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Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?","which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-december-31","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.12\", \"0.88\"]","Tech",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":44,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":47,"category":48},"40943010093580294320673025228399657021545102925574438553378883309797655202277","0x661991ef5df3c91ae71ffca59d2e4b2fc8a4676402d4a21dfd5d4c179d6519c8","Yes",65.2235,0.3854,"Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?","will-russia-announce-a-new-forced-mobilization-byptptpt","[\"0.11\", 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the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?","best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-october","2026-10-31T16:00:00Z","[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]",{"token_id":83,"condition_id":84,"outcome":42,"size":85,"avg_price":86,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":87,"event_slug":88,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":89,"category":38},"46307281474645458563981850320099177843494152250939134738419734314841265361956","0x2f2c1c9fb95be15c18394b3ac9ba6431ccffda7a383d08d7ab7379330e0fecaf",14.9607,0.5099,"Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?","which-companys-ai-will-first-hit-1550-on-chatbot-arena-in-2026","[\"0.67\", 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2026?","gpu-rental-prices-h100-end-of-2026-20260709164334623","2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.1145\", \"0.8855\"]",{"token_id":155,"condition_id":156,"outcome":42,"size":157,"avg_price":158,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":159,"event_slug":160,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":80,"outcome_prices":161,"category":38},"44724086153532455057855513946885023597676048553945035270300786990996970544807","0xafc1855f02a12641ce7f2113f6edf5ea8ab6819930aa84c320b7a29782e7bd8c",11.2222,0.0899,"Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?","second-best-ai-lab-end-of-october","[\"0.845\", 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the median home value in Miami be less than $1,017,000 on September 30?","what-will-the-median-home-value-in-miami-be-on-september-30-20260630172328034","Economy",{"condition_id":191,"outcome":42,"usdc":192,"entry_price":193,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":186,"captured_at":13,"question":194,"event_slug":195,"category":189},"0x00d4c6a804afb58a85945f5233bbede95817f70f78a6a2ca99e072b451acda06",16.634759000000003,0.1400570037891097,"Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?","what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-on-september-30-20260630175540363",{"condition_id":197,"outcome":42,"usdc":198,"entry_price":199,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":200,"captured_at":201,"question":202,"event_slug":203,"category":204},"0x03aec46420fc8e6431f61a3b97fcf76fb197ccdcdfa052ebb1ef6149eae9e26f",4.101149,0.04963406275035871,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","2026-09-21T19:33:49.784Z","Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 28, 2026?","next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-onptptpt-20260626213101460",null,{"condition_id":206,"outcome":42,"usdc":207,"entry_price":208,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":209,"captured_at":13,"question":210,"event_slug":211,"category":212},"0x03c583dd10a5df0d57fd8b32452554da9bbb0dd212fe0e259e8561db3b4f9153",27.4607,0.11101063184703078,"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?","where-will-the-next-next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-beptptpt-20260623023740663","Politics",{"condition_id":214,"outcome":42,"usdc":215,"entry_price":216,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":217,"captured_at":13,"question":218,"event_slug":219,"category":204},"0x05d9d2c832a57be68ce1edfac73ca215b0c36902396bbae1e82e7ac2c48b5783",4.766119,0.4119999505,"2026-05-22T16:00:00Z","Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?","zelenskyy-of-tweets-may-15-may-22-2026",{"condition_id":221,"outcome":42,"usdc":222,"entry_price":223,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":224,"captured_at":13,"question":225,"event_slug":226,"category":38},"0x06a7a20c1c36f9f894d759237644e2dd4b446c048f2bfda6d8bc2b99313002c6",1.4930290000000002,0.03105660903553006,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?","which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-june",{"condition_id":228,"outcome":29,"usdc":229,"entry_price":230,"won":12,"source":185,"end_date_iso":224,"captured_at":201,"question":231,"event_slug":232,"category":204},"0x06e826cfa93470d0196ebf73aa3647e2dfa70873061b0661b88e1e9414405cad",11.914676,0.7569999746961156,"Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?","gpu-rental-prices-h200-end-of-june",{"condition_id":234,"outcome":42,"usdc":235,"entry_price":236,"won":12,"source":185,"end_date_iso":224,"captured_at":13,"question":237,"event_slug":238,"category":38},"0x0811ed7f71c2466d04f9ba801c0e21c9cfb016385cdff97b5c9984df0fa5801e",30.761188,0.6946421804,"Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?","which-company-has-top-ai-model-end-of-june-style-control-on",{"condition_id":240,"outcome":42,"usdc":241,"entry_price":242,"won":12,"source":185,"end_date_iso":243,"captured_at":13,"question":244,"event_slug":245,"category":38},"0x088ee3251a1a2513b105a463c84d0834028012689c80b9c76f44277a737a4894",9.176666,0.7616213073,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?","will-claude-go-down-on-days-in-may",{"condition_id":247,"outcome":29,"usdc":248,"entry_price":249,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":243,"captured_at":13,"question":250,"event_slug":251,"category":212},"0x0b5676c33e495c58b8495e90f72b73a5dd7a196035cd31be17a37ff94a1a50b0",1.04636,0.1,"Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?","who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-may-31",{"condition_id":253,"outcome":42,"usdc":254,"entry_price":255,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":224,"captured_at":13,"question":256,"event_slug":257,"category":38},"0x0bd1b836a2494f80aaee62927cf01e5f6fceb19114e96fc517c6440aea4576e4",60.171487,0.14448277931745662,"Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-june",{"condition_id":259,"outcome":42,"usdc":260,"entry_price":261,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":262,"captured_at":201,"question":263,"event_slug":264,"category":265},"0x0c4cd2055d6ea89354ffddc55d6dbcef9355748112ea952fc925f3db6a5c457f",31.558509,0.1679999959,"2026-07-20T00:00:00Z","Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-winner","Sports",{"condition_id":267,"outcome":42,"usdc":268,"entry_price":269,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":270,"captured_at":201,"question":271,"event_slug":272,"category":48},"0x0dbabbfc37410ab6f76303a84a3c7e65a249bc0466a4c850e926f9484df9c096",13.961753999999999,0.007946259372055585,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?","best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-july",{"condition_id":274,"outcome":42,"usdc":275,"entry_price":276,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":209,"captured_at":13,"question":277,"event_slug":278,"category":38},"0x0e8961476fbc4b7aa3b391b264d839442326fde0332f7955842a102969857e63",5.674907,0.005502190644587537,"Will ByteDance be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?","3-ai-lab-end-of-september-style-control-on-20260722222220184",{"condition_id":280,"outcome":42,"usdc":281,"entry_price":282,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":283,"captured_at":13,"question":284,"event_slug":285,"category":38},"0x0fc751446629fdf52b5ce3f816a52d443dafe0e6dc68a4001ec14bdb38fb39d5",1.139219,0.02761902268979594,"2026-06-28T00:00:00Z","Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?","when-will-gpt-5pt6-be-released",{"condition_id":287,"outcome":42,"usdc":288,"entry_price":289,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":209,"captured_at":13,"question":290,"event_slug":291,"category":38},"0x103d6ec5f860236227a2ec4dc5c7bb96c54d4e77563213b831a034f161163cb2",8.796167999999998,0.005126595400516138,"Will SpaceXAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-agent-end-of-september-20260716211946456",{"condition_id":293,"outcome":42,"usdc":294,"entry_price":295,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":296,"captured_at":201,"question":297,"event_slug":298,"category":204},"0x13991633f2d19537f0a33260b20733601df642b003e88ddd5a95a0a3f91282f8",7.107009,0.3099999734,"2026-08-11T16:00:00Z","Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?","ted-cruz-of-tweets-august-4-august-11-2026",{"condition_id":300,"outcome":42,"usdc":301,"entry_price":302,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":303,"captured_at":13,"question":304,"event_slug":305,"category":38},"0x13a7d5db6d842cf3e345589975ba1fc4abf161457bcef3b37e847999df119644",23.034827,0.12944719570509128,"2026-09-30T16:00:00Z","Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-model-end-of-september-20260717140116512",{"condition_id":307,"outcome":42,"usdc":308,"entry_price":309,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":310,"captured_at":201,"question":311,"event_slug":312,"category":212},"0x162da915d5f185d8417764d6cf03f5e05003ade92d61d4e9942417069e017739",1.057949,0.0503081001,"2026-06-23T16:00:00Z","Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?","khamenei-of-tweets-june-16-june-23-2026",{"condition_id":314,"outcome":42,"usdc":315,"entry_price":316,"won":12,"source":185,"end_date_iso":317,"captured_at":13,"question":318,"event_slug":319,"category":38},"0x16c81a38565e4d228c231acf8d7081202806728d31989fe649d9a7762fb4101a",11.789999,0.8699999993,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?","will-a-claude-mythos-model-be-released-by-june-12-2026-762-968",{"condition_id":321,"outcome":42,"usdc":322,"entry_price":323,"won":12,"source":185,"end_date_iso":324,"captured_at":201,"question":325,"event_slug":326,"category":212},"0x178b29c0bb3a1c482f37f42e2420a1aa686b960ef0004e9ed07d7f46581779c9",39.919606,0.4216369180517301,"2026-07-01T17:00:00Z","Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?","claude-fable-5-restored-for-us-customers-by-20260613193753196",{"condition_id":328,"outcome":42,"usdc":329,"entry_price":330,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":331,"captured_at":201,"question":332,"event_slug":333,"category":204},"0x179705580f150b9058d7298d58c6db2aa11d4cbdbd0ea1da0664a205d808d5c1",8.151164999999999,0.00320410919040037,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717012538240",{"condition_id":335,"outcome":42,"usdc":336,"entry_price":337,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":209,"captured_at":13,"question":338,"event_slug":211,"category":212},"0x189e1fc1645c57b86a849ca1680aa9cd748aa1cab72c7e05b3a92be8d0977111",5.5155579999999995,0.013946659775684347,"Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 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15?",{"condition_id":364,"outcome":42,"usdc":365,"entry_price":366,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":270,"captured_at":201,"question":367,"event_slug":272,"category":48},"0x1bdbae59b55dc4b9ac18c8d548de7bd015dec031aa1b23906105b1c5ca4af1c3",26.80738999999999,0.04131716643621636,"Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?",{"condition_id":369,"outcome":42,"usdc":370,"entry_price":371,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":303,"captured_at":13,"question":372,"event_slug":373,"category":48},"0x1cf04d8a2fc232d963c8f40f70dae0710beb047a77182359d33922581ef12092",6.568166,0.02211796346596305,"Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 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2026?","gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-by-may-31",{"condition_id":389,"outcome":42,"usdc":390,"entry_price":391,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":270,"captured_at":13,"question":392,"event_slug":393,"category":204},"0x1ff685da3429f9abd33c0979285bd8086af671e3fa53a7ba3a00d6e21c87fc97",1.05031,0.002,"Will Alibaba have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-coding-ai-model-end-of-july",{"condition_id":395,"outcome":42,"usdc":396,"entry_price":249,"won":12,"source":185,"end_date_iso":397,"captured_at":13,"question":398,"event_slug":399,"category":204},"0x21d981e13631eb46dec6eef6c70f3c76a2163768a26361d90d59897436371bee",0.836,"2026-06-09T16:00:00Z","Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?","zelenskyy-of-tweets-june-2-june-9-2026",{"condition_id":401,"outcome":42,"usdc":402,"entry_price":403,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":404,"captured_at":13,"question":405,"event_slug":406,"category":212},"0x21ebf305cfc67ac7c4438048a30ef3e6e0d3537d86a213bbb3350f52986c61c9",2.256289,0.2999999312,"2026-06-02T16:00:00Z","Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?","white-house-of-tweets-may-26-june-2-2026",{"condition_id":408,"outcome":42,"usdc":409,"entry_price":410,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":224,"captured_at":13,"question":411,"event_slug":204,"category":204},"0x229263ccd4a5d9550584284ef55e3e008cadace7785658c50d6657267929662d",2.09352,0.08888888888888888,"Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 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2026?","nyc-mayor-of-tweets-may-29-june-5-2026",{"condition_id":426,"outcome":42,"usdc":427,"entry_price":428,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":429,"captured_at":13,"question":430,"event_slug":431,"category":212},"0x267975d92c61b90f2f11fd3caeef468bb8ffaf574c46adee92f9ce4118ac8dc4",1.521014,0.853999931,"2026-05-29T00:00:00Z","Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-22-may-29-160-179",{"condition_id":433,"outcome":42,"usdc":434,"entry_price":435,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":436,"captured_at":13,"question":437,"event_slug":438,"category":38},"0x2878ce4a142bf39dea3679eb5961486efe3dfd7f627b102a6c4512f1694ff723",1.045549,0.119999905,"2026-06-06T00:00:00Z","Will any other model have the best AI model on June 6, 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1?","ethereum-above-on-june-1-2026",{"condition_id":477,"outcome":42,"usdc":478,"entry_price":479,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":480,"captured_at":13,"question":481,"event_slug":482,"category":38},"0x2dfe124d238e2e35733558dfbeb9ca0bb54768d3a19a3cca08b9d0d8c91d8c60",1.603839,0.131515081,"2026-06-08T00:00:00Z","GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?","gpt-5pt6-released-by",{"condition_id":484,"outcome":42,"usdc":485,"entry_price":486,"won":12,"source":185,"end_date_iso":487,"captured_at":13,"question":488,"event_slug":489,"category":212},"0x2e6adc36c725bb5128be6c536f5f042d2ad5cd00dc0aa3d55685dcee786d7cfe",7.677477999999999,0.33374723520022237,"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 26 to June 2, 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2026?","zelenskyy-of-tweets-may-19-may-26-2026",{"condition_id":520,"outcome":29,"usdc":521,"entry_price":522,"won":12,"source":185,"end_date_iso":283,"captured_at":13,"question":523,"event_slug":285,"category":204},"0x32e8c75fdb3e5ab65119eb51f2f575cca23435c1829da42a074afd350f5df13a",7.577924,0.874200074384356,"Will GPT-5.6 be released between May 25 and May 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":525,"outcome":42,"usdc":526,"entry_price":527,"won":17,"source":185,"end_date_iso":528,"captured_at":13,"question":529,"event_slug":530,"category":265},"0x34fd95adc2154115cc90a1c47c1d7c40a6e59e715590f2eb59373e451f6ac618",6.154149,0.3699999688,"2026-07-20T03:59:00Z","Will Ghana finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group 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