[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x720a61c7ef56e4ea49634360bed33b3d65d540f1":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":155,"history":156,"resolved":159,"resolvedSummary":249,"specialization":252,"meta":266},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x720a61c7ef56e4ea49634360bed33b3d65d540f1",264,177,0.4406779661016949,0.24149916299632065,0.03566159524803418,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-07T13:37:47.324Z",68.60132957062149,1.2165898617511521,"2026-10-06T17:24:09.000Z",0,"trades",0.3327099068870058,0.10796805921468933,2932.38796989795,12142.435334000003,7.34964053141303,0.005747126436781609,[26,39,51,59,69,77,86,94,103,111,120,130,140,149],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"26668869374105423241063822023238370156273552047413316823375341979641160307361","0x5e01c77502f9ad47b81730498f0f42740743f2ae4d537cdedb5e990ce2bdfe69","No",2000,0.8982,"2026-10-18T06:08:24.931Z","2026-10-16T09:26:05.682Z","Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?","brazil-presidential-election-second-round-margin-of-victory","2026-10-26T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0705\", \"0.9295\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":44,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":45,"question":46,"event_slug":47,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":48,"outcome_prices":49,"category":50},"102841499736267549108509420819541462471679465310522531459222967979082881571171","0xf32da8a1740a0d58ffdf87343afefb0bcca4b355cc88e2dba8fd78a88a5308d2","Yes",1000,0.69,"2026-10-13T22:57:43.655Z","Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?","will-anthropics-valuation-hit-by-december-31","2027-01-05T04:59:00Z","[\"0.57\", \"0.43\"]","Tech",{"token_id":52,"condition_id":53,"outcome":29,"size":54,"avg_price":55,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":56,"question":57,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":58,"category":38},"49215287526824130571992557314204751594451133947838370065455446116972276858633","0xd31031e78b84de252be11f42cd17a50b9af4eee20f92d7d0165d6f9294e35e15",700,0.72,"2026-10-17T05:30:51.499Z","Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?","[\"0.295\", \"0.705\"]",{"token_id":60,"condition_id":61,"outcome":42,"size":62,"avg_price":63,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":64,"question":65,"event_slug":66,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":67,"outcome_prices":68,"category":38},"89412363520320292775393527123928064360465929570689477273645914506192139825240","0x87335e877a46e289636d66bda62f4e950dd2e3b63ade63ed8481b34c06349b1a",400.5052,0.749,"2026-10-07T22:47:49.676Z","Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?","next-ministerprasident-of-sachsen-anhalt-20260806155819619","2026-09-07T03:59:00Z","[\"0.71\", \"0.29\"]",{"token_id":70,"condition_id":71,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":72,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":64,"question":73,"event_slug":74,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":75,"outcome_prices":76,"category":38},"30718966535311015751929217398361750334834655110246828806892843311659716192347","0x4de72138204727d2821bff847d8158819ab5b591db1b5b263676126cbb3a0430",0.155,"Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?","south-carolina-senate-election-winner","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.155\", \"0.845\"]",{"token_id":78,"condition_id":79,"outcome":29,"size":80,"avg_price":81,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":64,"question":82,"event_slug":83,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":84,"outcome_prices":85,"category":38},"87073899845581463485186346288398658568334162612963837182986759797304993556208","0x6bd56627aa21311850825edb27e53434a0e17a4f782be0086bc07f71eee00d0d",170.4545,0.8799,"Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?","putin-out-before-2027","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.0285\", \"0.9715\"]",{"token_id":87,"condition_id":88,"outcome":29,"size":89,"avg_price":90,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":64,"question":91,"event_slug":92,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":84,"outcome_prices":93,"category":38},"72433435487515814631344400459815549868044734165082020724691045649454520502781","0xbe9d61d80c767264a0adc8a16453fbcaf0413e673e665cc7c14701691143fac0",63.2183,0.8699,"Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?","will-ukraine-recapture-crimean-territory-by-june-30-2026","[\"0.0265\", \"0.9735\"]",{"token_id":95,"condition_id":96,"outcome":42,"size":97,"avg_price":98,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":64,"question":99,"event_slug":100,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":101,"outcome_prices":102,"category":38},"109876868437950584369987384406356259939519193117253465815665152916226511121427","0x1a01bf78f56a507fcb666d564d8c8b91b0750679163ed6e96746102c9b7d285d",80.6669,0.6199,"Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election","2026-10-05T03:59:00Z","[\"0.7865\", \"0.2135\"]",{"token_id":104,"condition_id":105,"outcome":29,"size":106,"avg_price":107,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":64,"question":108,"event_slug":109,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":84,"outcome_prices":110,"category":38},"12238337804021350373072513606997115174826680613156170611182546081135779794915","0x51f624dbbf14f9edb575fef1be6f7a303751de70783fa144fce27b957452c803",56.1797,0.8899,"Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?","zelenskyy-out-as-ukraine-president-before-2027","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]",{"token_id":112,"condition_id":113,"outcome":42,"size":114,"avg_price":115,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":116,"question":117,"event_slug":118,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":75,"outcome_prices":119,"category":38},"75079868093228966915894372964099062660587490227046756021175661325867722540666","0x460d3942d385cdeda20519c0c5ad804ae48dc18efc9a82e1f1be87a29e69adb3",100,0.37,"2026-10-12T04:48:32.176Z","Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?","kansas-senate-election-winner","[\"0.375\", \"0.625\"]",{"token_id":121,"condition_id":122,"outcome":42,"size":123,"avg_price":124,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":125,"question":126,"event_slug":127,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":128,"outcome_prices":129,"category":38},"40220000390489237442666590685171156363211017606636287738930798027342360240862","0xda4a7d85a3c1abaf52bb4dd561d45c1cb33e7f76f76a21069a0d10d4668aefa6",50,0.63,"2026-10-13T03:44:58.760Z","Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?","serbia-parliamentary-election-winner-2026","2026-10-25T23:59:00Z","[\"0.675\", \"0.325\"]",{"token_id":131,"condition_id":132,"outcome":42,"size":133,"avg_price":134,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":45,"question":135,"event_slug":136,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":137,"outcome_prices":138,"category":139},"102491834259396605099984704792204428857479145328689756109746632539055408031368","0x94ae8e5414e036e2e9b6b6514c048042bf74d089614d7f7d73635693f9d5186b",399.9995,0.0639,"Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?","anthropic-ipo-by","2026-11-16T04:59:00Z","[\"0.105\", \"0.895\"]","Business",{"token_id":141,"condition_id":142,"outcome":29,"size":143,"avg_price":144,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":145,"question":146,"event_slug":147,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":84,"outcome_prices":148,"category":38},"48727431314333088243693016929623363710488980152833544156961659445129455301311","0x5c79dfde05559b79a9cb9f7c4187e4d49632dd042572ae676952f812732591cc",22.9885,0.87,"2026-10-14T20:21:53.929Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31","[\"0.125\", \"0.875\"]",{"token_id":150,"condition_id":151,"outcome":42,"size":123,"avg_price":152,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":125,"question":153,"event_slug":127,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":128,"outcome_prices":154,"category":38},"1689950543806317773337530280926430142670579667870391801780343754845480907767","0x258ff19b4baff0ed24bc28f58e83c8be6f2f91d9134700703e0aa51810c51a63",0.39,"Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?","[\"0.315\", \"0.685\"]",[],[157],{"recorded_date":158,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-07",[160,167,174,182,190,197,204,209,216,223,230,235,242],{"condition_id":161,"outcome":42,"usdc":162,"entry_price":163,"won":17,"source":164,"end_date_iso":101,"captured_at":13,"question":165,"event_slug":166,"category":38},"0x087469b4129c64c688397028059dfd366796adbd426e0079ee4cfdd2e4a07b61",41.3776,0.1389999996,"backfill","Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?","will-any-presidential-candidate-win-outright-in-the-first-round-of-the-brazil-election",{"condition_id":168,"outcome":42,"usdc":169,"entry_price":170,"won":17,"source":164,"end_date_iso":171,"captured_at":13,"question":172,"event_slug":173,"category":38},"0x2421eb7f6db120f7fa8a4bac72805d412a397b3d99bcb1202a05cf9b35f63176",70.13919,0.06944543015277378,"2026-09-20T00:00:00Z","Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?","how-many-seats-will-united-russia-win-in-the-next-russian-legislative-election",{"condition_id":175,"outcome":29,"usdc":176,"entry_price":177,"won":12,"source":164,"end_date_iso":178,"captured_at":13,"question":179,"event_slug":180,"category":181},"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187",990.999999,0.8099999999293643,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june","Geopolitics",{"condition_id":183,"outcome":42,"usdc":184,"entry_price":185,"won":12,"source":164,"end_date_iso":186,"captured_at":13,"question":187,"event_slug":188,"category":189},"0x4ed55ba7d81eb9d0e499a13b1fcb9a63d8f7d8be824c9ae794803124d0f9745a",1754.2298799999999,0.8492187412614935,"2026-09-20T23:59:00Z","Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?","which-parties-will-win-at-least-one-seat-in-the-next-russian-state-duma-election",null,{"condition_id":191,"outcome":29,"usdc":192,"entry_price":193,"won":12,"source":164,"end_date_iso":194,"captured_at":13,"question":195,"event_slug":196,"category":181},"0x518a5b030b205706b8ffe6bbad9bd3de59548348e5c0471827f5de21e513333c",3467.992653000001,0.7564902048367684,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may",{"condition_id":198,"outcome":42,"usdc":199,"entry_price":200,"won":17,"source":164,"end_date_iso":201,"captured_at":13,"question":202,"event_slug":203,"category":189},"0x5ec80dc407457301f282a2b44341947afc700dfaa7923d14c8894e04bc63b03f",69.889999,0.2399999977,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?","next-prime-minister-of-hungary",{"condition_id":205,"outcome":42,"usdc":206,"entry_price":207,"won":17,"source":164,"end_date_iso":186,"captured_at":13,"question":208,"event_slug":188,"category":189},"0x88b7ef15e3895516b7e3ed9627fa9cce178eb87bcbf1b826d4d7376c77201731",42.99675,0.031518518518518515,"Will the Russian Ecological Party “The Greens” win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?",{"condition_id":210,"outcome":29,"usdc":211,"entry_price":212,"won":12,"source":164,"end_date_iso":213,"captured_at":13,"question":214,"event_slug":215,"category":38},"0xb8e6d129a06d0ccb21d7b32eb529ea455eddba3cf29bfa097112202cbdf5bf21",805.9993079999999,0.5315477413023738,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31",{"condition_id":217,"outcome":42,"usdc":218,"entry_price":219,"won":17,"source":164,"end_date_iso":220,"captured_at":13,"question":221,"event_slug":222,"category":38},"0xc65fb00eb998335039e5120dc390967576c4bfaee22a2342a17ced0fbc2c7e4e",46.999976000000004,0.0033975905913585314,"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?","which-party-will-gain-most-seats-in-russian-parliamentary-election",{"condition_id":224,"outcome":42,"usdc":225,"entry_price":226,"won":12,"source":164,"end_date_iso":227,"captured_at":13,"question":228,"event_slug":229,"category":189},"0xc8e9ba9e25f5adcf7e159e62c24ca3bda9a5245a049acb94fdd534e67ed1969e",1166.5299949999999,0.8364121519519242,"2026-04-21","Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?","will-the-virginia-redistricting-referendum-pass",{"condition_id":231,"outcome":42,"usdc":232,"entry_price":233,"won":17,"source":164,"end_date_iso":186,"captured_at":13,"question":234,"event_slug":222,"category":38},"0xc9615bb82d6535d630ff98e8094060bc767d8b9446516e98f84d2001a35e50e7",70.39999999999999,0.088,"Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",{"condition_id":236,"outcome":42,"usdc":237,"entry_price":238,"won":12,"source":164,"end_date_iso":239,"captured_at":13,"question":240,"event_slug":241,"category":38},"0xfbe85201ab2b4acff01cd5a3639039fc813d3448c64db081f70926bd9b9e74e9",2614.559984,0.86,"2026-06-21T14:00:00Z","Will Abelardo de la Espriella  win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","colombia-presidential-election",{"condition_id":243,"outcome":29,"usdc":244,"entry_price":245,"won":12,"source":164,"end_date_iso":246,"captured_at":13,"question":247,"event_slug":248,"category":189},"0xffe381a80c1e36f9e0b03a542aa8fe56e74a67d2566a4e29396d4427aa4244c9",1000.32,0.7998081074613098,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-may-15",{"total":250,"wins":251},13,7,[253,258,264],{"category":38,"n":254,"wins":255,"hitRate":256,"roi":257},6,2,0.3333333333333333,0.24853850047606868,{"category":259,"n":260,"wins":261,"hitRate":262,"roi":263},"Other",5,3,0.6,0.1678534209899243,{"category":181,"n":255,"wins":255,"hitRate":12,"roi":265},0.30248613333216195,{"generatedAt":267},"2026-10-19T07:17:20.017Z"]