[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x508212fa8e10afce25025422161c15c68b8b049d":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":123,"history":124,"resolved":127,"resolvedSummary":731,"specialization":733,"meta":752},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x508212fa8e10afce25025422161c15c68b8b049d",2461,896,0.4720982142857143,0.10080082844062868,0.21167935609119626,0.007200000000000095,1,"2026-10-28T11:56:24.288Z",151.97099036049113,2.6866812227074237,"2026-10-28T06:14:49.000Z",0,"trades",0.4317678153042414,0.040330398981473344,13725.646347643149,136166.00736300004,2.3212688075693806,0.010089686098654708,[26,39,47,56,63,70,78,85,93,100,108,116],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"113287701564209339913693347405685749986285999146352375265161592243948562084773","0x307a1ed89d60b61002dd5bbf00e1408c5ed2ab3fcdb056191ca7ef9bc34d38f3","Yes",9000.0021,0.7099,"2026-11-01T21:46:41.474Z","2026-10-31T18:59:49.022Z","Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?","which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.725\", \"0.275\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"24808423328362642269928339618535398875519836942812329525201323299850907438220","0xf4051fc690cc6d64fb5132f0d1a50b864a41820ebf2bc82192858628d4015430",2400.45,0.5419,"2026-10-28T19:47:26.048Z","Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?","ia-02-house-election-winner",{"token_id":48,"condition_id":49,"outcome":50,"size":51,"avg_price":52,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":53,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":55,"category":38},"99954012845363784422380244269243499000117818896422626871954380344984773420508","0xb8b5349814450b8bba2ecdda2eeb9f48bd3c795bfb858bedf7a383712b877743","No",3000,0.43,"Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?","kansas-senate-election-winner","[\"0.385\", \"0.615\"]",{"token_id":57,"condition_id":58,"outcome":50,"size":59,"avg_price":60,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":61,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":62,"category":38},"50723444598226195342754184700957904925325694503103795593830038565334198169540","0xbc6530ac376b0e2f5bc07bc1c34884295d378fd694383a36714b85350520ab12",2100,0.59,"Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?","[\"0.265\", \"0.735\"]",{"token_id":64,"condition_id":65,"outcome":29,"size":66,"avg_price":67,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":68,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":69,"category":38},"75079868093228966915894372964099062660587490227046756021175661325867722540666","0x460d3942d385cdeda20519c0c5ad804ae48dc18efc9a82e1f1be87a29e69adb3",1999.92,0.3799,"Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?","[\"0.615\", \"0.385\"]",{"token_id":71,"condition_id":72,"outcome":29,"size":73,"avg_price":74,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":75,"event_slug":76,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":77,"category":38},"90689690530039118737607894922148077480097700217322320781526913496162509181445","0xd50c016598c499fceea10a1a714e48d9b4953487fe215daeaf916068fae722f1",1000,0.4459,"Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?","iowa-senate-election-winner","[\"0.475\", \"0.525\"]",{"token_id":79,"condition_id":80,"outcome":50,"size":81,"avg_price":82,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":83,"event_slug":76,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":84,"category":38},"45697952169290210733788647908439282215277461482653377209044144054693714912010","0x38a1025bfc56539ed1ff8fdd468283d55cf9002412decd61aa8d6c578c7d01a2",1000.5539,0.4194,"Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?","[\"0.535\", \"0.465\"]",{"token_id":86,"condition_id":87,"outcome":29,"size":88,"avg_price":89,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":90,"event_slug":91,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":92,"category":38},"30718966535311015751929217398361750334834655110246828806892843311659716192347","0x4de72138204727d2821bff847d8158819ab5b591db1b5b263676126cbb3a0430",1999.9958,0.1999,"Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?","south-carolina-senate-election-winner","[\"0.315\", \"0.685\"]",{"token_id":94,"condition_id":95,"outcome":50,"size":96,"avg_price":97,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":98,"event_slug":91,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":99,"category":38},"106735117676771824247027811445178447955204027242855029915419117736623883137120","0x1c017cbb38a9d0ab233ebb265b25c78290317e6a2470657ca18a73a112397b55",2000,0.1949,"Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?","[\"0.695\", \"0.305\"]",{"token_id":101,"condition_id":102,"outcome":29,"size":103,"avg_price":104,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":105,"event_slug":106,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":107,"category":38},"13189761649035136014216228195645475511361901020555722779072382901094466765019","0x9ae9e84c0d3b66ee416c0caa915777397b9c656939a0621ecd8c2572073c8893",1223.4775,0.2987,"Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?","al-02-house-election-winner","[\"0.465\", \"0.535\"]",{"token_id":109,"condition_id":110,"outcome":29,"size":111,"avg_price":112,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":113,"event_slug":114,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":115,"category":38},"90438836256571410927299008367228796312209722771624666597034907143954367060240","0x27a4dd39adf63849239f3b260b701e1ce1c3a08b8e3624b1dbc2c1268ea87537",300.25,0.5088,"Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?","pa-01-house-election-winner","[\"0.56\", \"0.44\"]",{"token_id":117,"condition_id":118,"outcome":29,"size":12,"avg_price":119,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":120,"event_slug":121,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":122,"category":38},"83247781037352156539108067944461291821683755894607244160607042790356561625563","0xd5d9fc47718bd553592d126b1fa5e87183d27f3936975b0c04cc0f2dec1f1bb4",0.83,"Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?","which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026","[\"0.945\", \"0.055\"]",[],[125],{"recorded_date":126,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-28",[128,137,146,153,160,167,174,181,187,194,201,208,215,223,229,236,244,251,258,265,271,276,283,290,297,300,306,312,317,323,330,337,340,346,352,359,365,371,377,383,390,393,400,405,410,418,424,431,439,445,450,455,458,465,471,477,483,489,496,501,506,512,518,525,530,537,542,547,553,561,566,571,576,582,587,592,597,604,607,611,617,622,626,632,638,644,650,657,664,671,674,681,687,693,699,704,709,714,719,725],{"condition_id":129,"outcome":29,"usdc":130,"entry_price":131,"won":17,"source":132,"end_date_iso":133,"captured_at":134,"question":135,"event_slug":136,"category":38},"0x8ddcc46ae8bd053ca1be1754de7a167ec2423320456392a0fa39f8f712787602",435.87500000000006,0.1375,"live","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","2026-10-29T13:54:54.054Z","SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?","scotus-accepts-sports-event-contract-case-by-july-31-2026",{"condition_id":138,"outcome":29,"usdc":139,"entry_price":140,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":142,"captured_at":13,"question":143,"event_slug":144,"category":145},"0x01fcd4359561aa1d797882fde9569aa75b12defa9570d9f2ea25dfb1a01dae8e",171.42,0.7584955752194691,"backfill","2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","Will gas hit (High) $3.75 by March 31?","will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march",null,{"condition_id":147,"outcome":29,"usdc":148,"entry_price":149,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":150,"captured_at":13,"question":151,"event_slug":152,"category":145},"0x022a73d97a18dcb7a08d18e2e28f50f202c8cc81046890753282630749f304c1",65,0.1625,"2026-03-04T00:00:00Z","Will \"iPad\" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?","what-will-be-said-during-the-nyc-apple-event",{"condition_id":154,"outcome":50,"usdc":155,"entry_price":156,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":157,"captured_at":13,"question":158,"event_slug":159,"category":145},"0x0b8aa45a0b7e10975f404f4c77f33fd9827e6d5f93c8899ce963ccdcb3b7eb64",295.01583400000004,0.5480975661847735,"2026-03-08T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Ayatollah\" or \"Khamenei\" this week? (March 8)","what-will-trump-say-this-week-march-8",{"condition_id":161,"outcome":29,"usdc":162,"entry_price":163,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":164,"captured_at":13,"question":165,"event_slug":166,"category":38},"0x0bde18e0a0220d1f97173850504a1ed4fa90ef2c6a7bc0932952790053ca0c0e",217,0.217,"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?","michigan-democratic-senate-primary-winner",{"condition_id":168,"outcome":29,"usdc":169,"entry_price":170,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":171,"captured_at":13,"question":172,"event_slug":173,"category":38},"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089",254,0.2309090909090909,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":175,"outcome":50,"usdc":176,"entry_price":177,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":178,"captured_at":13,"question":179,"event_slug":180,"category":145},"0x136f5a0c27a62cf9a2e40a4f48425e43d61b9571a53a2529372c0065f3218a73",2447.7629,0.3833488483542437,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Iran x Israel\u002FUS conflict ends by June 30?","iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by",{"condition_id":182,"outcome":29,"usdc":183,"entry_price":184,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":178,"captured_at":13,"question":185,"event_slug":186,"category":145},"0x15aa3c1259a716915e068a0d63c3885d2301d29e8982cbb1717ecb9b63d02d95",180,0.18,"US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by-march-1-2026-492",{"condition_id":188,"outcome":50,"usdc":189,"entry_price":190,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":191,"captured_at":13,"question":192,"event_slug":193,"category":145},"0x19966af675c9fd1a4db02b3cf7da257cfe505c0ff67332131471e9e03849c520",70.465,0.37067332982640716,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-this-week-apr-6-12",{"condition_id":195,"outcome":50,"usdc":196,"entry_price":197,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":13,"question":199,"event_slug":200,"category":38},"0x1a01bf78f56a507fcb666d564d8c8b91b0750679163ed6e96746102c9b7d285d",8.351202,0.23200000220886952,"2026-10-26T03:59:00Z","Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election",{"condition_id":202,"outcome":29,"usdc":203,"entry_price":204,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":205,"captured_at":13,"question":206,"event_slug":207,"category":145},"0x215e6633cadb82a455c80d1d9097feb5582b9581ad3534cde726af5a21da9b60",73.48,0.3674,"2026-02-24T00:00:00Z","State of the Union Bingo - Card 1","state-of-the-union-bingo-card-1",{"condition_id":209,"outcome":50,"usdc":210,"entry_price":211,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":212,"captured_at":13,"question":213,"event_slug":214,"category":145},"0x21b5ba930d1f742b878c63f4ea2756120161d123712e6d4ca6336230699c1a30",489.626666,0.48978993012635874,"2026-04-05T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Khamenei\" or \"Khomeini\" this week? (April 5)","what-will-trump-say-this-week-april-5",{"condition_id":216,"outcome":29,"usdc":217,"entry_price":218,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":219,"captured_at":13,"question":220,"event_slug":221,"category":222},"0x22c0216228ef4f9585786ab787855f533d098d6fab779e5d6cc2d57dc7feb47d",252.77699999999996,0.2872825012217436,"2026-06-14T00:00:00Z","Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-june-8","Geopolitics",{"condition_id":224,"outcome":50,"usdc":225,"entry_price":226,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":142,"captured_at":13,"question":227,"event_slug":228,"category":145},"0x23ee163941278ad17a6a3d94beee043653e42679f18862e8eb116eeaf31262a9",134.6526,0.8395323898,"Will John Fetterman vote \"Yea\" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?","who-will-vote-yea-on-the-dhs-appropriations-act-2026-by-march-31",{"condition_id":230,"outcome":29,"usdc":231,"entry_price":232,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":234,"event_slug":235,"category":145},"0x265366ede72d73e137b2b9095a6cdc9be6149290caa295738a95e3d881ad0865",2000.7,0.585,"2024-11-05T12:00:00Z","Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?","presidential-election-popular-vote-winner-2024",{"condition_id":237,"outcome":29,"usdc":238,"entry_price":239,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":240,"captured_at":13,"question":241,"event_slug":242,"category":243},"0x2c50e53f3546e82024279f67fc51db167b56d2d79580d731098d8d8862bd8140",473.97422,0.5975946530968747,"2026-06-30T18:30:00Z","Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?","cl-over-under-jun-2026","Other",{"condition_id":245,"outcome":50,"usdc":246,"entry_price":247,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":248,"captured_at":13,"question":249,"event_slug":250,"category":145},"0x2cbfefb1c7f083b083bbc123b164c05fc13a9baf298063e9570fceb0ff1742a7",1439.9985370000002,0.36,"2026-03-31T23:55:00Z","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?","trump-announces-end-of-military-operations-against-iran-by",{"condition_id":252,"outcome":29,"usdc":253,"entry_price":254,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":255,"captured_at":13,"question":256,"event_slug":257,"category":38},"0x2cd24d17f5680dc6e7b7d67c712a223ae85550745597e81bd2d2b8d073443951",610.999683,0.24440002981699696,"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","peru-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":259,"outcome":29,"usdc":260,"entry_price":261,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":262,"captured_at":13,"question":263,"event_slug":264,"category":145},"0x30474a7415361f2f4228c5b1e064575f992ccaf3b5afef0a9ef45c81d54cb639",66,0.07764705882352942,"2026-04-19T00:00:00Z","Will 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-this-week-apr-13-19",{"condition_id":266,"outcome":29,"usdc":267,"entry_price":268,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":142,"captured_at":13,"question":269,"event_slug":270,"category":145},"0x306d10d4a4d51b41910dbc779ca00908bd917c131541c5c42bbbc736258d2d56",505,0.202,"US forces enter Iran by March 31?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-march-31-222-191-243-517-878-439-519",{"condition_id":272,"outcome":29,"usdc":273,"entry_price":274,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":191,"captured_at":13,"question":275,"event_slug":193,"category":145},"0x30a5bc9701d7a29237f05fd6a76678d139413124a12092b7d1c334926f7a5425",218.60000000000002,0.19693693693693695,"Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?",{"condition_id":277,"outcome":29,"usdc":278,"entry_price":279,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":280,"captured_at":13,"question":281,"event_slug":282,"category":38},"0x31327c6fbdc70a44d97f8e8973f536b6a748e01b4c0ca5549ed0910c703b1d7b",708.867197,0.15754053421605724,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?","bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by",{"condition_id":284,"outcome":50,"usdc":285,"entry_price":286,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":287,"captured_at":13,"question":288,"event_slug":289,"category":145},"0x3419454a975946abef124537dd82ae253d2c68fe2388e648258c2c48831cf733",567,0.63,"2026-03-29T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Khamenei\" this week? (March 29)","what-will-trump-say-this-week-march-29",{"condition_id":291,"outcome":50,"usdc":292,"entry_price":293,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":294,"captured_at":13,"question":295,"event_slug":296,"category":145},"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20",2214.24,0.84,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by-february-28-2026-227-967-547-688-589-491-592-418-452-924-384-915-464-672-196-157-993-596-269-535-381-391-471-256-988-997-296-225-762-973-292-827-345-182-558-215-794-879-189-761",{"condition_id":291,"outcome":29,"usdc":298,"entry_price":299,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":294,"captured_at":13,"question":295,"event_slug":296,"category":145},987.6600000000001,0.13875526833380164,{"condition_id":301,"outcome":50,"usdc":302,"entry_price":303,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":178,"captured_at":13,"question":304,"event_slug":305,"category":222},"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187",3626.408,0.5180323840950809,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june",{"condition_id":307,"outcome":29,"usdc":308,"entry_price":309,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":310,"event_slug":311,"category":145},"0x34b5567e4f9a1b9561fba0f39c60b4da1f33052c8918dedc954401494d947cee",728.2,0.55,"Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?","wisconsin-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":313,"outcome":29,"usdc":314,"entry_price":315,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":255,"captured_at":13,"question":316,"event_slug":173,"category":38},"0x366f89649caea042c96ee741b185461ec7faa408a2664ec44469a0061924b537",258.99718,0.37000000019992274,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":318,"outcome":50,"usdc":319,"entry_price":320,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":321,"event_slug":322,"category":145},"0x370d6c9bb7acd3df44a213f703c44cbb3dc37e17c6f68e49240e5136e1a0bcae",1312.61303,0.6803560724400208,"Will Trump win Texas by 10+ points?","will-trump-win-texas-by-10-points",{"condition_id":324,"outcome":29,"usdc":325,"entry_price":326,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":327,"captured_at":13,"question":328,"event_slug":329,"category":145},"0x3a9ef67522be6f0e4dcb97ac56e064efe6b14e54713ee2050418d311883c31ba",39.77,0.09942500000000001,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?","trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by",{"condition_id":331,"outcome":50,"usdc":332,"entry_price":333,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":334,"captured_at":13,"question":335,"event_slug":336,"category":145},"0x3c6bcb7da14ea576e5af25547dbd96f2bb24ac34e748e76aecff2ee9195dd1ac",2425.4048000000003,0.577473208524701,"","US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by",{"condition_id":331,"outcome":29,"usdc":338,"entry_price":339,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":334,"captured_at":13,"question":335,"event_slug":336,"category":145},684,0.57,{"condition_id":341,"outcome":29,"usdc":342,"entry_price":343,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":205,"captured_at":13,"question":344,"event_slug":345,"category":145},"0x3caaede8326c8c1b9cb2d16080e2ef9e70bc613a8ec7ca8c7455ef9a0108205a",48,0.24,"State of the Union Bingo - Card 2","state-of-the-union-bingo-card-2",{"condition_id":347,"outcome":29,"usdc":348,"entry_price":349,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":205,"captured_at":13,"question":350,"event_slug":351,"category":145},"0x3ead997b55ad3a4adde31055ec780221ec7cb91bfafd15b6a41380d415a2bf8d",1227.869,0.39608677422580646,"Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?","how-long-will-the-state-of-the-union-address-be",{"condition_id":353,"outcome":29,"usdc":354,"entry_price":355,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":356,"captured_at":13,"question":357,"event_slug":358,"category":145},"0x42b633e7acfedf301c4eb85acefc7430f2e76825c1f3324a39a5582d7a26599b",1385.9660559999998,0.5774998234979623,"2026-09-04T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?","us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-begins-byptptpt-2-week-pause",{"condition_id":360,"outcome":50,"usdc":361,"entry_price":362,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":191,"captured_at":13,"question":363,"event_slug":364,"category":145},"0x462d6690e064dbd7ee3722658470b9ee1955db208486c7029ecf7871d9e46bf0",50.071799,0.7780000098964579,"Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?","will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-april-8-12",{"condition_id":366,"outcome":50,"usdc":367,"entry_price":368,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":327,"captured_at":13,"question":369,"event_slug":370,"category":145},"0x471e2fa06bd8975b77be49a36781bc41286d57bffa84de55173f4eacdbd52b28",76.32,0.5738345864661654,"Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?","will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-end-of-april",{"condition_id":372,"outcome":29,"usdc":373,"entry_price":374,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":205,"captured_at":13,"question":375,"event_slug":376,"category":145},"0x47b75271b2eca2929016310d338d7786d79b137252edacb74548af631e4bdf2f",159.13000000000002,0.29091407678244974,"Will Trump say \"Ethiopia\" during the State of the Union address?","what-places-will-trump-mention-during-the-state-of-the-union-address",{"condition_id":378,"outcome":50,"usdc":379,"entry_price":380,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":178,"captured_at":13,"question":381,"event_slug":382,"category":145},"0x4b02efe53e631ada84681303fd66d79ad615f3d2b6a28b4633d43d935f89af58",1430.1,0.6908695652173913,"US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by",{"condition_id":384,"outcome":50,"usdc":385,"entry_price":386,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":387,"captured_at":13,"question":388,"event_slug":389,"category":145},"0x4b78de44ea49d0eb8d5fee85352294b6f679a47c56944c6ad5c945e9a2ba7211",6049.995111,0.5500000000454546,"2026-02-14T00:00:00Z","Government shutdown on Saturday?","another-us-government-shutdown-by-february-14",{"condition_id":384,"outcome":29,"usdc":391,"entry_price":392,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":387,"captured_at":13,"question":388,"event_slug":389,"category":145},6007.0510509999995,0.7434907644173425,{"condition_id":394,"outcome":29,"usdc":395,"entry_price":396,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":397,"captured_at":13,"question":398,"event_slug":399,"category":145},"0x4c5701bcde0b8fb7d7f48c8e9d20245a6caa58c61a77f981fad98f2bfa0b1bc7",55,0.055,"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-april-7",{"condition_id":401,"outcome":29,"usdc":402,"entry_price":403,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":191,"captured_at":13,"question":404,"event_slug":193,"category":145},"0x4f3be223a7fb240b7ceb9afc13f440792d3b2cb18a64cb192c58e7cfacf44108",90,0.029999999999999995,"Will 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?",{"condition_id":406,"outcome":50,"usdc":407,"entry_price":408,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":142,"captured_at":13,"question":409,"event_slug":228,"category":145},"0x4ff521a922591e145806b8c54240dd1504549202a832c4b5a3d71caaae8e4829",172.78967,0.8642076122950885,"Will Tim Kaine vote \"Yea\" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?",{"condition_id":411,"outcome":50,"usdc":412,"entry_price":413,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":414,"captured_at":13,"question":415,"event_slug":416,"category":417},"0x50ba17676588be35303b9d046d3de9f50a2d054b68090bf6e764197c4ba17967",119.74425,0.79,"2026-07-29T15:59:00Z","Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?","how-many-dissent-at-the-july-fed-meeting-20260616001900143","Economy",{"condition_id":419,"outcome":50,"usdc":420,"entry_price":421,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":171,"captured_at":13,"question":422,"event_slug":423,"category":222},"0x518a5b030b205706b8ffe6bbad9bd3de59548348e5c0471827f5de21e513333c",2058,0.643125,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may",{"condition_id":425,"outcome":29,"usdc":426,"entry_price":427,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":428,"captured_at":13,"question":429,"event_slug":430,"category":145},"0x561cd8d035bac38ed04e23d7882a126da38d7ead9d6679f722ad62c0c9d54ad2",1452.2718,0.344109250825755,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?","will-iran-close-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-march-31",{"condition_id":432,"outcome":433,"usdc":434,"entry_price":435,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":436,"captured_at":13,"question":437,"event_slug":438,"category":145},"0x576cbfee15f6fe29215ceb8ef673488dfe2733dfb05cf00bb77dda2affe0823d","Buccaneers",49,0.49,"2026-09-13T17:00:00Z","Spread: Bengals (-3.5)","nfl-tb-cin-2026-09-13",{"condition_id":440,"outcome":29,"usdc":441,"entry_price":442,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":443,"captured_at":13,"question":444,"event_slug":250,"category":145},"0x57c1e8de9d359a76055fe1be95e46a1e72d0537811dcc2ccf070cdfa73d8ba33",498.12080000000003,0.591761072034309,"2026-05-31T23:55:00Z","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?",{"condition_id":446,"outcome":50,"usdc":447,"entry_price":448,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":142,"captured_at":13,"question":449,"event_slug":180,"category":145},"0x5a200d7d560169d60dc82cd16bb14c16f36f029fdf609dcb92d06a554f9f0fe1",1670.472706,0.5567805833738227,"Iran x Israel\u002FUS conflict ends by March 31?",{"condition_id":451,"outcome":50,"usdc":452,"entry_price":435,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":453,"captured_at":13,"question":454,"event_slug":180,"category":145},"0x5c2e6aef8af5931e9bfa3750364626d754531d2fada2885d45c356b175962a25",490,"2026-04-15T00:00:00Z","Iran x Israel\u002FUS conflict ends by April 15?",{"condition_id":451,"outcome":29,"usdc":456,"entry_price":457,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":453,"captured_at":13,"question":454,"event_slug":180,"category":145},619.2,0.72,{"condition_id":459,"outcome":29,"usdc":460,"entry_price":461,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":462,"captured_at":13,"question":463,"event_slug":464,"category":145},"0x5c34d9826992a9c141776ad3c467bfd85432b1f92b76e134f7790a173208e374",31.2,0.13,"2026-05-10T00:00:00Z","Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-may-4",{"condition_id":466,"outcome":29,"usdc":467,"entry_price":468,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":142,"captured_at":13,"question":469,"event_slug":470,"category":145},"0x5dad1b861dfec5a0f486bd1e02ef1d40f3b538d989dfa38b59be2e05edf3f084",130,0.65,"Will Trump or Melania say \"Trump\" at Chicago Opening Night?","what-will-trump-and-melania-say-during-chicago-opening-night",{"condition_id":472,"outcome":29,"usdc":473,"entry_price":474,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":240,"captured_at":13,"question":475,"event_slug":476,"category":243},"0x5f879a52e5349db7f66d386ca75f1a9bb608fdd6a738a1582681613730b23281",347.9305,0.17396525,"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?","cl-hit-jun-2026",{"condition_id":478,"outcome":50,"usdc":479,"entry_price":480,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":280,"captured_at":13,"question":481,"event_slug":482,"category":145},"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8",6019.6275,0.7523697363668292,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-august-31-20260702154212320",{"condition_id":484,"outcome":50,"usdc":485,"entry_price":486,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":294,"captured_at":13,"question":487,"event_slug":488,"category":145},"0x64d22ea5607ef49f5eb6af450dd1c4d11d8a3ae471a589138c9f4f3a83c6688c",48.5623,0.1497588429395257,"Will Trump say \"Mr. Speaker\" during the 2026 State of the Union address?","what-will-trump-say-during-the-state-of-the-union-address",{"condition_id":490,"outcome":29,"usdc":491,"entry_price":492,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":493,"captured_at":13,"question":494,"event_slug":495,"category":145},"0x652002aa13ba253abd033a6a7d06457fe2a08309c7c5324598d677624cdabec3",1115.986085,0.5580000004924832,"2026-05-19T00:00:00Z","Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?","ky-04-republican-primary-winner",{"condition_id":497,"outcome":29,"usdc":498,"entry_price":499,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":294,"captured_at":13,"question":500,"event_slug":488,"category":145},"0x690943971c6055658aaa54649cb491c70f404c64207c413eb7720e3e825e4c45",338.09710600000005,0.6900000011224582,"Will Trump say \"Job\" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?",{"condition_id":502,"outcome":29,"usdc":503,"entry_price":504,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":150,"captured_at":13,"question":505,"event_slug":152,"category":145},"0x6b3e952a78cf20047bc4f24c69bdd2b5aba38f67db4e6b9484032ba1661eafd0",375.782,0.899,"Will \"M5\" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?",{"condition_id":507,"outcome":29,"usdc":508,"entry_price":509,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":327,"captured_at":13,"question":510,"event_slug":511,"category":145},"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246",3592.274018,0.6415326616198669,"US forces enter Iran by April 30?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-april-30-899",{"condition_id":513,"outcome":50,"usdc":514,"entry_price":515,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":327,"captured_at":13,"question":516,"event_slug":517,"category":145},"0x6f19d9353a050b75146deab85790798008f71b699232e5e237e2f46d2cb5dc2b",528.7487,0.26442591305304536,"Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?","iran-military-action-against-by-april-30",{"condition_id":519,"outcome":29,"usdc":520,"entry_price":521,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":522,"captured_at":13,"question":523,"event_slug":524,"category":38},"0x70d706fe084905dbafb95dfff13b727e4073efc3ef590adc8330562bac5d26de",710,0.23666666666666666,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",{"condition_id":526,"outcome":29,"usdc":527,"entry_price":528,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":178,"captured_at":13,"question":529,"event_slug":382,"category":145},"0x7320a31f5b0babc0c2c99e8a14d120f577affb38793379307b6f56efdb849f49",499.99249799999996,0.25,"US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?",{"condition_id":531,"outcome":29,"usdc":532,"entry_price":533,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":534,"captured_at":13,"question":535,"event_slug":536,"category":145},"0x75d95bd35b14c82b91047ce8d0053baf315344c88c6536736995729a70fc0fae",100,0.5,"2026-03-25T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"TSA\" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?","what-will-trump-say-during-nrcc-dinner-on-march-25",{"condition_id":538,"outcome":29,"usdc":539,"entry_price":540,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":287,"captured_at":13,"question":541,"event_slug":289,"category":145},"0x76f05b786fd663b4c55f2847c4be9d8d457b0dd5754b3c26bab0e59ec65cf1da",8.054223,0.4200000312635395,"Will Trump say \"Ass\" or \"Shit\" this week? (March 29)",{"condition_id":543,"outcome":50,"usdc":544,"entry_price":545,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":453,"captured_at":13,"question":546,"event_slug":336,"category":145},"0x773abaa5fe55e5cde51a261f444b7921652a4e059ead6b3be9fe56499c2d4609",3575,0.7944444444444444,"US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?",{"condition_id":548,"outcome":50,"usdc":549,"entry_price":550,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":142,"captured_at":13,"question":551,"event_slug":552,"category":145},"0x78f97eed822885c3813ab7ba0ba41a5c1bb0ca0f0f622698bfc0460931aff51a",81.744,0.8151575588352613,"Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?","will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march",{"condition_id":554,"outcome":555,"usdc":556,"entry_price":557,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":558,"captured_at":13,"question":559,"event_slug":560,"category":145},"0x79f7e7980d342af09ad3affbf9edd35c80330ee6f3b5a3710d7eec66ce2bf451","Giants",54,0.54,"2026-09-14T00:20:00Z","Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)","nfl-dal-nyg-2026-09-14",{"condition_id":562,"outcome":50,"usdc":563,"entry_price":564,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":157,"captured_at":13,"question":565,"event_slug":159,"category":145},"0x7ab877b983324c94f81308b73fb247bb728e4e913bb45b02c88d86a87ac23f80",33.5,0.67,"Will Trump say \"G20\" this week? (March 8)",{"condition_id":567,"outcome":50,"usdc":568,"entry_price":569,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":142,"captured_at":13,"question":570,"event_slug":228,"category":145},"0x7ca3d322dad0b02c6c33a109931b6615c0fcb46a721dd4f5af5d63da3195e01c",78.1688,0.7444647619047619,"Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote \"Yea\" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?",{"condition_id":572,"outcome":50,"usdc":573,"entry_price":574,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":334,"captured_at":13,"question":575,"event_slug":336,"category":145},"0x80059ff4e694f878c0498f6f3a067ee7ca62dc2fc46251a4287b58355ce47bc5",1394,0.44967741935483874,"US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?",{"condition_id":577,"outcome":29,"usdc":578,"entry_price":579,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":142,"captured_at":13,"question":580,"event_slug":581,"category":145},"0x814657a16a3c5b39834864251372e30f68ddcd0f040c5c6a83a52cddb2c35226",1610.92528,0.38351939530151474,"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?","will-crude-oil-cl-hit-by-end-of-march",{"condition_id":583,"outcome":50,"usdc":584,"entry_price":585,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":397,"captured_at":13,"question":586,"event_slug":180,"category":145},"0x8183a221622f2d5d2b46da86c80d55a61f43d35829589e03c1efae9d072638c5",725.30682,0.72530682,"Iran x Israel\u002FUS conflict ends by April 7?",{"condition_id":588,"outcome":29,"usdc":589,"entry_price":590,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":178,"captured_at":13,"question":591,"event_slug":382,"category":145},"0x824df6aa7e270678a5239d697918e918834a52cc6e59ebc25b650b2df649ac82",640,0.32,"US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":593,"outcome":29,"usdc":594,"entry_price":595,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":294,"captured_at":13,"question":596,"event_slug":488,"category":145},"0x825510f8a79255da6d9c4a9d266f9658b45a4b12ce3051e10dd7bd36121f98bf",843.663325,0.3834853824216233,"Will Trump say \"Biden\" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?",{"condition_id":598,"outcome":50,"usdc":599,"entry_price":600,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":601,"captured_at":13,"question":602,"event_slug":603,"category":145},"0x8df5deceb6164ab03aff80ed36e72a916d6bde004288dab11a6fd66aff6e08c0",561.294011,0.3645338059898178,"2026-03-15T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Ayatollah\" or \"Khamenei\" this week? (March 15)","what-will-trump-say-this-week-march-15",{"condition_id":598,"outcome":29,"usdc":605,"entry_price":606,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":601,"captured_at":13,"question":602,"event_slug":603,"category":145},321.508997,0.27764641857069344,{"condition_id":608,"outcome":29,"usdc":589,"entry_price":590,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":609,"event_slug":610,"category":145},"0x8f97d034bbf01cd874af524cefc6d83deaa25373c1ab4545a81589a4d3d2b2a8","Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?","north-carolina-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":612,"outcome":29,"usdc":613,"entry_price":614,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":205,"captured_at":13,"question":615,"event_slug":616,"category":145},"0x8fcdcb1ed60f40b35b533853b2fc8bb1877314586d7549b1ca02dd8be9208e09",103.5786,0.6092858823529411,"State of the Union Bingo - Card 3","state-of-the-union-bingo-card-3",{"condition_id":618,"outcome":29,"usdc":619,"entry_price":620,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":191,"captured_at":13,"question":621,"event_slug":364,"category":145},"0x90397d17bfed025eb8cb3fc85400f53f120faabd0ffa1a0702d17273b81b241b",186.96,0.8498181818181818,"Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?",{"condition_id":623,"outcome":50,"usdc":624,"entry_price":564,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":327,"captured_at":13,"question":625,"event_slug":370,"category":145},"0x90bfaf5467d56bc60c35dbc373aabb15b0cefe5c04df56a7b16abe581750ae20",402,"Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?",{"condition_id":627,"outcome":50,"usdc":628,"entry_price":629,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":327,"captured_at":13,"question":630,"event_slug":631,"category":145},"0x924a2942747dd75703321a7c8d809c68f6a514c3b0f2a2e64274e02310634669",3420,0.684,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-april-30",{"condition_id":633,"outcome":29,"usdc":634,"entry_price":635,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":636,"captured_at":13,"question":637,"event_slug":282,"category":38},"0x95fc6a4ed7f6856d26aa7f21b9f902d05c9cf76b616fd3463de4d147f7a9126b",233,0.07766666666666666,"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?",{"condition_id":639,"outcome":29,"usdc":640,"entry_price":641,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":178,"captured_at":13,"question":642,"event_slug":643,"category":145},"0x98c0aa27e741d5bfeb0a06e68bddd256b857fd27597c76c500250db1483c51aa",6403.269,0.49254475638404416,"US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by-march-15-2026-176-537-334-314-311-563-139-841-296-929-674-361-128-125-587-277-713-864-314-272-772-416-338-683-554-682-743-939-378-887-219-419-692-473-532-837-119-848-847-469",{"condition_id":645,"outcome":29,"usdc":646,"entry_price":647,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":287,"captured_at":13,"question":648,"event_slug":649,"category":145},"0x9b64b8a7ef66e6dcef8e51ee743c33c7320b8e592c38ae2d73031e2c0f03ed47",49.999365999999995,0.041666688680846324,"Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-this-week-mar-23-29",{"condition_id":651,"outcome":29,"usdc":652,"entry_price":653,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":654,"captured_at":13,"question":655,"event_slug":656,"category":145},"0x9ebd5cd7a3751fc3e885062ec26d0a0278c30f31859d6ff90b9d747029d25fd3",66.61795999999998,0.06054416896902718,"2026-05-24T00:00:00Z","Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-may-18",{"condition_id":658,"outcome":29,"usdc":659,"entry_price":660,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":661,"captured_at":13,"question":662,"event_slug":663,"category":145},"0xa224d20c2e87328e462dec42693ef71e168c5b10c8568d3c3a61ef074024dcec",19.766421,0.4300000087,"2026-03-09T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Hell\" 8+ times during Miami address?","what-will-trump-say-during-remarks-to-the-republican-members-issues-conference",{"condition_id":665,"outcome":50,"usdc":666,"entry_price":667,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":668,"captured_at":13,"question":669,"event_slug":670,"category":145},"0xa2fef85be40ed75fb76607b4f8f55f2e22c31e5de3d254adca4c0211592c4923",696.268827,0.38556984768273617,"2026-02-08T00:00:00Z","Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?","which-companies-will-run-ads-during-super-bowl-lx",{"condition_id":665,"outcome":29,"usdc":672,"entry_price":673,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":668,"captured_at":13,"question":669,"event_slug":670,"category":145},1868.681607,0.559356508060122,{"condition_id":675,"outcome":29,"usdc":676,"entry_price":677,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":678,"captured_at":13,"question":679,"event_slug":680,"category":38},"0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a",920,0.46,"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-september-762",{"condition_id":682,"outcome":50,"usdc":683,"entry_price":684,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":178,"captured_at":13,"question":685,"event_slug":686,"category":38},"0xa70fc3695a65833b91b45df6db6015096f3e1471b70352ca411b4209010e7633",415.28000000000003,0.5767777777777778,"US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30",{"condition_id":688,"outcome":50,"usdc":689,"entry_price":690,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":691,"event_slug":692,"category":145},"0xa923afcb8297e3ade170f2f8c088f3c277557fadef2c67054d72cc59f8504b2b",1230,0.41,"Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?","pennsylvania-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":694,"outcome":29,"usdc":695,"entry_price":696,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":697,"captured_at":13,"question":698,"event_slug":282,"category":38},"0xa976dcc2fac50cf13968adbee89ce1de26df0191b8480b89d418280273197f53",583.19394,0.29159697,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?",{"condition_id":700,"outcome":50,"usdc":701,"entry_price":702,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":171,"captured_at":13,"question":703,"event_slug":336,"category":145},"0xa9937410f8aae98cc6440a7480ad832be5a1a998afcf5a6e77c6f5aa4c0f259f",1060,0.35333333333333333,"US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?",{"condition_id":705,"outcome":29,"usdc":706,"entry_price":707,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":287,"captured_at":13,"question":708,"event_slug":649,"category":145},"0xaa4b52effe1bdcf2ae7df70ce0c49c97c9cbe05beb13b727b5b15d4bf54d4ad3",15.4398,0.17013553719008262,"Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?",{"condition_id":710,"outcome":29,"usdc":711,"entry_price":712,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":287,"captured_at":13,"question":713,"event_slug":289,"category":145},"0xadac630ef901e0de8fa5ad3a49b807be310e50b9107641c9c3ff194c2ed26e69",102.848964,0.6600000026954663,"Will Trump say \"Epic Fury\" this week? (March 29)",{"condition_id":715,"outcome":29,"usdc":716,"entry_price":717,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":294,"captured_at":13,"question":718,"event_slug":488,"category":145},"0xaeff52fb01e6b8a19b661eefdd8ec9c9624886ac7febceac5c17e554bdd7b002",282.15354,0.8993228151,"Will Trump say \"America\" or \"American\" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?",{"condition_id":720,"outcome":29,"usdc":721,"entry_price":722,"won":17,"source":141,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":723,"event_slug":724,"category":145},"0xafde9e890a2db339b6515cd75c2d09574dcaf731b483a1ef6ea0a3abc5ec8abd",264.2614,0.37,"Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? ","which-party-wins-presidency-popular-vote",{"condition_id":726,"outcome":50,"usdc":727,"entry_price":728,"won":12,"source":141,"end_date_iso":142,"captured_at":13,"question":729,"event_slug":730,"category":145},"0xb40e0490382e7bc89d193fcc8657d0acb9191afd764ef435af888868ba2b88eb",1328.8241999999998,0.6641464414198021,"Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?","will-the-us-conduct-a-cyberattack-on-iran-by-march-31",{"total":732,"wins":260},139,[734,738,743,746,749],{"category":243,"n":735,"wins":556,"hitRate":736,"roi":737},114,0.47368421052631576,-0.016110409478029695,{"category":38,"n":739,"wins":740,"hitRate":741,"roi":742},19,7,0.3684210526315789,0.4134695241217795,{"category":222,"n":744,"wins":744,"hitRate":12,"roi":745},3,0.8662446934026817,{"category":417,"n":747,"wins":12,"hitRate":533,"roi":748},2,-0.09436563681167245,{"category":750,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":751},"Sports",0.3937282229965155,{"generatedAt":753},"2026-11-02T10:57:53.727Z"]