[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x564f22744b7941ade18d5e0e4f347c30e3057026":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":813,"history":814,"resolved":823,"resolvedSummary":1442,"specialization":1445,"meta":1474},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x564f22744b7941ade18d5e0e4f347c30e3057026",8536,1203,0.23857024106400665,0.17584855191337523,0.09122001075318342,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-27T19:42:09.981Z",25.340084855361606,5.779282329045362,"2026-09-26T22:35:50.000Z",0,"trades",0.2016789914600163,0.03689124960399008,5360.588724294399,30484.122081000012,2.757060123116014,0.008361204013377926,[26,38,47,56,65,74,83,91,98,106,115,122,130,138,146,155,162,172,180,188,195,203,211,219,227,235,243,252,260,268,277,285,292,300,307,315,324,332,339,346,355,363,373,380,388,396,403,410,418,426,433,442,450,457,464,471,479,486,494,504,512,519,527,534,542,550,557,564,572,579,587,593,601,609,618,625,634,642,650,658,665,672,680,687,695,703,712,719,727,735,741,748,756,764,771,778,786,792,799,806],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":33,"event_slug":34,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"40358441968670978608058805026625521015211157085946122489302940771323069453724","0x1f9a1c19d4ec911633c67e6a595ab6cb73f116e8abcf7b7391164b3c27c8b577","Yes",1255,0.8109,"2026-09-27T21:19:40.367Z","Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-text-to-video-ai-end-of-september","2026-09-30T16:00:00Z","[\"0.981\", \"0.019\"]","Tech",{"token_id":39,"condition_id":40,"outcome":29,"size":41,"avg_price":42,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":43,"event_slug":44,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":46,"category":37},"62622222899708639309140923905524797431643970967876391838141818518549799074270","0xc73eb753c3628f53db2946e9df997a7331cd04ef4c2f8d68917b9f2343ce6431",1703.56,0.55,"Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?","third-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-lab-end-of-september-20260722220024427","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.965\", \"0.035\"]",{"token_id":48,"condition_id":49,"outcome":29,"size":50,"avg_price":51,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":52,"event_slug":53,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":55,"category":37},"34819265358532535745389081655110465366205614488485370986851183512281332080312","0x117f9132e15eeff2621be398fa57092cf446a2f02cbd7ee8e3714226705c4d3b",1572.91,0.5148,"Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?","openai-announces-another-millennium-prize-solution-by","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.355\", \"0.645\"]",{"token_id":57,"condition_id":58,"outcome":59,"size":60,"avg_price":61,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":62,"event_slug":63,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":64,"category":37},"99286648655633868231744185944605567361660243879695992570555682921500736029261","0x0a84cdeb03a25ae441697191edbcc31ad6803c3f4d48af2e0429952336c04fc1","No",1749.8405,0.4542,"Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?","will-apple-release-a-new-product-line-before-2027","[\"0.22\", \"0.78\"]",{"token_id":66,"condition_id":67,"outcome":29,"size":68,"avg_price":69,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":70,"event_slug":71,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":72,"category":73},"105302465759585981453681343792678489473708646311637753255125983028166400715179","0x2617cadbd861eb62a1c7bedd55c00c7d23efc266e9d9330c5ac76396f4d326bb",867.61,0.9061,"Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?","best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-september-20260717140852824","[\"0.03\", \"0.97\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":75,"condition_id":76,"outcome":29,"size":77,"avg_price":78,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":79,"event_slug":80,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":81,"outcome_prices":82,"category":37},"43595531958558267934455886300539818619407063141211246186008687659488782680099","0xe944062b6d02b59c5f6c39cd4d35538918053c0c7e5f8d7fa0ab1d4edb9baa46",1185.39,0.6252,"Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2026","2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","[\"0.75\", \"0.25\"]",{"token_id":84,"condition_id":85,"outcome":59,"size":86,"avg_price":87,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":88,"event_slug":89,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":90,"category":37},"106432701209699930088864475707421208032180979903148059417634516761155913790490","0x4e50e874994ad922ab519c9a27e4ce2e3c70440f3d7e23f6bc7a3dba39387604",814.48,0.839,"Will Runway have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-image-to-video-ai-end-of-september","[\"0.006\", \"0.994\"]",{"token_id":92,"condition_id":93,"outcome":29,"size":94,"avg_price":95,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":96,"event_slug":71,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":97,"category":73},"4528915770329715048998977876907090978768962760435403600172048166517182147752","0xf1c3bbe02b8db7c2c9a019a8119998c9565e48e7ebda321a09ce0690c6d92326",4171.6079,0.1593,"Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?","[\"0.014\", \"0.986\"]",{"token_id":99,"condition_id":100,"outcome":59,"size":101,"avg_price":102,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":103,"event_slug":104,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":105,"category":37},"17156703367754876322104616219607484104880949411394003996074688467319231515783","0x1acdbd22cd0bba4d5a09b506330c5e299dd7820310621d1c609bf9e9be19a3a0",725,0.8509,"Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?","which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-december-31","[\"0.105\", \"0.895\"]",{"token_id":107,"condition_id":108,"outcome":29,"size":109,"avg_price":110,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":111,"event_slug":112,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":113,"outcome_prices":114,"category":37},"78017335192777195930214922093447169253343072348139399621963387028616265406362","0x96920e5ba3398e3c95db9b10c1b21550e3c25ecdbf44627e00a4a576c0a49b97",840.31,0.5868,"Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-text-to-video-ai-end-of-october","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.755\", \"0.245\"]",{"token_id":116,"condition_id":117,"outcome":29,"size":118,"avg_price":119,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":120,"event_slug":121,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":105,"category":73},"39533708712975066141334165695816179555435797877119921291082873082950975279957","0xbd9d064846ddc9221c1d096d06a4e10b0a6a95f6e7a30a3da2c6de6cd37d4b09",1958.4073,0.2517,"Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-any-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt-20260819",{"token_id":123,"condition_id":124,"outcome":29,"size":125,"avg_price":126,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":127,"event_slug":128,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":129,"category":37},"70658309282610412659849520407370274189888994735485551720460777420587971989044","0x6753180082c3024e0727352387066cabf13fd2ebea317ec4394baa8d8a86c1ea",2163.53,0.2075,"Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?","gemini-4pt0-released-by-june-30-2026","[\"0.028\", \"0.972\"]",{"token_id":131,"condition_id":132,"outcome":59,"size":133,"avg_price":134,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":135,"event_slug":136,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":137,"category":37},"97356317564879150993537472039086232751398548743665524636886229253791367066754","0x4636a5f0ca6503ed0613aea84803fc3ba51aa29d294b8772714f006936d40d5f",652.57,0.6862,"Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?","will-any-ai-model-reach-math-arena-score-by-december-31","[\"0.0605\", \"0.9395\"]",{"token_id":139,"condition_id":140,"outcome":29,"size":141,"avg_price":142,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":143,"event_slug":144,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":145,"category":73},"40943010093580294320673025228399657021545102925574438553378883309797655202277","0x661991ef5df3c91ae71ffca59d2e4b2fc8a4676402d4a21dfd5d4c179d6519c8",1204.51,0.3452,"Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?","will-russia-announce-a-new-forced-mobilization-byptptpt","[\"0.255\", \"0.745\"]",{"token_id":147,"condition_id":148,"outcome":59,"size":149,"avg_price":150,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":151,"event_slug":152,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":153,"outcome_prices":154,"category":37},"105006968224658262552432233752310105876620520980838423388187230823553946711809","0xbd24100c715623bfbc3fa8dcf96ed128424d1ebf3125b02af4297754dadabbe6",478.01,0.8212,"Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026?","gpu-rental-prices-h100-end-of-2026-20260709164334623","2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.1565\", \"0.8435\"]",{"token_id":156,"condition_id":157,"outcome":29,"size":158,"avg_price":159,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":160,"event_slug":161,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":55,"category":37},"37454371648135271822797369063459657892610029378025814496387218675567018092453","0x480f132a5f47bcc32ec8642cb25f773a486954947d77d23aea328daf24cd6c39",957.91,0.3984,"Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?","which-math-problems-will-ai-solve-in-2026",{"token_id":163,"condition_id":164,"outcome":29,"size":165,"avg_price":166,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":167,"event_slug":168,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":169,"outcome_prices":170,"category":171},"15364100574854695917346067833903159769056630676081809822817997910671492179646","0xd00825ea777a98b6527a5734cf4611b36bda0130bf5a32863ae83232347e16a4",727.85,0.5138,"Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?","what-will-the-median-home-value-in-miami-be-on-september-30-20260630172328034","2026-10-11T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0185\", \"0.9815\"]","Economy",{"token_id":173,"condition_id":174,"outcome":29,"size":175,"avg_price":176,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":177,"event_slug":178,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":179,"category":37},"47153420974767136243491895650693013798791234482060794545849748912833396684499","0x19cc5d324bef1f664dac619461636d44e21378f1178fb880f113d98c1576710b",2501.44,0.1492,"Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?","how-many-more-millennium-prize-problems-will-ai-solve-in-2026","[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]",{"token_id":181,"condition_id":182,"outcome":29,"size":183,"avg_price":184,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":185,"event_slug":186,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":187,"category":37},"12900240965599698589635967482406910356521260734084259489896380233743587714357","0x92dd1373e006f5b791263179e6f68382dffa56eb929501546f9514bc138491d1",1725.49,0.2097,"Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?","gpu-rental-prices-b200-end-of-2026-20260709165336437","[\"0.7\", \"0.3\"]",{"token_id":189,"condition_id":190,"outcome":29,"size":191,"avg_price":192,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":193,"event_slug":53,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":194,"category":37},"64212255472604180559122022021927000909748611025332694849360483180562685648523","0x825aa4592b3efdae16abb105be20cddfb02f643dd836d2f3121d1ba7e4700059",1967.65,0.176,"Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?","[\"0.0235\", \"0.9765\"]",{"token_id":196,"condition_id":197,"outcome":29,"size":198,"avg_price":199,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":200,"event_slug":201,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":202,"category":37},"55016587865309903852389968289633294208829964926943380554880112548796654808601","0x66827dbcfea1b78556b234313f9b8dea19ef6ecaf45b82541dd90d624b3d122e",793.8029,0.4338,"Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?","anthropic-announces-a-millennium-prize-solution-byptptpt","[\"0.23\", \"0.77\"]",{"token_id":204,"condition_id":205,"outcome":29,"size":206,"avg_price":207,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":208,"event_slug":53,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":209,"outcome_prices":210,"category":37},"52894055023364356366230272605972876834190408527634232232326573198322288583579","0x80ae98ffc8aba2c15dbdc9efa0ed2188929daa6300720765f6337d60632f8e15",451.57,0.7526,"Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?","2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.695\", \"0.305\"]",{"token_id":212,"condition_id":213,"outcome":29,"size":214,"avg_price":215,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":216,"event_slug":217,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":113,"outcome_prices":218,"category":37},"100865345221170148105188024565276422035024081940101030401810396971111724602102","0x378e93aeac0d6a5c1b7d872ba3c76b7805995cdc5cb5e4a2f5cefe35919bf6e5",464.05,0.6987,"Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-image-edit-ai-end-of-october","[\"0.91\", \"0.09\"]",{"token_id":220,"condition_id":221,"outcome":29,"size":222,"avg_price":223,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":224,"event_slug":225,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":113,"outcome_prices":226,"category":37},"88842362616432548807365699449963512698816864971233495851678827838864345594261","0x84ea4013507329cf673cbb84d110e8f0517f832f541d45642d4e4f16a8f2e0b9",868.05,0.35,"Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-image-to-video-ai-end-of-october","[\"0.635\", \"0.365\"]",{"token_id":228,"condition_id":229,"outcome":59,"size":230,"avg_price":231,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":232,"event_slug":233,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":234,"category":37},"40805991361927122746810621095049165716184890967380090907202055256392269271368","0xa5642e1ff4a1eab7a1752b3176bf8301ddeb6baee3c85f615e810d1b7eeedb00",1009.84,0.2929,"Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?","gpu-rental-prices-b200-hit-in-2026-20260709171530825","[\"0.5325\", \"0.4675\"]",{"token_id":236,"condition_id":237,"outcome":29,"size":238,"avg_price":239,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":240,"event_slug":241,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":209,"outcome_prices":242,"category":37},"2476725205019729631424404750329035688450353560388947855064478812097488396326","0x3a7661a4b181d38f3067775c136988b8b16b1df4ca36a7e52b62572495ba6f15",650.13,0.4373,"Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?","which-millennium-prize-problem-will-ai-solve-next","[\"0.455\", \"0.545\"]",{"token_id":244,"condition_id":245,"outcome":59,"size":246,"avg_price":247,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":248,"event_slug":249,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":250,"outcome_prices":251,"category":37},"89064687572159139960580838835486440535187345318315952732050542644864174227518","0x45a6b5956f4ec17091fcf84ec3c7cd730f6724d05fdc119935423f587d24e1a0",326.97,0.8617,"Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 9, 2026?","next-muse-spark-model-1pt4-released-onptptpt-20260922133617102","2026-10-09T23:59:00Z","[\"0.0335\", \"0.9665\"]",{"token_id":253,"condition_id":254,"outcome":29,"size":255,"avg_price":256,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":257,"event_slug":258,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":259,"category":73},"62246797348017761443827820040287836333110404243723529530581894345032565055941","0x9d430be34cf29eb51e303808c8d112ce9cf0f37912421c68c1c7e4494c980710",413.61,0.6787,"Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?","second-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-september-20260722220234242","[\"0.004\", \"0.996\"]",{"token_id":261,"condition_id":262,"outcome":59,"size":263,"avg_price":264,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":265,"event_slug":266,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":267,"category":37},"24283338858169835056377878609669621415602633541688855732345059741452445562595","0x338fddd433928b5ab4d55a9d629a3295b23464b31db1e1b54018e05e05621124",301,0.9199,"Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?","next-sonnet-model-text-arena-debut-20260827110151621","[\"0.05\", \"0.95\"]",{"token_id":269,"condition_id":270,"outcome":29,"size":271,"avg_price":272,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":273,"event_slug":274,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":275,"outcome_prices":276,"category":37},"35737772761365501949337326122327930396096595611847977712362340711388953987824","0x09333ab9dc685a99e777e3f09149e181b83f73d676d83b5293addf4ccc5c4877",435.48,0.6233,"Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 21?","2nd-ai-lab-by-openrouter-market-share-week-of-september-21","2026-09-29T16:00:00Z","[\"0.9995\", \"0.0005\"]",{"token_id":278,"condition_id":279,"outcome":29,"size":280,"avg_price":281,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":282,"event_slug":283,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":284,"category":37},"98392805305534230517971326427691396365272935320082325849906388697676346207981","0xdc9c1947e9a0519b153471c43d4a084836e3aae41b16998f25fafe9ee0b1e3ab",402.44,0.6633,"Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?","3-ai-lab-end-of-september-style-control-on-20260722222220184","[\"0.9635\", \"0.0365\"]",{"token_id":286,"condition_id":287,"outcome":29,"size":288,"avg_price":289,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":290,"event_slug":291,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":275,"outcome_prices":276,"category":37},"74378173813050848513683508670840419804278712838576449697983902826121264751345","0xf64e1c83638008e02d27381b59728d95e97ec244639c085f20e941ec384d22fa",402.5,0.6631,"Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 21?","3rd-ai-lab-by-openrouter-market-share-week-of-september-21",{"token_id":293,"condition_id":294,"outcome":29,"size":295,"avg_price":296,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":297,"event_slug":298,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":113,"outcome_prices":299,"category":37},"58303097180947736953285193875575351577484018073942647648409092202156176467204","0xfe990a9fae13a3efbc2bb21684d129d6fb94b7f2336325515bfb17802bd44f7f",640.17,0.4107,"Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-model-end-of-october","[\"0.745\", \"0.255\"]",{"token_id":301,"condition_id":302,"outcome":29,"size":303,"avg_price":304,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":305,"event_slug":144,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":113,"outcome_prices":306,"category":73},"14016923262811062666370202829200470712684396368944151899802277379348874873066","0x0e66ad56a0e90caa89b1cefc50fa7088fcf9071385e09e6b6c4f3ec4539867ae",1063.33,0.242,"Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?","[\"0.095\", \"0.905\"]",{"token_id":308,"condition_id":309,"outcome":29,"size":310,"avg_price":311,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":312,"event_slug":313,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":314,"outcome_prices":55,"category":73},"100154721475357818217725980406178964564147366796590817168269678396221233337114","0x7fce5d62233723da8ff6a95bdae8b9b70cdd30ce9356814c353bb41b5b70834c",533.42,0.4585,"Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?","best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-october","2026-10-31T16:00:00Z",{"token_id":316,"condition_id":317,"outcome":29,"size":318,"avg_price":319,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":320,"event_slug":321,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":322,"outcome_prices":323,"category":37},"107074864319919904409708722673751064899895103303568335095779834175222656347385","0x48efc6f2ab74d6398e9259ef55e57169887a41fd3ab1dada0965454973111b30",300,0.8025,"Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026?","next-grok-model-4pt8-released-by","2026-11-30T23:59:00Z","[\"0.875\", \"0.125\"]",{"token_id":325,"condition_id":326,"outcome":29,"size":327,"avg_price":328,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":329,"event_slug":330,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":331,"category":37},"39840034840297780623703671094938345127542247952598233247785477009223277203144","0x5356a8b0fb19306f9169a74d6578088d7d7d6438c821234abcd0900aa81890ec",265.99,0.8627,"Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?","2-ai-lab-end-of-september-style-control-on-20260722222005322","[\"0.9815\", \"0.0185\"]",{"token_id":333,"condition_id":334,"outcome":59,"size":335,"avg_price":336,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":337,"event_slug":233,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":338,"category":37},"83003841088735445120434805895373360917338443375240791220017097896404330442994","0xe8c2266b0e31e82b4732178c02ca511819b7e1acfb91caae10f4e4f5e194601b",476.4,0.4749,"Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.435\", \"0.565\"]",{"token_id":340,"condition_id":341,"outcome":29,"size":342,"avg_price":343,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":344,"event_slug":168,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":169,"outcome_prices":345,"category":171},"53550815035091070138196764298881274233386257207869810327922642561589916483028","0x7f90ba2bc5a0cdd0636c27f9194e117b6abf7623d4b7c686a098a56055249d8a",1212.29,0.1807,"Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?","[\"0.932\", \"0.068\"]",{"token_id":347,"condition_id":348,"outcome":29,"size":349,"avg_price":350,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":351,"event_slug":352,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":353,"outcome_prices":354,"category":37},"87044783814521601959303438445205361603941029627611034502500933676748940567371","0x853410f205d9ec3f547ace71f47b75c7f10b5513c104b82ca150eb8ebce4ae6e",470.51,0.4444,"Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-november","2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.6475\", \"0.3525\"]",{"token_id":356,"condition_id":357,"outcome":29,"size":358,"avg_price":359,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":360,"event_slug":361,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":362,"category":37},"48770122594139566857148226095352641795264156253339437234190558677174360455035","0x56a5eade7ac3b03ed6b1d4ad23a72a4e5156e65404dcbe7eeda06aafae99bbb5",1120.9,0.1861,"Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?","kimi-k4-released-by-20260722184115883","[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]",{"token_id":364,"condition_id":365,"outcome":59,"size":366,"avg_price":367,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":368,"event_slug":369,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":370,"outcome_prices":371,"category":372},"72323517147059051309197904752731505379953993032060099917425660183120276123137","0x3b29a9a472c35d95fcf8b23c9c8f54fbcf95dc4e067f7784e370fb3f01b48eaa",316.79,0.6499,"Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?","when-will-the-danube-river-return-to-normal-levels-20260807212534133","2026-11-02T04:59:00Z","[\"0.011\", \"0.989\"]","Science",{"token_id":374,"condition_id":375,"outcome":29,"size":376,"avg_price":377,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":378,"event_slug":186,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":153,"outcome_prices":379,"category":37},"68834308052203415802987360503189982768809932675640915977188358361223096466320","0x3ae159adf34df791fef3cd13186a24c81ef406826d2a67ad09a3005702fc9305",1445.96,0.1386,"Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?","[\"0.06\", \"0.94\"]",{"token_id":381,"condition_id":382,"outcome":29,"size":383,"avg_price":384,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":385,"event_slug":386,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":314,"outcome_prices":387,"category":37},"111088620532234518037120406087772586039940496346205331791940213760503764823657","0x23858cc44dce48e23f754240a0a71595f38f5c66d9a0eaf612eb5a737ad1e66d",2681.1396,0.0718,"Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-end-of-october","[\"0.0785\", \"0.9215\"]",{"token_id":389,"condition_id":390,"outcome":59,"size":391,"avg_price":392,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":393,"event_slug":394,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":113,"outcome_prices":395,"category":37},"17075142039356001583879037056968279845222742677954120141754672726940841162714","0x674893dcf79283ba76c36e0d7ea9ef1df9365e28d5224fc9b5331de78cda994c",361.4,0.5241,"Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?","second-best-text-arena-math-ai-lab-end-of-october","[\"0.04\", \"0.96\"]",{"token_id":397,"condition_id":398,"outcome":29,"size":399,"avg_price":400,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":401,"event_slug":161,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":402,"category":37},"110116635052077774843634814102535026168681408625283790325167619375940800739356","0xe0949290a68e692c5e617610dd19ff42c31b8878bf1bca244727aa91c527cbc6",840.39,0.225,"Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?","[\"0.21\", \"0.79\"]",{"token_id":404,"condition_id":405,"outcome":29,"size":406,"avg_price":407,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":408,"event_slug":186,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":153,"outcome_prices":409,"category":37},"7770141784618620287585495042524591011239987824625121225010692096586567620826","0xc6bdd2131841286e404f40ab47658d8953396e70ebb247c21f96135ccbff1615",1738.16,0.1065,"Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?","[\"0.085\", \"0.915\"]",{"token_id":411,"condition_id":412,"outcome":29,"size":413,"avg_price":414,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":415,"event_slug":416,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":417,"category":37},"46307281474645458563981850320099177843494152250939134738419734314841265361956","0x2f2c1c9fb95be15c18394b3ac9ba6431ccffda7a383d08d7ab7379330e0fecaf",349.9925,0.5242,"Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?","which-companys-ai-will-first-hit-1550-on-chatbot-arena-in-2026","[\"0.84\", \"0.16\"]",{"token_id":419,"condition_id":420,"outcome":29,"size":421,"avg_price":422,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":423,"event_slug":424,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":425,"outcome_prices":210,"category":37},"92205817338549581942996291977146287067184626116756204357001405482376199798910","0xbdc6833f8a1907f7103fd11b3212a270abdc79fca68c247942efd492956b38ac",427.55,0.4219,"Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?","next-google-gemini-pro-model-arena-debut","",{"token_id":427,"condition_id":428,"outcome":29,"size":429,"avg_price":430,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":431,"event_slug":186,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":153,"outcome_prices":432,"category":37},"115685551682050481963714285026980767654197739918820949767115826998990611492585","0x104a1e1012a215b73835edb6393614047b53769f16985c4a719e8308502a0fdd",1530.41,0.1161,"Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?","[\"0.049\", \"0.951\"]",{"token_id":434,"condition_id":435,"outcome":29,"size":436,"avg_price":437,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":438,"event_slug":439,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":153,"outcome_prices":440,"category":441},"60468789956458033420238045535785353514499437494978822182835905785839403925382","0x9d61629cbd84d2c4c1be995c880b77e4ac44ca684dc55dd82bbabf28228bb1b7",247.8,0.6926,"Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?","next-qwen-flash-3pt9-released-byptptpt","[\"0.88\", \"0.12\"]",null,{"token_id":443,"condition_id":444,"outcome":29,"size":445,"avg_price":446,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":447,"event_slug":448,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":322,"outcome_prices":449,"category":37},"105403210486026162937874690453153643806535170376891712508481279705590401536072","0x90118038e95964075805dcbf173aa8019ce29592576b10313897da23a23b6bf9",333.86,0.5099,"Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?","next-gpt-luna-6pt1-released-byptptpt","[\"0.54\", \"0.46\"]",{"token_id":451,"condition_id":452,"outcome":29,"size":453,"avg_price":454,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":455,"event_slug":186,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":456,"category":37},"76279166666151384948631902724923018098270254489420203234768544707460808808023","0xbd13dd1929c7cc6538e44cd958e0bc475ac495e5f7a627bfa7ef035ae4a31fa0",1578.92,0.1053,"Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?","[\"0.0755\", \"0.9245\"]",{"token_id":458,"condition_id":459,"outcome":59,"size":460,"avg_price":461,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":462,"event_slug":233,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":463,"category":37},"3897479803475653482743937561466603088112763659411191785381434918587120180392","0x9e737e776efae059198e72bbbc715cf310822c0fac63488a2b87ce95383af6ba",205.61,0.7553,"Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.155\", \"0.845\"]",{"token_id":465,"condition_id":466,"outcome":29,"size":467,"avg_price":468,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":469,"event_slug":470,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":153,"outcome_prices":440,"category":37},"50996924248474366866080612497270862742257118195685118865496699293682819024752","0xa80ee0a13b4b5d5b5c45286bc0b4d9ae541db014991e57bc77f7f38f90708dee",223.58,0.6899,"Next Claude Opus released by December 31, 2026?","next-claude-opus-released-byptptpt-20260923144500000",{"token_id":472,"condition_id":473,"outcome":29,"size":474,"avg_price":475,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":476,"event_slug":477,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":353,"outcome_prices":478,"category":441},"85543171514266479073571446213101514124150970815377062089867577814953046244616","0xe02cad0d9171720d7bd87f93919178fbe4e6fb5a8689bc5c98167f333eaa007f",288.35,0.5348,"Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-text-to-image-ai-end-of-november","[\"0.845\", \"0.155\"]",{"token_id":480,"condition_id":481,"outcome":29,"size":482,"avg_price":483,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":484,"event_slug":71,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":485,"category":73},"83981670566531520641637538727599542560950896107637233900250446370687045562342","0xb0370f4c94ed142eaeef34250e65c99bd0ea3c61084e0e22a81f30a7cb5156d4",959.94,0.1589,"Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?","[\"0.0035\", \"0.9965\"]",{"token_id":487,"condition_id":488,"outcome":29,"size":489,"avg_price":490,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":491,"event_slug":492,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":493,"category":37},"30072348565478302750198876081143273757119653365741275677520918105022287518421","0xf7699db92f899f7577f55c0dc9db490d6a17d1eced1c07d3860b4ae80a13b175",169.47,0.8976,"Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?","gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-in-2026-20260709171105503","[\"0.748\", \"0.252\"]",{"token_id":495,"condition_id":496,"outcome":59,"size":497,"avg_price":498,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":499,"event_slug":500,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":501,"outcome_prices":502,"category":503},"75932822712132238513281575898050236279657545696615509110518019834612475640299","0x116ef6172ae1fa2b206be1910f41a27f4a25bb7ed54d761157973a59518bd3ad",283.94,0.5343,"Tom Holland as Spider-Man?","which-characters-will-appear-in-avengers-doomsday","2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.49\", \"0.51\"]","Culture",{"token_id":505,"condition_id":506,"outcome":29,"size":507,"avg_price":508,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":509,"event_slug":510,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":511,"category":37},"39999753533707968581773302343399404368153861274787866036103774617082313030210","0xa7066ea18e6a44dbf36c2d47f01e9f697cefc05c3289ad034ff522f12e64ddeb",1053.67,0.1413,"Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?","second-best-ai-lab-end-of-september-20260722221500022","[\"0.0215\", \"0.9785\"]",{"token_id":513,"condition_id":514,"outcome":29,"size":515,"avg_price":516,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":517,"event_slug":152,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":153,"outcome_prices":518,"category":37},"34072393149438614047675182057717190527668832857749512428594068575496766900021","0xbe183fe03c96a338852d8c89be28d8d42b2ba1d45410cdb8054d0137ba7b787c",1207.56,0.1228,"Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?","[\"0.163\", \"0.837\"]",{"token_id":520,"condition_id":521,"outcome":29,"size":522,"avg_price":523,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":524,"event_slug":525,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":526,"category":37},"14506623286625476103715941260108448026116953711408036968603101855927813381094","0x13330d138078eba25f6748f0d416a742577a1595fcc44314dd8c2124f3ed2dfc",742.06,0.1974,"Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-agent-end-of-september-20260716211946456","[\"0.0245\", \"0.9755\"]",{"token_id":528,"condition_id":529,"outcome":29,"size":530,"avg_price":531,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":532,"event_slug":186,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":533,"category":37},"5302667524943770763539521518349579365722619956443874700024694334984835597512","0x4dfc497ab05a0c2736a178b3d52149cb043d670f05a904f1dc382203b4b90139",1315.73,0.1088,"Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?","[\"0.045\", \"0.955\"]",{"token_id":535,"condition_id":536,"outcome":29,"size":537,"avg_price":538,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":539,"event_slug":540,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":169,"outcome_prices":541,"category":171},"44232628347532822259491012067675561686962656316673918558243384084964699327839","0xba82749f3d45595fd7f141d0d49eb6cf65ce7edb61b0e93b1155072385fb5369",431.22,0.3307,"Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?","what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-on-september-30-20260630175540363","[\"0.034\", \"0.966\"]",{"token_id":543,"condition_id":544,"outcome":59,"size":545,"avg_price":546,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":547,"event_slug":548,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":549,"category":37},"34237708637125740435699435452809192810619728824650153191187025617403963355012","0x0c49d3e9e2ca6bcf8a876a640948abe8a23823a9379ca942d0612704c22ccdb4",251.7,0.5,"Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?","highest-kimi-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-20260723191206820","[\"0.335\", \"0.665\"]",{"token_id":551,"condition_id":552,"outcome":29,"size":553,"avg_price":554,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":555,"event_slug":556,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":55,"category":37},"80108765023562418278305756757327490293166310800251142023703626044311144753731","0xc2ea0e9bbe2da497f533cb1fecf389410c2095b1153b602fb81a7662f6ba7830",245.81,0.5054,"Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?","ai-lab-announces-another-millennium-prize-solution-by",{"token_id":558,"condition_id":559,"outcome":59,"size":560,"avg_price":561,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":562,"event_slug":525,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":563,"category":37},"56277584039430666791403274370724544602485022774532314334067033691183805297595","0x432d3cd0bc52a9f24b76760c751a847b46efd803f1d1fcc60e86ce27ae207a3e",1020.73,0.1187,"Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?","[\"0.9745\", \"0.0255\"]",{"token_id":565,"condition_id":566,"outcome":29,"size":567,"avg_price":568,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":569,"event_slug":570,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":571,"category":37},"57655025172328349844946647541996872615164342837932981082645795466980180778145","0x51001e33ac97da61e423b92b88e5441d93a8d5ec0a55bd03160006f35c72a747",320.45,0.3776,"Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?","second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-lab-end-of-september-20260722215814727","[\"0.0045\", \"0.9955\"]",{"token_id":573,"condition_id":574,"outcome":29,"size":575,"avg_price":576,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":577,"event_slug":313,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":314,"outcome_prices":578,"category":73},"45716727360086042230507439111913054021510548098774753949772504793739310065461","0x78c29ba8e37acdd426fb5dd351511d2f20c5cfcbe246fd1f02a5bca30d5423c2",752.08,0.1604,"Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?","[\"0.125\", \"0.875\"]",{"token_id":580,"condition_id":581,"outcome":29,"size":582,"avg_price":583,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":584,"event_slug":585,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":586,"category":37},"115053309981323255834663183542648999995664491561971787177366256912707184945798","0xf90057a0290c9ae36b6590a8dd9ff723fac254d92ffa9fb2398824b62a3dc4a3",184.77,0.6459,"Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-overall-end-of-september-20260728164124636","[\"0.989\", \"0.011\"]",{"token_id":588,"condition_id":589,"outcome":29,"size":590,"avg_price":591,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":592,"event_slug":470,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":322,"outcome_prices":299,"category":37},"91103925312103814449842391491921771327684011159061761160272770813902219222274","0xb739482de624881cacff3ad52877e2425cf4574a1ab8674e616fc8976b1acfeb",220,0.5309,"Next Claude Opus released by November 30, 2026?",{"token_id":594,"condition_id":595,"outcome":29,"size":596,"avg_price":597,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":598,"event_slug":599,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":600,"category":37},"10635202713123614650086250666876199488690495518752358549588233597276494809217","0xdaacd07e9f0a9e43df239f8c2e3e02fb1ec818109c1facf282dceffe48fc2ed2",2546.49,0.0455,"Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?","which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-september-style-control-on-20260717144218347","[\"0.0125\", \"0.9875\"]",{"token_id":602,"condition_id":603,"outcome":59,"size":604,"avg_price":605,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":606,"event_slug":607,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":113,"outcome_prices":608,"category":37},"82867541350872682786715990532283562065270311511808460543590693562364784796154","0x5a67800ec432d79d6899c151f2c5f752bb08ae36902bb063898514b1329cf8e9",143.46,0.8034,"Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?","3-ai-lab-end-of-october-style-control-on","[\"0.073\", \"0.927\"]",{"token_id":610,"condition_id":611,"outcome":29,"size":612,"avg_price":613,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":614,"event_slug":615,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":616,"category":617},"86011229287950365043519117852041614651767455889324682112682327985496937935368","0x46ca741da4abd7ffa993f59ac65bfe83de43ae027accac71d263a493e44064e7",145,0.793,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080","[\"0.5765\", \"0.4235\"]","Politics",{"token_id":619,"condition_id":620,"outcome":29,"size":621,"avg_price":622,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":623,"event_slug":624,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":314,"outcome_prices":145,"category":37},"100154379053872690209853475099820297824318001268354100734016446466394843305301","0xe59bfb00257718fc6affe126c2609b8641f64b259d8fcafa71c4b94bda3996ce",852.81,0.1341,"Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-mathematics-end-of-october",{"token_id":626,"condition_id":627,"outcome":29,"size":628,"avg_price":629,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":630,"event_slug":631,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":632,"outcome_prices":633,"category":37},"24609857453598506763101546354589371009406759101594318918790301260237640880357","0xc1577c20b69c7ca016119f63e0545130f37057d5842fe605466d1c853d91d648",555.7,0.205,"Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on October 31, 2026?","gpu-rental-prices-rtx-5090-end-of-october","2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.091\", \"0.909\"]",{"token_id":635,"condition_id":636,"outcome":29,"size":637,"avg_price":638,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":639,"event_slug":640,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":641,"category":73},"112067198506713862026620105858748984106241630320028347017678378356299038650585","0xfc43611f35fa4c8ed4212e67a89f1f61220bdc84ca3ed21dac85e4affe9199cf",170.26,0.6299,"Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?","third-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-september-20260722220502453","[\"0.925\", \"0.075\"]",{"token_id":643,"condition_id":644,"outcome":29,"size":645,"avg_price":646,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":647,"event_slug":648,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":649,"category":37},"26495858901955333951931397941503200390027922866200511566471961137609477226263","0x4aef7452ee32d7aa96c18d468eab867b01d25daf432cfb178b99a550ec0d2667",171.13,0.6224,"Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-september-20260728165808281","[\"0.9805\", \"0.0195\"]",{"token_id":651,"condition_id":652,"outcome":59,"size":653,"avg_price":654,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":655,"event_slug":656,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":153,"outcome_prices":657,"category":37},"80538469825178391903628003284497266599990808332787438079777007137651342091068","0xd443811f23fe67e48aa7d0b913e737affc347f6bcdde73d48412dab89be8ee84",128.59,0.8144,"Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?","next-claude-opus-model-humanitys-last-exam-debut-20261231","[\"0.079\", \"0.921\"]",{"token_id":659,"condition_id":660,"outcome":29,"size":661,"avg_price":662,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":663,"event_slug":104,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":664,"category":37},"20929984281998614331560256154545549908665532461024477691902741362517551450473","0x79307c54be4721fda43bac290c137d32a674a4b0322940e86a94524f0c1fc268",590.56,0.1763,"Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.27\", \"0.73\"]",{"token_id":666,"condition_id":667,"outcome":29,"size":668,"avg_price":669,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":670,"event_slug":313,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":314,"outcome_prices":671,"category":73},"7280364535088479338855588603769990830392946256842295752223344322438020355993","0x64f712b42fa19413947e34fe085a4f45cfc4f4d9a0e08ea78434b3928717ef54",2315.8615,0.0448,"Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?","[\"0.074\", \"0.926\"]",{"token_id":673,"condition_id":674,"outcome":29,"size":675,"avg_price":676,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":677,"event_slug":678,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":679,"category":37},"113480692521564778497512842820603388597790721465875737318475927670026573452763","0x8f69455d06bd6a40c74d44603d896a303157db8118e0febe65fc8d27cc204997",188.41,0.5503,"Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-mathematics-end-of-september-20260728165020631","[\"0.9825\", \"0.0175\"]",{"token_id":681,"condition_id":682,"outcome":59,"size":683,"avg_price":684,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":685,"event_slug":89,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":686,"category":37},"88455945116323412629576690916156287848551354535347016432326823340974444689973","0x50231945e80294066f1315721943df09e2a3865a207a951538cf3c356d95c96d",114.63,0.8971,"Will ByteDance have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?","[\"0.039\", \"0.961\"]",{"token_id":688,"condition_id":689,"outcome":59,"size":690,"avg_price":691,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":692,"event_slug":693,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":694,"category":37},"58107642725287652585087645049026236637181255309404977878640647945260259495282","0xa8818217726c5c55fdb16c01afd175ba825fd2d7be77ca06773694907989e1b6",369.24,0.2685,"Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.25 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?","gpu-rental-prices-h100-hit-in-2026-20260709165909063","[\"0.615\", \"0.385\"]",{"token_id":696,"condition_id":697,"outcome":59,"size":698,"avg_price":699,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":700,"event_slug":701,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":702,"outcome_prices":187,"category":37},"72973304998982340405062760316803890932889172597410019067020808740419966521260","0x4bbb4874746fb27a9c225a0c82c603e032124f297c9be7ca51315c612f251082",661.63,0.1491,"Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?","next-muse-spark-1pt4-text-arena-debut","2027-06-30T23:59:00Z",{"token_id":704,"condition_id":705,"outcome":29,"size":706,"avg_price":707,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":708,"event_slug":709,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":710,"outcome_prices":711,"category":372},"44283750433616468198031892983591012070460688920686843774741002647050323088338","0x18cab2052cdf8e762aa8164f3e2b2d86bf8830d2a376c83299ec97426b47ab16",252.13,0.3827,"Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?","west-nile-neuroinvasive-cases-nyc-2026-20260820104404","2027-04-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.1525\", \"0.8475\"]",{"token_id":713,"condition_id":714,"outcome":29,"size":715,"avg_price":716,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":717,"event_slug":718,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":632,"outcome_prices":267,"category":37},"8808512159599321332110782569873473271021099631101843240191709149957657194377","0xff833c5e60814746fc9d887ae28cd3ac51041acb4db916a98dea3d1853159532",685.86,0.1394,"Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026?","gpu-rental-prices-a100-end-of-october",{"token_id":720,"condition_id":721,"outcome":59,"size":722,"avg_price":723,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":724,"event_slug":725,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":314,"outcome_prices":726,"category":37},"85246592903308524644887780083529457664988328323660103466286194049261130035028","0x866e4fce428cd0f6112c5fc78735b4da2799f041ccc21f7bee9c36948803c9c1",103.69,0.9066,"Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?","third-best-ai-lab-end-of-october","[\"0.059\", \"0.941\"]",{"token_id":728,"condition_id":729,"outcome":29,"size":730,"avg_price":731,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":732,"event_slug":733,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":734,"category":617},"101910059459080267734783515584096384502192846613471309308630745610886383358221","0xb32b82cadfb62a4cda93c450cec648a9d2b9de3575243a75757d7e587d60b5c8",445.4,0.2066,"US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?","us-government-bans-an-open-source-ai-model-in-2026-20260703221501747","[\"0.07\", \"0.93\"]",{"token_id":736,"condition_id":737,"outcome":59,"size":738,"avg_price":739,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":740,"event_slug":283,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":526,"category":37},"95335207421946923057971541364554025322519136013993446073954728840675743508994","0x7c1e59503dd57fc2fcf4f0ba7d35d49ebbc523dce8f466c56c764d7d11d1d222",125,0.7332,"Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?",{"token_id":742,"condition_id":743,"outcome":29,"size":744,"avg_price":745,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":746,"event_slug":718,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":632,"outcome_prices":747,"category":37},"93210752379633481167137109616410905137061753361258368987531697160748082666607","0xb8f0ba966f13bcea2f62fbe90c64719285275abd3ab91edba32dd70159ed3650",174.4,0.5181,"Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?","[\"0.26\", \"0.74\"]",{"token_id":749,"condition_id":750,"outcome":29,"size":751,"avg_price":752,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":753,"event_slug":754,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":755,"outcome_prices":571,"category":37},"80804334587936798701862436397097157033651821620323715300421335691624336859180","0x515359ed37898f483e331bd39dbe9577e3718926900374897ba69698c147481b",504.8533,0.1761,"Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026?","gpu-rental-prices-b200-end-of-september-1785423806691","2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",{"token_id":757,"condition_id":758,"outcome":29,"size":759,"avg_price":760,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":761,"event_slug":762,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":763,"category":37},"72096325892662040229727375364303858301852530577289787107168408575764272876464","0x73f5c4d3db12ebdb2de2987f3bb1b7c32cd9eedd1ae265f605d04a2b17b26584",644.75,0.1358,"Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?","second-best-text-arena-math-ai-lab-end-of-september-20260722220754181","[\"0.019\", \"0.981\"]",{"token_id":765,"condition_id":766,"outcome":29,"size":767,"avg_price":768,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":769,"event_slug":585,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":770,"category":37},"58696967814960636131413763804063151240673574749092127309071622710465490875865","0x90c8a4f47bbecbe8b002baafdbc97bca2864f5a5634b000c7c6bece6e546148f",175.98,0.486,"Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?","[\"0.016\", \"0.984\"]",{"token_id":772,"condition_id":773,"outcome":59,"size":774,"avg_price":775,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":776,"event_slug":233,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":777,"category":37},"62631587731809773090391072626127018821163287570437614070267837007376253423024","0x4214bf58304de0bccbe0e5125652e96578b4c81fc1f387b1a5224d4b6f73b6e9",145.4,0.5834,"Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.295\", \"0.705\"]",{"token_id":779,"condition_id":780,"outcome":29,"size":781,"avg_price":782,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":783,"event_slug":784,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":785,"category":37},"100957367652599200943165338444604187478162675046100134400352079326749218328885","0xb00c156dcb2c042bc22b8fdf39662692344e161127e5a7f9a848b01ee6e22c22",657.84,0.1285,"Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026?","gpu-rental-prices-h100-end-of-september-1785423806291","[\"0.1305\", \"0.8695\"]",{"token_id":787,"condition_id":788,"outcome":29,"size":789,"avg_price":790,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":791,"event_slug":640,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":170,"category":73},"114494286462295571402525659327888892242225844443464163704906110940348595365100","0x4ca5d5c43271634f19afff0a937be1b7ad60c5e80b80916d6167c5f510ec59d0",359.9,0.2305,"Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?",{"token_id":793,"condition_id":794,"outcome":29,"size":795,"avg_price":796,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":797,"event_slug":599,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":798,"category":37},"82720603762228799776155064098821865119027411235105780467646016558912085006548","0x77d9710dc8da78bc88f884327609f8546cc429374605bd117804bc4e9cdda2da",86.17,0.926,"Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?","[\"0.977\", \"0.023\"]",{"token_id":800,"condition_id":801,"outcome":59,"size":802,"avg_price":803,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":804,"event_slug":112,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":113,"outcome_prices":805,"category":37},"10138780348545572261793053323501476260208697662103700209187889497762073003764","0x297fd2e7030dd5b987eabc70835820338ac4445eb4de2f02ec636408c450e5e5",106.98,0.7347,"Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?","[\"0.14\", \"0.86\"]",{"token_id":807,"condition_id":808,"outcome":29,"size":809,"avg_price":810,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":811,"event_slug":369,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":370,"outcome_prices":812,"category":372},"16571768774529771053834180768889530739279226357826426438662459965204508103912","0xa553b580b636c27bc8eeb11064ecb21538dac9cae5fe5b1a117b368d0893db3c",444.96,0.1752,"Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?","[\"0.5915\", \"0.4085\"]",[],[815,821],{"recorded_date":816,"roi":817,"win_rate":818,"brier_score":819,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":820,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-19",0.0038551391071066487,0.45161290322580644,0.14220347284663293,93,{"recorded_date":822,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-27",[824,831,838,844,850,857,863,869,874,880,888,894,902,909,916,923,930,937,943,949,956,963,969,975,980,988,994,1000,1005,1011,1017,1023,1028,1035,1041,1048,1055,1062,1069,1076,1082,1087,1092,1099,1105,1111,1117,1123,1130,1135,1141,1148,1155,1162,1167,1172,1179,1186,1192,1199,1206,1212,1219,1225,1233,1240,1245,1250,1256,1262,1269,1274,1279,1283,1286,1291,1298,1303,1310,1317,1324,1329,1332,1339,1345,1352,1359,1365,1372,1379,1386,1391,1396,1403,1408,1414,1420,1425,1431,1436],{"condition_id":825,"outcome":59,"usdc":826,"entry_price":827,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":702,"captured_at":13,"question":829,"event_slug":830,"category":37},"0x01b4ec752810197adfc15104ab664968bd348e22ac3e5949c61d5dac2aa3ca23",76.6664,0.58,"backfill","Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?","next-grok-model-4pt7-text-arena-debut",{"condition_id":832,"outcome":29,"usdc":833,"entry_price":834,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":835,"captured_at":13,"question":836,"event_slug":837,"category":441},"0x03aec46420fc8e6431f61a3b97fcf76fb197ccdcdfa052ebb1ef6149eae9e26f",35.707980000000006,0.021566882898031346,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 28, 2026?","next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-onptptpt-20260626213101460",{"condition_id":839,"outcome":29,"usdc":840,"entry_price":841,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":45,"captured_at":13,"question":842,"event_slug":843,"category":617},"0x03c583dd10a5df0d57fd8b32452554da9bbb0dd212fe0e259e8561db3b4f9153",90.7027,0.11,"Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?","where-will-the-next-next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-beptptpt-20260623023740663",{"condition_id":845,"outcome":29,"usdc":846,"entry_price":847,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":54,"captured_at":13,"question":848,"event_slug":849,"category":37},"0x0630fc3f77c2db5ecc473cf4f782e58143a16db6440e714805c8619aa8073a71",510.05026000000004,0.5265853145381865,"Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?","next-claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut-20261231",{"condition_id":851,"outcome":29,"usdc":852,"entry_price":853,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":854,"captured_at":13,"question":855,"event_slug":856,"category":37},"0x06a7a20c1c36f9f894d759237644e2dd4b446c048f2bfda6d8bc2b99313002c6",3.74054,0.024,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?","which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-june",{"condition_id":858,"outcome":59,"usdc":859,"entry_price":860,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":854,"captured_at":13,"question":861,"event_slug":862,"category":441},"0x06e826cfa93470d0196ebf73aa3647e2dfa70873061b0661b88e1e9414405cad",913.41958,0.7519801825726141,"Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?","gpu-rental-prices-h200-end-of-june",{"condition_id":864,"outcome":59,"usdc":865,"entry_price":866,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":702,"captured_at":13,"question":867,"event_slug":868,"category":37},"0x086cc5344ed416a755130d8c27ebd167d31a418a82ebc52643531c56260399ac",131.44298,0.59,"Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?","next-gpt-sol-model-5pt7-text-arena-debut-20260921193139678",{"condition_id":870,"outcome":29,"usdc":871,"entry_price":872,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":835,"captured_at":13,"question":873,"event_slug":837,"category":441},"0x0a61127223ece29fe94cb5654f129c4b5fb3c54b9bff04ac3d5e26aa79e21713",13.62086,0.0238258815,"Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 16, 2026?",{"condition_id":875,"outcome":59,"usdc":876,"entry_price":877,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":878,"captured_at":13,"question":879,"event_slug":441,"category":617},"0x0b9cf488d2b3cbf2b701a563554e3d06bccad4bd01cdd666a9572331d87ff5b2",8.56375,0.85,"2026-06-16T00:00:00Z","Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?",{"condition_id":881,"outcome":29,"usdc":882,"entry_price":883,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":884,"captured_at":885,"question":886,"event_slug":887,"category":441},"0x0bbd7b52d7a2ba8cb7b1b12aefe3615fbe14ff5ca62172d4cb9e2ee59b68304c",26.265670000000004,0.06344225001685,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","2026-09-19T20:46:17.003Z","Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?","second-best-text-arena-math-ai-lab-end-of-august-20260720224944657",{"condition_id":889,"outcome":29,"usdc":890,"entry_price":891,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":854,"captured_at":13,"question":892,"event_slug":893,"category":37},"0x0bd1b836a2494f80aaee62927cf01e5f6fceb19114e96fc517c6440aea4576e4",55.9,0.07333333333333333,"Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-june",{"condition_id":895,"outcome":29,"usdc":896,"entry_price":897,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":898,"captured_at":13,"question":899,"event_slug":900,"category":901},"0x0c4cd2055d6ea89354ffddc55d6dbcef9355748112ea952fc925f3db6a5c457f",102.62719,0.168,"2026-07-20T00:00:00Z","Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-winner","Sports",{"condition_id":903,"outcome":59,"usdc":904,"entry_price":905,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":906,"captured_at":13,"question":907,"event_slug":908,"category":37},"0x0cc77a95bdc6be2ee2c0e2a024a75f4141b68e31492f3fab654c1a4e9d1cf4b5",17.12136,0.20750000000000002,"2026-10-16T03:59:00Z","OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?","openai-reports-another-ai-sandbox-escape-by",{"condition_id":910,"outcome":29,"usdc":911,"entry_price":912,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":913,"captured_at":13,"question":914,"event_slug":915,"category":73},"0x0dbabbfc37410ab6f76303a84a3c7e65a249bc0466a4c850e926f9484df9c096",25.733784999999997,0.0066542452560857425,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?","best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-july",{"condition_id":917,"outcome":29,"usdc":918,"entry_price":919,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":920,"captured_at":13,"question":921,"event_slug":922,"category":37},"0x0dcad5c0b7116b5a04e3f296fc20dd3d4c89f526fcd7c6359e01fa3b600319fb",279.39712,0.157882688999861,"2026-08-22T03:59:00Z","Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?","gpt-6-released-by",{"condition_id":924,"outcome":59,"usdc":925,"entry_price":926,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":927,"captured_at":13,"question":928,"event_slug":929,"category":901},"0x0e77b1ad3dc69c6fcdf5d68f2bf0871453684237f5509d3eb7bbba23a8e990a7",18,0.009,"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","which-team-will-replace-iran-at-world-cup",{"condition_id":931,"outcome":29,"usdc":932,"entry_price":933,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":934,"captured_at":13,"question":935,"event_slug":936,"category":441},"0x13991633f2d19537f0a33260b20733601df642b003e88ddd5a95a0a3f91282f8",224.04051,0.2775738126,"2026-08-11T16:00:00Z","Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?","ted-cruz-of-tweets-august-4-august-11-2026",{"condition_id":938,"outcome":29,"usdc":939,"entry_price":940,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":913,"captured_at":13,"question":941,"event_slug":942,"category":37},"0x151a4875cb0f9dbb09f1a80034f6c3d3db8e189e1fd4c301ebc0a098d3ca8be6",96.35507,0.0167106836,"Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-math-ai-model-end-of-july",{"condition_id":944,"outcome":29,"usdc":945,"entry_price":945,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":946,"captured_at":13,"question":947,"event_slug":948,"category":617},"0x162da915d5f185d8417764d6cf03f5e05003ade92d61d4e9942417069e017739",0.02,"2026-06-23T16:00:00Z","Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?","khamenei-of-tweets-june-16-june-23-2026",{"condition_id":950,"outcome":29,"usdc":951,"entry_price":952,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":953,"captured_at":13,"question":954,"event_slug":955,"category":37},"0x16c81a38565e4d228c231acf8d7081202806728d31989fe649d9a7762fb4101a",49.999997,0.8699999988,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?","will-a-claude-mythos-model-be-released-by-june-12-2026-762-968",{"condition_id":957,"outcome":29,"usdc":958,"entry_price":959,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":960,"captured_at":13,"question":961,"event_slug":962,"category":617},"0x178b29c0bb3a1c482f37f42e2420a1aa686b960ef0004e9ed07d7f46581779c9",299.72121000000004,0.4680093453410736,"2026-07-01T17:00:00Z","Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?","claude-fable-5-restored-for-us-customers-by-20260613193753196",{"condition_id":964,"outcome":29,"usdc":965,"entry_price":966,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":884,"captured_at":13,"question":967,"event_slug":968,"category":441},"0x179705580f150b9058d7298d58c6db2aa11d4cbdbd0ea1da0664a205d808d5c1",1.6450900000000002,0.0017004125786042495,"Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717012538240",{"condition_id":970,"outcome":29,"usdc":971,"entry_price":972,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":973,"captured_at":13,"question":974,"event_slug":441,"category":617},"0x17c68d5ea8fbbdc9929405a1463e04d48b1e17d73e5e9233654bd9bc901ef20f",0.10010000000000001,0.01,"2026-06-19T00:00:00Z","Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?",{"condition_id":976,"outcome":29,"usdc":977,"entry_price":978,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":45,"captured_at":13,"question":979,"event_slug":843,"category":617},"0x189e1fc1645c57b86a849ca1680aa9cd748aa1cab72c7e05b3a92be8d0977111",26.378819999999997,0.014175606981939533,"Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":981,"outcome":982,"usdc":983,"entry_price":984,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":985,"captured_at":13,"question":986,"event_slug":987,"category":441},"0x1955b5d0b8c1d03976f4de846c7e36751435dbaf32c1e7448a530d5211aef8a7","Nikita Krylov",5.225,0.1,"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999Z","UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)","ufc-rob1-nik2-2026-07-11",{"condition_id":989,"outcome":29,"usdc":990,"entry_price":991,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":913,"captured_at":13,"question":992,"event_slug":993,"category":37},"0x1a07b445ff5805218a89645f36b88cf4e8479221222a028431b01624eeca3807",0.1582,0.006,"Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?","which-company-has-the-third-best-ai-model-end-of-july",{"condition_id":995,"outcome":29,"usdc":996,"entry_price":997,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":998,"captured_at":13,"question":999,"event_slug":962,"category":617},"0x1bc721516922d9319293bbb2eeb8b11b3e20495c3aab31964ea8984879bcdfee",76.5856,0.12333333333333334,"2026-06-15T17:00:00Z","Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?",{"condition_id":1001,"outcome":29,"usdc":1002,"entry_price":1003,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":913,"captured_at":13,"question":1004,"event_slug":915,"category":73},"0x1bdbae59b55dc4b9ac18c8d548de7bd015dec031aa1b23906105b1c5ca4af1c3",33.10707500000001,0.02358556148926214,"Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?",{"condition_id":1006,"outcome":29,"usdc":1007,"entry_price":1008,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1009,"captured_at":13,"question":1010,"event_slug":441,"category":37},"0x1d1d3a76519aac1d5d864a1547940f7297e77cf2e69bf0e20417e5f8172c5e8b",60,0.6,"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?",{"condition_id":1012,"outcome":59,"usdc":1013,"entry_price":1014,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1015,"captured_at":13,"question":1016,"event_slug":441,"category":441},"0x1d7915039fb4909c59f74d4fecea66d4c584d50bb2595022aa7317e30cc66f85",40.901028,0.5494800263,"2026-06-13T00:00:00Z","Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?",{"condition_id":1018,"outcome":59,"usdc":1019,"entry_price":1020,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1021,"captured_at":13,"question":1022,"event_slug":233,"category":37},"0x1e4d3721ce42458c90637a36eb1f66eb23a51ce83db5054c01793e20eb27cfbf",57.78948,0.1793588922,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $7.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":1024,"outcome":29,"usdc":1025,"entry_price":1026,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":884,"captured_at":13,"question":1027,"event_slug":887,"category":441},"0x1e7f341d85f848d0ded351c17262fefb7b7ec61b1d9ee746115cd2641d00bb4c",175.4152,0.12035899432317551,"Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?",{"condition_id":1029,"outcome":29,"usdc":1030,"entry_price":1031,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1032,"captured_at":13,"question":1033,"event_slug":1034,"category":441},"0x1f2e0fea6545e12067c310d0c708fecb5684d4984fceb93b3d1d133d8131cace",1.63838,0.0795076142,"2026-07-10T16:00:00Z","Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?","ted-cruz-of-tweets-july-3-july-10-2026",{"condition_id":1036,"outcome":29,"usdc":1037,"entry_price":1038,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":913,"captured_at":13,"question":1039,"event_slug":1040,"category":441},"0x1ff685da3429f9abd33c0979285bd8086af671e3fa53a7ba3a00d6e21c87fc97",3.93877,0.004477083096019384,"Will Alibaba have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-coding-ai-model-end-of-july",{"condition_id":1042,"outcome":29,"usdc":1043,"entry_price":1044,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1045,"captured_at":13,"question":1046,"event_slug":1047,"category":73},"0x20cb32a3ff2b1932b99fe3343034d4dafe67cfce196eab2d771047f3d6e33be5",96.62204,0.075500125,"2026-07-16T03:59:00Z","Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?","mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by",{"condition_id":1049,"outcome":29,"usdc":1050,"entry_price":1051,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1052,"captured_at":13,"question":1053,"event_slug":1054,"category":37},"0x21bf1efeebc29453cbf2fddc7aad97bcb44b6219c2f20d8b6b6ac299b7830dd1",516.16148,0.506163,"2026-09-25T03:59:00Z","Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?","next-claude-opus-released-byptptpt-20260727142323912",{"condition_id":1056,"outcome":29,"usdc":1057,"entry_price":1058,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1059,"captured_at":13,"question":1060,"event_slug":1061,"category":441},"0x21d981e13631eb46dec6eef6c70f3c76a2163768a26361d90d59897436371bee",4.35389,0.16307692307307692,"2026-06-09T16:00:00Z","Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?","zelenskyy-of-tweets-june-2-june-9-2026",{"condition_id":1063,"outcome":59,"usdc":1064,"entry_price":1065,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1066,"captured_at":885,"question":1067,"event_slug":1068,"category":441},"0x21f36ddc05cdf98c0523a1f534851b534a57a7980075b7524144a53545ee5f1f",24.83831,0.5653488372,"2026-09-04T03:59:00Z","What percent of U.S. cattle inventory area will be in drought? (week of September 1)","us-cattle-inventory-area-in-drought-week-of-september-1-20260825113010",{"condition_id":1070,"outcome":59,"usdc":1071,"entry_price":1072,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1073,"captured_at":885,"question":1074,"event_slug":1075,"category":441},"0x22ff7a5a5f15f832385f0b064bf18145c254351b47d0dbebaaf29719550d6685",14.56582,0.0821637427,"2026-08-27T23:59:00Z","Will Ulta say \"Uncertainty\" during earnings call?","what-will-ulta-say-during-their-next-earnings-call",{"condition_id":1077,"outcome":29,"usdc":1078,"entry_price":1079,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1032,"captured_at":13,"question":1080,"event_slug":1081,"category":441},"0x243cabcf36524aa5a4b548164c2a80afda1e81238b09e03b1914ec77f7f8ce67",34.98937,0.19940730202508297,"Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?","cz-binance-of-tweets-july-3-july-10-2026",{"condition_id":1083,"outcome":59,"usdc":1084,"entry_price":1085,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":913,"captured_at":13,"question":1086,"event_slug":441,"category":37},"0x253108d1876c9d55c1d7a7cfd4490245a7fc050da30a0395ca2fa380f76050f4",51.399989,0.299999997,"Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026?",{"condition_id":1088,"outcome":29,"usdc":1089,"entry_price":1090,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":884,"captured_at":13,"question":1091,"event_slug":968,"category":441},"0x25909ea666c753960862d2ee206c722be378ba8bdedd0055e412720fa8f9d815",0.0135,0.05,"Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?",{"condition_id":1093,"outcome":29,"usdc":1094,"entry_price":1095,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1096,"captured_at":885,"question":1097,"event_slug":1098,"category":441},"0x264a326eb4862accf068f24e18b54ab6f7d3cfd4e02a716ec7ab6fde0d18a84b",10.99756,0.0623529412,"2026-09-17T23:59:00Z","Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 17, 2026?","next-grok-model-4pt7-released-onptptpt",{"condition_id":1100,"outcome":59,"usdc":1101,"entry_price":1102,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":425,"captured_at":13,"question":1103,"event_slug":1104,"category":617},"0x274cec202608757e62a0cf64ec63a3a814a6cc23a1bff1819b437362c5c16732",4.92,0.41,"Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?","which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1106,"outcome":29,"usdc":1107,"entry_price":1108,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":153,"captured_at":13,"question":1109,"event_slug":1110,"category":441},"0x27b2ba842e2a5aaeda85c27976bdcf48484232e7f4b52d62ada3a6c12a314d3a",21.05263,0.5150124688,"Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 35% or higher?","next-grok-model-4pt6-humanitys-last-exam-debut-20260810180408165",{"condition_id":1112,"outcome":29,"usdc":1113,"entry_price":1114,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":854,"captured_at":13,"question":1115,"event_slug":1116,"category":73},"0x292d0127103e02b8ce94e7c3a2b3f3d2fea58fe4e6a8267af0cdac8fe908fbc9",16.67514,0.015395942570544469,"Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?","best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-june",{"condition_id":1118,"outcome":29,"usdc":1119,"entry_price":1120,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":884,"captured_at":13,"question":1121,"event_slug":1122,"category":441},"0x2931a52eaf2d323073b166fae73ef963c949328ef7a3640431c91cb86630f0af",122.10430000000001,0.8079999999999999,"Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-agent-end-of-august-20260716210246314",{"condition_id":1124,"outcome":29,"usdc":1125,"entry_price":1126,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1127,"captured_at":13,"question":1128,"event_slug":1129,"category":441},"0x2b7a07409a97012685be2710c948ff840d8b0499cf730b6bd52649f05bff35be",150.63824,0.8770294652,"2026-09-03T13:00:00Z","Will New Mexico have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?","state-d4-drought-2026-09-01",{"condition_id":1131,"outcome":29,"usdc":1132,"entry_price":1133,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":878,"captured_at":13,"question":1134,"event_slug":441,"category":441},"0x2c92eb1251c0472a9a7f8bb966352009853dc974cf8c029515455a7beae67a2e",4.483842,0.1040458331694127,"Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?",{"condition_id":1136,"outcome":59,"usdc":1137,"entry_price":1138,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":45,"captured_at":13,"question":1139,"event_slug":1140,"category":37},"0x2ef481c2bb5b69beb5ff2160b4c3a31ca17eb31c2d08abbbbef82d854814248b",132.24938,0.46,"Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?","will-any-ai-model-reach-overall-arena-score-by-september-30",{"condition_id":1142,"outcome":29,"usdc":1143,"entry_price":1144,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1145,"captured_at":885,"question":1146,"event_slug":1147,"category":441},"0x2f4d3f26a4f7da155044e4f0b4fdc69219a48ae89b5dd5a1c13529736137ddc8",0.73477,0.0063636364,"2026-08-20T23:59:00Z","Will the most viewed episode of ABC World News Tonight for the week of August 10 - August 16 have between 9 million and 9.5 million viewers?","views-of-most-viewed-abc-world-news-tonight-episode-this-week-aug-10-16-20260814130356200",{"condition_id":1149,"outcome":29,"usdc":1150,"entry_price":1151,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1152,"captured_at":13,"question":1153,"event_slug":1154,"category":441},"0x3035e90f8c83980ad99a2fc586ae2c82ecbfeb8670c723899dfa7bd8cb8fbeb3",69.34775,0.6365420561,"2026-07-17T23:59:00Z","Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?","1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-july-17-20260713171335738",{"condition_id":1156,"outcome":29,"usdc":1157,"entry_price":1158,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1159,"captured_at":13,"question":1160,"event_slug":1161,"category":617},"0x30b65086ddbd0849b1a42e582fa953035fd10cdfeb223a002f0a7e2ecce59780",162.745086,0.45542864653752446,"2026-06-30T19:59:00Z","Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?","claude-mythos-5-access-restored-by-20260613213552181",{"condition_id":1163,"outcome":29,"usdc":1164,"entry_price":1165,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":898,"captured_at":13,"question":1166,"event_slug":900,"category":901},"0x30d55d8124ee1e12dabe89201badc45669b81dff69e4ce44d961f32878ec178a",102.83086,0.067,"Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":1168,"outcome":29,"usdc":1169,"entry_price":1170,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":913,"captured_at":13,"question":1171,"event_slug":993,"category":37},"0x316ae3d9074cfdef83ac5ba0d2e7e686f782838a37f237d85c771c9351b06c1e",12.97702,0.06254,"Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?",{"condition_id":1173,"outcome":29,"usdc":1174,"entry_price":1175,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1176,"captured_at":13,"question":1177,"event_slug":1178,"category":441},"0x31b5aba92dd2e577d2731c64a17cffe2b927d00fb0cfb11427ea36b343ce48ee",10.75545,0.7066666666666667,"2026-06-12T16:00:00Z","Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?","ted-cruz-of-tweets-june-5-june-12-2026",{"condition_id":1180,"outcome":59,"usdc":1181,"entry_price":1182,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1183,"captured_at":13,"question":1184,"event_slug":1185,"category":617},"0x325d2f917428a0d39ac7563770ec519208666b8c926091de1a1934d8570b64cd",32.5,0.65,"2026-07-18T03:59:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?","next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-byptptpt-20260623022722982",{"condition_id":1187,"outcome":29,"usdc":1188,"entry_price":1189,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1145,"captured_at":885,"question":1190,"event_slug":1191,"category":441},"0x330fce22cf5d100c3b00e9505ff9b3d2c0e04ebc219cf1b70bf1578b51110957",10.16995,0.245,"Will the most viewed TV show for the week of August 10 - August 16 have between 8.5 million and 9 million viewers?","views-of-most-viewed-tv-show-this-week-aug-10-16-20260814130356100",{"condition_id":1193,"outcome":59,"usdc":1194,"entry_price":1195,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1196,"captured_at":13,"question":1197,"event_slug":1198,"category":441},"0x33202ea27cf7fbf8d387c6ef1e0eb956dc999ffb96385b6fe67b84ea4a364952",163.04647,0.39,"2026-07-19T23:59:00Z","Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?","will-anthropic-extend-claude-fable-5-paid-plan-access-again-by-july-19-20260712201937544",{"condition_id":1200,"outcome":29,"usdc":1201,"entry_price":1202,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1203,"captured_at":13,"question":1204,"event_slug":1205,"category":441},"0x35dfd182cbbd0a120cd639878ec7e09579a6f76e572ebfd89d2e33346e1f20ac",84.63024,0.4244079622,"2026-09-13T00:00:00Z","Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?","sweden-parliamentary-election-kd-vote-share-20260812172636470",{"condition_id":1207,"outcome":59,"usdc":1208,"entry_price":1209,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1145,"captured_at":885,"question":1210,"event_slug":1211,"category":441},"0x3791989ea0226223bc4bd3e60e74c49c38518f2ffea2ffe5b8baa51dbb4af365",13.4244,0.66,"Will the most viewed episode of Jesse Watters Primetime for the week of August 10 - August 16 have between 3.5 million and 3.75 million viewers?","views-of-most-viewed-jesse-watters-primetime-episode-this-week-aug-10-16-20260814130356400",{"condition_id":1213,"outcome":29,"usdc":1214,"entry_price":1215,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1216,"captured_at":13,"question":1217,"event_slug":1218,"category":441},"0x3806a4b4d259e008c7a2d8756a779dfcb9362fff57304a6887c54956168408d8",89.06267,0.19,"2026-07-26T23:59:00Z","Will anyone say \"Morty\" 20+ times during Rick and Morty E10 S9?","what-will-be-said-during-final-episode-of-rick-and-morty-season-9-20260721174118147",{"condition_id":1220,"outcome":29,"usdc":1221,"entry_price":1222,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":884,"captured_at":885,"question":1223,"event_slug":1224,"category":441},"0x3bd7a4e152d750f130ee7a7a4e6ba1448df431a6b15602a3a0f11507d18c4959",238.77569,0.05779721081527939,"Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?","best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-august-20260717004241592",{"condition_id":1226,"outcome":1227,"usdc":1228,"entry_price":1229,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1230,"captured_at":13,"question":1231,"event_slug":1232,"category":441},"0x3c995fa852613961df5b34fc1b2d14eb6850145f5d28d349d1622f4ed8cd84ca","Spain",101.49495,0.67,"2026-07-06T19:00:00Z","Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance","fifwc-prt-esp-2026-07-06-more-markets",{"condition_id":1234,"outcome":29,"usdc":1235,"entry_price":1236,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1237,"captured_at":13,"question":1238,"event_slug":1239,"category":37},"0x3e8adc653a0b71eb454faf8f607d80719d879bba0eba1762e78ccfbc54b14618",35.52897,0.1508854259,"2026-09-25T23:59:00Z","Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?","2-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-september-25-20260918t180000000z",{"condition_id":1241,"outcome":59,"usdc":1242,"entry_price":877,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":884,"captured_at":13,"question":1243,"event_slug":1244,"category":441},"0x3f107007ad9a5726d4fd255cd456b170c44b4d9cf82957525d85d429b4edea51",102.612,"Will ByteDance be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?","second-best-ai-agent-lab-end-of-august-20260812152114055",{"condition_id":1246,"outcome":29,"usdc":1247,"entry_price":1248,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1145,"captured_at":885,"question":1249,"event_slug":1211,"category":441},"0x3fd74e296e44cc143b09f13cebcec1311b9ca622fa5833180d95fe8f7ce33cbb",10.29494,0.3998,"Will the most viewed episode of Jesse Watters Primetime for the week of August 10 - August 16 have between 2.75 million and 3 million viewers?",{"condition_id":1251,"outcome":29,"usdc":1252,"entry_price":1253,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1176,"captured_at":13,"question":1254,"event_slug":1255,"category":441},"0x3fd8177108c00eacfe1c400131da691414791e7d109576395b77cc9192f254b7",3.132,0.12,"Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?","white-house-of-tweets-june-5-june-12-2026",{"condition_id":1257,"outcome":59,"usdc":1258,"entry_price":1259,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":913,"captured_at":13,"question":1260,"event_slug":1261,"category":441},"0x3fe3f5c246eccc066f1ecb2d93fa3d89274843320e57988b49489c5085944366",30.912,0.24,"Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?","which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-july-style-control-on",{"condition_id":1263,"outcome":29,"usdc":1264,"entry_price":1265,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1266,"captured_at":13,"question":1267,"event_slug":1268,"category":441},"0x40743dbc21b8b444f9c48129737d47d9de0aac9f44c0a0e93a7d7832869d8e59",16.39704,0.2947128532360984,"2026-06-19T16:00:00Z","Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?","zelenskyy-of-tweets-june-12-june-19-2026",{"condition_id":1270,"outcome":29,"usdc":1271,"entry_price":1272,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":913,"captured_at":13,"question":1273,"event_slug":942,"category":37},"0x414f0e9435ec2100a952e512ff2534a43188091c02e058e36c0cf1c015e94d27",5.72929,0.0037708411726473504,"Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?",{"condition_id":1275,"outcome":29,"usdc":1276,"entry_price":1277,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":884,"captured_at":13,"question":1278,"event_slug":1047,"category":73},"0x415f0ea19ba0b3bbcae27ffc1253e7514389dc273adff12d67acbefb7860a9d7",71.9515,0.1288945219,"Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?",{"condition_id":1280,"outcome":59,"usdc":1281,"entry_price":42,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1032,"captured_at":13,"question":1282,"event_slug":1034,"category":441},"0x41c20422eec2177efa9ed33f4f698c0eb1e4d5cd441ea4917e971c789cfe76a7",2.81187,"Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?",{"condition_id":1280,"outcome":29,"usdc":1284,"entry_price":1285,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1032,"captured_at":13,"question":1282,"event_slug":1034,"category":441},178.33633999999998,0.5082274969924381,{"condition_id":1287,"outcome":59,"usdc":1288,"entry_price":1289,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":973,"captured_at":13,"question":1290,"event_slug":441,"category":617},"0x4210e4c61052a858634b2389c1132f313fe969814c79c5b1a7c8727dfea65f71",6.9088,0.68,"Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?",{"condition_id":1292,"outcome":29,"usdc":1293,"entry_price":1294,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1295,"captured_at":13,"question":1296,"event_slug":1297,"category":441},"0x424017ded524b46fb94a103d24c1e9d79d3f3ba8b175d7b7efab0567cfd8992f",18.57622,0.06134100808513795,"2026-07-07T16:00:00Z","Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?","white-house-of-tweets-june-30-july-7-2026",{"condition_id":1299,"outcome":29,"usdc":1300,"entry_price":1301,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":45,"captured_at":13,"question":1302,"event_slug":843,"category":617},"0x42742fa156da771a75cf8c7713ba0cfa4b2610112bae81a0ea8772fdeb50510b",21.19759,0.019365427,"Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":1304,"outcome":59,"usdc":1305,"entry_price":1306,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1307,"captured_at":13,"question":1308,"event_slug":1309,"category":441},"0x44bcd5d7205c9e65aa11da84df9fd31c56bbd7359e80c93a71e7082c1d51d1a3",32.4543,0.64,"2026-08-15T23:59:00Z","Will the announcers say \"Guillotine\" during Makhachev vs Machado Garry?","what-will-announcers-say-during-makhachev-vspt-machado-garry-at-ufc-330",{"condition_id":1311,"outcome":29,"usdc":1312,"entry_price":1313,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1314,"captured_at":13,"question":1315,"event_slug":1316,"category":441},"0x455e00ee88dbcab92161e3e6d5e5d8e109914536dd577c317c839aeff389e287",10.075989,0.8099999854,"2026-06-14T03:59:00Z","Will MrBeast say \"Eliminate\" or \"Eliminated\" during his next YouTube video?","what-will-mrbeast-say-during-his-next-youtube-video-20260609182226627",{"condition_id":1318,"outcome":29,"usdc":1319,"entry_price":1320,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1321,"captured_at":13,"question":1322,"event_slug":1323,"category":37},"0x463ac6bd3e43ad275e99aedb37fed14564bc501b4cf48efdd044950c29543032",44.53093,0.10508204126016359,"2026-09-30T03:59:00Z","Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 29, 2026?","next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260915",{"condition_id":1325,"outcome":59,"usdc":1326,"entry_price":1327,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":913,"captured_at":13,"question":1328,"event_slug":441,"category":441},"0x475ccfaaa4cb79646d023b622dd586711d6926bd6d19c32727c51a26a80906df",63.43779,0.78625,"Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?",{"condition_id":1325,"outcome":29,"usdc":1330,"entry_price":1331,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":913,"captured_at":13,"question":1328,"event_slug":441,"category":441},43.39593,0.1074358974,{"condition_id":1333,"outcome":59,"usdc":1334,"entry_price":1335,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1336,"captured_at":13,"question":1337,"event_slug":1338,"category":441},"0x489b51f1984205a212d7ebc64727c6dd153c2b1631a7d0500fb37097f41d146b",6.3,0.63,"2026-06-15T03:59:59.999Z","Will the fight be won by submission?","ufc-jus3-ili1-2026-06-14",{"condition_id":1340,"outcome":29,"usdc":1341,"entry_price":1342,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1059,"captured_at":13,"question":1343,"event_slug":1344,"category":441},"0x49399aa2126f9c868cabe3804e04cf6d34a6b135b951a0d68bd50b74ef3bb702",1.2567949999999999,0.002050016444455689,"Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?","khamenei-of-tweets-june-2-june-9-2026",{"condition_id":1346,"outcome":29,"usdc":1347,"entry_price":1348,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1349,"captured_at":13,"question":1350,"event_slug":1351,"category":441},"0x4ae81ef5a602b29124fe74b17ee8ee4c368df388240145701b3464a916bbbd63",9.38856,0.03000207703848576,"2026-08-04T16:00:00Z","Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?","khamenei-of-tweets-july-28-august-4-2026",{"condition_id":1353,"outcome":29,"usdc":1354,"entry_price":1355,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1356,"captured_at":885,"question":1357,"event_slug":1358,"category":441},"0x4bda4a4df34e9929e7eecb7ee1adc0b6497ee79dddffe14be4b24237cd116cb7",457.475238,0.3321147093483095,"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-any-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt-20260629155934230",{"condition_id":1360,"outcome":29,"usdc":1361,"entry_price":1362,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1363,"captured_at":13,"question":1364,"event_slug":1323,"category":37},"0x4c7a81dd315b1f31d894e751d4b8598ed1ff08f7738ca17f991ac45541ba3248",58.69902999999999,0.16408388456743406,"2026-09-23T03:59:00Z","Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?",{"condition_id":1366,"outcome":59,"usdc":1367,"entry_price":1368,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1369,"captured_at":885,"question":1370,"event_slug":1371,"category":441},"0x4c86ed9f12b72660933638d90c146e99c8b98bec765cfa4fea9bc2a28e1a68c0",27.59279,0.2738917263,"2026-10-18T23:59:00Z","Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?","next-grok-model-4pt7-released-by",{"condition_id":1373,"outcome":29,"usdc":1374,"entry_price":1375,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1376,"captured_at":13,"question":1377,"event_slug":1378,"category":441},"0x4db2f897c6ac238b8416150c398bb5e8275e87abb6b5d4a79d517a8370e8bafa",49.706,0.239425,"2026-07-03T16:00:00Z","Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?","ted-cruz-of-tweets-june-26-july-3-2026",{"condition_id":1380,"outcome":59,"usdc":1381,"entry_price":1382,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1383,"captured_at":885,"question":1384,"event_slug":1385,"category":441},"0x4df2646d0fe328a0ed2c42743f73586251ae4e1cccd9673a8976a70a41791f2f",358.7939,0.7644597740847374,"2026-09-08T03:59:00Z","Will Wednesday be the most viewed day of Jesse Watters Primetime for the week of August 10 - August 16?","most-viewed-day-of-jesse-watters-primetime-this-week-aug-10-16-20260814130356700",{"condition_id":1387,"outcome":29,"usdc":1388,"entry_price":1389,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":913,"captured_at":13,"question":1390,"event_slug":1261,"category":441},"0x4e4fef5c80cef51a3728c29adea30274d4d79b904b05d9474d5ef10afb3bc4a2",4.01807,0.0261012351,"Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?",{"condition_id":1392,"outcome":59,"usdc":1393,"entry_price":1394,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":878,"captured_at":13,"question":1395,"event_slug":441,"category":441},"0x50484b25eb46977482239d514a3896749277bb94d93ec791373668120c17ec89",10.25154,0.78,"Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?",{"condition_id":1397,"outcome":59,"usdc":1398,"entry_price":1399,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1400,"captured_at":13,"question":1401,"event_slug":1402,"category":37},"0x51eadfd41576db72d98be1feeb4a75a45872ed952a3a5425376958dd6c4566eb",157.8051,0.4078971606010368,"2027-01-01T12:00:00Z","Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by December 31?","will-canvas-valuation-hit-by-december-31",{"condition_id":1404,"outcome":29,"usdc":1405,"entry_price":1406,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1145,"captured_at":885,"question":1407,"event_slug":1211,"category":441},"0x53b3cc5ae58dcfc23bd6a06999d2c6081b56e5167d02e5f9da7d50dc63f5abae",107.79644,0.37195288589190095,"Will the most viewed episode of Jesse Watters Primetime for the week of August 10 - August 16 have between 3 million and 3.25 million viewers?",{"condition_id":1409,"outcome":29,"usdc":1410,"entry_price":1411,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":854,"captured_at":13,"question":1412,"event_slug":1413,"category":441},"0x53b4e166b6d75895ef08ceca4eeed22f596e9e78b74e8172f12cbe6245986f7b",91.32828,0.070865754,"Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on June 30, 2026?","gpu-rental-prices-h100-end-of-june",{"condition_id":1415,"outcome":29,"usdc":1416,"entry_price":1417,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":854,"captured_at":13,"question":1418,"event_slug":1419,"category":37},"0x543592ee12d7a09d47966296535cf7c58c24b2723332082d8f81f5ed16fd0cdb",2.45974,0.0094262948,"Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-math-ai-model-end-of-june",{"condition_id":1421,"outcome":59,"usdc":1422,"entry_price":1423,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1145,"captured_at":885,"question":1424,"event_slug":1191,"category":441},"0x54daed4dbbfaf5d398738eae9ae9f4e9f638cc1c07b0eeaf341e096ad0aee639",97.65146,0.4314039073,"Will the most viewed TV show for the week of August 10 - August 16 have between 9 million and 9.5 million viewers?",{"condition_id":1426,"outcome":59,"usdc":1427,"entry_price":1428,"won":12,"source":828,"end_date_iso":854,"captured_at":13,"question":1429,"event_slug":1430,"category":37},"0x55531f18047d867e870e97ab7ab9361af02b69aeb5f04c37fef43fc50b20a11a",103.788789,0.052800225,"Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?","new-gemini-reasoning-flagship-released-by",{"condition_id":1432,"outcome":29,"usdc":1433,"entry_price":1434,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":45,"captured_at":13,"question":1435,"event_slug":843,"category":617},"0x55b51fa092cbeec95defc5445110b8bbcad2fe4a97e20f9f16166f2f38f2259e",8.366785,0.0051943680129126505,"Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":1437,"outcome":29,"usdc":1438,"entry_price":1439,"won":17,"source":828,"end_date_iso":1032,"captured_at":13,"question":1440,"event_slug":1441,"category":441},"0x55f18efdd8c39fd8588f64dd62ad93df3dd91612c0c3354ba9bbaedb76baea6b",5.96497,0.1361428571,"Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?","zelenskyy-of-tweets-july-3-july-10-2026",{"total":1443,"wins":1444},322,122,[1446,1452,1457,1462,1467,1472],{"category":1447,"n":1448,"wins":1449,"hitRate":1450,"roi":1451},"Other",181,77,0.425414364640884,0.1848175105156894,{"category":37,"n":1453,"wins":1454,"hitRate":1455,"roi":1456},81,26,0.32098765432098764,0.21737573406130642,{"category":617,"n":1458,"wins":1459,"hitRate":1460,"roi":1461},33,14,0.42424242424242425,0.4919765293415193,{"category":73,"n":1463,"wins":1464,"hitRate":1465,"roi":1466},17,2,0.11764705882352941,0.06313986638411555,{"category":901,"n":1468,"wins":1469,"hitRate":1470,"roi":1471},9,3,0.3333333333333333,-0.8107289882044681,{"category":503,"n":12,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":1473},-1,{"generatedAt":1475},"2026-09-28T02:17:07.506Z"]