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x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by","2024-11-28T04:59:00Z","[\"0.135\", \"0.865\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":48,"category":49},"83204149385279752284819391054474788827727496660660767254052334861340107835088","0xd4aa5c6bd2a179244d98ba714dba4441e4bf5f99f27a657b8d967f8f67cfe041",189.5414,0.71,"2026-08-29T20:17:27.505Z","Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?","which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-december-31","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.115\", 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2026?","another-nato-article-4-byptptpt-20260726214235871","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.26\", \"0.74\"]",{"token_id":69,"condition_id":70,"outcome":53,"size":71,"avg_price":72,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":73,"question":74,"event_slug":75,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":66,"outcome_prices":37,"category":49},"14016923262811062666370202829200470712684396368944151899802277379348874873066","0x0e66ad56a0e90caa89b1cefc50fa7088fcf9071385e09e6b6c4f3ec4539867ae",60,0.13,"2026-09-23T15:56:10.952Z","Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 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military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?","israel-strike-on-yemen-by-593",{"condition_id":115,"outcome":29,"usdc":116,"entry_price":117,"won":17,"source":109,"end_date_iso":118,"captured_at":111,"question":119,"event_slug":120,"category":121},"0x0d52ce82886ba5ed34d396999b2afbb193d22cf1c5f791b5b4efdf1a094f410c",45.15,0.301,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?","israel-x-hezbollah-ceasefire-by",null,{"condition_id":123,"outcome":53,"usdc":124,"entry_price":125,"won":17,"source":109,"end_date_iso":126,"captured_at":111,"question":127,"event_slug":128,"category":38},"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089",98.129301,0.4343482502328535,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":130,"outcome":29,"usdc":131,"entry_price":132,"won":17,"source":109,"end_date_iso":133,"captured_at":13,"question":134,"event_slug":135,"category":49},"0x0fc2ddb048f5aa3a5f05f07c480591d7a41c546387588a6345627144171f9670",12.045,0.33,"2026-07-16T03:59:00Z","Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?","iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829",{"condition_id":137,"outcome":29,"usdc":138,"entry_price":139,"won":12,"source":109,"end_date_iso":140,"captured_at":13,"question":141,"event_slug":142,"category":38},"0x119db6dda44f109bcdc2ec5e1d9cb8c21fa1a7e66489f59b1190fdfb25c0d515",29.169,0.45,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?","miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30",{"condition_id":144,"outcome":53,"usdc":145,"entry_price":146,"won":17,"source":109,"end_date_iso":147,"captured_at":13,"question":148,"event_slug":149,"category":38},"0x12aa595f4883b1a856dcf8155b87e89a8d098b5ad8a7781c75804fd13d166718",106.5406,0.5299999999999999,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Israel closes its airspace by August 31?","israel-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":151,"outcome":29,"usdc":152,"entry_price":153,"won":12,"source":109,"end_date_iso":118,"captured_at":111,"question":154,"event_slug":155,"category":49},"0x15fcf94587789dcd26efd4a31a1dbc8ff80c3c0bbfed1ca7eb90a054fda6efbf",172.04910299999995,0.7300000022912052,"Kurds declare independence from 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30?","pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-june-30",{"condition_id":175,"outcome":53,"usdc":176,"entry_price":177,"won":12,"source":109,"end_date_iso":178,"captured_at":13,"question":179,"event_slug":180,"category":38},"0x271e1d96693db79b42a277dc5f64b61a72bc1a0fad85586fd28c7d89b9b96231",309.2416,0.7747503444820244,"2026-09-30T12:00:00Z","Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?","will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by",{"condition_id":182,"outcome":29,"usdc":183,"entry_price":184,"won":12,"source":109,"end_date_iso":185,"captured_at":111,"question":186,"event_slug":187,"category":121},"0x2b1435f47a09615867ade05d314485b7603924199ba0982cf28678b88717b520",173.9691,0.8698455,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-march-31",{"condition_id":189,"outcome":29,"usdc":190,"entry_price":191,"won":12,"source":109,"end_date_iso":192,"captured_at":111,"question":193,"event_slug":81,"category":38},"0x2f6a547524c1d290f8a2bbff80be2b0e8ca1b3b716dd3a0e74bf8ddb3e3fd6b7",1216.5767,0.8421896936048847,"2026-06-01T03:59:00Z","Iran leadership change by May 31?",{"condition_id":195,"outcome":29,"usdc":196,"entry_price":197,"won":12,"source":109,"end_date_iso":185,"captured_at":111,"question":198,"event_slug":199,"category":121},"0x306d10d4a4d51b41910dbc779ca00908bd917c131541c5c42bbbc736258d2d56",519.488203,0.7451066426765686,"US forces enter Iran by March 31?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-march-31-222-191-243-517-878-439-519",{"condition_id":195,"outcome":53,"usdc":201,"entry_price":202,"won":17,"source":109,"end_date_iso":185,"captured_at":111,"question":198,"event_slug":199,"category":121},112.99485299999999,0.2824996677164409,{"condition_id":204,"outcome":29,"usdc":205,"entry_price":206,"won":12,"source":109,"end_date_iso":185,"captured_at":111,"question":207,"event_slug":208,"category":121},"0x307a56c2575036f0e7dc5eb6ca4a291050a7ebcab5b0822ac48939eae0d4f8f5",349.860856,0.6307232921623036,"US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?","us-forcibly-removes-khamenei-from-power-by-march-31",{"condition_id":204,"outcome":53,"usdc":210,"entry_price":211,"won":17,"source":109,"end_date_iso":185,"captured_at":111,"question":207,"event_slug":208,"category":121},98.2379,0.3831281931,{"condition_id":213,"outcome":53,"usdc":214,"entry_price":159,"won":12,"source":109,"end_date_iso":215,"captured_at":13,"question":216,"event_slug":217,"category":49},"0x33c491023cecc6a42a70608427c2be37dfbe789ae1b08d8791f2450a3f9696f2",137.9931,"2026-07-26T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963",{"condition_id":219,"outcome":29,"usdc":220,"entry_price":221,"won":12,"source":109,"end_date_iso":118,"captured_at":13,"question":222,"event_slug":223,"category":49},"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187",740,0.74,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of 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2026?","trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by",{"condition_id":239,"outcome":53,"usdc":240,"entry_price":241,"won":17,"source":109,"end_date_iso":242,"captured_at":111,"question":243,"event_slug":244,"category":121},"0x3e1363efbf76899943f61797d0ffc2de5c47a716e2ec66189f45ab65b28078f9",148.4578,0.5305095769010864,"2026-04-30","Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?","iran-agrees-to-unrestricted-shipping-through-hormuz-in-april",{"condition_id":246,"outcome":29,"usdc":247,"entry_price":248,"won":12,"source":109,"end_date_iso":140,"captured_at":111,"question":249,"event_slug":250,"category":38},"0x3ed92a5a51371e8ba5882ae743ccf90460c8860fdd862a9389e249d0a2b9f055",670.204453,0.768447964835492,"Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?","masoud-pezeshkian-out-by",{"condition_id":252,"outcome":53,"usdc":253,"entry_price":254,"won":17,"source":109,"end_date_iso":118,"captured_at":13,"question":255,"event_slug":113,"category":49},"0x3fe18d2b6303ee3a7e406aab679dbc0b0f7504dc6b477a31c69c6ffb04e9e11c",7.1064,0.28,"Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":257,"outcome":29,"usdc":258,"entry_price":259,"won":17,"source":109,"end_date_iso":260,"captured_at":111,"question":261,"event_slug":262,"category":121},"0x422ca08d0b46118b477f19e06a432fc4e4ba50173c524fa8fee827bf321645d0",259.6269,0.39,"2027-06-30T00:00:00Z","Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-june-30-2027",{"condition_id":264,"outcome":29,"usdc":265,"entry_price":266,"won":12,"source":109,"end_date_iso":140,"captured_at":111,"question":267,"event_slug":268,"category":49},"0x43272c02b8407ed3f8d5b04fb4cb132d7a59c5df6ecc423afcf66f1c778d1887",415,0.83,"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 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31?","kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31",{"condition_id":294,"outcome":29,"usdc":295,"entry_price":296,"won":17,"source":109,"end_date_iso":297,"captured_at":111,"question":298,"event_slug":299,"category":121},"0x4c5701bcde0b8fb7d7f48c8e9d20245a6caa58c61a77f981fad98f2bfa0b1bc7",238.32,0.8,"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-april-7",{"condition_id":294,"outcome":53,"usdc":301,"entry_price":302,"won":12,"source":109,"end_date_iso":297,"captured_at":111,"question":298,"event_slug":299,"category":121},121.18101899999999,0.5090000003276424,{"condition_id":304,"outcome":29,"usdc":305,"entry_price":306,"won":17,"source":109,"end_date_iso":307,"captured_at":111,"question":308,"event_slug":309,"category":121},"0x561cd8d035bac38ed04e23d7882a126da38d7ead9d6679f722ad62c0c9d54ad2",657.223637,0.38592746351785384,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 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