aff1944c628f4ed5f25f6371c6125b2531e5b0c87f57e0b873412",6.237,0.962,"Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","israeli-legislative-election-turnout","2026-10-28T03:59:00Z",{"token_id":287,"condition_id":288,"outcome":29,"size":289,"avg_price":290,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":291,"event_slug":173,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":87,"outcome_prices":292,"category":175},"89557046920260025021746035907208805461526505369647844265358645061671380837571","0x8a5814162e7ed4cc7f04c7c26e8d92019229ac788e10c961ecb05941740f7eff",6.5053,0.9223,"Will USD\u002FBRL hit 6.75 (High) in 2026?","[\"0.235\", \"0.765\"]",{"token_id":294,"condition_id":295,"outcome":29,"size":296,"avg_price":297,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":298,"event_slug":299,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":87,"outcome_prices":300,"category":38},"56861728786621329031984666737499780960629900229704334468492453425663204227112","0x9158ae5a2931aaaaa6b15f793e1da16beba7727422eac5bb1c01c95dbca5aca7",7.1142,0.8433,"Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31?","us-announces-diesel-export-ban-byptptpt","[\"0.105\", \"0.895\"]",{"token_id":302,"condition_id":303,"outcome":29,"size":304,"avg_price":305,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":306,"event_slug":95,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":96,"outcome_prices":307,"category":98},"2401142811962862070663936635856656850619624784245958295355645508255517264349","0x75e1cd26f8df239b3d20f7733397a4c87c9cf832a3dc1b83474668921c07e63d",6.5934,0.9099,"Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027?","[\"0.06\", \"0.94\"]",{"token_id":309,"condition_id":310,"outcome":29,"size":311,"avg_price":312,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":313,"event_slug":173,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":87,"outcome_prices":314,"category":175},"9538531618601287924106592672421472304453702262611875113850260041858779111060","0xe1f2ec84ab7c6a2c35ace2126cf0e44a52dafac3fab20c5cae397636d6433e56",6.5217,0.9199,"Will USD\u002FBRL hit 6.5 (High) in 2026?","[\"0.42\", \"0.58\"]",{"token_id":316,"condition_id":317,"outcome":29,"size":318,"avg_price":319,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":320,"event_slug":321,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":211,"outcome_prices":322,"category":175},"44445756309571810833011566196282899043454855203776527263627779389239481389132","0x126e7616167c979f0cc0418846e66637690735ebf08b9bb1aed7dcb6381e220e",6.6666,0.8999,"Will EUR\u002FUSD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?","will-eurusd-hit-in-2026","[\"0.09\", \"0.91\"]",{"token_id":324,"condition_id":325,"outcome":29,"size":326,"avg_price":275,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":327,"event_slug":328,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":87,"outcome_prices":329,"category":38},"42734267520893618538509395864755023654610590279966729614093299954940952741193","0x11c846106277b0b0eccd71a5c7297073c646bf5a19a8ef92b2f9305e97e2be38",7.6923,"Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?","which-companies-will-the-us-take-a-stake-in","[\"0.14\", \"0.86\"]",{"token_id":331,"condition_id":332,"outcome":42,"size":333,"avg_price":334,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":335,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":336,"outcome_prices":337,"category":49},"84896054973809676034414216295359647859583457266502458262505576309647991765421","0x1154147b4d219d458210f6acfe3f6db8bbadf9e350f5452c89e957d673c50044",15.7894,0.3799,"Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 26, 2026?","2026-10-27T03:59:00Z","[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]",{"token_id":339,"condition_id":340,"outcome":29,"size":341,"avg_price":342,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":343,"event_slug":344,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":87,"outcome_prices":345,"category":38},"2215015315911578785145563409927702685276871902558031784225799574395658969981","0x720e81340d0dc8bfda8484d5eaa20b86bc70bc78cac05af351b355cb0416a9e3",10.0841,0.587,"Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of December 2026?","eu-emergency-diesel-stocks-end-of-december-2026","[\"0.655\", \"0.345\"]",{"token_id":347,"condition_id":348,"outcome":42,"size":349,"avg_price":350,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":351,"event_slug":352,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":322,"category":49},"80378924601131529440632503659713964672311679972235277678506383908671689921262","0x1c008508d424634eb01e47889e0fefb2fad4c776f973148f80a86b5be8331c63",69.17,0.085,"Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?","houthis-enter-saudi-arabia-byptptpt",{"token_id":354,"condition_id":355,"outcome":29,"size":356,"avg_price":357,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":358,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":359,"category":38},"86149349747722983547413334603875776250296072790230994910265829179197751416401","0xa85713038c2fa82cec627f71553a7f1d03e04f5967dddf9c4075c300398325b2",6.7325,0.8599,"Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?","[\"0.16\", \"0.84\"]",{"token_id":361,"condition_id":362,"outcome":29,"size":363,"avg_price":364,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":365,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":366,"category":38},"104722323512874526231480376876305581590199185709696091507423032811634905952678","0x1c082e809bdd713dd5b5115a3a83bf4dcb3a7674bed089e384c42bf0805086ea",32.3455,0.1657,"Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of October 2026?","[\"0.874\", \"0.126\"]",{"token_id":368,"condition_id":369,"outcome":42,"size":370,"avg_price":371,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":372,"event_slug":373,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":72,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"51635828369088582173026050369364839462389016688266714081659732794747134130477","0xbbf0bf35801866a361a3733ef21c787b94b9e7ccc9c4cde622b24f471b95c1ca",17.8921,0.2978,"Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?","iran-oman-hormuz-management-agreement-byptptpt-20260804222725871",{"token_id":375,"condition_id":376,"outcome":29,"size":377,"avg_price":378,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":379,"event_slug":380,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":72,"outcome_prices":381,"category":38},"26195813112307237432905118647936591239355480192875043518391377351808460427125","0xfba1944e3a766b128d79d1c344e6b87bbbcd422a9eebe8a2111d4cf97262f238",9.6819,0.5381,"Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-peace-talks-byptptpt-20260609012540716","[\"0.86\", \"0.14\"]",{"token_id":383,"condition_id":384,"outcome":29,"size":385,"avg_price":386,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":387,"event_slug":388,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":389,"outcome_prices":390,"category":38},"24286205875391383509402672648810638471191840592140892691047258607227431065574","0x40c0cb6f29203462608cf1e1a1167a7456534296f339dfe39d997276021334b8",7.5,0.62,"Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?","uk-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026-qoq-20260813112748100","2026-11-13T04:59:00Z","[\"0.08\", \"0.92\"]",{"token_id":392,"condition_id":393,"outcome":29,"size":394,"avg_price":395,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":396,"event_slug":71,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":72,"outcome_prices":397,"category":38},"335017890867499495379659466066588752217347192679146768041307619517360588255","0xf425f24a6b3d89103701da8f1bc327098177c05f910c97f77f387ccadab18ff2",5.6419,0.8099,"Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of November 2026?","[\"0.36\", \"0.64\"]",{"token_id":399,"condition_id":400,"outcome":29,"size":401,"avg_price":402,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":403,"event_slug":344,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":87,"outcome_prices":404,"category":38},"59844885564179033648288426526571903867060476293575989718752260183202968080659","0x9cd63982016e83be422866b76f2c6b3992a0541f6baed2de88e20a0e308ee05a",5.9733,0.7499,"Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of December 2026?","[\"0.44\", \"0.56\"]",{"token_id":406,"condition_id":407,"outcome":42,"size":408,"avg_price":409,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":410,"event_slug":411,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":412,"outcome_prices":73,"category":38},"48183625586842196057429628609672822076151192281363867912729520645574425648952","0x0cb3e19a3baf42592749dbe8c570c4b0eb9547bbf4d6ed3e3aff6f985e154b42",6.8387,0.6199,"Will Jamilu Isyaku Gwamna win the 2027 Gombe State gubernatorial election?","gombe-nigeria-governor-election-winner","2027-02-07T04:59:00Z",{"token_id":414,"condition_id":415,"outcome":42,"size":416,"avg_price":417,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":418,"event_slug":373,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":87,"outcome_prices":419,"category":38},"67075549292658737573547129213624169379418023983527581870475381110152748532502","0x82475d6da4f57bab8ed6f39b8a48e3372203534f34a5d2ef022e6e6895ed55e4",11.527,0.3669,"Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?","[\"0.315\", \"0.685\"]",{"token_id":421,"condition_id":422,"outcome":42,"size":423,"avg_price":424,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":425,"event_slug":426,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":427,"outcome_prices":428,"category":49},"54781099601464461488829059005050277521833103417025996862514150323722403162509","0x7263b71ab53522cf98045ea0745a6f61ebd36430ffd1b3ba95630cb25489d61b",6.1343,0.6699,"Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?","pakistan-military-action-against-afghanistan-by-20261005","2026-11-16T04:59:00Z","[\"0.225\", \"0.775\"]",{"token_id":430,"condition_id":431,"outcome":42,"size":432,"avg_price":433,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":434,"event_slug":426,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":435,"category":49},"101534677980532051831598599636390176292637360291611693882312710224481911228781","0x37afe6b937f5aa0f016acbc47eed79eba8799f1a0e8a30fee6ea4a508e0cacb9",9.1333,0.4499,"Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?","[\"0.027\", \"0.973\"]",{"token_id":437,"condition_id":438,"outcome":42,"size":439,"avg_price":54,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":440,"event_slug":352,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":87,"outcome_prices":441,"category":49},"71707922810772036956457186337451791854576863689981200918548276310457661734341","0x2395fcf739d050877cb6fe38878aaac89bc5bf0a13d03e1c358becdbc38a65c3",14.8518,"Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?","[\"0.31\", \"0.69\"]",{"token_id":443,"condition_id":444,"outcome":29,"size":445,"avg_price":446,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":447,"event_slug":448,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":87,"outcome_prices":449,"category":38},"78614077321660003058400012802047790822463386544514810757305414854639906455618","0x0ea6e9ff415871b64273a991ad7560f19d38a25449b996fa83655a5e8f818821",5.5248,0.7239,"Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?","next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406","[\"0.122\", \"0.878\"]",{"token_id":451,"condition_id":452,"outcome":29,"size":453,"avg_price":454,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":455,"event_slug":456,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":72,"outcome_prices":457,"category":49},"104887025061084041679178008086377874867431814086360230352688780038114576650747","0x4d12d9824d6d378cce54a7f8756a445f9a1de0b5650a3a44d17cd83d743b1bd2",7.076,0.5652,"Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?","uss-george-hw-bush-in-centcom-onptptpt","[\"0.72\", \"0.28\"]",{"token_id":459,"condition_id":460,"outcome":42,"size":461,"avg_price":462,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":463,"event_slug":464,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":87,"outcome_prices":465,"category":38},"72458525119108210179841170267525414270186496838019970198206850900384026496886","0x9f94a3f64e8db20bf9d1766643b3bf4c345e3439d282d779775e171c780e9ddf",78.4313,0.0509,"Yoon out of custody before 2027?","yoon-out-of-custody-before-2027","[\"0.0285\", \"0.9715\"]",{"token_id":467,"condition_id":468,"outcome":29,"size":469,"avg_price":433,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":470,"event_slug":471,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":472,"outcome_prices":269,"category":49},"50017508698946632836498786755917348064762817246601897741622167225783243973666","0xe48fecf5a358425072e5a4ac6adcb1008c7da99d01ac5e08fac4155119bf8f52",8.6666,"Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 22?","houthi-military-action-against-saudi-arabia-on-october-2026","2026-10-23T03:59:00Z",{"token_id":474,"condition_id":475,"outcome":42,"size":476,"avg_price":477,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":478,"event_slug":479,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":72,"outcome_prices":230,"category":38},"79575202583196738597367644642723869605664242979776539870408032548014947184361","0xaabe05f69c6d8d114c7a8304a10ebde65a077ad4b252bc0d9bc6e9ef75365b42",4.909,0.7699,"Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30?","military-action-against-king-khalid-international-airport-ruh-byptptpt",{"token_id":481,"condition_id":482,"outcome":42,"size":483,"avg_price":484,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":485,"event_slug":479,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":300,"category":38},"25580077784648607494247410600870544427133334531913713657744330563354638837529","0xe8b9d79214735a5dcef73c5684e39c55efaa9c1a23ac0b0f1c0509f53e432692",5.6031,0.6299,"Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31?",{"token_id":487,"condition_id":488,"outcome":29,"size":489,"avg_price":490,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":491,"event_slug":492,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":87,"outcome_prices":493,"category":38},"108718508781160171652177539729448893185941768597616986507864195687275954943921","0x9e9f2461c9686a5f80af483c528b04dbb128c6f2f542c65f639f8bec4ca1697e",4.942,0.6899,"Will the IEA ask Germany to release oil stocks by December 31?","iea-asks-germany-to-release-oil-stocks-byptptpt","[\"0.155\", \"0.845\"]",{"token_id":495,"condition_id":496,"outcome":42,"size":497,"avg_price":498,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":499,"event_slug":500,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":501,"outcome_prices":502,"category":107},"63183900851144669068632840473568903248190855775922665602023225030642855432420","0xccdda72e8306018ecca67bb9e051c79183fb5a9d5bd323bf3dacb0c1839ed9c1",7.0652,0.4599,"Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?","eurozone-annual-gdp-growth-2026","2027-02-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.63\", \"0.37\"]",{"token_id":504,"condition_id":505,"outcome":42,"size":506,"avg_price":137,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":507,"event_slug":508,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":509,"outcome_prices":247,"category":231},"59571367085964167120362569604430876382217425288722535684104776401279160424325","0x0b44e9c6eb563adf459816f9a7a2de0aa66ba5423c474ecab30c97203a3e8207",4.9846,"Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?","skin-cancer-vaccine-fda-approved-by-december-31-2027","2028-01-01T04:59:00Z",{"token_id":511,"condition_id":512,"outcome":29,"size":513,"avg_price":514,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":515,"event_slug":500,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":501,"outcome_prices":516,"category":107},"95885849252894251207929626437652641975373088424494273261713589005750975947324","0x4c1c0c7b91dc4662de79d04b100754cb714d698b389bf1a9c21116b052041733",6.4529,0.4989,"Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?","[\"0.323\", \"0.677\"]",{"token_id":518,"condition_id":519,"outcome":42,"size":520,"avg_price":521,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":522,"event_slug":523,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":524,"outcome_prices":525,"category":107},"70385825801885444256285726169277138144171910910615374854814345084550291704671","0xff8ae213f43c3c61299bafb0b153b45d6e112f515601b71b59816de6908321f4",5.3333,0.5699,"Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?","how-many-fed-rate-hikes-in-2026-20260623190717369","2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.74\", \"0.26\"]",{"token_id":527,"condition_id":528,"outcome":42,"size":529,"avg_price":530,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":531,"event_slug":532,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":87,"outcome_prices":533,"category":231},"54008746047030401937229622392846672148881831664328316511258982815120785809185","0x85647246dede70416c9c71ea851d87facf4b5efe58c685f4acc5ea94a9487c10",14.4449,0.209,"Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?","tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30","[\"0.085\", \"0.915\"]",{"token_id":535,"condition_id":273,"outcome":42,"size":536,"avg_price":537,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":276,"event_slug":277,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":149,"outcome_prices":150,"category":38},"8109576606800441444464358943641871767655625245299430900683072417101134387754",4.2706,0.704,{"token_id":539,"condition_id":540,"outcome":29,"size":541,"avg_price":542,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":543,"event_slug":277,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":149,"outcome_prices":203,"category":38},"91969157127099562011248810897865311912205786863737810051678092706430682825354","0xbf6d27cd173fe4df59f91dd1d3e8fd5a2f7b10a72cdee9540eac16c4fa6d554c",4.0568,0.7401,"Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?",{"token_id":545,"condition_id":546,"outcome":29,"size":547,"avg_price":305,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":548,"event_slug":549,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":87,"outcome_prices":550,"category":38},"68185437035565828797120170718143916742464455183370243401836158157308825269890","0x533aab0d99851ea6dccf14861b8b7bb5026a40a15718769f8cc519d93380b391",3.2967,"U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with \"India\" before 2027?","which-countries-will-trump-make-new-trade-deals-with-before-2027-921","[\"0.12\", \"0.88\"]",{"token_id":552,"condition_id":553,"outcome":29,"size":554,"avg_price":424,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":555,"event_slug":556,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":211,"outcome_prices":557,"category":270},"7242380042032394160013902308209764404915986172082971265989151323100768257733","0x836c1bfe3cd3ddc53db4214154d93195aac7d3f4f09ab49fa1faa9ffacd8fbf9",4.4776,"Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?","eurovision-2027-participants","[\"0.2185\", \"0.7815\"]",{"token_id":559,"condition_id":560,"outcome":42,"size":561,"avg_price":562,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":563,"event_slug":564,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":565,"outcome_prices":329,"category":38},"106954541463172441153958311986648134847708254123222442997405232679090482865750","0x26b69058c1c2c53a8e439504a8755ce75d469ba3a1c82bca934ea7a46f26529e",22.8,0.1315,"Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T?","us-trade-deficit-in-2026","2027-05-01T03:59:00Z",{"token_id":567,"condition_id":568,"outcome":29,"size":569,"avg_price":570,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":571,"event_slug":572,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":524,"outcome_prices":573,"category":231},"381002629164469971715984420885041135432556402641498457009220260394564314309","0x15d989602d5b30c5a08645a23bd898b78c3874f1ddd49ddaea2fec9650f2adb2",23.0769,0.1299,"Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?","next-gpt-luna-6pt1-released-byptptpt","[\"0.695\", \"0.305\"]",{"token_id":575,"condition_id":576,"outcome":29,"size":577,"avg_price":578,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":579,"event_slug":580,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":581,"outcome_prices":533,"category":38},"55924008678331392948336312806293360142875154524733691603322942979182976457930","0xdfea8851512360fb70c4b4ed29ed369b6dbcdfc58b2493b66cba65faab622129",3.7361,0.7199,"Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?","tyler-robinson-convicted-of-homicide","2027-08-01T03:59:00Z",{"token_id":583,"condition_id":584,"outcome":42,"size":585,"avg_price":586,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":587,"event_slug":588,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":589,"category":38},"6140324409524178432603953207223664571340371582966496004897481150458901358865","0xdf1144b74ea296185ab16907b147abf8c0202bab9e24de267020f518da1a91f4",28.913,0.0919,"Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?","will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-october-31","[\"0.008\", \"0.992\"]",{"token_id":591,"condition_id":592,"outcome":29,"size":593,"avg_price":594,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":595,"event_slug":596,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":220,"outcome_prices":597,"category":175},"64947279944302531416597924872561844886145193520274461104763663227666729104466","0x2a15f5143f1f57c98d14843bef91cf6ebfcbc1bca077a6daa2106914da64662b",3.8461,0.6759,"Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?","who-will-be-the-next-secretary-general-of-the-un","[\"0.3225\", \"0.6775\"]",{"token_id":599,"condition_id":600,"outcome":29,"size":601,"avg_price":602,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":603,"event_slug":71,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":72,"outcome_prices":604,"category":38},"46301943619951125408979591019570096239697331091515402769132107385381210932658","0x63f92121e071a59c371acd44a353dfae1ef8da110834354238093e9a348eb837",9.5384,0.2599,"Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of November 2026?","[\"0.84\", \"0.16\"]",{"token_id":606,"condition_id":607,"outcome":42,"size":608,"avg_price":609,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":610,"event_slug":611,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":140,"outcome_prices":141,"category":38},"2142948285506077695096498341598672159464223074468931276310105532825810210121","0x2c00cb09722a0f0501c5e49131b898ed57bb5c075db4dc2bcbc14908f45b8c48",7.2647,0.3399,"Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?","maine-senate-election-winner",{"token_id":613,"condition_id":614,"outcome":29,"size":608,"avg_price":609,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":615,"event_slug":611,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":140,"outcome_prices":158,"category":38},"6136336712352911156426560180855478229745540927722899997193789497766196705020","0x66bbf6d55e0296278858b3147689f3df9259374f158f9f028b608baa322a639c","Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?",{"token_id":617,"condition_id":618,"outcome":29,"size":619,"avg_price":137,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":620,"event_slug":621,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":72,"outcome_prices":622,"category":38},"103159225638359731790247383162357783913500681643575178525536406773575671450318","0x7a70fc60ee280fa7b4312f5dd128d148d74ae5b3e4a2e8215ccf0030a08ebb04",3.7692,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080","[\"0.245\", \"0.755\"]",{"token_id":624,"condition_id":625,"outcome":29,"size":626,"avg_price":627,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":628,"event_slug":629,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":72,"outcome_prices":630,"category":38},"22515366471537936183942387486754941813453599286567007447894113400620354754103","0x5d7a9badd137aec33c5c7a6ca265ce68cb2def8dbb0c3cfc5b6e61a63c80d513",3.9821,0.5599,"Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026?","moodys-or-sp-downgrades-france-byptptpt","[\"0.335\", \"0.665\"]",{"token_id":632,"condition_id":633,"outcome":42,"size":634,"avg_price":635,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":636,"event_slug":637,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":638,"outcome_prices":639,"category":38},"2867209803492313176891970118649987905930881752970311413869425427415611673771","0xe0acd0255dbd9274d22d8c1b226c9a2b60bad9098507ce8e7d72dede580cd57a",23.9347,0.0931,"Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? ","will-trump-reduce-the-deficit-before-2027","2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.063\", \"0.937\"]",{"token_id":641,"condition_id":642,"outcome":29,"size":643,"avg_price":644,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":645,"event_slug":646,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":140,"outcome_prices":647,"category":38},"61536378782761462213691399252544797782501798493464719286188000407153618893171","0x4f3d35bc886f93949cf06a73ffdd8d14210a1d06a136ebb506f5aa653514d970",7,0.3,"Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?","ny-21-house-election-winner","[\"0.972\", \"0.028\"]",{"token_id":649,"condition_id":650,"outcome":42,"size":643,"avg_price":644,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":651,"event_slug":646,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":140,"outcome_prices":652,"category":38},"68028333226752818835598008745363906489424880287725704944286010813515917252082","0xd98f7c334a57d9a96fbf3b02d6cfb5c11449d1d555af0add9c3003891d528796","Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?","[\"0.014\", \"0.986\"]",{"token_id":654,"condition_id":655,"outcome":42,"size":656,"avg_price":657,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":658,"event_slug":659,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":140,"outcome_prices":150,"category":38},"45666577334498374671436529469006420565255125221309505855441517627481607414492","0x22492ab0d5c936a0c8b24e241bcbe959ee4d7e52f227a8d128d38a025316eb85",10.45,0.2,"Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?","florida-governor-winner-2026",{"token_id":661,"condition_id":662,"outcome":29,"size":663,"avg_price":54,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":664,"event_slug":665,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":246,"outcome_prices":666,"category":38},"112555687622096325396569647235305515591451526197842524037949703711045745343617","0x10346101feeef8bc3152ace20ca9a165bd9ec5d744dbc1d11c1a9f77a5913e76",7.6318,"Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election?","taichung-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857400","[\"0.795\", \"0.205\"]",{"token_id":668,"condition_id":488,"outcome":42,"size":669,"avg_price":670,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":491,"event_slug":492,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":87,"outcome_prices":493,"category":38},"21432535583376478859477789734249465604278198531497199155073847441477420118599",6.25,0.32,{"token_id":672,"condition_id":673,"outcome":29,"size":674,"avg_price":675,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":676,"event_slug":677,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":678,"outcome_prices":679,"category":38},"110520676613925959579139500530173530568459548038467437434271818483410549817281","0x4b76de592a261167f57d3d8a0d99e485bfa58f7dc79175197d926f10ae1fc03c",2.2346,0.8949,"Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?","lima-mayoral-election-winner-20260724153924694","2026-10-05T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0155\", \"0.9845\"]",{"token_id":681,"condition_id":682,"outcome":29,"size":683,"avg_price":684,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":685,"event_slug":686,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":87,"outcome_prices":687,"category":38},"51355849367225758140246710332136598691354414577465173084939829331988951386767","0x8df940be829f2a5a39a44654b9d70e1c15ebd68c06377fbadf69ffad795ba7ba",3.7735,0.5299,"Romanian parliament dissolved by December 31?","romanian-parliament-dissolved-by-july-31","[\"0.0125\", \"0.9875\"]",{"token_id":689,"condition_id":690,"outcome":29,"size":691,"avg_price":692,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":693,"event_slug":694,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":246,"outcome_prices":695,"category":38},"24923302813032565767436220683004205555639221271397007550923446576564168677855","0x0ff4131bebd7e76a8d4e10951cf22ed92616ed2b5631d71e80721e7afd94f6ed",4.2553,0.4699,"Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?","new-taipei-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857200","[\"0.48\", \"0.52\"]",{"token_id":697,"condition_id":698,"outcome":29,"size":699,"avg_price":334,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":700,"event_slug":701,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":72,"outcome_prices":702,"category":703},"100639319958801657045544531687338137611395882877600658411358946737266709907640","0x5ba72dca702ddf6ac8ce0b992b521dd3b080109e39a5f022827ffda3ac8a60f6",5.2631,"Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?","anthropic-ipo-by","[\"0.855\", \"0.145\"]","Business",{"token_id":705,"condition_id":706,"outcome":42,"size":707,"avg_price":708,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":709,"event_slug":665,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":246,"outcome_prices":710,"category":38},"109154022859656863704237266356795174857416669843727834866047140066258204079083","0xe232f2c2d14a5ab8275e34cbc068944206df7fa382c279fca0745c8dd0522e0e",7.5614,0.2644,"Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election?","[\"0.2135\", \"0.7865\"]",{"token_id":712,"condition_id":713,"outcome":29,"size":714,"avg_price":715,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":716,"event_slug":71,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":72,"outcome_prices":717,"category":38},"77403391919601293630891248605867827072777011222046663893329680487768990762038","0x3822956643a0283e69de4b11ee92954790743af3b6d7808f2eb7a2347a7ea5b8",12.125,0.16,"Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of November 2026?","[\"0.865\", \"0.135\"]",{"token_id":719,"condition_id":720,"outcome":42,"size":721,"avg_price":722,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":723,"event_slug":532,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":638,"outcome_prices":724,"category":231},"92665346553485129648444851493722237317432823505802074242836590350713974513233","0xb817da457dae6a61243545179b07b247ff68da8d9b491d186423e9e7ec8f8445",4.5121,0.4099,"Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?","[\"0.34\", \"0.66\"]",{"token_id":726,"condition_id":727,"outcome":42,"size":728,"avg_price":729,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":730,"event_slug":731,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":732,"outcome_prices":630,"category":38},"29426323306763724948349621748497375014543945708041554561553917529444427366210","0x3377edf8e5a1c9bf41b2a3e88e3c0576f0e2972808cc027c87d5344a57b9ba81",6.4285,0.2799,"Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?","switzerlands-november-referendum-what-will-pass-20260713145059520","2026-11-29T00:00:00Z",{"token_id":734,"condition_id":735,"outcome":42,"size":736,"avg_price":737,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":738,"event_slug":694,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":246,"outcome_prices":221,"category":38},"42540064588474984309098065010968124137315195387045560256032749423193862593675","0x598c99fbef3a7d4fb2c3a5af62e67e4ef5f5f7447e966569aee6c917bff12a25",3.5625,0.4799,"Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?",{"token_id":740,"condition_id":741,"outcome":42,"size":742,"avg_price":743,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":744,"event_slug":588,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":745,"category":38},"34997029319863319721008533768415334265766143232130129805103648587153431329879","0x393611a0cae188d7e969fefc64a2e5deaa89b922b182e30055bded5f0db9846e",17.4444,0.0899,"Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?","[\"0.0355\", \"0.9645\"]",{"token_id":747,"condition_id":748,"outcome":42,"size":749,"avg_price":750,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":751,"event_slug":277,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":149,"outcome_prices":150,"category":38},"52012116555046115661859373555303097485272458491915203304805425889785530992964","0xfbcc2861e7cdb24eeaca84847552566d4b43ff921c93c544ef88304be8c984b5",3.7948,0.3899,"Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?",{"token_id":753,"condition_id":754,"outcome":29,"size":755,"avg_price":756,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":757,"event_slug":758,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":759,"outcome_prices":760,"category":38},"49952287244614575734723913757649087902024339238007187585607375183859292977482","0x58d5cc2bf06a3289b127049239aee051f3b941f219efebbca02d3f50f0eb2a64",6.5,0.2199,"Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?","next-prime-minister-of-sweden","2026-09-14T03:59:00Z","[\"0.61\", \"0.39\"]",{"token_id":762,"condition_id":763,"outcome":42,"size":764,"avg_price":765,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":766,"event_slug":380,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":87,"outcome_prices":767,"category":38},"114038073393175685070375877302821250190661708223658125394758492913778794477403","0x8e1e5c26dec73aee98230dc0ef93a294142587ca24190c4728d4b7ff831a22e0",3.525,0.4,"Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.91\", \"0.09\"]",{"token_id":769,"condition_id":770,"outcome":29,"size":771,"avg_price":772,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":773,"event_slug":774,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":775,"outcome_prices":196,"category":107},"114949834993151726706528861617694053933197820142070663323508462845325262534411","0xf034f3da3402772dc6ef9a165da8fb7fa193dab98bed8de2b23c91f348d0faad",9.6546,0.1439,"Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?","bank-of-brazil-decision-in-november-1785878499354","2026-11-04T11:59:00Z",{"token_id":777,"condition_id":763,"outcome":29,"size":778,"avg_price":779,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":766,"event_slug":380,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":87,"outcome_prices":767,"category":38},"41750771425854629959289349826538829467990870639746643500760657557812686111800",3.6388,0.3599,{"token_id":781,"condition_id":782,"outcome":42,"size":783,"avg_price":784,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":785,"event_slug":774,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":775,"outcome_prices":786,"category":107},"62898448752974352041395049351563686685817602221345159614956764716429452414447","0xa78a51fcc6c369e1e346ab703bb4255cda3b0d1e0de17538002e475e1fcfd826",9.8473,0.1309,"Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?","[\"0.888\", \"0.112\"]",[],[789],{"recorded_date":790,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-11-02",[792,796,801,803,810,817,823,825,831,837,844,850,856,859,865,872,874,881,884,890,895,900,906,912,919,926,929,934,940,945,951,957,963,969,971,979,986,993,999,1004,1007,1013,1014,1018,1023,1030,1036,1043,1049,1055,1061,1068,1073,1076,1079,1082,1088,1095,1098,1105,1110,1116,1122,1125,1128,1134,1139,1144,1150,1155,1161,1164,1168,1174,1180,1186,1193,1199,1202,1208,1214,1217,1223,1230,1236,1241,1248,1254,1259,1265,1268,1274,1278,1281,1286,1293,1296,1301,1307,1312],{"condition_id":199,"outcome":29,"usdc":793,"entry_price":200,"won":17,"source":794,"end_date_iso":140,"captured_at":795,"question":201,"event_slug":202,"category":38},8,"live","2026-11-02T15:38:53.813Z",{"condition_id":797,"outcome":29,"usdc":798,"entry_price":729,"won":12,"source":794,"end_date_iso":140,"captured_at":795,"question":799,"event_slug":800,"category":38},"0x613613192c69d90cee89758c260a019368fc1f4a596b4d300c39b6235d2b643f",0.99963486,"US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?","us-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-the-midterms",{"condition_id":280,"outcome":42,"usdc":802,"entry_price":282,"won":12,"source":794,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":795,"question":283,"event_slug":284,"category":38},5.999994,{"condition_id":804,"outcome":42,"usdc":805,"entry_price":806,"won":17,"source":794,"end_date_iso":807,"captured_at":795,"question":808,"event_slug":809,"category":38},"0x7d1cc102572a444d63434870de17a9752794d4575f16d24a85f03d7d6753d290",1153.8145656,0.228,"2026-11-30T23:59:00Z","Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?","israel-election-joint-list-of-seats",{"condition_id":811,"outcome":42,"usdc":812,"entry_price":813,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":13,"question":815,"event_slug":816,"category":38},"0x002341871854e39158ec683fd0583a3000210a5f31ce5cc4a4b3cc7aec1ed900",10,0.25,"backfill","Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","israeli-legislative-election-2nd-place",{"condition_id":818,"outcome":29,"usdc":819,"entry_price":820,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":821,"event_slug":822,"category":38},"0x0038a19c5f1633b76e9fe194ac391959811cceb05652ba5c6796e37f045e573f",4,0.839999958,"US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?","us-iran-hormuz-agreement-byptptpt-20260803235957575",{"condition_id":818,"outcome":42,"usdc":12,"entry_price":824,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":821,"event_slug":822,"category":38},0.1089999991,{"condition_id":826,"outcome":29,"usdc":827,"entry_price":828,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":829,"event_slug":830,"category":231},"0x04e50587cf0866f16bbd62404a028f91292f02b188168a84b05a9c7298020fd9",1.31891,0.23999997,"Will SpaceX have fewer than 14 launches in October 2026?","how-many-spacex-launches-in-october-2026-20260928t160000000z",{"condition_id":832,"outcome":42,"usdc":12,"entry_price":833,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":834,"captured_at":13,"question":835,"event_slug":836,"category":38},"0x0668ce0398a97eb73a11ac0123fbbc37ac6919d6f751e5f155c8fa2a02cffd78",0.08,"2026-10-18T03:59:00Z","Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 17, 2026?","saudi-troops-fighting-in-yemen-by",{"condition_id":838,"outcome":29,"usdc":839,"entry_price":840,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":841,"captured_at":13,"question":842,"event_slug":843,"category":38},"0x08cb343f8ee4ba5859ff359b2f522d58b41a1bdb322c82ac1c8d1222b9c942f6",20.16,0.8,"2026-10-26T03:59:00Z","Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?","rio-de-janeiro-governor-election-second-round-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":845,"outcome":29,"usdc":846,"entry_price":847,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":848,"event_slug":849,"category":231},"0x095f094c4dc3ab0845c56bfbd4c9f8b01679204e6d46806a90c75c139d3f86b7",5.93872,0.4899999596,"Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31?","will-aiptgov-be-renamed-to-siptgov-by",{"condition_id":851,"outcome":29,"usdc":852,"entry_price":853,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":13,"question":854,"event_slug":855,"category":38},"0x0aeafd983d87efa8403ca903513950b4b1906f442219c28e5486b66b87545a69",210,0.4061060096041492,"Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","israeli-legislative-election-3rd-place",{"condition_id":851,"outcome":42,"usdc":857,"entry_price":858,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":13,"question":854,"event_slug":855,"category":38},9.088000000000001,0.5200388896789847,{"condition_id":860,"outcome":42,"usdc":861,"entry_price":862,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":863,"captured_at":13,"question":864,"event_slug":46,"category":49},"0x0b473bf7c537133efa94fa2335e9d9470eb1d4335792482710c37d0c4d0ed1a7",3,0.4299999498,"2026-10-07T03:59:00Z","Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 6, 2026?",{"condition_id":866,"outcome":29,"usdc":867,"entry_price":868,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":869,"captured_at":13,"question":870,"event_slug":871,"category":38},"0x0c18daf6138a2c3be3628267bbc436054dd98699cd1897a7a2a695a008125dd2",12,0.33492536386177313,"2026-10-31T22:59:00Z","Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31?","lyon-curfew-effectively-lifted-by",{"condition_id":866,"outcome":42,"usdc":867,"entry_price":873,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":869,"captured_at":13,"question":870,"event_slug":871,"category":38},0.6699999911,{"condition_id":875,"outcome":29,"usdc":876,"entry_price":877,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":878,"captured_at":13,"question":879,"event_slug":880,"category":38},"0x0cbb08c4ff96eea8aeb7932bc6b030caf52333e10a93ead776a8b9cf9ce77350",1.11886,0.3379999026,"2026-10-24T23:59:00Z","Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?","lula-x-flavio-bolsonaro-debate-before-second-round",{"condition_id":875,"outcome":42,"usdc":882,"entry_price":883,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":878,"captured_at":13,"question":879,"event_slug":880,"category":38},14.1432,0.738582672528613,{"condition_id":885,"outcome":42,"usdc":886,"entry_price":887,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":336,"captured_at":13,"question":888,"event_slug":889,"category":38},"0x0da23e45639b1275e1d00b3a513bb4870ce39f57e6a272e790fa32fab659cde4",22.999996,0.6038602059192769,"Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election by at least 12%?","toronto-mayoral-election-margin-of-victory-20261016143050914",{"condition_id":891,"outcome":42,"usdc":861,"entry_price":892,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":807,"captured_at":13,"question":893,"event_slug":894,"category":38},"0x0ee2b94ef5b749b1d22396e2b49d2be70bc432f647124010b21568702d9bd24c",0.0769999999,"Will Together win 8-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?","israel-election-together-of-seats",{"condition_id":896,"outcome":42,"usdc":897,"entry_price":898,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":13,"question":899,"event_slug":855,"category":38},"0x116a25d79e6753787d46743628803b783021a5d37ecdcebb410b7c7dbf26c5c8",130,0.44028424304328595,"Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",{"condition_id":901,"outcome":42,"usdc":902,"entry_price":903,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":904,"event_slug":905,"category":38},"0x11a7842317376c04fa5dedbb940c621f7ebb5e01c133d0d601c5b6303bb1c19c",11.999997,0.7599999873,"EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?","eu-country-blames-russia-for-new-sabotage-attack-by-20260929185549208",{"condition_id":907,"outcome":42,"usdc":908,"entry_price":909,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":336,"captured_at":13,"question":910,"event_slug":911,"category":38},"0x1295040186326703b63b9c7d719f8c5bb88ee6fa9672e3924f90ef74ee7b0459",229.14999200000003,0.8426121282954773,"Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?","toronto-mayoral-election-winner-545",{"condition_id":913,"outcome":42,"usdc":914,"entry_price":915,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":916,"captured_at":13,"question":917,"event_slug":918,"category":38},"0x12aa13b3da17ceae1b0a59b5d5b77121e91bb79b4bb0b52bf6543ed3f8d0953b",3.2116,0.2799999892,"2026-10-29T03:59:00Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537",{"condition_id":920,"outcome":29,"usdc":921,"entry_price":922,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":923,"captured_at":13,"question":924,"event_slug":925,"category":38},"0x13f5c06545b93357de46e704a3f0ca309e9e1506d7f120b1f326237d5ea65f3c",7.30647,0.6759999793,"2026-10-28T00:00:00Z","Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?","bank-of-canada-decision-in-october-20260715203359314",{"condition_id":920,"outcome":42,"usdc":927,"entry_price":928,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":923,"captured_at":13,"question":924,"event_slug":925,"category":38},1.87299,0.1889999906,{"condition_id":930,"outcome":42,"usdc":931,"entry_price":932,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":933,"event_slug":114,"category":38},"0x16248fb1d6b56e9b851f45fadb1e501c0a82c51a60c9808c6f51f052d3684820",1.03,0.3099999669,"US imports Russian diesel by October 31?",{"condition_id":935,"outcome":29,"usdc":936,"entry_price":937,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":938,"captured_at":13,"question":939,"event_slug":621,"category":38},"0x1674c7a654ad25b68e9df7ac71e3711ecc5c86bde2063ceb8be586ea9c44f028",19.999994,0.8799999964999999,"2026-10-16T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":941,"outcome":29,"usdc":867,"entry_price":942,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":869,"captured_at":13,"question":943,"event_slug":944,"category":38},"0x16dcedb52c1cd0851f4266ab62b9068226907953c85729b82f585b13e3e5c23d",0.3599999928,"Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?","paris-curfew-effectively-lifted-by",{"condition_id":946,"outcome":42,"usdc":947,"entry_price":948,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":949,"event_slug":950,"category":38},"0x1734254b232bada384c60cf4dadca69d94cc8a90700f4ce026882208dd17da06",5.25674,0.1809999998,"Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026?","carles-puigdemont-back-in-spain-in-2026-20260625011546952",{"condition_id":952,"outcome":42,"usdc":953,"entry_price":954,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":955,"event_slug":956,"category":107},"0x1765cf8af27df16e41607d8c4db20874d025bdb1a05c7ed8669d06c3a24c37e4",4.620258,0.7799999727,"Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.55% in October?","how-low-will-30-year-treasury-yield-get-in-october",{"condition_id":958,"outcome":42,"usdc":959,"entry_price":960,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":841,"captured_at":13,"question":961,"event_slug":962,"category":38},"0x187b8bec40314b2f5680a2bc760608bc877261fe586a92534a44a3424e886266",2,0.1899999962,"Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by at least 25%?","federal-district-governor-election-second-round-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":964,"outcome":29,"usdc":965,"entry_price":966,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":841,"captured_at":13,"question":967,"event_slug":968,"category":38},"0x1a01bf78f56a507fcb666d564d8c8b91b0750679163ed6e96746102c9b7d285d",530.651909,0.46579985746421865,"Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election",{"condition_id":964,"outcome":42,"usdc":12,"entry_price":970,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":841,"captured_at":13,"question":967,"event_slug":968,"category":38},0.7669999793,{"condition_id":972,"outcome":42,"usdc":973,"entry_price":974,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":975,"captured_at":13,"question":976,"event_slug":977,"category":978},"0x1a4233f6127d4f566f2f4fbe3b8f7e86c90eb9ecd66acdc4a02d9ee4864d6d9c",37.5,0.0488386558,"2025-07-31T12:00:00Z","Will Trump not lower tariffs on any country by July 31?","which-country-will-trump-lower-tariffs-on-first",null,{"condition_id":980,"outcome":42,"usdc":981,"entry_price":982,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":983,"captured_at":13,"question":984,"event_slug":985,"category":38},"0x1ac9b905b90f6cf658e02f166db4e0b44d36c9484136a1cbb1c97730160fa86a",6.0984,0.5899999725,"2026-10-27T23:59:00Z","Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?","israel-election-amcha-yisrael-of-seats",{"condition_id":987,"outcome":29,"usdc":988,"entry_price":989,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":990,"captured_at":13,"question":991,"event_slug":992,"category":978},"0x1b07e957981a04e688191208a4fc8b8349a93d6de03eba460fda38e647dafa5b",202.559998,0.6790334222075504,"2025-04-30T12:00:00Z","Sea\u002FAir ceasefire in Ukraine before May? ","seaair-ceasefire-in-ukraine-before-may",{"condition_id":994,"outcome":42,"usdc":995,"entry_price":996,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":997,"event_slug":998,"category":38},"0x1b20e6fa24e674e5a7b6e93988c4d5fdf41c2ff5e0c96372b505eca4b4176e21",4.12128,0.5599999889,"Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by October 31?","next-romania-pm-appointed-by-20260623155722428",{"condition_id":1000,"outcome":42,"usdc":867,"entry_price":1001,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":87,"captured_at":13,"question":1002,"event_slug":1003,"category":38},"0x1b52d0becf2890d16450386b62f3abba63e0ddf0ab7653258dc1b99aa4560198",0.8710169122,"Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?","will-mara-corina-machado-enter-venezuela-by-january-31",{"condition_id":348,"outcome":42,"usdc":1005,"entry_price":1006,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":351,"event_slug":352,"category":49},5.88,0.0850079514,{"condition_id":1008,"outcome":29,"usdc":1009,"entry_price":1010,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1011,"captured_at":13,"question":1012,"event_slug":380,"category":38},"0x1d78389ca8fbb953ab8ed8d1fecb5160ac4c3a2b0185fed3c248f4d2e5cf5192",4.08,0.7199999576,"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":1008,"outcome":42,"usdc":12,"entry_price":715,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1011,"captured_at":13,"question":1012,"event_slug":380,"category":38},{"condition_id":1015,"outcome":42,"usdc":12,"entry_price":1016,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":1017,"event_slug":822,"category":38},"0x1e48a0d3f791a763e5efca1479ed1d63e96aa6d00107ee142e829e32e88154db",0.1479999947,"US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?",{"condition_id":1019,"outcome":42,"usdc":1020,"entry_price":1021,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":678,"captured_at":13,"question":1022,"event_slug":471,"category":49},"0x1f2f710bfc924c533166f1086f376395e0c738c4af63c793d8b277ae646b3333",5.999999,0.6438727449423013,"Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?",{"condition_id":1024,"outcome":29,"usdc":1025,"entry_price":1026,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1027,"captured_at":13,"question":1028,"event_slug":1029,"category":49},"0x21846a156b073b0a3abc55e677cb730b8b872f5d7ee3fbadf9b78ebef0552d12",1.18254,0.0699999963,"2026-10-22T00:00:00Z","Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?","bank-of-korea-decision-in-october",{"condition_id":1031,"outcome":29,"usdc":1032,"entry_price":1033,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":87,"captured_at":13,"question":1034,"event_slug":1035,"category":38},"0x22679bf61a35842e34ce6ae5648949007960ee9c3f8bd3b7f06c531e8a7b7c14",4.75,0.2799999953,"Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?","bank-of-canada-rate-hike-in-2026",{"condition_id":1037,"outcome":42,"usdc":1038,"entry_price":1039,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1040,"captured_at":13,"question":1041,"event_slug":1042,"category":38},"0x2551dfa51e7b851c74ecdea19a448900fd80442e6504f6273b71aba09cbe56f5",6.028309,0.8819999941,"2026-10-24T21:59:00Z","Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?","curfew-in-major-french-city-byptptpt",{"condition_id":1044,"outcome":29,"usdc":1045,"entry_price":1046,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":841,"captured_at":13,"question":1047,"event_slug":1048,"category":38},"0x25e08bbf0ef15a03a215cc389b75dd61c8928a5250cc0a797c556413d1862e80",12.12,0.75,"Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round by at least 15%?","rio-grande-do-norte-governor-election-second-round-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":1050,"outcome":42,"usdc":1051,"entry_price":1052,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1053,"captured_at":13,"question":1054,"event_slug":46,"category":49},"0x26059081cad81e68bda24a203048d78fe9be89ecbfd15fa5650550f2672eb97a",8.22,0.719999979,"2026-10-19T03:59:00Z","Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 18, 2026?",{"condition_id":1056,"outcome":42,"usdc":1057,"entry_price":1058,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":863,"captured_at":13,"question":1059,"event_slug":1060,"category":49},"0x2687aea6fcc6bc4067faaf22bcac2959a342f698f9d172033ef5dcd9edc5e19f",15.999995,0.7050786123320976,"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?","saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026",{"condition_id":1062,"outcome":29,"usdc":1063,"entry_price":1064,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1065,"captured_at":13,"question":1066,"event_slug":1067,"category":978},"0x26fd85f0907ff72bba2adefa47c9ab827ec51d7336f10021a46094c5413b6394",40.5,0.81,"2025-03-05T12:00:00Z","Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?","will-trump-reduce-tariffs-on-mexico-or-canada-by-wedneday",{"condition_id":1069,"outcome":29,"usdc":812,"entry_price":1070,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":983,"captured_at":13,"question":1071,"event_slug":1072,"category":38},"0x27fc1275f7c2ec7b317139b5e24c4aeaa54553b79e76774cab679dd22dc379f2",0.609999986,"Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?","israel-election-yisrael-beiteinu-of-seats",{"condition_id":273,"outcome":29,"usdc":1074,"entry_price":1075,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":149,"captured_at":13,"question":276,"event_slug":277,"category":38},21.859997,0.5250589081884562,{"condition_id":273,"outcome":42,"usdc":1077,"entry_price":1078,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":149,"captured_at":13,"question":276,"event_slug":277,"category":38},26.239998,0.618566209626897,{"condition_id":144,"outcome":42,"usdc":1080,"entry_price":1081,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":149,"captured_at":13,"question":147,"event_slug":148,"category":38},11.99,0.3616479006772371,{"condition_id":1083,"outcome":42,"usdc":1084,"entry_price":1085,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1011,"captured_at":13,"question":1086,"event_slug":1087,"category":38},"0x2ca90970bc73c79f5fc29ccd6f2c0217cb260c9082aea3ca5c91572d3a8b4d57",4.098,0.5099999516,"Will Donald Trump publicly praise Karoline Leavitt by October 31, 2026?","who-will-trump-publicly-praise-by-october-31-2026",{"condition_id":1089,"outcome":29,"usdc":1090,"entry_price":1091,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1092,"captured_at":13,"question":1093,"event_slug":1094,"category":270},"0x2d77f018ffc2e36b819985ecf3400f295f85f8ab6b5fedb884c7c22127ba0251",9.23,0.6343424625,"2026-10-25T12:00:00Z","Will \"You Can See Everything\" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?","you-can-see-everything-2nd-weekend-box-office-higher-brackets-20261025",{"condition_id":1089,"outcome":42,"usdc":1096,"entry_price":1097,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1092,"captured_at":13,"question":1093,"event_slug":1094,"category":270},7.74,0.3789999924,{"condition_id":1099,"outcome":29,"usdc":1100,"entry_price":1101,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1102,"captured_at":13,"question":1103,"event_slug":1104,"category":107},"0x2e8f33b84686fac2bb77eb7d1276f2d844f8d9952150a9581a75cf05161aeaf4",12.95576,0.4070433303205994,"2026-10-30T00:00:00Z","Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?","central-bank-of-colombia-decision-in-october",{"condition_id":1106,"outcome":42,"usdc":1107,"entry_price":657,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":1108,"event_slug":1109,"category":107},"0x2ec33b4a9c1ea9a3aa48ccea2301e995822ae68aaeb95c20bd475cbd6d397d33",8.32,"Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% in October?","how-high-will-30-year-treasury-yield-go-in-october",{"condition_id":1111,"outcome":29,"usdc":1112,"entry_price":1113,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":678,"captured_at":13,"question":1114,"event_slug":1115,"category":38},"0x32b29c7d2c848e76bce967c8165478511dd87f1ad8bffc0f75ee59f41e78f89c",16.521007,0.4569313875013899,"Will Chicão win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?","para-senate-election-2nd-place",{"condition_id":1117,"outcome":42,"usdc":1118,"entry_price":1119,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1011,"captured_at":13,"question":1120,"event_slug":1121,"category":38},"0x3738ad9665480991affe3ba286cd035516e17d1f8b7703e05088ec19c70c21a4",18.069999,0.8061134990917495,"US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?","us-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt",{"condition_id":431,"outcome":42,"usdc":1123,"entry_price":1124,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":434,"event_slug":426,"category":49},4.11,0.4499999672,{"condition_id":741,"outcome":42,"usdc":1126,"entry_price":1127,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":744,"event_slug":588,"category":38},5.17,0.0899999991,{"condition_id":1129,"outcome":29,"usdc":1130,"entry_price":1131,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":938,"captured_at":13,"question":1132,"event_slug":1133,"category":49},"0x3c2bc7d80b4bf4bcac9fad6e22b344448e3ba0f5b6a603a5a766858eac8c5662",26.168929000000002,0.8697529809143367,"Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?","confirmed-pneumonic-plague-case-in-russia-byptptpt",{"condition_id":1135,"outcome":42,"usdc":902,"entry_price":1136,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":13,"question":1137,"event_slug":1138,"category":107},"0x3c492d389e3298e3f69f4b3d3f31ed842209e9da3a8c2c64ec2a6119b300afc6",0.87,"Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?","south-korea-gdp-growth-yoy-in-q3-2026-20260723231127764",{"condition_id":1140,"outcome":42,"usdc":12,"entry_price":1141,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1092,"captured_at":13,"question":1142,"event_slug":1143,"category":270},"0x3c5a27f366bf1c737cb4a19aeccb0f7fc543b0c375bcb4322596bafbe6f47ad0",0.023219958,"Will \"Clayface\" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?","clayface-opening-weekend-box-office",{"condition_id":1145,"outcome":29,"usdc":1146,"entry_price":1147,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1148,"captured_at":13,"question":1149,"event_slug":871,"category":38},"0x3fe788dc4a584c9d884e395eb69686010a09ccc12a96900b41d3fe891f192034",12.067187,0.8599999928,"2026-10-21T21:59:00Z","Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 21?",{"condition_id":1151,"outcome":42,"usdc":1152,"entry_price":833,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":678,"captured_at":13,"question":1153,"event_slug":1154,"category":38},"0x406375a40bd4b0da4a137604517f2ffb5ac49558dfb2eef4e289cf79091cefb2",1.099,"Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?","amazonas-governor-election-winner",{"condition_id":1156,"outcome":42,"usdc":1157,"entry_price":1158,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":841,"captured_at":13,"question":1159,"event_slug":1160,"category":38},"0x40c5c15d269816efc07ecf4470bf8787d67bed03bb97f930da9ff99ad11234be",6.026389,0.8899999881,"Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Acre?","brazil-presidential-election-second-round-1st-place-in-acre",{"condition_id":1162,"outcome":42,"usdc":12,"entry_price":657,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":336,"captured_at":13,"question":1163,"event_slug":889,"category":38},"0x41bda25ae7b16ab5009514f056f2041897b9e2d4c444e43c402f67afc2344021","Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election by 8%-12%?",{"condition_id":1165,"outcome":42,"usdc":861,"entry_price":1166,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1092,"captured_at":13,"question":1167,"event_slug":1143,"category":270},"0x426ac8c9afac11d1924325b57c38db411bc8197c3de8d96bdf9fb5d72a3ee365",0.0755975438,"Will \"Clayface\" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?",{"condition_id":1169,"outcome":42,"usdc":1170,"entry_price":200,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1171,"captured_at":13,"question":1172,"event_slug":1173,"category":978},"0x42e41c3241e943581fbfddc99261b0cb8fe671ad232cb70b76f76805d2bb8151",0.5,"2025-04-29T12:00:00Z","Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days?","who-will-trump-meet-with-in-first-100-days",{"condition_id":1175,"outcome":29,"usdc":1176,"entry_price":1177,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1178,"captured_at":13,"question":1179,"event_slug":944,"category":38},"0x44f17122f8e50e273bafdb8792c571fc7b6b7dfec5f21c70ebde990becfd56a1",9.4108,0.1177051139,"2026-11-07T22:59:00Z","Paris curfew effectively lifted by November 7?",{"condition_id":1181,"outcome":29,"usdc":1182,"entry_price":1183,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":807,"captured_at":13,"question":1184,"event_slug":1185,"category":38},"0x4a03c5d79804d17d0dc129778758314952c37ea4be186d6376e0f85d29415501",5,0.019483728,"Will Ra'am win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?","which-parties-will-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections",{"condition_id":1187,"outcome":42,"usdc":1188,"entry_price":1189,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1190,"captured_at":13,"question":1191,"event_slug":1192,"category":38},"0x4a20822edab3e6c50f71c30911fd585a4760ec3a831e2a67f4b973d95dbc42de",6.0576,0.7599999848,"2026-10-20T03:59:00Z","Paris curfew by October 19?","paris-curfew-announced-byptptpt",{"condition_id":1194,"outcome":29,"usdc":1195,"entry_price":1196,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":509,"captured_at":13,"question":1197,"event_slug":1198,"category":38},"0x4b2eebf64eea76b09aeb3370a62b99724f0a8ac97dd521bcb8cffce7cbb53729",4.3095,0.6499999541,"Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?","which-parties-will-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-romania",{"condition_id":673,"outcome":29,"usdc":1200,"entry_price":1201,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":678,"captured_at":13,"question":676,"event_slug":677,"category":38},2.008382,0.8949999731,{"condition_id":1203,"outcome":42,"usdc":1204,"entry_price":1205,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":678,"captured_at":13,"question":1206,"event_slug":1207,"category":38},"0x4b90539a486e283b38685bd95307a051dd5b021aea030970888d0a7f125de2d9",4.86637,0.169999996,"Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?","rio-grande-do-norte-governor-election-winner",{"condition_id":1209,"outcome":29,"usdc":1210,"entry_price":1211,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":678,"captured_at":13,"question":1212,"event_slug":1213,"category":38},"0x4ba91369e8319cd3a3d54681eb07ff19a9afd5ebcdb179867f560866e736fe67",4.14199,0.1125581366,"Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?","rio-de-janeiro-governor-election-winner-20260608202949176",{"condition_id":1209,"outcome":42,"usdc":1215,"entry_price":1216,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":678,"captured_at":13,"question":1212,"event_slug":1213,"category":38},12.053254,0.8889999975,{"condition_id":1218,"outcome":29,"usdc":1219,"entry_price":1220,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":87,"captured_at":13,"question":1221,"event_slug":1222,"category":270},"0x4efcb0a97ecc72ea4ce1c5bdc99332fabe40608dfb60dc01504b01cf3cba7c03",1.91955,0.4699999296,"Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?","nobel-peace-prize-2026-awarded-to-an-individual",{"condition_id":1224,"outcome":1225,"usdc":1226,"entry_price":1227,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":13,"question":1228,"event_slug":1229,"category":38},"0x50158cfd2b0be6cd30722dbf69514984347bd6a93fb2a0f3bee2370b1c74407d","Bibi",72.83999,0.6363836871827694,"Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?","israel-election-which-bloc-wins-more-seats",{"condition_id":1231,"outcome":29,"usdc":1232,"entry_price":1233,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":678,"captured_at":13,"question":1234,"event_slug":1235,"category":38},"0x5020fc960946ab90c3870bd7e0ff96347b9067d32c62beada0cd8d5fd075c8a3",2.76056,0.0548869244,"Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?","espirito-santo-governor-election-winner-20260611183840001",{"condition_id":1237,"outcome":42,"usdc":1020,"entry_price":1238,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":427,"captured_at":13,"question":1239,"event_slug":1240,"category":38},"0x5166df26a42fd88198424dfd8d67303afcc152a86aad815c57ee89432e19bc86",0.6199999835,"Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by November 15?","saudi-oil-pipeline-east-west-restarts-byptptpt",{"condition_id":1242,"outcome":42,"usdc":1243,"entry_price":1244,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1245,"captured_at":13,"question":1246,"event_slug":1247,"category":978},"0x52dde4a6bf4493e06461504e2651dc090b0e11bcdc6d486f727b0272d8e8880e",78.659999,0.170876175,"2025-06-30T12:00:00Z","Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?","us-gdp-growth-in-q2-2025",{"condition_id":1249,"outcome":42,"usdc":1250,"entry_price":1251,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":983,"captured_at":13,"question":1252,"event_slug":1253,"category":38},"0x532eb1b0d2a7ef8d48c1cb0165f9ed2396c5c301c064a2eb3038f082d3b0f28d",56.02,0.8737576346282719,"Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?","israel-election-shas-of-seats",{"condition_id":1255,"outcome":29,"usdc":1256,"entry_price":1257,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1092,"captured_at":13,"question":1258,"event_slug":1094,"category":270},"0x5563e67455c5b154a3e952a1d0ed9c77dbeb8d49b6ee107ef1f15c7771ee1000",10.24,0.3849999942,"Will \"You Can See Everything\" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?",{"condition_id":1260,"outcome":29,"usdc":1261,"entry_price":1262,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":1263,"event_slug":1264,"category":38},"0x57e97ab7f68a11013e7e4096ce6b0601b40b9e5a8609c4cb4196ef1b753e6953",2.69404,0.194999991,"Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?","katie-zacharia-out-as-press-secretary-by",{"condition_id":1260,"outcome":42,"usdc":1266,"entry_price":1267,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":1263,"event_slug":1264,"category":38},12.048,0.899999955,{"condition_id":1269,"outcome":42,"usdc":1270,"entry_price":1271,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":1272,"event_slug":1273,"category":38},"0x57ea22d2367d30b97f9d1849ab9d2cbe23d2158fe7ae697d83c79d8ef80da9cb",15.16423,0.4364984237297217,"Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?","kimberly-guilfoyle-out-as-us-ambassador-to-greece-by",{"condition_id":1275,"outcome":29,"usdc":812,"entry_price":1276,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":983,"captured_at":13,"question":1277,"event_slug":809,"category":38},"0x59cf7c1e790c34991047ab3d7aaf64bfc61315a714412bfd80d9c9ac33c4d616",0.5799999768,"Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?",{"condition_id":1275,"outcome":42,"usdc":1279,"entry_price":1280,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":983,"captured_at":13,"question":1277,"event_slug":809,"category":38},58.858,0.40446674,{"condition_id":1282,"outcome":29,"usdc":1283,"entry_price":1284,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1092,"captured_at":13,"question":1285,"event_slug":1094,"category":270},"0x5aaf0e2a267d99d9f8417f2ba6a105b883009949407e12547e867808271f92ad",9.370000000000001,0.749143082669297,"Will \"You Can See Everything\" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?",{"condition_id":1287,"outcome":29,"usdc":1288,"entry_price":1289,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1290,"captured_at":13,"question":1291,"event_slug":1292,"category":270},"0x5c7e32e5ff31d197362b279a0443a511a7007bd1993ef8a655b3a99a222aafa8",9.70731,0.3899999863,"2026-10-11T12:00:00Z","Will \"The Social Reckoning\" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?","the-social-reckoning-opening-weekend-box-office",{"condition_id":1287,"outcome":42,"usdc":1294,"entry_price":1295,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1290,"captured_at":13,"question":1291,"event_slug":1292,"category":270},4.71163,0.4699999734,{"condition_id":1297,"outcome":42,"usdc":1298,"entry_price":1016,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":841,"captured_at":13,"question":1299,"event_slug":1300,"category":38},"0x5e01c77502f9ad47b81730498f0f42740743f2ae4d537cdedb5e990ce2bdfe69",1.03408,"Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?","brazil-presidential-election-second-round-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":1302,"outcome":42,"usdc":1303,"entry_price":1304,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":807,"captured_at":13,"question":1305,"event_slug":1306,"category":38},"0x5e343352d01df13e750ce8eeb804fbb2f8f9e9ff34c318ddf93559825d940281",35,0.11535535506385206,"Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?","israel-election-raam-of-seats",{"condition_id":1308,"outcome":29,"usdc":1309,"entry_price":1310,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":841,"captured_at":13,"question":1311,"event_slug":1048,"category":38},"0x5f1387a048e7242a3cd9f8acb3a7f730743d81cc5cbd1d533958d85dbaa44245",12.100788,0.7899999941,"Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?",{"condition_id":1313,"outcome":42,"usdc":1314,"entry_price":1315,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1316,"captured_at":13,"question":1317,"event_slug":1042,"category":38},"0x5f41ec3d329ff63786f0a83a9f130dcbbfe0c45982c89c95969425db583c69e8",1.279,0.4199999261,"2026-11-15T22:59:00Z","Curfew in a major French city by November 15, 2026?",{"total":1319,"wins":1320},222,128,[1322,1327,1332,1336,1341,1344,1347],{"category":38,"n":1323,"wins":1324,"hitRate":1325,"roi":1326},142,81,0.5704225352112676,0.18191691168220214,{"category":49,"n":1328,"wins":1329,"hitRate":1330,"roi":1331},27,19,0.7037037037037037,0.5321697831142177,{"category":270,"n":1333,"wins":1334,"hitRate":1170,"roi":1335},22,11,0.23513997307356752,{"category":107,"n":1337,"wins":1338,"hitRate":1339,"roi":1340},15,9,0.6,-0.30113404197666777,{"category":175,"n":793,"wins":1182,"hitRate":1342,"roi":1343},0.625,0.9847463359573226,{"category":231,"n":643,"wins":959,"hitRate":1345,"roi":1346},0.2857142857142857,-0.13731810280439266,{"category":98,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":1348},5.666666666666667,{"generatedAt":1350},"2026-11-04T05:58:37.147Z"]