[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0xa1ff0bea9fbd70d909d498d62d05651a23c8f398":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":203,"history":204,"resolved":207,"resolvedSummary":646,"specialization":648,"meta":661},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0xa1ff0bea9fbd70d909d498d62d05651a23c8f398",1124,383,0.08877284595300261,1.132552636030213,0.06432541944320538,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-27T13:42:13.448Z",2.0039976788511757,2.9347258485639687,"2026-09-27T13:56:05.000Z",0,"trades",0.032835379634203694,0.055937466318799055,869.2693829982484,767.5311110000004,2.690276505501499,0.0783289817232376,[26,39,46,53,61,68,76,83,90,98,105,116,126,133,142,151,159,169,178,186,194],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"9894510651052373088408067031031513212801618531203062911959630395716258202132","0x024b68f77bfc019341ee3db8f57c103334e4b9430bba4746d8c94aafd8b36fee","Yes",1613.7542,0.0372,"2026-10-09T22:43:36.607Z","2026-09-27T21:19:40.367Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027","2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","[\"0.0435\", \"0.9565\"]","Crypto",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":44,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":45,"category":38},"13887983551129862992605123088744175927084435631400400451585519366058907542147","0xce3c54c3e773e8b3bf73e4c12af93205b21195d03b9c386e22f274b9acfc2c56",955.0503,0.0628,"Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.07\", \"0.93\"]",{"token_id":47,"condition_id":48,"outcome":29,"size":49,"avg_price":50,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":51,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":52,"category":38},"26181023444847865740144968881453381639052456965503182671034643115973725837732","0x6d7203b2161a636a6ad554a986400e29411aecfdb51f91416a0ef9f7b6685e3b",168.38,0.321,"Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.355\", \"0.645\"]",{"token_id":54,"condition_id":55,"outcome":29,"size":56,"avg_price":57,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":58,"question":59,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":60,"category":38},"53780045235418715931128205720209124033878539466833083429441668150974549326823","0xfd7fcadffdf6a454c940569d4e1e6a9cc8e8682b70b5eb5e7fbbe76bb1844c1c",267,0.1493,"2026-09-28T12:58:23.735Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.205\", \"0.795\"]",{"token_id":62,"condition_id":63,"outcome":29,"size":64,"avg_price":65,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":66,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":67,"category":38},"115462087336983275104521488923966022755348986822352694745153736621832003960847","0x752fa61c93f16c4b15e85b0bd438d9c684176b0ea7b319a84c8aca34616e8a8c",300.5047,0.0801,"Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.085\", \"0.915\"]",{"token_id":69,"condition_id":70,"outcome":29,"size":71,"avg_price":72,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":73,"question":74,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":75,"category":38},"4255890554350661695724949176183233033027635903850796430457642328613772591960","0x1e5564c1a2a6839cc2780a889437c63786a2c2ec5e95569b710ee659a3e8baa2",799.3434,0.03,"2026-10-04T09:37:11.214Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.039\", \"0.961\"]",{"token_id":77,"condition_id":78,"outcome":29,"size":79,"avg_price":80,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":81,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":82,"category":38},"32100646597103151520708930825184762124585961199171649862922931416837210460836","0x903a1387e6414be5529efc8f7757e30371e6698de9d68fa4ce33252009db69ef",834.05,0.0287,"Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.0155\", \"0.9845\"]",{"token_id":84,"condition_id":85,"outcome":29,"size":86,"avg_price":87,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":88,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":89,"category":38},"19830138103155427354579425893303398904208550475895360582465715721785944321950","0x2745c38ff0617cb345c1d2df19b4f74ea777508e07411e88eeb6ab3affcda2a2",599.9973,0.0336,"Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.022\", \"0.978\"]",{"token_id":91,"condition_id":92,"outcome":29,"size":93,"avg_price":94,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":95,"question":96,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":97,"category":38},"104279604547231872129402198190232956636095665469278761891693384128061158683041","0x6c8bc8cd9b2d64358ad995ccee8e998cf0f81a89c4be0b8e51eadf09c6be60ba",119.99,0.1199,"2026-10-02T22:02:57.126Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.145\", \"0.855\"]",{"token_id":99,"condition_id":100,"outcome":29,"size":101,"avg_price":102,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":103,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":104,"category":38},"58908160299895538838177673280060816284346493901538403975218911918392404378292","0xe326d1abf5fb59b82ecfdff3348e75f90561eace327ba1bdc8d38d045ddbe775",1000,0.0142,"Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.0085\", \"0.9915\"]",{"token_id":106,"condition_id":107,"outcome":108,"size":109,"avg_price":110,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":111,"event_slug":112,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":113,"outcome_prices":114,"category":115},"39373487576664270116792334269119474851990257466180814896523317846516214211778","0xbd4691809d489cec16fa1d35a93fa6094d0760ef3c693e478c2966c7c89c91a0","No",234,0.06,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963","2026-10-16T03:59:00Z","[\"0.955\", \"0.045\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":117,"condition_id":118,"outcome":108,"size":119,"avg_price":120,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":121,"event_slug":122,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":123,"outcome_prices":124,"category":125},"18368161459732947229970694377522451372979676356971809107906485726590890158916","0x334954cfe7d8ae24e350972470c156f5b2cdd4616dcaa5bfb71b4e2b2298d690",110,0.064,"US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?","us-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt","2026-10-13T03:59:00Z","[\"0.952\", \"0.048\"]","Politics",{"token_id":127,"condition_id":128,"outcome":29,"size":129,"avg_price":130,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":131,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":132,"category":38},"59683974246799525831244219921114455736275705032978487912646746315061494194144","0x23fb92bb72604ff35bfe591b5506de47f1bf6632ed55c388baa4843118bf69fc",401.8181,0.0153,"Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.0105\", \"0.9895\"]",{"token_id":134,"condition_id":135,"outcome":29,"size":136,"avg_price":137,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":138,"event_slug":139,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":140,"outcome_prices":141,"category":115},"100251386924567434813610073998110849042928844262201505163683636677492830208176","0x15c1e599ee1ec3560eabeba44bd60dd94ace243d0e1821ac5495a3c813da10a7",706.007,0.0086,"Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?","iran-invades-kuwait-byptptpt-20260720015031544","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0075\", \"0.9925\"]",{"token_id":143,"condition_id":144,"outcome":29,"size":145,"avg_price":146,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":147,"event_slug":148,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":149,"outcome_prices":150,"category":125},"59252515735652674747158950210016502214756531287333895140318848923768750410355","0x48b0b0bca515f68fccf95af4793dbd0edbfec1f8ec6e8df2c0f69ba74f8c4722",100,0.041,"Trump out as President before 2027?","trump-out-as-president-before-2027","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.0405\", \"0.9595\"]",{"token_id":152,"condition_id":153,"outcome":29,"size":154,"avg_price":155,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":156,"event_slug":157,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":149,"outcome_prices":158,"category":125},"22094182676612877581056034720566110371610082057092726094559729674155018648896","0x4c8ceef9b9c0a27b6b4efa7c398ece4a5eeda76502f722de398c232abefe2ede",239.9849,0.017,"Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?","will-trump-be-impeached-by-december-31-2026","[\"0.02\", \"0.98\"]",{"token_id":160,"condition_id":161,"outcome":29,"size":162,"avg_price":163,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":164,"question":165,"event_slug":166,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":167,"outcome_prices":168,"category":125},"18246296022868501258060085368606280205967114341141276439803424448463050819498","0xde5d75ab7702875623ba509bc923241e1211da74a113521b3b70ddac930d7316",540,0.0075,"2026-09-29T01:57:17.045Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537","2026-10-29T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0035\", \"0.9965\"]",{"token_id":170,"condition_id":171,"outcome":108,"size":172,"avg_price":173,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":174,"event_slug":175,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":176,"outcome_prices":177,"category":125},"64635311529640455125556922051634479247303170171949578280510016516513243077884","0x28ef98bb4abf36d03e593430350c0cabd3edbff4630ec85ac6e9972d1b1638e1",2000,0.002,"US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?","us-yemen-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt","2026-10-09T23:59:00Z","[\"0.9995\", \"0.0005\"]",{"token_id":179,"condition_id":180,"outcome":29,"size":181,"avg_price":182,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":183,"event_slug":184,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":149,"outcome_prices":185,"category":125},"107505882767731489358349912513945399560393482969656700824895970500493757150417","0x747dc809fb79e1b05be09c42d6179459a58de2ef3e40f02484a4e1260f741f75",120,0.0329,"Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?","will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027","[\"0.0305\", \"0.9695\"]",{"token_id":187,"condition_id":188,"outcome":108,"size":189,"avg_price":190,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":191,"event_slug":175,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":192,"outcome_prices":193,"category":125},"53004206407607176239740281377687057099351731202969563013219502811120695311511","0x666c7561884f8d1ed6b3b7fe89a98e6895017244c5399bfb200b804844110b20",20,0.12,"US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?","2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.775\", \"0.225\"]",{"token_id":195,"condition_id":196,"outcome":29,"size":197,"avg_price":198,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":199,"question":200,"event_slug":201,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":149,"outcome_prices":202,"category":125},"21455283528483210015776530503837784106628000126397183900558214417906926178675","0x501986de68bd14841c835ec33df35e3cb5355ecff2ace13c0b31d8b907f7f018",49.9906,0.04,"2026-10-01T23:29:45.048Z","Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to \"Strait of Trump\" by December 31?","trump-renames-strait-of-hormuz-to-strait-of-trump-by-december-31","[\"0.046\", \"0.954\"]",[],[205],{"recorded_date":206,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-27",[208,217,223,230,236,241,246,251,256,261,266,274,281,288,293,300,305,312,319,325,330,336,342,348,353,360,365,371,376,383,390,394,399,406,413,420,423,428,434,439,445,450,454,459,462,469,472,479,484,488,494,498,503,508,514,518,521,527,532,536,543,547,553,560,564,571,576,580,585,592,596,601,606,612,615,620,625,628,635,639],{"condition_id":209,"outcome":29,"usdc":210,"entry_price":211,"won":17,"source":212,"end_date_iso":213,"captured_at":214,"question":215,"event_slug":216,"category":115},"0xa84fb47f9c33fd7e05571361bc472e164fc32b9a461397ece5125702922f1058",0.24474,0.003,"live","2026-09-30T20:59:00Z","2026-09-28T01:58:11.706Z","Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?","pakistan-military-action-against-yemen-by-20260909",{"condition_id":218,"outcome":29,"usdc":219,"entry_price":220,"won":17,"source":212,"end_date_iso":213,"captured_at":214,"question":221,"event_slug":222,"category":115},"0x0f94ae65ad29cb9e7c7703a71d404f7616edeebbc2873257759c746156d96425",8.16,0.012,"Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?","will-iran-target-ukraine-byptptpt-20260727234956916",{"condition_id":224,"outcome":29,"usdc":225,"entry_price":226,"won":17,"source":212,"end_date_iso":227,"captured_at":214,"question":228,"event_slug":229,"category":38},"0xccb8e90599bb683621459d301d8bbfa215c1b77f18c4210bcfcb43e1237ed8aa",4.3999999999999995,0.044,"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2026?","when-will-bitcoin-hit-100k",{"condition_id":231,"outcome":29,"usdc":232,"entry_price":233,"won":17,"source":212,"end_date_iso":227,"captured_at":214,"question":234,"event_slug":235,"category":38},"0xc983f8d9908138977e27fb7d37ecf429a4b9802df76e82d6ad242f7d1adb961c",4.0002,0.05,"Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-september-2026",{"condition_id":237,"outcome":29,"usdc":238,"entry_price":239,"won":17,"source":212,"end_date_iso":227,"captured_at":214,"question":240,"event_slug":235,"category":38},"0xfd46209e98e6d2f27aa3afcb83fd1ee3696090ddae4479f7726e0c64ee630b1b",1.793701,0.0299,"Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?",{"condition_id":242,"outcome":29,"usdc":243,"entry_price":244,"won":17,"source":212,"end_date_iso":227,"captured_at":214,"question":245,"event_slug":235,"category":38},"0x1f2be6118486a83063777ae3cc88d2e04b8d6f84ec46fcd137596431bcb3cfc9",9.284559900000001,0.0599,"Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?",{"condition_id":247,"outcome":29,"usdc":248,"entry_price":249,"won":17,"source":212,"end_date_iso":227,"captured_at":214,"question":250,"event_slug":235,"category":38},"0x22f3847ddb652d34c1b5d0c73a65b49224713e8a51848fdfbd99ec82c2305c25",3.95973567,0.0099,"Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?",{"condition_id":252,"outcome":29,"usdc":253,"entry_price":254,"won":17,"source":212,"end_date_iso":227,"captured_at":214,"question":255,"event_slug":235,"category":38},"0x2c47938eef5f049db49b140a169041b73a1089e1b8cc8d0924fd62e1ccdfa141",11.99258965,0.0365,"Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?",{"condition_id":257,"outcome":29,"usdc":258,"entry_price":259,"won":17,"source":212,"end_date_iso":227,"captured_at":214,"question":260,"event_slug":235,"category":38},"0x4ee7d3721d55f80f96c85072ff5fec40e02842a4f27f47e8055292300aca3e52",19.849305,0.0105,"Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?",{"condition_id":262,"outcome":29,"usdc":263,"entry_price":264,"won":17,"source":212,"end_date_iso":227,"captured_at":214,"question":265,"event_slug":235,"category":38},"0x77e0be26980ec4b22b11935eae0a23243093487829969fe65ef22a55c4120116",2.15982,0.018,"Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?",{"condition_id":267,"outcome":29,"usdc":268,"entry_price":173,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":270,"captured_at":13,"question":271,"event_slug":272,"category":273},"0x09d0be42ad31653e33bec18b374d630ee7568853b0e6bf82488ca4978e1279f1",2,"backfill","2026-09-18T04:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 17?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-on-september-17-2026",null,{"condition_id":275,"outcome":29,"usdc":276,"entry_price":277,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":278,"captured_at":13,"question":279,"event_slug":280,"category":273},"0x0f13212aa2b7f25ba4718dc2ecd23d068b18a04a8b801da4b0ac96d943576f99",6.229762,0.029248876128859597,"2026-09-17T16:00:00Z","Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?","bitcoin-above-on-september-17-2026",{"condition_id":282,"outcome":29,"usdc":283,"entry_price":284,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":13,"question":286,"event_slug":287,"category":273},"0x10947a89b330b6446b3dcfa3570d3a18c4c14e8a8be769c1fd31341530d18ee9",0.399988,0.001,"2026-09-21T04:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 20?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-on-september-20-2026",{"condition_id":289,"outcome":29,"usdc":290,"entry_price":211,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":13,"question":291,"event_slug":292,"category":273},"0x11d9acd0dfc29610ee92568835bed51078a169c240c56d9cdcec4e7cf5276ebb",0.96,"Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-september-14-20-2026",{"condition_id":294,"outcome":108,"usdc":295,"entry_price":296,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":297,"captured_at":13,"question":298,"event_slug":299,"category":273},"0x137cf69002f2f24c6cbc7572321db1f6fd995f53d2457fda7e52f7fd82446794",16.23999,0.016571428327102025,"2026-08-31T20:29:00Z","US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?","us-ceasefire-against-iran-continues-throughptptpt",{"condition_id":301,"outcome":29,"usdc":12,"entry_price":284,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":302,"captured_at":13,"question":303,"event_slug":304,"category":273},"0x1c63bd3019b28074556a5753280785ec37b3b450600b863b4364e241d1731145","2026-09-19T04:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on September 18?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-on-september-18-2026",{"condition_id":306,"outcome":29,"usdc":307,"entry_price":308,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":309,"captured_at":13,"question":310,"event_slug":311,"category":273},"0x1d40ed0aac43b797c80bc5b0b232c0959a5751deb0813ea268d28b7dc952123c",2.3523,0.011,"2026-08-04T04:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 3?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-on-august-3",{"condition_id":313,"outcome":29,"usdc":314,"entry_price":315,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":316,"captured_at":13,"question":317,"event_slug":318,"category":273},"0x1f39ba3e53f09174240cf6732a4d9670be9201eb5143cd2d7f5e8b83246358b3",4,0.008,"2026-09-16T04:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 15?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-on-september-15-2026",{"condition_id":320,"outcome":29,"usdc":321,"entry_price":284,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":322,"captured_at":13,"question":323,"event_slug":324,"category":273},"0x1f51d6e06ba09e2c46ba74f900b2edfd368fb1af12377650f5c06fdbb0be97bb",1.04995,"2026-09-18T15:59:00Z","Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?","bank-of-japan-decision-in-september-20260616002734979",{"condition_id":326,"outcome":29,"usdc":327,"entry_price":328,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":302,"captured_at":13,"question":329,"event_slug":304,"category":273},"0x2163513f10f381dd52d4ae4207c5539e9ca64904bf34dfd0a832640ce6da6346",8.007585,0.002953721793720312,"Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 18?",{"condition_id":331,"outcome":108,"usdc":332,"entry_price":333,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":334,"captured_at":13,"question":335,"event_slug":112,"category":115},"0x2e47cff93eb647a0487879f781ec583f8849eeb397ff0ad5cb38f77ec916c8a7",3.92,0.014,"2026-08-03T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?",{"condition_id":337,"outcome":29,"usdc":338,"entry_price":315,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":339,"captured_at":13,"question":340,"event_slug":341,"category":125},"0x2e4b58fc18dbffd74d5275d89fb076943f21992763c45dcadd81391b83bde13c",4.1984,"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-september-762",{"condition_id":343,"outcome":108,"usdc":344,"entry_price":345,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":346,"captured_at":13,"question":347,"event_slug":299,"category":273},"0x305c77ad59fa89533c15e415d8e6a57eb490215094cc9f937b963a19c5f66c44",4.02,0.00773076923076923,"2026-08-25T23:59:00Z","US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?",{"condition_id":349,"outcome":29,"usdc":350,"entry_price":351,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":13,"question":352,"event_slug":292,"category":273},"0x36745ffdf2562417915c178d89ce5b64ccb72eec2962eb1fadbf1b864a989215",5.17355,0.013889518413597732,"Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20?",{"condition_id":354,"outcome":29,"usdc":355,"entry_price":356,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":357,"captured_at":13,"question":358,"event_slug":359,"category":273},"0x375a915f3d4316ac6862a62859176e4bc29a39b94f228c852371e7f5c4969bee",2.04,0.006,"2026-09-20T04:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on September 19?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-on-september-19-2026",{"condition_id":361,"outcome":29,"usdc":362,"entry_price":363,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":13,"question":364,"event_slug":292,"category":273},"0x3d627ba47198c404069e7651cd6a759e0d32bf4c11e468bd5ea9ffc0b5aa52b0",3.439858,0.01563655934889429,"Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 14-20?",{"condition_id":366,"outcome":108,"usdc":367,"entry_price":368,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":369,"captured_at":13,"question":370,"event_slug":122,"category":125},"0x3ebfc39ef533f45e1ea4faa9b72715ff2251de8c86623de65e457aa8df4c8bf3",6.319940000000001,0.010360642300346725,"2026-09-25T23:59:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?",{"condition_id":372,"outcome":108,"usdc":373,"entry_price":374,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":322,"captured_at":13,"question":375,"event_slug":324,"category":273},"0x424a35de2ed7150339423462d110256fd1a40b6a5f07c0002433bc89201798d7",4.099797000000001,0.0013333336666670002,"Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":377,"outcome":29,"usdc":378,"entry_price":379,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":380,"captured_at":13,"question":381,"event_slug":382,"category":125},"0x43c89ef923509c4239a87379ce3eb8762236a9176fbbb3c71f025b2191b1a354",46.353685000000006,0.015201257711137688,"2026-08-31T21:59:00Z","Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?","european-military-action-on-iran-byptptpt-20260720022428140",{"condition_id":384,"outcome":29,"usdc":385,"entry_price":386,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":387,"captured_at":13,"question":388,"event_slug":389,"category":115},"0x4a83871e808542d234fc72340d9a1c0d3091a56f863c134e9a71c3534521f774",22.599809999999998,0.01614290400488477,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?","israel-ground-operation-in-iran-confirmed-by",{"condition_id":391,"outcome":29,"usdc":392,"entry_price":284,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":322,"captured_at":13,"question":393,"event_slug":324,"category":273},"0x4dbe315b8f966874291965f941a94b8b84ef44415be0f92eb8abbfcc595c8c6f",1.03703,"Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":395,"outcome":29,"usdc":396,"entry_price":397,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":13,"question":398,"event_slug":287,"category":273},"0x4f1c8ba05acf17889ede99414c2e19a4693b2e380864b03885a9db4e1836e693",1.44,0.00464516129032258,"Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 20?",{"condition_id":400,"outcome":29,"usdc":401,"entry_price":402,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":403,"captured_at":13,"question":404,"event_slug":405,"category":273},"0x5957803226bfffef35212a5da4c1b4f26216dc364eeb6108236a723c900d1e52",2.35832,0.033816765918460834,"2026-07-05T16:00:00Z","Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 5?","bitcoin-price-on-july-5-2026",{"condition_id":407,"outcome":29,"usdc":408,"entry_price":409,"won":12,"source":269,"end_date_iso":410,"captured_at":13,"question":411,"event_slug":412,"category":273},"0x5bd7f96d38645c7dabffa94c6f48e741f86655ba0dbd48cd4e7f9bbdde2774cc",136.55757200000002,0.20402521769322893,"2026-09-01T04:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-august-2026",{"condition_id":414,"outcome":29,"usdc":415,"entry_price":416,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":417,"captured_at":13,"question":418,"event_slug":419,"category":273},"0x5ee21e02b55e82da7425e7631eae7c6edfad0a6489d1d38362ec255c8ff1d27f",3.84,0.032,"2026-07-04T16:00:00Z","Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 4?","bitcoin-above-on-july-4-2026",{"condition_id":421,"outcome":29,"usdc":12,"entry_price":284,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":302,"captured_at":13,"question":422,"event_slug":304,"category":273},"0x62c1749c0071aaf9c43c9e7d251147e692279ecd8f7defd5d3273e270274f430","Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 18?",{"condition_id":424,"outcome":29,"usdc":425,"entry_price":426,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":357,"captured_at":13,"question":427,"event_slug":359,"category":273},"0x65178ced267223c09442616cd121b144593acb75e0e86e856ef2dc1923f3b286",2.8399280000000005,0.012909078149920131,"Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 19?",{"condition_id":429,"outcome":108,"usdc":430,"entry_price":431,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":432,"captured_at":13,"question":433,"event_slug":112,"category":115},"0x68818a54ca4c49406bb28ada26ecf9ce732dba21505454ce874e7066da6d788c",88.06,0.03145,"2026-08-09T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?",{"condition_id":435,"outcome":29,"usdc":12,"entry_price":284,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":436,"captured_at":13,"question":437,"event_slug":438,"category":38},"0x69ca392419bc8b25de5d97c75864c8857b4c13e25ed083b9fd6685720aa844aa","2026-09-22T04:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 21?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-on-september-21-2026",{"condition_id":440,"outcome":108,"usdc":441,"entry_price":442,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":443,"captured_at":13,"question":444,"event_slug":112,"category":115},"0x6acdc3316f0b43ca4fbc13623fc018e30f2fd20ae7b93bdc07c8193e99b0ac4d",93.929696,0.02136711884390981,"2026-08-15T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?",{"condition_id":446,"outcome":29,"usdc":447,"entry_price":448,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":302,"captured_at":13,"question":449,"event_slug":304,"category":273},"0x7030c5fd4016bd30b68ea8050770f19103cac3a0e60735d6bd003ed8de22e254",3.999629,0.005,"Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 18?",{"condition_id":451,"outcome":29,"usdc":452,"entry_price":284,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":13,"question":453,"event_slug":287,"category":273},"0x79695b0f77d857a5e06709ac354cdaeb71a39da6d7f1374bf93f86f1cb8f2fbe",0.2,"Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 20?",{"condition_id":455,"outcome":29,"usdc":456,"entry_price":457,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":13,"question":458,"event_slug":287,"category":273},"0x7dd55713faae75469f2b18468fc8bf116713123e834ca9bd96d5af04c3a0e0a5",1.96,0.007,"Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 20?",{"condition_id":460,"outcome":29,"usdc":268,"entry_price":448,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":302,"captured_at":13,"question":461,"event_slug":304,"category":273},"0x7ebe6bb34e7f74dff3dbf3ad95446108d6a2394b0f256ccec004e87385ab61f6","Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 18?",{"condition_id":463,"outcome":29,"usdc":464,"entry_price":465,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":466,"captured_at":13,"question":467,"event_slug":468,"category":273},"0x81b29bac89835972725cb174b0c989b954db05974f960f605d75c7d8771659c2",6.5874619999999995,0.010399524950469804,"2026-08-05T04:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 4?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-on-august-4",{"condition_id":470,"outcome":29,"usdc":452,"entry_price":284,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":13,"question":471,"event_slug":287,"category":273},"0x83ccf53deeef4c23bb431f27762aaee024478784d2ae9caf74f61fbb7de0ca75","Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 20?",{"condition_id":473,"outcome":29,"usdc":474,"entry_price":475,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":476,"captured_at":13,"question":477,"event_slug":478,"category":125},"0x876047c0df88886ddbe468fe811bc75a667da45a552d798e626ecfc5c60d52d9",26.399613,0.051764637659989426,"2026-05-29T00:00:00Z","US announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by June 12?","us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by",{"condition_id":480,"outcome":108,"usdc":481,"entry_price":482,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":339,"captured_at":13,"question":483,"event_slug":341,"category":125},"0x876506d8b2bd7a0d3fa4fe18c024eee6e1dd81ee24c26795dadd6cfe4a7b5d0d",24.950699999999998,0.2033898305084746,"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":485,"outcome":29,"usdc":486,"entry_price":284,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":13,"question":487,"event_slug":287,"category":273},"0x8e24ebc4c6e462e5d2c96e3c0ff8f0bbf077f053e23398e5079f56d3fdd02139",0.1,"Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 20?",{"condition_id":489,"outcome":108,"usdc":490,"entry_price":491,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":492,"captured_at":13,"question":493,"event_slug":112,"category":115},"0x93796dea2fe5dfc8da1a942448e6ab767d9bb3464a96ea3a527dfed0ef7bd958",24.02994,0.019692377801062654,"2026-08-02T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?",{"condition_id":495,"outcome":29,"usdc":496,"entry_price":284,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":357,"captured_at":13,"question":497,"event_slug":359,"category":273},"0x950bc4cd227be8fa19c5c23a1d433b2f55216b4d48fe965d96e62c430780d841",0.23876,"Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 19?",{"condition_id":499,"outcome":29,"usdc":500,"entry_price":501,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":302,"captured_at":13,"question":502,"event_slug":304,"category":273},"0x9520f5c701a7d38a131f5e4e1a156eaf243ad100451c0aed3a0c97c049606bc0",8.4,0.00988235294117647,"Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 18?",{"condition_id":504,"outcome":29,"usdc":505,"entry_price":506,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":278,"captured_at":13,"question":507,"event_slug":280,"category":273},"0x95541f94e8d316478e46a5a490e14d0e8f971ecd884d57877ab37af1929c3b1f",18.127027,0.101591381351409,"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 17?",{"condition_id":509,"outcome":29,"usdc":510,"entry_price":511,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":13,"question":513,"event_slug":139,"category":115},"0x968e7d0e59659dc602480ed9ca6fbd933a25912e1667dcec1f43d243cec5e0b0",8.059682,0.005840487805114173,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?",{"condition_id":515,"outcome":29,"usdc":516,"entry_price":457,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":13,"question":517,"event_slug":287,"category":273},"0x972e086e75af82883fca32d20650356ad9501c7f394174ca611ae83db1c2e217",0.98,"Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 20?",{"condition_id":519,"outcome":29,"usdc":355,"entry_price":356,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":436,"captured_at":13,"question":520,"event_slug":438,"category":38},"0x9862f920f1ce4b39ad7e71e978fdcfb1392a08c2069647890158cb5c7b6c04cd","Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 21?",{"condition_id":522,"outcome":108,"usdc":523,"entry_price":524,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":525,"captured_at":13,"question":526,"event_slug":112,"category":115},"0x98f962ca4a21a47b73c8a914d08f224be31bc6dbdc609b3f0edd9654bbc802a1",11.94,0.01865625,"2026-08-01T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?",{"condition_id":528,"outcome":29,"usdc":529,"entry_price":530,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":357,"captured_at":13,"question":531,"event_slug":359,"category":273},"0x9a88da527a82c7e56d6c9788e67163feec6239ea868311692cc1c911c26a9790",2.2,0.011000000000000001,"Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 19?",{"condition_id":533,"outcome":29,"usdc":534,"entry_price":284,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":357,"captured_at":13,"question":535,"event_slug":359,"category":273},"0x9c97252795344f36f7e8109f25d8572397b7c64988d8e52cba4a9eb0e6094c01",0.4,"Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 19?",{"condition_id":537,"outcome":29,"usdc":538,"entry_price":539,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":540,"captured_at":13,"question":541,"event_slug":542,"category":273},"0xa0d56b6c4eb5b9773ab72fc3052cf3706afc00cb58df9fe9caf49d7e7a87edb6",12.200000000000001,0.0976,"2026-07-04T04:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on July 3?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-on-july-3",{"condition_id":544,"outcome":29,"usdc":268,"entry_price":545,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":357,"captured_at":13,"question":546,"event_slug":359,"category":273},"0xa123ca53a854a1b4f4edbf416ca131fed286bb7b98c5dd5d892a3b28b7da37ea",0.004,"Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 19?",{"condition_id":548,"outcome":108,"usdc":549,"entry_price":550,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":551,"captured_at":13,"question":552,"event_slug":112,"category":115},"0xa6480903e54c68f2ee79cacb7861dfcc9b473e8b07d6dcaf2c9923034a5fb56f",4.40965,0.035,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?",{"condition_id":554,"outcome":29,"usdc":555,"entry_price":556,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":557,"captured_at":13,"question":558,"event_slug":559,"category":273},"0xa7c341e6a9ff6b906bfdac14c2fe42bf2360c637cf8bc2c2bca65ecfa57d32c7",10.551710000000002,0.08329508196721311,"2026-07-06T04:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-june-29-july-5-2026",{"condition_id":561,"outcome":29,"usdc":562,"entry_price":173,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":322,"captured_at":13,"question":563,"event_slug":324,"category":273},"0xaa49a7412f36c5902e19bbee7570abd3ccc7b51d72c76c0f8526d9a1876d74eb",4.1996,"Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":565,"outcome":29,"usdc":566,"entry_price":567,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":568,"captured_at":13,"question":569,"event_slug":570,"category":273},"0xaf6bff9896e68c0ab490ea8c38b781c653e4e7b2a007f4c958161849bee821d0",2.9111000000000002,0.006999999999999999,"2026-08-05T16:00:00Z","Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5?","bitcoin-above-on-august-5-2026",{"condition_id":572,"outcome":29,"usdc":573,"entry_price":574,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":13,"question":575,"event_slug":287,"category":273},"0xb32e25617c0b07323009e66c6636f952f4a85cfd70999de6ff22db7caff99e27",0.619993,0.001823546367131088,"Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 20?",{"condition_id":577,"outcome":29,"usdc":314,"entry_price":578,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":322,"captured_at":13,"question":579,"event_slug":324,"category":273},"0xb64e4e073ef1242216ceeb1971e4fc5bc9094532558e89014b240992baac0c35",0.0013333333333333333,"Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":581,"outcome":29,"usdc":582,"entry_price":583,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":436,"captured_at":13,"question":584,"event_slug":438,"category":38},"0xb72e17af814f75c86f3a2f068340ef89d2cca9b1acf25c4aff32d61992ce93b4",0.8,0.0013333333333333335,"Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 21?",{"condition_id":586,"outcome":29,"usdc":587,"entry_price":588,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":589,"captured_at":13,"question":590,"event_slug":591,"category":115},"0xbf08ec6654ade883d96f3e25a5330ccf4aae0d8e9efa690c694305e95738e8a1",29.392809000000003,0.010924336925643485,"2026-08-16T03:59:00Z","Iran full airspace closure by August 15?","iran-full-airspace-closure-byptptpt-20260625195253028",{"condition_id":593,"outcome":29,"usdc":355,"entry_price":211,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":594,"captured_at":13,"question":595,"event_slug":222,"category":115},"0xc6abfadd32d976a4c2026a49c959f55baf0b48a67fc76b69ce3ea2464cbbedd5","2026-08-31T20:59:00Z","Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":597,"outcome":29,"usdc":598,"entry_price":599,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":551,"captured_at":13,"question":600,"event_slug":382,"category":125},"0xc92f028bf5667ffe2eab6020587346a4ba25bd49b2c2e330bff0ac18f5a46020",27.286680999999994,0.00354968695939638,"Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?",{"condition_id":602,"outcome":29,"usdc":603,"entry_price":604,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":13,"question":605,"event_slug":287,"category":273},"0xcabc764d179313c852728659c3dd32a05f8e97930042dc98a58a66c9d338063a",0.9598099999999999,0.012000000101228333,"Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 20?",{"condition_id":607,"outcome":29,"usdc":608,"entry_price":609,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":13,"question":610,"event_slug":611,"category":273},"0xcac53404ba81a6aa50cf82d94910d5d53a8fec972ec99ccac42bd20c83d060f0",8.08,0.01063157894736842,"Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?","openais-astra-released-by-20260801214557729",{"condition_id":613,"outcome":29,"usdc":268,"entry_price":173,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":302,"captured_at":13,"question":614,"event_slug":304,"category":273},"0xcc60f5b7d031e94f961b10fe341ddf4dc4012bcd98592c1e0a181c7f4af258f1","Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 18?",{"condition_id":616,"outcome":29,"usdc":617,"entry_price":618,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":13,"question":619,"event_slug":287,"category":273},"0xcf46c13d3dbc539c99e6acff83d697bc415ee0ee1e13fdc7964daa7735e7f1f7",4.56781,0.005986364864864865,"Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 20?",{"condition_id":621,"outcome":29,"usdc":622,"entry_price":623,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":302,"captured_at":13,"question":624,"event_slug":304,"category":273},"0xcf8256a7f6486199f3d5079c3a40dc2e552fb2ab7578027af76ce9937a6c65d3",12.706499,0.01265272924117868,"Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 18?",{"condition_id":626,"outcome":29,"usdc":12,"entry_price":284,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":302,"captured_at":13,"question":627,"event_slug":304,"category":273},"0xe23bd602aa35e03ee0dc4984d5409016521a6d3b7d05dd001251dbbaa9bd72b9","Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 18?",{"condition_id":629,"outcome":29,"usdc":630,"entry_price":631,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":632,"captured_at":13,"question":633,"event_slug":634,"category":115},"0xe2fc1b6f5e644f939e090c42c309a498db86fb3bc20c02f05021ab42f1567de7",8.566575,0.002812548658224527,"2026-06-16T00:00:00Z","No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?","bank-of-japan-decision-in-june",{"condition_id":636,"outcome":29,"usdc":637,"entry_price":284,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":302,"captured_at":13,"question":638,"event_slug":304,"category":273},"0xeda75671f9e854e0056a9cee527f30f82b7a0278419fec4e856d0fdf440089c3",1.999999,"Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 18?",{"condition_id":640,"outcome":108,"usdc":641,"entry_price":642,"won":17,"source":269,"end_date_iso":643,"captured_at":13,"question":644,"event_slug":645,"category":125},"0xfcc93de88db8519da63a0f56b47f895b4b5921f116ec7830910fe10ed151bd33",7.958900999999999,0.004785964488609894,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?","another-us-strike-on-venezuela-by",{"total":647,"wins":268},80,[649,654,657,659],{"category":650,"n":651,"wins":268,"hitRate":652,"roi":653},"Other",49,0.04081632653061224,4.101898963387729,{"category":115,"n":655,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":656},13,-1,{"category":38,"n":658,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":656},11,{"category":125,"n":660,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":656},7,{"generatedAt":662},"2026-10-11T01:03:32.891Z"]