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announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080",{"condition_id":611,"outcome":29,"usdc":612,"entry_price":613,"won":12,"source":606,"end_date_iso":160,"captured_at":614,"question":615,"event_slug":616,"category":38},"0xff489738d1301774d9913566fb97c1a8a02a09a3e5f9cb3f87c078c2c2ab3323",83.367305,0.9695,"2026-11-01T02:10:12.181Z","Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?","moodys-or-sp-downgrades-france-byptptpt",{"condition_id":618,"outcome":29,"usdc":619,"entry_price":620,"won":17,"source":606,"end_date_iso":160,"captured_at":621,"question":622,"event_slug":623,"category":624},"0x6f71c09d2b70c109071aed2eae689737f7775affa6b6a364e3f632779875e7ab",43.152,0.496,"2026-10-29T13:54:54.054Z","Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?","measles-cases-in-uptspt-by-october-31-20260928t160000000z","Science",{"condition_id":626,"outcome":29,"usdc":627,"entry_price":628,"won":12,"source":606,"end_date_iso":629,"captured_at":630,"question":631,"event_slug":632,"category":38},"0xa08a5ce99e14ce0b22767af6f16c08a2ab012249444c20887193a9a3e98e11fc",5265.921399999999,0.74,"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","2026-07-26T08:58:22.940Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-september-30-20260702154339440",{"condition_id":634,"outcome":29,"usdc":635,"entry_price":636,"won":12,"source":606,"end_date_iso":637,"captured_at":638,"question":639,"event_slug":640,"category":38},"0xa6fed01ba8b2bdd54390277a30d1a66d4e61050b6fe0b0263df857ba83f5edb0",125.96,0.94,"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","2026-09-18T22:27:50.406Z","Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?","will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-september-30",{"condition_id":642,"outcome":29,"usdc":643,"entry_price":644,"won":12,"source":606,"end_date_iso":645,"captured_at":646,"question":647,"event_slug":46,"category":38},"0x95fc6a4ed7f6856d26aa7f21b9f902d05c9cf76b616fd3463de4d147f7a9126b",8681.209179,0.8297,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","2026-07-30T20:19:16.901Z","Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?",{"condition_id":649,"outcome":29,"usdc":650,"entry_price":651,"won":12,"source":606,"end_date_iso":652,"captured_at":653,"question":654,"event_slug":640,"category":38},"0xf07b4131a14e832c04495f2c3102ee2ea2d010ce6e8d2991d9c7c781c44fdbfb",113.179395,0.9255,"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","2026-09-24T13:28:30.953Z","Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":656,"outcome":61,"usdc":657,"entry_price":658,"won":12,"source":606,"end_date_iso":652,"captured_at":659,"question":660,"event_slug":661,"category":106},"0x1e6b21ebd7b7740b6ea6a1553013586f6afd85f41eae68922d2eeb352ff8312e",279.94832,0.463,"2026-09-28T16:26:34.101Z","Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?","avgpt-of-ships-transiting-bab-el-mandeb-strait-end-of-september",{"condition_id":663,"outcome":29,"usdc":664,"entry_price":628,"won":12,"source":606,"end_date_iso":665,"captured_at":659,"question":666,"event_slug":667,"category":106},"0xd51d3eeb2009ece22a25f0809ccc294f2dbfc4e89c098b22de5ffe5da64ecb7e",254.9374,"2026-10-04T23:59:00Z","Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?","how-many-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-strait-week-of-september-28",{"condition_id":669,"outcome":29,"usdc":670,"entry_price":671,"won":12,"source":606,"end_date_iso":652,"captured_at":659,"question":672,"event_slug":661,"category":106},"0xe8619de4d27410d4788a1b1331fd028b369f41dad4f04a04b6b183d6a46c728c",66.633532,0.5684,"Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?",{"condition_id":674,"outcome":29,"usdc":675,"entry_price":676,"won":12,"source":677,"end_date_iso":678,"captured_at":679,"question":680,"event_slug":681,"category":38},"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089",5588.252395999999,0.5821148956270169,"backfill","2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","2026-06-18T22:37:25.632Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":683,"outcome":61,"usdc":684,"entry_price":685,"won":12,"source":677,"end_date_iso":686,"captured_at":687,"question":688,"event_slug":689,"category":38},"0x0efcc493f7e7578cd5808b29e08c2535dee61c2a1fe841696e76e7892b29cca8",849.16337,0.4838791324311075,"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","2026-09-22T23:06:16.759Z","Starmer out by July 31, 2026?","starmer-out-in-2025",{"condition_id":691,"outcome":29,"usdc":692,"entry_price":693,"won":12,"source":677,"end_date_iso":694,"captured_at":13,"question":695,"event_slug":696,"category":697},"0x18cc783dc22e861a77278f463f791161b4a5b6d5836b67e61b981e53a0b1f789",500,0.8,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?","will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march",null,{"condition_id":699,"outcome":29,"usdc":700,"entry_price":701,"won":12,"source":677,"end_date_iso":702,"captured_at":13,"question":703,"event_slug":704,"category":697},"0x19966af675c9fd1a4db02b3cf7da257cfe505c0ff67332131471e9e03849c520",1721.3344000000004,0.7476715922925301,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-this-week-apr-6-12",{"condition_id":706,"outcome":29,"usdc":707,"entry_price":708,"won":17,"source":677,"end_date_iso":709,"captured_at":687,"question":710,"event_slug":681,"category":38},"0x20af55ab35186377b81219db6cb8615240cba42cea41731091be9484a5f5b122",3269.3,0.726511111111111,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":712,"outcome":61,"usdc":713,"entry_price":714,"won":12,"source":677,"end_date_iso":715,"captured_at":13,"question":716,"event_slug":717,"category":697},"0x2234db8294ec63c7e41dfad5e5a33f6451e6d1be2d07f9709836ed99533eeba4",20.99,0.1890990991,"2026-03-29T00:00:00Z","Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-this-week-mar-23-29",{"condition_id":719,"outcome":61,"usdc":720,"entry_price":721,"won":17,"source":677,"end_date_iso":722,"captured_at":13,"question":723,"event_slug":724,"category":697},"0x22f1959ce82daef1af8fe36b23dafe5c9e50b75197c163f83aedfde74d365c91",217.148797,0.15055381943036672,"2026-03-23T00:00:00Z","Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-this-week-mar-17-23",{"condition_id":726,"outcome":61,"usdc":727,"entry_price":728,"won":17,"source":677,"end_date_iso":729,"captured_at":679,"question":730,"event_slug":731,"category":697},"0x30474a7415361f2f4228c5b1e064575f992ccaf3b5afef0a9ef45c81d54cb639",104.04983899999999,0.08760175039614679,"2026-04-19T00:00:00Z","Will 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-this-week-apr-13-19",{"condition_id":733,"outcome":61,"usdc":734,"entry_price":735,"won":12,"source":677,"end_date_iso":702,"captured_at":13,"question":736,"event_slug":704,"category":697},"0x30a5bc9701d7a29237f05fd6a76678d139413124a12092b7d1c334926f7a5425",1340.15138,0.3229280434,"Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?",{"condition_id":738,"outcome":29,"usdc":739,"entry_price":740,"won":12,"source":677,"end_date_iso":741,"captured_at":13,"question":742,"event_slug":743,"category":697},"0x30a892ea01a40602dd58029243f165a97ce22dbfeabf427f86d705ae650fad4b",99.999996,0.8398114727,"2026-03-01T00:00:00Z","US forces enter Iran by March 14?","us-forces-enter-iran-by",{"condition_id":738,"outcome":61,"usdc":745,"entry_price":746,"won":17,"source":677,"end_date_iso":741,"captured_at":13,"question":742,"event_slug":743,"category":697},300,0.0490508657,{"condition_id":748,"outcome":29,"usdc":749,"entry_price":750,"won":12,"source":677,"end_date_iso":751,"captured_at":687,"question":752,"event_slug":681,"category":38},"0x366f89649caea042c96ee741b185461ec7faa408a2664ec44469a0061924b537",1780,0.89,"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":754,"outcome":29,"usdc":755,"entry_price":756,"won":17,"source":677,"end_date_iso":729,"captured_at":679,"question":757,"event_slug":731,"category":697},"0x3941412b11ae9b812dec52db55e99b1465a7f4a3b95e364d58ce7c943bf95018",371.735945,0.8747060650183893,"Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?",{"condition_id":759,"outcome":29,"usdc":760,"entry_price":761,"won":17,"source":677,"end_date_iso":762,"captured_at":13,"question":763,"event_slug":764,"category":106},"0x4a6d4c72d86663a536102eccaa422e573b3df66b7e6afa12225778b39991212f",40,0.4,"2026-09-27T23:59:00Z","Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-september-21",{"condition_id":766,"outcome":61,"usdc":767,"entry_price":768,"won":17,"source":677,"end_date_iso":722,"captured_at":13,"question":769,"event_slug":724,"category":697},"0x4bb5a78086ef09e6945ff7b96e87e7d79f306165952bf4744754fab7dfb823bf",49.999999,0.0799529519,"Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?",{"condition_id":771,"outcome":29,"usdc":772,"entry_price":773,"won":12,"source":677,"end_date_iso":694,"captured_at":679,"question":774,"event_slug":775,"category":106},"0x4befb52f7cd2b606c63731ad74e677325ff0ed0f48f1104552a34f0f54619ea3",2261.983,0.8840360339234768,"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?","kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31",{"condition_id":777,"outcome":29,"usdc":778,"entry_price":779,"won":12,"source":677,"end_date_iso":678,"captured_at":679,"question":780,"event_slug":781,"category":106},"0x518a5b030b205706b8ffe6bbad9bd3de59548348e5c0471827f5de21e513333c",11487.813798,0.604607213443346,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may",{"condition_id":783,"outcome":29,"usdc":784,"entry_price":785,"won":12,"source":677,"end_date_iso":722,"captured_at":13,"question":786,"event_slug":724,"category":697},"0x5c4e41b63d9026d085966fdaf1babd8548f56f0098271479f70831b60fd7fac5",2615.6654930000004,0.7544690296927736,"Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?",{"condition_id":788,"outcome":29,"usdc":789,"entry_price":790,"won":17,"source":677,"end_date_iso":678,"captured_at":679,"question":791,"event_slug":681,"category":38},"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7",5768.7804,0.6409756,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":793,"outcome":61,"usdc":794,"entry_price":795,"won":17,"source":677,"end_date_iso":729,"captured_at":679,"question":796,"event_slug":731,"category":697},"0x61efc2e765c52c2e3313d9690b73fd2357ecc8a640bf5e5f37f77f4b5995391c",56.705629,0.062227297827889945,"Will 20-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?",{"condition_id":798,"outcome":29,"usdc":799,"entry_price":800,"won":12,"source":677,"end_date_iso":694,"captured_at":13,"question":801,"event_slug":696,"category":697},"0x78f97eed822885c3813ab7ba0ba41a5c1bb0ca0f0f622698bfc0460931aff51a",3861.348979,0.7369148848869846,"Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?",{"condition_id":798,"outcome":61,"usdc":803,"entry_price":804,"won":17,"source":677,"end_date_iso":694,"captured_at":13,"question":801,"event_slug":696,"category":697},399.999999,0.3949367085658356,{"condition_id":806,"outcome":29,"usdc":807,"entry_price":808,"won":12,"source":677,"end_date_iso":694,"captured_at":13,"question":809,"event_slug":696,"category":697},"0x7c67b6d6caa39a8d54a58efff83dba75182420fa245fd93e98cf0fb54876ea91",849.999995,0.8227139393907549,"Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?",{"condition_id":811,"outcome":61,"usdc":812,"entry_price":813,"won":17,"source":677,"end_date_iso":694,"captured_at":13,"question":814,"event_slug":815,"category":697},"0x814657a16a3c5b39834864251372e30f68ddcd0f040c5c6a83a52cddb2c35226",480.199998,0.4815096715392601,"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?","will-crude-oil-cl-hit-by-end-of-march",{"condition_id":817,"outcome":61,"usdc":818,"entry_price":819,"won":17,"source":677,"end_date_iso":820,"captured_at":13,"question":821,"event_slug":822,"category":697},"0x8241e8fdb118e0e14f3b9413d114276547f1704372eb023af521504057c9df66",254.100261,0.23765015217275365,"2026-03-16T00:00:00Z","Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-this-week-mar-10-16",{"condition_id":824,"outcome":61,"usdc":825,"entry_price":826,"won":17,"source":677,"end_date_iso":827,"captured_at":13,"question":828,"event_slug":829,"category":697},"0x88086e38791e1c5f14955306d29789183d7ddeef1d4ed2f0ad83cd24eacf8f22",20.63386,0.1355885136,"2026-04-05T00:00:00Z","Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 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