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the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.185\", \"0.815\"]","Politics",[],[41],{"recorded_date":42,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-04",[44,53,60,66,74,82,87,94,101,107,114,121,128,136,143,149,156,161,166,171,176,183,188,196,203,210,217,221,226,233,238,246,253,259,265,272,277,284,291,299,306,311,318,325,332,335,341,348,354,359,364,369],{"condition_id":45,"outcome":29,"usdc":46,"entry_price":47,"won":17,"source":48,"end_date_iso":49,"captured_at":13,"question":50,"event_slug":51,"category":52},"0x055e8664e7db06f7e4ce7e7cc013c936051f864c4502c772bb7731b548847796",1.0492,0.016,"backfill","2026-07-10T19:00:00Z","Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Belgium?","fifwc-esp-bel-2026-07-10-exact-score",null,{"condition_id":54,"outcome":55,"usdc":12,"entry_price":56,"won":17,"source":48,"end_date_iso":57,"captured_at":13,"question":58,"event_slug":59,"category":52},"0x05e1955286a7392ef03838f042098238784c32ba986ce170dd81e4d5107cd17d","No",0.002,"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","Will Leavitt say \"Biden\" 5+ times during the next press briefing?","what-will-karoline-leavitt-say-during-the-next-white-house-press-briefing-634",{"condition_id":61,"outcome":29,"usdc":62,"entry_price":63,"won":17,"source":48,"end_date_iso":57,"captured_at":13,"question":64,"event_slug":65,"category":52},"0x05ecb044518b08a7423aa61cc76597029963e7d8e98d3f5b52b731d379951376",9.359999,0.04341747116260869,"Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 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2026-07-14?","fifwc-fra-esp-2026-07-14",{"condition_id":95,"outcome":55,"usdc":96,"entry_price":97,"won":12,"source":48,"end_date_iso":98,"captured_at":13,"question":99,"event_slug":100,"category":52},"0x269fafbed8585240e23cb530e04b8bf9071dcf3c9acb63f5582c1b3db2a8717c",6.289998,0.5599999644,"2026-02-09T21:00:00Z","Will Google (GOOGL) close above $325 on February 9?","googl-close-above-on-february-9-2026",{"condition_id":102,"outcome":29,"usdc":103,"entry_price":104,"won":12,"source":48,"end_date_iso":49,"captured_at":13,"question":105,"event_slug":106,"category":52},"0x2c37e07b722442c2381fac76f8564d580660aa028066e08bad1b32bd11813e9d",35.704368,0.597499995,"Will Spain win on 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2026?","us-strikes-iran-by-february-28-2026-227-967-547-688-589-491-592-418-452-924-384-915-464-672-196-157-993-596-269-535-381-391-471-256-988-997-296-225-762-973-292-827-345-182-558-215-794-879-189-761",{"condition_id":122,"outcome":29,"usdc":123,"entry_price":124,"won":17,"source":48,"end_date_iso":125,"captured_at":13,"question":126,"event_slug":127,"category":38},"0x352559d5f5bdcad9f6dabdf84af660639ca144aef053166c923033d2345d884a",11.109999,0.1090680254,"2026-03-14T03:59:00Z","Iran leadership change by March 13?","iran-leadership-change-by",{"condition_id":129,"outcome":130,"usdc":131,"entry_price":132,"won":12,"source":48,"end_date_iso":133,"captured_at":13,"question":134,"event_slug":135,"category":52},"0x3c995fa852613961df5b34fc1b2d14eb6850145f5d28d349d1622f4ed8cd84ca","Spain",64.669576,0.6506358323760103,"2026-07-06T19:00:00Z","Portugal vs. Spain: Team to 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31?","pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-march-31",{"condition_id":184,"outcome":29,"usdc":185,"entry_price":186,"won":12,"source":48,"end_date_iso":78,"captured_at":13,"question":187,"event_slug":148,"category":52},"0x6a4d97b6b54f49991f3984998fc8423668b09e9ea21de7074f27ab7dd4953ba3",268.809999,0.3395997718,"US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?",{"condition_id":189,"outcome":190,"usdc":191,"entry_price":192,"won":17,"source":48,"end_date_iso":193,"captured_at":13,"question":194,"event_slug":195,"category":52},"0x6d621f9a6690d234786025521c650f3f65738e0f877ff776c8f50275a2b3aee7","Colombia",62.725376999999995,0.6099999960548389,"2026-07-07T20:00:00Z","Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to 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(ET)?",{"condition_id":239,"outcome":240,"usdc":241,"entry_price":242,"won":12,"source":48,"end_date_iso":243,"captured_at":13,"question":244,"event_slug":245,"category":52},"0x94e50623d3cfdc1256e16ff372062d42c282bec8af620bb732a19fb4b0dce580","England",16.230389,0.5199999974,"2026-07-06T00:00:00Z","Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance","fifwc-mex-eng-2026-07-05-more-markets",{"condition_id":247,"outcome":29,"usdc":248,"entry_price":249,"won":17,"source":48,"end_date_iso":250,"captured_at":13,"question":251,"event_slug":252,"category":52},"0x9c183f63913cee589ec7a8d584fb7743a541f724edc047837c053c027bdf9074",26.585,0.25,"2026-07-01T20:00:00Z","Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?","fifwc-bel-sen-2026-07-01",{"condition_id":254,"outcome":29,"usdc":255,"entry_price":256,"won":17,"source":48,"end_date_iso":180,"captured_at":13,"question":257,"event_slug":258,"category":52},"0x9cdd4ba417719ed7a55e2c37751f8a45a567f7e030400c1288df67f40f125983",5,0.0217878373,"Will the US next strike Iran on March 21, 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Awards?","oscars-2026-best-actress-winner",{"condition_id":273,"outcome":29,"usdc":274,"entry_price":275,"won":17,"source":48,"end_date_iso":269,"captured_at":13,"question":276,"event_slug":271,"category":52},"0xa32de12e82c212437e0c62e8a2d561081553c09fe7c3780a308eb23507a60978",11.999998,0.006000000002496967,"Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?",{"condition_id":278,"outcome":29,"usdc":279,"entry_price":280,"won":12,"source":48,"end_date_iso":281,"captured_at":13,"question":282,"event_slug":283,"category":52},"0xa7b5b123f9fd38f83fbe19773a5d04e38208b370ca66be27b9688155e7b5c60a",107.929048,0.72,"2026-07-07T16:00:00Z","Will Argentina win on 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