[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x879752bca887bc247ba883a52bc45e9c6be6bbbe":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":805,"history":806,"resolved":809,"resolvedSummary":1424,"specialization":1426,"meta":1448},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x879752bca887bc247ba883a52bc45e9c6be6bbbe",4071,659,0.6904400606980273,0.2894845615774167,0.18323595974287962,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-23T04:35:28.626Z",200.21326921699537,6.0670640834575265,"2026-09-19T05:11:13.000Z",0,"trades",0.5317274979978734,0.15871256270015172,38194.75065397245,131940.54441399995,13.544481331943931,0.04122137404580153,[26,39,48,59,67,76,85,93,102,110,117,125,135,144,152,161,168,177,183,192,200,208,215,222,231,239,247,254,261,267,276,284,292,300,308,316,324,332,339,348,356,363,370,377,385,393,400,408,415,422,431,440,449,456,464,471,480,486,494,501,509,518,527,535,543,551,558,566,574,580,588,595,603,610,617,624,632,639,646,653,661,668,677,685,693,700,708,717,724,732,738,744,751,760,767,774,780,785,789,797],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"48727431314333088243693016929623363710488980152833544156961659445129455301311","0x5c79dfde05559b79a9cb9f7c4187e4d49632dd042572ae676952f812732591cc","No",19289.57,0.5635,"2026-09-24T04:17:21.516Z","2026-09-23T07:17:35.534Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.205\", \"0.795\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":44,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":47,"category":38},"94230171906841915106704029803563020420374657103436346471561700926244621209762","0xa2e43598547f2e90e3eee195812c8814202b9b66f6c540d7e15a265cbe93f68f",2687.09,0.736,"Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?","republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections","2027-01-05T04:59:00Z","[\"0.3\", \"0.7\"]",{"token_id":49,"condition_id":50,"outcome":51,"size":52,"avg_price":53,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":54,"event_slug":55,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":57,"category":58},"23556429317429021692175226714041757812438092709195093999386854296551945919152","0xe67f4d31f0eba1b009b49d7a7739b2a5f53a2d7d979a0902b465a510492c33bb","Yes",1970,0.7228,"Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?","where-will-2026-rank-among-the-hottest-years-on-record","2027-03-02T04:59:00Z","[\"0.755\", \"0.245\"]","Culture",{"token_id":60,"condition_id":61,"outcome":29,"size":62,"avg_price":63,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":64,"event_slug":65,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":66,"category":38},"71334664885801955807825330010928919481514110131639634508060790735437273378545","0x612126703db7fb7eaa44906b2c7de42300a6cb6e0615c1e360e96e328b6433e5",3018.9,0.4647,"Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?","which-bills-will-become-law-in-2026","[\"0.155\", \"0.845\"]",{"token_id":68,"condition_id":69,"outcome":29,"size":70,"avg_price":71,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":72,"event_slug":73,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":74,"outcome_prices":75,"category":38},"48860666039818673107141791086090632565267919036905273668325991140836915975346","0xcf26973ee6873733bf53be81dd88622b36b663e6d594e74b9860958f2072139d",1498.78,0.9105,"Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?","how-many-house-seats-will-the-democrats-win-in-texas","2026-11-03T00:00:00Z","[\"0.0275\", \"0.9725\"]",{"token_id":77,"condition_id":78,"outcome":29,"size":79,"avg_price":80,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":81,"event_slug":82,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":83,"outcome_prices":84,"category":38},"78244091100777799604242355358928625704688015584811609078302921182675493691652","0xd3159f52eb20e8445be1db0e4b09b9214e0d34938a9d205ed4736f7d315fdc72",1171.86,0.7799,"Will Ohio (Special) have the closest Senate race in 2026?","closest-senate-race-20260626184244519","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.1065\", \"0.8935\"]",{"token_id":86,"condition_id":87,"outcome":29,"size":88,"avg_price":89,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":90,"event_slug":91,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":92,"category":38},"30455770425041126193569940063234142577691408508440512817158696601142733755169","0x953b1439569eef0a0e639566acd35d32ebadee8ab70dbb2f8e00bb936a277aa2",999.99,0.778,"US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?","us-national-bitcoin-reserve-before-2027","[\"0.06\", \"0.94\"]",{"token_id":94,"condition_id":95,"outcome":51,"size":96,"avg_price":97,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":98,"event_slug":99,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":100,"category":101},"34819265358532535745389081655110465366205614488485370986851183512281332080312","0x117f9132e15eeff2621be398fa57092cf446a2f02cbd7ee8e3714226705c4d3b",1243,0.5892,"Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?","openai-announces-another-millennium-prize-solution-by","[\"0.37\", \"0.63\"]","Tech",{"token_id":103,"condition_id":104,"outcome":29,"size":105,"avg_price":106,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":107,"event_slug":108,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":109,"category":38},"61089537853579134972835081704941258638250904757651148428688179512165773691797","0xc7f45de4466d94cca028a3d82d5d0167e45bff211d5f94c443ae6b6891131d4d",807,0.9002,"Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?","trump-tries-to-fire-warsh-in-2026-20260724155002773","[\"0.013\", \"0.987\"]",{"token_id":111,"condition_id":112,"outcome":29,"size":113,"avg_price":114,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":115,"event_slug":82,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":83,"outcome_prices":116,"category":38},"109067375239297713977502109465557779770345922416484204972643753246338268683433","0x8c8b44a8d19dde93ade0e5f9a77e882a2c1b0f97cff567424ca4dcfcccf5e655",787.93,0.8399,"Will Maine have the closest Senate race in 2026?","[\"0.085\", \"0.915\"]",{"token_id":118,"condition_id":119,"outcome":29,"size":120,"avg_price":121,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":122,"event_slug":123,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":124,"category":38},"35575944116956982188959537860451847709356412707937191275113536563489728185182","0xef1904f76f205933ad8038a36348561388df264ce167465e91057a14627a418e",671,0.8231,"Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?","nigel-farage-out-as-reform-uk-leader-in-2026-20260622233131512","[\"0.115\", \"0.885\"]",{"token_id":126,"condition_id":127,"outcome":29,"size":128,"avg_price":129,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":130,"event_slug":131,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":132,"outcome_prices":133,"category":134},"66717623115126869367839678918667820278193168406625864843720194806657593097079","0xb4e5045af392d810191d0c52abc57514ad9bfa44970ebf1447b0eb8e743fb24e",725.22,0.7491,"Will Michigan Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?","ncaa-football-team-to-make-college-football-playoffs-20260803190433067","","[\"0.225\", \"0.775\"]",null,{"token_id":136,"condition_id":137,"outcome":51,"size":138,"avg_price":139,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":140,"event_slug":141,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":142,"outcome_prices":143,"category":38},"1912123006659202393239555952183008613139794898030657820154477280141921306103","0x8f38b53c21eb19bc2f5765442d027063c72ef28a1e38e04931c289e7b4385ba0",1834.6,0.2903,"Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?","who-will-trump-pick-as-the-next-press-secretary-20260812210729848","2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.158\", \"0.842\"]",{"token_id":145,"condition_id":146,"outcome":29,"size":147,"avg_price":148,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":149,"event_slug":150,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":83,"outcome_prices":151,"category":38},"55992506260961591303223238746567070593220053987024155939423662274780970159054","0xd01a6f8d85d09a149317bf3d6059e489f1f7c48f9e6499cebb455ecee59d75be",598,0.8856,"Will Kansas have the closest Governor's race in 2026?","closest-governors-race-20260629182258067","[\"0.047\", \"0.953\"]",{"token_id":153,"condition_id":154,"outcome":29,"size":155,"avg_price":156,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":157,"event_slug":158,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":160,"category":38},"33452715171383345770210907823055986277646559632542476227706185618294995722018","0xf83d984df52349f3b30fc061e888582d411c16bcf8c9710e3d2d3e1c5b075afe",577,0.7917,"Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat?","mn-08-house-election-winner","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.14\", \"0.86\"]",{"token_id":162,"condition_id":163,"outcome":29,"size":164,"avg_price":165,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":166,"event_slug":82,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":83,"outcome_prices":167,"category":38},"22888579829811990516583947089633609827904143733685010102442348975716294815584","0x6a1c23211343a120e817d691968f68754519586f5a1f920fcdbb1357b23d096b",550.44,0.8271,"Will Michigan have the closest Senate race in 2026?","[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]",{"token_id":169,"condition_id":170,"outcome":29,"size":171,"avg_price":172,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":173,"event_slug":174,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":175,"outcome_prices":176,"category":38},"110520676613925959579139500530173530568459548038467437434271818483410549817281","0x4b76de592a261167f57d3d8a0d99e485bfa58f7dc79175197d926f10ae1fc03c",612.14,0.7316,"Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?","lima-mayoral-election-winner-20260724153924694","2026-10-05T03:59:00Z","[\"0.069\", \"0.931\"]",{"token_id":178,"condition_id":179,"outcome":51,"size":155,"avg_price":180,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":181,"event_slug":182,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":74,"outcome_prices":57,"category":38},"58414915443056575600546845688231939406497093430617962204950899073959516863962","0x4f63b7dddfb9bec2d5185e732dd3eb8463d825bdf5efadf87eec600e96e08ab5",0.75,"Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?","mn-01-house-election-winner",{"token_id":184,"condition_id":185,"outcome":29,"size":186,"avg_price":187,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":188,"event_slug":189,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":190,"outcome_prices":191,"category":38},"111344475342969784116702975577723982549674037196345086059563486202499238579830","0xa08a5ce99e14ce0b22767af6f16c08a2ab012249444c20887193a9a3e98e11fc",500,0.79,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-september-30-20260702154339440","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0055\", \"0.9945\"]",{"token_id":193,"condition_id":194,"outcome":29,"size":195,"avg_price":196,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":197,"event_slug":198,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":199,"category":38},"17882717340608127748663801845299313394652119464795634688550606307633476223171","0xa2739ba4bc05fe9791b3a3e437104254625ed5a8e9b43f96aef4255e1757e618",468,0.818,"Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?","where-will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-678","[\"0.685\", \"0.315\"]",{"token_id":201,"condition_id":202,"outcome":51,"size":203,"avg_price":204,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":205,"event_slug":206,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":207,"category":38},"30262233103742413016273744865726694634847925546317079132006147490239167102562","0x5d52fd8e215a7ac609d4af5da9dcf752e9e6b4fc2b47482c246d51c8aa8e9280",436,0.8299,"Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?","ny-02-house-election-winner","[\"0.86\", \"0.14\"]",{"token_id":209,"condition_id":210,"outcome":51,"size":211,"avg_price":212,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":213,"event_slug":214,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":66,"category":38},"9506369488275436657454741912611540208508218792771601014444664102873977298471","0x194fbdfdb828a52b840314e5c1da3029531407a089ba54dadb55761540546bfc",3025.36,0.1146,"US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?","us-government-removes-public-access-to-a-major-chinese-ai-model-in-2026-20260703203328223",{"token_id":216,"condition_id":217,"outcome":51,"size":218,"avg_price":219,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":220,"event_slug":221,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":116,"category":38},"32376770168399281276148201544753915180489548641306262531582590554657167702442","0x5a35c8d26f024d73b504530a3f33945741ff1152473c7393250f19d73d518a17",2286.03,0.1504,"US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?","us-saudi-nuclear-deal-enters-into-force-in-2026-20260722230956508",{"token_id":223,"condition_id":224,"outcome":29,"size":225,"avg_price":226,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":227,"event_slug":228,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":229,"outcome_prices":230,"category":38},"100549247914812128196500235388613590436025015265102557736583001867801482544487","0xe00cb03a0aefe8f4a06338da171a8df62edd2056622843931f4d5af4199afffe",500.55,0.6343,"Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?","nigerian-presidential-election-winner-20260602162945585","2027-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.24\", \"0.76\"]",{"token_id":232,"condition_id":233,"outcome":51,"size":234,"avg_price":235,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":236,"event_slug":237,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":238,"category":38},"32844269442852262534802316938044703795066196528094796332245347991652881696933","0x3961473d4a336d8eded9cf3cca299ca72bd68c57a435d82b7c5289f276b7d0c9",384,0.8199,"Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?","oh-10-house-election-winner","[\"0.825\", \"0.175\"]",{"token_id":240,"condition_id":241,"outcome":29,"size":242,"avg_price":243,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":244,"event_slug":245,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":190,"outcome_prices":246,"category":38},"108308183073891946533642360856234559374146268200961511650206295005007824881339","0xbc0079f0872035a9eccf8920c3ceb807750685c25a5f5dcd8a8a235a34cd7bb0",378.77,0.7911,"Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?","will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by","[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]",{"token_id":248,"condition_id":249,"outcome":29,"size":250,"avg_price":251,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":252,"event_slug":82,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":83,"outcome_prices":253,"category":38},"14741982900552189971404415662263588500761319219726140406687674437138625134540","0xf73b72a436b097906e6b08113cdeefe98b883e2862cc6e3b3d95eaa9c2b8667e",339.76,0.8652,"Will Georgia have the closest Senate race in 2026?","[\"0.0175\", \"0.9825\"]",{"token_id":255,"condition_id":256,"outcome":29,"size":257,"avg_price":258,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":259,"event_slug":82,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":83,"outcome_prices":260,"category":38},"102567753077183351976575429650139221591639757023684543095146376287222573729227","0x818fe251e34eaa34aaddc142caa98ae5e5bb7ab2e18a97598c6c04819723f023",336.15,0.8715,"Will Minnesota have the closest Senate race in 2026?","[\"0.01\", \"0.99\"]",{"token_id":262,"condition_id":263,"outcome":29,"size":264,"avg_price":204,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":265,"event_slug":206,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":266,"category":38},"92361184289973212325206711679080207496630197819525382432050979669212310974558","0x266327863c1681bc8e3db27d2b1d0806032120e2029712cc38bbba9b5bca870b",341.78,"Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat?","[\"0.135\", \"0.865\"]",{"token_id":268,"condition_id":269,"outcome":29,"size":270,"avg_price":271,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":272,"event_slug":273,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":274,"outcome_prices":275,"category":38},"57514998268904080879164103526619824154351143472743454222714177979324727006035","0x2e0dfa54cabf126a876d11530463ca033b6b4d3a7ad6164c908c4bd89802204a",1234.04,0.2212,"Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?","cape-verde-presidential-election-winner-2026","2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.805\", \"0.195\"]",{"token_id":277,"condition_id":278,"outcome":51,"size":279,"avg_price":280,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":281,"event_slug":282,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":283,"category":38},"62664988686544541004962241557013553766520681768858444478309305931894695537107","0x1a975c8210f5aa11c76d645a4dd746764799310898445689b17fb500a8925c80",1995.99,0.1361,"Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?","who-will-be-arrested-before-2027","[\"0.081\", \"0.919\"]",{"token_id":285,"condition_id":286,"outcome":51,"size":287,"avg_price":288,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":289,"event_slug":290,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":274,"outcome_prices":291,"category":38},"7593969562324822692501363565205182443860928099163461045185140593084672689930","0x3a00d0d616d344c8cb25209a1df1ff01aa99bcbd7cecf13926959357c8b95223",334,0.7466,"Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?","2027-french-presidential-election-who-will-be-on-the-ballot","[\"0.735\", \"0.265\"]",{"token_id":293,"condition_id":294,"outcome":29,"size":295,"avg_price":296,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":297,"event_slug":298,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":175,"outcome_prices":299,"category":38},"115185678488470447867915312736434195109954523227516283415121972843153558531966","0x9dd4229c1346ba75c83a20b8176a02bae4f16a1dfd37f8b5a413d1ea69d8e03c",279.99,0.8866,"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?","brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory","[\"0.002\", \"0.998\"]",{"token_id":301,"condition_id":302,"outcome":29,"size":303,"avg_price":304,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":305,"event_slug":290,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":306,"outcome_prices":307,"category":38},"58047956305213616440461789843816202089066813862427755491320530178474604597749","0xc991e4977f8b504529e93ffb308feb1e0127f447e5da47b4f5cc312a696dcee2",335.2,0.7386,"Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?","2027-04-18T23:59:00Z","[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]",{"token_id":309,"condition_id":310,"outcome":51,"size":311,"avg_price":312,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":313,"event_slug":314,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":315,"category":101},"74696841273305790671697690262842613773461087174283674071929573450497841114090","0x7f2eb362637d5067ac88c4ee7281772b23b6fea99cea1efa019bbc6d0c1e4e6e",855.86,0.2703,"Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?","highest-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-20260723190142922","[\"0.505\", \"0.495\"]",{"token_id":317,"condition_id":318,"outcome":29,"size":319,"avg_price":320,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":321,"event_slug":322,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":323,"category":38},"50625563411315286281382076301650330638885219724646222499625038236764011299650","0x1857c666b9935631f78d5d5a8d2cddaa9e08c8c44f3210a04f682a5fcf738941",248,0.872,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 50%-55%?","il-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.03\", \"0.97\"]",{"token_id":325,"condition_id":326,"outcome":51,"size":327,"avg_price":328,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":329,"event_slug":330,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":274,"outcome_prices":331,"category":38},"105906952212752458949406647405047101709715174000931902708269849316336177600935","0x109940d5d51a60f3706e2149b21124a0c1630c4950ddbf7521470700013783f1",438.72,0.4711,"Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?","next-secretary-general-of-the-united-nations","[\"0.0735\", \"0.9265\"]",{"token_id":333,"condition_id":334,"outcome":29,"size":335,"avg_price":336,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":337,"event_slug":322,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":338,"category":38},"105749718589527602192499747200840968922511320144531622393276519624060852085046","0xd50ca1dfcefd654bac43b695f2d1e48e08820ed37ca46af5e80cb93100b1b338",261,0.7846,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 55% or more?","[\"0.0045\", \"0.9955\"]",{"token_id":340,"condition_id":341,"outcome":29,"size":342,"avg_price":343,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":344,"event_slug":345,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":346,"outcome_prices":347,"category":38},"65695907756850653050682099296769734898533045654262837886911919065792017431302","0x28922a5eb28d0909bafc625779bf01c08eb1673c60b0183d678bb3417b191cf2",370,0.4654,"Will Florida's \"Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes\" referendum pass in November 2026?","will-floridas-save-our-homes-from-excessive-property-taxes-referendum-pass-in-november-2026-20260708194332212","2027-04-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.31\", \"0.69\"]",{"token_id":349,"condition_id":350,"outcome":29,"size":351,"avg_price":352,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":353,"event_slug":354,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":346,"outcome_prices":355,"category":38},"4105743562478988496888571607838833630287595146029439565728582351970449061173","0x26e1677bbb4f26eaabdd62b1c905b8d4c1205a0b8686ba0eebfb510a9f4ca2ba",427,0.3899,"Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?","idaho-passes-ballot-measure-legalizing-abortion-20260729165257291","[\"0.57\", \"0.43\"]",{"token_id":357,"condition_id":358,"outcome":51,"size":234,"avg_price":359,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":360,"event_slug":361,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":362,"category":38},"16719412997978242839966243019673219333732814563842305517820712270028523555970","0x64e9ae1a808b08d281c18368dd1068e6e8b0b8d9aeff46bae291377ae1e07d5f",0.4163,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 21% or more?","new-jersey-senate-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.605\", \"0.395\"]",{"token_id":364,"condition_id":365,"outcome":51,"size":366,"avg_price":235,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":367,"event_slug":368,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":369,"category":38},"95705980522682633277376846361113336199940485063572400683361002354333832728615","0xca3ee95ca3d6d0e6416aa412c1a01f6c64010476dbb13fb1c90204628ff9e4e1",192,"Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?","mn-06-house-election-winner","[\"0.905\", \"0.095\"]",{"token_id":371,"condition_id":372,"outcome":51,"size":373,"avg_price":374,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":375,"event_slug":290,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":274,"outcome_prices":376,"category":38},"107522054548411774619306634308113991946472753213652905906071779736176841571061","0x888a5a06d9d4d27167bc1a68ff0e42041ea6dd8ea23cf68634347fcbdade2896",328,0.4742,"Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?","[\"0.195\", \"0.805\"]",{"token_id":378,"condition_id":379,"outcome":51,"size":380,"avg_price":381,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":382,"event_slug":383,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":274,"outcome_prices":384,"category":38},"74154196162231813790740402249048544062630062154816336721939531983545197952281","0xf7a4d4535904c5c1a8078057f5e6aa96ccd8cac35ce40bdeafb3a35814eb6d22",758.95,0.1973,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more?","rhode-island-senate-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.565\", \"0.435\"]",{"token_id":386,"condition_id":387,"outcome":29,"size":388,"avg_price":389,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":390,"event_slug":391,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":392,"category":38},"80415208708998183542674740104322812567309992154776858539091918154012377306126","0x746a069517ae0cae4dfff1fd75c45e6c23d1a8fc4b4d74c3bcf1348df8ef7942",168,0.8614,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by 18% or more?","arizona-governor-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.045\", \"0.955\"]",{"token_id":394,"condition_id":395,"outcome":51,"size":396,"avg_price":397,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":398,"event_slug":228,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":399,"outcome_prices":199,"category":38},"53436724862844247057827668411672140355766194940747468720197412431149544886943","0xdb66349b5658e7ce54667294bb61ca2f98d68f8afde5c711284d7e9c5a5e5787",255,0.5667,"Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?","2027-01-16T17:00:00Z",{"token_id":401,"condition_id":402,"outcome":29,"size":403,"avg_price":404,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":405,"event_slug":406,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":407,"category":38},"3413519127535001052916661090245482216488485084154812276111220288208573662220","0x0f0c23171f3fcc1459098f9eede312c85757d43f221636c8f983d25e6682d32e",162,0.8127,"Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?","todd-blanche-disbarred-or-suspended-in-ny-in-2026-20260713190235888","[\"0.033\", \"0.967\"]",{"token_id":409,"condition_id":410,"outcome":29,"size":411,"avg_price":235,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":412,"event_slug":413,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":414,"category":38},"100297102684186474096013141571162038897263041512689308259733683064283726629177","0x4a49bfaa67b36ea9718ce7ed609dfbedb0eb86ec712985317656ee9a11ac9513",158,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 55% or more?","md-05-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.09\", \"0.91\"]",{"token_id":416,"condition_id":417,"outcome":29,"size":411,"avg_price":418,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":419,"event_slug":420,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":421,"category":38},"94094289854847030578468251876138848246024510816644017363189037118828660555825","0xf4d1d6a1ebd912e209b86f64ff519538b9678fa606a0abe2073ca04ebfd59650",0.8099,"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-08 House election by 35% or more?","tx-08-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.0475\", \"0.9525\"]",{"token_id":423,"condition_id":424,"outcome":29,"size":425,"avg_price":426,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":427,"event_slug":428,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":429,"outcome_prices":430,"category":38},"11933726652614760463259282992388358775087870081795366198656548984238478917043","0x6f9f4e951deefb1537f9cd35a3bd4e47b902872a7b903bded3b63a35686efa24",163.89,0.7779,"Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?","will-the-missouri-abortion-sex-change-for-minors-ban-pass","2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.215\", \"0.785\"]",{"token_id":432,"condition_id":433,"outcome":29,"size":434,"avg_price":435,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":436,"event_slug":437,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":438,"outcome_prices":439,"category":38},"72579858794220896410851258821686402300133184656265183495758511761248180996159","0x58aabfd6df070afb0bc0a66a25e0076c3666d1d1d62a8efc31bb70fa0c118467",154,0.8,"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be 1,400,000 or more?","oklahoma-senate-election-turnout","2026-11-03T12:00:00Z","[\"0.046\", \"0.954\"]",{"token_id":441,"condition_id":442,"outcome":29,"size":443,"avg_price":444,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":445,"event_slug":446,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":447,"outcome_prices":448,"category":38},"66664231847416356091440659885607753784140104656278724938060919823393730466732","0x741d99d33224258ad4536be7adbfdea7cacdaec616ce88e13755bfafde9c6d19",391,0.3148,"Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?","new-zealand-legislative-election-winner","2026-11-08T04:59:00Z","[\"0.555\", \"0.445\"]",{"token_id":450,"condition_id":451,"outcome":29,"size":452,"avg_price":453,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":454,"event_slug":455,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":116,"category":38},"19148126064688322091913395966414758131196064510667948947564524815165576290957","0x083d327d28955136bd82954c34276409f1ce42091f6886ab46506b5baa19885c",349.03,0.3508,"Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?","which-states-will-use-new-congressional-maps-in-the-midterms",{"token_id":457,"condition_id":458,"outcome":29,"size":459,"avg_price":460,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":461,"event_slug":462,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":463,"category":38},"29510285644497717648376447129277460868142040496712855948886642100754557818706","0x6655cdb088b8cbaf6d4d3b8ac04fe4cf8b5ebe4a9f5e3778c4b13f4a7f1693cc",215.19,0.5171,"RFK Jr. Out by December 31?","rfk-jr-out-by-december-31-524","[\"0.175\", \"0.825\"]",{"token_id":465,"condition_id":466,"outcome":51,"size":467,"avg_price":468,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":469,"event_slug":314,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":470,"category":101},"55795084853445616077755346538926626863060191589109939190963474140245109665587","0x8ec7a062dfcb27ff89b560c3bf323d9842ee97f147d91b0223d1139e5bcd6843",732.01,0.1471,"Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?","[\"0.2\", \"0.8\"]",{"token_id":472,"condition_id":473,"outcome":51,"size":474,"avg_price":475,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":476,"event_slug":477,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":478,"outcome_prices":479,"category":38},"27574293309104117988785722816384166732256180683715968874076479908449482000352","0x7dae88f6807b879a1fc30959ea007208f4fc871425626d2cceb2ca15277863e7",230.97,0.4567,"Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?","how-many-senators-will-vote-for-the-clarity-act-20260729193533306","2027-01-02T04:59:00Z","[\"0.08\", \"0.92\"]",{"token_id":481,"condition_id":482,"outcome":29,"size":483,"avg_price":204,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":484,"event_slug":485,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":74,"outcome_prices":463,"category":38},"28593545792901687876095567069118351558100674001488995571081606035983340859553","0xc21ac08bdb96bf9c25ed1e7bdae4f2408e0dc51446fc0bae584a45954558409d",114.99,"Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?","how-many-republican-governors-after-the-2026-midterm-elections",{"token_id":487,"condition_id":488,"outcome":51,"size":489,"avg_price":490,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":491,"event_slug":492,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":493,"category":38},"57878968955604079939945958839044421805552346502876916662120667207606560003231","0x1a7cdea3793ecc245cc5dbfaebf71b223f0680dc7adf0fdd7e1cb31bac28e384",125.42,0.7409,"Will Republicans win the Michigan Governor election and Democrats win the Michigan Senate election?","michigan-senate-and-governor-combo-20260810212316503","[\"0.0195\", \"0.9805\"]",{"token_id":495,"condition_id":496,"outcome":51,"size":342,"avg_price":497,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":498,"event_slug":499,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":500,"category":38},"35765669644725790037677759655772405684219904960271541320012433083399162406110","0xe1d1e2bdaf781bf7efcf6ce28a9fd1849e95b3a572590b669909dcecadd3e3a4",0.25,"Will Republicans sweep the Iowa Senate and Governor elections?","iowa-senate-and-governor-combo-20260810203009113","[\"0.095\", \"0.905\"]",{"token_id":502,"condition_id":503,"outcome":51,"size":504,"avg_price":505,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":506,"event_slug":507,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":508,"category":38},"47255416712691492206624097309786026164360882849351751349159994324988394359624","0xee68f3c6823eb7d98f4d79e0aae90cb876e84c517709b44f8240480cdda26290",434,0.2117,"Will there be 5 or fewer UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?","how-many-uk-parliamentary-by-elections-in-2026-20260708164636512","[\"0.0095\", \"0.9905\"]",{"token_id":510,"condition_id":511,"outcome":51,"size":512,"avg_price":513,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":514,"event_slug":515,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":516,"outcome_prices":517,"category":38},"58945936829392654397399777214757608864525173988558750256164021442231118224154","0x9ed0ecc8b8589e67967d44c4420944a41b6a6806419019a1581d514174eee9b1",279,0.3126,"Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","2026-10-27T23:59:00Z","[\"0.105\", \"0.895\"]",{"token_id":519,"condition_id":520,"outcome":29,"size":521,"avg_price":522,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":523,"event_slug":524,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":525,"outcome_prices":526,"category":58},"72771708472018674172242930517759017173206819641396515014641850821696087024529","0x37a7dc4672b22366796a49a9964377f4dfe5bfb6c4e3d1bedc61bf9ddf6a671e",100,0.87,"Will \"Fatherland\" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?","oscars-2026-best-picture-nominations-167","2027-01-21T00:00:00Z","[\"0.1565\", \"0.8435\"]",{"token_id":528,"condition_id":529,"outcome":51,"size":530,"avg_price":531,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":532,"event_slug":533,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":534,"category":38},"38809577306292889871699315747625158397261688035418130935275716974975365319085","0x8dcfaba48b64919f64ab8d728182b78957305eb9baecd2533ff9839440c85581",179.23,0.4782,"Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?","us-lifts-caatsa-sanctions-on-turkey-byptptpt-20260708213004784","[\"0.38\", \"0.62\"]",{"token_id":536,"condition_id":537,"outcome":51,"size":538,"avg_price":539,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":540,"event_slug":541,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":542,"category":38},"71889525072844084890831375637614216556411085792443780405986919164712913807700","0x6c9c230e685a1938d771e0878085dba6e8f183ef0f2e9619caa2d3b40df51643",836.8,0.0977,"Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?","will-trump-talk-to-mojtaba-khamenei-by-march-31","[\"0.031\", \"0.969\"]",{"token_id":544,"condition_id":545,"outcome":51,"size":546,"avg_price":547,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":548,"event_slug":549,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":550,"category":38},"42823903605444970468713808135895928413298520492939341132580787530931582013949","0x2f0b77381a7c68b1d94f83ce8193aa92ca00234313872c6fb28e3a0b0a44a494",633.04,0.1219,"Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?","who-will-be-the-next-to-leave-the-trump-cabinet-474","[\"0.073\", \"0.927\"]",{"token_id":552,"condition_id":553,"outcome":51,"size":512,"avg_price":554,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":555,"event_slug":556,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":274,"outcome_prices":557,"category":58},"81675558127507458434471381337076047694296419921274648357445486235979697017267","0x84aa4a9a0f2c7dec7d593430685778a0f67f81ce5bde624a842b917b33f4316d",0.2699,"Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?","oscars-2027-best-actor-winner-20260727174302919","[\"0.245\", \"0.755\"]",{"token_id":559,"condition_id":560,"outcome":29,"size":561,"avg_price":562,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":563,"event_slug":564,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":346,"outcome_prices":565,"category":38},"109602427882496388108840441488214942702959155363101283650128568938449390402861","0x73bb904baf450bf751331ffc082017ddf82bfd98ea94ccf39c342f34681d87a1",128.28,0.5632,"Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,125,000 and 1,200,000?","nevada-governor-election-turnout","[\"0.435\", \"0.565\"]",{"token_id":567,"condition_id":568,"outcome":51,"size":569,"avg_price":570,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":571,"event_slug":572,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":478,"outcome_prices":573,"category":38},"101528035793629473103144631499053950162836236566277025198630346025079128779821","0x36f84d4dd99246203bf7790e5775185acd079e98388a0a61b5d3c1b8c7c0be32",228.7,0.2945,"Will Jerry Moran vote \"Yea\" on the Clarity Act?","which-senators-will-vote-for-the-clarity-act-20260729190926658","[\"0.025\", \"0.975\"]",{"token_id":575,"condition_id":576,"outcome":29,"size":483,"avg_price":577,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":578,"event_slug":485,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":579,"category":38},"84474541463688263390636808867362554170340027759209917312638749991530268304413","0x495cde47690b9a5844c69bc2ea507c994c10a29557aa7453979ec0df7847bf2e",0.5786,"Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?","[\"0.22\", \"0.78\"]",{"token_id":581,"condition_id":582,"outcome":51,"size":583,"avg_price":584,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":585,"event_slug":586,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":274,"outcome_prices":587,"category":38},"66030926969861234959061622854916038235908984394411272748833201858679389196842","0xe77b34eac7f4da018d919b06f4068cbda9c95247db49dd9d7030721381de74d8",187,0.3391,"Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?","next-senate-majority-leader-485","[\"0.265\", \"0.735\"]",{"token_id":589,"condition_id":590,"outcome":51,"size":434,"avg_price":591,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":592,"event_slug":593,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":594,"outcome_prices":565,"category":58},"2488884336766979426469708896746161682501398412938127410528514050303378022504","0xdb2eb52c914c483cca2e5ce963494b8782fa7f2e9d180624965d41978d81de63",0.4095,"Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?","oscars-2027-best-original-score-winner-1754500000000","2027-03-14T23:59:00Z",{"token_id":596,"condition_id":597,"outcome":51,"size":598,"avg_price":599,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":600,"event_slug":601,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":346,"outcome_prices":602,"category":38},"60045336444355703847569175048897158919345082467486806865132583390820720079567","0xf60b3ee3fcf62780cbb5e29ec2ac55161cc720c72887fb1cc3e4735a6047d6fc",264,0.2243,"Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?","alaska-senate-and-governor-combo-20260810210432707","[\"0.125\", \"0.875\"]",{"token_id":604,"condition_id":605,"outcome":51,"size":606,"avg_price":607,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":608,"event_slug":609,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":594,"outcome_prices":133,"category":58},"23882458444449369307109719392254503920984468279457741938687400499329597777062","0xc26da860e7334897361df051d82b58290411f6fcd2d0f44ab6453c4fa6c19505",294,0.1957,"Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?","oscars-2027-best-adapted-screenplay-winner-1754500000000",{"token_id":611,"condition_id":612,"outcome":51,"size":613,"avg_price":614,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":615,"event_slug":616,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":602,"category":58},"43831588866788919644297390598525951242284289265909226593918261415714547058819","0x02669fc2a99383d7b3cd667db3143c0aa34e20347e78d7f992f4e669f71821b4",173,0.3289,"Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?","kylie-jenner-and-timothe-chalamet-engaged-in-2026",{"token_id":618,"condition_id":619,"outcome":51,"size":521,"avg_price":620,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":621,"event_slug":622,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":623,"category":38},"58199720710299853890561431207407462985075458766612922964054758657487509750362","0x6ed9458b312e732d307cbaf992e153acea62ad98ebc9b5190c52416489bed72c",0.56,"Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?","me-02-house-election-winner-20260720160226434","[\"0.61\", \"0.39\"]",{"token_id":625,"condition_id":626,"outcome":51,"size":627,"avg_price":628,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":629,"event_slug":630,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":631,"category":38},"14378788384875304058425778937159605127770839272199212220351919699013609985937","0x142af19fca91e001f47f7fc325b73d0ced53188de3334352311ff3b3432762f7",165.68,0.3236,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 30% or more?","in-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.0555\", \"0.9445\"]",{"token_id":633,"condition_id":634,"outcome":29,"size":635,"avg_price":636,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":637,"event_slug":455,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":638,"category":38},"57964478393137359138743366754896251840714354276870784186151010593268057987008","0x66a685c506a9a6917f29d11dee79cb02447b7119f3ea19a7c983f45f88f8fc63",56.93,0.9049,"Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?","[\"0.044\", \"0.956\"]",{"token_id":640,"condition_id":641,"outcome":51,"size":642,"avg_price":643,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":644,"event_slug":572,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":478,"outcome_prices":645,"category":38},"77865246822724189357152280986502654414436872808606293095673804906860445414367","0xad092af284139699dccec4f340d5165d590e73cdaba082737b4321c013538f56",189.44,0.2691,"Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote \"Yea\" on the Clarity Act?","[\"0.07\", \"0.93\"]",{"token_id":647,"condition_id":648,"outcome":51,"size":649,"avg_price":650,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":651,"event_slug":572,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":478,"outcome_prices":652,"category":38},"38106612242779662640715274984133967934058250549573815943483066165665534265662","0x4ebbd8db1e4162d166db8cd3e03f8def410b286132b0d27d9ea499228cf95d36",308,0.1599,"Will Ruben Gallego vote \"Yea\" on the Clarity Act?","[\"0.0815\", \"0.9185\"]",{"token_id":654,"condition_id":655,"outcome":29,"size":656,"avg_price":657,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":658,"event_slug":659,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":660,"category":38},"45471041569001421989648235550735110887737570355776866168505165346480652778613","0xd93366079fab7bcb8a03705969822056b76226a48fd5bb7b1475a5b186cf6f07",1188.99,0.0389,"Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?","will-the-2026-midterm-elections-happen-as-scheduled","[\"0.9805\", \"0.0195\"]",{"token_id":662,"condition_id":663,"outcome":29,"size":664,"avg_price":180,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":665,"event_slug":666,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":667,"category":38},"93249141261336007953955209675528273574075310613514656270554151368681133324301","0xf7dff9b321fd7d0a41669da5fa768efcdceb743787a0560d6fa93592fdb1dec7",60,"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 30% or more?","fl-21-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.016\", \"0.984\"]",{"token_id":669,"condition_id":670,"outcome":29,"size":671,"avg_price":672,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":673,"event_slug":674,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":675,"outcome_prices":676,"category":38},"58664598873244873448459670150721910066392179271304305085142917039848480238019","0x44826354dcecc61a648252ee0a3b3ed2a2e31292c824c43120c9534b76792fe1",283,0.14,"No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?","reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-october-20260729164521631","2026-10-28T00:00:00Z","[\"0.465\", \"0.535\"]",{"token_id":678,"condition_id":679,"outcome":29,"size":680,"avg_price":681,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":682,"event_slug":683,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":525,"outcome_prices":684,"category":58},"102693698703353926284994648573047663979852692443979213524750241884184454394263","0x04df76f03ea41f367690fe91855f8b9ed0fa0616fdfdb4c6b8391c321907fddf",77,0.4972,"Will Pedro Pascal be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?","oscars-2026-best-actor-nominations-892","[\"0.208\", \"0.792\"]",{"token_id":686,"condition_id":687,"outcome":51,"size":688,"avg_price":689,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":690,"event_slug":691,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":692,"category":38},"75901333943660809025405015493333905860533037447151549203344621350262473302213","0x797b22d1fede92ae24ad2a35a9f8755eeffbacd16351bb821b638f7910cf4b68",228,0.1589,"Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 House seat?","ca-14-house-election-winner-individual-20260710020305940","[\"0.23\", \"0.77\"]",{"token_id":694,"condition_id":695,"outcome":51,"size":696,"avg_price":697,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":698,"event_slug":699,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":594,"outcome_prices":557,"category":58},"21097180489806243301878685528369212508904037094311662744122236925140821034756","0xcac6d755b3954532bda5541baee22a22fb393feff9ccd79ca26997245c883567",314,0.1147,"Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?","oscars-2027-best-cinematography-winner-1754500000000",{"token_id":701,"condition_id":702,"outcome":29,"size":703,"avg_price":704,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":705,"event_slug":706,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":274,"outcome_prices":707,"category":38},"29182486981704744274166792273611694948974217881519182164225104470235574847048","0x2c8ffe6ead169e9dcf59b4432e95ef0ed35317da27cd4d8bd17042593249eed7",40,0.89,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 12%-15%?","ia-03-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.0325\", \"0.9675\"]",{"token_id":709,"condition_id":710,"outcome":51,"size":711,"avg_price":712,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":713,"event_slug":714,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":715,"outcome_prices":716,"category":38},"109856098174983029722649567789098297237073018943808237804563416414463140161494","0x8ee27c276a1bee094293751285d8a6697674b023196cb21fdd14bf3ca12f6ec0",149,0.236,"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election-first-round-2nd-place","2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","[\"0.2675\", \"0.7325\"]",{"token_id":718,"condition_id":719,"outcome":29,"size":720,"avg_price":721,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":722,"event_slug":723,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":579,"category":38},"12115733337563754975088044086242586031442342302978027433008204256813198541416","0xafb9b578ba4d31e4a1dafbe4cabbe7322f70eb2e4ffd192b0c2c21ebd65068ed",47.86,0.7099,"Will Democrats win exactly 47 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?","how-many-house-seats-will-the-democrats-win-in-california",{"token_id":725,"condition_id":726,"outcome":51,"size":727,"avg_price":728,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":729,"event_slug":730,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":229,"outcome_prices":731,"category":38},"99808051311201916120761831886381790660200721487698255839374582775394121221964","0x77ef1096f8ffae269a9e9dcd6611743e9112e4f3a2b4baea05722ea9fc84f40c",304.3,0.1099,"Will the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?","nigerian-senate-election-winner","[\"0.121\", \"0.879\"]",{"token_id":733,"condition_id":734,"outcome":29,"size":703,"avg_price":735,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":736,"event_slug":706,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":737,"category":38},"64109773783983935236761003766165734682102833396226860260260486976459763137481","0xab6d74d6916d5f2ad22fb7340e63998e31eeee6661f14b23635794e188164dac",0.83,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 18% or more?","[\"0.006\", \"0.994\"]",{"token_id":739,"condition_id":740,"outcome":51,"size":366,"avg_price":741,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":742,"event_slug":743,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":307,"category":38},"81999424059026868707894360178920326060250823925527488554303510307070213590953","0x2b23c92cb20b728bb52e34d431dd982ceb907a4ab255f7412776e8163ca89fe5",0.168,"U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with \"Argentina\" before 2027?","which-countries-will-trump-make-new-trade-deals-with-before-2027-921",{"token_id":745,"condition_id":746,"outcome":51,"size":747,"avg_price":748,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":749,"event_slug":750,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":274,"outcome_prices":430,"category":58},"15874631339616021791631571417728704333610245713651342758007106448518733992087","0xc5dc2fa1c0ee5d82534acc026b5a076b80648073b1bef1ea61793b54a48aa9c8",153,0.16,"Will Dune: Part Three win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?","oscars-2027-best-makeup-and-hairstyling-winner-1754500000000",{"token_id":752,"condition_id":753,"outcome":51,"size":754,"avg_price":755,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":756,"event_slug":757,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":758,"outcome_prices":759,"category":38},"65605367058878559301637243726634950490412574104227831338798013303495243850873","0x26bad7d9d8983ef70b40ae95f43d872c932577485c1d595be14c3640de3d7ba5",186.66,0.1299,"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election?","vermont-lieutenant-governor-election-winner-2026","2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","[\"0.165\", \"0.835\"]",{"token_id":761,"condition_id":762,"outcome":51,"size":763,"avg_price":764,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":765,"event_slug":766,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":759,"category":38},"106232823903635943280821506586198795989522466614979810064167797068946172888247","0xf81220e2a7e890b545bd2730a82ee88f3a460b4821930289d2e034d29a0f0a75",125.5,0.1409,"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 6% or more?","mi-10-house-margin-of-victory-2026",{"token_id":768,"condition_id":769,"outcome":51,"size":770,"avg_price":771,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":772,"event_slug":455,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":773,"category":38},"58729998116075306338652358901142876681359481776195353917802138401410400251876","0x4a4ed8429dd530b4196d1b5827e2666e768d88e373b2d1f9ff80888299fbc85e",357,0.0457,"Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?","[\"0.054\", \"0.946\"]",{"token_id":775,"condition_id":776,"outcome":29,"size":777,"avg_price":721,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":778,"event_slug":779,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":124,"category":38},"44098216505130135675885713115164597336620839287271070206200261989562348872644","0x840fe2606472a13ee62e3009a360af8be2576cd1d9dbcda8749e89eed5d02a98",16.37,"Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?","will-trump-visit-greenland-by-march-31",{"token_id":781,"condition_id":782,"outcome":51,"size":783,"avg_price":755,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":784,"event_slug":282,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":124,"category":38},"74091869724089710488270648353789145218457851880773279383999098316230780589734","0x44cd8b15befa5d0ce8e20dcefc25b91bf44907d6f83d148c7b600336d990085b",71.83,"Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?",{"token_id":786,"condition_id":341,"outcome":51,"size":787,"avg_price":788,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":344,"event_slug":345,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":346,"outcome_prices":347,"category":38},"110918087411574130845804549704542324957142373403364814866616353636163907182787",30.2,0.2322,{"token_id":790,"condition_id":791,"outcome":51,"size":792,"avg_price":793,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":794,"event_slug":795,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":796,"category":38},"20701869663547109679435825076013479151001817842849243818306449384447637463042","0x3c4fcfac1fab52188ae1675bd6fb06321aef0588edfe434406774e80827ca059",61.39,0.0699,"Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?","how-many-house-seats-will-the-democrats-win-in-virginia","[\"0.15\", \"0.85\"]",{"token_id":798,"condition_id":799,"outcome":51,"size":800,"avg_price":801,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":802,"event_slug":803,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":804,"outcome_prices":338,"category":38},"2190237807361807965197171247156630678570512418415066511586861760897344294105","0x05f9c881d75407340f15315ad96d470c1e4f69b8f2b6903b7593bd1e22e38c6b",802,0.0039,"Will Concepción Sánchez González win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?","tlaxcala-governor-election-winner-20260803170329","2027-06-06T23:59:00Z",[],[807],{"recorded_date":808,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-23",[810,817,824,827,832,839,846,849,856,863,870,877,884,891,898,905,913,920,926,932,939,945,952,955,962,969,975,982,988,995,1002,1007,1013,1016,1023,1030,1036,1043,1050,1057,1062,1067,1074,1080,1087,1093,1098,1104,1111,1115,1120,1126,1129,1134,1140,1145,1153,1159,1166,1172,1178,1183,1190,1197,1203,1210,1217,1224,1230,1237,1243,1249,1256,1262,1269,1276,1281,1287,1293,1300,1307,1314,1319,1325,1330,1337,1342,1348,1354,1360,1366,1373,1379,1384,1390,1396,1401,1404,1411,1417],{"condition_id":811,"outcome":29,"usdc":812,"entry_price":813,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":190,"captured_at":13,"question":815,"event_slug":816,"category":134},"0x081e50b57af881c57f1a98f8507557e0488e61adebe47d1be45d8c2d2831bc2a",91.40998,0.24241092897103825,"backfill","Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?","next-uk-by-election-called-by-20260724183901572",{"condition_id":818,"outcome":29,"usdc":819,"entry_price":820,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":821,"captured_at":13,"question":822,"event_slug":823,"category":134},"0x084f6697c5406db79ea3bc2f45e92c4c554d09806272f6c2ea90742503c178af",241.44,0.24,"2026-03-03T00:00:00Z","Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?","texas-senate-election-matchup-877",{"condition_id":818,"outcome":51,"usdc":825,"entry_price":826,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":821,"captured_at":13,"question":822,"event_slug":823,"category":134},446.53029999999995,0.5299999999999999,{"condition_id":828,"outcome":51,"usdc":829,"entry_price":830,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":821,"captured_at":13,"question":831,"event_slug":823,"category":134},"0x0a9abb96b3667c4e3db9b24241fe39f48e936f0473ccbbc0948000e474ae4cfd",125.36999999999999,0.08270279895946328,"Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?",{"condition_id":833,"outcome":51,"usdc":834,"entry_price":835,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":836,"captured_at":13,"question":837,"event_slug":838,"category":134},"0x0d896c47968d9e437057fc62f874f4d527abd43e91c2e5950cfead58d9c23ff6",28.7,0.1,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?","hungary-parliamentary-election-popular-vote-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":840,"outcome":29,"usdc":841,"entry_price":842,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":843,"captured_at":13,"question":844,"event_slug":845,"category":134},"0x0e717ea58b9537776fd06fc0a3c1112688e8b4ba35996f3893826a82d4f09e69",39.3629,0.12627253113626558,"2026-07-30T23:59:00Z","Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by at least 15%?","greater-manchester-mayoral-election-margin-of-victory-20260703224447578",{"condition_id":840,"outcome":51,"usdc":847,"entry_price":848,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":843,"captured_at":13,"question":844,"event_slug":845,"category":134},107.57762,0.69,{"condition_id":850,"outcome":51,"usdc":851,"entry_price":852,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":853,"captured_at":13,"question":854,"event_slug":855,"category":38},"0x105b2ca798a000f8f618239bb63cd71b1bc77550409e0c4cd19ef76daad5943f",8.68,0.28,"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?","mi-11-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":857,"outcome":29,"usdc":858,"entry_price":859,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":860,"captured_at":13,"question":861,"event_slug":862,"category":134},"0x124f07d29e0fbef1f36535f4f1ee289759ec8bca4a708c4934a557ff556cd05c",218.30856,0.25061465721583925,"2026-08-13T16:00:00Z","Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?","clacton-by-election-2nd-place-20260707214539733",{"condition_id":864,"outcome":29,"usdc":865,"entry_price":866,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":867,"captured_at":13,"question":868,"event_slug":869,"category":38},"0x151f00b091b2e346656190b49c06644920fdba4f1280f7976e7f5f6bdfec7bb3",35.12,0.7634782609,"2026-06-16T00:00:00Z","Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?","virginia-republican-senate-primary-winner",{"condition_id":871,"outcome":29,"usdc":872,"entry_price":873,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":874,"captured_at":13,"question":875,"event_slug":876,"category":38},"0x18d3a6528371e1ea16cd50f955f0f45ea61c4c90a705a4f33d10eb02e9382f40",22.28,0.7682758621,"2026-09-15T00:00:00Z","Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?","ma-06-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":878,"outcome":29,"usdc":879,"entry_price":880,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":881,"captured_at":13,"question":882,"event_slug":883,"category":38},"0x1d5dc6fabe350f9ac5e5bdfd7090e772afcf8724e3a778923590e0d7d472c921",21,0.525,"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","Will Calvin Lee advance from the CA-34 primary election?","ca-34-primary-winners",{"condition_id":885,"outcome":29,"usdc":886,"entry_price":887,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":888,"captured_at":13,"question":889,"event_slug":890,"category":134},"0x261d9eab6278dd6f0c68b08a95fcc5f3354a60e1af0ee99309a7b2f373cbc841",39.3,0.15,"2026-07-05T23:59:00Z","Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-june-29-20260626161457728",{"condition_id":892,"outcome":51,"usdc":893,"entry_price":894,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":895,"captured_at":13,"question":896,"event_slug":897,"category":134},"0x2a25fe1fd9931f272c2c63011f740eda697329f88939869c41794e51fef47789",25.0204,0.71,"2026-07-20T23:59:00Z","Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?","will-trump-meet-with-netanyahu-byptptpt-20260714195149520",{"condition_id":899,"outcome":51,"usdc":900,"entry_price":901,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":902,"captured_at":13,"question":903,"event_slug":904,"category":134},"0x31be58a5780abf7897b399ebede662425fa469b0331bf5dc347d734bdbe9b303",11.92172,0.037255375,"2026-04-30","Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?","tulsi-gabbard-out-by-march-31",{"condition_id":906,"outcome":29,"usdc":907,"entry_price":908,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":909,"captured_at":13,"question":910,"event_slug":911,"category":912},"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187",20037.577799999995,0.5099636339757488,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june","Geopolitics",{"condition_id":914,"outcome":29,"usdc":915,"entry_price":916,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":917,"captured_at":13,"question":918,"event_slug":919,"category":38},"0x34b5e429032dae4f4175d01e7123e90cac80d9e5b9ff4838e47d1e91985c093d",628.21544,0.2145155457478964,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?","fisa-section-702-reauthorized-before-it-expires-419",{"condition_id":921,"outcome":29,"usdc":922,"entry_price":522,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":923,"captured_at":13,"question":924,"event_slug":925,"category":134},"0x38e8e72368ee8a3c30059e40bc60ac5013fb02370aeaf12cefe542dd70de2258",217.5,"2026-04-21","Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 9-12%?","virginia-redistricting-referendum-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":927,"outcome":29,"usdc":928,"entry_price":929,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":881,"captured_at":13,"question":930,"event_slug":931,"category":38},"0x3a53dd1a95b1e781a703160214e162eb095ee89794c874502a29cbddb6c6fc11",754.5138,0.8610517306430279,"Will Ralph Nwobi advance from the CA-07 primary election?","ca-07-primary-winners",{"condition_id":933,"outcome":51,"usdc":934,"entry_price":935,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":936,"captured_at":13,"question":937,"event_slug":938,"category":38},"0x3ad92107dbab2fdf45b0ed92dc5a7f721210759a648ae53fe363e26e3f62d29f",10.8,0.54,"2026-06-23T00:00:00Z","Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?","ny-10-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":940,"outcome":29,"usdc":941,"entry_price":942,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":132,"captured_at":13,"question":943,"event_slug":944,"category":38},"0x3c169e95aea67be5fac1529b3ad8e891fe97ec54d1f272fab43b02cce948f6c2",552.95198,0.84,"Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","makerfield-by-election-winner",{"condition_id":946,"outcome":29,"usdc":947,"entry_price":948,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":949,"captured_at":13,"question":950,"event_slug":951,"category":134},"0x45f12004aa0a366f6dfe1308b2c03ffa630033bca26fd87aa542da80f3992f1e",49.970600000000005,0.722536148043291,"2026-05-12T00:00:00Z","Will Tom Willis be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?","west-virginia-republican-senate-primary-winner",{"condition_id":946,"outcome":51,"usdc":953,"entry_price":954,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":949,"captured_at":13,"question":950,"event_slug":951,"category":134},49.33,0.7149275362,{"condition_id":956,"outcome":29,"usdc":957,"entry_price":958,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":959,"captured_at":13,"question":960,"event_slug":961,"category":912},"0x46666ceb4c63814f38a8c83784ae10e1c2e1ef52e2db648372bd86dea521cf64",1728.5436,0.82,"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15",{"condition_id":963,"outcome":29,"usdc":964,"entry_price":965,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":966,"captured_at":13,"question":967,"event_slug":968,"category":912},"0x518a5b030b205706b8ffe6bbad9bd3de59548348e5c0471827f5de21e513333c",11000.584799999997,0.48163955399141495,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may",{"condition_id":970,"outcome":29,"usdc":971,"entry_price":972,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":973,"captured_at":13,"question":974,"event_slug":925,"category":134},"0x52b31ec547ca949398ffd5bfdaa3a3b6b41389718b092fca8e6827c1dddd2b22",639.5191,0.7981119195,"2026-04-21T00:00:00Z","Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?",{"condition_id":976,"outcome":51,"usdc":977,"entry_price":978,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":979,"captured_at":13,"question":980,"event_slug":981,"category":134},"0x55a469ea12fc89bf6b12c38fc764e35c05b4b520485adf4c8716d6369b38ad8a",35,0.07000000000000002,"2025-11-15T00:00:00Z","Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?","will-the-government-shutdown-end-november-12-15",{"condition_id":983,"outcome":29,"usdc":984,"entry_price":985,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":909,"captured_at":13,"question":986,"event_slug":987,"category":38},"0x584c9773bd54965e7c1b4c7ca6dd6ec7a7ee47632f41f877be179aeb3c9006be",65.45,0.85,"Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?","who-will-enter-iran-by-june-30",{"condition_id":989,"outcome":29,"usdc":990,"entry_price":991,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":992,"captured_at":13,"question":993,"event_slug":994,"category":134},"0x5c34d9826992a9c141776ad3c467bfd85432b1f92b76e134f7790a173208e374",290.51098,0.20483908222839856,"2026-05-10T00:00:00Z","Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-may-4",{"condition_id":996,"outcome":51,"usdc":997,"entry_price":998,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":999,"captured_at":13,"question":1000,"event_slug":1001,"category":134},"0x5c7525eb66abc9240ef9afcb663fce06a0e523773fcabc73b728b5574ad6a092",306.44565,0.2606176584927934,"2026-08-27T23:59:00Z","Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?","how-long-will-the-gta-6-extended-look-be-20260807064756488",{"condition_id":1003,"outcome":51,"usdc":1004,"entry_price":1005,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":949,"captured_at":13,"question":1006,"event_slug":951,"category":134},"0x5ed6999ab4f78c560c819c4ce2e4c6c88d8e1dc2dd0f96dae9de06af8daf86e6",83.75,0.67,"Will Shelley Moore Capito be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?",{"condition_id":1008,"outcome":29,"usdc":1009,"entry_price":1010,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":966,"captured_at":13,"question":1011,"event_slug":1012,"category":38},"0x60b924763517867984f72010aaa88f0f868af28d5507db6d6d16ff38e4e4d69b",1264.3207,0.5673390292386142,"Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?","swalwell-mills-gonzalez-and-cherfilus-mccormick-all-out-by-may-31",{"condition_id":1008,"outcome":51,"usdc":1014,"entry_price":1015,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":966,"captured_at":13,"question":1011,"event_slug":1012,"category":38},258.5419,0.6646321337,{"condition_id":1017,"outcome":29,"usdc":1018,"entry_price":1019,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1020,"captured_at":13,"question":1021,"event_slug":1022,"category":134},"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8",7411.1900000000005,0.8619667364503374,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-august-31-20260702154212320",{"condition_id":1024,"outcome":29,"usdc":1025,"entry_price":1026,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1027,"captured_at":13,"question":1028,"event_slug":1029,"category":38},"0x6415588e3e9bef8cae256e5cc0be3d0d7bd9d9621d42e7acd97157e7fbf844c8",44.67,0.8590384615,"2026-08-18T00:00:00Z","Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?","republican-nominee-for-florida-governor",{"condition_id":1031,"outcome":51,"usdc":1032,"entry_price":1033,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":132,"captured_at":13,"question":1034,"event_slug":1035,"category":38},"0x645207afaa613a667bf1a7f1d4feff15fbe74a54642e897a8b07b6d9ee3ac07a",559.03803,0.8483376686851467,"Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?","how-many-republican-senate-incumbents-will-not-win-their-primary",{"condition_id":1037,"outcome":51,"usdc":1038,"entry_price":1039,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1040,"captured_at":13,"question":1041,"event_slug":1042,"category":38},"0x6c9bd12ca2dded7eb4c688a3200e94f143cc95984eb1952ab71f7ec31e07cf8c",204.23379,0.7880155642023347,"2026-09-20T00:00:00Z","Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?","mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-election-winner",{"condition_id":1044,"outcome":29,"usdc":1045,"entry_price":1046,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1047,"captured_at":13,"question":1048,"event_slug":1049,"category":134},"0x6e610816c441b2d252bda50aa01d4d2c98cf0e6efc97177143b0d9082f15ed11",273.92331,0.749879027616688,"2026-05-26T00:00:00Z","Will Gregor Heise be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?","tx-30-republican-primary-winner",{"condition_id":1051,"outcome":29,"usdc":1052,"entry_price":1053,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1054,"captured_at":13,"question":1055,"event_slug":1056,"category":38},"0x6f2580e9ed1a2d48bc76cce406b9554c5f6d2c767b516d53b14c5f39ba1afee8",127.2163,0.70374675,"2026-08-06T00:00:00Z","Will Justin Pearson be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?","tn-09-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":1058,"outcome":29,"usdc":1059,"entry_price":1060,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1040,"captured_at":13,"question":1061,"event_slug":1042,"category":38},"0x7742a04b33fb5a5b15474a7c70f3c073922c1f471bddc66ceb01c1ffd1841829",109.0936,0.7,"Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?",{"condition_id":1063,"outcome":51,"usdc":1064,"entry_price":1065,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":132,"captured_at":13,"question":1066,"event_slug":944,"category":38},"0x77954e0830eafc9539916c591f717fb0635f6483bc9949524cb46483cd9b9d39",1699.20576,0.8400000000000001,"Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?",{"condition_id":1068,"outcome":51,"usdc":1069,"entry_price":1070,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1071,"captured_at":13,"question":1072,"event_slug":1073,"category":38},"0x79859c9e6645873e1568344b0b8ee54cc9eb02b90701cc5ba19c9a547ff313ce",1673.71686,0.4177109317682048,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Kash Patel out by June 30?","kash-patel-out-by",{"condition_id":1075,"outcome":29,"usdc":1076,"entry_price":1077,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":853,"captured_at":13,"question":1078,"event_slug":1079,"category":38},"0x7fcf21912df2c1f851f2c4db16266209fcc8d2b6dddaf1f63daa92eb5595fa8c",35.72,0.8118181818181818,"Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?","az-01-republican-primary-winner",{"condition_id":1081,"outcome":29,"usdc":1082,"entry_price":1083,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1084,"captured_at":13,"question":1085,"event_slug":1086,"category":38},"0x846fbc1744f9543d339e1a4ceebdc881338e2bc4ad119e5ce9dcfbdd90255760",691.13343,0.8776601245352253,"2026-06-22T03:59:00Z","Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?","colombia-presidential-election-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260604201910879",{"condition_id":1088,"outcome":51,"usdc":1089,"entry_price":1090,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":867,"captured_at":13,"question":1091,"event_slug":1092,"category":38},"0x84a6824d41a823829b98f3f9c5155437f34182fbed5ed505c09312bc423ce79d",131.39,0.7299444444255556,"Will Elaine Luria be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?","va-02-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":1094,"outcome":51,"usdc":1095,"entry_price":672,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":853,"captured_at":13,"question":1096,"event_slug":1097,"category":134},"0x84d96abb0e78995e3e7bb3cc3ff66133f0dd5b94523606afba76f4cc65377702",5.79119,"Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?","michigan-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260706180330731",{"condition_id":1099,"outcome":51,"usdc":1100,"entry_price":1101,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":936,"captured_at":13,"question":1102,"event_slug":1103,"category":38},"0x89c32a0f93d0fb5b46225e4ac76f3e00a8614f55e6aa365e0152d5ee92722a81",71,0.4671052632,"Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?","ut-01-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":1105,"outcome":51,"usdc":1106,"entry_price":1107,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1108,"captured_at":13,"question":1109,"event_slug":1110,"category":134},"0x8cbdce3051fb67c33858b5a2e35a67f74c68e5f7c5f405232c13ddd538c02745",106.56,0.24000000000000002,"2026-03-15T00:00:00Z","Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?","will-one-battle-after-another-win-best-cinematography-at-the-98th-academy-awards",{"condition_id":1112,"outcome":29,"usdc":1113,"entry_price":735,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":936,"captured_at":13,"question":1114,"event_slug":938,"category":38},"0x8f3976d4104b6b3b4a716ef834d04e42411a4bec8dea79c58e5f5fa5241cf2b3",36.52,"Will Yuh-Line Niou be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?",{"condition_id":1116,"outcome":51,"usdc":1117,"entry_price":1118,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1054,"captured_at":13,"question":1119,"event_slug":1056,"category":38},"0x90b3a63203c32bc263c308ed8aabd6114db4cd1c9817e8a9bc9245074dd00157",334.53,0.6458108108,"Will Steve Cohen be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?",{"condition_id":1121,"outcome":29,"usdc":1122,"entry_price":1123,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":917,"captured_at":13,"question":1124,"event_slug":1125,"category":134},"0x924a2942747dd75703321a7c8d809c68f6a514c3b0f2a2e64274e02310634669",14365.627754000057,0.7573749844654002,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-april-30",{"condition_id":1121,"outcome":51,"usdc":1127,"entry_price":1128,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":917,"captured_at":13,"question":1124,"event_slug":1125,"category":134},209.7745,0.348792877,{"condition_id":1130,"outcome":51,"usdc":1131,"entry_price":852,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":132,"captured_at":13,"question":1132,"event_slug":1133,"category":38},"0x93b0c61b22b921a81856e69363b5fbd5f1f01ea307a57c17f5109aa321e56199",108.64,"Will Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor Secretary","who-will-trump-announce-as-next-secretary-of-labor",{"condition_id":1135,"outcome":51,"usdc":1136,"entry_price":1137,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":836,"captured_at":13,"question":1138,"event_slug":1139,"category":134},"0x955ae81e512c67b768fd65d070d0bae4218b73f313feccca6d01cdc10260c6b1",1770.1177200000002,0.3680208489712526,"Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?","peru-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":1141,"outcome":29,"usdc":1142,"entry_price":1143,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":973,"captured_at":13,"question":1144,"event_slug":925,"category":134},"0x9bfedc44fb8372ad163bc49646062b9f9f22e8578a7da42dc8b813f77c4f54d8",49.9639,0.6169144339,"Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?",{"condition_id":1146,"outcome":51,"usdc":1147,"entry_price":1148,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1149,"captured_at":13,"question":1150,"event_slug":1151,"category":1152},"0x9d44f292e83fe48588a77de42ae66e935d2b57cf36cf395dc1603caf6a51263b",34.32468,0.5125757576,"2026-07-20T00:00:00Z","Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?","world-cup-furthest-advancing-uefa-nation","Sports",{"condition_id":1154,"outcome":29,"usdc":1155,"entry_price":1156,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":142,"captured_at":13,"question":1157,"event_slug":1158,"category":134},"0xa2435331e93fc07363940be332ecc54042da8d8d4c7dc96a785c6769e1ad5d8f",47.628690000000006,0.06908866453629033,"Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU\u002FCSU)?","next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993",{"condition_id":1160,"outcome":29,"usdc":1161,"entry_price":1162,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1163,"captured_at":13,"question":1164,"event_slug":1165,"category":134},"0xa43fe374bb805491e352ca0bc76c0a8da9aef3ae222caf90409649ed78737b14",58.47813,0.6456179775,"2026-08-03T00:00:00Z","Will \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?","spider-man-brand-new-day-rotten-tomatoes-score-20260630144021976",{"condition_id":1167,"outcome":29,"usdc":1168,"entry_price":1169,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":949,"captured_at":13,"question":1170,"event_slug":1171,"category":134},"0xa6f46ee9c2ff6977b5a578d8850f95b2f1644dc4874f475022a25bc3a491ca79",168.7112,0.7292781187943805,"Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?","west-virginia-democratic-senate-primary-winner",{"condition_id":1173,"outcome":29,"usdc":1174,"entry_price":1175,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":909,"captured_at":13,"question":1176,"event_slug":1177,"category":38},"0xa70fc3695a65833b91b45df6db6015096f3e1471b70352ca411b4209010e7633",14523.270341999996,0.6904520546288727,"US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1179,"outcome":29,"usdc":1180,"entry_price":1181,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":909,"captured_at":13,"question":1182,"event_slug":987,"category":38},"0xaa2d85a0f668d96c7d7efc1c9ca736119b6d230a439daea9998be032e4ce007d",79.0683,0.7253972477,"Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?",{"condition_id":1184,"outcome":51,"usdc":1185,"entry_price":1186,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1187,"captured_at":13,"question":1188,"event_slug":1189,"category":134},"0xaa980c83777851bf22a3bd4eeee864d11ce7783096a22ce4af56ff9bf2e1d2cd",82.07731000000001,0.11850094567892959,"2026-04-26","Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-this-week-apr-20-26",{"condition_id":1191,"outcome":29,"usdc":1192,"entry_price":1193,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1194,"captured_at":13,"question":1195,"event_slug":1196,"category":38},"0xaed01b568d9160d7f2adda0222a0f6a738d2565a07a930aeab25f1e0e1a0ab0b",30.09723,0.66,"2026-06-09T00:00:00Z","Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by less than 5%?","south-carolina-governor-republican-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":1198,"outcome":51,"usdc":1199,"entry_price":1200,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1201,"captured_at":13,"question":1202,"event_slug":1073,"category":38},"0xaf89088494ed29e5694bdf8cb6d945340234729e1e4aba3ffba6fd1df4097d50",2622.618560000001,0.3494670295319265,"2026-06-01T03:59:00Z","Kash Patel out by May 31?",{"condition_id":1204,"outcome":51,"usdc":1205,"entry_price":1206,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1207,"captured_at":13,"question":1208,"event_slug":1209,"category":38},"0xb20ab327dc64a405ec80a0775c5947b594581abc61d814316abc355064e16e5a",37.73,0.49,"2026-05-19T00:00:00Z","Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?","georgia-governor-republican-primary-winner",{"condition_id":1211,"outcome":51,"usdc":1212,"entry_price":1213,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1214,"captured_at":13,"question":1215,"event_slug":1216,"category":912},"0xb60c044bba6f7958768691345df1e102448a5b7ef16e4a08879bb10483fb4567",491.90790000000004,0.4315928054420698,"2026-07-19T00:00:00Z","Will Neymar play in the World Cup?","will-neymar-play-in-the-world-cup",{"condition_id":1218,"outcome":51,"usdc":1219,"entry_price":1220,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1221,"captured_at":13,"question":1222,"event_slug":1223,"category":38},"0xb611b3a7173f69e412b55561ed265d849e36693c248ff620d0e981c5b3f2e325",113.51053999999999,0.08793676886408329,"2026-05-31T16:00:00Z","Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-winner",{"condition_id":1225,"outcome":29,"usdc":1226,"entry_price":1227,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":190,"captured_at":13,"question":1228,"event_slug":1229,"category":134},"0xb762e467ae24e1f0b4f1de851183c74e25f8af433bb57b824d3d521aa425f8c7",503.8916700000001,0.08551552324921097,"Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?","trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-byptptpt-20260810145949434",{"condition_id":1231,"outcome":29,"usdc":1232,"entry_price":1233,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1234,"captured_at":13,"question":1235,"event_slug":1236,"category":38},"0xb8e6d129a06d0ccb21d7b32eb529ea455eddba3cf29bfa097112202cbdf5bf21",10255.981415999995,0.6040039436851091,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31",{"condition_id":1238,"outcome":51,"usdc":1239,"entry_price":1240,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":853,"captured_at":13,"question":1241,"event_slug":1242,"category":38},"0xbd6602e1152e6557a87e6d0bad683a21a2d5fa9132872543170ed6c5d1c53ed0",24.55,0.5987804878,"Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?","az-05-republican-primary-winner",{"condition_id":1244,"outcome":29,"usdc":1245,"entry_price":1246,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":966,"captured_at":13,"question":1247,"event_slug":1248,"category":912},"0xbeab83146920be8f52b52fdbcb3464b24dc553f7b47eb4249243385b0faad271",15501.795979999999,0.8356907493792972,"US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-may-31-974",{"condition_id":1250,"outcome":51,"usdc":1251,"entry_price":1252,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1253,"captured_at":13,"question":1254,"event_slug":1255,"category":38},"0xbee2cd40473495f713c69b9dfbce9fc2837fa4011568222c83c83bb773e35053",3669.518442,0.43828819438140887,"2026-06-30T12:00:00Z","Starmer out by June 30, 2026?","starmer-out-in-2025",{"condition_id":1257,"outcome":29,"usdc":1258,"entry_price":1259,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":966,"captured_at":13,"question":1260,"event_slug":1261,"category":134},"0xbf572a43d8592e5b729369e27e823bd60b2d725e1ea0c499875856161ba42474",52.368,0.28139709833422893,"Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?","sheila-cherfilus-mccormick-out-as-us-rep-by-may-31",{"condition_id":1263,"outcome":29,"usdc":1264,"entry_price":1265,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1266,"captured_at":13,"question":1267,"event_slug":1268,"category":134},"0xc0389e3f6ad0e8b502f750f829a55e8e7e7829c316c342781711b8811a71cf2a",117.10615999999999,0.48,"2026-09-06T23:59:00Z","Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?","sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-election-grune-vote-share",{"condition_id":1270,"outcome":51,"usdc":1271,"entry_price":1272,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1273,"captured_at":13,"question":1274,"event_slug":1275,"category":101},"0xc2dd20bc42378191ba1e6068f2afa8b2a6c13881a42ee03e211441f0a2f3aeac",14.49197,0.6790840057,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?","will-spacex-acquire-cursor",{"condition_id":1277,"outcome":29,"usdc":1278,"entry_price":1279,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":992,"captured_at":13,"question":1280,"event_slug":994,"category":134},"0xc39494e85e29ec132d51be64a4baa2dfcd06acc6320b1419f8cdccb84c5ab8d0",241.4275,0.7967904290287128,"Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?",{"condition_id":1282,"outcome":29,"usdc":1283,"entry_price":1284,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1027,"captured_at":13,"question":1285,"event_slug":1286,"category":38},"0xc532180a9a9af81e373fc2e16991c339ec8feddc606b90a458e53eaf2f9e71c9",27.52,0.86,"Will Daniella Levine Cava be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?","democratic-nominee-for-florida-governor",{"condition_id":1288,"outcome":29,"usdc":1289,"entry_price":1290,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1071,"captured_at":13,"question":1291,"event_slug":1292,"category":38},"0xc8f7591181f4059ffbdcc4c85b1e9e76f029bef0eb6cc46a80bd5617b947de74",861.4994,0.7446683781738888,"Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?","will-netanyahu-be-pardoned-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1294,"outcome":29,"usdc":1295,"entry_price":1296,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1297,"captured_at":13,"question":1298,"event_slug":1299,"category":38},"0xcacd424332319971356c757c025b45a4eb5643b919fb3bd2f84051afea599b13",803.4974,0.59,"2026-07-15T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-15",{"condition_id":1301,"outcome":29,"usdc":1302,"entry_price":1303,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1304,"captured_at":13,"question":1305,"event_slug":1306,"category":134},"0xcc2652557ae662b6cd110ca8c9ca5f16a741122b32ba5662791639480da48018",2162.27346,0.6471391412745308,"2026-08-31T03:59:00Z","Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?","will-max-miller-drop-out-of-the-oh-07-race-by-august-9-20260728155313321",{"condition_id":1308,"outcome":51,"usdc":1309,"entry_price":1310,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1311,"captured_at":13,"question":1312,"event_slug":1313,"category":134},"0xcfb89749f76024b8b3f9a108a5320b8186aaf82d1e7d3e5ef2be962d42edb2e7",3.1164,0.03,"2026-09-13T00:00:00Z","Will Green Party (MP) win at least 9% of all valid votes?","sweden-parliamentary-election-mp-vote-share-20260812172636450",{"condition_id":1315,"outcome":51,"usdc":1316,"entry_price":1317,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1027,"captured_at":13,"question":1318,"event_slug":1029,"category":38},"0xd4a3de1964b1f3fa1edeca40dbc3ef6663a56fda84e804066c23096b615904f9",24.31,0.5788095238,"Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?",{"condition_id":1320,"outcome":51,"usdc":1321,"entry_price":1322,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":966,"captured_at":13,"question":1323,"event_slug":1324,"category":38},"0xd7e6f6627e8b73a8fa3a29949f6dc81f683f5ce102ae6b03347b862d09617f0f",65.1988,0.08105875627374494,"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?","pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-may-31",{"condition_id":1326,"outcome":29,"usdc":1327,"entry_price":1328,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1207,"captured_at":13,"question":1329,"event_slug":1209,"category":38},"0xda66c20ca25d623bd0fa83ae36af6cb3cf523977643f4a3fa23bb55c71f853a9",487.4604,0.6770283333213889,"Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?",{"condition_id":1331,"outcome":51,"usdc":1332,"entry_price":1333,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1334,"captured_at":13,"question":1335,"event_slug":1336,"category":38},"0xdc4e1bb03320cc501eb5c1f0cf7815c871433fba1607d0792ca5fe4ee576c82a",55.56477,0.0694644216626215,"2026-07-20T03:59:00Z","Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?","how-many-world-cup-matches-will-trump-attend-20260610185739769",{"condition_id":1338,"outcome":51,"usdc":1339,"entry_price":1340,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1334,"captured_at":13,"question":1341,"event_slug":1336,"category":38},"0xddb6d1e7ac2aabd376465caf7a02f980e64036e6c76df02af94b5e178aada6f7",163.50218,0.1721782112934097,"Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?",{"condition_id":1343,"outcome":29,"usdc":1344,"entry_price":1345,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":966,"captured_at":13,"question":1346,"event_slug":1347,"category":38},"0xe02be708711f71fe7a0b84b877bbbe578a26939ee1ff19f4d7872a4e5ef19087",371.31766,0.36131642142067566,"Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?","cory-mills-out-as-us-rep-by-may-31",{"condition_id":1349,"outcome":51,"usdc":1350,"entry_price":1351,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1273,"captured_at":13,"question":1352,"event_slug":1353,"category":58},"0xe3e3ea3640ba60e6a1b3717134025df41af327d15f51bdcd97fae99a4b56465b",356.24440000000004,0.2310274967516213,"Will MrBeast get married by December 31?","will-mrbeast-get-married-by-december-31",{"condition_id":1355,"outcome":51,"usdc":1356,"entry_price":1357,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":836,"captured_at":13,"question":1358,"event_slug":1359,"category":134},"0xe8f8bc52bb22ad4c03e8bfc045a5dad8081df2ed58d8e8411b29b82d1797bccf",28.0225,0.11,"Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","peru-presidential-election-first-round-2nd-place",{"condition_id":1361,"outcome":51,"usdc":1362,"entry_price":1363,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":853,"captured_at":13,"question":1364,"event_slug":1365,"category":38},"0xe97fd68138299f654dfe7d46c56e86c30b03bd558d121e6380d204dfc016b6a7",5.34045,0.0367308571,"Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?","wa-03-primary-winners",{"condition_id":1367,"outcome":29,"usdc":1368,"entry_price":1369,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1370,"captured_at":13,"question":1371,"event_slug":1372,"category":134},"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9",26.7,0.267,"2025-11-04T00:00:00Z","Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","will-zohran-mamdani-win-the-2025-nyc-mayoral-election",{"condition_id":1374,"outcome":29,"usdc":1375,"entry_price":1376,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1234,"captured_at":13,"question":1377,"event_slug":1378,"category":38},"0xf461f2ca1c982950ac5af660f9c6cd52e08c135f546bc659fa2851aa1c0b6db0",2.43023,0.0246208421,"U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?","us-issues-passport-with-trumps-face-on-it-by-july-31",{"condition_id":1380,"outcome":29,"usdc":1381,"entry_price":1382,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1194,"captured_at":13,"question":1383,"event_slug":134,"category":38},"0xf5f4002652cf59c3a450e4a19c2a645010e08dbab355e00535eaf0649b4f1e4a",459.30006,0.8201798561,"Will Alan Wilson win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by less than 5%?",{"condition_id":1385,"outcome":29,"usdc":1386,"entry_price":1387,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1273,"captured_at":13,"question":1388,"event_slug":1389,"category":38},"0xf72aa26303e883d64bfbb2db08e1b4717d21a0aeca14c65201bad101ea0f1829",225.86283,0.21065591532134104,"Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?","which-states-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026",{"condition_id":1391,"outcome":51,"usdc":1392,"entry_price":1393,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":190,"captured_at":13,"question":1394,"event_slug":1395,"category":101},"0xf82f84686ee2a25f5690430461413c4dc5a39dcea922a7c5f47d9d29418fbdb6",74.65,0.6491304348,"Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?","gpt-6-released-by",{"condition_id":1397,"outcome":29,"usdc":1398,"entry_price":1399,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":821,"captured_at":13,"question":1400,"event_slug":823,"category":134},"0xfc0f7a00d40430d2a2a514fd26bf54f567191ea513ff57aa6be3e00bf19e5346",4163.3802,0.7039110072537568,"Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?",{"condition_id":1397,"outcome":51,"usdc":1402,"entry_price":1403,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":821,"captured_at":13,"question":1400,"event_slug":823,"category":134},100.75,0.20230923692771083,{"condition_id":1405,"outcome":29,"usdc":1406,"entry_price":1407,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1408,"captured_at":13,"question":1409,"event_slug":1410,"category":38},"0xfce5fb1312e1383038cbe594477429d920d6dfe4d1885da678ca511ed81ea6f1",44.7015,0.144,"2026-05-25T00:00:00Z","Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?","texas-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":1412,"outcome":51,"usdc":1413,"entry_price":1414,"won":17,"source":814,"end_date_iso":881,"captured_at":13,"question":1415,"event_slug":1416,"category":38},"0xff7f825058ce2569c08ecf6847fca743b5e885bea614b2811f065bcab27ea6db",39.65378,0.06654605274034293,"Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?","who-will-advance-from-the-california-governor-primary",{"condition_id":1418,"outcome":29,"usdc":1419,"entry_price":1420,"won":12,"source":814,"end_date_iso":1421,"captured_at":13,"question":1422,"event_slug":1423,"category":134},"0xffe381a80c1e36f9e0b03a542aa8fe56e74a67d2566a4e29396d4427aa4244c9",3263.09,0.8544357161560618,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-may-15",{"total":521,"wins":1425},56,[1427,1432,1438,1441,1444,1446],{"category":38,"n":1428,"wins":1429,"hitRate":1430,"roi":1431},49,31,0.6326530612244898,-0.1047769422014624,{"category":1433,"n":1434,"wins":1435,"hitRate":1436,"roi":1437},"Other",42,17,0.40476190476190477,0.1662274707391766,{"category":912,"n":1439,"wins":1439,"hitRate":12,"roi":1440},5,0.7212621850867513,{"category":101,"n":1442,"wins":1442,"hitRate":12,"roi":1443},2,0.5294755912507962,{"category":1152,"n":12,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":1445},-1,{"category":58,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":1447},3.3284890935519442,{"generatedAt":1449},"2026-09-24T09:46:32.111Z"]