[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x4e14d4d80215352a1f2ddb21aae90ba36ad786f0":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":59,"history":60,"resolved":63,"resolvedSummary":675,"specialization":678,"meta":698},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x4e14d4d80215352a1f2ddb21aae90ba36ad786f0",1129,564,0.5638297872340425,0.5231865357738629,0.21521073416280412,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-06T01:37:27.398Z",41.44777574822696,1.772370486656201,"2026-09-29T21:11:09.000Z",0,"trades",0.4760861563262413,0.08774363090780146,12230.293870015188,23376.545522000004,6.388904653132642,0.03770197486535009,[26,39,47],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"60869407730980948985853180776811871982085362415775378914572922276056245597456","0x637ff14bf5b7e81ac906d7488d34492dc39586671e00d064ece47cdd845aa722","Yes",1241.6863,0.6893,"2026-10-25T12:12:00.632Z","2026-10-06T03:27:33.142Z","Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?","will-xi-meet-with-takaichi-by","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.74\", \"0.26\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":44,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":46,"category":38},"50073003129799751182512955871006934238453931923518446443477027471472756004413","0x542376eacfaf03a742254d639f09b3b03bb9bc5fb496c3f1cd355116e1c700f4",432.85,0.7161,"Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?","trump-putin-and-xi-seen-together-before-2027","[\"0.875\", \"0.125\"]",{"token_id":48,"condition_id":49,"outcome":50,"size":51,"avg_price":52,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":53,"question":54,"event_slug":55,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":57,"category":58},"25863924423480284180332695214308264907432064482953319563900522136638568696909","0x7f27abd7cf3b246e1305b494e548020ba744d788195745428bd76d1ccddab1e7","No",800.87,0.0137,"2026-10-23T14:11:32.688Z","Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-any-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt-20260819","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"1\", \"0\"]","Geopolitics",[],[61],{"recorded_date":62,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-06",[64,68,76,85,92,99,106,113,120,127,135,143,150,153,160,167,172,179,186,193,198,205,212,219,225,232,237,243,248,254,258,265,270,277,284,291,298,305,310,315,322,329,336,342,349,356,363,370,377,379,386,393,401,408,414,419,424,429,434,441,447,452,457,462,469,474,479,482,489,496,501,507,514,519,525,530,537,544,549,555,562,566,573,579,584,589,594,599,606,612,619,624,629,633,638,645,651,658,663,669],{"condition_id":49,"outcome":50,"usdc":65,"entry_price":52,"won":17,"source":66,"end_date_iso":56,"captured_at":67,"question":54,"event_slug":55,"category":58},10.971919,"live","2026-10-23T23:16:47.515Z",{"condition_id":69,"outcome":29,"usdc":70,"entry_price":71,"won":17,"source":66,"end_date_iso":72,"captured_at":73,"question":74,"event_slug":75,"category":38},"0x50d446794ad4e7b16e27e248ed841c76ca7edbb084907f61cd5a9d1f83cf96a8",56.224368029999994,0.0967,"2026-10-11T23:59:00Z","2026-10-12T10:50:38.683Z","Will Trump say \"Ammunition\" this week?","what-will-trump-say-this-week-october-5-october-11-20261011",{"condition_id":77,"outcome":50,"usdc":78,"entry_price":79,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":81,"captured_at":13,"question":82,"event_slug":83,"category":84},"0x00e997d0850c4dbfa525ae9838470fcc2499a93a38d543f8d352201b9ee49beb",37.86183,0.0027721174755903646,"backfill","2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say “Marjorie Traitor Greene” by February 28?","what-nicknames-will-trump-say-by-february-28",null,{"condition_id":86,"outcome":50,"usdc":87,"entry_price":88,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":89,"captured_at":13,"question":90,"event_slug":91,"category":84},"0x01e452600fdb7bacb4f6ecb9106e05a3ca22871975806345d362a0f38e6859d0",37.03,0.35,"2026-03-26T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Proclamation\" during Greek Independence Day event?","what-will-trump-say-during-greek-independence-day-event-on-march-26",{"condition_id":93,"outcome":29,"usdc":94,"entry_price":95,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":96,"captured_at":13,"question":97,"event_slug":98,"category":84},"0x04677709e174de20ee6c7d44f058d954d400c5cac36d20edf1fcc0d7de926191",249.39839999999998,0.6734672715465327,"2025-12-17T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Tax on Tips\" while addressing the nation on December 17?","what-will-trump-say-during-the-address-on-december-17",{"condition_id":100,"outcome":29,"usdc":101,"entry_price":102,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":103,"captured_at":13,"question":104,"event_slug":105,"category":84},"0x05cae767acd98ec3fb6e865d8cd6c24083afeae7210ccb4985ff902703606221",10.959,0.39,"2026-03-25T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Egg\" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?","what-will-trump-say-during-nrcc-dinner-on-march-25",{"condition_id":107,"outcome":29,"usdc":108,"entry_price":109,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":110,"captured_at":13,"question":111,"event_slug":112,"category":84},"0x0853df2fa83b1669193dcb0a992fcf5f28144dcba78f8719f0193646edae1d53",654.1325830000001,0.672673425466929,"2026-02-08T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Six Seven\" this week? (February 8)","what-will-trump-say-this-week-february-8",{"condition_id":114,"outcome":50,"usdc":115,"entry_price":116,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":117,"captured_at":13,"question":118,"event_slug":119,"category":84},"0x092471f61558dabaf1ccac4444921db0c974a5734a0dcb55896be0eeff2fd775",63.97,0.19384848484848485,"2026-03-08T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Jesus\" this week? (March 8)","what-will-trump-say-this-week-march-8",{"condition_id":121,"outcome":50,"usdc":122,"entry_price":123,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":124,"captured_at":13,"question":125,"event_slug":126,"category":84},"0x0977aff44c0f7dafd6277f851665691b2528476429abe72909d9e7e8a7bf77d4",129.99609900000002,0.6500000047542966,"2026-03-03T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Angela\" or \"Merkel\" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?","what-will-trump-say-during-events-with-chancellor-merz-on-march-3",{"condition_id":128,"outcome":129,"usdc":130,"entry_price":131,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":132,"captured_at":13,"question":133,"event_slug":134,"category":84},"0x0994cb8d34f8ae6ac13301b67c124f96f2309e5916e729d1dba7bee9ba8371af","Tyra Caterina Grant",540,0.27,"2026-05-01","Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina Grant","wta-cirstea-grant-2026-04-24",{"condition_id":136,"outcome":137,"usdc":138,"entry_price":139,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":140,"captured_at":13,"question":141,"event_slug":142,"category":84},"0x0ad7bfefa1318072a7718199b97c81e3815c013987400910ec4f341eab657163","Timberwolves",14.999988,0.005,"2026-01-25T22:30:00Z","Warriors vs. Timberwolves","nba-gsw-min-2026-01-25",{"condition_id":144,"outcome":50,"usdc":145,"entry_price":146,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":147,"captured_at":13,"question":148,"event_slug":149,"category":84},"0x0b0ccf52ec7456cb888adcbde6bb11e148dabdf9bce5477448728660baf52716",81.451927,0.1346462567345815,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Israel\" or \"Gaza\" during the 2026 State of the Union address?","what-will-trump-say-during-the-state-of-the-union-address",{"condition_id":144,"outcome":29,"usdc":151,"entry_price":152,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":147,"captured_at":13,"question":148,"event_slug":149,"category":84},4.736,0.8,{"condition_id":154,"outcome":50,"usdc":155,"entry_price":156,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":157,"captured_at":13,"question":158,"event_slug":159,"category":84},"0x0b4d4807d9ada3da32f66bd906f7c79b931e836338ea9127840a22357dc80d6b",139.75,0.5590000000000002,"2026-05-27T00:00:00Z","Will Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?","english-premier-league-top-goalscorer",{"condition_id":161,"outcome":50,"usdc":162,"entry_price":163,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":164,"captured_at":13,"question":165,"event_slug":166,"category":38},"0x0b5676c33e495c58b8495e90f72b73a5dd7a196035cd31be17a37ff94a1a50b0",3.41748,0.11,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?","who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-may-31",{"condition_id":168,"outcome":50,"usdc":169,"entry_price":170,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":117,"captured_at":13,"question":171,"event_slug":119,"category":84},"0x0b8aa45a0b7e10975f404f4c77f33fd9827e6d5f93c8899ce963ccdcb3b7eb64",335.312232,0.47367066026196597,"Will Trump say \"Ayatollah\" or \"Khamenei\" this week? (March 8)",{"condition_id":173,"outcome":29,"usdc":174,"entry_price":175,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":176,"captured_at":13,"question":177,"event_slug":178,"category":84},"0x0d4a6918c9e1a9f4cb85cccc3a175665b7b3f56df13b39e60b5c2f76a02b42e5",1.9068,0.28,"2026-02-19T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Constitution\" in Rome, GA on February 19?","what-will-trump-say-in-rome-ga-on-february-19",{"condition_id":180,"outcome":29,"usdc":181,"entry_price":182,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":183,"captured_at":13,"question":184,"event_slug":185,"category":84},"0x0d97b08564988f1353b6f9a68df0b451c00165d94bd5d169a7dabf563ff8d9d2",118.5568,0.1280380150126897,"2025-12-16T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"AI\" or \"Crypto\" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?","what-will-trump-say-during-hanukkah-reception-on-december-16",{"condition_id":187,"outcome":29,"usdc":188,"entry_price":189,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":190,"captured_at":13,"question":191,"event_slug":192,"category":84},"0x0e11611400140c3cdd10eb173dcddc02977069f6ec6acdc0ddb3ec815cb2b2dd",45.7265,0.5989063523,"2026-04-16T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Dow\" or \"S&P\" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?","what-will-trump-say-during-no-tax-on-tips-roundtable",{"condition_id":194,"outcome":50,"usdc":195,"entry_price":196,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":117,"captured_at":13,"question":197,"event_slug":119,"category":84},"0x0e94e24c1d985801e29c67d611ca2d9580f40c1bac5e49075ab0a1f0bc2ca7b9",40.405,0.6790756302647059,"Will Trump say \"Make America Great Again\" or \"MAGA\" this week? (March 8)",{"condition_id":199,"outcome":29,"usdc":200,"entry_price":201,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":202,"captured_at":13,"question":203,"event_slug":204,"category":84},"0x0fd089aa3754d1a788c1d1fb1d086d3b8d8f142f8225e27a05cecd17fcb30888",127.627,0.3112853658536585,"2026-03-11T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Biden\" 7+ times during Ohio visit?","what-will-trump-say-during-trumprx-ohio-visit",{"condition_id":206,"outcome":29,"usdc":207,"entry_price":208,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":209,"captured_at":13,"question":210,"event_slug":211,"category":84},"0x0ff68233ef1a506fbf27a9d9cd2f3112b39f27c14c4e5fa6ae5de7d9476f8d35",258.865166,0.862893479165576,"2026-04-17T00:00:00Z","Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026?","will-trump-publicly-insult-someone-on",{"condition_id":213,"outcome":50,"usdc":214,"entry_price":215,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":216,"captured_at":13,"question":217,"event_slug":218,"category":84},"0x109f24f2836b7a7bb453bac6b433bc78deb129f9222ddf2183f62db0d54bb6ef",15.8,0.79,"2025-12-18T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Submarine\" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?","what-will-trump-say-at-national-defense-authorization-act-signing-on-december-18",{"condition_id":220,"outcome":50,"usdc":221,"entry_price":222,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":176,"captured_at":13,"question":223,"event_slug":224,"category":84},"0x1278de65a659827650b466430bd399d9834fe40f9e10276127bfe894ad2d9946",15.4265,0.7694014963,"Will Trump say \"NATO\" during Board of Peace events on February 19?","what-will-trump-say-during-board-of-peace-events",{"condition_id":226,"outcome":29,"usdc":227,"entry_price":228,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":229,"captured_at":13,"question":230,"event_slug":231,"category":84},"0x1288c77a7d662890bc91c238972725818f3dfd0249c1cfe50a71e38ea3292866",1080.220826,0.8136554142187681,"2026-01-04T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"MAGA\" or \"Make America Great Again\" this week? (December 29 - January 4)","what-will-trump-say-this-week-december-29-january-4",{"condition_id":233,"outcome":50,"usdc":234,"entry_price":235,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":216,"captured_at":13,"question":236,"event_slug":218,"category":84},"0x1336a89428661aa830afb690666c53ef54875717f435d1a400d7dc3ea39a541f",246.5,0.85,"Will Trump say \"Nuclear\" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?",{"condition_id":238,"outcome":29,"usdc":239,"entry_price":240,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":147,"captured_at":13,"question":241,"event_slug":242,"category":84},"0x140d730148eb86b42399b6a4de36dfa571d7327f060deae4017a0dee669c27cc",230.993639,0.77000000246572,"Will Trump say \"Million\" or \"Billion\" or \"Trillion\" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?","will-trump-say-million-or-billion-or-trillion-15-times-during-the-2026-state-of-the-union-address-296",{"condition_id":244,"outcome":29,"usdc":245,"entry_price":246,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":103,"captured_at":13,"question":247,"event_slug":105,"category":84},"0x1508aaec300bbf690ee9b8d53f17d484773bb6448c8a5cf3b0e2edceb751a3a1",249.75,0.47571428571428576,"Will Trump say \"Cheat\" or \"Cheater\" or \"Cheated\" or \"Cheating\" 10+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?",{"condition_id":249,"outcome":29,"usdc":250,"entry_price":251,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":147,"captured_at":13,"question":252,"event_slug":253,"category":84},"0x156214d3d62322c191dafef0e6d9233f76bcd98bf49b035a644954795c49e5c8",1649.7793540000002,0.8374766703771633,"Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?","will-venezuela-give-the-us-oil-by-january-31",{"condition_id":255,"outcome":29,"usdc":256,"entry_price":235,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":147,"captured_at":13,"question":257,"event_slug":149,"category":84},"0x15ed63792af0da140e48347fa2fb1e27f67fab041b6aeb151c3d3f3f958ab0ea",8.5,"Will Trump say \"Middle East\" during the 2026 State of the Union address?",{"condition_id":259,"outcome":29,"usdc":260,"entry_price":261,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":262,"captured_at":13,"question":263,"event_slug":264,"category":84},"0x177319665663ac18c00dfefa9896bffd58da14e913d7b52276f42e17d4d5940d",6.351732999999999,0.4000000126132576,"2026-03-02T00:00:00Z","Will Melania say \"Intelligence\" during Security Council events on March 2?","what-will-melania-say-during-un-security-council-events-on-march-2",{"condition_id":266,"outcome":50,"usdc":267,"entry_price":268,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":202,"captured_at":13,"question":269,"event_slug":204,"category":84},"0x18d2aafa811432d6ed840fe0da9bf1e522f650f930db979586c3df9b76a9bb12",71.196,0.3,"Will Trump say \"Most Favored Nation\" during Ohio visit?",{"condition_id":271,"outcome":29,"usdc":272,"entry_price":273,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":274,"captured_at":13,"question":275,"event_slug":276,"category":84},"0x19874f9cee31a6c00aeaeccd3bcc5527b9e8dd735a2efef6edc6a6a1ace4f544",61,0.61,"2026-01-11T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Colombia\" this week? (January 11)","what-will-trump-say-this-week-january-11",{"condition_id":278,"outcome":50,"usdc":279,"entry_price":280,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":281,"captured_at":13,"question":282,"event_slug":283,"category":84},"0x19e2d38eb81a019269b33255b72e3119dda9399fe7592e8f689a6d46a3d90621",19.499981,0.03250000267665918,"2026-01-18T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Mental institution\" this week? (January 18)","what-will-trump-say-this-week-january-18",{"condition_id":285,"outcome":29,"usdc":286,"entry_price":287,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":288,"captured_at":13,"question":289,"event_slug":290,"category":84},"0x2170cff0aedcc55d57d9d69f6df9404009a4df9d2f2afc96cf4dfb29dc1c17a2",60.73419,0.2655788352685248,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?","who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-july-31-20260626210612709",{"condition_id":292,"outcome":29,"usdc":293,"entry_price":294,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":295,"captured_at":13,"question":296,"event_slug":297,"category":84},"0x21b57aebecc276d6bb8d2a61ad4a15693ca2f09a66f6e756e31bf87931d36c5e",47.017838,0.5862329467193614,"2025-12-19T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Hell\" 10+ times at Rocky Mount events on Friday?","what-will-trump-say-during-the-rocky-mount-rally",{"condition_id":299,"outcome":50,"usdc":300,"entry_price":301,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":302,"captured_at":13,"question":303,"event_slug":304,"category":84},"0x21c0e38f58b5ef35434b6faecf4c17eccb3327b2bc7efb14bbd33f038646a43b",93.037468,0.21173484420355868,"2026-01-03T00:00:00Z","Will Donald Trump say \"fentanyl\" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?","what-will-trump-say-during-his-venezuela-press-conference-today-978",{"condition_id":306,"outcome":29,"usdc":307,"entry_price":308,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":147,"captured_at":13,"question":309,"event_slug":149,"category":84},"0x23253673e1547d04f43fb9d120ec53caafd90002156fed794e0fca2e67de7dcb",164.814262,0.7464158575023776,"Will Trump say \"AI\" or \"Artificial Intelligence\" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?",{"condition_id":311,"outcome":29,"usdc":312,"entry_price":313,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":176,"captured_at":13,"question":314,"event_slug":178,"category":84},"0x23e21524912580511944dfd4a095b3a8d9d0e8cf15336a5ce66a5d6ef2808c02",161.097341,0.6317650803648289,"Will Trump say \"Hell\" 5+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?",{"condition_id":316,"outcome":50,"usdc":317,"entry_price":318,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":319,"captured_at":13,"question":320,"event_slug":321,"category":84},"0x26738f0ac4a4bec0260332cfd9c881e453c73f7475d946db3b3b6cc32f0e6f6a",9.43509,0.1542941946,"2026-02-05T00:00:00Z","Will Analilia Mejia be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?","nj-11-special-election-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":323,"outcome":29,"usdc":324,"entry_price":325,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":326,"captured_at":13,"question":327,"event_slug":328,"category":84},"0x26a162ca9a37768ee8fbc91456f90b332e8f1ae44062c1c449a0bf47b0aabbdd",254.6,0.8347540983606556,"2025-12-12T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Gold\" or \"Golden\" during Bill Signing on December 12?","what-will-trump-say-during-bill-signing-on-december-12",{"condition_id":330,"outcome":29,"usdc":331,"entry_price":332,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":333,"captured_at":13,"question":334,"event_slug":335,"category":84},"0x28f1e9218bcd41ced05faf3c03f026721d87712556bf2828337551f03cae0a01",108,0.36,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?","israel-strikes-iran-by-march-31-2026",{"condition_id":337,"outcome":50,"usdc":338,"entry_price":339,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":147,"captured_at":13,"question":340,"event_slug":341,"category":84},"0x29678f23b6a77db6c99e320c2ed2709652e01ec14e9c3caeca5f4b692d735173",49.066346,0.2200000004,"Will Leavitt say \"Nuclear\" or \"Iran\" during the next White House press briefing?","what-will-karoline-leavitt-say-during-the-next-white-house-press-briefing-139",{"condition_id":343,"outcome":50,"usdc":344,"entry_price":345,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":346,"captured_at":13,"question":347,"event_slug":348,"category":38},"0x2d62406d718b45a9b0417e05d33aef6fe31381f2922acc0ba0938d99145299c6",38.544459999999994,0.23078630782587128,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?","will-trump-praise-allah-again-by-june-30-20260610152457610",{"condition_id":350,"outcome":29,"usdc":351,"entry_price":352,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":353,"captured_at":13,"question":354,"event_slug":355,"category":84},"0x2e9325844cccb59ab5c8a439922f15a338f8397609cfeb910612551b3890c8ea",96.5,0.772,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will the US strike Syria next?","next-country-us-strikes-759",{"condition_id":357,"outcome":29,"usdc":358,"entry_price":359,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":360,"captured_at":13,"question":361,"event_slug":362,"category":84},"0x310cf1f2674f74a68f19e9f99bad1bb59354984a13062ba9dc5f25383faddcf0",9.615,0.75,"2026-02-24T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Western Hemisphere\" during the State of the Union address?","what-places-will-trump-mention-during-the-state-of-the-union-address",{"condition_id":364,"outcome":50,"usdc":365,"entry_price":366,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":367,"captured_at":13,"question":368,"event_slug":369,"category":84},"0x318cb26a55f2d0907e6c7a8e3cd9756836631eeb358ba2e45d94caefaf978ec9",64.539619,0.09897038647152583,"2026-01-05T00:00:00Z","Will Jensen Huang say \"Human Robot\" or \"Human Robotic\" during NVIDIA keynote?","what-will-jensen-huang-say-during-nvidia-keynote",{"condition_id":371,"outcome":50,"usdc":372,"entry_price":373,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":374,"captured_at":13,"question":375,"event_slug":376,"category":84},"0x3396f00896f7168639e9325ee87fd10c18969ddc87b7b107f339146ec795041d",37.393525999999994,0.12850820921109904,"2026-02-18T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Smart\" or \"High IQ\" during the Black History Month reception?","what-will-trump-say-during-the-black-history-month-reception",{"condition_id":371,"outcome":29,"usdc":378,"entry_price":268,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":374,"captured_at":13,"question":375,"event_slug":376,"category":84},60,{"condition_id":380,"outcome":29,"usdc":381,"entry_price":382,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":383,"captured_at":13,"question":384,"event_slug":385,"category":84},"0x33f6a830d570c2b2331fc3427dc8a9381d6f918611ebb109b9b5ed563cf0b313",50,0.5,"2025-12-09T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Green New Scam\" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?","what-will-trump-say-during-pennsylvania-events-on-december-9",{"condition_id":387,"outcome":29,"usdc":388,"entry_price":389,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":390,"captured_at":13,"question":391,"event_slug":392,"category":84},"0x367d51d021abc4b8b77de5e7110edf420fc8e56ea2a414025c695b8ba4142442",12.6,0.42,"2026-04-15T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Paper tiger\" during Fox interview on Wednesday?","what-will-trump-say-during-fox-business-interview-on-april-15",{"condition_id":394,"outcome":50,"usdc":395,"entry_price":396,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":397,"captured_at":13,"question":398,"event_slug":399,"category":400},"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868",1086.9983,0.1811666852778088,"2026-07-01T04:00:00Z","MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","microstrategy-sell-any-bitcoin-in-2025","Crypto",{"condition_id":402,"outcome":29,"usdc":403,"entry_price":404,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":405,"captured_at":13,"question":406,"event_slug":407,"category":84},"0x38e21813625d521dde97c87fdac6884c8098b35378cb2e6843bd6d8cae73ee89",73.99241,0.4601252348036945,"2026-07-28T23:59:00Z","Will Trump say \"Supreme Court\" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?","what-will-trump-say-during-tribute-to-lindsey-graham-20260724170556632",{"condition_id":409,"outcome":29,"usdc":410,"entry_price":411,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":360,"captured_at":13,"question":412,"event_slug":413,"category":84},"0x3ead997b55ad3a4adde31055ec780221ec7cb91bfafd15b6a41380d415a2bf8d",180.2064,0.48,"Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?","how-long-will-the-state-of-the-union-address-be",{"condition_id":415,"outcome":29,"usdc":416,"entry_price":417,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":96,"captured_at":13,"question":418,"event_slug":98,"category":84},"0x430e10b49d8baf8632e52338459cd53de2d21f47ddaf18eea4f642911f0e91e5",15.690427999999999,0.30000000382398717,"Will Trump say \"Green New Scam\" while addressing the nation on December 17?",{"condition_id":420,"outcome":29,"usdc":421,"entry_price":359,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":81,"captured_at":13,"question":422,"event_slug":423,"category":84},"0x435b2eaa5abc97c00f9f26c5c211a8e8ad3572085e77e1ac546263c09e4bf1a6",3.525,"Will Leavitt say \"Go ahead\" 6+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?","what-will-karoline-leavitt-say-during-the-next-white-house-press-briefing-926",{"condition_id":425,"outcome":29,"usdc":426,"entry_price":359,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":147,"captured_at":13,"question":427,"event_slug":428,"category":84},"0x43ec78527bd98a0588dd9455685b2cc82f5743140cb3a154603dc03c02b57de5",112.5,"US government shutdown Saturday?","will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31",{"condition_id":430,"outcome":29,"usdc":431,"entry_price":432,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":295,"captured_at":13,"question":433,"event_slug":297,"category":84},"0x4509d950e63cf8519d42f1df5a6588debdba3e251562af5b22578836e21ccebe",34.496438000000005,0.6900000231966685,"Will Trump say \"Nuclear\" at Rocky Mount events on Friday?",{"condition_id":435,"outcome":29,"usdc":436,"entry_price":437,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":438,"captured_at":13,"question":439,"event_slug":440,"category":84},"0x454fb3cd3e0f3c6fb55b303839fbf74e4daa50b49e57f43691447aa046e959c2",68.612,0.6210354815351194,"","Will Donald Trump say \"eighth war\" or \"eight wars\" during Israel President events on December 29?","what-will-trump-say-during-netanyahu-event-on-monday",{"condition_id":442,"outcome":50,"usdc":443,"entry_price":444,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":262,"captured_at":13,"question":445,"event_slug":446,"category":84},"0x466dc106c25e063c0f108e4e4622f6293e22a5262cf88c078e49bc35cad93762",66,0.33,"Will Trump say \"Secretary of War\" during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?","what-will-trump-say-during-medal-of-honor-ceremony-on-march-2",{"condition_id":448,"outcome":29,"usdc":449,"entry_price":450,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":360,"captured_at":13,"question":451,"event_slug":362,"category":84},"0x47b75271b2eca2929016310d338d7786d79b137252edacb74548af631e4bdf2f",205.87,0.18332146041495992,"Will Trump say \"Ethiopia\" during the State of the Union address?",{"condition_id":453,"outcome":50,"usdc":454,"entry_price":455,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":374,"captured_at":13,"question":456,"event_slug":376,"category":84},"0x481f72d629e7d00b3f4a00dee659426b91d7f3e6ab92d69c5ac15b99585f8e67",88,0.4,"Will Trump say \"Black American\" 5+ times during the Black History Month reception?",{"condition_id":458,"outcome":29,"usdc":459,"entry_price":460,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":183,"captured_at":13,"question":461,"event_slug":185,"category":84},"0x4a4ecba30ad7eb86c3f46b5520081488fd0427675d583eecc51624d07f5c65d7",106.47460000000001,0.6177095782460637,"Will Trump say \"Nazi\" or \"Holocaust\" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?",{"condition_id":463,"outcome":29,"usdc":464,"entry_price":465,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":466,"captured_at":13,"question":467,"event_slug":468,"category":84},"0x4aa2049e2452443f18418d72236f0b082ef509a7606955c83190e89457789027",2.030303,0.6700002178,"2026-02-27T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Green New Scam\" in Corpus Christi on Friday?","what-will-trump-say-in-corpus-christi-on-february-27",{"condition_id":470,"outcome":50,"usdc":471,"entry_price":472,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":96,"captured_at":13,"question":473,"event_slug":98,"category":84},"0x4ade9165c4036b120a47cfc9153eaea2f5b7026912e6db9a09034a62eb281ed2",53.999445,0.2700000019487176,"Will Trump say \"Venezuela\" while addressing the nation on December 17?",{"condition_id":475,"outcome":50,"usdc":476,"entry_price":477,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":117,"captured_at":13,"question":478,"event_slug":119,"category":84},"0x4b9c034001416a0870c00cebed00b7ff0ccb3e49b55fad78296dec3f8cb0ef06",24.94,0.58,"Will Trump say \"Maduro\" this week? (March 8)",{"condition_id":475,"outcome":29,"usdc":480,"entry_price":481,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":117,"captured_at":13,"question":478,"event_slug":119,"category":84},42.006,0.1666640216,{"condition_id":483,"outcome":29,"usdc":484,"entry_price":485,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":486,"captured_at":13,"question":487,"event_slug":488,"category":84},"0x4c9c46378a127a1df126d3491032582d02b6329b14d3b0b50261bb3279db5e5e",4.602352,0.15000000325919047,"2026-03-15T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Ass\" or \"Shit\" this week? (March 15)","what-will-trump-say-this-week-march-15",{"condition_id":490,"outcome":29,"usdc":491,"entry_price":492,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":493,"captured_at":13,"question":494,"event_slug":495,"category":84},"0x510efaac9b62d7fd5dae3d66a95273595ae32714a08393eca92a529a563406e1",21.151,0.8278277886,"2026-04-21","Will Trump say \"Where is\" 3+ times during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?","what-will-trump-say-during-ncaa-national-champions-remarks-on-april-21",{"condition_id":497,"outcome":29,"usdc":498,"entry_price":499,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":274,"captured_at":13,"question":500,"event_slug":276,"category":84},"0x546643b20670b67bd8f1e3725f544998bf0bbb69aa2be5fbff791813d502683a",7.3659,0.645,"Will Trump say \"Kennedy\" or \"Autism\" this week? (January 11)",{"condition_id":502,"outcome":29,"usdc":503,"entry_price":504,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":147,"captured_at":13,"question":505,"event_slug":506,"category":84},"0x54a8110400c846012f9fcc8ff9b69c96330be317064841ca784c0f41af8af60a",208.60650000000004,0.5241896170469396,"Will Trump say \"The State of the Union is strong\" during the 2026 State of the Union address?","will-trump-say-the-state-of-the-union-is-strong-during-the-2026-state-of-the-union-address-924",{"condition_id":508,"outcome":50,"usdc":509,"entry_price":510,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":511,"captured_at":13,"question":512,"event_slug":513,"category":84},"0x54c59b4a608d86a039a0557e27db56869c8a398ab5ead5aa9df03cad43579a94",59.999999,0.4109999973,"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?","trove-public-sale-total-commitments",{"condition_id":515,"outcome":29,"usdc":516,"entry_price":517,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":183,"captured_at":13,"question":518,"event_slug":185,"category":84},"0x563fb7da073f6307838f21b9297f34ad0819a715ac3e21f218e94bc0a1283adf",74.7,0.37349999999999994,"Will Trump say \"Obliterated\" or \"Obliteration \u002F Obliterating\" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?",{"condition_id":520,"outcome":50,"usdc":521,"entry_price":522,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":202,"captured_at":13,"question":523,"event_slug":524,"category":84},"0x56ca02b9da67f2e0b6b2a338b73aed9fb8bf21a2d328f36148a019ce00afd5e4",22.4665,0.6411672374,"Will Starmer say \"Green\" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?","what-will-keir-starmer-say-at-the-next-prime-ministers-questions-event-229",{"condition_id":526,"outcome":29,"usdc":527,"entry_price":528,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":295,"captured_at":13,"question":529,"event_slug":297,"category":84},"0x5ae46a20d70885118151ad7477c7e536b362a6740e442c52861eca65dcf1b112",243,0.81,"Will Trump say \"Million\" or \"Billion\" or \"Trillion\" 20+ times at Rocky Mount events on Friday?",{"condition_id":531,"outcome":50,"usdc":532,"entry_price":533,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":534,"captured_at":13,"question":535,"event_slug":536,"category":84},"0x604009ea635b6210094e94045169447906e063006467443e35cf6a04e3e55e37",96.3332,0.2743050770238333,"2026-01-01T00:00:00Z","Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?","steam-awards-game-of-the-year-395",{"condition_id":538,"outcome":29,"usdc":539,"entry_price":540,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":541,"captured_at":13,"question":542,"event_slug":543,"category":84},"0x60bc9dca871e7d16a1e4ccad2842572ef46d1bbdd95b0697d1fe783a5f37d2f0",413.759999,0.7509255921087896,"2026-01-27T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Hell\" 8+ times during Iowa speech?","what-will-trump-say-in-iowa-on-january-27",{"condition_id":545,"outcome":29,"usdc":546,"entry_price":547,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":103,"captured_at":13,"question":548,"event_slug":105,"category":84},"0x61364b2d71745e5a275bcb4d8f3bc53a12c991cacccee5522b706440ae63195a",352,0.88,"Will Trump say \"Oil\" or \"Gas\" or \"Gasoline\" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?",{"condition_id":550,"outcome":29,"usdc":551,"entry_price":552,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":353,"captured_at":13,"question":553,"event_slug":554,"category":84},"0x61b66d02793b4a68ab0cc25be60d65f517fe18c7d654041281bb130341244fcc",165,0.36666666666666664,"Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?","will-trump-nominate-kevin-warsh-as-the-next-fed-chair",{"condition_id":556,"outcome":29,"usdc":557,"entry_price":558,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":559,"captured_at":13,"question":560,"event_slug":561,"category":84},"0x61cdc242037221fc747846e83de76da7ef7e70864e6f3599da67d3c851b711b9",126.995402,0.6350001843317259,"2026-03-06T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Tiger\" during College Football Roundtable?","what-will-trump-say-during-the-college-football-roundtable-on-march-6",{"condition_id":563,"outcome":29,"usdc":564,"entry_price":528,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":89,"captured_at":13,"question":565,"event_slug":91,"category":84},"0x61d2e93ce12ff1f1b298373ef187ee1c4476814d373a0c8428e1a26724c08acb",52.65,"Will Trump say \"Kimberly\" or \"Guilfoyle\" during Greek Independence Day event?",{"condition_id":567,"outcome":29,"usdc":568,"entry_price":569,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":570,"captured_at":13,"question":571,"event_slug":572,"category":84},"0x62b0cd598091a179147acbd4616400f804acfdff6f76f029944b481b37cbd45f",9.999999,0.0749999932,"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?","us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by",{"condition_id":574,"outcome":29,"usdc":575,"entry_price":576,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":333,"captured_at":13,"question":577,"event_slug":578,"category":84},"0x62b6e010b7dc31f3ff4d6e8d038e91431439f36e545d95e8c453ba3bd8f18e12",49.999999,0.2144232763,"Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?","iran-announces-new-supreme-leader-on",{"condition_id":580,"outcome":29,"usdc":581,"entry_price":582,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":183,"captured_at":13,"question":583,"event_slug":185,"category":84},"0x64fd48d9fd4f6db2131650302588049839137e004b0da5412cbf08ad334f2c91",128,0.64,"Will Trump say \"Jew\" or \"Jewish\" 10+ times during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?",{"condition_id":585,"outcome":29,"usdc":586,"entry_price":587,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":176,"captured_at":13,"question":588,"event_slug":178,"category":84},"0x65bf3b73305160f1f201b9279a16eb8d4042e3e819fec1d31f903193ec2cd814",201.005826,0.6399365937665304,"Will Trump say \"AI\" or \"Crypto\" in Rome, GA on February 19?",{"condition_id":590,"outcome":29,"usdc":591,"entry_price":592,"won":12,"source":80,"end_date_iso":541,"captured_at":13,"question":593,"event_slug":543,"category":84},"0x663ab7bbc3ea3156a3e81a67e341be33f0000183ae294c0e2061a7821864322c",7.456625,0.68,"Will Trump say \"Nuclear\" during Iowa speech?",{"condition_id":595,"outcome":29,"usdc":596,"entry_price":597,"won":17,"source":80,"end_date_iso":541,"captured_at":13,"question":598,"event_slug":543,"category":84},"0x6a63460b31d0caa8bf884dd2fb44529c04b2b710bea6551d67830bf3c9bd1982",116.99443600000001,0.39000000173373117,"Will Trump say \"Biden\" 15+ times during Iowa 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