[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0xefa89c6a4fee427f40b2ad7aebfea0c76c5bc82b":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":62,"history":63,"resolved":68,"resolvedSummary":692,"specialization":695,"meta":711},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0xefa89c6a4fee427f40b2ad7aebfea0c76c5bc82b",3663,1450,0.4013793103448276,0.11201831360353645,0.1700512962104848,0.0052000000000000934,1,"2026-10-25T03:50:43.825Z",100.18560871999989,2.5054719562243504,"2026-10-19T05:26:30.000Z",0,"trades",0.37067283215779306,0.030706478187034453,16272.80325742931,145269.13264399985,1.8494187998233829,0.011724137931034483,[26,39,47,55],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"40081275558852222228080198821361202017557872256707631666334039001378518619916","0x18b1c135d0a40c5894da9412e77311827d9caf16cf4cd6591b247a34730af919","Yes",500,0.46,"2026-10-24T08:42:17.533Z","2026-10-19T04:59:46.942Z","Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?","republican-presidential-nominee-2028","2028-11-08T04:59:00Z","[\"0.3945\", \"0.6055\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":45,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":46,"category":38},"13565458761220145250977753098276900790902214604876327357986816739576288755859","0x21ad31a46bfaa51650766eff6dc69c866959e32d965ffb116020e37694b6317d",594.5498,0.1824,"2026-10-02T03:17:03.649Z","Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?","[\"0.1765\", \"0.8235\"]",{"token_id":48,"condition_id":49,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":50,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":51,"question":52,"event_slug":53,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":54,"category":38},"70071592420137476676935286377781779672157004436137616627487590484756055232944","0x74dba1ce1ae9dd535414e85f2d9ab5ea32c0fb1acc9b7130b67e6d91217e24e1",0.143,"2026-10-13T03:44:58.760Z","Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?","democratic-presidential-nominee-2028","[\"0.1535\", \"0.8465\"]",{"token_id":56,"condition_id":57,"outcome":29,"size":58,"avg_price":59,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":60,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":61,"category":38},"78994573210477487932611223094751007094801552166562252085708682076112788032998","0x4273517fc8141d57ad1528ede46efdceebdb6a4da746d5de5bad216564209a1e",1999.99,0.017,"Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?","[\"0.0305\", \"0.9695\"]",[],[64,66],{"recorded_date":65,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-02",{"recorded_date":67,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-25",[69,79,87,94,103,111,118,126,133,140,147,155,160,166,173,180,187,194,201,205,212,219,226,229,236,243,249,256,263,270,278,286,293,301,308,315,320,325,331,337,341,347,352,357,363,369,374,379,386,392,398,404,410,416,422,429,434,441,447,452,459,466,473,478,483,488,493,499,505,512,519,526,531,536,541,547,553,560,567,573,580,586,593,598,603,610,616,621,627,632,637,643,648,651,658,663,668,675,680,685],{"condition_id":70,"outcome":29,"usdc":71,"entry_price":72,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":74,"captured_at":75,"question":76,"event_slug":77,"category":78},"0x00c1feb338168a90e372f6ae720f087d3182d8157d3879e95e20524b667c5a62",900.6802399999999,0.16707179455422397,"backfill","2024-11-30T12:00:00Z","2026-10-02T01:37:12.435Z","Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-november",null,{"condition_id":80,"outcome":81,"usdc":82,"entry_price":83,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":84,"captured_at":75,"question":85,"event_slug":86,"category":78},"0x046a9405f550b9be26b1c398cefa10651cb638c9e0c797acfac63f4d8ab8e8d2","No",407.320839,0.47513670790663765,"2024-10-30T12:00:00Z","Will JD Vance say \"Hitler\" during the Joe Rogan podcast?","what-will-vance-say-during-rogan-podcast",{"condition_id":88,"outcome":81,"usdc":89,"entry_price":90,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":91,"captured_at":75,"question":92,"event_slug":93,"category":78},"0x08b3d7bbc4bd0edbe511ca1b21ef818e528bbe4e5feb35cb4a2535b3c57985b7",57,0.38,"2024-12-08T12:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"border\" 5 or more times during NBC interview?","what-will-trump-say-during-nbc-interview",{"condition_id":95,"outcome":96,"usdc":97,"entry_price":98,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":99,"captured_at":75,"question":100,"event_slug":101,"category":102},"0x0923f4cd56ffdd032deca9984f9779303b58c6ef9317c0c6490acccb477ba150","Knicks",20,0.2,"2026-06-09T00:30:00Z","Spurs vs. Knicks","nba-sas-nyk-2026-06-08","Sports",{"condition_id":104,"outcome":105,"usdc":106,"entry_price":107,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":108,"captured_at":75,"question":109,"event_slug":110,"category":78},"0x0b5d28cc85d295a39897b524329653628d7de3378920ab63247c8af9d7ee03d3","Putin",2642.8969779999998,0.624330228661278,"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?","will-trump-meet-with-putin-or-zelenskyy-first",{"condition_id":112,"outcome":81,"usdc":113,"entry_price":114,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":115,"captured_at":75,"question":116,"event_slug":117,"category":78},"0x0de23d64498ff9f0097c4d63bf022893a86e03c2997b42659a5e2435fb8be747",330.2376,0.5889212661558626,"2025-02-03T12:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Los Angeles\" during his inauguration speech?","what-will-trump-say-during-inauguration-speech",{"condition_id":119,"outcome":120,"usdc":121,"entry_price":122,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":123,"captured_at":75,"question":124,"event_slug":125,"category":78},"0x0e40c82ceb1b5d1ef770c2c7369d2374a0132ef18df7b55ed28a311cdb758d84","Alcaraz",17.5,0.35,"2026-02-13T03:30:00Z","Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev","atp-alcaraz-zverev-2026-01-30",{"condition_id":127,"outcome":81,"usdc":128,"entry_price":129,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":130,"captured_at":75,"question":131,"event_slug":132,"category":78},"0x0e7f99d1ec26fc780d92cea53956f63ba9a984ed032d60b1acc5fda147200db9",26,0.52,"2024-10-27T12:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"NYPD\" during New York rally on October 27?","what-will-trump-say-during-new-york-rally-oct-27",{"condition_id":134,"outcome":29,"usdc":135,"entry_price":136,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":137,"captured_at":75,"question":138,"event_slug":139,"category":78},"0x0f04653573b4e23318b0d4074c81fb2c1bdb16929a36dbf4025f68c34ae50f80",57.1,0.2898477157360406,"2025-06-28T00:00:00Z","Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by Friday?","will-either-cuomo-or-mamdani-concede-by",{"condition_id":141,"outcome":29,"usdc":142,"entry_price":143,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":144,"captured_at":75,"question":145,"event_slug":146,"category":78},"0x0f3131c874579825ecdbbda8c7aeed071aa908d7c993792c393285900e68906f",1025.999061,0.23860470707653036,"2025-01-31T12:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-january",{"condition_id":148,"outcome":29,"usdc":149,"entry_price":150,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":151,"captured_at":75,"question":152,"event_slug":153,"category":154},"0x1161a32141bb18119d627d6747f1cec4f7de6aeed15abad0e6b1aa8af3b1a844",50,0.05,"2025-12-01T04:59:00Z","Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?","israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31","Geopolitics",{"condition_id":156,"outcome":81,"usdc":157,"entry_price":158,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":115,"captured_at":75,"question":159,"event_slug":117,"category":78},"0x11a73cbc8cc5be9aee0a6006ef11e9ee74e94cee0d7ad2401d30a3b98a689b87",17.290388999999998,0.12000000163456917,"Will Trump say \"America first\" during his inauguration speech?",{"condition_id":161,"outcome":29,"usdc":162,"entry_price":163,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":164,"captured_at":75,"question":165,"event_slug":78,"category":102},"0x12490c32bd76611b695b35946cb4f7c89c1765a500311f83cc572eecfd663c1d",90.89288099999999,0.028241137705190475,"2026-07-12T00:00:00Z","Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?",{"condition_id":167,"outcome":29,"usdc":168,"entry_price":169,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":170,"captured_at":75,"question":171,"event_slug":172,"category":78},"0x1427872f5147e2b35cee5c12146cc6e94ff7b2c3b569d4eff296e5091010b81a",149.899,0.3250547544183021,"2025-07-31T00:00:00Z","Israel strikes Iran before August?","israel-strikes-iran-before-august",{"condition_id":174,"outcome":81,"usdc":175,"entry_price":176,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":177,"captured_at":75,"question":178,"event_slug":179,"category":78},"0x1445e9510f45aa3c49f8e9d6c3e3f2037176ebcef119e9a71704d323bb58c85d",4.83,0.69,"2024-12-04T12:00:00Z","Will Hegseth say \"Alcohol\" during the interview?","what-will-hegseth-saying-during-fox-interview",{"condition_id":181,"outcome":29,"usdc":182,"entry_price":183,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":184,"captured_at":75,"question":185,"event_slug":186,"category":78},"0x14be6fb1bcf011b4866bb1aa91223a3b1b05b33c193800d9377522bb59b27d9e",113.56,0.4334351145038168,"2024-11-15T12:00:00Z","Will Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson?","will-jake-paul-knockout-mike-tyson",{"condition_id":188,"outcome":29,"usdc":189,"entry_price":190,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":191,"captured_at":75,"question":192,"event_slug":193,"category":78},"0x1663edea3eba0d1ae8f064276dd426cb0497a19bb5188dae48a2f8fa8ea34da8",1893.601209,0.42426688920449973,"2025-03-31T12:00:00Z","Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?","ukraine-agrees-to-give-trump-rare-earth-metals-before-april",{"condition_id":195,"outcome":96,"usdc":196,"entry_price":197,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":75,"question":199,"event_slug":200,"category":102},"0x17e2f3347e34d8a13572baf10c9b4eb3291217868a0fb84b37f36c80f8e2105a",34.5,0.23,"2026-06-06T00:30:00Z","Knicks vs. Spurs","nba-nyk-sas-2026-06-05",{"condition_id":195,"outcome":202,"usdc":203,"entry_price":204,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":75,"question":199,"event_slug":200,"category":102},"Spurs",49.994164999999995,0.25,{"condition_id":206,"outcome":81,"usdc":207,"entry_price":208,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":209,"captured_at":75,"question":210,"event_slug":211,"category":78},"0x1c4a876957f0c70fb3a579d714c1c125bf14bcc0a6d47073115a1855cd4dd9ab",141.190721,0.15000000021673798,"2024-11-05T12:00:00Z","Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?","new-hampshire-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":213,"outcome":29,"usdc":214,"entry_price":215,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":216,"captured_at":75,"question":217,"event_slug":218,"category":78},"0x1d049b3007c2fba54a80702398d62e2b36d8b88ca1ef2ed587daffe99b229425",290.1438,0.75,"2025-01-15T12:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by January 15?","will-bitcoin-hit-100k-again-by-january-15",{"condition_id":220,"outcome":81,"usdc":221,"entry_price":222,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":223,"captured_at":75,"question":224,"event_slug":225,"category":78},"0x1f37446953386f655a6032c9a51c9cc552efa4c1b61c456bd40e1353423d7405",1990.504855,0.7652909668089622,"2024-11-22T12:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?","will-bitcoin-hit-100k-by-november-22",{"condition_id":220,"outcome":29,"usdc":227,"entry_price":228,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":223,"captured_at":75,"question":224,"event_slug":225,"category":78},914.448498,0.5179794162396454,{"condition_id":230,"outcome":29,"usdc":231,"entry_price":232,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":75,"question":234,"event_slug":235,"category":78},"0x1f37b7d5b9158257f7545382fd430a93307596054f30f391155e5008f0aaf911",160.9239,0.4258936085547175,"2024-10-29T12:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Nazi\" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?","what-will-trump-say-during-pennsylvania-rally-oct-29",{"condition_id":237,"outcome":29,"usdc":238,"entry_price":239,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":240,"captured_at":75,"question":241,"event_slug":242,"category":78},"0x1f9161d0cf8cc197b458673137fb200b3760ba8f1ba2c59949614017eac25cf9",793.8747,0.059122605671448204,"2025-06-23T12:00:00Z","Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?","nba-champion-2024-2025",{"condition_id":244,"outcome":29,"usdc":245,"entry_price":246,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":209,"captured_at":75,"question":247,"event_slug":248,"category":78},"0x2010ff3939e8e664dd57369aa907bbaa6d03ae18be27fe3ab2f4cdcb95a8b2ab",6192.836771999998,0.4890813703884442,"Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? ","which-party-wins-presidency-popular-vote",{"condition_id":250,"outcome":81,"usdc":251,"entry_price":252,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":253,"captured_at":75,"question":254,"event_slug":255,"category":78},"0x212aa1ec6278e74ed0f3ae4eef45b18fd4adfd830715844e0588eb607b464e40",123.421,0.6009397215,"2024-12-17T12:00:00Z","State wide recount in Presidential Election? ","state-wide-recount-in-presidential-election",{"condition_id":257,"outcome":29,"usdc":258,"entry_price":259,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":260,"captured_at":75,"question":261,"event_slug":262,"category":78},"0x21817a4de06c0b14da6d6e48a29b3d1690e94b56693bfd17592fcb5671ce8a81",59.9916,0.12,"2025-06-04T12:00:00Z","Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-3?","nba-playoffs-knicks-vs-pacers-series-outcome",{"condition_id":264,"outcome":29,"usdc":265,"entry_price":266,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":267,"captured_at":75,"question":268,"event_slug":269,"category":102},"0x226e885e5380a6fd143cf8aec4d4d7ce7feece4625cc2301f450655f377f8847",57.05606999999999,0.22053424603487728,"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?","2026-mens-french-open-winner",{"condition_id":271,"outcome":272,"usdc":273,"entry_price":274,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":275,"captured_at":75,"question":276,"event_slug":277,"category":78},"0x233dd2af605bc2a254726ffdb3f6055acbff6b8964cecb756d6cda0cdf7e826b","Thunder",0.8,0.16,"2025-05-22T12:00:00Z","Thunder vs. Nuggets","nba-okc-den-2025-05-15",{"condition_id":279,"outcome":280,"usdc":281,"entry_price":282,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":283,"captured_at":75,"question":284,"event_slug":285,"category":78},"0x2382b18ab8cd054785e9cf992996f993e818415ef0f9835b439d90639e547d66","Pacers",154,0.1925,"2025-06-30T00:00:00Z","Pacers vs. Thunder","nba-ind-okc-2025-06-22",{"condition_id":287,"outcome":29,"usdc":288,"entry_price":289,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":290,"captured_at":75,"question":291,"event_slug":292,"category":78},"0x26ed2c7b22d8bbf6789e76bdcd88c22b605df53e88c7b57fb3dc48b7ab259a8f",120,0.4,"2025-06-24T12:00:00Z","Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?","who-will-win-dem-nomination-for-nyc-mayor",{"condition_id":294,"outcome":295,"usdc":296,"entry_price":297,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":298,"captured_at":75,"question":299,"event_slug":300,"category":78},"0x26ee82bee2493a302d21283cb578f7e2fff2dd15743854f53034d12420863b55","Republican",1103.5897609999993,0.5757324668010397,"2024-11-08T12:00:00Z","Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?","which-party-will-win-the-2024-united-states-presidential-election",{"condition_id":302,"outcome":81,"usdc":303,"entry_price":304,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":305,"captured_at":75,"question":306,"event_slug":307,"category":78},"0x2a86b3971f01557db0954e47e83c29013333e3422e3e9b4716c136823f24f7ce",2496.421248,0.7981046713781169,"2025-06-30T12:00:00Z","Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?","who-will-be-trumps-defense-secretary",{"condition_id":309,"outcome":81,"usdc":310,"entry_price":311,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":312,"captured_at":75,"question":313,"event_slug":314,"category":78},"0x2af66f3d7d36bc2b86d43b013900b40b5ea61042883aad7681b1d3469cb35323",504.271324,0.17083338108449306,"2024-10-25T12:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"McDonald's\" on The Joe Rogan Experience?","what-will-trump-say-during-rogan-podcast",{"condition_id":316,"outcome":29,"usdc":317,"entry_price":318,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":305,"captured_at":75,"question":319,"event_slug":307,"category":78},"0x2cb1a78f1cbbc182b4235fda475a21ae1dcf22bfc29982c9f1e5c30fcee2d7c4",256.5,0.37445255474452555,"Will Ron DeSantis be Trump's Defense Secretary?",{"condition_id":321,"outcome":29,"usdc":322,"entry_price":323,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":267,"captured_at":75,"question":324,"event_slug":269,"category":102},"0x2d8ddd9ea670f9992c03353c033062a0014ca09166d8b15b9489ae9e4e0b6ca4",33.54375,0.022,"Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?",{"condition_id":326,"outcome":81,"usdc":327,"entry_price":328,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":74,"captured_at":75,"question":329,"event_slug":330,"category":78},"0x2ea7420e2bdb8ba80c7626edf4576fc802d499535680706c5d49c0e502835349",22,0.22,"Will Trump say \"We Won\" in his speech after the election is called?","what-will-trump-say-in-speech-after-election-is-called",{"condition_id":332,"outcome":29,"usdc":333,"entry_price":334,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":170,"captured_at":75,"question":335,"event_slug":336,"category":78},"0x30be2fc500027e98ff6995bf1f197484e925674f5ebb69bea4a8ee37db504bd7",386.92,0.2763714285714286,"Israel military action against Iran in July?","israel-military-action-against-iran-in-july",{"condition_id":338,"outcome":29,"usdc":339,"entry_price":197,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":260,"captured_at":75,"question":340,"event_slug":262,"category":78},"0x316810838bea312a125c5f9327b92d0e1e511d8397ecdc21a13129c250f5012d",22.31,"Will the Knicks beat the Pacers 4-2?",{"condition_id":342,"outcome":81,"usdc":343,"entry_price":344,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":108,"captured_at":75,"question":345,"event_slug":346,"category":78},"0x35ae72ecea68142496d891d6b74c3ea7069e8ac7b066542298691b43d74da891",347.996685,0.5800000004642901,"Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?","will-putin-meet-with-zelenskyy-in-2025",{"condition_id":348,"outcome":81,"usdc":349,"entry_price":350,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":91,"captured_at":75,"question":351,"event_slug":93,"category":78},"0x3650b698be8dd23560f65ab8f7ff369ee9b334747bb49e0300bddb467ee09cb0",104.18181799999999,0.5256880756293325,"Will Trump say \"Elon\" during NBC interview?",{"condition_id":353,"outcome":81,"usdc":354,"entry_price":355,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":312,"captured_at":75,"question":356,"event_slug":314,"category":78},"0x383f86ae1ed47ad569f65a938480fb9456281fcdb4867d9c8c1f9abfa32415b6",78.38749999999999,0.25231757169987445,"Will Trump say \"Russia\" 5 or more times on The Joe Rogan Experience?",{"condition_id":358,"outcome":29,"usdc":359,"entry_price":360,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":305,"captured_at":75,"question":361,"event_slug":362,"category":78},"0x3b40221adf21a481d1eb3c84bd52e828384fe2558a9889afa86068874f84f7b8",1920,0.31999999999999995,"Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?","which-trump-picks-will-be-confirmed",{"condition_id":364,"outcome":81,"usdc":365,"entry_price":366,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":223,"captured_at":75,"question":367,"event_slug":368,"category":78},"0x3d68c893b43c24d3d4e5f0b8f64204d94a37745589a41544555a74412936153c",187.86007400000003,0.18075630215942057,"Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?","bitcoin-above-90000-on-november-22",{"condition_id":370,"outcome":81,"usdc":371,"entry_price":372,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":74,"captured_at":75,"question":373,"event_slug":330,"category":78},"0x3e4be5e68b2c91d7534b5473e7a6a3b27e14916b0bd403c1a407b19e58573861",79.444957,0.3760605574916238,"Will Trump say \"Border\" in his speech after the election is called?",{"condition_id":375,"outcome":81,"usdc":376,"entry_price":377,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":74,"captured_at":75,"question":378,"event_slug":330,"category":78},"0x41695d4773b04881cccb39a0f982aa6a420250a2b099d058b73d40a605779070",62.1841,0.696896783592962,"Will Trump say \"Rig\" or \"Rigged\" in his speech after the election is called?",{"condition_id":380,"outcome":81,"usdc":381,"entry_price":382,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":383,"captured_at":75,"question":384,"event_slug":385,"category":78},"0x4230df24c21af4c7c091e85680d62d35f7cbbb03373247685c01c65c19b6e072",305.9777,0.14462449247756032,"2025-01-07T12:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"MAGA\" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference?","what-will-trump-say-during-mar-a-lago-press-conference",{"condition_id":387,"outcome":29,"usdc":388,"entry_price":389,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":390,"captured_at":75,"question":224,"event_slug":391,"category":78},"0x431121f8be6c4cf5b4453bcf609930127d07922d4764541f569a3a63b6f6aec2",43.9761,0.07000000000000002,"2024-11-23T12:00:00Z","will-bitcoin-hit-100k-by-saturday",{"condition_id":393,"outcome":81,"usdc":394,"entry_price":395,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":170,"captured_at":75,"question":396,"event_slug":397,"category":78},"0x43a0e99dec7bb0c6ae5a9166cf6df932a36ca721eb62f673eda5ea87232bc8f2",98,0.49,"Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?","israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-before-august",{"condition_id":399,"outcome":81,"usdc":400,"entry_price":401,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":305,"captured_at":75,"question":402,"event_slug":403,"category":78},"0x4571fb7434996806015eb2e07eb1dc856ead27fe169c46695791d18a121cc2b9",14.6296,0.23558132045088567,"Will Trump say \"god\" in his next speech?","what-will-trump-say-in-next-speech",{"condition_id":405,"outcome":272,"usdc":406,"entry_price":122,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":407,"captured_at":75,"question":408,"event_slug":409,"category":78},"0x461bc99cf3a7d76bd9fd52ab850d62d1d985cee88b940c80ae9888a94176e83b",280,"2025-06-21T00:30:00Z","Thunder vs. Pacers","nba-okc-ind-2025-06-13",{"condition_id":411,"outcome":29,"usdc":412,"entry_price":413,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":283,"captured_at":75,"question":414,"event_slug":415,"category":78},"0x4685c41276496f4f49094cc27abed3f22356851bd53f769c3750fb624adb70cd",930.8411,0.7392380022077685,"Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?","iran-military-response-by",{"condition_id":417,"outcome":29,"usdc":418,"entry_price":419,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":420,"captured_at":75,"question":421,"event_slug":139,"category":78},"0x4762332789c2f3e2a82eb7102dcb690210f931b8301a42c5a6ba5fc9f5567282",184.46,0.8461467889908257,"2025-06-26T00:00:00Z","Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by Wednesday?",{"condition_id":423,"outcome":81,"usdc":424,"entry_price":425,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":426,"captured_at":75,"question":427,"event_slug":428,"category":78},"0x47db388cd9d7e71468f947b078d7d95e6c90309cd2dd3b17d57d2ccc858af280",341.20050000000003,0.5914686151125903,"2025-01-20T12:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Greenland\" during victory rally? ","what-will-trump-say-during-victory-rally",{"condition_id":430,"outcome":81,"usdc":431,"entry_price":432,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":74,"captured_at":75,"question":433,"event_slug":330,"category":78},"0x4947591d9ad81341cc1e88bf1a508675554693bd59e2ae4f6b102f3ad677134c",6.1516,0.28,"Will Trump say \"America\" five or more times in his speech after the election is called?",{"condition_id":435,"outcome":81,"usdc":436,"entry_price":437,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":438,"captured_at":75,"question":439,"event_slug":440,"category":78},"0x4a2fbd6b2903641f940af5165b151d970915360667a8af3ab3e24c94f3eb002c",544,0.68,"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?","will-elon-musk-create-a-new-political-party-by",{"condition_id":442,"outcome":29,"usdc":443,"entry_price":444,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":164,"captured_at":75,"question":445,"event_slug":446,"category":102},"0x4a4617306739297f19752f96b22b5cb7f234ac145ed5194d8189b3a51eb204fb",0.414,0.024,"Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?","2026-mens-wimbledon-winner",{"condition_id":448,"outcome":81,"usdc":196,"entry_price":197,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":449,"captured_at":75,"question":450,"event_slug":451,"category":78},"0x4b02efe53e631ada84681303fd66d79ad615f3d2b6a28b4633d43d935f89af58","2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by",{"condition_id":453,"outcome":29,"usdc":454,"entry_price":455,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":456,"captured_at":75,"question":457,"event_slug":458,"category":78},"0x4b87cba72865218e48cbe7c0ebf4f878132a2014e4507693aef2a84304562679",3502.63728,0.1652049076079715,"2025-01-30T12:00:00Z","Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?","how-many-executive-orders-will-trump-issue-on-day-1",{"condition_id":460,"outcome":81,"usdc":461,"entry_price":462,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":463,"captured_at":75,"question":464,"event_slug":465,"category":78},"0x4c2e39ec072f02612fa27944b0bfb539ef94b933daa6e569f29d0761c2178116",97.894736,0.6200000019,"2024-10-28T12:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"garbage can\" during Georgia rally on October 28?","what-will-trump-say-during-georgia-rally-oct-28",{"condition_id":467,"outcome":29,"usdc":468,"entry_price":469,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":470,"captured_at":75,"question":471,"event_slug":472,"category":78},"0x4cfe8afc969fc85f4aa92ef01e8c82b84f773ea1cdf198d694ef9da1155393eb",2537.670616,0.3862788502515699,"2025-04-29T12:00:00Z","Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?","will-putin-meet-with-trump-by-first-100-days",{"condition_id":474,"outcome":81,"usdc":475,"entry_price":476,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":91,"captured_at":75,"question":477,"event_slug":93,"category":78},"0x4d33078eb782143163eb0a6d79095711d54da428f29e8ab3a19ca7c4ec42d907",66.03999999999999,0.35505376344086015,"Will Trump say \"nuclear\" during NBC interview?",{"condition_id":479,"outcome":29,"usdc":480,"entry_price":481,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":75,"question":482,"event_slug":235,"category":78},"0x4d904f3b6fbd5d02320d753f32fd8d14d9c5af86b1ebfef4b5a2fda331cdcc19",25.5,0.34,"Will Trump say \"Hitler\" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?",{"condition_id":484,"outcome":29,"usdc":485,"entry_price":486,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":130,"captured_at":75,"question":487,"event_slug":132,"category":78},"0x4f50e8f1136652009ae5c499dfe4252bdd1c806884f8bee72b65346a5b513372",161.954338,0.13332469068140254,"Will Trump say \"border\" 30 or more times during New York rally on October 27?",{"condition_id":489,"outcome":29,"usdc":490,"entry_price":491,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":267,"captured_at":75,"question":492,"event_slug":269,"category":102},"0x4fcd0bd99be51df20f6c8ba2ffd00abefde5eb1a8a66d569e94f1cf20b44a7bb",2.97206,0.006,"Will Moise Kouame win the 2026 Men's French Open?",{"condition_id":494,"outcome":29,"usdc":495,"entry_price":496,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":209,"captured_at":75,"question":497,"event_slug":498,"category":78},"0x51ac44a5178a2bb04e9bcb6f134b034fb63b938fd49c465f0f0460af136677d2",540,0.18,"Will Trump win 5 swing states?","how-many-swing-states-will-trump-win",{"condition_id":500,"outcome":29,"usdc":501,"entry_price":502,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":74,"captured_at":75,"question":503,"event_slug":504,"category":78},"0x535595edf8d19a21f43b6a5de13f96b3773fe128184b443324736e8c4e6f1c94",93.59519999999999,0.62,"Will Kamala say \"Doug\" in her speech after the election is called?","what-will-kamala-say-in-speech-after-election-is-called",{"condition_id":506,"outcome":81,"usdc":507,"entry_price":508,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":509,"captured_at":75,"question":510,"event_slug":511,"category":78},"0x54a1d0da9b18ac0dd1b1ae10fad2eb782427733e4ad2f14f190b979bbb5c7d65",1199.993923,0.6000001052163884,"2024-12-31T12:00:00Z","Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?","israel-x-hezbollah-ceasefire-in-2024",{"condition_id":513,"outcome":29,"usdc":514,"entry_price":515,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":516,"captured_at":75,"question":517,"event_slug":518,"category":78},"0x55c4cd23c51140ab63f2e6872263aab3b34f79184d7176bae58ebfaebec0d8c3",45,0.3,"2025-11-24T17:00:00Z","Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 24?","bitcoin-above-on-november-24",{"condition_id":520,"outcome":81,"usdc":521,"entry_price":522,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":523,"captured_at":75,"question":524,"event_slug":525,"category":78},"0x575f6a141e4e4155dacb2f6bdc47c743ce6f55939ab66c813ea84689472e5477",265.77083000000005,0.5118664079733878,"2025-07-15T23:55:00Z","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?","trump-announces-end-of-military-operations-against-iran-before-july",{"condition_id":527,"outcome":81,"usdc":528,"entry_price":529,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":312,"captured_at":75,"question":530,"event_slug":314,"category":78},"0x589d101402414b7bf1c254d3fcf2bbed990eb022f29c154abdd37e501ad053a7",2213.6082819999997,0.5287255149998349,"Will Trump say \"Hitler\" on The Joe Rogan Experience?",{"condition_id":532,"outcome":29,"usdc":533,"entry_price":534,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":74,"captured_at":75,"question":535,"event_slug":77,"category":78},"0x58f0c5174fa07cd68767be6820359bcd33972243cba27a9e920f20a3c4c4a32f",802,0.042210526315789476,"Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?",{"condition_id":537,"outcome":81,"usdc":538,"entry_price":539,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":305,"captured_at":75,"question":540,"event_slug":403,"category":78},"0x5929d8edce45917d227fe016d7a8932e55ea9bf414b5603daf3d6294b835fa0b",114.68,0.6779380468195791,"Will Trump say \"hell\" 3 or more times in his next speech?",{"condition_id":542,"outcome":29,"usdc":543,"entry_price":328,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":544,"captured_at":75,"question":545,"event_slug":546,"category":38},"0x5a965e943de13a4bdef4fb568d94341a751f02a2f652fa4fb8377d8b02f84606",340.296,"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?","los-angeles-mayoral-election-117",{"condition_id":548,"outcome":29,"usdc":549,"entry_price":437,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":550,"captured_at":75,"question":551,"event_slug":552,"category":78},"0x5aebf0de3b3b325075f4fd813d2884f5706b0ea1434a4745897af941b3ed1e7f",66.64,"2025-04-30T12:00:00Z","Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-april",{"condition_id":554,"outcome":29,"usdc":555,"entry_price":556,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":557,"captured_at":75,"question":558,"event_slug":559,"category":102},"0x5afeea2584165f0bab7843452d49ff7b36f72808847feb75fab830e70943c5d7",337.394294,0.44678518025172426,"2026-06-17T00:00:00Z","Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?","nba-playoffs-finals-mvp",{"condition_id":561,"outcome":29,"usdc":562,"entry_price":563,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":564,"captured_at":75,"question":565,"event_slug":566,"category":78},"0x5b8e32e1fbc08f9e7ab47d24593e67b950d95c13899a79a92921bfc106d0d7e1",878.1112499999999,0.17114676216927352,"2025-06-05T12:00:00Z","Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?","nba-eastern-conference-champion",{"condition_id":568,"outcome":29,"usdc":569,"entry_price":570,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":191,"captured_at":75,"question":571,"event_slug":572,"category":78},"0x5e27fe0f4593da2eeff2c8c0601909c33dcc8882c71f2c992a4e153ef0781572",1776.1345999999999,0.5085218481542451,"Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-march",{"condition_id":574,"outcome":575,"usdc":97,"entry_price":576,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":577,"captured_at":75,"question":578,"event_slug":579,"category":78},"0x5e85b259fcb04645d9b88e4097c2a3d7606a1e9d279a331eb5baaf0b873e68cb","Rybakina",0.5,"2026-02-14T08:30:00Z","Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina","wta-sabalen-rybakin-2026-01-31",{"condition_id":581,"outcome":29,"usdc":582,"entry_price":583,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":564,"captured_at":75,"question":584,"event_slug":585,"category":78},"0x605e3f184a0993ecf5eba4837342c40d6e6e39ca9ffb57ebce925d2b10f65f14",798.32447,0.11820672293398764,"Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference?","nba-western-conference-champion",{"condition_id":587,"outcome":29,"usdc":588,"entry_price":589,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":590,"captured_at":75,"question":591,"event_slug":592,"category":78},"0x6138122c23d7e5f0b7ec2303c8358bb74e0aeeca9a624afec8b31f5b36aa18f6",51.75182,0.08628467104605023,"2025-11-24T00:00:00Z","Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 24?","bitcoin-above-90k-on-november-24",{"condition_id":594,"outcome":81,"usdc":595,"entry_price":596,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":312,"captured_at":75,"question":597,"event_slug":314,"category":78},"0x61fd14595f5d798ea0cb8822ae66b397a184abb66d726e7d84eac1d0ed87113e",1045.2,0.7568428674873281,"Will Trump say \"Pocahontas\" on The Joe Rogan Experience?",{"condition_id":599,"outcome":29,"usdc":600,"entry_price":601,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":290,"captured_at":75,"question":602,"event_slug":292,"category":78},"0x6220c4164a293367cd40eba018dd6e67c78e4d48e74158845cc9361230bcb34d",695.94464,0.36628665263157895,"Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?",{"condition_id":604,"outcome":81,"usdc":605,"entry_price":606,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":607,"captured_at":75,"question":608,"event_slug":609,"category":78},"0x6689c157a7c57f0ee8ab7feace215061cbb8828191854fe81f17976ef33b023e",54.869999,0.5499999975,"2024-11-04T12:00:00Z","Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?","will-trump-go-on-rogan-before-election",{"condition_id":611,"outcome":29,"usdc":612,"entry_price":613,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":144,"captured_at":75,"question":614,"event_slug":615,"category":78},"0x668f2d2a3b84a83b17b9832ffa4e2b1d88d44a35f6922e910ea8201d6a98a65f",389.99999999999994,0.26,"Bitcoin all time high by January 31?","bitcoin-all-time-high-by-january",{"condition_id":617,"outcome":29,"usdc":618,"entry_price":619,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":74,"captured_at":75,"question":620,"event_slug":504,"category":78},"0x67d3e3013444111623b0e9690b54520a58c2288d57ca5b3201787b44d56d5035",168.32420000000002,0.5700880579827949,"Will Kamala say \"god\" in her speech after the election is called?",{"condition_id":622,"outcome":81,"usdc":623,"entry_price":624,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":607,"captured_at":75,"question":625,"event_slug":626,"category":78},"0x68632aaac0bd7cf6f6a7b633895cfa8cba1e3f2cd158f10aff7cd25be88da7a8",422.779133,0.7599385272862516,"Will Joe Rogan announce he is voting for Trump?","will-rogan-announce-hes-voting-trump",{"condition_id":628,"outcome":81,"usdc":629,"entry_price":630,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":75,"question":631,"event_slug":235,"category":78},"0x69e1d79d0706ee435ec68dc9492da1ae1bd05cb7ea7f2b205f6ca4c9046cd523",2443.131464,0.5419694202088999,"Will Trump say \"Puerto Rico\" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?",{"condition_id":633,"outcome":81,"usdc":634,"entry_price":635,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":456,"captured_at":75,"question":636,"event_slug":458,"category":78},"0x6b394949cea4f505bbef44a6078f6cd4475b811ccdcdfd9007ec644b4a4a23e2",569.99847,0.15,"Will Trump issue 25-29 executive orders on Day 1?",{"condition_id":638,"outcome":29,"usdc":639,"entry_price":640,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":164,"captured_at":75,"question":641,"event_slug":642,"category":102},"0x6b65cb8d0a5ba97263245248c068fae1366570685701caa0e561875dbfc0a6ec",73.1,0.4873333333333333,"Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?","2026-womens-wimbledon-winner",{"condition_id":644,"outcome":81,"usdc":645,"entry_price":646,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":74,"captured_at":75,"question":647,"event_slug":330,"category":78},"0x6cf574789afedda24fa0e14abd2a3db8f223743c81d52e42f4acc6f6a33d8bbf",46.396,0.4599127676,"Will Trump say \"Elon\" in his speech after the election is called?",{"condition_id":644,"outcome":29,"usdc":649,"entry_price":650,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":74,"captured_at":75,"question":647,"event_slug":330,"category":78},3560.999985,0.827403251794163,{"condition_id":652,"outcome":29,"usdc":653,"entry_price":654,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":655,"captured_at":75,"question":656,"event_slug":657,"category":78},"0x6d00ab09f247ede23241d2abe257b4345dbb82b5e4eeae4eb2ba0980013a658c",160.348532,0.2672505251591731,"2025-07-16T00:00:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11? ","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-broken-by",{"condition_id":659,"outcome":29,"usdc":660,"entry_price":515,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":305,"captured_at":75,"question":661,"event_slug":662,"category":78},"0x6e4a56d8073645a86354e47f82a70f8ccc1881cbdcb54e0a32fbebb954f2ce9b",1200,"Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?","who-will-be-trumps-attorney-general",{"condition_id":664,"outcome":81,"usdc":665,"entry_price":666,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":74,"captured_at":75,"question":667,"event_slug":330,"category":78},"0x6f086bb666432b5f967ff58343c46d683ed7db8339d9a7f6c7c254d978a99506",291.97266,0.27965926265608176,"Will Trump say \"MAGA\" in his speech after the election is called?",{"condition_id":669,"outcome":81,"usdc":670,"entry_price":671,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":672,"captured_at":75,"question":673,"event_slug":674,"category":38},"0x6fa13f31cceaf10ed3190df6e2aca0a93ab0d6fb46fd279003f17d4cdccee164",136.84006,0.4469414378,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",{"condition_id":676,"outcome":29,"usdc":677,"entry_price":678,"won":17,"source":73,"end_date_iso":550,"captured_at":75,"question":679,"event_slug":552,"category":78},"0x702538016d765521c08de342e1b8df9454ae1e66cca89bf1e037fe07471388c1",603.5519,0.5607915447226426,"Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?",{"condition_id":681,"outcome":81,"usdc":682,"entry_price":683,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":177,"captured_at":75,"question":684,"event_slug":179,"category":78},"0x74929a4ed13004160db207b2d8475fe19daaf7b716b52b22c153ed8ff6e2cac6",36.5,0.73,"Will Hegseth say \"Fake news\" during the interview?",{"condition_id":686,"outcome":81,"usdc":687,"entry_price":688,"won":12,"source":73,"end_date_iso":689,"captured_at":75,"question":690,"event_slug":691,"category":78},"0x75ac86feeeda6cc683af948c4bda7b7d2579c2de8ae5a1f9a9773bdf161970ad",4.3092,0.57,"2026-02-01T00:00:00Z","Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?","will-any-of-trumps-greenland-tariffs-go-into-effect-by-feb-1",{"total":693,"wins":694},233,89,[696,702,707,709],{"category":697,"n":698,"wins":699,"hitRate":700,"roi":701},"Other",197,85,0.43147208121827413,0.12831640870695415,{"category":102,"n":703,"wins":704,"hitRate":705,"roi":706},30,4,0.13333333333333333,-0.4685329763081734,{"category":38,"n":704,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":708},-1,{"category":154,"n":710,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":708},2,{"generatedAt":712},"2026-10-26T04:19:09.734Z"]