[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0xf019ba59648f65bf85ace387da55264fceae6ba3":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":84,"history":85,"resolved":102,"resolvedSummary":508,"specialization":511,"meta":531},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0xf019ba59648f65bf85ace387da55264fceae6ba3",943,187,0.49732620320855614,0.4797933307465288,0.175532863238118,0.0043999999999999595,1,"2026-10-29T16:59:37.324Z",10.592990930481283,4.555555555555555,"2026-10-29T17:43:23.000Z",0,"trades",0.4107642646855616,0.08656193852299472,950.4174770063332,1980.889304,3.394433985885312,0.03314917127071823,[26,39,49,58,67,76],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"81376564113205313962670402623035723408891351486682543183723967037757376935125","0x89b80e42d59b2fd03f3ee592ab7e0114b2d96beb6fa14ba51cfce53b5f6279df","Yes",500,0.1619,"2026-10-31T18:59:49.022Z","2026-10-30T16:49:06.694Z","Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81","will-microstrategy-announce-holding-800k-btc-by-december-31-2026","2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","[\"0.019\", \"0.981\"]","Crypto",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":44,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":47,"category":48},"41360386508824407909687688676013929824439320010172810067606132053436708047510","0xb7a72d5e5e4ad1dd7664fec7b7c3031a66d149d186e9c5180351780eb1323566",370,0.154,"Anduril IPO before 2027?","ipos-before-2027","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.017\", \"0.983\"]","Business",{"token_id":50,"condition_id":51,"outcome":29,"size":52,"avg_price":53,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":54,"event_slug":55,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":56,"category":57},"65476959278942445481228409923323634358237521478177821631318656018939543540300","0xa842f4b6355a614ec3367e525e78e2640adf9e0662cc9d49d19dff28e0d487ac",176.9563,0.12,"Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027?","will-bryan-johnson-dunk-before-2027-2","[\"0.155\", \"0.845\"]","Sports",{"token_id":59,"condition_id":60,"outcome":29,"size":61,"avg_price":62,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":63,"event_slug":64,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":65,"category":66},"104812032440315568595318241870590180481232715981192720184511444933968102038477","0x4c80df6f557bb0b9de08c0301ebdce500dd9bdc58400d9269fb8fab1709ed584",50,0.18,"China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?","china-x-taiwan-military-clash-before-2027","[\"0.048\", \"0.952\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":68,"condition_id":69,"outcome":29,"size":70,"avg_price":71,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":72,"event_slug":73,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":74,"category":75},"35198549486569600595408965368290795524428922595732253580266052028158040373233","0x9cb23d04b2ded06147482076688b69b487a8d982c63ebdda2ab3678cf27cf390",20,0.36,"Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?","clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026","[\"0.025\", \"0.975\"]","Politics",{"token_id":77,"condition_id":78,"outcome":29,"size":79,"avg_price":80,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":81,"event_slug":82,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":83,"category":75},"107505882767731489358349912513945399560393482969656700824895970500493757150417","0x747dc809fb79e1b05be09c42d6179459a58de2ef3e40f02484a4e1260f741f75",45,0.0966,"Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?","will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027","[\"0.0295\", \"0.9705\"]",[],[86,93,100],{"recorded_date":87,"roi":88,"win_rate":89,"brier_score":90,"p_value":91,"resolved_trades":92,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-22",0.36093300831895314,0.525,0.16192093400645607,0.4121999999999999,80,{"recorded_date":94,"roi":95,"win_rate":96,"brier_score":97,"p_value":98,"resolved_trades":99,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-10-03",0.19897004119908598,0.4166666666666667,0.1439065414316158,0.984,156,{"recorded_date":101,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-29",[103,113,121,130,137,144,151,157,162,169,174,181,187,193,200,207,214,221,228,234,241,246,253,258,263,270,276,283,290,296,298,304,311,317,321,327,334,339,345,351,357,362,366,369,375,381,384,390,394,399,405,412,416,424,430,435,442,449,454,460,467,473,476,480,485,492,497,502],{"condition_id":104,"outcome":29,"usdc":105,"entry_price":106,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":108,"captured_at":109,"question":110,"event_slug":111,"category":112},"0x025de56df5e579ae67976e5f0def79f1929161998777c695b213ef9f89f3cd3f",3.3,0.33,"backfill","2026-02-04T04:59:00Z","2026-10-03T08:10:27.791Z","Will Google say \"DeepMind\" or \"Deep Mind\" during earnings call?","earnings-mentions-google-2026-02-03",null,{"condition_id":114,"outcome":29,"usdc":115,"entry_price":116,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":117,"captured_at":13,"question":118,"event_slug":119,"category":120},"0x0a0fb756d8dc5c3cf0a16eebc7d6d39406155a41e13d00bf615fc0fcd9e9c31a",450.7766370000001,0.405401577724523,"2027-01-05T04:59:00Z","Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?","will-openais-valuation-hit-by-december-31","Tech",{"condition_id":122,"outcome":123,"usdc":124,"entry_price":125,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":126,"captured_at":127,"question":128,"event_slug":129,"category":57},"0x0dc1e2c185cad730969d91c50f455f34b4745da7fd5b6a5519aabfa99ffeb395","Ciryl Gane",10.34994,0.51,"2026-06-15T03:59:59.999Z","2026-09-22T12:41:27.363Z","UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)","ufc-cir-ale30-2026-06-14",{"condition_id":131,"outcome":29,"usdc":132,"entry_price":133,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":134,"captured_at":109,"question":135,"event_slug":136,"category":112},"0x0e80cd8709ff87e5e8f640f04d56459b6b17f8725dfc45aa41638e864bdd516f",8.5,0.17,"2026-01-30T00:00:00Z","Will End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?","1-song-on-us-spotify-this-week-january-30",{"condition_id":138,"outcome":29,"usdc":139,"entry_price":140,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":141,"captured_at":127,"question":142,"event_slug":143,"category":120},"0x0f3ae5d23882fb840762fd35de11fc31b0fbdc9e41e8666cdfae9d627f93f517",103.71530000000001,0.5636394761154286,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?","elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027",{"condition_id":145,"outcome":29,"usdc":146,"entry_price":147,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":148,"captured_at":109,"question":149,"event_slug":150,"category":112},"0x0f5adf4d336f96904bc4cb1dfc04b87651bae427e4790e3e6c51f15f43d549f3",2.75,0.55,"2026-03-16T00:00:00Z","Will Jensen Huang say \"Meta\" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?","what-will-jensen-huang-say-during-the-nvidia-gtc-keynote",{"condition_id":152,"outcome":29,"usdc":12,"entry_price":153,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":154,"captured_at":109,"question":155,"event_slug":156,"category":112},"0x1bc8f82ebed3709347e417328a2109731616e3d22051139a917fe63e6b4a7e11",0.2,"2026-02-08T23:55:00Z","Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?","super-bowl-lx-gatorade-shower-color",{"condition_id":158,"outcome":29,"usdc":159,"entry_price":160,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":154,"captured_at":109,"question":161,"event_slug":156,"category":112},"0x1c051c5a2da9b3931bf376c6bf7cd7b4152ff6b59deae54e56c8e010ecda462b",1.25,0.25,"Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?",{"condition_id":163,"outcome":29,"usdc":164,"entry_price":165,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":166,"captured_at":109,"question":167,"event_slug":168,"category":112},"0x222a87691114e69e6f4268ca486557da48fa41bba77495cc30580b47058dc044",8.8,0.88,"2026-02-13T00:00:00Z","Will DtMF - Bad Bunny be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?","1-song-on-us-spotify-this-week-february-13",{"condition_id":170,"outcome":29,"usdc":171,"entry_price":172,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":134,"captured_at":109,"question":173,"event_slug":136,"category":112},"0x27b6dc7b8e23cc3630a1a2f2f57f5b87cc599b5f2f0535e552ba8b43ab8e4e17",43.994133,0.8800000168255767,"Will Aperture - Harry Styles be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?",{"condition_id":175,"outcome":29,"usdc":176,"entry_price":177,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":178,"captured_at":127,"question":179,"event_slug":180,"category":120},"0x2980d80d28d9e84579f278f1b5c220602fa47dd5fcd98a6990d2b128374fa334",5.666666,0.8500001125,"2026-07-13T00:00:00Z","GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?","gpt-5pt6-released-by",{"condition_id":182,"outcome":29,"usdc":183,"entry_price":62,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":184,"captured_at":109,"question":185,"event_slug":186,"category":112},"0x30562ab86867bbb9774addc941c3068a2941d30f422479ff002bbf6a766b5e4e",27,"2026-01-23T00:00:00Z","Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?","how-long-will-it-take-alex-honnold-to-free-solo-taipei-101",{"condition_id":188,"outcome":29,"usdc":189,"entry_price":133,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":190,"captured_at":127,"question":191,"event_slug":192,"category":112},"0x306d10d4a4d51b41910dbc779ca00908bd917c131541c5c42bbbc736258d2d56",5.1,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","US forces enter Iran by March 31?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-march-31-222-191-243-517-878-439-519",{"condition_id":194,"outcome":29,"usdc":195,"entry_price":196,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":197,"captured_at":127,"question":198,"event_slug":199,"category":57},"0x32552863fe8014da2613037970661f0d49f415c86a88cb3d65af7a43395bc4ad",46.966739,0.47000002311186456,"2026-06-26T02:00:00Z","Will United States win on 2026-06-25?","fifwc-tur-usa-2026-06-25",{"condition_id":201,"outcome":29,"usdc":202,"entry_price":203,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":204,"captured_at":109,"question":205,"event_slug":206,"category":112},"0x32b6c15ef4f4dd89abd048a4e01d97ba3c984d6097667d5b95c8fd4d9e77714c",6.999618,0.01400000005686374,"2026-02-01T05:00:00Z","Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?","what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-january-2026",{"condition_id":208,"outcome":29,"usdc":209,"entry_price":210,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":211,"captured_at":127,"question":212,"event_slug":213,"category":112},"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20",18.6,0.465,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by-february-28-2026-227-967-547-688-589-491-592-418-452-924-384-915-464-672-196-157-993-596-269-535-381-391-471-256-988-997-296-225-762-973-292-827-345-182-558-215-794-879-189-761",{"condition_id":215,"outcome":216,"usdc":217,"entry_price":218,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":219,"captured_at":109,"question":135,"event_slug":220,"category":112},"0x38f57064badf046421b04f69e42711680c4a757ed491f523478667bf2b2a6281","No",42.39789999999999,0.8480004000200008,"2026-02-06T00:00:00Z","1-song-on-us-spotify-this-week-february-6",{"condition_id":222,"outcome":29,"usdc":223,"entry_price":224,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":225,"captured_at":127,"question":226,"event_slug":227,"category":120},"0x3acb42d4a4da859a82ec3c78e6be641489985672ea7f28ae73da7c253af32fa8",3,0.6,"2026-04-30","Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?","claude-5-released-by",{"condition_id":229,"outcome":29,"usdc":230,"entry_price":231,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":46,"captured_at":127,"question":232,"event_slug":233,"category":120},"0x46c8159431f59839061bb4abe8795ff8c0ebf6b612451e303ebe7f34697f3f35",85,0.85,"Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?","gpt-6-released-by",{"condition_id":235,"outcome":29,"usdc":236,"entry_price":237,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":238,"captured_at":109,"question":239,"event_slug":240,"category":112},"0x52d4c5bcfd2312d2872558ccd7cfec91b079d5497b0efdc01fc722faa6914ca4",10.8,0.072,"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?","largest-company-end-of-february",{"condition_id":242,"outcome":29,"usdc":243,"entry_price":244,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":184,"captured_at":109,"question":245,"event_slug":186,"category":112},"0x589ad5a36a7802b32ee0d54a5072817d1bcf8a4abeb06111f118378adacbc8b9",6.9,0.069,"Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?",{"condition_id":247,"outcome":29,"usdc":248,"entry_price":249,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":250,"captured_at":127,"question":251,"event_slug":252,"category":57},"0x5bdcf0fd010eba1a55a0f3de9be6612fc72038279a734e994ce2e34664a3cfe4",67,0.67,"2026-06-22T17:00:00Z","Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?","fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22",{"condition_id":254,"outcome":216,"usdc":255,"entry_price":106,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":238,"captured_at":109,"question":256,"event_slug":257,"category":112},"0x611fc96ee08dee46775577c9e57febbf10df68f32facfeb25163ed03138db2f7",9.9,"Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?","will-bill-or-hillary-clinton-be-held-in-contempt-of-congress-by-feb-28",{"condition_id":259,"outcome":29,"usdc":260,"entry_price":261,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":225,"captured_at":127,"question":262,"event_slug":82,"category":75},"0x63f59b5dbf9407dbae6138f2abb5d99fcdcf5d1f8978ffd882b07c83c97eb9ae",7.699928,0.015400003840036865,"Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?",{"condition_id":264,"outcome":216,"usdc":265,"entry_price":266,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":267,"captured_at":127,"question":268,"event_slug":269,"category":112},"0x6680cae9b37261f6c1ec3313f9ad175708bb9722e94285b5b0a5b50a9972d312",4.25,0.8500000000000002,"2026-05-16T00:00:00Z","Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?","eurovision-winner-2026",{"condition_id":271,"outcome":216,"usdc":272,"entry_price":89,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":273,"captured_at":109,"question":274,"event_slug":275,"category":112},"0x6960f9e7b73d46afea82449bf1865a74b5f43b55001c5c7b6134f709f68ba090",21,"2026-02-08T00:00:00Z","Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?","which-companies-will-run-ads-during-super-bowl-lx",{"condition_id":277,"outcome":29,"usdc":278,"entry_price":279,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":280,"captured_at":127,"question":281,"event_slug":282,"category":112},"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246",40,0.8,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","US forces enter Iran by April 30?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-april-30-899",{"condition_id":284,"outcome":29,"usdc":285,"entry_price":286,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":287,"captured_at":109,"question":288,"event_slug":289,"category":38},"0x6f04e616ffd50454ef05e49c23098c3f1d2fbd5bc154cb2f240660df8290aa73",14,0.14,"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?","strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693",{"condition_id":291,"outcome":216,"usdc":292,"entry_price":147,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":293,"captured_at":127,"question":294,"event_slug":295,"category":112},"0x6fe414d8d5bc1f8fb4e62322acc483fb854d5078495ecc37450a26b28d6eaa9e",11.3465,"2026-07-07T04:00:00Z","Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?","will-microstrategy-announce-a-bitcoin-purchase-june-30-july-6",{"condition_id":291,"outcome":29,"usdc":223,"entry_price":297,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":293,"captured_at":127,"question":294,"event_slug":295,"category":112},0.03,{"condition_id":299,"outcome":216,"usdc":300,"entry_price":62,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":127,"question":302,"event_slug":303,"category":112},"0x70705ca527ecbcbdb5ebc5f648a5b0f3e765a0839d5889f6fae7e80c7e036625",1.8,"2026-02-09T00:00:00Z","Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?","will-lady-gaga-perform-during-the-super-bowl-lx-halftime-show",{"condition_id":305,"outcome":29,"usdc":306,"entry_price":307,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":308,"captured_at":109,"question":309,"event_slug":310,"category":112},"0x7b44dcff5908fce596c262fbee6a5081b1ca73fef28d4d5b608040cb4a35e236",6,0.15,"2026-03-01T04:59:59.999Z","Will Google reach $385 in February?","what-price-will-googl-hit-in-february-2026",{"condition_id":312,"outcome":29,"usdc":313,"entry_price":314,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":315,"event_slug":316,"category":38},"0x8213d395e079614d6c4d7f4cbb9be9337ab51648a21cc2a334ae8f1966d164b4",75,0.75,"MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?","microstrategy-sell-any-bitcoin-in-2025",{"condition_id":318,"outcome":29,"usdc":12,"entry_price":319,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":134,"captured_at":109,"question":320,"event_slug":136,"category":112},"0x881092c53fd9b67bdf30869d756e13da558e8642ce13d104f73f648e005e9dbb",0.02,"Will Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?",{"condition_id":322,"outcome":29,"usdc":323,"entry_price":324,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":325,"captured_at":127,"question":326,"event_slug":316,"category":38},"0x8e7a03cb1970e2ad6533b01892403516b6b3f5b5fa90ed7d104c28b27e40ba00",8.1,0.405,"2026-07-01T04:00:00Z","MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":328,"outcome":29,"usdc":329,"entry_price":330,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":331,"captured_at":127,"question":332,"event_slug":333,"category":120},"0x913d94d8140c5f34a36298c2d2855c157f03b47884f780fe4a6f40c42fecd760",76.5,0.765,"2027-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?","what-will-spacexs-public-ticker-be",{"condition_id":335,"outcome":29,"usdc":336,"entry_price":337,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":184,"captured_at":109,"question":338,"event_slug":186,"category":112},"0x9239b612b3aca7b454198832d949e722a9da03527448b82d2b76acdc97b191d8",6.5,0.065,"Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?",{"condition_id":340,"outcome":29,"usdc":341,"entry_price":160,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":342,"captured_at":127,"question":343,"event_slug":344,"category":120},"0xa8e3a62f9261f3f12287d41bea9ca4efea4d221aae79bc0cec695bb1882bb7b3",5,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?","tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30",{"condition_id":346,"outcome":29,"usdc":347,"entry_price":348,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":211,"captured_at":109,"question":349,"event_slug":350,"category":112},"0xabb86b080e9858dcb3f46954010e49b6f539c20036856c7f999395bfd58d01e6",23.3,0.15533333333333335,"US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by",{"condition_id":352,"outcome":216,"usdc":353,"entry_price":354,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":355,"captured_at":127,"question":356,"event_slug":233,"category":120},"0xabe0e41540b70f3535b0d9325a19bc6f8c6bcce0ce27c28636a2e1d5c0c4eda8",22.79488,0.5650000000000001,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":358,"outcome":29,"usdc":359,"entry_price":360,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":184,"captured_at":109,"question":361,"event_slug":186,"category":112},"0xadc3ab335f9c21d0cc74cd7b2a14d45b1273a9866b1dcc1dbd3a1f06b1bf0ffc",26.400000000000002,0.22000000000000003,"Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?",{"condition_id":363,"outcome":216,"usdc":364,"entry_price":365,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":219,"captured_at":109,"question":320,"event_slug":220,"category":112},"0xb1399ef222bdd045dcdf80759aa3e193939480ee461d8631dfbcd4adac066b99",37,0.74,{"condition_id":363,"outcome":29,"usdc":367,"entry_price":368,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":219,"captured_at":109,"question":320,"event_slug":220,"category":112},6.999461,0.35,{"condition_id":370,"outcome":216,"usdc":371,"entry_price":279,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":372,"captured_at":127,"question":373,"event_slug":374,"category":75},"0xb5c0abeecb5502e6e8d83155c27819174d8317af3c425c3afc5a8c45257a3793",8,"2026-07-29T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-july-181",{"condition_id":376,"outcome":29,"usdc":377,"entry_price":378,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":190,"captured_at":109,"question":379,"event_slug":380,"category":112},"0xb9a6fc57dbaddabc3ec84cfc0b9839583793c547599ff85b47f54cf0659e6bb0",20.098390000000002,0.13400000095866024,"Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?","largest-company-end-of-march-588",{"condition_id":382,"outcome":29,"usdc":306,"entry_price":53,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":134,"captured_at":109,"question":383,"event_slug":136,"category":112},"0xbb7afda76b33e28e6beca651afcf4ba2c96316330038b37d565311aec7aa80fd","Will I Just Might - Bruno Mars be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?",{"condition_id":385,"outcome":29,"usdc":386,"entry_price":387,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":190,"captured_at":109,"question":388,"event_slug":389,"category":112},"0xbbbfed9e4fd00365f9ca623ca70d15fd55a7dc8bc4e7655dcf9e48d6c7c34da6",24.4,0.61,"Will Artemis II launch by March 31?","nasa-artemis-ii",{"condition_id":391,"outcome":29,"usdc":392,"entry_price":160,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":108,"captured_at":109,"question":393,"event_slug":111,"category":112},"0xbf89ce6cbc567ae480d099e848dea1b20614f8bdc01bbc8a4b94b02b9523b4de",2.4983329999999997,"Will Google say \"Privacy\" during earnings call?",{"condition_id":395,"outcome":216,"usdc":396,"entry_price":397,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":141,"captured_at":13,"question":398,"event_slug":45,"category":48},"0xc8a898fa8ce2121e3bba1ee52120ed8ab4f8ea7ed5a6dcd9b138fe7b9e454c0b",19.332715999999998,0.17674379355228242,"SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?",{"condition_id":400,"outcome":29,"usdc":401,"entry_price":402,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":403,"captured_at":127,"question":404,"event_slug":82,"category":75},"0xcddc048c672ee233890b99b18885dbd510e3db3d67c53afb408ddc93f9aadff4",7.804935,0.025666679555804747,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?",{"condition_id":406,"outcome":29,"usdc":407,"entry_price":408,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":409,"captured_at":127,"question":410,"event_slug":411,"category":112},"0xd6c49a94948e365aa74c09eef54d907b7ca534b243c387c375305d5cdd1afef3",1.6,0.08,"2026-03-18T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?","will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-march-2026-meeting",{"condition_id":413,"outcome":216,"usdc":306,"entry_price":224,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":238,"captured_at":109,"question":414,"event_slug":415,"category":112},"0xd6d6987cf367d8a9930aa74310a5e7896febb49b6f96d42ad8e51ef4bade4c58","Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?","how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike-in-february",{"condition_id":417,"outcome":418,"usdc":419,"entry_price":420,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":421,"captured_at":127,"question":422,"event_slug":423,"category":57},"0xd90bf5f45f24c5de7881707cb5374f3d991388a2d220fa7e0fe2be912cd7642a","Knicks",21.5,0.215,"2026-06-14T00:30:00Z","Knicks vs. Spurs","nba-nyk-sas-2026-06-13",{"condition_id":425,"outcome":29,"usdc":426,"entry_price":427,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":428,"captured_at":127,"question":429,"event_slug":180,"category":120},"0xd99eec99c78913b3ed83bdbf484b2fdc21cfab2be9b3bc1ae75c42fbf94458b4",25.2,0.84,"2026-07-10T00:00:00Z","GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?",{"condition_id":431,"outcome":216,"usdc":432,"entry_price":433,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":184,"captured_at":109,"question":434,"event_slug":186,"category":112},"0xde14fc9797802d16463b0b70ff0c1a571396bdba64b3d205f83b0f7787481235",17.2,0.86,"Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?",{"condition_id":436,"outcome":216,"usdc":437,"entry_price":438,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":439,"captured_at":127,"question":440,"event_slug":441,"category":112},"0xde5f6791fa13105b0902fe244345f1225decf68779f17444ce09953b65533d9c",4.4,0.22,"2026-06-10T00:00:00Z","Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?","will-a-claude-mythos-model-be-released-by-june-9-2026",{"condition_id":443,"outcome":29,"usdc":444,"entry_price":445,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":446,"captured_at":127,"question":447,"event_slug":448,"category":120},"0xe105fe12d6846691be333319de4ea7ea5f354d051810edd25ad88b23f79e9c7b",39.59642,0.7920000126451741,"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?","next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-byptptpt",{"condition_id":450,"outcome":29,"usdc":451,"entry_price":224,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":250,"captured_at":127,"question":452,"event_slug":453,"category":75},"0xe1bcc06698c334b73add34fa23d3a946bdb604118dc8ee326b40a53f367d5c26",24,"Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?","claude-fable-5-restored-for-us-customers-by-20260613193753196",{"condition_id":455,"outcome":29,"usdc":456,"entry_price":438,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":457,"captured_at":127,"question":458,"event_slug":459,"category":112},"0xe6f040d202cefefe47bdc9d192303905418223fec440f96eb2abe98f3b701bd4",22,"2026-07-05T20:00:00Z","Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?","fifwc-bra-nor-2026-07-05",{"condition_id":461,"outcome":462,"usdc":463,"entry_price":464,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":126,"captured_at":127,"question":465,"event_slug":466,"category":57},"0xed4fa0c7a11d55f2c3bcb5e13d94d10b0dced33d7f195748990be092b70952c3","Justin Gaethje",30.39595,0.4342697331528398,"UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)","ufc-jus3-ili1-2026-06-14",{"condition_id":468,"outcome":216,"usdc":469,"entry_price":125,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":470,"captured_at":109,"question":471,"event_slug":472,"category":112},"0xeec9eb96219ff6bdffcf40d53f95929694a34a50553d936fc43384f9a4f7f879",25.5,"2026-02-17T05:00:00Z","Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?","will-microstrategy-announce-a-bitcoin-purchase-february-10-16",{"condition_id":468,"outcome":29,"usdc":474,"entry_price":475,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":470,"captured_at":109,"question":471,"event_slug":472,"category":112},64.70530000000001,0.5392108333346667,{"condition_id":477,"outcome":29,"usdc":478,"entry_price":368,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":190,"captured_at":109,"question":479,"event_slug":389,"category":112},"0xf1050a8b0233348a95d75083825b1dd360e332557b15517a89fb4b0f05708ad2",3.5,"Will Artemis II launch by April 30?",{"condition_id":481,"outcome":29,"usdc":482,"entry_price":483,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":190,"captured_at":109,"question":484,"event_slug":389,"category":112},"0xf427a3a51aa40f870db53672a480e2d3cbcafb3c7007a4340dded7bb58b01b56",10,0.5,"Will Artemis II launch by February 28?",{"condition_id":486,"outcome":29,"usdc":487,"entry_price":488,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":489,"captured_at":127,"question":490,"event_slug":491,"category":112},"0xf5a0c2d5b6bf0a7b9899aaf4c6237b08e1dbf8d17430fac4de8468a6e2df2e0e",14.999558,0.15000000049413204,"2026-07-07T00:00:00Z","Will United States win on 2026-07-06?","fifwc-usa-bel-2026-07-06",{"condition_id":493,"outcome":29,"usdc":494,"entry_price":495,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":127,"question":496,"event_slug":35,"category":38},"0xf734adc9ece8a8b3324daf62a6592ec3d066f293a3a32cdbb34117794ff15715",185.7,0.7737499999999999,"Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":498,"outcome":29,"usdc":499,"entry_price":500,"won":12,"source":107,"end_date_iso":287,"captured_at":127,"question":501,"event_slug":233,"category":120},"0xf82f84686ee2a25f5690430461413c4dc5a39dcea922a7c5f47d9d29418fbdb6",19.5,0.65,"Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":503,"outcome":29,"usdc":504,"entry_price":505,"won":17,"source":107,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":109,"question":506,"event_slug":507,"category":112},"0xfb1971fc997e2107ec6a54e487c196d89b2aa62b2b91d34e4cb4e66189c2c7ef",9.5,0.475,"Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by March 31?","will-hyperliquids-hip-4-upgrade-go-live-on-mainnet-by",{"total":509,"wins":510},68,34,[512,518,522,525,527,529],{"category":513,"n":514,"wins":515,"hitRate":516,"roi":517},"Other",43,18,0.4186046511627907,0.08463942050281684,{"category":120,"n":519,"wins":371,"hitRate":520,"roi":521},11,0.7272727272727273,0.9156832675852744,{"category":57,"n":341,"wins":523,"hitRate":279,"roi":524},4,0.6473691564978581,{"category":75,"n":523,"wins":12,"hitRate":160,"roi":526},-0.7894952354667353,{"category":38,"n":523,"wins":223,"hitRate":314,"roi":528},0.2729844413012729,{"category":48,"n":12,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":530},-1,{"generatedAt":532},"2026-11-02T23:28:06.708Z"]