[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x1b6022ae41ad7a0b387a88c17885c754436ca55b":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":437,"history":438,"resolved":441,"resolvedSummary":835,"specialization":838,"meta":857},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x1b6022ae41ad7a0b387a88c17885c754436ca55b",1904,641,0.828393135725429,0.7994984318026,0.2161524722798646,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-24T19:41:33.459Z",150.68920197191989,2.3276283618581908,"2026-09-23T00:20:13.000Z",0,"trades",0.5112370074656793,0.3171561282597503,77224.97540699267,96591.77846400064,26.350095791872675,0.021207177814029365,[26,39,47,55,63,71,80,88,96,104,112,121,131,140,148,155,163,171,178,185,194,203,210,216,224,230,238,245,253,260,268,274,279,286,294,301,309,318,325,333,340,348,356,362,366,375,384,393,400,407,415,422,429],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"2849827372590072151380088930233312280478318575453624773762283369907909283027","0x48b0b0bca515f68fccf95af4793dbd0edbfec1f8ec6e8df2c0f69ba74f8c4722","No",9999.995,0.92,"2026-09-25T00:31:41.240Z","2026-09-24T21:05:56.131Z","Trump out as President before 2027?","trump-out-as-president-before-2027","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.045\", \"0.955\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":44,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":46,"category":38},"65651447697756505945607381171434271908621057725573696706081861343152172944468","0xe29c8bf245ab35d14c722503922e6086da7dcfb08f357d1e8012331573d9e633",7823.8761,0.9057,"Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?","ukraine-election-held-in-2025","[\"0.0155\", \"0.9845\"]",{"token_id":48,"condition_id":49,"outcome":29,"size":50,"avg_price":51,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":52,"event_slug":53,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"66115275931876214717212754719566717986599297258235137414466645861814839112268","0xde5c4c7f05b34f4774d07fec9aa9cf880555f95ddcce4c7830ab09daecc493c4",6800.0058,0.9094,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by","2024-11-28T04:59:00Z",{"token_id":56,"condition_id":57,"outcome":29,"size":58,"avg_price":59,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":60,"event_slug":61,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":62,"category":38},"72433435487515814631344400459815549868044734165082020724691045649454520502781","0xbe9d61d80c767264a0adc8a16453fbcaf0413e673e665cc7c14701691143fac0",5541.2221,0.8895,"Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?","will-ukraine-recapture-crimean-territory-by-june-30-2026","[\"0.036\", \"0.964\"]",{"token_id":64,"condition_id":65,"outcome":29,"size":66,"avg_price":67,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":68,"event_slug":69,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":70,"category":38},"100292172522149577922637436103132246456042318074117879550513151144706945321275","0x176e84015b1cc54d470836ef1d8a60753e17fa232d9b55e9aa8dde580d03f436",5299.9942,0.7978,"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?","friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027","[\"0.12\", \"0.88\"]",{"token_id":72,"condition_id":73,"outcome":29,"size":74,"avg_price":75,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":76,"event_slug":77,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":78,"outcome_prices":79,"category":38},"39319769648132414476170103739900770633009012502056309868976886150530270219889","0x6c3f1009a0c91ba9f7aae44aeadf86863b0d433b60f7a090fd00c945019aa32f",5000.003,0.7799,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-agreement-by","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.085\", \"0.915\"]",{"token_id":81,"condition_id":82,"outcome":29,"size":83,"avg_price":84,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":85,"event_slug":86,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":87,"category":38},"12238337804021350373072513606997115174826680613156170611182546081135779794915","0x51f624dbbf14f9edb575fef1be6f7a303751de70783fa144fce27b957452c803",4021.1018,0.9022,"Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?","zelenskyy-out-as-ukraine-president-before-2027","[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]",{"token_id":89,"condition_id":90,"outcome":29,"size":91,"avg_price":92,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":93,"event_slug":94,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":95,"category":38},"106017940879858349164181550590287954569883893970967364254906038420908987752390","0x21bf9a7dae81b6bd51acae73185686ab8997b81b1401e4be10e114d472599c26",3495.5222,0.8921,"Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?","will-ukraine-agree-to-cede-territory-to-russia-before-2027","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]",{"token_id":97,"condition_id":98,"outcome":29,"size":99,"avg_price":100,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":101,"event_slug":102,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":103,"category":38},"76326875711147697076353707331532227929486722415800396469798548611383212234361","0xf2bf04609e7458df56c9bb4b1e051286dea11da1c944bbc1dafbcc6b76904e52",4000.0018,0.7672,"NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?","nato-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025","[\"0.305\", \"0.695\"]",{"token_id":105,"condition_id":106,"outcome":29,"size":107,"avg_price":108,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":109,"event_slug":110,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":111,"category":38},"87073899845581463485186346288398658568334162612963837182986759797304993556208","0x6bd56627aa21311850825edb27e53434a0e17a4f782be0086bc07f71eee00d0d",3265.7004,0.9073,"Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?","putin-out-before-2027","[\"0.0425\", \"0.9575\"]",{"token_id":113,"condition_id":114,"outcome":29,"size":115,"avg_price":116,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":117,"event_slug":118,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":119,"outcome_prices":120,"category":38},"39409206330527880169507414405291721950884951005340760541937649898052386499519","0x9ed0ecc8b8589e67967d44c4420944a41b6a6806419019a1581d514174eee9b1",2999.9966,0.94,"Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","2026-10-27T23:59:00Z","[\"0.095\", \"0.905\"]",{"token_id":122,"condition_id":123,"outcome":124,"size":125,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":126,"event_slug":127,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":128,"outcome_prices":129,"category":130},"23705583736348706533988510839759433821053113814025766422082583385077433681175","0x2f7fd7124a7ff44d324a49cda1415371c7cc4ee111f60b288a3d6ad194319d15","Yes",3000,"Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?","largest-company-end-of-september-1785358369147","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.986\", \"0.014\"]","Economy",{"token_id":132,"condition_id":133,"outcome":124,"size":134,"avg_price":135,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":136,"event_slug":137,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":138,"outcome_prices":139,"category":38},"83247781037352156539108067944461291821683755894607244160607042790356561625563","0xd5d9fc47718bd553592d126b1fa5e87183d27f3936975b0c04cc0f2dec1f1bb4",3001.5634,0.8062,"Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?","which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026","2027-01-05T04:59:00Z","[\"0.925\", \"0.075\"]",{"token_id":141,"condition_id":142,"outcome":29,"size":143,"avg_price":144,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":145,"event_slug":146,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":147,"category":38},"50854871681873904159181209043129993931106057788784391855429428220428495613305","0x4167e22670f31e5f93d132f78108f3fae809bd15cadf78983eff096845ed1415",2974.3219,0.7984,"Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?","ukraine-signs-peace-deal-with-russia-before-2027","[\"0.09\", \"0.91\"]",{"token_id":149,"condition_id":150,"outcome":29,"size":151,"avg_price":152,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":153,"event_slug":77,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":154,"category":38},"69565284411089708271128692790745152090129066525382935764397092493923596997488","0x5c19f205507ce03ff5f3be08a8090a5969ea6870cc07b902a4ca2e61dfe48fdd",3581.6816,0.63,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.225\", \"0.775\"]",{"token_id":156,"condition_id":157,"outcome":124,"size":158,"avg_price":159,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":160,"event_slug":161,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":162,"category":38},"114038073393175685070375877302821250190661708223658125394758492913778794477403","0x8e1e5c26dec73aee98230dc0ef93a294142587ca24190c4728d4b7ff831a22e0",3023.8453,0.668,"Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-peace-talks-byptptpt-20260609012540716","[\"0.685\", \"0.315\"]",{"token_id":164,"condition_id":165,"outcome":124,"size":166,"avg_price":167,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":168,"event_slug":161,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":169,"outcome_prices":170,"category":38},"28153186396840415671669685465652629560258223030402010692404473120867367961777","0xfba1944e3a766b128d79d1c344e6b87bbbcd422a9eebe8a2111d4cf97262f238",2915.6379,0.6859,"Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?","2026-11-30T23:59:00Z","[\"0.585\", \"0.415\"]",{"token_id":172,"condition_id":173,"outcome":29,"size":174,"avg_price":175,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":176,"event_slug":102,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":78,"outcome_prices":177,"category":38},"66797176836865406644675050248194264952001579179703527537658211196864343226792","0x2a4fcda5c1598fc8621cf96cabc410f9f23a2d0336c3bff5070a37a663d39e94",2000,0.87,"NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?","[\"0.155\", \"0.845\"]",{"token_id":179,"condition_id":180,"outcome":124,"size":181,"avg_price":182,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":183,"event_slug":118,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":119,"outcome_prices":184,"category":38},"52487256270918227930942830546248720603566203568229607048093730748840489555808","0xdbe93b5a701f36076a560fa4b9ba59e365a6e8e2ea6a83764640010657277ca4",3049.8378,0.5039,"Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","[\"0.528\", \"0.472\"]",{"token_id":186,"condition_id":187,"outcome":124,"size":188,"avg_price":189,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":190,"event_slug":191,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":192,"outcome_prices":193,"category":38},"6761884778816083542753350539779617201084594664234729655783875952381923983097","0x58d5cc2bf06a3289b127049239aee051f3b941f219efebbca02d3f50f0eb2a64",1742.4536,0.8608,"Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?","next-prime-minister-of-sweden","2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.865\", \"0.135\"]",{"token_id":195,"condition_id":196,"outcome":124,"size":197,"avg_price":198,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":199,"event_slug":200,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":201,"outcome_prices":202,"category":38},"12127975650736113116407758794754973741525044713193258995588171654429754588610","0x64d31a2af85518c6718a5757a35b840f08eca20c1e22c0eb1e96ec01cc55b8b6",58790.6381,0.0243,"Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?","republican-presidential-nominee-2028","2028-11-08T04:59:00Z","[\"0.0285\", \"0.9715\"]",{"token_id":204,"condition_id":205,"outcome":29,"size":206,"avg_price":207,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":208,"event_slug":209,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":79,"category":38},"44948287872840569452368087440787385431227517937665754899112687310008762849448","0xec4e5a2666b14fedded928dc4dcd6b5f2d38cc1eba91755b8aa6de1fabd42a2f",1575.8184,0.897,"Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?","ukraine-agrees-to-limit-size-of-armed-forces-before-2027",{"token_id":211,"condition_id":212,"outcome":29,"size":213,"avg_price":214,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":215,"event_slug":69,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"69571235428804745586333375352944333216796797827079661110088955176329741646668","0x7846774d5a3d0e7ea41c74a0f84f8e50e657e1ffa20a8fdc0f36a5898eff6a90",1500,0.8546,"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?",{"token_id":217,"condition_id":218,"outcome":124,"size":219,"avg_price":220,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":221,"event_slug":222,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":201,"outcome_prices":223,"category":38},"54533043819946592547517511176940999955633860128497669742211153063842200957669","0x0f49db97f71c68b1e42a6d16e3de93d85dbf7d4148e3f018eb79e88554be9f75",6049.107,0.2119,"Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?","democratic-presidential-nominee-2028","[\"0.1375\", \"0.8625\"]",{"token_id":225,"condition_id":226,"outcome":29,"size":227,"avg_price":228,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":229,"event_slug":161,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":128,"outcome_prices":87,"category":38},"77296121908679352434251847862979395356842679683122047698068091276062911570618","0x77b0380be9f46471b5383fd5fd0730d666b852c3c1fcc61529e0699a62f45d47",1434.8178,0.7897,"Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?",{"token_id":231,"condition_id":232,"outcome":29,"size":233,"avg_price":234,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":235,"event_slug":236,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":237,"outcome_prices":120,"category":38},"50035578024412312502715156279765769139689669299163153792052060268176088979005","0xfaa78bad74daeb6e5296ae5785df7805275d00e84c81dc37954446132595caed",1353.53,0.7955,"Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?","ukraine-election-called-in-2025","2027-02-15T04:59:00Z",{"token_id":239,"condition_id":240,"outcome":29,"size":241,"avg_price":242,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":243,"event_slug":69,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":244,"category":38},"108301200943683515332506640290486257312096817552808721514971470935641318065538","0x5c881188a151876e13d8bf67c36c03e34ce851bd5fbc2163288e9e45b93ef46c",1100,0.9399,"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026","[\"0.0055\", \"0.9945\"]",{"token_id":246,"condition_id":247,"outcome":29,"size":248,"avg_price":249,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":250,"event_slug":251,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":252,"category":38},"105823005283274667718796053202923236710921891688152691021664288887035746118072","0x9194103ad3ae2c3d2a1d739358843fccea3c13ab39b1aab58a8bb87e486bbcdb",1420.013,0.7042,"Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?","will-the-afd-be-part-of-a-german-state-government-in-2026","[\"0.49\", \"0.51\"]",{"token_id":254,"condition_id":255,"outcome":29,"size":256,"avg_price":257,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":258,"event_slug":118,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":119,"outcome_prices":259,"category":38},"13887896800265966487014179943559375403384011039339488276489274832989862323735","0xadffc96f54f350b3655f72fe2853c81bfd705e9703f62469e6a14782ad5d4ec0",1000,0.9398,"Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","[\"0.0255\", \"0.9745\"]",{"token_id":261,"condition_id":262,"outcome":124,"size":263,"avg_price":264,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":265,"event_slug":161,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":266,"outcome_prices":267,"category":38},"5309649266945812129851890880962872795416540419035271387845607454704924462954","0x1d78389ca8fbb953ab8ed8d1fecb5160ac4c3a2b0185fed3c248f4d2e5cf5192",2040.7223,0.4561,"Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?","2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.415\", \"0.585\"]",{"token_id":269,"condition_id":270,"outcome":29,"size":256,"avg_price":271,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":272,"event_slug":273,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":95,"category":38},"50581562386301423614620561545485561734060713130040768529204518300505097491900","0x8011cff605bac25673a202332b678e823cd7d82abad9e9770db01ea625808229",0.93,"Will Russia invade another country in 2026?","will-russia-invade-another-country-in-2026",{"token_id":275,"condition_id":276,"outcome":29,"size":256,"avg_price":271,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":277,"event_slug":127,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":128,"outcome_prices":278,"category":130},"86169628548038996088355737042579112413902351745743191139025173124156572670231","0x8dbac1bf1e011f186cd62d26757ec368ea5fdcf1c0dd8d931df0c613b309718c","Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?","[\"0.0095\", \"0.9905\"]",{"token_id":280,"condition_id":281,"outcome":29,"size":256,"avg_price":282,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":283,"event_slug":284,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":285,"category":38},"104350916944393444744054368051486958005770291642356585995269688991943235135336","0x4f192d856071c86b7a480c5b0bdd38318ec7be0bf2430784acacbe77bf12fcc9",0.929,"US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?","us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukraine-before-2027","[\"0.028\", \"0.972\"]",{"token_id":287,"condition_id":288,"outcome":124,"size":289,"avg_price":290,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":291,"event_slug":292,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":293,"category":38},"79785869153488116125585882351533672227064414203253987761686968264163478391224","0x032e40c71875723c5878c4385458f17aa5a6e90f6bb5c92fd75cf13a5a8ea3d4",1059.1404,0.8714,"Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?","where-will-zelenskyy-and-putin-meet-next","[\"0.94\", \"0.06\"]",{"token_id":295,"condition_id":296,"outcome":29,"size":256,"avg_price":297,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":298,"event_slug":299,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":300,"category":38},"1910830010387565971650098373488592514702818137344973088263643820608151819241","0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846",0.88,"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","[\"0.145\", \"0.855\"]",{"token_id":302,"condition_id":303,"outcome":29,"size":304,"avg_price":305,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":306,"event_slug":307,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":128,"outcome_prices":308,"category":38},"65080433107177456845667819002629947286057143366515817473102964793630697287369","0xca06bab63e1d7685c70eea1ea6e97083fdb7850f20ea14e391d25a08c863aaba",688.6131,0.9348,"Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?","ukraine-calls-a-referendum-on-peace-deal-with-russia-by-january-31","[\"0.0035\", \"0.9965\"]",{"token_id":310,"condition_id":311,"outcome":29,"size":312,"avg_price":313,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":314,"event_slug":315,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":316,"outcome_prices":317,"category":38},"54291243700842733031375047344043837327573204328298720300490368518386233817319","0xae73a531e01a15302d84104cf534cb81ee1b3dde460f5f19eeca0faaf134d4f3",622.2188,0.8879,"Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by September 30?","will-any-aircraft-land-or-take-off-at-kyiv-boryspil-airport-by","2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","[\"0.011\", \"0.989\"]",{"token_id":319,"condition_id":320,"outcome":29,"size":321,"avg_price":322,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":323,"event_slug":324,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"98937330366349372564323163350245628181266853772142823530054049988879017548249","0x5caf6459052e0fcc736c368f97b5ea98e6bf264507f2e94ac8d69fcc441b1bae",594.7105,0.8899,"Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? ","ukraine-agrees-not-to-join-nato-before-2027",{"token_id":326,"condition_id":327,"outcome":29,"size":328,"avg_price":329,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":330,"event_slug":331,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":177,"category":332},"58838271673442942930994176154161427544885549058162072292968389861347162593682","0x454005ba2b2a2f3bfeb354e18d8c0cb82136009c8f39589645f9cf2af25f0d25",500,0.9199,"OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?","openai-announces-it-has-achieved-agi-before-2027","Tech",{"token_id":334,"condition_id":335,"outcome":29,"size":336,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":337,"event_slug":338,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":339,"outcome_prices":95,"category":38},"53561940742862246985772159655797300159092644981215469480109637883773285470533","0xc8c7188d536be9cb6d99962b2c049b1046e13555d2f5f5aaafd5219cadf21bc0",500.1883,"Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?","will-ukraine-sign-an-eu-accession-treaty-by-december-31-2027-20260611204943691","2028-01-01T04:59:00Z",{"token_id":341,"condition_id":342,"outcome":29,"size":343,"avg_price":344,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":345,"event_slug":346,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":78,"outcome_prices":347,"category":38},"96346926113181389321486007059672021617193598509158342912104020632475586597392","0x3e365cd4a3ed1b8486bf270c69791a070886fd4398d9d4dccc055817aa8efbe8",399.99,0.958,"Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?","ukraine-signs-peace-deal-with-russia-by-october-31","[\"0.0145\", \"0.9855\"]",{"token_id":349,"condition_id":350,"outcome":29,"size":351,"avg_price":352,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":353,"event_slug":354,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":355,"category":38},"112421913083336790361671919206761009367862263567677276032671419207677704616336","0xbac2d74fbb7ab5f72b557605538376485d1a093bd9a526584b33153a83a74d97",366.7789,0.9488,"Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?","will-ukraine-agree-to-give-up-the-rest-of-donbas-before-2027","[\"0.0355\", \"0.9645\"]",{"token_id":357,"condition_id":358,"outcome":29,"size":359,"avg_price":360,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":361,"event_slug":315,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":266,"outcome_prices":87,"category":38},"45436124943645420571333758129358288673023528067526245236091210347048144033195","0xa27fd413954372554ffbdd40d301f333272c435db3b020f708ba155aeac96d4b",414.058,0.8107,"Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by October 31?",{"token_id":363,"condition_id":288,"outcome":29,"size":364,"avg_price":365,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":291,"event_slug":292,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":293,"category":38},"836695866229571122409227239868799635243790444165979077524740830128743370486",1249.9214,0.24,{"token_id":367,"condition_id":368,"outcome":29,"size":369,"avg_price":370,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":371,"event_slug":372,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":373,"outcome_prices":374,"category":38},"33948383215136644432533371238863136180727484636430037616426554075016398089174","0xb5395470c9b87f5ae8ffc719c1376aa89b493adf083e01cb8064e683fbaa18fc",300,0.8,"Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?","who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026","2027-01-02T04:59:00Z","[\"0.215\", \"0.785\"]",{"token_id":376,"condition_id":377,"outcome":29,"size":378,"avg_price":379,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":380,"event_slug":381,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":382,"outcome_prices":383,"category":38},"18399164027835674575255206814603418957088237536511965970156961977817797799240","0x990d1d3e4d9b120eafce967dc06753b79aa0a6c6f4a92b528fb31fbb7bdb99be",486.3917,0.4111,"Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?","which-month-will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-20260702155718114","2027-02-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.78\", \"0.22\"]",{"token_id":385,"condition_id":386,"outcome":29,"size":387,"avg_price":388,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":389,"event_slug":390,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":391,"outcome_prices":392,"category":38},"8338529888438948644585537691079019147027137862127077274522691678941032005403","0xe2cd08587e1f67a41341994fc3ea053a8ed92b5258d42acf3d4448c75095eaa5",200,0.8949,"Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?","nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","2027-04-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.018\", \"0.982\"]",{"token_id":394,"condition_id":395,"outcome":29,"size":396,"avg_price":397,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":398,"event_slug":372,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":399,"category":38},"84422212704337096509951630755624443574871898472374147058878003614805693019485","0x9a59e167b7111dcfbd1b42b55a1105cfea20989105d1b65a267fb81419bc02a2",245.16,0.7203,"Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?","[\"0.125\", \"0.875\"]",{"token_id":401,"condition_id":402,"outcome":29,"size":403,"avg_price":404,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":405,"event_slug":307,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":406,"category":38},"41169878570433663799050671927904982249364272255463328847807111689216839324114","0x3cdc91c3ffa136e945ab651f1df07c570741d50b5cb6e057d997ea82c238005d",135.0131,0.8693,"Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?","[\"0.05\", \"0.95\"]",{"token_id":408,"condition_id":409,"outcome":124,"size":410,"avg_price":411,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":412,"event_slug":413,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":128,"outcome_prices":414,"category":130},"105940453485945394790582500621710713657132376521484683541477221278559910577368","0x93b4a752a474e64b4f7b24cd3fbd959e09e428139ae3a5eb46df6975f1762734",123.4567,0.8099,"Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?","3rd-largest-company-end-of-september-1785358369147","[\"0.985\", \"0.015\"]",{"token_id":416,"condition_id":417,"outcome":124,"size":418,"avg_price":419,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":420,"event_slug":200,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":201,"outcome_prices":421,"category":38},"78994573210477487932611223094751007094801552166562252085708682076112788032998","0x4273517fc8141d57ad1528ede46efdceebdb6a4da746d5de5bad216564209a1e",2631.5789,0.0379,"Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?","[\"0.0345\", \"0.9655\"]",{"token_id":423,"condition_id":424,"outcome":124,"size":425,"avg_price":426,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":427,"event_slug":200,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":201,"outcome_prices":428,"category":38},"7847177314809025001842027337093046201021185723933452855314998541165696902642","0xd997dc2a212a7d6673375a3b016db1fb214247142f8cde0cbf07f8e6d789877c",7692.3076,0.0129,"Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?","[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]",{"token_id":430,"condition_id":431,"outcome":29,"size":432,"avg_price":433,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":434,"event_slug":435,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":436,"category":38},"2042494457093218605837515291809405343426028027390806175013464719190233205311","0x17bfc4455ae7c4a8bafa37d5581c21307bb9b1ef298798d81ffc10009fa79c91",52.99,0.8568,"EU\u002FNATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?","eunato-country-announces-peacekeeping-force-in-ukraine-before-2027","[\"0.0395\", \"0.9605\"]",[],[439],{"recorded_date":440,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-24",[442,450,457,465,472,479,486,492,499,505,512,518,523,528,534,541,547,554,561,568,575,582,588,591,596,602,607,611,617,624,627,632,638,644,649,654,660,666,672,679,682,688,693,699,704,711,717,723,729,736,738,744,747,754,757,762,768,773,775,780,785,791,796,799,806,812,818,823,830],{"condition_id":443,"outcome":29,"usdc":444,"entry_price":445,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":447,"captured_at":13,"question":448,"event_slug":449,"category":38},"0x06c901b3983cd58bec34252a72a74d4a2f2a64e6ad359967a864dc424997967a",158.899569,0.4800000010853009,"backfill","2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?","will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by",{"condition_id":451,"outcome":124,"usdc":452,"entry_price":453,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":454,"captured_at":13,"question":455,"event_slug":456,"category":332},"0x070aadbfe09fd159994516c4e7e61d18d25622dd92f4b87d715824ef33cd2eb6",955.92927,0.6830800182396717,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-math-ai-model-end-of-july",{"condition_id":458,"outcome":29,"usdc":459,"entry_price":460,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":461,"captured_at":13,"question":462,"event_slug":463,"category":464},"0x0d90c2c5af4f82b61757b45dad102ffab55833a9a3b8f964818dd5212a66439e",120.95088,0.8917051017,"2026-07-31T20:59:00Z","Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?","mykhailo-fedorov-reinstated-as-ukrainian-defense-minister-byptptpt-20260716185015029",null,{"condition_id":466,"outcome":29,"usdc":467,"entry_price":468,"won":17,"source":446,"end_date_iso":469,"captured_at":13,"question":470,"event_slug":471,"category":464},"0x16cc6d962373d06d90955e3ddbebfd4710b5a55eecb97d479804c18961df4dc7",1.2472,0.08,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in July 2026?","who-will-trump-meet-with-in-july-20260626153701904",{"condition_id":473,"outcome":29,"usdc":474,"entry_price":475,"won":17,"source":446,"end_date_iso":476,"captured_at":13,"question":477,"event_slug":478,"category":464},"0x16ce89b404293cc019f030b6dec70db23dcbe9430349064b8c26c10ebeb63197",169.463,0.7,"2026-07-24T23:59:00Z","Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?","saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-byptptpt-20260714210903830",{"condition_id":480,"outcome":29,"usdc":481,"entry_price":482,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":483,"captured_at":13,"question":484,"event_slug":485,"category":38},"0x189c38e8bf3733572f401f8d578099f7233baef3d5fcb438b4eeb0b73bacc787",399.999997,0.8307756820174552,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?","where-will-the-next-us-iran-diplomatic-meeting-happen-455",{"condition_id":487,"outcome":29,"usdc":488,"entry_price":489,"won":17,"source":446,"end_date_iso":469,"captured_at":13,"question":490,"event_slug":491,"category":464},"0x1e09e58b00b39c3f6a245950f9589aa6fcfdd6665e396e617753adbb3e346b0d",50,0.1,"Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in July?","who-will-trump-speak-to-in-july-20260626154217421",{"condition_id":493,"outcome":29,"usdc":494,"entry_price":495,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":496,"captured_at":13,"question":497,"event_slug":498,"category":38},"0x1e688e3b217f932d30c51aefaf79d7ef463ae8c2810635b6f1ffb905d55dcdd6",899.999992,0.880171419,"2026-04-20T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",{"condition_id":500,"outcome":124,"usdc":501,"entry_price":502,"won":17,"source":446,"end_date_iso":476,"captured_at":13,"question":503,"event_slug":504,"category":464},"0x20bef217896f188a907793b3bf890ede4a43f86f4ce9735016472f106488a696",9,0.009,"Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?","will-trump-meet-with-netanyahu-byptptpt-20260714195149520",{"condition_id":506,"outcome":124,"usdc":507,"entry_price":508,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":509,"event_slug":510,"category":511},"0x24e3c4f1807ab27d9bf76d2d3c40683475b7b98d14b39a3769a7b5b2d1b6fcee",99.999998,0.8677373226,"Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?","who-will-visit-ukraine-by-december-31-20260729205841876","Geopolitics",{"condition_id":513,"outcome":29,"usdc":514,"entry_price":515,"won":17,"source":446,"end_date_iso":516,"captured_at":13,"question":517,"event_slug":449,"category":38},"0x271e1d96693db79b42a277dc5f64b61a72bc1a0fad85586fd28c7d89b9b96231",299.999999,0.3316951797,"2026-09-30T12:00:00Z","Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?",{"condition_id":519,"outcome":124,"usdc":520,"entry_price":521,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":483,"captured_at":13,"question":522,"event_slug":485,"category":38},"0x291ff8aa0b7439389820e49584499d6dc65cf617dde1a47c4b84d05f42c85639",6597.761028000002,0.6301282511873664,"Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?",{"condition_id":524,"outcome":29,"usdc":525,"entry_price":526,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":469,"captured_at":13,"question":527,"event_slug":491,"category":464},"0x2969b8841ad9ee4afce4543db9ac2513a863f7cbefe86282ecb64e3e9841385c",81,0.81,"Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?",{"condition_id":529,"outcome":124,"usdc":530,"entry_price":531,"won":17,"source":446,"end_date_iso":483,"captured_at":13,"question":532,"event_slug":533,"category":511},"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187",199.999999,0.4699999997,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june",{"condition_id":535,"outcome":124,"usdc":536,"entry_price":537,"won":17,"source":446,"end_date_iso":538,"captured_at":13,"question":539,"event_slug":540,"category":464},"0x3e929c21b9ccdbb887b0555790d0dcf93d9455fc961570fd7fe69994268a7e62",100,0.0057993527,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?","zelenskyy-wears-a-suit-and-tie-during-next-trump-meeting",{"condition_id":542,"outcome":124,"usdc":543,"entry_price":544,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":545,"event_slug":546,"category":332},"0x46c8159431f59839061bb4abe8795ff8c0ebf6b612451e303ebe7f34697f3f35",185.938069,0.7428298270291123,"Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?","gpt-6-released-by",{"condition_id":548,"outcome":29,"usdc":549,"entry_price":550,"won":17,"source":446,"end_date_iso":551,"captured_at":13,"question":552,"event_slug":553,"category":464},"0x4bda4a4df34e9929e7eecb7ee1adc0b6497ee79dddffe14be4b24237cd116cb7",175.402999,0.307923540407461,"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-any-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt-20260629155934230",{"condition_id":555,"outcome":124,"usdc":556,"entry_price":557,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":558,"captured_at":13,"question":559,"event_slug":560,"category":38},"0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64",1291.4859130000002,0.6055488543626615,"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?","which-party-will-gain-most-seats-in-russian-parliamentary-election",{"condition_id":562,"outcome":124,"usdc":563,"entry_price":564,"won":17,"source":446,"end_date_iso":565,"captured_at":13,"question":566,"event_slug":567,"category":511},"0x518a5b030b205706b8ffe6bbad9bd3de59548348e5c0471827f5de21e513333c",99.999999,0.2199999985,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may",{"condition_id":569,"outcome":124,"usdc":570,"entry_price":571,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":572,"captured_at":13,"question":573,"event_slug":574,"category":464},"0x5b92f9be4bb37e3a66da22682f24053a98898e7988ab50a3226de825f2d2da23",478.095045,0.8389906474626403,"2026-01-17T00:00:00Z","Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 19?","russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-by-423",{"condition_id":576,"outcome":124,"usdc":577,"entry_price":578,"won":17,"source":446,"end_date_iso":579,"captured_at":13,"question":580,"event_slug":581,"category":464},"0x5ec80dc407457301f282a2b44341947afc700dfaa7923d14c8894e04bc63b03f",562.999998,0.13948653461939556,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?","next-prime-minister-of-hungary",{"condition_id":583,"outcome":29,"usdc":584,"entry_price":585,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":469,"captured_at":13,"question":586,"event_slug":587,"category":464},"0x5f0f80c1d904c0348409832375a6d36580f9a552295ae3dba2595adfcea84a97",1517.44635,0.8400589659019925,"Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?","largest-company-end-of-july-20260624192302727",{"condition_id":583,"outcome":124,"usdc":589,"entry_price":590,"won":17,"source":446,"end_date_iso":469,"captured_at":13,"question":586,"event_slug":587,"category":464},236.630196,0.235967939957888,{"condition_id":592,"outcome":29,"usdc":593,"entry_price":594,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":469,"captured_at":13,"question":595,"event_slug":553,"category":464},"0x5f4833193b8303cfa74a35571e1e05ab301d5804360aa03e5cd9cdc027add8fc",2301.993197,0.5393146395994635,"Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":597,"outcome":124,"usdc":598,"entry_price":599,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":565,"captured_at":13,"question":600,"event_slug":601,"category":38},"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7",8519.999998,0.5094034393810567,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":603,"outcome":124,"usdc":604,"entry_price":605,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":469,"captured_at":13,"question":606,"event_slug":504,"category":464},"0x62aa73d8a6f3b9984e7c9a58d688ca6f398c96e2b1558dfbb296df0868f8c4c8",339.994951,0.34,"Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":608,"outcome":124,"usdc":507,"entry_price":609,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":610,"event_slug":510,"category":511},"0x6b1d2dc2fd282bbb4c44959bd3d80ad2038dddfb3ce4390fe3373a9970313e20",0.8003952512,"Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":612,"outcome":29,"usdc":613,"entry_price":614,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":615,"captured_at":13,"question":616,"event_slug":498,"category":38},"0x6c31c73a5447ef744d271098ce51594afa5a521fe367c07f7138c868703d693f",461.399999,0.481841275241742,"2026-04-21","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?",{"condition_id":618,"outcome":29,"usdc":619,"entry_price":620,"won":17,"source":446,"end_date_iso":621,"captured_at":13,"question":622,"event_slug":623,"category":464},"0x702dcbe5b0f73dae060f2ed0fde1ce7aa8c9c01a8068dcc7ad375d85364eca8d",1199.999998,0.0759002123545365,"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?","will-trump-meet-with-zelenskyy-by",{"condition_id":618,"outcome":124,"usdc":625,"entry_price":626,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":621,"captured_at":13,"question":622,"event_slug":623,"category":464},16634.52438299998,0.25678334062097574,{"condition_id":628,"outcome":29,"usdc":629,"entry_price":630,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":454,"captured_at":13,"question":631,"event_slug":456,"category":332},"0x7ae8cd69a861a7442b7e46d2d7e29b66c826ae36fb52e4e30fc49c2adccb73cf",1291.3211649999998,0.747105403889498,"Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?",{"condition_id":633,"outcome":29,"usdc":634,"entry_price":635,"won":17,"source":446,"end_date_iso":469,"captured_at":13,"question":636,"event_slug":637,"category":464},"0x7b2b0ac174514a7ec6351f91a01edd5064cf670c29f539cdfcc4d88bdb9937d0",140.454816,0.2800000008002704,"Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?","next-claude-opus-released-byptptpt-20260701204710232",{"condition_id":639,"outcome":124,"usdc":640,"entry_price":641,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":483,"captured_at":13,"question":642,"event_slug":643,"category":38},"0x7e5228c4aa228752fb75ec1ffcb315a5f2fef812d746ceb6601cee285366d1a8",2974.69998,0.7135794998602956,"Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?","who-will-attend-the-next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting",{"condition_id":645,"outcome":124,"usdc":646,"entry_price":647,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":483,"captured_at":13,"question":648,"event_slug":643,"category":38},"0x7e591fb31786d46761d906abbffbcec8eba519b649909bfb2d7833609a960782",3032.3426770000005,0.7808331687490803,"Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?",{"condition_id":650,"outcome":29,"usdc":651,"entry_price":652,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":469,"captured_at":13,"question":653,"event_slug":587,"category":464},"0x8495b57385dc69a16afc77d2a18f05d36bbbd7713462d8286b3fe94f385d2f6b",178.88073,0.894,"Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?",{"condition_id":655,"outcome":29,"usdc":387,"entry_price":656,"won":17,"source":446,"end_date_iso":657,"captured_at":13,"question":658,"event_slug":659,"category":464},"0x87d4c453e155252d84becb7b26c2c686954ee5085dffd1e7062aca1763ef14c4",0.24154367666312065,"2026-05-10T00:00:00Z","Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?","next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-on",{"condition_id":661,"outcome":29,"usdc":662,"entry_price":663,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":454,"captured_at":13,"question":664,"event_slug":665,"category":332},"0x8a8e093b25d7909ae01e944e746a1dee88801224fcff001c1c890ca43e2a66e1",502.423506,0.8788242351,"Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-july-299",{"condition_id":667,"outcome":124,"usdc":668,"entry_price":669,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":469,"captured_at":13,"question":670,"event_slug":671,"category":464},"0x8d6fb0d86ff77f2a29b05e85b24d898ba77bff8b49118355057af18b47ddeb7e",400.840418,0.7980002960732362,"Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-agent-end-of-july-20260626204312502",{"condition_id":673,"outcome":29,"usdc":674,"entry_price":675,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":676,"captured_at":13,"question":677,"event_slug":678,"category":464},"0x924a2942747dd75703321a7c8d809c68f6a514c3b0f2a2e64274e02310634669",27.209999,0.3799999922,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-april-30",{"condition_id":673,"outcome":124,"usdc":680,"entry_price":681,"won":17,"source":446,"end_date_iso":676,"captured_at":13,"question":677,"event_slug":678,"category":464},1137.99779,0.10464723416825615,{"condition_id":683,"outcome":124,"usdc":684,"entry_price":685,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":686,"captured_at":13,"question":687,"event_slug":601,"category":38},"0x9769f78cbc95a5ed11895e6064bac471d8fd8f930b260cf581b68d3f58630d27",7400,0.74,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":689,"outcome":124,"usdc":690,"entry_price":691,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":469,"captured_at":13,"question":692,"event_slug":587,"category":464},"0xa38f0aba5b78cfc9894826c431dc6c8b16e1dff8bb1f4ff3b9ab51d35e12cd55",9373.941018,0.689315207572072,"Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?",{"condition_id":694,"outcome":29,"usdc":695,"entry_price":696,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":483,"captured_at":13,"question":697,"event_slug":698,"category":38},"0xa57a027158ce73973cdd13eed901c6e767a1b9e2f88c665dab8757a65b60d203",999.999994,0.8706876042,"Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?","ukraine-signs-peace-deal-with-russia-by-june-30",{"condition_id":700,"outcome":124,"usdc":701,"entry_price":702,"won":17,"source":446,"end_date_iso":483,"captured_at":13,"question":703,"event_slug":643,"category":38},"0xa65e9c75c4ad990e97e598f4c279887da5d51e0dddb781fcca0691c1c2798d9e",378.577326,0.0875899764414206,"Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?",{"condition_id":705,"outcome":124,"usdc":706,"entry_price":707,"won":17,"source":446,"end_date_iso":708,"captured_at":13,"question":709,"event_slug":710,"category":464},"0xaa145cf5714455f546afe53037b8712df749ba96c04820c2d41f37f877f29697",232.43929500000002,0.45909997642103195,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Iran\" during events with Xi Jinping?","what-will-trump-say-during-bilateral-events-with-xi-jinping",{"condition_id":712,"outcome":29,"usdc":713,"entry_price":714,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":715,"captured_at":13,"question":716,"event_slug":553,"category":464},"0xaed562c678858261e2a7e242842342e0aed43c5253a9b9f93c50c117e274a21f",890,0.89,"2026-08-15T23:59:00Z","Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":718,"outcome":124,"usdc":719,"entry_price":720,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":686,"captured_at":13,"question":721,"event_slug":722,"category":464},"0xaeea5f917fc5746387b5f9c0a4263dba035dbb3f0ac6ad72bf92183d21e26739",1799.999998,0.3293403067232456,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-before-2027",{"condition_id":724,"outcome":29,"usdc":725,"entry_price":726,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":727,"captured_at":13,"question":728,"event_slug":449,"category":38},"0xb23587fc1e319cdf9aaa12c503f6b2149c820c3d64ded3c98b4ff6719cac78fe",2719.9999780000003,0.7203924343273892,"2026-06-30T12:00:00Z","Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?",{"condition_id":730,"outcome":29,"usdc":731,"entry_price":732,"won":17,"source":446,"end_date_iso":733,"captured_at":13,"question":734,"event_slug":735,"category":38},"0xb2a1c0c2a5ddd15fb8ba2dea1a808ef32c61108bb1a5911281006e8076b6714b",30.399999,0.10814228936024624,"2026-06-30T16:00:00Z","Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?","will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-june-30",{"condition_id":730,"outcome":124,"usdc":737,"entry_price":714,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":733,"captured_at":13,"question":734,"event_slug":735,"category":38},89,{"condition_id":739,"outcome":29,"usdc":740,"entry_price":741,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":454,"captured_at":13,"question":742,"event_slug":743,"category":38},"0xb8e6d129a06d0ccb21d7b32eb529ea455eddba3cf29bfa097112202cbdf5bf21",682.984551,0.7588877881436296,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31",{"condition_id":739,"outcome":124,"usdc":745,"entry_price":746,"won":17,"source":446,"end_date_iso":454,"captured_at":13,"question":742,"event_slug":743,"category":38},1011.999997,0.48904934310006704,{"condition_id":748,"outcome":29,"usdc":749,"entry_price":750,"won":17,"source":446,"end_date_iso":751,"captured_at":13,"question":752,"event_slug":753,"category":464},"0xbc0a2d49b4bea7145a8ca4f43644f82e8013620f45f80665406415c4dfe40966",1522.672357,0.34034617683294865,"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?","trump-announces-hormuz-deadline-extension-today",{"condition_id":748,"outcome":124,"usdc":755,"entry_price":756,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":751,"captured_at":13,"question":752,"event_slug":753,"category":464},110,0.55,{"condition_id":758,"outcome":29,"usdc":759,"entry_price":760,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":483,"captured_at":13,"question":761,"event_slug":643,"category":38},"0xbdb17bc42314c7879e6bde4a15136a9a0f16605f6e530462b9dad774d1e63d86",199.999995,0.893012548597714,"Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?",{"condition_id":763,"outcome":29,"usdc":764,"entry_price":765,"won":17,"source":446,"end_date_iso":727,"captured_at":13,"question":766,"event_slug":767,"category":38},"0xbee2cd40473495f713c69b9dfbce9fc2837fa4011568222c83c83bb773e35053",103.319989,0.1699999986,"Starmer out by June 30, 2026?","starmer-out-in-2025",{"condition_id":769,"outcome":29,"usdc":770,"entry_price":771,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":733,"captured_at":13,"question":772,"event_slug":735,"category":38},"0xc38b96e6fb12fc68d003ff326f2a11eb3c8f04c2fce7fcfc9d62f5e18131817c",684.9999969999999,0.734269140585802,"Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":769,"outcome":124,"usdc":530,"entry_price":774,"won":17,"source":446,"end_date_iso":733,"captured_at":13,"question":772,"event_slug":735,"category":38},0.5099999997,{"condition_id":776,"outcome":29,"usdc":777,"entry_price":778,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":483,"captured_at":13,"question":779,"event_slug":485,"category":38},"0xc7373d242a34de5c184ffdc9707e7b179ea6aa8f8600686ca2ddecbdbec9457b",1599.99998,0.682620071036983,"Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?",{"condition_id":781,"outcome":124,"usdc":782,"entry_price":370,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":454,"captured_at":13,"question":783,"event_slug":784,"category":511},"0xc77337b8412059d0a17bb75ea0de2d398bf756464c76161582b22afe4777e3cc",322.56,"Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?","best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-july",{"condition_id":786,"outcome":29,"usdc":787,"entry_price":297,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":788,"captured_at":13,"question":789,"event_slug":790,"category":38},"0xcacd424332319971356c757c025b45a4eb5643b919fb3bd2f84051afea599b13",88,"2026-07-15T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-15",{"condition_id":792,"outcome":124,"usdc":793,"entry_price":794,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":454,"captured_at":13,"question":795,"event_slug":665,"category":332},"0xd2a472c051e1ab231a4feb40322ccdafccff5fe9e4a006381224e10aff0e83ce",502.799984,0.8599999998,"Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?",{"condition_id":49,"outcome":29,"usdc":797,"entry_price":798,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":54,"captured_at":13,"question":52,"event_slug":53,"category":38},2384,0.8514285714285714,{"condition_id":800,"outcome":29,"usdc":801,"entry_price":802,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":803,"captured_at":13,"question":804,"event_slug":805,"category":464},"0xe6939069d36ad63a9f7fcafa91b627a3f373a3264ab0347c1a5e042c5f7d1f08",931.9599959999999,0.6907872800734575,"2026-04-30","Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?","iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-april-30",{"condition_id":807,"outcome":124,"usdc":808,"entry_price":809,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":454,"captured_at":13,"question":810,"event_slug":811,"category":464},"0xeb622a490bcf56e4760070ab67e77430dc4a1c9e7b2f0fec6e177c4917fcc6d1",502.729189,0.8635403726,"Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?","gemini-3pt5-released-by-june-30",{"condition_id":813,"outcome":29,"usdc":814,"entry_price":815,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":621,"captured_at":13,"question":816,"event_slug":817,"category":464},"0xeec8878a64e41f43b81c4402f6b93f07899a85aff3be0683565aedbd23f99d6b",299.999995,0.8011970605462124,"Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?","ukraine-officially-agrees-to-a-us-backed-ceasefire-framework-in-2025",{"condition_id":819,"outcome":124,"usdc":820,"entry_price":821,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":483,"captured_at":13,"question":822,"event_slug":643,"category":38},"0xf0abc9c2b0726ec594aa6547d121e46d5264d778f20acd00689d5c21b5e38d18",6053.0617310000025,0.7051860110963993,"Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?",{"condition_id":824,"outcome":29,"usdc":825,"entry_price":826,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":827,"captured_at":13,"question":828,"event_slug":829,"category":38},"0xf15f4253eace2d74c88936cd63906abda4ff4bbf98e20cf799ba45cf6afc55e9",899.99999,0.829844230175736,"2025-10-31T00:00:00Z","Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?","will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31",{"condition_id":831,"outcome":29,"usdc":832,"entry_price":297,"won":12,"source":446,"end_date_iso":833,"captured_at":13,"question":834,"event_slug":77,"category":38},"0xfb8ac17fdf80c31eb666086c6d278a076774d527fabafae9d391468c2f9f3727",440,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?",{"total":836,"wins":837},69,47,[839,845,850,853],{"category":840,"n":841,"wins":842,"hitRate":843,"roi":844},"Other",31,17,0.5483870967741935,1.300733409513869,{"category":38,"n":846,"wins":847,"hitRate":848,"roi":849},28,22,0.7857142857142857,0.4360169437990754,{"category":332,"n":851,"wins":851,"hitRate":12,"roi":852},5,0.3187870694633578,{"category":511,"n":851,"wins":854,"hitRate":855,"roi":856},3,0.6,-0.21783150080483163,{"generatedAt":858},"2026-09-25T00:43:51.192Z"]