[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x93521335308a270795daa9f073b5406938b12227":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":451,"history":452,"resolved":539,"resolvedSummary":1092,"specialization":1095,"meta":1132},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x93521335308a270795daa9f073b5406938b12227",6853,3332,0.5723289315726291,0.15463108852714694,0.17932609762338925,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-14T08:12:33.003Z",144.62831081392605,1.8367729831144466,"2026-10-13T19:48:13.000Z",0,"cooccurrence",0.4771644218031229,0.0951645097695074,74516.95839915573,481901.53163200157,9.013600450894728,0.01346389228886169,[26,39,49,59,67,75,83,90,98,108,117,124,134,144,151,161,172,181,190,200,210,218,224,231,241,247,255,264,272,280,287,293,301,309,317,324,329,336,344,350,359,367,377,385,393,402,410,417,426,434,441],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"34722410608062854697106861099776685947172185964394483545370684749662285977831","0x16c63b7cc37f012b9f59ee164ec03877914c701d06d48291ae8d6fc08a088b0d","Yes",6000,0.7,"2026-11-02T07:23:59.171Z","2026-10-30T16:49:06.694Z","2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House","balance-of-power-2026-midterms","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.9995\", \"0.0005\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":44,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":45,"question":46,"event_slug":47,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":48,"category":38},"9846414914422486942750462555692240718767368950832862364324602361738794436048","0x94521176f57d2ce81dde01e0b7699ca4279423042d37ed53908f0c8bfefe7e14","No",4761.9378,0.6938,"2026-11-01T02:14:32.030Z","Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?","texas-senate-election-winner","[\"0\", \"1\"]",{"token_id":50,"condition_id":51,"outcome":29,"size":52,"avg_price":53,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":45,"question":54,"event_slug":55,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":57,"category":58},"110603367150522970358057845798720100466393836827739464087140978215862498682879","0x8b8a3795365dec42e1e0377d3f912e682bfc657c2533e8b5870ec441e967b4dc",2999.995,0.9896,"Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?","will-1win-launch-a-token-by","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"1\", \"0\"]","Crypto",{"token_id":60,"condition_id":61,"outcome":42,"size":62,"avg_price":63,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":64,"question":65,"event_slug":66,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":48,"category":38},"108587038225191871355030577171066853142535232042155117887981453750193713427381","0x86bfb53af7250a40928975c551d12c185b762fa4ce0b40c6a64a50c946d72587",4000,0.72,"2026-11-02T15:42:53.230Z","Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?","which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026",{"token_id":68,"condition_id":69,"outcome":29,"size":70,"avg_price":71,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":72,"event_slug":73,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":74,"outcome_prices":48,"category":38},"11308864288973006753199540704778798414330563151778440954216228592301141985802","0xdbcc19248725b32aa85acbdd91f1877cb124a68cf6d7bc2d036e0e91ffa0f9c6",3686.76,0.78,"US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?","us-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt","2026-11-09T04:59:00Z",{"token_id":76,"condition_id":77,"outcome":42,"size":78,"avg_price":79,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":80,"question":81,"event_slug":82,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":57,"category":38},"47371207337429105795077789605234118169598966393033859219795208509845903311456","0xcceae66d81c60f90c9679ab531b865bd7e9f95cc54f7b0634a24095519b10d65",6451.5927,0.3635,"2026-11-01T06:04:49.162Z","Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?","florida-governor-winner-2026",{"token_id":84,"condition_id":85,"outcome":29,"size":86,"avg_price":87,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":45,"question":88,"event_slug":89,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":57,"category":38},"48232987449750988261789196083999659380058157021032932634331257492238853387252","0x12b727031b38130d945b3e164386874360d9a32fdd7e3d00ed2adb13857e089b",5999.9684,0.35,"Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?","texas-governor-winner-2026",{"token_id":91,"condition_id":92,"outcome":29,"size":93,"avg_price":94,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":64,"question":95,"event_slug":96,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":97,"category":38},"2618138322856109565904469085316346602627882727483900432328802655317079880335","0x741bb46008b72234857c5118c8365ab3c2f69dbf28b30b59de04f173b8a778de",6436.78,0.2699,"Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?","alaska-senate-election-winner","[\"0.1025\", \"0.8975\"]",{"token_id":99,"condition_id":100,"outcome":42,"size":101,"avg_price":102,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":103,"question":104,"event_slug":105,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":106,"outcome_prices":107,"category":38},"17496687298742440976330487382037599406597024035417226349938667492465308092169","0xcf7d94c9aa083c8235103832dc28e4b85d4436a58453fcdfec2ff2e21c4b10cb",2138.64,0.7779,"2026-09-19T16:05:52.322Z","Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?","who-will-attend-a-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-by-december-31-20260812153824803","2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.18\", \"0.82\"]",{"token_id":109,"condition_id":110,"outcome":29,"size":111,"avg_price":112,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":64,"question":113,"event_slug":114,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":115,"outcome_prices":116,"category":38},"13535941900723044344907002451427688051727855016747811259193368015899108383450","0xa32317ba83c3c83dc43ef260c3744c22ed8000db53d30bc09372c45cff5fb07a",5000,0.2799,"Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?","which-tossup-senate-states-will-republicans-win-ak-ia-ks-me-mi-oh-tx","2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","[\"0.884\", \"0.116\"]",{"token_id":118,"condition_id":119,"outcome":29,"size":120,"avg_price":121,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":80,"question":122,"event_slug":114,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":115,"outcome_prices":123,"category":38},"105070040449310495327131730101841566321530681945885747881686068698995174349681","0x564959d4c61eeb7c568d6f8e4f5a0dcf3622434d4f264d418d9674102e5a7a88",10000,0.12,"Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?","[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",{"token_id":125,"condition_id":126,"outcome":29,"size":127,"avg_price":128,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":103,"question":129,"event_slug":130,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":131,"outcome_prices":132,"category":133},"34732988886981510167874389845708832808627284379840131351229635795767825787404","0x1c4c6a698f0591ddf0c96e1beb56f8c75112ef849331bf3b0388f14830a7421d",1363.3136,0.6607,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963","2026-12-31T20:29:00Z","[\"0.365\", \"0.635\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":135,"condition_id":136,"outcome":29,"size":137,"avg_price":138,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":139,"question":140,"event_slug":141,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":142,"outcome_prices":143,"category":38},"38667196958602416137463628517439560119304765709104570192447644733106171420112","0xa01d48a973e40770719dab42faf1aeae5da4376d9eca46e77265c7551d1be0f7",1335.88,0.5634,"2026-09-19T23:30:34.694Z","Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?","venezuela-leader-end-of-2026","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.1\", \"0.9\"]",{"token_id":145,"condition_id":146,"outcome":42,"size":147,"avg_price":148,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":149,"question":150,"event_slug":89,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":48,"category":38},"1866695229821909795321299492017203124655045093500207568743162324352894510180","0xcd953913ecd5bf5387092bf447fe13190871b2bc9436c85b0918b4767c3fa58a",2205.8823,0.3399,"2026-11-02T00:43:54.478Z","Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?",{"token_id":152,"condition_id":153,"outcome":29,"size":154,"avg_price":155,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":156,"question":157,"event_slug":158,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":160,"category":38},"51635828369088582173026050369364839462389016688266714081659732794747134130477","0xbbf0bf35801866a361a3733ef21c787b94b9e7ccc9c4cde622b24f471b95c1ca",2905,0.2419,"2026-10-19T04:59:46.942Z","Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?","iran-oman-hormuz-management-agreement-byptptpt-20260804222725871","2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.17\", \"0.83\"]",{"token_id":162,"condition_id":163,"outcome":42,"size":164,"avg_price":165,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":166,"question":167,"event_slug":168,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":169,"outcome_prices":170,"category":171},"40504602999746502052081185409322422451246922051464321593641901006620543564089","0xd594753a5d2b4d3b9e65cdd06c3cbb0645d70be7626fad94774f45560b150d23",897.4358,0.7799,"2026-09-30T13:12:41.771Z","Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?","will-anthropics-valuation-hit-by-december-31","2027-01-05T04:59:00Z","[\"0.145\", \"0.855\"]","Tech",{"token_id":173,"condition_id":174,"outcome":29,"size":175,"avg_price":176,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":177,"question":178,"event_slug":179,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":142,"outcome_prices":180,"category":38},"43993028952467754802149615067191589532111111085206465426867400888500760876097","0x664f36528d54361c2579fd5ddc8072a831e7039ac849615d6aafcafd256aa9ec",1438.9798,0.3563,"2026-10-05T13:08:36.780Z","US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?","us-iran-hormuz-agreement-byptptpt-20260803235957575","[\"0.36\", \"0.64\"]",{"token_id":182,"condition_id":183,"outcome":29,"size":184,"avg_price":185,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":103,"question":186,"event_slug":187,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":188,"outcome_prices":189,"category":38},"35198549486569600595408965368290795524428922595732253580266052028158040373233","0x9cb23d04b2ded06147482076688b69b487a8d982c63ebdda2ab3678cf27cf390",3000,0.15,"Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?","clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026","2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","[\"0.0305\", \"0.9695\"]",{"token_id":191,"condition_id":192,"outcome":29,"size":193,"avg_price":194,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":195,"question":196,"event_slug":197,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":198,"outcome_prices":199,"category":171},"71255105703787673598544314841982769706089703686090138346979609625968723562861","0x772c4295fd857463eb407023fa2c7ccfcd4293b3deb1c4beb901ec4987928203",3585.68,0.1099,"2026-10-03T08:33:19.388Z","Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?","openai-announces-bankruptcy-by","2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.085\", \"0.915\"]",{"token_id":201,"condition_id":202,"outcome":29,"size":203,"avg_price":204,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":205,"question":206,"event_slug":207,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":208,"outcome_prices":209,"category":171},"46179164836162469124070224186387483861653666680647006036020478594822732769561","0x94f240d042917cabd55f0bcbcac7d4d2accd4436773bf91596f76572cac643cb",860.01,0.3601,"2026-09-30T23:49:27.877Z","Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2026","2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","[\"0.555\", \"0.445\"]",{"token_id":211,"condition_id":212,"outcome":42,"size":213,"avg_price":214,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":215,"question":216,"event_slug":217,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":48,"category":38},"99954012845363784422380244269243499000117818896422626871954380344984773420508","0xb8b5349814450b8bba2ecdda2eeb9f48bd3c795bfb858bedf7a383712b877743",599.9846,0.48,"2026-10-04T09:37:11.214Z","Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?","kansas-senate-election-winner",{"token_id":219,"condition_id":220,"outcome":29,"size":184,"avg_price":221,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":222,"event_slug":223,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":48,"category":38},"109815773012907461372639157658293071578555374097742562684476865021743386609433","0x0465cd005a54781e052b679e2c42c7ae5b772490fdda54316f157bf537536456",0.09,"Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?","florida-senate-election-winner",{"token_id":225,"condition_id":226,"outcome":42,"size":227,"avg_price":228,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":103,"question":229,"event_slug":230,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":142,"outcome_prices":199,"category":38},"114268911952801772648308343063339413794995737472586357401878294832971241445175","0x30f9431d1385445af6f2da6c567517eaa9a74ce57731a27594c11cfdb3260e20",287.94,0.9119,"Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?","what-will-be-in-a-us-iran-deal-in-2026-20260624150226501",{"token_id":232,"condition_id":233,"outcome":29,"size":234,"avg_price":235,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":236,"question":237,"event_slug":238,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":239,"outcome_prices":240,"category":38},"58945936829392654397399777214757608864525173988558750256164021442231118224154","0x9ed0ecc8b8589e67967d44c4420944a41b6a6806419019a1581d514174eee9b1",2682.54,0.0951,"2026-10-27T10:41:00.776Z","Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","[\"0.052\", \"0.948\"]",{"token_id":242,"condition_id":243,"outcome":29,"size":244,"avg_price":63,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":64,"question":245,"event_slug":246,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":48,"category":38},"84368524152268016512433556151474175385160499638069024812438264090070245734708","0x1c017cbb38a9d0ab233ebb265b25c78290317e6a2470657ca18a73a112397b55",333,"Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?","south-carolina-senate-election-winner",{"token_id":248,"condition_id":249,"outcome":42,"size":250,"avg_price":251,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":103,"question":252,"event_slug":253,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":142,"outcome_prices":254,"category":38},"56333782793421950483875833119080130897195447801211249547040559909421499481715","0x1c39f29a392495da86a9d1882bdb7ad82bd617990a6da16674e1ee3da105e9e6",242.6744,0.8997,"Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?","will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31","[\"0.09\", \"0.91\"]",{"token_id":256,"condition_id":257,"outcome":42,"size":258,"avg_price":259,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":260,"question":261,"event_slug":262,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":142,"outcome_prices":263,"category":38},"63444749619764791959536644324475938010383823656015571512102593390966269789083","0x205676c44a0664fba4cc30995dc5721a41d30614bd302f5b08cfc66f2e20c5bd",277.06,0.7793,"2026-10-06T03:27:33.142Z","Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?","where-will-the-next-us-iran-senior-diplomatic-meeting-take-placeptptpt","[\"0.1105\", \"0.8895\"]",{"token_id":265,"condition_id":266,"outcome":29,"size":267,"avg_price":268,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":103,"question":269,"event_slug":270,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":198,"outcome_prices":271,"category":171},"71236115189596359084048814224637226298326910847425963075159517381094575168792","0x976042b4a9d2008c9b2ea8d3ab6c8e74ee6e98726efbc50b5347d806ef44bc01",492,0.4199,"Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?","what-will-anthropics-ipo-valuation-be","[\"0.22\", \"0.78\"]",{"token_id":273,"condition_id":274,"outcome":42,"size":275,"avg_price":276,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":277,"question":278,"event_slug":279,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":57,"category":38},"6136336712352911156426560180855478229745540927722899997193789497766196705020","0x66bbf6d55e0296278858b3147689f3df9259374f158f9f028b608baa322a639c",511.97,0.34,"2026-10-22T08:33:56.856Z","Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?","maine-senate-election-winner",{"token_id":281,"condition_id":282,"outcome":29,"size":283,"avg_price":284,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":103,"question":285,"event_slug":270,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":198,"outcome_prices":286,"category":171},"94182141136213606663787621887560606302326381615179908246805677524783800680726","0x1bcd95f94c2955d1b88a988f54d857be1142249d91a96c7de92376b6f9281100",494.19,0.3497,"Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?","[\"0.031\", \"0.969\"]",{"token_id":288,"condition_id":289,"outcome":29,"size":290,"avg_price":291,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":292,"event_slug":73,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":48,"category":38},"34654233119656771852120414405090382940884172280730040477764691731529421072710","0x9cc68279976a71ec9b9c2393f5f98367328830db295d3f9b5600a2daf2c022e9",180,0.95,"US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?",{"token_id":294,"condition_id":295,"outcome":29,"size":296,"avg_price":297,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":298,"question":299,"event_slug":300,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":48,"category":38},"69908185249078099348466099388148864764525845923415294308139153388799352317616","0x771873c365f87bffd990644e4b688aebc1be7f18396d2eab64b996ff66e88669",520.38,0.31,"2026-10-29T16:37:22.396Z","Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?","ohio-senate-election-winner",{"token_id":302,"condition_id":303,"outcome":42,"size":304,"avg_price":305,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":103,"question":306,"event_slug":307,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":142,"outcome_prices":308,"category":38},"62643595743509401117305703496524916720166374943642440986343786223248911828837","0xba737dd3404eb2b79fdd95de5183d658a0cb4760cd411b62d00742540a5b3461",202,0.7749,"Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?","perim-island-no-longer-under-houthi-control-by-20260916","[\"0.105\", \"0.895\"]",{"token_id":310,"condition_id":311,"outcome":29,"size":312,"avg_price":313,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":314,"question":315,"event_slug":141,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":142,"outcome_prices":316,"category":38},"37090128566507509913630589460372620352013766554886380785463533062224343545231","0x67f3f8d0a0ecdfc008c99650284a4674388a8c3029b0eb7ca0abd65dde8d996f",318.0347,0.4504,"2026-09-20T00:10:34.619Z","Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?","[\"0.876\", \"0.124\"]",{"token_id":318,"condition_id":319,"outcome":29,"size":320,"avg_price":214,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":277,"question":321,"event_slug":322,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":323,"category":171},"50100838739790041081725661928040962915463448028276518599259026195484819209006","0x2f579cbdf1c55ff2109b04263c73ba59c2e3395458fdf12165f179ba0e65a28b",261.3415,"Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-end-of-november","[\"0.69\", \"0.31\"]",{"token_id":325,"condition_id":326,"outcome":29,"size":327,"avg_price":87,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":45,"question":328,"event_slug":82,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":48,"category":38},"45666577334498374671436529469006420565255125221309505855441517627481607414492","0x22492ab0d5c936a0c8b24e241bcbe959ee4d7e52f227a8d128d38a025316eb85",350.01,"Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?",{"token_id":330,"condition_id":331,"outcome":42,"size":332,"avg_price":333,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":277,"question":334,"event_slug":335,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":57,"category":38},"105412116375859456386463067772529895223931027977055063584054608854983174999392","0xd50c016598c499fceea10a1a714e48d9b4953487fe215daeaf916068fae722f1",214.2555,0.57,"Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?","iowa-senate-election-winner",{"token_id":337,"condition_id":338,"outcome":42,"size":339,"avg_price":340,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":341,"question":342,"event_slug":262,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":142,"outcome_prices":343,"category":38},"1868637002830582694958487074169207442709409902459151966478781337548736964174","0xfa0a11c19bd40d22166e984006613339e77a8caed279738855691d8e1014bef1",142.11,0.8215,"2026-09-28T22:52:39.512Z","Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.0155\", \"0.9845\"]",{"token_id":345,"condition_id":346,"outcome":29,"size":347,"avg_price":348,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":260,"question":349,"event_slug":179,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":271,"category":38},"115493632799264792730434819071535743213979554073329435975177567583389396615289","0x2b9931e13d436ee68b2870d31400f5bed8f5f13ad321355d0fd1048f706bba6a",583.6702,0.1928,"US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?",{"token_id":351,"condition_id":352,"outcome":29,"size":353,"avg_price":354,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":103,"question":355,"event_slug":356,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":357,"outcome_prices":358,"category":38},"6761884778816083542753350539779617201084594664234729655783875952381923983097","0x58d5cc2bf06a3289b127049239aee051f3b941f219efebbca02d3f50f0eb2a64",145.9443,0.77,"Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?","next-prime-minister-of-sweden","2026-09-14T03:59:00Z","[\"0.635\", \"0.365\"]",{"token_id":360,"condition_id":361,"outcome":29,"size":362,"avg_price":363,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":103,"question":364,"event_slug":365,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":142,"outcome_prices":366,"category":38},"9752985741873181500412050470133848226355434216247706513840008380426990951786","0x0c7245047183848e41555dc9a5ccc14c970a0711a3591bebc8310119cbae64c0",572.3381,0.1293,"UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?","will-the-unsc-adopt-a-resolution-endorsing-the-final-us-iran-deal-by-date","[\"0.13\", \"0.87\"]",{"token_id":368,"condition_id":369,"outcome":29,"size":370,"avg_price":371,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":372,"question":373,"event_slug":374,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":375,"outcome_prices":376,"category":38},"20374050108659687356429749447884880983779889840007423115803042125707701269498","0x20d0bc282552ac5ec6f61cd7101cb42a5948cae07e7651bdf40ede1a8b2c5eac",3289.5,0.0159,"2026-06-25T11:26:49.242Z","Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?","democratic-presidential-nominee-2028","2028-11-08T04:59:00Z","[\"0.016\", \"0.984\"]",{"token_id":378,"condition_id":379,"outcome":42,"size":380,"avg_price":381,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":341,"question":382,"event_slug":383,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":142,"outcome_prices":384,"category":171},"60432033471843001852398691056885293683138243257093883243095769086454221608922","0x6215c9e255e3926222bc9ead74528c619df8d23e84ad93b72a9874b6de85378d",538.86,0.0925,"Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?","gpt-astra-6pt1-released-byptptpt","[\"0.9865\", \"0.0135\"]",{"token_id":386,"condition_id":387,"outcome":42,"size":388,"avg_price":389,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":390,"question":391,"event_slug":230,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":142,"outcome_prices":392,"category":38},"91657324381183129069331798944068302935984611164732739755025520321705017619361","0x83f33a20c2c305163e90657b8e37ce126b13d27f76a0e3b45fa2fbbd834dc0f7",38.1,0.8706,"2026-06-30T05:12:23.938Z","Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?","[\"0.155\", \"0.845\"]",{"token_id":394,"condition_id":395,"outcome":29,"size":396,"avg_price":397,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":398,"question":399,"event_slug":400,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":401,"category":38},"94453513922008114742509483792156991564558068613251343655110182344014933679063","0x91f622f380779dffaf2d2db2bc8c1683216bdf0b65906c387f338862745b1c03",110,0.2581,"2026-10-22T13:31:34.558Z","NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?","nato-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025","[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]",{"token_id":403,"condition_id":404,"outcome":29,"size":405,"avg_price":406,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":156,"question":407,"event_slug":408,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":142,"outcome_prices":409,"category":38},"68066525227122847856395520026952236872101272848339412590462580161519186567193","0xda11ac326323082798bf1d380fc6972e21fbb48da024dfb42c8dbede549cba53",321.92,0.0699,"Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?","trump-renames-new-mexico-to-new-america-byptptpt","[\"0.03\", \"0.97\"]",{"token_id":411,"condition_id":412,"outcome":42,"size":413,"avg_price":414,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":298,"question":415,"event_slug":105,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":106,"outcome_prices":416,"category":38},"111039285611310091271297949090227912997826822683231424716817635605423763070484","0x42d86517194ccb44fc99732d796f416ae6850d28b91d10210b3bb094639735d9",29.95,0.6547,"Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.59\", \"0.41\"]",{"token_id":418,"condition_id":419,"outcome":42,"size":420,"avg_price":421,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":103,"question":422,"event_slug":423,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":142,"outcome_prices":424,"category":425},"10321173346810693156476487320451988098096952831978431436022493223540707542284","0xc93f711af34fa149cce6c78a7a7c2517be9c924a30b7a518d1c435af524462de",9.99,0.9299,"Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by December 31, 2026?","will-mccormick-merge-with-unilever-foods-by","[\"0.215\", \"0.785\"]","Economy",{"token_id":427,"condition_id":428,"outcome":29,"size":429,"avg_price":354,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":103,"question":430,"event_slug":431,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":432,"outcome_prices":433,"category":38},"13344455713292718728608412980168938759600979624107331871816550063564984631351","0xa5eda524db672af708334278260c3c391e5fddf2d26fe31b2ea77e644d8cafe6",10,"Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?","nigerian-senate-election-winner","2027-01-17T04:59:00Z","[\"0.77\", \"0.23\"]",{"token_id":435,"condition_id":436,"outcome":29,"size":437,"avg_price":438,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":439,"question":440,"event_slug":73,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":106,"outcome_prices":48,"category":38},"30473344794239220995088264915766809943868068209555159167607047748901899155342","0x32851891e7ccfb249b1e120d77db70370fa92a13d821ce6c949de69402742aab",20.05,0.2999,"2026-09-20T01:10:34.604Z","US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?",{"token_id":442,"condition_id":443,"outcome":29,"size":444,"avg_price":445,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":446,"question":447,"event_slug":448,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":449,"outcome_prices":450,"category":38},"86177136459971479201243125351641239629584712006443537421199212879006924560088","0xa0153e80ca43943d065a76b0c60dddc2595ceb74ed4f6b9c49335e58c639f802",7.72,0.5,"2026-10-07T07:21:33.588Z","Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?","military-action-against-saudi-oil-pipeline-east-west-byptptpt","2026-10-31T20:59:00Z","[\"0.0125\", \"0.9875\"]",[],[453,459,465,471,477,483,489,495,501,507,513,519,525,531,537],{"recorded_date":454,"roi":455,"win_rate":456,"brier_score":457,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":458,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":12},"2026-06-25",0.470520910425422,0.717948717948718,0.25648852760683233,273,{"recorded_date":460,"roi":461,"win_rate":462,"brier_score":463,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":464,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":12},"2026-07-03",0.7382979349460639,0.6541666666666667,0.22919159034615494,240,{"recorded_date":466,"roi":467,"win_rate":468,"brier_score":469,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":470,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-07-10",0.7616812293047663,0.6127450980392157,0.18353117169965213,204,{"recorded_date":472,"roi":473,"win_rate":474,"brier_score":475,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":476,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-17",0.7468929363063103,0.6208791208791209,0.1839063731685468,182,{"recorded_date":478,"roi":479,"win_rate":480,"brier_score":481,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":482,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-24",0.7452528355441854,0.6647398843930635,0.18830466484538635,173,{"recorded_date":484,"roi":485,"win_rate":486,"brier_score":487,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":488,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-01",0.6264503385762952,0.723404255319149,0.1941199515823377,141,{"recorded_date":490,"roi":491,"win_rate":492,"brier_score":493,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":494,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-09",0.4484353099972179,0.6119402985074627,0.1473555989939031,67,{"recorded_date":496,"roi":497,"win_rate":498,"brier_score":499,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":500,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-16",0.6448242379308242,0.7321428571428571,0.15901563118982837,56,{"recorded_date":502,"roi":503,"win_rate":504,"brier_score":505,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":506,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-23",0.6263378070213291,0.7368421052631579,0.15715976716914318,57,{"recorded_date":508,"roi":509,"win_rate":510,"brier_score":511,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":512,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-27",0.6386108669802959,0.7636363636363637,0.1626057223389302,55,{"recorded_date":514,"roi":515,"win_rate":516,"brier_score":517,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":518,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-04",0.6409096102818715,0.7777777777777778,0.1655949339900523,54,{"recorded_date":520,"roi":521,"win_rate":522,"brier_score":523,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":524,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-12",0.6436384332745382,0.7924528301886793,0.16871815915967592,53,{"recorded_date":526,"roi":527,"win_rate":528,"brier_score":529,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":530,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-19",0.09879962962573319,0.6366001734605378,0.16705244116022505,1153,{"recorded_date":532,"roi":533,"win_rate":534,"brier_score":535,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":536,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-26",0.165995053591071,0.5746907706945766,0.18261650899409912,3153,{"recorded_date":538,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-14",[540,545,547,550,553,557,563,567,570,572,577,583,585,587,590,592,598,602,608,615,618,620,627,633,637,643,651,657,660,667,674,679,685,689,695,703,711,717,723,731,737,741,746,753,757,764,770,776,783,791,799,804,808,814,821,824,829,833,839,845,851,856,863,869,873,878,883,890,896,899,905,914,922,929,935,942,949,956,962,966,972,978,985,988,994,996,1004,1007,1014,1020,1025,1032,1040,1046,1053,1060,1066,1072,1078,1085],{"condition_id":274,"outcome":42,"usdc":541,"entry_price":542,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":544,"question":278,"event_slug":279,"category":38},1440,0.36,"live","2026-10-22T08:33:56.868Z",{"condition_id":331,"outcome":42,"usdc":546,"entry_price":333,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":544,"question":334,"event_slug":335,"category":38},122.125635,{"condition_id":61,"outcome":42,"usdc":548,"entry_price":63,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":549,"question":65,"event_slug":66,"category":38},2880,"2026-11-02T15:42:53.313Z",{"condition_id":85,"outcome":29,"usdc":551,"entry_price":87,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":552,"question":88,"event_slug":89,"category":38},2099.9889399999997,"2026-11-01T02:14:32.048Z",{"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"usdc":554,"entry_price":555,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":556,"question":46,"event_slug":47,"category":38},2904.7485153499997,0.6455,"2026-10-07T02:08:15.717Z",{"condition_id":558,"outcome":42,"usdc":559,"entry_price":560,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":561,"question":562,"event_slug":300,"category":38},"0x968a1a79e001d49fa3ee1429e3b95eb01797587740f86d4e6becf3ab1b275bfb",2599.0734,0.3899,"2026-10-15T06:29:30.227Z","Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?",{"condition_id":212,"outcome":42,"usdc":564,"entry_price":565,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":566,"question":216,"event_slug":217,"category":38},2.1747,0.33,"2026-10-04T18:12:19.726Z",{"condition_id":146,"outcome":42,"usdc":568,"entry_price":148,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":569,"question":150,"event_slug":89,"category":38},749.7793937700001,"2026-11-02T00:43:54.661Z",{"condition_id":243,"outcome":29,"usdc":571,"entry_price":63,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":549,"question":245,"event_slug":246,"category":38},239.76,{"condition_id":573,"outcome":29,"usdc":574,"entry_price":575,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":556,"question":576,"event_slug":47,"category":38},"0x34918035a590555ba1fb1d6a019d766ab6e557d63e7f3140b63b4550eee7f417",1280,0.64,"Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?",{"condition_id":578,"outcome":42,"usdc":579,"entry_price":580,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":544,"question":581,"event_slug":582,"category":38},"0x650e3ebc043ddbcfa1d1ffda0c5830f19da7389827889fb5db3474bde5b007fb",1408.263084,0.7772,"Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?","ohio-governor-winner-2026",{"condition_id":295,"outcome":29,"usdc":584,"entry_price":297,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":552,"question":299,"event_slug":300,"category":38},161.3178,{"condition_id":326,"outcome":29,"usdc":586,"entry_price":87,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":552,"question":328,"event_slug":82,"category":38},122.50349999999999,{"condition_id":77,"outcome":42,"usdc":588,"entry_price":87,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":589,"question":81,"event_slug":82,"category":38},145.5615,"2026-11-01T06:04:49.172Z",{"condition_id":220,"outcome":29,"usdc":591,"entry_price":221,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":552,"question":222,"event_slug":223,"category":38},270,{"condition_id":593,"outcome":42,"usdc":594,"entry_price":595,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":544,"question":596,"event_slug":597,"category":38},"0x613613192c69d90cee89758c260a019368fc1f4a596b4d300c39b6235d2b643f",463.009149,0.2727,"US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?","us-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-the-midterms",{"condition_id":593,"outcome":29,"usdc":599,"entry_price":600,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":601,"question":596,"event_slug":597,"category":38},286.079,0.6653,"2026-10-19T22:08:07.817Z",{"condition_id":603,"outcome":42,"usdc":604,"entry_price":605,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":606,"captured_at":544,"question":607,"event_slug":73,"category":38},"0xc83347e2b7a1d1341cba0fc6d03696c3be31c783b732355a04c8f8621ef4df09",797.106906,0.4623,"2026-11-16T04:59:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?",{"condition_id":609,"outcome":42,"usdc":610,"entry_price":611,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":612,"captured_at":613,"question":614,"event_slug":73,"category":38},"0xb70b8da7839ecb8b166e0f3a8553e079b38e139ee164f5d8bfd99183d535fc33",2073.3108,0.66,"2026-11-30T23:59:00Z","2026-10-24T07:06:59.679Z","US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?",{"condition_id":436,"outcome":29,"usdc":616,"entry_price":438,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":106,"captured_at":617,"question":440,"event_slug":73,"category":38},6.012995,"2026-09-20T01:10:34.648Z",{"condition_id":51,"outcome":29,"usdc":619,"entry_price":53,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":56,"captured_at":552,"question":54,"event_slug":55,"category":58},2968.795052,{"condition_id":621,"outcome":29,"usdc":622,"entry_price":623,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":624,"captured_at":561,"question":625,"event_slug":626,"category":133},"0x07779dcd5609988020f423c30f3564d6c9d5b8f79977e33cbe259a8af7844431",94.978675,0.7535,"2026-10-15T03:59:00Z","Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 14?","saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026",{"condition_id":628,"outcome":42,"usdc":629,"entry_price":630,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":631,"captured_at":561,"question":632,"event_slug":130,"category":133},"0xc3d5708780de5528998aeb53ca90e7ade64804f9f2386392a681435d5c42b44d",249.83332334000002,0.1499,"2026-10-31T20:29:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?",{"condition_id":628,"outcome":29,"usdc":634,"entry_price":635,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":631,"captured_at":636,"question":632,"event_slug":130,"category":133},2999.999945,0.85,"2026-09-28T06:07:56.852Z",{"condition_id":638,"outcome":29,"usdc":639,"entry_price":640,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":56,"captured_at":641,"question":642,"event_slug":400,"category":38},"0x2a4fcda5c1598fc8621cf96cabc410f9f23a2d0336c3bff5070a37a663d39e94",0.8500000000000001,0.17,"2026-09-23T18:22:00.381Z","NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":644,"outcome":42,"usdc":645,"entry_price":646,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":647,"captured_at":648,"question":649,"event_slug":650,"category":38},"0xaef0d4a34b0cc1cf915dbf965777e4da89d15c4ab8b0fa8a5fc127360a251b63",733.131936,0.6987,"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","2026-09-30T14:02:52.873Z","Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)","next-us-iran-senior-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt",{"condition_id":652,"outcome":42,"usdc":653,"entry_price":654,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":647,"captured_at":655,"question":656,"event_slug":158,"category":38},"0x83dc0351975e61ea9666c22265026e5cea3aa45d99ac80973299156f762cb20e",993.723205,0.7027,"2026-09-26T01:00:23.938Z","Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?",{"condition_id":652,"outcome":29,"usdc":658,"entry_price":276,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":647,"captured_at":659,"question":656,"event_slug":158,"category":38},97.47120000000001,"2026-09-23T18:27:03.660Z",{"condition_id":661,"outcome":29,"usdc":662,"entry_price":663,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":56,"captured_at":664,"question":665,"event_slug":666,"category":38},"0xc90894254e1f804e3087e89288d192b529287b7de6e3f5230c06868f7777661d",236.13558,0.2879,"2026-10-01T19:02:03.618Z","Israel accuses Iran\u002Fproxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?","israel-accuses-iranproxies-of-plane-stabbing-incident-by-oct-31",{"condition_id":668,"outcome":29,"usdc":669,"entry_price":670,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":56,"captured_at":671,"question":672,"event_slug":673,"category":133},"0x93fc7c6516bf347c566a3860da34e97f98413081e1b6306332fab90f7d405369",17.8321,0.0286,"2026-10-07T17:09:22.937Z","US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?","us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-20260621201254412",{"condition_id":675,"outcome":29,"usdc":676,"entry_price":640,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":56,"captured_at":677,"question":678,"event_slug":179,"category":38},"0x0038a19c5f1633b76e9fe194ac391959811cceb05652ba5c6796e37f045e573f",10.627465,"2026-10-02T03:17:58.269Z","US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?",{"condition_id":680,"outcome":42,"usdc":681,"entry_price":682,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":56,"captured_at":636,"question":683,"event_slug":684,"category":38},"0xcee04ba47d02f6c64642369b34193c355f64de1b9ae425c71ea4efef1989d271",3347.4048000000003,0.74,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080",{"condition_id":680,"outcome":29,"usdc":686,"entry_price":687,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":56,"captured_at":688,"question":683,"event_slug":684,"category":38},395.201765,0.3395,"2026-09-19T16:05:54.517Z",{"condition_id":690,"outcome":42,"usdc":691,"entry_price":692,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":688,"question":693,"event_slug":694,"category":171},"0x576d58c84be2c473035c34bceb334f7bc2632d54e9f7c7af9a947cca3d6e2f0b",232.741745,0.8699,"Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?","in-which-month-will-anthropic-ipo",{"condition_id":696,"outcome":29,"usdc":697,"entry_price":698,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":699,"captured_at":688,"question":700,"event_slug":701,"category":702},"0x8062cf78d93f9202f4c0a1018d141f4af35d486a368f07e65265f27d48b4e040",962.4872,0.6299,"2027-07-01T00:00:00Z","Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?","anthropic-ipo-by","Business",{"condition_id":704,"outcome":29,"usdc":705,"entry_price":706,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":707,"captured_at":708,"question":709,"event_slug":710,"category":38},"0xb7ebb02c3c9f3cbe295aaa3c6f7d90ec0609a700584efcc093acc505bce367aa",42.00000000000001,0.07,"2026-10-31T00:00:00Z","2026-07-08T23:47:43.059Z","Graham Platner divorce by October 31?","graham-platner-divorce-by-october-31-20260706220148808",{"condition_id":712,"outcome":42,"usdc":713,"entry_price":714,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":647,"captured_at":715,"question":716,"event_slug":383,"category":171},"0xbf61d7d262bc61f3fafc5f81631737117659d864aa3d31e1a1bca146c8f4a284",38.54956000000001,0.4514,"2026-09-28T22:52:39.516Z","Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":718,"outcome":29,"usdc":719,"entry_price":635,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":239,"captured_at":720,"question":721,"event_slug":722,"category":38},"0xd63e1e2db811ba09972cbac9810edcca72ffdc1d195c03547ac0be2fb7a3c3d7",1700,"2026-10-29T13:54:54.054Z","Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","israel-election-likud-of-seats",{"condition_id":724,"outcome":29,"usdc":725,"entry_price":726,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":727,"captured_at":728,"question":729,"event_slug":730,"category":171},"0x50070c511edd21c6c3dd8452e62858fd19852a038f53f800bcb5d5708aeee7e7",250.04960000000003,0.5389,"2026-10-31T16:00:00Z","2026-10-23T04:45:28.774Z","Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-october",{"condition_id":732,"outcome":42,"usdc":733,"entry_price":734,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":727,"captured_at":677,"question":735,"event_slug":736,"category":171},"0x8091d617a6b1a70847d357f59b7d1d303b7599d376ba92729705e233b3716940",772.7520000000001,0.68,"Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-end-of-october",{"condition_id":732,"outcome":29,"usdc":738,"entry_price":739,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":727,"captured_at":740,"question":735,"event_slug":736,"category":171},94.534076,0.26,"2026-10-14T09:49:23.167Z",{"condition_id":742,"outcome":29,"usdc":743,"entry_price":744,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":727,"captured_at":664,"question":745,"event_slug":736,"category":171},"0x23858cc44dce48e23f754240a0a71595f38f5c66d9a0eaf612eb5a737ad1e66d",832.529592,0.6822,"Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?",{"condition_id":747,"outcome":29,"usdc":748,"entry_price":749,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":239,"captured_at":750,"question":751,"event_slug":752,"category":38},"0xd05da9807740aa0f5bc9e9232daabe87a21e5012c19e283abf414f1c1651118b",2299.77,0.69,"2026-10-26T02:20:37.670Z","Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","israeli-legislative-election-winner",{"condition_id":754,"outcome":42,"usdc":755,"entry_price":31,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":239,"captured_at":750,"question":756,"event_slug":752,"category":38},"0xf77fa3e63014f1f76ea4433dac66b3860493ed7f1a9fee3dfbef9104d7f1eee3",2450,"Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",{"condition_id":758,"outcome":42,"usdc":759,"entry_price":760,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":761,"captured_at":664,"question":762,"event_slug":763,"category":38},"0x12aa13b3da17ceae1b0a59b5d5b77121e91bb79b4bb0b52bf6543ed3f8d0953b",401.1179,0.7699,"2026-10-29T03:59:00Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537",{"condition_id":765,"outcome":29,"usdc":766,"entry_price":767,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":768,"captured_at":688,"question":769,"event_slug":763,"category":38},"0xde5d75ab7702875623ba509bc923241e1211da74a113521b3b70ddac930d7316",20.614535999999998,0.0089,"2026-10-28T23:59:00Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":771,"outcome":42,"usdc":772,"entry_price":773,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":774,"captured_at":613,"question":775,"event_slug":73,"category":38},"0x8cd2457d67e7c9260161f6307ec7c4dde35217b94dbe7959c0ef9d0a63f7344d",563.430488,0.1049,"2026-10-25T03:59:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?",{"condition_id":777,"outcome":42,"usdc":778,"entry_price":779,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":780,"captured_at":544,"question":781,"event_slug":782,"category":38},"0x258ff19b4baff0ed24bc28f58e83c8be6f2f91d9134700703e0aa51810c51a63",5189.6,0.6487,"2026-10-25T23:59:00Z","Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?","serbia-parliamentary-election-winner-2026",{"condition_id":784,"outcome":42,"usdc":785,"entry_price":786,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":787,"captured_at":788,"question":789,"event_slug":790,"category":38},"0xa0c4607a7d7c5ffe77cae5ffe47ccdc2207c8faceaaa225cf5a7de4ec93e543a",84.723,0.3,"2026-10-26T03:59:00Z","2026-10-24T23:46:13.031Z","Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?","brazil-presidential-election-second-round-1st-place-in-amapa",{"condition_id":792,"outcome":29,"usdc":793,"entry_price":794,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":795,"captured_at":796,"question":797,"event_slug":798,"category":38},"0x1a01bf78f56a507fcb666d564d8c8b91b0750679163ed6e96746102c9b7d285d",1599.176791,0.5989,"2026-10-05T03:59:00Z","2026-10-03T23:11:37.122Z","Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election",{"condition_id":800,"outcome":42,"usdc":801,"entry_price":802,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":795,"captured_at":796,"question":803,"event_slug":798,"category":38},"0xdf8e2dc5860027decbe6164555c3c1c9645c3bd33e16b9dc57ca87125047d4a8",823.491704,0.61,"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",{"condition_id":800,"outcome":29,"usdc":805,"entry_price":806,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":795,"captured_at":807,"question":803,"event_slug":798,"category":38},666.6,0.2,"2026-10-18T20:30:03.823Z",{"condition_id":809,"outcome":29,"usdc":810,"entry_price":811,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":812,"captured_at":601,"question":813,"event_slug":73,"category":38},"0x04fb634139d4654febf4b62c425b209806e06d9eff93ac2e7c5301ecdaf5e4ca",2087.3560882499996,0.9015,"2026-10-23T03:59:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?",{"condition_id":815,"outcome":42,"usdc":816,"entry_price":817,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":818,"question":819,"event_slug":820,"category":38},"0x00e73abe9d05640d676d232d6f64682e66f74a6858865d2bca3fc5a6e9f9fa68",93.4,0.934,"2026-10-12T20:42:33.217Z","Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?","who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement",{"condition_id":815,"outcome":29,"usdc":822,"entry_price":823,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":818,"question":819,"event_slug":820,"category":38},4.10502,0.062,{"condition_id":825,"outcome":42,"usdc":826,"entry_price":827,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":818,"question":828,"event_slug":820,"category":38},"0x4ba8ec5d2c8cc2377cbf28c96546b648752db8871b6325fc7a6822eac7ad306e",577.139121,0.1131,"Will there be no Hormuz agreement?",{"condition_id":825,"outcome":29,"usdc":830,"entry_price":831,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":832,"question":828,"event_slug":820,"category":38},89,0.89,"2026-10-11T22:00:30.826Z",{"condition_id":834,"outcome":42,"usdc":835,"entry_price":836,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":837,"captured_at":715,"question":838,"event_slug":383,"category":171},"0x6bd5b097102ba2ce84375bcf471abc0683b2009cdfc6b442c6d63d4ef8e5c100",51.931506,0.5126,"2026-10-23T23:59:00Z","Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?",{"condition_id":840,"outcome":42,"usdc":841,"entry_price":842,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":843,"captured_at":601,"question":844,"event_slug":130,"category":133},"0x1175651306e9ae39991642dcff3fd96778ae0301fc44c7f5565251fc2bb68d31",53.844516,0.0564,"2026-10-22T03:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?",{"condition_id":846,"outcome":29,"usdc":847,"entry_price":848,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":142,"captured_at":561,"question":849,"event_slug":850,"category":38},"0xc587f97b3eaac5948ed7e148bb5248f51f98795ea0e1c3bc9acf635b0a2f95b0",208.25,0.25,"Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?","katie-zacharia-out-as-press-secretary-by",{"condition_id":852,"outcome":29,"usdc":853,"entry_price":854,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":56,"captured_at":561,"question":855,"event_slug":850,"category":38},"0x57e97ab7f68a11013e7e4096ce6b0601b40b9e5a8609c4cb4196ef1b753e6953",86.3380193,0.0815,"Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?",{"condition_id":857,"outcome":29,"usdc":858,"entry_price":859,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":860,"captured_at":861,"question":862,"event_slug":179,"category":38},"0xc1be2a2db8bb89c936f002c75c7ddf6654d09ae0314b3fa9f72d77926b7ea5cf",11.304344,0.08,"2026-10-16T03:59:00Z","2026-10-05T22:28:08.043Z","US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?",{"condition_id":864,"outcome":42,"usdc":865,"entry_price":866,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":860,"captured_at":867,"question":868,"event_slug":684,"category":38},"0x1674c7a654ad25b68e9df7ac71e3711ecc5c86bde2063ceb8be586ea9c44f028",2610,0.87,"2026-10-06T12:08:11.560Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":864,"outcome":29,"usdc":870,"entry_price":871,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":860,"captured_at":872,"question":868,"event_slug":684,"category":38},316.894,0.1909,"2026-09-25T05:30:12.391Z",{"condition_id":874,"outcome":42,"usdc":875,"entry_price":876,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":699,"captured_at":688,"question":877,"event_slug":701,"category":702},"0xb55277532ee64d5d561f80a5f3703930a12955e9943709e60cd029656d7e5291",209.720364,0.5406,"Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":879,"outcome":42,"usdc":464,"entry_price":859,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":880,"captured_at":818,"question":881,"event_slug":882,"category":38},"0x7314b9fc0f6890d459d2e52ae37a8d4417986c14eaa053338062edfbc70b4313","2026-10-15T23:59:00Z","US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?","us-yemen-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt",{"condition_id":884,"outcome":42,"usdc":885,"entry_price":886,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":887,"captured_at":818,"question":888,"event_slug":889,"category":38},"0x50d446794ad4e7b16e27e248ed841c76ca7edbb084907f61cd5a9d1f83cf96a8",887.2525674,0.6876,"2026-10-11T23:59:00Z","Will Trump say \"Ammunition\" this week?","what-will-trump-say-this-week-october-5-october-11-20261011",{"condition_id":891,"outcome":42,"usdc":892,"entry_price":893,"won":17,"source":543,"end_date_iso":860,"captured_at":894,"question":895,"event_slug":73,"category":38},"0x530f6772a065a821ca8c6e05217f4e20e8650a97e31b0e64fabac311e5c9054f",362.7602,0.22,"2026-09-30T16:44:49.140Z","US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?",{"condition_id":891,"outcome":29,"usdc":897,"entry_price":682,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":860,"captured_at":898,"question":895,"event_slug":73,"category":38},740,"2026-10-03T17:22:14.038Z",{"condition_id":900,"outcome":42,"usdc":901,"entry_price":902,"won":12,"source":543,"end_date_iso":56,"captured_at":818,"question":903,"event_slug":904,"category":133},"0x118a6a7b7aeacac0e7af07c1dc937140377edc3499bc5c9d65823aae02bb8525",349.97149089,0.8757,"Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in October 2026?","number-of-north-korea-missile-tests-in-october-2026",{"condition_id":906,"outcome":29,"usdc":907,"entry_price":908,"won":17,"source":909,"end_date_iso":910,"captured_at":911,"question":912,"event_slug":913,"category":38},"0x00925aafdbb3fbec14b49f343eb430ddb9cc1f827e5934b5513703d13f2851de",1540.92218,0.456890651398699,"backfill","2026-08-11T00:00:00Z","2026-09-19T15:42:58.613Z","Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?","wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":915,"outcome":29,"usdc":916,"entry_price":917,"won":17,"source":909,"end_date_iso":918,"captured_at":919,"question":920,"event_slug":921,"category":38},"0x0171fdc9ab8522b86fd0439283fb61e8d619c65635f0b6d00e285d39b2a3fbf7",24.6952,0.2470014003,"2026-07-07T23:59:00Z","2026-09-26T19:41:58.735Z","Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?","who-will-attend-us-iran-signing-ceremony-20260615232202457",{"condition_id":923,"outcome":29,"usdc":924,"entry_price":925,"won":17,"source":909,"end_date_iso":926,"captured_at":919,"question":927,"event_slug":928,"category":133},"0x01f303f7cda610fec48d5164e8738ccde210af4f876f9511fa9fa6abe03be3e2",16.6988,0.3546145678,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?","which-countries-will-send-warships-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-june-30",{"condition_id":930,"outcome":42,"usdc":931,"entry_price":831,"won":12,"source":909,"end_date_iso":932,"captured_at":919,"question":933,"event_slug":934,"category":133},"0x053d22e12bfe8dd73b12fc1cf89858ecc0de76aede10fea3eca5c7877d8db40c",1424,"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":936,"outcome":29,"usdc":937,"entry_price":938,"won":17,"source":909,"end_date_iso":939,"captured_at":911,"question":940,"event_slug":941,"category":38},"0x080f9a1940a57f74e1a418810add5ffeed367ba357f5d9e8b40226ed81a4806b",51.999744,0.02600000001108833,"2026-07-25T03:59:00Z","Israel closes its airspace by July 24?","israel-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":943,"outcome":29,"usdc":944,"entry_price":945,"won":17,"source":909,"end_date_iso":946,"captured_at":919,"question":947,"event_slug":948,"category":133},"0x09148e8a5260a4c40aceb29badc45845fe08330497756bfcc1017c478c28bb65",26.5168,0.195321155,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?","iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-may-31-945",{"condition_id":950,"outcome":42,"usdc":951,"entry_price":952,"won":12,"source":909,"end_date_iso":953,"captured_at":919,"question":954,"event_slug":955,"category":38},"0x098afead2c41677b0f09ae9d0013ca520eacdb3f0d7c8985c6581de7a0e9ac37",566.992326,0.8100000010385938,"2026-05-21T00:00:00Z","Iran closes its airspace by May 21?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":957,"outcome":42,"usdc":958,"entry_price":959,"won":12,"source":909,"end_date_iso":946,"captured_at":919,"question":960,"event_slug":961,"category":38},"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089",126,0.63,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":957,"outcome":29,"usdc":963,"entry_price":964,"won":17,"source":909,"end_date_iso":946,"captured_at":965,"question":960,"event_slug":961,"category":38},4952.597110000001,0.32518798485967493,"2026-06-25T10:48:36.319Z",{"condition_id":967,"outcome":29,"usdc":968,"entry_price":969,"won":17,"source":909,"end_date_iso":946,"captured_at":919,"question":970,"event_slug":971,"category":38},"0x0f0223285758f7b55b947e79ecd15e1ad2a129ee4ac96deccefc80b1bb4ddbc4",15.39928,0.0859430175,"Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?","who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-may-31",{"condition_id":973,"outcome":29,"usdc":974,"entry_price":975,"won":17,"source":909,"end_date_iso":926,"captured_at":965,"question":976,"event_slug":977,"category":38},"0x0f3062f421a43ab9af2f3dc9c3eef48e2aab38a4c9858aca7651947642c4c964",1908.2146599999999,0.28112541526638435,"Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?","where-will-the-next-us-iran-diplomatic-meeting-happen-455",{"condition_id":979,"outcome":42,"usdc":980,"entry_price":981,"won":12,"source":909,"end_date_iso":982,"captured_at":965,"question":983,"event_slug":984,"category":38},"0x0fb006e0c06caa4db12f7e30ec8c2483d658f83eb57b2ee8eb478e39beca3dfd",2360,0.7866666666666666,"2026-06-21T14:00:00Z","Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","colombia-presidential-election",{"condition_id":979,"outcome":29,"usdc":986,"entry_price":987,"won":17,"source":909,"end_date_iso":982,"captured_at":965,"question":983,"event_slug":984,"category":38},30,0.01,{"condition_id":989,"outcome":42,"usdc":990,"entry_price":991,"won":12,"source":909,"end_date_iso":992,"captured_at":911,"question":993,"event_slug":941,"category":38},"0x12aa595f4883b1a856dcf8155b87e89a8d098b5ad8a7781c75804fd13d166718",2346.124095,0.6672152927328041,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Israel closes its airspace by August 31?",{"condition_id":989,"outcome":29,"usdc":995,"entry_price":806,"won":17,"source":909,"end_date_iso":992,"captured_at":911,"question":993,"event_slug":941,"category":38},703.1945000000001,{"condition_id":997,"outcome":42,"usdc":998,"entry_price":999,"won":12,"source":909,"end_date_iso":1000,"captured_at":911,"question":1001,"event_slug":1002,"category":1003},"0x137cf69002f2f24c6cbc7572321db1f6fd995f53d2457fda7e52f7fd82446794",450.01007,0.08709091314515041,"2026-08-31T20:29:00Z","US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?","us-ceasefire-against-iran-continues-throughptptpt",null,{"condition_id":997,"outcome":29,"usdc":1005,"entry_price":1006,"won":17,"source":909,"end_date_iso":1000,"captured_at":911,"question":1001,"event_slug":1002,"category":1003},4649.679298,0.8553037645667394,{"condition_id":1008,"outcome":29,"usdc":1009,"entry_price":1010,"won":17,"source":909,"end_date_iso":1011,"captured_at":919,"question":1012,"event_slug":1013,"category":38},"0x151b13b0d75a282ea864a2835963c0164c03e8fa3064c4d44026e3af5f2ff8d4",850.5357,0.4061096282938883,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z"," Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?","iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-july-31",{"condition_id":1015,"outcome":29,"usdc":1016,"entry_price":1017,"won":17,"source":909,"end_date_iso":1018,"captured_at":965,"question":1019,"event_slug":673,"category":133},"0x17c1591393e9bfcaa68c89086af37ffc1b44db673c56c8bebe07480759c6038a",7.889671,0.00995618716393312,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":1021,"outcome":29,"usdc":1022,"entry_price":1023,"won":17,"source":909,"end_date_iso":926,"captured_at":919,"question":1024,"event_slug":977,"category":38},"0x189c38e8bf3733572f401f8d578099f7233baef3d5fcb438b4eeb0b73bacc787",852.9587499999998,0.2904974967591274,"Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":1026,"outcome":42,"usdc":1027,"entry_price":1028,"won":17,"source":909,"end_date_iso":1029,"captured_at":911,"question":1030,"event_slug":1031,"category":1003},"0x1a716766423ff8a4e3f45b3cd69fad6c05d33452e29eb15d3a990661463ade08",54.9666,0.08999999999999998,"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?","south-carolina-senate-special-republican-primary-first-round-winner-20260721172033648",{"condition_id":1033,"outcome":1034,"usdc":1035,"entry_price":1036,"won":17,"source":909,"end_date_iso":1037,"captured_at":919,"question":1038,"event_slug":1039,"category":1003},"0x1b68bece8e0035fb2edd6aaa012fa47cd0d297549f507e3cfdd7a7c9a5a00907","LAZER",2.469758,0.020000000000000004,"2026-05-27T07:50:00Z","Valorant: STREAMER ARENA vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Season","val-sta1-exl1-2026-05-26",{"condition_id":1041,"outcome":29,"usdc":1042,"entry_price":1043,"won":17,"source":909,"end_date_iso":926,"captured_at":965,"question":1044,"event_slug":1045,"category":38},"0x1be62d973dc8fb45de714eb2113118b6ac3e47694f8b0801c0c41d992d0b7c9f",210.03076,0.17077059927495736,"Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?","what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1047,"outcome":29,"usdc":1048,"entry_price":1049,"won":12,"source":909,"end_date_iso":1050,"captured_at":911,"question":1051,"event_slug":1052,"category":1003},"0x1cb2d865f0ee15752a25591ca7cdc28cfa21232915bcb195014dc5b9d2b28b92",2163.352199,0.4797456879665104,"2026-08-13T23:59:00Z","Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?","kai-and-speed-beat-minecraft-challenge-byptptpt-20260807141254095",{"condition_id":1054,"outcome":42,"usdc":1055,"entry_price":1056,"won":12,"source":909,"end_date_iso":992,"captured_at":911,"question":1057,"event_slug":1058,"category":1059},"0x1d5cd4867b48d97d017db0bb6b4ed39d7b641d882b5bc99eaa0a9e9f05e16e78",458.76855,0.5980452128,"Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?","another-gta-vi-trailer-released-by","Culture",{"condition_id":1061,"outcome":29,"usdc":1062,"entry_price":866,"won":12,"source":909,"end_date_iso":1063,"captured_at":919,"question":1064,"event_slug":1065,"category":1003},"0x1eeb910620bfa52c348ca5b166c33230a0b142bec858d4fa46df18aeecbcecc0",471.9576,"2026-05-23T00:00:00Z","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?","iran-ceasefire-continues-through",{"condition_id":1067,"outcome":42,"usdc":1068,"entry_price":1069,"won":12,"source":909,"end_date_iso":926,"captured_at":919,"question":1070,"event_slug":1071,"category":38},"0x1ffe41da3681b949e203d16bf0fe8e095003ff52b1b65a34dc7bb7bca899fa22",366.51195,0.8138888888888889,"Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?","trump-renames-ice-to-nice-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1073,"outcome":42,"usdc":1074,"entry_price":1075,"won":12,"source":909,"end_date_iso":946,"captured_at":919,"question":1076,"event_slug":1077,"category":38},"0x2017a6a234f761d6a44be17094ecf247d7d1e706024edbef59d6391a3c19e1b2",54.120000000000005,0.7121052631578946,"Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?","will-trump-visit-pakistan-by-april-30",{"condition_id":1079,"outcome":29,"usdc":1080,"entry_price":1081,"won":17,"source":909,"end_date_iso":1082,"captured_at":911,"question":1083,"event_slug":1084,"category":1003},"0x2170cff0aedcc55d57d9d69f6df9404009a4df9d2f2afc96cf4dfb29dc1c17a2",572.0836899999999,0.3310331778515914,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?","who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-july-31-20260626210612709",{"condition_id":1086,"outcome":29,"usdc":1087,"entry_price":1088,"won":17,"source":909,"end_date_iso":1089,"captured_at":911,"question":1090,"event_slug":1091,"category":1003},"0x21c77725363b6717538157cf5ce5cf9c69571120870d6def4233257566e07db4",343.95302,0.2039883117,"2026-08-01T03:59:59.999Z","Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?","what-price-will-wti-hit-in-july-2026",{"total":1093,"wins":1094},535,290,[1096,1101,1106,1111,1116,1122,1126,1128,1130],{"category":38,"n":1097,"wins":1098,"hitRate":1099,"roi":1100},276,145,0.5253623188405797,0.14241081206760645,{"category":1102,"n":1103,"wins":830,"hitRate":1104,"roi":1105},"Other",154,0.577922077922078,0.10597656556946206,{"category":133,"n":1107,"wins":1108,"hitRate":1109,"roi":1110},58,31,0.5344827586206896,0.12331417346890844,{"category":171,"n":1112,"wins":1113,"hitRate":1114,"roi":1115},33,18,0.5454545454545454,0.17206095807845964,{"category":1117,"n":1118,"wins":1119,"hitRate":1120,"roi":1121},"Sports",7,2,0.2857142857142857,0.1369021367483346,{"category":702,"n":1123,"wins":1119,"hitRate":1124,"roi":1125},3,0.6666666666666666,-0.229789432813055,{"category":58,"n":1119,"wins":1119,"hitRate":12,"roi":1127},0.2850657522615619,{"category":425,"n":12,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":1129},-1,{"category":1059,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":1131},0.6721143796437727,{"generatedAt":1133},"2026-11-04T10:22:00.464Z"]