[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x2a21d3bccb4d025608ab0b54f7848d6dd83fd26a":3},{"stats":4,"positions":24,"signals":224,"history":225,"resolved":235,"resolvedSummary":776,"specialization":778,"meta":796},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":17,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x2a21d3bccb4d025608ab0b54f7848d6dd83fd26a",7315,2033,0.029513034923757994,0.3057560884227313,0.019274994194773024,0.008000000000000007,1,"2026-10-27T11:03:00.378Z",0.8410633984259707,3.5981308411214954,"2026-10-27T01:37:35.000Z",0,"trades",0.02213280916837143,0.007380225755385377,522.8067980455103,1709.8818889999984,0.2634217499276788,[25,38,48,57,64,74,82,89,97,104,112,119,127,134,141,147,155,162,169,176,182,189,196,203,210,217],{"token_id":26,"condition_id":27,"outcome":28,"size":29,"avg_price":30,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":33,"event_slug":34,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"41993893830087222490069318323988839527374791399230918638111082133277941101188","0x5a34fe8720846d0deb82577e13573abb296b514e0b3f381774e9b248cb999a24","Yes",186.7199,0.0949,"2026-11-02T07:23:59.171Z","2026-10-28T08:19:44.992Z","Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31?","will-canvas-valuation-hit-by-december-31","2027-01-01T12:00:00Z","[\"0.0245\", \"0.9755\"]","Tech",{"token_id":39,"condition_id":40,"outcome":28,"size":41,"avg_price":42,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":43,"event_slug":44,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":46,"category":47},"90623563297669450490372761670791019596896350952853180410265392385120948614544","0x24fdd9ad37ea1be4914b08dfbdb1180f641af230ae8e987516c9ebba0168de7e",400.003,0.0339,"Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?","oklahoma-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.032\", \"0.968\"]","Politics",{"token_id":49,"condition_id":50,"outcome":28,"size":51,"avg_price":52,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":53,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":55,"category":56},"112648925356443758946940369866892568424699165236725029786686196105765202287771","0x6613013b28666790ea5ee7f3ba96a17ad77005e1c147a9e8750818f93f56de1b",365.2107,0.0335,"Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?","which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-december-31","[\"0.028\", \"0.972\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":58,"condition_id":59,"outcome":28,"size":60,"avg_price":61,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":62,"event_slug":34,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":63,"category":37},"9576449519393515658465401880418634073082595364209514616481055352289788110773","0x70a6747fadb7f4951c3276a0ec6fcbad4d0e570911c7fe628d517ef37fd2b87c",100.0033,0.0933,"Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?","[\"0.017\", \"0.983\"]",{"token_id":65,"condition_id":66,"outcome":28,"size":67,"avg_price":68,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":69,"event_slug":70,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":71,"outcome_prices":72,"category":73},"81682377510510848306249472528068982946227247170297938773578355393756544906195","0x58163c8d1693b6de0369a74b8df51903e356ff0d27d195f23ae21e792c09f232",110.43,0.0721,"Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?","will-bytedances-valuation-hit-by-december-31-20260701011753589","2027-01-05T04:59:00Z","[\"0.024\", \"0.976\"]","Other",{"token_id":75,"condition_id":76,"outcome":28,"size":77,"avg_price":78,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":79,"question":80,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":81,"category":56},"61782437453393455873421902608347180052608940662115680015572295454535780744936","0x86000180fc5c1d2f99e4e8627c2113aff3b53e952d87d803fea99f0932174ebc",150.0096,0.0509,"2026-10-29T16:37:22.396Z","Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?","[\"0.036\", \"0.964\"]",{"token_id":83,"condition_id":84,"outcome":28,"size":85,"avg_price":86,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":87,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":88,"category":56},"110119458246195866392279748195795405667270272048482672378597646319468481393456","0xf4a4b3861b571c275c0d1cb601e18fa3568c419f0f8daf4de50d79e36b70a128",150.0046,0.05,"Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?","[\"0.0435\", \"0.9565\"]",{"token_id":90,"condition_id":91,"outcome":28,"size":92,"avg_price":93,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":94,"event_slug":95,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":96,"category":37},"42574248959284530646091368047066126180445434974022460106859680414580532069710","0x3d2fc07e08c46d8f642f56e5f8c08763df53a3f9d96073a117ce564368cace5f",83.0053,0.09,"Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?","which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]",{"token_id":98,"condition_id":99,"outcome":28,"size":100,"avg_price":101,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":102,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":103,"category":56},"39178088573096847322455495237438390847582626689242446542209071712658328318785","0x890cd68d875c95a83894f2a3c896b561383c76b412807e3d3e0e59b51573edf6",157.7144,0.0441,"Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?","[\"0.0255\", \"0.9745\"]",{"token_id":105,"condition_id":106,"outcome":28,"size":107,"avg_price":108,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":79,"question":109,"event_slug":110,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":111,"category":47},"82346177713218819738354190033828933269062047457102513277493253567544150742107","0xab449b45ddb6c2682ec7e931dfb18705cf611cddf42ae35aa300c79453913dca",200.0016,0.0292,"Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?","north-carolina-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by","[\"0.0305\", \"0.9695\"]",{"token_id":113,"condition_id":114,"outcome":28,"size":115,"avg_price":116,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":117,"event_slug":95,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":118,"category":37},"108496837840008373992013661746999604844579694299840366033497837619341807564293","0xbb957a0c805d53d96f666fd5c0ea0f70535ca092bfd55fc07ba9b782e3d3d249",69.7381,0.0817,"Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?","[\"0.052\", \"0.948\"]",{"token_id":120,"condition_id":121,"outcome":28,"size":122,"avg_price":123,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":124,"event_slug":125,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":126,"category":47},"85888007086169692090707855542337645243187456810843917599850927540301693036154","0x7e5e58398cd55ecfa85ab597fbbb0687dad333414a14578e235b1372800297f8",199.814,0.0264,"Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?","indiana-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929","[\"0.0205\", \"0.9795\"]",{"token_id":128,"condition_id":129,"outcome":28,"size":130,"avg_price":131,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":132,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":133,"category":56},"95557412500999805076472893611192107025033551734600316765572331873300312062279","0xe7f3b934838774f7d3fc0e3b42767b63811d1597cd5b78ff4be7ef9c408c724a",150.7346,0.0323,"Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?","[\"0.0215\", \"0.9785\"]",{"token_id":135,"condition_id":136,"outcome":28,"size":137,"avg_price":138,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":139,"event_slug":70,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":71,"outcome_prices":140,"category":73},"46150703123810431801627845586305581904193340696970231804990078742358258897808","0xbb5ea66b5d886df49d9dfc7555b88f5bf3da4ca2ccd32fe5df806037122db475",50.0006,0.0914,"Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?","[\"0.0225\", \"0.9775\"]",{"token_id":142,"condition_id":143,"outcome":28,"size":144,"avg_price":145,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":146,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":103,"category":56},"66401440271983765981896111720390968685794445602688073258766280964806180948741","0xa8ab747ff99f1fa567728cd9c89c71e6f1ea87f5bd5b31ca2e881bb62d7d22ba",151.649,0.0295,"Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?",{"token_id":148,"condition_id":149,"outcome":28,"size":150,"avg_price":151,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":152,"question":153,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":154,"category":56},"57296275132860207464910469086912664176153776071835315700063526910474840238866","0x5f3dabeb8d8174eff4a17c94d6396b7e5f71a2ba60a474f53dc69e6a493cbfe3",55.6884,0.0779,"2026-10-31T13:20:18.839Z","Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?","[\"0.07\", \"0.93\"]",{"token_id":156,"condition_id":157,"outcome":28,"size":158,"avg_price":159,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":160,"event_slug":95,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":161,"category":37},"31817818387484449402330242065217602245522171510789850932244171346186630830068","0x06b066958f047d9f684a60ba923966ffd581bcda87436327d475bdfbd0d1d34f",39.8862,0.1068,"Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?","[\"0.11\", \"0.89\"]",{"token_id":163,"condition_id":164,"outcome":28,"size":165,"avg_price":166,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":79,"question":167,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":168,"category":56},"105021230936912984680931678122814125668784031756100999048923377620987522853502","0x9f49858223675c7f9b354adccf3303956beff106a80e13ba12dd320735bf8181",85.7191,0.0427,"Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?","[\"0.037\", \"0.963\"]",{"token_id":170,"condition_id":171,"outcome":28,"size":172,"avg_price":173,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":174,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":175,"category":56},"35575529907914456377934861485987059685769709278922938684692921159579159923096","0xeadcd73eb82cba92ba2af79415305eaae2a65a277b322c7b57dc48f73de2f3f0",104.0629,0.0341,"Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?","[\"0.026\", \"0.974\"]",{"token_id":177,"condition_id":178,"outcome":28,"size":179,"avg_price":180,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":181,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":103,"category":56},"67199733178530454806535518776248808538616631860104065052977137772797710887403","0x4b0aad16cd0cf52625a7c68bed4bf9578fc4ba07801ce109159777bf0304edac",74.0818,0.0261,"Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?",{"token_id":183,"condition_id":184,"outcome":28,"size":185,"avg_price":186,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":187,"event_slug":95,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":188,"category":37},"99941048108287401413041958326146135359411440461224436632098524292424370177429","0x26464981df1ebef81d247b2661051ac8c2e701386e22f8c17482039038e25201",28.7308,0.0599,"Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?","[\"0.06\", \"0.94\"]",{"token_id":190,"condition_id":191,"outcome":28,"size":192,"avg_price":193,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":194,"event_slug":95,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":195,"category":37},"78229401955179772346633280675438287183628102967234404539478345545004251094928","0x0a38466723190708a5d78ed194ddb097dd690f89a5ec4f73c4e5cc9e0a0fbd98",20.0082,0.086,"Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?","[\"0.079\", \"0.921\"]",{"token_id":197,"condition_id":198,"outcome":28,"size":199,"avg_price":200,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":201,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":202,"category":56},"40688094653686125161851139319199302543780839137475354735981151285183116400686","0xee21994a29aaca4a6501e40019126a5f765621d241303ae69080c007d8593f19",87.4446,0.0132,"Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?","[\"0.0065\", \"0.9935\"]",{"token_id":204,"condition_id":205,"outcome":28,"size":206,"avg_price":207,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":79,"question":208,"event_slug":95,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":209,"category":37},"10538331956394905120776033013346066342146917654088822269793078628605509844130","0x5c5ab21c4e4d357ad5fa41a3cff0261728b29099f1a2bf86b40185a339d8e7e6",20,0.055,"Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?","[\"0.0525\", \"0.9475\"]",{"token_id":211,"condition_id":212,"outcome":28,"size":213,"avg_price":214,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":215,"event_slug":95,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":216,"category":37},"72069476268338386756490127349801976363542828824521280836665547071650151460321","0x8452ab75745818363066cb7ccca1accedb926eb71c3098cc5458395bcbf65c3f",20.0091,0.0502,"Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?","[\"0.0495\", \"0.9505\"]",{"token_id":218,"condition_id":219,"outcome":28,"size":220,"avg_price":221,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":222,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":223,"category":56},"46467850666586016891017914548299567275100357929816009318356054834604477300488","0x115600ff39dd7812512826e5e677b93a61f8523cf07cd3e927fb7c1e05a735f0",14.2761,0.0514,"Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?","[\"0.049\", \"0.951\"]",[],[226,233],{"recorded_date":227,"roi":228,"win_rate":229,"brier_score":230,"p_value":231,"resolved_trades":232,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-10-02",0.3138492363603006,0.02858551010349926,0.01907563489303773,0.010999999999999899,2029,{"recorded_date":234,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-27",[236,245,252,260,267,273,280,287,293,300,308,313,320,327,333,339,345,351,357,364,370,377,384,389,395,400,405,411,417,421,428,434,440,445,451,456,460,464,470,475,481,486,491,495,500,504,508,514,519,526,532,537,541,545,551,555,560,564,570,576,582,586,590,595,600,606,612,616,621,625,630,635,638,642,647,653,658,663,667,671,677,682,686,691,695,701,706,712,718,724,729,735,740,744,749,753,759,764,769,772],{"condition_id":237,"outcome":28,"usdc":238,"entry_price":239,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":241,"captured_at":242,"question":243,"event_slug":244,"category":37},"0x024c5ee74cae1007aba2b0975f4a74602d89821290934a7f98a56fad076574c5",11.200000000000001,0.04,"backfill","2026-08-01T12:00:00Z","2026-10-02T08:10:27.722Z","Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by June 30?","will-databricks-valuation-hit-by-june-30",{"condition_id":246,"outcome":28,"usdc":247,"entry_price":248,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":249,"captured_at":242,"question":250,"event_slug":251,"category":47},"0x035089712a52a87cc30b778965d76c757067e7a2e795e4f2c8e32c76438e1dc3",10.25,0.04100000000000001,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Anthropic CEO arrested?","anthropic-ceo-arrested",{"condition_id":253,"outcome":28,"usdc":254,"entry_price":255,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":256,"captured_at":242,"question":257,"event_slug":258,"category":259},"0x096cdfe215f3369bccf6c39d06398de75d69af9ec84678319794a60addc7c604",4.979812999999999,0.0010000000000000002,"2026-02-08T00:00:00Z","Will United Thai Nation Party (UTN) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?","thai-legislative-election-winner",null,{"condition_id":261,"outcome":28,"usdc":262,"entry_price":263,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":242,"question":265,"event_slug":266,"category":259},"0x09bf5bc47223c257d13590bddf071b8ff4bf6b0d815f93cdc582b7deccbc844b",0.903225,0.0700000016,"2026-07-01T12:00:00Z","Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by June 30?","will-stripes-valuation-hit-by-june-30",{"condition_id":268,"outcome":28,"usdc":269,"entry_price":270,"won":12,"source":240,"end_date_iso":71,"captured_at":13,"question":271,"event_slug":272,"category":37},"0x0a0fb756d8dc5c3cf0a16eebc7d6d39406155a41e13d00bf615fc0fcd9e9c31a",15,0.5,"Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?","will-openais-valuation-hit-by-december-31",{"condition_id":274,"outcome":28,"usdc":275,"entry_price":276,"won":12,"source":240,"end_date_iso":277,"captured_at":242,"question":278,"event_slug":279,"category":37},"0x0d28984b01986db6824df82fbcebbf3cba7f830923fc28fe8658598e93d10a0f",13.6663,0.23253871022630596,"2027-01-01T13:00:00Z","Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?","will-databricks-valuation-hit-by-december-31",{"condition_id":281,"outcome":28,"usdc":282,"entry_price":283,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":284,"captured_at":242,"question":285,"event_slug":286,"category":259},"0x1321095e16f2904ccae2520e22e635b69bd4f25fc54afd3d0d838a3bf54550ad",5,0.001,"2025-10-26T12:00:00Z","Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?","which-party-wins-most-seats-in-argentina-deputies-election",{"condition_id":288,"outcome":28,"usdc":289,"entry_price":290,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":249,"captured_at":242,"question":291,"event_slug":292,"category":37},"0x138c8f644e5730c2e4c1f408552babf2b695b9799b213f252cfa2554d0709b71",0.2,0.002,"Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?","anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap",{"condition_id":294,"outcome":28,"usdc":295,"entry_price":296,"won":12,"source":240,"end_date_iso":297,"captured_at":242,"question":298,"event_slug":299,"category":47},"0x182390641d3b1b47cc64274b9da290efd04221c586651ba190880713da6347d9",24,0.16,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027",{"condition_id":301,"outcome":302,"usdc":303,"entry_price":304,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":305,"captured_at":242,"question":306,"event_slug":307,"category":259},"0x1a2ec4f6e34d891e80dbd74ffccd4b40c2f8148fc117ff5ebf07cd9f95602e17","No",24.749581,0.022000000012270097,"2025-11-30T00:00:00Z","Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?","largest-company-end-of-november",{"condition_id":309,"outcome":28,"usdc":310,"entry_price":311,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":305,"captured_at":242,"question":312,"event_slug":307,"category":259},"0x1a36fb7e5cc8fde776749fe45ff7b9a2bc3d3f9a195dac185579b47ec830ce31",50.6,0.028111111111111114,"Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?",{"condition_id":314,"outcome":28,"usdc":315,"entry_price":316,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":317,"captured_at":242,"question":318,"event_slug":319,"category":259},"0x1c711cdf3910be7611ec794f0855cd558dbb42cf4225d66bc0f7999547262e75",9.999900999999996,0.0009999999999999996,"","Will Abdoulaye Yéro Baldé win the 2025 Guinean presidential election?","guinea-presidential-election",{"condition_id":321,"outcome":28,"usdc":322,"entry_price":323,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":324,"captured_at":242,"question":325,"event_slug":326,"category":259},"0x1d54eb5eac2cee8f595f3097c65da7d07f8ab5dee63d7c0c6883eb70e1e9af30",24.999999,0.2199999944,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-march-31-2026",{"condition_id":328,"outcome":28,"usdc":329,"entry_price":330,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":284,"captured_at":242,"question":331,"event_slug":332,"category":259},"0x1e3d9b0dd4ec88715195d7dcc4e5a700558c932acff03e10c1addaaf7f50d8c2",6.249972999999999,0.0009999999999999998,"Will SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?","which-party-holds-the-most-seats-after-argentina-deputies-election",{"condition_id":334,"outcome":28,"usdc":335,"entry_price":336,"won":12,"source":240,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":242,"question":337,"event_slug":338,"category":259},"0x1e5f7de63584b32689a7a8134238b8d9aef36eaba4c663f82b307b899ef1d039",25.535989,0.5035906607982629,"Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by June 30?","will-epic-games-valuation-hit-by-june-30",{"condition_id":340,"outcome":28,"usdc":341,"entry_price":283,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":342,"captured_at":242,"question":343,"event_slug":344,"category":47},"0x202af343a370924358b0397efd5b812affec245fd60a9f7bdcadc914b6179a3d",9.999894999999999,"2026-06-21T14:00:00Z","Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","colombia-presidential-election",{"condition_id":346,"outcome":28,"usdc":347,"entry_price":348,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":324,"captured_at":242,"question":349,"event_slug":350,"category":259},"0x258132993487f166cbe3d30f2c4c1c2c05e53c634122b2098b29f95efc0142c2",52.25,0.095,"Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?","will-anyone-charged-over-daycare-fraud-in-minnesota-be-deported-by-march-31",{"condition_id":352,"outcome":28,"usdc":353,"entry_price":354,"won":12,"source":240,"end_date_iso":324,"captured_at":242,"question":355,"event_slug":356,"category":259},"0x28f1e9218bcd41ced05faf3c03f026721d87712556bf2828337551f03cae0a01",10.998251,0.22,"Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?","israel-strikes-iran-by-march-31-2026",{"condition_id":358,"outcome":302,"usdc":359,"entry_price":360,"won":12,"source":240,"end_date_iso":361,"captured_at":242,"question":362,"event_slug":363,"category":259},"0x2d7694162cc75eab04f3f412ebed61bb42dd3be4ab0c73614b3db84d80845a3e",14,0.28,"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","Will Almanak FDV above $120M one day after launch?","almanak-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",{"condition_id":365,"outcome":28,"usdc":366,"entry_price":367,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":368,"captured_at":242,"question":369,"event_slug":259,"category":259},"0x2eb5ff4ccdd8538eb4ed5cfbe07f6d4556f606645b00a5e596622123370902b4",19.5,0.0975,"2026-07-01T00:00:00Z","Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by June 30?",{"condition_id":371,"outcome":28,"usdc":372,"entry_price":373,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":374,"captured_at":242,"question":375,"event_slug":376,"category":259},"0x2eb9eba222dffc23e257940cd98810d1d0a446405adc0c4b62615f05fe957c2e",62.35459999999999,0.13676126635253538,"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","Will Tucker Carlson interview Trump by February 28?","will-tucker-carlson-interview-trump-by-february-28",{"condition_id":378,"outcome":28,"usdc":379,"entry_price":380,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":381,"captured_at":242,"question":382,"event_slug":383,"category":259},"0x2f3446f85289e3dface174e1978a513d9f1fcf7eda14646a8cc127eba17d6fbc",4.616364000000001,0.03744994243413533,"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?","3rd-largest-company-end-of-2025",{"condition_id":385,"outcome":28,"usdc":386,"entry_price":387,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":241,"captured_at":242,"question":388,"event_slug":244,"category":37},"0x2ffaa93ef631f224316ca89978580362acc7c49a27a77699ebb07f909bcc069e",2.2362,0.067694675284703,"Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by June 30?",{"condition_id":390,"outcome":28,"usdc":391,"entry_price":392,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":242,"question":393,"event_slug":394,"category":37},"0x30d39ca2b27c7967a0d4f4772638d3b7b690ac55b62f738cbea081def7757e3d",36.199999999999996,0.036199999999999996,"Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by June 30?","will-andurils-valuation-hit-by-june-30",{"condition_id":396,"outcome":28,"usdc":397,"entry_price":398,"won":12,"source":240,"end_date_iso":277,"captured_at":242,"question":399,"event_slug":279,"category":37},"0x3288c98696dcd907522a06cf31edaf952a51ea7b57110b8bd9b5c623a4e8b7af",14.364,0.35,"Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31?",{"condition_id":401,"outcome":28,"usdc":402,"entry_price":86,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":317,"captured_at":242,"question":403,"event_slug":404,"category":259},"0x33d458c0ed08b72a6b021e27b848099b40ae7cf3a4637177cd78b89b6f71ddfa",25,"Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2025?","will-solstice-launch-a-token-by",{"condition_id":406,"outcome":28,"usdc":407,"entry_price":408,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":242,"question":409,"event_slug":410,"category":259},"0x33e3cf2686d34581322b00d8fd9e69575cc5237952a3643ce0e8b64897ddac0a",16.5,0.33,"Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by June 30?","will-lambdas-valuation-hit-by-june-30",{"condition_id":412,"outcome":28,"usdc":413,"entry_price":414,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":381,"captured_at":242,"question":415,"event_slug":416,"category":259},"0x37b0ad99ab9e7e6b535671554140e7c4b029b24d5b7b18b6dda80e175eccd962",48.999161,0.12249950846848835,"Will Trump say \"Polymarket\" by December 31?","will-trump-say-polymarket-by-december-31",{"condition_id":418,"outcome":28,"usdc":419,"entry_price":330,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":256,"captured_at":242,"question":420,"event_slug":258,"category":259},"0x3db21c7500b7ffa52a74e5d54e5cf1e4b134e0eacf6c4d2d83cc05ca610b4cc7",2.499924,"Will Chart Thai Pattana Party (CTPP) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?",{"condition_id":422,"outcome":28,"usdc":423,"entry_price":424,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":425,"captured_at":242,"question":426,"event_slug":427,"category":259},"0x41e183923d05cd3e717f2891f38ba4058bd9182bd314e1c62f75849657df04ae",29.69595900000001,0.09899585540817872,"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?","who-will-trump-pardon-in-2025",{"condition_id":429,"outcome":28,"usdc":430,"entry_price":431,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":242,"question":432,"event_slug":433,"category":259},"0x4247ad6c6fec0d7a699833b1716e30f9e018da01a204fd850ea32ed92a1a2df8",21,0.42,"Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by June 30?","will-perplexitys-valuation-hit-by-june-30",{"condition_id":435,"outcome":28,"usdc":436,"entry_price":437,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":381,"captured_at":242,"question":438,"event_slug":439,"category":259},"0x4457d388431df149bec079e8ee0a59310564954ca8e8e9b417a528371fad6912",2.990746,0.014,"Jerome Powell federally charged in 2025?","jerome-powell-federally-charged-in-2025",{"condition_id":441,"outcome":28,"usdc":442,"entry_price":443,"won":12,"source":240,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":242,"question":444,"event_slug":394,"category":259},"0x44d66271ef9fc2c01930e67c32f9e1e01c3f656bd7c963c0c17ed510503b48ab",27,0.54,"Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by June 30?",{"condition_id":446,"outcome":28,"usdc":447,"entry_price":239,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":249,"captured_at":242,"question":448,"event_slug":449,"category":450},"0x4b04e14bcde7be95db753c88f6fed57423835215bb41937406e75dc22a789b0c",3.4,"Will Stripe’s market cap be $140B or greater at market close on IPO day?","stripe-ipo-closing-market-cap","Business",{"condition_id":452,"outcome":28,"usdc":402,"entry_price":453,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":361,"captured_at":13,"question":454,"event_slug":455,"category":259},"0x4b885b84d42eee16005c09c4d37822b6ed3dd7261b9e04686c08e3f71e4f66c0",0.1,"Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?","solstice-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",{"condition_id":457,"outcome":28,"usdc":458,"entry_price":93,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":242,"question":459,"event_slug":266,"category":259},"0x4cd65621936139342fee39afbd98a4cb402cee03b4ff2e0cdecc48708194156e",2.7513,"Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by June 30?",{"condition_id":461,"outcome":28,"usdc":462,"entry_price":255,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":317,"captured_at":242,"question":463,"event_slug":319,"category":259},"0x4ef150ab47ed1f29218e02c015278b92aa73da03fb024e5d3876d8983f9ca510",4.999879000000002,"Will Elhadj Bouna Keita win the 2025 Guinean presidential election?",{"condition_id":465,"outcome":28,"usdc":466,"entry_price":467,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":242,"question":468,"event_slug":469,"category":37},"0x4fcc440e1b0a5baa55283c20aec089e457eff635eeefc576e51e2e5065e4cb66",23.5,0.235,"Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?","will-openais-valuation-hit-by-june-30",{"condition_id":471,"outcome":28,"usdc":472,"entry_price":473,"won":12,"source":240,"end_date_iso":35,"captured_at":242,"question":474,"event_slug":34,"category":37},"0x51eadfd41576db72d98be1feeb4a75a45872ed952a3a5425376958dd6c4566eb",14.2,0.71,"Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by December 31?",{"condition_id":476,"outcome":28,"usdc":477,"entry_price":478,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":242,"question":479,"event_slug":480,"category":37},"0x57930dc3e9ed94d824a74cf44487ef2d4fc722854f957ec2ae02e316b5574f3e",11.202127,0.06927631670439734,"Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?","will-spacexs-valuation-hit-by-june-30",{"condition_id":482,"outcome":28,"usdc":483,"entry_price":239,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":249,"captured_at":242,"question":484,"event_slug":485,"category":47},"0x5a9d318b1e09d60e6724c5f2fe5790270d8386c5f5de73f288bdca80d8f6812b",1.6896,"Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?","will-kanye-west-visit-the-uk-by-june-30",{"condition_id":487,"outcome":28,"usdc":488,"entry_price":316,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":305,"captured_at":242,"question":489,"event_slug":490,"category":259},"0x5ca4b979bc764b3e137c1e73d04f967324b0c3e37407df285227a8bb58320bce",12.499918999999995,"Will Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?","honduras-presidential-election",{"condition_id":492,"outcome":28,"usdc":493,"entry_price":316,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":317,"captured_at":242,"question":494,"event_slug":319,"category":259},"0x5caf94802a785ee075233b189a6861d7e59847420def8ec2b4b986d7640714b1",7.499874999999999,"Will Faya Lansana Millimono win the 2025 Guinean presidential election?",{"condition_id":496,"outcome":28,"usdc":497,"entry_price":498,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":342,"captured_at":242,"question":499,"event_slug":344,"category":47},"0x60084cd46b5b91797ad397f4c1ffb5d3fcec7c134b705d2796c0f571eedad3b7",9.999968999999991,0.000999999999999999,"Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?",{"condition_id":501,"outcome":28,"usdc":502,"entry_price":330,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":317,"captured_at":242,"question":503,"event_slug":319,"category":259},"0x6088d8f5f91b6c7cc6de82e8f2ce003d44956fb7c968f472c9107f3a5c63a56a",9.999874999999996,"Will Ibrahima Abé Sylla win the 2025 Guinean presidential election?",{"condition_id":505,"outcome":28,"usdc":506,"entry_price":316,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":284,"captured_at":242,"question":507,"event_slug":332,"category":259},"0x62995cb8a7c8c0d216a8882109bd1e05574b5df87d313f06cb3e1cd5593e6d13",6.249868999999999,"Will PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?",{"condition_id":509,"outcome":28,"usdc":510,"entry_price":511,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":249,"captured_at":242,"question":512,"event_slug":513,"category":47},"0x635d4fdd418b1d335b74dbfee01b7e8a9e8003ca60ad4501a0d231b2e87584bd",14.784081,0.4178221714973784,"Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?","greta-thunberg-arrested-by-june-30",{"condition_id":515,"outcome":28,"usdc":516,"entry_price":517,"won":12,"source":240,"end_date_iso":297,"captured_at":242,"question":518,"event_slug":95,"category":37},"0x638cad4278cb693a44655a76ee46535814473b2a3201e5e68b85c096fe54a786",59.8,0.29170731707317077,"Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?",{"condition_id":520,"outcome":28,"usdc":521,"entry_price":522,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":249,"captured_at":242,"question":523,"event_slug":524,"category":525},"0x6786eb0f18f38f4132b3501f142728ba2ed15b72ddc4f65ddde548c509d7f6ff",10.464421999999999,0.00700000001993118,"Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?","largest-company-end-of-june-712","Economy",{"condition_id":527,"outcome":28,"usdc":528,"entry_price":529,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":249,"captured_at":242,"question":530,"event_slug":531,"category":37},"0x6a2a3b719a5f5548945a4dc5a017b1977970fc32da969bdf66c07f63ebd1c236",10.999700000000002,0.10999953878935446,"Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?","meek-mill-gets-y-combinator-funding-by-june-30",{"condition_id":533,"outcome":28,"usdc":534,"entry_price":535,"won":12,"source":240,"end_date_iso":35,"captured_at":242,"question":536,"event_slug":272,"category":37},"0x6cfe7a9e60cccf76f79b654192e32585c1f4808ac1abbe17291386b5dc3d6242",30.6,0.765,"Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?",{"condition_id":538,"outcome":28,"usdc":539,"entry_price":330,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":317,"captured_at":242,"question":540,"event_slug":319,"category":259},"0x6df51b0ecd54c8ad694201aafdac16eb6b9419e84ddeecdf0cd5ddf4d7faf886",7.499866,"Will Abdoulaye Kourouma win the 2025 Guinean presidential election?",{"condition_id":542,"outcome":28,"usdc":543,"entry_price":255,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":256,"captured_at":242,"question":544,"event_slug":258,"category":259},"0x71d0771d9a5ebaf4afe101a8f90056b042418a7f893559f324bb75b26c70145f",2.499975,"Will Kla Tham Party (KT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?",{"condition_id":546,"outcome":302,"usdc":547,"entry_price":548,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":35,"captured_at":242,"question":549,"event_slug":550,"category":73},"0x725720010ccdd170cac8120e551079a19c2c72162055fc08555093c0972a6420",13.394314,0.6700000480081997,"Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $11.5B by December 31?","will-epic-games-valuation-hit-by-december-31",{"condition_id":552,"outcome":28,"usdc":359,"entry_price":553,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":241,"captured_at":242,"question":554,"event_slug":244,"category":259},"0x7c91076df715afc2a07b30d9f3c0533532ec07a8111dca39a58bd77d17ca3124",0.7,"Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $145B by June 30?",{"condition_id":556,"outcome":28,"usdc":557,"entry_price":558,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":381,"captured_at":242,"question":559,"event_slug":383,"category":259},"0x7ebd172721028143f8394737b7f809c023c4bcbe2de7a216e7d13a9045ed1ad8",20.998272,0.21000000089901036,"Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?",{"condition_id":561,"outcome":28,"usdc":562,"entry_price":330,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":256,"captured_at":242,"question":563,"event_slug":258,"category":259},"0x806848013194b21e10e80790b7417dd08b639ab4c256c5cd082c8296868821d9",4.999950999999999,"Will Democrat Party (DP) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?",{"condition_id":565,"outcome":28,"usdc":566,"entry_price":567,"won":12,"source":240,"end_date_iso":249,"captured_at":242,"question":568,"event_slug":569,"category":259},"0x82612bedb300adea234498cdb4754c3bd66d8f128ee51c760d4b3d7417ac11a5",42.247552,0.33800110166742203,"Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?","israel-strikes-iran-by-june-30-2026",{"condition_id":571,"outcome":28,"usdc":572,"entry_price":573,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":249,"captured_at":242,"question":574,"event_slug":575,"category":450},"0x82ea8a008091fd42afc01c27f70f1fdaa9ce5204836dc136ab64aea2bbd0ebb4",3.8288,0.08,"Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?","discord-ipo-closing-market-cap",{"condition_id":577,"outcome":28,"usdc":578,"entry_price":255,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":579,"captured_at":242,"question":580,"event_slug":581,"category":259},"0x83858eafc55348545c8c41494c343508a2c8fe7d9c8e0314300263a3c66924e8",12.499761,"2025-11-16T12:00:00Z","Will Félix González win the Chilean presidential election?","chile-presidential-election",{"condition_id":583,"outcome":28,"usdc":584,"entry_price":283,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":342,"captured_at":242,"question":585,"event_slug":344,"category":47},"0x849a3e762977a9ad6b8e5f449ac7c8abb2756409a1b55759e00262e072bd81a7",9.999994000000001,"Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?",{"condition_id":587,"outcome":28,"usdc":430,"entry_price":431,"won":12,"source":240,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":242,"question":588,"event_slug":589,"category":259},"0x8c5b049da3e966f9c525c361239085f04ba652da692df9576e6d2c0f75879b35","Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12B by June 30?","will-krakens-valuation-hit-by-june-30",{"condition_id":591,"outcome":28,"usdc":592,"entry_price":239,"won":12,"source":240,"end_date_iso":324,"captured_at":242,"question":593,"event_slug":594,"category":259},"0x8ed321b9ad70468de66e0b4f72e49f87156f6cd526168caca07427bcf17bcdb0",11.999628000000001,"Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?","which-company-has-the-top-ai-model-end-of-march-style-control-on",{"condition_id":596,"outcome":28,"usdc":597,"entry_price":598,"won":12,"source":240,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":242,"question":599,"event_slug":433,"category":259},"0x8fa1973b3304a8739ba93a2ad92fcc8624ed2cdefd81ebd20bf19b0f732a2011",15.5,0.31,"Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $17.5B by June 30?",{"condition_id":601,"outcome":28,"usdc":602,"entry_price":603,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":368,"captured_at":242,"question":604,"event_slug":605,"category":37},"0x91b4cffe392ea0c5ef9378cc91876ab26597240a1db2a0085083ef93059ea2bf",5.01,0.020874999999999998,"Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?","will-openais-valuation-hit-high-1pt5t-by-june-30",{"condition_id":607,"outcome":28,"usdc":608,"entry_price":609,"won":12,"source":240,"end_date_iso":249,"captured_at":242,"question":610,"event_slug":611,"category":259},"0x9217baec2dc2666508f3192a147ccfdc6b3779ad3829b81c0e4df630034909b9",38.746988,0.1614521156198508,"Clavicular charged again by June 30?","clavicular-charged-again-by-june-30",{"condition_id":613,"outcome":28,"usdc":614,"entry_price":283,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":284,"captured_at":242,"question":615,"event_slug":332,"category":259},"0x937d7afc09f1d2a16a4daa1928798725ba97c809bccac841d0907117dbccceca",32.499889,"Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?",{"condition_id":617,"outcome":28,"usdc":618,"entry_price":619,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":242,"question":620,"event_slug":266,"category":259},"0x96881b710be12f217230a530bd6ea17e3e9947e822874d5dfc80d2faa1884163",0.747126,0.1300000017,"Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $210B by June 30?",{"condition_id":622,"outcome":28,"usdc":623,"entry_price":330,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":317,"captured_at":242,"question":624,"event_slug":319,"category":259},"0x99c1a04561d97c94410858153046ac3e82d2a9f4319d0ac847a90bd7a5cd7983",4.999879,"Will Mohamed Shérif Tounkara win the 2025 Guinean presidential election?",{"condition_id":626,"outcome":28,"usdc":627,"entry_price":628,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":324,"captured_at":242,"question":629,"event_slug":594,"category":259},"0x9bbc2ed1b78a56b5e8255354e1c9854037ae4930b3c45ff49b6332435ce9f7e7",5.048288,0.03000000010491826,"Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?",{"condition_id":631,"outcome":302,"usdc":632,"entry_price":633,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":35,"captured_at":242,"question":634,"event_slug":550,"category":73},"0x9e1905eea7558ae91df57c28e1fb488f701069c2bdf60ce1a4ed491c40d3ca75",12.8,0.64,"Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $10B by December 31?",{"condition_id":631,"outcome":28,"usdc":636,"entry_price":637,"won":12,"source":240,"end_date_iso":35,"captured_at":242,"question":634,"event_slug":550,"category":73},5.2,0.26,{"condition_id":639,"outcome":28,"usdc":640,"entry_price":316,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":256,"captured_at":242,"question":641,"event_slug":258,"category":259},"0xa0b46e60281cad0c90d04b1345d5a1450b07cfa178d1d606bd5bd2cea9363202",4.9848659999999985,"Will Palang Pracharath Party (PPRP) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?",{"condition_id":643,"outcome":302,"usdc":644,"entry_price":645,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":249,"captured_at":242,"question":646,"event_slug":292,"category":37},"0xaf4c3ba4d1b1568d4309bba0874cb7eec1e5b40a648f4a26b12efa2e9b5ee8a4",36.386497,0.11909639973861869,"Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":648,"outcome":302,"usdc":649,"entry_price":650,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":297,"captured_at":242,"question":651,"event_slug":652,"category":259},"0xaf8805982bfa850ee297c49d93f8168d1a273ca73b252f3c588ac2fba6f0ae08",19.949992,0.057000000110099765,"Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?","next-prime-minister-of-the-netherlands",{"condition_id":654,"outcome":28,"usdc":655,"entry_price":656,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":242,"question":657,"event_slug":338,"category":259},"0xb0c8dfcd50cb6beef42463904f200a2bd302fdeb0db5e0dfb64ba2b852ee836d",13.6,0.17,"Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by June 30?",{"condition_id":659,"outcome":28,"usdc":660,"entry_price":661,"won":12,"source":240,"end_date_iso":35,"captured_at":242,"question":662,"event_slug":34,"category":37},"0xb1863ec16730aefa8b8efc4d4ba7f148b38e4211d63025dddb80bb95abf30671",61.130278,0.18545104512511698,"Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $30B by December 31?",{"condition_id":664,"outcome":28,"usdc":665,"entry_price":498,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":342,"captured_at":242,"question":666,"event_slug":344,"category":47},"0xb21bc2b511694c76f3ff6664836dd3561a916acf59b405b8f21f2ae8af7016fd",9.99994499999999,"Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?",{"condition_id":668,"outcome":28,"usdc":669,"entry_price":255,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":284,"captured_at":242,"question":670,"event_slug":286,"category":259},"0xb2976a6b0d3393b44546adaf56c9c1dd77f11cf5c859f4754f527d0907f049bc",2.7765640000000005,"Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?",{"condition_id":672,"outcome":28,"usdc":673,"entry_price":674,"won":12,"source":240,"end_date_iso":71,"captured_at":242,"question":675,"event_slug":676,"category":37},"0xb3927fc6635743118bfd1bf46d474eb9b1d9eafe49d0cab4e3ef66fe4bd79ad0",65.510178,0.2083593703101319,"Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?","will-lambdas-valuation-hit-by-december-31",{"condition_id":678,"outcome":28,"usdc":679,"entry_price":680,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":284,"captured_at":242,"question":681,"event_slug":286,"category":259},"0xb54dfd7b69391e65fcdeb291e09606e2f3c44ef3a3e7b6dbd1d411a4ed4c2b54",12.499595999999999,0.0009999999999999992,"Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?",{"condition_id":683,"outcome":28,"usdc":684,"entry_price":283,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":297,"captured_at":242,"question":685,"event_slug":652,"category":259},"0xb6bd48fa92be4a8bc52b307d9aa34b1fc79adbf58bc3ab1599a9aef0b4344495",12.5,"Will Caroline van der Plas become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?",{"condition_id":687,"outcome":28,"usdc":688,"entry_price":689,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":342,"captured_at":242,"question":690,"event_slug":344,"category":47},"0xba75e6ba41372e351ed4755f183c1cdb082bd7cf6182a6d80dc445869c09de10",9.999686000000002,0.0010000000000000009,"Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?",{"condition_id":692,"outcome":28,"usdc":693,"entry_price":316,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":317,"captured_at":242,"question":694,"event_slug":319,"category":259},"0xbf37aaf85117c05dcb9eca4e1c9035993332948d88ba06cbdf4ef49ed19b76db",9.999874999999994,"Will Makalé Camara win the 2025 Guinean presidential election?",{"condition_id":696,"outcome":28,"usdc":697,"entry_price":698,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":381,"captured_at":242,"question":699,"event_slug":700,"category":259},"0xc1c4e7857dfd1fe47c1e6a11813aaca3f622a5f47769cd765be8c7a8336af555",27.5,0.022,"Interstellar object confirmed aliens?","interstellar-object-an-alien",{"condition_id":702,"outcome":28,"usdc":703,"entry_price":443,"won":12,"source":240,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":13,"question":705,"event_slug":259,"category":73},"0xc5e48fa8595851e33245dcdb8b44a939d1257bea9c2f055b21e9e3b274419419",16.2,"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31?",{"condition_id":707,"outcome":28,"usdc":708,"entry_price":709,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":381,"captured_at":242,"question":710,"event_slug":711,"category":259},"0xc848576777751e56a4db0eb5e7d4c764afbe80e116fc75584e69c0914be0a5b2",48.399224,0.017285582316864685,"Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?","ukraine-tomahawk-strike-by-december-31",{"condition_id":713,"outcome":28,"usdc":714,"entry_price":715,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":317,"captured_at":242,"question":716,"event_slug":717,"category":259},"0xc9aea75023b81578a98479326ebc8655ff61602a693f1f07930229eb1c496e0c",24.499277000000003,0.009799924171337803,"Maduro in U.S. custody by December 31?","maduro-in-us-custody-by-december-31",{"condition_id":719,"outcome":28,"usdc":720,"entry_price":721,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":249,"captured_at":242,"question":722,"event_slug":723,"category":56},"0xcb8a519f4d8c10c3e60c5c604cac30f38341e4b35f5bcce8356c0ea4698f8952",9,0.06,"Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?","will-kanye-west-visit-israel-by-june-30",{"condition_id":725,"outcome":28,"usdc":726,"entry_price":727,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":249,"captured_at":242,"question":728,"event_slug":575,"category":450},"0xcebea053f03012c2f280c3bc86e5be4068a8dcc0ffbd43f41e43f9a26753f847",24.498375,0.16333516391970923,"Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?",{"condition_id":730,"outcome":28,"usdc":731,"entry_price":732,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":249,"captured_at":242,"question":733,"event_slug":734,"category":47},"0xcecd1388983a8e8afebab7d3f9e226f894f74e1b03c5579e8c4afa7e6b0ab9f3",2.405202,0.016,"Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?","bill-clinton-divorce-by-june-30",{"condition_id":736,"outcome":28,"usdc":737,"entry_price":738,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":249,"captured_at":242,"question":739,"event_slug":575,"category":450},"0xd58512cf94a0bece389afb6a955dde2cc0ffa045b7848339f14de858e052048a",10.999381999999999,0.1100000008989267,"Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?",{"condition_id":741,"outcome":28,"usdc":742,"entry_price":316,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":305,"captured_at":242,"question":743,"event_slug":490,"category":259},"0xdb7d5152831846ed495837d7b96ee5f224abcbad75ff786bc55970800862fc48",12.499880999999998,"Will Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?",{"condition_id":745,"outcome":28,"usdc":746,"entry_price":747,"won":12,"source":240,"end_date_iso":277,"captured_at":242,"question":748,"event_slug":279,"category":37},"0xde6a54170bc8753899d56fa5baaeceae64a2f80e1bbd25f5b7928e3968b20f9a",16.4,0.41,"Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $170B by December 31?",{"condition_id":750,"outcome":28,"usdc":751,"entry_price":86,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":241,"captured_at":242,"question":752,"event_slug":244,"category":259},"0xe5a4626e566dfa4bd140e0d1f2dcbd2527e23f4d46bc29c999ea67e89e664b92",7.516,"Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by June 30?",{"condition_id":754,"outcome":28,"usdc":755,"entry_price":239,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":756,"captured_at":242,"question":757,"event_slug":758,"category":259},"0xe9afd22a2bbf95049074f05d1ffda8d9137526e18a8d9f4aca70989fd740b910",1.855248,"2025-12-01T04:59:59.999Z","Will Tesla reach $495 in November?","what-price-will-tsla-hit-in-november-2025",{"condition_id":760,"outcome":28,"usdc":761,"entry_price":762,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":242,"question":763,"event_slug":469,"category":37},"0xea49cbec737d22bf5502197d540cb7409742c57452689e5cd36e4586bd2197bc",0.954,0.12,"Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?",{"condition_id":765,"outcome":28,"usdc":766,"entry_price":767,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":249,"captured_at":242,"question":768,"event_slug":524,"category":525},"0xf1ed2e6df582b055e94b3ff00b9dce996af9f04c5cc67e9a6fbfef487169c0e7",46.730416999999996,0.013431119157317569,"Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?",{"condition_id":770,"outcome":28,"usdc":462,"entry_price":255,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":317,"captured_at":242,"question":771,"event_slug":319,"category":259},"0xf3ed7c0a55cce34bc2304fb83011a849ec2fd9c49690481733b01a97d43182ba","Will Mohamed Nabé win the 2025 Guinean presidential election?",{"condition_id":773,"outcome":28,"usdc":774,"entry_price":283,"won":17,"source":240,"end_date_iso":256,"captured_at":242,"question":775,"event_slug":258,"category":259},"0xf51ef67a1b3308a48e5987f0e4d37c4fbeb78820febb5f20e023fefcf584141d",4.999779999999999,"Will Prachachat Party (PCC) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?",{"total":777,"wins":430},103,[779,784,787,790,793,795],{"category":73,"n":780,"wins":781,"hitRate":782,"roi":783},65,11,0.16923076923076924,-0.04621373935690643,{"category":37,"n":206,"wins":720,"hitRate":785,"roi":786},0.45,1.5157850287551173,{"category":47,"n":781,"wins":12,"hitRate":788,"roi":789},0.09090909090909091,0.3987013095639403,{"category":450,"n":791,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":792},4,-1,{"category":525,"n":794,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":792},2,{"category":56,"n":12,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":792},{"generatedAt":797},"2026-11-03T02:04:29.546Z"]