[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x09cc4da8a3e39237aa74b445a300565e33d0421a":3},{"stats":4,"positions":24,"signals":71,"history":72,"resolved":81,"resolvedSummary":302,"specialization":305,"meta":316},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":17,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x09cc4da8a3e39237aa74b445a300565e33d0421a",1320,161,0.7639751552795031,0.6857622301079914,0.20891587992253016,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-02T08:10:27.722Z",174.93534982608696,7.415730337078652,"2026-09-30T17:54:18.000Z",0,"trades",0.5300493812527949,0.23392577402670808,19314.212955054903,28164.591322,17.34839886123596,[25,37,45,53,63],{"token_id":26,"condition_id":27,"outcome":28,"size":29,"avg_price":30,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":31,"question":32,"event_slug":33,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":34,"outcome_prices":35,"category":36},"67102598924726349989742049657609063097299442010642912942032681022413402597017","0x3738ad9665480991affe3ba286cd035516e17d1f8b7703e05088ec19c70c21a4","Yes",23163.3966,0.4939,"2026-10-02T09:54:26.627Z","US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?","us-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt","2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.605\", \"0.395\"]","Politics",{"token_id":38,"condition_id":39,"outcome":28,"size":40,"avg_price":41,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":31,"question":42,"event_slug":33,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":43,"outcome_prices":44,"category":36},"1759128163540908136861900527987306673081148337830189221001436012323578054934","0xb70b8da7839ecb8b166e0f3a8553e079b38e139ee164f5d8bfd99183d535fc33",14899.94,0.3865,"US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?","2026-11-30T23:59:00Z","[\"0.385\", \"0.615\"]",{"token_id":46,"condition_id":47,"outcome":28,"size":48,"avg_price":49,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":31,"question":50,"event_slug":33,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":51,"outcome_prices":52,"category":36},"30473344794239220995088264915766809943868068209555159167607047748901899155342","0x32851891e7ccfb249b1e120d77db70370fa92a13d821ce6c949de69402742aab",14899.5074,0.3855,"US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?","2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.315\", \"0.685\"]",{"token_id":54,"condition_id":55,"outcome":56,"size":57,"avg_price":58,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":31,"question":59,"event_slug":60,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":61,"outcome_prices":62,"category":36},"76326875711147697076353707331532227929486722415800396469798548611383212234361","0xf2bf04609e7458df56c9bb4b1e051286dea11da1c944bbc1dafbcc6b76904e52","No",6932.85,0.6776,"NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?","nato-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.225\", \"0.775\"]",{"token_id":64,"condition_id":65,"outcome":56,"size":66,"avg_price":67,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":31,"question":68,"event_slug":60,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":69,"outcome_prices":70,"category":36},"66797176836865406644675050248194264952001579179703527537658211196864343226792","0x2a4fcda5c1598fc8621cf96cabc410f9f23a2d0336c3bff5070a37a663d39e94",5256,0.7945,"NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.115\", \"0.885\"]",[],[73,79],{"recorded_date":74,"roi":75,"win_rate":76,"brier_score":77,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":78,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-21",0.8429833943243542,0.9571428571428572,0.2456043888059585,70,{"recorded_date":80,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-02",[82,91,98,105,113,120,127,134,141,147,152,159,166,171,177,182,188,196,201,207,215,220,226,231,236,241,248,254,259,266,269,274,279,282,287,292,297],{"condition_id":83,"outcome":56,"usdc":84,"entry_price":85,"won":17,"source":86,"end_date_iso":87,"captured_at":13,"question":88,"event_slug":89,"category":90},"0x13d083b5c94607a2d585fd85db3e1c7f2acc801f03661eaa7dfb822e63c3c177",134.47919900000002,0.6724994624059196,"backfill","2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?","israel-military-action-against-gaza-on",null,{"condition_id":92,"outcome":28,"usdc":93,"entry_price":94,"won":12,"source":86,"end_date_iso":95,"captured_at":13,"question":96,"event_slug":97,"category":90},"0x1a56b49c8bcfb43b2a97d8ceb2986bb346983e6424d758ce32dff71921b7feb5",108.949997,0.5934141787103294,"2025-12-02T17:00:00Z","Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 2?","bitcoin-above-on-december-2",{"condition_id":99,"outcome":56,"usdc":100,"entry_price":101,"won":12,"source":86,"end_date_iso":102,"captured_at":13,"question":103,"event_slug":104,"category":90},"0x203edbf803a16c87e11b55e31b88e5ef33d8f2ab499b9f3be12ac55e13e3c694",51.2,0.6826666666666668,"2025-11-21T00:00:00Z","Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?","will-israel-strike-lebanon-on",{"condition_id":106,"outcome":56,"usdc":107,"entry_price":108,"won":12,"source":86,"end_date_iso":109,"captured_at":110,"question":111,"event_slug":112,"category":90},"0x211f2f58d38d8022f3d71a99685ebec3ff12a396118c38e8fb97fdcab53ded1e",5116.00093,0.5757615992165516,"2026-09-01T04:00:00Z","2026-09-21T19:33:49.784Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-august-2026",{"condition_id":114,"outcome":56,"usdc":115,"entry_price":116,"won":17,"source":86,"end_date_iso":117,"captured_at":13,"question":118,"event_slug":119,"category":90},"0x2865bc483dd523f4a36eb961f7467c8635ee9a13f39748bad55f645ce1f61512",28,0.36363636363636365,"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?","trump-declassifies-ufo-files-in-2025",{"condition_id":121,"outcome":56,"usdc":122,"entry_price":123,"won":17,"source":86,"end_date_iso":124,"captured_at":13,"question":125,"event_slug":126,"category":90},"0x3ad10b05e536a030e250fa6f19e5ffc95133d87d34c084f8cd2075e129332cab",182.6296,0.40576240307494055,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?","us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by",{"condition_id":128,"outcome":56,"usdc":129,"entry_price":130,"won":17,"source":86,"end_date_iso":131,"captured_at":13,"question":132,"event_slug":133,"category":90},"0x4048fed324ac27f378ce44da1b12f0d338c8340ef82962989f38eea05409baab",6.18,0.2575,"","Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?","will-trump-release-epstein-files-by",{"condition_id":135,"outcome":28,"usdc":136,"entry_price":137,"won":12,"source":86,"end_date_iso":138,"captured_at":110,"question":139,"event_slug":140,"category":90},"0x42b633e7acfedf301c4eb85acefc7430f2e76825c1f3324a39a5582d7a26599b",3433.5783550000006,0.3862984965427849,"2026-09-04T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?","us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-begins-byptptpt-2-week-pause",{"condition_id":142,"outcome":56,"usdc":143,"entry_price":144,"won":12,"source":86,"end_date_iso":102,"captured_at":13,"question":145,"event_slug":146,"category":90},"0x4b3261f9d50e7cff2eb35bc4e986b56ff34f61448da9d07630abf9ac58119888",67.81580000000001,0.5819600102977774,"Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?","will-israel-strike-gaza-on-379",{"condition_id":148,"outcome":56,"usdc":149,"entry_price":150,"won":12,"source":86,"end_date_iso":109,"captured_at":13,"question":151,"event_slug":112,"category":90},"0x55ae2f91bba959ea0ab4ecbbfa2eb3501a12fd5f7107f0d71415e76cbf9a7d11",10357.108426000003,0.6349603771648132,"Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?",{"condition_id":153,"outcome":28,"usdc":154,"entry_price":155,"won":17,"source":86,"end_date_iso":156,"captured_at":13,"question":157,"event_slug":158,"category":90},"0x577a822ca145b1023546caeeecd4a44dc722761d0b510ce29a54937b8b3b1794",19.999999,0.1899999939,"2025-12-06T17:00:00Z","Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 6?","bitcoin-above-on-december-6",{"condition_id":160,"outcome":28,"usdc":161,"entry_price":162,"won":12,"source":86,"end_date_iso":163,"captured_at":110,"question":164,"event_slug":165,"category":90},"0x5a9395dae6c7643ea06e7a555580a5526e81073aea9c9306363529c5b76a8f8b",3197.436665,0.5200000002080807,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?","us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-byptptpt-2-week-pause-20260715194822042",{"condition_id":167,"outcome":56,"usdc":168,"entry_price":169,"won":12,"source":86,"end_date_iso":102,"captured_at":13,"question":170,"event_slug":104,"category":90},"0x655231e7b0282417ef55032b97cdf0567f21b2f4b3957d7b923c83cb432c9fbb",7.875,0.75,"Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 10?",{"condition_id":172,"outcome":28,"usdc":173,"entry_price":174,"won":12,"source":86,"end_date_iso":175,"captured_at":13,"question":176,"event_slug":33,"category":36},"0x690fafd3b7bb8b4919ccf0f219b0014b65334411a1076162e76353e76d7f9bec",628.2897,0.8260556936062793,"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?",{"condition_id":178,"outcome":56,"usdc":179,"entry_price":180,"won":12,"source":86,"end_date_iso":102,"captured_at":13,"question":181,"event_slug":146,"category":90},"0x6a581618560f6a6d3691f82989c6f55f5f9aa879e3ac90b5efa37ea64bae9386",22.4,0.56,"Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?",{"condition_id":183,"outcome":56,"usdc":184,"entry_price":185,"won":17,"source":86,"end_date_iso":87,"captured_at":110,"question":186,"event_slug":187,"category":90},"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246",2.8,0.35,"US forces enter Iran by April 30?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-april-30-899",{"condition_id":189,"outcome":28,"usdc":190,"entry_price":191,"won":12,"source":86,"end_date_iso":192,"captured_at":110,"question":193,"event_slug":194,"category":195},"0x79afea6a94f0b3dffb5e0886fa1dbd740d688029f7aba351dc46911bcb1b1f95",14.999999,0.4810524183,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?","largest-company-end-of-june-712","Economy",{"condition_id":197,"outcome":56,"usdc":198,"entry_price":199,"won":12,"source":86,"end_date_iso":109,"captured_at":110,"question":200,"event_slug":112,"category":90},"0x7f668805bfee7909997562f60489ddef01e40a3dca43781efeb59ce380779295",2974.945917,0.7382007487486032,"Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?",{"condition_id":202,"outcome":28,"usdc":203,"entry_price":204,"won":12,"source":86,"end_date_iso":205,"captured_at":110,"question":206,"event_slug":165,"category":90},"0x833f0bac240ad7d5c947d58a8acac0f77a74cf03dccd8f9b72a28811836a920f",601.4743040000001,0.6600000007461665,"2026-08-14T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?",{"condition_id":208,"outcome":209,"usdc":210,"entry_price":211,"won":17,"source":86,"end_date_iso":212,"captured_at":13,"question":213,"event_slug":214,"category":90},"0x84f00093db84135ba3c505907b7b0770aad92475fea1db84e329dc593d164de9","Astralis",14.699999,0.4499999923,"2026-04-11T20:00:00Z","Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs","cs2-ast10-fut-2026-04-11",{"condition_id":216,"outcome":56,"usdc":217,"entry_price":218,"won":12,"source":86,"end_date_iso":102,"captured_at":13,"question":219,"event_slug":146,"category":90},"0x8e75c6a007716a303de8dc48e48a1ea8be3590d1330487ab0309b3aaecbaf0cc",115.319998,0.7487015235,"Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?",{"condition_id":221,"outcome":56,"usdc":222,"entry_price":223,"won":17,"source":86,"end_date_iso":224,"captured_at":13,"question":225,"event_slug":126,"category":90},"0x92a5c5555d26f52758609c2da6a684a96fd54265abfb1d3c247d57335b6e13bd",6.2,0.62,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":227,"outcome":56,"usdc":228,"entry_price":229,"won":17,"source":86,"end_date_iso":131,"captured_at":13,"question":230,"event_slug":133,"category":90},"0xac9c6628a5398bb2a06f566854270a9fbc7f2badec4329d3b5fdc1407291c35b",6.6567989999999995,0.42178826134858555,"Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?",{"condition_id":232,"outcome":56,"usdc":233,"entry_price":234,"won":17,"source":86,"end_date_iso":102,"captured_at":13,"question":235,"event_slug":104,"category":90},"0xb214c760a2ee006f66ab29c685b00982c10213dc70401fbb4152452e4b10b5f9",34.477000000000004,0.6450327408793265,"Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?",{"condition_id":237,"outcome":56,"usdc":238,"entry_price":239,"won":17,"source":86,"end_date_iso":102,"captured_at":13,"question":240,"event_slug":146,"category":90},"0xb4fe07702768096bb9d3d301f23c8ad7080e6776cc6e6d453a798f39f0b2fc6c",22,0.55,"Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?",{"condition_id":242,"outcome":28,"usdc":243,"entry_price":244,"won":17,"source":86,"end_date_iso":245,"captured_at":13,"question":246,"event_slug":247,"category":90},"0xb6daa866be2cb0f068367e0bfb46c8fe69c0686f49d066a21043af7bedd4c668",1.60988,0.13806861063464837,"2025-12-08T17:00:00Z","Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,200 on December 8?","ethereum-price-on-december-8",{"condition_id":249,"outcome":56,"usdc":250,"entry_price":251,"won":17,"source":86,"end_date_iso":124,"captured_at":13,"question":252,"event_slug":253,"category":90},"0xbdcd438bf3bd1b67a757c63f16f7c2bf05f29a67bc0a47840d50d9eb4a8c1ac9",64.1772,0.41229089040215855,"Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?","israel-military-action-in-gaza-on",{"condition_id":255,"outcome":56,"usdc":256,"entry_price":257,"won":12,"source":86,"end_date_iso":87,"captured_at":13,"question":258,"event_slug":89,"category":90},"0xc9803b5c96b70dd45266e2a8ece5f8a1f4eed4d8a6ef9e6d470af8f29f24af7a",82.2672,0.566890848952591,"Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 1, 2026?",{"condition_id":260,"outcome":56,"usdc":261,"entry_price":262,"won":17,"source":86,"end_date_iso":263,"captured_at":13,"question":264,"event_slug":265,"category":90},"0xcba204b7a703575161f6800fd5ebabb1d5af956c0cd60bce8656d9d3244a8b10",5.799999,0.47454542018183504,"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?","next-us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-on",{"condition_id":260,"outcome":28,"usdc":267,"entry_price":268,"won":12,"source":86,"end_date_iso":263,"captured_at":13,"question":264,"event_slug":265,"category":90},426.895194,0.6107910052310896,{"condition_id":270,"outcome":28,"usdc":271,"entry_price":272,"won":12,"source":86,"end_date_iso":95,"captured_at":13,"question":273,"event_slug":97,"category":90},"0xcdad308b98bcad5ad978afab57c19b0692ba15b353a195456a3b0de74eb97c0f",11.999999,0.3299999849,"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 2?",{"condition_id":275,"outcome":56,"usdc":276,"entry_price":277,"won":17,"source":86,"end_date_iso":102,"captured_at":13,"question":278,"event_slug":146,"category":90},"0xd02ac37da1841d36f0dea06c4b9a529f74eb6aec1baa3383d16c28bdeba7135c",11.73913,0.5400000156,"Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?",{"condition_id":280,"outcome":56,"usdc":179,"entry_price":180,"won":12,"source":86,"end_date_iso":102,"captured_at":13,"question":281,"event_slug":146,"category":90},"0xd085ba8504d4f2f7de7278ba33539a8b97d6c9f12466349d05d7e89f6f2d318a","Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?",{"condition_id":283,"outcome":56,"usdc":284,"entry_price":285,"won":12,"source":86,"end_date_iso":102,"captured_at":13,"question":286,"event_slug":146,"category":90},"0xd9f844b006e644ed803aa0473a16ea4c5d60404ff12f7c4f86d97435fa4b8dfe",37.2705,0.6145177246496291,"Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?",{"condition_id":288,"outcome":56,"usdc":289,"entry_price":290,"won":12,"source":86,"end_date_iso":102,"captured_at":13,"question":291,"event_slug":146,"category":90},"0xdbead3b34178f7bb333bc05669052be8e30df351b6d8861678fd601e9e9ada30",62.069996999999994,0.6250598562632502,"Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?",{"condition_id":293,"outcome":56,"usdc":294,"entry_price":295,"won":17,"source":86,"end_date_iso":102,"captured_at":13,"question":296,"event_slug":104,"category":90},"0xe0f20e138c52e623884ed1ad5a8f54026aec9a9eba9faea9978c8c594807571e",7.3,0.73,"Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 12?",{"condition_id":298,"outcome":56,"usdc":299,"entry_price":300,"won":17,"source":86,"end_date_iso":109,"captured_at":110,"question":301,"event_slug":112,"category":90},"0xfd105823dbf627e8a57aa1924703ef23138050d9d8da4a98a5136ea2ad98acd4",275.544536,0.3749203027000919,"Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?",{"total":303,"wins":304},37,20,[306,312,314],{"category":307,"n":308,"wins":309,"hitRate":310,"roi":311},"Other",35,18,0.5142857142857142,0.7017983664299672,{"category":36,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":313},0.2105721293855367,{"category":195,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":315},1.0787755387113913,{"generatedAt":317},"2026-10-02T13:02:37.725Z"]