[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x3c760e45728e0cb4b68c52980a070314b95fd4ee":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":26,"history":27,"resolved":37,"resolvedSummary":643,"specialization":646,"meta":671},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x3c760e45728e0cb4b68c52980a070314b95fd4ee",8784,950,0.7547368421052632,0.38795567908107337,0.18793751547992768,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-02T08:10:27.722Z",32.36829660631576,1.390753641545282,"2026-09-26T20:58:17.000Z",0,"trades",0.5898902590379991,0.16484658306726296,11929.591266070793,30749.881775999973,12.330133105025013,0.030107526881720432,[],[],[28,35],{"recorded_date":29,"roi":30,"win_rate":31,"brier_score":32,"p_value":33,"resolved_trades":34,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-21",0.2287167459208071,0.5263157894736842,0.20283240931926394,0.2714000000000001,114,{"recorded_date":36,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-02",[38,48,57,64,71,78,81,89,96,104,111,118,125,132,140,145,152,159,166,174,180,186,192,199,206,213,220,225,231,234,241,246,252,258,265,272,278,284,290,296,299,303,309,315,321,327,334,340,345,351,357,364,370,377,380,387,393,398,404,409,415,420,426,431,437,444,449,456,463,470,476,481,487,493,499,503,509,515,521,524,531,537,543,550,553,558,564,570,576,582,587,593,599,604,610,616,619,625,632,637],{"condition_id":39,"outcome":40,"usdc":41,"entry_price":42,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":44,"captured_at":13,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"category":47},"0x01ef128f5b47fe68caec1b795f0c29bcec24258247049c78f519476cf3a34206","Yes",34.8,0.87,"backfill","2025-12-15T00:00:00Z","Will the Australian hero donation campaign reach $1.7 million by Dec 15?","will-the-australian-hero-donation-campaign-reach-1pt7-million-by-dec-15",null,{"condition_id":49,"outcome":50,"usdc":51,"entry_price":52,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":53,"captured_at":54,"question":55,"event_slug":56,"category":47},"0x0200743b501bb76457156e98736b1fd5f65835af8290c3354220773968f237b4","No",63.37527,0.8903435868491604,"2026-07-04T23:59:00Z","2026-09-21T08:47:29.534Z","Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?","will-the-white-house-call-a-full-lid-by-630-pm-june-29-july-4-20260626160825412",{"condition_id":58,"outcome":50,"usdc":59,"entry_price":60,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":61,"captured_at":13,"question":62,"event_slug":63,"category":47},"0x0231e8dd9ca10e6fd5eb5a87cad989662779c42b49bd51eeedd3eb2547df0b64",35.7956,0.6131483384720795,"2025-11-02T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Kamala\" during \"60 Minutes\" on November 2?","what-will-trump-say-during-60-minutes-on-november-2",{"condition_id":65,"outcome":50,"usdc":66,"entry_price":67,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":68,"captured_at":13,"question":69,"event_slug":70,"category":47},"0x02ad72cfdbaee34aa80cd6d264bf8b9304e4f349ecbdccb0d13574ea650c475f",216.12259999999998,0.8454177749960882,"2025-10-24T03:00:00Z","Will Trump attend the 2025 MLB World Series Finals?","will-trump-attend-the-2025-mlb-world-series-finals",{"condition_id":72,"outcome":50,"usdc":73,"entry_price":74,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":75,"captured_at":54,"question":76,"event_slug":77,"category":47},"0x032bea9bdb1cc6b3456b5f6b4589d600eda00fea105e9f028acd169fbd1aaf74",10.1,0.101,"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?","nato-downs-another-russian-drone-byptptpt-20260726214930818",{"condition_id":72,"outcome":40,"usdc":79,"entry_price":80,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":75,"captured_at":54,"question":76,"event_slug":77,"category":47},57,0.38,{"condition_id":82,"outcome":50,"usdc":83,"entry_price":84,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":85,"captured_at":13,"question":86,"event_slug":87,"category":88},"0x0629c2518036e5d7705718d0e828e49d79ac40a919ec90a134f75c8cda35e89c",42.400000000000006,0.848,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?","will-tim-walz-resign-by","Politics",{"condition_id":90,"outcome":40,"usdc":91,"entry_price":92,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":93,"captured_at":13,"question":94,"event_slug":95,"category":47},"0x077fc0c447abfc7e094713e86d62acc20480560a6eb60bfbfc86a1c5f00b9339",29.999913000000003,0.006,"2025-11-21T00:00:00Z","Will the government shutdown end November 12?","what-day-will-the-government-shutdown-end",{"condition_id":97,"outcome":50,"usdc":98,"entry_price":99,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":100,"captured_at":13,"question":101,"event_slug":102,"category":103},"0x0888d081e9dd7650a91c4f6cb7ed53160b0d8c5da61202f7cd6ea87ab644ab90",26.5,0.8833333333333333,"2026-02-01T04:59:00Z","Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?","will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-june-30","Geopolitics",{"condition_id":105,"outcome":40,"usdc":106,"entry_price":107,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":108,"captured_at":13,"question":109,"event_slug":110,"category":47},"0x0942f5ee13a4cdb53b020d60766260a2e0f602af85804392f5c77f80ea9a9b0b",100.353211,0.23361979278352907,"","Will France strike Iran by March 31?","which-countries-will-strike-iran-by-march-31",{"condition_id":112,"outcome":40,"usdc":113,"entry_price":114,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":115,"captured_at":54,"question":116,"event_slug":117,"category":47},"0x0c9ea0b1503b95b499975674aefdbd6c235f68885f2a812e97ca96016b207e43",10.53729,0.2675,"2026-07-19T19:00:00Z","Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?","fifwc-esp-arg-2026-07-19",{"condition_id":119,"outcome":40,"usdc":120,"entry_price":121,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":122,"captured_at":13,"question":123,"event_slug":124,"category":47},"0x0cec3912015989251d1dec00ef5a2115a37be07ec7e0c45234a5024d97cb7882",9.745122,0.1100000002,"2026-03-07T00:00:00Z","Will Khamenei tweet again by March 4?","will-khamenei-tweet-again-by",{"condition_id":126,"outcome":50,"usdc":127,"entry_price":128,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":129,"captured_at":13,"question":130,"event_slug":131,"category":47},"0x0d1189bdc7661170e3c9d09c653c889e176ef0a52efb1e30d727cab60bcdeb1f",4.5,0.45,"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","Will Mamdani say \"Immigrant\" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?","what-will-zohran-mamdani-say-during-the-next-nyc-mayors-office-announcement",{"condition_id":133,"outcome":40,"usdc":134,"entry_price":135,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":136,"captured_at":54,"question":137,"event_slug":138,"category":139},"0x0d2c9b8bbc81ef294b72a82db21b85dafaab1dbf9f7c1e3aebe531ad7bfc8e2e",23.82291,0.03915407803805874,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?","measles-cases-in-us-by-may-31","Science",{"condition_id":141,"outcome":40,"usdc":142,"entry_price":143,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":122,"captured_at":13,"question":144,"event_slug":124,"category":47},"0x0daaf7183595cd8af7c3a81245a4a957677c779217257b16f0e3bf2db2366da7",297.39300000000003,0.6765389690228991,"Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14?",{"condition_id":146,"outcome":50,"usdc":147,"entry_price":148,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":149,"captured_at":13,"question":150,"event_slug":151,"category":47},"0x0df135584082e1cee34261a46487903fd6ef7a7776e9398a3ff891e9da67ee91",287.0695,0.6783786657844367,"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will Condoleezza Rice attend Dick Cheney's funeral?","who-will-attend-dick-cheneys-funeral",{"condition_id":153,"outcome":50,"usdc":154,"entry_price":155,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":156,"captured_at":13,"question":157,"event_slug":158,"category":47},"0x0e2cfb5c83704173b4379ad2370e6e9bb8f23a2dc96c03799db7e397e0241311",36,0.8,"2025-10-24T00:00:00Z","Will anyone say \"Percent\" 15+ times during the FED board meeting on October 24?","what-will-be-said-say-during-fed-board-meeting-on-oct-24",{"condition_id":160,"outcome":50,"usdc":161,"entry_price":162,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":163,"captured_at":13,"question":164,"event_slug":165,"category":47},"0x0f1436851188b2ace8c83413e5e9f7bbd6a9b3a92173fe8a2350f6ce09b36107",41.5,0.83,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","ICE Shooter fired\u002Fresigns by March 31?","ice-shooter-fired-by-march-31",{"condition_id":167,"outcome":50,"usdc":168,"entry_price":169,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":170,"captured_at":13,"question":171,"event_slug":172,"category":173},"0x0f3ae5d23882fb840762fd35de11fc31b0fbdc9e41e8666cdfae9d627f93f517",191.8016,0.6633978970669618,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?","elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027","Tech",{"condition_id":175,"outcome":40,"usdc":176,"entry_price":177,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":170,"captured_at":13,"question":178,"event_slug":179,"category":139},"0x10976c1e2418f7b6bac8bcb35c9f068521a81e902b77c0197981512f9fd74bcc",143.231833,0.8615794166087005,"Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?","measles-cases-in-us-in-2026",{"condition_id":181,"outcome":40,"usdc":182,"entry_price":183,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":129,"captured_at":13,"question":184,"event_slug":185,"category":47},"0x10a890895d30a9f9c6afea5e9fc17b73a917d7898a453aa17583bf848cb68169",566.7182,0.7121275178748696,"Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?","measles-cases-in-us-by-february-28",{"condition_id":187,"outcome":50,"usdc":188,"entry_price":189,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":85,"captured_at":13,"question":190,"event_slug":191,"category":88},"0x119db6dda44f109bcdc2ec5e1d9cb8c21fa1a7e66489f59b1190fdfb25c0d515",56.595403,0.7074982352985707,"Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?","miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30",{"condition_id":193,"outcome":40,"usdc":194,"entry_price":195,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":196,"captured_at":54,"question":197,"event_slug":198,"category":47},"0x11e90f01dd8c90d4280c8a311569cba5bdef483c0f29728ac76247ada5381857",17.21248,0.021718858316939923,"2026-05-04T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Hell\" 3+ times during Small Business Summit?","what-will-trump-say-during-remarks-at-the-small-business-summit",{"condition_id":200,"outcome":50,"usdc":201,"entry_price":202,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":203,"captured_at":13,"question":204,"event_slug":205,"category":47},"0x11f55c831e6697fcd2624209c701f77436e08008695c743c47dfe94d26636069",129.01749999999998,0.7783861236802412,"2026-04-18T00:00:00Z","Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on April 16?","will-the-white-house-call-a-full-lid-by-630-pm-april-13-18",{"condition_id":207,"outcome":40,"usdc":208,"entry_price":209,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":211,"event_slug":212,"category":47},"0x1232e95b934853096f9d310876e61587741a77eac61e917d15ad5ac5d9969c11",61.2,0.13304347826086957,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","Will there be at least 750 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?","measles-cases-in-us-by-january-31",{"condition_id":214,"outcome":50,"usdc":215,"entry_price":216,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":217,"captured_at":13,"question":218,"event_slug":219,"category":47},"0x1392be596898d55b5b123234812e0ba2838d3e3ee63f75eb39c96da77a9f3c82",157.3,0.8389333333333334,"2025-12-31T23:55:00Z","Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?","which-countries-will-recognize-palestine-in-2025",{"condition_id":221,"outcome":40,"usdc":222,"entry_price":223,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":224,"event_slug":212,"category":47},"0x1481118004eb2bbaf0d9eaafc22752148df82811eddb1263604060dc776e93bb",318.271834,0.5098890347382393,"Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":226,"outcome":50,"usdc":227,"entry_price":228,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":163,"captured_at":13,"question":229,"event_slug":230,"category":47},"0x1512828f4c735012fde09e2424f033bd2cd128a1a84e7aa7769440b66a1dd7c5",146.36090000000002,0.3277372475256394,"US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? ","us-x-iran-nuclear-talks-resume-by-march-31",{"condition_id":226,"outcome":40,"usdc":232,"entry_price":233,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":163,"captured_at":13,"question":229,"event_slug":230,"category":47},61.3,0.8757142857142857,{"condition_id":235,"outcome":50,"usdc":236,"entry_price":237,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":238,"captured_at":54,"question":239,"event_slug":240,"category":88},"0x1759862b415c1a2a04a53f262083f65d376091b603727529f3737d6e1bcdd8e5",41.46081,0.6300000050211494,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","James Comey in jail by June 30?","james-comey-in-jail-by-june-30",{"condition_id":242,"outcome":40,"usdc":243,"entry_price":244,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":136,"captured_at":54,"question":245,"event_slug":138,"category":139},"0x1b1f702d82bbadc8af40465bc1d3b464dace6b27776370b65d256aba33aa7777",22.43003,0.8559069946195234,"Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":247,"outcome":50,"usdc":248,"entry_price":249,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":129,"captured_at":13,"question":250,"event_slug":251,"category":47},"0x1c337b2dd525c8c90f05dbf5ff79668ddcd0164cb8733876666b0bbdacc60204",45.703157000000004,0.7460137541722429,"L.A. U-Haul attack perp charged with terrorism?","la-u-haul-attack-perp-charged-with-terrorism",{"condition_id":253,"outcome":40,"usdc":254,"entry_price":255,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":149,"captured_at":13,"question":256,"event_slug":257,"category":47},"0x1cce060810f3deb1a020db6d7e00a1bc7ecd4cc11a531613742bede29702934b",283.26869999999997,0.7115516201959305,"Will Trump veto a bill in 2025?","will-trump-veto-a-bill-in-2025",{"condition_id":259,"outcome":40,"usdc":260,"entry_price":261,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":262,"captured_at":13,"question":263,"event_slug":264,"category":47},"0x2027b5ffbf75e7c142e9595af381857de250dbab01fb5273221e919641ebebd4",0.4242,0.01571111111111111,"2026-04-26","Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?","how-many-5pt5-or-above-earthquakes-april-20-april-26",{"condition_id":266,"outcome":50,"usdc":267,"entry_price":268,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":269,"captured_at":13,"question":270,"event_slug":271,"category":88},"0x20c70f96a5ec9a478a24029fe768b2efbf6ba7cab39b000411b23cbf88495760",7.8,0.78,"2026-04-01T03:59:00Z","Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?","will-trump-visit-greenland-by-march-31",{"condition_id":273,"outcome":50,"usdc":274,"entry_price":275,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":149,"captured_at":13,"question":276,"event_slug":277,"category":47},"0x20de2f70e58c49f00d5abc6bf1dc70175b6ef62e67a6e8a7b2d8513a2feb912a",209.862887,0.7834218882922006,"'Tinder for kids' removed from App Store?","tinder-for-kids-removed-from-app-store-by-december-31",{"condition_id":279,"outcome":50,"usdc":280,"entry_price":281,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":61,"captured_at":13,"question":282,"event_slug":283,"category":47},"0x24f108f16182ad518e643366ccc5a77049a3d5912ee62b3292a560182acc604f",8.4,0.84,"Will Trump say \"Obliterated\" or \"Obliteration\" or \"Obliterating\" this week? (October 27 - November 2)","what-will-trump-say-this-week-october-27-november-2",{"condition_id":285,"outcome":40,"usdc":286,"entry_price":287,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":238,"captured_at":13,"question":288,"event_slug":289,"category":47},"0x26e518329ec52dd0364e687cc81139c10be69c17abbde9e829a417b764daa133",4.325625,0.8930001792,"Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?","will-an-fbi-top-ten-most-wanted-fugitive-be-captured-by-june-2026",{"condition_id":291,"outcome":50,"usdc":292,"entry_price":293,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":149,"captured_at":13,"question":294,"event_slug":295,"category":47},"0x28b5b1883637df12933b75ca95c0449c934756ff322d9415043b25d2540b1dc1",96.44775600000001,0.1658164759946221,"U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?","us-forces-seize-another-venezuela-linked-oil-ship-in-2025-451",{"condition_id":291,"outcome":40,"usdc":297,"entry_price":298,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":149,"captured_at":13,"question":294,"event_slug":295,"category":47},348.28883599999995,0.7317100956697211,{"condition_id":300,"outcome":50,"usdc":301,"entry_price":155,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":156,"captured_at":13,"question":302,"event_slug":158,"category":47},"0x297fdeefca692bb0e21efcb0f9093391a4ff211afc7a6e97e94ceb1704294ff3",40,"Will anyone say \"Money\" during the FED board meeting on October 24?",{"condition_id":304,"outcome":40,"usdc":305,"entry_price":306,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":307,"event_slug":308,"category":47},"0x298f9d564dc962d3e7d4fe06066aac6b5dc0e983876d7092e101ca73a09a06f7",342.38093399999997,0.7865274595346792,"Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?","what-day-will-trump-announce-fed-chair-nominee",{"condition_id":310,"outcome":40,"usdc":311,"entry_price":312,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":100,"captured_at":13,"question":313,"event_slug":314,"category":88},"0x2a1c40ee32bf02632225708b6a0598a4c5bad7be2d9740739620616592cf2c3f",10.4175,0.15,"Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?","insurrection-act-invoked-by",{"condition_id":316,"outcome":40,"usdc":317,"entry_price":155,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":318,"captured_at":54,"question":319,"event_slug":320,"category":47},"0x2a3b44e07b3ae9096d8a95c6f8b92aef40a26d6083892777598dbf4f2d6fc5ee",20,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","James Comey arrested by May 15?","james-comey-arrested-by-may-15",{"condition_id":322,"outcome":40,"usdc":323,"entry_price":324,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":136,"captured_at":13,"question":325,"event_slug":326,"category":47},"0x2a51e1c61ad85d8082c4d51dcfbd63e5120bb0cbbfc54df3f589c3566faf8488",8.53632,0.468,"Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?","another-7pt0-or-above-earthquake-by-648",{"condition_id":328,"outcome":50,"usdc":329,"entry_price":330,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":331,"captured_at":13,"question":332,"event_slug":333,"category":47},"0x2b34afe08b39303bf5fb97092c36148655ea570e2a618b76077ed47a5549443b",53.6,0.38285714285714284,"2026-02-10T00:00:00Z","Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?","of-views-of-bad-bunnys-halftime-show-video-day-1",{"condition_id":335,"outcome":50,"usdc":336,"entry_price":337,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":108,"captured_at":13,"question":338,"event_slug":339,"category":47},"0x2d69ae4da41cafaeb6c40fe605d7f1677bb504e1a2d7490422de42894bffa719",261.12255,0.34469348557850965,"Will the US strike Syria next?","next-country-us-strikes-918",{"condition_id":341,"outcome":40,"usdc":342,"entry_price":281,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":343,"event_slug":344,"category":47},"0x2e43d8258680e8f8daf3b85104d9d712794b067f8edd0b79b3e15df29dfca148",105,"Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?","will-israel-strike-lebanon-on-928",{"condition_id":346,"outcome":40,"usdc":347,"entry_price":348,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":196,"captured_at":54,"question":349,"event_slug":350,"category":47},"0x2f506f5c037e0da35bcbefc3bc594d7db1b8b89ea11bba96d08d93a61e3bf10c",18.13495,0.8195812471552116,"Will Donald Trump's tie be blue on May 4, 2026?","donald-trump-tie-color-on-may-4",{"condition_id":352,"outcome":40,"usdc":353,"entry_price":354,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":149,"captured_at":13,"question":355,"event_slug":356,"category":47},"0x2ffd5d4b79609e384a31e78887696ea5df9b0bffa661478df991ed5b825aeec2",129.680107,0.7947920704174785,"Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?","who-will-trump-talk-to-in-december",{"condition_id":358,"outcome":40,"usdc":359,"entry_price":360,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":361,"captured_at":54,"question":362,"event_slug":363,"category":47},"0x30009e5ff3524958ede4a53798b4e1bbf29cb0815534420f09241a8366bcdd9e",1.41352,0.016,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Will President Trump sign 7 or more pieces of legislation into law in April?","how-many-pieces-of-legislation-will-trump-sign-into-law-in-april",{"condition_id":365,"outcome":50,"usdc":366,"entry_price":367,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":163,"captured_at":13,"question":368,"event_slug":369,"category":47},"0x306d10d4a4d51b41910dbc779ca00908bd917c131541c5c42bbbc736258d2d56",153.5,0.7675,"US forces enter Iran by March 31?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-march-31-222-191-243-517-878-439-519",{"condition_id":371,"outcome":50,"usdc":372,"entry_price":373,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":374,"captured_at":13,"question":375,"event_slug":376,"category":47},"0x312a456b1063402f98df2b1a1a24fd0ae1ce1057be29ee751d790c014cf6b225",137.23399999999998,0.24724619403657333,"2025-11-30T00:00:00Z","Will Melissa make landfall at category 1 or weaker?","melissa-landfall-at-what-category",{"condition_id":371,"outcome":40,"usdc":378,"entry_price":379,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":374,"captured_at":13,"question":375,"event_slug":376,"category":47},213.19158599999997,0.8501507192776804,{"condition_id":381,"outcome":40,"usdc":382,"entry_price":383,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":384,"captured_at":54,"question":385,"event_slug":386,"category":47},"0x316442a621b5f4fc3a8a571ce117a3e49c5e685981925d1c77131d2aaf8d3dd3",10.016,0.313,"2026-05-03T00:00:00Z","Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?","how-many-5pt5-or-above-earthquakes-april-27-may-3",{"condition_id":388,"outcome":50,"usdc":389,"entry_price":390,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":149,"captured_at":13,"question":391,"event_slug":392,"category":47},"0x31d3c34d6f4d53846af8e1e98880c0b8d4f6885527eb76aa673c8a3d60f765ab",17.6,0.88,"Will BLS stop reporting payroll data this year?","will-bls-stop-reporting-payroll-data-end-this-year",{"condition_id":394,"outcome":40,"usdc":395,"entry_price":396,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":122,"captured_at":13,"question":397,"event_slug":124,"category":47},"0x3327546bef5c8039e8763b5fbba9974e711dfad912f7e4dce476f614c7de9249",26.7139,0.7179226014512229,"Will Khamenei tweet again by March 2?",{"condition_id":399,"outcome":40,"usdc":400,"entry_price":401,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":402,"event_slug":403,"category":47},"0x33825080bc810aa756a361298627cdf64d58dbd651a647bd0a29b8a68a7308fe",42.25,0.845,"Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026?","who-will-trump-meet-with-in-january",{"condition_id":405,"outcome":50,"usdc":406,"entry_price":407,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":129,"captured_at":13,"question":408,"event_slug":131,"category":47},"0x33872c95d2bdf51b3795c638351fd3aa027bd96b4b1eed1d99793d39fd1f2bc8",156.4,0.802051282051282,"Will Mamdani say \"Brothers and sisters\" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?",{"condition_id":410,"outcome":40,"usdc":411,"entry_price":412,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":129,"captured_at":13,"question":413,"event_slug":414,"category":47},"0x3413178feb447fa3a7e22bfe0b8c8f8417c1ae7d7020aa652ed65ce07dab945e",291.033,0.5432355246948146,"Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?","russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-252",{"condition_id":416,"outcome":50,"usdc":417,"entry_price":418,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":419,"event_slug":212,"category":47},"0x34d40779ea68af4376f8eab66bfa196ecb550ee358732381b56277706d5d71dc",176.482433,0.8484596439060883,"Will there be at least 700 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":421,"outcome":50,"usdc":422,"entry_price":162,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":423,"captured_at":13,"question":424,"event_slug":425,"category":47},"0x35567b099855db3f9f9ce51b89ee506d75117b54097ca3f9d24790d363bc25d9",8.3,"2025-12-30T00:00:00Z","Kristi Noem out as Secretary of Homeland Security by December 31?","kristi-noem-out-as-secretary-of-homeland-security-by",{"condition_id":427,"outcome":50,"usdc":428,"entry_price":429,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":156,"captured_at":13,"question":430,"event_slug":158,"category":47},"0x36dfa27d5be174977148b72dcb7dfa33e3f8173651878568d9e0d47a8c2b0872",21,0.7,"Will anyone say \"Million\", \"Billion\", or \"Trillion\" 10+ times during the FED board meeting on October 24?",{"condition_id":432,"outcome":50,"usdc":433,"entry_price":155,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":434,"captured_at":13,"question":435,"event_slug":436,"category":47},"0x3751f5cef89a0bbeb7ed48c0308ef857c8a5ca0d45bf16f044671ac27442505e",240,"2025-12-16T00:00:00Z","Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise between $2.0 million and $2.25 million by December 16?","how-much-will-the-australian-hero-donation-campaign-raise-by-dec-16",{"condition_id":438,"outcome":50,"usdc":439,"entry_price":440,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":441,"captured_at":13,"question":442,"event_slug":443,"category":47},"0x37d63093a9192173604a75f514aa5290a13a4b89230a41b3853bd070dd085478",113.333333,0.850000006,"2026-01-12T00:00:00Z","Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?","another-us-strike-on-venezuela-on",{"condition_id":445,"outcome":50,"usdc":446,"entry_price":447,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":61,"captured_at":13,"question":448,"event_slug":63,"category":47},"0x3931ec44e85e01e0136776d5cb6a7a86bb5d4cefad57ab4f7a9c4c9cb8440698",18.6,0.62,"Will Trump say \"Hottest\" during \"60 Minutes\" on November 2?",{"condition_id":450,"outcome":40,"usdc":451,"entry_price":452,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":453,"captured_at":13,"question":454,"event_slug":455,"category":47},"0x3ab32c1d390910db3ade0b83e5ee961802790b7f1981f54c17e5840d5a45021d",15.3219,0.7988477581,"2026-03-28T00:00:00Z","Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 28?","will-the-white-house-call-a-full-lid-by-630-pm-march-23-28",{"condition_id":457,"outcome":40,"usdc":458,"entry_price":459,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":460,"captured_at":54,"question":461,"event_slug":462,"category":47},"0x3b67cfd5941ec9a30458fefe51a7f0353b27aaf310ed67c662fdb1772bb3a919",941.75835,0.719,"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?","next-uk-chancellor-of-the-exchequer-in-2026-20260621005319178",{"condition_id":464,"outcome":40,"usdc":465,"entry_price":466,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":467,"captured_at":54,"question":468,"event_slug":469,"category":103},"0x3bd031e0f77ca0d50bf867947e92190ff9316d2ce93f4bc4858d047681629a83",7.633000000000001,0.09860483141712958,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026?","another-nato-article-4-byptptpt-20260726214235871",{"condition_id":471,"outcome":50,"usdc":472,"entry_price":473,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":441,"captured_at":13,"question":474,"event_slug":475,"category":47},"0x3c9abb5fdd0229c5e5abe4db136400fa389e7dd91bd1a3227090a936b5ca2cbb",68.95879,0.8766690821256038,"Curfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Monday?","curfew-in-minneapolis-saint-paul-by-monday",{"condition_id":477,"outcome":50,"usdc":478,"entry_price":479,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":434,"captured_at":13,"question":480,"event_slug":436,"category":47},"0x3d79e39c56959059110a6cb29e4652c651c8b473fa7ca4acb7bd8d70bc8bf2fc",194.137777,0.7590095591419861,"Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise less than $2.0 million by December 16?",{"condition_id":482,"outcome":40,"usdc":483,"entry_price":484,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":238,"captured_at":54,"question":485,"event_slug":486,"category":88},"0x3deb9137ed843d8e462eacad2ebba2b1ecd079ed539caa538b697f3117cc370f",36.99336099999999,0.37000000651758136,"Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?","trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-648",{"condition_id":488,"outcome":50,"usdc":489,"entry_price":490,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":269,"captured_at":13,"question":491,"event_slug":492,"category":103},"0x403b8deb760c51691df6dcc9a6aa080846ecd280d49d3786865c2d9846180aaa",79.1032,0.89,"US strike on Cuba by March 31?","us-strike-on-cuba-by",{"condition_id":494,"outcome":50,"usdc":495,"entry_price":496,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":497,"event_slug":498,"category":47},"0x43ec78527bd98a0588dd9455685b2cc82f5743140cb3a154603dc03c02b57de5",328.3338,0.14012555801189855,"US government shutdown Saturday?","will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31",{"condition_id":500,"outcome":50,"usdc":422,"entry_price":162,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":149,"captured_at":13,"question":501,"event_slug":502,"category":47},"0x44471b42ebd2e8a716ae1b70fb35075449c620c87c40a09103a82ee388f1d781","Andrii Yermak arrested by December 31?","andrii-yermak-arrested-by-november-30",{"condition_id":504,"outcome":50,"usdc":505,"entry_price":506,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":170,"captured_at":13,"question":507,"event_slug":508,"category":47},"0x444f181da82f6a9ed38f9a702f52a0a2c744a7dd942fcd3ca2a7b6bea827c6aa",74.4228,0.81,"Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?","khamenei-visits-russia-by",{"condition_id":510,"outcome":50,"usdc":511,"entry_price":490,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":13,"question":513,"event_slug":514,"category":47},"0x456bfd422d4480472cb39ae6c366f4179adbc12ff8958d0173c65b7ee5e663f3",133.5,"2026-04-04T00:00:00Z","Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 31?","will-the-white-house-call-a-full-lid-by-630-pm-march-30-april-4",{"condition_id":516,"outcome":50,"usdc":517,"entry_price":518,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":149,"captured_at":13,"question":519,"event_slug":520,"category":47},"0x46008513fc27438dabf7a8ab44c8e066381e115aebed1e14b55d0108bfd1e35b",160.04200000000003,0.7456646321576669,"Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?","measles-cases-in-us-before-2026",{"condition_id":516,"outcome":40,"usdc":522,"entry_price":523,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":149,"captured_at":13,"question":519,"event_slug":520,"category":47},381.6483,0.27579331127428275,{"condition_id":525,"outcome":40,"usdc":526,"entry_price":527,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":528,"captured_at":13,"question":529,"event_slug":530,"category":47},"0x46354d4ba5f43ecd6b25ece6230c347f226de2c303742083286716bdd6c16f60",60,0.6,"2026-02-15T00:00:00Z","Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?","how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-february-9-feb-15",{"condition_id":532,"outcome":40,"usdc":533,"entry_price":390,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":534,"captured_at":13,"question":535,"event_slug":536,"category":47},"0x492b2c3a2584ef865ad066136b287ee2224d78bac6610a31e604965a764766e8",82.7376,"2025-12-14T00:00:00Z","US strike on Syria by December 19?","us-strike-on-syria-by",{"condition_id":538,"outcome":50,"usdc":539,"entry_price":540,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":136,"captured_at":54,"question":541,"event_slug":542,"category":88},"0x4df99805f7cc9d13fa6fae590d47555e696ba35ed855d19b5c4c3d13ef1273da",1.56924,0.19,"Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 6, 2026?","will-trump-sign-an-executive-order-on",{"condition_id":544,"outcome":50,"usdc":545,"entry_price":546,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":547,"captured_at":13,"question":548,"event_slug":549,"category":47},"0x4fe809d6e0afff1e1ea0dcfc6ce80a469ba5d6e9e366be22f59ad7e7ac76890c",254.6445,0.8568119111709287,"2026-03-08T00:00:00Z","Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?","how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-march-2-march-8",{"condition_id":544,"outcome":40,"usdc":551,"entry_price":552,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":547,"captured_at":13,"question":548,"event_slug":549,"category":47},112.98330499999999,0.37402748043917894,{"condition_id":554,"outcome":40,"usdc":555,"entry_price":429,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":149,"captured_at":13,"question":556,"event_slug":557,"category":47},"0x5044e75774b0875755446e54b096dede8f16d368381f906129de2f08ee39b4e8",24.5,"Brown University shooter arrested by December 31?","brown-university-shooter-arrested-by-december-19",{"condition_id":559,"outcome":40,"usdc":560,"entry_price":561,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":238,"captured_at":13,"question":562,"event_slug":563,"category":173},"0x5074bb49c52a2d552bc45f044419f2168ade7cc5072762a47b257d076ca820bf",25.712469999999996,0.3332387959866221,"Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?","will-another-ai-generated-song-reach-number-1-on-any-billboard-chart-by-june-30",{"condition_id":565,"outcome":50,"usdc":566,"entry_price":567,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":568,"event_slug":569,"category":47},"0x52832031d2d1ea3426de0486ddc0a40a94ffe08d0261e45ac18ecb31ebccfa78",35.7882,0.7521689785624213,"Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?","will-trump-meet-with-reza-pahlavi-by-january-31",{"condition_id":571,"outcome":40,"usdc":572,"entry_price":573,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":170,"captured_at":13,"question":574,"event_slug":575,"category":88},"0x52e3783933a4b32f7fdd088e8772653cf63a7ae4d749826b20489d03b4bfd133",25.091629,0.8920000293,"Will Donald Trump visit Switzerland in 2026?","which-countries-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026",{"condition_id":577,"outcome":50,"usdc":578,"entry_price":579,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":136,"captured_at":54,"question":580,"event_slug":581,"category":173},"0x534416d066d87af2749f669173847635cc7b812035d0398cc063a153fee251d0",20.495344,0.4029483289618762,"Critical Discord Incident by May 31?","critical-discord-incident-by-may-31",{"condition_id":583,"outcome":50,"usdc":584,"entry_price":585,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":586,"event_slug":212,"category":47},"0x548351ee0382298ccf10442e3a0625357b631d2ba5b0f30ccfbf96974e01a6c9",61.8252,0.4995572074983839,"Will there be at least 650 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":588,"outcome":50,"usdc":589,"entry_price":590,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":156,"captured_at":13,"question":591,"event_slug":592,"category":47},"0x55cb4615d9601e9fdcac2532a7c821b5844ebd10c07f6d50fb9020ab9679d04f",1.581624,0.5100000871,"Will Trump sign any Executive Order week of October 24?","will-trump-sign-any-executive-order-week-of-october-24",{"condition_id":594,"outcome":50,"usdc":595,"entry_price":596,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":170,"captured_at":13,"question":597,"event_slug":598,"category":47},"0x561cd8d035bac38ed04e23d7882a126da38d7ead9d6679f722ad62c0c9d54ad2",18,0.03,"Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?","will-iran-close-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-march-31",{"condition_id":600,"outcome":50,"usdc":601,"entry_price":602,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":129,"captured_at":13,"question":603,"event_slug":131,"category":47},"0x56668ac280a029143de3844a4465c53a10c14c70ee33b2bfd01ad760d8abe8d9",66.4,0.7811764705882354,"Will Mamdani say \"Manhattan\" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?",{"condition_id":605,"outcome":40,"usdc":606,"entry_price":607,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":467,"captured_at":13,"question":608,"event_slug":609,"category":88},"0x5856328392136a28db888aa672f6d16cc12d7728c004ef236556ad7fd6ca2125",22.8,0.5700000000000001,"Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?","another-critical-cloudflare-incident-by-123",{"condition_id":611,"outcome":50,"usdc":612,"entry_price":613,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":163,"captured_at":13,"question":614,"event_slug":615,"category":47},"0x5a57dd8923b78b55b1aa48a53260787d2ae5c54f3b265d24c1e717e791d0fada",60.760093000000005,0.053275424689294956,"Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?","iran-announces-new-supreme-leader-on",{"condition_id":611,"outcome":40,"usdc":617,"entry_price":618,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":163,"captured_at":13,"question":614,"event_slug":615,"category":47},39.7,0.794,{"condition_id":620,"outcome":50,"usdc":621,"entry_price":622,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":623,"event_slug":624,"category":47},"0x5abe3287197d0a924707ce99130643c92751c209fc0e376c6700d6673b43ada5",746.2717549999999,0.4718618183111346,"Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?","who-will-trump-talk-to-in-january",{"condition_id":626,"outcome":50,"usdc":627,"entry_price":628,"won":17,"source":43,"end_date_iso":629,"captured_at":13,"question":630,"event_slug":631,"category":47},"0x5b92f9be4bb37e3a66da22682f24053a98898e7988ab50a3226de825f2d2da23",16.842200000000002,0.07820123508380925,"2026-01-17T00:00:00Z","Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 19?","russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-by-423",{"condition_id":633,"outcome":50,"usdc":634,"entry_price":635,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":129,"captured_at":13,"question":636,"event_slug":131,"category":47},"0x5ce2f89adaa3ec2180d612c3c905a9f2b47ebdd809e4818e75049cf52999513c",121.1112,0.8549428208386277,"Will Mamdani say \"Social\" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?",{"condition_id":638,"outcome":50,"usdc":639,"entry_price":640,"won":12,"source":43,"end_date_iso":269,"captured_at":13,"question":641,"event_slug":642,"category":88},"0x5d0010816af97d97145a0b2f90b10687e0280ee4d90a5e6615e606bab7b45465",357.2,0.893,"Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?","will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran-by",{"total":644,"wins":645},242,183,[647,653,657,661,664,668],{"category":648,"n":649,"wins":650,"hitRate":651,"roi":652},"Other",201,153,0.7611940298507462,0.4220822482959892,{"category":88,"n":654,"wins":428,"hitRate":655,"roi":656},28,0.75,0.09560318094602147,{"category":173,"n":658,"wins":659,"hitRate":155,"roi":660},5,4,-0.3573500701929314,{"category":139,"n":659,"wins":662,"hitRate":655,"roi":663},3,0.13297819851710002,{"category":103,"n":662,"wins":665,"hitRate":666,"roi":667},2,0.6666666666666666,0.04984095192173532,{"category":669,"n":12,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":670},"Sports",-1,{"generatedAt":672},"2026-10-02T13:05:08.212Z"]