[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x35bbbad2415fe5e39b12da9a316cdc80b022009b":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":394,"history":395,"resolved":448,"resolvedSummary":977,"specialization":980,"meta":1004},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x35bbbad2415fe5e39b12da9a316cdc80b022009b",10102,1599,0.5878674171357098,0.05880627403299918,0.19269694510668303,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-24T19:41:33.498Z",990.3245068142611,5.140966921119593,"2026-09-24T23:02:11.000Z",0,"trades",0.5012175216157613,0.08664989551994925,93121.4336325734,1583528.8863960034,8.664989551994925,0.001876172607879925,[26,39,48,58,67,75,82,91,99,108,117,127,136,144,153,160,168,177,186,194,202,210,217,225,233,240,249,258,264,273,281,287,295,302,309,317,326,333,341,348,356,362,370,377,386],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"48727431314333088243693016929623363710488980152833544156961659445129455301311","0x5c79dfde05559b79a9cb9f7c4187e4d49632dd042572ae676952f812732591cc","No",52708.0571,0.7726,"2026-09-26T01:42:12.176Z","2026-09-25T01:20:14.025Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.215\", \"0.785\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":44,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":46,"category":47},"55646219597856189899881677374172135376492662817148728033424581863530537477107","0x32e869cb0f7316273417ec79aa94c8a139f8c390ebff8a24150a18753d257f8e",29725.5199,0.8859,"Will GameStop acquire eBay?","will-gamestop-acquire-ebay","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]","Other",{"token_id":49,"condition_id":50,"outcome":51,"size":52,"avg_price":53,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":54,"event_slug":55,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":57,"category":38},"30630994248667897740988010928640156931882346081873066002335460180076741328029","0xdf8e2dc5860027decbe6164555c3c1c9645c3bd33e16b9dc57ca87125047d4a8","Yes",38974.3859,0.566,"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election","2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","[\"0.425\", \"0.575\"]",{"token_id":59,"condition_id":60,"outcome":29,"size":61,"avg_price":62,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":63,"event_slug":64,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":65,"outcome_prices":66,"category":38},"111344475342969784116702975577723982549674037196345086059563486202499238579830","0xa08a5ce99e14ce0b22767af6f16c08a2ab012249444c20887193a9a3e98e11fc",20000.0047,0.9912,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-september-30-20260702154339440","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.004\", \"0.996\"]",{"token_id":68,"condition_id":69,"outcome":29,"size":70,"avg_price":71,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":72,"event_slug":73,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":74,"category":38},"108301200943683515332506640290486257312096817552808721514971470935641318065538","0x5c881188a151876e13d8bf67c36c03e34ce851bd5fbc2163288e9e45b93ef46c",19999.9988,0.9469,"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026","friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027","[\"0.0045\", \"0.9955\"]",{"token_id":76,"condition_id":77,"outcome":51,"size":78,"avg_price":79,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":80,"event_slug":55,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":81,"category":38},"109876868437950584369987384406356259939519193117253465815665152916226511121427","0x1a01bf78f56a507fcb666d564d8c8b91b0750679163ed6e96746102c9b7d285d",28901.9347,0.3867,"Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","[\"0.5615\", \"0.4385\"]",{"token_id":83,"condition_id":84,"outcome":29,"size":85,"avg_price":86,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":87,"event_slug":88,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":89,"category":90},"25659310674993675562345759665114759892400026242514633218387667107987341231962","0xa467b14d51f01b957109d9cbb1d6c124fab2a089d52ed8f471d23c2812e743b7",10830.59,0.957,"Xi Jinping out before 2027?","xi-jinping-out-before-2027","[\"0.0415\", \"0.9585\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":92,"condition_id":93,"outcome":29,"size":94,"avg_price":95,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":96,"event_slug":97,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":98,"category":90},"106494658228489050902729567054561032163773530499811557485170901427648891847660","0xe9007f84b2a72b68f33bcc4443d005d7a5429895d9fed5c990f573dea4dc3266",7235.5442,0.93,"Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?","will-putin-meet-with-zelenskyy-by-december-31-2026","[\"0.06\", \"0.94\"]",{"token_id":100,"condition_id":101,"outcome":29,"size":102,"avg_price":103,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":104,"event_slug":105,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":106,"outcome_prices":107,"category":90},"109719631173196402976582847567817158790560641472932038818342039512045728528798","0x951088c48f392379dc9b8a3becaad7a939b5fd3124ec98dd167d859350f049fc",6320.16,0.94,"Iran full airspace closure by September 30?","iran-full-airspace-closure-byptptpt-20260625195253028","2027-01-26T04:59:00Z","[\"0.039\", \"0.961\"]",{"token_id":109,"condition_id":110,"outcome":29,"size":111,"avg_price":112,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":113,"event_slug":114,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":115,"outcome_prices":116,"category":38},"74076568846866714142503847026760702713555643778038790220454009063912340064073","0x84c625fdccf5c5246a15e476361e4563033906ee225800e1136c0d737596a72f",6072.0396,0.8606,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by","2024-11-28T04:59:00Z","[\"0.135\", \"0.865\"]",{"token_id":118,"condition_id":119,"outcome":51,"size":120,"avg_price":121,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":122,"question":123,"event_slug":124,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":125,"outcome_prices":126,"category":38},"30473344794239220995088264915766809943868068209555159167607047748901899155342","0x32851891e7ccfb249b1e120d77db70370fa92a13d821ce6c949de69402742aab",9920.32,0.442,"2026-09-25T18:07:00.174Z","US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?","us-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt","2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.355\", \"0.645\"]",{"token_id":128,"condition_id":129,"outcome":29,"size":130,"avg_price":131,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":132,"event_slug":133,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":134,"outcome_prices":135,"category":38},"112428165813371561912833460698436648539922320261306010177252036814838759682453","0x405b56fc75f56d7635a94df9836d6cb6f9b9571d1fd33eb165c1e59d1d11801f",4614.09,0.86,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-october-31-20260810151043583","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]",{"token_id":137,"condition_id":138,"outcome":29,"size":139,"avg_price":140,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":141,"event_slug":142,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":143,"category":90},"102786085887857979139535483943398860886101437713725608378274903006411942857480","0x5eb3964d1bb946a1034c6c32c8df4d5ac5e0b76a676e7e16280c1737aee06d2d",3469.5296,0.8345,"Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?","which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-december-31","[\"0.105\", \"0.895\"]",{"token_id":145,"condition_id":146,"outcome":29,"size":147,"avg_price":148,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":149,"event_slug":150,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":151,"outcome_prices":152,"category":38},"78632395083310670734315205502061249602319069653915932320155846460019107676757","0x12aa13b3da17ceae1b0a59b5d5b77121e91bb79b4bb0b52bf6543ed3f8d0953b",5862.7208,0.3247,"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537","2026-10-29T03:59:00Z","[\"0.645\", \"0.355\"]",{"token_id":154,"condition_id":155,"outcome":29,"size":156,"avg_price":157,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":158,"event_slug":159,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":135,"category":38},"91673657452393590110421111803268582579260822837555400992682437850544337801075","0xda2c94b13cfb01655e69e1ad2c914666a328f316355afd0ac09d2cb4b42edf36",2500.0069,0.75,"Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?","will-turkey-schedule-early-presidential-elections-in-2026",{"token_id":161,"condition_id":162,"outcome":51,"size":163,"avg_price":164,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":122,"question":165,"event_slug":124,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":166,"outcome_prices":167,"category":38},"1759128163540908136861900527987306673081148337830189221001436012323578054934","0xb70b8da7839ecb8b166e0f3a8553e079b38e139ee164f5d8bfd99183d535fc33",3568.41,0.5,"US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?","2026-11-30T23:59:00Z","[\"0.395\", \"0.605\"]",{"token_id":169,"condition_id":170,"outcome":29,"size":171,"avg_price":172,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":173,"event_slug":174,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":175,"outcome_prices":135,"category":176},"12696023956313895745544503833656998978935941159491784638466122501216616061376","0x599d61b32cf69370b99bfb79de4f13d50ed2ba8f4b958238aa329a05763ae183",1434.2476,0.74,"Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?","hurupay-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","Crypto",{"token_id":178,"condition_id":179,"outcome":29,"size":180,"avg_price":181,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":182,"event_slug":183,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":184,"outcome_prices":185,"category":38},"111009714073337298518728428118558216911569246298464934744896719351532995241302","0x18d813a320236840e6b560e9da3bbad71d5dce7584f26ab0105e7a28baffbef0",1022.2401,0.9409,"Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?","next-prime-minister-of-romania-732","2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","[\"0.0405\", \"0.9595\"]",{"token_id":187,"condition_id":188,"outcome":29,"size":189,"avg_price":190,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":191,"event_slug":192,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":193,"category":38},"56333782793421950483875833119080130897195447801211249547040559909421499481715","0x1c39f29a392495da86a9d1882bdb7ad82bd617990a6da16674e1ee3da105e9e6",999.9933,0.88,"Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?","will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31","[\"0.115\", \"0.885\"]",{"token_id":195,"condition_id":196,"outcome":29,"size":197,"avg_price":198,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":199,"event_slug":200,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":201,"category":90},"94934357947658428057092294091373989675422385315630920448032060977846997100140","0x12bd7c63ea356a688c47c5227ef490c63b04354bf2ec8cb7e2aed84968c4c648",978.94,0.8383,"Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?","israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31","[\"0.12\", \"0.88\"]",{"token_id":203,"condition_id":204,"outcome":51,"size":205,"avg_price":206,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":207,"event_slug":208,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":175,"outcome_prices":209,"category":38},"35198549486569600595408965368290795524428922595732253580266052028158040373233","0x9cb23d04b2ded06147482076688b69b487a8d982c63ebdda2ab3678cf27cf390",9375.0021,0.0769,"Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?","clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026","[\"0.0655\", \"0.9345\"]",{"token_id":211,"condition_id":212,"outcome":29,"size":213,"avg_price":214,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":215,"event_slug":216,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":193,"category":38},"91371990443905427084183653154205644501304831560775759416239896135938845721474","0x0112bacb71e6882084f529ed4ea74f317b66ae60edd4236838072c8c99fcf557",699.998,0.7999,"Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?","viktor-orban-arrested-by-december-31-20260708001041551",{"token_id":218,"condition_id":219,"outcome":29,"size":220,"avg_price":221,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":222,"event_slug":223,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":224,"category":90},"63409286016973577903012142269621228305682014726736632772295861872995350316136","0x95783b62c693ea42d8613482a625828fc14a288e8e8440b974c54d42f4ffd04b",608.89,0.82,"Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?","israel-and-saudi-arabia-normalize-relations-before-2027","[\"0.07\", \"0.93\"]",{"token_id":226,"condition_id":227,"outcome":29,"size":228,"avg_price":229,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":230,"event_slug":231,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":232,"category":38},"8488397391403847780128828550772077917183274183347668954290128374280968255155","0x4ec6ada6365a8cfc2a36493903e7af4311513e90fa9cbf4defefab1d912a9971",531.9148,0.906,"Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?","will-nato-countries-clash-with-each-other-before-2027","[\"0.045\", \"0.955\"]",{"token_id":234,"condition_id":235,"outcome":29,"size":236,"avg_price":95,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":122,"question":237,"event_slug":238,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":239,"category":38},"109491250341571675806293993648463351146069924381619147425735651822167557652590","0xa04dcb7b7f5a313d09e7728ca39835be4096da877ca5fbae5e3a36af239433c3",499.99,"Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?","trump-putin-and-zelensky-seen-together-before-2027","[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]",{"token_id":241,"condition_id":242,"outcome":29,"size":243,"avg_price":244,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":245,"event_slug":246,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":247,"outcome_prices":248,"category":38},"5649717099758674861276159343380402289083378331461490840325685141994171250523","0x8126317d621047fb13d508a2651eecc8d38305904671822a62309c5aabd353aa",702.6009,0.617,"Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?","next-french-presidential-election","2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.3835\", \"0.6165\"]",{"token_id":250,"condition_id":251,"outcome":29,"size":252,"avg_price":253,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":254,"event_slug":255,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":256,"outcome_prices":257,"category":90},"47997857594660597023256927472502801700177382273037118656587464790303748903120","0x2b72841d7ddf283c9364cad78288ecc0c4a57822cc742865e7927960d938d6b0",500,0.84,"UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?","uae-x-qatar-sever-diplomatic-relations-in-2026","2026-12-31T19:59:00Z","[\"0.054\", \"0.946\"]",{"token_id":259,"condition_id":260,"outcome":29,"size":261,"avg_price":262,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":263,"event_slug":174,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":175,"outcome_prices":135,"category":176},"55318216048480523465358983334915905509814343311416359333144716311702411388668","0x0d3af41be9ec70b52a10880b446d6a838004c9db0165fa77da76acb27d129fe2",539.94,0.697,"Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?",{"token_id":265,"condition_id":266,"outcome":29,"size":267,"avg_price":268,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":269,"event_slug":270,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":271,"outcome_prices":272,"category":38},"49952287244614575734723913757649087902024339238007187585607375183859292977482","0x58d5cc2bf06a3289b127049239aee051f3b941f219efebbca02d3f50f0eb2a64",2140.2387,0.168,"Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?","next-prime-minister-of-sweden","2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.865\", \"0.135\"]",{"token_id":274,"condition_id":275,"outcome":51,"size":276,"avg_price":277,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":122,"question":278,"event_slug":279,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":280,"outcome_prices":116,"category":38},"18077313030201522388676673488157544588986077823815688276055531102255531898625","0xd64b917e1f7cdf1ad3f51326cf8985ce80e140291d2eaf2bf62821ef02231550",1719.4853,0.1759,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-november-30-20260810151158765","2026-12-01T04:59:00Z",{"token_id":282,"condition_id":283,"outcome":29,"size":284,"avg_price":253,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":285,"event_slug":286,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":193,"category":38},"95158071241835378373987261280797936495997658853712573852939800121782442579496","0xb7ca42c3a0324b32cad3e64b29cc372d5e941a41f7f23f787806439854be9021",340,"Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?","india-strike-on-pakistan-by",{"token_id":288,"condition_id":289,"outcome":29,"size":290,"avg_price":291,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":292,"event_slug":293,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":294,"category":90},"10553917527871259014867933253903838134228152744058156727275127563897745134791","0x9191a518df23e67546ee548029803c645f80c5e5cc8a9f247841dcd910f11975",250,0.87,"Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?","israel-and-syria-normalize-relations-in-2025","[\"0.08\", \"0.92\"]",{"token_id":296,"condition_id":297,"outcome":51,"size":298,"avg_price":299,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":300,"event_slug":270,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":271,"outcome_prices":301,"category":38},"19884202204363090591845974364927513432419394537229594683046302661092511466716","0x8a42bb4cb9b9f157b539611f6a8c122388f652570cfc3c07d538e7df2bb78894",1200,0.109,"Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?","[\"0.114\", \"0.886\"]",{"token_id":303,"condition_id":304,"outcome":51,"size":305,"avg_price":131,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":306,"event_slug":307,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":308,"category":38},"17008353019599612271162963989837090507677072115572628828152364434482902665212","0xf9c12aa09c5317d1cf8d26d0dc100a69ecf70e5132e81ef078d5336f63923b5e",131.03,"US x China tariff agreement by December 31?","us-x-china-tariff-agreement-by-december-31","[\"0.9475\", \"0.0525\"]",{"token_id":310,"condition_id":311,"outcome":51,"size":312,"avg_price":313,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":314,"event_slug":315,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":316,"category":90},"35508882805237669508979889215960661096294503908849019763178865743156552885612","0xa88f1cf755b0c37aca212a35fcc17f3fc9c57eb105b14ef6a130dfcb4178dd21",108.86,0.2334,"Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by September 30, 2026?","another-iranian-diplomat-expelled-byptptpt","[\"0.0435\", \"0.9565\"]",{"token_id":318,"condition_id":319,"outcome":29,"size":320,"avg_price":321,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":322,"event_slug":323,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":324,"category":325},"95212449865986159112377413335252801281670333750637442556685159781445406848396","0xa4ddc18895cc7b14810283ef8f113939abffd3969c6a0e37f1897110c67e6f73",21.5565,0.9619,"Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?","hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026","[\"0.0255\", \"0.9745\"]","Science",{"token_id":327,"condition_id":328,"outcome":29,"size":329,"avg_price":330,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":331,"event_slug":332,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":46,"category":38},"46036307473347147486878725188057240439237346445231099615680388314304154599904","0x80ebf0a88a44bf737d4047b3accd7108285c69b84257e5c684bdc4c715c81139",19.6329,0.7516,"Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?","will-the-us-invade-cuba-in-2026",{"token_id":334,"condition_id":335,"outcome":51,"size":336,"avg_price":337,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":338,"event_slug":339,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":134,"outcome_prices":340,"category":38},"110206702460838261260907309056748048685660253710225624859348755831419983789154","0x7a4fd44956a282a1249e2191865f555976e37dd82f48bc783ec04a58a8d0450a",16.03,0.9021,"Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?","saudi-oil-pipeline-east-west-restarts-byptptpt","[\"0.67\", \"0.33\"]",{"token_id":342,"condition_id":343,"outcome":29,"size":344,"avg_price":345,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":346,"event_slug":347,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":193,"category":38},"72413274791623935706318436448441626129741116452837525058113815959729031743718","0x656235664464bcadcc586acb871051dadb7c7343b7e805a5eccc02815e20d7df",20,0.72,"Cuban regime falls in 2026?","cuban-regime-falls-in-2026",{"token_id":349,"condition_id":350,"outcome":29,"size":351,"avg_price":352,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":353,"event_slug":354,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":355,"category":38},"103298809974594926105855933731505664195624650179213410511886092026280600335639","0xf3c9f34c4c01a62b56d4273ed22cc42580586feaa41271778787aacfd4a8d0b8",12.1,0.67,"Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?","romanian-pm-bolojan-out-by","[\"0.7535\", \"0.2465\"]",{"token_id":357,"condition_id":358,"outcome":29,"size":359,"avg_price":291,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":360,"event_slug":361,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":256,"outcome_prices":185,"category":90},"56043715871913400598674911440368529177030022257602403537623257341077525345886","0x8e9e11eabbad794acde6b941f89b7f76cf9a02b88da4d606cc9dcdb998374035",7.6923,"UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?","uae-x-saudi-arabia-sever-diplomatic-relations-in-2026",{"token_id":363,"condition_id":364,"outcome":29,"size":365,"avg_price":366,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":367,"event_slug":368,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":256,"outcome_prices":369,"category":90},"84641922064827552827253311981339741860829640000680909725575149181637431473946","0x3d4a1a3e0581eb60fdd03cc85b8190a9a1cfbda42f1aa9771e39197f8a21f441",4.9966,0.7,"Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?","will-another-country-leave-opec-in-2026","[\"0.165\", \"0.835\"]",{"token_id":371,"condition_id":372,"outcome":51,"size":373,"avg_price":374,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":375,"event_slug":376,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":143,"category":38},"18652479948917565296149340091675894865339012333173025944893512396354173886674","0x377e7fe65cf198a7fc4fdae3f2136b74729279267858daaf96718b23bc2a5607",5.0038,0.6199,"Iran leadership change by December 31?","iran-leadership-change-by",{"token_id":378,"condition_id":379,"outcome":29,"size":380,"avg_price":381,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":382,"event_slug":383,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":384,"outcome_prices":385,"category":38},"7078849823157508121552827341417697632168282156402846296213851621412472436369","0xefc3709f0ae11d758016a1027dc6fffb15cdb528276d6ad7b69d75c9bcf2d207",3.2258,0.69,"Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?","will-any-country-expel-a-us-ambassador-by-december-31","2026-12-31T16:59:00Z","[\"0.25\", \"0.75\"]",{"token_id":387,"condition_id":388,"outcome":51,"size":389,"avg_price":390,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":391,"event_slug":392,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":65,"outcome_prices":393,"category":38},"83551179742073232946409269287515181364013572927757914516531274066995326181246","0xb2b7bf515fc2a8a5754bb75aabf9680a7241ec9bf731370132e79853a54cd5c5",39,0.002,"Will Russia invade a NATO country by September 30, 2026?","will-russia-invade-a-nato-country-in-2025","[\"0.002\", \"0.998\"]",[],[396,402,408,414,420,426,432,439,446],{"recorded_date":397,"roi":398,"win_rate":399,"brier_score":400,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":401,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-01",-0.9284380292454194,0.023809523809523808,0.3604690684012397,42,{"recorded_date":403,"roi":404,"win_rate":405,"brier_score":406,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":407,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-05",-0.4057696047525065,0.1326530612244898,0.2018646776362509,196,{"recorded_date":409,"roi":410,"win_rate":411,"brier_score":412,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":413,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-08",-0.4167416943433333,0.12429378531073447,0.21845948480772395,177,{"recorded_date":415,"roi":416,"win_rate":417,"brier_score":418,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":419,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-15",0.8279238448366539,0.8478260869565217,0.17953611501090014,46,{"recorded_date":421,"roi":422,"win_rate":423,"brier_score":424,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":425,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-22",0.8372363474554223,0.8210526315789474,0.2091884523772824,95,{"recorded_date":427,"roi":428,"win_rate":429,"brier_score":430,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":431,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-29",0.6818108238985928,0.7671232876712328,0.16098277889446658,73,{"recorded_date":433,"roi":434,"win_rate":435,"brier_score":436,"p_value":437,"resolved_trades":438,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-06",-0.15581337561261802,0.375,0.07749530760173806,0.5351999999999999,32,{"recorded_date":440,"roi":441,"win_rate":442,"brier_score":443,"p_value":444,"resolved_trades":445,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-16",-0.4265412641186343,0.5918367346938775,0.1789756906431267,0.0052000000000000934,49,{"recorded_date":447,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-24",[449,458,464,471,479,482,489,496,503,509,515,522,528,534,541,544,551,554,559,562,569,576,583,586,593,596,602,607,610,615,621,627,632,635,641,646,649,655,662,669,675,681,686,689,694,701,703,707,710,718,724,730,736,741,748,751,756,763,766,772,778,784,790,792,798,803,809,814,817,824,827,832,835,841,846,851,854,859,864,871,876,882,887,893,898,904,907,912,915,922,928,931,937,943,949,952,958,963,969,972],{"condition_id":450,"outcome":51,"usdc":451,"entry_price":452,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":454,"captured_at":13,"question":455,"event_slug":456,"category":457},"0x032bea9bdb1cc6b3456b5f6b4589d600eda00fea105e9f028acd169fbd1aaf74",2851.5103179999996,0.8408744073463917,"backfill","2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?","nato-downs-another-russian-drone-byptptpt-20260726214930818",null,{"condition_id":459,"outcome":51,"usdc":460,"entry_price":461,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":454,"captured_at":13,"question":462,"event_slug":463,"category":457},"0x1121a02fc780ddeb79cf91cdf2fea0a7dc2a8eb91a8643e86a4a415ab519ab90",1394.5344,0.64,"Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?","houthis-successfully-target-shipping-byptptpt-20260708165455691",{"condition_id":465,"outcome":29,"usdc":466,"entry_price":467,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":468,"captured_at":13,"question":469,"event_slug":470,"category":457},"0x136f4e242faeb42f66fa6baf4c192fbfa0b5788ed47a2bf1a3d3a2051b87715a",7455.1666000000005,0.8318233204341675,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?","us-announces-blockade-on-iran-byptptpt-20260622191049039",{"condition_id":472,"outcome":29,"usdc":473,"entry_price":474,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":475,"captured_at":476,"question":477,"event_slug":478,"category":457},"0x137cf69002f2f24c6cbc7572321db1f6fd995f53d2457fda7e52f7fd82446794",928.751031,0.12543084743891456,"2026-08-31T20:29:00Z","2026-09-16T21:14:48.820Z","US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?","us-ceasefire-against-iran-continues-throughptptpt",{"condition_id":472,"outcome":51,"usdc":480,"entry_price":481,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":475,"captured_at":476,"question":477,"event_slug":478,"category":457},110.7,0.005091996320147194,{"condition_id":483,"outcome":51,"usdc":484,"entry_price":485,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":486,"captured_at":13,"question":487,"event_slug":488,"category":90},"0x20cb32a3ff2b1932b99fe3343034d4dafe67cfce196eab2d771047f3d6e33be5",112.70875,0.0419181748,"2026-07-16T03:59:00Z","Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?","mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by",{"condition_id":490,"outcome":29,"usdc":491,"entry_price":492,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":493,"captured_at":13,"question":494,"event_slug":495,"category":38},"0x2df300d7831176cc00acf06ddaadf29a5d761476fa7f8e4f8978febd7da92d27",1458.9285,0.729993495284081,"2026-09-22T03:59:00Z","Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?","iran-oman-hormuz-management-agreement-byptptpt-20260804222725871",{"condition_id":497,"outcome":51,"usdc":498,"entry_price":499,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":500,"captured_at":13,"question":501,"event_slug":502,"category":90},"0x2e47cff93eb647a0487879f781ec583f8849eeb397ff0ad5cb38f77ec916c8a7",8238.178,0.678267663765004,"2026-08-03T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963",{"condition_id":504,"outcome":29,"usdc":505,"entry_price":506,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":507,"captured_at":13,"question":508,"event_slug":502,"category":90},"0x2f738e4c227b83c08c490dc6618164d31315a6740b9a5a98c392fc3160810957",631.1472,0.3595727153289237,"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?",{"condition_id":510,"outcome":29,"usdc":511,"entry_price":512,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":513,"captured_at":13,"question":514,"event_slug":478,"category":457},"0x305c77ad59fa89533c15e415d8e6a57eb490215094cc9f937b963a19c5f66c44",80.9015,0.05,"2026-08-25T23:59:00Z","US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?",{"condition_id":516,"outcome":51,"usdc":517,"entry_price":518,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":519,"captured_at":13,"question":520,"event_slug":521,"category":38},"0x31327c6fbdc70a44d97f8e8973f536b6a748e01b4c0ca5549ed0910c703b1d7b",2173.832192,0.17623049332331564,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?","bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by",{"condition_id":523,"outcome":29,"usdc":524,"entry_price":525,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":526,"captured_at":13,"question":527,"event_slug":502,"category":90},"0x35737d4e921a4cb088704e21751c78e282a6a2ae3559fbc2455275b0340d1e7f",3657.28156,0.0409113405,"2026-07-22T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?",{"condition_id":529,"outcome":29,"usdc":530,"entry_price":531,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":65,"captured_at":13,"question":532,"event_slug":533,"category":38},"0x3b9ed8857c1f5ca4c903390e66155e98c70bfafda1b5b92b30d5fe4d27666e72",218.02291,0.1644607541,"Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026?","greenland-deal-text-released-byptptpt",{"condition_id":535,"outcome":29,"usdc":536,"entry_price":537,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":538,"captured_at":476,"question":539,"event_slug":540,"category":38},"0x420c29cfe95850eb2351fdef6ae4ff063b2a574aa947d0fe82e7433fd58946f2",773.6,0.8501098901098901,"2026-09-08T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080",{"condition_id":535,"outcome":51,"usdc":542,"entry_price":543,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":538,"captured_at":476,"question":539,"event_slug":540,"category":38},5245.3274010000005,0.14391395849507072,{"condition_id":545,"outcome":29,"usdc":546,"entry_price":547,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":548,"captured_at":13,"question":549,"event_slug":550,"category":457},"0x42b633e7acfedf301c4eb85acefc7430f2e76825c1f3324a39a5582d7a26599b",17776.472489,0.5937978618585588,"2026-09-04T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?","us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-begins-byptptpt-2-week-pause",{"condition_id":545,"outcome":51,"usdc":552,"entry_price":553,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":548,"captured_at":13,"question":549,"event_slug":550,"category":457},11968.772200000001,0.5613819291990528,{"condition_id":555,"outcome":29,"usdc":556,"entry_price":557,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":519,"captured_at":13,"question":558,"event_slug":540,"category":38},"0x47ec761ae98d7c28b20c0222f1507e3af0f198a904f86b4a264b2e987f0b80c7",11344.2873,0.5947666318371374,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":555,"outcome":51,"usdc":560,"entry_price":561,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":519,"captured_at":13,"question":558,"event_slug":540,"category":38},20476.650341,0.3329886802340473,{"condition_id":563,"outcome":51,"usdc":564,"entry_price":565,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":566,"captured_at":13,"question":567,"event_slug":568,"category":457},"0x49479ffa88e2897569b1d413e3bc558003e21912edee09d080ca6bac6eb20805",1204.99704,0.033905909603527795,"2026-08-16T03:59:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-august-31-20260702154212320",{"condition_id":570,"outcome":51,"usdc":571,"entry_price":572,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":573,"captured_at":13,"question":574,"event_slug":575,"category":38},"0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64",4558.640775,0.8892605817866688,"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?","which-party-will-gain-most-seats-in-russian-parliamentary-election",{"condition_id":577,"outcome":29,"usdc":578,"entry_price":579,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":580,"captured_at":13,"question":581,"event_slug":582,"category":457},"0x518df6d694ad4658fe6c284850c029c6f00c9b3609cf05f7757d1fecba1641f8",4132.738042999999,0.6235181028571645,"2026-08-20T23:59:00Z","US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?","us-iran-60-day-negotiation-period-extended-20260624044855448",{"condition_id":577,"outcome":51,"usdc":584,"entry_price":585,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":580,"captured_at":13,"question":581,"event_slug":582,"category":457},5845.274711000002,0.2634985701439166,{"condition_id":587,"outcome":29,"usdc":588,"entry_price":589,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":590,"captured_at":13,"question":591,"event_slug":592,"category":457},"0x58180f4a69651f67c23ac92845721b2320cc0c76effeb5e79db5288d8d8e6b28",15066.711867000002,0.8242601043418879,"2026-07-24T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?","us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-byptptpt-2-week-pause-20260715194822042",{"condition_id":587,"outcome":51,"usdc":594,"entry_price":595,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":590,"captured_at":13,"question":591,"event_slug":592,"category":457},0.71,0.142,{"condition_id":597,"outcome":51,"usdc":598,"entry_price":599,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":468,"captured_at":13,"question":600,"event_slug":601,"category":457},"0x5966522dd6e650090b6e9d5fdb8ad6c24763ad4992939bfc456a984feb74c0f7",2516.82072,0.7818495834109138,"Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?","who-will-trump-meet-with-in-july-20260626153701904",{"condition_id":603,"outcome":29,"usdc":604,"entry_price":605,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":468,"captured_at":13,"question":606,"event_slug":592,"category":457},"0x5a9395dae6c7643ea06e7a555580a5526e81073aea9c9306363529c5b76a8f8b",15078.866899999999,0.7285881143234315,"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?",{"condition_id":603,"outcome":51,"usdc":608,"entry_price":609,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":468,"captured_at":13,"question":606,"event_slug":592,"category":457},3053.967,0.1241556490776759,{"condition_id":611,"outcome":51,"usdc":612,"entry_price":613,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":468,"captured_at":13,"question":614,"event_slug":463,"category":457},"0x5afb81cbd0ca3356dbebedd49cf667288207766206238b18b34c500b52c88345",5049.3704,0.6857240791120773,"Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":616,"outcome":29,"usdc":617,"entry_price":618,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":619,"captured_at":13,"question":620,"event_slug":540,"category":38},"0x5dc212b712dcf514432221436140eec9717aea8f9fbead457c858d14ee519b90",19874.733189999995,0.6917470856873504,"2026-08-08T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":622,"outcome":29,"usdc":623,"entry_price":131,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":624,"captured_at":13,"question":625,"event_slug":626,"category":457},"0x5fe50c3617f3a7385aaaa076897b60ca9312dfe67252b0581a688af31b7961ca",1522.3634,"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?","us-announces-withdrawal-from-mou-negotiations-byptptpt-20260622192051747",{"condition_id":628,"outcome":29,"usdc":629,"entry_price":630,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":519,"captured_at":13,"question":631,"event_slug":568,"category":457},"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8",184579.823233,0.8577580798048074,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?",{"condition_id":628,"outcome":51,"usdc":633,"entry_price":634,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":519,"captured_at":13,"question":631,"event_slug":568,"category":457},124242.02834799995,0.14837073014865979,{"condition_id":636,"outcome":51,"usdc":637,"entry_price":638,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":519,"captured_at":13,"question":639,"event_slug":640,"category":38},"0x61bfe4ef1054e3ef94024c915a59a47e781bdc3ef6c2e578119f7b440e84a4e6",530.8168,0.2698926667,"Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?","foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by",{"condition_id":642,"outcome":29,"usdc":643,"entry_price":644,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":454,"captured_at":13,"question":645,"event_slug":592,"category":457},"0x61c2b9e70f7fdf3441fd1cfa2c8fa93308fefe3f5ecc2db87c393efab3a207a3",10775.748200000002,0.4760266309097782,"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?",{"condition_id":642,"outcome":51,"usdc":647,"entry_price":648,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":454,"captured_at":13,"question":645,"event_slug":592,"category":457},6250.5166,0.5294400765540213,{"condition_id":650,"outcome":29,"usdc":651,"entry_price":652,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":468,"captured_at":13,"question":653,"event_slug":654,"category":457},"0x62aa73d8a6f3b9984e7c9a58d688ca6f398c96e2b1558dfbb296df0868f8c4c8",163.949215,0.07220192951722035,"Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?","will-trump-meet-with-netanyahu-byptptpt-20260714195149520",{"condition_id":656,"outcome":29,"usdc":657,"entry_price":658,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":659,"captured_at":13,"question":660,"event_slug":661,"category":457},"0x6389dc74e27218b50657af632dbca4c5005d241c760bd979944bcd0d68493380",580.949426,0.07613359039611232,"2026-07-20T03:59:00Z","President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?","president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044",{"condition_id":663,"outcome":51,"usdc":664,"entry_price":665,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":666,"captured_at":13,"question":667,"event_slug":668,"category":457},"0x64e2986a47cc4e152b9ab5010f16d17ddc62035ff113c07544c4d05db08ff083",2699.8405000000002,0.5213134205519128,"2026-08-15T23:59:00Z","US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?","us-announces-halt-in-iran-offensive-operations-byptptpt-20260718015003096",{"condition_id":670,"outcome":51,"usdc":671,"entry_price":672,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":673,"captured_at":13,"question":674,"event_slug":502,"category":90},"0x68818a54ca4c49406bb28ada26ecf9ce732dba21505454ce874e7066da6d788c",5587.473400000001,0.89,"2026-08-09T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?",{"condition_id":676,"outcome":51,"usdc":677,"entry_price":678,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":679,"event_slug":680,"category":38},"0x6a7aed00fae37de19e0b789a6b50a7475ff1afa898c50b9da11ca733a23199fa",2725,0.7785714285714286,"Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?","trump-x-greenland-deal-signed-by-december-31",{"condition_id":682,"outcome":29,"usdc":683,"entry_price":684,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":666,"captured_at":13,"question":685,"event_slug":502,"category":90},"0x6acdc3316f0b43ca4fbc13623fc018e30f2fd20ae7b93bdc07c8193e99b0ac4d",4913.159838,0.5840562116018184,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?",{"condition_id":682,"outcome":51,"usdc":687,"entry_price":688,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":666,"captured_at":13,"question":685,"event_slug":502,"category":90},1150.3691,0.42829452,{"condition_id":690,"outcome":29,"usdc":691,"entry_price":692,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":486,"captured_at":13,"question":693,"event_slug":105,"category":90},"0x6c486242e79252cc0bb57163a3b8d95e3b9538ea6a1de2e91848beeb5c6ad986",14650.906531999999,0.8706538133247439,"Iran full airspace closure by July 15?",{"condition_id":695,"outcome":29,"usdc":696,"entry_price":697,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":698,"captured_at":13,"question":699,"event_slug":700,"category":38},"0x6c9bd12ca2dded7eb4c688a3200e94f143cc95984eb1952ab71f7ec31e07cf8c",2424.783447,0.51,"2026-09-20T00:00:00Z","Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?","mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-election-winner",{"condition_id":695,"outcome":51,"usdc":702,"entry_price":345,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":698,"captured_at":13,"question":699,"event_slug":700,"category":38},3057.78871,{"condition_id":704,"outcome":29,"usdc":705,"entry_price":157,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":493,"captured_at":13,"question":706,"event_slug":540,"category":38},"0x71dd44fa5059fbed28a279172185d3623aa34ce86be1936281df26b5d1b87200",1174.8225,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?",{"condition_id":704,"outcome":51,"usdc":708,"entry_price":709,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":493,"captured_at":13,"question":706,"event_slug":540,"category":38},4129.6481,0.23412375829307794,{"condition_id":711,"outcome":29,"usdc":712,"entry_price":713,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":714,"captured_at":13,"question":715,"event_slug":716,"category":717},"0x73d8a8208d23a74937d114a713d6a56cd4161a1068056c52ac74c8419c99da7c",4311.30822,0.6810654554047423,"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?","fed-rate-hike-by","Economy",{"condition_id":719,"outcome":29,"usdc":720,"entry_price":721,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":125,"captured_at":13,"question":722,"event_slug":723,"category":38},"0x7a833b2745bc6911db3ef244e37287c9ab1be1e63ee71266d2c79326cafbe285",367.578,0.6,"US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?","next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-byptptpt-20260623022722982",{"condition_id":725,"outcome":51,"usdc":726,"entry_price":727,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":454,"captured_at":13,"question":728,"event_slug":729,"category":457},"0x7a8a627e78c29401c200f7aa28e5316bae0823c317069e0a166c4ac4fa0d63e2",2189.991077,0.7300000009020835,"Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?","total-commitments-for-the-credible-public-sale-on-metadao-20260708134325640",{"condition_id":731,"outcome":29,"usdc":732,"entry_price":733,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":184,"captured_at":13,"question":734,"event_slug":735,"category":90},"0x7e045734da5d2a0743da450cc5cff8e2c1e1298a9731f7fbadd7c13823c5c79c",18058.785236999996,0.547855570224311,"China x Philippines military clash before 2027?","china-x-philippines-military-clash-before-2027",{"condition_id":737,"outcome":29,"usdc":738,"entry_price":739,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":125,"captured_at":13,"question":740,"event_slug":470,"category":457},"0x81ca1a75666b8984128f7ef015ae0ea7a51a6aa863b714afb44cfdad99ffece2",8448.051500000001,0.5663197018795426,"Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?",{"condition_id":742,"outcome":29,"usdc":743,"entry_price":744,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":745,"captured_at":13,"question":746,"event_slug":747,"category":38},"0x876506d8b2bd7a0d3fa4fe18c024eee6e1dd81ee24c26795dadd6cfe4a7b5d0d",38154.438475999996,0.6493127842497076,"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-september-762",{"condition_id":742,"outcome":51,"usdc":749,"entry_price":750,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":745,"captured_at":13,"question":746,"event_slug":747,"category":38},271176.0758530001,0.5286952645295868,{"condition_id":752,"outcome":29,"usdc":753,"entry_price":754,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":624,"captured_at":13,"question":755,"event_slug":540,"category":38},"0x8b0e301fc552e953579c625ce9adb7409d1852d5bf4879efee849decc1c9dc91",1194.8185,0.8168861313,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":757,"outcome":29,"usdc":758,"entry_price":759,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":760,"captured_at":13,"question":761,"event_slug":762,"category":38},"0x8bf1c1536ecb1c08fe13c6b71e8ab1f58bf3461c4cb79f5f1679f869a06aef86",11432.449763000004,0.07192695095176746,"2026-07-29T00:00:00Z","Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-july-181",{"condition_id":757,"outcome":51,"usdc":764,"entry_price":765,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":760,"captured_at":13,"question":761,"event_slug":762,"category":38},106670.29211699996,0.7392545133778804,{"condition_id":767,"outcome":51,"usdc":768,"entry_price":769,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":468,"captured_at":13,"question":770,"event_slug":771,"category":457},"0x8c312c5aec6e368da4eb6caf90fd8f325f8ce9438f2aa6f9274dded41e5f251e",1280.9912299999999,0.6794652309011037,"Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?","who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-july-31-20260626210612709",{"condition_id":773,"outcome":51,"usdc":774,"entry_price":775,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":776,"captured_at":13,"question":777,"event_slug":502,"category":90},"0x93796dea2fe5dfc8da1a942448e6ab767d9bb3464a96ea3a527dfed0ef7bd958",14933.785898,0.7514329031850172,"2026-08-02T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?",{"condition_id":779,"outcome":51,"usdc":780,"entry_price":781,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":566,"captured_at":13,"question":782,"event_slug":783,"category":38},"0x95f75978d8e3b735dda39675d113c68c4619a09f392cda4f28612ef5385f4af9",10.1664,0.36,"US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?","us-iran-hormuz-agreement-byptptpt-20260803235957575",{"condition_id":785,"outcome":29,"usdc":786,"entry_price":787,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":788,"captured_at":476,"question":789,"event_slug":478,"category":457},"0x9601280c3d5109783ba64644da25bdfdf120ce516a696f88a42f54ffd2ac761b",4030.178788,0.27201092121158965,"2026-09-30T20:29:00Z","US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?",{"condition_id":785,"outcome":51,"usdc":791,"entry_price":157,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":788,"captured_at":476,"question":789,"event_slug":478,"category":457},16560.33,{"condition_id":793,"outcome":51,"usdc":794,"entry_price":795,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":519,"captured_at":13,"question":796,"event_slug":797,"category":90},"0x968e7d0e59659dc602480ed9ca6fbd933a25912e1667dcec1f43d243cec5e0b0",1017.52253,0.044343507520239495,"Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?","iran-invades-kuwait-byptptpt-20260720015031544",{"condition_id":799,"outcome":51,"usdc":800,"entry_price":801,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":468,"captured_at":13,"question":802,"event_slug":797,"category":90},"0x97ebbd5a69b5886d5805dc4a5ba952397b7c89ad6269a066617fc3809af9ffe0",140.7093,0.0389742986,"Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?",{"condition_id":804,"outcome":51,"usdc":805,"entry_price":806,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":807,"captured_at":13,"question":808,"event_slug":502,"category":90},"0x98f962ca4a21a47b73c8a914d08f224be31bc6dbdc609b3f0edd9654bbc802a1",6654.83267,0.8764385107624477,"2026-08-01T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?",{"condition_id":810,"outcome":29,"usdc":811,"entry_price":812,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":566,"captured_at":13,"question":813,"event_slug":540,"category":38},"0xa055e1cf533c2fcb1f1c89c20c41c8aa25526dcf27c3ff6be69c230fd8898282",10281.638558,0.6036943664767564,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":810,"outcome":51,"usdc":815,"entry_price":816,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":566,"captured_at":13,"question":813,"event_slug":540,"category":38},6868.1769,0.45833710265194716,{"condition_id":818,"outcome":29,"usdc":819,"entry_price":820,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":821,"captured_at":13,"question":822,"event_slug":823,"category":457},"0xa37edbac74383987e7b3c4e25360c223207b5f8ffdaaddea7e6e62ab2aa0d56a",12705.888391,0.8421337703506329,"2026-07-17T23:59:00Z","Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?","iran-announces-withdrawal-from-mou-negotiations-byptptpt-20260622191732319",{"condition_id":818,"outcome":51,"usdc":825,"entry_price":826,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":821,"captured_at":13,"question":822,"event_slug":823,"category":457},1068.73134,0.190297776033983,{"condition_id":828,"outcome":29,"usdc":829,"entry_price":830,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":745,"captured_at":13,"question":831,"event_slug":747,"category":38},"0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a",122190.90981599988,0.4718214796948484,"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":828,"outcome":51,"usdc":833,"entry_price":834,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":745,"captured_at":13,"question":831,"event_slug":747,"category":38},153826.92856400003,0.49457143837506873,{"condition_id":836,"outcome":29,"usdc":837,"entry_price":253,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":838,"captured_at":13,"question":839,"event_slug":840,"category":90},"0xa416cc87fa5ec71973fb7cfbcb916bf40655ce0a6e60bcec0bc35d133ab4f7b5",100.8,"2026-09-24T03:59:00Z","Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by September 23?","saudi-houthi-ceasefire-agreement-announced-by",{"condition_id":842,"outcome":51,"usdc":843,"entry_price":844,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":590,"captured_at":13,"question":845,"event_slug":823,"category":457},"0xa5bd4b831f180564aef6a119e1f94a5d574344e25a546b7a1f14aec7cc6e2d83",1478.1544,0.1478667498,"Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?",{"condition_id":847,"outcome":29,"usdc":848,"entry_price":849,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":468,"captured_at":13,"question":850,"event_slug":502,"category":90},"0xa6480903e54c68f2ee79cacb7861dfcc9b473e8b07d6dcaf2c9923034a5fb56f",802.7295,0.4300974072657194,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?",{"condition_id":847,"outcome":51,"usdc":852,"entry_price":853,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":468,"captured_at":13,"question":850,"event_slug":502,"category":90},19171.922,0.683045357217929,{"condition_id":855,"outcome":29,"usdc":856,"entry_price":857,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":714,"captured_at":13,"question":858,"event_slug":716,"category":717},"0xac550c316d635e7f2dc810de6d6afd531e254b3c9c7d56d32d14337e7c3979e4",15.924856000000002,0.8250000751071559,"Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?",{"condition_id":860,"outcome":29,"usdc":861,"entry_price":862,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":760,"captured_at":13,"question":863,"event_slug":762,"category":38},"0xb5c0abeecb5502e6e8d83155c27819174d8317af3c425c3afc5a8c45257a3793",59616.86635,0.868,"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":865,"outcome":51,"usdc":866,"entry_price":867,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":868,"captured_at":13,"question":869,"event_slug":870,"category":38},"0xb8e6d129a06d0ccb21d7b32eb529ea455eddba3cf29bfa097112202cbdf5bf21",14227.7955,0.09445622988220352,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31",{"condition_id":872,"outcome":51,"usdc":873,"entry_price":874,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":454,"captured_at":13,"question":875,"event_slug":668,"category":457},"0xba34d786cd7bfbd719aa77c705f27969aba84d6649dca9adb365aad8c255db7a",5639.3495,0.8814444696265151,"US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?",{"condition_id":877,"outcome":51,"usdc":878,"entry_price":879,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":880,"captured_at":13,"question":881,"event_slug":339,"category":38},"0xbb12ad2ac9c3e69ebd2022a8f705d7f758a4c6027f43dc44df4e5ec5ed1c285f",473.42641,0.4432043082,"2026-09-23T03:59:00Z","Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?",{"condition_id":883,"outcome":29,"usdc":884,"entry_price":885,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":519,"captured_at":13,"question":886,"event_slug":723,"category":38},"0xbdc0827c873d1c3c538e549ab94c77829f7e40fd3376b25164c0279f744a87bc",2364.834,0.58,"US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":888,"outcome":29,"usdc":889,"entry_price":890,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":468,"captured_at":13,"question":891,"event_slug":892,"category":457},"0xbdee951d870b2e24184240d9ab6eb4471277ffb763219cd949da56ba60f0714b",968.32471,0.8501907107,"Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?","who-will-trump-speak-to-in-july-20260626154217421",{"condition_id":894,"outcome":29,"usdc":895,"entry_price":896,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":566,"captured_at":13,"question":897,"event_slug":105,"category":90},"0xbf08ec6654ade883d96f3e25a5330ccf4aae0d8e9efa690c694305e95738e8a1",4471.0882,0.8410308491027425,"Iran full airspace closure by August 15?",{"condition_id":899,"outcome":29,"usdc":900,"entry_price":901,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":659,"captured_at":13,"question":902,"event_slug":903,"category":38},"0xc0b7319f73f248310b059c231fb069e64dbd68ca81dd9933728ca192b54c3cc4",2197.72793,0.30245255789353787,"Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?","will-trump-be-in-the-wc-champions-photo-20260608152527021",{"condition_id":899,"outcome":51,"usdc":905,"entry_price":906,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":659,"captured_at":13,"question":902,"event_slug":903,"category":38},1654.3464900000001,0.6765817030569495,{"condition_id":908,"outcome":29,"usdc":909,"entry_price":910,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":475,"captured_at":13,"question":911,"event_slug":502,"category":90},"0xc1556ecbe613e403dfb9e38bf1b25a8aee2aa1687f2b343bc896dd2c9763ed74",697.5157,0.59,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?",{"condition_id":908,"outcome":51,"usdc":913,"entry_price":914,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":475,"captured_at":13,"question":911,"event_slug":502,"category":90},35056.2908,0.5637576865557908,{"condition_id":916,"outcome":51,"usdc":917,"entry_price":918,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":919,"captured_at":13,"question":920,"event_slug":921,"category":457},"0xc2d7b9a2831e882deedc53d7f94c7ee115edb62fddfcff2415c217f36e3d80b2",202.59745,0.1702242718868093,"2026-07-23T23:59:00Z","Will Dow say \"Carbon\" 5+ times during earnings call?","what-will-dow-say-during-their-next-earnings-call-20260717163814079",{"condition_id":923,"outcome":29,"usdc":924,"entry_price":925,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":65,"captured_at":13,"question":926,"event_slug":927,"category":38},"0xc4ebab9f2830f6df67ab1b98615d5a9be8eebd106fd0f37e9a25e4a4edcc427c",1846.1899449999999,0.678632626110083,"Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?","where-will-the-next-next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-beptptpt-20260623023740663",{"condition_id":923,"outcome":51,"usdc":929,"entry_price":930,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":65,"captured_at":13,"question":926,"event_slug":927,"category":38},3960.1372649999994,0.8581231466675993,{"condition_id":932,"outcome":51,"usdc":933,"entry_price":934,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":935,"captured_at":13,"question":936,"event_slug":575,"category":38},"0xc9615bb82d6535d630ff98e8094060bc767d8b9446516e98f84d2001a35e50e7",298.56251299999997,0.049463466975550076,"2026-09-20T23:59:00Z","Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?",{"condition_id":938,"outcome":29,"usdc":939,"entry_price":940,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":519,"captured_at":13,"question":941,"event_slug":942,"category":38},"0xcb8fb30139fe8af02654cc3b734a482a0eafd9d5c2de2eef2aa145daf8b65615",3730.514475,0.8630349734476027,"US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?","us-charges-hormuz-fees-byptptpt-20260713151243232",{"condition_id":944,"outcome":29,"usdc":945,"entry_price":946,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":519,"captured_at":13,"question":947,"event_slug":948,"category":38},"0xcd6c66b11ed8fdbdc1183fb761cf22959c6b481e843a715a7a9f53e22b90d420",3954.2995,0.6551734736565902,"NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?","nato-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025",{"condition_id":944,"outcome":51,"usdc":950,"entry_price":951,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":519,"captured_at":13,"question":947,"event_slug":948,"category":38},5811.206086,0.3073525190841119,{"condition_id":953,"outcome":51,"usdc":954,"entry_price":955,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":956,"captured_at":476,"question":957,"event_slug":540,"category":38},"0xcd9079a837d72a0eafde1dc692c819940bd030a295ddc67f27590e98df33878c",6054.875784,0.1692560121651545,"2026-09-15T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?",{"condition_id":959,"outcome":29,"usdc":960,"entry_price":961,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":454,"captured_at":13,"question":962,"event_slug":729,"category":457},"0xce9c7a2545c6e77c31742124677ccea4ee8ca43ddb556ad8c4b63ae5abbfd553",1230.55422,0.849790649,"Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?",{"condition_id":964,"outcome":29,"usdc":965,"entry_price":966,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":65,"captured_at":13,"question":967,"event_slug":968,"category":38},"0xcfbc2e5fbabb9e8a03bf234367244d4c97eaaf3ac33e2ba001541ee3e0e62416",2282.158,0.39095855304316685,"Israel closes its airspace by September 30?","israel-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":964,"outcome":51,"usdc":970,"entry_price":971,"won":12,"source":453,"end_date_iso":65,"captured_at":13,"question":967,"event_slug":968,"category":38},559.514,0.09383819647331507,{"condition_id":973,"outcome":29,"usdc":974,"entry_price":975,"won":17,"source":453,"end_date_iso":454,"captured_at":13,"question":976,"event_slug":470,"category":457},"0xd7d6bcbc6c1201251e42ba47062f2cf33dd45922afca02dda1c2da8081013ad0",3077.0708999999997,0.6647018199676952,"Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?",{"total":978,"wins":979},132,71,[981,985,989,994,999,1002],{"category":38,"n":982,"wins":438,"hitRate":983,"roi":984},61,0.5245901639344263,0.2534386657342852,{"category":47,"n":401,"wins":986,"hitRate":987,"roi":988},24,0.5714285714285714,-0.22290894095897898,{"category":90,"n":990,"wins":991,"hitRate":992,"roi":993},23,12,0.5217391304347826,0.16329897019655334,{"category":995,"n":996,"wins":12,"hitRate":997,"roi":998},"Sports",3,0.3333333333333333,0.028404933762698863,{"category":717,"n":1000,"wins":12,"hitRate":164,"roi":1001},2,-0.9955392155538554,{"category":176,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":1003},2.030440672288935,{"generatedAt":1005},"2026-09-26T07:28:10.212Z"]