[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x22e4248bdb066f65c9f11cd66cdd3719a28eef1c":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":206,"history":207,"resolved":307,"resolvedSummary":915,"specialization":918,"meta":948},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x22e4248bdb066f65c9f11cd66cdd3719a28eef1c",9945,5036,0.6237092930897538,0.08674688188673911,0.14117098541544426,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-25T19:41:58.738Z",378.5231050820085,1.6429869486205189,"2026-09-25T16:02:35.000Z",0,"trades",0.5852628336305388,0.0384464594591949,165360.58060691986,1906242.3571929948,3.84464594591949,0.01047658175842235,[26,39,50,59,68,77,86,97,106,115,122,130,138,146,156,163,173,182,190,197],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"55646219597856189899881677374172135376492662817148728033424581863530537477107","0x32e869cb0f7316273417ec79aa94c8a139f8c390ebff8a24150a18753d257f8e","No",15297.1453,0.87,"2026-09-29T14:29:53.480Z","2026-07-13T20:01:03.591Z","Will GameStop acquire eBay?","will-gamestop-acquire-ebay","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]","Other",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":48,"category":49},"111344475342969784116702975577723982549674037196345086059563486202499238579830","0xa08a5ce99e14ce0b22767af6f16c08a2ab012249444c20887193a9a3e98e11fc",10000,0.885,"2026-09-25T21:00:52.110Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-september-30-20260702154339440","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]","Politics",{"token_id":51,"condition_id":52,"outcome":29,"size":53,"avg_price":54,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":55,"question":56,"event_slug":57,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":58,"category":49},"111094090837649765214249428313341768842963554572116350745061757857767411424456","0xff68b32e6543ae8b44ccb520604b6ea224a1bac071a186fb65f6f40949a758df",6764.56,0.6766,"2026-06-22T10:52:14.485Z"," Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?","iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-december-31","[\"0.095\", \"0.905\"]",{"token_id":60,"condition_id":61,"outcome":29,"size":62,"avg_price":63,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":64,"event_slug":65,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":66,"outcome_prices":67,"category":49},"34469274651136131348321516150438492438660307886630693950137200696755429925073","0x0c9ada12c527451fbdd43c0397a8a006b8aaf2a01567ae069d37220b51937595",10031.7157,0.3456,"Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?","los-angeles-mayoral-election-117","2026-06-03T03:59:00Z","[\"0.415\", \"0.585\"]",{"token_id":69,"condition_id":70,"outcome":71,"size":72,"avg_price":73,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":74,"event_slug":75,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":76,"category":49},"94559586571241563470235664821564670251180951772614764383113614156422396181162","0xd9fb1184af0064e5e34b129f5b79afa5a17b7e32f2953ab05efed82315fee6d4","Yes",50024.0661,0.0415,"Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?","will-china-invade-taiwan-before-2027","[\"0.0335\", \"0.9665\"]",{"token_id":78,"condition_id":79,"outcome":29,"size":80,"avg_price":81,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":82,"event_slug":83,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":84,"outcome_prices":48,"category":85},"39562648310362326019310777383934329156732122520097749727753250850874074269403","0x2450ec499544c566d0de8bbd7739fb68b598c6ad380f0c1ddf3b731d42ec6b19",2000,0.795,"Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?","anthropic-ipo-by","2027-07-01T00:00:00Z","Business",{"token_id":87,"condition_id":88,"outcome":71,"size":89,"avg_price":90,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":91,"question":92,"event_slug":93,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":94,"outcome_prices":95,"category":96},"34645116342944064409326467678914155626386949325571132757704393658949138736927","0xeb85e2b50d4d691325f8e906fff3ab156ad7d2b4086d7b5c19108d601969c628",4431.7225,0.24,"2026-05-29T12:10:53.671Z","Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?","major-meteor-strike-10kt-in-2026","2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]","Tech",{"token_id":98,"condition_id":99,"outcome":29,"size":100,"avg_price":101,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":102,"event_slug":103,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":104,"outcome_prices":105,"category":49},"112428165813371561912833460698436648539922320261306010177252036814838759682453","0x405b56fc75f56d7635a94df9836d6cb6f9b9571d1fd33eb165c1e59d1d11801f",999.99,0.8049,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-october-31-20260810151043583","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.046\", \"0.954\"]",{"token_id":107,"condition_id":108,"outcome":71,"size":109,"avg_price":110,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":111,"event_slug":112,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":113,"outcome_prices":114,"category":49},"39304778737903437923367588791275882452466557469208611430474206291179458010087","0xed4fd09a24f20a3afc1d722ace811fffff3cffd9a56a3fbffc47f4d3d47a88ed",687.79,0.7781,"Blue wave in 2026?","blue-wave-in-2026","2027-01-05T04:59:00Z","[\"0.875\", \"0.125\"]",{"token_id":116,"condition_id":117,"outcome":29,"size":118,"avg_price":119,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":120,"event_slug":83,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":84,"outcome_prices":121,"category":85},"85723516070077730883105909049388061597049173281613201910087943908235778734129","0x8062cf78d93f9202f4c0a1018d141f4af35d486a368f07e65265f27d48b4e040",1175.9704,0.3899,"Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?","[\"0.043\", \"0.957\"]",{"token_id":123,"condition_id":124,"outcome":71,"size":125,"avg_price":126,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":91,"question":127,"event_slug":128,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":129,"category":85},"110919823681366572848644726084407500574182275918205089812967934254809885857695","0x7844ad013088564a11d5d4d3b1766c57ad936a55247f0ae1efe28180d7285af3",1512.411,0.26,"OpenAI IPO before 2027?","ipos-before-2027","[\"0.0375\", \"0.9625\"]",{"token_id":131,"condition_id":132,"outcome":71,"size":133,"avg_price":134,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":91,"question":135,"event_slug":136,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":94,"outcome_prices":137,"category":96},"100830894412052252126474210679586760999398120653687309086983729387070830149789","0x1c66ddebd71554a554cbdeeab22baf19898a1c6f8bd50302d7b54e47c4c91106",709.2892,0.5099,"5kt meteor strike in 2026?","5kt-meteor-strike-in-2026","[\"0.2\", \"0.8\"]",{"token_id":139,"condition_id":140,"outcome":71,"size":141,"avg_price":142,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":143,"question":144,"event_slug":83,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":84,"outcome_prices":145,"category":85},"102491834259396605099984704792204428857479145328689756109746632539055408031368","0x94ae8e5414e036e2e9b6b6514c048042bf74d089614d7f7d73635693f9d5186b",836.21,0.2417,"2026-09-29T06:38:24.637Z","Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?","[\"0.265\", \"0.735\"]",{"token_id":147,"condition_id":148,"outcome":71,"size":149,"avg_price":150,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":151,"event_slug":152,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":153,"outcome_prices":154,"category":155},"75709176002095002750849246474632950002002754664889687639694766976351879509078","0x1559fd02f1e6dc9ac3b3ed7fb41aa53e10df2a32d3ebbcab516efcaec6117d9e",498.53,0.3907,"Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?","will-cmi-declare-a-millennium-prize-problem-solved-by-20260723160122979","2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.355\", \"0.645\"]","Culture",{"token_id":157,"condition_id":158,"outcome":71,"size":159,"avg_price":160,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":161,"event_slug":152,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":162,"category":155},"45565240149392050142546950784985477240716466215486323573506793454356200062569","0x24d28f36ea7fb7c729b108e3992b4df869a0112e6f2aa546d43f80a0a9136e40",1395.75,0.1082,"Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.03\", \"0.97\"]",{"token_id":164,"condition_id":165,"outcome":71,"size":166,"avg_price":167,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":168,"question":169,"event_slug":170,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":171,"outcome_prices":172,"category":49},"42865728742506860386768556888821101266630139112044622335353850919229585308601","0x723822eb2b143cee54c0bd7c1efba322b21f0051984c266df8879c394f1011c0",781.14,0.18,"2026-09-28T18:43:56.091Z","Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-december-20260729232808632","2026-12-09T23:59:00Z","[\"0.23\", \"0.77\"]",{"token_id":174,"condition_id":175,"outcome":29,"size":176,"avg_price":177,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":178,"event_slug":179,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":180,"outcome_prices":181,"category":49},"10237931514669206459738969692446839841298207240577627133216632526823089267744","0xad06f38dbe6058465304718be47cde48763aa313a9b2cc90b290598a8d9a78d5",30,0.51,"Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?","lindsay-clancy-sentenced-to-prison-time","2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.04\", \"0.96\"]",{"token_id":183,"condition_id":184,"outcome":29,"size":185,"avg_price":186,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":55,"question":187,"event_slug":188,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":189,"category":49},"1386525357371202129145679639000120452627318201688913224557302361203724361009","0xa846b7f3dc58aad969893ed9ba339e2b8c71d98081c3ddb36ee7e3b25eb613eb",10.1228,0.6313," Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?","will-seattle-seahawks-visit-the-white-house-in-2026","[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]",{"token_id":191,"condition_id":192,"outcome":71,"size":193,"avg_price":194,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":143,"question":195,"event_slug":170,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":171,"outcome_prices":196,"category":49},"111662129652828266889360374468657435151479595863413519836161861837506140152890","0x8a4196617dcb703e49d9bb36d3847bf6a75fd364dbd19f8d408ac944bf1a03d8",5.6666,0.76,"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?","[\"0.75\", \"0.25\"]",{"token_id":198,"condition_id":199,"outcome":71,"size":200,"avg_price":201,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":202,"question":203,"event_slug":204,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":205,"category":155},"89909070515668635313737534406586714835060024441811173465292334317572005739172","0x4a2b3cb40921787b64edfc78a1b6f93fb5aea907da50466d61df4cfe2c97ab5c",1.6002,0.5,"2026-07-03T01:03:28.021Z","Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?","will-an-artwork-sell-for-150-million-by-december-31","[\"0.48\", \"0.52\"]",[],[208,214,221,228,230,237,242,247,254,260,266,272,278,283,288,293,299,305],{"recorded_date":209,"roi":210,"win_rate":211,"brier_score":212,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":213,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-05-29",0.051894581604210434,0.4980694980694981,0.05053543917302253,518,{"recorded_date":215,"roi":216,"win_rate":217,"brier_score":218,"p_value":219,"resolved_trades":220,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-01",0.2563955200833946,0.33210332103321033,0.038011344105156455,0.8808,271,{"recorded_date":222,"roi":223,"win_rate":224,"brier_score":225,"p_value":226,"resolved_trades":227,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-05",0.36300802728437465,0.40460526315789475,0.04863359167341217,0.06580000000000008,304,{"recorded_date":229,"roi":223,"win_rate":224,"brier_score":225,"p_value":226,"resolved_trades":227,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-08",{"recorded_date":231,"roi":232,"win_rate":233,"brier_score":234,"p_value":235,"resolved_trades":236,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-15",0.5329750223615486,0.39299610894941633,0.03403457965743509,0.01079999999999992,257,{"recorded_date":238,"roi":239,"win_rate":12,"brier_score":240,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":241,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":12},"2026-06-22",0.3780238074591216,0.07126974654749689,335,{"recorded_date":243,"roi":244,"win_rate":12,"brier_score":245,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":246,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-06-29",0.2529369111119718,0.04546226844056447,532,{"recorded_date":248,"roi":249,"win_rate":250,"brier_score":251,"p_value":252,"resolved_trades":253,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-06",0.1633289327344209,0.5877192982456141,0.01731184870073263,0.046599999999999975,456,{"recorded_date":255,"roi":256,"win_rate":257,"brier_score":258,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":259,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-07-13",0.16145904251085294,0.7375690607734806,0.01645111282612718,362,{"recorded_date":261,"roi":262,"win_rate":263,"brier_score":264,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":265,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-07-20",0.16444686691348442,0.8870431893687708,0.017088381185681085,301,{"recorded_date":267,"roi":268,"win_rate":269,"brier_score":270,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":271,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-07-27",0.16666223365836838,0.9708029197080292,0.01788448608949971,274,{"recorded_date":273,"roi":274,"win_rate":275,"brier_score":276,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":277,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-04",0.14801950638878114,0.9631336405529954,0.015287555257088218,217,{"recorded_date":279,"roi":280,"win_rate":12,"brier_score":281,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":282,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-12",0.1416726811650561,0.01494751185446459,181,{"recorded_date":284,"roi":285,"win_rate":12,"brier_score":286,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":287,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-19",0.145437182855464,0.015425159281871496,155,{"recorded_date":289,"roi":290,"win_rate":12,"brier_score":291,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":292,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-26",0.14588639641727794,0.015513242979179352,151,{"recorded_date":294,"roi":295,"win_rate":12,"brier_score":296,"p_value":297,"resolved_trades":298,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-02",0.16417539057813213,0.019965713722057188,0.016799999999999926,35,{"recorded_date":300,"roi":301,"win_rate":302,"brier_score":303,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":304,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-17",-0.013857419896273846,0.5043859649122807,0.21349515019922358,1140,{"recorded_date":306,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-25",[308,317,326,333,336,343,349,356,363,370,377,385,393,399,405,411,414,421,427,434,440,443,450,458,465,468,476,480,487,494,501,507,512,519,527,534,541,548,551,557,563,570,577,580,588,595,598,603,609,615,620,625,631,637,644,647,653,660,667,672,680,686,691,696,699,705,708,714,719,726,732,739,744,748,753,759,765,772,779,787,793,799,806,812,817,825,831,838,844,847,854,860,867,872,879,885,892,898,903,910],{"condition_id":309,"outcome":71,"usdc":310,"entry_price":311,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":313,"captured_at":314,"question":315,"event_slug":316,"category":49},"0x00925aafdbb3fbec14b49f343eb430ddb9cc1f827e5934b5513703d13f2851de",4646.865727999999,0.32830113736112393,"backfill","2026-08-11T00:00:00Z","2026-09-17T20:51:53.055Z","Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?","wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":318,"outcome":29,"usdc":319,"entry_price":320,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":321,"captured_at":322,"question":323,"event_slug":324,"category":325},"0x014cc3cd3a8ffe5ac6a63e417214c8b847755cd20a1642861eda6bb81cbb94b5",79.997945,0.08000000012001587,"2026-04-23","2026-06-15T09:28:03.979Z","Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?","will-trump-publicly-insult-someone-on",null,{"condition_id":327,"outcome":29,"usdc":328,"entry_price":329,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":330,"captured_at":13,"question":331,"event_slug":332,"category":49},"0x0e2e5c0146c730a2e4ef8031c9128b4efef451a9f4832f42b46997926f9e1303",1.749,0.3,"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?","la-mayoral-election-who-will-advance-to-the-2nd-round",{"condition_id":327,"outcome":71,"usdc":334,"entry_price":335,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":330,"captured_at":13,"question":331,"event_slug":332,"category":49},20.95668,0.69,{"condition_id":337,"outcome":71,"usdc":338,"entry_price":339,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":340,"captured_at":322,"question":341,"event_slug":342,"category":325},"0x0e86930b87a67ec47668db97562b62863e177ed9e8fc9bc6a475e08d155b1cb6",518.7254,0.8460698092,"2026-06-10T00:00:00Z","Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?","will-a-claude-mythos-model-be-released-by-june-10-2026-989",{"condition_id":344,"outcome":71,"usdc":345,"entry_price":346,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":313,"captured_at":314,"question":347,"event_slug":348,"category":49},"0x125d64e41a8b3225d81e84ec1fbeb58b1d8091fa9d54a9f500e01a00586baf9a",25090.40992,0.7146269080919304,"Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?","minnesota-democratic-senate-primary-winner",{"condition_id":350,"outcome":71,"usdc":351,"entry_price":352,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":353,"captured_at":13,"question":354,"event_slug":355,"category":325},"0x1480b819d03d4b6388d70e848b0384adf38c38d955cb783cdbcf6d4a436dee14",67149.986328,0.7461110957804017,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?","next-prime-minister-of-hungary",{"condition_id":357,"outcome":71,"usdc":358,"entry_price":359,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":360,"captured_at":314,"question":361,"event_slug":362,"category":325},"0x1a716766423ff8a4e3f45b3cd69fad6c05d33452e29eb15d3a990661463ade08",4110.799963,0.8900000002,"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?","south-carolina-senate-special-republican-primary-first-round-winner-20260721172033648",{"condition_id":364,"outcome":71,"usdc":365,"entry_price":366,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":367,"captured_at":13,"question":368,"event_slug":369,"category":325},"0x1d54eb5eac2cee8f595f3097c65da7d07f8ab5dee63d7c0c6883eb70e1e9af30",109.505846,0.003,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-march-31-2026",{"condition_id":371,"outcome":29,"usdc":372,"entry_price":373,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":374,"captured_at":314,"question":375,"event_slug":376,"category":325},"0x1dd71d349452e231f1915821337ed87f5b35856f9320337c85ff2bd6b92f93e6",74.37894700000001,0.8121839161607936,"2026-07-15T23:59:00Z","Iran successfully targets shipping on July 15?","iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260625225210236",{"condition_id":378,"outcome":379,"usdc":380,"entry_price":381,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":13,"question":383,"event_slug":384,"category":325},"0x261619a081b347ff183cc4b315647ee98e6645552f65bbeffe15cc83a9d07d26","Texas Tech Red Raiders",7800,0.52,"2026-03-22T16:00:00Z","Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide","cbb-txtech-ala-2026-03-22",{"condition_id":386,"outcome":29,"usdc":387,"entry_price":388,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":389,"captured_at":390,"question":391,"event_slug":392,"category":49},"0x2cd24d17f5680dc6e7b7d67c712a223ae85550745597e81bd2d2b8d073443951",47935.271824999996,0.7408753587700251,"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","2026-06-22T10:36:51.080Z","Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","peru-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":394,"outcome":29,"usdc":395,"entry_price":396,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":367,"captured_at":13,"question":397,"event_slug":398,"category":325},"0x306d10d4a4d51b41910dbc779ca00908bd917c131541c5c42bbbc736258d2d56",10158.431644999999,0.7964649068701245,"US forces enter Iran by March 31?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-march-31-222-191-243-517-878-439-519",{"condition_id":400,"outcome":29,"usdc":401,"entry_price":402,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":403,"captured_at":322,"question":404,"event_slug":324,"category":325},"0x31a9899cddf48688f00cb0e651650310443fa3607510553cb5ab58dc915128bd",79.99559599999999,0.08000000024070973,"2026-04-20T00:00:00Z","Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?",{"condition_id":406,"outcome":29,"usdc":407,"entry_price":408,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":389,"captured_at":13,"question":409,"event_slug":410,"category":49},"0x366f89649caea042c96ee741b185461ec7faa408a2664ec44469a0061924b537",3357.145200000001,0.5204376013465256,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":406,"outcome":71,"usdc":412,"entry_price":413,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":389,"captured_at":13,"question":409,"event_slug":410,"category":49},6891.970921000001,0.45861365092480344,{"condition_id":415,"outcome":29,"usdc":416,"entry_price":417,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":418,"captured_at":390,"question":419,"event_slug":420,"category":49},"0x3c169e95aea67be5fac1529b3ad8e891fe97ec54d1f272fab43b02cce948f6c2",37945.4808,0.793701449265031,"","Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","makerfield-by-election-winner",{"condition_id":422,"outcome":29,"usdc":423,"entry_price":424,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":418,"captured_at":13,"question":425,"event_slug":426,"category":325},"0x3c6bcb7da14ea576e5af25547dbd96f2bb24ac34e748e76aecff2ee9195dd1ac",3087.707629,0.8700000008937168,"US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by",{"condition_id":428,"outcome":71,"usdc":429,"entry_price":430,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":431,"captured_at":322,"question":432,"event_slug":433,"category":325},"0x3de1a705488234aeb80ac36e158e7539616d4d02014bfbf233a6214e3623fd17",916.3199999999999,0.7535526315789474,"2026-04-15","GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?","gpt-5pt5-released-by",{"condition_id":435,"outcome":29,"usdc":436,"entry_price":437,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":438,"captured_at":13,"question":439,"event_slug":410,"category":49},"0x421bc1929df1429cf2cb94f80c1ce6a3ed0d1f0b7a2749b9890075f94eb549e9",60444.62000200001,0.5740796001089877,"2026-05-26T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?",{"condition_id":435,"outcome":71,"usdc":441,"entry_price":442,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":438,"captured_at":13,"question":439,"event_slug":410,"category":49},1050,0.105,{"condition_id":444,"outcome":29,"usdc":445,"entry_price":446,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":447,"captured_at":314,"question":448,"event_slug":449,"category":49},"0x47ec761ae98d7c28b20c0222f1507e3af0f198a904f86b4a264b2e987f0b80c7",8450,0.845,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080",{"condition_id":451,"outcome":452,"usdc":453,"entry_price":454,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":455,"captured_at":13,"question":456,"event_slug":457,"category":325},"0x4894a87bf837238e58bba3768d046a053946bc54fd8c800f7cd2a561f1796977","Kansas Jayhawks",7799.899535000003,0.3900000004179418,"2026-03-22T21:15:00Z","St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks","cbb-stjohn-kan-2026-03-22",{"condition_id":459,"outcome":29,"usdc":460,"entry_price":461,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":462,"captured_at":13,"question":463,"event_slug":464,"category":325},"0x4c5701bcde0b8fb7d7f48c8e9d20245a6caa58c61a77f981fad98f2bfa0b1bc7",3519.660625,0.8496561140930231,"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-april-7",{"condition_id":459,"outcome":71,"usdc":466,"entry_price":467,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":462,"captured_at":13,"question":463,"event_slug":464,"category":325},6955.86846,0.896868310278237,{"condition_id":469,"outcome":470,"usdc":471,"entry_price":472,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":473,"captured_at":13,"question":474,"event_slug":475,"category":325},"0x4ef8323193ded8cf5f54bad711a61fb9f2b29588f2663d126d0174e5fabbe054","Louisville Cardinals",17499.997036999994,0.3500000000089999,"2026-03-21T04:00:00Z","Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans","cbb-lou-mst-2026-03-21",{"condition_id":469,"outcome":477,"usdc":478,"entry_price":479,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":473,"captured_at":13,"question":474,"event_slug":475,"category":325},"Michigan State Spartans",5821.293464999982,0.640000003028783,{"condition_id":481,"outcome":71,"usdc":482,"entry_price":483,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":484,"captured_at":13,"question":485,"event_slug":486,"category":49},"0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64",54700.36678999999,0.8106710772405069,"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?","which-party-will-gain-most-seats-in-russian-parliamentary-election",{"condition_id":488,"outcome":71,"usdc":489,"entry_price":490,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":491,"captured_at":13,"question":492,"event_slug":493,"category":49},"0x51a7c8afb7a0e09b8b47643171d90f400de23a176c4ea06f6552d6e53213839c",159.5372,0.3799047483,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Iran closes its airspace by June 30?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":495,"outcome":71,"usdc":496,"entry_price":497,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":498,"captured_at":322,"question":499,"event_slug":500,"category":325},"0x57c1e8de9d359a76055fe1be95e46a1e72d0537811dcc2ccf070cdfa73d8ba33",1709.8734,0.7669588502839303,"2026-05-31T23:55:00Z","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?","trump-announces-end-of-military-operations-against-iran-by",{"condition_id":502,"outcome":29,"usdc":503,"entry_price":504,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":505,"captured_at":322,"question":506,"event_slug":324,"category":325},"0x599fe5a0ce8118b708b738b476a93d43191b6f89d0d64fb3eb8899c384af950e",79.99837900000001,0.08000000011188914,"2026-04-22","Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?",{"condition_id":508,"outcome":29,"usdc":509,"entry_price":510,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":353,"captured_at":13,"question":511,"event_slug":355,"category":325},"0x5ec80dc407457301f282a2b44341947afc700dfaa7923d14c8894e04bc63b03f",26499.935318,0.7571426963234748,"Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?",{"condition_id":513,"outcome":71,"usdc":514,"entry_price":515,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":516,"captured_at":314,"question":517,"event_slug":518,"category":325},"0x5f0f80c1d904c0348409832375a6d36580f9a552295ae3dba2595adfcea84a97",64.00212,0.6326535127028999,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?","largest-company-end-of-july-20260624192302727",{"condition_id":520,"outcome":521,"usdc":522,"entry_price":523,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":524,"captured_at":13,"question":525,"event_slug":526,"category":325},"0x61edd42d81c809c76b5665e4b30747590ecc51126a4071b3b0cf821d4ae2d9a4","VCU Rams",16000,0.16,"2026-03-21T16:00:00Z","VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini","cbb-vcu-ill-2026-03-21",{"condition_id":528,"outcome":29,"usdc":529,"entry_price":530,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":531,"captured_at":322,"question":532,"event_slug":533,"category":325},"0x6213a4e3c9657d2caf897624d50dd1540d39664b081b5fce96be0e9b195bdf69",869.991433,0.870000000771164,"2026-04-30","Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?","gpt-5pt5-released-on",{"condition_id":535,"outcome":536,"usdc":537,"entry_price":538,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":473,"captured_at":13,"question":539,"event_slug":540,"category":325},"0x65933c93527508665229e5d49cd68907731f92e46f02672b02160504f4d111f4","Duke Blue Devils",300.8108,0.86,"TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils","cbb-tcu-duke-2026-03-21",{"condition_id":542,"outcome":29,"usdc":543,"entry_price":544,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":545,"captured_at":13,"question":546,"event_slug":547,"category":325},"0x6747bae2269c348786d0c0c0f4286ac006f13f16325d4dcbab954b46de029f19",31481.340148,0.5680630418339845,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?","clavicular-pregnancy-in-2026",{"condition_id":542,"outcome":71,"usdc":549,"entry_price":550,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":545,"captured_at":13,"question":546,"event_slug":547,"category":325},797.9277000000001,0.7537361495497445,{"condition_id":552,"outcome":29,"usdc":553,"entry_price":554,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":555,"captured_at":13,"question":556,"event_slug":500,"category":325},"0x68beecc857017df8663fa36c0c86310dec7305aa88fe830c94651391314afc1c",4400,0.88,"2026-04-15T23:55:00Z","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?",{"condition_id":558,"outcome":29,"usdc":559,"entry_price":560,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":561,"captured_at":322,"question":562,"event_slug":324,"category":325},"0x6bbbb15e035b4e2a79830bb6adb5de5b02e27b73f3a3693b020ef7387626892f",79.999008,0.08,"2026-04-21T00:00:00Z","Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?",{"condition_id":564,"outcome":71,"usdc":565,"entry_price":566,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":567,"captured_at":13,"question":568,"event_slug":569,"category":49},"0x6c9bd12ca2dded7eb4c688a3200e94f143cc95984eb1952ab71f7ec31e07cf8c",258.6368,0.38720858895705523,"2026-09-20T00:00:00Z","Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?","mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-election-winner",{"condition_id":571,"outcome":29,"usdc":572,"entry_price":573,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":574,"captured_at":13,"question":575,"event_slug":576,"category":325},"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246",9229.822053,0.47333323576825775,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","US forces enter Iran by April 30?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-april-30-899",{"condition_id":571,"outcome":71,"usdc":578,"entry_price":579,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":574,"captured_at":13,"question":575,"event_slug":576,"category":325},3099.994778,0.6200000000524759,{"condition_id":581,"outcome":582,"usdc":583,"entry_price":584,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":585,"captured_at":13,"question":586,"event_slug":587,"category":325},"0x6e98165eba914614002d6462a847867bece25d7dec8c29ec6c77870b6a5b5b15","Purdue Boilermakers",11250,0.75,"2026-03-22T04:00:00Z","Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers","cbb-mia-pur-2026-03-22",{"condition_id":589,"outcome":29,"usdc":590,"entry_price":591,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":592,"captured_at":314,"question":593,"event_slug":594,"category":49},"0x6f78fd69fd6dafb695a8f4074dac11971b1da612bd150aa0c837efbd86417292",5189.997100999998,0.7414282563192911,"2026-06-16T00:00:00Z","Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?","oklahoma-governor-republican-primary-winner",{"condition_id":589,"outcome":71,"usdc":596,"entry_price":597,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":592,"captured_at":314,"question":593,"event_slug":594,"category":49},2162.8747000000003,0.4521575225378287,{"condition_id":599,"outcome":71,"usdc":600,"entry_price":601,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":531,"captured_at":322,"question":602,"event_slug":533,"category":325},"0x704a7b123805bc24337695f260c664effc8135bfb294336c6415958ab9ceeb77",846.7549700000002,0.720000001491001,"Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?",{"condition_id":604,"outcome":71,"usdc":605,"entry_price":606,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":531,"captured_at":13,"question":607,"event_slug":608,"category":325},"0x7434b22007745d99095c102119fdb6b975d34869212e9dda4c6c5c48db0683a7",500,0.02,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-april-30-2026",{"condition_id":610,"outcome":29,"usdc":611,"entry_price":612,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":613,"captured_at":13,"question":614,"event_slug":426,"category":325},"0x773abaa5fe55e5cde51a261f444b7921652a4e059ead6b3be9fe56499c2d4609",4834.271358,0.7267304894717256,"2026-04-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?",{"condition_id":616,"outcome":29,"usdc":617,"entry_price":618,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":567,"captured_at":13,"question":619,"event_slug":569,"category":49},"0x7742a04b33fb5a5b15474a7c70f3c073922c1f471bddc66ceb01c1ffd1841829",625.63395,0.39405620210048253,"Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?",{"condition_id":621,"outcome":71,"usdc":622,"entry_price":623,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":418,"captured_at":13,"question":624,"event_slug":420,"category":49},"0x77954e0830eafc9539916c591f717fb0635f6483bc9949524cb46483cd9b9d39",41181.78774900002,0.7752041501014827,"Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?",{"condition_id":626,"outcome":29,"usdc":627,"entry_price":628,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":629,"captured_at":322,"question":630,"event_slug":324,"category":325},"0x7da9af875e80930fed70c6920acf88ce37b79caef518aa4e287fbb77487b0ed7",79.99540400000002,0.08000000015912626,"2026-04-25","Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?",{"condition_id":632,"outcome":71,"usdc":633,"entry_price":584,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":634,"captured_at":314,"question":635,"event_slug":636,"category":325},"0x833f0bac240ad7d5c947d58a8acac0f77a74cf03dccd8f9b72a28811836a920f",972.5625000000001,"2026-08-14T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?","us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-byptptpt-2-week-pause-20260715194822042",{"condition_id":638,"outcome":29,"usdc":639,"entry_price":640,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":641,"captured_at":314,"question":642,"event_slug":643,"category":49},"0x876506d8b2bd7a0d3fa4fe18c024eee6e1dd81ee24c26795dadd6cfe4a7b5d0d",6699.989858999999,0.4466667096738624,"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-september-762",{"condition_id":638,"outcome":71,"usdc":645,"entry_price":646,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":641,"captured_at":314,"question":642,"event_slug":643,"category":49},117257.975,0.8031034482758621,{"condition_id":648,"outcome":29,"usdc":649,"entry_price":650,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":651,"captured_at":390,"question":652,"event_slug":325,"category":96},"0x8d7fe55c527d3f1cc689bc21d407d3bc28c8dc6968685a7ab666bc0a2e669e0c",83.72625,0.6640631782,"2026-06-19T00:00:00Z","Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 19, 2026?",{"condition_id":654,"outcome":71,"usdc":655,"entry_price":656,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":657,"captured_at":314,"question":658,"event_slug":659,"category":49},"0x8e0c12663aac3ff057b2b3954864e2370ec1a9c94992104996f79f7da097cda1",8256.474816,0.8234693552308117,"2026-09-08T00:00:00Z","Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?","nh-01-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":661,"outcome":29,"usdc":662,"entry_price":663,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":664,"captured_at":322,"question":665,"event_slug":666,"category":96},"0x93f2e17cfd239c4667eb3d41ff04e2cd1ae6f3f663210cbc42ec1296ff880805",1650,0.55,"2027-12-31T00:00:00Z","SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?","spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-above",{"condition_id":668,"outcome":71,"usdc":669,"entry_price":670,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":545,"captured_at":13,"question":671,"event_slug":410,"category":49},"0x9769f78cbc95a5ed11895e6064bac471d8fd8f930b260cf581b68d3f58630d27",3200,0.8,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":673,"outcome":674,"usdc":675,"entry_price":676,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":677,"captured_at":13,"question":678,"event_slug":679,"category":325},"0x9c61c6cf2cafa7f667ef51c7e10ef29fa9bfa0b7a620cc7fcbe81694123a29dc","Houston Cougars",9278.684488,0.8200000002032184,"2026-03-21T22:10:00Z","Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars","cbb-txam-hou-2026-03-21",{"condition_id":681,"outcome":71,"usdc":682,"entry_price":683,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":491,"captured_at":13,"question":684,"event_slug":685,"category":49},"0x9d3f02264a94bafc676afd7add8b11442e6ec72dabaa69cefef835f0672275c7",23780.929680999987,0.636471795564855," Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?","iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-june-30",{"condition_id":687,"outcome":29,"usdc":688,"entry_price":689,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":516,"captured_at":314,"question":690,"event_slug":518,"category":325},"0xa38f0aba5b78cfc9894826c431dc6c8b16e1dff8bb1f4ff3b9ab51d35e12cd55",2161.172409,0.4438212208391713,"Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?",{"condition_id":692,"outcome":29,"usdc":693,"entry_price":694,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":641,"captured_at":314,"question":695,"event_slug":643,"category":49},"0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a",17800,0.89,"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":692,"outcome":71,"usdc":697,"entry_price":698,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":641,"captured_at":314,"question":695,"event_slug":643,"category":49},21099.990602,0.49647061945182913,{"condition_id":700,"outcome":29,"usdc":701,"entry_price":702,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":703,"captured_at":13,"question":704,"event_slug":376,"category":325},"0xa43e21ce35fc95114ea4707654c4a666b27678daa42329de3101987b624ee821",611.76351,0.2701992429729891,"2026-07-13T23:59:00Z","Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?",{"condition_id":700,"outcome":71,"usdc":706,"entry_price":707,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":703,"captured_at":13,"question":704,"event_slug":376,"category":325},97.60524000000002,0.4389316904323741,{"condition_id":709,"outcome":71,"usdc":710,"entry_price":711,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":491,"captured_at":13,"question":712,"event_slug":713,"category":96},"0xa4d72632ac0ddadcac5247ffc586a193f1bc3bc839cf9ce993c2471e0d599cca",1.010038,0.7489993349,"Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-june",{"condition_id":715,"outcome":29,"usdc":716,"entry_price":717,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":313,"captured_at":314,"question":718,"event_slug":348,"category":49},"0xa718870d98c2f9c76efd54629365c24fe87804eb1b28e287ca5344b5924931f0",11903.985466000002,0.7033328570842381,"Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?",{"condition_id":720,"outcome":71,"usdc":721,"entry_price":722,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":531,"captured_at":13,"question":723,"event_slug":724,"category":725},"0xa78ecba9c4273564cce4b810db46bb36cc35db9cd52fc4e067c77f85af1c1048",1219.9968539999998,0.304999987436813,"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?","kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31","Geopolitics",{"condition_id":727,"outcome":29,"usdc":728,"entry_price":729,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":730,"captured_at":322,"question":731,"event_slug":324,"category":325},"0xa7b5804ab1f23913a1e2b22b21999c6726be15a69f747228349e3237bd11f522",79.99764999999991,0.08000000007988689,"2026-04-24","Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?",{"condition_id":733,"outcome":29,"usdc":734,"entry_price":735,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":736,"captured_at":314,"question":737,"event_slug":738,"category":49},"0xa875e0b4802818c2ed51fa4a44eeb303d2a11b1df946de66c0444d80468e78b6",4024.982865,0.805000000691601,"2026-08-18T00:00:00Z","Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?","wyoming-governor-republican-primary-winner",{"condition_id":740,"outcome":71,"usdc":741,"entry_price":742,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":330,"captured_at":13,"question":743,"event_slug":332,"category":49},"0xac084d6558622409fda664dc5446a50a880900f311a4d1e8ff2c4ad8f0fb6f93",2.65447,0.14,"Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?",{"condition_id":745,"outcome":29,"usdc":746,"entry_price":194,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":389,"captured_at":13,"question":747,"event_slug":392,"category":49},"0xae6d3d20bc8f742922dc40880cd8a8671c10385a9912fa7cd670fba0643dfe96",199.0668,"Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":749,"outcome":71,"usdc":750,"entry_price":751,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":592,"captured_at":314,"question":752,"event_slug":594,"category":49},"0xb07a22fd501dc1c8b1470b549b41af3b94551c80fcf0e124f14fe08e8577bb00",3840,0.768,"Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?",{"condition_id":754,"outcome":71,"usdc":755,"entry_price":756,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":418,"captured_at":13,"question":757,"event_slug":758,"category":325},"0xb2953e0ded8ee0d8f3b6284ac4f33a790f37c78b931c588466436e60089a6591",1110,0.222,"US announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by May 26?","us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by",{"condition_id":760,"outcome":71,"usdc":761,"entry_price":762,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":763,"captured_at":13,"question":764,"event_slug":493,"category":49},"0xb7dd41c16cd5b59e543ffcdab6a0d876f5ccef5329ea42ef1798d80c9a2b8499",125.10820999999999,0.20666062635258517,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","Iran closes its airspace by May 31?",{"condition_id":766,"outcome":71,"usdc":767,"entry_price":768,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":545,"captured_at":314,"question":769,"event_slug":770,"category":771},"0xb824d3ee954d657e75d8f28b478c52a1b9c740ffa62620fc68c41b89f0942bc4",5.68689,0.1,"Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?","who-will-attend-taylor-swift-and-travis-kelces-wedding","Sports",{"condition_id":773,"outcome":71,"usdc":774,"entry_price":775,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":776,"captured_at":13,"question":777,"event_slug":778,"category":49},"0xb8e6d129a06d0ccb21d7b32eb529ea455eddba3cf29bfa097112202cbdf5bf21",4150,0.51875,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31",{"condition_id":780,"outcome":781,"usdc":782,"entry_price":783,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":784,"captured_at":13,"question":785,"event_slug":786,"category":325},"0xbbb0e9aa6c87f1ebfb3636615c7b6f7ec69c78dfa4c1b2f2f4f77ccd3512d84c","Texas Longhorns",7499.118844000001,0.3000000000400155,"2026-03-21T23:10:00Z","Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs","cbb-tx-gnzg-2026-03-21",{"condition_id":788,"outcome":71,"usdc":789,"entry_price":790,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":313,"captured_at":314,"question":791,"event_slug":792,"category":49},"0xbbd623c4191ca76dec466507375d6df85b403b7e14f9cbd3d09f2c450ae0cd96",2129.994123,0.7100000003600319,"Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?","minnesota-governor-republican-primary-winner",{"condition_id":794,"outcome":29,"usdc":795,"entry_price":796,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":418,"captured_at":13,"question":797,"event_slug":798,"category":325},"0xc053975fe38f79eb6a3a677d3fe32ec67a15d5bdcc9321f845914545ce44479c",3.44352,0.68,"Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?","claude-mythos-arena-debut",{"condition_id":800,"outcome":29,"usdc":801,"entry_price":802,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":803,"captured_at":314,"question":804,"event_slug":805,"category":96},"0xc08050ed73f5226e2fdc8e7a01533e0dfceffff3bc43f96280d61b0bca67f677",10273.522679999996,0.3766452200527603,"2026-09-16T03:59:00Z","Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?","gpt-6-released-by",{"condition_id":807,"outcome":71,"usdc":808,"entry_price":809,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":47,"captured_at":13,"question":810,"event_slug":811,"category":49},"0xc4ebab9f2830f6df67ab1b98615d5a9be8eebd106fd0f37e9a25e4a4edcc427c",349.494983,0.6990000008438656,"Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?","where-will-the-next-next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-beptptpt-20260623023740663",{"condition_id":813,"outcome":71,"usdc":814,"entry_price":584,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":815,"captured_at":322,"question":816,"event_slug":500,"category":325},"0xc84dfa2ab4a808d1b96a2cf439f8b88a1c5c37762253280deb7663a195d9b859",181.5,"2026-06-30T23:55:00Z","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?",{"condition_id":818,"outcome":819,"usdc":820,"entry_price":821,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":822,"captured_at":314,"question":823,"event_slug":824,"category":771},"0xc851fc5ae688d3d67bccb7c8f0ca475f61ebda796cfcddca7230042de6b48cfd","Max Holloway",42411.08134800001,0.7008333647152212,"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999Z","UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)","ufc-max1-con-2026-07-11",{"condition_id":826,"outcome":71,"usdc":827,"entry_price":201,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":828,"captured_at":314,"question":829,"event_slug":830,"category":155},"0xce361643116d65999278058d79744d37ba0a9ef6c439e095df21716bdd5d949f",0.09642,"2026-07-30T00:00:00Z","Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?","who-will-win-the-2026-fields-medal",{"condition_id":832,"outcome":29,"usdc":833,"entry_price":834,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":835,"captured_at":314,"question":836,"event_slug":837,"category":325},"0xd26d0f02ed27aa7c67dac9d9f0e66ec891f71f2ef6697f172f6ae1e43813b184",422.26011700000004,0.5496632657642342,"2026-08-31T03:59:00Z","Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?","next-mythos-class-model-released-by",{"condition_id":839,"outcome":29,"usdc":840,"entry_price":841,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":842,"captured_at":13,"question":843,"event_slug":410,"category":49},"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423",22244.584089999997,0.6847215764686545,"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":839,"outcome":71,"usdc":845,"entry_price":846,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":842,"captured_at":13,"question":843,"event_slug":410,"category":49},5847.376924,0.7166621755116994,{"condition_id":848,"outcome":71,"usdc":849,"entry_price":850,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":851,"captured_at":13,"question":852,"event_slug":853,"category":325},"0xdc6f95f94d2db24a1904537cb8cf83e0b25fa47bac926112891eef0df8fd06f2",885.80877,0.22538975146077397,"2026-04-10T00:00:00Z","US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-833",{"condition_id":855,"outcome":71,"usdc":856,"entry_price":857,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":340,"captured_at":322,"question":858,"event_slug":859,"category":325},"0xde5f6791fa13105b0902fe244345f1225decf68779f17444ce09953b65533d9c",7480.941454999999,0.8243685894885177,"Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?","will-a-claude-mythos-model-be-released-by-june-9-2026",{"condition_id":861,"outcome":862,"usdc":863,"entry_price":864,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":13,"question":865,"event_slug":866,"category":325},"0xde5ff3427dcc8f53e95d9825721b011458b657837033a6237dc3cfc99777e827","Tennessee Volunteers",1700.866333,0.5100000011380115,"Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers","cbb-tenn-vir-2026-03-22",{"condition_id":868,"outcome":71,"usdc":869,"entry_price":335,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":545,"captured_at":13,"question":870,"event_slug":871,"category":325},"0xe4b9a52d2bb336ff9d84799b70e72e8e5f4507df881af60f3f4daeb9f541a80e",694.2642,"US forces enter Iran by December 31?","us-forces-enter-iran-by",{"condition_id":873,"outcome":29,"usdc":874,"entry_price":875,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":876,"captured_at":314,"question":877,"event_slug":878,"category":325},"0xe5ad7570cf54ddf637133c8ab97fe44e5b640f1786d27907646d957175b7ce17",5.0511,0.06245178041543027,"2026-07-31T17:00:00Z","Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?","will-grahm-platner-drop-out-before-the-midterms-20260608200746523",{"condition_id":880,"outcome":29,"usdc":881,"entry_price":882,"won":12,"source":312,"end_date_iso":374,"captured_at":314,"question":883,"event_slug":884,"category":325},"0xea34f37974c5f80aac8d52143d6089ae80300c863219952370f437f4317c420c",8.106,0.6,"Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?","iran-military-action-against-a-gulf-state-onptptpt-20260708212328295",{"condition_id":886,"outcome":29,"usdc":887,"entry_price":888,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":889,"captured_at":13,"question":890,"event_slug":891,"category":49},"0xed5a9e7831ee363d92cb102f2c21e2465b09196ef5beb7c8e23671851a1c3ca4",3550,0.71,"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?","next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-byptptpt-20260623022722982",{"condition_id":893,"outcome":71,"usdc":894,"entry_price":895,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":491,"captured_at":13,"question":896,"event_slug":897,"category":49},"0xeeb1b35c595b19f9512c55f85fdf93f3625c3cec1a9b6bac6262921fbd87912e",799.9951050000002,0.04000000000000004,"Trump out as President by June 30?","trump-out-as-president-by-june-30",{"condition_id":899,"outcome":29,"usdc":900,"entry_price":901,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":313,"captured_at":314,"question":902,"event_slug":316,"category":49},"0xf23716a3fdb338cdc046144994d9b451cc8d7a7a7d1d3296e4252499a2edc1f7",693.9978780000001,0.34700000012920407,"Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?",{"condition_id":904,"outcome":29,"usdc":905,"entry_price":906,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":907,"captured_at":314,"question":908,"event_slug":909,"category":49},"0xf56efa5879b1ac0496b649b97793e321e65bed2aff9cfed42d9efa87a0cd7680",131.65032,0.1884980632968468,"2026-09-01T00:00:00Z","Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?","ma-08-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":911,"outcome":29,"usdc":912,"entry_price":913,"won":17,"source":312,"end_date_iso":47,"captured_at":314,"question":914,"event_slug":805,"category":96},"0xf82f84686ee2a25f5690430461413c4dc5a39dcea922a7c5f47d9d29418fbdb6",325.03089,0.2822322744192693,"Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?",{"total":916,"wins":917},202,112,[919,924,929,934,938,942,945],{"category":49,"n":920,"wins":921,"hitRate":922,"roi":923},90,46,0.5111111111111111,0.09051763778842205,{"category":38,"n":925,"wins":926,"hitRate":927,"roi":928},86,50,0.5813953488372093,-0.023663942696420154,{"category":96,"n":930,"wins":931,"hitRate":932,"roi":933},12,7,0.5833333333333334,-0.5073167551596539,{"category":725,"n":931,"wins":935,"hitRate":936,"roi":937},6,0.8571428571428571,0.16281217561247857,{"category":155,"n":939,"wins":12,"hitRate":940,"roi":941},4,0.25,-0.9997937644239265,{"category":771,"n":943,"wins":12,"hitRate":201,"roi":944},2,0.42668140330971505,{"category":946,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":947},"Economy",0.4285714285714286,{"generatedAt":949},"2026-09-29T20:10:34.102Z"]