[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x149bcbfbdc772d60cdb252c1513405cef7c8d435":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":366,"history":367,"resolved":457,"resolvedSummary":1008,"specialization":1011,"meta":1041},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x149bcbfbdc772d60cdb252c1513405cef7c8d435",5049,1227,0.18255908720456399,0.48167756200389955,0.14558479121304557,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-22T23:06:16.759Z",0.8421564987775063,3.455852156057495,"2026-09-14T17:26:06.000Z",0,"trades",0.22584856467717937,-0.04328947747261644,497.72995999550307,1033.3260240000002,-2.1750490974707617,0.39981447124304265,[26,39,48,57,64,74,83,90,96,104,113,121,131,138,148,156,165,173,180,186,194,201,210,218,225,234,242,246,255,260,267,273,281,288,296,303,307,317,325,333,341,348,354,360],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"109770398277480657132311708823042764648778271467537669934185093015733099277755","0xa0af1b2ca6a3251cad3845f8172febb2182cd7a60744cc9cb685c626e595d0da","Yes",862.1433,0.1,"2026-09-23T11:56:09.327Z","2026-09-23T07:17:35.534Z","Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?","tennessee-senate-election-winner","","[\"0.0345\", \"0.9655\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":44,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":47,"category":38},"28155793585619215559447305702051573036104753242134264350727089371549716604590","0x93d07ffcf5c243b98e655380eb876d4a3393351b7325059064cb5a4b1ff6ceb2",4469.07,0.0031,"Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","2026-10-27T23:59:00Z","[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",{"token_id":49,"condition_id":50,"outcome":29,"size":51,"avg_price":52,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":53,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":55,"outcome_prices":56,"category":38},"87834167452414513395250782274912164961953327877923232604083507081218756225485","0x387abd33ec2706bf5e2d5089556962f899c76f2e53e72de416ee097f5e0cde5f",171.4285,0.0699,"Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?","zohran-mamdani-out-as-mayor-of-nyc-before-2027","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.0285\", \"0.9715\"]",{"token_id":58,"condition_id":59,"outcome":29,"size":60,"avg_price":61,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":62,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":63,"category":38},"80908635602471552886049573110321791161186841957249509900771759394573505359926","0xa653be0f150dbe055a532ea02977338bb31f49d1f723b2a48c1f67847a73cb7d",1872.7065,0.006,"Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]",{"token_id":65,"condition_id":66,"outcome":67,"size":68,"avg_price":69,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":70,"event_slug":71,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":72,"outcome_prices":73,"category":38},"28940686238755276284465735330714794980438222573194390182349545307052602997747","0x7ed4f343d9e6cf9c03a72b31809f76cfcfaaf591f5931e1d91f4b3946cf14d25","No",10.0124,0.8988,"Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?","will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025","2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","[\"0.0335\", \"0.9665\"]",{"token_id":75,"condition_id":76,"outcome":29,"size":77,"avg_price":78,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":79,"event_slug":80,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":81,"outcome_prices":82,"category":38},"101856306106619561547484060337828195810676190048477336006217084007311032600729","0xce500e0cdc77863e3ae46ea2f8fc7afea2e94e703761e4004065e23fe8629881",19.6982,0.4061,"Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?","maduro-prison-time-527","2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.315\", \"0.685\"]",{"token_id":84,"condition_id":85,"outcome":29,"size":86,"avg_price":87,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":88,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":89,"category":38},"37479008447091488432468168948590430208783407360102685992956858050228448972626","0x8cbdd0c4c6061c9e5c5a94d4a474c1880d0f2ab5ee4704a64af1e77c6d0e18d0",2664.2543,0.003,"Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]",{"token_id":91,"condition_id":92,"outcome":29,"size":93,"avg_price":94,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":95,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":47,"category":38},"73391412196952346536768049629984781694862224381955045702486880678656173160147","0xea653dbacdb5b0ba21c9b745f5fb463fe654b988129093ce471d3b3652650cba",1850.7975,0.0039,"Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?",{"token_id":97,"condition_id":98,"outcome":67,"size":99,"avg_price":100,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":101,"event_slug":102,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":103,"category":38},"25714364921494590153126712070237148273556585153060830557346938682702981481913","0xf27ea17046f54cfa5e7dda5c58f06a3f391f3ae6a3cfaddcda8c432c5afcf2dd",7.5267,0.9299,"Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?","kentucky-senate-election-winner","[\"0.0295\", \"0.9705\"]",{"token_id":105,"condition_id":106,"outcome":29,"size":107,"avg_price":108,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":109,"event_slug":110,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":111,"outcome_prices":112,"category":38},"11171618905857319805355893398009978356002287408842633593535559412449299952250","0x2053d8515f1b8cbeea4ccdb56e60e89c2617e43a8660d95166b8e71d27865277",51.7957,0.1247,"Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?","presidential-election-winner-2028","2029-01-21T04:59:00Z","[\"0.0875\", \"0.9125\"]",{"token_id":114,"condition_id":115,"outcome":67,"size":116,"avg_price":117,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":118,"event_slug":119,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":55,"outcome_prices":120,"category":38},"63288727222857538715525574191584916211293137089612615781724211046379219138896","0x57630ca87de434c74db1c388ed88c1920a6d1dfcf4094ef14a415dcc5049babc",6.7387,0.7419,"Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?","katy-perry-and-justin-trudeau-engaged-by-end-of-2026","[\"0.12\", \"0.88\"]",{"token_id":122,"condition_id":123,"outcome":29,"size":124,"avg_price":125,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":126,"event_slug":127,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":128,"outcome_prices":129,"category":130},"56078938060096976448086754249497300447360333783952000147427828224794011030104","0xdaa4866bae18be58c5a79d2aeeffd035ec78f1bb49dbd88f72993997778a990f",9.7619,0.4097,"Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027","2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","[\"0.415\", \"0.585\"]","Crypto",{"token_id":132,"condition_id":133,"outcome":67,"size":134,"avg_price":135,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":136,"event_slug":127,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":128,"outcome_prices":137,"category":130},"48849252416222520684793262794712201381742900852794310345084361317209768152557","0x752fa61c93f16c4b15e85b0bd438d9c684176b0ea7b319a84c8aca34616e8a8c",15.4761,0.2584,"Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.085\", \"0.915\"]",{"token_id":139,"condition_id":140,"outcome":67,"size":141,"avg_price":142,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":143,"event_slug":144,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":145,"outcome_prices":146,"category":147},"77520157601571841058805902692716742771926816526078241374918912770703681864753","0x4092815fea8f91e60586882d45fa2f61bfca8a36d595f47fdea9eec5d2893025",4.5395,0.793,"Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?","fed-rate-cut-by-629","2027-01-29T04:59:00Z","[\"0.0085\", \"0.9915\"]","Economy",{"token_id":149,"condition_id":150,"outcome":67,"size":151,"avg_price":152,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":153,"event_slug":154,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":128,"outcome_prices":155,"category":38},"29633826701713552120011280893309822625942861174174976276686142480636225243753","0x9cb23d04b2ded06147482076688b69b487a8d982c63ebdda2ab3678cf27cf390",6.8343,0.5048,"Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?","clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026","[\"0.0615\", \"0.9385\"]",{"token_id":157,"condition_id":158,"outcome":67,"size":159,"avg_price":160,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":161,"event_slug":162,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":55,"outcome_prices":163,"category":164},"57901440486726486537035606784612184438943439399801432467850451108901818467928","0xddeb88745cb5ad8c67dd08d9fdf322c316ae5f36fdd21b89ff3ec090b6fa1fec",4.1452,0.7599,"Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?","mahmoud-abbas-out-as-palestinian-president-by","[\"0.145\", \"0.855\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":166,"condition_id":167,"outcome":29,"size":168,"avg_price":169,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":170,"event_slug":171,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":172,"category":38},"23256019137586319539165692276469250213112768854758556344817552607255928262054","0xa71785ae27eeaf2a9f7adf8f4f0d7db11e773fa2602b28c55399d31e91c3f2f0",6.0893,0.4433,"Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?","who-will-close-warner-bros-acquisition","[\"0.988\", \"0.012\"]",{"token_id":174,"condition_id":175,"outcome":67,"size":176,"avg_price":177,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":178,"event_slug":80,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":81,"outcome_prices":179,"category":38},"48910938581313168855396950185824691742665683736022725138118492389197928117944","0x5e253008e2c8a4f1e66972062d99e69aea298794ec56c30526a2edd763d6b9e3",2.7301,0.9449,"Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?","[\"0.1195\", \"0.8805\"]",{"token_id":181,"condition_id":182,"outcome":29,"size":183,"avg_price":184,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":185,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":89,"category":38},"30912854850866302644106316438153629460678506137655559406260043509960678109607","0x45a79193a66e5078a29c625e78e0d4b9a059edef8e206097c48bbfe7eaf9590e",436.8064,0.0056,"Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?",{"token_id":187,"condition_id":188,"outcome":67,"size":189,"avg_price":190,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":191,"event_slug":192,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":193,"category":38},"89611284751983444666516772199088261836184128361026213372833195934667653681164","0xe109380d49786b25c8c20ca88bfbf5ffabbe0a91a25a9d8795312d5a9701f998",2.1052,0.95,"Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?","west-virginia-senate-election-winner","[\"0.0215\", \"0.9785\"]",{"token_id":195,"condition_id":196,"outcome":29,"size":189,"avg_price":197,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":198,"event_slug":199,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":200,"category":38},"83554519035704522672644117478876258278018394754028161940314277335853541553559","0xc1e1d5a2814a6abf40e304c00a43cfd05519caa11b04665c709b0a94d8c34d05",0.9499,"Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?","oklahoma-senate-election-winner","[\"0.9655\", \"0.0345\"]",{"token_id":202,"condition_id":203,"outcome":29,"size":204,"avg_price":205,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":206,"event_slug":207,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":208,"outcome_prices":209,"category":38},"71169839497420596285841847514123589847893415750912355173877524195175834054354","0xd65891729ce093cc12236856837eba1a0872fc7998fd4294c21346f7db68079c",47.619,0.0419,"Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?","democratic-presidential-nominee-2028","2028-11-08T04:59:00Z","[\"0.0605\", \"0.9395\"]",{"token_id":211,"condition_id":212,"outcome":67,"size":213,"avg_price":214,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":215,"event_slug":216,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":55,"outcome_prices":217,"category":38},"7305630249804085635496399869905769372294302716159034447326228509068694952392","0x747dc809fb79e1b05be09c42d6179459a58de2ef3e40f02484a4e1260f741f75",1.9364,0.8386,"Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?","will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027","[\"0.0365\", \"0.9635\"]",{"token_id":219,"condition_id":220,"outcome":29,"size":221,"avg_price":222,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":223,"event_slug":144,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":145,"outcome_prices":224,"category":147},"85002355202646770038788297383084634166875614093071220064343011133051368772502","0xc60022fe066abd6f96c375adb09f38d92c4931f09c10b805354581b4e5465e93",3.5367,0.4516,"Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?","[\"0.0195\", \"0.9805\"]",{"token_id":226,"condition_id":227,"outcome":67,"size":228,"avg_price":229,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":230,"event_slug":231,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":232,"outcome_prices":233,"category":38},"6421340027628551344102109549604304099472029627582069662845034789653677537624","0xbb4a907e731f7297fc4c1e9dd30facdadd75c2b6fa692ca24a82d5367467559a",1.5463,0.9699,"Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?","lebanon-parliamentary-election-winner","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0095\", \"0.9905\"]",{"token_id":235,"condition_id":236,"outcome":29,"size":237,"avg_price":238,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":239,"event_slug":240,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":55,"outcome_prices":241,"category":38},"10991849228756847439673778874175365458450913336396982752046655649803657501964","0xbb4d51e6364066d92eb6f9b8413dd7193de70966736044463b205834805a1f3b",2.5514,0.5599,"Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]",{"token_id":243,"condition_id":150,"outcome":29,"size":244,"avg_price":245,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":153,"event_slug":154,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":128,"outcome_prices":155,"category":38},"35198549486569600595408965368290795524428922595732253580266052028158040373233",2.5915,0.5199,{"token_id":247,"condition_id":248,"outcome":67,"size":249,"avg_price":250,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":251,"event_slug":252,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":253,"outcome_prices":254,"category":38},"41725035933378972364670599080674538523899488775363935787898426002174068308166","0x3a5b9bac7ea3928e6b248601d144c165fb1be036365593b999fcaae6c8c9b5d0",1.0606,0.9899,"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + AUR?","which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government","2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","[\"0.0105\", \"0.9895\"]",{"token_id":256,"condition_id":257,"outcome":67,"size":249,"avg_price":250,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":258,"event_slug":252,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":81,"outcome_prices":259,"category":38},"71312036132178042768322893895232062833864675965813237583666521641260406115464","0xf0e6cc6472f13309ebeedfa8075d3ad62919e6b73c791e06058080f2b40ddc1b","Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + AUR?","[\"0.036\", \"0.964\"]",{"token_id":261,"condition_id":262,"outcome":67,"size":263,"avg_price":264,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":265,"event_slug":252,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":253,"outcome_prices":266,"category":38},"45198451237920094792094372184966762032512250830528650064109739280981690985375","0x4f054e509730ed1cea5f7ebb0b43cb19b17fe78432aa2d3e5d251d2fc5ac7689",1.053,0.9969,"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR + AUR?","[\"0.01\", \"0.99\"]",{"token_id":268,"condition_id":269,"outcome":29,"size":270,"avg_price":271,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":272,"event_slug":207,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":208,"outcome_prices":89,"category":38},"94658518227479141344875476648819337938746150529318297759951212169676959854478","0x98933c78b5e277b62d91a6c174b412218de000b54c4c67ec8673bf561cec6e81",40,0.025,"Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?",{"token_id":274,"condition_id":275,"outcome":29,"size":276,"avg_price":277,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":278,"event_slug":279,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":280,"outcome_prices":241,"category":38},"3494130919441794744300504897798612438496650716124466384425423765833752918969","0xae76ef049f09b109cfb0a9bfa2335d7c9fde5bd262c64548b43308c810c314ec",12.5,0.08,"Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?","nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","2027-04-01T03:59:00Z",{"token_id":282,"condition_id":283,"outcome":67,"size":284,"avg_price":285,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":286,"event_slug":287,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":259,"category":38},"3641056676837946671256477781020225557556713248985258428151086443592289606284","0xb8fffc8e9845c3b07ca737a9b1ec925bbe1ef5105c1255110329bdf78cedebf9",1.0741,0.9309,"Will the Republicans win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?","connecticut-governor-winner-2026",{"token_id":289,"condition_id":290,"outcome":67,"size":291,"avg_price":292,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":293,"event_slug":80,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":294,"outcome_prices":295,"category":38},"44887641377151583255265457078245654136423993481263557191222442463667094149147","0x3c47492aa10470e0276d38fc8a1dd6e983fb63764587599aa379cc904425b641",1.0905,0.9169,"Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?","2027-12-31T00:00:00Z","[\"0.017\", \"0.983\"]",{"token_id":297,"condition_id":298,"outcome":29,"size":299,"avg_price":100,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":300,"event_slug":301,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":302,"category":38},"68194463917260305435439145066031544476540679280823247532132832363696000101185","0x3f8d20cfcf2136d0c001663603c2d7f7be0fb920534d09a193f3165a40fe9469",1.0752,"Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?","colorado-senate-election-winner","[\"0.9605\", \"0.0395\"]",{"token_id":304,"condition_id":115,"outcome":29,"size":305,"avg_price":306,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":118,"event_slug":119,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":55,"outcome_prices":120,"category":38},"75971664127723976087466985937865139676371988915908568595607526815212140357980",3.5714,0.2799,{"token_id":308,"condition_id":309,"outcome":29,"size":310,"avg_price":311,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":312,"event_slug":313,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":314,"outcome_prices":315,"category":316},"18984892750376483805253418990318943016541056782864991219807572406261231770929","0x580386e7f3b47fa0cd6d14688894f16958e6eacf5c9dce02bbfd4028bf6e738f",4.1666,0.2399,"Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?","how-many-7pt0-or-above-earthquakes-in-2026","2027-01-08T04:59:00Z","[\"0.62\", \"0.38\"]","Science",{"token_id":318,"condition_id":319,"outcome":29,"size":320,"avg_price":321,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":322,"event_slug":323,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":55,"outcome_prices":324,"category":38},"16161781003518677420129378187847783436189938581234209947056925099320314749910","0x809eaa464104c09fbe8e54c582256dfa29b5061928790eea2e3d4908d96a7b5c",4.7619,0.2099,"Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?","who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027","[\"0.13\", \"0.87\"]",{"token_id":326,"condition_id":327,"outcome":29,"size":328,"avg_price":329,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":330,"event_slug":331,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":55,"outcome_prices":332,"category":38},"111407906413483830198481741547621131014289190946534570245645667771579973364067","0x3e4e5225054ad5168e0b249164f643453ba97a8947f84d7aacb4c768275d48e9",5.5555,0.1799,"Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?","ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025","[\"0.021\", \"0.979\"]",{"token_id":334,"condition_id":335,"outcome":29,"size":336,"avg_price":337,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":338,"event_slug":339,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":340,"category":38},"19857809653204352084235953967001149759321806996646353766198011041287290557051","0xfc63bcdc71629dd77fba7e016021e4d9283d972d2a06f8552cbd25f87e5ce918",16.3934,0.0609,"Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?","south-dakota-governor-winner-2026","[\"0.0465\", \"0.9535\"]",{"token_id":342,"condition_id":343,"outcome":29,"size":344,"avg_price":345,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":346,"event_slug":313,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":314,"outcome_prices":347,"category":316},"49525489542243620357567534971568814366299457717368124166118148301401940405931","0x0e36be087a0e811d5b9af87fb39edf62521ecf73de6d73c56447a86ca7f1842b",15.657,0.0634,"Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?","[\"0.033\", \"0.967\"]",{"token_id":349,"condition_id":350,"outcome":29,"size":351,"avg_price":352,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":353,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":47,"category":38},"62339970278220985797814574706934957062291648936534682461243840366141506822305","0xd8625515585b5bf81d9c1262a1d2b0212a6f2a7a5c5f6ef6c993f7cc269f92dd",63.2933,0.0067,"Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?",{"token_id":355,"condition_id":356,"outcome":29,"size":357,"avg_price":358,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":359,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":47,"category":38},"105121209501718913679835702557350272753628810249278953188501220308690716470697","0xf773a12cc13214fc493ec398f96c4ea5ec87ea4ff3b29795041d5498e314ad1e",79.4026,0.0052,"Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?",{"token_id":361,"condition_id":362,"outcome":29,"size":363,"avg_price":364,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":365,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":47,"category":38},"113523109301381527088718768250912137532200947193534063249121987336101159734964","0xfb2cb634e693b1758fc78b38b02754472edd728bd22eb4a7023c6f49419c73d6",21.3066,0.0059,"Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?",[],[368,375,382,389,396,402,409,416,423,430,432,438,445,451,453,455],{"recorded_date":369,"roi":370,"win_rate":371,"brier_score":372,"p_value":373,"resolved_trades":374,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-04",0.03623931829984221,0.09380530973451327,0.052528891740222114,0.44720000000000004,565,{"recorded_date":376,"roi":377,"win_rate":378,"brier_score":379,"p_value":380,"resolved_trades":381,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-12",-0.042861342815553156,0.08680555555555555,0.04613554214100731,0.42379999999999995,576,{"recorded_date":383,"roi":384,"win_rate":385,"brier_score":386,"p_value":387,"resolved_trades":388,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-19",-0.297397511181469,0.07605177993527508,0.03905977936507022,0.3320000000000001,618,{"recorded_date":390,"roi":391,"win_rate":392,"brier_score":393,"p_value":394,"resolved_trades":395,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-26",-0.3014221471534241,0.07717041800643087,0.03894770380997343,0.2891999999999999,622,{"recorded_date":397,"roi":398,"win_rate":399,"brier_score":400,"p_value":401,"resolved_trades":388,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-03",-0.2890942086015577,0.07928802588996764,0.03886645409450998,0.18680000000000008,{"recorded_date":403,"roi":404,"win_rate":405,"brier_score":406,"p_value":407,"resolved_trades":408,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-10",-0.3029067537622604,0.0762987012987013,0.038284922921871356,0.242,616,{"recorded_date":410,"roi":411,"win_rate":412,"brier_score":413,"p_value":414,"resolved_trades":415,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-17",-0.2690953021672973,0.07705192629815745,0.03872649880733616,0.08719999999999994,597,{"recorded_date":417,"roi":418,"win_rate":419,"brier_score":420,"p_value":421,"resolved_trades":422,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-24",-0.2667681582136172,0.07575757575757576,0.03887718308043951,0.08539999999999992,594,{"recorded_date":424,"roi":425,"win_rate":426,"brier_score":427,"p_value":428,"resolved_trades":429,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-01",-0.2716440084193268,0.07419898819561552,0.03875236206297785,0.09899999999999998,593,{"recorded_date":431,"roi":425,"win_rate":426,"brier_score":427,"p_value":428,"resolved_trades":429,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-09",{"recorded_date":433,"roi":434,"win_rate":435,"brier_score":436,"p_value":428,"resolved_trades":437,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-16",-0.26834334612736793,0.07432432432432433,0.038817714025922066,592,{"recorded_date":439,"roi":440,"win_rate":441,"brier_score":442,"p_value":443,"resolved_trades":444,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-23",-0.2565636206063173,0.07495741056218058,0.0391481323736686,0.09699999999999998,587,{"recorded_date":446,"roi":447,"win_rate":448,"brier_score":449,"p_value":443,"resolved_trades":450,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-30",-0.24931194109837237,0.07534246575342465,0.039349153601615526,584,{"recorded_date":452,"roi":447,"win_rate":448,"brier_score":449,"p_value":443,"resolved_trades":450,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-07",{"recorded_date":454,"roi":447,"win_rate":448,"brier_score":449,"p_value":443,"resolved_trades":450,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-15",{"recorded_date":456,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-22",[458,468,473,480,487,490,496,499,507,514,522,528,535,542,548,555,562,565,572,579,584,590,596,603,607,613,618,625,631,634,640,646,653,656,661,668,671,676,683,689,692,698,705,710,717,721,728,734,742,745,750,757,762,769,772,778,784,789,794,799,805,811,816,821,824,830,835,840,846,852,856,859,864,870,877,883,890,896,899,903,909,916,921,927,929,931,937,942,948,951,956,961,964,969,975,981,987,992,997,1001],{"condition_id":459,"outcome":29,"usdc":460,"entry_price":461,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":463,"captured_at":464,"question":465,"event_slug":466,"category":467},"0x0248586d93eca782dc023e24a8948575ac27db8ba249b28cf0a101e3c4263aa9",0.999998,0.8499994475,"backfill","2026-04-29","2026-06-19T10:36:50.817Z","Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?","fed-decisions-jan-apr",null,{"condition_id":469,"outcome":67,"usdc":460,"entry_price":470,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":471,"captured_at":464,"question":472,"event_slug":144,"category":147},"0x02507350fc2b81c3af36c659a805adbda9b0a81e63a27b29cb273cdd7dbc072e",0.7599993312,"2026-06-17T00:00:00Z","Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":474,"outcome":29,"usdc":475,"entry_price":476,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":477,"captured_at":13,"question":478,"event_slug":479,"category":147},"0x059db22dae2d735516017d47d1def0ea43e5d7221259c3aaa60c090d32566d4e",1.528488,0.6199996445,"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?","fed-rate-hike-by",{"condition_id":481,"outcome":67,"usdc":482,"entry_price":483,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":484,"captured_at":13,"question":485,"event_slug":486,"category":164},"0x0619980a29b1022ba9cbdcb7da731be0be8799ecf9ff2eb5c1ee9137235b0770",1.05,0.48,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?","iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829",{"condition_id":481,"outcome":29,"usdc":488,"entry_price":489,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":484,"captured_at":13,"question":485,"event_slug":486,"category":164},1.049999,0.3099998671,{"condition_id":491,"outcome":67,"usdc":492,"entry_price":493,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":494,"event_slug":495,"category":467},"0x08c3b8bc3c66f7e447dcce28731936704a52e3e9562fb6a3d4c6ca30a50b4503",17.269982,0.8805331457790546,"Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?","will-pumpfun-be-accused-of-insider-trading",{"condition_id":491,"outcome":29,"usdc":497,"entry_price":498,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":494,"event_slug":495,"category":467},3.0899989999999997,0.15232390402863438,{"condition_id":500,"outcome":29,"usdc":501,"entry_price":502,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":503,"captured_at":13,"question":504,"event_slug":505,"category":506},"0x0c4cd2055d6ea89354ffddc55d6dbcef9355748112ea952fc925f3db6a5c457f",1.078689,0.0889999289,"2026-07-20T00:00:00Z","Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-winner","Sports",{"condition_id":508,"outcome":29,"usdc":509,"entry_price":510,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":511,"captured_at":464,"question":512,"event_slug":513,"category":467},"0x0d14f5dc9fb3250ec888b1ac8d9fe9a0ce06f9d3ea60fdf138e8690622fea84c",4.999996,0.02560733421710986,"2026-04-29T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-april",{"condition_id":515,"outcome":29,"usdc":516,"entry_price":517,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":518,"captured_at":519,"question":520,"event_slug":521,"category":38},"0x0fb006e0c06caa4db12f7e30ec8c2483d658f83eb57b2ee8eb478e39beca3dfd",6.457809,0.012253359896818613,"2026-06-21T14:00:00Z","2026-06-26T10:43:31.720Z","Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","colombia-presidential-election",{"condition_id":523,"outcome":29,"usdc":524,"entry_price":525,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":253,"captured_at":464,"question":526,"event_slug":527,"category":38},"0x10614339b310b66f52a38e53588937898935974ac452910154473cc4c353d072",0.999999,0.0299999712,"Iran closes its airspace by May 7?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":529,"outcome":67,"usdc":530,"entry_price":531,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":532,"captured_at":464,"question":533,"event_slug":534,"category":467},"0x11c67c1caab44d83e7ddcc41b88c86927ce16fa92dab87cf5f422d38aa6f9939",3,0.12,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","Will Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","peru-presidential-election-first-round-4th-place",{"condition_id":536,"outcome":29,"usdc":537,"entry_price":538,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":539,"captured_at":13,"question":540,"event_slug":541,"category":467},"0x12b3c8b27d00011e11fa342e2b0be4800d2f2744aff2b76ee73b337c05e3a0bb",2.2009489999999996,0.03740258047412531,"2026-10-28T23:59:00Z","Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?","fed-decisions-juloct-20260617191209856",{"condition_id":543,"outcome":67,"usdc":544,"entry_price":545,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":253,"captured_at":464,"question":546,"event_slug":547,"category":38},"0x13eff396ae562ffdc52f4d6897551191e64fa718890f1f26afd051e8b8554dd3",1.512109,0.7979999979,"Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?","colombia-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":549,"outcome":29,"usdc":550,"entry_price":551,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":552,"captured_at":464,"question":553,"event_slug":554,"category":38},"0x158fdaad572880f8de3d3f00e4d3c2fbbae77108d88c29deb800141928c1e040",2,0.004,"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","peru-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":556,"outcome":67,"usdc":557,"entry_price":558,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":559,"captured_at":464,"question":560,"event_slug":561,"category":467},"0x18dccc229331c63d8360d1400ece2355627637547d8dcd54aa5f7f1b5580686e",2.00139,0.16500000493760872,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?","military-action-against-iran-ends-on-april-9-2026",{"condition_id":556,"outcome":29,"usdc":563,"entry_price":564,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":559,"captured_at":464,"question":560,"event_slug":561,"category":467},1.13124,0.857,{"condition_id":566,"outcome":29,"usdc":567,"entry_price":568,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":569,"captured_at":13,"question":570,"event_slug":571,"category":147},"0x1b56e46dba9e7b2bf93db18e7a79de3f97037314a46f8ebc93b541ae5f396200",1.555489,0.2599999064,"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?","fed-decisions-jun-sep",{"condition_id":573,"outcome":29,"usdc":574,"entry_price":575,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":576,"captured_at":464,"question":577,"event_slug":578,"category":467},"0x1e60f017a026ba7543ca005e275185413eda672cbe1f0c6de40186f679ec0121",1.9999200000000006,0.04734659090909093,"2026-04-19T00:00:00Z","Will GERB-SDS (GERB–SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?","bulgaria-parliamentary-election-winner",{"condition_id":580,"outcome":29,"usdc":581,"entry_price":582,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":253,"captured_at":464,"question":583,"event_slug":527,"category":38},"0x2135ffcb43ba9103bb6acf7116d2d5aa98bef6d9eb3dc9c85ea00cb79513f3ec",3.499997,0.0680496863482676,"Iran closes its airspace by May 8?",{"condition_id":585,"outcome":67,"usdc":586,"entry_price":587,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":471,"captured_at":464,"question":588,"event_slug":589,"category":147},"0x221e0b7d9646f5a4262509e8c4c856299c422e21571018dcb3d5bd288d70afd0",1.27,0.32,"Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?","fed-decisions-mar-jun",{"condition_id":591,"outcome":67,"usdc":592,"entry_price":593,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":594,"captured_at":464,"question":595,"event_slug":589,"category":147},"0x22ed0a1f029b7ca62fee0d6b759b502d20967348b627984478679d4ee7f0f1e3",1.729998,0.8719998508,"2026-06-17","Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?",{"condition_id":597,"outcome":29,"usdc":598,"entry_price":599,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":600,"captured_at":519,"question":601,"event_slug":602,"category":506},"0x232342e2a9200b203703a816f9d99d1c6a872333567af16f43d67a255e1a6aa8",1.060389,0.669999866,"2026-06-20T20:00:00Z","Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?","fifwc-ger-civ-2026-06-20",{"condition_id":604,"outcome":29,"usdc":605,"entry_price":271,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":532,"captured_at":464,"question":606,"event_slug":534,"category":467},"0x23688e026e556f282a404d570324bd7c2e5c7acfca4ea2fa17a75a5b5c7ec635",0.98425,"Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":608,"outcome":67,"usdc":609,"entry_price":610,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":72,"captured_at":13,"question":611,"event_slug":612,"category":467},"0x2b1435f47a09615867ade05d314485b7603924199ba0982cf28678b88717b520",2.999997,0.78,"US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-march-31",{"condition_id":614,"outcome":29,"usdc":615,"entry_price":616,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":552,"captured_at":464,"question":617,"event_slug":554,"category":38},"0x2cd24d17f5680dc6e7b7d67c712a223ae85550745597e81bd2d2b8d073443951",8.611186,0.08577130958442156,"Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":619,"outcome":29,"usdc":620,"entry_price":621,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":622,"captured_at":13,"question":623,"event_slug":624,"category":164},"0x2e47cff93eb647a0487879f781ec583f8849eeb397ff0ad5cb38f77ec916c8a7",1.239999,0.6,"2026-08-03T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963",{"condition_id":626,"outcome":67,"usdc":627,"entry_price":628,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":72,"captured_at":13,"question":629,"event_slug":630,"category":467},"0x306d10d4a4d51b41910dbc779ca00908bd917c131541c5c42bbbc736258d2d56",6.999994,0.6642049943324791,"US forces enter Iran by March 31?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-march-31-222-191-243-517-878-439-519",{"condition_id":626,"outcome":29,"usdc":632,"entry_price":633,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":72,"captured_at":13,"question":629,"event_slug":630,"category":467},15.029996,0.24920282845784383,{"condition_id":635,"outcome":67,"usdc":636,"entry_price":637,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":72,"captured_at":13,"question":638,"event_slug":639,"category":467},"0x307a56c2575036f0e7dc5eb6ca4a291050a7ebcab5b0822ac48939eae0d4f8f5",2.059995,0.8391719064474152,"US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?","us-forcibly-removes-khamenei-from-power-by-march-31",{"condition_id":641,"outcome":29,"usdc":642,"entry_price":643,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":464,"question":644,"event_slug":645,"category":38},"0x33813ca7d304cff113cd67c7f75059b776f17d9d14150713e1c99899b6d4b77b",1.09134,0.0155325444,"Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?","peru-election-2nd-round-margin-of-victory-0pt1-brackets-20260609021541549",{"condition_id":647,"outcome":67,"usdc":648,"entry_price":649,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":650,"captured_at":13,"question":651,"event_slug":652,"category":467},"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20",5.999993,0.7999166219104367,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by-february-28-2026-227-967-547-688-589-491-592-418-452-924-384-915-464-672-196-157-993-596-269-535-381-391-471-256-988-997-296-225-762-973-292-827-345-182-558-215-794-879-189-761",{"condition_id":647,"outcome":29,"usdc":654,"entry_price":655,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":650,"captured_at":13,"question":651,"event_slug":652,"category":467},41.999962000000004,0.17972961520696537,{"condition_id":657,"outcome":29,"usdc":658,"entry_price":659,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":569,"captured_at":13,"question":660,"event_slug":571,"category":147},"0x3d58efa61842054779ee3541eb4394024172a4a111ee0606e6ec535f27bb7082",3.3053090000000003,0.011523927227552072,"Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?",{"condition_id":662,"outcome":67,"usdc":663,"entry_price":664,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":665,"captured_at":13,"question":666,"event_slug":667,"category":38},"0x3f0bc2757babb8bb9971c9f782fe81f9db734c12d84822f1120a90681c991ff8",10.197984,0.5659250121957178,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?","israeli-parliament-dissolved-by-october-31",{"condition_id":662,"outcome":29,"usdc":669,"entry_price":670,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":665,"captured_at":13,"question":666,"event_slug":667,"category":38},10.499989999999999,0.3827549414602157,{"condition_id":672,"outcome":67,"usdc":488,"entry_price":673,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":665,"captured_at":13,"question":674,"event_slug":675,"category":164},"0x3fe18d2b6303ee3a7e406aab679dbc0b0f7504dc6b477a31c69c6ffb04e9e11c",0.659999824,"Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?","israel-strike-on-yemen-by-593",{"condition_id":677,"outcome":29,"usdc":678,"entry_price":679,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":665,"captured_at":680,"question":681,"event_slug":682,"category":147},"0x416242cc0757f9d4aefdfe86893cea90610b3d0928c60e09416e717db7e9f0f0",2.070688,0.11612201998649582,"2026-07-03T10:46:51.664Z","Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?","largest-company-end-of-june-712",{"condition_id":684,"outcome":67,"usdc":685,"entry_price":686,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":532,"captured_at":464,"question":687,"event_slug":688,"category":467},"0x432e3bff20596f36c22e015ec23182e591ab7c37367e1ad96db73dc5984ddf5b",4.33001,0.24477162238552855,"Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","peru-presidential-election-first-round-2nd-place",{"condition_id":684,"outcome":29,"usdc":690,"entry_price":691,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":532,"captured_at":464,"question":687,"event_slug":688,"category":467},3.9968,0.5059240506329115,{"condition_id":693,"outcome":67,"usdc":694,"entry_price":695,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":665,"captured_at":13,"question":696,"event_slug":697,"category":467},"0x43edd40756d4dfaa633687ddbfab445cdd21f9083a45289871e95b5292793bca",6.999993,0.27999984319999993,"US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by-december-31-2026-966-364-754-215-994-869-583-739",{"condition_id":699,"outcome":29,"usdc":700,"entry_price":701,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":702,"captured_at":13,"question":703,"event_slug":704,"category":467},"0x4b7cd1050a0c87baebe5e6008260d14b2a9d6d705cf7e7daac1be94ad5253b27",17.999986000000003,0.026786734025301694,"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iraq by February 28?","us-strikes-iraq-by-february-28",{"condition_id":706,"outcome":29,"usdc":482,"entry_price":707,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":708,"captured_at":13,"question":709,"event_slug":527,"category":38},"0x4ba348328e4d4ddee9e6734c9a369b2e8138611651f9f6dc8f59dea51df6c734",0.16,"2026-05-24T00:00:00Z","Iran closes its airspace by May 24?",{"condition_id":711,"outcome":29,"usdc":712,"entry_price":713,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":714,"captured_at":464,"question":715,"event_slug":716,"category":467},"0x4c5701bcde0b8fb7d7f48c8e9d20245a6caa58c61a77f981fad98f2bfa0b1bc7",1.99983,0.023833422819260874,"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-april-7",{"condition_id":718,"outcome":29,"usdc":524,"entry_price":719,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":471,"captured_at":13,"question":720,"event_slug":144,"category":147},"0x4d162a40c3e3f458b0e0017485d7f9e6ead0cdd0573e38b26e0d5420525ccfa4",0.4799998272,"Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":722,"outcome":29,"usdc":723,"entry_price":724,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":725,"captured_at":13,"question":726,"event_slug":727,"category":506},"0x4e65282819c98c6aed529f357fbf5983b1ae9407a3c25bd50fe97b2906df68f9",84.99991500000012,0.11999989919999988,"2026-07-01T00:00:00Z","Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?","2026-nba-champion",{"condition_id":729,"outcome":29,"usdc":730,"entry_price":731,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":253,"captured_at":464,"question":732,"event_slug":733,"category":38},"0x4e7ab14e108ea5a9155cec536b435c098b72702639598f0c28349c8bac946d94",2.17812,0.07,"Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-2nd-place",{"condition_id":735,"outcome":736,"usdc":737,"entry_price":738,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":739,"captured_at":13,"question":740,"event_slug":741,"category":467},"0x50327b9a443223686dfae8ddb169d111ee10ddd83d3b4c657fd7636ce7dfd904","Predators",45.01995300000004,0.5855978598576266,"2026-03-01T00:00:00Z","Predators vs. Stars","nhl-nsh-dal-2026-02-28",{"condition_id":735,"outcome":743,"usdc":524,"entry_price":744,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":739,"captured_at":13,"question":740,"event_slug":741,"category":467},"Stars",0.29999982,{"condition_id":746,"outcome":29,"usdc":747,"entry_price":748,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":665,"captured_at":13,"question":749,"event_slug":527,"category":38},"0x51a7c8afb7a0e09b8b47643171d90f400de23a176c4ea06f6552d6e53213839c",2.5499989999999997,0.49583324908798987,"Iran closes its airspace by June 30?",{"condition_id":751,"outcome":67,"usdc":752,"entry_price":753,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":754,"captured_at":464,"question":755,"event_slug":756,"category":467},"0x54b36f27449bac18ab792efb1fce8e923d6dc190a311cb28aef0926583ae5760",3.999997,0.07330904138680178,"2026-04-30","Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?","largest-company-end-of-april-738",{"condition_id":758,"outcome":29,"usdc":12,"entry_price":759,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":754,"captured_at":464,"question":760,"event_slug":761,"category":467},"0x55d89b6dc1f66dde272f37704a183229e9e63f00cfb3075797f060f6fba711af",0.009,"Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?","2nd-largest-company-end-of-april",{"condition_id":763,"outcome":67,"usdc":764,"entry_price":765,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":766,"captured_at":464,"question":767,"event_slug":768,"category":467},"0x561cd8d035bac38ed04e23d7882a126da38d7ead9d6679f722ad62c0c9d54ad2",2.999998,0.162765880277276,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?","will-iran-close-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-march-31",{"condition_id":763,"outcome":29,"usdc":770,"entry_price":771,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":766,"captured_at":13,"question":767,"event_slug":768,"category":467},1.379999,0.5699999711,{"condition_id":773,"outcome":67,"usdc":774,"entry_price":775,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":776,"captured_at":464,"question":777,"event_slug":486,"category":164},"0x5819d26bf096633c6b775be65e1fe90e62737d6d3236f63622c9173072bc9e24",1.049998,0.7699993033,"2026-06-12T03:59:00Z","Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?",{"condition_id":779,"outcome":67,"usdc":780,"entry_price":775,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":781,"captured_at":680,"question":782,"event_slug":783,"category":38},"0x5a965e943de13a4bdef4fb568d94341a751f02a2f652fa4fb8377d8b02f84606",1.059658,"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?","los-angeles-mayoral-election-117",{"condition_id":785,"outcome":67,"usdc":12,"entry_price":786,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":766,"captured_at":464,"question":787,"event_slug":788,"category":467},"0x61b66d02793b4a68ab0cc25be60d65f517fe18c7d654041281bb130341244fcc",0.005,"Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?","will-trump-nominate-kevin-warsh-as-the-next-fed-chair",{"condition_id":790,"outcome":67,"usdc":791,"entry_price":792,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":463,"captured_at":464,"question":793,"event_slug":144,"category":147},"0x626d0441b078eefbe2c49047960e7a3b6b4512c235507a2528ccc0f95f2474a6",1.999991,0.8549706722369168,"Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":795,"outcome":29,"usdc":796,"entry_price":797,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":464,"question":798,"event_slug":645,"category":38},"0x673014b56298da65997bb9310fce2a14117ffb0301a766cebdb87d20b7c6a748",3.27526,0.0054429056546726915,"Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?",{"condition_id":800,"outcome":29,"usdc":801,"entry_price":802,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":484,"captured_at":13,"question":803,"event_slug":804,"category":38},"0x676e7cda423f5826bcbb3c141e808ad7c66bc2d055e4d0aca79c26779712062c",3.1500000000000004,0.15319148936170215,"Israel closes its airspace by June 30?","israel-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":806,"outcome":67,"usdc":807,"entry_price":808,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":559,"captured_at":464,"question":809,"event_slug":810,"category":467},"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246",7.999997,0.17758428236444843,"US forces enter Iran by April 30?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-april-30-899",{"condition_id":812,"outcome":29,"usdc":813,"entry_price":814,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":128,"captured_at":464,"question":815,"event_slug":127,"category":130},"0x6e1fbd722b0aca8a4e05c7c2f4ff1428d4c97f2ee02056712463d00c1c705a55",6.999991,0.7457889770425901,"Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":817,"outcome":67,"usdc":818,"entry_price":819,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":477,"captured_at":13,"question":820,"event_slug":479,"category":147},"0x73d8a8208d23a74937d114a713d6a56cd4161a1068056c52ac74c8419c99da7c",1.545739,0.3899999272,"Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?",{"condition_id":817,"outcome":29,"usdc":822,"entry_price":823,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":477,"captured_at":13,"question":820,"event_slug":479,"category":147},1.083069,0.3699998872,{"condition_id":825,"outcome":29,"usdc":826,"entry_price":827,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":532,"captured_at":464,"question":828,"event_slug":829,"category":467},"0x756a30c26d295fadcdcbd8914f439dc03ac45dda20d39921277b712fc73f35d7",8.248798,0.23058707161856365,"Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?","which-candidates-advance-to-2026-peru-presidential-runoff",{"condition_id":831,"outcome":29,"usdc":832,"entry_price":833,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":532,"captured_at":464,"question":834,"event_slug":688,"category":467},"0x75f8b593544f1132e30d9908c57f44ffeb287499d9cb589dfa6cb9bfed23183d",0.9756,0.008,"Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":836,"outcome":29,"usdc":837,"entry_price":838,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":665,"captured_at":680,"question":839,"event_slug":682,"category":147},"0x79afea6a94f0b3dffb5e0886fa1dbd740d688029f7aba351dc46911bcb1b1f95",2.523987,0.7599997081800763,"Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?",{"condition_id":841,"outcome":29,"usdc":609,"entry_price":842,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":843,"captured_at":464,"question":844,"event_slug":845,"category":467},"0x79bc9eae1f5ce8f3f58648f45e7ff7cf182a8314e2d1a5b536520c5cc4b3e097",0.022807572912543386,"2026-05-16T00:00:00Z","Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?","eurovision-winner-2026",{"condition_id":847,"outcome":29,"usdc":848,"entry_price":849,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":850,"event_slug":851,"category":467},"0x79dbae2810fa8ac0df5fa82c2bbbec9c266d4e1213305d7e9173635d11045fdf",17.999988000000005,0.03262540880322973,"Will Jupiter be accused of insider trading?","will-company-a-be-accused-of-insider-trading",{"condition_id":853,"outcome":67,"usdc":752,"entry_price":854,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":855,"event_slug":171,"category":38},"0x7ed08b305a3cca4f5b4e0c295c6b066e424a61358447b35d4f9bf1c2b56fe37c",0.6694029088925586,"Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?",{"condition_id":66,"outcome":67,"usdc":857,"entry_price":858,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":72,"captured_at":13,"question":70,"event_slug":71,"category":38},0.999995,0.889999911,{"condition_id":860,"outcome":67,"usdc":861,"entry_price":862,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":532,"captured_at":464,"question":863,"event_slug":829,"category":467},"0x7f1813724d4e7a7e0fcf83187fc23a1f68887f317d2d0cc6eeb1566d5ef658d9",2.8305,0.5933962264150945,"Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?",{"condition_id":865,"outcome":29,"usdc":866,"entry_price":867,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":868,"event_slug":869,"category":467},"0x804bc34275d7d610dea3293c06105e925ebfcd6e454813aa27d59a882d50e86d",9.919992,0.15698183194615933,"Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?","will-axiom-be-accused-of-insider-trading",{"condition_id":871,"outcome":67,"usdc":872,"entry_price":873,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":874,"captured_at":464,"question":875,"event_slug":876,"category":467},"0x8183a221622f2d5d2b46da86c80d55a61f43d35829589e03c1efae9d072638c5",5.01339,0.5211424116424116,"2026-04-07","Iran x Israel\u002FUS conflict ends by April 7?","iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by",{"condition_id":878,"outcome":67,"usdc":879,"entry_price":880,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":569,"captured_at":13,"question":881,"event_slug":882,"category":38},"0x876506d8b2bd7a0d3fa4fe18c024eee6e1dd81ee24c26795dadd6cfe4a7b5d0d",4.491564,0.6299996828572156,"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-september-762",{"condition_id":884,"outcome":29,"usdc":885,"entry_price":886,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":887,"captured_at":13,"question":888,"event_slug":889,"category":38},"0x8bf1c1536ecb1c08fe13c6b71e8ab1f58bf3461c4cb79f5f1679f869a06aef86",1.189438,0.8399997153,"2026-07-29T00:00:00Z","Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-july-181",{"condition_id":891,"outcome":67,"usdc":892,"entry_price":893,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":665,"captured_at":464,"question":894,"event_slug":895,"category":38},"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f",3.999998,0.6285713477551017,"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-june-30",{"condition_id":891,"outcome":29,"usdc":897,"entry_price":898,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":665,"captured_at":464,"question":894,"event_slug":895,"category":38},141.13986000000023,0.5264955590450957,{"condition_id":900,"outcome":29,"usdc":524,"entry_price":901,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":463,"captured_at":464,"question":902,"event_slug":466,"category":467},"0x951fda6a6baf97f16d903534095b84dfb20ea35cdd9a35e6854f18f47d6ec69a",0.0429999606,"Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?",{"condition_id":904,"outcome":29,"usdc":905,"entry_price":906,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":532,"captured_at":464,"question":907,"event_slug":908,"category":467},"0x9711f881f44c8965ad7c849fd9b441fa7eb6e5606f913b376e317b77a53b0fa5",3.5769070000000003,0.05276074805092128,"Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","peru-presidential-election-first-round-3rd-place",{"condition_id":910,"outcome":29,"usdc":911,"entry_price":912,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":766,"captured_at":13,"question":913,"event_slug":914,"category":915},"0x9755cb76d8c53d98f4889b267a24d6a30b6750d20f1379bcbfe5bde09544a9f3",1.9999989999999999,0.029066120482724524,"Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?","which-movie-has-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026","Culture",{"condition_id":917,"outcome":29,"usdc":918,"entry_price":919,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":471,"captured_at":464,"question":920,"event_slug":589,"category":147},"0x982460624c93de97715ff5323897965b42c7e20ea01daeaad98e6833241d0612",16.424933999999997,0.012871244803513463,"Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?",{"condition_id":922,"outcome":67,"usdc":923,"entry_price":924,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":665,"captured_at":13,"question":925,"event_slug":926,"category":467},"0x98c0aa27e741d5bfeb0a06e68bddd256b857fd27597c76c500250db1483c51aa",53.99995599999998,0.5038303782367641,"US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by-march-15-2026-176-537-334-314-311-563-139-841-296-929-674-361-128-125-587-277-713-864-314-272-772-416-338-683-554-682-743-939-378-887-219-419-692-473-532-837-119-848-847-469",{"condition_id":922,"outcome":29,"usdc":764,"entry_price":928,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":665,"captured_at":13,"question":925,"event_slug":926,"category":467},0.46328559583900036,{"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"usdc":930,"entry_price":31,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"category":38},92,{"condition_id":932,"outcome":67,"usdc":933,"entry_price":934,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":766,"captured_at":464,"question":935,"event_slug":936,"category":38},"0xa1b9197a70166b28f64766c468da80dbfced6e64efac9b80d87cac9c0e1540aa",1.049993,0.8839999158,"Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?","next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-orban",{"condition_id":938,"outcome":67,"usdc":939,"entry_price":940,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":569,"captured_at":13,"question":941,"event_slug":882,"category":38},"0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a",1.437949,0.309999913,"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":943,"outcome":29,"usdc":944,"entry_price":945,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":665,"captured_at":13,"question":946,"event_slug":947,"category":38},"0xa70fc3695a65833b91b45df6db6015096f3e1471b70352ca411b4209010e7633",3.779997,0.34999988428095374,"US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30",{"condition_id":167,"outcome":29,"usdc":949,"entry_price":950,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":170,"event_slug":171,"category":38},2.699998,0.44339878889947143,{"condition_id":952,"outcome":29,"usdc":524,"entry_price":953,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":471,"captured_at":464,"question":954,"event_slug":955,"category":38},"0xa7cb4135c6d9c36da0e343874dd5b455de739c6d1b9f9f5583dd9320aacf5db2",0.0409999622,"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-june-825",{"condition_id":957,"outcome":67,"usdc":958,"entry_price":959,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":477,"captured_at":13,"question":960,"event_slug":479,"category":147},"0xac550c316d635e7f2dc810de6d6afd531e254b3c9c7d56d32d14337e7c3979e4",1.515,0.8,"Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?",{"condition_id":957,"outcome":29,"usdc":962,"entry_price":963,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":477,"captured_at":13,"question":960,"event_slug":479,"category":147},1.514299,0.1129999345,{"condition_id":965,"outcome":29,"usdc":966,"entry_price":967,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":843,"captured_at":464,"question":968,"event_slug":845,"category":467},"0xac5a968ce63080fd83fcb9a8eb73512f0ad4f0c689a86740b37969f5fb62bb78",22.999978,0.10554151775679789,"Will France win Eurovision 2026?",{"condition_id":970,"outcome":29,"usdc":971,"entry_price":972,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":253,"captured_at":464,"question":973,"event_slug":974,"category":467},"0xac5d985dc2b9bf416211e107cbfc3c3a80639e160c73d3c3bc82bf72374f0d23",2.239279,0.07053172576394559,"Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?","of-views-of-next-mrbeast-video-on-day-1-966",{"condition_id":976,"outcome":67,"usdc":12,"entry_price":977,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":978,"captured_at":13,"question":979,"event_slug":980,"category":467},"0xaffffdcf1ac14c2b3d6888f5efc76c0ea1aa5db4891588cc6e99f6e37e938acb",0.0087593799,"2026-03-10T00:00:00Z","Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?","will-us-or-israel-strike-iran-on-march-1-2026",{"condition_id":982,"outcome":29,"usdc":983,"entry_price":984,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":985,"captured_at":464,"question":986,"event_slug":527,"category":38},"0xb24aa72235c46c88613dca167f2e324aeb03e73f556fda680bbbdb815a5c40d0",3.129997,0.12286292881560135,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","Iran closes its airspace by May 15?",{"condition_id":988,"outcome":29,"usdc":989,"entry_price":990,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":532,"captured_at":464,"question":991,"event_slug":908,"category":467},"0xb33d7915ed92398557e1e5479c79a2ad09949a8c7d37ae348471d981d67d2219",0.9996,0.056,"Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":993,"outcome":67,"usdc":994,"entry_price":995,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":887,"captured_at":13,"question":996,"event_slug":889,"category":38},"0xb5c0abeecb5502e6e8d83155c27819174d8317af3c425c3afc5a8c45257a3793",14.122282,0.7516580829190246,"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":998,"outcome":29,"usdc":482,"entry_price":959,"won":12,"source":462,"end_date_iso":999,"captured_at":13,"question":1000,"event_slug":486,"category":164},"0xb5f73273196e2eb5312a51109d5e774651694894eb7dd6be178515a07e84ffa9","2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?",{"condition_id":1002,"outcome":67,"usdc":1003,"entry_price":1004,"won":17,"source":462,"end_date_iso":1005,"captured_at":464,"question":1006,"event_slug":1007,"category":38},"0xb611b3a7173f69e412b55561ed265d849e36693c248ff620d0e981c5b3f2e325",14.159619000000005,0.010600675130874853,"2026-05-31T16:00:00Z","Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-winner",{"total":1009,"wins":1010},140,58,[1012,1018,1023,1028,1032,1035,1037,1039],{"category":1013,"n":1014,"wins":1015,"hitRate":1016,"roi":1017},"Other",62,22,0.3548387096774194,1.7339251369390738,{"category":38,"n":1019,"wins":1020,"hitRate":1021,"roi":1022},47,19,0.40425531914893614,-0.7204364090572094,{"category":147,"n":1024,"wins":1025,"hitRate":1026,"roi":1027},17,8,0.47058823529411764,-0.4908116672552758,{"category":164,"n":1025,"wins":1029,"hitRate":1030,"roi":1031},7,0.875,0.48286425770661184,{"category":506,"n":530,"wins":12,"hitRate":1033,"roi":1034},0.3333333333333333,-0.9818374023924303,{"category":915,"n":12,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":1036},-1,{"category":130,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":1038},0.3408618668051091,{"category":1040,"n":12,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":1036},"Business",{"generatedAt":1042},"2026-09-23T12:28:29.508Z"]